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- The North Tyneside Mayoral Election takes place Thursday, 1 May 2025.
- Karen Clark (Labour) is odds-on at 1/3 to win, succeeding retiring mayor Norma Redfearn.
- John Falkenstein (Reform UK) and Liam Bones (Conservatives) are viewed as the closest challengers.
Labour’s Karen Clark Dominates Betting in North Tyneside Mayoral Race
With the North Tyneside Mayoral Election just days away, the betting markets with UK Betting Sites point to a decisive Labour victory.
Karen Clark, the current deputy mayor and Labour’s candidate to succeed Norma Redfearn, is the clear frontrunner at 1/3 according to Star Sports.
Clark has run a steady campaign with an emphasis on continuity and investment, building on Labour’s stronghold in the region.
Having served as deputy since 2017, she enters the election with high name recognition and party momentum.
The latest betting odds give an implied probability of 75% that Clark wins the race in North Tyneside on Thursday.
| North Tyneside Mayoral Election | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Karen Clark (Labour) | 1/3 | 75.0% |
| John Falkenstein (Reform UK) | 9/2 | 18.2% |
| Liam Bones (Conservatives) | 5/1 | 16.7% |
| John Appleby (Liberal Democrats) | 16/1 | 5.9% |
| Cath Davis (Independent) | 66/1 | 1.5% |
| Chloe-Louise Reilly (Greens) | 100/1 | 1.0% |
| Martin Uren (Independent) | 100/1 | 1.0% |
What the expert says...
Who Are the Main Challengers?
John Falkenstein is currently second in the betting at 9/2 as the Reform party continues to field candidates across local and regional elections with increased media attention.
While a long shot, his campaign message of “getting back to basics” has resonated with some voters seeking an alternative.
Liam Bones, the Conservative candidate, sits just behind at 5/1 campaigning on infrastructure, safety, and regeneration.
Though the Tories face a national headwind, Bones could benefit from local name recognition and core voter turnout.
Top 10 Political Betting Websites in the UK
Where to Bet on the North Tyneside Mayoral Election
With election betting now live across select betting sites, punters can back their chosen candidate or look for value further down the ballot.
New customers can also claim free bets and promotions in the run-up to polling day.
For more political betting opportunities, see our guide to the top 10 political betting sites.
