
Jake is a Football and Entertainment betting expert, with a Man City season ticket and a deep knowledge of reality TV betting angles
- Manchester City are the odds-on favourites to beat Manchester United in the Community Shield this weekend
- United beat City in the FA Cup Final at Wembley in May
- City go into the new season as the favourites to win the Premier League once again
Manchester City are the odds-on favourites to beat Manchester United in the Community Shield this weekend
The 2024/25 Football season kicks-off this weekend with the annual curtain-raiser taking place at Wembley, the Community Shield.
We've got a Manchester Derby Community Shield this season for the first time since 2011 and it's Manchester City who go into this one as the favourites with UK Betting Sites.
City face rivals Manchester United and Pep Guardiola's men are 4/7 to lift the Shield for the third occasion in his time in charge of the club but they have lost their last three appearances.
United are 4/1 to win here with Bet365's latest odds putting them as big outsiders compared to City in the market, with those odds giving a 20% chance of Erik ten Hag's men winning the match.
Ten Hag's side went into the FA Cup Final as big underdogs back in May though and ran out winners and they'll go into this game in the same boat.
Community Shield 2024/25 | Odds | Probability |
---|---|---|
Man United | 4/1 | 20.0% |
Draw | 7/2 | 22.2% |
Man City | 4/7 | 63.6% |
What the expert says...
United beat City in the FA Cup Final at Wembley in May
May's FA Cup Final saw pundits and fans alike building up to the game thinking there would be no outcome other than a Manchester City victory.
United though went against the odds and beat City 2-1 and that run basically kept ten Hag in a job after reports on the evening before the game saying he'll be sacked.
That victory ultimately led to this season's Community Shield set as another Manchester Derby and the it's United who are the most successful team in the competition with a total of 17 wins.
Our Community Shield By Numbers piece focuses at how important victory is in this curtain raiser for the new campaign.

Community Shield By The Numbers
City go into the new season as the favourites to win the Premier League once again
Manchester City kick off this season looking to make it five-in-a-row after winning their fourth successive Premier League title last season.
Pep Guardiola's side are unsurprisingly the favourites to once again win the title this season with the latest odds putting them as the 11/10 favourites.
Arsenal have chased them in the title race in the last two seasons and the betting market expects that to be the same again this year with the Gunners second favourites.
Man United are 22/1 in the betting market with those odds putting them as the fifth favourites to win the Premier League this campaign.
Premier League Winner 24/25 | Odds | Probability |
---|---|---|
Man City | 11/10 | 47.6% |
Arsenal | 15/8 | 34.8% |
Liverpool | 7/1 | 12.5% |
Chelsea | 20/1 | 4.8% |
Man Utd | 22/1 | 4.3% |