Defiance1982

I research football, horse racing and golf

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this month

Defiance1982's Tips History

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All sports
30 October 2025
13:47 1:47 Stratford

Sir Hobnob

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@7.50

Lose

-50

Won at Bangor back in April, and gave a good account last time out at Worcester to take 3rd on a longer course when returning from a 167-day break. This should be easier and back to winning distance this time around.
13:25 1:25 Bath

Heroics

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@8.00

Lose

-50

Decent effort here on debut to take 4th when three lengths off the winner. Caught up in traffic around two lengths out, but still managed to find a turn of pace to reduce the gap. Should come on a fair bit for that run.
29 October 2025
20:00 8:00 Kempton

Naval Ensign

Daily Racing

32 EW

@11.00

Lose

-65

No luck in nine runs so far, but did deliver a 2nd at Yarmouth back in September after changing yards. 4th latest at Southwell, but rallied a couple of times in that effort. A tongue-tie is added this time to help concentration and might just do the trick.
20:00 Newcastle v Tottenham

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

This has been a BTTS fixture in six of the last seven meetings with Newcastle being the home team. As it's a League Cup game, it will probably also be an open affair.
19:45 Arsenal v Brighton

Brighton

Arsenal will field their fringe players here against a Brighton side who won this fixture 3-1 back in 2022. Brighton won their last round tie 6-0 away to Barnsley.

Brighton - Brighton

Half Time / Full Time

50 WIN

@12.00

Lose

-50

Brighton #4-0

50 WIN

@251.00

Lose

-50

19:45 Liverpool v Crystal Palace

Draw

19:45 Swansea v Man City

Man City #3-2

50 WIN

@26.00

Lose

-50

19:45 Wolverhampton v Chelsea

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

Wolverhampton - Draw

Half Time / Full Time

50 WIN

@16.00

Lose

-50

Draw #2-2

50 WIN

@13.00

Lose

-50

19:30 7:30 Kempton

Gemmari

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@6.00

Lose

-50

Second here and followed up with two wins, with the last one coming back in March before taking a break. Retains jockey for this and has a great low draw to make a comeback on top of a wind operation.
18:30 6:30 Kempton

Silca Bay

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 23.00 used instead of 8.00 takenBOG

@23.00

Win

1100

Kempton form is pretty hot with two 3rds, two wins, and a recent 2nd here back in September. Up 2 lbs for that last run, but has a great draw here to build another great effort, and the step up should only boost.
16:22 4:22 Nottingham

Mystical Maria

Daily Racing

50 WINNB

@4.33

Lose

-50

In great form of late with a 3rd, 2nd, and two wins in the last four, including the latest at Leicester in a field of fifteen runners. Up 3 lbs, but a big in-form jockey on board for this.
15:23 3:23 Newton Abbot

Sherborne

Daily Racing

75 WINNAP

@8.00

Lose

-75

Decent wins at both Exeter and Fontwell before pulling up at Newton Abbot and taking a break. Returned back at Stratford towards the beginning of this month to take 2nd in a three-horse race on the back of a 145-day break and wind surgery. Expected to be back on song here after that run out.
14:47 2:47 Nottingham

Treble Tee

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@6.50

Lose

-50

Won on debut and saw a huge improvement in form following wind surgery and a gelding operation back in the summer. 6th latest at Newmarket in a field of twenty-five runners, but the step up in trip would have been a bit much and the drop back here should do the trick again.
28 October 2025
20:00 Wrexham v Cardiff

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

104 WIN

@1.80

Win

83

Wrexham will have the upper hand with home advantage and being a league above, but this is not only a cup game but a Welsh rivalry. I expect Cardiff to be on song for this also.
19:45 Grimsby v Brentford

Grimsby

50 WIN

@8.00

Lose

-50

It's possible the home side here might win against a Brentford side who will be playing their fringe players. Grimsby have already scalped Sheffield Wednesday and Manchester United.

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

100 WIN

@1.80

Lose

-100

Grimsby are averaging two goals a game this season and attack with purpose. The home side knocked out Sheffield Wednesday and Manchester United after a 2-2 draw.

Draw - Grimsby

Half Time / Full Time

50 WIN

@17.00

Lose

-50

19:45 Wycombe v Fulham

Wycombe - Draw

Half Time / Full Time

50 WIN

@19.00

Win

900

15:58 3:58 Ffos Las

Boston Joe

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@8.00

Lose

-50

Second last time out here at Ffos Las when losing to a hugely progressive sort bang on form. Last win came here (for a third time) last year around this time when clear by a good twenty lengths and goes off on the same mark this time.
15:50 3:50 Leicester

Sierra Blanca

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@10.00

Lose

-50

Showed signs of returning to form when 5th at Windsor back in September. Two of the horses that finished in front that day have both won since, and it's worth noting that SB was hampered towards the run-in. Drops a pound as an added bonus.
15:28 3:28 Ffos Las

Filanderer

Daily Racing

75 WINNAPNOTETip made at odds of 6.00 on 27/10 at 19:120.00 deduction for Kahavari@17.00 withdrawn at 13:150.20 deduction for Dangerous Touch @4.500 withdrawn at 15:21R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 5.00 x (1-0.2) = 5.00Best Odds Guaranteed SP 6.50 used instead of 5.00 BOG

@6.50

Win

412

Three wins on the bounce, with the latest here at Ffos Las being the most convincing of all when clear by just under ten lengths upon returning from a 77-day break. Goes up in grade here, but still looks easily the one to beat.
15:10 3:10 Catterick

Tarbat Ness

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@6.50

Win

275

Second place finishes at Huntingdon and Pontefract and a recent third at Hexham make for decent reading on the latest form. The last win ironically came in this race last year when clear by a good five lengths and is only 5 lbs higher this time around.
13:58 1:58 Ffos Las

Tiddesley Wood

Daily Racing

40 EWNBR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@15.00

Void

0

Starzand will be tough to beat, but TW comes here on the back of a decent 3rd at Aintree in field of nine and continued to show promise. This was a first run at two miles four furlongs and coming from a 218-day break, so stamina was a huge must especially at Aintree. This will be a lot easier and should run much better now with that run in the bag.
27 October 2025
18:15 6:15 Newcastle

Jolly Roger

Daily Racing

70 WINNB

@6.00

Lose

-70

Won easily at Kempton back in December of last year and followed that up with a 3rd at Wolverhampton after a 129-day break when beaten by just a short head. Last run back in May was disappointing at York under jockey Ryan Moore, but was badly hampered. Expected to go well here and has been gelded this time around.
18:00 6:00 Wolverhampton

Rock Master

Daily Racing

45 EWNAP

@11.00

Lose

-90

Been running well recently with a 3rd and two 2nds, including one at Yarmouth latest. Debut for new yard this time around and has a good, experienced jockey on board for this with a nice low plum draw.
16:30 4:30 Bangor on Dee

Doctor Kildare

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@7.50

Win

325

One win in six career runs so far, coming here at Bangor back in April of last year. Not raced since March, but goes now for a new yard and wears a tongue tie and visor for the first time.
13:25 1:25 Lingfield

Hello Isla

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@6.00

Lose

-50

Five bad runs since debut, but finally showed promise last time out at Wolverhampton when 3rd of ten runners coming from a higher draw. Gets another bad draw here, but drops a pound for that last run and may repeat or better that run here now sticking to five furlongs.
12:25 12:25 Lingfield

Ernies Valentine

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@8.00

Lose

-50

Has done well at this ground finishing 3rd, 2nd and 1st in three runs, and has been running well recently. Most recent run was a win at Chelmsford back in September for this jockey and should go well again despite a 3lb rise in the weights.
26 October 2025
16:30 Everton v Tottenham

Pedro Porro

Player to be Booked

80 WIN

@3.60

Lose

-80

Averages 1.43 fouls per game and is up against Grealish today, who is winning an average of four fouls per game.
15:15 Real Madrid v Barcelona

Real Madrid - Draw

Half Time / Full Time

50 WIN

@15.00

Lose

-50

15:00 Blu Label Unlimited Challenge

Jonathan Broomhead

250 EW

@11.00

Lose

-500

A decent 6th back in 2023 and won this last year after storming into the lead from the very first round. 5th last week in the Fortress Invitational.
14:00 Arsenal v Crystal Palace

Martin Zubimendi

Player to be Booked

50 WIN

@6.00

Lose

-50

Averages 1.45 fouls per game and is up against Kamada, who is the 2nd most fouled Palace player in the lineup at 1.88 fouls per game.
14:00 Aston Villa v Man City

Man City #3-1

50 WIN

@15.00

Lose

-50

Matty Cash

Player to be Booked

50 WIN

@3.80

Lose

-50

Cash averages a foul a game and is up against Savinho who is the most fouled player in the Man City lineup with 2.49 fouls per game average.
14:00 Bournemouth v Nottm Forest

Bournemouth #2-1

50 WIN

@9.50

Lose

-50

05:00 Webex Players Series SA

Corey Lamb

250 EW

@29.00

Lose

-500

In both years of this competition, Corey has finished 2nd in both on eleven under par. A little out of sorts of late with his best finish being 8th in the PNG Open back in August, but he missed the cut eight times in a row last year before a close finish last time around. This might just be his tournament.
25 October 2025
20:00 Brentford v Liverpool

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

100 WIN

@1.57

Win

57

Liverpool & Yes (Result + BTTS)

Result and BTTS

60 WIN

@3.00

Lose

-60

Liverpool, before this fixture, lost four on the bounce before an early struggle against Frankfurt, before asserting dominance to eventually win at a canter. Brentford, with home advantage, should get at least one here against a Liverpool side without a clean sheet in their last eight matches.

Brentford - Liverpool

Half Time / Full Time

50 WIN

@22.00

Lose

-50

Liverpool #3-2

50 WIN

@21.00

Lose

-50

Dominik Szoboszlai

Player to be Booked

50 WIN

@5.00

Lose

-50

Szoboszlai only averages around 1.12 fouls per game. However, he has fouled in his last five matches. One of the players he faces is Damsgaard, who is fouled around 1.28 times a match.
19:30 7:30 Wolverhampton

Carlton And Co

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@6.50

Lose

-50

2nd at Southwell a few pounds heavier this time last year, and ran well recently when winning at Musselburgh with a length to spare. This looks competitive, but has a good chance.
18:00 6:00 Wolverhampton

Soho Square

Daily Racing

60 WINNB

@8.50

Lose

-60

2nd on debut for new yard after a 115-day break at Southwell under similar conditions. Was unable to get a clear run that day. A good low draw here should mean a similar attempt on the cards here.
17:30 Man Utd v Brighton

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

120 WIN

@1.50

Win

60

This has been a 'Both Teams to Score' fixture in the last three meetings. Brighton have scored in their last eight games, and an in-form Manchester United have scored in their last four.

Draw & Yes (Result + BTTS)

Result and BTTS

60 WIN

@4.60

Lose

-60

Manchester United have become a more solid side these past few weeks with wins against Chelsea, Sunderland, and Liverpool. Brighton are unbeaten in their last five matches and three away games, and have beaten United in their last two meetings with both sides scoring. This will be a bit closer.

Man Utd - Draw

Half Time / Full Time

50 WIN

@15.00

Lose

-50

Draw #2-2

50 WIN

@12.00

Lose

-50

Carlos Baleba

Player to be Booked

60 WIN

@3.00

Win

120

Baleba has committed the most fouls for Brighton with an average of 2.54 fouls per game and is up against Cunha who averages 2.44 fouls won per game.
17:25 5:25 Wolverhampton

Vintage Heat

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@7.00

Lose

-50

Two runs here, both 3rd and 2nd, and wasn't too bad latest at Nottingham when 4th on turf. Gets another crack here at a low draw.
15:00 Chelsea v Sunderland

Chelsea #2-0

50 WIN

@7.50

Lose

-50

15:00 Newcastle v Fulham

Draw - Newcastle

Half Time / Full Time

50 WIN

@4.60

Lose

-50

Newcastle #1-0

50 WIN

@8.00

Lose

-50

14:10 2:10 Kelso

My Lady Elektra

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@8.50

Lose

-50

Still to win in sixteen races, but was 3rd here last time out by just a neck, which was a huge improvement and best form so far for the past two years. Goes again on the same mark for the same jockey, with perhaps a similar effort on the cards here at a slightly shorter track.
13:30 1:30 Doncaster

Trilby

Daily Racing

75 WINNAP

@6.00

Lose

-75

3rd and a more recent 2nd, both at Haydock, with a 2nd sandwiched in between from Pontefract. Both the last two efforts have been within a length and gets an in-form jockey for this race.

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