6:45 Southwell Tips

Ormolulu last won here off an 80 at 6f but took on weight. She has not been far away for most runs at 6f without ending in the money but has dropped back to an 80 and gets Kevin Stott this time. I expect more on this return.

Ten runners go to post for this open looking cl4 Fillies' Handicap. A chance is taken on the James Tate trained Star Zia. This is her 1st run for James having arrived from the Kevin Ryan yard. James does very well at the first time of asking with horses he takes over from other yards. The fillies/mares did particularly well, landing six of their 23 starts. The 3yo Havana Grey filly has place form here and with Rob Hornby in the saddle she can go close this evening.

Quandary is in stall 3 and returns after a break with solid course form, having placed in both starts over this C&D. She is effective at 6f to 7f, and the booking of Archie Young takes valuable weight off here. If she settles better and gets cover early, she could bounce back strongly today.

Dandy Magic has won two races at 5f and 6f. Ninth over 6f at Ayr on her latest outing in September. Course distance and surface should suit. Seems well treated and could well be able to win this race.

This year, she has achieved 2 turf wins and has shown to be formidable at this C&D. In her last outing, she placed last of 6 in a heat at Musselburgh 21 days ago. She recently won off this mark here during the summer, and the switch back to 6f is advantageous for her. The odds of 12/1 offer solid value for an each-way wager.

This one does look a little overpriced on its Southwell form at this trip. I am not sure if it is slightly outclassed here and needs class 5, but on its figures, if it can get somewhere near those, it could do better than the odds suggest.

BRAZILIAN ROSE strikes me as a typical bounce-back sort. She's been a profitable follow on the all-weather overall and could outrun this price if returning to the form demonstrated on this surface at Newcastle at the beginning of the year. The claimer takes further weight off, and this grade shouldn't be an issue either.