The T20 Big Bash

Kel571
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Postby Kel571 » Mon Jan 09, 2012 11:35 am

Well well well,when stars are shining,no chance for hurricanes to hit.well done stars :cool:
My pick for tomorrow strikers vs sixers.i'm going to give home game advantage to strikers @ 8/11 to win.It will be another cracking game.hoping for strikers to bat first then u can see definite win for strikers.

fairfranco
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Postby fairfranco » Mon Jan 09, 2012 3:32 pm

any reasoning behind your pick apart from the home advantage kel?


outstanding innings from Luke Wright pretty much won Melbourne the game today with a record 44 ball century.

Good to see the English players stealing the show with Shah having another fine performance for the Hobart.

Hobart look a good team but their bowling really isn't good enough, served up some poor stuff and got punished.

With Birt and Shah firing so well they do give themselves a chance of chasing most scores. Birt's 28 run over with 3 6's in a row, 2 of which off of no balls :shock: turned the game on it's head for a time. The bowler redeemed himself by picking up birt's wicket with the last ball but that over did ensure that the RRR was below 10 for a good while after.

Kel571
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Postby Kel571 » Mon Jan 09, 2012 7:06 pm

Hey Franco,I think strikers have good batting line up & supposedly good ground for batting,and strikers/redbacks have played a lot of cricket there. That's why I also said hoping for them to bat first,they have a better chance to win if they get to bat first in home ground. Seems to me chasing & playing spiners is their main problem right now so playing home will ease their nerve little bit. Also records show lots of games won by them at Adelaide oval. Their first match of bigbash scoring 189/5 also gives me confidence to go with strikers. Like I said batting first is the key,& if they chase,not impossible but tough because I just got the news sixers might be playing with NZ all rounder Nathan macullum, another spiner adding to sixers plus smith & McGill tough call,but still I'm going with my instinct,good batting track,home crowd,lots of noise. It will be a good challenge for sixers. :yes:
Either way,going with strikers :hope:

All of this is my personal opinion. Anything can happen in 20/20

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Postby Andy4Fingers » Mon Jan 09, 2012 7:21 pm

Birt is batting like a man possessed at the minute! And what a good time for Wright to shine now the Stars have moved him up the order. I'd almost given up on him being their top batsman but he's only 39 runs behind Quiney now.

In tomorrows match I like the look of Adelaide to hit more sixes than Sydney @ 11/10 with Skybet and Boylesports. Though neither team have been prolific at clearing the rope (Sydney have hit 20 in 5 games, Adelaide have hit 17 in 5) its Adelaide who look the more capable with Blizzard and Harris particularly adept at hitting the big shots. Contrast that with Sydney whose highest six hitter is still Brad Haddin even though he's only played 1 game for them, and I think the odds against looks fair.

fairfranco
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Postby fairfranco » Mon Jan 09, 2012 10:05 pm

ok kel, decent analysis, that's the kind of tipping we like to see on here. good stuff.

don't forget folks, no Betfair for this game tomorrow.

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Postby FreelanceTips » Mon Jan 09, 2012 11:12 pm

Will be interesting to see where Nathan McCullum bats in the order. He is reported in the paper today as a certain starter.

I assume that he will be taking the place of Mitchell Starc who is likely to be 12th man for the Perth Test, but will need to be on standby for Australia up until the last minute.

I think this is fine for the 6sers playing in Adelaide as they probably will benefit from the extra spinner and one less pacer. This swap should strengthen their batting a little also.

No update yet on Kane Richardsons injury. He is an important bowler for Adelaide (especially now with Botha gone) and if they need to rely on Salpietro and Muirhead again the bowling looks a bit green.

Home ground advantage is important, but the toss is even more important.

I'm taking a position late.

Kel571
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Postby Kel571 » Tue Jan 10, 2012 7:10 pm

Big disappointment for strikers,I didn't see that one coming,but luckily I got out in time :) Well deserved win for sixers.i think if sixers can fire with the bat in coming matches,definite chance to be in final.well done sixers.

Does anyone have a say for tomorrow's match ? Thunder vs scorchers

Andy4Fingers
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Postby Andy4Fingers » Tue Jan 10, 2012 11:37 pm

Sydney Thunder v Perth Scorchers

Chris Gayle top Thunder runscorer @ 7/4 (Ladbrokes)


It may seem pretty obvious at a short price but Gayle still seems value at 7/4 to be top runscorer for the Thunder in this match. He's brought his rich vein of form down under with him and managed to top score in 3 of their 5 games this tournament and with his team mates in such poor form with the bat I'd expect anything around or above 30 to give him a great chance - taking Warner's 102 in their opening match out of the equation the Thunder batsmen's 5 highest scores without Gayle's contributions are 39, 21, 19, 17 and 17!!
Suely they can't go on like this forever but I'm prepared to back the big West Indian slogger to keep his cracking form going and top score for the Thunder again.

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Postby FreelanceTips » Wed Jan 11, 2012 6:09 am

Thunder will have Trent Copeland bowling for them this game, which will boost thier bowling stocks slightly.

Expecting a more batsman friendly pitch at ANZ this time after the last 6ers game, but keep in mind that whats good for Gayle is also good for Gibbs....

All up the only way I see Thunder winning this is with another big innings from Gayle, so I've created a hedge by :-

Backing Perth to Win at 1.80 for 2 units
Backing Gayle Top Bat at 2.75 for 1.5 units


Still a good chance of collecting both bets.

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Postby fairfranco » Wed Jan 11, 2012 9:46 am

Thunder showed how hopeless they are when Gayle doesn't score.

Not too sure about the Gayle wicket, Aussies basically making up there own rules. No referals in the game but after initially giving not out the umpire decided to send the decision upstairs. I don't think that there was anything in the tournament rules to say he should be able to do this for a caught behind but that's what he did!

video didn't show any majorly conclusive evidence, only thing was a noise, which as we know from plenty of failed referals in the past it doesn't always mean bat hit ball.

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Postby FreelanceTips » Wed Jan 11, 2012 9:18 pm

Even despite the fact Gayle was robbed of his wicket under dubious circumstances, the Top Bat bet was still in the mix until Armstrongs lower order cameo.

The hedge worked, I suppose. But only a very small profit. Could easily have been a LOT nicer.

[removed]

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Melbourne Renegades v Brisbane Heat

Postby fairfranco » Thu Jan 12, 2012 12:12 am

Melbourne Renegades v Brisbane Heat - at Melbourne (Docklands)

Docklands is like Planet 6 it seems.

The last game saw 16 and the one before that saw 17 and I don't see any reason for this to reduce.

Brisbane have averaged 4 per game while the Renegades have been heavy hitters also scroing over half of the 6 in the 2 games at their ground.

The Bet:

Over 10.5 @ 1.83 @(William Hill)

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