Niffler
Restricted And Gubbed From Nearly Every Bookmaker Due To Picking Winners Over Time. Definitely Not A Mug Punter As I like To Have A Great Risk/Reward Ratio. I Use A Time-Tested Set Of Parameters, Using Pace & Pedigree Angles, Strike Rates & Current Mark, Looking For The Daily Market Movers And Those Horses That Have Lost Their Form, But Have A Good Chance Of Bouncing Back, Plus A Few Gut Feelings. All tips are personally backed. Just Remember That You Will Have Good & Bad Days In This Game
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Niffler's Tips History
04 January 2026
17:05 5:05 Southwell
Timely Affair
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@2.38
Win
69
Timely Affair took a huge step forward when beaten just 1L here over C&D on debut, travelling extremely well before going down fighting. I have seen a few eye-catching efforts with only four career starts, and that runner-up spot behind Latin off 49 was easily his best work yet. It says to me that he is well handicapped for this low-grade race. Top jockey booking with Neil Callan onboard also.
Wheres The Crumpet
Daily Racing
25 EW
@34.00
Win
140
Wheres The Crumpet is a tough old mare who keeps battling away and has excuses for that recent Newcastle run where the pace collapsed on her. Now back fresh at her favoured 1m with cheekpieces on, she's worth another go. Proven at the trip and is a three-time winner at 8 to 9f including recent Carlisle and Ayr handicaps, grinding it out when getting a lead. Freshened up nicely here after 59 days off, which gives her time to reset, and she's often bounced back strongly after breaks.
16:35 4:35 Southwell
Bond Spirit
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@51.00
Lose
-50
Bond Spirit is a seasoned Southwell regular who usually runs his race at this level. But tbh he is hard to win with and needs a few of the younger legs to underperform to grab an each-way here. So he does look more like a place squeak at a good price. The track and trip suit, and he is a dual course winner and twice placed over today’s 1m3f, including a solid second over 1m6f here, so the surface and stamina test are right in his comfort zone. He also did get his head back in front at Wolverhampton over 1m4f off a similar mark, which shows he still has the ability to land a Class 6 when things fall right.
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Krissy
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@2.75
Lose
-50
Krissy has won two of her last three starts on the all-weather, most recently quickening smartly to score by 1l over 1m4f off a 3lb lower mark than here. She landed back-to-back handicaps in 2025, showing me very good improvement when stepped up in trip and aggressively ridden. I do think she is still unexposed at 12f-plus, and Jim Goldie has multiple sprint and middle-distance AW winners. Lauren Young's 5lb claim keeps her perfectly handicapped here also.
16:05 4:05 Southwell
Night Bear
Daily Racing
25 EW
@9.00
Win
15
Night Bear is a tough old battler who loves leading and could relish the first-time visor after flattening out at Lingfield LTO. A decent each-way shout for a bounce back in this company. He is a course winner, and the booking of Neil Callan gives him every chance to dictate again here.
Thundering Breeze
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@4.33
Lose
-50
Thundering Breeze is a reliable handicapper who ran another good race when 4th of 12, beaten a little, staying on steadily without quite getting her head in front. She did travel better than the bare 4th suggests, so this confirms she's still competitive around this mark. Ashley Lewis takes 5 lb off again.
15:35 3:35 Southwell
Juno Star
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@5.00
Lose
-50
Juno Star arrives on the back of a solid C&D win here back in October and a recent fourth when favourite, proving she's still competitive just 1 lb above her winning mark. Landed this 5f trip at Southwell by 1 lb off 49, quickening well from off the pace to win. Drops to a handy 9.4 with a 5 lb claimer from Ashley Lewis also.
Kipp Kelly
Daily Racing
25 EW
@23.00
Lose
-50
Kipp Kelly keeps knocking on the door, making him a fair each-way here in this company. Twice placed from 11 starts here, including a recent C&D second where he traveled strongly but had too much to do late on. He's still competitive off 49 with Gina Mangan onboard and I think he is primed for a repeat effort now back at his fave 5f on this ground.
15:00 3:00 Southwell
Jm Jhingree
Daily Racing
25 EW
@10.00
Lose
-50
Jm Jhingree is a proper front-running sort who landed a recent Newcastle 5f handicap by 1L off 69 before finding Ziggys Triton too strong over C&D last week. He does look an each-way chance today here despite dropping to the bottom weight. That Newcastle win showed he still has good ability at this level, dictating matters before battling on gamely. He is also a proven 5f performer with 4 from 24 here at the trip, with his recent form confirming he's still competitive off 72, especially with 5lb claimer Lauren Young on board.
Ziggys Triton
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@4.33
Lose
-50
Ziggys Triton is thriving at this Southwell straight course with a very smooth 1l handicap win off 84, and looks the type to complete the hat-trick despite a 5 lb penalty. Two wins and a place from four runs here. Latest victory came in great style when he was tracking the leaders before quickening clear inside the final furlong. He has a progressive profile and is seeking the hat-trick under Mark Winn with a 3 lb claim also.
14:30 2:30 Southwell
Call Glory
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@3.75
Win
137
Call Glory is twice placed from seven starts at Southwell, including C&D. He stays on late if he gets a clear run at the rivals ahead turning in. He is on a very competitive mark here, down to 49, with a 5 lb claimer aboard. He's been placed off higher marks before when the race pans out for his grinding style.
The Cutest
Daily Racing
25 EW
@34.00
Lose
-50
The Cutest has been frustrating lately with four straight defeats, but the first-time tongue-tie and a drop to a workable mark could spark a bounce back today. She landed a 7f handicap by 1l off 64 despite hanging, showing that she can still grind out a victory on the AW. Effective at this trip, she has 1 from 6 at 6f overall, and the Southwell sand should suit her grinding style under a 5 lb claimer here.
14:00 2:00 Southwell
Mythical Isle
Daily Racing
25 EW
@9.50
Lose
-50
Mythical Isle took a big step forward when beaten just half a length over 6f off 55, racing keenly but still finishing full of running despite being very green. That, to me, was a good eye-catching run. That second LTO was easily his career best, confirming 6f suits him and he's well handicapped for this company with a lenient opening mark. 5 lb off with Jack Nicholls for in-form Paul Morris also.
Secret Road
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@2.75
Lose
-50
Secret Road is a proper Southwell specialist with two C&D wins who can bounce back from recent efforts now back at his favourite track and trip. Course and distance record is 3 from 6 here over 6f with two places, showing me that he thrives on this straight and knows how to get his head in front when the stars align, which could be today.
13:30 1:30 Southwell
Down To The Kid
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@5.00
Win
200
Down To The Kid went close here LTO, beaten just half a length off a 1 lb lower mark despite being well positioned. To me, he is the course king so far, with 6 from 18 at Southwell, which proves he's thriving on the Tapeta with an excellent record around 7f to 1m.
Havana Sky
Daily Racing
25 EW
@15.00
Lose
-50
Havana Sky arrives after a neck second at Wolverhampton over 7f off 71, beaten narrowly, and drops back to a mark he's won off before. He has solid form and LTO stayed on strongly despite traffic. A prior win at 7f off 67 shows he loves the AW. As he loves this course and is a dual Southwell winner, placed at C&D before, and the visor sharpens him up on each run, I expect him to be around an each-way here.
13:00 1:00 Southwell
Portoro
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@5.50
Lose
-50
Portoro is a rock-solid Southwell performer and the recent second here, despite a slow start, shows he's still more than capable at this level off 60. He is also a course-and-distance winner, with one win from four and three places. That says to me that he thrives around this sharp 7f.
Simply Blue
Daily Racing
25 EW
@8.00
Lose
-50
Simply Blue is a reliable handicapper who won impressively off a 4 lb higher mark at Wolverhampton in October, grinding out a half-length despite hanging. With the tongue-tie on for the first time, it could sharpen her up after that seventh at Wolverhampton over 6f where she never got into it. Now back to a more suitable 7f should help.
12:40 12:40 Cagnes sur Mer
Gilded Dragon
Daily Racing
25 EWNAPNOTETip made at odds of 7.00 on 04/01 at 10:53 Best Odds Guaranteed SP 8 used instead of 7.00 taken BOG
@9.00
Win
15
Gilded Dragon looks ready to win one of these handicaps, and today’s race gives him a very fair chance to be right in the mix. The combination of proven course form, a workable opening mark, and a strong yard makes him a realistic each??'way. He is a solid course pointer, and the second over 3,400 m here in a Class 3 hurdle reads well for this Class 4 handicap, especially as he travelled strongly and only found one too good over this trip.
Subtotal-74
03 January 2026
20:30 8:30 Southwell
Brodies Boy
Daily Racing
25 EW
@11.00
Win
25
Brodies Boy is a stayer who showed some decent placing form earlier in the season. Now dropping back to a fair mark with cheekpieces on gives him a good chance if he recaptures his earlier efforts. He showed a fair bit of promise with some solid efforts, like the close second over 1m2f earlier in the year, which proves he stays this distance well on the AW. He's also placed multiple times for Tony Carroll since joining the yard, so we have possibilities today.
17:30 5:30 Southwell
Titian Blue
Daily Racing
25 EW
@13.00
Lose
-50
Titian Blue is a consistent filly who keeps finding the frame on the AW, with multiple places at Southwell, including a recent 2nd over 6f. At the moment she is from 3 at 7f, but she ran last time like the 7f suits and can stay on well. Michael Appleby also has a high strike rate at Southwell.
15:57 3:57 Cork
Kilbarry Alexy
Daily Racing
25 EW
@12.00
Lose
-50
Kilbarry Alexy made a promising debut when third in a Naas juvenile hurdle, despite racing keenly and flattening up the hill. This was an eye-catching run for me as he was tongue-tied, tracked the pace well and hit the front before fading late, so he should love this step up to 2m. Claimer boost also with a 7lb from Kenneally.
15:50 3:50 Wincanton
A King Of Magic
Daily Racing
25 EW
@9.50
Void
0
A King Of Magic is a well-bred 5yo from the Paul Nicholls yard and showed good cruising speed on both bumper starts. He should improve over hurdles with his pedigree from Desinvolte, who has lots of staying power and Nicholls' first-time-out strike rate here is also very good.
15:22 3:22 Cork
Cahirdown Boy
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@19.00
Lose
-50
Cahirdown Boy is an old handicapper, but that recent Limerick fourth tells me that he’s just starting to come back. This looks like a realistic spot for him to run another good race. He ran very well when fourth in a 2m3f hurdle, travelling into second after 3 out and only losing his position after late mistakes, so that was his best run for a while. He has a very nice racing weight today and effectively runs from the foot of the weights here: 10.0 plus a 7 lb claimer on board, which gives him a little value edge here.
15:05 3:05 Sandown
Digby
Daily Racing
25 EW
@13.00
Lose
-50
Digby is a proper old warrior who still grinds out a good run over marathon trips. He loves 3m+ where he's won before, and Sandown's fences will suit him if he gets into a rhythm early. The handicap mark is very fair here, and he has placed off higher in the past. A 5 lb claimer from Patrick O'Brien helps.
13:40 1:40 Cork
Shabby Hill
Daily Racing
25 EWNAPR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@17.00
Void
0
Shabby Hill has a point-to-point winning background, a strong run style, and made late ground lto. He ran as though this stiffer test would suit today and he is a proven stayer in points, where he travelled strongly and kept finding. Charles Byrnes has an excellent record in Irish staying maidens, and Philip Byrnes takes off a handy 5 lb here.
Subtotal-175
02 January 2026
15:47 3:42 Chelmsford City
Midnight Rumble
Daily Racing
25 EW
@13.00
Win
35
Midnight Rumble has class on the flat and has shown me glimpses on the AW before. He won over 1m 2f on turf last year and placed several times in Class 4 and 5 handicaps, so the trip and Polytrack are within his reach if back to that previous form level. Luke Catton claims 3 lb here, which could help.
15:30 3:30 Ayr
Coconut Splash
Daily Racing
25 EW
@26.00
Lose
-50
Coconut Splash is a consistent 11yo stayer with a solid hurdle win under his belt and has been placed several times up to 3m2f, so the stamina test here suits his Stowaway pedigree perfectly. Kit Alexander has a 5 lb claim, and the family colours is a positive booking, I think, for a decent father-and-son team who can be very competitive in these races.
15:00 3:00 Ayr
Milcree
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionBest Odds Guaranteed SP 7.00 used instead of 6.50 takenBOG
@7.00
Win
180
Milcree brings solid hurdle form into this chase debut after a bit of time off. His sixth in a Class 3 handicap here last April was respectable. Dropping to 115 with his proven stamina looks tempting here. He stays 2m4f+ well and handles this ground, which is ideal for him here
14:17 2:12 Chelmsford City
Riot
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@23.00
Lose
-50
Riot loves 7f on the sand, although recent runs have been a bit off. He’s back on his last winning mark and returns to a track and trip that can play to his strengths. There’s enough in his profile to be positive here if the race shape falls his way, and back on his winning mark gives him every chance to put things right today at a decent price.
12:30 12:30 Ayr
Blofeld
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@9.50
Lose
-50
Blofeld is a lightly raced 7yo who showed me promise on debut at Carlisle and now returns to Ayr where he already has a win. His profile is progressive, and this looks a good spot for him. He won by 7 lengths after a 279-day break, so he can run well fresh. The last time he travelled strongly and should find plenty off the bridle in the straight again.
Subtotal65
01 January 2026
20:00 Brentford v Tottenham
Tottenham
50 WIN
@3.20
Lose
-50
Spurs look well placed to take this. Their attacking quality and pace should create plenty of chances, especially if the game opens up early. When Tottenham get into rhythm, they can overwhelm teams very quickly.
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@1.91
Lose
-50
This matchup has goals written all over it. Tottenham play with pace and constantly attack. Brentford are strong at home, direct, and very capable of scoring. So with both sides that can create chances and both comfortable playing end to end, the game flow should suit a very open, high-scoring match here.
Yes (BTTS)
Both Teams to Score
50 WIN
@1.73
Lose
-50
Brentford attack well at home and create chances consistently. Tottenham have the firepower up front and often score even when conceding. Looking for an open-ended game here with goals at both ends.
Tottenham & Yes (Result + BTTS)
Result and BTTS
50 WIN
@6.00
Lose
-50
Tottenham have the edge on quality and attacking depth here and should lead by full time. Brentford can find the net with their set pieces, so I expect BTTS and Spurs for the win here.
20:00 Sunderland v Man City
Man City
50 WIN
@1.53
Lose
-50
City should be in a confident, front-foot mood here. Their control of possession and ability to create waves of chances usually suffocates teams like Sunderland. Sunderland can show fight, particularly early on, but City's squad depth, composure, and clinical finishing will come through as the game wears on.
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@1.73
Lose
-50
Manchester City usually control games through lots of possession. Even if Sunderland defend deep, City’s sustained pressure, depth of attacks, and the ability to score multiple goals on their own make over 2.5 the more realistic chance here, I reckon.
Yes (BTTS)
Both Teams to Score
50 WIN
@1.83
Lose
-50
Sunderland are resilient at home and can find the net against top sides. Man City’s attacking quality is relentless, so even if Sunderland score first, City will respond. I expect goals from both sides here.
Man City & Yes (Result + BTTS)
Result and BTTS
50 WIN
@3.10
Lose
-50
This is my value play here. Man City’s firepower should see them take control, but Sunderland at home and their counterattacks could yield a goal or two. I expect early City dominance with Sunderland replying at some point today.
18:30 Beitar Jerusalem v Hapoel Tel Aviv
Beitar Jerusalem
50 WIN
@1.90
Win
45
Beitar Jerusalem look the stronger option at home, bringing sharper attacking and better recent scoring. Hapoel Tel Aviv can compete, but Beitar’s energy and greater goals scored should give them a clear edge to secure the win.
17:30 Crystal Palace v Fulham
Draw
50 WIN
@3.50
Win
125
This one looks nicely balanced. Palace are solid at home and usually competitive, while Fulham are organized and hard to break down when away. Neither side stands out strongly enough to fully dominate, so I feel a draw is the most likely.
Under 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@1.91
Win
46
This derby looks set to be very tight and tactical. Both sides are well organised defensively and prioritise structure over risking it all in these matchups. Palace tend to be controlled at home, while Fulham are comfortable slowing games down. Chances may come, but sustained end-to-end pressure feels unlikely here, so a narrow scoreline or a 1-1 type of game, I think.
Yes (BTTS)
Both Teams to Score
50 WIN
@1.80
Win
40
Both teams are likely to score here. Palace are solid at home but are prone to conceding on counter-attacks. Fulham have some decent scorers and are good at counter attacks and tend to find the net even when they are away. I expect goals at both ends today.
Crystal Palace & Yes (Result + BTTS)
Result and BTTS
50 WIN
@4.33
Lose
-50
Crystal Palace should start strongly at home and will likely take the lead early. Fulham are capable of scoring on the counter, so both teams finding the net is very realistic today.
17:30 Liverpool v Leeds
Liverpool
50 WIN
@1.50
Lose
-50
Liverpool should win. They have the quality edge and home advantage. They will be more reliable over 90 minutes. Leeds can compete, but Liverpool should dominate by full time.
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@1.62
Lose
-50
Liverpool’s high-tempo style of attack at Anfield usually generates plenty of chances. Leeds are known for their open, attacking approach under pressure. I expect end-to-end play, with both sides likely to concede at least once. A 3-1 or 3-2 scoreline is realistic here.
Yes (BTTS)
Both Teams to Score
50 WIN
@1.80
Lose
-50
Liverpool should take control at Anfield. Their high pressing, attacking depth, and home advantage make them strong favourites here. Leeds can cause problems on the break, but Liverpool’s quality should stick even if they concede a goal.
Liverpool & Yes (Result + BTTS)
Result and BTTS
50 WIN
@3.00
Lose
-50
I think that the most likely outcome here is Liverpool to win and Leeds to score. Liverpool are strong at home, controlling games early, and Leeds may struggle to breach their defence more than once today.
17:05 5:05 Newcastle
Yellow Lemons
Daily Racing
25 EW
@21.00
Lose
-50
Yellow Lemons is a filly who keeps showing up and occasionally flashes some ability without ever quite getting in front. She loves Newcastle and her best effort was a solid 2nd here over 6f in October off 45, beaten just 1 length. She's run well in the last four starts, including a good 4th, so she knows where the winning post is. Trip and conditions are ideal here, as she handles 6f perfectly on the AW, and cheekpieces keep her focused.
16:05 4:05 Newcastle
Novak
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@29.00
Lose
-50
Novak is a horse who rarely runs a bad race here. This looks like another good spot where he can nick some place money if things fall right. He is a course specialist with 10 wins overall and is very much a “horses for courses” type, with multiple frequent placings over 6f to 7f around here.
15:28 3:25 Musselburgh
Mr Mcloughlan
Daily Racing
25 EW
@6.50
Lose
-50
Mr McLoughlan arrives in cracking nick after a hat-trick of wins, and that last one off 118. He even got a great 8th in Grade 2 company, so he does have a progressive profile. Freddie Gingell claims 5 lb to offset the top weight here.
15:20 3:20 Catterick
Character Testing
Daily Racing
25 EW
@10.00
Lose
-50
Character Testing has ability but has been frustratingly patchy since his wind op. He’s now dropping back to 2m on potentially quicker ground, which could spark a revival from a very workable mark. He showed some solid early promise when winning a Class 4 handicap over 2m4f last winter off 95, and has placed off higher marks, so the chance is here today.
14:55 2:51 Musselburgh
Wearelongterm
Daily Racing
25 EW
@15.00
Win
45
Wearelongterm is a decent stayer who can go well fresh but has been prone to jumping errors lately. This return to hurdles at Musselburgh after a break could suit if he gets his mojo back. Recent chase efforts were a good 2nd and 3rd, before the fall and poor run, but his hurdle mark looks workable to me. Back to hurdles should help, as he has a better record over timber, placed multiple times including here, and is dropping an extra 5 lb with Charlie Maggs on board.
14:15 2:15 Musselburgh
Malystic
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@29.00
Lose
-50
Malystic is an old pro who absolutely loves these fast 2m chases. The engine is still there at his best form, and he can bounce back here. Not that long ago he was winning and placing in Class 2 handicaps off marks in the mid-140s, so this mark of 128 seriously underrates his peak ability, I reckon.
08:00 Western Sydney Wanderers v Macarthur FC
Western Sydney Wanderers
50 WIN
@1.85
Lose
-50
Western Sydney look primed to take control at home with their aggressive pressing and attacking. Macarthur have quality forwards, but the Wanderers’ ability to dominate key moments should see them claim a home win here.
04:00 Auckland FC v Newcastle Jets
Auckland FC
50 WIN
@1.73
Lose
-50
Auckland look well placed to make a strong win at home, I reckon. They tend to start with a fair bit of pace, move the ball quickly, and create chances through high-tempo attacking play, which suits them well in this matchup.
Subtotal-699
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Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.
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