Secretariat Stakes Betting Guide: Strategies, Statistics & Picks

Updated: 982 Horse Racing

Contested over a distance of 1m is the Secretariat Stakes which is scheduled to take place at Colonial Downs. Below we have detailed past winners along with both trainer and jockey records in the race and see which trends have been set based on past winners of the Secretariat Stakes.

Secretariat Stakes Betting Guide: Strategies, Statistics & Picks
Andy Powell Content Editor

Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.

2024 Secretariat Stakes Preview

The Grade I Secretariat Stakes which is restricted to runners aged three only is run over a distance of one mile on the turf. With the Arlington racetrack closure, the race in 2022 was moved to Churchill Downs, and in 2023 was once again moved to the Colonial Downs Racetrack where it will feature on a single-day card which includes both the Arlington Millions and Beverly D. Stakes.

Secretariat Stakes Picks

If you are interested in other predictions at Colonial Downs then head over to the Colonial Downs Betting Picks page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG handicappers and also compare those predictions to the runners who follow the trends when added below. Before placing your wager on the 2024 Secretariat Stakes see which other runners today are being backed on the racing predictions page.

Secretariat Stakes Content

Quickest Run Secretariat Stakes Renewals

The runner that holds the record over the past 10 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2012 renewal when Bayrir from A De Royer-Dupre under the guidance of Christophe-Patrice Lemaire, won in a time of 2:02.92, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Gigante, trained by Steven Asmussen and ridden by Javier Castellano set the quickest time of 1:35.10 in the 2023 renewal. Below are the top five quickest-run Secretariat Stakes over the last 10 renewals.

  • 2023 - Gigante (1:35.10)
  • 2019 - Valid Point (1:35.50)
  • 2021 - Point Me By (1:37.70)
  • 2018 - Carrick (2:01.04)
  • 2017 - Oscar Performance (2:01.79)

Secretariat Stakes Past Winners

Here are the Secretariat Stakes past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the winning time, and the horse which won along with the cloth number, age, sex, the weight of the horse & which starting gate the horse came from. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Secretariat Stakes as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the moneyline odds the horse was sent off.

Race Notes: No race in 2022 due to issues with the Churchill Downs turf course.

Year Horse (Info) Info
2023
1:35.10
(2) Gigante (USA)
3/C 121lbs 229/10 (2 of 6)
Javier Castellano
Steven Asmussen (USA)
2021
1:37.70
(6) Point Me By (USA)
3/C 119lbs 17/10F (6 of 9)
Luis Saez
Eddie Kenneally (USA)
2019
1:35.50
(7) Valid Point (USA)
3/C 121lbs 13/5 (7 of 9)
Javier Castellano
Chad C Brown (USA)
2018
2:01.04
(4) Carrick (USA)
3/C 119lbs 38/1 (4 of 13)
John R Velazquez
Thomas Morley (USA)
2017
2:01.79
(4) Oscar Performance (USA)
3/C 126lbs 6/4F (4 of 6)
Jose L Ortiz
Brian A Lynch (CAN)
2016
2:01.95
(9) Beach Patrol (USA)
3/C 119lbs 14/5F (9 of 9)
Florent Geroux
Chad C Brown (USA)
2015
2:02.26
(6) Highland Reel (IRE)
3/C 121lbs 12/5 (6 of 7)
Seamie Heffernan
A P O'Brien (IRE)
2014
2:02.31
(6) Adelaide (IRE)
3/C 119lbs 11/10F (5 of 7)
Ryan Moore
A P O'Brien (IRE)
2013
2:02.17
(5) Admiral Kitten (USA)
3/C 119lbs 26/5 (5 of 13)
Rosie Napravnik
Michael J Maker (USA)
2012
2:02.92
(7) Bayrir (FR)
3/G 121lbs 16/5 (7 of 8)
Christophe-Patrice Lemaire
A De Royer-Dupre (FR)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Secretariat Stakes have been based:

  • USA: 6 winners with an additional 12 placings from 64 runners
  • IRE: 2 winners with an additional 4 placings from 13 runners
  • FR: 1 winner with an additional 0 placings from 4 runners
  • CAN: 1 winner with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
  • GB: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 3 runners
  • GER: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
  • RUS: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

Secretariat Stakes Trainer Statistics

There are two leading trainers in the Secretariat Stakes over the last 10 renewals with both A P O'Brien & Chad C Brown who have both won the race 2 times. A P O'Brien winners have been with Adelaide (2014) & Highland Reel (2015). Chad C Brown's winners have been Beach Patrol (2016) & Valid Point (2019).

Here are some of the most active Secretariat Stakes trainer statistics over the last 10 renewals.

Trainer Starts 1st 2nd 3rd LSP
A P O'Brien 9 2 3 0 -3.50
Chad C Brown 4 2 1 0 +3.40
Michael J Maker 8 1 0 0 -1.80
A De Royer-Dupre 2 1 0 0 +2.20
Thomas Morley 1 1 0 0 +38.00
Steven Asmussen 1 1 0 0 +22.90
Eddie Kenneally 1 1 0 0 +1.70
Brian A Lynch 1 1 0 0 +1.50
Dale Romans 5 0 1 0 -5.00
Todd Pletcher 4 0 0 2 -4.00

Secretariat Stakes Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Secretariat Stakes over the last 10 renewals is Javier Castellano who has won the race 2 times. Those 2 winners came from Valid Point (2019) & Gigante (2023).

Here are some of the most active Secretariat Stakes jockey statistics over the last 10 renewals.

Jockey Starts 1st 2nd 3rd LSP
Javier Castellano 3 2 0 1 +24.50
Florent Geroux 7 1 0 0 -3.20
Ryan Moore 5 1 1 0 -2.90
John R Velazquez 3 1 0 0 +36.00
Christophe-Patrice Lemaire 2 1 0 0 +2.20
Seamie Heffernan 2 1 1 0 +1.40
Jose L Ortiz 2 1 1 0 +0.50
Rosie Napravnik 1 1 0 0 +5.20
Luis Saez 1 1 0 0 +1.70
Joel Rosario 4 0 1 2 -4.00

Favorites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 5, 3, 1, 3, 1, 1, 2, 6, 1, 5

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well. The trend information is based on the available information on the racing post in terms of previous runs etc.

  • 10 / 10 (67%) - Not in a G1/G3/LST/Cl4-5 (Debut)
  • 10 / 10 (76%) - No bigger than 83/10 (LTO)
  • 10 / 10 (76%) - Beaten no more -5l (Debut)
  • 10 / 10 (78%) - No bigger than 33/1 (Career)
  • 10 / 10 (79%) - Made 1 - 4 starts (Season)
  • 10 / 10 (82%) - Beaten no more -3¾l (LTO)
  • 10 / 10 (82%) - Not on SFT/GS/GF/FS (LTO)
  • 10 / 10 (83%) - Ran over 7f - 1m1f (Debut)
  • 10 / 10 (84%) - Carried 117 - 131lbs (Debut)
  • 10 / 10 (85%) - No bigger than 38/1
  • 10 / 10 (85%) - No bigger than 151/10 (Debut)
  • 10 / 10 (86%) - Within the first 8 of market

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Colonial Downs racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Secretariat Stakes. Are you already a member? If not, then why not?! With over $9,000 given away each month in the picks contest, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then why share your thoughts on the Secretariat Stakes by adding a pick on the race here?

Secretariat Stakes Trend Analysis

How competitive is the Secretariat Stakes market?

When looking at the over-rounds for the last 10 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2013 when the race had an over-round of 122%. The race in 2017 was a race that was most in the bookie's favor with an over-round of 124%, whilst on average over the last 10 renewals of the Secretariat Stakes, the over-round has been 123%, which means the bookie expects to pay out $100 for every $123 which is bet.

Post Positions of the Secretariat Stakes Winners, Places & Shows

Here are the most recent winning draws along with those who placed and showed:

Year Win Place Show
2023 2 3 1
2021 6 2 4
2019 7 2 4
2018 4 9 3
2017 4 6 1

Best Course for a Secretariat Stakes Prep Run?

The course which has produced the most winners of the Secretariat Stakes is Belmont Park, there has been a total number of 4 winners of this race who ran at Belmont Park last time out.

Top Performing Stallions in the Secretariat Stakes

Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Secretariat Stakes:

  • Galileo (2 Wins)
  • Kittens Joy (2 Wins)

Worst Performing Stallions in the Secretariat Stakes

Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have been disappointed with multiple attempts but no wins in the Secretariat Stakes, that stallion War Front has failed to produce a winner from 6 runners.

Biggest Priced Winners of the Secretariat Stakes & Performance of Favorites

Looking at the winning odds over the last 10 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Carrick in 2018, winning for Thomas Morley at odds of 38/1 under the guidance of John R Velazquez. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 10 renewals there has been a total of 4 winning favorites in the race. Whilst we wait for the 2024 Secretariat Stakes remember you can get daily racing predictions from the top racing handicappers on the best racing handicappers page. All figures and trends above, such as the horse's previous runs are based on the information that is available on the racing post.

Other Graded races at Colonial Downs Racetrack

Here are some other notable races at the Colonial Downs racecourse throughout the racing season that you may be interested in.

Races in August

Secretariat Stakes FAQs

Where is the Secretariat Stakes run?

The Secretariat Stakes is run that the Colonial Downs racetrack each year, you can get Colonial Downs racing predictions all season long as well as for Secretariat Stakes.

When is the Secretariat Stakes?

The Secretariat Stakes takes place around August of each year at Colonial Downs.

Who won the Secretariat Stakes?

The 2023 renewal of the Secretariat Stakes was won by the Steven Asmussen trained Gigante who was ridden by Javier Castellano in a time of 1:35.10, owned by Iapetus Racing Diamond T Racing it was sent off at an SP of 229/10. You can view all the recent winners in the Secretariat Stakes Past Winners section of the blog.

Who will win the Secretariat Stakes?

On the day of the race, use the trends in this blog and then compare them to the OLBG racing handicappers' predictions for the Secretariat Stakes, you can do this on the Colonial Downs Picks page which not only will have picks for this race but also picks for Colonial Downs all throughout the season. You may also be interested in the Horse Racing Picks page where you can get daily horse racing predictions from all of the US courses.

Who is the top trainer in the Secretariat Stakes?

We have joint leading trainers in the Secretariat Stakes over the last ten renewals, both with two wins are A P O'Brien & Chad C Brown. To see which other trainers have a good record in the race, head over to the Secretariat Stakes Trainer Statistics section of the blog.

Who is the top jockey in the Secretariat Stakes?

With a total of two winners over the last ten renewals, it is Javier Castellano who holds the claim as the leading jockey in the Secretariat Stakes. To see which other jockeys have a good record in the race, head over to the Secretariat Stakes Jockey Statistics section of the blog.

Do we have trends for the 2024 renewal of the Secretariat Stakes?

The simple answer is Yes! We have a total of twelve trends for the Secretariat Stakes which can be found under the Secretariat Stakes Trends section.

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