Simbad007

Specialise in finding value in feature handicaps

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Simbad007's Tips History

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26 July 2024
19:50 7:50 York

Ejaabiyah

Daily Racing

100 WINNAP

@1.73

Lose

-100

Looks a cut above in this race after finishing 2nd to Diamond Rain in a listed race @Newbury before hacking up from the front in a maiden @Salisbury. Should take this before tackling tougher assignments
17:40 5:40 Chepstow

Believe You Me

Daily Racing

75 WIN

@2.50

Win

112

Has a good record over C&D winning last year at this time of year and LTO beating Lady Winnalong who franked the form by winning easily @Salisbury on Wednesday. With the jockey claiming 5lbs running from 1lb lower the last win so should be a banker in very winnable race
15:20 3:20 Uttoxeter

Earth Cry

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.75

Lose

-50

Progressive and looking for the hattrick and on last visit here was 2nd to the progressive Jasmin De Grugy. Another 6lb rise but at right end of weights and shapes like there is plenty left in tank.
14:25 2:25 Ascot

Tactician

Daily Racing

100 WINNB

@1.91

Win

91

Unexposed stayer who was a good 2nd here LTO on handicap debut over 1m 6f, denied by a head and this looks a weaker race. Needed every yard that day so the extra yardage here looks ideal
25 July 2024
19:45 7:45 Newbury

Warmonger

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.75

Win

137

Totally unexposed at this trip at the foot of the weights and is better off at the weights than main rival The Crafty Mole following their clash @Yarmouth. Won well LTO over this trip and is only 5lbs higher here with the galloping track sure to suit.
18:50 6:50 Leopardstown

Surpass

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.75

Lose

-50

Unbeaten in 2 starts for Ballydoyle and won easily LTO @Tipperary and the stable have a great record in this race. Likely has Beckman to beat.
18:30 6:30 Yarmouth

Beylerbeyi

Daily Racing

25 EW

@10.00

Lose

-50

Been progressing well recently before coming unstuck @Chelmsford LTO when poorly positioned at rear and having to challenge wide but showed enough finishing 3rd to suggest can still be competitive now back on the turf from 1lb lower and good middle draw.
18:00 6:00 Yarmouth

Good Good Good

Daily Racing

60 WINNAP

@2.50

Lose

-60

Unexposed 3 year old who won well here on debut over this trip and should step forward on 2nd handicap start after a solid 2nd over 5f LTO. Just 2lbs higher with nice middle draw.
15:15 3:15 Sandown

Flaming Stone

Daily Racing

50 WINNB

@2.88

Lose

-50

Mighty impressive LTO on 2nd start attempting this trip for first time thrashing a maiden field @Newbury making all comfortably. The horse in 2nd that day has run well since in a class 3 maiden. Could be a cut above.
14:18 2:18 Worcester

Stumps Or Slips

Daily Racing

30 EW

@7.00

Lose

-60

Won well here last year over this trip and is only 7lbs higher here and has been kept to 2m on last 2 starts shaping encouragingly with this step back up in trip surely to suit.
24 July 2024
18:20 6:20 Naas

Nighteyes

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@8.00

Win

210

Will relish the return to 6f after winning 2 6f handicaps with ease earlier in season. Was a good 3rd LTO @Sandown over 5f in first attempt at this grade and the 2 horses in front that day have franked the form by finishing 1-2 in the Summer Stakes @York.
17:18 5:18 Naas

Miss Lamai

Daily Racing

65 WINNAP

@2.25

Win

81

Has the best form in this by a mile finishing 4th in the Queen Mary and 2nd in the Marygate. The debut win also looks good with the horse in 2nd winning a listed race in Italy.
16:40 4:40 Catterick

Freddy Robinson

Daily Racing

30 EWNOTETip made at odds of 5.50 on 23/07 at 18:540.15 deduction for Roger Henry@5.50 withdrawn at 09:47R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 4.50 x (1-0.15) = 4.82Best Odds Guaranteed SP 5.50 used instead of 4.83 BOG

@5.50

Win

3

Receiving lumps of weight from main rivals and is unexposed over this sort of trip which is likely to suit considering this horse won a 2m handicap hurdle here. 4lb higher for a gutsy win @Beverley LTO over 10f.
23 July 2024
17:00 5:00 Lingfield

Hoornblower

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@2.50

Lose

-50

Based on maiden form this horse should be rated in the 80s so the revised mark of 70 after winning here LTO still looks lenient and looked an improved sort when winning here on the comeback.
15:45 3:45 Musselburgh

Classy Al

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.50

Lose

-50

Has only had 2 attempts at this trip first up this season here 3rd behind the big improver American Affair who is now a stone higher and winning @Ayr. With the jockey claim 2lbs lower than the win @Ayr and has good rail draw.
22 July 2024
19:50 7:50 Windsor

Seek And Destroy

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@3.25

Lose

-50

Looks a typical improver for the Beckett team after winning a maiden here LTO beating an 80 rated yardstick. Surely will progress again now handicapping from a mark of 79.
19:20 7:20 Windsor

Lahina Bay

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionBest Odds Guaranteed SP 13.00 used instead of 10.00 takenBOG

@13.00

Win

35

Enjoys winning from this mark and with go to conditional on board Sean D Bowen claiming 3lbs running from that mark again here after winning here LTO. Good middle draw and no reason not to go close again.
16:15 4:15 Ayr

Eternal Sunshine

Daily Racing

50 WINNBNOTETip made at odds of 4.50 on 21/07 at 20:180.00 deduction for Jkr Cobbler@15.00 withdrawn at 11:290.25 deduction for Novello Lad @3.500 withdrawn at 16:19R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 3.50 x (1-0.25) = 3.63

@3.63

Win

131

Looks an improving sprinter for the Goldie team after securing a 2nd win on the bounce here LTO when pulling away nicely at the finish. 6lbs higher here but surely will rank higher than a 58 filly.
15:20 3:20 Cartmel

City Derby

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 6.00 on 21/07 at 20:140.00 deduction for Lady Mendoza@13.00 withdrawn at 07:150.00 deduction for Native Fighter @13.000 withdrawn at 10:270.15 deduction for Saint Bibiana @6.000 withdrawn at 12:11R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 5.00 x (1-0.15) = 5.25Best Odds Guaranteed SP 6.00 used instead of 5.25 BOG

@6.00

Win

150

Came from the clouds to win here LTO in what was a stronger race than this. Only 3lbs higher here and if getting a better run through surely will go close again.
21 July 2024
17:10 5:10 Stratford

Up For Appeal

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@4.50

Lose

-50

Won a 2m handicap hurdle here last year and is still low mileage over fences and wasn't suited to a hold up ride over 3m @Perth LTO. Same mark here and hopefully will get a strong pace to aim at.
15:15 3:15 Curragh

Mountain Bear

Daily Racing

50 WINNB

@3.25

Lose

-50

Has maiden winning form here and was 2nd in the Breeders Cup Juvenile at the back end last season. Improved on 2nd start this season to be 4th in the Jersey which looks strong form and should be ready to strike here with the 3 year old allowance.
14:25 2:25 Stratford

Side Stepper

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.88

Lose

-50

Unexposed stayer in handicaps just having 3rd attempt over this sort of trip and has no weight with Cobden booked. The form of his last 2 runs has substance with the winners winning again since. Surely will rank higher than 74.
20 July 2024
18:35 6:35 Newmarket

Shining Jewel

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.00

Win

5

Has won a mile handicap here and may relish this new trip today. Was a credible 5th behind Tiffany after a break LTO @Newcastle in a strong looking Group 3 and likely will strip fitter here.
16:50 4:50 Curragh

Lord Church

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@5.00

Lose

-50

A big improver looking for the 4 timer here after going up 19lbs in the weights but his last 2 wins including a strong performance here have been franked by the runner up so he could still have more to come from a mark of 83.
16:20 4:20 Newmarket

Waleefy

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.75

Lose

-50

Unexposed sprinter from top connections who saw the trip out powerfully here LTO on handicap debut to get up late and is only 3lbs higher here. The maiden 4th behind 95 rated Socialite makes him look well handicapped.
15:40 3:40 Curragh

Hanalia

Daily Racing

25 EW

@8.50

Lose

-50

Has the pedigree for this trip and won a listed race LTO over 10f @Naas. On penultimate start won a 10f maiden here beating Lily Hart who wasn't disgraced in a Group race @Fairyhouse recently to give the form a decent look.
15:15 3:15 Market Rasen

Boombawn

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@6.00

Lose

-50

Has been crying out for this trip over fences after being kept to 2m handicaps on last 2 starts. Won over hurdles in a hot 2m 5f handicap @Kempton from 5lbs lower and looks to have plenty of scope for fences so has to be competitive here if the ground remains decent.
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Parisencore

Daily Racing

25 EW

@11.00

Lose

-50

Looks made for this race after relishing the step up to 2m 4f LTO @Perth another right handed track and for a horse who was 7th in the Scottish champion hurdle knows what it takes to run in competitive handicaps. Just 3lbs higher here on 5th chase start.
14:35 2:35 Curragh

Heavenly Power

Daily Racing

25 EW

@8.00

Lose

-50

Solid record at this track and was 5th in this race last year when suffering interference from a net 1lb lower. Has been building up this season with LTO a strong 2nd here to Apricot Ice.
13:50 1:50 Newbury

Alyanaabi

Daily Racing

100 WINNAP

@1.91

Lose

-100

Has been crying out for this trip after finishing 5th in the Guineas and then 5th in the St James Palace. Has the standout form and should be way too good for these rivals.
19 July 2024
15:50 3:50 Haydock

Quantum Leap

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.25

Lose

-50

Won this race last year from this same mark and shaped well on the comeback here at the start of the month over 12f. Likely has Sea Legend to beat here.
17 July 2024
20:00 8:00 Ffos Las

Godsend

Daily Racing

125 WINNAP

@1.57

Lose

-125

Lightly raced Prescott improver who stepped forward big time LTO on 2nd handicap start when winning easily @Ripon. 6lb penalty here but likely has lots more to offer in a weak affair.
18:20 6:20 Killarney

Sakti

Daily Racing

50 WINNB

@3.25

Lose

-50

Runner up in a Group 2 and Group 3 @Curragh last season and broke the maiden tag when still green when winning @Dundalk earlier in Year. Sure to be suited by a mile and is the highest rated in this field.
16:40 4:40 Uttoxeter

Envious Editor

Daily Racing

25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@6.50

Void

0

Makes debut for the Hanmer yard and crucially has form on soft. Beat a decent hunter LTO @Stratford in Rebel Dawn Rising and there is likely room in his mark on rules chase debut.
16:30 4:30 Bath

Tailorman

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.00

Lose

-50

Unexposed and lightly raced over staying trips. 3rd attempt here and LTO was 2nd to Sea Grey @Chester who franked the form by winning there again recently. Just 1lb higher here with Oisin Murphy booked
15:52 3:52 Thirsk

Challet

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.50

Win

7

Has lots of form here including winning over 1m here in July 2020. 4lbs lower than when 4th in the Summer cup here last year. Had 2 sighters so far this year and surely will be spot on for this. Handles cut.
16 July 2024
19:30 7:30 Kempton

Tennessee Gold

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.50

Lose

-50

Won impressively here on the comeback on handicap debut and has run well on turf on 2 starts since including 3l behind Pedro Valentine who has run well since. At the right end of weights to strike again.
19:15 7:15 Killarney

Lady Doris

Daily Racing

50 WINR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@3.25

Void

0

Stable in cracking form and is just 2lbs higher here after winning the Ulster Oaks LTO @Down Royal. Shapes like this trip is well worth another go.
17:20 5:20 Nottingham

My Honey B

Daily Racing

25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@8.00

Void

0

Won here last August from 1lb higher and looks ready to strike here on 4th start after a break after running well LTO when narrowly denied @Chester.
15 July 2024
20:50 8:50 Windsor

Woottons Jewel

Daily Racing

50 WINNB

@3.50

Lose

-50

Unexposed 3 year old from stable in form and based on the novice run 3l behind Alshinfarah & Remaad then this horse is ahead of handicapper even with the handicap debut C&D win LTO. Just 3lbs higher here with big potential of more in locker.
17:50 5:50 Killarney

Galen

Daily Racing

150 WINNAP

@1.57

Win

85

Should be an absolute banker considering this horse was 2l behind City of Troy on debut. LTO @Curragh on first attempt at this trip bounded clear by 9l in a maiden. Best horse in this race by a mile.
16:25 4:25 Downpatrick

River Tara

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.50

Lose

-50

Has crucial course form by winning a bumper here impressively. Didn't win on 2 hurdle starts to date but LTO was a respactable 2nd to 135 rated Tag Man @Listowel and that sets the form standard here. Should also appreciate the extra yardage.
14 July 2024
16:15 4:15 Perth

Fever Dream

Daily Racing

100 WINNAP

@2.50

Lose

-100

Looks a typical big improver from this yard after stepping up to this trip LTO here winning with plenty to spare. 12lbs higher here but surely will rank higher than a mark of 106.
14:30 2:30 Stratford

Coconut Twist

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.50

Lose

-50

Won a 3m PTP before winning on chase handicap debut LTO @Newton Abbot. Surely more in locker from 8lbs higher from this lowly mark and the extra yardage here should bring more improvement.
13 July 2024
18:05 6:05 Chester

Al Shabab Storm

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.50

Win

125

Made all impressively here LTO in a class 2 handicap and has another good draw here to repeat the dose against mainly out of form rivals. Big improver.
16:42 4:42 Ascot

Azahara Palace

Daily Racing

50 EW

@6.00

Lose

-100

Was 8th behind Doha here in Kensington Palace but was given way too much to do from the back so ran well in the circumstances. Same mark here in calmer waters with Hollie Doyle booked.
16:35 4:35 Newmarket

Jasour

Daily Racing

25 EW

@12.00

Lose

-50

Won the July stakes here last year and has 2 1/2 lengths to find on Inisherin from Ascot but he was keen that day and maybe that contributed to fading late. Looks good each way value here if getting a strong pace to aim at.
16:20 4:20 Chester

Grey Fable

Daily Racing

60 WINNB

@2.50

Win

90

2nd run for the Thornton stable and was a good 2nd here LTO from this mark in what was likely a stronger race. With go to conditional on board this time Sean Bowen has to go well. Stable have already had success at this track this season.
16:07 4:07 Ascot

Sheer Rocks

Daily Racing

25 EW

@13.00

Lose

-50

Fresher than most after a respectable comeback run @Royal Ascot when 10th in Duke of Edinburgh. 1lb lower here just 5lbs above last winning mark which was here at start of last season.
16:00 4:00 Newmarket

Aalto

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 8.50 used instead of 8.00 takenBOG

@8.50

Win

225

4 solid runs this season with the mark not really changing and was a good 2nd here to Crack Shot on the comeback and on penultimate start was 5th behind Tolstoy @York who franked the form by winning again yesterday. Looks to be well drawn in 10 looking at the track bias over first 2 days.
1 member found this comment useful
15:25 3:25 Newmarket

Ancient Truth

Daily Racing

100 WINNOTETip made at odds of 2.10 on 13/07 at 11:440.20 deduction for Pentle Bay@5.00 withdrawn at 14:150.00 deduction for Paps Turf @81.000 withdrawn at 15:05R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 1.10 x (1-0.2) = 1.88

@1.88

Win

88

Looks a class act after 2 wins here over 6f and then powering clear over this 7f LTO. Likely will have too much class for these rivals and could be a Guineas horse for next year.
15:10 3:10 York

Paradias

Daily Racing

25 EW

@13.00

Lose

-50

Was 5th here last year at the Ebor meeting in the Sky bet handicap from this mark . Returned after 3 runs over hurdles to run an eye catching race at the Derby meeting when 2nd to Bolster. Should be spot on for this with a good draw in 7.
14:50 2:50 Newmarket

Qirat

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.50

Lose

-50

Beat Al Shabab Storm in a competitive handicap @Goodwood on the comeback with that horse hosing up since in a class 2 handicap. LTO from 4lbs higher was a respectable 6th in the Britannia when maybe not ideally positioned. Surely has to go well here from same mark.
1 member found this comment useful
14:35 2:35 York

Starlust

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTETip made at odds of 3.20 on 13/07 at 11:360.10 deduction for Emaraaty Ana@10.00 withdrawn at 13:11R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 2.20 x (1-0.10) = 2.98

@2.98

Win

99

Will appreciate the return to this track and distance after finding the Commonwealth @Ascot a bit too much. Has already won here over C&D this season and is the highest rated in this field.
14:20 2:20 Ascot

Quddwah

Daily Racing

100 WINNAP

@2.50

Win

150

With stable back in form this has to be a banker after remaining unbeaten winning here earlier in the season in a listed race beating Docklands who was placed at Royal Ascot. Has good high draw against near rail.

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