JackpotRod
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16 May 2026
16:20 4:20 Newbury
Yes Im Mali
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+1800
Lose
-50
A real lack of pace angles in this makes it intriguing for one that might make it, and that’s Yes I’m Mali. He found his best form last time on his second start for O’Meara. Whilst he lacks consistency, that race has been quite well franked. He may just lack the class to compete with some of these, but I’m hopeful a lack of pace and a very low weight could mean he’s hard to peg back if he can get a freebie off the front. He’s got a decent draw in two, oddly the draw that’s seen the last two winners of this. He’s acquitted himself well in this class off higher marks in the past, so hopefully he can make a mark here with Saffie on board, who has five winners from her last ten, including two at Newmarket on Friday.
2 members found this comment useful
15:45 3:45 Newbury
Tierra Del Toro
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@+1000
Win
25
Up in trip here for seasonal debut, but a mark of 95 is teasing for this daily expensive horse who fetched 340k gns. Dam a full sister to Treve, so has distance in the family. He got better the further he went over a mile here. He gets a 15 lb swing with Bourbon Blues here, who he beat with enough ease to suggest this mark is just wrong if the trip is right. That horse went and placed 2nd behind Al Zanati in France, who finished 2nd in the Classic Trial, as well as finishing 3rd in listed company. A decent racing weight of 8st 13lbs adds to this horse's claims for me, and in balance he just looked overpriced for Beckett, who is in decent enough form.
2 members found this comment useful
14:35 2:35 Newbury
More Thunder
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 10.00 used instead of 8.00 takenBOG
@+900
Win
20
Small go for some interest in the Lockinge with More Thunder taken to appreciate the mile here. He progressed through the handicaps last term, culminating in a blistering 7f win here in the Hungerford. Whilst he couldn’t transfer that to Group 1 glory in France, he did go well on ground that was perhaps not ideal. He was campaigned over a mile and 2f as a 3-year-old, so perhaps has a good mix of speed and stamina for this. He’s arguably a tad underpriced given the quality of some of the horses in this, but I appreciate the market confidence this time round. A lack of pace is a tad concerning; perhaps the presence of an O’Brien pacemaker will guarantee a truly run race. Either way, I think he has the required turn of foot to figure at the finish.
2 members found this comment useful
Subtotal-5
14 May 2026
14:55 2:55 York
Vafortino
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+2000
Lose
-50
Has been kept busy over in Meydan and acquitted himself well in group races. He’s got a decent draw to get a good pitch off inside pace, and whilst an 8yo he appears to be retaining plenty of ability. Two from three off 61??"120 day breaks, he has two placed efforts to his name here. Three-quarters of a place on good ground in the UK, he won’t mind a bit of softening ground. Clearly vulnerable to an unexposed type. If he’s priced as such, hopefully he can hit the frame.
14:20 2:20 York
Luna A Inbhir Nis
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@+1100
Lose
-50
Jason Hart is 4/6 a place aboard this horse, who has a decent 5-1-3 record here. He’s drawn amongst a string of front-runners, though with an ability to get slightly further. Hopefully he can see this out. 5/6 on good ground. Connections will be hoping the rain stays away. Pitched into Listed company last time, so it’s fair to consider that his trainer thinks he has scope to win off this mark.
Subtotal-100
13 May 2026
15:30 3:30 York
Cool Hoof Luke
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@+900
Lose
-50
As ever with these 6f races, it could just be about whose turn it is. Cases aplenty then, and Regional could get a freebie in front. Looking at the pace maps, which does make him dangerous, but it also guarantees a strongly run race, I’d say. Drawn towards the outside, the one I was drawn to was Cool Hoof Luke. He ran a decent time over 6f here when winning the Gimcrack, beating Big Mojo in the process, who is under a penalty here. He needs to step up significantly on what he’s achieved so far this season on figures, but his turf efforts have been excellent in the main, and an ability to get further than this, as he proved last time, should bode well for a strong finishing effort. The return to a flat track is also a major plus, on which he is 3/3.
1 member found this comment useful
14:55 2:55 York
Sondad
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+1200
Lose
-50
Interesting, lightly raced 5-year-old. His season culminated in two decent placed efforts, one in a big field off a big weight. His latest third was behind Aramram, who has returned in cracking form to give this mark of 93 a fair bit of gloss. He’d have to be hoping for a bit of a pace collapse overall, which does concern on this track. But he’s 3/4 a place at this level and 6/8 a place on a straight track, so it could be a scenario in which he can thrive on return.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-100
09 May 2026
16:40 4:40 Ascot
Tokyo Joe
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+750
Lose
-50
Least exposed in the field and drawn around a couple of potential place angles on the high side of the draw. An overall lack of pace should bode well, and a seeming ability to get a bit further than this should mean he’s doing his best work late. His best form has him still well treated off 71 if he can continue his progression at 6f. He started last season on good ground just behind horses rated 85+, so there’s potential he goes well fresh too.
1 member found this comment useful
14:20 2:20 Ascot
Houquetot
Daily Racing
25 EWNAPR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@+5000
Void
0
Picked up by the Rogues, and switched to James Owen, who has been smashing in the winners this month. This horse intrigued me as one that could stay a stiff 7f well. He’s got a stamina-laden pedigree and has been fairly highly tried so far, having had just one handicap start. A Group 3 winner, he’s not quite lived up to his breeding, but he’s not without talent given the company he has kept so far. They went a really slow pace on his handicap debut and he did pick off a few late. They could go the same here. I thought it interesting that his best work has been when racing forward/making all, so I’d like to see a change in tactics here. The draw is against him, but he’s got some potential pace to latch onto on that side. Overall, I thought he was just a bit priced outsider worth a swing. The first-time tongue tie adds some intrigue, with Owen 5/24 when applying it for the first time in the last two years.
1 member found this comment useful
13:45 1:45 Ascot
Deedaydiva
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+650
Lose
-50
Trappy 3yo handicap, but Alan King's horse looked fairly weighted in her handicap debut. Four or five lengths off now 11-rated Zanthos on debut, she followed that up by beating now 107-rated Edna off level weights. She opened her account this season, trailing home a 96-rated horse, so all of these reflect a mark of 88 fairly well. She looks drawn to have a nice tow into this, and with some stamina in her pedigree she could see it out well off a low weight.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-100
08 May 2026
16:00 4:00 Ascot
Dublin Bay
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@+1600
Win
55
Trappy, big-field 3yo handicap with potential angles all over. The one I liked, though, was Dublin Bay, who gets Tudhope aboard, who is 5/8 to place in the last year for Sangster. He could spearhead a middle-drawn charge to the front, and an ability to get further could bode well for this stiff 6f. His handicap efforts on turf look much better than his novice efforts, and he’s had a solid enough start over 7f this season so far, making all latest. He’s vulnerable to something. A bit more unexposed, but did go well on his sole big-field start. If he can get a clear run to the front, I'm hoping he can do his best work late here and hit the frame.
15:25 3:25 Ascot
Elements Of Fire
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@+1100
Lose
-50
An interesting race and setup here, with Elements Of Fire a potential sole pace setter. He’s top weight, which does concern, but he’s a distance dropper too, coming to a stiff track which could suit him well from the front. Four lengths behind the smart Remmooz on his sole turf start, giving away a 7 lb penalty, bodes well for this rising mark. Fourth in his last race has franked the form, which gives less concern for this 5 lb rise, although he sits as top weight and might be vulnerable late on if he doesn’t get an obvious freebie.
15:05 3:05 Chester
Maxi King
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionBest Odds Guaranteed SP 26.00 used instead of 19.00 takenBOG
@+2500
Win
100
Stayed on when last seen, and did well over a mile and 6f off a big weight at Doncaster over the longest trip he’s faced. This horse posted RPRs exceeding 103 on his last five starts dating back to November 2024 and runs here effectively off a mark of 93 with Moores' claim factored. That is enough to entice from one that is drawn on enough to get a good spot early. He’s up there on speed, so if they go a fairly sedate gallop, which can happen here and looks possible, I think he could be positioned well to show a late turn off the back if he can get the trip. It will be the first time he’s saddled anything less than 9st 1lb. He’s got a good first-time-out record, being 3/3 a place off bigger-than-121-day layoffs, and is 3/4 a place on Good going.
Subtotal105
06 May 2026
16:45 4:45 Chester
Pietro
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 8.50 on 06/05 at 11:120.10 deduction for Goldmoyne@7.00 withdrawn at 16:47R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 7.50 x (1-0.10) = 7.75
@+675
Win
8
Has a good ground record over 7f of 122, and this horse put up a career-best RPR on reappearance. He gets just a 2 lb hike for that, and while he’s not going to want to find himself too far back here, he should see this out well enough. Near enough on the premises in all 13 handicap starts, he’s entitled to step on for the run. With these handicappers split by just 5 lb, I thought it was interesting that he had a Victoria Cup entry. He very likely won’t get into that now, so I’m hoping he’s well revved up for this. Fans have had a solid 15/28 place strike rate with his horses at Chester since 2010, 3/4 (2 wins) at 7??"7.5f. A record of 1211 on the left-hand turning tracks of Epsom and Brighton bodes well for him taking to this track.
15:40 3:40 Chester
Watcha Snoop
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@+650
Lose
-50
Trappy 3yo handicap, but a chance taken on Watcha Snoop who has form lines linked with the fav through the division. He takes a drop in class for this handicap debut, having been pitched into some smart races as a 2yo. With a future entry at Chester, there must be a feeling he will handle the quirky track. He did just that, finishing 3rd in a Listed event here, and his progeny are 3/9 here, 2/5 at 6f, including the winner of this last year. He comes in highest on speed here and has stamina for further in the pedigree. If he can drag onto the coat-tails of the leaders in this, then I’d be hopeful he’s doing good work late. He’s been prominent in a quarter of his races, and that could be key to him seeing this out on Hugo Palmer’s home turf.
13:30 1:30 Chester
Final Appeal
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+650
Lose
-50
No fair standard set here, but to my eye Final Appeal looks a fair price. He made all to win at Wolverhampton last time, when 3L ahead of a horse that has subsequently finished closer behind a horse that posted an RPR of 100. Those figures look fairly standout in this, so I’m surprised he’s sitting at 13/2 for last year's winning trainer. Extra distance in his pedigree suggests he can do his best work late if they go a mad gallop, which looks likely.
Subtotal-92
04 May 2026
17:25 5:25 Beverley
Mandarin Spirit
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+2500
Lose
-50
Token gesture each-way chance on Mandarin Spirit off an opening mark of 82. She chased home Royal Fixation at Thirsk off level weights, who is now rated 111. When last seen she was 8th of 10 in the Rockfel. The horse in 9th that day has come out on her return and won the Fred Darling, whilst the horses in 2nd and 5th have come out to finish 2 of the top 6 places in the 1000 Guineas. Everything points to a mark of 86 being potentially generous, and with stamina in her pedigree she should have no problem with the extra furlong. She’s drawn well to make the most of a run style she seemingly prefers, assuming she goes forward. She’s done so to good effect on her two starts prior to her Rockfel 8th where she got nowhere near it. Hopefully stamina further back in her pedigree can give confidence that she can get the new trip from a forward spot, albeit she won’t have it all her own way up there.
14:50 2:50 Bath
Angel Shared
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@+550
Lose
-50
Ran well here in Listed company when last seen, and even better considering she got shuffled back and was waiting for room. She ran on powerfully, but it was all too much, too late. Back in calmer waters she’s towards the bottom of the weights in a smaller field, where she should have no such traffic problems. She was a neck behind a horse off levels that came out and finished a close fifth in a Group 3 at Newmarket this weekend. She will hopefully be closer to the pace this time, with Rubys Profit likely to go forward again, and she’s better off with that horse, who she beat last time. She’s got a previous win at the course to her name, so it’s interesting she’s sent back here back to back.
Subtotal-100
02 May 2026
15:35 3:35 Newmarket
Needle Match
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+1400
Lose
-50
It looks a fairly muddled Guineas with the favs spread across the track. Generally I’d want to be on or near the extremes here, and one I liked was Needle Match. He ran a decent race in the Greenham, and the way he finished suggests a horse that should appreciate the step up in trip. He was the fastest horse through the final furlong there, and that was despite some early keenness too. If he can show a sharper turn of foot at this new trip, I think he’s a player here and overall looked a nice price in a tricky 2000 Guineas.
1 member found this comment useful
14:55 2:55 Newmarket
Frost At Dawn
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+650
Lose
-50
Trappy Group sprint as ever, but Frost At Dawn appealed as one that has beaten Asfoora over a stiff 5f. She would have won with ease on her sole course start had she stayed on a true line, and still only just lost in a time faster than standard over 6f. She stumbled out of the stalls as well, which adds extra shine to the effort. Being drawn high could help her stay on a true line. Stamina for 6f could help her late too, as there will inevitably be no hiding place in this. 4/5 a place on GF. She doesn’t do a great deal of winning for her level of ability, but it could be her turn if she’s ready to rumble off a break. I’m happy to play with place insurance at the odds.
1 member found this comment useful
13:45 1:45 Newmarket
Brian
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+2800
Lose
-50
Double Rush is the obvious answer to this, but as a result he takes up most of the market and opens up something to hit the frame at a price. That could be Brian, who has shown up poorly on two starts this season but has fallen to a mark 2 lbs below his last win. He won here as a 2-yo on the July Course, and he was far better than his finishing position last time. He ran into trouble over and over again and was never really at full throttle. In a smaller field he shouldn’t have that bother, and whilst a lack of obvious pace is a concern, there should be enough of one to ensure the leaders don’t run away too far. His two wins have seen him more forward, so hopefully we will see a change in tactics here.
13:10 1:10 Newmarket
Rosy Affair
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@+550
Lose
-50
Has never been out of the frame over 6f in 9 starts at the trip, and with a 3/3 record in good-to-firm, she makes some appeal. She has a record of 1223 over course and distance, albeit in far less company than this. The last of those launched her into four runs at Listed level, finishing the season off with two wins. The last of those saw her beat 110-rated Daylight, giving 4 lbs away, so that alone entitles her to respect in this. A genuine lack of a front runner here means she could end up being one that takes them through the race, and with the right fractions those up front could prove hard to pass.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-200
01 May 2026
17:30 5:30 Ascot
Storm Star
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 13.00 used instead of 11.00 takenBOG
@+1200
Win
35
Alfie Redman’s 7 lbs off top-rated Storm Star interested me here. The horse is unexposed on turf, with a record of 2/2 and a place on good or better. His best effort came on this ground. He’s got something to find with Dosman on their most recent running, but in this race, which lacks any obvious pace, Storm Star could be ridden nicely and forward, where it could be hard to peg back the leaders. Down to his last winning mark, the added 7 could just be a gift. He takes a drop in class and is 3/4 a place at this level, whilst being 4/6 a place off breaks of less than 30 days. 7/10 a place on straight tracks, I’m hoping he has it in him to outclass these.
16:55 4:55 Ascot
Machadadorp
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+1400
Lose
-50
So Regal sets a fair standard in the hands of Ryan Moore, but the rest are a bit of a much of a muchness. I think it’s worth siding with the some newcomer who gets weight all round. The race has been won by newcomers getting weight in 2 of the 3 runnings, which intrigues. James Doyle takes the ride, and he’s got a solid record for Balding over the years, being 29/74 to place since 2013, with 17 of them winning. With 2- and 3-year-olds that record improves to 25/53, with 14 wins. She’ll have plenty of stamina for this stiff mile from her dam's side. It’s the first Mehmas filly to be trained by Balding, but he has trained plenty of colts and geldings, with a sound 38/83 place strike rate overall.
16:20 4:20 Ascot
Far Above The Law
Daily Racing
25 EWNAPNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 15.00 used instead of 13.00 takenBOG
@+1400
Win
420
A fairly wild big-field sprint handicap, and a chance taken here on Far Above The Law, who reappeared with a decent effort for his new trainer. 2/2 a place in fields of this size or bigger. He’s adept on a quick surface and is rarely beaten far whenever he’s faced it. His wins have come from leading, and while he might be hard-pressed to dominate this big field, there is a lack of an outright front-runner in this race. He’s drawn well next to a potential pace angle from a high draw, which I like. His last win came around a year ago off 3 lbs lower, and at his best he’s very well treated off 78. Probert is aboard, and he has a decent 12/33 place strike rate (6 wins) for this trainer in the last five years. The horse improved significantly from run 1 to 2 last year, winning his second start, so he could prove competitive if he does the same again here. He’s unexposed at the trip in handicap company, and an ability to get further could bode well here towards the bottom of the weights.
15:45 3:45 Ascot
La Botte
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+650
Lose
-50
Not much has gone right for La Botte so far this season, but he returns to the scene of his 2nd-place finish in the Britannia. This is the smallest field he’s faced, which could be beneficial for him, as there shouldn’t be as far to come if the usual hold-up tactics are employed. He flew home on seasonal debut when miles back and swung so wide into the straight he might have won had he been ridden a bit more for luck. The Lincoln was forgettable, but he got a bit lost there and actually didn’t finish that far back despite a 14/21 to his name. With a Group 1 entry in the offing, there is clearly thought that he could rate far higher than his rating of 104, and he needs to improve rapidly to even get involved in this smart-looking Listed race. That said, you can pick holes in all of them. Whilst a lack of obvious pace is a concern, with the stalls on the far side and being drawn highest I’d hope Spencer can keep him out of trouble and at least get a clear sight of things.
15:10 3:10 Ascot
Ardisia
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+1600
Lose
-50
Trip excuses the last twice over a mile and then 7f. This horse ran a decent race over course and distance in a time half a second slower than standard on good ground. He was bang there at the furlong marker last time before fading to 7th in the Greenham, so the step back in trip is sure to suit. His proven effort over this stiff 6 looks even better considering he was a touch outpaced but stayed on really strongly late on. He’s perhaps got something to find with the best of these, but is 5/5 a place at the trip (3 wins), while being 6/8 a place in fields of 11 or less. He’s got a 3/3 a place record off short layoffs of less than 14 days too, and is 1/1 under Probert.
14:35 2:35 Ascot
Ascending
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+1400
Lose
-50
Sweet William will probably be the rightful favourite on ratings, but he is from 3 on reappearance, so can be taken on. The alternatives don’t leap off the page, so it was Ascending that I thought was worth a chance. He’ll need a career best in this company, but arguably his second behind Ethical Diamond is up there with some of the best form on offer, which pushes me to ignore his lowly rating. A winner on reappearance in 2025, he went on to run two big races on quick ground before finishing sixth in the Irish Champion Stakes off a big weight. 642112 on good or better, he’s 4/7 a place at the trip, 3/4 a place off breaks longer than 125 days, 5/9 a place going right-handed and is 3 wins out of 4 with Billy Lee aboard. He’s vulnerable to something a bit more unexposed perhaps, but I think there’s a fair case he can hit the frame; albeit he’ll need a career best to win.
Subtotal255
25 April 2026
15:30 3:30 Sandown
Road To Home
Daily Racing
25 EWNAPNOTETip made at odds of 10.00 on 24/04 at 21:420.20 deduction for Montregard@4.33 withdrawn at 13:010.00 deduction for Certainly Red @41.000 withdrawn at 13:370.00 deduction for Invincible Nao @34.000 withdrawn at 14:41R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 9.00 x (1-0.2) = 8.20
@+719
Win
11
Kim Roque and The Enabler have done enough for the Kim Muir form to think Ask Brewster and Road To Home can go well here. They’re on similar terms, but I just wonder if Road To Home, over a slightly less stamina-sapping track, can come out on top this time round. He looked the winner all over before getting headed late, but he’s a lot more unexposed at this staying trip than his reopposing rival. Patrick Mullins will want some redemption, and he’s 3/4 of a place on board. He rarely runs horses below 11st 1lb, with just two runs below that weight since 2009 yielding two places, including a win.
1 member found this comment useful
14:00 2:00 Haydock
Sedeirah
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+1400
Lose
-50
I don’t quite fancy the top horse here, giving 7 lbs to these. I think Sedeirah looks stoutly bred enough to be competitive on debut as a result. Out of a Group 1-placed mare from an interesting family, Bethell hasn’t been shy about his horse needing the run, but he’s in a fair lick of form with 11 placed from his last 21. With 3 places in this 8-runner, 14/1 about his horse interested me enough for a play in the dark.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-39
18 April 2026
16:55 4:55 Newbury
Royale Goodnight
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@+1100
Lose
-50
Switches from the Kublers to Harry Charlton, who has a fair 13/36 place strike rate with horses switched to the yard in the last five years. His sole run on turf is one to forget, but his last effort at Southwell under a penalty suggests a potentially well-handicapped horse off a mark of 77. He was giving 6 lbs to a now 80-rated horse there over slightly further than this. The horse behind him won recently (on its next start), and the horse last in that race followed with a win as well. Some better ground looks fine, with a look back through his dam's side, whilst her half-brother acted on a sounder surface. She gets a first-time hood, which is a potential concern, but for one that looks guaranteed to get the trip she’s got a nice low weight in this field, and I think she can go well.
1 member found this comment useful
15:10 3:10 Newbury
Hot Cash
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+4000
Lose
-50
More in hope than expectation, but drawn close to Jimmy Speaking, who looks a some pace angle could drag this horse into early contention. He’s got a feather weight courtesy of Dawes’ claim. If he can get out in terms of position, he can be doing his best work late at a more suitable trip for him. He doesn’t look too badly handicapped back to his winning mark, and adding that 5 lb claim he should be ahead of it. It might not be as much as some of these, but with trouble in running likely in this big-field scenario, I’d hope a nice prominent spot will at least give you a run for your money. Similarly, he may well just be outclassed by something a bit more unexposed, but the market seems to have found all of them.
1 member found this comment useful
14:00 2:00 Newbury
Gonna Fly
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+1600
Lose
-50
Put up a better RPR (95) than any of these managed in debut. That was over a mile here, and he showed a very smart turn of foot to win with relative ease for all he didn’t beat much. It was also on soft ground, so there are plenty of unknowns about this, but I’d have no concerns there even if this is a fact finding message on where to send him next. He won as he liked really, so whilst this is clearly a new level, and some standard is set by Zavateri, he’s entitled to take his chance given that debut effort. I’d be hopefully we see this run at a fair clip with a three way go for the lead bringing in this horse potential stamina reserves.
1 member found this comment useful
13:25 1:25 Newbury
Zaravina
Daily Racing
25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@+1800
Void
0
The fav takes up so much of this market that almost every horse has an EW opportunity at the very least. One that ties into the fav is Zaravina, who ran on well to finish just behind Rose Ghaiyyath. That horse finished 2nd subsequently in the May Hill, just behind 108-rated Aylin, and in doing so beat Moon Target by a couple of lengths. Moon Target then beat today’s fav in her next race. So on balance, to me this price looked way too big to ignore. She’s got a couple of smart horses in the family in Vadamos (120) and Voldango (108 RPR). James Doyle is a fairly rare booking for the trainer; he is 6/10 to place over 7f (4 wins) since 2009.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-150
17 April 2026
17:25 5:25 Newbury
Change Sings
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+750
Lose
-50
2 lbs lower than when second in this last year. He reappeared with a solid effort, and considering how much he improved from run 1 to 2 in 2024, I think you can expect better here, as he has taken the same exact route and same position as he did last year. Two runs and two places at the track. He is drawn on the high side, which might not be ideal, but the overall lack of pace in the race could prove in his favour late on given his relatively light weight. 5/5 a place at this level (13223). He should run his race, and it’s a big plus seeing this jockey aboard, as he is the only jockey that has won on him, being 6/10 a place, with 5 of those being wins.
16:55 4:55 Newbury
Astrazar
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@+1200
Lose
-50
Shaman Champion and Astrazar look interestingly treated of those at prices, but with Walker having 8 places from his last 12 I’m minded to chance the latter. With his last run being well advertised, you can upgrade that effort further. He missed the kick and had traffic to contend with, and had a torrid passage late on. Strong at the finish, having weaved through the field from a detached position at a track where it can pay to be prominent, he just looks too good to ignore off this opening mark of 86, given the horse he beat there into 2nd was just 3 lbs higher and is rated 98. Two from two at 7f, he’s proven himself to be adept in big fields, and is 1/1 saddling 9st or less.
15:42 3:42 Newbury
Alfaraz
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+900
Lose
-50
A competitive novice, but a small chance on Alfaraz to take to this step up in trip. His grandmother produced a couple of horses that stayed this far, and further back in his lineage you find Santiago. Her sire was Doyen, so that’s an obvious stamina influence. He’s faced two unconventional tracks in Goodwood and Epsom so far, losing both times by a similar distance. He looked far better on debut, rather cantering into it from the rear without ever looking like he was going to pass. On that evidence he could prove interesting in a bigger field scenario where he’s likely to get a bit of cover, as he tried to make all at Epsom subsequently and never really looked like he wanted to be up front. He could be up against it with two smart-looking market leaders, but looks worth his chance with some high-profile entries in the offing.
Subtotal-150
16 April 2026
17:20 5:20 Newmarket
Crimson Spirit
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@+1600
Win
55
Reappeared last year with a decent big-field 3rd, after which he went on a three-race winning run. Just 4 lbs above that last winning mark, he did go well off 2 lbs higher at Musselburgh, suggesting that he is capable off this sort of mark. He’s shown an ability to get slightly further than this, so assuming they go hard enough the added stamina could come into play. This 9 st 2 lbs is actually his lowest weight carried in 17 runs so far, which is of interest to me for one that fares better over further. The Kyblers are on fire, with 17 places from their last 23, 7 of those winning. The horse’s best efforts have been when bouncing out and being up with the pace, though with four pace horses drawn alongside each other in the middle that could be hard to do. I’m hoping that plays into this horse’s added stamina reserves, with the lower weight carry than he’s used to helping him late on. The jockey is 2/2 a place for the trainers.
15:10 3:10 Ripon
Empress Olivia
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+550
Win
275
With the jockey claim, this filly is 3 lb lower than her mark of 66, which she ran off last time. She got a 2 lb rise for that peak RPR in a lower-class race. Shoved up in class, she’ll be off an absolute feather weight in a race that lacks many other front runners. She’s well drawn to make all here on the win, so if she can break smart under this claim, I’d hope she’s hard to catch. 2/3 a place on good. A CD winner, she is top in speed, and the jockey is 2 from 4 for the trainer here.
15:00 3:00 Newmarket
Elmonjed
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+1400
Lose
-50
Time For Sandals could be too good for all of them back in class, so is not taken on lightly but will hopefully need the run. The one I thought could take some sort of step forward was Elmonjed. He’s far from spectacular, but notably Marquand is on here and is 3/3 on board. He’s 3/4 on good ground, and was a fairly cosy winner of a Listed race at York when last seen. He’ll need to reproduce that, although he tends to run his race, and with a G2 entry in the offing he’s clearly considered better than this level. The headgear comes off, which I don’t think is an absolute negative, although an entry at York concerns me as this could just be a prep for that given his solid record there is 3 from 5.
13:50 1:50 Newmarket
Albaydaa
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionBest Odds Guaranteed SP 9.50 used instead of 7.50 takenBOG
@+850
Win
17
Only one horse from the last nine renewals has won off a higher mark than 89, which is a crude but effective way to cut down this sizeable 3yo handicap. Albaydaa ended up intriguing enough for a small play from the bottom of the weights. A horse she beat when last seen has done plenty for that form, most recently finishing third in a Group 3. An opening mark of 83 on that form looks more than fair against the smart Almeraq. I think she’ll be more forward than the forecast pace maps suggest, and the ability to get further can help her late on off this relatively light weight. Drawn alongside the face with a pace angle on her inside, hopefully she’ll be dragged into the frame and stick on up the rising ground. Saffie is 2/2 for a place for Haggas in the last year, winning one.
Subtotal297
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