shirleyswonderracingbirmingham

10

Estimated Prizes
this month

£70

Estimated Prize money
this month

shirleyswonderracingbirmingham's Tips History

19 January 2026
19:30 7:30 Wolverhampton

Ash Wednesday

Daily Racing

50 EWNAP

@+1100

Lose

-100

Lodge is difficult to get a handle on in a first-time handicap and a near four-month layoff to overcome. Chifa, I feel the handicapper may have caught up with him. The interesting ones, at a couple of points bigger than I envisaged, are ARANTES NASCIMENTO and ASH WEDNESDAY at double the odds. The latter is the call. Won 6 of his 10 starts on the AW last season and ran up a hat-trick this time last year. He's a four-time winner around here in 5 starts and the other run finished second. His last two runs were in much better company than this, against horses in the mid-eighties and above. This is the easiest task in a while if ready to roll after an absence. Tongue tie remains. Double-figure odds seriously underestimate this Heather Main runner. Today's sole bet & Nap
17:30 Mark Selby v Wu Yize

Mark Selby -0.50

Handicap Betting

50 WIN

@-166

Win

30

Mark Selby to win 3-2

Frame Betting

50 WIN

@+359

Lose

-50

18 January 2026
23:30 LA Rams @ CHI Bears

LA Rams -4.00

Point Spread

50 WIN

@+100

Lose

-50

Rams made hard work in Carolina after being 14-0 up at one point. However, if they can cut out the errors they should have too much quality for a Bears side that continues to improve. I envisaged this would be higher at 5.5 at two points less, and evens looks very good value bet.

Over 48.50

Game Totals

50 WIN

@-109

Lose

-50

I'm envisaging a high-scoring encounter with end-to-end action. The Bears have done exceptionally well to be here. They had yet another fourth-quarter comeback last week. But the Rams' offense is vastly superior and should have the beating of the hosts. Though their never-say-die attitude and ability to score should see points.
22:45 Sony Open in Hawaii

Adam Scott

25 EW

@+4500

Lose

-50

Adam Scott at 45/1 might offer a bit of value. He's very in and out, but his style of play will suit this course with an emphasis on accuracy. With conditions set to be warm and breezy, that should suit him. With six places up for grabs.

Eric Cole

25 EW

@+5500

Lose

-50

Those at the head of the betting are short enough for the opening tournament of the tour. So I'm looking further down the field. Eric Cole has played here three times and improved on each occasion: 61st, 13th, and 5th last year, five off the lead. His game will be suited by the course and he could well surprise at a big price.

Nick Taylor

25 EW

@+4500

Lose

-50

Nick Taylor is a big-looking 45/1 shot. His last three visits at Waialee have seen him finish 7th twice before winning last year in a playoff. His course form is excellent. The course obviously suits him. He invariably starts well in the opening tournament of the year. I feel he's much bigger than he should be. Six places up for grabs and he could well land a sixth career title.

Russell Henley

50 WIN

@+1100

Lose

-50

He's short enough, but Russell Henley is a past winner around here 16 years ago and has an excellent record here. The course clearly plays to his strengths.
20:00 HOU Texans @ NE Patriots

HOU Texans

Money Line

50 WIN

@+150

Lose

-50

With home-field advantage, the Patriots are worthy favourites. But value lies with Houston. Second in the AFC South, they won their opening playoff game in Pittsburgh 30-6. They've been on a ten-match winning streak. The Patriots side won 14 of their last 15. I had this contest 5/6 each way. I certainly didn't envisage seeing 6/4. Value lies with them in the outright market and on the handicap.

HOU Texans 3.00

Point Spread

50 WIN

@+100

Lose

-50

Houston chances have been underestimated. I think they can win this. With a 3.5-point start on the handicap, they are the bet to extend their winning run to 11.
19:16 7:16 Kinsley

Ard Macha Abu

Daily Races

50 WIN

@+200

Win

100

Trouble looks highly likely in the run to the first. If Ard Macha Abu can break on terms, he'll avoid it. He stays very well. Very little to separate these six on the clock.
18:59 6:59 Kinsley

Mohican Yoshi

Daily Races

50 WIN

@+275

Lose

-50

This should concern traps 1 and 2. I envisaged MOHICAN YOSHI would be shorter and also favourite. With the dog in one invariably missing the break and the no. 3 non-stayer, a clear run to halfway can see him outstay these.
18:26 6:26 Kinsley

Teddys Beauty

Daily Races

50 WIN

@+250

Lose

-50

If the bitch TEDDYS BEAUTY could get her trapping boots on for a change she'd be tough to beat. There's little between 3 at the head of the market. With 6 invariably slowly away and the dog in four whose forgotten how to trap she may get a clear run tothe first vend. She's in the same grade despite winning in it last week.
18:08 6:08 Kinsley

Tally Ho Lexi

Daily Races

50 WIN

@+275

Lose

-50

The bitch TALLYHO LEXI holds these on the clock. With a slow starter on her outside she can utilise her early pace make every metre
17:43 5:43 Towcester

Flitwick Girl

Daily Races

50 WINNOTETip made at odds of 1.50 on 18/01 at 16:40 Best Odds Guaranteed SP 1.62 used instead of 1.50 taken BOG

@+162

Win

81

Arguably FLITWICK GIRL could have been better drawn instead of sandwiched between 3 and 5. But on the clock has the beating of these.
17:24 5:24 Towcester

Flickering Belle

Daily Races

50 WIN

@+300

Lose

-50

This is wide open and FLICKERING BELLE has looked quite useful in two trials around here. He's only got a little to find on the clock. Plum draw in the red box. If following the blue dog around and avoiding trouble, can get past these.
17:06 5:06 Towcester

Bruce Bay

Daily Races

50 WIN

@+400

Lose

-50

BRUCE BAY looks quite a big price. Totally unexposed and a decent draw to work from. Can build on debut win here.
14:40 2:40 Fakenham

Moviddy

Daily Racing

50 EWNAPNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 15.00 used instead of 10.00 takenBOG

@+1400

Win

90

8 runners with two officially out of the handicap. Despite indifferent form this season, Moviddy attempts to go one better than when runner-up here last season. He finished 2 lengths behind the favourite here last season receiving 4 pounds, and this afternoon he's 18 pounds better off, so should reverse the form (in theory). There are doubts regarding the ground for three of the field. 10/1 makes an appeal. On TS figures he has very good claims. He has had 21 career starts: 3 wins, 4 seconds and 4 third placings. He has a win on good-to-soft and soft, and won over the trip. Tongue-tie and cheekpieces brought back. Replaces original nap that's a NR.
14:00 Africa Cup of Nations 2025

Morocco

200 WIN

@+275

Lose

-200

With home advantage, Morocco look decent value at 11/4 to lift the trophy. Very talented squad, as shown by the run to the semis in the 2022 World Cup in Qatar. Not a fluke ??" they beat Spain and Portugal on the way to the semi-final. They have a 100% record in winning all their 2026 World Cup qualifiers. They should coast through their group.

Senegal

75 EW

@+600

Win

900

Senegal have a deep squad and are in decent form. Like Morocco, they are unbeaten in their 10 World Cup qualifiers, winning 7 and drawing 3. There's great quality throughout the squad.
13:15 Dubai Invitational

Ewen Ferguson

25 EW

@+4500

Lose

-50

Like Tommy Ewan is based out in Dubai. He had a decent year last year and at 45/1 could continue that form into this on a track that looks to suit.

Shane Lowry

25 EW

@+2000

Win

50

With no cut for the opening Dubai Invitational & Sony Classic, you can see the main protagonists around on Sunday. Shane is making his course debut but tends to improve as the week progresses. At 20/1, he is slightly bigger than I envisaged.

Thorbjorn Olesen

25 EW

@+2000

Lose

-50

Rustiness in opening the tournament would be no surprise. But Thorbjørn was fifth around here in 2024 and could well be placed once again.

Thriston Lawrence

25 EW

@+4000

Lose

-50

First tournament of the year. Little gorm??"go on. But Thriston Lawrence was joint second, one shot behind Tommy in 2024. He showed a liking for the course/setup at 40/1. May well place in the top 5 again.

Tommy Fleetwood

50 WIN

@+450

Lose

-50

Worth noting there's no cut in this tournament. Tommy Fleetwood had an outstanding end to last year. He can defend the title he won in 2024.

Tommy Fleetwood

1st Round Leader

50 WIN

@+1100

Lose

-50

This course will be well suited to Tommy Fleetwood's style. He's now based in Dubai and looks a little bit of value in this First Round Leader market.

Ewen Ferguson

Top European

25 EW

@+4000

Lose

-50

Reasons outlined in this market and outright: one had to include Ewen Ferguson at 40/1 to finish top European. Only a few points bigger would win it outright. There's an added bonus: 4 places up for grabs. If the main protagonists faulted, he could benefit in this particular market.

Shane Lowry

Top European

25 EW

@+1800

Win

59

A lot will depend on how fit and forward the players are coming into the tournament. As Shane Lowry is one of my outright picks at 18/1, it makes sense to include him in the Top European market.

Tommy Fleetwood

Top European

50 WIN

@+359

Lose

-50

Tommy is the outright pick over the four days with no cut, so it's a no-brainer at 7/2 to include him as Top European. Just fractionally shorter than his outright price.

Ewen Ferguson

Top GB and Ireland

25 EW

@+2200

Lose

-50

Outright pick Ewen Ferguson has to be included in this market. Excellent year last year. Based in Dubai, and he's a three-time winner on the DP World Tour.

Padraig Harrington

Top GB and Ireland

25 EW

@+10000

Lose

-50

Padraig is not the force he once was, but at 200/1, should the main protagonists falter, he could cause a surprise in this market.

Tommy Fleetwood

Top GB and Ireland

50 WIN

@+229

Lose

-50

This looks like Rory and Tommy for first and second in this in 2024. Both have decent desert form. But it invariably takes Rory a while to get going, and at the prices and with Joe cut, Tommy could be out of sight.
12:50 12:50 Windsor

Sixty Plus

Daily Racing

25 EWNAPR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@+3300

Void

0

Typical improver when coming to James Owen's yard, winning 4 summer handicaps in the space of 6 weeks. That assured a steep rise in the handicap. Has only had one run a month since, finished down the field in both. Came in class 2 and a class 3. I would go against him versus better opposition than this. Envisaged around 20s; at 33/1 he's value. Run 15 times: winning 4, second 1, and third 1. Dropped 4 pounds on the back of those last two runs.
11:15 Dubai Invitational

Antoine Rozner

1st Round Leader

25 EW

@+4500

Win

88

At 45/1, Antoine Rozner has the overall game to make a fast start in the opening round. The course and setup should suit.

Francesco Molinari

1st Round Leader

25 EW

@+5000

Lose

-50

At 50/1 Francesco Molinari, who was 5th, finishing four shots behind Fleetwood in 2024, might be the answer in this market. One suited by the conditions and course.

Nicolai Hojgaard

1st Round Leader

25 EW

@+2200

Lose

-50

On a course where accuracy is key, Nicolai Højgaard has the overall game to be suited to this course. On a number of occasions last year he started well. 22/1 looks a couple of points bigger than I envisaged in this opening round leader market.

Patrick Reed

Top American

50 WIN

@-200

Win

25

With only three players available, Patrick Reed is the class act of these three. With no cut at halfway, his class should see him take the spoils.
08:15 Brisbane Heat vs Sydney Sixers T20

UT Khawaja

Man Of The Match

50 WIN

@+1000

Lose

-50

UT Khawaja (Brisbane Heat)

Top Team1 Batsman

50 WIN

@+300

Lose

-50

JR Philippe (Sydney Sixers)

Top Team2 Batsman

50 WIN

@+400

Lose

-50

03:25 Otago vs Northern Districts T20

Otago

Win Match

50 WIN

@+110

Lose

-50

J Boyle (Otago)

Top Team1 Batsman

50 WIN

@+400

Lose

-50

B Pomare (Northern Districts)

Top Team2 Batsman

50 WIN

@+550

Lose

-50

01:00 SF 49ers @ SEA Seahawks

SEA Seahawks -7.00

Point Spread

50 WIN

@-105

Win

47

Seahawks should enhance their Super Bowl chances with a victory over the 49ers and can cover a TD on the handicap in what I envisage being a low-scoring encounter. Seahawks defense has been superb this season, giving up just 292 points in their 14-3-0 regular-season record. They are also on a 7-game winning streak.

Under 44.00

Game Totals

50 WIN

@-108

Lose

-50

I expect another tight playoff game here. With both defenses strong, I particularly favor Seattle. Factor in last two games in the regular season featured just 30 points and 16 points. With so much at stake, another low-scoring affair looks on the cards.
17 January 2026
23:40 Otago W vs Northern Districts W T20

Northern Districts W

Win Match

50 WIN

@+100

Win

50

21:30 9:30 Central Park

Lets Go Girl

Daily Races

50 WIN

@+125

Lose

-50

LETS GO GIRL did us a good turn last week. She looks a good thing here. If she can utilize her good early pace she can make every metre. She holds this field on the clock. I envisage her being 4/6; at 5/4 looks good value.
21:30 BUF Bills @ DEN Broncos

BUF Bills

Money Line

50 WIN

@+100

Lose

-50

Bills I envisaged would be clear favorites, so getting even money is value. It will be closer than the corresponding playoff meeting last year.

BUF Bills 1.50

Point Spread

50 WIN

@-109

Lose

-50

I'm on the Bills as one of my four pre-season picks. They beat the Jags last week but sustained key injuries: C. Davis and Shavers will be absent. Still, with QB Josh Allen they have a playmaker. The Broncos will be fresh after a bye week, and I envisage this being a low-scoring, tight encounter. I had the Bills as favourites, so getting a start is value.

Under 45.50

Game Totals

50 WIN

@-109

Lose

-50

Denver lead the standings in sacks, and the Bills are strong in defense. With this being a playoff game too, I'm envisaging a tight and cagey game. Below 46 points looks the way to go. Both sides conceded 365 and 311 points, respectively, in the regular season.
20:50 8:50 Central Park

Yahoo Megan

Daily Races

50 WIN

@+100

Lose

-50

Thought Yahoo Megan had a golden opportunity here last week but was scratched. This looks like an easier assignment, and it's surprising to see her not odds-on.
20:10 8:10 Central Park

Lets Go Johnny

Daily Races

50 WIN

@+350

Lose

-50

Bluejig still classy despite his age. But I'm foreseeing trouble. The sole wide seed on the outer, with anything like a clear passage, could be the one to benefit.
20:06 8:06 Hove

Galliagh Sky

Daily Races

50 WIN

@+200

Lose

-50

This looks best bet anywhere tonight. Galliagh Sky holds these on the clock. Anything like a clear run to the first sees him win. Vacant trap on the inner and a slow starter on the outer will help. Danger would be the red boxed runner, but he's going to need a miracle to avoid trouble the way these are all drawn on the inner. The pick is also down from A8 into A9.
19:50 7:50 Central Park

Ferryforth Ella

Daily Races

50 WIN

@+250

Lose

-50

If Droopy gets a clear run to the first, she wins. But she makes no appeal at the odds with three rail runners and two mid-uke seeds; it could be trouble. The sole wide seed, Ferryforth Ella, could be a bit of value if she's got her trapping boots on.
19:10 7:10 Central Park

Deadly Disco

Daily Races

50 WIN

@+550

Win

275

This looks between the classy dog Mongeys. Looks a future superstar over these marathon trips. But I'm hoping value lies with Disco as sole wide seed. I can see trouble between rail runners, which could put a big spoke in the wheels of the favourite at 1/4.
18:50 6:50 Central Park

Blazeaway Noir

Daily Races

50 WIN

@+1000

Lose

-50

Similar makeup as the previous race at the odds. Blazeaway Noir has good early pace and can lead out wide. Is a couple of points bigger than I envisaged. Can back up last week's win in D1. I feel there'll be trouble on the inside.
18:30 6:30 Central Park

Droopys Samara

Daily Races

50 WIN

@+1000

Lose

-50

3 and 4 are the class acts, but they could hamper their chances the way they run and draw. If, and it's a big if, Droopys Samara gets a trouble-free run to halfway, she can win as on the clock. It's not without a chance. It's a big if, but worth the risk, as she's a huge price??"double what I envisaged for a bitch that knows this track well.
18:00 6:00 Southwell

Balqaa

Daily Racing

50 EWNAP

@+1400

Win

90

Front two in form certainly no certainties and are short at the prices offered. I think it's worth splitting stakes between BALAQAA, who's a winner here, and weighted to reverse form at these weights on the January 4th run. Not even taking into account issues with late removal of the blindfold. Two runs prior were fairly decent over a trip that stretched him at Newcastle and Leicester. 14/1 is bigger than I envisaged. He's well handicapped on several bits of form and, on TS figures, has a strong chance. He'll be played late and his jockey Jason Hart is a top jockey around here. Mongoose, who's the same price and wearing blinkers for the first time in a while, should get an uncontested lead and can set this up for BALAQAA. At the prices, it's worth splitting stakes between the two.
15:30 Joburg Super Kings vs Pretoria Capitals T20

Joburg Super Kings

Win Match

50 WIN

@+120

Lose

-50

L Du Plooy (Joburg Super Kings)

Top Team1 Batsman

50 WIN

@+400

Lose

-50

D Brevis (Pretoria Capitals)

Top Team2 Batsman

50 WIN

@+400

Lose

-50

15:00 Chelsea v Brentford

Over 4.50

Total Cards

50 WIN

@-102

Win

49

Another local derby. These two sides tend to collect bookings as if they were stickers for a Panini album (remember those). Chelsea have registered a huge number of yellows and several reds this season so far. Under new management they'll need a few weeks to adjust. On averages of each team this could be overs.
15:00 Liverpool v Burnley

Under 10.00

Total Corners

50 WIN

@-102

Push

0

Majority of the action in the goal will be whichever end Liverpool are attacking. My opinion is this looks a little high. Happy to go unders.

Over 2.50

Total Cards

50 WIN

@-128

Win

39

Similar to the United v City local derby, neither of these two sides are dirty. But this line looks a fraction on the low side.
15:00 Sunderland v Crystal Palace

Sunderland

50 WIN

@+162

Win

81

Palace look a poor side due to a host of European games, a lengthy injury list, and a small squad. They'll be numb after the Macclesfield defeat last weekend. Sunderland have gone from relegation certainties at the start of the season to being among European places. They have a strong team, good work ethic, and are strong at Roker Park. They can grab another three points here.
15:00 Tottenham v West Ham

Under 10.50

Total Corners

50 WIN

@-113

Lose

-50

Both sides have been poor, struggling to keep clean sheets. Looking at each side's home and away averages, this game looks slightly high.

Over 4.00

Total Cards

50 WIN

@+100

Win

50

Two sides, both at the wrong end of the table, and a local derby to boot. This could be a fiesta affair with both sides needing a win. I envisaged this line being around 5, so at 4 I'm happy playing over the line at evens.
12:30 Man Utd v Man City

Under 9.50

Total Corners

50 WIN

@-109

Win

46

Both sides' defenses leave a lot to be desired, but the averages of each team in this market at home and away suggest this should be less than 10. Unders it is.

Over 3.50

Total Cards

50 WIN

@-124

Win

40

To be fair, neither are dirty sides, but this is a Mancunian derby and there'll be an edge to it, especially with two sides in contrasting form.
11:00 Durbans Super Giants vs Paarl Royals T20

Paarl Royals

Win Match

50 WIN

@+114

Lose

-50

09:15 Perth Scorchers vs Melbourne Stars T20

Melbourne Stars

Win Match

50 WIN

@+129

Lose

-50

JP Inglis (Perth Scorchers)

Top Team1 Batsman

50 WIN

@+400

Lose

-50

SR Hain (Melbourne Stars)

Top Team2 Batsman

50 WIN

@+450

Lose

-50

07:30 India U19 vs Bangladesh U19 World Cup

India U19

Win Match

50 WIN

@-588

Win

9

07:30 Japan U19 vs Sri Lanka U19 World Cup

Sri Lanka U19

Win Match

50 WIN

@-5000

Win

1

07:00 Rangpur Riders vs Dhaka Capitals T20

Dhaka Capitals

Win Match

50 WIN

@+150

Lose

-50

DJ Malan (Rangpur Riders)

Top Team1 Batsman

50 WIN

@+275

Win

138

Z Akbari (Dhaka Capitals)

Top Team2 Batsman

50 WIN

@+350

Lose

-50

06:00 Adelaide Strikers vs Melbourne Renegades T20

Melbourne Renegades

Win Match

50 WIN

@+120

Lose

-50

MW Short

Man Of The Match

50 WIN

@+800

Lose

-50

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