JackpotRod
1
Estimated Prizes
this month
£10
Estimated Prize money
this month
JackpotRod's Tips History
18 April 2026
16:55 4:55 Newbury
Royale Goodnight
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@+1100
Lose
-50
Switches from the Kublers to Harry Charlton, who has a fair 13/36 place strike rate with horses switched to the yard in the last five years. His sole run on turf is one to forget, but his last effort at Southwell under a penalty suggests a potentially well-handicapped horse off a mark of 77. He was giving 6 lbs to a now 80-rated horse there over slightly further than this. The horse behind him won recently (on its next start), and the horse last in that race followed with a win as well. Some better ground looks fine, with a look back through his dam's side, whilst her half-brother acted on a sounder surface. She gets a first-time hood, which is a potential concern, but for one that looks guaranteed to get the trip she’s got a nice low weight in this field, and I think she can go well.
1 member found this comment useful
15:10 3:10 Newbury
Hot Cash
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+4000
Lose
-50
More in hope than expectation, but drawn close to Jimmy Speaking, who looks a some pace angle could drag this horse into early contention. He’s got a feather weight courtesy of Dawes’ claim. If he can get out in terms of position, he can be doing his best work late at a more suitable trip for him. He doesn’t look too badly handicapped back to his winning mark, and adding that 5 lb claim he should be ahead of it. It might not be as much as some of these, but with trouble in running likely in this big-field scenario, I’d hope a nice prominent spot will at least give you a run for your money. Similarly, he may well just be outclassed by something a bit more unexposed, but the market seems to have found all of them.
1 member found this comment useful
14:00 2:00 Newbury
Gonna Fly
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+1600
Lose
-50
Put up a better RPR (95) than any of these managed in debut. That was over a mile here, and he showed a very smart turn of foot to win with relative ease for all he didn’t beat much. It was also on soft ground, so there are plenty of unknowns about this, but I’d have no concerns there even if this is a fact finding message on where to send him next. He won as he liked really, so whilst this is clearly a new level, and some standard is set by Zavateri, he’s entitled to take his chance given that debut effort. I’d be hopefully we see this run at a fair clip with a three way go for the lead bringing in this horse potential stamina reserves.
1 member found this comment useful
13:25 1:25 Newbury
Zaravina
Daily Racing
25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@+1800
Void
0
The fav takes up so much of this market that almost every horse has an EW opportunity at the very least. One that ties into the fav is Zaravina, who ran on well to finish just behind Rose Ghaiyyath. That horse finished 2nd subsequently in the May Hill, just behind 108-rated Aylin, and in doing so beat Moon Target by a couple of lengths. Moon Target then beat today’s fav in her next race. So on balance, to me this price looked way too big to ignore. She’s got a couple of smart horses in the family in Vadamos (120) and Voldango (108 RPR). James Doyle is a fairly rare booking for the trainer; he is 6/10 to place over 7f (4 wins) since 2009.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-150
17 April 2026
17:25 5:25 Newbury
Change Sings
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+750
Lose
-50
2 lbs lower than when second in this last year. He reappeared with a solid effort, and considering how much he improved from run 1 to 2 in 2024, I think you can expect better here, as he has taken the same exact route and same position as he did last year. Two runs and two places at the track. He is drawn on the high side, which might not be ideal, but the overall lack of pace in the race could prove in his favour late on given his relatively light weight. 5/5 a place at this level (13223). He should run his race, and it’s a big plus seeing this jockey aboard, as he is the only jockey that has won on him, being 6/10 a place, with 5 of those being wins.
16:55 4:55 Newbury
Astrazar
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@+1200
Lose
-50
Shaman Champion and Astrazar look interestingly treated of those at prices, but with Walker having 8 places from his last 12 I’m minded to chance the latter. With his last run being well advertised, you can upgrade that effort further. He missed the kick and had traffic to contend with, and had a torrid passage late on. Strong at the finish, having weaved through the field from a detached position at a track where it can pay to be prominent, he just looks too good to ignore off this opening mark of 86, given the horse he beat there into 2nd was just 3 lbs higher and is rated 98. Two from two at 7f, he’s proven himself to be adept in big fields, and is 1/1 saddling 9st or less.
15:42 3:42 Newbury
Alfaraz
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+900
Lose
-50
A competitive novice, but a small chance on Alfaraz to take to this step up in trip. His grandmother produced a couple of horses that stayed this far, and further back in his lineage you find Santiago. Her sire was Doyen, so that’s an obvious stamina influence. He’s faced two unconventional tracks in Goodwood and Epsom so far, losing both times by a similar distance. He looked far better on debut, rather cantering into it from the rear without ever looking like he was going to pass. On that evidence he could prove interesting in a bigger field scenario where he’s likely to get a bit of cover, as he tried to make all at Epsom subsequently and never really looked like he wanted to be up front. He could be up against it with two smart-looking market leaders, but looks worth his chance with some high-profile entries in the offing.
Subtotal-150
16 April 2026
17:20 5:20 Newmarket
Crimson Spirit
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@+1600
Win
55
Reappeared last year with a decent big-field 3rd, after which he went on a three-race winning run. Just 4 lbs above that last winning mark, he did go well off 2 lbs higher at Musselburgh, suggesting that he is capable off this sort of mark. He’s shown an ability to get slightly further than this, so assuming they go hard enough the added stamina could come into play. This 9 st 2 lbs is actually his lowest weight carried in 17 runs so far, which is of interest to me for one that fares better over further. The Kyblers are on fire, with 17 places from their last 23, 7 of those winning. The horse’s best efforts have been when bouncing out and being up with the pace, though with four pace horses drawn alongside each other in the middle that could be hard to do. I’m hoping that plays into this horse’s added stamina reserves, with the lower weight carry than he’s used to helping him late on. The jockey is 2/2 a place for the trainers.
15:10 3:10 Ripon
Empress Olivia
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+550
Win
275
With the jockey claim, this filly is 3 lb lower than her mark of 66, which she ran off last time. She got a 2 lb rise for that peak RPR in a lower-class race. Shoved up in class, she’ll be off an absolute feather weight in a race that lacks many other front runners. She’s well drawn to make all here on the win, so if she can break smart under this claim, I’d hope she’s hard to catch. 2/3 a place on good. A CD winner, she is top in speed, and the jockey is 2 from 4 for the trainer here.
15:00 3:00 Newmarket
Elmonjed
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+1400
Lose
-50
Time For Sandals could be too good for all of them back in class, so is not taken on lightly but will hopefully need the run. The one I thought could take some sort of step forward was Elmonjed. He’s far from spectacular, but notably Marquand is on here and is 3/3 on board. He’s 3/4 on good ground, and was a fairly cosy winner of a Listed race at York when last seen. He’ll need to reproduce that, although he tends to run his race, and with a G2 entry in the offing he’s clearly considered better than this level. The headgear comes off, which I don’t think is an absolute negative, although an entry at York concerns me as this could just be a prep for that given his solid record there is 3 from 5.
13:50 1:50 Newmarket
Albaydaa
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionBest Odds Guaranteed SP 9.50 used instead of 7.50 takenBOG
@+850
Win
17
Only one horse from the last nine renewals has won off a higher mark than 89, which is a crude but effective way to cut down this sizeable 3yo handicap. Albaydaa ended up intriguing enough for a small play from the bottom of the weights. A horse she beat when last seen has done plenty for that form, most recently finishing third in a Group 3. An opening mark of 83 on that form looks more than fair against the smart Almeraq. I think she’ll be more forward than the forecast pace maps suggest, and the ability to get further can help her late on off this relatively light weight. Drawn alongside the face with a pace angle on her inside, hopefully she’ll be dragged into the frame and stick on up the rising ground. Saffie is 2/2 for a place for Haggas in the last year, winning one.
Subtotal297
15 April 2026
15:35 3:35 Newmarket
Awaken
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+3300
Lose
-50
No shortage of pace in here, and I wonder if, unusually for this course, the pace could completely collapse. Whilst you’ve got to be wary of horses with few runs, four of the last five winners of this had more form than that in the book. There are plenty to choose from overall, with some just looking to sneak some early-season black type. The one I thought was disrespected was Awaken. She’s beaten Fitzella, who is half the price. She’s unexposed on good ground, having won her only effort on it, so perhaps found quick ground too much here last time. Second to Venetian Sun in the Albany suggests a horse that should also get further in time. That hidden stamina can hopefully bode well for this, and I think on balance she’s just a touch overpriced for me to ignore for connections that have taken this in previous runnings.
15:25 3:25 Beverley
Air Force One
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+450
Win
225
Cobwebs somewhat blown off with an AW effort in February means this isn’t this horse's first start of the season. Actually, that was a peak effort on the AW for a horse that acts better on turf, so I think you can mark that up. Vulnerable to 4-year-olds who have an excellent recent record in this, but he’s relatively lightly raced. His best efforts have come at York. Barring a stumble over the path, he may well have a CD effort to his name. He’s well drawn and could get a nice tow into it from the only horse on his inside. 3/5 a place on Good; I think he could hit the frame here.
1 member found this comment useful
15:00 3:00 Newmarket
Skukuza
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@+700
Lose
-50
An open race on ratings, with five of them between 114 and 111. It’s the 111-rated Skukuza that interested me. He’s got runs under his belt from efforts abroad. But it was his staying effort over this trip at York last season that interested me most. He got shuffled back and did well to come from last two-thirds when looking for a run late on. Once he got into clear air, he really stuck to the task well. In a field of six here, hopefully he won’t have too much traffic to contend with. Moore is back on again and was on that day too, whilst also being two from four aboard. Five of seven a place on good ground; he has a record of 2113 in fields of eight or less. Two of three a place here, with a going-away win in a handicap off a lowly mark to his name. There are no qualms that he’ll handle the track.
1 member found this comment useful
13:50 1:50 Newmarket
Diligently
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionBest Odds Guaranteed SP 17.00 used instead of 13.00 takenBOG
@+1600
Win
55
A frustrating horse, but not without talent. He seemingly can either end up last or in the frame based on last season's efforts. His peak efforts suggest he could still be well handicapped if he’s stepped forward from 3??"4. He did finish last season with a peak RPR, and he finished a good 2nd on reappearance last year, so he could be one to catch fresh. There isn’t a blistering pace on, and with two pace angles in 1 and 2 he could have something to aim at from 3. A nice low weight here can prove beneficial. Usually he saddles plenty more, and in just his 2nd run in a Class 2 handicap I think he’s worthy of an each-way play. He’s been gelded, which Cox (ironic) will hope focuses his mind on the job, and he’s 13/31 placed with first-time geldings in the last 2 years.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal180
11 April 2026
16:00 4:00 Aintree
Champ Kiely
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+3300
Lose
-50
This has been the domain of younger horses in recent times, but 10-year-old+ horses filled 4 of the top 6 places in 2024, so I’m not too out of by that. With a field full of older horses, it was a lightly raced one in Champ Kiely that I thought was of interest. He’s got staying ability very much to prove, but he does share a sire with Mr Vango, who stays all day, and he did win at his longest distance raced on ground that wasn’t soft. He rather cantered into that race before finding plenty late on this time last year. It’s not really worked out for him since, but it’s of some interest to me that Danny Mullins steps back on, having been on for his finest runs, including that 3m2f win. Hopefully there isn’t too much rain. Whilst he’s not the obvious choice of a stayer over this far, he’s small and nimble over his fences, so hopefully he can conserve his energy and find a late kick.
3 members found this comment useful
15:05 3:05 Aintree
Take No Chances
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@+2500
Win
100
Tricky and trappy at the top of the market, so I’m going to side with Take No Chances here. She was bullish in defeat when headed late by Strong Leader at Wetherby, when looking like the winner for a long way. She was subsequently ridden cold before staying on well behind the same horse and Impose Toi. It gives her something to find, but if she can be ridden more positively I think she could make use of her mares' allowance in this bigger field. She’s racked up a decent record over 3m+, and perhaps her ability to stay a bit further than this trip could prove beneficial. Rarely beaten far other than one blot from nine tests at the trip, it was a surprise to see her back in trip the last twice. A consistent sort that will give her running, she looks a big price based on her efforts behind Strong Leader.
1 member found this comment useful
14:30 2:30 Aintree
Chance Another One
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@+2000
Win
75
On a major recovery mission after two poor efforts, the reapplication of the tongue tie provides some intrigue for this bottom-weight horse. It was applied on his first start for Mullins and he duly obliged. He kept on for a solid next effort; that was on soft ground, which Mullins has been clear he doesn’t want. You can upgrade that effort back in August, and he’s progressed since, peaking with a win at Kempton over 3 miles when he looked like a horse with something in hand. He was poor behind Lookaway at Kempton ??" almost too bad to be true after a number of mistakes, which he’ll need to cut out to get competitive here. Overall, in a rather middling race, I thought he looked a bet.
1 member found this comment useful
13:55 1:55 Aintree
Rooster Crowing
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+2200
Lose
-50
French raider who is battle-hardened over there with 28 runs under rules. He wasn’t far behind Losange Blue, who had previously beaten 152-rated Jet Blue, so whilst getting weight there it’s a decent level of form. Losange Blue is a proper horse, beating the likes of Hewick and July Flower back in 2024. The trip is a big enough question mark for him, as is the ground, but I’m happy to chance him on that. The trainer has had six winners in France in April, so is in fair form. He was entered into the 2-miler here on Friday but swerved that to go over further, which is interesting enough, as is the substitute if Bryony Frost follows the expected jockey’s injury.
1 member found this comment useful
13:20 1:20 Aintree
Quantum Quest
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+2000
Lose
-50
Plenty of these ran in the Pertemps, and it’s along those lines that Quantum Quest could come into play. Fresh, having not run since December when giving 7 lb to Good Girl Kathleen. She did little for that form, but it should be noted that before that this horse finished four lengths behind Supremely West getting 10 lb. He’ll get 5 more here, and while that might not be enough to turn the tables in itself, he’s fresh off a big break which can gain him even more. A proven 3-miler on decent ground, he could be underestimated off this mark if he’s had any sort of progression behind the scenes in the last few months. Hopefully he’ll get forward to make the most of that proven stamina, and he’s generally ridden forwards anyway, so hopefully he’ll be doing his best work late.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal25
10 April 2026
16:40 4:40 Aintree
Talk To The Man
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+1200
Lose
-50
Some proven stayers versus some yet to prove it versus some that look like staying, and this throws up an interesting contest. It was Talk To The Man that looked a fairly tempting price to me, having won with consummate ease last time, eased down late. He beat a fair marker in doing so ??" a 135-rated horse ??" so his mark of 130 can be largely ignored. A point winner whose mum is a sister to Lord Windermere, so stamina should prove his forte in a race that will demand it as an extended 3??'miler. Those proven over the trip should make this a test, but it should give him something to aim at with a couple of pace angles involved. Fourteen of the last 24 winners of this missed the Festival, so perhaps some freshness can be the key in this one.
16:05 4:05 Aintree
Mahons Glory
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@+2000
Win
75
Madara could continue his progression in this, but I’m minded to side with one that’s proven over the fences in Mahons Glory. A fading fifth in the Becher when flying off in front and getting pegged back late, he’s gone well at reduced trips twice since, and no more so than last time at Huntingdon. A 6 lb rise for that, and a career-high mark, could curtail this 10-year-old, but a course-and-distance fourth in the Sefton off just 4 lbs lower in November was another sound effort. He’s got a bit to find with Excello on that off similar terms, but I’d be hopeful he can stay a bit better this day off this low 10 st 7 lbs. Some company out in front might help to settle his early pace a bit better, but largely you know what you’re going to get from him. 5/6 a place on GS ground (3 wins), he’s 6/7 a place at the trip, and 5/5 a place off 31??"60 day layoffs. In a race where there are cases all over, this horse definitely deserves his chance here.
15:30 3:30 Aintree
Leau Du Sud
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+1200
Lose
-50
An easy winner on his only try over this trip over fences, L’Eau de Sud is a clear second choice on jockey bookings but looks a bit more targeted at this than Grey Dawning. He went well at Cheltenham when third behind Il Etait Temps, and that was his first run in three months. He’s 2 from 4 off 15??"30 day layoffs, so might not feel the effects of that effort, especially having had that run to potentially blow away some cobwebs. He shaped pretty well at Cheltenham and just looked a bit one-paced up the hill. He’s a sound jumper in a race that lacks pace, and he could be one to make this in the hope that it sets it up for Grey Dawning, but he doesn’t actually have a great deal to find with the top horses in here being just 5 lbs off Heart Wood, for whom this is also surely a consolation prize. I’d hope Durrell just lets him go to see if he stays as well as he did first time over fences.
14:20 2:20 Aintree
Miami Magic
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@+400
Lose
-50
Skipped Cheltenham, unlike those above him in the betting who all had hard races there. He ventured to Newbury for a try up at almost 3 miles and rather demolished a field that he would be expected to beat if he’s to get anywhere near this level. He did beat Regents Street off worse terms than this at Cheltenham in January over 2m4f, with a spring-heeled leap at the last and staying strongly up the hill. He looked to have plenty of running left in him and duly obliged up in trip for the first time. Going over slightly further here does look equally interesting, as he didn’t appear to be stopping there either and was spring-heeled over the last there too. He should get a nice tow into this from Doyen Quest and will hopefully be hard to pass if they don’t go too hard.
1 member found this comment useful
13:45 1:45 Aintree
Fingle Bridge
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+3300
Lose
-50
Skelton’s French recruit interested me, but he’s got mixed form; some of it suggests a well-handicapped horse. Olly Murphy throws five at this prize, and, whilst perhaps not the pick on jockey bookings, I was minded to forgive Fingle Bridge his effort at Sandown. He was taken off his feet by a strong pace and never got into the race at all. Back up in trip can suit him here. Barring a mistake at the last, he’d probably be facing a bigger mark than this when chasing home Cheltenham winner Meetmebythesea at Ayr. He followed that up with a decent weight-carrying performance in heavy ground at Warwick, and he’ll need to repeat the feat here, but I’d hope the flatter track can see him home stronger. Plenty of his back form suggests a well-handicapped horse off 137 if he can put it all together and cope with this racing weight.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-125
09 April 2026
16:40 4:40 Aintree
Javert Allen
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@+800
Lose
-50
Two of his three wins have come saddling between 10st 8lbs and 11lbs, and he gets the bottom of that here. He’s also 4/4 to place from a 31??"60 day layoff, while being 6/8 to place going left. Back to 2m also looks a plus, with two of his three wins coming over this trip, at which he is 6/8 to place. Back down to a mark that saw him finish 2nd to Ryan's Rocket, he’s on a few pounds better terms here over a slightly shorter trip, which is also a plus. He saddled top weight, giving 6lbs to Highlands Legacy over course and distance in November on reappearance, and he gets a 13lb pull with that horse here. He’s got to put his last run behind him, but on balance he just looks too well handicapped to ignore, for all he may prefer a bit more juice in the ground. He’ll probably be there to be shot at, although there’s a lack of obvious pace in the race, with Sans Bruit likely to push on with him. That could serve the pair well against a glut of hold-up performers. Cheekpieces go on, which are an interesting addition.
1 member found this comment useful
15:30 3:30 Aintree
Lets Go Champ
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@+1100
Win
30
1-4 from the Cheltenham Hunter Chase come here for this shorter version, and that all again probably favors Barton Snow in truth. He’s a worthy favorite, but the one I liked at the prices with five places available was Let’s Go Champ. Clearly not without issues, being a lightly raced 11-year-old. He went well last time when beating Hunters Yarn, getting just 2 lbs, who commands a rating of 153. He looked to be on the way to winning recently when falling late. This horse also beat Journey With Me and City Chief before that; both of those wins have boosted that form. Both wins were on heavy ground, and he looks more capable on good ground, so you can perhaps right the up even more. 5/1 JF when pulling up in a Grade 3 this time last year??"there’s a chance he could just be swinging from the front rank. With a guarantee largely that he’ll stay, hopefully he can take some of these off their feet if he can go the pace, as there doesn’t appear to be bundles of it.
2 members found this comment useful
14:20 2:20 Aintree
Blueking Doroux
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+2500
Win
131
Bucketloads to find on ratings, but going back left-handed could be a plus for Nicholl’s horse, who hasn’t shown his ability yet over jumps. He’s been held out wide on the last two occasions at Kempton, often looking like he wants to go left, so this track could be more to his liking. He’s priced accordingly, but the first-time cheekpieces did help to sharpen up his jumping last time, and they’re retained here. Shoved up in class, he could well end up with a bit of a freebie up front, and he showed last time that he does at least possess a bit of an engine, fighting on well off a big weight in a handicap. As I said, he’s got loads to find; the 5-year-olds do have a poor record in this, which does put you off Lulamba, for all it could be a procession for him. Of the older horses, Jax Junior is held by Lulamba, and Koktail Divin may prefer softer ground.
1 member found this comment useful
13:45 1:45 Aintree
Ammes
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+3300
Lose
-50
Mange Tout seemingly had ground excuses last time, which she won’t have here. She is tempting as the freshest of the top of the market, with the other four all running at Cheltenham. However, I thought it was perhaps Ammes who was a touch overpriced to hit the frame in this, despite him being well beaten by Winston Junior in the Fred Winter. He travelled well behind Minella Study before shanking the last couple of hurdles somewhat at Wetherby. He stayed on stoutly and was not beaten far at all. With a better round he can go well. Owen reaches for the visor to sharpen him up, which isn’t necessarily a negative move. He was in the process of running a good race at Cheltenham before ultimately not staying up the hill. On this flatter track, he’ll hopefully travel much better in a race that should leave no hiding place.
3 members found this comment useful
Subtotal61
06 April 2026
17:00 5:00 Fairyhouse
Showurappreciation
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+1600
Win
55
Mark Walsh’s pick of JP’s is fairly unoriginal, but he’s been finishing strongly over 3m or thereabouts, so he looks worth a second look off a nice low weight carry. The longer trip and lack of obvious pace should see him able to lie up a bit closer to the pace here, as he was under pressure from a long way out last time. The manner of his win suggested he had plenty more in the tank, overhauling the second, who got first run on him, with a fairly devastating finishing kick. He looked to be doing so without a swing of the old persuader, so perhaps he has plenty more in hand than the 9 lb rise he’s been slapped with. His win in the Amateur National a few starts back suggested the same, so hopefully he’s been plotted nicely toward this race.
1 member found this comment useful
16:25 4:25 Plumpton
Sea Invasion
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@+500
Lose
-50
Some proven thorough stayers in here, and you can almost take your pick from all of them. I liked the profile of Sea Invasion, who is 3/4 here, including two wins at just north of 3 miles. It’s his first time at this trip. He’s lightly raced this season, and his last chase has worked out well. That was a peak RPR, and he’s lost a couple of lbs for it, taking him to a tempting mark. His pedigree suggests he can take to this new trip. A hurdles run soon prior to this suggests this has been the target all along, especially given his strong form this time last year. The ground looks ideal. Whilst this will demand a career best, he’s aided by a nice low weight. 5/8 a place (3 wins) when facing an uphill finish. Sam TD being back on is a plus, as he has an excellent 13/49 strike rate here in the last 5 years, being 4/6 (3 wins) for the trainer in that time.
1 member found this comment useful
15:45 3:45 Plumpton
Easy Love
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+1100
Lose
-50
A few cases to be made here, including a sound one for the current fav, but it was a Honeyball horse again that interested me. Chad Bament steps on to take this horse a lb below her winning mark at Windsor a few starts back. She acquitted herself well enough in a smart Grade 2 event at Warwick on heavy ground, which seemingly didn’t suit. Back to a sounder surface here is an obvious positive. Pulled up over 3 miles since, she’s clearly not suited to that trip, as she’s shown on a few occasions now. So, back in trip significantly here should see her in a better light. Bament’s claim has her towards the bottom of the weights here, and with a potential free ride up front, hopefully she’ll take some pegging back.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-45
05 April 2026
16:05 4:05 Plumpton
Indemnity
Daily Racing
50 WINNAPNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 8.50 used instead of 6.00 takenBOG
@+750
Win
375
Indemnity ran Alexei to within a similar distance, defeated off similar terms to Helnwein, who looks better weighted with the favourite. So I think he’s worth forgiving his latest effort, given he’s getting plenty of weight from that horse here. It was arguably a couple of mistakes that put paid to this horse’s chances last time. Freshened up since, he can prove to be well handicapped enough here. With an entry in the Scottish Champion Hurdle in the offing, he’s going to want to be winning this to get into that. Whilst Lavelle’s form has fallen off a cliff, her form at the back end of March shouldn’t be sniffed at. The horse did win first time up for the season, suggesting the break since December is nothing to be feared.
15:10 3:10 Bath
Hold A Dream
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+550
Lose
-50
Beautiful Diamond holds the cards on ratings, but she’s not prolific for all she could have. Found a good chance here. Hold A Dream has a similar profile, but, ever the fan of a horse stepping back in trip, she’ll do for me. She’s got something to find on these terms but did hit a peak RPR on her first start last term of 102. She’s up towards the top on speed ratings, so with a mix of speed and stamina for further, I hope she can be staying on late when others are crying off in a race that can get going from a long way out. Any Clive Cox horse over 5f should be respected here, with him being 14 from his last 40. A three-time winner of this race, he knows the type, and with this horse tied closely into Beautiful Diamond via a couple of horses, I think she can be considered overpriced from a mid to high draw that I don’t mind. It will hopefully guarantee her a clear run of things late on, which can often be a problem here as she’ll have to go the long way round.
Subtotal325
04 April 2026
15:42 3:42 Musselburgh
Canons House
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@+1200
Lose
-50
You have to be minded to forgive a couple of down-the-field efforts for this horse. But drawn in the right place with a forward-going style in a race with a glut of pace, I think he could be staying on well off a light weight. A winner on reappearance last year, he proved a handicap blot, winning a further three times to jump up the handicap. Now just 2 lbs above his last winning mark, he’ll need to break on terms as he hasn’t the last twice (obvious over 5f, of course). But he’s 4/6 to place in fields of this sort of size (12??"15), and whilst being 3/3 to place in uphill finishes might not be obvious for this course, again it points to one that stays a strong 5f well at a sharp track. Drawn alongside some pace can help him if he doesn’t get to the front, and he looks a big price overall with plenty in his favour for me.
1 member found this comment useful
15:20 3:20 Haydock
Neon Moon
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+2000
Lose
-50
It was Rian Corcoran’s 7 lb claim that swayed me, though, as this takes Neon Moon to a mark of 123, which is below his last four winning marks. The jockey has been well utilised by Pipe, being 13 from 48 for him. He’s 10 from 34 over fences, and sits on 19 winners, losing 2 of his 7 lbs after 20 winners, so hopefully they’ve been waiting for this one. Indeed, he’s only had one ride since mid-March, and that was a few days ago, so he’d have kept the 7 lbs for this even if that had won. I think it’s an interesting angle, and takes this horse down to a low racing weight of 10 st 8 lbs on suitable ground. The only time he’s faced good ground this year, he won. On balance he looks a big price for one that should stay the trip well and be doing his best work late. In the hole they go a bit too quick for some of these to get home.
1 member found this comment useful
15:05 3:05 Musselburgh
Gentle Warrior
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+1200
Lose
-50
The favourite Gambino should be respected here, but Skelton's 0/11 on the flat is off-putting enough to take him on. Gentle Warrior looked unexposed enough over this trip to chance, and Saffie aboard here interested me as she’s 5/8 for a place here, winning 3. This race lacks obvious pace, so this horse could be one to make it as he has led in the past. With a record of 2/1 in races of 10 runners or more, he’ll have to defy a career-high mark but he could still have something in hand here. He was in the process of running a good race when a short-priced favourite beat him last time in October, but he got squeezed when making a run. Ridden under hands and heels after that, he was being saved for another day. He’s got an entry at Newmarket in a race that would need him to jump up the handicap to even get close to getting in. He has shown he can mix it with horses of this calibre at Haydock the time before last, and with a win at the very sharp track in Chester, he can cope with this sharp track.
1 member found this comment useful
13:25 1:25 Musselburgh
Utmost Good Faith
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+550
Lose
-50
Needs to transfer some decent AW form back to turf against some more unexposed horses. His run last time off levels just behind two horses rated 103 suggests a mark of 89 is still achievable. The last three races over this trip with six runners on this ground have seen all the winners come from stall 5, which he breaks from. Crouch is 1/2 here, and Boughey is 6/7 a place, albeit with just the one win here, so I’m not sure he sends this horse without a chance. The horse comes out top on speed achieved so far and has stamina in his pedigree for a bit further as an added bonus. The big negative is his turf form in Ireland, which he needs to put behind him if he’s to figure, but overall that looks worth chancing.
2 members found this comment useful
Subtotal-200
28 March 2026
15:32 3:32 Doncaster
Theoryofeverything
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+3300
Lose
-50
Vulnerable to the glut of 4-year-olds, but I thought this horse was somewhat interesting here, back to the same mark as his peak RPR last season. He’s in better terms with some of these, albeit not all of them. In those runs he had excuses. He has a better record fresh than it appears, running with credit on each occasion. I think if Orr can get him a bit more prominent, he could end up getting involved in a race that lacks overall pace. His win last season off 2 lbs lower saw him forward, so he is capable of it. He doesn’t lack for pace overall and sits in the top third of the speed ratings of the horses in here. He won’t be many people’s idea of the winner of this, but I do feel he’s overpriced enough to hit the places.
2 members found this comment useful
14:25 2:25 Doncaster
Vincent Rocks
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+2000
Lose
-50
I would hope the pace on the high side gives that side an advantage, as you generally want to be drawn at or near the extremes here. The one that made appeal as being overpriced was Vincent Rocks, who is drawn alongside a pace angle, and actually beat the fave on debut off worse terms than this. A flop over a mile and two since, he’s priced on that effort potentially, and a bit of cut in the ground can help his chances. He’s a risk, as he’s the most unexposed and least experienced horse in the race, but on balance, the manner of his victory on debut suggests a horse that does have some ability. He broke slowly there and took a while to get going in the straight, but was well on top of his rival at the line.
1 member found this comment useful
13:50 1:50 Doncaster
Aramram
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@+1200
Win
360
He’s got something to find on ratings here, but Aramram looks worth a shot up in class. Rarely out of the frame over 6f last year, culminating in his mark rising above 100 for the first time. He won over course and distance back in 2024 on soft ground in a time that would have won this last year, and in doing so beat Spycatcher, who currently sits as favorite here, so he doesn’t lack ability. 2/2 for a place when returning off a break. The top of this market looks ripe for taking on, even if this horse doesn’t come out on top on ratings adjusted for weights here. He could be drawn in the right place to get a good tow into this, and his ability to stay a stiff 6f at Ascot could bode well for a strong finishing effort if he isn’t outclassed.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal260
25 March 2026
15:41 3:41 Hexham
Court At Slip
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@+850
Lose
-50
2/2 a place over 3m4f or further. He’s been running OK this season without setting the world alight. He’s 15 lbs lighter now than he was when posting a career-best RPR over the longest distance he’s tried. He’s been warming up this season, posting a season-best RPR last time. A lack of pace in here makes things a bit muddled, and he could be front rank; whoever is forward could get an easy time of it. If he can go forward and dictate a bit, he’s on the right side of the weight carries to see things home at this marathon trip, despite being up against some unexposed horses.
Subtotal-50
22 March 2026
16:27 4:27 Carlisle
Trac
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+1000
Lose
-50
Trappy, but Trac is on a bit of a roll and could cope with a 3 lb rise for lugging too much weight to victory last time. 2/2 since the application of blinkers. His sole effort in a Class 2 was a win here off just 1 lb lower than this. 2/4 here. He’s also 5/11 with this jockey aboard while being 6/11 between February and April. He’s vulnerable to unexposed rivals, but he’s a fairly prolific winner in lower grades and worth his chance up in class.
15:52 3:52 Carlisle
Upfordebate
Daily Racing
25 EWNAPNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 19.00 used instead of 15.00 takenBOG
@+1800
Win
64
4/8 over fences. This horse gets nudged up in class while benefiting from an additional 5 lb claim, so he will be lugging just 10 st 3 lbs here. That puts him not far off 2 stone lighter than Hudson De Grugy, who he followed home over course and distance while receiving 11 lbs a couple of starts back and is 13/2 here. He might just not have the class to mix it in overall, but that effort suggests he could in the right circumstances. 4/9 over 3m+. He’s also 3/6 when saddled 11 st or less.
15:17 3:17 Carlisle
OFaolains Glory
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+1200
Lose
-50
She’s a fairly poor strike-rate and is vulnerable to younger, unexposed rivals, but I liked the setup for this horse here with a two-way go for the lead. She should be forward and she stays further. She gets a nice racing weight of 10st 10lbs and will hopefully not be stopping late on suitable ground. She’s had a spin over hurdles since her last chase start, where she posted an RPR of 114. She’s on a career-high mark to negotiate now of 108, adjusted to 105 for the jockey claim, who gets on with her well (4/7 a place aboard). Nudged up in class, her only other run at this level was over hurdles, where she placed last March behind a horse now rated 127 and getting just over a stone, so she could cope with the rise in grade over fences.
Subtotal-36
21 March 2026
15:00 3:00 Newbury
Fresh As A Daisy
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+750
Lose
-50
Gets a pretty big 13 lb weight pull with Indannya for a close-up defeat, with that horse being a similar price here. Whilst neither heads the market, it does suggest this one is on the overpriced side anyway. Her sole win came on good ground, so drying ground should hold no fears. This is only her third time up for the season. She could have taken a sizeable leap forward after nearly three months off the track. Notably, her sole win came off a similar sort of break last year. Bowen knows her well, being 3/4 a place on her, and her best efforts have come going this way round (left).
1 member found this comment useful
14:10 2:10 Kelso
Crystal Days
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+1800
Lose
-50
A few of these tempted at prices, but Crystal Days has some interesting form in the book and looks to be in quite light on handicap debut while also getting the benefit of Pritchard’s claim. Six lengths behind 122+ rated horses in October off level weights is the standout, so any repeat of that effort can see her go well off an adjusted mark of 102. Drying ground would be a bonus, and Pritchard is 3/4 a place with 2 wins round here. Nudged up in class for handicap debut, she’ll go off a feather weight post wind surgery.
1 member found this comment useful
13:50 1:50 Newbury
Grand Vendetta
Daily Racing
50 WINNAPR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@+600
Void
0
Looks to have got off potentially lightly from an opening mark of 120 after just two runs. Most recently, he finished ahead of a subsequent winner, albeit while receiving 7 lbs. He finished behind Modern Man on debut, who has some proper form to his name, including runs behind Kingston Queen and Kripticjim, who are rated considerably higher than this. That horse was also third behind 144-rated Skylight Hustle in a P2P, which adds some gloss to the effort. He lacks experience, but hopefully he has enough leeway in this mark to get involved in this admittedly open event.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-100
20 March 2026
16:30 4:30 Musselburgh
Monsieur Le Fuzz
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+2500
Lose
-50
1 lb above his last winning mark, this horse's last race has worked out well. It was a race in which he returned to form post wind surgery, and did so lugging 12 st round Catterick over further than this. The winner has won since off 3 lbs higher, and the third has finished a close second. Off a 2 lb higher mark, this horse is inconsistent but looks worth a go to me. His trainer had the winner of this a couple of years ago and has had horses in and around the places in the two runnings since. Indeed, she’s had horses in the top five in each of the four runnings where she’s had runners. Pace-wise it should be set up for one that stays further, which he does, and his sole win came with the addition of first-time headgear, which is switched to a first-time visor today.
16:07 4:07 Newbury
Kalista Love
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+850
Lose
-50
A consistent sort in this grade, being 5/7 a place in Class 4s. Better than ever last time; she kept finding when seemingly beaten. The horse in 2nd has come out and repeated that effort since, as a bonus. Up 5 lb from that could curtail her progress, but I like her consistent profile and liked what she found last time, late out for this slightly longer trip. A bigger field should also ensure a sounder gallop here, and she’s towards the bottom of these weights, although they aren’t split by much. She stayed further than 3 miles at Warwick, so perhaps this in-between trip can be the one for her again to follow up.
15:55 3:55 Musselburgh
Linalene
Daily Racing
25 EWNAPR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@+650
Void
0
Up in trip for handicap debut, and based on his latest effort he looks very well handicapped. Finishing behind a horse rated 121 while receiving 7 lbs, the pair had a 122-rated horse well behind. So a mark of 107 looks potentially very lenient. Prior efforts leave something to be desired, so he needs to repeat that effort on ground that might not be to his liking. However, the mark looks good enough to overlook that. With distance in the pedigree, he should appreciate the extra 4 furlongs.
Subtotal-100
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