Experienced sports journalist, College sports expert and broadcaster, hailing from Pennsylvania
- The defending Super Bowl champions have opened as +550 favorites to repeat.
- The 49ers and Eagles are co-NFC favorites at +900.
- The New York Jets will open third favorite in the AFC at +1400.
Teams primarily build their rosters in two ways: via free agency and the NFL Draft. The former requires deep pockets to compete for top talent, while the latter requires expert scouting and gamesmanship during the three-day, seven-round marathon that is the NFL Draft. Now that the dust has virtually settled on NFL Free Agency, teams rosters are starting to take shape and as a result sportsbooks have begun altering odds to win Super Bowl 58 in Paradise, Nevada.
Super Bowl LVIII Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Kansas City Chiefs | +550 | 15.38% |
| San Francisco 49ers | +900 | 10% |
| Buffalo Bills | +900 | 10% |
| Philadelphia Eagles | +900 | 10% |
| Cincinnati Bengals | +1000 | 9.09% |
| New York Jets | +1400 | 6.67% |
| Dallas Cowboys | +1600 | 5.88% |
| Los Angeles Chargers | +2100 | 4.55% |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | +2500 | 3.85% |
| Baltimore Ravens | +2500 | 3.85% |
| Miami Dolphins | +2500 | 3.85% |
| Detroit Lions | +3000 | 3.23% |
| Los Angeles Rams | +3000 | 3.23% |
| New Orleans Saints | +3000 | 3.23% |
| Denver Broncos | +3500 | 2.78% |
| Cleveland Browns | +3500 | 2.78% |
| Minnesota Vikings | +4000 | 2.44% |
| New York Giants | +4000 | 2.44% |
| Las Vegas Raiders | +4000 | 2.44% |
| Green Bay Packers | +5000 | 1.96% |
| Chicago Bears | +5000 | 1.96% |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | +6000 | 1.64% |
| Seattle Seahawks | +6600 | 1.49% |
| Carolina Panthers | +7000 | 1.41% |
| Atlanta Falcons | +7000 | 1.41% |
| New England Patriots | +7000 | 1.41% |
| Washington Commanders | +8000 | 1.23% |
| Tennessee Titans | +8000 | 1.23% |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | +8000 | 1.23% |
| Arizona Cardinals | +15000 | 0.66% |
| Indianapolis Colts | +18000 | 0.55% |
| Houston Texans | +20000 | 0.5% |
It should come as little surprise that the defending Super Bowl champions have opened as the favorite at +550. Patrick Mahomes won the MVP last season and valiantly carried the Chiefs to their second championship in four years on a bum ankle. These odds are fairly par for the course when it comes to a Super Bowl favorite. In the past ten years, the preseason favorite has opened in the +400 to +600 range, with the exception of the 2017 New England Patriots who opened at a paltry +275 to win it all (Lost To PHI in SB LII).
Every year a team comes from off-the-radar and makes a deep playoff run. At their current odds (+5000), the Chicago Bears are an interesting play in the watered-down NFC.
Mike Calabrese - NFL Expert - OLBG.com
Big winners in free agency saw their odds fall to win the Super Bowl. The Chicago Bears dropped from +7500 to +5000, the Detroit Lions from +3500 to +3000 and of course the New York Jets whose odds plummeted from +4000 to +1400 on the assumption that they will be completely a trade for Aaron Rodgers. The Packers, facing a rebuild, have fallen from +4000 to +5000 and are joined by Tennessee (+6000 to +8000) as a team heading in the wrong direction in the eyes of sportsbooks.
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