Defiance1982

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Defiance1982's Tips

19th June 2026
02:00 Mexico v South Korea

Draw

50 WIN

Both sides won their opening matches, and Mexico have a good record against South Korea, winning three of their last four meetings. South Korea gave a battling performance to win against Czechia, so I'm expecting them to get something here.

Draw #1-1

50 WIN

Mexico are not the best of finishers, with their two goals against South Africa coming with the help of the referee sending off two South African players in their 2-0 win. South Korea put two past Czechia, and I can see them pegging back the hosts here.
14:30 2:30 Royal Ascot

Sun Goddess

Daily Racing

50 WIN

Good effort at Naas on debut when losing by a head to take 2nd, followed up with a win at the Curragh by an easy five lengths. Both grounds are tough to win on.
15:05 3:05 Royal Ascot

Venetian Sun

Daily Racing

50 WIN

Won four on the bounce last year from debut, including the Albany Stakes here in a field of seventeen. Struggled for fitness on the May run at Newmarket when coming back from a 231-day break, but did win easily latest following that at Haydock by three lengths.
15:40 3:40 Royal Ascot

Hopewell Rock

Daily Racing

50 WIN

Both this pick and Warrant Holder hold similar claims, with a run following a gelding operation and with similar speed and RPR ratings. This yard has had slightly better form at Ascot, with two wins across Thursday and Tuesday.
16:20 4:20 Royal Ascot

Precise

Daily Racing

50 WIN

A. P. O'Brien runs two in this race, which both sit happily at the very top of the market. This horse has five wins in seven runs and is the preferred choice by his top jockey.
16:40 4:40 Redcar

Sogniamo

Daily Racing

25 EW

Won at a huge price of 80/1 following a break and yard change since debut. Showed plenty in the tank on step up in trip to beat a big odds-on favourite towards the last furlong.
17:00 5:00 Royal Ascot

Glyfada

Daily Racing

25 EW

2nd by half a length on Curragh debut before winning at both Naas and Killarney in the latest two efforts. Quite progressive, and means business with the jockey booking of Oisin Murphy.
17:35 5:35 Royal Ascot

Causeway

Daily Racing

50 WIN

Won all four races on the bounce since debut, with three at the Curragh and the other at Naas. This progressive sort steps up in trip again, but looks the type to handle it and continue to progress.
18:10 6:10 Royal Ascot

Simplify

Daily Racing

25 EW

Not been out of the top two in the last six runs since debut, winning three and placing second in the other three, including the latest run at York. Just pipped by a big price that day while beating an evens favourite in Class One company. Much bigger field here, but the drop in class might prove an advantage.
18:35 6:35 Newmarket

Physique

Daily Racing

50 EWNB

Tends to run well when the hood is removed, similar to that on the latest 2nd at Beverley when just unable to win on the line, losing by a neck. Well fancied here and could get first win for the new yard.
20:00 USA v Australia

USA

50 WIN

The hosts USA are rightly favourites here after beating Paraguay convincingly 4-1. They have beaten Australia in their last two meetings. The away side beat Turkey in their first game but spent a large majority of the game defending.

USA & Yes

Result and BTTS

50 WIN

Seven of the last eight games for the USA saw over 2.5 goals. USA have won two of their last three, while scoring and conceding in all three games. They won their last two meetings with Australia in a similar fashion.

USA #2-1

50 WIN

Australia have a knack of scoring despite a lack of possession and chances. USA will be expected to put in a good performance at home. Looking at Australia's last match against Turkey where they won 2-0, I suspect this will be closer than some might think.
20:05 8:05 Goodwood

Abundant

Daily Racing

25 EW

2nd twice and a convincing win at Southwell on the all-weather before a latest 4th at Windsor following a long 199-day break. Kept on well in that race but probably needed the run to get back to form. This will be the 2nd race since a gelding operation.
20:45 8:45 Newmarket

Spirit Of Jenny

Daily Racing

76 EWNAP

Has been running well since first break away from the track with a win and a 2nd at Southwell on the all-weather, followed by a 2nd most recently at Leicester on turf. Beaten that day by a horse that went on to win by a much bigger margin next time out. Goes off on a similar mark here.
23:00 Scotland v Morocco

Morocco

50 WIN

Scotland will be happy with three points on the board, but they looked very nervy against Haiti and, at times, lucky to come away with the points. Morocco were strong against Brazil and will be expected to pick up a win here to have a good chance of qualification.

Morocco #2-0

50 WIN

It will be expected to see Morocco on top for most of the game as they look to kick on from their draw with Brazil. Scotland have won a few games lately and put in a performance in defeat. Morocco will be hard to break down and will get the job done here.
20th June 2026
01:30 Brazil v Haiti

Brazil -2.50

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

Brazil have won the last three head-to-head matches by six goals or more, and will be looking to get their World Cup underway here.

Brazil #3-0

50 WIN

Brazil need a result following their draw with Morocco to get their World Cup properly underway. The last three head-to-heads between these sides saw Brazil win by six goals or more, but I suspect this will be a lot less, with many games coming up and Haiti's bullish defense.
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04:00 Turkiye v Paraguay

Turkiye

50 WIN

Turkey were unbeaten in their last eight prior to their match against Australia, winning seven of those. They dominated that game and know that anything less than a win could see them go out.

Turkiye #1-0

50 WIN

This will be a very close game, as both sides look to get their first points on the board. Looking at previous form, I reckon Turkey might be the team to just nick this.
21st June 2026
15:45 Dutch Ladies Open

Dorthea Forbrigd

25 EW

Missed this tournament last year, but a steady improver here the past two years, finishing 7th in 2023 and 5th in 2024. Came 5th in the Jabra Ladies Open two weeks ago.
22:45 Meijer LPGA Classic

Carlota Ciganda

25 EW

Decent form here, placing top twenty the last three times in this tournament. I tipped her last year and she went on to win this at a big price, finishing one clear of Choi Hye-Jin. Sixth in the Riviera Maya Open back in April.
22:45 US Open

Sam Burns

25 EW

A couple of bad rounds, but still managed 9th back in 2024. Took 7th last year when unable to hold the top spot on the last day after a shocking last-round eight-over. Decent each-way value if a bit better this year.
26th June 2026
12:00 World Cup 2026 Group D

Turkiye

Group Betting

50 WIN

Turkey are a strong side that like to get forward and put pressure on their opponents. We saw them make a decent effort back in 2024 in the Euros, so I think they will put in a good effort in the group stages. I can't see Australia, Paraguay, or the USA putting up a big challenge here. The latter, with home advantage, will probably take second.
12:00 World Cup 2026 Group F

Sweden

Group Betting

50 WIN

With both Györkös and Isak up front, Sweden will have the firepower this year to make them better contenders. There is something not quite right about the Netherlands this year, and Tunisia are not great overall to put in a challenge. Japan I can see being the threat, but they haven't beaten Sweden for a while now after a number of matches.
19th July 2026
12:00 World Cup 2026

Portugal

50 WIN

Finished in the quarter-finals in both their last World Cup and Euros efforts, losing 1-0 to Morocco and beaten on penalties by France, respectively. With this being Ronaldo's potential last World Cup for his country, we might see just that little bit more from a side that deal with fine margins.

Cristiano Ronaldo

Top Goalscorer

50 WIN

With Messi and Argentina winning the last World Cup, I think we might see a more inspired Ronaldo looking to do the same with Portugal this year in potentially his last World Cup. With Congo and Uzbekistan both joining them and Colombia in the group, this will be a great opportunity for this talisman to rack up a few goals before potentially meeting a third-place side like Paraguay to apply his trade.

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