7:00 Kempton Tips

Very consistent sort who won over slightly further at this track back in September. Makes seasonal reappearance today. Should be tough to beat.

Weakened inside the final furlong when runner-up over the extended mile and a half at Newcastle last time out and should appreciate this drop in trip.

Might find this hard, but has won seven from twenty-five on the all-weather. Last win came over C&D. Might have just enough on a few of these to make the frame.

She enters this contest boasting a colossal mathematical advantage, rated upwards of a stone and a half clear of her official mark based on the figures from her previous efforts. Furthermore, the race dynamics fall perfectly into her lap. As a filly who naturally likes to race prominently, she is severely advantaged by the forecast steady gallop, allowing her to gain a prime tactical position near the pace without expending excess energy early on.

Four wins for the yard last year and had a freshener last month when looking in need of the race, fading towards the end. Needs a career-best, but is only a four-year-old, so could well still be improving for this top yard.

Big Bear Hug has a decent place shot. If she breaks better than she did at Newbury, we could be in. She’s got recent course placings, handles this surface, and this drop of 2 lb puts her on a fair-looking mark if she can bounce back. Another positive is that she’s often competitive at this distance, and Boyle’s yard is having a good spell, so there’s enough to keep me interested in her in a race like this.