Niffler
Restricted And Gubbed From Nearly Every Bookmaker Due To Picking Winners Over Time. Definitely Not A Mug Punter As I like To Have A Great Risk/Reward Ratio. I Use A Time-Tested Set Of Parameters, Using Pace & Pedigree Angles, Strike Rates & Current Mark, Looking For The Daily Market Movers And Those Horses That Have Lost Their Form, But Have A Good Chance Of Bouncing Back, Plus A Few Gut Feelings. All tips are personally backed. Just Remember That You Will Have Good & Bad Days In This Game
4
Estimated Prizes
this month
£220
Estimated Prize money
this month
Niffler's Tips History
08 November 2025
18:30 6:30 Wolverhampton
Zryan
Daily Racing
25 EWNBNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 13.00 used instead of 8.50 takenBOG
@13.00
Win
35
Zryan is a 4-year-old gelding by Night Of Thunder, trained by David O'Meara, showing some consistent form at around 8 furlongs. He recently ran his best race when finishing a solid third at Haydock over 8f, beaten 6 lengths but doing well at this mark, which has eased again today. Effective on all-weather and turf, and with Jason Watson riding today, I expect him to race prominently, settle nicely, and finish well here.
17:30 Southend v Carlisle
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@1.80
Win
40
Both Southend and Carlisle play really good attacking football and rarely settle for cagey defensive affairs. Southend’s home games often open up early, while Carlisle have been scoring and conceding freely. I expect end-to-end action with goals from both sides, so around 2-1 or 3-1 looks likely here.
Yes (BTTS)
Both Teams to Score
50 WIN
@1.70
Win
35
Southend are strong at home and usually find the net early, while Carlisle have shown plenty of attacking intent even when playing away. Both sides can be leaky defensively, so chances at both ends look certain here.
15:25 3:25 Wolverhampton
Sound And Vision
Daily Racing
25 EW
@17.00
Lose
-50
Sound And Vision is a 2-year-old filly by Starman, making her race debut for trainer Ed Walker and jockey Jack Doughty. She comes from a speedy family, with a half-sister who was a useful 5 to 6f winner. As a newcomer, I expect her to show early green speediness. If running well here, she should display some natural pace, staying close to the front and showing her pedigree towards the finish.
15:00 Harrogate Town v Oldham
Under 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@1.80
Win
40
Harrogate and Oldham both favor disciplined setups and have struggled for creativity lately. I do expect a tight, tactical battle with very few clear chances. A 1-0 either way or a low draw feels most realistic as both sides often have low-scoring and hard-fought games.
15:00 Stockport v Luton
Stockport
50 WIN
@2.25
Lose
-50
Stockport are very dominant at home and in excellent form, always pressing and converting chances really well. Whereas Luton have struggled for consistency this season and may find it tough to cope with Stockport’s tempo. Fingers crossed for a home victory here.
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14:00 Trabzonspor v Alanyaspor
Draw
50 WIN
@4.00
Win
150
Trabzonspor will push hard at home, but Alanyaspor are no easy visitors and always rise to the big games. I do expect an entertaining end-to-end clash with both sides creating chances evenly, so a 1-1 or 2-2 draw may be very possible today.
12:12 12:12 Oxford
Direct Luke
Daily Races
50 WIN
@5.00
Win
200
Direct Luke goes well here at Oxford and looks well placed to strike. He’s shown me some strong trapping speed and consistency with a best of 27.63s over this distance. If he breaks cleanly and secures an early lead, he’s got a great chance to go all the way for the win.
11:38 11:38 Oxford
Foxwood Christy
Daily Races
50 WIN
@7.00
Lose
-50
Foxwood Christy lines up here after some sharp recent efforts and looks primed for another big run. She’s shown me some consistent early pace with slick sectionals and a best of 27.70s over this trip. If she pings the lids from the trap and leads early, she’s a strong win chance in this line-up.
11:37 11:37 Doncaster
Dragon Of Malta
Daily Racing
25 EW
@17.00
Lose
-50
Dragon Of Malta is a seasoned 8-year-old gelding showing solid form at this 7f trip recently. He won by 5 lengths off 73 at Listowel, and he ran well to finish third last time off a mark of 82. So with Pietropaolo riding on the same mark, he has some chance today. He likes to race prominently and should put in a consistent effort again on a surface and distance he likes. His mark does look very nice here, so an each way or even challenge for the win today
11:34 11:34 Monmore
Aero Benny
Daily Races
50 WIN
@3.75
Lose
-50
Aero Benny looks ready to make an impact. He’s posted sharp sectionals here before and has a best of 15.76s, which makes him a live contender here. If he pings out well and grabs the rails early, he can boss the pace and prove tough to reel in for a winning run.
11:14 11:14 Kelso
Heads Or Harps
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@2.00
Lose
-50
Heads Or Harps looks ready to keep making a big impact. Fresh off a huge 13-length win at Ayr, he’s dropped back in trip where he should be sharp and effective here. With Derek Fox’s confident riding, I expect him to race prominently, jump well, and finish with plenty left in the tank today.
08:35 Melbourne Victory v Melbourne City
Melbourne Victory
50 WIN
@3.00
Lose
-50
Victory look sharp and should be confident ahead of this derby, with key attackers in strong form. Although City can threaten, Victory’s pressing style and current momentum should give them the edge today
Subtotal150
07 November 2025
17:00 5:00 Newcastle
Fortamour
Daily Racing
25 EW
@7.50
Win
195
Fortamour is an experienced sprinter with solid course and distance form and has already placed here before. Despite lacking wins, he showed me a fair bit of improvement dropping in grade. Mulrennan has a strong course record here, and I expect Fortamour to race prominently and deliver a competitive, game effort, looking to go one better today.
16:18 4:18 Towcester
Stasi
Daily Races
50 WINNOTETip made at odds of 3.00 on 07/11 at 15:35 Best Odds Guaranteed SP 4 used instead of 3.00 taken BOG
@5.00
Win
200
Stasi is in box 6 and knows Towcester inside out. He ran 30.17s last time and holds a strong best of 29.76s, showing clear pace from the wide boxes. Consistent splits around 4.2s mean he has reliable early speed, and he stays on well late. With that track record and proven class, he looks a solid win chance if breaking cleanly.
15:53 3:53 Hexham
Belvedere Bhoy
Daily Racing
25 EW
@8.50
Lose
-50
Belvedere Bhoy is a well-bred 4-year-old Doyen gelding making his rules debut. Despite the challenge under these new rules, I expect him to run well and settle in behind the pace. With Fox onboard and trainers Lucinda Russell and Scudamore’s solid record here, he should show promise by finishing strongly. Each way possibilities today.
15:45 3:45 Fontwell
Castle Quarter
Daily Racing
25 EW
@26.00
Lose
-50
Castle Quarter made a smart return to form when landing a 2m handicap at Uttoxeter by 2l off 88 and now runs from 94, which still looks fair to me. The hood and cheekpieces clearly sharpened him up, and he has solid course and ground form. If this gelding can build on that last success, he has a great chance of following up in similar conditions here.
15:28 3:28 Newcastle
Thehunnebelllegacy
Daily Racing
25 EW
@8.50
Lose
-50
Thehunnebelllegacy ran a solid race when beaten only 2 lengths at Leicester last time and looks ready to strike. She’s effective at this 6 furlongs and handles the all-weather well. Drawn in stall 4, she should sit just off the early pace and finish strongly. Richard Fahey excels with these types, and off the same mark of 58, she has a good each-way chance with the draw and pace both looking favorable here.
15:20 3:20 Hexham
Pinot Rouge
Daily Racing
25 EW
@7.50
Lose
-50
Pinot Rouge ran with plenty of enthusiasm when fourth over 2m7f here last time. A bit early with her finishing run but still showing me her usual determination. Now off 121, she acts well on this ground and course, especially when allowed to travel smoothly. The blinkers continue to help her focus, and the new trip looks the right call here. Each way contender if settling better early.
14:53 2:53 Newcastle
Fyreline
Daily Racing
25 EW
@17.00
Win
55
Fyreline showed me some promise despite a poor start on debut at Kempton. With blinkers added for the first time here, it should enhance his focus. Given his strong breeding for 7 to 10 furlongs, I expect a more composed, confident second run today. Despite the wide draw, he should learn from that experience and finish strongly here.
14:45 2:45 Hexham
Lizzie Luna
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@26.00
Lose
-50
Lizzie Luna is a lightly raced mare who needed her comeback run at Perth after a wind operation and should be much fitter now. Proven over this trip and class, she’s a course winner on this ground. With Sean Quinlan keeping the ride, she should be ready for a big step forward and is a solid each-way chance here
14:25 2:25 Exeter
Here Comes Georgie
Daily Racing
25 EW
@67.00
Lose
-50
Here Comes Georgie is a tough and genuine type who has already won twice from four starts over fences and stays very well. He ran to form when beaten last time and now makes his stable debut for the new trainer Dylan Cunha, who can improve new recruits. Effective around this 2m and wearing a tongue strap, he’s a good stayer who can give another good run here. Each way chance if adapting quickly to his new yard and today's conditions.
13:15 1:15 Exeter
Sunset Marquesa
Daily Racing
25 EWNAPNOTETip made at odds of 15.00 on 07/11 at 10:210.25 deduction for Dramatic Encore@4.00 withdrawn at 12:51R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 14.00 x (1-0.25) = 11.50
@11.50
Win
27
Sunset Marquesa is a talented mare who ran to a strong level last season, winning twice and placing in all but one of her starts. Proven on this ground and goes well fresh. The wind operation should also sharpen her up further, and she has a strike rate of 75% in this class. A handicap mark of 117 looks fair, and she’s a win chance if settling early today.
Subtotal177
06 November 2025
18:00 6:00 Newcastle
Chasing Gold
Daily Racing
25 EW
@19.00
Win
64
Chasing Gold tends to run close to the pace with a fair bit of early speed, and the removal of the cheekpieces should help sharpen her focus better today. I do expect a solid effort over this 6 furlongs on this all-weather, especially if the pace is strong. Daniel Muscutt's patient handling could see her place in a very competitive race here.
17:45 Malmo FF v Panathinaikos
Draw
50 WIN
@3.40
Lose
-50
Both Malmo FF and Panathinaikos are very evenly matched in form and style. Malmo's home advantage is balanced by Panathinaikos' solid European form away. So, I expect a tactical battle with few clear chances, ending level after 90 minutes here.
17:45 NK Celje v Legia Warsaw
NK Celje
50 WIN
@2.35
Win
68
NK Celje have strong home momentum and an organized midfield that can disrupt Legia's rhythm. Legia Warszawa are unpredictable away from home, so with Celje’s compact defensive shape, it could see them edge this one narrowly by 90.
15:47 3:47 Ludlow
Faithful Guardian
Daily Racing
25 EW
@7.00
Win
5
Faithful Guardian is an Australian gelding with some classy breeding, making his debut for Alan King and Thomas Bellamy. He should travel sweetly, pick up experience, and keep on gamely late. The yard has a well above average strike rate, so I'm not 100% on this one, but just have a feeling.
15:40 3:40 Sedgefield
Vanilla Dancer
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@7.50
Lose
-50
Vanilla Dancer is a consistent mare who should run forward, looking to stay close to the pace. She showed me some real promise before unseating at the second last here last time. With an extra yardage today, she should settle better and finish strongly. Given her stamina at 2 miles+ and her consistent form, she should put in a competitive, game effort again this time. Danny McMenamin's patient riding could unlock a solid placing or better here.
14:57 2:57 Clonmel
Senecia
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@26.00
Lose
-50
Bit of a wildcard here as Senecia is an experienced chaser who should run patiently, conserving her energy for a strong finish. Recent runs have shown me that the stamina is there, so I expect her to stay close to the pace and make a late impact. While not a front-runner or the obvious choice against Temps, she can offer a solid effort in this Grade 2, and if the others fall short, she could capitalize today.
13:12 1:12 Clonmel
Hillberry Hill
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@21.00
Lose
-50
Hillberry Hill is a Kingston Hill gelding for the Mullins yard with Danny Mullins riding. I do expect a composed run where he settles behind the pace and finishes strongly. His pedigree gives him good stamina and class, so he should improve with today's experience and could show real promise stepping up in trip today in a patient, well-judged ride.
12:45 12:45 Sedgefield
Yanka Blue
Daily Racing
25 EW
@13.00
Win
50
This Blue Bresil filly has shown me some glimpses of ability, and she looks suited to this distance here. She ran below her best when stretched in trip at Fontwell but remains well treated off 89 and could be sharper for that experience. I expect her to track the leaders before staying on late if the pace is honest. A potential improver at this mark, she holds each-way claims with a cleaner round of jumping.
Subtotal-13
05 November 2025
20:00 Ajax v Galatasaray
Ajax - Ajax
Half Time / Full Time
50 WIN
@5.00
Lose
-50
Ajax dominate possession and pressing in their youth setups, with superior technical ability. Galatasaray are competitive but less consistent when away. Ajax should lead at half-time and maintain control to secure a full-time victory.
17:45 Pafos FC v Villarreal
Pafos FC
50 WIN
@8.00
Win
350
Pafos are strong at home, and Villarreal can be inconsistent on the road. I expect a tight game with Pafos unlikely to lose, making the full time result the value option here.
16:30 4:30 Kempton
Tigers Nest
Daily Racing
25 EW
@7.00
Win
5
Going EW for the debut run here. Tiger was an expensive purchase as he is a half-brother to a Group 1-winning juvenile, with the dam line packed with speed and quality. Daniel Muscutt takes the ride, and he is bred to be sharp enough for this 7f. With that family class behind him, he could run a great race first time out if showing the same genes. I expect him to settle midfield before finishing strongly, but anything could happen here on debut. As they say in the lottery "It could be you!" ;)
16:20 4:20 Dundalk
Little Empire
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@8.00
Lose
-50
This Holy Roman Emperor gelding is drawn perfectly in stall 1 to grab a handy early position. He ran right to his mark when beaten 3l off 76 here last time and stays this 8f strongly. With McGettigan claiming 7lb, he’s effectively well in today. He’s been knocking on the door a few times, and I expect him to sit just behind the pace, save ground on the rail, and launch late.
15:32 3:28 Musselburgh
Bellarchi
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@17.00
Lose
-50
Giving Bellarchi another shot here. This tough Mehmas filly is in stall 10 and loves it here, with a 100% record over course and distance. She ran flat last time after traveling well, but her previous win off 84 was a strong piece of form. Tuer and Oliver Stammers work well, and she goes on any ground and runs best when tracking the leaders before quickening late. Off 86, she still looks competitive here given her C&D wins. The draw is fine for her running style, and with the right pace to suit, she looks a solid each-way player with a touch of class if bouncing back.
15:05 3:00 Chepstow
Southoftheborder
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 12.00 used instead of 11.00 takenBOG
@12.00
Win
30
Southoftheborder is a strong all-round performer with a strong jumping pedigree, having won points over bumpers and hurdles. He is effective over this 2m and loves any ground, giving him plenty of chance to bounce back after being held previously. He’ll likely settle just off the pace and make a late challenge, using his stamina and could be a live each-way chance here if he jumps fluently and keeps his mojo under control.
14:11 2:11 Harlow
Havana Kaci
Daily Races
50 WIN
@2.75
Lose
-50
Havana Kaci has been running well lately. With a sharp break from the boxes and that trademark mid-race pace, she can assert early and fend off challenges. If she reproduces her best around the 26.70s mark, she holds a solid win chance today
12:59 12:59 Monmore
Winterfield May
Daily Races
50 WIN
@3.25
Lose
-50
Winterfield May runs well and looks in good nick still. With solid recent form and a handy split, she can press the pace from her box and finish strongly. If she hits her best of 28.64s, she holds a very good chance here.
12:55 12:53 Musselburgh
Fear And Fast
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@17.00
Lose
-50
Fear is a consistent Massaat gelding and has been knocking on the door without winning. He ran below form last time at Nottingham but had gone close in his two previous runs, including a solid placed effort over course and distance. He goes well with a visor and handles this ground. Goldie’s runners are in fine order, and with Stammers taking the ride, he could bounce back if getting cover from his wide draw. I expect him to track the pace from midfield and stay on late, so an each-way chance if things fall right and the pace holds up here.
12:31 12:31 Nottingham
Hollys Dream
Daily Races
50 WIN
@4.33
Lose
-50
Hollys Dream looks ready to win here. With consistent form and a sharp finish, she can use her pace to get prominent and challenge strongly.
12:04 12:04 Newcastle
Aegis Jud
Daily Races
50 WIN
@6.00
Win
250
Outsider time. Aegis Jud runs very well, is in good form, and should not be underestimated. With a best of 29.39s and recently showing me consistent runs, he can track the pace and finish well. I expect him to challenge strongly if he runs to his top time.
11:52 11:52 Monmore
Bang On Lacie
Daily Races
50 WIN
@SP
Lose
-50
Bang On Lacie looks in good form. With a quick start and her proven pace over this distance, she can take control early and maintain it to the line. If she hits her best around 16.53s, she has a win chance.
Subtotal235
04 November 2025
20:52 8:52 Star Pelaw
Got The Ballymac
Daily Races
50 WIN
@1.62
Win
31
Got The Ballymac looks very strong in the market here and has a best time of 28.77s. If the break is sharp and the pace settles nicely, he can lead or track the front and finish strongly. Clear win chance today.
20:00 PSG v Bayern Munich
Nuno Mendes
Anytime Goalscorer
50 WIN
@8.50
Lose
-50
Mendes often pushes high in PSG’s attacking system, exploiting Bayern’s advanced full-backs. His pace and overlaps create shooting chances from cutbacks or rebounds. Though not a prolific scorer, he has genuine threat value tonight
19:45 Carlisle v Halifax
Carlisle - Carlisle
Half Time / Full Time
50 WIN
@2.50
Win
75
Carlisle are in solid home form, while FC Halifax Town have struggled on the road this season. I expect Carlisle to control the game and secure the three points at Brunton Park today.
18:30 6:30 Wolverhampton
Hackney Diamonds
Daily Racing
25 EW
@8.50
Lose
-50
Hackney Diamonds is in 4 here, and this Camelot filly is usually held up and looks set to take a strong late run. She ran just a length off last time over 7 after a steady pace. With Tyler Heard aboard, she can settle well and pick off the leaders in the closing stages. She is very effective from 7 to 10f on this all-weather, and she is stepping into the race in form and off a reduced mark. So a placing is very possible today with a win chance.
15:45 3:45 Fairyhouse
Brilliant Light
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@41.00
Lose
-50
Brilliant Light is a Sea The Stars gelding, and while his last run over 2m4f at Tramore saw him beaten by 8 lengths, that was after getting a lot of early racing and from tough previous ones. He has proven each-way ability on this ground and distance, and the tongue-tie may help him settle better today. I expect him to sit mid-division, travel well with the pace, and make his move in the straight. This step up in class is very doable, and a top 4 finish is easily within reach if he relaxes early and is ridden with a bit of patience
12:15 12:15 Fairyhouse
Bossofthebrownies
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@12.00
Win
330
Bossofthebrownies looks set to go well again after a solid second over 2m6f at Navan. A tongue-tie added for the very first time here could sharpen him up. He is effective over this trip and on this going and he should settle mid-division and make his move late. Each-way chance with a strong finishing kick in him.
Subtotal286
03 November 2025
20:15 8:15 Southwell
Fenlander
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@6.50
Lose
-50
Fenlander is in stall 2 and has been knocking on the door for a while, often showing me a good early pace. He did too much too soon at Leicester last time but remains capable over this 6, especially switching to the all-weather here where he can travel more fluently and smoothly. The inside draw should also help him get cover before kicking late. A great chance if ridden patiently here.
19:45 7:45 Southwell
Young Endless
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@7.00
Win
300
Young Endless is in good form over this course and distance, having won here before. His 55 mark also looks fair. After a slow start at Bath, he should get a better break today, settle well, and finish strongly. Trainer Frost and jockey Voikhansky have a solid record here.
18:45 6:45 Southwell
Quandary
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@6.00
Lose
-50
Quandary is in stall 3 and returns after a break with solid course form, having placed in both starts over this C&D. She is effective at 6f to 7f, and the booking of Archie Young takes valuable weight off here. If she settles better and gets cover early, she could bounce back strongly today.
18:00 6:00 Wolverhampton
American Rose
Daily Racing
25 EW
@17.00
Lose
-50
American Rose should settle midfield here with Gina Mangan riding. Despite her recent poor form, she has a fair handicap of 59, and she likes the all-weather at 7 to 8f trips. A patient ride from Gina may see her finish strongly, making her one of my solid each-way hopes :)
17:15 5:15 Southwell
Sahara Magic
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 26.00 on 03/11 at 16:310.20 deduction for Lolabella@5.00 withdrawn at 17:21R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 25.00 x (1-0.20) = 21.00Best Odds Guaranteed SP 29.00 used instead of 21.00 BOG
@29.00
Win
840
Sahara Magic is a young filly that should have a sharp turn of foot and is bred for speed and stamina. I expect her to settle nicely behind the pace, tracking the leaders to start. Michael Appleby often gets them ready for a strong finish, and with Alistair Rawlinson aboard, she should stay composed and challenge well late.
16:30 4:30 Kempton
Photon
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@17.00
Lose
-50
Photon is in stall 6 and could be sparked into life by first-time blinkers after a few fair runs without any luck. He is effective at this trip on the all-weather and travels well before keeping on late. If the new headgear sharpens him up early, he could run much better than his recent form suggests. Each-way chance.
16:20 4:20 Hereford
Dannys Friend
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@17.00
Lose
-50
Dannys Friend is due a big run, and today could be his day to turn things around. Despite some recent struggles, he’s dropping in the weights, and the step up in trip might just unlock his true potential. With the trainer Christian Williams and a confident jockey in Jack Tudor aboard, I expect him to settle better and race with more purpose today as he loves this good ground. If he saves enough energy early, he could finish with a strong late burst.
15:00 3:00 Kempton
Aimeric
Daily Racing
25 EW
@29.00
Lose
-50
Aimeric is in stall 1 and looks primed to bounce back after needing the run in the Godolphin Stakes last time. The first-time visor can sharpen him up, and Karl Burke’s team are flying. Proven at this 12f with solid all-weather and turf form, he should travel sweetly from the inside draw and finish strongly late. Solid win chance if back to his best.
14:20 2:20 Hereford
The Long Point
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@4.50
Lose
-50
The Long Point has had some promising hurdle runs, including a 2nd at Kempton over 2m 6f. He was well-backed last time at Exeter but found the mark a bit stiff and made too much use of himself early on. Emma Lavelle is in good form, and with Rex Dingle riding, expect him to settle smarter today and conserve energy. The recent form, decent mark of 109, and proven ability on ground like this all point to a very good chance here.
13:30 1:30 Kempton
Engross
Daily Racing
25 EW
@17.00
Lose
-50
Engross is in stall 8 and should improve plenty from that quiet debut here. Bred for stamina with Gleneagles and Monsun influences in him, he can still run a more forward race this time with the last experience gained. I expect him to be held up early before staying on strongly and finish powerfully late
13:20 1:20 Hereford
Old Bridge
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@9.00
Lose
-50
Old Bridge looks set for a big run back from a long break. Trainer David Pipe and jockey Rian Corcoran have a solid partnership, and the horse’s proven ability to place twice at this trip is encouraging. His handicap mark of 101 is workable given his promise shown to me. Last time at Chepstow, he used himself up too much early but showed he can keep up when he relaxes with the hood and tongue strap fitted. He should settle comfortably just off the leaders and mount a strong, well-timed challenge late on.
13:00 1:00 Kempton
Mapledurham
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@8.00
Lose
-50
Mapledurham is in stall 4 and looks ready to bounce back after a tough Nottingham run. She has strong placed form here and clearly handles this polytrack well. Effective at this 8f, and her current mark of 60 looks workable. With Lewis Edmunds up and the yard in good order, she could travel sweetly just behind the pace and deliver a big run. Definite each way chance or win.
11:00 11:00 Fontainebleau
Percival
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@SP
Lose
-50
Percival is in stall 6, which is a good draw as it allows him to not be trapped wide but still have room to settle comfortably. He ran 42 days ago, finishing 4th over 2000m, showing me some good progress and promise but fading late, so now he comes into a better suited trip here. His handicap mark is pretty fair for his class and recent form also, giving him a good chance to improve today. Under trainer Fabre and jockey Favriaux, who both have strong stats, he should settle off the pace, track the leaders, and unleash a strong finish. Stall 6 suits his stalking style, letting him avoid traffic, and he should time his run well. Given his steady improvement, decent strike rate, and the hood change to help him relax, he looks like a win chance here.
Subtotal590
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