Defiance1982
4
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this month
£20
Estimated Prize money
this month
Defiance1982's Tips
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4th March 2026
18:30 6:30 Kempton
Lazzar
Daily Racing
50 EWNB
Three wins on the bounce going back to December, followed by a 2nd place at Wolverhampton and 6th at Lingfield, latest on a step up in class. Jockey claimer here and a small drop in weight should be enough to bring back that winning form.
19:30 Aston Villa v Chelsea
Draw
50 WIN
Chelsea have failed to win any of their last three Premier League matches, and Aston Villa have won just once in their last five. This fixture ended 2-1 to Villa last year around this time, which was decided by a very late goal. The previous one was a 2-2 draw.
Draw #1-1
50 WIN
19:30 Brighton v Arsenal
Draw
50 WIN
Arsenal destroyed Tottenham and Leeds away from home recently, but one was against bitter rivals and the other was against a side with solid home form that may have prompted the extra effort. Both wins were sandwiched with draws against Brentford and Wolves. Brighton have won their last two matches, and four of their last seven matches have been draws.
Draw #1-1
50 WIN
19:30 Fulham v West Ham
Draw
50 WIN
There have been two draws in the last four head-to-head matches between these sides with Fulham as the home side. West Ham have lost just once in their last five competitive matches, with two of those ending in a draw.
Over 2.50
Total Goals
150 WIN
The last seven Fulham matches have all seen three or more goals, and there have been three or more in ten of the last eleven. West Ham's last match against Liverpool saw seven goals in a 5-2 defeat.
Yes
Both Teams to Score
175 WIN
Both teams have scored in Fulham's last six home matches. Both teams have scored in seven of the last ten West Ham matches.
Draw & Yes
Result and BTTS
50 WIN
Both teams have scored in six of Fulham's seven matches, but there have been no draws. West Ham have drawn two of their last four matches, and I think they might get one here as they fight to ease their relegation worries. West Ham have lost just twice in their last nine competitive matches.
19:30 Man City v Nottm Forest
Man City #3-0
50 WIN
20:00 8:00 Kempton
Take The Boat
Daily Racing
40 EW
My main concern would be the jockey is still without a win this year, but this horse has hit form since changing yards. Convincing win around this time last month at Wolverhampton over the slightly further distance, and gave a good account last time when 2nd at Lingfield despite racing wide.
20:15 Newcastle v Man Utd
Draw
50 WIN
Newcastle have lost just two Premier League home matches from 7pm or later kickoffs and face a United side who have not won in their last three away games against Newcastle. Manchester United are unbeaten in seven, so could still take something from this game.
Yes
Both Teams to Score
125 WIN
Newcastle have scored and conceded in their last ten matches on the bounce. Both teams have scored and conceded in four of the last six Manchester United matches. Prior to the Everton 1-0 win, the away side had scored and conceded in eleven games on the bounce away from home.
Newcastle - Draw
Half Time / Full Time
50 WIN
Draw #1-1
50 WIN
5th March 2026
21:25 Arnold Palmer Invitational
Russell Henley
25 EW
Comes here as the holder after winning last year by one shot. That was an improved performance on his fourth-place finish in 2024, a year prior.
8th March 2026
05:45 Australian Womens Classic
Cara Gainer
25 EW
Played here twice in both of the last two years and has been superb both times. She took 4th in 2024, although this was cut short to one round due to the weather. Finished 2nd last year, just one shot off the leader, playing very consistently.
Sarah Kemp
25 EW
8th here, back in 2022, and a much better 4th last year. Although her four-over par probably cost her the win here on the last day after hitting an eight-under the day prior. 5th last week in the NSW Women's Open.
07:45 Blue Bay LPGA
Ayaka Furue
25 EW
Consistent here, finishing 3rd both last year and the year prior. Performances have not been quite good enough to hit top-ten spots in recent efforts, but being closer to home here might spark her form.
22:45 Arnold Palmer Invitational
Shane Lowry
25 EW
3rd here back in 2024 on nine under and followed that with a 7th last year, which was unfortunate due to his four-over round on the third day. Should have won last week in the Cognizant, but keeping the faith.
22:45 Puerto Rico Open
Carson Young
25 EW
Delivered a decent performance in two of the last three years here, with a 3rd place back in 2023 and 10th last year despite a slightly better score of seventeen under (one better). Came 3rd in the Astara at the beginning of February.
Matti Schmid
25 EW
Schmid has steadily improved here over the last three years, with his last two finishes in the top ten. He finished 10th in 2024 at fifteen under, potentially let down by his last round of one over par. Last year it was 6th at a better score of eighteen under, and much more consistent.
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