Editor-In-Chief with 20 years experience covering the betting angles to breaking news stories. Daily slots player, Portsmouth fan and League Snooker Player
- Judi Love installed as favourite for the first elimination on strictly come dancing 2021
- Nadia and Sara are next as the betting continues to favour the fellas.
- 63% of First eliminations (12/19) throughout Strictly history have been men.
Judi Love heads the first betting market opened for the first contestant to be eliminated from Strictly come dancing 2021, the 19th series of the hugely popular BBC autumn show.
It is very early doors to be making predictions and I think Judi shouldn't worry too much at this stage. She has a huge social following and can probably survive a couple of weeks at least. And don't forget Bill Bailey was the complete outsider of the bunch with bookmakers in 2020 and won the entire show, when available at odds of 80/1 to win and favourite to be eliminated first.
Strictly Come Dancing Early First Elimination Betting
Not all contestants are quoted at this stage, but the market for the first celebrity to be eliminated from strictly come dancing has opened with Judi Love, Nina Wadia and Sara Davies as the favourites to be first to go.
There is a 90% chance of a male winner in 2021 according to previous results, and so it is not surprising to find a trio of girls vying for the first to be booted
| Celebrity | Odds | Probability** |
|---|---|---|
| Judi Love | 9/2 | 18.18% |
| Nina Wadia | 5/1 | 16.67% |
| Sara Davies | 7/1 | 12.5% |
| Ugo Monye | 8/1 | 11.11% |
| Greg Wise | 9/1 | 10% |
| AJ Odudu | 25/1 | 3.85% |
| Tilly Ramsay | 33/1 | 2.94% |
**Probability percentage figures include bookmakers overround - odds correct at 23/8/2021
5 of the first 7 in the betting to go 1st are girls
In light of the fact, the previous series of the show might suggest there is a 90% chance of the winner of series 19 being a man, the 1st elimination betting backs that up with Nina Wadia, Sara Davies, AJ Odudu and Tilly Ramsay being next in the betting for the first to be booted.
The only guys included in the betting here, are Greg Wise and Ugo Monye
Photo Credit - Ugo Monye BBC
But this does fall foul of the frequency with which men have been voted off first in the previous series.
Strictly 1st Round Eliminations Record - Step Carefully Fellas!
Betting on strictly come dancing has always been popular and as well as betting on who might win the show, other markets become available, such as predicting the first elimination.
Strictly Come Dancing 1st Eliminations by Year
Bill Bailey was favourite for the first elimination in the 2020 series 18, however, he survived each and every week to finally dance out as the champion. What happens if the favourite for elimination gets through Round 1 this year?
Here is the roll-call of celebrities and their professional dancing partners that were the first to get the chop in each of the 19 series of the show to date.
(There were two series in 2004, with summer and winter editions before the show was moved to the autumn permanently from 2005)
| Year [Series] | Celebrity | Pro Dancer |
|---|---|---|
| 2004 [1] | Jason Wood | Kylie Jones |
| 2004 [2] | Quentin Wilson | Hazel Newberry |
| 2005 [3] | Siobhan Hayes | Matthew Cutler |
| 2006 [4] | Nicholas Owen | Nicole Cutler |
| 2007 [5] | Brian Capron | Karen Hardy |
| 2008 [6] | Phil Daniel | Flavia Cacace |
| 2009 [7] | Martina Hingis | Matthew Cutler |
| 2010 [8] | Goldie | Kristina Rihanoff |
| 2011 [9] | Edwina Currie | Vincent Simone |
| 2012 [10] | Johnny Ball | Iveta Lukosiute |
| 2013 [11] | Tony Jacklin | Aliona Vilani |
| 2014 [12] | Gregg Wallace | Aliona Vilani |
| 2015 [13] | Iwan Thomas | Ola Jordan |
| 2016 [14] | Melvin Odoom | Janette Manrara |
| 2017 [15] | Chizzy Akudolu | Pasha Kovalev |
| 2018 [16] | Susannah Constatine | Anton du Beke |
| 2019 [17] | James Cracknell | Luba Mushtuk |
| 2020 [18] | Jacqui Smith | Anton du Beke |
| 2021 [19] | ??? | ??? |
