JackpotRod
I'll get you an odds on shots beaten, but also give you some long odds winners with hopefully some insightful reasoning to help you to decide whether to follow me in or not. Back all my own selections with my own cash.
1
Estimated Prizes
this month
£10
Estimated Prize money
this month
JackpotRod's Tips History
15 June 2025
15:05 3:05 Chantilly
Sand Gazelle
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@19.00
Lose
-50
The French 1000 Guineas form dominates the market, and rightly so, for all this lot have got to step forward for the trip and rightly should. I backed Better Together there, who could well improve significantly for that, but I do wonder if the horses might just finish in a similar order here, so at the prices, I could pass over her. Sand Gazelle has something to find on the face of her form, and she could end up just too far back to make any impression, and perhaps just not good enough with form that’s hardly been franked in the Oaks. That said, I think she’s got an action that will improve for some dig in the ground, and that she’s been running well potentially in spite of going on a quick surface. Being related to Bluestocking, there’s something there to suggest she won’t mind the surface, and if she can stay in touch, she could appreciate a race that relies on a turn of foot rather than being an end-to-end gallop. The negatives are baked into her price enough for a play here for me.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-50
14 June 2025
15:35 3:35 York
Veblen Good
Daily Racing
25 EWNAPNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@21.00
Win
75
A trappy but seemingly wide open 3yo sprint with plenty of cases to be made. I’d be minded to side with handicap newcomer of which there are a few to trawl through, and the on me I liked in the end was Veblen Good for Karl Burke. 2nd to a 95 rated horse off level weights last time, a mark of 90 looks attainable on the basis he can take a step forward for the effort. He stayed on appreciatively when looking a bit unbalanced at Pontefract, but he should have no such worries on this flat 6. He’s drawn alongside enough pace to get him nice and forward and not swallowed into a pack around him, and with the horse he trailed home last time harbouring Commonwealth Cup ambitions there just looks enough traction in this opening mark overall to give him a chance.
2 members found this comment useful
15:15 3:15 Sandown
Roman Centurion
Daily Racing
50 WINR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@7.00
Void
0
This horses last race has worked out well, seeing horses in and around place and win since. Dropping back a furlong looks a plus on that effort, and the small bit of rain around won’t inconvenience. A couple of these are suitably unexposed and could be anything, but with that franked form I feel like this horse is worth a 2nd look here. A lack of pace should see him get a good sit, and the fact he does get further than this would suggest to me he should see out 7f well here.
2 members found this comment useful
Subtotal75
13 June 2025
15:00 3:00 York
Pelean
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@7.50
Lose
-50
A fairly open heat with plenty of cases to be made, but Pelean took a right step forward last time winning with the minimum of fuss on a first try at 6f to spring a 33/1 surprise. She beat a subsequent winner and two horses that have placed since, so the form brings a bit of substance, and whilst she’ll need to step forward again off this mark, she could be drawn favourably around the principles to get sucked into this. A nice low weight is bonus for a strong finish, and if she can show a similar turn of foot in this from a nice forward position hopefully she will be in the shake up.
14:40 2:40 Sandown
Chaturanga
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@6.50
Lose
-50
Chaturanga put his reappearance behind him with a decent 3rd that has been franked since. A length behind a now 95 rated horse there off level weights that has placed 2nd since, he goes off an untouched mark of 88 here. He needed the run in 2024, so it was perhaps now surprise, and notably he improved again on his 3rd start last season so he could continue his progression in this. There is a soft lead on it Hollie can bounce him out, and with blinkers added he could just end up running his own race. 0/1 going right handed, but he’s drawn well in 4 to make most of a forward position if he can break well.
Subtotal-100
12 June 2025
17:00 5:00 Newbury
Caffu Zafeen
Daily Racing
25 EWNAPR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@26.00
Void
0
Jamie Spencer is a lb below his lowest riding weight in the last 12 months for this ride on a horse that clearly needs a career best. This low weight could turn out to do the trick though, and in a muddling race pace wise it could end up having more pace than is forecast given the field size. He’s shown capable enough form on turf off higher marks, finishing 2nd over 7f on his 2nd start giving 5lbs to a now 92 rated horse. Off a basement mark of 66, he needs to find something, but he’s entitled to improve for a first run for a few months. Hopefully he can latch onto some of the pace and make use of that light weight at the business end.
Subtotal0
10 June 2025
14:00 2:00 Salisbury
Arctic Wind
Daily Racing
25 EW
@17.00
Lose
-50
Newcomers to the fore here for me as those with a run don’t appear to set a blistering standard, and there are a few to pick through. The one that I pondered most was Arctic Wind, a half-brother to two smart types, and with Menuisier being 3/6 here with first-time-out 2yo’s in the last 5 years, he could have him ready as his first 2yo runner of the season. On balance, the horse probably wants a bit further than this, which is a concern as there doesn’t appear to be bags of pace on from those with experience. But overall, you’d just hope he isn’t stopping regardless. Shoemark has a fair strike rate here in the last five years, winning 11 of 80. It’s a hopeful guess, but worth a small go at the odds.
Subtotal-50
08 June 2025
16:10 4:10 Goodwood
Morning Air
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@8.50
Lose
-50
A few horses off mammoth breaks shake this up a bit, but I thought Morning Air’s French form suggested a well-handicapped horse in the right conditions. She’s got a bit to find with Spirit Mixer on their Chester Cup efforts, but conditions were an unknown, and this horse certainly outran her odds. Ahead of that horse going into the last two furlongs, the step back in trip is no negative, and back on ground with some give looks a major plus. Second to a horse that has gone well in Listed events since when last seen on the flat in France on soft ground, her form prior to that as well suggests a horse with plenty of potential to go well off this mark on this ground. Rossa Ryan is an eye-catching booking, and he’s 6/10 a place here this season, winning 3.
2 members found this comment useful
15:35 3:35 Goodwood
Quebella
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@19.00
Lose
-50
A fairly weak listed event, but I thought Quebella’s run behind Brise Noir had a bit more substance to it than meets the eye. That horse went on to run a decent race in France, just behind Poschiavo, who has some fair form in the book in and around 100-rated animals. That puts this horse in the right sort of ballpark for a race like this and certainly has her overpriced. Strong at the line last time and staying strong on her debut, she should appreciate a strong pace, which looks likely, and her action suggests to me a horse that will appreciate some dig in the ground.
2 members found this comment useful
15:25 3:25 Longchamp
Augustus
Daily Racing
25 EW
@21.00
Lose
-50
Has something to find with the principles, but is capable on his best efforts, and notably improved from run 1-2 last year, so could do so again. He’ll need to, but the drop in trip is no negative given how he won the German Derby trial last year. He then went on to be 3rd in the German Derby itself, and whilst it hasn’t worked out for him since, his reappearance effort was sound enough. He needs the experienced campaigners to underperform, but time is on his side, and his negatives are baked into his price enough to chance for me, with Guyon being aboard for the first time certainly no negative with him being 12 places from his last 18 rides at the track, which includes 7 winners.
14:50 2:50 Longchamp
Polyvega
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTE0.15 deduction for N/A@7 withdrawn at 2025-06-08 13:39:13
@8.50
Win
7
With the Fav in here being closely matched with some of these, this looks fairly open. One that’s unexposed at the trip is the sole filly in the lineup, who beat the Fav last time on slightly better terms over shorter. The extra distance looks sure to suit her on pedigree, and being the only one of these not to race over further than 6, she’s completely unexposed. She looks worth a chance to me on the balance of her form, and she’s arguably got the best piece of form on offer when chasing home Arizona Blaze recently. It’s a bit of a surprise to see Guyon on the other horse for the owners, which is a perceivable negative, but he was comfortably held by the horse that this horse beat last time, so I’m willing to give this filly a chance regardless.
Subtotal-143
07 June 2025
16:15 4:15 Epsom Downs
Vice President
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@29.00
Lose
-50
This horse should be well handicapped if finding the right scenario and right conditions. This could be it, and down 2 lbs with an added 5 taken off, he makes even more appeal. He split a pair of 94-98 rated horses for O’Brien in the only race that he’s seen conditions. Owes Ethan good, so the rain that’s got into the ground can be a major plus. The fact he’s a full brother to Library also makes that case. Off a feather 8 st 2 lbs, I think there’s a high chance he stays here. A watch back of his last race showed a horse not ridden to his true potential. He’s 1 lb better off with Candyman Stan here, who is half the price.
1 member found this comment useful
15:30 3:30 Epsom Downs
New Ground
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 41.00 on 06/06 at 21:030.10 deduction for Ruling Court@8.50 withdrawn at 13:55R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 40.00 x (1-0.10) = 37.00Best Odds Guaranteed SP 51.00 used instead of 37.00 BOG
@51.00
Win
225
New Ground was closing hard when last seen. The two horses ahead have hardly franked the form in the French Derby, but the horse in behind was a solid 5th there, and this horse had also chased home the French Derby 2nd as well so there is some sort of substance to the form. I felt it interesting enough that this horse has been supplemented even though Juddmonte already had a runner in here (who has already been beaten by Delacroix). Stall 17 is the major negative, although the last two runnings of this with 18-19 runners have seen horses win from stall 14. I’m willing to ignore it, and all of his negatives are baked into his price.
1 member found this comment useful
14:45 2:45 Epsom Downs
Desert Cop
Daily Racing
25 EW
@15.00
Lose
-50
A very tentative vote on Desert Cop in the dash, who may not appreciate this if too much rain arrives. Cosgrave has won with 2 of his last 3 runs over 5f here, whilst also being 3/4 a place with 2 winners at 6f. Get It has put a fair gloss on his latest win in Bahrain, and Kodi Lion has franked that form since too. A classy 3yo, he’s been hard to win with since, and a mark of 100 doesn’t look overly kind. He’s drawn bang on the rail though, and Cosgrave can be lethal from the front if he can get this horse out of the stalls smartly. He’s only had four runs over the minimum distance now, including a Group 1 sixth, and with that recent franked form, I’m chancing him as a bit of a wildcard in here outside of the intertwined form of the others.
1 member found this comment useful
14:10 2:10 Epsom Downs
Stormy Impact
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 21.00 on 06/06 at 16:510.00 deduction for Cressida Wildes@41.00 withdrawn at 07:510.10 deduction for Cape Sovereign @9.000 withdrawn at 08:27R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 20.00 x (1-0.1) = 19.00
@19.00
Win
540
Taking a chance on Richard Fahey to do it again with Stormy Impact chanced in this 3yo dash. I think she’s a big price given her sole run on ground with soft in the going was behind a now 100 rated horse. She’ll need a career best, but that run on GS deserves a watch back as she absolutely breezed into the race in the final furlong there. It seems highly likely plenty of rain will arrive, which I think is a big plus to her chances. If she can break well, I’d hope Fentiman just lets her roll towards the pace on the far rail.
1 member found this comment useful
13:35 1:35 Epsom Downs
Cairo
Daily Racing
25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@29.00
Void
0
Royal Playwright winning this would pain me, but he could get stuck in behind and have to do this the hard way. And whilst getting weight all round, I just can’t back him again. The one that made minor appeal was Cairo, who went well at a big price last time. He possibly just got going a bit too soon, but back almost a furlong in trip can bode well given how well he was placed at the furlong point. Prior to that, the horse that beat him had chased home the classy Rebel’s Romance, so there is substance enough to that form. Liberty Lane in behind has also won since, so there is substance to the form. He’s unexposed on ground worse than good, being 2/3 a place on it. 6/6 a place going left-handed, he’s a capable ex-O’Brien horse that is yet to make a mark for this trainer. But with a lack of a real standout in here, I think his chance of being involved is way overstated, especially given he meets Persica on 10lbs better terms here, who is 5/2 and beat him 2-3L at Windsor last August.
1 member found this comment useful
13:00 1:00 Epsom Downs
Sirona
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@6.50
Lose
-50
A tricky opener, and a small chance on Sirona who was a bit too free off the front end on seasonal reappearance. She eventually got run down by 3 race fit rivals, but it was to her credit that she only really faded in the last 50 yards. With that run under her belt, a few lbs better with Bright Thunder, and Ryan Moore in the saddle, she can hopefully latch onto pace on her outside to get a decent position here. Any rain will do her chances no harm, though my main concern is her getting home if they go too hard here with a possible contested pace.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal615
06 June 2025
16:35 4:35 Epsom Downs
Mr Baloo
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@7.50
Lose
-50
More than a few of these apples as being well handicapped in a race where it should pay to be forward. Flight Plan has a leading case from an outside draw and a likely front run, but it could prove to be a long way home for the top weight in here. Mr Baloo could be the one on his inside in a middle draw to get a nice tow into this. He’s produced two decent efforts here, including a win over shorter. He’s proved this year that he goes further than this trip, albeit on the AW, so I’d hope he’s not stopping. His run last time off a fair weight has been franked, and whilst he’s worse off at the weights here with a claimer off in favour of Levey, I do think that may just point towards an improving horse.
16:00 4:00 Epsom Downs
Elwateen
Daily Racing
25 EW
@12.00
Lose
-50
had next to no cover and was probably a bit fresher than this the Fav at Newmarket. With plenty of pace on here and going further, she could settle much better if she can go the pace. Whilst well beaten off, she just seemed to lack something of a turn of foot late on when looking like getting involved. She was given a rating of 108 out of that, but it was hardly a run befitting a horse that is 9 lbs inferior. You have to dig pretty deep to find any obvious stamina in her pedigree, albeit her dam stayed a mile 2 on heavy, so she could stay, and it’s interesting enough that she’s supplemented here with Shadwell pulling out a more obvious type. She brings a similar sort of profile to the connections' Taghrooda, who won two starts before winning here. Rain is certainly in her favour.
1 member found this comment useful
15:15 3:15 Epsom Downs
Ecureuil Secret
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 29.00 used instead of 26.00 takenBOG
@29.00
Win
840
This will hopefully be front runners to the fore with another race that lacks obvious pace. Ecureuil Secret doesn’t look obviously well handicapped for this assignment, but he’s gone well enough in Group company so far. He stays further than this on deep ground, so the rain is a plus to his chances. If Orr can get to the front from a wide draw, he could prove hard to peg back if he’s allowed to freewheel around Tattenham Corner. He’ll be a hostage to fortune at the start, but the negatives are baked into his price in an open-looking handicap.
1 member found this comment useful
14:40 2:40 Epsom Downs
You Got To Me
Daily Racing
25 EW
@21.00
Lose
-50
So, at the odds, You Got To Me ended up being too big a price not to be tempted. This race is hardly littered with winning fillies, but she gets a bit of weight. She’ll need it to compete with the best of these on ratings, but she could be one that shakes up the pace a bit. Whilst she didn’t stay the Leger trip and was firmly put in her place, this is a different test to that, and it’s a track where she’s already finished a fair 4th in the Oaks. She travelled fairly sweetly in that race as well, and I suspect perhaps she may just prove to be a better horse fresh given she won on debut and won on reappearance as a 3yo. She’s a half sister to a horse that has also placed 2nd twice here, so there’s hope she’s just a better horse here.
14:05 2:05 Epsom Downs
Rising Empire
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@13.00
Lose
-50
Always wary of a race where anything could take to the track or take a giant leap forward. There looks to be guaranteed high drawn pace, which makes this interesting for a pace collapse if Rajeev goes forward. I’m hoping he can drag Rising Empire out of the stalls to get Murphy a good sit, as this horse looks overpriced given he’s double the price of Logi Bear, who only just beat him on the pair's respective debuts. The selection had an awful passage that day compared to Logi Bear, who had a free run up the rail and did well to run on for 4th through traffic. He duly obliged 2nd time up when strong in the last half furlong, and with an entry at 7f and a bit more distance in the pedigree, he hopefully won’t be stopping if he can get a good break and a good sit, as well as some luck in running.
13:30 1:30 Epsom Downs
The Waco Kid
Daily Racing
25 EW
@17.00
Lose
-50
I’m chancing a bounce back from The Waco Kid with the rain from yesterday a plus to his chances of a turnaround given his best run was on soft. You have to do a lot of forgiving of his last few efforts, but he did beat Diego Ventura that day. Cheekpieces are enlisted to spark him up, and he could end up being the sole pace in here. If Hollie Doyle can make the most of that and do some sneaking away into the straight, then he could spring a surprise as the top-rated in here despite conceding weight all around.
Subtotal590
04 June 2025
19:30 7:30 Curragh
Tribal Star
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@13.00
Lose
-50
Ex-Godolphin that is untried on decent ground but has been in and around the places on each of his 9 starts under rules. He bumped into a fair type last time, sent up in trip to 2m for the first time. If he can transfer that form to turf, on which he is admittedly 0/2, then he can be in the shake-up once again. His dam acted on this surface, so there should be hope that he can handle it, whilst also being related to a pair that did, and his AW form gives him a chance off this mark. With certainty, he will get this reduced trip. I’d hope he’s ridden a bit more aggressively than last time when he missed the break, and in a race that lacks pace, it could pay to go off the front end and set the fractions, though he could just be undone by classier rivals.
1 member found this comment useful
18:20 6:20 Curragh
Lethimfly
Daily Racing
25 EW
@13.00
Lose
-50
Bit of a wild 5f premier handicap, but a chance taken on Lethimfly who just looked a big price. He was a decent 3rd last time in and around race-fit horses, and he could take the required step forward for that return as he did from run 1-2 last season. Pieces of last season's form point to a well-handicapped horse off a 3lb lower mark. Drawn alongside the favorite here, they could push each other into a decent forward position, with the high draw being a plus. Whilst he’s on the same terms with that rival, having a run in his legs will hopefully knock out any freshness in him.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-100
01 June 2025
15:05 3:05 Chantilly
Detain
Daily Racing
100 WINNAP
@8.00
Lose
-100
An interesting French Derby as ever, and Camille Pissarro, who I backed last time, goes up in trip again. The way he finished in the French 2000, you’d think he’d be a fairly good thing here, but having to do so from stall 1 may prove problematic this time around as you assume he’ll be held up. Detain was equally impressive from an even worse position in the same race and arguably finished a bit better than CP. I think he’s down value to turn it around with the favorite. He found clear air later than the favorite and did a good job weaving through the field. There’s no guarantee he’ll get a clearer run here, but if he can get clear air earlier, I think he’ll prove strong late on. A half-brother to Arrest suggests he could improve for further, and he gets the services of Soumillon, which is clearly no bad thing.
1 member found this comment useful
13:05 1:05 Chantilly
Kimi Rey
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@6.00
Lose
-50
Showed plenty of dash on debut over course and distance, and finished in a better time than the favorite in here over the same track. She jumped violently right out of the stalls, so could be worth a bit more than the finishing distance as well. By contrast, Focus appeared to make fairly hard work of it in his race, and whilst both should step on for their debuts, I’ll chance this horse's franked form to win the day. British raider Super Soldier probably looks the biggest danger with his franked form out of an Ascot race that was won in a decent time by the winner.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-150
31 May 2025
17:00 5:00 York
Daring Legend
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@21.00
Win
75
Delicacy who I backed last time is no price here but is still interesting again. The market suggests that’s the race to follow given the top four in the market are out of that race. I’m happy to side elsewhere in a wide open handicap that 4yo’s generally dominate having won 9/10 renewals. Interestingly 6/10 have been won by claiming jockeys so that’s possibly an angle in, and a pair of them intrigue in the shape of Ziggys Condor and Daring Legend. The former has an interesting record here, but I’d have a slight worry that he won’t quite get home. He could set up the pace for Daring Legend who should have no such staying worries, and with him towards the bottom of these weights adjusted for claim he ended up taking my interest. He was ahead of a subsequent winner last time, and the winner has placed since too. His peak turf RPR came with this jockey aboard which is a plus, and conditions look perfect for a solid run.
1 member found this comment useful
16:25 4:25 York
Cape Breton
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@7.50
Lose
-50
Cape Breton got home well at Ascot when not looking the most straightforward ride. He can learn from that to make a mark here, and he could do so from a fairly uncontested forward position. The worry in that regard is Ryan Moore dictating on Munsif, who won as he liked last time but looks too short for me. With a bit more experience under his belt, I think Cape Breton can take a step forward here, with his conqueror last time being more than race fit, having had a couple of starts so far this season.
1 member found this comment useful
15:33 3:33 Haydock
Volterra
Daily Racing
25 EW
@15.00
Win
45
This looks more open than the market suggests to me, and I thought Volterra could be the most interesting in here. He won when last seen, having quickened up really smartly over this trip at Ascot. He won’t get it his own way in front here, but that said, he could appreciate a strong pace on that evidence as he won in a decent enough time there given the soft ground. That does suggest also he might want ground on the softer side even if he is 2/3 on Good, but with a mark of 103 and two Group 1 entries, the yard must have some optimism that he could improve as a 4yo. So I’m taking on the principles here.
1 member found this comment useful
14:40 2:40 York
Zayer
Daily Racing
25 EW
@12.00
Lose
-50
Zayer gets pitched in against older horses, having never really landed a blow on handicap debut against his age group. He and Loom get 8 lbs from their elders, and both make appeal in that regard. But I am going to follow Zayer again, who I just think should be well handicapped enough to get involved. He didn’t get the best of runs, having missed the break slightly last time, and then got stuck behind a bit of a wall. Hopefully, he’ll improve for it, and he’s lost a lb too, which is a bonus given he wasn’t given a hard time of it late on but still stuck to the task. He was giving a stone to a subsequent winner there, and he’s drawn around the principles, which can hopefully drag him into the shake-up. He’s bred to potentially appreciate a bit further, so he should appreciate a strong pace if he can go with it (he’s 4th on speed ratings in here).
1 member found this comment useful
14:23 2:23 Haydock
Rage Of Bamby
Daily Racing
25 EW
@17.00
Lose
-50
Democracy Dilemma almost certainly guarantees a properly, truly run affair, and I thought Rage Of Bamby could perhaps prove to be overpriced. She’s only got a couple of lbs to find with the top-rated older horse in here, and she’s towards the top of the speed ratings. She’s drawn alongside the pace angle, so hopefully, she’ll get a nice drag into the race. Given she’s generally seen over further, I’d hope she won’t be stopping. Her last of 8 in the Clipper can be overlooked as she had a cut above her hoof there post-race. She’s plainly over that, turned out two weeks later, and being 6/10 a place on flat tracks, she should like it here. They’ve all got something to find at these weights, with Leovanni the sole 3yo who has to be feared.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-30
29 May 2025
20:40 8:40 Sandown
Crack Shot
Daily Racing
25 EW
@8.50
Lose
-50
Crack Shot returns for another crack at this having been a decent 4th off a 6lb higher mark last year. He lacks the upside of some of the 4yo’s so is a risk in that sense, but he’s drawn well to get a good tow into the race which lacks an obvious front runner. He was never travelling when a 10/3 shot at Newmarket last time out. Now 1lb below his last winning mark, you have to forgive him that and hope he’s nicely tuned up for this. The trainers are 6/10 a place here with 4 wins in the last year, and Buick has a sound 9/19 place record when running for them.
19:35 7:35 Sandown
Phantom Flight
Daily Racing
25 EW
@81.00
Lose
-50
An interesting race where on ratings these aren’t split by much. Ombudsman is probably the most intriguing given his potential upside, and you could feasibly see a Godolphin 1-2-3 unless Almaqam can get in the mix as he rightly should. I was happy to have a small punt outside of those though, with Phantom Flight looking well overpriced. With just 4 lbs to find with the best of these, he’s priced as a big outsider. Whilst he needs to improve in this company, I don’t think it’s completely out of the question. His 6th last time has been soundly franked in a Group 1, and even Meydan in 5th has placed in a decent enough Listed event. He’s here without a penalty this time, and back up in trip which is a plus as he never got involved over shorter last time. He made fairly eye-catching late headway when he did, so that effort can be marked up to my eye.
18:05 6:05 Sandown
Moonjid
Daily Racing
25 EW
@17.00
Lose
-50
I can make a fair case for Wicked, albeit he’s a bit short so I’m minded to look elsewhere and chance Moonjid down the bottom of the handicap. Gelded since seemingly not seeing out the mile, it’s interesting that they stick to a mile so he must be showing that he gets it at home. He looked a bit unbalanced at Thirsk when getting passed by a horse now rated 105 in the shape of Tuscan Hills so that’s hardly a bad effort given this mark of 73. A previous 4th in a hot Goodwood maiden also suggests this mark should be well within reach for him if he can show his worth at the trip. At the odds it looks worth exploring.
Subtotal-150
28 May 2025
20:22 8:22 Kempton
Forest Gate
Daily Racing
25 EW
@12.00
Lose
-50
A competitive and wide open handicap, and a chance taken here on Forest Gate. He drops back in trip having not quite stayed further in a fairly decent class 2 handicap when last seen. He makes his seasonal reappearance for an AW debut in a race that again lacks overall pace. He could get a nice sit from stall 7 as he can break well. Notably for me this race has been won by horses towards the top of the weights on each of the last 5 runnings, so whilst his handicap mark is probably about right I don’t mind that too much. Overall in a competitive race he looks overpriced enough for me.
14:30 2:30 Hamilton
Obito
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@SP
Lose
-50
Fairly trappy given the field size, but plenty of these look exposed, which is surprising for a 3yo handicap. I'm happy to chance a more unexposed one here in the shape of Obito, who chased home a now 90-rated horse 2nd time up, albeit getting 21 lbs. He followed that up by chasing home 90 and 86-rated horses, giving away less weight, which would indicate an opening mark of 76 is more than workable on this big drop in class for his handicap debut. The concern really is the others just show a bit more track experience than he will, but from a nice enough draw, he could be one to make all or go well from a forward spot in a race that lacks pace overall.
Subtotal-100
26 May 2025
16:50 4:50 Leicester
Dukes Command
Daily Racing
25 EW
@9.50
Lose
-50
Off since 2023, but that last form does point to a well-handicapped horse if ready to go for David O’Meara. Two AW efforts in and around horses rated plenty higher than 80. His sole turf effort leaves something to be desired, for all it was a race that saw Bellum Justum and Insisherin fill the 1-2. Whilst the market is fairly weak on him, which does temper enthusiasm slightly, I think he’s worth an each-way chance off this mark regardless.
16:35 4:35 Redcar
Liberty Coach
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 15.00 used instead of 13.00 takenBOG
@15.00
Win
420
Has a sound 3/3 place record here and comes here off a fair reappearance 5th at Chester that has seen a number of horses come out and run with credit since. 4 lbs shy of bottom weight in this, he probably won’t get an uncontested lead. But I think you can consider that Chester run a prep run for this given his record here, and with some required improvement, he should be able to get competitive off this mark.
16:15 4:15 Leicester
Huscal
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@8.00
Lose
-50
A fairly trappy 3yo handicap, where the King Power horse will prove popular given they sponsor the race, and he looks to have a fair chance. However, I’ll take a chance on Huscal, who could be more suited to this track than he was at Goodwood last time. That race was run at a fair clip, and this horse traveled quite sweetly into it before seemingly getting a bit unbalanced late on. The drop in trip looks a positive on that evidence, and notably a horse in front there has soundly franked the form since to think there could be some sort of scope in this mark. Blinkers could light him up enough to get close to the front end, and hopefully, he can stay there. Notably, Saxon Warrior progeny are 13/57 with blinkers applied.
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Subtotal320
24 May 2025
15:40 3:40 Curragh
Hotazhell
Daily Racing
25 EW
@10.00
Win
20
With the bookies having this as a straight shootout between the Juddmonte pair, this race has an interesting each way shape about it. They could well be right, and Windlord looks a possible pacemaker as well, but I was minded to chance Hotazhell here who is placed 3rd in the market. A gritty Group 1 Futurity winner, he evidently wants plenty more rain, but on the bare form he’s closely matched with the favorite here having beaten Wimbledon Hawkeye a similar distance. He was arguably value for more as well given the barging match he got into with Delacroix. His cozy course and distance win was won in a time that would have won the most recent 4 of 5 runnings of this on the forecast going, and noting that was in a small field too so can perhaps be marked up even more. With entries over further he could just prove hard to pick up if able to force the pace, and he looks well worth a play.
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13:50 1:50 Haydock
Dixieland Blues
Daily Racing
25 EW
@9.50
Lose
-50
The Fav was first on my shortlist, though the horse he beat reopposes here off much better terms and is double the price making him of interest. However, Dixieland Blues comes out of a race that has seen two horses in behind come out and place, and appears to have got off lightly enough with an opening mark of 85 to be considered here. He’s priced as such being toward the top of the market, but chasing home Pinhole who I think can rate plenty higher, and beating 91 rated Ernst Blofeld off levels suggests he has enough scope off this mark to make the most of it. It’s his first run on turf, but he’s related to some smart horses that stayed further than a mile, so I’d hope he can bounce out in terms and stay there in a race where it’s paid to be drawn low in recent runnings.
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13:30 1:30 Goodwood
Mr Chaplin
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@9.00
Lose
-50
A competitive heat with high drawn pace in Power Fizz who should be feared if able to negotiate a decent position from that stall. I was minded to chance CD winner Mr Chaplin here who has been taken forward before, and I hope that trap 1 forces Kingscote’s hand in that regard otherwise he’ll get locked away. The lack of overall pace suggests he can get a handy position and settle off that high pace, and stepping out of Listed/Group company can see him well handicapped off 96 given the horses he finished behind last time are all rated 107+ now. He’s first time up here for the season so you’re hoping a bit that he’s ready but that’s something I’m willing to chance. A repeat of his CD effort with a clear run should see him go well.
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Subtotal-80
23 May 2025
17:30 5:30 Goodwood
Rocking Ends
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@7.50
Lose
-50
This horse's CD 3rd in September was won in a finale blistering time. Whilst 6th from 7 on seasonal reappearance, he was far from disgraced. Just a lb above his last winning mark at Newmarket, he could be ready to go in with a return here and that run in his legs. Winning almost a year to the day at Windsor made it 2 wins from 4 runs in May, so he could be one to catch now off the back of that recent effort where he was just a touch too keen and fresh. If he can run anywhere near his best (peak RPR of 94, 5 starts back), then he can go in off a mark of 83. Rossa Ryan is 1/1 on him and takes the ride here.
16:55 4:55 Goodwood
Arctic Grey
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 15.00 on 23/05 at 08:500.10 deduction for Sea Founder@9.00 withdrawn at 08:53R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 14.00 x (1-0.10) = 13.60
@13.60
Win
378
Beat a subsequent Listed 2nd on debut who hasn’t had the form franked by Alpine Trail, but it still suggests a mark of 86 could be generous enough for this horse in handicap company for the first time. Whilst he might not have the highest ceiling of these, he just looked the one that was handicapped to do better at this stage on the form evidence, and there isn’t much more to it. He will hopefully get a nice tow into it from one of the outsiders drawn alongside, and with the favorite on his other side, hopefully he’s around the action late on.
15:00 3:00 Haydock
Rogue Sensation
Daily Racing
25 EW
@13.00
Lose
-50
Unequal Love brings obvious claims on last year's best, though this feels like a bit of a recovery mission after what was seemingly a lackluster reappearance. A couple of 3-year-olds are weighted to match her here, getting 9 lbs, and it’s Rogue Sensation that tickled me at the odds. She was progressive in the latter stages of 2024, winning a weak maiden comfortably before following up with a solid Listed 2nd in France behind subsequent French Guineas 5th Better Together, who is a Group 3 winner. The drop back a furlong is a plus on the evidence of that effort, and whilst Bethell has noted his horses have needed the run this year, he is in a fairly decent run of form having had 6 of his last 11 place, and it’s a sole runner for him here where he is 13/26 a place in non-handicaps the last 5 years. There would be hope on her dam's side that she can cope with a quicker surface, and at the odds, looks worth an each-way play.
Subtotal278
21 May 2025
20:10 8:10 Kempton
Brunel Charm
Daily Racing
25 EW
@26.00
Lose
-50
Certainly vulnerable to some of the unexposed younger horses here, but up in class here he’ll be saddling 11 lbs less than anything else courtesy of Dace’s claim. He’s a claimer worth his salt with a 7/16 place strike rate here, whilst being a profitable jockey to follow overall, hitting the places with just over 1 in 4. The horse is 8/15 a place here over the years, whilst being 6/10 a place so far for this trainer. 4/7 a place saddling less than 9 st, this will be his lowest weight carry by some distance, which could well have him outclassed in this company, but it’s intrigue enough for a small interest in a race that could be hard to come off the pace. If he can get a good position and go harder than is forecast, I think that could serve him well.
19:40 7:40 Kempton
Bishops Crown
Daily Racing
25 EW
@17.00
Lose
-50
A wide-open 7f race with cases for plenty but no absolute standout, with these not being split by much on ratings. Bishop’s Crown, I thought, could be of minor interest for all he might want a bit more pace. That said, he could end up being more forward here given he does get further on past evidence, despite not running over further than 6f since 2023. 0/4 on the AW, but he did place twice here as a 2yo over a mile, so there is some hope he could appreciate it. He was tenderly handled after missing the start last time but did run on late in spite of that, so I’d be happy enough to rule that out. He’s got a decent 8lb swing in the weights with the Fav for a fairly close run thing here the time before that and hovers just below his last winning mark now.
Subtotal-100
20 May 2025
16:10 4:10 Lingfield
She Went Whoosh
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@6.50
Lose
-50
Couldn’t turn it round quickly under a penalty, but is a few lbs better off here with a fairly plum draw in two in a race that lacks a front runner. If she can get a clean break from stall 2 she could dictate proceedings from a kinder racing weight up in class. With Leavy’s claim she’s back down to her winning mark, and seemed to win with enough authority to give her a chance here if getting the breaks.
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14:10 2:10 Lingfield
Wadacre Gomez
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@15.00
Lose
-50
Written off after a 14th of 14 at Chester, but showed promise in his run prior to that. He is interestingly 4/5 in fields smaller than 7, whilst also being 5/5 a place (2 wins) in this class. He looks to be floating around a dangerous turf mark on the balance of his form, and with a genuine lack of pace in here, he could be one to make it at his own pace, which has served him well in the past. 5 efforts on turf leave plenty to be desired, resulting in a record of 67500, so clearly he needs a career best on turf, which is why he’s the outsider ultimately, and that certainly tempers enthusiasm.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-100
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