Defiance1982

I research football, horse racing and golf

2

Estimated Prizes
this month

£10

Estimated Prize money
this month

Defiance1982's Tips History

All tips
All sports
11 October 2024
19:15 7:15 Kempton

Rockit Tommy

Daily Racing

50 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@6.50

Win

5

17:30 5:30 Chepstow

Rouge De Lquest

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 9.50 used instead of 7.50 takenBOG

@9.50

Win

17

16:55 4:55 York

Feel The Need

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@9.00

Win

15

Should show signs of that form again when 4th in the latest run at Haydock, keeping on towards the finish to finish just over a length off the leader. Managed two 2nd place finishes and a win back here in May in a strong field of 18. Good chance here after losing a pound.
16:38 4:38 Kempton

Galaxy Zoo

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.00

Lose

-50

16:25 4:25 Chepstow

Moon Hunter

Daily Racing

25 EW

@15.00

Lose

-50

16:10 4:10 Newmarket

Kildare Legend

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 10.00 used instead of 7.50 takenBOG

@10.00

Win

20

Debut race memories are long since gone with a 2nd at Pontefract, and then two wins at both Southwell on the all-weather and at Doncaster on good to soft. Still progressive, and was gelded before debut. The weight bump up should have little impact in these early stages of the career.
15:45 3:45 York

Wen Moon

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@15.00

Win

45

15:10 3:10 York

End Of Story

Daily Racing

25 EW

@8.00

Win

210

15:00 3:00 Newmarket

Witness Stand

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.50

Lose

-50

Form has improved incredibly since the application of cheekpieces, with two wins and a 2nd at Goodwood on varying ground conditions. Going up quite high in the weights, but still has a decent shout here.
13:30 1:30 York

Hafeet Alain

Daily Racing

25 EW

@8.00

Win

10

13:07 1:07 Newmarket

Rockin The Boat

Daily Racing

25 EW

@8.50

Lose

-50

10 October 2024
20:30 8:30 Southwell

Jungle Run

Daily Racing

25 EW

@8.00

Lose

-50

19:15 7:15 Chelmsford City

Smoky Mountain

Daily Racing

25 EW

@11.00

Lose

-50

16:24 4:24 Southwell

True Blue Gent

Daily Racing

25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@8.00

Void

0

16:08 4:08 Exeter

Stage Show

Daily Racing

25 EW

@12.00

Win

30

16:00 4:00 Ayr

John L Sullivan

Daily Racing

25 EW

@11.00

Win

25

Won over the mile distance, but didn't run so well here at that length, so drops back to seven furlongs, which might do the trick. Came 4th here after a break and more recently 3rd over this distance by just under a length and could be closer this time.
15:10 3:10 Bath

Maries Rock

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@7.00

Win

5

09 October 2024
19:45 7:45 Kempton

Irrelevant

Daily Racing

25 EW

@9.00

Lose

-50

19:15 7:15 Kempton

Upscale

Daily Racing

25 EW

@10.00

Lose

-50

Impressive form in recent races with a 2nd at Beverley before switching here to the all-weather and winning before another recent 2nd. Only gone up a pound for that and goes up against a favourite (Chalk Mountain) who has gone up a total of 14 pounds for the last three wins and now looks risky.
18:45 6:45 Kempton

Mbappe

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 8.00 on 08/10 at 18:420.30 deduction for Kaaranah@2.88 withdrawn at 10:09R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 7.00 x (1-0.30) = 5.90Best Odds Guaranteed SP 15.00 used instead of 5.90 BOG

@15.00

Win

45

17:45 5:45 Kempton

Nightbird

Daily Racing

50 EW

@7.00

Lose

-100

Decent draw, decent jockey, and a very close second on the all-weather at Southwell before taking third back on the turf at Beverley. Steps up a furlong here, which shouldn't be an issue, and tries new headgear to promote further improvement in a progressive horse.
16:12 4:12 Kempton

Pablo Prince

Daily Racing

50 EW

@11.00

Win

50

Has raced well in his last two Kempton appearances, including a recent win by a neck back in mid-September. Up a few pounds, but well worth an each-way bet here, looking at the form of some of the horses at the betting end.
08 October 2024
20:30 8:30 Southwell

Wiltshire Wonder

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 8.50 used instead of 6.00 takenBOG

@8.50

Win

225

17:15 5:15 Brighton

Heers Sadie

Daily Racing

25 EW

@9.00

Lose

-50

16:45 4:45 Brighton

Poetic Force

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 12.00 used instead of 7.00 takenBOG

@12.00

Win

30

16:10 4:10 Brighton

Mrembo

Daily Racing

25 EW

@9.00

Win

15

16:00 4:00 Huntingdon

Kitesurfer

Daily Racing

100 EWNAP

@7.00

Lose

-200

Returned from a long 124-day break and a wind operation to win easily at Fontwell over the three-mile distance. Fell at Uttoxeter next time out, but showed decent recovery to win again recently at Worcester. Up six pounds after that, but expected to run another big race here after a full recovery.
15:30 3:30 Huntingdon

Cartonne

Daily Racing

50 EW

@6.50

Lose

-100

14:40 2:40 Brighton

Cassandraalexandra

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.00

Win

5

Took a second place here on Brighton debut and followed that up with a win just eight days later. Struggled at Kempton with the step up, but that could have been down to the all-weather surface or hitting traffic just over a furlong out. Could be better this time out on familiar turf.
14:30 2:30 Huntingdon

No Worries

Daily Racing

50 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 9.00 used instead of 6.50 takenBOG

@9.00

Win

480

14:00 2:00 Huntingdon

Nachtgeist

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 7.50 on 07/10 at 18:360.20 deduction for Bahtiyar@5.00 withdrawn at 07:070.20 deduction for Sailed Away @4.333 withdrawn at 12:53R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 6.50 x (1-0.4) = 4.90

@4.90

Lose

-6

07 October 2024
20:00 8:00 Wolverhampton

Sophar Sogood

Daily Racing

25 EW

@10.00

Lose

-50

19:00 7:00 Wolverhampton

Split Elevens

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.00

Win

180

17:30 5:30 Wolverhampton

Via Con Me

Daily Racing

25 EWNBNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 26.00 used instead of 17.00 takenBOG

@26.00

Win

100

Slowly away on debut at Chelmsford to finish sixth at a reasonably low bookie price. Goes off this time with a tongue tie attached and should give a better account this time around.
16:55 4:55 Wolverhampton

Piranha Rama

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 8.00 on 06/10 at 19:240.10 deduction for Oakley Boy@8.50 withdrawn at 06:310.00 deduction for Mirage Mistress @13.000 withdrawn at 09:01R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 7.00 x (1-0.1) = 7.30Best Odds Guaranteed SP 21.00 used instead of 7.30 BOG

@21.00

Win

75

16:35 4:35 Yarmouth

Sarmiento Power

Daily Racing

100 EWNAP

@7.00

Lose

-200

Took a big step up in trip to finish 2nd last time out at Newcastle when unable to make enough ground after a 91-day break. Should have more stamina this time around and is also progressive, so further improvement will be natural. The gelding operation on top of that should also help.
16:27 4:27 Stratford

River Robe

Daily Racing

25 EW

@9.00

Lose

-50

16:23 4:23 Wolverhampton

Visibility

Daily Racing

50 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@8.00

Win

420

16:12 4:12 Pontefract

William Dewhirst

Daily Racing

25 EW

@9.50

Lose

-50

15:02 3:02 Pontefract

Epidavros

Daily Racing

25 EW

@6.50

Win

2

Won the last two races at both Hamilton and Carlisle under this jockey and has a plum draw here at Pontefract. Main concern is the bump up in weight, but should still give a good account.
13:52 1:52 Pontefract

Alafdhal

Daily Racing

25 EW

@8.00

Lose

-50

2nd in the last three races, including recently here, to add to a win back in April when much heavier in weight. Expected to go well again; the only main concern is the draw.
13:17 1:17 Pontefract

Sir Palamedes

Daily Racing

25 EW

@9.00

Lose

-50

Won very easily on heavy ground at Ffos Las and should show further improvement here. My main concern is the high draw.
06 October 2024
22:45 Constellation Furyk And Friends

Jim Furyk

25 EW

@251.00

Lose

-50

Came 4th in 2021 with three rounds of three under par and took 3rd in 2022 in very similar fashion all par the opening round. Not involved last year, but could bounce back in a tournament carrying his name.
22:45 Sanderson Farms Championship

Mark Hubbard

25 EW

@46.00

Lose

-50

Came into this in 2022 when finishing 5th after an indifferent tournament with a seven under followed by a poor two over final round. Much more consistent last year when 6th with his lowest just three under, and just missing top spot by a shot. An even better improvement this year will be enough.
21:15 Sanderson Farms Championship

C T Pan

25 EW

@51.00

Lose

-50

Been hanging around the top ten twice in the last three years. 11th in 2021 with two four and five under par rounds and finished 9th last year when ending his tournament on a six under effort. Presents decent each'way value here. 

Henrik Norlander

25 EW

@56.00

Lose

-50

Played in this back in 2021 and took 4th spot when finishing on an eight under round and just two shots off the lead. Came back last year to finish joint top in a four-way playoff, but was unlucky to par on the playoff hole and lose to a birdie. Has the best consistent form here and carries a solid price. Came 8th in recent Omega Masters.

Henrik Norlander

1st Round Leader

25 EW

@51.00

Lose

-50

Had a go in this back in 2021 and took 4th spot when finishing on an eight under round and just two shots off the lead. Came back last year to finish joint top in a four-way playoff, but was unlucky to par on the playoff hole and lose to a birdie. Has the best consistent form here and carries a solid price.
17:45 Alfred Dunhill Links Championship

Daniel Gavins

37 EW

@1001.00

Lose

-75

Failed to make any impact last year, but worth noting he finished 6th in both 2022 and 2021 here. He tied for 3rd in 2022 on the first day after a flawless seven under which shows he can play well on this course. A HUGE price if he delivers, or even takes a place on this ground.

Grant Forrest

25 EW

@67.00

Lose

-50

Forrest has been playing well in recent weeks and has finished 10th in this for the past two years running. Great value for the Scotsman in his own backyard.

Tyrrell Hatton

25 EW

@11.00

Win

300

2nd in this in 2021 when pipped by fellow Englishman Danny Willett by two shots. Came back the following year to take 7th when having a shocker on the last day to finish four over that round. Top twenty in his last two tournaments and could win this on tournament form alone. 
17:20 5:20 Uttoxeter

Twp Stori

Daily Racing

25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@9.00

Void

0

16:30 Brighton v Tottenham

Brighton

50 WIN

@2.90

Win

95

Brighton have started again unbeaten this season at home and will likely give Tottenham a game at home. Spurs will have had less time to recoup from the Europa League, and their win at Old Trafford will probably have given them confidence. Sometimes, though, that confidence can be misplaced, as we have seen many times with Spurs in the past.
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Brighton #2-1

50 WIN

@13.00

Lose

-50

Tottenham are the sort of side to get a good result one week and then mess it up the next and with European football on Thursday, they will probably be lacklustre here and slow to get off the mark. Brighton are decent at home as we know and this is a chance for them to go above in the table.
16:00 4:00 Killarney

Time Marches On

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 21.00 on 05/10 at 18:230.15 deduction for General Clermont@6.50 withdrawn at 10:09R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 20.00 x (1-0.15) = 18.00

@18.00

Win

60

15:50 3:50 Kelso

Fringill Dike

Daily Racing

100 EWNAP

@8.00

Lose

-200

Has won five races over eight over fences and completely destroyed the field in a recent run at Newton Abbot, winning by 27 lengths. With two wins and two seconds in five races, FD has a great chance here on far easier ground.
15:15 3:15 Kelso

Breaking The Ice

Daily Racing

25 EW

@8.50

Lose

-50

14:00 Aston Villa v Man Utd

Draw

50 WIN

@3.75

Win

138

Both sides would have played in Europe this week and it's the last chance for points before the International break. Man Utd must improve their league position, but Villa will be smelling blood here and they have the extra day's rest.

Bruno Fernandes

Anytime Goalscorer

75 WIN

@4.20

Lose

-75

Fernandes has his red card overturned against Totenham and was probably Manchester UNited's best player on the pitch prior to that. He will potentially have a point to prove and his side need to make up ground in thr league. Their penalty and free-kick taker will have chances here.

Draw #2-2

50 WIN

@13.00

Lose

-50

Manchester United were poor against Tottenham and they play a side here who picked up a win against Bayern Munich in mid-week. The away side have won the last four meetings here but I can't see it being straightforward on current form. I do think though that we will get a better performance from Man Utd, but Aston Villa will be up for this.
09:45 ACN Championship Golf Tournament

Mikiya Akutsu

25 EW

@41.00

Lose

-50

4th in this back in 2021 and improved further by five shots when finishing 5th last year. Came 3rd in the Panasonic Golf tournament a couple of weeks back.

Shugo Imahira

25 EW

@15.00

Lose

-50

Not been at his best this past year or so, but worth noting his form in this tournament for winning back in 2022 and taking 4th place last year with the best round of nine under.

Yosuke Asaji

25 EW

@81.00

Lose

-50

Came 3rd back in 2021 when unable to capitalise on the last round. Took 7th last year with a stronger overall score. Came 14th in recent Panasonic Open and 9th in last week's Tokai Classic.

Yuki Inamori

25 EW

@41.00

Lose

-50

Steady improver over the past three years with a 13th, 8th and last year winning the tournament after a playoff victory. Comes in to this at a great price considering.

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