JackpotRod
I'll get you an odds on shots beaten, but also give you some long odds winners with hopefully some insightful reasoning to help you to decide whether to follow me in or not. Back all my own selections with my own cash.
2
Estimated Prizes
this month
£20
Estimated Prize money
this month
JackpotRod's Tips History
13 July 2025
18:15 6:15 Southwell
Kullazain
Daily Racing
25 EW
@12.00
Lose
-50
This horse was pitched into Group 2 company in a race that has seen Big Mojo and Arizona Blaze come out and boost it significantly. That was a first try up in trip for this horse, who was never involved ultimately, but drops back to 5 here, which looks a plus. 3rd in a Group 3 before that, and well ahead of Mr Lightside off levels, whilst a mark of 95 may give him a bit of work to do, he is open to enough progress to think a double-figure price may be a bit too big. Being less exposed than most, hopefully, he can kick on here.
16:05 4:05 Southwell
Lovely Spirit
Daily Racing
25 EW
@29.00
Lose
-50
Lack of pace in here drew me towards a front runner in the shape of Lovely Spirit, who goes up in trip for this seasonal debut. With plenty of stamina on her dam's side, there should be genuine hope she can stay this far, and she gets a bottom weight of 8st 7lbs to assist in that regard. She hasn’t yet gone off bigger than 7/2 in 6 starts in lower grades, so whilst she could be genuinely outclassed, she does have one piece of form when beating a now 88-rated horse in receipt of 3lbs to suggest she could be well treated off a mark of 74. It will be some ask to be ready for this fairly competitive event, but on balance, you’re compensated by her price.
2 members found this comment useful
Subtotal-100
12 July 2025
16:35 4:35 Newmarket
No Half Measures
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 51.00 on 12/07 at 08:050.10 deduction for Inisherin@10.00 withdrawn at 16:37R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 50.00 x (1-0.10) = 46.00Best Odds Guaranteed SP 67.00 used instead of 46.00 BOG
@67.00
Win
1980
Cases all over here, but I thought No Half Measures was a fair price overall. Not beaten far by Believing in the Abbaye, back up to 6f, I think she could outrun her odds here. She can get a good tow into things from Spy Chief, and with high draws faring well in this generally, she’s drawn on the right side. A course winner as a 3yo, she’s unexposed at the trip in top company at least, as she’s 3/4 at 6f. Her breeding might indicate she’s capable of getting even further, so any strong pace should not be feared. She’ll need a big career best and is up against it on ratings with plenty to find, but she’s capable and unexposed enough to chance at the odds. Havlin is an interesting booking as he has a decent record for Hughes, who seeks an elusive Group 1.
2 members found this comment useful
15:30 3:30 Ascot
Rockin The Boat
Daily Racing
25 EW
@10.00
Lose
-50
An open race, and I’ll chance Rockin The Boat to improve for some quicker ground here. 3rd on debut behind horses now rated 104+ on quick ground provides hope that she will, and she shaped last time like she got to the front a bit too soon. Hopefully Levey can stay in touch and deliver her a bit later here as on that evidence a stiff mile might prove a problem, but this mark of 82 should be attainable in the right circumstances based on her best form. Whilst it’s a small field, a high draw is a plus to her chances.
1 member found this comment useful
15:10 3:10 York
Mirabeau
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@29.00
Lose
-50
Course winner over 7 that has acquitted himself well in Class 1 company the last twice. A mark of 98 could be within reach here for a horse towards the bottom of the weights. Ridden prominently over shorter, he may want to be more forward than he has been on two tries over this sort of trip since there is a slight lack of pace in here. Hopefully, that means he can get a good spot and stay in touch. With fairly franked Group form, this looks a good spot for him even if this opening mark might prove challenging. On balance, he looks overpriced against his elders in receipt of 10 lbs.
2 members found this comment useful
14:22 2:22 Ascot
Point Lynas
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 21.00 on 12/07 at 08:060.15 deduction for Quddwah@6.00 withdrawn at 11:19R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 20.00 x (1-0.15) = 18.00Best Odds Guaranteed SP 23.00 used instead of 18.00 BOG
@23.00
Win
112
Point Lynas has the potential to get a soft lead here, and back to going on which he is 8/9 a place he has to be overpriced. A slight concern is Spencer decides to do his usual and drop him in instead of adopting the usual front-running tactics that the horse enjoys, but hopefully stall 1 gives him no option. If he can sneak some lengths early, I think there’s a chance he can stay there with the right fractions on the round course where sometimes quicker ground can make it harder to make up ground late on. Any repeat of his last effort on GF ground and he’ll be bang there pitching late on even if he does need some of these to underperform.
2 members found this comment useful
Subtotal1992
11 July 2025
16:10 4:10 Newmarket
Sword Maker
Daily Racing
25 EW
@23.00
Lose
-50
Interesting record for the trainer who is 9/15 a place with his 2yo’s in the last 2 years. A two time winner of this race, as well, he’s got Marquand on board who is 3/5 a place on his 2yo’s since 2015. That alone makes this horse an attractive price, for a trainer that knows how to find a winner on the July course. Breeding would suggest he’s one for down the line, and may lack the overall class given the pedigrees on show here, but I think there are enough positives to give him a small chance at the price on the drift.
15:35 3:35 Newmarket
Lady Ilze
Daily Racing
25 EW
@41.00
Lose
-50
It’s a bit of a bizarre swing in the Falmouth for me, but why not? I thought it interesting that Wohler was sending this horse overseas knowing that good or good-to-firm ground was in the offing. She’s got plenty to find on ratings, but won in good style last time when not everything went her way in the German 1000gns. Stuck out back and swinging the field, she made decent headway when she got some clear air. She did so in a decent time on soft ground too, and if she does take to the going, then I think she can be underestimated. It was a time that would have won every renewal of this bar the 2023 one, and notably that was on good-to-firm ground whereas this horse's win was on soft. The form of that race has been boosted by the second's fifth in the Prix De Diane since, so it gives you some hope to suggest she isn’t overrated off this mark, and if she isn’t, then she’s well treated on these terms to be competitive.
Subtotal-100
10 July 2025
16:45 4:45 Newmarket
Royal Playwright
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@9.00
Lose
-50
One last chance for Royal Playwright who is back to a mile here. He was better over an extended mile at Epsom, and finishing just behind Docklands couldn’t have worked out too much better given what that horse went on and did at Ascot. This is an ease in grade stepping back down against his age group, and his run in the Dante can be largely ignored as he was just always too far back to have any say in proceedings. On the face of it that gives him something to prove on the surface as the biggest unknown, but there is suggestion enough with his half siblings that it should be fine. He’ll need a career best, but I’m hopeful he can hit the frame.
15:35 3:35 Newmarket
El Cordobes
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTETip made at odds of 8.00 on 10/07 at 08:520.45 deduction for Ghostwriter@2.00 withdrawn at 15:23R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 7.00 x (1-0.45) = 4.85
@4.85
Win
192
A repeat of his run last time should make this a good spot for Ghostwriter, but he perhaps just lacks that willingness to get there, so is worth taking on at the odds, especially with 7 of the last 10 favourites of this losing this race. Wimbledon Hawkeye looks well treated on these terms, but it was Appleby’s El Cordobes that I thought was a touch overlooked as the choice of Buick. It must be a rarity to have two Appleby horses in a Newmarket Group race sat as the outsiders of the field, and I think there’s a small chance Arabian Crown is given some pacemaking duties here under Doyle. El Cordobes' ready win when top weight in a handicap at Newmarket reads well given what French Master has done since, and brings him into the mix in a fairly open race despite the rating suggesting it’s between Ghostwriter and Wimbledon Hawkeye. Connections must have been hoping for a better return for their 2m Gns investment in this horse, and hopefully now is a chance to return the favour.
15:00 3:00 Newmarket
Tawasol
Daily Racing
25 EW
@9.00
Lose
-50
Looked worth a play based on the ease of his victory last time, for all the form hasn’t worked out that well. He’s been slapped with an 11 lb rise, such was the impression that he left there, and it was perhaps even more impressive given he was quite keen early. In this bigger field, he could find a bit of cover to settle in behind the pace so he isn’t quite so gassy. Hopefully, he gets a good setup here to take another step forward, having been off since that run in May.
Subtotal92
07 July 2025
15:00 3:00 Ayr
I Need Your Love
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@21.00
Lose
-50
Not particularly punchy, but I thought this bottom weight could outrun his odds with a bit of juice in the ground. Two efforts for the season have produced a blowout followed by a decent effort in which you could argue he finished so far behind the first time that this could be counted as a seasonal return. His last 3yo start at Doncaster in a Nursery handicap reads well in the context of this mark of 69, finishing closely behind a horse now rated 85 and ahead of one rated 86, now in receipt of 7lbs from the pair. Soft in the going there, and now soft in the going here, so hopefully that can spark a peak effort, which he will need to get involved against some of these, albeit there is nothing of that calibre in here. 2/4 a place on straight? Flat tracks, he should benefit from latching onto Danzan who can take things forward. Hopefully, he doesn’t get down for pace as there is a chance of that, but with an entry over further if nothing else, I’ll hope he’s staying.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-50
05 July 2025
15:15 3:15 Haydock
Sportingsilvermine
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionBest Odds Guaranteed SP 23.00 used instead of 15.00 takenBOG
@23.00
Win
85
A wide draw here could prove a problem for this horse to get a good spot, but if he can somehow negotiate a forward spot, I think he’s worth a try up in class. A run up in trip where he didn’t stay was sandwiched between two sound efforts, most notably finishing behind Small Fry off level weights at Chester. Given that horse has gone on to be rated 92, having danced in at Epsom since, a mark adjusted for a claim of 75 has to be a good sign here for this bottom weight. 3/4 a place in and around this trip, the winner of his last race has done something for the form since. This horse doesn’t do much winning, granted, and could well find himself against horses in better spots handicap-wise, but I thought he was worth a chance despite the negatives.
2 members found this comment useful
15:00 3:00 Sandown
Miss Tonnerre
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@11.00
Lose
-50
Miss Tonnerre takes a drop in class here, having run in the Musidora last time, which she found much too hot and much too far. That said, she was there pitching at the mile marker, and the horses ahead of her have done plenty for that race since. Notably, all the runners ahead of her were coming into that with at least a run, so I think you can expect her to improve for the run. She’s got one of the best mile efforts on show with her 4th in the May Hill behind the subsequent 1000 Guineas 1-2 in Desert Flower and Flight, with January and Ecstatic doing plenty for the form since too. Officially at the top of these on ratings, I think she is fairly overpriced here in a race that should have a fair enough pace, and she should be a strong stayer at a mile.
2 members found this comment useful
14:05 2:05 Haydock
Way Of Stars
Daily Racing
25 EW
@10.00
Lose
-50
Way Of Stars was held by Many Men before absolutely sauntering clear to break his maiden subsequently in fine fashion at Goodwood. When beaten by the reopposing Many Men, he had to chase a runaway leader and got rather swept up by the field, and was squeezed in the run a couple of times. Whilst Many Men was on top late on, this is a slightly shorter trip that could play in favor of this horse as he wasn’t beaten far when Many Men swept by late on and gets a slight pull at the weights as well. His price is intriguing enough as he hopefully can get a bit more cover from a prominent position this time round and make the most of his way home. Dangers abound, but the Fav was held by Pole Star on his second start to make this potentially a pretty open event where you could see a 1-2-3 from that Doncaster event with Novelista also reopposing here.
2 members found this comment useful
13:50 1:50 Sandown
Queen All Star
Daily Racing
25 EW
@15.00
Lose
-50
I was drawn to Adrestia stepping up in class here, given her 2yo effort over course and distance would have been competitive on the clock in all bar Battaash’s winning renewal of this, of the races run on Gf ground. She cantered all over them there, but perhaps the pace just set up for her. She’ll need the luck, as many will, but along the same form lines, Queen All Star looks a bit more kindly treated on these terms. She was well on top of Redorange over course and distance last time, and that horse has since come out to chase home Adrestia giving away 6lbs, so the level weights of this pair swing the form slightly in favor of the Channon filly, who is a much bigger price. She’ll be a hostage to fortune from stall 1 if she doesn’t break well, but with a pedigree for further, I hope she can be well in there late on and looks worth her chance on that form line despite having work to do on ratings.
2 members found this comment useful
Subtotal-65
03 July 2025
18:58 6:58 Kempton
Forest Gate
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@13.00
Lose
-50
I thought this one looked a touch overpriced, having been far from disgraced on seasonal return. That race knits a few of this together, and whilst he’s got some work to do to turn around the form, all bar one horse was coming into that with at least a run under their belt. This horse wasn’t able to get as forward perhaps as he’d like, and in stall 1 here, his chance may be over if he doesn’t break well. A lack of an out-and-out front runner in the race should make that easier for him, you’d hope. A 2lb drop for that reappearance looks a fair gift to me if he can get out and dominate the pace, which is clearly no given in a big field.
Subtotal-50
02 July 2025
20:30 8:30 Epsom Downs
Certain Style
Daily Racing
25 EW
@19.00
Lose
-50
By no means too persuasive, but Certain Style could sneak an uncontested lead here looking at the lack of likely pace angles. Poor last time, she’ll need to show her previous form, which was a solid effort off 4 lbs higher. A winner over 2m, so there should be no fear that she won’t stay this trip even though she hasn’t won over it. She did finish 9th in this last year but had excuses there, being awkward out of the stalls and getting caught in the run numerous times, by which time her race was won. With a cleaner break here, she could well be one that dominates the pace, and that’s probably key to her chance. Whilst vulnerable to one of the 3-year-olds, their form doesn’t particularly inspire, so I think she’s worth an each-way chance.
19:58 7:58 Epsom Downs
Pappa Louis
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@19.00
Lose
-50
Best effort by a long way over a mile 2 at Chester, Pappa Louis is chanced against elders now in receipt of an age allowance along with a few of these. That run at Chester has been franked by the winner too, to think this horse has got something in hand off the same mark. A half-brother to a mile 4 winner, he could well take to this step up in trip, and at the very least finds himself towards the bottom of the weights. He didn’t follow up that effort when way off the pace at Musselburgh and racing very keenly down in trip. Hanging left up the straight, he looks like he’ll be more at home going this way. It’s a relatively rare foray to Epsom for Dascombe, who is 7/15 a place in the last 5 years here, winning with 3.
Subtotal-100
29 June 2025
16:10 4:10 Curragh
Green Impact
Daily Racing
25 EW
@8.50
Lose
-50
A sound gallop should ensure no hiding place here, and perhaps this isn’t a race to find out if your horse stays the trip, but I’ll chance that Green Impact does. Out of a Galileo mare, you don’t have to dig too far on her side to find horses that stayed this trip. He very much shaped last time like he would stay further than the 9f he ran over when making the running, sticking to the task and extending when looking like getting headed. He could well just be outclassed in this company, but if he's not outpaced, hopefully he can be doing his best work at the finish with something to aim at rather than having to make it as he did last time.
2 members found this comment useful
14:25 2:25 Curragh
Songhai
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@10.00
Lose
-50
Songhai looks fairly treated on these terms, getting weight all around from the boys. She’s probably a touch underrated off a mark of 98 too, so may have even less to find on official figures. This additional distance should prove no inconvenience, especially in a race that lacks an out-and-out front runner. Towards the top of the speed figures, she can be the one that benefits most if it turns into a turn-of-foot dash to the line, as she was staying on over 5f last time when outpaced. Wayne Lordan takes over as Coen would struggle to do this weight, and that’s clearly no negative even if he is from 8 for Murtagh.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-100
28 June 2025
15:45 3:45 Newcastle
Tiger Mask
Daily Racing
25 EW
@17.00
Lose
-50
Brings some decent 2yo form to the fold for a first try as a 3yo, getting 9lbs from his elders, as are a few of these. His mark is perhaps not the best, but then he did finish a decent 4th behind Field Of Gold at Sandown. He’s also won over Ascot's stiff 7f, suggesting the move up in trip is the right one. A forward goer that should be staying on at this trip (distance in pedigree), he’s a bit more unexposed than his fellow 3yos given this is his handicap debut. Hopefully, this isn’t a prep run for one of his future entries, but on the balance of his form overall, his negatives looked baked into his price for me.
1 member found this comment useful
15:15 3:15 Newcastle
Alrazeen
Daily Racing
25 EW
@51.00
Lose
-50
My flavour of the season, Warren Fentiman, strips 5lbs off Alrazeen here, who is drawn high. But draws on the mid to high side have taken this in recent runnings. He’s got something to prove on his recent efforts, but that 5lbs does take him below his last winning mark of 86. His better recent efforts tie him in closely with Tribal Star, who is 8/1 to this horse's 50. 4/6 a place since stepped up to 2m and beyond, he could be out of his depth in this company, but you’re more than compensated with his feather weight and his price. He’s 3 from 3 saddling 9st or less.
14:10 2:10 Newcastle
Alyanaabi
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@7.50
Lose
-50
Kind Of Blue was certainly bad enough last time to take him on here, even with the trainer throwing him in under a penalty. Alyanaabi intrigued the most down in trip here. He had some eye catching runs in top company as a 2 and 3 year old, and whilst that tailed off when sent up in trip, he ran soundly in Group 1 company over a mile. He’s got the speed to just go off the front and try and stretch these, as he did very well at Haydock on his return. Perhaps he can be forgiven his subsequent effort when turned out after a few weeks as coming too soon, and if he can inject some early pace and sneak some lengths then hopefully he won’t be stopping over this shorter distance.
1 member found this comment useful
13:40 1:40 Newcastle
Intrusively
Daily Racing
25 EW
@21.00
Lose
-50
Evidently not wildly well handicapped, but with a 7lb claim, Intrusively effectively runs off 90 here, and he’s shown enough to be more respected off that mark. Second to 110 rated Aamori City on debut can lead you to believe he has the ability to go well fresh. He goes for an in-form Ed Bethell, who has been knocking in the winners in the last weeks. He’s got a jockey in that is 2/3 a place for him in the shape of Sam James and trusts him with this sole runner here. 4/4 a place at the trip, and he has placed over further, so could appreciate a solid pace to aim at, which looks likely.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-200
27 June 2025
19:35 7:35 Newcastle
Archduke Ferdinand
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@15.00
Lose
-50
I can’t see anything that looks outrageously well handicapped in here, so this could just be about race shape. With some pace on his inside, this could set up nicely for Archduke Ferdinand, who stays plenty further than this bare 5. If he can break and sit off that pace, hopefully he’ll be staying on last Paddy’s Day if he goes too hard, and then be hard for anything else to pass. He’s shown he has the speed to go well over the minimum distance, and he has shown he handles it here, having finished 2nd and close up 4th twice over further. I like his price given the potential shape of the race, so I’ll give him a chance.
19:05 7:05 Newcastle
Golden Ocean
Daily Racing
25 EW
@51.00
Lose
-50
Diamond Rain looks without question the one to beat if backing up the run behind Running Lion last time. She could do this at a canter, but she’s priced as such, and the rest look interesting in lots of different ways. I was minded to take a chance on Golden Ocean, who is thrown into Group 3 company with little form to her name to suggest she can mix it in a Group 3, but in many ways, that makes her more intriguing, and her price more than compensates for it. She’s bred to stay, and had she had something free to run into at Sandown on season's reappearance, she could have been given the chance to prove that. As it was, she was stopped on a number of occasions when making a run. She shouldn’t have that issue in a 6-runner field that lacks pace, and if her stamina is assured enough by her pedigree, I’d like to see her push the pace. She has been ridden forward before, so it’s not out of the question. Nolan is 2/4 for Menusier here since 2014, so is a somewhat interesting booking.
18:30 6:30 Newcastle
Sunshine State
Daily Racing
25 EW
@15.00
Lose
-50
Like many of these, Sunshine State is pushed into a race against her elders here, and I'm in receipt of a decent weight-for-age allowance. She's unexposed at the trip but should improve for distance, and with her sole victory coming on the AW, a return to it has to be a positive. Out of a dam that won over a mile and a half, I can forgive her a seasonal reappearance at Goodwood that was set up for a closer, as she was never really going the pace. She's shown enough quality in enough races to think she's better than this mark, especially with the claim. So whilst it may be a push for win purposes, I'd be hopeful she can be in the frame stepping back in class here into a much easier race.
Subtotal-150
25 June 2025
16:50 4:50 Carlisle
Sailthisshipalone
Daily Racing
25 EW
@34.00
Win
140
A left field swing at the Carlisle Bell, with Sailthisshipalone entitled to improve for the run last time. It’s an effort that, in the face of it, gives him loads to find with the favorite, but he finds himself down in class and at the bottom of the weights with Fentiman's 5lbs claim taking him clear. His second run last season was a seasonal best effort in a competitive York handicap, and he runs off a career-low mark now. His best efforts have come on GS/S, so that’s a bonus. Best efforts have come over shorter, so he should appreciate an overall lack of pace, and he tops the speed ratings of these as well. His sole victory came from 2 runs in this class.
1 member found this comment useful
15:15 3:15 Carlisle
Epidavros
Daily Racing
25 EWNAPNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@11.00
Win
25
Interesting handicap, if a bit trappy, but I’ll chance Epidavros here who gets in towards the bottom of the weights. 3/3 a place on GS going, 1/1 here, she appears to be in fairly good order turned out again noting she is 4/4 a place off less than 14 days as well. 6/8 a place on an uphill finish, if she can go the pace then she should be sticking to the task dropping in trip here. There looks enough pace to follow to think this could fall back into the lap of something, and if she can continue an upward curve. Drawn alongside an evident front runner can help her if she doesn’t get squeezed out early. 1 lb above her last winning mark makes her 2 lbs well in for her OR of 74.
Subtotal165
21 June 2025
17:00 5:00 Royal Ascot
Zoum Zoum
Daily Racing
25 EW
@19.00
Lose
-50
The curtain closing wild sprint, and it’s a minefield, but I was willing to chance class to out in this handicap with Zoum Zoum looking a fairly big price. She’s reappeared with a decent Listed 2nd suggesting all ground is alike to her, she was a solid 5th in the Jersey last year when seemingly taking to this track. She’s run well on seasonal reappearance and around race fit horses, so I think you can mark up a career best RPR last time as a result.
1 member found this comment useful
16:20 4:20 Royal Ascot
Seagulls Eleven
Daily Racing
25 EW
@34.00
Lose
-50
Some of these just don’t look to have any sort of chance in a relatively weak affair. I had shortlisted 3 of the top 4 in the market, but another look at this and I think an outsider could sneak something, and the one I’ll chance is Seagulls Eleven. He was disappointing in the 2000gns on return, there’s no getting away from that, but the drop in trip is in his favour with his best form over 7, and he’s got a high draw so can hopefully keep out of trouble. He actually ran ok until he got completely unbalanced going into the dip and faded badly. I can forgive him that, and indeed he could be the one to blaze a trail here having done so previously, and with an overall lack of a front runner in the race if someone sets the right fractions up front they could sneak this. Harry Davies returns having been aboard for the horses only win, so that’s a plus to his chances. He’s vulnerable to something that has a bit of sparkle in the form line, but he looks too big to me regardless.
1 member found this comment useful
15:40 3:40 Royal Ascot
Topgear
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@9.00
Lose
-50
I absolutely love the make up of this race, with some international form lines into the mix, I could ponder it all day. There are a few legitimate stars in here, no less the Japanese horse Satono Reve. After much deliberation I was happy to side with Topgear, who dazzled at Newmarket in October. He’s run a solid race first time out, with Lake Forest doing at least something for that form earlier in the week. He looks to be like he’ll appreciate a sounder surface, for all he has to prove that. He’s out of an American dam that acted on firm ground, so I’d say there’s more than a fair chance that he does. The overall lack of pace in here can set it up for one to strike from the front, and a few of these get further so should be staying. I’ll hope that it’s Topgear, as he left a real impression on me with his effort at Newmarket, and that sound reappearance in hand he can take a step forward again to confirm his improving status.
1 member found this comment useful
15:05 3:05 Royal Ascot
Ghostwriter
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@7.00
Lose
-50
Rebels Romance is the clear standout here, but is priced accordingly and perhaps has a bit of stamina to prove round this track having faded albeit in Group 1 company behind Goliath last year. He only just beat Epic Poet last time who is a much bigger price and has no such stamina concerns round here as he gets further than this. He’s a tempter, but I’ll chance one outside of the form line in Ghostwriter who was better than the bare result last time when hampered late. His record on GF reads 113, with the three being ahead of Arc winner Bluestocking and behind City Of Troy and Calandagan. So he’s got the class to mix it with these if he stays, and being out of a dam that did I think it’s worth chancing that he does, particularly on ground that won’t inconvenience.
1 member found this comment useful
14:30 2:30 Royal Ascot
Thesecretadversary
Daily Racing
25 EW
@15.00
Win
45
Pushed the stoutly bred Italy pretty hard on debut, with the pair well clear of Ipanema Beach who had previously trailed home behind the evidently very smart Charles Darwin on debut. He perhaps got going a little too soon there in a bid to sneak away, and will get no such luxury here, but that could lead to his hand being played a little later with some obvious forward going horses to latch onto. Fairly well stamina laden, if he can go the pace I’d hope he’d be bang there late on. It looks a winnable Chesham, where for once the O’Brien hand looks slightly questionable, albeit it can be a tip in itself that she’s the only one they rely on. Treanmor was impressive on debut for Godolphin, but his form there is questionable with 2nd places Vlad finishing behind a horse who was behind in the Windsor Castle, and a number of other horses in behind being sent packing since. A £2m purchase, he has to respected on that alone, but is short enough with that sort of form.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-155
20 June 2025
18:10 6:10 Royal Ascot
Bodhi Bear
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@19.00
Lose
-50
Trappy should go without saying, but a small chance here on Bodhi Bear who looks feasibly treated off 94. He had subsequent listed scorer Town And Country in behind at Cork who, prior to that Listed win, had finished 2nd behind First Instinct who then followed home Symbol Of Honour in a Group 2. Subsequent Group 2 winner Babouche was in behind, and that brings in some solid form lines for 100+ rated horses. He’s drawn wrong if you’re thinking is to just be high, but it doesn’t always work out like that, and hopefully he’s just going under the radar a bit here even if he does need to produce a career best to get competitive. The trainers only other runner at the meeting was a solid 4th in the Queen Mary,
2 members found this comment useful
16:20 4:20 Royal Ascot
Exactly
Daily Racing
25 EW
@13.00
Lose
-50
Not the choice of Moore, but I don’t mind that for a horse with solid form who is perhaps a bit more battle hardened compared to some of these. That could pay off here in what should be a bit of a skirmish for the lead, and an overall lack of pace potentially making it. A bit messy. Her form ties her in close with the Fav out of the French1000 which is working out well. She’s had a nice break for this, and just looked way too big a price given her profile. It’s about time Moore gives way on one for Lordan, and I’m hoping this is the one.
1 member found this comment useful
15:40 3:40 Royal Ascot
Brodure
Daily Racing
25 EW
@81.00
Lose
-50
4th in this last year, Ethical Diamond looks fairly thrown in again, and Almosh’her intrigues again and has been picked up by Wathnan. They are both short enough in a wild race, and I was happy to have a wild go at Brodure here as a result. She needs to prove she handles the ground, but she ran a sound race behind Rose Jaipur last time. A horse in behind had previously finished 4L off Mont De Soleil who was just a couple of lengths behind 116 rated Junko in a Group 2 recently, so whilst it’s fairly abstract form it does suggest a mark of 97 is workable even if it doesn’t look like it on the face of this one’s form. She’s 80/1, and could go forward from a decent draw in a race that lacks an out and out front runner. She’s got something to prove up in trip, and she could be just genuinely outclassed and finish anywhere, but at her price I’m happy to give her a chance
1 member found this comment useful
15:05 3:05 Royal Ascot
Time For Sandals
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@41.00
Win
1200
Shadow Of Lights claims are obvious on form and he’s clear on ratings as a result, it this looks wide open otherwise and he has to prove he wants a quicker surface. As ever I was keen to find one that looked overpriced, and whilst she could just be out priced I thought Time For Sandals haas been running some decent races in defeat, in particular last time in a her first run on soft ground which was won in a decent time. A horse a few lengths behind has gone on to win since, posting an RPR of 113 to put some gloss on the form, and he has Reach The Sky 5L in behind who ran a decent enough race in the French 1000 to finish 2-3L behind Jonquil. So there is fair substance to the form, and she should appreciate the return to quicker ground. Stall 1 concerns given the way the races have been won so far, but that negative is baked into her price for me, and stall 1 has had 2 of the last 3 winners of this anyway.
3 members found this comment useful
14:30 2:30 Royal Ascot
Magny Cours
Daily Racing
25 EW
@101.00
Lose
-50
Signora’s form speaks for itself, but you can tie quite a few of these into it. She could well improve the most, and O’Brien has been mopping up these races all week. That said, it surely can’t go on forever, and enough of these are tied in to take a chance. Green Sense is the obvious one given she beat the Fav last time, but the way she was fading and Signora closing you can easily see that form reversing. Venetian Sun looked like she could well for the home team but she’s short enough, so I’ll chance Magny Cours here who looks a big price. She rallied gamely when headed late last time to get up on debut. She had Closely way behind, and that horse has subsequently finished closer than that behind Havana Anna who was 3rd behind True Love and Gstaad on debut who have won here already, and True Love was behind Lady Ivan who beat Signora. So it’s a stretch of a tie in, but a tie in nonetheless, and I think her price is madness as a result, so I’m in.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal1000
19 June 2025
18:10 6:10 Royal Ascot
Mirsky
Daily Racing
25 EW
@34.00
Lose
-50
A lack of pace slightly cools fears that Mirsky might be outpaced over shorter here. He won with probably more than 5lbs in hand at Epsom last time so he could well defy that rise in the weights in a hat trick bid. Drawn alongside a potential pace angle, he’s towards the bottom of the weights, and if he can get forward he should be one of many that isn’t stopping over this trip here. With Sky giving out 7 places that looked worth a slightly shorter price.
1 member found this comment useful
17:00 5:00 Royal Ascot
Hawksbill
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@41.00
Lose
-50
Bumped into a subsequent Listed winner last time in the shape of Amiloc who is now rated 109 which shines this mark of 95 in a fairly good light. He’d previously split some solid yardsticks at Kempton to add some substance to the thought that this mark is workable. I don’t mind a low draw for him as he could well nab the rail on the far side and run his own race. An overall lack of pace could play into the hands of those that are sitting up with it, with the risk he is just a bit too gassy and sets it up for something to come just off him. He’s a fair price though, and looks worth a swing to me.
1 member found this comment useful
16:20 4:20 Royal Ascot
Dubai Future
Daily Racing
25 EW
@41.00
Win
175
Trawlerman should do all he can to test the stamina of Illinois here which makes it interesting tactically. The French horse looks a stout stayer but has it to prove on the ground. I’m wary of Sweet William having his day, but it was Dubai Future that I thought was overpriced. You have to forgive him a dire effort last time when miles behind the French horse, but notably he just hasn’t gone with any zest with soft in the going description so I’ll take that as an excuse there. He was so far back, and that doesn’t reflect his prior form in Meydan when he actually beat Trawlerman in a slowly run Dubai Gold Cup. He acts well on quick ground, and if this does turn tactical and he can stay in touch, the old boy could once again show a turn of foot to match his younger rivals. Just 2-3lbs to find on official ratings, he could be swinging early out the back, but if he can stay in touch round the final bend I hope he can come home strongly.
1 member found this comment useful
15:40 3:40 Royal Ascot
Lady Vivian
Daily Racing
25 EW
@13.00
Lose
-50
Not an obvious staying contender and towards the bottom of these on ratings. But she did beat Caspi Star on the AW with relative ease in the end. That horse reopposes here having chased home the Oaks winner since to put some gloss on the form. She’ll need to improve on her Chester handicap win since, but she did that with enough authority despite seemingly getting a bit lonely late on. The form tied her into the current Fav quite nicely to think she’s on the overpriced side despite having plenty to find on ratings. With no absolute standout I’m hoping it will be another one for Wathan.
1 member found this comment useful
15:05 3:05 Royal Ascot
Pantile Warrior
Daily Racing
25 EW
@41.00
Win
175
Gets an 8lb swing with Merchant, and whilst more exposed than many of these he brings in some solid enough form as a result. It was a fair effort at York, and he’s hardly been disgraced since. It’s a fairly quick turnaround for the horse, but on the whole in an open race he looks a massive price. He has beaten 8/1 shot Sing Us A Song over shorter, and whilst more exposed than most he’s fairly unexposed at the trip, and the way he hung right handed at York would suggest he’ll prefer going this way round, and he certainly still looks well handicapped on his best form.
1 member found this comment useful
14:30 2:30 Royal Ascot
Clear Force
Daily Racing
25 EW
@29.00
Lose
-50
Charles Darwin could blow this lot away and can’t be taken lightly, but it looks fairly open otherwise and I’ll chance Clear Force being overpriced out of a race that has worked out well already. That does in theory mean he’s held by First Legion, and he had no obvious excuses for getting beaten by that horse at Sandown. That said, he wasn’t beaten all that far, and drawn alongside the favourite I’d hope he can be dragged into this a long way. With further distance in his pedigree perhaps a bigger field scenario can work in his favour, and if it does then he’s entitled to be a shorter price than he currently is. 2nd on speed figures, he goes for last years winning trainer.
2 members found this comment useful
Subtotal150
18 June 2025
18:10 6:10 Royal Ascot
Azizam
Daily Racing
25 EW
@19.00
Win
64
Throw a dart, and I’ll chance Azizam here who went well on debut, travelling strongly and extended clear nicely. You could say the same for plenty of these, but he looks drawn well on the high side here to make use of the stands side rail with Kansas a non runner. He hung left having gone from right to left at Hamilton, but the rail should keep him straight and true here, and he could prove good enough to mix it in this company.
1 member found this comment useful
17:00 5:00 Royal Ascot
Sisyphean
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@21.00
Lose
-50
A lack of front runners across the field draws the eye to the forward goers, and whilst Silawi is well in under a penalty here I do wonder if he can just set this up for Sisyphean to settle off of him with the pair drawn alongside each other. Just a 2lb rise for his 2nd last time where he travelled sweetly into the race at York but got headed late on. He can come on for that career best effort first time up and hopefully the front runners can snatch a lead here and prove hard to peg back.
2 members found this comment useful
16:20 4:20 Royal Ascot
See The Fire
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@6.00
Lose
-50
Sea The Fires 2nd to Opera Singer last year over course and distance was won in a time that would have won this race on almost all of the recent runnings of this. He win last time was a sparkling effort albeit nowhere near the class of this, but she’s a good record in quick ground being 211 over further than a mile. Supplemented against the boys for £70k is fairly punchy, and whilst she’ll need a career best she should get a nice pace to aim at. He 3lb allowance brings her into this on ratings if he last run is to be believed.
2 members found this comment useful
15:40 3:40 Royal Ascot
Elmalka
Daily Racing
25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@17.00
Void
0
At their collective best it looks to me like these are closer together on balance, and it could just be about which one turns up on the day. Elmalka looked a touch overpriced as a result, as at her best she is a at home as a Group 1 filly. She’s got a bit of form to turn round with the Godolphin Fav which is probably why she’s such a big price, but arguably she was in need of that run whereas Cinderella’s Dream was more race fit from exploits abroad. She took a step forward into Group 1 company in France finishing behind Sardinian Warrior who has had his Ascot run franked by Docklands. A strongly run mile on a stiff track should suit this horse, and the quick ground should also help her gain any ground late on. Stall 1 could prove problematic if she can’t get forward, but again the negatives looks baked into her price to give her a small chance.
2 members found this comment useful
15:05 3:05 Royal Ascot
Pinhole
Daily Racing
25 EW
@15.00
Lose
-50
This looks a really open race that lacks an outright potential superstar, and whilst he didn’t look like he wanted to go up in trip Pinhole takes a fair hike up here. The form took a major boost, and he wasn’t completely disgraced on reappearance behind the subsequent Derby winner and placed horse. He is a full brother to Cadogan Place who has placed over 2 miles, and there’s some fairly smart staying horses in both codes on the dams side, including a horse that stayed further than 3 miles on Gf ground. In a race where I found it tough to find a standout, I was happy to forgive him not taking to Chester and coming on for the run.
2 members found this comment useful
14:30 2:30 Royal Ascot
Staya
Daily Racing
25 EW
@12.00
Lose
-50
A 2yo lottery so land somewhere if you want a play, and one that I liked was Staya who won on debut with minimum of fuss and in a fair time. She looked to be well within herself there and could have won by much further. A low draw is a slight concern, but she appears to be drawn around some strong pace angles which will hopefully have her forward enough to get involved at the sharp end.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-136
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