I've spent over 20 years inside the betting industry. I'll guide you to avoid the hype, ignore the noise, and steer clear of the common pitfalls that catch out everyday punters.
- Kamala Harris has dropped to just 15% against a high of 21% in May
- Donald Trump was 33/1 with Bookmakers - Now only 9/2
- Biden is still the betting sites favourite although 36% chance of not serving full term
Race to 2024
The race may be a way from the winning line as yet, but betting sites continue to offer betting on the 2024 US Presidential Election and it is a very fluid landscape.
Kamala Harris was once the favourite and less than 4/1 to win, but betting support for her has dropped off a cliff with joe biden and Donald trump both now favored as her confident rating has dropped from 21% to just 15 in recent weeks.
2024 Presidential Election Betting Odds
| Candidate | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Joe Biden | 4/1 | 20% |
| Donald Trump | 9/2 | 17% |
| Kamala Harris | 11/2 | 15% |
| Ron DeSantis | 13/1 | 7% |
| Nikki Haley | 20/1 | 5% |
**Probability percentage figures include bookmakers overround - odds correct at 20/9/2021
Will Trump even Run?
We don't even know if Donald Trump will run for office, but that has not stopped punters piling in at odds of 10/1 to become the President of the United States once again at 10/1
So many bets have been taken on Trump since the Afghanistan situation that betting sites have dropped his odds to just 6/1 from as high as 33/1 as he becomes the second favourite behind Joe Biden.
Trump to run for President in 2024 betting odds.
| Run for 20204 Elections | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 1.69 | 59.17% |
| No | 1.95 | 51.28% |
**Probability percentage figures include bookmakers overround - odds correct at 20/9/2021
Will Biden Last?
Bets on Joe Biden winning have dried up too although he remains the 4/1 favourite to win the 2024 election.
Biden turns 79 years of age this year, 3 years older than Trump and there is betting available as to whether he will see out his full term to 2024, even before we look at the betting for winning a second term.
There was some doubt in May as to whether he would run the full first term or not, with chances around 50/50, although confidence on his doing so has risen to around 65% in recent weeks.
Will Joe Biden Serve Full Term betting
| Full Term Served | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 1.55 | 64% |
| No | 2.75 | 36% |
