5:10 Chepstow Tips

Four wins over course and distance, including in this race last year off a 2 lb higher mark. Should be able to win this one well.

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Two runs this year after coming off a seven-month layoff and a much better showing last week. Second of 11 over this 7f C/D, beaten by just a neck. He was racing from out of the handicap that day, so effectively he's much better off at the weights today.

Looked very good value a couple of hours ago, but odds have halved since and continue to shorten. Out of form since last summer, but now runs off his lowest mark for well over two years, sixteen pounds below his stable debut win twelve months ago. One can only surmise that the sustained support means connections feel he's back to his best. If he is, he'd be thrown in on these terms.

Course specialist Ajrad can defy the odds and at least place here. He has shown he has gas in the tank for the Chepstow home straight.

Decent effort first time up for the yard and the season. Although there have been some question marks since, this looks the easiest race so far. He ran well enough at Windsor the last time he raced on this quick ground to suggest it won't be an issue. Dropped three pounds from the last run and now six below the last winning mark. Four-year-old with plenty more scope than these older rivals.

King of the Dance is a 7yo trained by Bernard Llewellyn, ridden by David Probert. Won over C&D last year. That was off a mark of 52. Races today off the same mark. The ground will suit. Each way.

Previous 7f winner. Down to a very attractive mark of 52. Back from a 126-day break. Sports 1st-time cheekpieces and can have an each-way chance here.

Red Red Robin has won here three times. She returned from a long break last month and was at the back of the pack after a bit of a duff start. She could show more today as she will be all the better for that run, with a drop in class to C6 and a trip to 7f. Worth an each-way chance.

Vape presents several hidden factors and very positive statistical arguments that make him the 'dark horse' or outsider of the race. Although his recent form on paper seems modest (0-2-1-1-2-0), his best speed figures (TopSpeed) have been recorded precisely over this sprint distance (6 furlongs) on tracks with curves and straights similar to Chepstow. Vape will run carrying 59.9 kg, but the official platform highlights the asterisk (*) next to his weight. This means he has a weight allowance thanks to his jockey. He has an Official Rating of 62, which demonstrates that when he finds the ideal conditions, he has the raw speed capable of outperforming any of the rivals in this field.