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- Betting Sites 10/1 Chance Dan Walker Lets Slip Strictly Start date as 18th September
- Week 4 is the Most probable week that one Judge will award a perfect 10 according to bookies who offer a 36% chance
- Betting Odds suggest Anton Du Beke has a 42% chance of being the first Judge to award a 10 score.
- Tom Fletcher may have previous Dancing Experience and remains 4/1 Favourite with Bookmakers
Live Shows Start on 25th September
We know the 15 celebrities that will compete in this years Strictly Come Dancing and we now know when the show starts thanks to Dan Walker, who is a 9/1 chance to win the show with betting sites
The TV presenter let slip on telly that the first show will be aired on the 18th of September with the first live show following a week later on the 25th.
Dan Walker faces 14 other celebrities who will be attempting to dance their way to victory, with professional dancing partners in the run-up to Christmas on what bookmakers think will be the most-watched Reality TV Show in 2021.
Strictly Come Dancing Betting Odds
| Celebrity | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Tom Fletcher | 5.00 | 20% |
| Robert Webb | 6.00 | 16.67% |
| Rose Ayling-Ellis | 6.00 | 16.67% |
| Adam Peaty | 8.00 | 12.50% |
| Rhys Stephenson | 9.00 | 11.11% |
| Dan Walker | 10.00 | 10% |
| Tilly Ramsay | 12.00 | 8.33% |
| AJ Odudu | 13.00 | 7.69% |
| John Thwaite | 15.00 | 6.67% |
| Katie McGlynn | 15.00 | 6.67% |
| Ugo Monye | 15.00 | 6.67% |
| Sara Davies | 21.00 | 4.76% |
| Judi Love | 21.00 | 4.76% |
| Greg Wise | 23.00 | 4.35% |
| Nina Wadia | 26.00 | 3.85% |
**Probability percentage figures include bookmakers overround - odds correct at 2/9/2021
The first perfect 10
The perfect 10 score is what every celebrity and their partner are looking for and bookmakers have created betting odds to predict it will be. Week for is the favoured option given a 36% probability of when it will happen which translates into betting odds of 7/4, or 2.75 in decimal betting terms.
According to betting sites, there is an 85% chance the first 10 score will be awarded between weeks 3-5, with Anton Du Beke the first to furnish one lucky dance couple with it.
When will a Judge give the first perfect 10 score?
| Weeks | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Week 4 | 7/4 | 36.36% |
| Week 3 | 5/2 | 28.57% |
| Week 5 | 3/1 | 25% |
| Week 6 or later | 5/1 | 16.67% |
| Weeks 1 or 2 | 10/1 | 9.09% |
**Probability percentage figures include bookmakers overround - odds correct at 2/9/2021
Mr Generous
There are even betting odds available for which judge will be the first to pick up the 10 score card and award it to one lucky dancing couple. Adam Du Beke is considered the most likely of the strictly come dancing judges to do so.
As we have seen above, an 85% chance that it will happen between weeks 3 and 5.
First Judge to Award a 10
Anton Du Beke is favoured, but there is little between him, Motsi Mabuse and Shirley Ballas. One thing we might be near certain of, and bookmakers reflect this with only a 4% chance is the stern Craig Revel Horwood will not be the first.
| Judge | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Anton Du Beke | 6/4 | 40% |
| Mosti Mabuse | 2/1 | 33.33% |
| Shirley Ballas | 5/2 | 28.57% |
| Craig Revel Horwood | 22/1 | 4.35% |
**Probability percentage figures include bookmakers overround - odds correct at 2/9/2021
Tom Fletcher's Dancing Training
Anyone with a little background knowledge of the entertainment industry will know that one of the most famous schools to produce performing arts talent is the Sylvia Young Theatre School.
The current favourite to win Strictly this year did attend the performing arts education set up in London, named after its founder, as a child and will therefore almost certainly have some formal training in dance, although we can not confirm if this included strict tempo ballroom dancing.
Given it was such a long time ago and Tom is more used to thrashing a guitar and jumping around on stage with band McFly more recently, whilst he should have a good sense of rhythm, there is no guarantee this will translate into live ballroom dancing skills from his childhood.
4/1 Strictly favourite Tom Fletcher's probable formal dance training gained at Sylvia Young, probably has no bearing on his strict tempo dancing abilities today, but bookmakers consider him the most likely winner of this year's program.
Steve Madgwick - Entertainment betting specialist - olbg.com
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