Defiance1982

I research football, horse racing and golf

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Defiance1982's Tips History

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30 April 2025
20:00 Barcelona v Inter Milan

Barcelona & Yes (Result + BTTS)

Result and BTTS

500 WIN

@3.00

Lose

-500

Barcelona have not lost a home game since December and have beaten Inter in four of their last five home meetings. The away side have failed to score in their last three matches, but I think they will get one here.
19:45 Blackpool v Birmingham

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

500 WIN

@1.75

Lose

-500

Birmingham have won the league and sit pretty at the top on 105 points overall. I suspect they will have their foot off the gas a little, and Blackpool have only lost twice since December at home. They scored in both of those games.
19:10 7:10 Southwell

Brinton

Daily Racing

25 EW

@6.00

Push

0

17:10 5:10 Pontefract

First Encounter

Daily Racing

25 EW

@8.50

Lose

-50

14:57 2:57 Pontefract

Cloud King

Daily Racing

25 EW

@6.00

Lose

-50

13:40 1:40 Ascot

Unquestionable

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.00

Lose

-50

29 April 2025
20:00 Arsenal v PSG

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

500 WIN

@1.73

Lose

-500

Arsenal came out of the blocks against PSG, and took a 3-0 win in their opening home leg against a side they have a decent record against. Real Madrid created some chances, but never really turned up. PSG are a much better side this season, and will have better knowledge of what Arsenal will probably try here from that last Quarter Final.
17:15 5:15 Brighton

Edvard Grieg

Daily Racing

25 EW

@6.50

Win

2

17:03 5:03 Nottingham

Warm Glow

Daily Racing

25 EW

@9.00

Lose

-50

15:18 3:18 Nottingham

Cock And Bull

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 10.00 on 28/04 at 18:490.15 deduction for Sir Geoff Hurst@5.50 withdrawn at 08:15R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 9.00 x (1-0.15) = 8.65

@8.65

Win

229

28 April 2025
20:05 8:05 Windsor

Torfrida

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 6.00 on 27/04 at 19:570.25 deduction for Ancient Times@3.50 withdrawn at 09:190.00 deduction for Havechatma @21.000 withdrawn at 11:25R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 5.00 x (1-0.25) = 4.75

@4.75

Lose

-7

19:30 7:30 Windsor

Herkeios

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionBest Odds Guaranteed SP 9.50 used instead of 8.00 takenBOG

@9.50

Win

17

18:50 6:50 Wolverhampton

Kilteel

Daily Racing

41 EW

@6.00

Lose

-83

18:30 6:30 Windsor

Expert Witness

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 7.50 on 27/04 at 19:550.00 deduction for Croeso Cymraeg@23.00 withdrawn at 08:090.10 deduction for Dancing In Paris @7.000 withdrawn at 08:490.00 deduction for Lilly Lux @17.000 withdrawn at 16:51R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 6.50 x (1-0.1) = 6.85Best Odds Guaranteed SP 8.00 used instead of 6.85 BOG

@8.00

Win

210

16:25 4:25 Windsor

Valsharah

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@7.50

Win

7

10:00 Shaun Murphy v Judd Trump

Judd Trump to win 13-6

Frame Betting

50 WIN

@13.00

Lose

-50

Trump has won the last seven matches against Murphy, and a majority of them have been by a score that's almost double. Trump won 11-5 in the Shanghai Masters back in July last year, and I reckon this will be similar.
27 April 2025
22:45 Mitsubishi Electric Classic

Paul Broadhurst

37 EW

@101.00

Lose

-75

7th in 2022, and tied for 2nd last year at ten under par overall from the three rounds. Not won a tournament since September in the Pure Insurance, but great value here if repeating last year's form again.

Retief Goosen

37 EW

@23.00

Lose

-75

Made the top ten twice in the last three years, including a 6th place finish last year. Recent form has also been there with three top ten finishes in his last four tournaments, including 3rd last week in the James Hardie Fame International.

Stephen Ames

37 EW

@23.00

Lose

-75

Suffering from a recent form dip, but has won this tournament for the last couple of years in a row by a clear four shots. Definitely still worth consideration.
22:45 The Chevron Championship

Carlota Ciganda

37 EW

@67.00

Lose

-75

Ciganda's form over the past year or so has dipped, but she is still capable of delivering a solid performance. The Spanish golfer won the Open De Espana heading into December last year, and took a decent 6th place effort here last year. This was an improvement of her 12th the year prior.

Nelly Korda

37 EW

@11.00

Lose

-75

The World No.1 is the obvious choice, but her record here the past couple of years also proves that. Korda is the current holder after winning last year by two clear shots, and she took 3rd the year prior when just a shot off the two tied for first.
22:45 Zurich Classic of New Orleans

Brehm/Hubbard

37 EW

@151.00

Lose

-75

14th back in 2022 with just their last round undoing a lot of the hard work over the first three days, finishing up on twenty under par. Brehm took a break the following year from this tournament before both teamed up again last year to storm into 3rd, a shot off the two teams tied for 1st place.

Fox/Higgo

37 EW

@34.00

Lose

-75

Higgo partnered with Brandon Grace back in 2022, finishing 4th on a strong performance, all bar a poor last round that cost them the title. Higgo was back here last year partnering with Fox to finish 4th again with two bogey-free rounds on the last two days.

N Taylor/Hadwin

37 EW

@29.00

Lose

-75

This partnership finished 10th last year and started off with a bogey-free nine under on the first day, and twenty-one under for the tournament. They both took 2nd the year prior on an overall score of twenty-eight under, just two shots shy.
18:15 6:15 Southwell

Drama

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.50

Win

7

17:45 5:45 Southwell

Noble Victory

Daily Racing

25 EW

@13.00

Win

35

17:30 5:30 Wetherby

Naval Academy

Daily Racing

25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@9.00

Void

0

16:30 4:30 Wetherby

Hail Sezer

Daily Racing

25 EW

@10.00

Lose

-50

16:30 Liverpool v Tottenham

Liverpool - Liverpool

Half Time / Full Time

500 WIN

@1.83

Win

415

I expect Liverpool to win convincingly in front of their own fans in a game which they should be crowned Champions. The home side are often known for coming out of the blocks, and have led in nine out of sixteen home league games this season by half-time. Tottenham will be without Son, and have been poor this season.

Liverpool #3-0

75 WIN

@11.00

Lose

-75

This match will decide the title, and with the home crowd on their backs, I expect nothing but an almost one-sided affair here for Liverpool. Tottenham have had a poor season.
16:15 4:15 Southwell

Orchard Keeper

Daily Racing

25 EW

@6.00

Push

0

14:30 Peifan Lei v Zhao Xintong

Zhao Xintong to win 13-6

Frame Betting

50 WIN

@8.50

Lose

-50

Peifan has played two very close games of 10-9 so far and has beaten Zhao 4-2 in their only meeting so far. His opponent, though, has now won twenty matches on the bounce, and it will take something special to beat him. Zhao has also won by a decent margin each time.
14:00 Bournemouth v Man Utd

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

150 WIN

@1.67

Win

101

Bournemouth have won two in the last three meetings and hold home advantage here. Manchester United have scored in three of their last four away games against their opponent, and have conceded in their last three away games.

Bournemouth #2-1

50 WIN

@9.00

Lose

-50

Bournemouth have won 3-0 twice and drawn 2-2 with Manchester United in their last three meetings. The away side have won just once in their last five away Premier League games, and that was against Leicester. A slightly tougher side to beat, but Bournemouth should have enough.
26 April 2025
19:30 7:30 Doncaster

Glendown

Daily Racing

25 EW

@9.00

Lose

-50

19:05 7:05 Ripon

Ziggys Ariel

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 11.00 on 25/04 at 18:240.25 deduction for Invitorio@3.50 withdrawn at 15:07R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 10.00 x (1-0.25) = 8.50

@8.50

Win

225

19:00 John Higgins v Xiao Guodong

John Higgins to win 13-7

Frame Betting

50 WIN

@11.00

Lose

-50

Higgins has won this meet-up the past three times, including a 10-3 win against Xiao in the Tour Championship. Both players had a convincing win prior, so this should be a bit closer.
17:25 5:25 Haydock

Yabher

Daily Racing

25 EW

@8.50

Lose

-50

17:15 Crystal Palace v Aston Villa

Draw #1-1

75 WIN

@6.50

Lose

-75

Palace are now unbeaten at home in their last five games and have won their last three home matches against Aston Villa. Out of Europe, the focus for Villa will now be on a top five spot and the FA Cup. Despite a poor record at Selhurst Park, I reckon they will get a tough draw here.
16:10 4:10 Sandown

Minella Cocooner

Daily Racing

25 EW

@8.00

Lose

-50

15:50 3:50 Haydock

Safari Dream

Daily Racing

25 EW

@10.00

Lose

-50

15:45 3:45 Leicester

Juba

Daily Racing

25 EW

@34.00

Lose

-50

15:15 3:15 Haydock

Afloat

Daily Racing

37 EWNBNOTETip made at odds of 7.00 on 25/04 at 18:560.00 deduction for Solar Bentley@12.00 withdrawn at 07:550.00 deduction for Golspie @12.000 withdrawn at 09:390.10 deduction for Live Aid @8.000 withdrawn at 11:17R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 6.00 x (1-0.1) = 6.40

@6.40

Win

253

Returned after a 160-day break to take 2nd at Leicester towards the beginning of the month for a new yard. Solid form seems to be at Yarmouth, but no reason to show further improvement here for a new trainer.
15:10 3:10 Leicester

Little Tiger

Daily Racing

25 EW

@8.50

Win

12

15:00 Blackburn v Watford

Blackburn & Yes (Result + BTTS)

Result and BTTS

75 WIN

@3.80

Win

210

Watford have won the last two meetings against Blackburn, but have lost the last four away games on the bounce. Blackburn have won three on the bounce, and that includes an away victory over Sunderland. The home side's chances of making the playoff are slim, but they have a chance. Watford have nothing to play for.
15:00 Boston Utd v Gateshead

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

125 WIN

@1.62

Win

78

Boston are unbeaten in their last six home matches as they finally pull away from relegation. Gateshead have been dropping further toward the playoff door lately with eight defeats in their last ten matches. They have, though, scored against Boston in their last eight matchups and have scored seventy-five goals this season.
15:00 Middlesbrough v Norwich

Middlesbrough & Yes (Result + BTTS)

Result and BTTS

75 WIN

@2.90

Lose

-75

Middlesbrough have won four in the last five meetings against Norwich, with the last game ending 3-3. Norwich have won just once in their last ten matches and have nothing to play for. The home side have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last four, whilst the away side have scored in their last three.
15:00 Newcastle v Ipswich

Newcastle & Yes (Result + BTTS)

Result and BTTS

75 WIN

@2.50

Lose

-75

Table positions don't lie, and Newcastle at home should be a given for them when they need the points to stay in the Champions League spots. Ipswich have scored in five of their last six matches, eight in their last nine away games and six in their last seven away meetings at Newcastle.
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Newcastle #3-1

50 WIN

@11.00

Lose

-50

Newcastle should win here with a Champions League spot at stake, but face a plucky Ipswich side which has goals in them. The away side has scored in eight of their last nine away games.
15:00 Southampton v Fulham

Draw #1-1

50 WIN

@8.50

Lose

-50

Southampton haven't won in ten matches, but have got a bit closer lately with two 1-1 draws. Fulham have also dropped off the ball with just one win in their last five competitive matches, surprisingly against Liverpool. This looks a drab affair.
14:40 2:40 Haydock

Ramazan

Daily Racing

25 EW

@9.50

Lose

-50

14:05 2:05 Leicester

Completely Random

Daily Racing

70 EWNAP

@6.50

Win

462

Been running well recently, but took a nice victory at Southwell on the all-weather after a gelding op and a 146-day break. Tends to be much better on a 2nd run after a return, and should strip fitter here despite a 6lb rise.
14:00 2:00 Haydock

Distinction

Daily Racing

37 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@15.00

Void

0

10:00 Hossein Vafaei v Mark Williams

Mark Williams to win 13-9

Frame Betting

50 WIN

@10.00

Lose

-50

Vafaei won a close-fought first round against Hawkins, a player who has won six in seven meetings. Williams won 10-8 in his first round, so frame-wise, this won't be too far off being something similar.

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