shirleyswonderracingbirmingham

Contract to the betting, this is an interesting heat. TUTOOF is outstandingly bred out of Pinatubo's half-sister Battash. Gets sex allowance of 5 pounds off the favorite. If forward enough, might cause a minor upset.

So Sassy won over course and distance two runs ago and was not suited by how the race panned out last time. Getting weight off the favorite can upset the odds with course, trip, and surface all positives.

The majority of these are stepping up in trip and into the unknown in terms of stamina. She won over 3 furlongs shorter two runs back at Nottingham. In a strange race on heavy ground, not getting the best of runs, she was 4th in a Listed contest. On breeding, the trip will suit. She's several points bigger than the price I envisaged of around 9/2-5/1.

Could be a turn up here. I'll be splitting stacks between Cooramook and The Organiser, preference for the former at the weights. Went down narrowly over 6 and 7 furlongs here prior to a poor show at Kempton on last run. Had an awful draw that day (11 of 12) and didn't help his cause by being slowly away. Was not given an unduly hard race thereafter. Prior was beaten half a length and a short head in two races here. Went off 9/4 and 9/2 in a Class 6 in the same grade tomorrow but 3 times the price. So Sassy runs earlier on the card. This one was a short head behind her. She was 3rd next time at Chester in a grade higher. She's been dropped a pound for that Kempton run. Holds 3 entries this week. She's 10 points bigger than I envisaged with four places up for grabs. She looks tremendous value.

Been a while since Mc Loven won, but he drops in grade tomorrow and should get an uncontested lead out front. Therein lies his chance. Dropped a pound following last run to a mark of 74, 2 pounds below last winning mark. Since January, mark dropped 8 pounds. Proven over course and distance.

This is wide open. Brazilian Rose is a 3-time course and distance winner. She seemed to settle better in a first-time hood last time (retained tomorrow), and if again settling, not wasting energy by being too keen, can add to her course record stepping up in trip. 4/1 is on the short side (on at 9/2). Shop around. 3-time winner here at the beginning of the year off marks 62, 67, and 72.

Even with Cummins missing, Australia will run away with this series. England are too inconsistent, whether it be short over format or tests. The hosts look like a far more balanced side on the batting front, with depth running down the order. I can only see these odds shortening come 25th November.

Luton are looking to bounce immediately back to The Championship following relegation last season. With no Wrexham or Birmingham, they look a decent bet. Recruited well pre-season and 7/2 looks a good price. Staking on this market and Promotion market.

I envisaged The Hatters to be around 1/2 to gain an automatic return to the Championship and was speechless when I saw odds against a month ago. I expect them to go up as Champions. This price looks a steal. Blues did us a massive turn at 3/1 last term, and Luton look in a similar mold. Off the field, business to enhance the squad looks positive. I really feel they will run away with this league.

Niall Ennis should make hay in this league. He was sent on loan last term, scoring 7 in 19 following a loan move in January from Stoke, and has now signed a permanent contract in the summer. I can see The Tangerines having a decent season with Niall's help.

Isak would be of interest were Liverpool to sign him, but 7/1 is skinny. With the Jota tragedy surely having an impact on Liverpool, United is in transition. Liam Delap at 40/1 could be a bit of value. He joined Chelsea and is an outstanding striker for his age. He will get better service and see more of the ball than he did at Ipswich Town. I can see him having an outstanding season for a young side who are growing in confidence. See him being the main penalty taker to boot. 40/1 is very good value as Haaland is too short as favorite, as is Salah getting 10/1 for a top 4 place.

France not atheir best but still reached the final of 2022 event, I can only see this price getting shorter they have won and been runners up in the last 2 events and Mpappe if he avoids injury looks a future superstar on the world stage.