JackpotRod
I'll get you an odds on shots beaten, but also give you some long odds winners with hopefully some insightful reasoning to help you to decide whether to follow me in or not. Back all my own selections with my own cash.
2
Estimated Prizes
this month
£30
Estimated Prize money
this month
JackpotRod's Tips History
14 October 2025
16:55 4:55 Market Rasen
Indiza
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@8.50
Lose
-50
Related to some interesting flat performers, being a half-brother to horses around the 100 mark. His dam is also a half-sister to Arrest and Detain to add further depth to this horse's profile. The trainer has been in fair form, with 13/28 placed this season, with 4 winners from 10 runners in October. He hasn’t had a bumper winner for a while, but there’s just enough in this horse's pedigree to suggest he could be a decent sort and capable of winning this.
Subtotal-50
11 October 2025
15:40 3:40 Newmarket
Fireblade
Daily Racing
25 EW
@41.00
Lose
-50
Ran a good race off a big weight last time, when strong at the line, and he’s done that a number of times previously too. So he could appreciate this lesser weight carry. He’s a lb well in off that career best last time, and he could be granted a nice forward spot here with a lack of an out-and-out front runner in the field. The way he knuckled down last time has just left an impression on me, even if he may be from an unlikely source for a winner in a race like this. His best efforts have been right-handed (6/9 a place) and on a galloping track (9/12 a place), so I think he could be sneaking in here at a nice price with something in his favor.
3 members found this comment useful
15:15 3:15 York
Gleneagle Bay
Daily Racing
25 EW
@11.00
Lose
-50
The argument for the favorite Binhareer looks sound, but at 6/1 he can be passed over in a race like this. Glenagle Bay intrigues enough, being fairly lightly raced but running well in good races in Ireland. Dropping to 6f, he should appreciate a fair gallop, and with a 2/3 way go for the lead, we should get a good honest pace. He looks to have the speed to stay in touch and isn’t drawn too high. Better ground should be fine, and a look through his form shows he looks well handicapped enough to be involved late on if it becomes a stamina test.
2 members found this comment useful
14:45 2:45 Chepstow
The Boola Boss
Daily Racing
25 EW
@13.00
Lose
-50
Fairly trappy, but an open market here. Whilst Neon Moon always entices me and I think Hoe Joky Smoke can go well, it was The Boola Boss that looked a nice price. A CD winner beating a now 139-rated horse getting 10 lbs suggests a mark of 120 is well within scope for this 9-year-old, especially given how well he ran last time. He has a decent record of 2111 when running over this trip or just shy on good ground. So whilst many might be hoping it’s a bit softer than the current forecast Gf, it could be up his street. A prominent runner that has made all in the past, he could be afforded a soft lead here. Nudged up in class, he’s got a nice low weight with Bowen in the saddle, so lots of positives for him and I think he’s overpriced.
1 member found this comment useful
14:05 2:05 York
Champagne Prince
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 10.00 on 11/10 at 08:050.10 deduction for Albany@8.00 withdrawn at 09:49R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 9.00 x (1-0.10) = 9.10
@9.10
Win
15
Best efforts by far in 2023 have been just north of this trip, so dropping a couple of furlongs looks a good move for this horse, albeit they were both in the AW. One of those was beating the smart Eydon at Southwell, whilst also finishing a solid 4th in a Group 3 over the same course and distance. It does mark a clear difference between his AW form where he holds a rating of 105, and his turf form being 0/9 and 10 lbs lower. Back in class 1 company on turf last time, he was far from disgraced though, so with the right setup he should just be capable of being competitive off this mark despite remaining on turf. 4/5 in races from October through to December, it’s interesting they’re having one last throw at the turf before a likely AW winter campaign. He’s drawn well in 4 to get a good jump, and perhaps follow Grey Cuban with whom he gets a 10 lb weight pull from last time.
2 members found this comment useful
Subtotal-135
10 October 2025
16:10 4:10 Newmarket
Wadooda
Daily Racing
25 EW
@8.50
Win
12
From a smart family, related to the likes of Benbatl, Elmalka, Salaal, Fooraat and Modaara, who are all 105+ horses, this filly goes for Owen Burrows who is 1/2 with first time up 2yo’s here in the last 5 years, whilst also being 7/20 in the last year overall. If Mubasimah wins earlier in the card then clearly you’d have to be wary of Act Of Kindness, although you can be wary on her lofty price tag alone. It looks ripe for a newcomer though, and whilst there’s plenty to choose from, Wadooda looks to fit the bill for notable connections to at least hit the frame.
14:57 2:57 Newmarket
Queen Of Hawaii
Daily Racing
25 EWNAPR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@10.00
Void
0
A fairly trappy Fillies' Mile, but on balance, I felt Queen Of Hawaii was overpriced enough for a go. Running lines through her two wins has her well in the frame among the best of these, with her last win beating directly against Moments Of Joy, who had previously chased home Humidity by a similar distance. She ran really well against Bow Echo recently with my money on in the Royal Lodge, so there looks to be substance to the form. She was well on top at the line and knuckled down well late on, so assuming she handles the dip, I think she could be doing good work late here from what is generally a good draw if she can get some daylight.
1 member found this comment useful
13:30 1:30 York
Billyjoh
Daily Racing
25 EW
@13.00
Lose
-50
Has been running well in competitive big field handicaps all year, and is tried up in trip here which isn’t obvious on breeding, but he’s shaped like he’ll appreciate the step up. His latest effort has been franked of sorts by the horses in and around him, and whilst a lack of pace in the race may not suit his hold-up style, if he finishes the way he has been doing, then I’d hope he’s doing some good enough work late to latch onto the pace and stay. He could get swamped in his draw, which is a worry, but positives are he’s 3 from 7 left-handed, and Alistair Rawlinson knows how to get the best out of him.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-38
09 October 2025
15:25 3:25 Ayr
Station X
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@9.00
Lose
-50
Back on heavy going, I’m going to chance Station X again to hit the frame. Disappointed on his last two starts, but takes a drop in class here and is back to a track suitable to his front-running style. The race lacks an out-and-out leader other than him, so hopefully, the ground can stop anything from coming off the pace here. Just 2 lbs above his last winning mark now, and just 4th time up for the season. Hopefully, this has been a bit of a target of sorts as he was off a 3-month break at Ripon last time, so is entitled to come on for it.
14:30 2:30 Bath
Aequitas
Daily Racing
25 EW
@15.00
Lose
-50
Term Of Endearment takes up most of the market, and perhaps with good reason, stepping back in grade here. It does give the race a nice each-way shape though, and something suitably unexposed could make an impression. So I’ll chance one in Aequitas. She beat Tiernan on debut, who had previously chased home Nahraan and Arabian Force, with the former not beaten far by the Arc winner prior to that. She won that impressively, pretty much hard held and travelling strongly to the line. Whilst she won a substandard novice after that, she did so as she liked, and could have won by half the straight if the jockey was minded to send her earlier. She looks well worth a crack up in class on that evidence, and assuming she handles the bigger field and the track, she could be lurking at a nice price.
Subtotal-100
08 October 2025
18:10 6:10 Kempton
Titanck
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@10.00
Lose
-50
Hard to judge here as he hasn’t run over 6f yet, but he’s pulled his face off over further on his last two starts, so it’s well worth exploring. His mark looks more than fair given he chased home the fairly smart Oceans Four on his 2nd start, and his most recent run has seen multiple horses come out and frank the form with credit. He was 5/2f there, and given he pulled hard over a mile in soft ground, I think back in trip he can be let go a bit to see what he can do in a race that lacks obvious pace.
1 member found this comment useful
13:58 1:58 Nottingham
Rodoya
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@29.00
Lose
-50
Outsider of the lot, but on French form looks well handicapped to me whilst also getting a fillies allowance. She beat Janah last time, who had previously chased home Sedano, who subsequently finished 4th in a German Group 3 in and around horses posting decent RPRs, and the winner was competitive in the German Derby. On that alone, it’s hard to have her as an outsider, but she also chased home Benamira when proving her stamina for this trip, and that horse has been competitive in Listed company since to add a bit of depth to the form and suggestion that an adjusted mark of 78 should prove to be within scope. Sexton could be best advised to take her forward with proven stamina for the trip, but the risk is she is held up in a race that lacks pace, but her price more than makes up for that.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-100
05 October 2025
16:25 4:25 Longchamp
Godspeed
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@26.00
Lose
-50
The front three in the market probably look about right, but in a generally open division, I think there could be something in there worth a swing at. At the prices, I thought Godspeed might be that horse. Fourth behind subsequent dual Group 1 winner Fallen Angel when last seen off a two-month break, she flew home when in rear behind Zarigana in the 2024 Prix De La Grotte. She’s got the speed to go with these, and if she does, then she’s got the stamina to see out a fast run 7. Whilst she needs extra, she’s going the right way, and I think this could be run at a fair clip and just be set up for one like her.
1 member found this comment useful
15:50 3:50 Longchamp
Qilin Queen
Daily Racing
25 EW
@34.00
Lose
-50
If all of these were running at their optimum in trip, I think Qilin Queen is almost certainly outclassed. But as it is, I like the drop in trip for her to get competitive at a price. She might be struggling to get to the front from her draw here, which does scupper her to a degree, but I’m happy to overlook that. She won in a decent time here over a mile 5, and Rabbits Foot has done at least something for that form. She’s hit and miss as she’s flopped a couple of times either side of that, both forgivable in a way, certainly Epsom as you can forgive any horse a flop there. In a race not teeming with front runners, she could be given a free go at it, or at the very least get a good prominent position around Barnavara and one or two others. If she does, hopefully the forward goers can be falling into the laps of some of them whilst she’s still using her added stamina to gallop on and fend off any of the classier types on paper.
1 member found this comment useful
15:05 3:05 Longchamp
Arrow Eagle
Daily Racing
25 EW
@101.00
Lose
-50
It’s a wild one, but I couldn’t stay away from the tender handling this horse had when beaten off in the Prix Foy. He was off a fair break there, so you can forgive him for needing the run. Given that break, he wasn’t beaten far. Maybe he just had nothing left, but not to my eye, and you have to assume that was a setup for a crack at this, and his trainer has spoken as such. Of course, the same can be said for many of them, so you can take that as you will. I just think his prior form in beating the smart Sibayan has him completely disrespected at this price. He should appreciate a sounder gallop, which could negate his wide draw. He may well just not be good enough, but given the horses he’s finished in and around this year, his price just looks too big to ignore. I could make cases for almost every horse in truth, and the 3-year-old fillies could lead them home, but strange things happen in this race, and I think it’s worth a punt they could happen again.
1 member found this comment useful
13:50 1:50 Longchamp
Sky Majesty
Daily Racing
25 EW
@15.00
Lose
-50
A wild race as ever, with cases to be made throughout the field. The most intriguing one for me ended up being Sky Majesty, who steps back to 5f for the first time, which is something I’m always a fan of. High draws can prove a negative in this, although it’s not unheard of for it to be won from something high. With the number of horses that get stuck in behind here from mid to low draws over the years, I’d rather have one that can get a clear run. If this horse can break well and go the gallop over shorter, then I think she could prove a bit of a springer here. The way she races, I’d imagine it was the plan to drop her in trip, and it’s interesting they’ve done so in a race like this. If Marquand can just ride her with the choke out, hopefully she can contest the lead and prove gritty under his drive. It’s hope more than expectation perhaps in a race like this, especially with a 2yo getting a stone thrown in.
1 member found this comment useful
12:40 12:40 Longchamp
Esna
Daily Racing
25 EW
@29.00
Lose
-50
This looks fairly wide open, and I’ll take a chance on Esna, who chased home a horse that chased home a recent Group 2 winner. You can tie her form in with the favorite here, who beat Sukanya last time. That horse subsequently flopped at Newmarket behind Zanthos, who is the aforementioned horse that this horse ties into, having been beaten by Deedaydiva on debut, who had been beaten a few lengths by Zanthos on her own debut. It’s some loose tie-ins, but tie-ins all the same, and as a result, she’s a decent price.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-250
04 October 2025
16:35 4:35 Longchamp
Rashabar
Daily Racing
25 EW
@9.50
Lose
-50
Has run well in defeat consistently as a three-year-old, chasing home a number of smart horses. He led on his first start over further and managed to stick there largely, albeit beaten a length. Ran well again subsequently on a different surface, so he won’t mind what the ground does, and actually, that form ties him closely in with the current favorite as he just beat a horse that the favorite lost to afterwards. That alone has this horse too big, for all he’s clearly a bit tough to win with. That said, he’s got Marquand on for the first time since his debut, and if anyone can get him home under a drive, it’s him. Hopefully, today can be his much overdue day in the sun.
1 member found this comment useful
15:35 3:35 Ascot
Mirabeau
Daily Racing
25 EW
@12.00
Lose
-50
I’m minded to give Mirabeau another chance here. Closely tied in with some of these off the back of last time, he ran a bit cold but actually stayed on when hampered late on. I think he’ll be more suited back here, and in particular, the ground can bring him closer to those that beat him, with both of his wins coming on soft ground. With additional stamina in the pedigree, he should be staying further, and whilst two ventures up in trip haven’t proved fruitful, he certainly has proved that he is effective over track and trip. Whilst that might still give him a bit to find, hopefully, the ground is a bit of a leveller, and the fact he’s off a lesser weight carry, so hopefully, that can see him home a bit better.
1 member found this comment useful
13:50 1:50 Ascot
Kassaya
Daily Racing
25 EW
@19.00
Lose
-50
A competitive event, but a chance taken here on Kassaya who went off favourite for the Queen Mary. She was near enough last entering the final furlong there before running on late having been hampered, so it was eye catching enough. She was outpaced early at Sandown since but found a solid turn of foot to win, and is actually on better terms here than she was that day with Getreadytorumble, but she was well on top on the line there so I don’t see why she’d be a bigger price here. Two ventures up to 6f didn’t work out after that, and whilst she had no obvious excuses last time at York, I do think back to 5f should suit here, so perhaps she just isn’t ready for further. In an open race, she’s a big price on balance.
1 member found this comment useful
13:15 1:15 Ascot
Dash Of Azure
Daily Racing
25 EWNAPNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@23.00
Win
85
A fairly wild big field Listed event, and a chance here taken on this one who chased home 5/1 shot Cajole in the Sandringham. This filly got no sort of run there, and was a bit keen as well, so it was perhaps all the more impressive that she got herself out of trouble when running into beaten horses. I don’t think she was fully reached for in truth, and whilst she’s been poor twice since, her last effort was mightily impressive. Switched off in rear, she had almost the whole field to make up 3f out, and do that she did, weaving through the field as if she had plenty more to give. She’ll need to have to win this, but all told I think this bunch are closer together than the ratings suggest. The rain around will do her no harm based on last time. With stamina to burn in her pedigree, she’ll hopefully be doing her best work late here and I like that Greatrex has retained the ride.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-65
03 October 2025
16:40 4:40 Ascot
Sea Baaeed
Daily Racing
25 EWNAPNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@11.00
Win
25
Could prove interesting over this stiff 6m, for all he needs to improve. Two starts ago, he finished just behind a now 96-rated horse giving weight, albeit the 2nd hasn’t done much for the form. He’s unexposed on the surface, but interestingly that peak RPR came on Good ground, and his only other run on Good was a fair effort in a conditions race against better horses than this mark. That points me towards some improvement with plenty of rain around, and whilst 6f might not be ideal, this should be run hard enough to make this hard to get, so I’d not have too many worries at the trip if this does prove to be a stamina test. It does lack pace, and he’ll hopefully be one to force it. Trainer bang in form, albeit he has just 2 winners from 68 here, which surprises.
16:05 4:05 Ascot
Defiantly
Daily Racing
25 EW
@19.00
Lose
-50
Needs to find plenty of improvement to mix it with the top of these on ratings, but I think you can grab Arabian Force trying the trip for the first time. All his form is standout. His rating speaks to that, but otherwise, this horse has to find 5 lbs to be competitive, which isn’t all that much. So going against one horse with blowout potential is good enough for me. This horse stepped up in trip last time, and having been settled in rear and outpaced, he ran on eye-catchingly in the final half furlong when seemingly beaten heading into the straight. An entry over 2m hints to the horse having some additional stamina reserves, so if ridden with a bit more encouragement over this trip at a track that is tough to get, I think he could outrun his odds here.
Subtotal-25
02 October 2025
17:10 5:10 Nottingham
Orangesandlemons
Daily Racing
25 EWNAPNOTETip made at odds of 23.00 on 02/10 at 09:280.10 deduction for Zapphire@8.00 withdrawn at 17:150.10 deduction for Spirit Genie @8.500 withdrawn at 17:15R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 22.00 x (1-0.2) = 18.60
@18.60
Win
528
Pushed up in class here, this fully benefits from dropping 2 lbs, getting Warren Fentiman's 5 lbs, as well as having a weight for age allowance. That could just have her rightly outclassed having never run higher than a class 4, but she’s off a featherweight and brings a record of 212 at a mile. The surface looks ideal with her best work coming with soft in the going, and Ed Bethell has a solid 9 from 33 here in the last 5 years (+7 places). All efforts over a mile have seen her forward, and drawn alongside pace here can hopefully see her get dragged into contention early with a high draw that can hopefully keep her out of trouble.
16:20 4:20 Salisbury
Dr Strangelove
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 26.00 used instead of 19.00 takenBOG
@26.00
Win
750
Largely written off after never being involved at Kempton last time on his first try in handicaps, he handled this track well prior to that, doing solid work late on to be denied on the line. An overall lack of pace should prevent him from being detached again as he was at Kempton, and given he was giving 12 lbs to the winner at Salisbury, who is now rated just 1 lb below this mark, you’d have to think some improvement could be incoming for the switch back to turf and the drop in class. If he can get himself out of trouble early from stall 4, hopefully he’ll be involved in the shake-up against lesser types here.
Subtotal1278
30 September 2025
16:30 4:30 Ayr
Veydari
Daily Racing
37 EWNAPNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@12.00
Win
45
Need to forgive a poor run back to 5f last time, but this horse was in fair order before that, and his only previous effort on quick ground was a 13th of 16. His sole run came on soft, so that’s a plus on a return to this surface. He posted a career-best RPR at York two starts ago and sits 2 lbs lower than that now, so if he can put last time behind him, he should be competitive. Pace-wise, he’s been competitive over further, so the drop back in trip last time never really looked logical. His best efforts have been when leading, and this is open to that with a lack of otherwise obvious pace.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal45
28 September 2025
18:45 6:45 Newcastle
Grand Traverse
Daily Racing
25 EW
@12.00
Lose
-50
A competitive affair, with some claiming jockeys thrown in to bring these fairly close together. There’s not a huge amount of pace in the race though, and with plenty of these wanting to come from off it I was minded to see if something could sneak away. That something could be Grand Traverse who brings a 112 record on the AW to the party and can race off the front end. It will be a fine balancing act, but if judged right I’d hope he’s in the first four at least.
15:55 3:55 Newcastle
Jujubella
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@13.00
Lose
-50
Takes a big drop in class here but finds herself at the bottom of the handicap, which is something I always like to see. She’s competed in decent handicaps the last twice, and she’s a consistent filly that has plenty of decent course form to her name, including a course and distance win. A lack of pace makes this a bit muddling as she’d probably prefer a solid pace to aim at, although she has been ridden forward before so could be best suited to try and stretch the stamina of these as she does stay further. In an open race I think she rates a nice price.
Subtotal-100
27 September 2025
17:55 5:55 Newmarket
Humam
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionBest Odds Guaranteed SP 29.00 used instead of 21.00 takenBOG
@29.00
Win
115
Won on his last run over 7f, and his last run has worked out well given the horses in and around him have either won or placed since in competitive races at Ayr. Whilst still 6lbs above his last winning mark, he lost a lb for that effort which has been franked so could be edging towards a competitive mark, whilst he also has a kinder weight carry this time round in a slightly harder race. He could be one of not many horses afforded an easy lead here, and has made all over this trip before.
16:15 4:15 Newmarket
Dictal
Daily Racing
50 WINR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@9.50
Void
0
Bella Lyra has these on the stretch handicap-wise, and she beat Dictal on debut, this horse's debut run. She’d had the benefit of a run though, and the pair met there off level weights, and meet today with the selection in receipt of over a stone in weight. This horse also beat a couple of these last time and is actually better off at the weights with one of them as well. A mark of 80 looks to underestimate her on the back of her latest effort, assuming she can transfer that heavy ground effort back onto faster ground. She was well beaten, but the winner and 2nd have done plenty for the form.
1 member found this comment useful
15:40 3:40 Newmarket
Real Gain
Daily Racing
25 EW
@12.00
Lose
-50
More than solid effort off a big break last time, and assuming he doesn’t bounce, he can step on for that. A course and distance winner on drying ground and an untouched mark, he’s got blowout potential having done so a few times. So you need to be forgiving, but if he can step forward from his return, he’s drawn well to capitalize towards the bottom of the weights. He should get a fair crack at the tail from a high draw, and if he can grab it, I think he can give a good account of himself here.
1 member found this comment useful
15:25 3:25 Ripon
Station X
Daily Racing
25 EW
@13.00
Lose
-50
Nudged up in class and against elders, this entire might not get his own way in front here, but I’d be hopeful that the fact he’s a full brother to a smart 7f winner would mean he can stay a bit further than this. It’s the first time he’s saddled under 9st, so for one looking to burn them off, that could pay dividends late on at a track that should suit his strengths. Freshened up here, he went well fresh first time up for the season, and whilst drying ground is a negative, it shouldn’t dry too much. He wasn’t far behind a now 96 rated horse last time off level weights, so judged on that, he shouldn’t have been losing 2lbs for that effort.
13:50 1:50 Newmarket
Humidity
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@7.50
Lose
-50
Stepped forward for a career-best last time despite not finding enough to win. Humidity steps up in trip here with plenty of promise for more. A solid winner of the Chesham, a mile should be up his street, and with a soft lead in the offing if he wants it, he could sneak this from the front as we’ve seen plenty of times already here. Dangers abound, but he looks a fair price at 13/2 or bigger.
Subtotal-35
26 September 2025
15:00 3:00 Newmarket
Victory Dance
Daily Racing
25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@51.00
Void
0
Zeus Olympios seemingly won in a good time last time, but if you take the fact that Checkandchallenge did little for the form since, I think you can strike a line through a few of these out of that race, for all the former could prove a solid proposition anyway. That only leaves four, and two are Godolphin’s that bookend the market. In a small field, I felt Victory Dance was worth a small interest on his return from a lengthy absence. It’s a fairly punchy first outing, and whilst not the choice of Buick, he’s hardly going to desert a 3yo who has just posted a career best. He’s a solid proposition indeed and will take all the beating, but overall, on his first try at a mile, I couldn’t help but have this horse overpriced. He copes with the track, but the biggest pointer is Appleby’s 25/49 strike rate with first-time geldings in the last 2 years. It’s a stretch, but on that alone, I think he’s a big price.
1 member found this comment useful
14:25 2:25 Newmarket
Sukanya
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@19.00
Lose
-50
Touleen stood out to me as being solid here, but clearly the market agrees. So I think in an open race otherwise, Sukanya is tempting with Marquand taking the ride. She’s got better form than her price, in particular having Kilashee Warrior a couple of lengths behind last time, who previously finished a similar distance behind Smexy. That horse was beaten well by a 108-rated Composing, but it's still some fair form for this level and perhaps a tad underrated at the odds available. On the same line, she wasn’t far behind Precise at Goodwood, who went on to win the Group 1 Molyglare having Composing in behind, which adds further substance to her claims. She’s vulnerable to something more exposed but looks solid enough at the odds.
1 member found this comment useful
13:15 1:15 Newmarket
Troia
Daily Racing
25 EW
@19.00
Lose
-50
This looks like an open event, being 7/2 the field, and I think a chance can be taken on Troia returning here, having placed 4th in the Oh So Sharp Stakes over 7f as a 2yo. Strong at the finish, 7f was plainly too short as she got outpaced in last at the 3f marker before fighting on up the rising ground. Now Ed Walker is mob-handed here with 3 going to post, and this one seemingly isn’t the pick on jockey bookings, but this horse was a gritty winner of the Prix Volterra with a horse in behind that acquitted herself similarly in a French Group 3 since. So it could mark her as being slightly better than a listed horse if she can get things right. I think the track could play to her strengths if she can go the pace, which could be a bit more frenetic than forecast given it’s a fairly big field for the type of race. She had no obvious excuses on her latest run, which was far from a disgrace but might mean she’s not quite up to this for all it’s open, but I think the price compensates for the risk.
Subtotal-100
24 September 2025
15:35 3:35 Goodwood
High Stock
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@9.00
Lose
-50
High Stock travelled like a smart horse on debut and followed up that effort getting touched off by Mount Kilimanjaro in the Dee Stakes. He travelled sweetly there as well, having sat in the stalls, and barring that early mistake, he might have won that race late on if he had that bit extra in the tank. That’s not a race that’s worked out particularly well at all, so it’s a risk in that sense, and a 12th from 12 at Ascot doesn’t bode well either, but I’ll forgive any horse a poor run on Ascot’s round course. Perhaps the quick ground did him in there in a race dominated from the front, and whilst the soft ground is anyone’s guess, his smart grandmother did win on heavy, and a sibling on soft, so it could be a genuine source of improvement. He might just not be good enough to mix it with horses in the 110+ category, and he’s probably a bit on the short side, but I’m hoping that price suggests we might see a different horse than we saw last time, and getting a weight for age allowance here adds to his case to hit the frame.
15:00 3:00 Goodwood
Epictetus
Daily Racing
25 EW
@21.00
Win
75
Could be on for a hiding with this one, but he’s priced as such in a race that lacks pace. That could see him more forward than he’s been on his most recent starts, which have been poor. A former Group 3 winner here, he could appreciate the return to a sharper track, being 2 from 4 on them. Blinkers replace cheekpieces in the hope of finding something, and despite his poor efforts since moving to Osborne, that has resulted in his mark tumbling to a tempting 91. If he can match anything near his two course efforts, then he’s a tasty price despite taking a lot of forgiving.
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14:25 2:25 Goodwood
Knightsail
Daily Racing
25 EW
@17.00
Lose
-50
Menuisier hasn’t had the best of seasons, but he’s got a fair 10/24 place strike rate with first-time out 2-year-olds in the last year. He sends a sole runner here in Knightsail first time up, who is fairly smartly bred out of a 113-rated mare. She hasn’t produced much so far. I’m hoping this horse comes in here under the radar as a result, and being one of the pricier sorts on offer, I think he could be smarter than his price. Nothing with a run has set an insurmountable standard to aim at, though whilst they could put their experience to good use in this field, I think they are opposable, with the other unraced horse Alsad also being of interest, but he is far shorter.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-25
22 September 2025
16:30 4:30 Leicester
Kissmehoneyhoney
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@21.00
Win
600
No obvious insurmountable standard set by those with a run, and the Haggas newcomer brings an interesting enough pedigree. Out of a smart winning hurdler who excelled early in her career in the NHF sphere, this horse should bring stamina to burn if she’s been transferred anything by her dam. It might mean this just isn’t far enough for her, and whilst you’re guessing, I hope she’s ridden with enough zest to make the most of any potential stamina reserves. There’s clearly a risk she isn’t and this is just a run to see what’s what, but you’re compensated with her price, and a lack of obvious pace on show could mean there’s a freebie for Tom if he wants to take her forward.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal600
21 September 2025
16:07 4:07 Southwell
Adrestia
Daily Racing
100 WINNAP
@6.00
Lose
-100
It’s competitive, but Adrestia’s form can hardly be knocked given Shagraan and First Instinct followed each other home yesterday. She was 2nd in the Beverley Bullet between that pair, and she’s lost two lbs for that effort as well. She’s a half to a four-time AW winner, so there’s hope enough she can take to the surface and resume an upward curve here. She’s perhaps a tad shorter than I’d want, but I think she should be short enough to believe she’s overpriced.
Subtotal-100
20 September 2025
15:35 3:35 Ayr
Kodi Lion
Daily Racing
25 EW
@34.00
Lose
-50
If you can forgive him last time, Kodi Lion could remain fairly treated, and sneaks in here off bottom weight. He was a few lengths behind Two Tribes a few starts back at Ascot, but was giving that horse 2lbs there. Almost a stone swing in the weights surely must be a factor here, and notably this horse finished behind Excellent Believe on his penultimate start which that horse has soundly franked in a Group 3 since. The step back in trip should cause no concern, he shouldn’t mind some soft on the going despite last time, and he acquits himself well in big fields. If you can forgive him that one run, I think he’s over priced, and is again one drawn alongside the principles so he could be in and around the action late.
2 members found this comment useful
15:00 3:00 Ayr
Isle of Fernandez
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionBest Odds Guaranteed SP 26.00 used instead of 19.00 takenBOG
@26.00
Win
100
An open race with no obvious standout, and a chance taken on Isle Of Fernandez here, who has been inconsistent so far but has some standout efforts. A 2nd behind Group 2 winner Aylin reads well, also beating a horse that has won twice since, as well as Just Call Me Angel, who has done the same, and in doing so bested Calender Girl, who did plenty for that form at the Leger meeting. It’s really that form you’re heavily relying on, as two runs on either side were poor. A most recent run was impressive visually, albeit in a race that she should have won at a canter if she’s to be competitive in this. Either way, she could prove to be overpriced if putting her best foot forward, and in an open race, I think she’s worth an each-way chance.
2 members found this comment useful
14:25 2:25 Ayr
Pals Battalion
Daily Racing
25 EW
@41.00
Lose
-50
Poor last time over Ascot’s stiff 7f, but some evident promise before that, notably 7th behind some horses that have gone on to some better things. Now 3lbs above a last winning mark into ground that should suit him, it should be noted that he beat 14/1 chance Roberto Caro on much worse terms than this a few starts back, so on that alone he’s overpriced. He’s perhaps drawn on the wrong side, but I’m happy to overlook that as it’s not unheard of that mid to high draws take this. A consistent type, he’s well handicapped if things fall right, and notably fresh he’s 3/4 a place (1 win) off breaks between 31-60 days, and also 3/4 a place in September. David Nolan being aboard is perhaps the kicker, as he gets on very well with him being 9/11 a place when aboard.
2 members found this comment useful
13:30 1:30 Newbury
First Instinct
Daily Racing
25 EWNAPNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 12.00 used instead of 9.00 takenBOG
@12.00
Win
330
This smartly bred filly has plenty to find on ratings, but these sprints have been full of surprises this season even if class could well out here. That said, I’m willing to give her a chance stepping back into ground with a bit of juice on which she won as a 2yo. She was a decent 2nd at Ayr over the minimum trip in a race won in a decent time, and a repeat of that effort can see her involved. She never looked comfortable in the Beverley Bullet last time, which does give her something to find with the likes of Shagraan, but on a more conventional track, I think she can be seen to better effect. If nothing else, she’ll be doing her best work late, so if they go too hard early, and with Habooba involved, there should be some guaranteed pace. She appears to be on the side of the action drawn in and around the top of the market, so I’d be hopeful that drags her into contention and she can stay on strongly. Marquand being back on looks a big plus too.
2 members found this comment useful
Subtotal330
19 September 2025
15:40 3:40 Ayr
Irish Nectar
Daily Racing
25 EWNAPNOTEDead heat 2 horses sharing 1 placeDH
@23.00
Win
18
A wild renewal of the Bronze Cup as ever, and low drawn pace could well take them through the race. It’s a race you can throw a dart at, and I’ll chance Irish Nectar. The softer the better for this horse given he’s 3 from 7 on soft going, and the forecast rain through the day adds to his chance. He’s a horse for this time of year with all three of his wins coming between September and October, and it’s of interest that Kevin Stott is jocked up on him for the first time. His two runs with soft in the going this season have been his best efforts, so a run last time on Good in first time blinkers bodes well for an improved effort on a favourable surface. The effort was all the more impressive for the fact that he appeared spooked by the blinkers, rearing and swerving out of the stalls, and doing so again when asked for an effort. If Stott can keep him straight and true, hopefully he can be making his best way home.
15:05 3:05 Ayr
Stormy Impact
Daily Racing
25 EW
@13.00
Lose
-50
A pretty wide-open race for all. A few of these stand out on ratings, and in particular, Star Of Lady M who won this last year. I’m willing to side with one at a slightly bigger price in Stormy Impact who did us a turn at Epsom. She won well in the Racing League before she was found wanting in Listed company last time. Fahey persists with her in this grade though, and whilst she has form to turn around with a couple of these who are bigger prices, the slight drop in trip could see her ridden a bit further forward this time around. She did good work from plum last when running on through beaten horses last time, suggesting to me she can run well here over slightly shorter if she can be dragged out of the stalls a bit quicker. She’s unexposed on this surface but did finish behind First Instinct on her only run on good to soft, suggesting she has scope for improvement on it. 5th in last year's Group 3 Firth Of Clyde at this meeting, she’s not incapable of landing a blow here despite having plenty to find on ratings.
Subtotal-32
18 September 2025
14:45 2:45 Ayr
Cloth Of Gold
Daily Racing
25 EW
@15.00
Lose
-50
The favorite looks solid running ahead of a rising mark, but Cloth Of Gold looked interesting enough off this opening mark of 80, making him bottom weight and also in receipt of a weight for age allowance, so effectively running off 75. His debut 2nd was his only run on turf, chasing home now 112 rated Convergent, which is a plus for this return to ground with soft in the going. 2nd to 100 rated Port Light after that adds plenty to the case that the horse is well handicapped, and whilst his most recent run wasn’t up to that standard, it can be feasibly ignored. He’s drawn well to get a good spot and can feasibly get a soft tune up front and make the most of that light weight late on.
Subtotal-50
13 September 2025
17:30 5:30 Leopardstown
Hotazhell
Daily Racing
25 EW
@17.00
Lose
-50
Things haven’t gone right for this horse since he beat Delacroix in the Futurity, but I’m willing to give him another go at the odds here. No luck in America last time. He’d be half the price if he got a clear run there, and whilst 5th behind Delacroix in the Eclipse, you can feasibly take the ground as an excuse. Off a light campaign, I think he’s fairly overpriced as an each-way play to make the shake-up.
16:50 4:50 Doncaster
Divine Knight
Daily Racing
25 EW
@11.00
Lose
-50
Has shown just about enough to be considered overpriced on handicap debut. 2nd giving 9lbs to Snow Master who is rated 100 and acquitted himself well enough in a Group 3. He should stay the extended trip on breeding at least, even if he didn’t at Goodwood. That said, it was a smart enough conditions race considering this opening mark of 88, and can hopefully make the most of a nice low weight carry.
15:00 3:00 Doncaster
Marvelman
Daily Racing
50 WINNAPNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 7.50 used instead of 7.00 takenBOG
@7.50
Win
325
Something to find on bare figures, but I think Marvelman is progressing. Form-wise, he had Rage Of Bamby well beaten last time, who has rather franked that form with an excellent 4th last week behind Big Mojo. He’s a tad short but won’t mind rain-softened ground, and I think he’ll be suited by this track. Shadow Of Light has to be respected dropping in grade, but I just feel like there are enough doubts in there about him and the others to make it this horse's turn.
1 member found this comment useful
14:25 2:25 Doncaster
Atomic Force
Daily Racing
25 EW
@34.00
Lose
-50
Sold to Hong Kong after faring well in France as a 2-year-old, you’re taking a swing that he retains that sort of ability after he didn’t exactly make hay in that long stint abroad. The absolute pick of his form would have him in a good place off a mark of 93 though, so whilst he has to show he retains anything near his peak ability, it is in there somewhere. He’s gone the wrong way in the betting this week, but as a result, he’s an attractive price to take a small swing at, and this is a fairly punchy start for him as a 6-year-old which I think is worth a go at the price.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal175
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