AMFooty
Football enthusiast and analyst at your service. My ratings model finds the best value bets from around Europe's top leagues. I also have an extensive horse racing tracker and will be tipping most days from across the UK. https://twitter.com/AMFooty
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AMFooty's Tips History
14 October 2024
15:12 3:12 Windsor
Punchbowl Flyer
Daily Racing
25 EW
@12.00
Lose
-50
Preference here goes to the John O' Shea trained, Punchbowl Flyer. Arrives with plenty to prove and he failed to deliver once more over a testing 6f at Pontefract. He did come for some market support that day, so he probably should of performed to a better standard. Steps up in grade, which puzzles slightly, but he now gets the benefit of a really light weight carry and that may see him to better effect stepping back in trip. He's a three time course winner, so he excels at this track and his mark continues to fall. Frustratingly well handicapped on his 2nd placed finish over C&D behind Korker this time last year, so he's certainly worth a second look despite the worrying form.
14:50 2:50 Musselburgh
Albegone
Daily Racing
25 EW
@7.00
Lose
-50
Preference here goes to the Tim Easterby trained, Albegone. Two time C&D winner that arrives in form after a credible effort to finish close up to, Curious Rover at Redcar nine days ago. Admittedly, he was given a helping hand at the weights, but the 4lb rise that Curious Rover received for that win leaves Albegone on a very handy mark, if he can perform to that same standard. He did win this race last year off a 3lb lower mark, so he will need to go one better with a career best required. The return of David Allan looks very positive move, as he holds six wins when in the plate. On paper, this doesn't look that strong of a race and this is a step back in grade, which should see Albegone to good effect.
Subtotal-100
08 October 2024
16:10 4:10 Brighton
Mrembo
Daily Racing
25 EW
@5.50
Lose
-3
Preference here goes to the Jonathan Portman-trained Mrembo. She is a consistent mare that was a tad below par when last seen at Epsom over 1m2f, visored for the first time. Despite finishing 3rd out of 9, she held plausible excuses, given the strength of the field. This is quite a step back in grade, and she gets 1lb back from the handicapper, putting her just 2lb above her last win in 2023. Olivia Tubb returns to the saddle, bringing her valuable 7lb claim that lowers this horse to a very attractive weight carry. The visor is retained, which hopefully can have a positive effect.
15:53 3:53 Leicester
Isle Of Lismore
Daily Racing
50 EWNAP
@19.00
Lose
-100
Preference here goes to the Robert Cowell trained, Isle Of Lismore. Multiple turf winner that's not been seen to best effect on each of his last three starts. His collapse of form is worrying, but he's a huge price if he can rediscover his earlier exploits when beating home, Fair Wind at Ascot off a mark of 85. That's a stand out piece of form given, Fair Wind has continued to progress through the ranks. Makes the return to a similar grade off a 3lb lower mark and conditions should be favorable. His current price does predict another struggle, but I'm not that convinced the level of competition is too strong and on a going day, he holds possibilities.
Subtotal-103
07 October 2024
17:20 5:20 Pontefract
Punchbowl Flyer
Daily Racing
25 EW
@15.00
Lose
-50
Preference here goes to the John O'Shea-trained Punchbowl Flyer. He is a multiple winner over this trip and holds an appealing strike rate on turf. His form has been up and down this term, and that has meant a quite dramatic regressive mark from the start of the year. He now operates off another career low mark and is difficult to completely write off with conditions very favorable here. Untested at Pontefract, he holds that unexposed nature about him. Given the 9st 0lb weight carry, that's handing a jockey in form potentially a well-treated horse to navigate through the field. All of his best form is over testing ground, and 6f is his best trip.
13:52 1:52 Pontefract
Object
Daily Racing
100 WINNAP
@5.00
Lose
-100
Preference here goes to the Tim Easterby-trained Object. Modest 5-year-old that wasn't disgraced when last seen at Catterick over a testing 5f off a big weight carry. He's relatively exposed these days, but he's been fairly consistent this term and remains very well handicapped going off his peak 2023 form, when rated in the high 70s. Goes again off an unchanged mark of 61, and he's 3lb better than the field on RP ratings, so he looks very well treated off a 9st 3lb weight carry. I'm expecting him to be thereabouts again, if he's not affected too much by a quick turnaround.
13:17 1:17 Pontefract
Sir Palamedes
Daily Racing
25 EW
@8.00
Lose
-50
Preference here goes to the Charlie Fellowes-trained Sir Palamedes. He arrives in form, having been well found in the market at Ffos Las 39 days ago over 6f. He made all and looked very comfortable, with the affordability of being eased down at the line. The form of that race has been franked with the third-placed runner winning next time out. He caught my attention at York when just touched off by East Tyrone in the final strides. He looked progressive at the weights, posting a career-best RPR. He has it to prove off a career-high mark, but soft going is more than favorable, and another progressive run could be on the cards.
Subtotal-200
04 October 2024
20:00 8:00 Newcastle
Street Life
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@7.50
Lose
-50
Preference here goes to the Patrick Morris-trained, Street Life. He's a previous C&D winner that arrives in form after a narrow defeat at Southwell only 5 days ago. He goes again off an unchanged mark, and Rhys Elliott claims a very useful 7lb. He holds an appealing profile and is clearly well-handicapped these days off his back class. The fact he's not been pulled suggests he's in good heart, and he could be one to side with at the weights. He tops adjusted speed ratings, and he's only 2lb to find on RPR's with the favorite. He holds obvious each-way claims if in the same mood.
19:30 7:30 Newcastle
Strangerontheshore
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@6.00
Lose
-50
Preference here goes to the Nigel Tinker trained, Strangerontheshore. She's been well found in the market, so I am happy to take a small win only wager on this 6yr old mare. She's a previous C&D winner that holds solid form lines here with her record reading 2-1-8-2. Arrives 1lb well in and tops RP ratings, so if she runs her race she looks the one to beat. Finished a good second 10 days ago when firmly in contention before tiring before the line. That is a slight concern, but she's more attractive;y weighted here and that could well be a difference maker.
17:50 5:50 Hexham
Moonlight Glory
Daily Racing
25 EW
@6.50
Lose
-50
Preference here goes to the Mark Walford-trained Moonlight Glory. She arrives with a bit to prove and may well be vulnerable competing at the top of the handicap these days. That said, her last run was progressively marked up, and she was very much in contention before the run-in. That may suggest that Tom Midgeley kicked too soon from a poor position. The eventual winner was clearly too good for the handicap, so dropping back into a smaller field may help her chances. The fact she's had a recent run may be another positive factor, and her profile does suggest she's good enough to get her head in front.
17:30 5:30 Fontwell
Edeiffs Rock
Daily Racing
25 EW
@13.00
Lose
-50
Preference here goes to the Bill Turner-trained, Edeiff's Rock. She holds a modest strike rate, but she has plenty of placed form on going that holds a bit of cut in the ground. She was the beaten favorite when last seen in February, when quite evidently sent over the wrong trip in really testing conditions. She makes her reappearance back over a more optimal trip and she has gone well before after a long break. She looked to be steadily improving at the beginning of the year, when bagging a win at Leicester. I believe a mark of 101 could easily be good enough to win this. Jumping Cats won this in 2021 over similar conditions at a double-figure price, so I'm happy to side with this one.
16:30 4:30 Ascot
Wobwobwob
Daily Racing
25 EW
@17.00
Lose
-50
Preference here goes to the Adrian Paul Keatley trained, Wobwobwob. This obviously is a race you can make plenty of cases for, so that makes it tricky. With only 6lb separating the field on RP ratings, I'm happy to side with, Wobwobwob, who did win at Thirsk with a bit of edge in the ground and posted a career best that day, and he was a big stand out performer at the weights. Arrives with a bit to prove, but he's weighted very attractively and with soft in the description that has really sparked my interest. Amie Waugh also brings a handy 3lb claim that may improve his chances if he takes the course.
15:57 3:57 Ascot
Tabletalk
Daily Racing
100 WINNAP
@4.00
Lose
-100
Preference here goes to the Tom Clover trained, Tabletalk. Rapidly improving 3yr old that took his profile to new heights when finishing in front of the A P O'Brien runner, The Equator at York when stepping up to 1m6f for the first time. Obviously bred to be very smart, given his first turf outing was in G1 company, at Epsom, and although he had no chance, it does suggest he's highly thought off and eventually he will become a Group winning horse. The only worrying concern here is the going, with heavy in the description, but if he handles conditions, he's a big player.
Subtotal-350
03 October 2024
19:40 7:40 Newcastle
Sound Reason
Daily Racing
50 EW
@5.50
Lose
-100
Preference here goes to the David O Meara-trained, Sound Reason. He his a previous C&D winner that's put in a string of good performances this term on turf. He ran a seasonal best at Beverley over 5f, when just touched off by, Frank The Spark off his current mark. Makes a return to the AW scene after 12 months away and this looks an ideal opportunity to get his head in front returning on a very workable mark. Can be steady away in his races, but he does make late gains, so a stiff 5f could well play into his strengths if given a suitable pace to aim at.
18:40 6:40 Newcastle
Dickieburd
Daily Racing
25 EW
@7.50
Lose
-50
Preference here goes to the Craig Lidster trained, Dickieburd. Previous C&D winner that's been running very consistently well over the summer with a string of good performances. This 4-year-old gelding caught my attention at York when leading home a strong group of twelve to finish 2nd to a gamely sort, Northern Spirit. Dickieburd returns to this sphere, and his C&D form holds plenty of appeal, given he's run some solid races with a close second to a horse that went to a mark of 109. Dickieburd goes off a mark of 79, and with W. Pyle claiming 3lb, he could well be thrown in.
18:10 6:10 Newcastle
As If By Chance
Daily Racing
25 EW
@17.00
Lose
-50
Preference here goes to the Nigel Tinkler-trained, As If By Chance. He is a multiple turf winner that has yet to transfer that success to the AW scene. He ran with plenty of encouragement when last seen over C&D, finishing a solid third after being denied a clear run. He goes again off an unchanged mark, and he's clearly very well-treated off an attractive weight carry. Alex Jary claims a valuable 3lb, and stepping up in grade may engage him further. He tops RP ratings, and if that holds any value, on a going day, he looks like a player at a meaty price.
17:10 5:10 Southwell
Fine By Me
Daily Racing
25 EW
@6.50
Lose
-50
Preference here goes to the Nigel Twiston-Davies trained, Fine By Me. Took a leap forward at Stratford when making light work of the nine runner field to post a career best on his penultimate run. Failed to back that up at Newton Abbott after an uncharacteristic fall when in contention two out. Goes again after a 42 day break and with a bit of schooling, he could be well over that. Major player if back on form, with James Turner preferred bringing his useful 3lb claim. Should be thereabouts for a very much in-form yard,
15:50 3:50 Salisbury
Executive Decision
Daily Racing
50 EWNAPNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionBest Odds Guaranteed SP 8.00 used instead of 6.00 takenBOG
@8.00
Win
20
Preference here goes to the Jamie Osbourne trained, Executive Decision. Multiple turf winner that returned to form with a very good 2nd at Newmarket, after everything seemingly was against her, as she mounted in the chute and looked outpaced for much of it. Despite that she did well to recover and the form looks solid having been just touched off by a previous Listed winner in, Sophia's Starlight. Slight concern with the quick turnaround and the big weight carry, that leaves her towards the top of the handicap. A career best may be required, but she's got untapped potential to be a lot better than a mark of 87 and she is back down into a grade she's holds previous winning form. Ground versatile filly that should be thereabouts.
Subtotal-230
02 October 2024
18:20 6:20 Kempton
Tahitian Prince
Daily Racing
50 EWNAP
@17.00
Lose
-100
Preference here goes to the George Baker trained, Tahitian Prince. Multiple course winner that arrives with a bit to prove at this new trip, but he's shown glimpses of ability in recent starts to suggest he could be a huge price here. You can overlook his latest run at Epsom with that race not running to suit. He wasn't disgraced at Goodwood over 1m1f when denied a clear run, and that was a much stronger race than this. Returns to Kempton, where he's made his home, so he knows the place well and he's back down to a mark of 74, which leaves him well handicapped off the peak of his 1m form. Strong stayer, that may have the stamina to stake a challenge and from stall 7, he can find a good position not to get too detached from the field. Callum Shepherd rides again, which could be a shrewd move, given that he saddled that Goodwood form.
17:05 5:05 Catterick
Croeso Cymraeg
Daily Racing
25 EW
@9.50
Lose
-50
Preference here goes to the James Evans trained, Croeso Cymraeg. Multiple turf winner that's been relatively consistent this term. Finished a credible 3rd/10 behind two that were obviously well placed. The second horse, Furzig was stepping down in grade and the eventual winner, Papagei went up in grade next time out and performed well enough to suggest that form was solid. Croeso Cymraeg goes again off an unchanged mark and steps back up to 1m 4f, which is a positive. Looks well handicapped off his peak form when winning at Salisbury in 2023 off a mark of 79. With Brandon Wilkie claiming 5lb that effectively leaves him 9lb lower.
15:55 3:55 Catterick
Monsieur Kodi
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@6.00
Lose
-50
Preference here goes to the Richard Fahey trained, Monsieur Kodi. Credible effort when last seen and given the way the race panned out, it was evident he found himself on the wrong side of the track. Happy to forgive that and give him a better chance here, as this is a step down in grade, off his seasonal best, at Chester, over really testing conditions when a solid 4th/10, off a 6lb higher mark. Comes here very unexposed over these conditions, but a return to slower ground looks a big positive, given most of his best form is on slower ground. Tops RP ratings by 2lb, so if he runs his race, he could be the one to beat off a very well handicapped mark.
Subtotal-200
01 October 2024
20:30 8:30 Newcastle
Patontheback
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@6.50
Lose
-50
Preference here goes to the Gemma Tutty trained, Patontheback. Previous C&D winner that was closely matched with the fav, The Cookstown Cafu when last tried over C&D two weeks ago. I believe we can take this fav on, given the 2lb hike in the weights and this is a completely different going description, that brings into question can he be as effective. I'm giving a tentative vote to this gelding, Patontheback, that looks attractively weighted with a very good claimer on board in, Kaiya Fraser. Arrives here off a career best, and gets a 1lb back from the handicapper, which won't hurt his chances. His form can be up and down, but on a going day he's worth a second look.
16:25 4:25 Bath
Sarahs Verse
Daily Racing
25 EW
@8.00
Lose
-50
Preference here goes to the Ronald Harris trained, Sarah's Verse. Four time C&D winner that probably did as well as she could when denied a clear run from her usual rear running tactics over C&D, almost two weeks ago. She almost requires everything to sit right, and plenty of luck in running is needed. This is a big step down in class and off a reduced mark, it's hard not to give her a second look here. David Probert returns and he's riding extremely well and holds previous winning form on her. She holds winning form on heavy & soft over C&D, so conditions should be more than ideal and she looks very competitive on the figures meaning she's an obvious player.
15:25 3:25 Ayr
Danzan
Daily Racing
50 EWNAP
@6.50
Lose
-100
Preference here goes to the Tim Easterby trained, Danzan. Previous course winner that's been around the block and caught my attention, once again, when returning to form when 3rd/24 at Ayr. Probably very unfortunate that he ran into a massive eye catcher in, Diligent Resdev who was aided by a 7lb claimer and clearly very well handicapped when dropping down in trip. Danzan posted an RPR, which was 19lb off his absolute career best over those conditions, and that puts him on a very workable mark off 72. Stepping back up in trip to 7f could well be a positive move, given the way he did stay on well last time. Not the healthiest win strike rate, but he's normally found in big fields, so I'm hoping that a small field will help him break that losing run.
13:40 1:40 Ayr
Tele Red
Daily Racing
100 WIN
@5.50
Lose
-100
Preference here goes to the K R Burke trained, Tele Red. Previous C&D winner that returned to form with a solid 4th/17 at York a month ago. He was progressively marked up off a chunky weight carry, so dropping back in grade off a 1lb reduced mark should see him to good effect. Won this race last year off a 1lb higher mark and he went off as a really short priced fav, that day. This race doesn't look as tough and the fact he's been given a 23 day break means he's been set aside for this and the yard are in top form. Sam Feilden claims a valuable 5lb.
Subtotal-300
26 September 2024
20:30 8:30 Southwell
Smokey Malone
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@4.50
Lose
-50
Preference here goes to the Julia Fellden trained, Smokey Malone. Two time C&D winner that returns for a hat-trick bid from a well handicapped mark being 3lb below both his wins. Lessor effort when last seen at Wolverhampton, but in the main he's been an ultra consistent performer. Holds previous when freshened up, so he looks a major player on return back at a place he thrives. Yard are flying along and Dylan Hogan knows how to get this horse over the line.
19:30 7:30 Southwell
My Honey B
Daily Racing
25 EW
@15.00
Lose
-50
Preference here goes to the Michael & David Easterby trained, My Honey B. Previous C&D winner that could be flying under the radar based on her profile. Conditions wise, this horse holds quite appealing figures, which includes multiple wins over this trip. Requires a bounce back after a lessor effort at Newcastle and I'm happy to draw a line through that and put that down to not been suited by the track. It's hard to ignore her first C&D win on her AW debut. She's only 3lb higher here, and she finished four lengths ahead of, Rebel Angel, who signed off the AW scene on a mark of 71. If that piece of form transfers here, she could be a big player, as she has been freshened up with a 64 day break.
17:23 5:23 Pontefract
Thursdays Child
Daily Racing
50 EW
@9.00
Void
0
Preference here goes to the Micky Hammond trained, Thursday's Child. Previous C&D winner that caught the eye when last seen at Carlisle when a short distanced second to a big improver. Returns to the venue that brought her first win in novice company, Finished a comfortable winner that day after responding well when asked for an effort. She has shown glimpses of ability since, but yet to get her head in front. This looks the ideal set up with conditions likely to play a part. The return of Billy Garrity looks a big positive as he holds two wins when saddled.
16:53 4:53 Pontefract
Sir Palamedes
Daily Racing
100 WIN
@3.25
Void
0
Preference here goes to the Charlie Fellowes trained, Sir Palamedes. Arrives in form after landing his maiden win at Flos Las on heavy going. The weather seemingly looks to be in favor with the going description likely to change throughout the day. Caught my attention on his handicap debut when he was an unlucky loser when just denied at the line by, East Tyrone. Only had three lengths to find on Benevento on nursery debut and that runner has gone on to win a big pot at Doncaster recently, and now operates off 104. Sir Palamedes, as yet to plot the same course, but he may be slowly on the upgrade and could be the one to beat today.
15:10 3:10 Pontefract
Lightening Company
Daily Racing
100 WIN
@9.00
Lose
-100
Preference here goes to the Ben Haslam trained, Lightening Company. Previous C&D winner that really does catch the eye back at a course he holds good form. He finished a solid second on his penultimate run over C&D when only beaten two lengths by a really smart one in, Bolster who now operates off 105. That piece of form should transfer well here, with this being a drop back in grade. He returns off a 1lb lower mark and further bad weather would enhance his chances. Mr Monaco is taking up too much of the market in what looks a really competitive race, but he has to be respected, so playing this win only looks the way to go.
14:45 2:45 Newmarket
Executive Decision
Daily Racing
100 WINNAP
@5.00
Lose
-100
Preference here goes to the Jamie Osbourne trained, Executive Decision. Multiple turf winner that seems to be heading back in the right direction with back-to-back credible efforts at, Ascot & Epsom. Arrives with a bit to prove at this grade, but she's attractively weighted and she finished a solid fourth at Epsom in similar conditions in a stronger race than this. Should be well suited by the conditions, with all her best form on good-to-soft. Remains 3lb below her career best, so she's fairly consistent and definitely worth a second look.
Subtotal-300
25 September 2024
16:32 4:32 Redcar
Unplugged
Daily Racing
50 EWNB
@12.00
Lose
-100
Preference here goes to the Michael & David Easterby trained, Unplugged. Multiple turf winner that's been in consistent form before his latest when unsuited by the conditions. Could easily bounce back off a reduced mark. Lewis Chalkley gets his third sit and he brings his handy 7lb claim that could see this horse to better effect. Looks a far more interesting proposition taking a slight step back in trip.
16:27 4:27 Kempton
Grecian God
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 12.00 used instead of 11.00 takenBOG
@12.00
Win
30
Preference here goes to the Mark Usher trained, Grecian God. Landed is first AW win at Wolverhampton on his penultimate start when just touching off Diligent Harry. Returns to the scene of his career best when denied a clear run back in May. Conditions look more than ideal and he arrives here 2lb lower. Finished a credible 4th when vying to be prominent from stall 1 back in August. This looks a more realistic aim and George Bass continues to claim a valuable 3lb that drops this horse to a very attractive weight carry.
16:20 4:20 Listowel
Flooring Porter
Daily Racing
50 EWNAP
@7.50
Win
390
Preference here goes to the Gavin Cromwell trained, Flooring Porter. Smart hurdler that wasn't seen to best effect on handicap debut at Kilarney. Looks a far more interesting proposition back in Grade company over a staying trip. Yet to prove he's as effective over bigger obstacles, but he ran a career best at Cheltenham last year. This obviously looks a more stiffer assignment, but conditions look more than ideal for a return to form.
15:30 3:30 Goodwood
Capotes Dream
Daily Racing
25 EW
@SP
Lose
-50
Preference here goes to the Tom Ward trained, Capote's Dream. Multiple winner at this trip, that failed to back up his very good second placed finish at Newbury on his penultimate run. Slight concern over the ground, but he stays 7f, so testing conditions could be an advantage. Looks well handicapped on the pick of last years form when just held by, Many A Star over C&D in a much higher grade than this. Possibilities if putting his last run behind him.
14:55 2:55 Goodwood
Thunder Ball
Daily Racing
100 WIN
@4.00
Lose
-100
Preference here goes to the Paul & Oliver Cole trained, Thunder Ball. Two time C&D winner that needs to bounce back after a couple of lessor efforts in each of his last two starts. Ran flat at Newmarket and again really faded at Ascot when the groups merged. I don't believe he wants fast ground and all of his best form is on a sticky surface. Returns after a nice spell on the sidelines, so he arrives fresh and conditions couldn't of fallen any sweeter having previous C&D form on testing ground. Revival needed and Sean Bowen's 3lb claim could go a long way.
14:28 2:28 Perth
Caldwell
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@4.50
Lose
-50
Preference here goes to the Jennie Candish trained, Caldwell. Arrives in form after a solid effort at Worcester two weeks ago despite making a bad mistake two out. Looks a far more interesting proposition these days and the level of consistency over hurdles has come on, ever since joining the Candish stable. This is a step up in grade, which will bring a different challenge, but he's carrying a low weight and he could well take advantage of others in the field that may be on stiff marks. Possibilities if the level of progression is maintained.
Subtotal120
24 September 2024
20:00 8:00 Newcastle
Strangerontheshore
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 8.50 used instead of 7.00 takenBOG
@8.50
Win
12
Preference here goes to the Nigel Tinkler trained, Strangerontheshore. Previous C&D winner that arrives in form after a couple of credible efforts on turf making the most of a reduced mark. Returns to the AW scene operating off a very handy mark, given his C&D win in 2023 was off, 62. Makes his return 5lb lower with conditions in favor. Usual cheek-pieces have been discarded and that seems to have perked him up.
19:00 7:00 Newcastle
Mutanaaseq
Daily Racing
25 EW
@9.50
Lose
-50
Preference here goes to the Ruth Carr trained, Mutanaaseq. Not the easiest to catch right these days and as a 9yr old he's not going to improve much. This then becomes a tentative selection based purely on his mark of 46. The last time we seen this horse over C&D was in 2022, when then he was operating off a mark 0f 69. That surely merits an each-way poke and Billy Loughnane has taken the ride, so maybe he's entered all this into his thoughts. Goes off a very attractive weight carry and if he can perform anywhere close to his seasonal best on turf, he could play his part.
17:02 5:02 Beverley
It Just Takes Time
Daily Racing
100 WINNAP
@3.75
Win
275
Preference here goes to the Mark Walford trained, It Just Takes Time. Previous C&D winner that holds quite a tidy profile. Finished a credible 4th/18, at York, in what turned out to be a very competitive heat. He was over three lengths better than the fav, Dance and Romance, who was rated 80. That leaves, It Just Takes Time off a mark of 78 well handicapped off that form. This race doesn't look as tough, and he tops RP ratings by 3lb, so if he runs his race, he could be the one to beat with conditions to suit.
16:40 4:40 Warwick
Craven Bay
Daily Racing
100 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 5.00 used instead of 4.33 takenBOG
@5.00
Win
400
Preference here goes to the Toby Lawes trained, Craven Bay. Arrives with a bit to prove, but he was a progressive sort in 2023 and signed off the year with a win at Worcester off a mark of 98. Returned with a sub-par run at Uttoxeter off a very lofty mark, but shown glimpses of staying ability when last seen after being badly hampered. Recently switched stables and this new trip is definitely worth exploring on his yard debut. Back down onto a mark of 103, which certainly seems more realistic.
Subtotal637
23 September 2024
20:30 8:30 Wolverhampton
King Of Speed
Daily Racing
25 EW
@8.50
Win
12
Preference here goes to the Mark Loughnane trained, King Of Speed. Previous C&D winner that holds a solid record at this track and he's run some solid efforts on turf through the summer. Returns to this sphere on a very workable mark, given he signed off on a mark of 59 after finishing 2nd to a smart one, that's now a 65 rated horse. On that evidence , King Of Speed had four lengths to find, so his current mark of 57 leaves him very well handicapped despite a significant weight carry. Billy Loughnane is always an eye catching jockey booking, especially on a horse that's on a handy mark. Tops RP ratings, so he could be the one to beat.
19:00 7:00 Wolverhampton
Danehill Star
Daily Racing
25 EW
@11.00
Lose
-50
Preference here goes to the Tony Carroll trained, Danehill Star. Arrives with a bit to prove, but he ran well into second when last seen at Lingfield running up close to his best form. Looks vulnerable for win purposes, given he holds a tendency not to finish off his races. Holds previous form over C&D to suggest he's not without an each-way hope, despite being a 1lb wrong out of the weights. This on paper looks an easier assignment than when he tailed off in March when headed 2f out. Prominent runner, and if given the run of the race he will probably take them along at a steady pace. Stepping back in trip is a positive move and he's improved on each of his last three starts. Still curious about his best trip, but he's a 3yr old that's still learning his trade.
16:08 4:08 Hamilton
Scoops Ahoy
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 11.00 used instead of 10.00 takenBOG
@11.00
Win
25
Preference here goes to the David O' Meara trained, Scoops Ahoy, Previous C&D winner that shown an improved performance when stepping back in to C5 company at Beverley. Ran well under the circumstances to rally from a messy start to only be beaten by a short distance. I'm surprised to see him as the rag of the field, given he's on a competitive mark and he is rated 6lb better than the fav on official ratings. Only 3lb separate the field on RP ratings, so backing the outsider of the field means you are getting a good run for your money and some of his best form has come on sticky ground, so he's certainly worth a second look. This doesn't look a really deep race and Scoops Ahoy does bring that 23 day break, which is the most of these runners and that's another angle to keep in mind. Cases can be made for a few of these, but at the prices I'm content to be with the outsider.
15:05 3:05 Sedgefield
Getaway Jewel
Daily Racing
25 EW
@11.00
Lose
-50
Preference here goes to the Micky Hammond trained, Getaway Jewel. Previous course winner that's on a long losing run, but it was a much improved performance at Market Rasen when last seen. Made some headway before being badly hampered three out. Steps back into more calmer waters here off another reduced mark, which now means he's operating off a career low. Probably not going to improve as a veteran, but he's well handicapped off his 2023 form and if he can back close to that level, he looks a threat with the experience of Brian Hughes back in the saddle.
14:00 2:00 Listowel
Dancing Steve
Daily Racing
50 EWNAP
@10.00
Lose
-100
Preference here goes to the Adrian McGuinness trained, Dancing Steve. Arrives in form when posting a career best at Tipperary when finishing best to head the fav, Simple Endeavour. Up 4lb for that win and another step forward is required here in a better race. Adam Caffery retains the ride bringing his valuable 3lb claim, which does negate most of that 4lb. Takes a step back in trip, which does leave doubts, but he's certainly been on the upgrade ever since the application of a visor and a strongly run affair may be well suited to his chances.
Subtotal-163
20 September 2024
19:45 7:45 Kempton
Jack Sparowe
Daily Racing
50 EW
@6.50
Lose
-100
Preference here goes to the John Butler trained , Jack Sparowe. Previous C&D winner when landing this last year under strong market support. Only 3lb higher here and he wasn't beaten far when last seen, so he may not nned to improve much to take this for back to back years.
18:15 6:15 Kempton
Dembe
Daily Racing
100 WINNAP
@3.50
Win
250
Preference here goes to the Simon Pearce trained, Dembe. Previous course winner that's not been seen to good effect on turf over the summer. Makes the switch back on the AW off a very tempting mark and it's of no surprise to see him at the fore of the markets. Holds solid claims back in this sphere over a stone lower than his career best over C&D.
16:25 4:05 Newbury
English Oak
Daily Racing
25 EW
@7.00
Win
5
Preference here goes to the Ed Walker trained, English Oak. Arrives with a bit to prove after a couple of lessor efforts in G2 company. Holds a mark of 108, which should see him to good effect dropping down into Listed Company. Easy winner when last tried on testing ground at Haydock, when quickening up nicely to make light work of the field. That run preceded his career best at Royal Ascot when heading 26 other rivals, to put down a solid marker. Not without a chance with conditions likely to play its part.
16:15 4:15 Ayr
Monsieur Kodi
Daily Racing
50 EW
@12.00
Lose
-100
Preference here goes to the Richard Fahey trained, Monsieur Kodi. Previous C&D winner that holds plenty of form at this track. Continues to ease down the weights and now operates off a 5lb lower mark over his seasonal best at Hamilton in a much stronger race than this. Can go well with conditions to suit.
15:25 2:55 Newbury
Aysgarth
Daily Racing
25 EW
@26.00
Win
750
Preference here goes to the Clive Cox trained, Aysgarth. Well thought off colt that's been prominent in the markets on each of his first four starts. Yet to deliver for Clive Cox, after a very solid effort when 2nd at Salisbury behind a very smart, An Outlaw Grace. On that evidence he had only a length to find from a horse that next time up entered into G2 company, over in France. This runner is also working off a mark of 96, so Aysgarth off 79 should be nicely treated. I'm expecting eventually he will turn into a smart one, and hopefully a strong pace over a testing 7f, may spark a revival. Not a forgone hope if Jim Crowley can find cover and keep him settled.
Subtotal805
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