Jake is a Football and Entertainment betting expert, with a Man City season ticket and a deep knowledge of reality TV betting angles
- Tamworth By-Election takes place this week with Labour the 1/4 favourites to win
- By-Election set for Tamworth after Chris Pincher's resignation
- Mid-Bedfordshire By-Election also takes place on Thursday
Tamworth By-Election takes place this week with Labour the 1/4 favourites to win
This week sees two by-election's held in the UK with Tamworth and Mid-Bedfordshire both having elections take place on Thursday and UK Betting Sites are now offering odds on the outcome.
Tamworth's by-election has a clear favourite with bookmakers putting Labour at 1/4 to be voted in with Sarah Edwards the Labour representative for Tamworth.
The Conservatives had a majority of almost 20,000 in the 2019 election with the seat being held by Chris Pincher from 2010 until his resignation earlier this year.
Paddy Power now though say there's an 80% chance of Labour giving a big turnaround in this week's By-Election with a massive gain needed to win the seat.
| Tamworth By-Election Winning Party | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Labour | 1/4 | 80.0% |
| Conservatives | 5/2 | 28.6% |
| Liberal Democrats | 50/1 | 2.0% |
| Greens | 100/1 | 1.0% |
What the expert says...
By-Election set for Tamworth after Chris Pincher's resignation
Chris Pincher announced his resignation from being MP in the constituency of Tamworth following an investigation into a sexual misconduct accusation.
Pincher lost his appeal against his original eight-week suspension at the start of September following a report in July that said he had committed an “abuse of power” after drunkenly groping two men in a club in London last year.
The MP has appealed his suspension but that appeal was rejected which led to the seat being up for grabs and it looks unlikely that the Conservatives will retain it according to the latest betting odds.
By Election Betting Odds
Mid-Bedfordshire By-Election also takes place on Thursday
Labour are also favourites to win the Mid-Bedfordshire by-election this Thursday but the betting market for this one is much tighter than it is for Tamworth.
With Labour and the Lib Dems popular in the constituency it may well be that they split votes and lead the door wide open for a Conservative win this week.
The latest odds here say there's a 47% implied probability of Labour winning with the Conservatives given a 42% chance according to the current betting market.
| Mid Bedfordshire By-Election Winner | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Labour | 11/10 | 47.6% |
| Conservatives | 11/8 | 42.1% |
| Liberal Democrats | 10/3 | 23.1% |
| Independent (Gareth Mackey) | 50/1 | 2.0% |
