Niffler

Percival is in stall 6, which is a good draw as it allows him to not be trapped wide but still have room to settle comfortably. He ran 42 days ago, finishing 4th over 2000m, showing me some good progress and promise but fading late, so now he comes into a better suited trip here. His handicap mark is pretty fair for his class and recent form also, giving him a good chance to improve today. Under trainer Fabre and jockey Favriaux, who both have strong stats, he should settle off the pace, track the leaders, and unleash a strong finish. Stall 6 suits his stalking style, letting him avoid traffic, and he should time his run well. Given his steady improvement, decent strike rate, and the hood change to help him relax, he looks like a win chance here.