4:20 Newcastle Tips

He is running reliably. With a solid rating foundation, the models indicate strength. Looks a sound investment given the consistency shown.

Catherine Chroi is considered slightly lighter than some competitive runs at this course that were recorded last November. Profitable to follow on the all-weather over a number of races.

Annalee Lass was a bit down the pack on the return from the break last month, but did last win in Feb off a 48 in C6 and has just dropped back to below that last winning mark. I would expect more now, second up after a break off a 46. EW

Carrying a competitive mark, finding significantly more improvement. Recent efforts are the key here. The price looks like a clear error.

This horse has only raced with a hood twice, and the first of those was a staying-on third here over a furlong less, when shaping as though this trip could be ideal. I like the jockey switch too, since he has a much better record at this course. This 4yo has a serious chance on that evidence. She's way less exposed than most of the others, and that placed effort here is hard to get away from in the context of this poor race. She certainly shouldn't be anywhere near 33/1 if racing to anywhere near that level again here.