shirleyswonderracingbirmingham

4

Estimated Prizes
this month

£20

Estimated Prize money
this month

shirleyswonderracingbirmingham's Tips History

12 February 2026
21:28 9:28 Newcastle

A Bit Of Noah

Daily Races

50 WIN

@+450

Lose

-50

Another race where the price looks wrong. Pn times A Bit of Noah holds these at 29.31; admittedly that was back in December, but he's dropped two classes since. I'm hoping The Coppice leads up and Noah follows him round, takes it up from halfway. It would be a change for him to meet an untroubled passage.
20:41 8:41 Hove

Swift Jarvis

Daily Races

50 WIN

@+125

Lose

-50

SWIFT JARVIS will welcome a return to his home track after his recent travels. He's 6/16 in Open Races. He is some way clear of these on his best time. If he's slowly away, as is normal, he can navigate the likely crowding in the run to halfway. None will be staying on as well as him.
20:36 8:36 Newcastle

Ballymac Sargie

Daily Races

50 WIN

@+187

Lose

-50

Ballymac Sargie is 7/17 and 3/4 in open races. He has blistering early pace and holds these on the clock, with a best time of 28.27, which he set on his last run back on January 22nd. With three slow starters on his inner, all railers, there's guaranteed to be trouble. His principal danger could come from the dog in 5, who trialed well recently but has not been involved in the hurly-burly of a six-dog race for several weeks. 15/8 looks very good value.
20:00 8:00 Chelmsford City

Signcastle City

Daily Racing

25 EW

@+300

Win

90

SIGNCASTLE CITY is extremely well handicapped at present and hinted his turn may be close at hand with a very good second at Lingfield behind a decent yardstick in Monsieur Kodi. He was taken on for the lead that day but knuckled down. He should get an uncontested lead here. With doubts over the trip and the form of some of these, he looks overpriced and impossible to leave out of the frame. Richard Hannon stable have been amongst the winners of late.
20:00 Brentford v Arsenal

Bukayo Saka

Anytime Goalscorer

50 WIN

@+187

Open

0

Viktor Gyokeres

Anytime Goalscorer

50 WIN

@+150

Open

0

19:49 7:49 Hove

Ballydoyle Eile

Daily Races

50 WIN

@-124

Win

40

A poor Heat 3 can go to Ballydoyle Eile, who knows her way around here. She has good early pace. With a vacant trap on her inner, she can lead these a merry dance. Her best time around here, 29.62, is miles clear of anything else. I envisaged her being much shorter.
19:45 Gerwyn Price vs Gian van Veen

Gerwyn Price

Win Match 2-way

50 WIN

@+100

Open

0

The Ice Man meets The Giant. Bit surprised to see evens for Gerwyn, who admittedly lost a cracking game in a deciding leg against Cool Hand Luke on Night 1. But Gian was poor midweek in the Players Championship 1 & 2, compared to Gerwyn, who was poor in PC1 but lost a deciding leg in PC2 final 8-7.

Gerwyn Price -1.50

Handicap 2-way

50 WIN

@+150

Open

0

The Giant has risen up the rankings and finds himself as world number 3, but he has a poor record against The Iceman. In the last 9 meetings he's only won one game. And The Iceman has coveted this line in all of those matches he's won. 6/4 looks a little on the high side. Let's grab value while we can, as I cannot see it lasting.
19:27 7:27 Newcastle

Soapy Suds

Daily Races

50 WIN

@+150

Lose

-50

Very surprised to see Soapy Suds second favourite and odds against to boot! She holds these on the clock. It's not within the realms of possibility she could lead these up. If she does, she wins.
19:16 7:16 Hove

Scooby The Lady

Daily Races

50 WIN

@-136

Lose

-50

I envisage Trapani 1 & 2 tangling in the run to the first bend. That could well leave Scooby The Lady clear. She's won her last three Open Races with her fantastic early acceleration. Her last two best times of 29.37 and 29.28, anything like a repeat of her last two sectionals, can see her better that time.
19:15 Jonny Clayton vs Stephen Bunting

Jonny Clayton

Win Match 2-way

50 WIN

@-133

Open

0

The Ferret beat Rocky quite comprehensively in PL Night, 6 legs to 2, before being beaten by The Giant 6-4. He meets The Bullet tomorrow evening, who had a poor start to the PL last season and again started with a 6-2 loss on Night 1 against Mighty Mike. In what could be a scrappy game, I'm taking The Ferret to win at just under evens. It should be a close encounter which may go to the wire. On the handicap, The Bullet can cover the line with a 2-leg start.These two have shared the spoils in theor last 6 meetings

Under 9.50

Total Legs

50 WIN

@-109

Open

0

This could be a scrappy affair, and at the current odds I'm happy to go unders at a shade under evens, with neither averaging highly with their three darts.
19:00 7:00 Chelmsford City

Stay Salty

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@+450

Win

135

Surprising to see Zambezi River at those odds. Admittedly he showed promise at Kempton last month, but his form does not warrant 4/7. The value, I think, lies with Sea Salty, who I envisaged around the 6/4??"2/1 mark. Seeing 9/2 I had to look twice. This one should not be inconvenienced by dropping a furlong following a perfectly redoubtable debut, finishing 4th and very much looking in need of the run. The winner certainly looks above average and may well have had big chance on that occasion. The third that day, Shafdar, has come out and won. The trainer is 0-5 with his 2-year-olds here. But this race is much easier on paper than last month’s. At 3 points above the odds I envisaged, he's tremendous value and today's NAP.
18:45 Michael van Gerwen vs Josh Rock

Michael van Gerwen

Win Match 2-way

50 WIN

@-117

Open

0

MVG won PL Night 1 and has been up and down form-wise with his personal issues taking their toll, but that would have buoyed him. The world number 4 can win this outright against PL debutant & World number 9 Josh Rock, who was poor on the opening night against The Asp.

Josh Rock 1.50

Handicap 2-way

50 WIN

@-166

Open

0

MVG leads the H2H 8-4. Although I feel he'll be beaten, he can keep the score respectable, and with a 2-frame start, that's the call.

Under 9.50

Total Legs

50 WIN

@-109

Open

0

Mighty Mike should win this encounter. At just under evens, total legs under 10 may offer a bit of value.
18:42 6:42 Hove

Montalto Gift

Daily Races

50 WIN

@+200

Lose

-50

This concerns the 2 and 5 dogs. And for once I can see the Barbara Green runner getting a clear run and leading the 1 and 3 up. Nothing between them on the clock.
18:30 6:30 Chelmsford City

Carlton

Daily Racing

50 WINNBNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 4.00 used instead of 3.50 takenBOG

@+300

Win

150

Tryfan is a crazy price. Ran a shocker last month at Newcastle with doubts over five of the runners in terms of trip. CARLTON is quite a big price. 15221 form figures in the last five runs; just beaten here last month. But he loves the track ??" four of his six wins have come here. Trip's perfect. Good draw to operate from. Thus a dual-purpose runner won't lack fitness. And young Ashley Lewis takes off a further 5 pounds, partly negating the 3-pound ride for that last effort. Seven runners and three places up for grabs.
18:26 6:26 Hove

Hopes Candy

Daily Races

50 WIN

@-109

Win

46

This concerns me. I feel Trap 1 and 5. Flojo may lead up, but to my eye I'm not sure she gets this trip. Her best time of 42.75 puts her behind Hopes Candy's 42.15. I envisaged her being odds-on around 1/2 in this line-up. She's invariably a magnet for trouble early doors, but with the bitch on her outer slowly away she can turn second and nothing will pass her. At the odds she's good value.
18:15 Luke Littler vs Luke Humphries

Luke Humphries 1.50

Handicap 2-way

50 WIN

@-109

Open

0

Both proved major disappointments in Week 1, with Nuke going out in the opening heat and Humphries 1/4s. But these two are a lot closer in terms of ability than the odds suggest. I'm happy to take "Cool Hand Luke" to edge this outright on the handicap. 10/11 is a fair price.
18:08 6:08 Hove

Zenith Rocket

Daily Races

50 WIN

@+300

Win

150

Tricky opener, but there's no way ZENITH ROCKET should be 6/1. Not got that much to find on the clock. Set his best time on the run before last around here when breaking well. That same one in an Open went off 11/4. Last run went off 5/6 favourite, missed the break, was then baulked at the first and crowded mid-race. Could well lead up and bag the rails. Seven career wins from just 13 starts.
18:00 6:00 Chelmsford City

Dyrholaey

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@+332

Win

166

Aberama Gold is amazing even at the age of 9, running well in food company. But this evening could be Dyrholaey day. Yet win a handicap. He was a good second at Wolverhampton at the beginning of the month. Thus the Vity Light gelding has the services of Luke Morris, who rides this course exceptionally well. If backing him blind, +£37.00. This fella should get an uncontested lead, and Luke is just the right jockey for him. Very surprised at 100/30 as I envisage 2/1??"5/2.
17:30 5:30 Chelmsford City

Unionville

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTEDead heat Winner so return divided by 2DH

@+350

Win

53

UNIONVILLE showed there was a race in her on three runs for Jessica Harrington in Ireland last year. Made stable debut in a handicap at Kempton and was run down late on. This maiden looks very winnable. I envisaged around 2/1. A bit surprised to see 7/2. I think this filly is excellent value if she replicates that run.
16:55 4:55 Chelmsford City

Angelica K

Daily Racing

100 WIN

@+250

Lose

-100

A race not to get too heavily involved with, as inexperienced apprentices and no whips are allowed. But Angelika K did me a good turn two days ago, and although penalised 5 pounds for the Classified Stakes win this March, she won very easily and looks some way ahead off this mark. She has won off higher in the past. The danger is probably River Wharf, who should benefit from stepping up in trip. But Simon Hodgeson runner is an uncomplicated ride and can make all the running. I made her a 6/4 shot so 5/2 is tremendous value
11 February 2026
20:15 Sunderland v Liverpool

Liverpool

50 WIN

@-120

Win

41

The Reds suffered a painful home loss on Saturday. But such is their potency in attack that they look a bit of value at 5/6. I envisage they would be shorter.

Liverpool & Yes (Result + BTTS)

Result and BTTS

50 WIN

@+250

Lose

-50

The Black Cats are having a storming season. Regarded as relegation certainties, it's not impossible they'll qualify for Europe. But they've only kept one clean sheet in their last six. Such is the Reds' defence ??" they've not kept a clean sheet in their last four PL games. This suggests BTTS and an away win, and 5/2 makes some appeal.

Cody Gakpo

Anytime Goalscorer

50 WIN

@+250

Lose

-50

Florian Wirtz

Anytime Goalscorer

50 WIN

@+275

Lose

-50

Mohamed Salah

Anytime Goalscorer

50 WIN

@+200

Lose

-50

20:00 Motherwell v Rangers

Draw

50 WIN

@+250

Win

125

Match of the night. Motherwell won 5 of their last 6 to nil, and another was a 1-1 draw. They meet a Rangers side whose fortunes have been turned around under their new manager. Rangers have won 4 of their last 6 in all competitions, three to nil, with a 0-0 draw. This could be a goal fest or 0-0. I feel it will end in a draw.

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

@-142

Win

35

Both sides looked strong defensively and both are scoring plenty, which suggests that BTTS may well be the play here. Bit surprised it's not shorter. Well scored in all of their last 6. Only once in their last 6 have Rangers failed to score, that coming away at Hibs.
20:00 Swindon v Newport County

Swindon & Yes (Result + BTTS)

Result and BTTS

50 WIN

@+220

Lose

-50

Swindon have taken 9 points from 9 and should beat a poor Newport County side who lie second from bottom. However, Swindon only kept 2 clean sheets in their last six matches. County only failed to score in 2 of their last 6. Suggests 11/5 looks quite generous.
19:45 Celtic v Livingston

Celtic

50 WIN

@-666

Win

8

The returning Martin O'Neill has restored some semblance of order at Parkhead. They lie second and face a Livingston side who are rock bottom and are as good as relegated. Comfortable home win.

Celtic & Yes (Result + BTTS)

Result and BTTS

50 WIN

@+160

Win

80

Celtic have only kept one clean sheet in their last five, and Livingston, despite all their on- and off-field problems, have only failed to score once in their last six, that being against an in-form Motherwell side. 8/5 therefore makes plenty of appeal.
19:45 Charlton v Stoke

Charlton & Yes (Result + BTTS)

Result and BTTS

50 WIN

@+500

Lose

-50

19:45 Dundee Utd v Aberdeen

Draw

50 WIN

@+240

Void

0

The reverse fixture in December ended in a 1-1 draw, and it could well be déjà vu once again. Both sides have 4 losses and two wins in their last 6 games. They are mid-table with 3 points separating them. A draw looks the call.
19:45 Falkirk v Dundee

Draw

50 WIN

@+279

Lose

-50

Both sides have identical records in their last 6 matches with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses. Although Falkirk have overachieved this season so far, Dundee are not prolific scorers. The draw against Celtic last week would have boosted them, following the draw against St Mirren. I feel the price of the draw and an away win are wrong, and I'd be happy to get involved in both at 4/1 and 11/4 respectively.
19:45 Grimsby v Accrington Stanley

Accrington Stanley

50 WIN

@+325

Lose

-50

Stanley overcame a poor start to the season and are on a 3-match winning streak. Only two points separate these two mid-table sides. Whereas the visitors won their last 3, the Shrips have drawn their last two. At just over 3/1 I feel Stanley are overpriced and can edge a tight affair, especially as I feel their true odds should be 7/4.

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

@-124

Lose

-50

These two shared a goal apiece in the reverse fixture, and only once in their last 5 games have either side failed to score. Suggests 4/5 may look a bit of value.
19:45 Kilmarnock v St Mirren

Draw

50 WIN

@+240

Lose

-50

Six points separate these two at the bottom, and two of the last three fixtures have seen the game end in a stalemate. Could well be the case again, thus evening.

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

@-124

Win

40

Kilmarnock have only kept one clean sheet in their last 6 fixtures and the visitors are the same, albeit that came against the Jam Tarts. Points to BTTS scoring, such is the frailty of both defenses.
19:30 Aston Villa v Brighton

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

@-181

Lose

-50

Aston Villa have conceded in their last 4 Premier League games as they struggled with a thin squad. I hurriedly meant a Seagulls who've conceded in their last 6 Premier League fixtures. This points to both teams scoring

Danny Welbeck

Anytime Goalscorer

50 WIN

@+200

Lose

-50

Morgan Rogers

Anytime Goalscorer

50 WIN

@+209

Lose

-50

Ollie Watkins

Anytime Goalscorer

50 WIN

@+150

Lose

-50

Over 4.50

Total Cards

50 WIN

@+125

Win

62

Games lately between these two have been niggly affairs. The last two meetings saw 4 and 5 yellow cards. Factor in both sides' recent form, a greasy pitch with the forecast rain, and Banks averaging over 4 a game. In 18 fixtures shown: 68 yellows and 3 reds. Average of 44.4. That suggests this could be a close call, but it's worth chancing with both sides needing a win at the overly high odds of 5/4 ??" bigger if one shops around.
19:30 Crystal Palace v Burnley

Crystal Palace

50 WIN

@-188

Lose

-50

Seeing as Palace have lost key players to injury in the transfer window and to AFCON, and are playing in Europe, they have done well with such a thin squad and amassed 32 points. They should beat the Clarets. Burnley struggle to score, have only amassed 15 points, and are as good as relegated even at this early stage of proceedings. Palace had a decent 1-0 win at the Amex ??" well deserved. Meet Burnley: the side have lost their last two and are winless in their last five PL games.

Jean Philippe Mateta

Anytime Goalscorer

50 WIN

@-120

Lose

-50

Jorgen Larsen

Anytime Goalscorer

50 WIN

@+114

Win

57

Zian Flemming

Anytime Goalscorer

50 WIN

@+400

Lose

-50

19:30 Man City v Fulham

Man City

50 WIN

@-277

Win

18

City came from the dead and won a crazy second half at Anfield. Although not as consistent as they have been in recent seasons, they should see off a Fulham side who lost 3 of their last 4.

Man City & Yes (Result + BTTS)

Result and BTTS

50 WIN

@+160

Lose

-50

Fully expect the Citizens to win, but their defence this season has been leaky, to put it mildly. They face a side who can score and have only failed to score once in the last six games. That was away to Leeds in the FA Cup. 8/5 makes plenty of appeal.

Erling Haaland

Anytime Goalscorer

50 WIN

@-227

Win

22

Phil Foden

Anytime Goalscorer

50 WIN

@+179

Lose

-50

Over 3.00

Total Cards

50 WIN

@-124

Win

40

With rain, the pitch will be greasy. One looks at the Black Cats' averages over the last 25 games: they average just over 2 yellows a game. Liverpool, over the same number of games, average just under two. Tonight's official in the middle is Kavanagh, who in 18 games officiated is the 10th strictest with 72 yellows and 1 red, with an average of 4.1 a game. This suggests this line is wrong.
19:30 Nottm Forest v Wolverhampton

Igor Jesus

Anytime Goalscorer

50 WIN

@+137

Lose

-50

Morgan Gibbs White

Anytime Goalscorer

50 WIN

@+225

Lose

-50

Toluwalase Arokodare

Anytime Goalscorer

50 WIN

@+400

Lose

-50

Over 10.00

Total Corners

50 WIN

@-111

Push

0

Both defenses aren't the strongest. With Wolves averaging 7 against and Forest averaging over 6 at the City Ground, this points to overs.

Over 4.00

Total Cards

50 WIN

@-117

Lose

-50

Two sides at the wrong end of the table throw in a Midlands derby. Referee Robinson averaged 56.6 cards in the six games he's officiated this season, and this line could be wrong.
16:50 4:44 Southwell

Marra Donna

Daily Racing

250 EW

@+225

Lose

-500

Was backed to the exclusion of everything else on Monday at Chelmsford when leading till being caught on the line. A repeat of that run off this weight, if not coming too soon, can pay dividends. Be interesting if the money comes for him again.
16:20 4:14 Southwell

Jesse Luc

Daily Racing

125 EWNAP

@+450

Lose

-250

Early Forecast 12/1 has not materialised, but Jesse Luc won six times in a productive 2025 campaign. Three of those wins came over course and distance. Entitled to come on for that first run at Chelmsford last time when fourth, beaten just under two and a half lengths. Dropping in grade tomorrow. Cannot see out the frame with 4 places up for grabs
16:08 4:08 Dundalk

Ben Lawers

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@-124

Win

40

Miles clear on the figures. BEN LAWERS should finally get his head in front against a poor field. The hoods dropped here. Went off 4/5 favourite on the back of an excellent second behind a potentially useful Ballydoyle horse but ran a shocker. Post-race was found to have scoped badly, which at least explains the poor showing.
16:00 4:00 Hereford

Everyonesacritic

Daily Racing

250 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 5.50 used instead of 4.50 takenBOG

@+450

Win

1350

I've a suspicion that Evan Williams has aimed EVERYONESACRITIC at this race and geared his season around it. He's certain to handle the conditions, unlike a few of these. Won the race last year and is now below his last winning mark. Williams swaps cheekpieces for a first-time visor. Isobel knows the horse inside out. Meeting several rivals who are completely out of form and who will not handle the ground conditions. Our fellow will enjoy getting his hoof into it. He's never fallen in his career (jinxed him now) and completed all 20 starts: 3 wins, 3 seconds and 5 third-place finishes. If you break that down to just chase races it's 2 wins, 3 seconds and 3 runner-up finishes. 7/2 looks completely wrong ??" I envisage him nearer 2/1. So many holes in the opposition for a variety of reasons. He's a rock-solid each-way play here. By far best bet on the card.
15:44 3:44 Southwell

Gundogan

Daily Racing

100 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@+500

Void

0

Nammos, if breaking, could run well for a stable who excels with others' cast-offs. But GUNDOGAN was well fancied three days ago and ran far too keenly when 2/1 favourite. I thought William Carson looked to pull too early on in that contest. This similar graded handicap, yet he's three times the price of Monday's run. 5/1 is two points bigger than I envisaged.
15:38 3:38 Dundalk

Apiary

Daily Racing

150 EW

@+400

Lose

-30

Nicolas Burns takes off a useful 5 pounds on Apiary. She comes into this in fine fettle, narrowly denied by a head on her handicap debut back in December. In my view she was given a misjudged ride when given a mountain to climb under this jockey here last month. She was well backed 9/4 favourite that day, yet against weaker opposition she's 4/1 here. I cannot envisage her out of the frame.
15:20 3:14 Southwell

Naanas Crystal

Daily Racing

250 WIN

@+162

Win

405

Si Grass ran out an easy winner on return on the all-weather last time, but he was entitled to on his Newmarket debut run. Getting 7 pounds on him is NAANAS CRYSTAL, who ran second, beaten a length and a half when absolutely smashed up in the betting from opening show evening before and during the day. The yard remain in good form. If she can keep on the coat-tails of the odds-on favourite, she can outstay him.
15:08 3:08 Dundalk

Star Strewn

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@+200

Win

100

I'm very surprised not to see STAR STREWN odds on here. On admittedly limited form, he has the best record with a 4th and a 3rd place finish. When with Cormac Farrell he was well supported each time. His debut showed him pleading green and meeting trouble. The last run, when third, has been franked by the second.
14:50 2:44 Southwell

Balqaa

Daily Racing

62 EW

@+1200

Lose

-125

BALQAA is proving expensive to follow, and it's fair to say this is his last chance for me. Entitled to need the first run following a break, he hinted that a return to form was imminent when second in a conditions race. He was never going with the pace on his last run at Newcastle. Once again, Jason Hart takes the ride. The handicapper has been very tight-fisted with his mark, but he's getting upwards of 12 pounds off the field. Hopefully he'll be ridden closer to the pace.
14:38 2:38 Dundalk

Tatateo

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@+175

Lose

-50

In three visits here, Tatateo finished runner-up twice and won comfortably here last week. Barring the Flynn runner, the remainder of the field is totally out of sorts. Despite the penalty for that success, the Derek Hogan runner is unexposed.
14:20 2:14 Southwell

Skycutter

Daily Racing

75 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionBest Odds Guaranteed SP 5.00 used instead of 4.50 takenBOG

@+400

Win

375

Has yet register a win in since changing stables but has not been running to badly placed third in last two start. If the race comes to soon for the favourite he could well benefit. As rcently as October of last year he was running off amark of 83 been dropped some 23 pounds surely its only a matter of time before that mark is exploited
14:08 2:08 Dundalk

Hero Of The Hour

Daily Racing

50 EW

@+1000

Lose

-100

Hero of the Hour is a three-time course-and-distance winner, including this race in 2023. I thought the rider never got him involved last time (maybe that race was in mind), but the time before he was narrowly denied by Hasiyna in a photo here. Strictly at the weights Hasiyna should confirm the form. I make it between these two. At the prices I feel value lies with HOH at 10/1. Is bigger in the odd place so shop around.
13:50 1:44 Southwell

Shalaa Asker

Daily Racing

75 EWNBNOTETip made at odds of 2.88 on 10/02 at 16:150.10 deduction for Wedgewood@9.00 withdrawn at 10:05R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 1.88 x (1-0.10) = 2.69

@+169

Win

152

226131 are Chris Wallis form figures for Shalaa Asker. And he won well at Wolverhampton on his last run. He is still on an attractive mark despite that win and penalty, and this looks a very winnable contest.
13:38 1:38 Dundalk

Dusty Rock

Daily Racing

50 WINR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@-175

Void

0

Although odds-on, the Joseph O'Brien runner Dusty Rock should win this comfortably if replicating his runner-up finish here last month.
12:54 12:54 Towcester

Mustang Razor

Daily Races

50 WIN

@+110

Lose

-50

MUSTANG RAZOR looks one of the best mates on the morning card. Anything like a level break from trap rise can see this fella win. Has 12 wins from 39. 1 in 3 strike rate in this grade and from this box. Danger could be the Orange, who trialed well after a month's absence. They both have an identical best time of 15.89.

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