misterguk

I tend to use results data as the basis for my tips - so it is more mathematical than my knowledge of the horses or football. The horse racing tips I am currently providing (Nov 2024 and beyond) is based on a lot of reliable data although my actual criteria depends on factors at the off time so my real world experience may differ slightly. The football tips I am doing at the moment are more of a play and only based on a bit of the current seasons data. It's profitable but could turn - but with more data, I can become more accurate!

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misterguk's Tips History

All tips
All sports
07 January 2026
20:15 Newcastle v Leeds

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

150 WIN

@1.83

Win

124

Yes. Just yes. This has surely got to be the surefire bet of the night. Both teams have had some decent results of late. They've also either not scored or managed to keep a clean sheet on occasion (both teams) but overall, when I look at all recent results in all competitions, I'm seeing them score & concede plenty. I think the win is Newcastle' - undoubtedly the stronger team, but I think BTTS Yes is a big win
19:45 Lazio v Fiorentina

Lazio

150 WIN

@2.60

Lose

-150

I think Lazio are under-represented in the betting odds here. I think although nowhere near odds-on, it ought to be closer to odds-on. Lazio I think will win - yes they have only taken 5 points from their last four vs Fiorentina's 6 points, but the away team are joint bottom of the table
19:30 Bournemouth v Tottenham

Over 2.50

Total Goals

150 WIN

@1.80

Win

120

Another fixture I wouldn't like to call. Bournemouth are going into this as quite the favourite over Spurs, but will the impending (probable) loss of Semenyo affect matters on the pitch in what could be his last game for the Cherries? But I think there will be goals and then pushes for more goals. I'd go either BTTS Yes or over 2.5 but the over 2.5 market seems better value
19:30 Brentford v Sunderland

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

150 WIN

@2.10

Open

0

I'm surprised the betting odds are this good (2.1 currently) - there is a bigger prediction both will score than not. It'll be a competitive fixture and the Bees will be determined to win and are stronger at home, but Sunderland, although travelling from afar, don't like to be beat and may push for a draw. That's why I'm steering clear of the match result and think this is a good bet
19:30 Crystal Palace v Aston Villa

Over 2.50

Total Goals

150 WIN

@1.91

Open

0

I do think Villa will win this despite being away and despite being unstuck by Palace in a few recent matches. Palace' form is a little unhinged these days. But I think either BTTS Yes or over 2.5 goals are very likely outcomes and given the odds for over 2.5 is higher, that is why I am plumping for it.
19:30 Man City v Brighton

Man City

150 WIN

@1.50

Open

0

It'd be silly not to back City to win at home. Most previews fancy them, plus a lot of goals. I'm also recommending the over 2.5 market.

Over 2.50

Total Goals

150 WIN

@1.42

Open

0

Not the best value bet, but is odds-on, so I like that. Certain there will be at least 3 goals with a chance of both teams to score, but the probability (and betting odds) both suggest a 2.5 over is the market with more certainty in winning than the BTTS Yes market
17:30 Napoli v Verona

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

150 WIN

@2.70

Win

255

I think the odds are too good to ignore here. I feel it's more a 50/50 being a both teams scoring or not. So if the odds were closer to evens, I'd ignore it, but for that money (currently around 2.7) when Verona could nick a goal, I think it is worth a shot.
06 January 2026
20:00 Rangers v Aberdeen

Rangers

150 WIN

@1.44

Win

66

20:00 West Ham v Nottm Forest

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

150 WIN

@1.73

Win

110

19:45 Sassuolo v Juventus

Juventus

150 WIN

@1.73

Win

110

04 January 2026
19:45 Inter Milan v Bologna

Inter Milan

150 WIN

@1.44

Win

66

17:30 Man City v Chelsea

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

150 WIN

@1.57

Win

85

15:15 Real Madrid v Real Betis

Real Madrid

150 WIN

@1.50

Win

75

15:00 Cardiff v Wigan

Cardiff

150 WIN

@1.70

Win

105

15:00 Fulham v Liverpool

Liverpool

150 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-150

14:00 Fiorentina v Cremonese

Fiorentina

150 WIN

@1.75

Win

112

29 December 2025
20:15 Birmingham v Southampton

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

150 WIN

@1.65

Win

97

19:45 Cardiff v Stevenage

Cardiff

150 WIN

@1.80

Win

120

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

150 WIN

@1.91

Win

137

19:45 Peterborough v Reading

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

150 WIN

@1.65

Win

97

19:45 Sheff Wed v Blackburn

Blackburn

150 WIN

@1.80

Lose

-150

19:45 Stockport v Doncaster

Stockport

150 WIN

@2.00

Win

150

19:45 West Brom v QPR

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

150 WIN

@1.91

Win

137

28 December 2025
17:00 Bologna v Sassuolo

Over 2.50

Total Goals

150 WIN

@2.04

Lose

-150

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

150 WIN

@1.85

Win

128

Basically, every stats/preview is screaming both teams to score and Bologna have the slight home advantage. Out of all todays Prem & Serie A matches, this is the most goal friendly
16:30 Crystal Palace v Tottenham

Over 2.50

Total Goals

150 WIN

@1.95

Lose

-150

As per my comments on the BTTS Yes market, both teams score much more frequently than face a goalless match. I'm all over the over 2.5 goals market and you should be too!

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

150 WIN

@1.75

Lose

-150

What we have here are two out of sorts sides (Palace having 3 wins and 3 losses from their last six and Spurs having just one win and one draw in their last six). And I've just checked back - in all games played in November and December (must be at least 10 matches each) they've both scored in all matches bar two. So odds on they will both score today. Plus the experts are predicting a BTTS, as are the betting odds so expect this to be anything other than a zero or one goal dullfest!
14:00 Cremonese v Napoli

Napoli

100 WIN

@1.57

Win

57

I think the win is Napoli's, but I won't be backing it myself as there is no value at that price. If the price rises to 1.85, it might represent value, but at 1.57 (the current odds at the time of making this tip) it has no value.

Over 2.50

Total Goals

150 WIN

@2.10

Lose

-150

Napoli the clear favourites here, but a lot of people are going for a tight score. Hopefully that's not a 0-1 and is at least a 1-2 to make this Over 2.5 goals tip a winner. I would consider BTTS Yes too, but think the Over 2.5 seems slightly safer.
14:00 Sunderland v Leeds

Over 2.50

Total Goals

150 WIN

@2.38

Lose

-150

This price represents good value for teams that regularly score and concede. All on the over 2.5 goals market please!

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

150 WIN

@2.00

Win

150

Both teams are in decent attacking form and both score and concede regularly. The bookies have this marked as a close match. I'm similar with a leaning to over 2.5 goals and BTTS

Tips are normally be settled by 12pm the day after the event took place.
Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.

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