Niffler

Restricted And Gubbed From Nearly Every Bookmaker Due To Picking Winners Over Time. Definitely Not A Mug Punter As I like To Have A Great Risk/Reward Ratio. I Use A Time-Tested Set Of Parameters, Using Pace & Pedigree Angles, Strike Rates & Current Mark, Looking For The Daily Market Movers And Those Horses That Have Lost Their Form, But Have A Good Chance Of Bouncing Back, Plus A Few Gut Feelings. All tips are personally backed. Just Remember That You Will Have Good & Bad Days In This Game

3

Estimated Prizes
this month

£15

Estimated Prize money
this month

Niffler's Tips History

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10 December 2025
16:45 4:45 Dundalk

Endless Dawn

Daily Racing

25 EW

@23.00

Lose

-50

Endless Dawn is in stall 11 and comes here after a decent fourth over a mile, where she stayed on from off the pace. This step up in trip looks a plus. Her current handicap mark of 45 looks good here, with her steady place form on this surface and trip telling me that she is knocking on the door. The wide stall is not ideal but can actually help her drop in, switch off, and creep into it down the back straight before being angled wide to finish late as the leaders tire today.
15:25 3:25 Hexham

Blended Stealth

Daily Racing

25 EW

@9.00

Lose

-50

Blended Stealth fell early at Sedgefield, but with his strong course and distance wins, plus places at Hexham over 2m to 3m, he has a 17% strike here. His 75 mark looks very doable and I expect patient hold-up tactics today from mid-park to grind late if his jumping holds, and with the blinkers on they should sharpen his focus. Pace is good for an each-way chance here, and remember he is a course specialist, so should bounce back.
15:17 3:17 Leicester

Jewel Eyed Judy

Daily Racing

25 EW

@8.00

Lose

-50

Jewel Eyed Judy comes here after a cosy 5-length win over this course and distance, where she travelled sweetly and picked up like a horse finally getting the hang of it. Off 83 she is only 7 higher than that run, so the mark still looks on the lenient side for a mare with her ability. At around 2½ miles she looks right at home, and that last run tells me that the penny has properly dropped now, and she should continue to do well. I expect James Turner to drop her in, get her relaxed, then creep into it before the home turn and let her stamina do the work up the straight.
1 member found this comment useful
15:05 3:05 Hereford

Boys Of Wexford

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@17.00

Lose

-50

Boys of Wexford comes here after unseating early at Huntingdon, so no damage done to his recent revival. He had shaped well when second there before. A mark of 79 looks fair for a seasoned handicap chaser who stays this 2m5 on soft/good ground and has course and distance place form. Cheekpieces helped him travel sweetly, and James Davies is on board, so I expect a handy sit just off what could be a hot early pace, then a grinding late challenge if he jumps cleanly.
14:55 2:55 Hexham

Walking On A Dream

Daily Racing

25 EW

@10.00

Win

20

Walking On A Dream showed a promising third on chase debut at Ayr over 2m where he was outpaced but ran like he has tons more to come over this longer 2m4f trip. With a 33% strike rate, his mark of 111 is fair and I expect Derek Fox will get a good stalking run here as the pace looks strong, and he has a solid winning chance if the favourite falters.
14:35 2:35 Hereford

Blue In The West

Daily Racing

25 EW

@13.00

Lose

-50

Blue In The West is here after a fair fourth at Exeter over 3m where he got outpaced but kept on. Fitness is bang on, and the trip today should be right in his comfort zone. His current mark of 88 looks good for a grinder who keeps nicking minor money in places. Callum Pritchard takes a handy claim for Ben Lund, so I expect a simple hold-up or midfield ride here. Let others cut each other up in the front, then try to creep into it down the back and stay on past a few tired ones late with his grind.
14:15 2:15 Leicester

Arcadian Star

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@19.00

Win

87

Arcadian Star arrives after a good staying run, third beaten on this course over 2m4f. She is building nicely in bumpers with a strong Mahler pedigree. No current handicap mark yet, but her progressive profile screams 'more.' With Hammond up, I expect a patient stalking run to grind late, and the solid looking pace suiting her here.
14:05 2:05 Hereford

Striking A Pose

Daily Racing

25 EW

@15.00

Lose

-50

Striking A Pose comes here after a rock-solid third at Exeter over this trip, travelling sweetly and keeping on. His recent form figures are much better than they might look. His current handicap mark of 113 looks fair because he has mixed it in stronger races off higher ratings and still held his own. This ease in grade gives him a nice chance to show his class. The course should suit a strong stayer like him, and he loves this ground. With blinkers sharpening him up, I expect Freddie Gingell to pop him out in a prominent stalking position, sit just behind the leaders, and then let him roll on turning in.
13:45 1:45 Leicester

Belle Montrose

Daily Racing

50 WINR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@7.50

Void

0

Belle Montrose is full of promise after a battling third at Sedgefield, beaten 14 lengths on ground which was less than ideal but she had a prior 10-length win at Fakenham off 88. This says to me that she is progressive over fences at 2 miles, where she has a 20% strike rate. A mark of 94 looks fair, and I expect a prominent stalking run to grind late on this good ground, where she has a 13% strike rate.
13:05 1:05 Hereford

Get In Order

Daily Racing

25 EW

@12.00

Lose

-50

Get In Order is a work in progress who comes here 29 days after a staying-on fourth over hurdles, so fitness and course experience are bang on. Stepping into handicaps should really unlock him and his mark is workable given that recent 9 length fourth was better than it looks, and he runs as the type to improve with a stronger pace to aim at here.
09 December 2025
20:00 Inter Milan v Liverpool

Lautaro Martinez

Anytime Goalscorer

50 WIN

@2.25

Lose

-50

Inter will look to attack quickly and use their forwards to break Liverpool’s defensive line. Lautaro thrives exactly in these moments. He’s a consistent scorer, sharp in tight spaces, and he’s Inter’s most reliable finisher when chances fall inside the box.
19:00 7:00 Newcastle

Instant Bond

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@7.00

Win

5

Instant Bond had a bad run last time out, but his prior form is workable here. He has gained a course placing over this 6f distance, so a bounce back can be possible on this all-weather track. The mark of 54 looks fair, and I expect a good stalking run with a late pounce from a wide draw if the pace is strong enough.
18:00 6:00 Newcastle

Law Degree

Daily Racing

25 EW

@21.00

Lose

-50

Law Degree is in stall 4 after a cracking fifth, beaten just 2 lengths here over 7. He seems to be now running into form off 55. He is a proven winner at this trip with a 9% strike rate, and cheekpieces are sparking an 8% success. Sean Kirrane rides for Tim Easterby, and I do expect a close-up stalking run where this low draw will suit a solid pace perfectly. His mark of 54 is good here, and he should be an each-way chance today
17:30 5:30 Newcastle

Sherlock

Daily Racing

25 EWNBNOTETip made at odds of 13.00 on 09/12 at 10:180.25 deduction for Eves Boy@3.75 withdrawn at 15:01R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 12.00 x (1-0.25) = 10.00

@10.00

Win

20

Sherlock is in stall 4 here after a solid fourth at Southwell over 7, where he ran his race well off 58. He's a Newcastle course placer twice on the all-weather, and this should suit his stalking style perfectly from this ideal low draw and a very fair 57 mark. Josephine Gordon rides for Kevin Ryan, and I expect him close as he has a late kick. Solid each-way chance with a 14% place strike here.
15:18 3:18 Newcastle

Vampire Slayer

Daily Racing

25 EW

@21.00

Lose

-50

Vampire Slayer has got consistent form on the all-weather, where he has previously placed over this exact trip. Mark of 58 looks good and he has been fitted with cheekpieces to aid his stalking run. Rowan Scott rides, and I expect a close run to the pace here and a late surge. With a 20% place strike rate, he has an each-way chance at good odds today.
15:00 3:00 Uttoxeter

Jiair Madrik

Daily Racing

25 EW

@21.00

Lose

-50

Jiair Madrik returns after approx 2 years off! But don't let that put you off. When last seen he posted a solid second in a 2m2 French claimer, showing that he has some real class with prior wins and places before. His mark of 110 looks fair for his debut here over 2m. Theo Gillard rides, and he should be an each-way chance with his 20% strike rate.
14:30 2:30 Uttoxeter

Autonomous Cloud

Daily Racing

25 EW

@13.00

Lose

-50

Autonomous Cloud should be primed after 24 days off. He now returns to his favored Uttoxeter course and distance with a 67% strike rate and 2 prior wins. His mark of 118 feels fair enough here based on his old form, and the tongue strap and cheekpieces have sparked a 33% success rate here. Harry O'Dwyer rides for Fergal O'Brien, and I expect a stalking run to grind late up the hill. Strong win chance at a 20% strike rate, and the pace suits perfectly today.
14:00 2:00 Uttoxeter

Up To Trix

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@9.00

Lose

-50

Up To Trix comes here after a break. His Irish point second and then third at Dromahane over 3m scream to me some raw staying talent that should transfer nicely to this soft ground. Sean Bowen rides for Olly Murphy, whose yard targets this race, so I expect a handy sit just off the pace before grinding on strongly.
13:30 1:30 Uttoxeter

Jolie Baie

Daily Racing

25 EW

@13.00

Lose

-50

Jolie Baie returns after 28 days off, a sixth place after a wind op, and tbh she needed that first run. Her prior second to me says she can bounce back over this 3m as she loves it here with a 33% strike on this ground. Her mark of 102 is very fair, and the tongue strap has given her a 25% success so far. Lambert rides for Davis, so with this setup I expect a good stalking run and a grind late on. Solid each-way chance and the pace suits her here.
08 December 2025
20:30 8:30 Wolverhampton

La Fleur Petrus

Daily Racing

25 EW

@9.00

Lose

-50

La Fleur Petrus drops back to 7f today, which will suit her better. She has a win rate of 25% at this trip. She runs off 66 today, which is workable, and she has won in this class before, so she has an each-way chance here. She will want cover early to help her settle, and if the pace is honest she can run on late and grab a place.
20:00 8:00 Wolverhampton

Invincible Crown

Daily Racing

25 EW

@11.00

Lose

-50

Invincible Crown is in stall 8 and ran really well here before off a mark of 63, which he has again today. He has a win rate of 10% and a place rate of 25% over this trip. He also ran on late last time, and the pace here should suit his hold-up style. Course and distance form is strong, and he looks a good each-way chance on this surface with the yard in form.
18:30 6:30 Wolverhampton

Irish Nectar

Daily Racing

25 EW

@23.00

Lose

-50

Irish Nectar is in stall 6 and returns after 21 days following a solid fourth at Newcastle, where he made up ground late after a good steady pace. With 14 runs at this distance, including a win, his current mark of 78 is doable, especially factoring in his previous good form. Trainer Herrington teams with Eaves, who can position him nicely to unleash a strong late burst here. This gelding has an 11% strike and place rate in this class and looks to be an each-way shout, as he normally has a hold-up style of running and can be ready to capitalize if the pace is genuine today.
14:55 2:55 Fontwell

Daring Plan

Daily Racing

25 EW

@13.00

Win

35

Daring Plan comes here after 31 days since pulling up over 2m3f here, but this 2m5f novices' handicap looks more like his tempo with the softer company in this field and a handy mark of 84 that now looks lenient. He is best stalking the pace and grinding away late, and despite low win and place percentages he might be a good each-way if his jumping holds together here.
14:45 2:45 Musselburgh

Halfway House Lad

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@13.00

Lose

-50

Halfway House Lad comes here 25 days after a solid third at Sedgefield over 3m2, plugging on late, so that last run was better than it looks. Current mark of 80 is fine, and around 3m on good to soft is bang up his street. The tongue strap suits, and Chapman can creep him into it late. A win is possible here, but to me it feels more like an each-way play with this pace setup, and the trip is ideal to let him stay on past a few rivals in the home straight.
14:07 2:07 Lingfield

Volendam

Daily Racing

25 EW

@13.00

Win

35

Volendam is in stall 12 and returns after showing me some signs of life last time, finishing fifth over 7f. That was a much better effort than previous runs and she handles 5 to 7f well and also drops again in the weights to a nice 54 mark. With Marco Ghiani aboard, I expect a patient run from a wide stall, holding her up to enjoy a late surge if the pace is strong enough. No wins yet, but she has a 40% place strike on this going.
13:15 1:15 Musselburgh

Breadalbane Lass

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@13.00

Lose

-50

Breadalbane Lass is primed to bounce back after 26 days off. That flat tenth at Ayr over 2m4, in my eyes, she just needed the outing. Her cracking prior second at Carlisle over this 2m screams she could be ready to pounce on this good to soft. Mark of 77 is spot on, and with Ben Smith riding I expect a smart stalking run to unleash a big late surge. Each-way chance and a 10% strike rate here.
07 December 2025
19:45 Napoli v Juventus

Draw

50 WIN

@3.10

Lose

-50

A draw suits the flow of this matchup. Napoli usually dominate the ball at home but lack some of their old cutting edge, while Juventus remain compact, organised and difficult to break down. Both sides are strong in midfield, cancelling out each other's rhythm, and neither tends to overcommit in the big Serie A clashes, so I reckon the draw here.
17:00 Lazio v Bologna

Lazio

50 WIN

@2.70

Lose

-50

Lazio at home usually raise their level, especially in tight Serie A games. Their midfield control and organisation tend to give them momentum, and Bologna can struggle away when pressed for long periods. Bologna are well coached and hard to break down, but their game dips on the road and they often lack the cutting edge in matches where possession swings against them. Lazio are stronger and have the ability to dictate tempo, which gives them the edge here.
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15:22 3:22 Cork

Theanniversary Man

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@6.50

Win

165

Theanniversary Man won well by 3 lengths off 72 at Thurles, and the new 78 mark feels spot on for this 2m4. John Barcoe and Daniel King team up with tidy strike rates at around 12% wins, so I expect him to stalk the pace midfield then quicken clear late. If in the same mood, he has a cracking win chance, grinding past rivals again.
14:37 2:37 Kelso

Hombre De Guerra

Daily Racing

25 EW

@17.00

Lose

-50

Hombre De Guerra returns after 27 days away, fresh from a battling three-quarter-length handicap win at Ayr off 122 before running fourth in stronger company last time. His 130 mark looks fair now, dropping back in class over this proven 2m on soft ground, which he loves. He has a 27% strike rate. Sean Quinlan rides for Alexander here, and I expect a prominent stalking run to grind out a late challenge.
14:00 2:00 Kelso

President Scottie

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@15.00

Lose

-50

President Scottie ran a good fourth at Ayr, and that was a fair run off 119, so this mark looks good here. He is knocking on the door for a win and he can stay this Kelso trip well and loves this kind of ground. The first-time cheekpieces feel a smart move here and Richards and McMenamin are a reliable combo with solid win and place strike rates. The pace should be honest enough for him to sit midfield, get into a rhythm, then keep plugging on past the tired ones late. So, this in my book makes him a strong each-way grinder today
14:00 Nice v Angers

Draw

50 WIN

@3.75

Lose

-50

Nice are usually strong at home but often play controlled, patient football that can keep games tight. Angers tend to sit deep, defend in numbers, and counter selectively, which will slow Nice down and limit space for them. Both sides have solid defensive structures but inconsistent finishing, so long spells of midfield play seem likely for the draw here.
13:40 1:40 Cork

Jalila Moriviere

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 9.00 used instead of 7.00 takenBOG

@9.00

Win

15

Jalila Moriviere demolished Sligo by 24 lengths, and in my eyes that form screams class for this 2m Grade 2 on the soft ground that she loves. With a 44% strike rate on this going, and with Willie Mullins and Walsh hitting 29% wins at Cork alone, she should stalk the pace well and then explode clear late, with the tongue tie sharpening her up today she should be hard to peg back
13:15 1:15 Huntingdon

Haas Boy

Daily Racing

25 EW

@8.00

Win

10

Haas Boy returns after back-to-back wins at Exeter off 105, idling but still full of running late on. He is a Huntingdon C&D winner and a 50% placer. His 110 mark looks fair and progressive here, especially with a tongue strap and cheekpieces fitted. Cobden rides for Williams, so I expect a stalking run to pounce late in this stamina test. Solid win chance with a 13% strike here and each-way value if pace suits him.
12:42 12:42 Huntingdon

Tom Desjy

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.50

Lose

-50

Tom Desjy ran a cracking second at Borris House, so I reckon that point form gives him a serious edge in this maiden hurdle. Warren Greatrex is hitting 15% lately, and with Sam Twiston-Davies aboard he should run well after a break, stay midfield, then make his surge late. In my book he's primed to jump well here and could even possibly win first time up.
12:10 12:10 Huntingdon

Mistral Blue

Daily Racing

25 EW

@23.00

Lose

-50

Mistral Blue returns after 26 days off with a cracking second, beaten just a length over this Huntingdon course and distance last time off 97, doing too much but still really full of promise that day. Her 99 mark looks spot on and progressive for the O'Briens, and I expect another patient stalking run to grind late up the finish late on. Solid each-way chance at 17% strike if the pace suits her hold-up style here.
12:00 12:00 Cork

Is Charlie Around

Daily Racing

25 EW

@34.00

Lose

-50

Is Charlie Around unseated his rider at Gowran but I reckon that was just bad luck. His 104 mark is fair, with his prior hurdles showing me glimpses of promise. Eamon Courtney and Ricky Doyle hit 12% win strikes, so he should stalk the pace smoothly and then power home late. In my eyes, he's primed to bounce back here and snag a win.
11:50 11:50 Kelso

Bohemond Antioch

Daily Racing

25 EW

@12.00

Win

30

Bohemond Antioch chased home a short-head second at Bangor after a wind op, and that 115 mark looks fair here over this 2m1 on softish ground that he loves. McCain and Gillard strike rates are around 11% wins at the moment, so I expect him to settle better midfield this time, then quicken late with a good staying effort again.
06 December 2025
21:04 9:04 Monmore

Tullymurry Troy

Daily Races

50 WIN

@1.80

Win

40

This should be Tullymurry Troy's day. He is in flying form with consistent second and third place finishes and a top best time of 28.65s. From trap 2 he can break cleanly and stay close to the pace. He looks primed to win if he gets a clear run today.
20:07 8:07 Hove

Kilmore Dancer

Daily Races

50 WIN

@4.50

Lose

-50

Kilmore Dancer has a sharp 500m best, and her recent form shows she can be right in the mix from the start. With a good break from her trap, she should settle well early, hold a strong line, and finish powerfully. Looks well placed to challenge for the win if she gets a clean run here.
19:48 7:48 Star Pelaw

Fagans Sonny

Daily Races

50 WIN

@3.25

Lose

-50

Fagans Sonny has a good quick best time here and recent runs show me he handles this track well. he can break sharp, stay prominent, and use his early speed to control the race. Looks well positioned to go for the win if he hits the ground running today
19:30 7:30 Wolverhampton

Prince Ali

Daily Racing

25 EW

@51.00

Lose

-50

Prince Ali is now back to his last winning mark here, and his 63 mark suits him, having won at this course and distance before. That shows me that he handles the all-weather well and class 4 races. Trainer Tim Faulkner and Zoe Lewis have had solid strike rates recently, so I expect him to be keen early but settle midfield. The wide stall is no issue on this trip, and with that winning mark back within reach, he has a decent each-way shout if he settles better.
19:16 7:16 Hove

Garfiney Blaze

Daily Races

50 WIN

@6.50

Lose

-50

Garfiney Blaze is one of the strongest stayers on the circuit and arrives after a big run last time when clocking 45.37 over 740 m, only beaten a head. His early 17.47 split was solid, and he stayed on powerfully as usual. His overall record over long distances is outstanding, with repeated wins at Hove, Nottingham, Towcester and Central Park. He regularly runs mid 44s to 45s, which is winning class at this level.
19:06 7:06 Monmore

Longacres Daddy

Daily Races

50 WIN

@2.20

Win

60

Longacres Daddy arrives as a red-hot, progressive greyhound, rattling off four straight wins and producing a best of 38.01 over 630m last time. That run was especially impressive, as he showed plenty of pace to the bend, stayed strongly, and was pulling away late. A major winning chance again. Form is solid, times are improving, and Trap 6 suits his style perfectly here.
18:42 6:42 Hove

Droopys String

Daily Races

50 WIN

@5.50

Lose

-50

Droopys String has shown me consistent pace over 500 m and this trap gives a perfect line into the first bend. I expect her to get away well, and with her strong finishing turbo kicking in, she will challenge for the win. If she finds clear running, she looks primed to go very close today.
18:25 6:25 Central Park

Lets Go Girl

Daily Races

50 WIN

@2.10

Lose

-50

Lets Go Girl is a sharp early pacer who almost always dives forward from the boxes, especially from inside and middle traps. Her 2.96 to 3.12 splits at Central Park are consistently quick enough to contest the lead here, and she has already posted a superb 28.90, which marks her out as a class act at this level.
17:30 Leeds v Liverpool

Leeds

50 WIN

@4.20

Lose

-50

Leeds United is my angle here. Leeds at Elland Road can be explosive when the crowd lifts them, and they press aggressively in bursts that unsettle possession-heavy teams. Liverpool have shown vulnerability this season when pressed high and when their defensive line is dragged into chaotic moments. Leeds will need energy, fast transitions, and early momentum. If they strike first, the game can tilt heavily their way.
17:00 5:00 Wolverhampton

Euphonia

Daily Racing

25 EW

@12.00

Lose

-50

Euphonia is on an 85 mark, and she deserves another crack here with Ed Walker's yard flying and Kieran Shoemark aboard. She should settle midfield and use that wide stall to avoid traffic. If she handles this step up today, she's got a great shot to bounce back and place, and maybe even win if she fires right.
16:59 4:59 Swindon

Bambis Miss

Daily Races

50 WIN

@2.88

Void

0

Bambis Miss has the early pace to get involved straight away, and this draw looks workable for her to slip round in the first two. Swindon rewards sharp trappers, and she has enough boot to grab the inside if she times it right. If she leads or sits close early, she has every chance of going very close here.
16:09 4:09 Yarmouth

Miami Mission

Daily Races

50 WIN

@2.00

Lose

-50

Miami Mission is a strong-running type who does his best work from the second bend onwards, and Yarmouth’s long run home plays to his strength. He is usually dependable, and if he can turn within a length or two of the leaders, his middle-race gears make him a danger to all late.
16:03 4:03 Swindon

Swift Olympia

Daily Races

50 WIN

@3.50

Lose

-50

Swift Olympia is a sharp breaker who tends to show her hand early and run with purpose to the bend. Swindon favours dogs that can hold a straight, committed line to the first turn, and she generally does that well when trapping cleanly. Her middle gears are decent, and she stays the trip reliably at this level.
15:51 3:51 Yarmouth

Laugh Alot

Daily Races

50 WIN

@2.20

Win

60

Laugh Alot has solid early gears and is usually sharp enough to hold a position into the first bend at Yarmouth, which is crucial around this track. When he traps level, he can control his lane and run a tidy middle section. His finishing effort is very reliable for this grade.
15:32 3:32 Yarmouth

Rockmount Nellie

Daily Races

50 WIN

@SP

Lose

-50

Rockmount Nellie is a genuine early pacer who is most effective when she pings the lids and secures the rail before the pack tightens. Yarmouth’s run to the bend is fair and gives the early types a proper chance. Her overall profile says she can hold a good line when trapping on terms here.
15:27 3:27 Navan

Gillane

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@8.50

Win

12

Gillane is a straightforward type who's shown me enough now in bumpers and that Gowran hurdle to say he's definitely got the ability. With Patrick Mullins riding for O'Donnell he's bred to stay this trip and i reckon he's the sort who'll travel quietly, stay on steadily, and could easily fill the frame. A solid each-way chance in an open-looking maiden here.
14:40 2:40 Aintree

Twig

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@26.00

Win

750

Twig is a proper old pro, and he showed me at Sandown that there is still plenty left in him. He ground it out from the front and found more when they came at him late. He’s at his best bowling along over about 3m, and Aintree should let him do just that if he gets away cleanly. The new mark does ask a bit more from him, but he’s tough, so another prominent run feels very realistic here. If he gets into that comfortable jumping groove, he can give a proper run for your money here and isn’t out of this by any means.
13:25 1:25 Wetherby

One Last Glance

Daily Racing

25 EW

@34.00

Win

140

One Last Glance is running 11 days since unseating while closing strongly last time. His handicap mark of 93 looks fair, and the tongue strap and cheekpieces have boosted his form, with a 25% strike rate in headgear. Trainer Tom Gretton and jockey William Maggs have decent recent strike rates, making him a solid each-way chance who will race patiently and finish strongly today.
12:30 Aston Villa v Arsenal

Draw

50 WIN

@3.50

Lose

-50

Villa Park is a fortress where Villa press with intensity and rarely give opponents time to settle. Arsenal are organized and composed in possession, and usually handle away games with patience. Both sides have the quality to score, but they also tend to cancel each other out in big, structured games. Villa’s tempo versus Arsenal’s control should create spells of stalemate. I expect momentum to swing, with chances at both ends, but neither side quite doing enough to pull clear. A tight, competitive draw makes sense here to me.

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