MrKeygenn
1
Estimated Prizes
this month
£5
Estimated Prize money
this month
MrKeygenn's Tips History
27 May 2026
20:30 8:30 Kempton
Kirchner
Daily Racing
100 EWNAP
@+2800
Lose
-200
Kirchner looks overpriced here to me considering the profile he brings into this race. He was clearly well regarded in France, winning on debut before going off at short prices on several subsequent starts, including 4/9 and 1/1 favourite. His only AW run came at Pau, where he finished 3rd, beaten just 1 3/4 lengths, so I do not see the surface as a major negative here.
His latest Ascot run is easy enough to forgive. That was his first start for James Owen after a 353-day break, and he pulled hard before weakening late in a competitive Class 3 handicap. The race has already worked out, with Valedictory, who finished just ahead of him, winning well next time out.
He should strip fitter now, second up for a yard that is in excellent form at the moment with 4 winners yesterday, and Luke Morris is a solid booking for Kempton. There are risks, especially from a wide draw and if he fails to settle again, but at the prices the market may be overreacting to one comeback run. He looks a lively each-way play today and has every chance in this handicap.
Subtotal-200
26 May 2026
16:20 4:20 Redcar
Willowinghurn
Daily Racing
50 EW
@+1600
Lose
-100
Looks interesting today at 16/1 with 4 places on offer. Her recent form looks poor, but she has a few angles that make her interesting at the price. She won at Redcar last season on similar ground and is now back to 7f, which looks more suitable than the mile she tried last time. That run can be forgiven a bit as they went hard and she faded late. Her mark is also workable again, with her last win coming off 65 and today she runs off 63. A low draw helps today too. She needs to bounce back, but at 16/1 this looks a fair each-way play.
Subtotal-100
21 May 2026
19:40 7:40 Chepstow
Dragon God
Daily Racing
50 EW
@+800
Lose
-100
Dragon God is one of the most solid value plays on the card. His latest run was much stronger than the bar suggests. He finished with the best speed in the race and earned an excellent efficiency figure, which tells us he was finishing properly rather than just plugging on. He also had to make his effort from a position that left him with plenty to do. The return to 6f looks ideal, and Billy Loughnane is a positive booking. The obvious knock is that he is still a maiden, but he's running like a horse close to winning and the market may still be underestimating that last effort at 8/1. He looks a fair-value bet rather than a short-priced obvious one.
17:35 5:35 Musselburgh
Invincible Crown
Daily Racing
50 EWNB
@+1400
Lose
-100
Invincible Crown looks the interesting outsider in the 5:35. His last run at Pontefract was better than the finishing position suggests. He was still close enough inside the final furlong, but once his winning chance was gone he was not given a hard time and appeared to finish with more left than the result suggests. The important part today is the drop in class to Class 6 over 5f. That class relief could be meaningful, especially for a horse who has not been beaten far in a better race. The market looks focused on the obvious runners like Classy Clarets and Canaria Queen, but Invincible Crown showed enough LTO for me to take them on. He looks a proper value each-way play.
16:50 4:50 Catterick
Emerald Army
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+1000
Win
25
Emerald Army looks the value angle in the 4:50. The market is built around Filey Beach, who is clearly the most likely winner, but Emerald Army has a setup that could suit at a much bigger price. He is a previous C&D winner, returns to 7f, and is drawn high in a race where the draw looks favourable toward that side. His recent form is not flashy, which is why the price is there, but there was enough in his latest run to suggest this return to 7f can help. He also has Ruth Carr's stablemate Filey Beach helping frame the race, but Emerald Army is the one at a price with a less obvious upside. At 12/1, he looks overpriced relative to his course, draw, and trip setup.
15:30 3:30 Haydock
Sparkling Pink
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+1600
Lose
-50
Sparkling Pink is a value play in the Haydock 3:30.
Her Doncaster third last time looks stronger than it did on the day. The winner has since won again, the second has won since, and the fourth has run well too. Sparkling Pink was right in the race, led over 3 furlongs out, and kept on well enough to suggest she's competitive from this mark. She stays this sort of trip, is drawn low, and remains on the same rating, which makes her interesting in a race where the favourite has a short price and still fully has to prove conditions.
The concern is the soft ground, as her best form has come on better ground. But at around 16/1 that risk is already built into the price. She looks too big if she can handle the surface.
Sun Of Dolly
Daily Racing
50 EWNAP
@+1000
Lose
-100
His Windsor Handicap debut was better than the bare result suggests. He was still learning his job but finished strongly into fourth, and the sectional view backed up the visual impression, showing a strong late speed figure. That run suggests he has more ability than his form figures imply, and he has a very live chance of going close today.
Subtotal-325
20 May 2026
15:42 3:42 Ayr
Garden Oasis
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 9.00 on 19/05 at 22:200.10 deduction for Sir Paul Ramsey@9.50 withdrawn at 13:55R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 8.00 x (1-0.10) = 8.20Best Odds Guaranteed SP 17.00 used instead of 8.20 BOG
@+1600
Win
55
He is an exposed veteran, but this is exactly his step. His record over this Ayr mile course and distance is excellent: 5 runs, 3 wins, 1 place, and he also won this race last year. That sort of course-specific form is hard to ignore, especially at a track like Ayr where some horses clearly come alive.
The wider profile backs it up too. He has won 14 times on similar going, 13 times at the distance, and 7 times in Class 4 company, so tomorrow's conditions are not asking him anything new. He is also trained by Tim Easterby, who has a strong long-term record with him.
The market seems focused on the more obvious unexposed types like Return To Unit, but Garden Oasis has the race-specific substance they still have to prove. He is not a sexy profile, but he is proven over the C&D, class and ground.
14:42 2:42 Ayr
Footwork
Daily Racing
25 EWNBNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@+1100
Win
330
His comeback run reads ordinary on paper, but there was more encouragement in the run than the finishing position shows. He travelled well enough to get involved and led around 3f out before weakening, which suggests he retained plenty of ability but may have needed the outing. That matters because he won second-up around this time last season, so there is a clear reason to expect sharper fitness now.
The step up in trip is the unknown, but it is not a random move. There is enough stamina on the dam side to make this sort of distance plausible, and if he settles better, the new trip could unlock improvement rather than expose him.
The market is focused on the more obvious Pearl Eye and Candonomore angles, but Footwork has a less obvious profile: second-up improvement, potential trip upside and a comeback run that may be stronger than it looks. At the early double-figure price, he looked worth a chancing.
On at 15.0 on the exchange but money has started to come for him.
14:12 2:12 Ayr
Doon The Glen
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 11.00 used instead of 8.00 takenBOG
@+1000
Win
25
His latest Hamilton run was much better than the bare result suggests. He missed the break enough to end up at the back over 5f, which is rarely ideal. But once the race developed he finished strongly and was finishing off best of them. He passed the eye test.
The extra furlong now looks a logical positive. If he breaks even a little cleaner and gets within striking range earlier, he should be able to get much more involved than last time. Classy Clarets and Wee Mary are obvious dangers, with the latter catching the eye too, but both are too short for my liking. Doon The Glen still looks the one whose last run may have been underestimated.
Managed to get on him at 12.0 on the exchange, but he's still a very workable each-way play.
Subtotal410
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Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.
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