Niffler
Restricted And/Or Gubbed From Nearly Every Bookmaker Due To Picking Winners Over Time. Definitely Not A Mug Punter As I like To Have A Great Risk/Reward Ratio. All tips are personally backed. You will have good/bad days in this game
0
Estimated Prizes
this month
£0
Estimated Prize money
this month
Niffler's Tips History
30 June 2025
21:20 21:20 Thistledown
Star Shopping
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@6.50
Lose
-50
Star Shopping is in stall number 7, and he may find himself needing a strong finish here. He was third at Thistledown 13 days ago over a mile, beaten 4 lengths behind Puffsmagicdragon. He is holding his form but has not got that win yet! He has 4 wins from 43 starts, all between 5 furlongs and a mile, giving him a 9% win rate and a 33% place rate. His current mark of 85 looks doable based on recent efforts, and although he has the ability here, Alexander Chavez is a capable rider, and Nestor Riveras' yard has been ticking over nicely, so he may be a win player today.
20:50 20:50 Thistledown
Gunner Gabriel
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@7.00
Lose
-50
Gunner Gabriel is in stall number 6, which is fine for him as he can race handy and stalk the pace. With good early speed expected, he should get a nice tow into the race. He returned from a break to win at Thistledown 27 days ago over 6 furlongs, just holding on by a head from Excitement, and that effort suggests he retains his edge. He has now won 5 of his 18 starts, all over this trip, giving him a solid 28% win rate and around 39% place rate overall. His current mark of 86 is workable, though this does look a tougher field than last time. Fernando Becerra Salazar keeps the ride, and Jason Dacosta’s runners are usually well placed. He is going the right way and with the right trip now, so very doable here, IMHO.
20:45 8:45 Windsor
Lahina Bay
Daily Racing
25 EW
@17.00
Lose
-50
Lahina Bay is in stall number 6, which is a solid draw for a horse that likes to race prominently. She was 4th at Lingfield 9 days ago over a mile, beaten just over 3 lengths off a mark of 54, running to form in a competitive race. She won this race last year off a similar mark, so the current 53 looks fair and potentially lenient here. With 4 wins and 4 places from 19 handicap runs, she has a 21% win rate and 42% place rate. She enjoys this course and distance, having won once and placed twice from 6 runs. She also acts well on fast ground, and the first-time cheekpieces could sharpen her up. She looks very much like a live each-way chance if she can get a good early position and finish strongly today.
20:30 8:30 Wolverhampton
Bernard Spierpoint
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@6.50
Lose
-50
Bernard Spierpoint is in stall number 6, which is a decent draw for his usual front-running pressing tactics. With the race expected to be run at a fair gallop, he should be well-positioned early. He was 4th of 10 at Nottingham 18 days ago, beaten around 3 lengths in a Class 6, and he needed that first run after a 54-day break. Now 2lb lower than when winning here last summer, his current mark of 56 looks workable, if not generous, to me. He thrives at this course and distance with 3 wins from 5 C&D runs and has 7 wins at the trip overall, so conditions look right. He has had 59 total runs with 8 wins and 11 places, giving him a 14% win rate and 32% place rate. His record in this headgear mix is also solid, with multiple wins in both tongue tie and blinkers. Frederick Larson knows him well and takes off a handy 3lb. Trainer D P Quinn does well placing his horses at this level.
20:15 8:15 Windsor
Amathus
Daily Racing
Amathus is in stall number 6, which is workable for him as he tends to run just off the pace. He was 6th at Lingfield 23 days ago over 7 furlongs, beaten over 7 lengths LTO, but this step back up to a mile and a switch to quicker turf should suit better today. He has dropped to a mark of 52, well below his last winning rating, so looks well handicapped now. He has 4 wins and 7 places from 33 handicap runs, and although winless at this distance in 8 tries, he has placed twice and scored here over 7f on his only previous run at the track. He goes okay in this class and is effective on this type of going. The visor stays on, and Hector Crouch is a positive jockey booking. Trainer Patrick Chamings is good at getting results with well-handicapped types, and this looks a good opportunity.
20:00 8:00 Wolverhampton
Jesse Luc
Daily Racing
25 EW
@17.00
Win
55
Jesse Luc is in stall number 6, which is fine for a handy stalking type like him. With a good pace, he should get cover early. He was disappointing LTO when 11th of 13 at Lingfield 29 days ago off 76, beaten over 6 lengths after racing in touch early but not picking up at all. That was very unusual as in his penultimate win at Chelmsford, he scored nicely off 70, so the 6lb hike may have just caught him out there. However, he has 6 wins and 5 places from 17 runs at the distance, giving him a healthy 35% win rate and 65% place rate, and is effective on this type of going with 4 wins and 3 places from 11 tries. The tongue strap stays on and has been effective before, with 6 wins from 15 runs in it. Although the current mark of 76 looks a bit high, he can bounce back to his penultimate run. He is still an each-way squeak, in my humble opinion, if the pace plays to closers like him
19:15 7:15 Windsor
Amazonian Dream
Daily Racing
25 EW
@17.00
Lose
-50
Amazonian Dream is in stall number 3, which is an ideal draw for him as he loves a midfield stalking style. With a strong pace on the cards, he should get the perfect toe into the race. He was 3rd here 14 days ago over course and distance, beaten around 3 lengths off a mark of 85, and now runs off 84, the same mark he won this race off last year. His current mark is fair and gives him a live shot here. He has had 36 runs with 6 wins and 9 places, giving a 17% win rate and 42% place rate. He clearly loves this track with 3 wins and 5 places from 17 runs at the course. His record on similar going is consistent, and he has shown he can run in this grade with 2 wins from 8 tries. By Bungle Inthejungle out of a Kyllachy mare, his pedigree leans toward speed and toughness, and he has proven that with his reliable strike rate. Trainer B R Millman is good at targeting repeat wins, and Lewis Edmunds rides him well. Each way chance again if the pace collapses late today.
Elmonjed
Daily Racing
Elmonjed is in stall number 7, which is not ideal for his forward-going style, especially in this small field. But with a solid early pace, he should still be able to get across okay. He was 4th at Newbury 44 days ago in a Class 2, beaten just 2 lengths while running to form off 96. That effort came in stronger company than this. His mark remains 96, which still looks workable given his profile. He has 8 runs with 4 wins and 2 places, giving him a 50% win rate and 75% place rate, including 1 win and 1 place from 2 runs over this course and distance. He also has a 57% place rate on similar ground and enjoys the fast going. By Blue Point out of an Oasis Dream mare, his pedigree is loaded with speed, and his form backs it up. William Haggas has his yard in top order, and Jim Crowley knows the horse well. Given his consistency, strong C&D record, and the slight ease in class here, he looks a strong win chance if he breaks well and gets cover early here.
19:00 7:00 Wolverhampton
Brave Guest
Daily Racing
25 EW
@17.00
Lose
-50
Brave Guest is in stall number 2, which is a decent draw for him as he likes to race prominently. With a fair pace, he should be able to track well early on. He was 6th at Thirsk 24 days ago over 7f, beaten 10 lengths after gaining useful experience on debut. Stepping back down to 6 furlongs could suit better given his breeding and running style. He has just 3 runs with no wins or places so far, and his mark of 66 is a bit stiffer than I would like, but the way he ran last time showed me a little to get me interested in him. Trainer James Channon is in form and Edward Greatrex rides, which are positives, so an each way is not out of the question here
18:45 6:45 Windsor
Antipodes
Daily Racing
25 EW
@12.00
Win
330
Antipodes is in stall number 1, which is a great draw for a colt who likes to race prominently. With the pace looking steady, he should be able to control his position early. He was second at Nottingham 18 days ago, just beaten by a more experienced rival in a maiden over this trip. He has had 2 starts with wins and 1 place, giving him a 50% place rate. That last effort came on similar going, and he wore a hood again, which stays on here. By Starspangledbanner out of an Albemarle mare, there is sprinting speed in there, and Roger Varian’s yard is in strong form, and Ray Dawson keeps the ride. Faces stronger opposition here but is improving and well drawn. Each way chance.
17:50 17:50 Thistledown
Exonerated Prez
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@SP
Void
0
Exonerated Prez is in stall number 8, which is a wide draw that could test his ability to get a good early position, especially if the pace is moderate. He has 7 wins from 20 career runs over distances from 5 up to a mile and solid strike rates. His last run was a third-place finish over 6 at Thistledown earlier this month when beaten by American Prince. Now running for a new stable, Richard Genovese, with Yan Aviles riding, it will be interesting to see how he adapts. His current mark is 74, which is fair given his record, but he faces a step up in class here. A chance here if he handles the draw and settles well.
17:45 5:45 Windsor
Nightbird
Daily Racing
25 EW
@19.00
Win
64
Nightbird is in stall number 4, which is a handy position for her hold-up style. With a decent pace expected, she should get a good tow into the race. She was 4th at Newmarket 13 days ago off 73, beaten around 3 lengths in a solid Class 5, and now drops 2lb to 71, which looks workable here. She won off 72 at Wolverhampton in April when well backed, and the form has since been boosted, so she remains fairly treated. From 8 runs over this distance, she has 1 win and 4 places, giving a 12% win rate and 62% place rate. Her overall form is solid in this class, and she handles this going fine, even if she has yet to win on it. By Invincible Spirit out of a Pivotal mare, she has a pedigree geared for speed with some cut in the ground. Callum Shepherd keeps the ride, and the Crisford yard is in fair form. With her consistency and draw, she looks a strong each way.
17:00 5:00 Pontefract
Fire Eyes
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionBest Odds Guaranteed SP 3.75 used instead of 3.25 takenBOGAThis tip was used on Horse Racing 4Fold Acca.
@3.75
Win
137
Always the bridesmaid and never the bride! Fire Eyes was an unlucky second just 4 days ago at Newcastle off this same mark of 50, finishing fast but finding a gap too late and beaten only three-quarters of a length. She has now finished runner-up on her last four starts, showing consistent form and clear ability at this level. She has yet to win from 6 attempts at the distance but has placed 4 times, giving her a 67% place rate at the trip. Her current mark is absolutely fair, and she is thriving in a tongue tie and hood combo. Trainer Liam Mullaney has her in top form, and Sean Kirrane rides again. Despite the wide stall, she is a strong win chance based on her current form and is due a change of luck soon.
16:30 4:30 Pontefract
Starsong
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@12.00
Lose
-50
Starsong is in stall number 6, which is workable though not ideal for one that usually races prominently. But the race pace looks fair, so she should get a chance to slot in. She was 3rd at Brighton 40 days ago over 7f, beaten just over 2 lengths in a similar Class 6, and now drops back to 6, which suits her better. Her current handicap mark is 51, which is workable but still 11lb below her peak from last year. She has 4 wins and 7 places from 35 total runs, giving her an 11% win rate and 31% place rate. She has won 4 times in this class and once at the trip but has been more hit than miss on this going with just 3 places from 11 runs. Michael Appleby keeps her busy, and Alistair Rawlinson knows her well. Based on her current form figures of 323 and the drop back in distance, she looks a solid win chance this time around if getting the right track position to start with.
16:15 4:15 Ffos Las
Condotti
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@15.00
Lose
-50
Condotti is in stall number 1, which is a handy draw for him, so he should be able to settle early. He was 7th last time out at Newbury 18 days ago, beaten around 4 lengths in a Class 5 handicap, which was a solid enough run considering he raced up with the pace. His mark remains on 70, which looks fair. He has placed once from four runs over this distance and once on similar going, and he now tries cheekpieces for the first time, which may sharpen him up. He has had 4 runs with wins and 1 place, giving him a 25% place rate. By Soldier's Call out of a Fastnet Rock mare, there is speed in his pedigree. With Hugo Palmer trained and apprentice Joe Leavy having a decent strike rate together, I think it's fair to say if the cheekpieces work, he could be in for a great day.
16:00 4:00 Pontefract
Betweenthesticks
Daily Racing
25 EW
@13.00
Lose
-50
Betweenthesticks is in stall number 3, which is ideal for his usual prominent racing style. With a solid pace, he should be able to get into a good early position. He was last of six at Carlisle 25 days ago off this same mark of 69, but he was ridden too aggressively early, in my opinion. Prior to that, he won well at Catterick off 65 and is generally a consistent horse. He has 7 wins and 11 places from 38 runs at this distance, giving him an 18% win rate and 47% place rate. He is effective in this class and fitted with cheekpieces, which have produced multiple placed efforts. Jockey J P Sullivan knows him well, and while this mark might be on the high side, it is not impossible. The inside draw and sharp tactics could help him bounce back. Each way claims if ridden with more restraint here.
15:45 3:45 Ffos Las
City Escape
Daily Racing
25 EW
@8.00
Lose
-50
City Escape is in stall number 9, which is not ideal for her usual hold-up tactics. But with a strong pace, she should get the chance to settle and come late. She was 6th at Bath 24 days ago when denied a clear run, beaten about 3 lengths off 57, and now runs off 56, which looks a fair mark considering she won off 57 in May. She has a good record at this course and distance with 2 wins and a place from 4 runs, and overall has 3 wins and 5 places from 24 runs at the trip. From 57 career starts, she has 7 wins and 14 places, giving her a 12% win rate and 37% place rate. The blinkers and eye shield have worked well in the past and stay on here. She runs fine on this type of ground and stays on late when the race collapses, so a strong pace plays to her strengths. Trainer David Loughnane has a solid record in this grade, and Whelan knows how to ride her patiently. Each way chance if she gets a clean run through in the straight.
Racing Demon
Daily Racing
Racing Demon is in stall number 4, which is a handy draw for him here as he likes to race prominently or sit just behind the leader if need be. He was 4th of 9 at Salisbury 15 days ago, beaten around 4 lengths off a mark of 61 in a race where he just kept on one-paced (which was unusual). Now drops 1lb to 60, which is 5lb below his last winning mark, so he is definitely handicapped to figure here. He has 5 wins and 7 places from 37 total runs, giving him a 14% win rate and 38% place rate, and he has form on this going and in this class. The hood stays on and has brought wins before. Trainer Ed De Giles and jockey Cieren Fallon team up well on sprinters, and if Fallon gets him into a rhythm early, he is capable of running into the frame. Win chance if bouncing off this mark today.
15:30 3:30 Pontefract
Boy Douglas
Daily Racing
25 EW
@8.00
Lose
-50
Boy Douglas is in stall number 1, which is a great draw as he tends to race handily. With the race expected to have an even pace, he should get a good position early. He was well beaten at Thirsk 44 days ago and has looked below form in both runs this season. But his current mark of 73 is only 1 lb above his last winning rating, so it is not impossible, but he needs to bounce back here. He has 2 wins and 4 places from 13 runs at the distance, giving him a 15% win rate and 46% place rate. He has also won in this class and on similar ground. Both career wins came at Ayr over a mile, with the last one coming a year ago. The trainer, Michael Dods, is patient with his handicappers, and Connor Beasley knows him well. If he gets into a rhythm from the inside draw, he could sneak a place if this surface helps rekindle his fire.
15:00 Lulu Sun vs Marie Bouzkova
Marie Bouzkova to win 2 - 0
Set Betting
50 WIN
@2.25
Win
62
Lulu Sun is ranked WTA 46 vs. Marie Bouzkova, who is ranked WTA 47, and it's a tough one to call here. However, Bouzkova has simply been playing a much better set of games than Lulu. I can't see any reason for Lulu to turn things around at the moment.
14:45 2:45 Ffos Las
Hiccups
Daily Racing
25 EW
@17.00
Lose
-50
Hiccups is in stall number 6, which is fine for a hold-up type. But with the pace looking only fair, he may find himself needing a bit of luck in the run. He returns from a 271-day layoff. Now dropped significantly in trip and back to 12 furlongs, which looks more suitable for him. His mark of 47 looks fair if he finds form again, though he remains a maiden after 10 starts. He has placed once at the course and once in this class. By Bated Breath out of a Frankel mare, there’s some hope for late improvement here, so fingers crossed today.
14:30 Ann Li vs Viktorija Golubic
Viktorija Golubic to win 2 - 0
Set Betting
50 WIN
@2.75
Lose
-50
Ann Li is rated WTA 64 vs Viktorija Golubic at WTA 79. So why not go for the favorite here? Well, simply because Golubic has been putting in better performances and earns my vote here.
14:30 Jasmine Paolini vs Anastasija Sevastova
Under 18.50
Total Games
50 WIN
@1.73
Lose
-50
Jasmine Paolini is ranked WTA number 4, while Anastasija Sevastova is ranked WTA 402. It's difficult to see past the obvious winner here, and it should, in theory, end in a heavy defeat, hence the number of games under 18.
14:30 Kamilla Rakhimova vs Aoi Ito
Kamilla Rakhimova to win 2 - 0
Set Betting
50 WIN
@1.83
Lose
-50
Kamilla Rakhimova to win 2-0 is my selection here. She is ranked WTA 87. In theory, Kamilla has been playing much stronger than Ito, who is ranked WTA 109, so she should easily win by 2 sets today.
14:30 Yanina Wickmayer vs Renata Zarazua
Renata Zarazua to win 2 - 0
Set Betting
50 WIN
@2.62
Win
81
Yanina Wickmayer is ranked WTA 762 vs. Renata Zarazua, who is ranked WTA 72. So, with the wide gap in between them, Renata Zarazua to win 2-0 is my choice here today.
14:15 2:15 Ffos Las
Wine Dark Sea
Daily Racing
25 EW
@12.00
Lose
-50
Wine Dark Sea is in stall number 4, which is a good draw for a lightly raced type stepping up in trip. With the pace expected to be steady, he should be able to settle into a rhythm early. He was 7th of 8 at Wolverhampton 86 days ago over 9 furlongs in a novice, beaten over 11 lengths and needed the run after a layoff. That was just his second start, and he showed more on debut when finishing 2nd as a 2-year-old. Upped in trip now and returning from a short break, he looks the type to improve. He has 2 runs, wins, and 1 place, so a 50% place rate so far. By Ulysses out of a Sea The Stars mare, the pedigree points to stamina and late development, so this longer distance could really suit him here.
14:00 2:00 Pontefract
Louie The Legend
Daily Racing
25 EW
@15.00
Lose
-50
Giving Louie another last chance here. Louie was well beaten at Goodwood 17 days ago over 10 furlongs, trailing home last by 25 lengths, and may not have stayed the trip at all if I remember rightly. Dropping in distance here helps. He has 1 win and 1 place from 7 runs, giving him a 14% win rate and 29% place rate, and did win in this class previously. His mark is now 66 which could make or break him today. The jockey Mr. Fletcher Yarham claims 7lb, so one last chance today, Louie!
13:00 Olga Danilovic vs Shuai Zhang
Olga Danilovic
Win Match
50 WIN
@1.73
Win
37
Olga Danilovic is ranked WTA 39, whilst Shuai Zhang is ranked WTA 127. Even though Zhang has been playing extremely well, Wimbledon is a whole different ball game, and I do not think she will cope here.
12:30 Alexei Popyrin vs Arthur Fery
Alexei Popyrin to win 3 - 0
Set Betting
50 WIN
@2.50
Lose
-50
Value bet as Alexei Popyrin is ranked ATP 22 vs Arthur Fery who is ranked ATP 461. It will either be this score or 3-1, so a chance is taken here.
12:30 Beatriz Haddad Maia vs Rebecca Sramkova
Beatriz Haddad Maia to win 2 - 0
Set Betting
50 WIN
@2.38
Win
69
Beatriz Haddad Maia, ranked WTA 21, vs Rebecca Sramkova, ranked WTA 36. While both have played on indoor and outdoor hard surfaces, I reckon the red clay advantage that Maia has played on will transfer well to the grass court.
12:30 Bernarda Pera vs Linda Noskova
Linda Noskova to win 2 - 1
Set Betting
50 WIN
@4.00
Lose
-50
A high chance Linda Noskova, ranked WTA 30, will beat Bernarda Pera, ranked WTA 84, here today. They already played each other twice, and Pera has lost both matches but did make a good fight that lasted 3 sets. Hence, my choice.
12:30 Holger Rune vs Nicolas Jarry
Holger Rune to win 3 - 0
Set Betting
50 WIN
@3.00
Lose
-50
Holger Rune to win 3-0 is my prediction here. Won't be easy, but it is very doable with Rune ranked at ATP 8 and Jarry ranked ATP 143. If I'm wrong, I'm guessing my prediction becomes 3-1.
Holger Rune
1st Set Winner
50 WIN
@1.50
Win
25
Value play here as Holger Rune is ranked ATP 8 vs Nicolas Jarry, who is ranked ATP 143. As he is serving first, the odds stack up here for the win.
12:30 Peyton Stearns vs Laura Siegemund
Peyton Stearns to win 2 - 0
Set Betting
50 WIN
@2.20
Lose
-50
Peyton Stearns to win 2-0 here. Peyton Stearns is ranked WTA 35, whilst Laura Siegemund is ranked WTA 103. Stearns has decimated most of her opponents by 2 sets, so going for value rather than short odds win.
12:30 Zizou Bergs vs Lloyd Harris
Zizou Bergs
1st Set Winner
50 WIN
@1.62
Lose
-50
Value shot at calculated odds better than the outright win of the match with Zizou Bergs ranked at ATP 50 and Lloyd Harris ranked at ATP 159.
11:00 Adrian Mannarino vs Christopher OConnell
Adrian Mannarino
1st Set Winner
50 WIN
@1.57
Win
28
With Mannarino on the first serve again, looking for the value in this bet against the straight outright win here. Adrian Mannarino is ranked ATP 125 and Christopher O'Connell is ranked ATP 79, so it could go either way on the win-only market.
11:00 Anca Todoni vs Cristina Bucsa
Anca Todoni to win 2 - 1
Set Betting
50 WIN
@4.25
Lose
-50
Anca Todoni WTA 90 beat Cristina Bucsa WTA 101 in December 2024. So psychologically, the wins and losses may prevail on them both here in an even-looking match.
11:00 Anna Bondar vs Elina Svitolina
Elina Svitolina to win 2 - 1
Set Betting
50 WIN
@5.75
Lose
-50
Elina Svitolina to win 2 - 1 is my favorite value bet here. Ranked WTA 14, there is no value in backing her to win only, as it does not make sense here
11:00 Benjamin Bonzi vs Daniil Medvedev
Daniil Medvedev to win 3 - 1
Set Betting
50 WIN
@3.90
Lose
-50
The favorite value bet here is Daniil Medvedev to win 3-1. Ranked ATP 9, there is no value in backing him to win only as it does not make sense.
11:00 Diane Parry vs Petra Martic
Petra Martic
Win Match
50 WIN
@2.60
Lose
-50
Petra Martic, WTA 139, beat Diane Parry, WTA 113, in 2023. So sometimes you just have to go with your gut feeling as they stand off against each other again.
11:00 Elmer Moller vs Frances Tiafoe
Frances Tiafoe to win 3 - 1
Set Betting
50 WIN
@4.00
Lose
-50
The favorite value bet here is Frances Tiafoe to win 3-1. Ranked ATP 12, there is no value in backing him to win only, as it does not make sense.
11:00 Jiri Lehecka vs Hugo Dellien
Jiri Lehecka to win 3 - 1
Set Betting
50 WIN
@5.00
Win
200
The favorite value bet here is Jiri Lehecka to win 3-1. Ranked ATP 25, there is no value in backing him to win only, as it does not make sense.
11:00 Kimberly Birrell vs Donna Vekic
Donna Vekic to win 2 - 1
Set Betting
50 WIN
@4.00
Lose
-50
Donna Vekic to win 2-1 is my value bet here. Ranked WTA 22, there is no value in backing her to win only, as it does not make sense. She may even find this difficult against Kimberly Birrell, ranked WTA 77.
11:00 Learner Tien vs Nishesh Basavareddy
Learner Tien
1st Set Winner
50 WIN
@1.57
Win
28
Learner Tien is ranked ATP 62. Nishesh Basavareddy is ranked ATP 100. With Learner on the first serve, looking for the value in the favorite here to start off the match with a healthy winning first set.
11:00 Mattia Bellucci vs Oliver Crawford
Mattia Bellucci to win 3 - 0
Set Betting
50 WIN
@3.25
Lose
-50
Mattia Bellucci is ranked ATP 74 vs. Oliver Crawford, who is ranked ATP 252. Technically, anything can happen, but Mattia can get 3 ducks in a row here.
Mattia Bellucci
1st Set Winner
50 WIN
@1.53
Lose
-50
Value play for the first set win here. Mattia Bellucci is ranked ATP 74, and with the first serve dictating the rest of the games, I do think this one is doable here.
11:00 Sonay Kartal vs Jelena Ostapenko
Jelena Ostapenko to win 2 - 0
Set Betting
50 WIN
@2.62
Lose
-50
Jelena Ostapenko, WTA 20, has already beaten Sonay Kartal, WTA 49, very recently by a hefty 2-0. I'm expecting the same again this time around with the same outcome
11:00 Viktoriya Tomova vs Ons Jabeur
Viktoriya Tomova
Win Match
50 WIN
@5.50
Void
0
Ons Jabeur is ranked WTA 59, and as mentioned earlier, there is no value in backing her to win only. However, Tomova, ranked 81, won't go down without a fight here, so she gets my vote to win as a hedge option.
Ons Jabeur to win 2 - 1
Set Betting
50 WIN
@4.50
Void
0
Ons Jabeur to win 2-1 is my favorite value bet here. Ranked ATP 25, there is no value in backing her to win only, as it does not make sense and she may even find this match difficult.
Subtotal-584
29 June 2025
23:10 23:10 Woodbine
Backroadsbilly
Daily Racing
25 EW
@6.00
Win
150
Backroadsbilly is in stall number 5, which is a fine draw for his pressing style. With the race shaping up to have a decent pace, he should be able to sit close to the speed. He was 3rd of 7 at Woodbine 21 days ago over 5f, beaten four and a half lengths behind So Delicious after tracking the leaders and sticking on fairly well. That came after a runner-up finish on debut last season, so he has shown promise in both career starts. He has 2 runs with wins and 1 place, giving him a 50% place rate. His current mark of 78 looks a fair starting point, and being by Societys Chairman out of a Midnight Lute mare, there is a good mix of turf speed and dirt stamina in his pedigree. Trainer Richard Hayashi brings his runners along steadily, and David Moran retains the ride. With race fitness now on his side, he looks to have an each-way chance or go better here.
22:58 22:58 Churchill Downs
Merry Madison
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@SP
Void
0
Merry Madison is in stall number 7, which is not ideal for a filly stepping up from a debut. But the early pace looks strong in here, so she may get cover if ridden patiently. She was 4th on debut at Churchill Downs 29 days ago over 7 furlongs, beaten 12 lengths in what looked a decent maiden run. She showed an early dash before fading, and that experience should bring her on for today. By City Of Light out of Rovenna, she has a strong dirt pedigree with her dam a stakes winner and her half-brother Simovitch a five-time winner around a mile. Possibilities here.
17:55 5:55 Curragh
Brilliant Light
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@81.00
Lose
-50
Going out on a limb here with the rank outsider currently. Brilliant Light is in stall number 20, which is a tough draw and could make things awkward early. Last seen 29 days ago when held up in a 2m4f handicap hurdle at Listowel. This is his first flat run since 2022. He has 38 career runs with 4 wins and 9 places, showing a 10% win rate and 34% place rate. He has a good strike rate over this distance on the flat with one win from two tries and handles good ground fine. Now with John Hanlon and booked with Gavin Ryan, the mark looks a little high for a reappearance after a long time off the level, but I have every faith in the new trainer's abilities. The pace should be strong here, which might help and could sneak a place if fully tuned up by Shark.
1 member found this comment useful
17:50 5:50 Ffos Las
Pinkarizon
Daily Racing
25 EW
@13.00
Lose
-50
Pinkarizon is in stall number 5, which is fine but not a big edge either way here as he likes to run held up off the pace. He has yet to win from six starts and was well held over 10f at Goodwood last time, and in my opinion, that trip stretched him. Now back down to 8.5 furlongs here should help. His current mark of 66 is fair based on earlier placed efforts. He has placed once at this track, and going is no issue. Place rate is 17%. Finley Marsh keeps the ride, and he has an outside each-way chance if things fall right here.
17:40 5:40 Cartmel
Greenways
Daily Racing
25 EW
@6.00
Push
0
Greenways has been turned out again after only 2 days. This can go either way here, as like in a game of cards, he could hold or fold. He has a 6.25% win rate and 31.25% place rate on similar going and is 6.67% win and 33.33% place in this class, with no wins but 50% place rate at this handicap level. Back at this track after a fair third when giving best late over further, the return to shorter looks like a good move. With a valuable 7lb claim from Benjamin Macey and a race with an even pace, he could travel sweetly into this again. Each way chance.
17:15 5:15 Ffos Las
Lhebayeb
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 13.00 used instead of 10.00 takenBOG
@13.00
Win
35
Lhebayeb is in stall number 6, which is fine for her hold-up style, and the pace looks honest enough to suit her. She won stylishly two starts ago at Chepstow over 1m2f off 53 but could not back it up when fading to finish seventh just seven days ago at Bath over 11f. Now up slightly in trip and has won over 10f before. Her current mark of 58 looks a touch high for me but not unmanageable. Win rate is 11% and place rate is 26%. Hector Crouch back on board is a plus, and she has an each-way shout if she stays today.
17:05 5:05 Cartmel
Judicial Review
Daily Racing
25 EW
@10.00
Win
270
Judicial Review likes an even pace, and if that happens here, it should give him time to find his mojo. He has a 25% win rate and 0% place rate at this course, 18.18% win rate on similar ground, and is back wearing winning headgear today. Dropped another 2lb for a quiet run here last time over further and now returns to a more suitable trip. With Danny McMenamin back on, he has an each-way chance if bouncing back.
16:57 4:57 Uttoxeter
Oslo
Daily Racing
25 EW
@11.00
Lose
-50
Oslo has shown consistent course and distance form with two places from two attempts. He has a fair record at this class with a 9.68% win rate and 19.35% place rate overall and a current handicap mark of 115, which looks reasonable to me. He finished fourth, beaten 8 and a half lengths at Chester last time out and now steps up in trip here. Usually runs well fresh and should be fit from flat racing. With a decent pace, he could get a good run and is an each-way chance in these conditions.
16:50 4:50 Curragh
Ceallach
Daily Racing
25 EW
@12.00
Lose
-50
Ceallach is in stall number 2. He is a chestnut gelding by Lope De Vega out of Alvee, rated 86 and trained by D Marnane, and jockey L T McAteer runs him. Ceallach has run 4 times at the course with no wins but one placing. He has a strong 57.14% place rate over 7 runs at the distance. He has placed on similar going conditions but is yet to win on turf. Wearing a tongue strap with a 22.22% win rate in this gear, he was unlucky last time over 10f when blocked for a clear run. The step up in trip looks right, and his mark looks fair, making him a solid contender with a chance if he gets a clear run. The pace in the race looks good for him.
Cheeky Wink
Daily Racing
25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@12.00
Void
0
Cheeky Wink is in stall number 14, running 16 days after finishing fourth in a Listed race at Gowran Park. Her current handicap mark of 93 is fair after a strong 3-length handicap win off 85 at Tipperary over this trip. She has 4 runs with 1 win and 1 place for a 25% win rate and 50% place rate over similar going and distance. The cheekpieces suit her, and she prefers to race prominently, which fits a good pace scenario here. Trainer J P Murtagh and jockey B M Coen both have solid stats. A respectable each-way chance.
16:40 4:40 Ffos Las
Itsneverjustone
Daily Racing
25 EW
@9.00
Win
240
Itsneverjustone is in stall number 13, which is a tough draw given his style. Though there should be a good pace to aim at here, so not too worried. He was fifth 16 days ago at Chester over a mile, traveling well. He has placed at this trip and in this class but remains a maiden after seven runs. The handicap mark of 70 looks fair, and he is 2lb lower than last time. Jockey David Egan is a positive, and blinkers are left off. Place rate is 29%. Each way claims if getting the right run from wide.
16:30 4:30 Cartmel
Arthurs Quay
Daily Racing
25 EW
@17.00
Lose
-50
Arthur's Quay has a good current handicap mark of 123, which is solid, and has shown strong course form with a win from 3 runs here and a 20% win rate at this course overall. He is proven over similar going with nearly a 20% win rate and wears a tongue strap with a 23.08% strike rate. He ran well last time over 2m here, finishing a close second, and the step up in trip should suit him. Trained by Brian Haslam with Jack Hogan riding, he is a genuine danger and each-way chance with decent pace.
Riaan
Daily Racing
25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@6.50
Void
0
Riaan is a prominent racer who may look to sit close to the pace in a field like this. He has a 0% win rate and a 14.29% place rate at this distance, but a solid 15.79% place rate on similar going and was running well in a competitive Irish handicap before unseating last time. Cheekpieces remain on, and he is off a fair mark of 137. Given Gordon Elliott's form and the slight ease in trip, he has solid each-way claims, I reckon, here.
16:30 4:30 Saint Cloud
Goliath
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@3.75
Lose
-50
Goliath is in stall number 1 and comes here 21 days after landing the Group 3 La Coupe over this course and distance in strong style. Trained by Francis Graffard and partnered by Christophe Soumillon, he has won 4 of his 10 starts with a 40% win rate and 60% place rate, and his mark of 112 looks fair for this level. Proven over at ParisLongchamp and over this trip, he travels smoothly and finishes well off a strong pace. This should suit him around here today. Stall 1 is ideal for saving ground, and he is a win chance in a race that should be run at a very good pace.
1 member found this comment useful
16:20 4:20 Uttoxeter
Fringill Dike
Daily Racing
25 EW
@6.50
Lose
-50
Fringill Dike is a handy front runner, and he comes here 43 days since running a solid second at Bangor. He has 32 career runs with 10 wins and 5 places, giving a strong 31% win rate and 47% place rate. Loves this distance with 8 wins from 15 tries, and has a great record at this track too. Now 2lb below his last winning mark and back under Callum O'Farrell, who has gone well on him before. Blinkers have worked well and stay on here. Ground is in his favor, and the pace should be honest. He is nicely treated now and looks an each-way player with a win not out of the question if he finds rhythm early.
16:10 4:10 Curragh
Tennessee Stud
Daily Racing
25 EW
@8.00
Lose
-50
Tennessee Stud is in stall number 10 and runs 22 days after finishing a staying on third in the Derby at Epsom, a Group 1 race over 12 furlongs. His current handicap mark of 112 looks good considering he is progressing in form, with 6 total runs, no wins but 2 places for a 33% place rate. He has placed once on this course and distance from one attempt and has won on similar going before. Likely to race handy or close up, he handles a strong pace well and is expected to stay beyond this trip. With trainer J P O'Brien and jockey D McMonagle in solid form, Tennessee Stud is a genuine win chance. Stall 10 is not perfect but workable here.
1 member found this comment useful
16:00 4:00 Ffos Las
Scarlet Moon
Daily Racing
25 EW
@26.00
Lose
-50
Scarlet Moon is in stall number 4 and comes in off a below-par ninth 22 days ago. He did too much too soon in cheekpieces, basically. That run can be forgiven as he had looked progressive prior to that, winning three on the bounce, including over this trip. He runs off a mark of 82, which still looks fair given his profile. He has won over this distance and is proven in the grade. From a handy stall, with a decent pace, and if he can settle better this time, he has an each-way chance. Win rate is 44% and place rate is 44%.
15:50 3:50 Cartmel
Hurricane Ali
Daily Racing
25 EW
@15.00
Lose
-50
Hurricane Ali is a hold-up type in hurdle races, and any strong early gallop should play to his strengths late on. He has a low 7.69% win rate and 26.92% place rate in handicaps but does have strong course form with 50% placed efforts from eight runs here. Dropping back to his optimum trip after not quite staying 2m5f, and with first-time cheekpieces possibly sharpening him up, he looks interesting off a mark well below his peak. With a 10% win and 40% place rate at this distance, he is an each-way contender if the headgear has a positive effect here.
15:50 3:50 Saint Cloud
Lollipop Des Pins
Daily Racing
25 EW
@6.00
Lose
-50
Lollipop Des Pins is in stall number 6 and comes here 60 days after finishing third in a Class 3 handicap over 2500m at ParisLongchamp. However, I think this shorter trip may suit better today. She has had six career runs with no wins but two places, giving her a 33% place rate. Trained by Bruno Audouin and partnered by apprentice Mathis Fleury taking off 6lb, she is bred to stay and handle decent ground, being by Whitecliffsofdover out of a Holy Roman Emperor mare. With a middle draw and likely even pace, she can sit handy and looks an each-way player in this company.
15:40 3:40 Uttoxeter
Whodini
Daily Racing
25 EW
@21.00
Lose
-50
Whodini is returning after a long absence following a third in a Bangor-on-Dee handicap chase. His current mark of 104 looks fair based on a solid 33% win and place strike rate at this level, with good course and going. He usually runs well in a tongue strap, which he wears here. He likes to race prominently, and with a decent pace, he is an each-way chance if sharper today.
15:30 3:30 Curragh
Thunderbear
Daily Racing
25 EW
@17.00
Lose
-50
Thunderbear is in stall number 7, running 22 days after a close third at Navan, where he was unlucky not to get a clear run. His current handicap mark of 103 looks fair given his consistent recent form with 20 total runs, 2 wins, and 6 places for a 10% win rate and 30% place rate. He has placed once on this course and distance from three attempts and has won at this distance before. Comfortable on similar going and suited by cheekpieces, he usually races mid-pack and can handle a strong pace. With jockey J J G Ryan and trainer J Davison in good form, Thunderbear is a solid each-way chance despite carrying top weight. The stall seven is not ideal but should not hinder his chances much, hopefully.
15:15 3:15 Cartmel
Getaway With You
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@5.50
Lose
-50
Getaway With You likes a steady pace to aim at and will suit his usual hold-up running style if this goes right. He has placed seven times in this grade and four times off similar marks but is still a maiden after 15 starts, with a 47% place rate. Last time he was outpaced and never really landed a blow at Stratford but had been running consistently before that and should now benefit from softer ground today. Cheekpieces stay on, and with some market support already and with the conditions more in his favor here, he has a real shout if the race falls apart late.
15:13 3:13 Saint Cloud
Piquoiseau
Daily Racing
25 EW
@6.50
Lose
-50
Piquoiseau is in stall number 3 and comes into this off a 51-day break after finishing fourth in a Group 3 over this course, running very well in a steadily run race. Trained by Christophe Ferland and ridden again by Stephane Pasquier, he has had three runs with one win and no places, giving him a 33% strike rate. His pedigree by Intello out of a Fairbanks mare says he should keep improving with experience over 2000m and up. Stall 3 is ideal for tracking the leaders, and he travels strongly in his races. With a good pace, he has a solid each-way chance at this level.
14:55 2:55 Curragh
Currawood
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@2.88
Lose
-50
Currawood is in stall number 2 and runs 24 days after a strong second in the Listed Glencairn Stakes over 9f at Leopardstown. His current mark of 107 looks fair given his recent performances, and he has a solid 20 total runs with 5 wins and 7 places, giving a 25% win rate and 35% place rate. Course form is sound with a placing from one run, and he has won at this distance before. Equipped with a tongue strap and cheek pieces, he tends to race handy, which is ideal for this track. With William Lee riding and Paddy Twomey training, he looks to have a good chance for the win here.
14:50 2:50 Ffos Las
Hatysa
Daily Racing
25 EW
@6.50
Lose
-50
Hatysa is in stall number 6, yet to win in three starts but showed me something to work with last time and she has a consistent profile. She runs off a current handicap mark of 69, which seems workable to me here. The course and distance are untested, but trainer Andrew Balding has a strong record here. With Oisin Murphy aboard from a middle draw, pace looks solid and she could get a decent position early. Each way potential if improving today.
14:37 2:37 Saint Cloud
Ragnar City
Daily Racing
25 EW
@11.00
Lose
-50
Ragnar City is in stall number 13 and comes here 40 days after finishing fourth at Angers over 2300m, where he was sent off as favourite but flopped at the end. Trained by Alain Couétil and ridden by Fabrice Veron, he has now had 6 runs with no wins but 2 places, giving him a 33% place rate. His pedigree by City Light out of an Invincible Spirit mare should suggest that there is more to come at middle distances. Stall 13 is not ideal and might force him to be held up early, but he stays well and a strong early gallop would suit. He could bounce back each way if things fall right.
14:25 2:25 Curragh
Erosandpsyche
Daily Racing
25 EW
@81.00
Lose
-50
Wild card here. Erosandpsyche is in stall number 8 and comes here 16 days after finishing third in a Listed sprint at Cork, shaping well despite the drop back to 5f. His mark of 102 is stiff but fair based on past Group 1 form, though he has not won in 10 starts since 2022. He has 19 total runs with 4 wins and 9 places, giving a 21% win rate and 68% place rate. He handles good ground and has placed at both course and distance. Likely to track the speed from midfield, blinkers retained and Oisin Orr back on, he still has a strong each way chance in this grade with 4 places and an 80/1 price.
14:10 2:10 Cartmel
Jolie Coeur Allen
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@2.75
Lose
-50
Jolie Coeur Allen was quietly handled when fifth here 36 days ago, beaten just over 9 lengths, but showed me she retains the ability as, in my honest opinion, the jockey did not give all there. She has been placed 4 times on similar ground and wears the hood again, which she has responded to in the past. Her current mark of 107 looks workable based on old Irish hurdles form. Place rate is 35%. With the prep run now behind her and if asked for more, she has a genuine each-way chance in a race lacking standout depth here.
14:00 2:00 Uttoxeter
Hymac
Daily Racing
25 EW
@6.00
Lose
-50
Hymac is running here again after 9 days after finishing second, beaten 12 lengths at Cheltenham off a handicap mark of 129. The mark looks fair given his consistent form with no wins but a 44% place rate from 9 runs at this level. He has placed well in similar class and going and wears a tongue strap and cheek pieces. Trainer Harry Fry and jockey Bryan Carver are in decent form. He tends to race prominently, so should get a good position. If he does, then he is an each-way chance here.
13:55 1:55 Saint Cloud
Bay City Roller
Daily Racing
25 EW
@6.50
Win
9
Bay City Roller is in stall number 6 and returned with a strong second in a Listed race over a mile at Sandown 31 days ago. Trained by George Scott and ridden by Cieren Fallon, he is now 4 runs in with 3 wins and a place, a 75% win rate and 100% place rate. His current mark of 110 is high but fairly justified on the Sandown form. He travels well and settles just off the pace, which suits this track. The draw in 6 is fair and he handles good ground. A big each-way player if improving again. Pace looks good for his style.
13:50 1:50 Curragh
Booyea
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@17.00
Lose
-50
Booyea is in stall number 12, which is far from ideal and could make things tricky early, especially going up in trip here after finishing 5th of 7 at Fairyhouse 16 days ago. He won this race last year and is back to the same track and distance where he has a 33% win rate from three runs. Trained by Thomas Gibney and ridden by Rory Whearty, claiming 3lb, he has 23 total runs with 4 wins and 2 places, showing a 17% win rate and 26% place rate. His current mark of 91 looks okay compared to when last winning a handicap, and he enjoys quick ground and runs well fresh. He will need a good pace to run at and should be ridden patiently today. Worth an each-way shout if overcoming the draw here.
1 member found this comment useful
State Actor
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@6.00
Lose
-50
State Actor is in stall number 8 and returns 36 days after a below-par effort here when beaten over 8 lengths. But he was entitled to need that after 8 months off, like most. His mark of 92 is on the high side now but not impossible, considering he is a two-time course and distance winner with a 25% win rate and 50% place rate from 8 runs at the trip. Overall, he has 14 runs with 2 wins and 4 places, giving a 14% win rate and 43% place rate. He handles the ground fine and is likely to be held up early before finishing late if the pace is strong. With Wayne Lordan booked and solid course form, he is not one to dismiss lightly and holds each-way claims if bouncing back.
13:30 1:30 Uttoxeter
Pounding Poet
Daily Racing
25 EW
@11.00
Lose
-50
Pounding Poet is in stall number 11, running 10 days after finishing a close 2-length third here off a mark of 119. His current handicap mark is fair given past wins at this level and a 12.5% win rate over 16 runs, plus a 31.25% place rate with headgear on. He has course and distance wins and handles similar going well. Trainer Tom Lacey and jockey Sam Twiston Davies have decent form here. He prefers to race mid-division and the pace should be solid here, making him a solid each-way chance with 4 places on offer.
13:20 1:20 Saint Cloud
Green Spirit
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@1.80
Win
40
Green Spirit is in stall number 4 and made a huge impression when winning on debut over 1200m here 41 days ago, showing lots of sharp acceleration. This daughter of Kingman out of Sapphire Pendant boasts top drawer pedigree and looked to have plenty left in the tank. This lightly raced filly has 1 run, 1 win for a 100% strike rate. She should track the leaders in what looks a fair pace and the draw is ideal for her. Mickael Guyon keeps the ride and the Christophe team remain in form. Very clear win chance again.
Samartina
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 11.00 on 29/06 at 11:51 Best Odds Guaranteed SP 66 used instead of 11.00 taken BOG
@67.00
Win
388
Samartina is in stall number 2 and makes her debut for Nicolas Caullery with Alexis Crastus booked to ride. This daughter of Chachnak out of a Showcasing mare is bred to be sharp and could have enough natural pace to be very competitive over this sprint trip. She has yet to run, but the draw in 2 is ideal for this forward-going bred filly if she breaks well. The stable has popped out winners with debutants before and has to be an each-way chance here at 11/1.
13:15 1:15 Curragh
Thunder Wonder
Daily Racing
25 EW
@9.00
Lose
-50
Thunder Wonder is in stall number 4 and returns just 10 days after finishing eighteenth in the Britannia at Royal Ascot, where he was beaten 7 lengths off a mark of 96. Prior to that, he narrowly won at Musselburgh off 92, and now races off 97, which looks a touch high based on his overall profile. However, he has 10 total runs with 3 wins and 1 place, giving a 30% win rate and 40% place rate. He has won over this distance before and handles this going well with a 33% win rate on similar ground. Trained by Charlie Johnston with Joe Fanning booked, he is likely to be prominent from 4 and could get an ideal stalking trip behind in what should be a solid pace. If settling better and bouncing back from a tough run at Ascot, he has each-way potential here.
12:45 12:45 Saint Cloud
Forza Sedaca
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 5.50 on 29/06 at 11:46 Best Odds Guaranteed SP 7.5 used instead of 5.50 taken BOG
@8.50
Win
13
Forza Sedaca is in stall number 7 and arrives here just 21 days after a win over 2400m at Lyon Dangers, where he travelled sweetly and found plenty late to land his eighth career win. He carries 9-5 off a workable mark and has clear chances at this distance. He has run 58 times with a 13.8% win rate and 34.5% place rate. The pace should be honest, which suits his off-the-pace style, and although the draw is not ideal, he is versatile. With a 3lb claimer in Dorian Santiago aboard again, he looks an each-way chance in this lineup.
Subtotal-105
Tips are normally be settled by 12pm the day after the event took place.
Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.
Please note that this information is for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as an indicator of a tipsters real life performance. The OLBG Tipster Competition is a simulation game and some of the rules and prices used by the tipsters may not always be available in the real world which can lead to misleading informaiton.
