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Won on Tailorman @6.00 on Saturday
WIN @
Should've won last time out before falling with three left to jump. With Townsend booked, I expect him to make all with a solid round of jumping. He is the class act in the field and ought to be winning this one.
WIN @
Looked much the best during his last race but was picked off as he tired late on. The drop to five furlongs here looks like a good move and this is as good an opportunity as any to get this lad off the mark.
WIN @
Was very unlucky to lose last time out and comes here off the same mark. He travelled like an absolute good thing throughout that race and was well clear of third place. Looks to be well treated and should go very, very close.
Daily Racing
EW @
Back down to 7f, Northfield Lake represents good value as the outsider in this race. The track tends to favor runners that like to be handy and sit close to the pace, which this lad does. At present, the ground is listed as 'good,' which will suit his running style much more than the soft ground he faced on his last run. It does require a leap of faith as he has been well off it so far this year, but he is well treated on old form and could hit the frame in a race like this.
Daily Racing
WIN @
Perennial winner at this track. Well below his last winning mark and this looks a rather weak field. Some money has come already which bodes well. NAP.
EW @
This one paper does look to be regressive. However, there are some reasons for optimism. Firstly, he is dropping in class and is on a very, very handy mark. It would not be a shock if he was to hit the frame here.
WIN @
Another one who has been knocking on the door lately. Has finished in the first four on all of his attempts since being gelded over the winter season. Connections reach for the blinkers to eke out further improvement, and Balding's runners have been doing well at this track this year.
Daily Racing
EW @
Ruling Master showed a decent level in his latest run at Brighton, finishing just behind Cuban Girl at a mark of 65. Saffie Osbourne saddled him that day, and the fact she's on again is definitely a positive, with her riding impressively in recent weeks. He has a recent RPR of 75, which points to room to exploit his current mark. Call-out will be hard to beat, but it would be no surprise to see him run a cracker.
Daily Racing
WIN @
This lad has been knocking hard on the door lately. He's a bit of a serial underachiever, constantly placing without getting his head in front. However, he looks well treated and this isn't the deepest of races. I'll be disappointed if he isn't bang there at the finish.
Daily Racing
WIN @
Thrifty Of Digby is a very consistent sort and returns to Roscommon following her impressive 1 and a half length victory under Shane Foley. This is her trip, and she is versatile when it comes to the ground. If she gets a soft lead from the front, she might be very difficult to reel in.
Daily Racing
EW @
Rock solid competitor on the AW. Distance and conditions look perfect for her and she's not benefitted from the best rides or most favourable trips as of late. Represents very strong value.
Daily Racing
EW @
She has been a little out of form so it requires a leap of faith to stick with her. However, connections reach for the cheek pieces to try and get her back on track which looks a good move to me. She has some impressive form lines behind some strongly rated horses and looks to be worth a nibble at this price.
Daily Racing
EW @
This step up to two miles looks to be a shrewd move by connections. It is only his second going in handicap company. He is dropping class and shedding a couple of lbs, which is definitely sure to help. With a distinguished pedigree and room for improvement, he is worth a try in this wide-open race.
Daily Racing
EW @
This lad is much, much better on the AW than he is on the turf. He is well treated on old form and currently sits 2 lbs below his last winning mark. Fox Avatar will be tough to beat, but this one is the value in my eye.
Profits calculated to a 10 point stake.
Value Rating is based on comparing the odds of a selection to the theoretical probability of winning based on the percentage of tips for it.
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