Defiance1982

1

Estimated Prizes
this month

£5

Estimated Prize money
this month

Defiance1982's Tips

20th February 2026
15:35 3:35 Warwick

Sage Green

Daily Racing

40 EW

+900

Back it

Won here around March last year for the previous yard, and comes here after finding a bit of form following a wind operation back in December. Came 2nd of twelve last time out at Kempton when losing to a horse that was just far better returning from a break, but did beat the favourite, who had a couple of wins under their belt. May do better for the second run since the op.
16:26 4:26 Southwell

King Of York

Daily Racing

50 EWNB

+650

Back it

Has won or placed 2nd in five of the last seven races on the all-weather surface, including two wins which have both come here in Grade 5 company. Last two races were both placed here by just a neck, and no doubt should come very close again.
16:58 4:58 Southwell

Chola Empire

Daily Racing

50 WIN

+700

Back it

Last three runs here at Southwell have finished with top-three places, with one of those in Group Four higher company. Has won here three times in the past on higher marks, and drops another pound for this.
18:30 6:30 Southwell

Intervention

Daily Racing

40 EW

+1100

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Previous course winner that raced well last time out at Kempton when beaten by a head in a Class Two affair. Drops down two grades here and keeps jockey, who has three wins in seven on board.
20:00 8:00 Southwell

Almaty Star

Daily Racing

62 EWNAP

+500

Back it

Top three place in all last three races in Group Four company, with latest run finishing 2nd at Lingfield by less than a length. Has raced here twice before and placed on higher marks. One of those races was in higher-grade company. Form jockey remains on board for this race.
21st February 2026
15:00 Aston Villa v Leeds

Draw

60 WIN

+275

Back it

Aston Villa have won just once in their last four competitive matches and have lost their spark up front, scoring just once or not at all in all of those matches. Leeds have lost just once so far this year away from home.

Draw #1-1

50 WIN

+650

Back it

15:00 Chelsea v Burnley

Chelsea #3-0

50 WIN

+750

Back it

17:30 West Ham v Bournemouth

Draw

60 WIN

+275

Back it

Both sides have lost just once in their last seven competitive meetings, and have also managed to draw in five of their last six meetings.

Draw #1-1

50 WIN

+700

Back it

20:00 Man City v Newcastle

Man City & Yes

Result and BTTS

50 WIN

+160

Back it

Newcastle would have had little rest following their midweek match in the Champions League and face a Manchester City side that have now won four on the bounce. One of those wins was a 3-1 Manchester City win against Newcastle in the League Cup.

Man City #3-1

50 WIN

+1100

Back it

22nd February 2026
01:40 The Genesis Invitational

Patrick Cantlay

1st Round Leader

25 EW

+2800

Back it

Cantlay fired off a first round of 68 in 2023, and then improved further in 2024 when finishing first on Day One with a seven-under round of 64. He shot a first-round tie for the lead of 63 in the American Express at the end of January.
14:00 Nottm Forest v Liverpool

Liverpool & Yes

Result and BTTS

50 WIN

+240

Back it

Nottingham Forest will be a bit tired from their midweek win against Fenerbahçe in the Europa League, but they won quite convincingly under their new manager. Liverpool have found their feet again, however, with five wins in their last seven matches.

Liverpool #2-1

50 WIN

+800

Back it

14:00 Sunderland v Fulham

Draw #1-1

50 WIN

+550

Back it

16:30 Tottenham v Arsenal

Arsenal #2-0

50 WIN

+700

Back it

22:45 The Genesis Invitational

Patrick Cantlay

40 EW

+2500

Back it

Cantlay is the most in-form player in this tournament across the last three years, finishing 3rd, 4th, and 5th here. He has finished in the top 20 in two of his last three tournaments.

Tommy Fleetwood

40 EW

+1800

Back it

Top ten in both of the last two reboots, finishing on a score of eight under to take 10th and, more recently, 5th last year. Fourth last week in the AT&T Pebble Beach.

Tommy Fleetwood

1st Round Leader

25 EW

+2200

Back it

Fleetwood hit a 68 on the first day back in 2023, but has generally been a slow starter the past couple of years here, which has made the difference between winning and placing in the top ten. He made a decent start at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am last week, and started in the top five in both the Abu Dhabi and DP World Tour before Christmas, so I think he could here.

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