Jake is a Football and Entertainment betting expert, with a Man City season ticket and a deep knowledge of reality TV betting angles
- Paul Merson leads the dreaded market to be the first celebrity eliminated from this year's Strictly Come Dancing
- JB Gill remains favourite to win the show after he was paired with popular dancer Amy Dowden
- We look at the full list of dances for Week 1
Paul Merson leads the dreaded market to be the first celebrity eliminated from this year's Strictly Come Dancing
We're now just one day away from the first live show of Strictly Come Dancing 2024 and odds are now being offered by UK Betting Sites around who will be the first celebrity eliminated from the show this series.
The opening weekend of the show sees every couple dance but we won't see an elimination with that being saved for Week 2, but bookies are still giving odds on who will leave first.
Former Arsenal player turned Sky Sports pundit Paul Merson is the 11/8 favourite to be the first celebrity eliminated after his showing in the group dance in the launch show saw his odds shorten.
Merson has openly said he feels he has no chance of winning, even saying that he had more chance of winning the show than Spurs winning a trophy this season after last weekend's North London Derby.
William Hill's latest market puts him ahead of Nick Knowles to be the first celebrity to leave the show, with the odds giving an implied probability of 42.1% that he is the first out.
| Strictly Come Dancing 2024 First Eliminated | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Paul Merson | 11/8 | 42.1% |
| Nick Knowles | 7/2 | 22.2% |
| Punam Krishan | 13/2 | 13.3% |
| Wynne Evans | 15/2 | 11.8% |
| Toyah Wilcox | 8/1 | 11.1% |
| Tom Dean | 9/1 | 10.0% |
What the expert says...
JB Gill remains favourite to win the show after he was paired with popular dancer Amy Dowden
JLS star JB Gill is the betting favourite to win this year's Strictly after his odds were slashed from 10/1 into 10/3 following the launch show episode last weekend.
Gill was seen being paired with popular professional Amy Dowden on the launch show and fans were instantly showing early praise for the pair after the group dance.
Bookies saw a surge in bets placed in the duo too seeing JB shorten into the 10/3 that he currently sits at the win the show this year.
| Strictly Come Dancing 2024 Winner | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| JB Gill | 10/3 | 23.1% |
| Tasha Ghouri | 11/2 | 15.4% |
| Montell Douglas | 6/1 | 14.3% |
| Shayne Ward | 15/2 | 11.8% |
| Sam Quek | 8/1 | 11.1% |
| Pete Wicks | 8/1 | 11.1% |
| Chris McCausland | 10/1 | 9.1% |
| Jamie Borthwick | 10/1 | 9.1% |
| Sarah Hadland | 14/1 | 6.7% |
| Punam Krishan | 25/1 | 3.8% |
| Toyah Wilcox | 33/1 | 2.9% |
| Wynne Evans | 33/1 | 2.9% |
| Tom Dean | 40/1 | 2.4% |
| Paul Merson | 100/1 | 1.0% |
| Nick Knowles | 100/1 | 1.0% |
We look at the full list of dances for Week 1
Week 1 is nearly upon us and that means that the dances have been revealed including what songs the couples will be dancing to this week.
Some big music choices this week include Kylie Minogue, The Beatles and Madonna and there are tough dances too including a Paso Doble, Cha Cha and Foxtrot's.
The full list of dances are:
- Montell and Johannes - Foxtrot to Is You Is or Is You Ain’t My Baby by Dinah Washington
- Punam and Gorka - Cha Cha to Love At First Sight by Kylie Minogue
- Sam and Nikita - Foxtrot to Where Did Our Love Go by The Supremes
- Sarah and Vito - Quickstep to 9 to 5 by Dolly Parton
- Tasha and Aljaz - Cha Cha to Espresso by Sabrina Carpenter
- Toyah and Neil - Tango to Ray Of Light by Madonna
- Chris and Dianne - Cha Cha to Twist and Shout by The Beatles
- Jamie and Michelle - Viennese Waltz to Beautiful Things by Benson Boone
- JB and Amy - Waltz to When I Need You by Leo Sayer
- Nick and Luba - Jive to We Built This City by Starship
- Paul and Karen - American Smooth to Vindaloo by Fat Les
- Pete and Jowita - Paso Doble to Breathe by The Prodigy
- Shayne and Nancy - Samba to Do I Do by Stevie Wonder
- Tom and Nadiya - Tango to Golden by Harry Styles
- Wynne and Katya - Samba to Help Yourself by Tom Jones
