shirleyswonderracingbirmingham

My handle is the name of a greyhound at the old Hackney stadium I went to buy. Enjoy greyhound racing local to me is Perry Barr Hove is my favourite track. Tend get involved in Open Races alongside my own greyhounds. Preference for Flat rather than Jumps. I back my selections working to a 200.00 = a point. Endeavour give at least 4 reasons as to why I am backing the selection

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shirleyswonderracingbirmingham's Tips History

17 September 2025
17:10 5:10 Yarmouth

Ghost Story

Daily Racing

25 EW

@5.00

Lose

-5

Lightly raced Ghost Story hacked up at Windsor on last run on good to soft going. That was his second run back off a 7-month layoff. On this ground, there could well be more to come. I certainly feel this mark is generous. He could well be ahead of it for his astute trainer. The way Oisin Murphy is riding looks a notable jockey booking. I envisaged 4/1 markets got this right.
16:53 4:53 Beverley

Dc Cogent

Daily Racing

100 EW

@23.00

Lose

-200

I'm somewhat bemused to see DC COGENT at 22/1. It was 15/2, giving 7 pounds to Brazilian Belle on the Thirsk run last time, finishing with running. He's dropped from 75 to 74 tomorrow and is in receipt of 2 pounds from Belle. 9 pounds turnaround at the weights for a beating of 2 lengths, 1/2 length, and a neck. Yet he's 22/1, which is completely wrong. Added bonus of 4 places. Washington DC horses get better with experience. Only had 7 races, winning once and runner-up three times. Steps up in class. Bryan Smart has had a winner, a third, and a fourth from his last 5 runners in the last week.
16:35 4:35 Yarmouth

Sea Force

Daily Racing

25 EW

@3.25

Win

67

This looks between Sea Force and Whip Cracker. Both had unlucky runs last time, but in receipt of eleven pounds off the top weight, Sea Force is the pick as I feel he's ahead of this mark. Went into my tracker on last run and run prior. Odds are half a point shorter than I envisaged, but it's a rare bet nonetheless as I feel he's several pounds ahead of this mark. The yard is in excellent form still. There are horses in here with sexy profiles so hoping he'll drift to more backable price
16:00 4:00 Yarmouth

Life Is Beautiful

Daily Racing

25 EW

@5.00

Lose

-50

Four places available. See little downside in siding with Life Is Beautiful in receipt of weight off more experienced rivals. Would appear to be stable's second string on jockey bookings, but stable won this 6 times. As a 3-year-old in receipt of weight, she's the pick. She has achieved a decent official rating to date for one so inexperienced.
15:35 3:35 Sandown

Balmacara

Daily Racing

25 EW

@21.00

Win

100

Ran a shocker at Ascot on the last run when EJH stated he had been waiting for the ground. One got the impression a positive showing was expected. 9/1 that afternoon was maybe around in a stronger race than this. I envisaged 8/1, so although only two places on offer dampens enthusiasm, I can't let this fellow go unbacked at 20/1. Again, got conditions. This is the third run of the campaign and won't be lacking in fitness. Holds several entries in some of the backend top meetings/handicaps. Dropped 2 pounds on the back of that last run.
15:25 3:25 Yarmouth

Pandemonium

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTETip made at odds of 3.75 on 16/09 at 20:110.30 deduction for Far Far Out@2.88 withdrawn at 21:43R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 2.75 x (1-0.30) = 2.92Best Odds Guaranteed SP 3.75 used instead of 2.93 BOG

@3.75

Win

137

The market will be informative in terms of the chances of the newcomers. But Simon Chris Chrisford's stable can ready a newcomer. This 375,000 guineas yearling is related to several Group 1 winners. I envisaged around 9/4 joint favorites with Balding's horse, so at a point bigger, we are getting little value currently.
14:55 2:55 Yarmouth

Albaydaa

Daily Racing

50 WINNB

@3.25

Lose

-50

For all intents and purposes, this looks like a match on paper between top and bottom horses. I feel the wrong horse is the favorite currently. Albaydaa lacks the experience of the favorite but is related to Pintubo, half-sister Almeque. She's beautifully bred and hails from a stable that is currently in red-hot form. She holds no fancy entries presently, but on paper, she looks like the real deal. I can see her being one of the best-backed horses of the afternoon. The favorite has experience on her side, a good debut effort, but was a shade disappointing on the last run.
14:25 2:25 Yarmouth

Arnaz

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@5.50

Lose

-50

Day 2 of Yarmouth Festival. Several good things here at decent odds. First up is Arnaz. I cannot see the price holding up. I envisaged 3/1, so at present getting the value at 9/2. He's 5/1 on exchanges. Had 6 runs this year, started favourite on five of those. Had 16 career starts, winning once and placed 7 times. Feel he has been kidded into his races. Reunited with Kieran Shoemark, who rode him two starts back at Kempton. He's stepping into Class 4 company tomorrow from Class 5. That's not really too concerning as he plied his trade mostly at that level.
14:05 2:05 Sandown

Sub Thirteen

Daily Racing

25 EW

@6.50

Lose

-50

The two at the head of the market have question marks about them in terms of form, trip, and ground. Sub Thirteen looked in need of the run on both occasions whilst showing ability is still there. With conditions to suit and pace looking like an end-to-end gallop, it could well exploit this mark. I envisaged 11/2 - 6/1, so the price looks right.
03:10 PHI Phillies @ LA Dodgers

LA Dodgers

Money Line

50 WIN

@1.77

Lose

-50

LA Dodgers -1.50

Run Line

50 WIN

@2.65

Lose

-50

02:40 SF Giants @ ARI Diamondbacks

ARI Diamondbacks

Money Line

50 WIN

@1.80

Win

40

ARI Diamondbacks -1.50

Run Line

50 WIN

@2.62

Lose

-50

01:40 MIA Marlins @ COL Rockies

MIA Marlins

Money Line

50 WIN

@1.71

Win

35

COL Rockies 1.50

Run Line

50 WIN

@1.80

Win

40

01:10 TEX Rangers @ HOU Astros

HOU Astros

Money Line

50 WIN

@2.00

Win

50

TEX Rangers -1.50

Run Line

50 WIN

@2.40

Lose

-50

16 September 2025
20:30 8:30 Wolverhampton

Jungle Dance

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@6.50

Lose

-50

A 16-race maiden is a 9/4 favourite, which sums up the quality this race offers. No value. At 11/2, previous course and distance winner Jungle Dance was run down late on here on September 2nd. That was only his second run in 16 months. This being his third should be cherry ripe. He runs off a 1-pound lower mark this evening, and I envisaged around 3/1, so definitely getting value in the current 11/2 on offer.
03:10 PHI Phillies @ LA Dodgers

LA Dodgers

Money Line

50 WIN

@1.83

Lose

-50

PHI Phillies 1.50

Run Line

50 WIN

@1.50

Win

25

Over 8.50

Game Totals

50 WIN

@2.00

Win

50

03:00 LA Chargers @ LV Raiders

LA Chargers

Money Line

50 WIN

@1.53

Win

26

Both sides overcame underdog status in week one. Raiders beat the Patriots, and Chargers beat the Chiefs. Despite the home-field partisan crowd, Chargers look stronger of the two rosters. I anticipate a comfortable victory. I think they'll surprise a few teams this season.

LA Chargers -3.50

Point Spread

50 WIN

@1.95

Win

47

I think the Chargers will win as I envisaged them giving up 5.5 points. My line is out considerably with the Vegas line at just 3.5. I have to be with them as they look the stronger of the two outfits and can maintain their 100% record with a comfortable win.

LA Chargers - LA Chargers

Double Result

50 WIN

@2.25

Win

62

Chargers have a stronger team, and at odds of 5/4, it looks like pretty decent value to secure the double result.

LA Chargers by 25 30

Winning Margin

50 WIN

@21.00

Lose

-50

Think the Chargers could run away with this at odds of 20/1. A 25-30 and bigger over 30 point winning margin are worth a small play. Shop around if you agree; a bigger price is available.

LV Raiders Over 20.50

Team Points 2-Way (Home)

50 WIN

@1.87

Lose

-50

Raiders could struggle against the Chargers despite being at home. But as teams settle into the new season, mistakes will occur at both ends of the pitch. This might be the time to catch Raiders at over 18.5 points.

LA Chargers Over 25.50

Team Points 2-Way (Away)

50 WIN

@1.87

Lose

-50

Both sides come into this after opening week wins. I think the Chargers are offensively superior and are coming up against a team that looks suspect in defense. Over 25.5 points for the visitors at around 10/11 looks the way to go.
02:40 SF Giants @ ARI Diamondbacks

ARI Diamondbacks

Money Line

50 WIN

@1.77

Win

38

ARI Diamondbacks -1.50

Run Line

50 WIN

@2.50

Win

75

Over 9.50

Game Totals

50 WIN

@2.00

Lose

-50

01:10 TEX Rangers @ HOU Astros

HOU Astros

Money Line

50 WIN

@1.80

Win

40

HOU Astros -1.50

Run Line

50 WIN

@2.60

Win

80

00:45 CIN Reds @ STL Cardinals

STL Cardinals

Money Line

50 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-50

STL Cardinals -1.50

Run Line

50 WIN

@2.80

Lose

-50

00:40 BAL Orioles @ CHI White Sox

BAL Orioles

Money Line

50 WIN

@1.73

Win

37

CHI White Sox 1.50

Run Line

50 WIN

@1.71

Lose

-50

Over 8.00

Game Totals

50 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-50

00:40 NY Yankees @ MIN Twins

NY Yankees

Money Line

50 WIN

@1.55

Lose

-50

NY Yankees -1.50

Run Line

50 WIN

@1.92

Lose

-50

00:35 TOR Blue Jays @ TB Rays

TOR Blue Jays

Money Line

50 WIN

@1.92

Win

46

TB Rays 1.50

Run Line

50 WIN

@1.62

Win

31

Over 8.00

Game Totals

50 WIN

@1.87

Lose

-50

00:00 TB Buccaneers @ HOU Texans

TB Buccaneers

Money Line

50 WIN

@2.25

Win

62

This will be closer than the betting odds currently dictate. At odds against, taking Tampa to win as I feel their price is too big in a game that could go either way. Both sides were bitterly disappointing in week 1, although the Bucs got a come-from-behind win. Houston were too bad to be true against an ordinary Rams side, going down 14-9. At odds, the Bucs are the value.

HOU Texans -2.50

Point Spread

50 WIN

@1.87

Lose

-50

Both teams are missing key personnel in what is a coin toss. Houston defensively looks stronger of the pair, but at odds against giving up a field goal looks interesting.

Under 42.50

Game Totals

50 WIN

@1.91

Win

46

Both sides were disappointing in week 1, but at least Tampa came away with a win. Both missing key players, I envisaged this being a low-scoring, tight, niggle affair which could go either way despite home field advantage. Safer options under 43 points on the points line in what I'm envisaging being a low-scoring affair.

HOU Texans Under 22.50

Team Points 2-Way (Home)

50 WIN

@1.87

Win

44

Houston comes into this on the back of a Week 1 loss. Surely, they cannot play worse than that, missing key personnel. I think this line is a shade on the high side.

TB Buccaneers Over 19.50

Team Points 2-Way (Away)

50 WIN

@1.80

Win

40

Bucs played woefully in week one but got a result. I envisaged this line being a couple of points higher and shorter odds so I am favouring to go over at 19.5.
15 September 2025
23:45 ATL Braves @ WAS Nationals

ATL Braves

Money Line

50 WIN

@1.62

Win

31

ATL Braves -1.50

Run Line

50 WIN

@2.00

Win

50

Over 9.00

Game Totals

50 WIN

@1.87

Win

44

23:40 CHI Cubs @ PIT Pirates

CHI Cubs

Money Line

50 WIN

@1.83

Win

41

PIT Pirates 1.50

Run Line

50 WIN

@1.61

Lose

-50

Over 8.00

Game Totals

50 WIN

@1.95

Lose

-50

21:46 9:46 Nottingham

Mystical Cali

Daily Races

50 WIN

@2.25

Lose

-50

Back on home soil, this can go to Mystical Cali. She only needs to break on terms, I feel. Anything near her solo trial time on 6th September 17:94 can see her win this with ease. Envisaged odds on think 5/4 is tremendous value.
20:54 8:54 Nottingham

Fabulous Heka

Daily Races

50 WIN

@3.50

Lose

-50

Semi-final worthy of the final itself, and Wild I passed over as the draw has not been kind. Haka 2/2 round here could lead these a merry dance. In fact, we're getting 5/2 for a bitch who equaled the track record back in August despite bumping. I feel if she clears the dog in red in the run to the first, she will win, maybe break the record again. At the prices, getting a bit of value.
19:11 7:11 Nottingham

Swift Dirty

Daily Races

50 WIN

@2.75

Lose

-50

This race revolves around the break. If Swift Dirty can lead up with a plum draw in one, she could prove hard to catch with crowding guaranteed behind her, which hampers the principal danger in the white box. Envisaged 5/4 getting value at 7/4.
17:20 5:20 Thirsk

Broken Spear

Daily Racing

25 EW

@29.00

Lose

-50

Although well handicapped, David O'Meara's runner as favorite can't see him handling the ground. The same cannot be said for Broken Spear. The more rain, the better for this gelding. If refitting of cheekpieces has a positive effect, he can outrun these odds of 28/1. I envisaged 18/1, definitely getting the upside in terms of value for this previous course winner.
17:12 5:12 Brighton

Barnsnape Boy

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@4.50

Lose

-50

Winner of the race for the last two years, Secret Handsheik is an absentee, which makes the selection's price surprising at 7/2. I envisaged 2/1 with the former running. The ground is an unknown factor, but it was an easy winner here last month and could get an uncontested lead in a race that will not take much winning.
16:42 4:42 Brighton

Danger Alert

Daily Racing

My afternoon hinges on Jason Watson having a good day. He's once again on a selection in Danger Alert, who's very well-handicapped at present. He should handle conditions, and the runner-up effort at Epsom last month was a welcome return to form.
16:12 4:12 Brighton

Kranjcar

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 5.00 used instead of 3.75 takenBOGAThis tip was used on Horse Racing 4Fold Acca.

@5.00

Win

200

Kranjcar loves it here. 21221 form line shows. Only unknown factor is the ground. But as I envisaged, 11/8 prepared to take the chance he'll handle it. Such is his current form, and at the prices, we're getting huge value at 11/4. Penalised but Jack Callan takes off useful 5 pounds
15:50 3:50 Thirsk

Hockney

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 3.50 used instead of 2.38 takenBOG

@3.50

Win

125

Bit odd to see Hockney dropping into a seller after winning a race he liked at Lingfield on his last run. He was valued for more than the official winning margin of 5 lengths. The wind surgery may have had something to do with that, but even with a 6-pound penalty, he's very well in on that run. I envisaged 4/6 Sostenuto 5/4. I feel we are getting value.
15:42 3:42 Brighton

Fighting Poet

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@8.50

Lose

-50

I envisaged 11/4 for Fighting Poet, so I'm amazed to see 15/2. His three career wins have all come here, and he was an impressive winner here at the last meeting. Penalised four pounds, but the step up in trip is not a concern as he won over it. Interesting that connections come again for this race as he was third in it last year. Certainly no issues with the ground.
15:20 3:20 Thirsk

Poetry Of Time

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 5.00 on 15/09 at 14:130.55 deduction for North Force@1.80 withdrawn at 15:21R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 4.00 x (1-0.55) = 2.80Best Odds Guaranteed SP 10.00 used instead of 2.80 BOG

@10.00

Win

20

Very surprised to see 4/1 for Poetry of Time for a stable in good form and one whose bred handle the conditions underfoot. The trainer has an excellent win rate with his two-year-olds sent up here at 31%. Of those that have run, form is nothing special, unlike the selection. Question marks regarding the ground.
15:12 3:12 Brighton

Arvana Belle

Daily Racing

Landed a huge punt here fifteen days ago. 14/1 overnight into 11/8. Looked to be going nowhere two furlongs out but stayed on strongly despite looking green. Admittedly, that was a tin pot race and didn't beat much. This is not much better. The forecast rain and ground is the unknown factor, but on her dam's side, she should not have any problems. She's totally unexposed.
14:50 2:50 Thirsk

Rum Therapy

Daily Racing

25 EW

@6.50

Win

165

A race won't live too long in the memory, but Rum Therapy looks overpriced at 11/2. I envisaged around 4/1 or thereabouts. Won two starts ago and went close at Carlisle when second a week ago. A small saver on Ed Walker runner who should improve on initial 3 rins in this company is also advised at a price
14:30 2:30 Worcester

Rodeo

Daily Racing

25 EW

@4.33

Lose

-50

Very little form to go on. Rodeo might be the answer. Good second on debut. The winner has subsequently gone in again since. He's been sold. This is his first run for Donald McCain.
14:20 2:20 Thirsk

Sugarpiehoneybunch

Daily Racing

25 EW

@SP

Lose

-50

The money that's come for Sugarpiwhoneybunch is not surprising. In decent form, it will enjoy the rain that's about and holds excellent each-way claims, though 6/1 has sadly dissipated.
14:12 2:12 Brighton

James Park Woods

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 11.00 used instead of 9.50 takenBOG

@11.00

Win

300

Joycean Way would be a strong fancy in this grade but for conceding 12 pounds to last year's winner. The jockey is the unknown factor as Brighton is not the easiest track to navigate. But he will enjoy the conditions in a bid to repeat last year's win. 13/2 was the price I envisaged, so the 17/2 available is good value to back up Saturday's win at Bath if this race does not come too soon. But with the ground a plus, as well as track experience, I cannot envisage him out of the frame.
14:00 2:00 Worcester

Courtland

Daily Racing

Courtland is a real class act in this. All barring a fall, he should win. A repeat run of the Summer Plate run at Market Rasen would be good enough to take this.
13:30 1:30 Worcester

Doyen Quest

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.50

Lose

-50

Drop in trip is not ideal, but forecast rain makes this a real stamina test, prepared to give the class act of the field. Odds 7/2 are ridiculous; my tissue was 6/4.

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