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- Jasmine is 6/4 favourite to win Bake Off 2025 after three Star Baker awards.
- Toby is second favourite at 2/1, having taken last week’s Star Baker title.
- Quarter-final stage now underway with five bakers left in the competition.
Jasmine Favourite Ahead of Quarter-Final Stage
As the Great British Bake Off 2025 hits the quarter-final stage, just five bakers remain in the tent and it’s medical student Jasmine Mitchell who leads the betting market to be crowned this year’s champion.
According to the latest odds from top betting experts, Jasmine is now 6/4 favourite to win the series, having wowed the judges with three Star Baker awards across the competition so far.
She’s closely followed in the market by Toby Littlewood, who made a late surge in form with his impressive showing last week, earning Star Baker honours himself.

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Great British Bake Off 2025 Winner Odds
Here are the latest odds for who will win Bake Off 2025, as the final five battle it out for a place in the semi-finals:
Great British Bake Off Winner | Odds* | Implied Probability |
---|---|---|
Jasmine | 6/4 | 40.0% |
Toby | 2/1 | 33.3% |
Iain | 3/1 | 25.0% |
Aaron | 5/1 | 16.7% |
Tom | 6/1 | 14.3% |
Jasmine has been a consistent performer throughout the series and is clearly the one to beat, but Bake Off is famously unpredictable.
*As betting sites currently aren't taking bets on this event, odds have been compiled as theoretical probability from an entertainment perspective only and come from an industry expert
Who Are the Final Five Bakers?
Let’s take a closer look at the five remaining contestants still in the running for the Bake Off crown:
Name | Age | Hometown | Occupation |
---|---|---|---|
Jasmine Mitchell | 23 | London | Medical student |
Toby Littlewood | 29 | Warwickshire | Business development executive |
Iain Ross | 29 | Belfast, Northern Ireland | Software engineer |
Aaron Mountford-Myles | 38 | Stoke-on-Trent | Senior systems architect |
Tom Arden | 31 | London | Creative entrepreneur |
Each baker has their own strengths. Jasmine excels in precision and flavour, while Toby’s flair and presentation have caught the judges' eyes in recent weeks.
Iain and Aaron have flown under the radar but remain dangerous contenders, while Tom’s creativity continues to be his standout trait.