Mercury Prize 2025 Betting Odds: CMAT Favourite Ahead of Newcastle Awards Show

CMAT is the 2/1 favourite to win the 2025 Mercury Prize ahead of Fontaines D.C. (9/4) in what looks like an all-Irish battle at the top of the betting. The awards will take place on 16 October in Newcastle.
Mercury Prize 2025 Betting Odds: CMAT Favourite Ahead of Newcastle Awards Show
Jake Ashton
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I break betting odds news as it happens, so you’re never left behind when the market moves or a top offer lands.

  • CMAT 2/1 favourite with bet365 to win Mercury Prize 2025
  • Fontaines D.C. 9/4 close behind in a two-way Irish battle
  • Pulp, Emma-Jean Thackray, and FKA Twigs round out the top five

CMAT Favourite Ahead of Live Show in Newcastle

The countdown is on to the Mercury Prize 2025, with bookmakers pricing Irish star CMAT as the 2/1 favourite to win this year’s award ahead of Dublin band Fontaines D.C. (9/4).

This year's prestigious ceremony takes place at Newcastle’s Utilita Arena on Thursday, 16 October, marking the first time the event has been held outside London.

Coverage will be broadcast live by BBC Music, with Deb Grant and Nathan Shepherd hosting from 9pm on BBC Radio 6 Music and BBC Sounds, while Matt Everitt provides backstage updates. 

Fans can also tune in to BBC Four and BBC iPlayer from 9:30pm for full show coverage and Bet365 are giving odds on who will win.

CMAT's current chance according to the betting odds sits at 33.3%, with a lead of less than 3% probability according to the market.

Mercury Prize 2025 Winner Odds

Mercury Prize 2025 Winner
OddsImplied Probability
CMAT2/133.3%
Fontaines D.C.9/4
30.8%
Pulp11/2
15.4%
Emma-Jean Thackray9/1
10.0%
FKA Twigs9/1
10.0%

Irish Artists Dominate the Market

The latest betting suggests an all-Irish showdown for the 2025 Mercury Prize, with CMAT and Fontaines D.C. well clear of the field.

CMAT’s critically acclaimed album has earned widespread praise for its bold mix of country-pop and storytelling lyricism, while Fontaines D.C. have continued to build on their Mercury-nominated past with another standout record showcasing their signature post-punk style.

Elsewhere in the betting, Britpop icons Pulp (11/2) remain strong outsiders after their surprise new release reignited fan nostalgia. 

Their inclusion on the shortlist has boosted interest among punters, though they remain behind the Irish frontrunners.

Jazz innovator Emma-Jean Thackray (9/1) and experimental pop star FKA Twigs (9/1) complete the top five, each representing distinctive sounds that could appeal to this year’s Mercury judging panel.

Expert Insight

What the expert says...
CMAT has been the clear favourite since the shortlist announcement and momentum is still growing ahead of the awards night. Fontaines D.C. are the strongest challengers, though. They’ve been Mercury favourites before and have the critical edge to cause an upset.

Jake Ashton - Entertainment Betting Expert - OLBG.com

Where to bet on the Mercury Prize

Markets for the Mercury Prize 2025 winner are live on major UK betting sites, including bet365.

Punters can also use free bets on entertainment and music awards markets. For more on where to find top offers, visit our guide to the best entertainment betting sites.

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