Defiance1982

I research football, horse racing and golf

1

Estimated Prizes
this month

£5

Estimated Prize money
this month

Defiance1982's Tips History

All tips
All sports
12 February 2025
14:05 2:05 Southwell

Mumayaz

Daily Racing

50 WINNB

@8.00

Win

350

Two recent good runs at Wolverhampton, including a recent win in January despite having to wait for room on the run-in. Raced three times at Southwell, which includes a win and a place. Just two pounds higher here.
11 February 2025
20:00 8:00 Wolverhampton

Apache Star

Daily Racing

50 EWNOTETip made at odds of 6.50 on 10/02 at 18:590.20 deduction for State Of Madness@4.33 withdrawn at 09:01R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 5.50 x (1-0.20) = 5.40

@5.40

Lose

-6

15:45 3:45 Ayr

Piaff Bubbles

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 7.50 used instead of 7.00 takenBOG

@7.50

Win

7

10 February 2025
20:00 8:00 Wolverhampton

Zafaan

Daily Racing

107 WINNAP

@8.00

Lose

-107

Steady improvement since changing yards back in December and coming back from a 139-day break. Latest run over this distance on the fibresand of Southwell produced a 2nd place, but very unlucky not to win when just unable to take it on the line and lose by a short head. Has a tougher high draw here, but should continue to improve and retains an experienced jockey.
18:30 6:30 Wolverhampton

You Are Everything

Daily Racing

25 EW

@6.50

Win

2

15:45 3:45 Plumpton

Vision De Maine

Daily Racing

50 WINNB

@8.00

Lose

-50

Some really decent form since returning from a break in October to win at both Lingfield and Uttoxeter and place 2nd. Was 3rd more recently in a six-horse race at Plumpton, but was recovering from pulling up at Wincanton and still gave a decent account. Retains regular jockey and remains at the same weight.
09 February 2025
22:45 Astara Golf Championship

Ryan McCormick

25 EW

@81.00

Lose

-50

Did not take part last year, but interestingly played in both the previous tournaments and placed 3rd back in 2023 and 2nd the year prior when missing out by one shot despite opening with a nine-under-par round.
22:45 WM Phoenix Open

Nick Taylor

50 EW

@61.00

Lose

-100

Shocked at the price here on top of the fact he won the Sony Open in Hawaii just less than a month ago. 2nd here back in 2023 when just two shots off World No. 1 Scottie Scheffler. Came back last year even better and won a playoff and claimed best round with a score of 60, eleven under par.

Sahith Theegala

25 EW

@46.00

Lose

-50

3rd back in 2022 and just one shot off the tied leaders Cantlay and Scheffler, who went on to win the playoff. A much improved score last year, but again had to finish 5th despite making little in the way of errors. Best form came in December, but still in with a solid shout.

Sam Burns

25 EW

@23.00

Lose

-50

Tied for 6th back in 2023 and hit 2nd best round of golf with a seven under par. Much improved overall score last year with a similar strong round at the last to take 3rd spot. Has played well in all three tournaments across January, including an 8th place in The Sentry.

Nick Taylor

1st Round Leader

25 EW

@61.00

Lose

-50

Five under par opener in 2023 despite dropping three shots early. Absolutely smashed it last year with an eleven under untouchable first round. On solid form currently and at a great price.
15:33 3:33 Exeter

Strackan

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@6.50

Lose

-50

Three convincing wins at Bangor, Uttoxeter, and Cheltenham since November and still going strong despite another 6lb rise. Soft ground is again forecasted here, so another great chance to make it a four-timer.
12:15 Qatar Masters

Jorge Campillo

25 EW

@29.00

Lose

-50

Decent last couple of years here and unlucky back in 2023 when losing a playoff to Finnish player Sami Välimäki. Very consistent last year with similar scores to take 5th place. 13th last week at the Bahrain Championship.

Scott Jamieson

30 EW

@51.00

Lose

-60

Taken part in the Qatar Open the past couple of years and has finished 3rd in both, missing by two shots in each. Top twenty in three of the last four tournaments.
11:20 Qatar Masters

Ewen Ferguson

25 EW

@36.00

Lose

-50

Won this back in 2022, 16th in 2023 and 9th last year with just his last round keeping him out of the top 5 places. Missed the last two cuts, but pretty consistent the three tournaments prior to that
06:00 Vic Open

Andrew Martin

25 EW

@29.00

Lose

-50

Two hugely promising finishes in the last couple of years with a 3rd place back in 2023, and 2nd last year when pipped by a strong finish by Brett Coletta. Unfortunate to miss the cut last week by a shot, but came 3rd in Victoria a week prior to that.

Brett Coletta

25 EW

@13.00

Lose

-50

Took part in this back in 2023 and pulled off a respectable 8th place with best round being a six under par despite four bogeys. Bettered that last year with two seven under pars in the last couple of rounds to win by two clear shots. Has started respectably well with two finishes in the top twenties since the beginning of the year.
08 February 2025
20:15 8:15 Wolverhampton

Khangai

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 8.50 used instead of 7.00 takenBOG

@8.50

Win

12

17:15 5:15 Wolverhampton

Airman

Daily Racing

25 EW

@11.00

Lose

-50

Delivered a 3rd at Southwell back in December after returning from a long break. Had a gelding operation prior to that, which seemed to have improved performance and was unlucky not to win when unable to find an early gap to break through. Couple of average runs since at six furlongs, but the drop back to five furlongs should do the trick here.
16:45 4:45 Newbury

Kernie Dairy

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.50

Lose

-50

15:35 3:35 Newbury

Washington

Daily Racing

37 EWNB

@11.00

Lose

-75

Has had wind surgery and changed yards back in October before winning at Chepstow after a long 337-day break. Won at Fairyhouse by a clear five furlongs when running fresh again in December. Makes him one to consider.
15:00 Colchester v Walsall

Colchester

50 WIN

@3.00

Win

100

Risky punt if you consider that Walsall are top by a big margin, but form and history do tell a different story. Walsall have now failed to win their last three league games and that is closely linked to Nathan Lowe heading back to his parent club Stoke after a fantastic start to the season up front. Colchester are now unbeaten in four and have conceded just once in those games. It's also worth noting that Walsall have failed to beat Colchester in their last six meetings as the away side.
1 member found this comment useful
15:00 Southampton v Burnley

Burnley

58 WIN

@5.00

Win

232

Really good odds here for Burnley to beat Premier League bottom side Southampton, who have just one league win all season. They recently turned two against Ipswich after twenty-four matches. Burnley are 2nd in the Championship and have conceded just nine goals in thirty-one games this season, which is incredible defending. The last goal conceded was in the second week of January in the previous round away to Reading.
1 member found this comment useful
13:50 1:50 Newbury

Shutupshirley

Daily Racing

37 EWNAP

@7.00

Lose

-75

Has come along fantastically since November with three wins on the bounce, including a recent convincing run at Fontwell when clear by eleven lengths despite a 756-day break. Raised only eight pounds for that, and this is an easier ground to come, not to mention he should be much fitter this time around.
07 February 2025
20:15 8:15 Southwell

Balqaa

Daily Racing

25 EW

@8.00

Lose

-50

15:35 3:35 Lingfield

The Thames Lady

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@7.50

Win

195

15:15 3:15 Bangor on Dee

Risk DArgent

Daily Racing

25 EW

@6.00

Lose

-50

14:50 2:50 Kempton

Maxiboy Dagrostis

Daily Racing

25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@13.00

Void

0

06 February 2025
17:30 5:30 Southwell

Starsong

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.50

Lose

-50

15:10 3:05 Ffos Las

Dysania

Daily Racing

50 EWNAP

@10.00

Lose

-100

Delivered absolutely nothing on first four runs including debut, but something clicked into gear last time out when delivering a strong 2nd place finish at Southwell on soft ground. The winner of that race was pipped by a head in their next race, so the form appears to be there. Almost the whole field has something to find on their last race, so this could be a great chance.
13:35 1:35 Doncaster

Smart Decision

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@6.50

Void

0

13:10 1:10 Huntingdon

Pleasure Garden

Daily Racing

25 EW

@11.00

Lose

-50

A win at Plumpton and a 2nd place finish at Fontwell over the large obstacles before coming back recently after a long 545-day break. Raced pretty well considering the length of time off the track to take 3rd in a six-horse race again at Plumpton when running out of steam towards the end, probably due to tiredness. A much stronger run is expected this time.
05 February 2025
18:30 6:30 Kempton

Hierarchy

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 8.00 used instead of 6.50 takenBOG

@8.00

Win

10

14:45 2:45 Ludlow

Faitque De LIsle

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@7.50

Win

195

13:35 1:35 Sedgefield

Laravie

Daily Racing

25 EW

@6.50

Win

2

04 February 2025
19:00 7:00 Newcastle

Dark Kestrel

Daily Racing

50 WINNB

@6.00

Lose

-50

A winner here and twice runner up, and comes here on the back of a tough second place at Southwell when losing to an in-form favourite. Keeps the same mark which is positive and has a much more favourable higher draw.
14:40 2:40 Market Rasen

Adaay Forever

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.50

Lose

-50

14:25 2:25 Taunton

Mount Gay Run

Daily Racing

25 EW

@8.50

Lose

-50

14:10 2:10 Market Rasen

Socialiser

Daily Racing

25 EW

@8.00

Lose

-50

13:55 1:55 Taunton

Saint Anapolino

Daily Racing

100 WINNAP

@6.00

Win

500

Won easily by three lengths off a decent mark at Exeter and comes here just 3lbs heavier. Exeter can be a tough slog, especially when the ground is soft, so I'm expecting another strong run here. Still very progressive and placed the previous two races at both Uttoxeter and here when unable to slip ahead of an on form favourite.
03 February 2025
17:00 5:00 Wolverhampton

Kaleidoscope Eyes

Daily Racing

75 WINNAP

@7.00

Lose

-75

Progressive type with a recent win under the belt here at this distance. Had another strong run a few races prior back at Southwell, so the surface suits. Up 6lbs, but should cope well with that and has a middle draw.
16:00 4:00 Carlisle

Torosay

Daily Racing

25 EW

@8.00

Lose

-50

15:50 3:50 Southwell

Bread And Butter

Daily Racing

25 EW

@6.50

Lose

-50

02 February 2025
22:45 Tournament of Champions

Brooke M Henderson

50 EW

@13.00

Lose

-100

First tournament of the year for Brooke, who ended in decent form at the end of 2023 and comes here with a solid record of finishing 3rd, 1st, and 2nd.

Yuka Saso

25 EW

@67.00

Lose

-50

Won the US Women's Open last year and placed 4th in the Kroger, surrounded by some erratic form. A very good each-way price here for a player who finished 6th in both the 2022 and 2023 editions. Was not present last year and could well turn up.
16:34 4:34 Musselburgh

Less Legacy

Daily Racing

25 EW

@13.00

Lose

-50

16:30 Arsenal v Man City

Over 2.50

Total Goals

75 WIN

@1.75

Win

56

There have been three or more goals scored in the last four Arsenal home matches and three of the last Manchester City away games. Both these sides will be having a go here with Champions League places and a Premier League title at stake, so I will be surprised if this is a low-scoring affair. Arsenal will have home advantage, but Manchester City will attempt to rain on that parade.

Draw #2-2

50 WIN

@13.00

Lose

-50

With a place at the top and a Champions League place under threat, both these sides will be going full-blooded in this game. Both sides are guilty this season of conceding needless goals, and both have no issues scoring either. This game hasn't had a draw since 2017, which funnily enough finished 2-2.
16:05 4:05 Musselburgh

Thunder N Lightnin

Daily Racing

25 EW

@9.00

Win

15

14:00 Brentford v Tottenham

Over 2.50

Total Goals

100 WIN

@1.33

Lose

-100

Bournemouth have scored five in their last two home matches and their home form itself is impressive. They entertain the League leaders who have no issues scoring goals, so I can see this being a high scoring game.

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

100 WIN

@1.33

Lose

-100

The last five matches have seen both these teams score, and it would be no surprise this time around with Tottenham at the bottom end of the table and playing full open attack football.
14:00 Man Utd v Crystal Palace

Man Utd #1-0

50 WIN

@8.50

Lose

-50

Three wins now on the bounce for Manchester United and two clean sheets to boot will give them great confidence to get a result here. Palace have proven time and again that they are a decent side who are hard to break down. I believe United will take home advantage and make it four wins, but it will be a defensive game.
13:32 1:32 Lingfield

Sun Dancer Girl

Daily Racing

50 EWNAP

@8.00

Lose

-100

2nd here last time out at a great price to add to already brilliant record on this ground. Raced here five times now and won three of those and has a great low draw this time around. Jockey on board has won once in sixteen runs and placed runner-up twice, but that shouldn't make any negative difference.
13:00 1:00 Lingfield

Roscioli

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.50

Lose

-50

12:30 Bahrain Championship

Dylan Frittelli

1st Round Leader

37 EW

@81.00

Lose

-75

Interestingly, he won this tournament last year and opened up with a five-under-par first round, which makes his price very interesting. He hit a couple of decent opening rounds back in October, but not so good since. Looking at the trend though, he is improving back to a decent standard if he can avoid bogeying any holes.
11:30 Bahrain Championship

Joel Girrbach

1st Round Leader

37 EW

@126.00

Lose

-75

Joint lowest first round last year with a seven under par finish to take 8th overall. Hit a five under opener and a four under opener before the end of last year and a decent three under round last week in the Ras Al Khaimah.

Ugo Coussaud

1st Round Leader

37 EW

@56.00

Lose

-75

Opened up here with a decent four-under effort last year, finishing 12th overall after failing to match that form in the remaining rounds. He has generally been better in his second-round efforts lately, but his form has been improving again, and he hit a bogey-free four-under in Abu Dhabi back in November.
07:30 Webex Players Series Murray River

Andrew Martin

37 EW

@29.00

Lose

-75

Two very strong attempts at this in the past couple of years with a 2nd place finish in 2023 and took 3rd last year with an even better score of seventeen under. Came 3rd last week at Victoria.

Nathan Barbieri

37 EW

@26.00

Lose

-75

Finished 11th in 2022 with a decent score of twelve under par and bettered that the following year with a similar score to take 5th. Top twenty finish last week at the Victoria course.

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