Simbad007

Specialise in finding value in feature handicaps

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Simbad007's Tips History

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09 January 2026
14:35 2:32 Exeter

Flash Gorcombe

Daily Racing

25 EW

@9.50

Lose

-50

Should be fully tuned up here on his third start back after a break. He won here last year in January from 2 lbs higher. At the foot of the weights, which surely makes him dangerous.
08 January 2026
14:40 2:40 Ffos Las

Itseemslikeit

Daily Racing

65 WINNBNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 3.50 used instead of 2.38 takenBOG

@3.50

Win

162

Revitalised LTO when finally switching to fences. Dotting up over 3m at Uttoxeter LTO, jumping for fun and relishing soft ground. A 7 lb rise won't stop him. He has a high ceiling over fences and won here over hurdles.
13:40 1:40 Ffos Las

Juby Ball

Daily Racing

100 WINNAP

@1.83

Lose

-100

Looked well treated on handicap chase debut and won with more in hand at Carlisle on chase debut. Unbeaten here in a bumper and novice hurdle, and the form suggests this horse could be 10 lbs well in currently, with more potential than rivals.
03 January 2026
15:05 3:05 Sandown

Digby

Daily Racing

25 EW

@13.00

Lose

-50

Wide-open race. Considering this horse easily beat Konfusion by 6l last April, then finished a close second in the Summer Cup from this mark, it must have a chance here at the foot of the weights. Konfusion is now 2 stones higher in the weights, and the last run can be ignored as just the qualifier without the headgear.
13:15 1:15 Sandown

Poncho

Daily Racing

25 EW

@9.00

Lose

-50

Has more mileage over this trip, considering a 2m winner on the Flat. Since a summer break, has beaten the 145+ Marble Sands on the level before beating the progressive Jorebel over hurdles, who is now rated nearly 20 lbs higher over fences. So a 7 lb rise here looks workable, especially with a low weight.
01 January 2026
15:10 3:10 Cheltenham

Ace Of Spades

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.75

Lose

-50

Just third attempt at this trip and has novice-hurdle-winning form here. Looks a typical Skelton improver, who was 4th in the competitive Stayers' Handicap at Haydock LTO. Same mark here in calmer waters.
31 December 2025
15:13 3:13 Uttoxeter

River Voyage

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@7.00

Lose

-50

More to come as a chaser if brushing up the jumping and back to the last winning mark over hurdles after a sighter at Chepstow behind a rejuvenated horse for the Skelton team. Looks well treated considering the 2nd, 3rd, and 4th in that hurdle win have franked the form big time. Softer ground could suit better.
30 December 2025
13:20 1:20 Taunton

Le Beau Madrik

Daily Racing

100 WINNAPR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@1.73

Void

0

Won a Class 2 novice hurdle on first attempt LTO at Newcastle, needing every yard of the 2m. Form looks decent, with the third running well since. This step up in trip is sure to suit, and this looks a decent prospect. Should have no problem dispatching these.
29 December 2025
14:22 2:22 Newbury

Kalium

Daily Racing

25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@12.00

Void

0

Won here last season from 5 lb lower over 1f shorter but was strong at the finish. Surely has more to come over this trip on decent ground. The comeback run at Doncaster was full of promise, and the 7 lb claimer here means the horse runs from 2 lb lower than the winning mark.
14:10 2:10 Doncaster

Spindleberry

Daily Racing

100 WINNBNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 2.20 used instead of 1.91 takenBOG

@2.20

Win

120

Class act in this race and should take all the beating, considering unbeaten over fences and the Grade 1 win at Fairyhouse beating Firefox and Champ Kiely is top-level form.
13:57 1:57 Leopardstown

St Deniss Well

Daily Racing

25 EW

@9.00

Lose

-50

Was running well in this race last year when falling 3 out, and has a similar mark this year. Was not disgraced LTO when 6th in the Porterstown, a stronger race than this.
13:35 1:35 Doncaster

Fierce Warrior

Daily Racing

75 WINNAP

@2.25

Lose

-75

Made all here LTO comfortably and should cope with the 6 lb rise considering the 2nd that day Red Delta won the Lincolnshire National on Boxing Day. The better ground should also suit.
13:15 1:15 Newbury

Rath Gaul Hill

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.50

Lose

-50

Clearly needed the comeback run here LTO when finding zilch in a competitive Class 3. But another 2 lbs lower here, so just 3 lbs above last win here, and the addition of cheek pieces could find improvement.
28 December 2025
14:30 2:30 Leopardstown

Champ Kiely

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@8.00

Lose

-50

Smashed overnight with Cobden booked. This talented novice, who thrashed Ballyburn over 3m at Punchestown Festival, should have more to offer over this sort of trip. Definitely worth chancing in this grade.
14:15 2:15 Limerick

Conyers Hill

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.00

Lose

-50

Has his big chance here after finishing 4th in the Paddy Power Gold Cup from 3 lbs higher, with Panic Attack franked the form thereafter big time. This is much calmer waters with a nice weight. He had a sight of the track earlier in the season when a good 2nd giving 20 lbs to the winner.
27 December 2025
15:00 3:00 Leopardstown

Weveallbeencaught

Daily Racing

25 EW

@11.00

Lose

-50

Stable have won this race before and this horse just having 3rd start for this stable after a strong 2nd in the Munster National LTO. Should appreciate the decent ground and a strong gallop as shapes like a stayer.
14:50 2:50 Chepstow

Dom Of Mary

Daily Racing

25 EW

@17.00

Lose

-50

Seems revitalised on joining the Owen stable and was strong at the finish LTO at Newcastle over a marathon trip. The form has been franked with the 2nd ??" Zertakt ??" winning at Cheltenham on its next start. Has no weight and the long home straight should play to its strengths.
14:45 2:45 Wetherby

Doyen Du Bar

Daily Racing

65 WINNB

@2.38

Lose

-65

This looks very winnable, especially at the foot of the weights, having just a second start for the Richards stable. The form, beating Booster Bob last season, looks strong in the context of this race, with that horse winning twice at Newbury since.
14:10 2:10 Chepstow

Patriotik

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.50

Lose

-50

After two non-events at Cheltenham this season, he is now back to his last winning mark. He remains unexposed over this trip and was fifth here in the Silver Trophy last season from this rating.
13:27 1:27 Limerick

The Big Westerner

Daily Racing

65 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 2.38 used instead of 2.00 takenBOG

@2.38

Win

89

Won the Grade 2 Land Rover Hurdle here last Christmas before finishing 2nd in the Albert Bartlett. The chase debut was a strong 2nd to Jimmy Du Seuil and should take all the beating here.
13:12 1:12 Leopardstown

Majborough

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@2.75

Lose

-50

Has to go left-handed. If putting it all together and improving from the comeback 2nd at Cork, should take all the beating here, especially after winning the Irish Arkle here easily at the Dublin Racing Festival.
26 December 2025
14:55 2:55 Leopardstown

An Peann Dearg

Daily Racing

25 EW

@15.00

Lose

-50

Won this race last year before following up to win the Ryanair Listed Handicap at the Dublin Festival. With the jockey claim just a net 3 lbs higher here and the form of the Listed win decent, the 2nd, My Mate Mozzie, was placed in the Grand Annual on the next start and the 5th, Lisnamult Lad, was 2nd in the Topham. Had a clear prep run over hurdles, so likely aimed at this.
14:03 2:03 Wincanton

Pedley Wood

Daily Racing

50 WINNB

@4.33

Lose

-50

Won twice here before, including over this trip, and is just 2 lbs above last winning mark at the foot of the weights. Good comeback run from this mark when 4th at Exeter over shorter.
13:35 1:35 Wetherby

Konfusion

Daily Racing

100 WIN

@1.91

Win

91

Hosed up in the rehearsal chase LTO, and the form has been franked with the third Docpickedme winning since. So this 10 lb rise looks manageable, especially being at the foot of the weights.
13:07 1:07 Fontwell

Fortune Timmy

Daily Racing

100 WINNAP

@2.10

Win

110

Has the best form in this, considering he finished behind Old Park Star and Un Sens à la Vie LTO, with both horses winning since to frank form. Won here on his hurdles debut, and the stable is going well.
22 December 2025
12:50 12:50 Huntingdon

Petty Cash

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.00

Lose

-50

Remains lightly raced as a chaser and won a handicap hurdle here from 4 lbs lower. Just a fourth chase at this sort of trip, and the win a year ago before a year off was franked with the fourth winning since. The comeback run at Chepstow this season has offered plenty of positives.
21 December 2025
13:15 1:15 Fakenham

Gazette Bourgeoise

Daily Racing

25 EW

@8.00

Win

218

Hosed up here on New Year's Day from 1 lb lower, so surely looks ready to go again here after a respectable comeback run at Windsor. At the right end of the weights here.
20 December 2025
15:35 3:35 Ascot

Fiercely Proud

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@9.00

Lose

-50

Won this race last year from 7 lbs lower, but the form was strong, beating Kabral Du Mathan, who housed up on his first start for the Skelton team this season. 1 lb lower than the Greatwood when a battling 5th.
15:00 3:00 Ascot

Deep Cave

Daily Racing

25 EWNBNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 11.00 used instead of 9.50 takenBOG

@11.00

Win

300

Built like a chaser and did well to win the staying handicap hurdle at Aintree in the spring in a competitive field. Won on handicap chase debut at Bangor with the front two miles clear, so if building on that, a 4 lb rise looks workable. Could be a chaser to follow, especially from this yard.
14:05 2:05 Haydock

Jacks Parrot

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 13.00 used instead of 8.50 takenBOG

@13.00

Win

35

Same mark as last year when 2nd in this race. Nice low weight and had a clear prep LTO over hurdles. Had a sighter run last year. Still only 6 years old, so there could be more improvement.
18 December 2025
20:00 8:00 Chelmsford City

Brunel Nation

Daily Racing

25 EW

@6.50

Lose

-50

Has winning handicap form here and is now back to 2 lbs below last winning mark on the turf after a few quiet runs on the AW during the year. Surely ready to strike again.
17 December 2025
18:40 6:40 Kempton

Dingle

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 17.00 used instead of 12.00 takenBOG

@17.00

Win

55

Has a good record here. The last visit with this jockey in March saw a win, with the 3rd winning three races on the bounce thereafter. Also won on Good Friday at Lingfield in a competitive handicap and is just 3 lbs higher here.
17:40 5:40 Kempton

Hucklesbrook

Daily Racing

25 EW

@9.00

Lose

-50

Looks good value here. Third run back on the AW after an impressive turf season, which included winning a Class 2 sprint handicap at York in June. Just 4 lbs higher here and won a handicap here last year over this trip with the same jockey, Mitchell, on board.
16 December 2025
14:30 2:30 Wincanton

Flash Gorcombe

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 7.50 on 15/12 at 18:430.15 deduction for Diplomatic Ash@5.50 withdrawn at 08:09R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 6.50 x (1-0.15) = 6.52

@6.53

Win

2

Loves going right-handed and has winning form here in Jan 24. Now 1 lb below last winning mark at the foot of the weights, with the stable among the winners.
14 December 2025
14:00 2:00 Southwell

Strong Run

Daily Racing

100 WINNAP

@2.20

Win

120

This bumper winner was a respectable 6th in the Aintree Mares Bumper and shaped when 3rd on hurdles debut at Newbury in a Class 2 mares maiden. A step up in trip is required. Should have the class to win this.
13 December 2025
17:15 5:15 Newcastle

Pocklington

Daily Racing

50 WINNB

@2.75

Lose

-50

Likes this track, winning twice in novice events, and was a short-head 2nd from 2 lbs lower in a Class 2 handicap in June. Has finished 5th in the Sky Bet Dash since. LTO from this mark was a short-head 2nd in a Class 2 at Doncaster. The pedigree on the dam's side suggests this extra furlong will bring improvement.
15:00 3:00 Cheltenham

Conman John

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.62

Lose

-50

The stiff new track on decent ground should play to his strengths after winning over this trip at the October meeting. Looking the real deal. Should be able to give away 3 lbs to horses that haven't won and are unproven over the trip.
13:50 1:50 Cheltenham

Hoe Joly Smoke

Daily Racing

25 EW

@8.00

Lose

-50

The new track over this trip should play to his strengths on better ground than at the Paddy Power when he stayed on into 3rd. Mark unchanged here near the foot of the weights.
13:15 1:15 Cheltenham

Kalista Love

Daily Racing

25 EW

@12.00

Win

30

At the right end of weights and just 3 lbs higher from winning on chase debut at Warwick LTO. The handicap hurdle win in April at Ffos Las was franked big time by the second and third, suggesting there could be plenty more to come from this mark.
12:55 12:55 Doncaster

Spadestep

Daily Racing

100 WINNAP

@2.20

Lose

-100

Jumped for fun on chase debut at Aintree before being collared late, but the winner of that race was likely to win again from 6 lbs higher at Cheltenham when falling at the last. Just 2 lbs higher here in a weaker race.
12 December 2025
15:35 3:35 Cheltenham

Kyntara

Daily Racing

25 EW

@8.00

Lose

-50

Stable in better form now and this horse was 2nd in the Pertemps Final last year from this mark. This looks far easier and shaped well on the comeback over hurdles when 4L behind Impose Toi at Aintree.

Lucky Manifest

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.75

Lose

-50

Looks progressive, and the 2nd at the Paddy Power meeting behind A Pai de Nom looks to have really strong form. The step up in trip here should bring further improvement. He shapes like a horse who is better than this mark, and this looks an easier race.
13:15 1:15 Cheltenham

Kel Du Large

Daily Racing

25 EW

@8.50

Lose

-50

Won a junior Listed bumper here, and the softer conditions should play to his strengths. Looks very well handicapped at the foot of the weights, considering he had horses now rated 120 behind in the bumper.
12:05 12:05 Cheltenham

Kingston Queen

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@3.50

Lose

-50

Talented mare who was 3rd in the Aintree Mares' Bumper. She won nicely over further on her hurdles debut at Chepstow against the boys, with the 2nd and 3rd winning easily next time out. This stiff track over this trip should be fine, and she gets the handy 7 lb sex allowance.
11 December 2025
20:00 8:00 Chelmsford City

Blue Rc

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.88

Lose

-50

Unexposed over this trip. Just third attempt and only 1 lb higher from the good second at Kempton last time out behind Local Hero, which looks decent form. Won here on debut.
13:20 1:20 Punchestown

Switch From Diesel

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@3.25

Lose

-50

Top-notch bumper form, including finishing 2nd here to the Cheltenham bumper winner Bambino Fever at the festival. Given a considerate, wide ride on hurdles debut LTO when 2nd against the boys. Should appreciate the step up in trip here and being back among its own sex.
10 December 2025
14:45 2:45 Leicester

William Cody

Daily Racing

25 EW

@6.00

Lose

-50

Back to 1 lb below last winning mark and will be fully fit on third start this season. Strong form right-handed and has won here in the past. Lovely weight ??" everything looks right for a big run.
09 December 2025
14:30 2:30 Uttoxeter

Ski Lodge

Daily Racing

50 WINNB

@2.62

Lose

-50

Sure to relish fences, and the win over hurdles came over this trip. Definitely well handicapped based on the handicap hurdle second to the unexposed Scorpio Rising LTO over shorter.
13:30 1:30 Uttoxeter

Carismatic Soldier

Daily Racing

75 WINNAP

@2.25

Lose

-75

3rd behind the progressive Glen Road at Wetherby on handicap debut, with that horse franking the form ??" winning again at Kelso on Sunday. With the jockey claim a net 2 lb lower here and the step up in trip sure to suit, this is a very winnable race.
13:20 1:20 Punchestown

Switch From Diesel

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.75

Void

0

Top-notch bumper form, finishing 2nd to the Cheltenham bumper winner Bambino Fever here at the festival. Should improve a ton from the second on hurdle debut, given a considerate ride at Navan. Back against her own sex here, with the step up in trip sure to suit.

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