Defiance1982

2

Estimated Prizes
this month

£10

Estimated Prize money
this month

Defiance1982's Tips

27th February 2026
13:42 1:42 Lingfield

Bownder

Daily Racing

40 EW

Shocker last time out when eighth of nine runners, but was caught in traffic towards the end and was running over a much further distance. Best form is over this distance (two furlongs less) and did come third here in the previous race when having to overcome a bad draw. Last win was here back in December over this distance and off this mark.
13:50 1:50 Doncaster

Tigga Time

Daily Racing

40 EW

Ran well in defeat last time out at Huntingdon in Class Four company, finishing close despite taking only seventh of nine runners. Won the previous time out at the same ground on firmer ground, which is the forecast for here. The drop back to Class Five supports a strong run.
14:00 2:00 Newbury

Activist

Daily Racing

50 EWNB

Three career wins so far for the seven-year-old, with two of those coming around this time of year. Last win came at Fontwell at the beginning of March last year, but he has had a wind op since then and ran well in defeat when second last time out at Plumpton. He did run out of steam, but was racing for the first time since pulling up at Fontwell. A strong jockey is on board to support further progress for this horse.
14:12 2:12 Lingfield

Horace Wallace

Daily Racing

40 EW

Looks a strong candidate here after winning at Wolverhampton at the beginning of the month after first break since debut run. Still very progressive and has a decent draw for this.
17:45 5:45 Wolverhampton

Ultramarine

Daily Racing

75 EWNAP

Very unlucky ??" fifth of eight last time out at Kempton in January when consistently unable to find a gap to break through and win. Has won here before and had a couple of wins last year before taking a long break and returning recently. Should be much stronger this time out, and a decent, progressing jockey takes the reins at a lower weight.
28th February 2026
15:00 Liverpool v West Ham

Liverpool #1-0

50 WIN

15:00 Newcastle v Everton

Draw

65 WIN

Newcastle are a better side at home but have lost their last two league games and failed to beat Everton in their last two matches there. Everton are unbeaten in their last five away matches, with two of those ending in a draw. I can see this finishing in a similar circumstance.

Everton - Draw

Half Time / Full Time

50 WIN

Only Burnley have conceded more first-half goals than Newcastle, who will be tired from their midweek game. I think Everton will start quicker here.

Draw #1-1

50 WIN

17:30 Leeds v Man City

Over 2.50

Total Goals

100 WIN

There have been at least three goals in Manchester City's last three away games, and there have been at least three in four home matches for Leeds.

Man City & Yes

Result and BTTS

100 WIN

With the exception of just two matches in thirteen home games, Leeds have scored at least once. Man City have won seven of their last eight matches.

Draw - Man City

Half Time / Full Time

50 WIN

Leeds have lost just one game at home in their last seven matches and tend to start strongly, being behind just once in thirteen before half time. Man City will be trying to make up ground and should take charge in the second half.

Man City #3-1

50 WIN

1st March 2026
06:45 Womens NSW Open

Kirsten Rudgeley

37 EW

10th here back in 2022, and a very close 2nd just two shots off last year when finishing fifteen under par. Finished 2nd in the Webex Players Series in January, following a 2nd at the Open de España back in November.
10:45 HSBC Womens World Championship

Allisen Corpuz

37 EW

21st last year despite an awful 1st round blip, still finishing two shots under overall. Two previous efforts prior to that here saw her take 8th in 2024 when ending on a similar note, and 3rd in 2023 when strong throughout to finish fourteen under. Solid each-way value if staying consistant.

Ayaka Furue

37 EW

Consistant top ten finish here for the last three years in a row, taking 2nd last year in a tournament where Lydia Ko was just too good. Decent each-way value here if back in the mix.

Celine Boutier

37 EW

11th in 2023 and a close 2nd place in 2023 just a shot off Hannah Green to finish 12th under par. 29th last year, but a bad 3rd day was the difference betwen finishing where she did and jumping back into the top ten again. Good each-way shot here.

Hannah Green

37 EW

Won this in 2024 by one shot to finish thirteen under par despite a poor first day effort of two over without a single birdie. 7th last year with an even worse start this time around, but unable to recover enough this time. 7th last week in the Honda LPGA.
14:00 Fulham v Tottenham

Yes

Both Teams to Score

150 WIN

Fulham have scored and conceded in their last five matches on the bounce at home, and five in their last six matches overall (Man City the exception). Tottenham have scored and conceded in three of their last four matches.

Fulham & Yes

Result and BTTS

75 WIN

Fulham have not kept a clean sheet in their last five matches, but they have won three of those. Tottenham have scored in three of their last four away matches, winning just once.

Draw - Fulham

Half Time / Full Time

50 WIN

Only once have Fulham scored before half-time for their last sixteen goals. I expect the game to be a level affair until the second half.

Fulham #2-1

50 WIN

14:00 Man Utd v Crystal Palace

Man Utd #2-1

50 WIN

20:45 Argentina Open

Ryan Blaum

37 EW

Finished 10th in the first edition of this back in 2023, and followed that up with a 5th last year on seventeen under. Technically the most consistent player in this tournament so far, and comes at a good each-way price.
22:45 Cognizant Classic

Erik van Rooyen

37 EW

A good 2nd here back in 2023 just three shots off the leader, and hitting the best round of the tournament of eight under on the final day. 9th last year on the same score, and again finished strongly on that final day. Good each-way value based on just tournament form.

Shane Lowry

37 EW

5th back in 2023 and 4th the year after when four shots better. Finished on the same score last year at thirteen under to take eleventh. Has also finished 3rd and 8th this year across four tournaments so far.

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