JackpotRod

I'll get you an odds on shots beaten, but also give you some long odds winners with hopefully some insightful reasoning to help you to decide whether to follow me in or not. Back all my own selections with my own cash.

1

Estimated Prizes
this month

£5

Estimated Prize money
this month

JackpotRod's Tips History

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15 November 2025
15:30 3:30 Cheltenham

Holloway Queen

Daily Racing

25 EW

@12.00

Lose

-50

Found out in graded company after posting a comfortable success on heavy ground, so there should be no concerns over the ground for this horse. A fairly pricey sort, she's related to a 3m2f winner, so the trip shouldn’t be what finds her out. A winner on rules debut, she can go well fresh, and her Sandown 4th of 5 is worth looking at, as it’s a race that’s worked out well and she was giving away 5 lbs to the field there and did go off 6/5f that day. So, if she’s the graded mare that Henderson thinks she is, a mark of 127 should be easily achievable.
2 members found this comment useful
13:10 1:10 Cheltenham

Ballycamus

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@21.00

Lose

-50

Tricky race, but NTD's looked overpriced here to me, having beaten Kelce on worse terms than this in February. That horse is far shorter, but this horse has prior form on heavy ground, and the 7lb stripped off could see him competitive given he’s won off this adjusted mark. Whilst beaten over CD last time, that was good ground and he became detached whereas he prefers to go forward. The slower ground should temper enthusiasm to go quickly here, so assuming he can get his favored position, I think he can go well. This is a far easier race than he faced last time as well, and he’s 3/7 dropped into this class.
1 member found this comment useful
14 November 2025
16:00 4:00 Cheltenham

Shade Of Winter

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@9.00

Lose

-50

Has the potential to be far ahead of the assessor off this mark here if he’s ready first time up off a mark of 114. A good 2nd getting 6lb off now 138 rated Julius Des Pictons two starts ago. He was then 2nd to a 127 rated horse off level weights sent up in trip on soft ground. He should cope with this stiff test if he can lie up with the pace as he has proved himself over further. Not yet a winner, so a want to get his head over the line is a slight worry, but hopefully the drop back in trip can help in that regard for this forward-going horse.
1 member found this comment useful
14:55 2:55 Cheltenham

Libberty Hunter

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@8.00

Lose

-50

A capable sort that has racked up a decent record here, being 121 on completed starts. A faller in the Champion Chase, where he never looked to be going with much fluency until he ranged into it between the 4th and 3rd last, his race was over before it was run with an error there. Forecast rain is a big plus to his chances, and whilst he, like all of these, will need Jonbon to underperform, I always think there’s a chance of that with Henderson’s charge, who is proving himself prone to an error or three. LH has gone well fresh on a number of occasions, and whilst he has plenty of improvement to find on ratings here, the weight he gets from the top two in the market could hopefully prove telling late on if Cobden can smuggle him into it with improved jumping.
1 member found this comment useful
13:45 1:45 Cheltenham

Dreal Deal

Daily Racing

25 EW

@15.00

Lose

-50

Showed some decent form on his two starts over fences recently, and being just 1lb above his Irish mark, the jockey claim actually takes him a couple of lbs below it here. A recent spin over Hurdles was in a race that’s worked out well, and he was never really put into the race until late on. Prior to that he split a decent pair, getting just 2lbs from a now 142 rated Chaser, whilst getting a lb from a 137 rated horse in behind that has made hay in P2P’s since. A newcomer in this sphere, but if he can match his best form he can outrun his odds here.
1 member found this comment useful
13:10 1:10 Cheltenham

Walkadina

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@8.00

Win

10

Recent first-time winning jockey goes for in-form David Pipe here, stripping off 10 lbs from this horse. She has shown enough in decent company to suggest an adjusted mark of 105 could be workable, notably a Listed Hurdle 4th in and around much better horses than this off level weights. She won with 13L in hand off level weights with a now 119 rated horse in 2nd first time up last season, so she could be one to catch when fresh. Whilst the trip is an unknown, she did finish 3rd in a P2P, so could take to this stiff test. She’ll be bottom weight with the claim on ground she should very much appreciate.
08 November 2025
14:40 2:40 Aintree

Jet Plane

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@12.00

Lose

-50

Foxhunters 2nd at the National meeting. If he has anything like a similar spin, then he’s got a fair chance better than his odds here. Snipe did something for his opening run of the season when following up to be 4th at Ascot, and he’s entitled to improve for the effort. He should appreciate the overnight rain, as well as saddling a stone less than when competing in the Foxhunters back in a handicap. Forward-going tactics can come to the fore here, so hopefully Skeltons gets him into a good early rhythm. 5 of his 7 wins have come off similar breaks, so hopefully he’s been set up for this by a master target trainer.
1 member found this comment useful
13:10 1:10 Wincanton

Nickelforce

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTETip made at odds of 7.00 on 07/11 at 20:170.15 deduction for Lord Baddesley@6.50 withdrawn at 07:29R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 6.00 x (1-0.15) = 6.10Best Odds Guaranteed SP 7.00 used instead of 6.10 BOG

@7.00

Win

300

Looks a fairly competitive affair, but I felt like Nickelforce was worth a chance. Consistent in defeat, and has a poor strike rate otherwise, but he’s gone well last time and a horse in behind has franked the form. The shorter trip looks in his favor given 2 of his 3 wins have come over just north of 2m4f. The fact he does get further suggests to me he can make the most of being towards the bottom of the weights in a race that doesn’t lack for pace.
1 member found this comment useful
01 November 2025
15:45 3:45 Ascot

Henrys Friend

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@13.00

Win

360

A shortlist of 5 is a problem for this puzzle, but the one I came down on was Henry’s Friend. There are doubts everywhere, and the main doubt for him perhaps is his need for a run, as he’s never won fresh. What you can’t really doubt for him is that he’ll stay this trip in the right conditions, as he’s been beaten by further at Cheltenham, and didn’t stay the 4m Scottish Grand National. This trip should be fine though, and he’s a Grade 2 winner here on his only jaunt to this venue. He’s still entitled to progress further than this mark all things considered, and in a race that doesn’t look the best renewal I’m hoping he’s just a bit too good for this field despite being close to top weight and in the drift.
1 member found this comment useful
15:10 3:10 Ascot

Dance And Glance

Daily Racing

25 EWNAPNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@8.50

Win

12

A few options here, but I’ve gone for the unexposed angle on Dance And Glance, who put up a career-best RPR on reappearance. He’s got form in and around horses rated much higher and can easily step up for the reappearance effort. Barring an error at the second last, he probably would have won and been far higher in the weights than the extra lb he gets here. With a clear round and a nice weight carry, I think he can mix it up in class for an in-form Honeyball, who can do little wrong at the moment. A lack of pace may not play to his chance, but he showed a likeable turn of foot before that mistake last time. Being entitled to improve for the run, I think he’s got a great chance of being involved.
1 member found this comment useful
14:05 2:05 Ascot

Special Cadeau

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 11.00 on 31/10 at 16:400.20 deduction for Leau Du Sud@4.50 withdrawn at 06:590.10 deduction for Boothill @10.000 withdrawn at 07:010.15 deduction for Martator @6.000 withdrawn at 08:33R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 10.00 x (1-0.45) = 6.50Best Odds Guaranteed SP 8.00 used instead of 6.50 BOG

@8.00

Win

10

A competitive affair, and it would hurt to see Issar D’Airy take this, who I backed in this last year. At just 1lb higher, he’s clearly got a chance, but Special Cadeau looked to me like he would improve for the effort last time, as he has done on each of his second seasonal starts. If he can, he can make the most of this weight carry, with a bonus 3lbs from Mike O’Connor. The trip at a stiff track may stretch him, but I’d hope the weight carry can counteract that, and he’s been campaigned in some top company so could be much better than an adjusted 139. His last effort has been boosted by a subsequent grade 2 scorer, but he seemingly wouldn’t want too much rain to get into watered ground.
1 member found this comment useful
13:30 1:30 Ascot

Lylian

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.33

Lose

-50

I initially liked Old Gregorian, but he’s been taken out, which doesn’t leave much to go at. But at 4/1 the field, it looks like an interesting race despite only being four runners. There could be a fair pace on here, with three of these looking likely to want to take this forward. I’m hoping for some throat cutting here as a result, and with Gary Moore chucking in a 4-year-old with a weight-for-age allowance, I’m hoping he can make the most of a featherweight with that 9lb allowance. It’s hard to judge if this is a good mark, but he was purchased for a dialect punchy 95 thousand Euros in July. He’s out of a dam that has produced a few winning chasers now, albeit none off this sort of mark. Moore has won 2 of the last 8 renewals, including with a 4-year-old Nassalam.
12:55 12:55 Ascot

Sage Green

Daily Racing

25 EW

@13.00

Lose

-50

Looks fairly treated, like a few of these, but could take well to the step up in trip being an easy winner of a P2P. Was 2nd behind now 124 rated Inside Man when last seen who won on reappearance, beating a 114 rated horse in the process giving away a few lbs, so a mark of 113 could be more than fair for a big horse that has plenty of size and scope about him. His siblings did plenty of good work over further than the minimum trip which bodes well for a decent run here.
1 member found this comment useful
25 October 2025
14:55 2:55 Cheltenham

Electric Mason

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 15.00 used instead of 13.00 takenBOG

@15.00

Win

45

Tricky and trappy, but a small chance on Electric Mason who steps up in trip here with stamina in the pedigree out of a dam who is related to a National winner. He placed in and around some smart horses in Novice Hurdles, and whilst he’s yet to capitalize on his mark in handicaps, adjusted for claim a mark of 125 could be attainable in the right scenario. He’s gone well twice off a break so could be one to catch fresh.
1 member found this comment useful
14:20 2:20 Cheltenham

Ballycamus

Daily Racing

25 EW

@17.00

Lose

-50

3/4 a place with an uphill finish. This horse comes here off a decent effort that has hopefully stripped some freshness off him. He needed last year’s reappearance, so if he can step on for the effort like he did last year, he could put up a career best. His only try further than 3 miles was a fair effort in 3rd, saddling 12st. He’s just a few lbs shy of bottom weight here, so that gives him as good a chance as any of getting home for a trainer that won this with Cogry off the same weight carry. If he can get rolling off the front end, then he can bring the weights into this hopefully.
1 member found this comment useful
13:10 1:10 Cheltenham

Kdeux Saint Fray

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@13.00

Lose

-50

2nd to a subsequent winner when last seen off level weights who is now rated 10lbs higher, this horse was thought good enough to mix it in Grade 2 Novice Hurdle company. Whilst he failed there, he’s quickly sent chasing off what could be a fairly lowly mark. The fact he’s thrown straight into a handicap suggests the trainer thinks the mark could be exploitable for this point winner.
1 member found this comment useful
24 October 2025
16:45 4:45 Cheltenham

Harrys Hope

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@15.00

Lose

-50

The favorite made the three-horse shortlist for this, but in a race like this, I can’t be taking 11/2 after Smugglers Haven has been well found in the market. Harry’s Hope made appeal in the end at double-figure odds. He’s placed 2nd three times over further than a mile, and his penultimate effort in July split two horses who are now rated 137 plus now. He was getting just 7lbs from Art Of Diplomacy there, suggesting a mark of 107 adjusted for claim should be feared. A sound seasonal opener can be improved upon, and to be 7lbs lower thanks to jockey claim is a bonus.
14:25 2:25 Cheltenham

Zaochen Enki

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@8.00

Lose

-50

A mark of 115 minus 7 lbs could just about do for Zaochen Enki on handicap debut, providing Paul Nicholls' horse with a joint bottom weight of 10 st 1 lb to carry round. He proved he could get further than the 2-mile trip in France, so shouldn’t mind this stiff 2m. He shouldn’t have to have improved much to better than an adjusted mark of 105, and whilst 7/1 is short enough, I think it’s a nice enough price for a small chance to see him beat up the hill.
1 member found this comment useful
13:15 1:15 Cheltenham

Supreme Yeats

Daily Racing

25 EW

@34.00

Lose

-50

All kinds of angles into this one, but the one I like is a horse that is out of the handicap here, albeit brought back into it with a jockey claim. Supreme Yeats stays further and gets in here off a real featherweight. My hope is the jockeys just go way too hard here with a possible fight for the lead, and it can just set it up for one with stamina assured. The worry then is if he can stay in touch at this level, but I’m happy to chance that as he’s been fairly consistent in bigger fields, being 6/6 a place in fields bigger than 12. Soft ground is the biggest negative as he’s unproven on it, but his price compensates if he takes his chance.
1 member found this comment useful
21 October 2025
16:10 4:10 Perth

Fostered Phil

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@7.00

Lose

-50

Proved an adeptness for a bit further last time when staying on from the rear into 3rd. With an obvious pace on here, that could suit this horse, albeit there are some unexposed types that could spoil the party given this horse is 11. This horse handles it here though, has a sound 6/11 place record in this class, and he is 5/5 a place between September and December, a period in which he saw his 2 wins arrive. One of those was with Jamie Hamilton aboard, who is 2/2 a place on him, and being lightly raced for his age, he could still be well handicapped based on his 2023 form.
2 members found this comment useful
14:35 2:35 Yarmouth

Ladykirk

Daily Racing

25 EW

@17.00

Win

55

A 2-year-old guess on this debutant, but she’s from a smart family whose grandmother produced three 110+ RPR horses. There’s no shortage of stamina in there, so I’d expect her to get this trip well. She’s a full sister to Raknah, whose best 2-year-old effort by far was over a mile, so it’s an interesting starting point for this fairly pricey sort. Any negatives and unknowns look fairly compensated by her price. The trainer has a positive P/L here with her first-time 2-year-olds in the last five years. While just 6/16 places and 3 wins in there, it’s still a fair record.
1 member found this comment useful
19 October 2025
16:35 4:35 Leopardstown

Genealogy

Daily Racing

25 EW

@13.00

Lose

-50

Not much I can see in this horse's pedigree screams that he’ll stay this far, but with Cleary taking off 5 lbs, he could prove to be well handicapped on his initial form off an adjusted mark of 90. He split now 104 and 111 rated horses on debut and followed that up with a decent 5th in the Autumn Stakes, not all that far behind 99+ rated horses. Quick ground was plainly not his bag at Newbury on his only try over further than a mile, so back to a looser surface will help. Cleary has been riding out of his skin, with 7 wins from his last 17. With an added 6 lb weight for age allowance as well, his claim puts this horse 11 lbs well in against most of the field, and whilst he’s on the drift, I still think there are enough positives to give the pricey son of Wooten Basset an ew chance.
1 member found this comment useful
16:15 4:15 Limerick

Pride Of Place

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@8.00

Lose

-50

Bottom weight on the upgrade, could bounce in this grade but looks worth a chance that he doesn’t. He’s got some decent efforts in the book at this sort of trip, and not many either, so he’s unexposed. His dam is a half-sister to On The Fringe, so he could well be one for further as well, and he has placed over further. Going for a trainer in cracking form, he’s the pick of Mark Walsh.
1 member found this comment useful
18 October 2025
16:40 4:40 Ascot

Oliver Show

Daily Racing

25 EW

@26.00

Lose

-50

A wide-open Balmoral, with horses well in here off their marks, making it a right muddle. I’m going to chance Oliver Show, who isn’t one of those, but is 4/7 a place at a mile, with 2 wins. Whilst he’s 0-10 on turf as a big negative, his two efforts on turf on these shores this year have been his best showings, with his peak RPR being a 2nd behind Godwinson, giving away a lb. He’s 8 lbs better off with that horse and is a similarly big price here. So whilst that might not be the form to take this, I still think he’s overpriced. Hafeet Allain looks a lone pace angle drawn alongside, and he could find it tough to make this an all-the-way win. But at the very least, it should put this horse on the right side for horses being up there with the pace, assuming he doesn’t get locked away behind most of the field. Hopefully, Billy Loughnane can make the most of this horse being towards the bottom of the weights late on.
1 member found this comment useful
16:05 4:05 Ascot

Almeric

Daily Racing

25 EW

@17.00

Lose

-50

Another predictably fascinating clash with a foreseeable shootout between the three big boys in the market. But the three of them are pushing some excellent horses out to fascinating prices, and none more so than Almeric, who takes a long-awaited step up in class here after a setback earlier in the season. The ground is perhaps a worry as he’d probably prefer it softer, but his grandma coped with it, so it shouldn't dissuade connections from rolling the dice. He rather missed the kick on his return, so it was all the more impressive that he came from last to first in the straight, having circled most of the field. He won going away there, and you can wager he’ll kick on for that too. Pace-wise, it’s a struggle, with possibly a couple of pace makers in there, and in Devils Advocate and Kilimanjaro making this a bit of a muddle. But with added stamina in this one’s pedigree, I’d hope he’ll stay this stiff test regardless if he’s not taken off his feet early.
1 member found this comment useful
15:25 3:25 Ascot

Alakazi

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 23.00 used instead of 21.00 takenBOG

@23.00

Win

85

This could just be Rosallion finally having his day, though Docklands could still be the way to go on that line back at Ascot. Field Of Gold clearly is the one to beat on earlier season exploits, but is clearly priced as such. As it is, I was minded to have Alakazi as an interesting outsider and one that should appreciate this stiff mile. Murtagh hasn’t been shy about the fact that he will want good ground, and he’ll get just that here assuming they don’t water too much. He won in a not too dissimilar time to Fallen Angel at Leopardstown, so the fact he is over double the price looks a touch wrong for all this is clearly a big step up for him. Steadily progressive all season, he’s entitled to take his chance here, and being alongside Fallen Angel can only help him get dragged out of the stalls in a race that lacks obvious pace otherwise. Added stamina in his pedigree can serve him well late on if he can break well.
1 member found this comment useful
14:45 2:45 Ascot

Latakia

Daily Racing

25 EW

@21.00

Lose

-50

On the face of it, this is one of the most interesting races on the card for me, and Latakia has to be an interesting outsider. Second string for Juddmonte clearly with Kalpana involved, but she’s got some decent form in her own right with a comfortable win at Deauville in August being the pick of it. She had Dare To Dream beaten all ends up, who herself had finished not too far behind Arc third Sosie earlier in the season, so it’s a fair enough market. Up in trip last time, she still beat Bedtime Story off worse terms and is near enough double her price here, which doesn’t look right, and she just didn’t stay the new trip on the ground there. Back to a sounder surface should help her, whilst it could hinder others. She’s a daughter of Frankel from a pedigree line that seemingly likes better ground, and a sparkling pedigree and lofty price tag just don’t equate to a 20/1 shot in my eyes, so I’ll give her an each-way chance.
1 member found this comment useful
14:05 2:05 Ascot

No Half Measures

Daily Racing

25 EWNAPNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionBest Odds Guaranteed SP 29.00 used instead of 26.00 takenBOG

@29.00

Win

115

A forgiving nature is required in these sprints this season, and whilst class could out as the market indicates here, these races must be hard to price up. I was minded to have No Half Measures at a big price again here after a fairly luckless run at Haydock behind some of these last time. She got bumped when making a run and then totally squeezed out of things at the furlong pole. With no shortage of pace in here, this will take some getting, and she’s got excess stamina in her pedigree to suggest a stiff 6 could be up her street. Drawn alongside Spy Chief again should give her a first target on the low side of the draw, as well as having market leader Lazzat over that side. If the front runners can burn themselves out, I think she can put Haydock behind her and prove a tough nut in what is an inevitably wide-open sprint.
2 members found this comment useful
13:30 1:30 Ascot

Siren Suit

Daily Racing

25 EW

@11.00

Lose

-50

Siren Suit made a pleasing return at Kempton 10 days ago when proving a ready winner up in trip. Back down to 6f here, he could well be suited by this stiff 6, especially the way he shaped over 5f here on his second start. He was on the bridle travelling behind Wise Approach, all dressed up and nowhere to go before powering through late on to nab 3rd. Add a furlong to that and he would have won by lengths potentially, and with a free run he might have even won that race, so I think he’s a bit of a springer in here given that effort and the freshness he brings. As long as he doesn’t bounce from that Kempton effort, I’d hope he gets competitive at a double figure price.
1 member found this comment useful
14 October 2025
16:55 4:55 Market Rasen

Indiza

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@8.50

Lose

-50

Related to some interesting flat performers, being a half-brother to horses around the 100 mark. His dam is also a half-sister to Arrest and Detain to add further depth to this horse's profile. The trainer has been in fair form, with 13/28 placed this season, with 4 winners from 10 runners in October. He hasn’t had a bumper winner for a while, but there’s just enough in this horse's pedigree to suggest he could be a decent sort and capable of winning this.
11 October 2025
15:40 3:40 Newmarket

Fireblade

Daily Racing

25 EW

@41.00

Lose

-50

Ran a good race off a big weight last time, when strong at the line, and he’s done that a number of times previously too. So he could appreciate this lesser weight carry. He’s a lb well in off that career best last time, and he could be granted a nice forward spot here with a lack of an out-and-out front runner in the field. The way he knuckled down last time has just left an impression on me, even if he may be from an unlikely source for a winner in a race like this. His best efforts have been right-handed (6/9 a place) and on a galloping track (9/12 a place), so I think he could be sneaking in here at a nice price with something in his favor.
3 members found this comment useful
15:15 3:15 York

Gleneagle Bay

Daily Racing

25 EW

@11.00

Lose

-50

The argument for the favorite Binhareer looks sound, but at 6/1 he can be passed over in a race like this. Glenagle Bay intrigues enough, being fairly lightly raced but running well in good races in Ireland. Dropping to 6f, he should appreciate a fair gallop, and with a 2/3 way go for the lead, we should get a good honest pace. He looks to have the speed to stay in touch and isn’t drawn too high. Better ground should be fine, and a look through his form shows he looks well handicapped enough to be involved late on if it becomes a stamina test.
2 members found this comment useful
14:45 2:45 Chepstow

The Boola Boss

Daily Racing

25 EW

@13.00

Lose

-50

Fairly trappy, but an open market here. Whilst Neon Moon always entices me and I think Hoe Joky Smoke can go well, it was The Boola Boss that looked a nice price. A CD winner beating a now 139-rated horse getting 10 lbs suggests a mark of 120 is well within scope for this 9-year-old, especially given how well he ran last time. He has a decent record of 2111 when running over this trip or just shy on good ground. So whilst many might be hoping it’s a bit softer than the current forecast Gf, it could be up his street. A prominent runner that has made all in the past, he could be afforded a soft lead here. Nudged up in class, he’s got a nice low weight with Bowen in the saddle, so lots of positives for him and I think he’s overpriced.
1 member found this comment useful
14:05 2:05 York

Champagne Prince

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 10.00 on 11/10 at 08:050.10 deduction for Albany@8.00 withdrawn at 09:49R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 9.00 x (1-0.10) = 9.10

@9.10

Win

15

Best efforts by far in 2023 have been just north of this trip, so dropping a couple of furlongs looks a good move for this horse, albeit they were both in the AW. One of those was beating the smart Eydon at Southwell, whilst also finishing a solid 4th in a Group 3 over the same course and distance. It does mark a clear difference between his AW form where he holds a rating of 105, and his turf form being 0/9 and 10 lbs lower. Back in class 1 company on turf last time, he was far from disgraced though, so with the right setup he should just be capable of being competitive off this mark despite remaining on turf. 4/5 in races from October through to December, it’s interesting they’re having one last throw at the turf before a likely AW winter campaign. He’s drawn well in 4 to get a good jump, and perhaps follow Grey Cuban with whom he gets a 10 lb weight pull from last time.
2 members found this comment useful

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