Defiance1982

I research football, horse racing and golf

2

Estimated Prizes
this month

£10

Estimated Prize money
this month

Defiance1982's Tips History

All tips
All sports
08 May 2024
19:40 7:40 Fontwell

Orbys River

Daily Racing

25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@8.00

Void

0

14:05 2:05 Chester

Daisy Inthe Breeze

Daily Racing

50 EW

@8.50

Lose

-100

13:30 1:30 Chester

Beyond Borders

Daily Racing

25 EW

@10.00

Win

20

07 May 2024
20:30 8:30 Hereford

Famoso

Daily Racing

25 EW

@8.00

Win

10

20:00 8:00 Hereford

Cant Beat History

Daily Racing

100 EWNAP

@8.50

Win

900

Can't Beat History for trainer Henry Oliver and jockey Lee Edwards. Last run in October when finishing a good fourteen lengths clear of second place. Managed something very similar back in August before pulling up at Uttoxeter later on. Looks incredibly stronger than most of the field on paper and a 9lb rise shouldn't be too much of an issue here.
19:42 7:42 Southwell

Allbetsoff

Daily Racing

25 EW

@8.50

Lose

-50

19:12 7:12 Southwell

Platenium

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.00

Lose

-50

18:42 6:42 Southwell

Ascension Day

Daily Racing

50 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 8.50 used instead of 7.00 takenBOG

@8.50

Win

25

18:30 6:30 Hereford

Home And Dry

Daily Racing

25 EW

@13.00

Lose

-50

16:42 4:42 Southwell

Another Mystery

Daily Racing

25 EW

@13.00

Lose

-50

14:45 2:45 Fakenham

Mountain Lake

Daily Racing

25 EW

@9.50

Lose

-50

14:15 2:15 Fakenham

State Of Bliss

Daily Racing

25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@11.00

Void

0

06 May 2024
18:05 6:05 Warwick

Just Jess

Daily Racing

50 EW

@8.50

Lose

-100

18:00 6:00 Windsor

Daphne May

Daily Racing

25 EW

@8.00

Lose

-50

17:10 5:10 Bath

Clear Justice

Daily Racing

50 EW

@12.00

Lose

-100

16:00 4:00 Bath

Midsummer Music

Daily Racing

100 EWNAP

@10.00

Lose

-200

Midsummer Music for trainer Roger Teal and jockey Joe Leavy. Comes back here from a break since last race back in mid-November, but has had wind surgery since. 5th in both the last two races at Wolverhampton but not far off the leader in both cases and that op may improve things considerably here.
15:40 3:40 Beverley

Willow Baby

Daily Racing

25 EW

@13.00

Lose

-50

15:25 3:25 Bath

Under Curfew

Daily Racing

50 EWNOTETip made at odds of 8.50 on 05/05 at 18:170.20 deduction for Profit And Loss@4.50 withdrawn at 07:27R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 7.50 x (1-0.20) = 7.00Best Odds Guaranteed SP 8.50 used instead of 7.00 BOG

@8.50

Win

450

15:05 3:05 Beverley

Puella Law

Daily Racing

25 EW

@9.00

Win

15

14:40 2:40 Warwick

Clararose

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 7.50 on 05/05 at 18:210.20 deduction for Caughtinaspell@4.50 withdrawn at 09:55R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 6.50 x (1-0.20) = 6.20

@6.20

Win

156

14:30 2:30 Beverley

Queens Road Revue

Daily Racing

25 EW

@12.00

Lose

-50

05 May 2024
21:45 The CJ Cup Byron Nelson

Jordan Spieth

25 EW

@15.00

Lose

-50

9th in 2021 and 2nd in 2022 when just one shot off the leader. Did not take part last year to see if he could at least match that improvement. Comes here in very erratic form, but can win this on his day.

K H Lee

25 EW

@51.00

Lose

-50

Only placed 50th last year after an average tournament, but very much worth noting that he won this in both 2021 and 2022. Form has dipped a little since late February-mid March but definitely worth a consideration at that price.

Ryan Palmer

25 EW

@101.00

Lose

-50

Top ten finish in both the last two tournaments here, including a 5th in 2022 and 8th last year when he was in the top three for the first couple of rounds. Needs to improve current form, but seems to enjoy it here.
16:30 Liverpool v Tottenham

Draw #2-2

50 WIN

@15.00

Lose

-50

Tottenham haven't won at Anfield in at least the last nine meetings here, but Liverpool are not great at the back these days and the fight seems to have left them for a chance to win the title. Tottenham gave a good account at home to Arsenal and need a result to get their top four place hopes back on track. Although I don't think they will beat Liverpool, I can see a brave attempt here.
14:00 Brighton v Aston Villa

Aston Villa #2-1

50 WIN

@11.00

Lose

-50

Brighton have not won at home against Aston Villa in the last six competitive matches, and it's fair to say that they have only a top half position to play for. That is reflected in Brighton's recent results with two defeats on the bounce, whilst Aston Villa continue to battle for 4th and are playing very well.
14:00 Chelsea v West Ham

Chelsea #3-1

50 WIN

@13.00

Lose

-50

Chelsea is delicious going forward at home and have really turned their season around. The rivalry between these sides will help as the home side who look to win here and add to the fourteen times they have achieved at least a point against the Hammers. Expect this game to have fireworks.
08:00 Maekyung Open

Bio Kim

25 EW

@26.00

Lose

-50

Won here a couple of years ago, by two clear shots, despite finishing one over par in the last round. Only three rounds last year due to weather issues where Bo Kim managed to finish tied 6th. Most consistent player in this tournament. Not to be confused with Bongsub Kim.
08:00 The Crowns

Hiroshi Iwata

50 EW

@34.00

Lose

-100

The Best form for Hiroshi is in this tournament with two wins sandwiching a 3rd place in the last three years. Was clear by three clear shots in both his wins and probably could have done better in that last round when he missed his chance that one time. A clear pick here at a great price.

Ryo Ishikawa

25 EW

@26.00

Lose

-50

Finished top ten in both the last two instalments here including last year's 4th when finishing strongly with a five under round at the end.
04 May 2024
20:25 8:25 Hexham

Boolamore Classic

Daily Racing

25 EW

@21.00

Lose

-50

19:35 7:35 Yarmouth

Zipster

Daily Racing

25 EW

@11.00

Win

300

17:50 5:50 Newmarket

Rowayeh

Daily Racing

25 EW

@6.50

Lose

-50

17:45 5:45 Uttoxeter

Imperial Alex

Daily Racing

100 EWNAPNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@7.00

Win

720

Imperial Alex for trainer Tom Lacey and jockey Brendan Powell. Won last two races after a 54-day break by a huge margin at both Chepstow and Wetherby. Has not been out of the top three in the last nine races and came 2nd here back in December on heavy ground.
17:35 5:35 Hexham

Wavelength

Daily Racing

25 EW

@9.00

Lose

-50

17:30 Man City v Wolverhampton

Man City #4-0

50 WIN

@8.50

Lose

-50

Can only see Manchester City making short work of Wolverhampton here. They need a win, and they are on the hunt of goals to better that of Arsenal. Also, worth noting that Wolves won the reverse 2-1, so there is also a revenge element here.
16:55 4:55 Thirsk

Haarar

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 17.00 on 03/05 at 18:400.10 deduction for Joie De Vivre@10.00 withdrawn at 08:13R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 16.00 x (1-0.10) = 15.40

@15.40

Win

47

16:10 4:10 Newmarket

Geremia

Daily Racing

37 EW

@23.00

Lose

-75

15:35 3:35 Newmarket

Rosallion

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 8.50 used instead of 7.00 takenBOG

@8.50

Win

12

15:00 Brentford v Fulham

Brentford & Yes (Result + BTTS)

Result and BTTS

100 WIN

@3.60

Lose

-100

Brentford have won four in the last five home ties against Fulham and generally come out on top in this fixture. Fulham are not so good away, but have scored in their last six aways. 

Brentford #2-1

50 WIN

@10.00

Lose

-50

This game usually ends in Brentford's favour with Fulham winning once in their last ten competitive matches and Brentford are unbeaten in their last five home ties against them. Fulham have scored in their last six away matches but, I expect Brentford to win this... just not with much urgency.
15:00 Burnley v Newcastle

Draw #1-1

50 WIN

@8.50

Lose

-50

Newcastle have been prone to poor defensive errors away from home, and it's worth noting how poor they were in their 2-0 defeat to Crystal Palace. Burnley struggles to keep clean sheets, but they have been battling hard recently and have had three 1-1 draws in their last five. This could be another one.
15:00 Sheff Utd v Nottm Forest

Nottm Forest #2-1

50 WIN

@9.00

Lose

-50

Nottingham Forest have failed to score in their last two and not won in their last four, but they know the stakes are huge here and must win to keep Luton at bay in relegation. Sheffield United are playing for fun now and have scored and conceded in seven of their last eight games. The away side will probably nick this.
03 May 2024
20:30 8:30 Newcastle

Brother Dave

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.50

Lose

-50

19:55 7:55 Newcastle

Outrun The Storm

Daily Racing

75 EWNB

@7.00

Win

15

Outrun The Storm for trainer Richard Fahey and jockey Billy Garritty. Two 2nd place finishes and two wins from four runs here including recent a couple of weeks back after returning from a 166-day break. Should be much stronger from that run and only up 3lb for that effort.
19:30 7:30 Cheltenham

Django

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionOdds taken at 8.00

@8.00

Win

10

17:45 5:45 Cheltenham

Polish

Daily Racing

25 EW

@9.00

Lose

-50

17:35 5:35 Newcastle

Scarriff

Daily Racing

25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@8.50

Void

0

16:35 4:35 Cheltenham

Missed Tee

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionBest Odds Guaranteed SP 10.00 used instead of 9.00 takenBOG

@10.00

Win

20

16:30 4:30 Musselburgh

Tacitus

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.50

Win

7

16:25 4:25 Goodwood

Salamanca Lad

Daily Racing

37 EW

@26.00

Lose

-75

Salamanca Lad for trainer Daniel & Clare Kubler and jockey David Egan. Close on both runs for new stable with a 4th at Southwell when just running out of steam near the line and 3rd at Chelmsford. Both runs coming after 174-days break and coping with longer distances. Should run a bit better this time and tries blinkers for the first time.
15:00 3:00 Newmarket

Dark Thirty

Daily Racing

100 EWNAPNOTETip made at odds of 7.50 on 02/05 at 21:190.00 deduction for Obelix@41.00 withdrawn at 07:550.00 deduction for Chola Empire @26.000 withdrawn at 13:090.10 deduction for Zouky @10.000 withdrawn at 14:21R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 6.50 x (1-0.1) = 6.85

@6.85

Win

17

Dark Thirty for trainer Richard Hannon and jockey Sean Levey. Five runs at Newmarket in career including recent comeback win back in April after returning from a 194-day break. Best form at this ground and with the cobwebs firmly blown away, could be open to another superb run. Hopefully the rain stays away.
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