TeddyT

Very surprised to see this one put in at 11/4. I was expecting under 2/1 as it seems to tick all the usual Prescott handicap improver boxes. There are some interesting other candidates in a decent race for the grade, but this slight step up in trip looks ideal for this filly who was second off this mark in an apprentice race (sounds like may not have got a great ride) after winning in the same grade (C6) two weeks earlier off a rating of 57. Only 59 here, and it's interesting that Prescott won this race last year with Overture, who is now rated 25lb higher. Night Tara has other entries later in the week, suggesting the stable may be setting her up for a winning streak.

RYE hasn’t been lucky with an outside draw today, but she still looks a shade of value at around 10/1 in a race where the favorite looks short enough. Tony Caroll’s filly was 5/2 for her last race at Nottingham but disappointed badly that day, where perhaps the softer ground was against her. She may also enjoy returning to this sharp track, as her three races before Nottingham were all run on such tracks, and she performed admirably in all three. A reproduction of any of those runs would see her competitive here, and the addition of Hollie Doyle is an additional bonus.

Chepstow does not suit every horse due the nature of its undualtions but one horse who is proven over the c+d is PAPABELLA, who won here in June from just one pound lower than today. She got the better of one of today's rivals that day, Connie's Rose, by 0.25 of a length but is four pounds worse off with that mare. Connie's Rose had quite an easy time of things at the head of the field that day but she is likely to have plenty of challengers for the lead here so preference moves back to the selection. Papabella has decent form on a softer surface, something that does not apply to many of her rivals and that just might swing things in her favour today.

Brian Meehan does well with his runners in nurseries, and GASCONY opened his account in such a race over this distance at Epsom recently. Up 6lb for that win, where the third-placed runner has won and finished second since, but that horse was over four lengths behind the selection at Epsom. The other factor here is that Gascony's style of running (being held up) is very well suited to this distance at Carlisle, and with three front runners in the race, he should get the pace he needs to aim at.