JackpotRod

I'll get you an odds on shots beaten, but also give you some long odds winners with hopefully some insightful reasoning to help you to decide whether to follow me in or not. Back all my own selections with my own cash.

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JackpotRod's Tips History

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30 April 2025
13:40 1:40 Ascot

Unquestionable

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@6.50

Lose

-50

Hannon has landed this on 2 of the last 4 runnings and sends this horse in stable debut. He’s got form in and around some of the best 3-year-olds last season. So whilst needing to step up first time against his elders, he rates an interesting chance with Moore on board, who knows the horse from his time with O’Brien. The big break is a fair concern as it’s clearly unknown how much ability he has taken forward, but with just a pound to find on official figures, you’d hope he can be in the reckoning.
29 April 2025
15:05 3:05 Punchestown

Rocheval

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@21.00

Win

75

Devilish handicap where I had a shortlist of 5, and I landed on Rocheval for Lucinda Russell, who has a huge weight swing with fellow UK challenger Stay If You Want To, who is half the price. The selection ran that horse to within 4L, saddling a stone more, but is 12lbs better off here, having fallen when running a big race since. This drop in trip looks no bad thing if he can go what will likely be a fair pace, and an ability to get further should bode well for him staying on regardless. 3 from 5 on soft, he probably wants it softer than this, but hopefully, it is soft enough for him.
27 April 2025
15:45 3:45 Southwell

Minnie Wildes

Daily Racing

25 EW

@15.00

Lose

-50

Interesting and open sprint, and a chance taken on Minnie Wildes who bumped into horses now rated 90 and 85 on handicap debut in October. A mark of 78 potentially underrates her here back in trip as she’s one that could get forward and make most of a light weight. A lack of an obvious front runner would suggest you’d want to be on the speed, and assuming she doesn’t get locked away from a low draw I think she can get involved in the finish if she can break on terms.
25 April 2025
15:00 3:00 Sandown

Haatem

Daily Racing

91 WINNAP

@5.50

Lose

-91

Another really interesting race with chances all over, with the top 5 in the market split by just 3lbs. It’s another race that lacks obvious pace, and I thought Haatem was on the overpriced side here with Buick setting the fractions. His 3yo form speaks for itself and plants him firmly in the mix here as his rating would suggest. Of the others, the lack of pace would surely count against Tamfana and she may struggle to concede weight to the males here, Alcantor has it to prove on a sounder surface, Dancing Gemini needs to prove that his last run was no fluke and it’s hardly been franked, and whilst Lead Artist probably has the highest ceiling of these I’d wager he has targets over further. Overall I just felt Haatem was too big with potential for a soft lead.
14:25 2:25 Sandown

Arabian Crown

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@5.00

Lose

-50

Almaqam looks a worthy favorite in this fascinating contest, but can be taken on at the odds for me. Not the choice of Buick, but Arabian Crown I thought was of some interest back here where he boasts a good record. Posted wide on his return at Meydan, he got beaten by the break and ended up pulling too hard with Buick dictating a steady pace and making all on Silver Knott. If he can get to the front here, there doesn’t look to be much pace involved, and with Ryan Moore aboard for what I think is a first ride for Appleby, he could be in the right hands to set the right tempo. The drop back in trip is a plus for him in that regard too if he can get forward.
13:15 1:15 Sandown

Zayer

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@6.50

Lose

-50

It’s clear that a top weight in a 3yo handicap can prove vulnerable to an improved on seasonal debut, but Zayer has kept fairly solid company in his last two starts finishing in and around some decent yardsticks. That could prove crucial in this with the remainder aged between 76 and 92. A couple of these do look more than fairly handicapped in the shape of Brosay and Redorange, though the former has it to prove on better ground in turf, and Zayer potentially holds Redorange on bare form on a line with Aesterius. I think he’s worth a chance, despite top weight, as a horse to try and make all over 5f that gets further than this at a suitable track for that style.
23 April 2025
14:18 2:18 Perth

Next Left

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@8.00

Lose

-50

Saddling 12st last time in a higher class of race, and drops back in class and down to the bottom of the handicap here, which must be a rarity. He hasn’t had the best of 2023, but was better last time after two poor runs prior. The winner of his last race has placed since to frank the form of sorts. He’ll certainly do better over slightly further here, being 6/8 a place at this trip, and any return to his best form off this reduced mark can see him involved in the shake-up. Skelton is 10/19 a place when sending them to Perth in the last 5 years (10 winners from 33 here overall).
1 member found this comment useful
22 April 2025
14:45 2:45 Epsom Downs

Rathgar

Daily Racing

25 EWNAPNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@9.00

Win

15

A lack of pace can see an easy lead for one that wants it. A few of these reoppose from Doncaster, and the one that looked to get the worst trip overall was Rathgar, who is one that has gone forward in the past. He has a want for further, and goes off a low weight here. So if he does go forward and gets these working earlier than they want, I think he can go better than last time where he got posted wide and had to cover more ground than most of those that reoppose here. 3/4 a place in fields of 7 or less, he’s also 3/5 on undulating tracks so could take to Epsom. Probert is 4/7 a place on him and is 2/4 for the trainer here. The extra places are probably worth taking with various firms.
14:10 2:10 Epsom Downs

Prince Of The Seas

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@6.00

Lose

-50

Goes against some fancier pedigrees, but this horse has kept some fair company so far and fairly dispatched the Fielden winner when last seen. Trinity College and Tiberius Thunder arguably hold all of these on form around better horses, but the latter has rather played his hand in that he didn’t race as a 2-year-old, and the former may just be better with some cut in the ground. Another negative for his chances in my book is just 2 of the last 11 winners of this came in with a run. I’m happy to chance the improvement of this horse from 2 to 3, and with a 3-way joust for the lead, I’d hope they all end up going a bit too hard and set it up for this horse to strike from just off the pace.
20 April 2025
16:05 4:05 Plumpton

Sir Gerhard

Daily Racing

25 EW

@17.00

Lose

-50

This is a different ask for She’s A Saint, for all she’s a tempter at the odds to go well. The one that ultimately tempted me was the formerly classy Sir Gerhard stepping into handicap company. He’s flattered to deceive this year, but did finish 3rd in a decent Sandown Grade 2 around this time last year. His latest run has worked out pretty well, with the other 3 of the front 4 running solid races in defeat in decent company since. He could make light of an opening handicap mark of 147, albeit the British handicapper hasn’t given him much rope on this season's form. He’s got some decent efforts to his name on better ground, and I think he has a better chance than his odds at rolling back the years here.
15:41 3:41 Bath

Englemere

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@13.00

Lose

-50

This race has gone to classier types in recent years, so you have to be wary of the higher rated horses, but I’ll chance Englemere for Boughey. She progressed steadily throughout the season, with arguably her best efforts coming over a bit further than the bare 5f. That could help her overcome a higher drawer as she’s going to have to go a bit further than those on her inside to get a decent track position. She ran a decent 2nd on debut over course and distance to suggest she’ll handle the track, and she acts on any ground. She’ll need to improve to take this, with a risk she’ll sit in the stalls which could put paid to her chances early. That said, a forecast strong pace will hopefully see something running on late if the front runners cut each others throats. The 10lb claim for the 3yos here certainly brings the majority of them into the reckoning.
12 April 2025
15:35 3:35 Ayr

Spanish Harlem

Daily Racing

25 EW

@17.00

Lose

-50

Mullins bingo in here, but I feel like Spanish Harlem was worth siding with being 4 lbs lower than when 4th in this last year. He’s had his mileage steadily increasing over 3 runs this season, which culminated in a decent effort in the National Trial, which has seen the front 3 do something for the form. He might need a bit of rain to be seen to bear effect, but if he can be ridden a bit more positively knowing he’ll get the trip, I’d hope Hayes, who was desperately unlucky in the National, can smuggle him into this late on.
1 member found this comment useful
14:00 2:00 Newbury

Nardra

Daily Racing

25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@9.00

Void

0

Has the most to prove of these with just 1 run under her belt, which she won with the minimum of fuss. She was pretty green when looking for her turn of foot, but she certainly found it late on. I’m not sure she’s pitched in here lightly and sits in the “could be anything” category. There are dangers abound with some smart horses in here, but she’s a stoutly bred, pricey sort who is well worth her place in this company on that evidence. She should be improving for stepping up in trip.
1 member found this comment useful
09 April 2025
15:48 3:48 Leopardstown

Bluedrum

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@7.50

Lose

-50

Improved with every start last year, and is pitched in against some older boys on seasonal debut for just the second time. The first time she went against them she was a ready winner on debut, and whilst she needed the run on the face of it on her 2024 return she had excuses that day, so she has potential to go well fresh here. She could get a free hit out front, and with a decent record in fields of 9 or less (132), I think the smaller field of 6 could see her in a good light. Cheekpieces can help her run her own race, and with them applied first time, Harrington is 13 from 79 in the last 2 years.
13:48 1:48 Leopardstown

Etawa

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@7.50

Lose

-50

You’re going against an O'Brien favorite with all the entries that will need to step up on what she’s shown so far and doesn’t set an unobtainable standard for a newcomer in here. Neither does anything with a run. Any of the newcomers are worth a shout, with O'Brien's Two For Joy interesting with a claimer aboard. It was Aga Khan's Etawa that interested me though, being from a predictably smart family. Weld has won 5 of the last 11 renewals of this and has been knocking in plenty of winners, so she looks worth a shot in the dark at the odds, with the pricey Twomey newcomer also one to be feared.
06 April 2025
15:25 3:25 Cork

One Smack Mac

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 9.00 on 06/04 at 11:460.15 deduction for Easy@6.00 withdrawn at 14:11R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 8.00 x (1-0.15) = 7.80Best Odds Guaranteed SP 11.00 used instead of 7.80 BOG

@11.00

Win

25

Interesting getting stacks of weight from elders here, with only something to find on official ratings with Vespertilio on these terms. I think on good ground he could slightly be underrated off 98 anyway, given she chased home 101 rated Rebel Diamond when last seen on this surface. It might not take much to improve and win this, though he’s had a pipe opener which can help, and his best run was 2nd time up last year. The only running of this on good ground was won by this trainer-jockey combo, albeit no 3-year-old has won this.
05 April 2025
17:35 5:35 Aintree

Quaviste

Daily Racing

25 EW

@13.00

Lose

-50

Quaviste came there swinging on debut and picked up nicely, if looking very green late on. Considering he was switched off and had to round the field on the home bend, he found plenty even when wandering around late on, being strongest at the line. Up in trip here, he looks to me on that evidence like he can get competitive here. The horse he beat has won since and did come into that having had a run against one of the principals in here. Whilst that form also gives this horse a bit to find, I do think he can improve a jolt here. The yard's bumper horses have been faring well all season as an added bonus.
1 member found this comment useful
16:00 4:00 Aintree

Three Card Brag

Daily Racing

25 EW

@26.00

Lose

-50

It was Three Card Brag for a badly out-of-form Gordon Elliot that ticked some boxes and just looked overpriced. I backed him in the Paddy Power Chase when a claiming rider just went way too early out in front and got picked up by others who saved something. He wasn’t beaten all that far and gets plenty of weight from horses that beat him that day. Just 1lb above a reduced Irish mark, he shouldn’t get that treatment with Sean Bowen aboard, who will do his best to smuggle him into the race and deliver him as late as possible. A solid jumper (completed all his starts), the ground is a query, but he’s related to a 4m winner, so stamina should not be doubted, and his weight carry of 10st5lbs I just found too good to ignore on balance of his form as he could have plenty of weight in hand.
2 members found this comment useful
15:05 3:05 Aintree

Jetara

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 34.00 on 04/04 at 22:350.00 deduction for Dashel Drasher@67.00 withdrawn at 06:570.25 deduction for Teahupoo @3.750 withdrawn at 13:53R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 33.00 x (1-0.25) = 25.75

@25.75

Win

98

There are plenty of cases, and whilst 8 females have attempted to win this getting 7lbs and not win this, I did find the case for Jetara an interesting one given the last 4 mares to run in this race have filled 4 places on 5 occasions (Roksana 2nd twice). She was a gutsy winner of a Grade 2 when keeping Kateira at bay late on over 3m. Dropped in trip since, she did well to stick on for 4th in the Mares Hurdle in a race that’s been soundly franked since. She’ll need a career-best to win here, but she’ll cope with the ground, and De Boinville has ridden her too, so he’s an interesting booking. He was on when he took her to a Grade 1 2nd behind Ballyburn about a year ago, which is form that also entitles her to respect when staying on well despite a mistake at the last.
1 member found this comment useful
13:55 1:55 Aintree

Honesty Policy

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 17.00 on 04/04 at 21:320.00 deduction for Moon Phases@151.00 withdrawn at 06:030.50 deduction for Lulamba @1.909 withdrawn at 08:19R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 16.00 x (1-0.5) = 9.00

@9.00

Win

240

Lulamba is clearly the one to beat, but up in trip. Whilst it shouldn’t be an issue, you’d think he’d be ridden to get the trip, which would concern me slightly, for all he should just outclass these older horses. That said, I felt Honest Policy was in the overpriced category here, with the majority of the rest similarly rated. He’ll surely appreciate the step up in trip on breeding related to horses that get plenty further. He shaped last time like the step up in trip could bring out a jolt of improvement, staying on really strongly late when pushed along a way out. He’ll need to jump better in the main, and the ground you’re taking on faith, but you’re more than compensated by his price.
2 members found this comment useful
13:20 1:20 Aintree

Barry Lyndon

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@19.00

Lose

-50

A shortlist of 7 speaks to the competitiveness of this, and whilst the Skeltons pair are tempters, I’d be reluctant to back Catch Him Derry as short as he is. Kamsinas is tempting with franked form, but the weight carry may prove a problem there. The one that ended up tempting me was Barry Lyndon for a trainer who is taking just his 2nd trip to Aintree in the last 5 years. He’s had 5 runners here since 2015, and 3 of them have placed, so I don’t think he’d send one without any sort of chance. The horse's last two runs tie him into some interesting and solid Cheltenham form, and on both his last two starts, he’s shaped as if an extended trip would be achievable. In a wild race, I think he’s overpriced enough despite a career-high mark.
1 member found this comment useful
04 April 2025
17:15 5:15 Aintree

Shes A Saint

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionBest Odds Guaranteed SP 26.00 used instead of 21.00 takenBOG

@26.00

Win

750

You’re taking a big risk that she’s ready to go after a big break, but Skelton is hardly an unknown for throwing one in after a lengthy break. 20/1 about a horse with some classy back form is a price I’m happy to take. Her good ground form in and around horses now rated 140+ speaks to a horse well in here off 124 in the context of this race. She’s a forward-going horse who stays further, and Durell's claim is a massive 3lb bonus for a horse that’s never been out of the first 2. 365 is a big outlying price.
1 member found this comment useful
16:40 4:40 Aintree

Western Knight

Daily Racing

25 EW

@21.00

Lose

-50

Mister Meggit looked interesting among the short ones, but I was inclined to chance one here at a bigger price in the shape of Western Knight. Twice a winner on good ground, he had the subsequent Albert Bartlett 4th behind before unseating latest in the River Don. Granted, he was weakening there, but I think on better ground he is certainly overpriced even if he has a bit to find at the ratings here. I think he’s ultimately underrated given what he did at Cheltenham in November and could feasibly be half the price he is.
1 member found this comment useful
16:05 4:05 Aintree

Lisnamult Lad

Daily Racing

25 EW

@23.00

Win

85

A wide open Topham, and I’ll chance Lisnamult Lad back on a sounder surface. He should be nice and forward, which is generally the place to be here. He took a step in the right direction last time after two disappointing efforts on softer ground. He’s a lb higher than when winning at Cheltenham in October, and his form on a sounder surface is just far more convincing, so drying ground here will be a big plus. He has shown an ability to get further, so should he get forward enough, I’d hope he won’t be stopping. And hope is all you can reach for in a wide open Topham.
1 member found this comment useful
14:55 2:55 Aintree

Jet To Vegas

Daily Racing

25 EW

@15.00

Lose

-50

Beat a fairly decent field at Kelso, in particular beating Castle Carrock by 9-10L, who had previously beaten Diva Luna. Her subsequent 3rd in the Mares Novice at Cheltenham puts plenty of gloss on that form and entitled this horse to be at least competitive here to my eye. Lucinda is a fair 3/4 a place at Aintree in Grade 1 Hurdles since 2021, winning twice with Ahoy Senor and Apple Away, so she knows one when she’s one. She’ll need one or all of the top 3 in the market to underperform to be in the mix, but there is enough juice in the price for me to have a small play.
2 members found this comment useful
14:20 2:20 Aintree

Helnwein

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@15.00

Lose

-50

A trappy race for me with two last time backed at the top of the market, but I’ll take a chance on Helnwein all the same. A venture chasing hasn’t gone to plan, but he’s run with credit mostly, and no more so than chase debut when running into a now 148 rated animal giving plenty of weight away. He’s beaten some of these on worse terms when last seen over hurdles, and whilst this step up in trip is an unknown, he was 3rd in a point behind Croke Park, and breeding would indicate he should get further than the trips he’s tried so far. Two of his three wins have come in fields of 17 or more, so he should be at home in this hustle and bustle.
1 member found this comment useful
03 April 2025
15:30 3:30 Aintree

Wodhooh

Daily Racing

25 EWNAPNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 9.50 used instead of 8.50 takenBOG

@9.50

Win

28

The roughies in here could do any sort of spoiling by going too hard, or not going fast enough. So whilst it should be a fairly straightforward matchup between the front two, as we’ve seen recently, anything goes in these races. Wodhooh has been lightly raced this campaign, perhaps with an eye for this race, and she’s been a ready winner in two competitive handicaps so far. She looked to have won both with more in hand than was perhaps obvious, going away from the field on both occasions without being completely reached for. She’ll get no such luxury in a small field, but with a habit of getting her head down and nose in front, I think she’s a fair price to hit the two should one or the other of the principals falter.
1 member found this comment useful
14:55 2:55 Aintree

Embassy Gardens

Daily Racing

25 EW

@13.00

Lose

-50

A few tempters in here, in what looks perhaps more of an open race than it looks on paper, but especially when you consider the highest-rated horse in here is actually the outsider, which is surely a rarity. Embassy Gardens I just felt was overpriced coming out of the Irish Gold Cup, where the form speaks for itself. Interestingly, he’s fresh for this off a 90+ day break, and with him being 3/3 a place with 2 wins off breaks bigger than 120 days, freshness could be the key for his effort. He’s Townend's pick too, which adds a positive, with Paul being 3/5 aboard. The ground is a real unknown, which is a hint perhaps to his price, but I’m not convinced they’d be running here if they didn’t expect him to take to it.
1 member found this comment useful
14:20 2:20 Aintree

Naturally Nimble

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@7.00

Lose

-50

Fairly smart flat pedigree and readily dispatched a fair 138 rated horse two starts back. Less good last time, although was conceding weight to two horses who acquitted themselves well in the Triumph. Held back since that run in December, he could find something extra for the return to better ground on the balance of his flat form. I’d hope that Live Conti has some of these out of their comfort zone enough for something to pick up the pieces up the straight.
1 member found this comment useful
02 April 2025
15:37 3:37 Musselburgh

Eternal Sunshine

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@9.50

Lose

-50

A disappointing favorite in the Ayr Bronze Cup when last seen, but was running off a 1-day break there and had excuses in the run in what was a bunched finish. She desperately needed the run last season and kicked on from there with wins at 5 and 6f. I think she’ll benefit here from being off a featherweight of 8 stone in a race that doesn’t lack for horses that will be taking each other on. In a field of this sort of size, she’s 411121 since switching to handicaps, and while she may lack the obvious class to take this, I do think there’s enough in her favor if she’s ready off this break.
01 April 2025
15:55 3:55 Kempton

Ideal Des Bordes

Daily Racing

50 WINNAPR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@4.50

Void

0

Didn’t go so well last time, but this horse has proven staying power so the step back in trip should suit. He steps into an easier grade at the bottom of the weights and will be more than suited by the drying ground. He bumped into now 123 rated Eyed over 3m on his penultimate start giving away 8lbs on which he is better judged, and that horse has finished a close 2nd since suggesting this horse is still well handicapped at the right level despite his PU last time. He could get a free hit at the front end here in this small field to push the stamina of some of these where the trip is a question mark. Henderson is a solid 9 from 42 with horses off first time wind surgery in the last two years.
30 March 2025
16:30 4:30 Ascot

Bretney

Daily Racing

25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@19.00

Void

0

Interesting race, with the top two in the market hard to split. I thought an old friend was worth a swing though, and Bretney drops back significantly in trip here. He handles the going, and, whilst he won’t get a free hit up front, he could prove dangerous off a low weight if he is able to freewheel. This is a genuine class drop for him into Vets company, and I don’t mind him back at 3m at which he is 5/10 a place, and the stiff nature of this track can be more of a test anyway. 6/7 a place in fields smaller than 7, although with no wins, he’s also 6/9 a place with weight carries below 10st7lbs, which he’s at here.
1 member found this comment useful
15:40 3:40 Doncaster

Dark Thirty

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@8.50

Win

225

His mark has taken a tumble, but Dark Thirty won well when fresh last year and drops in class here but still finds himself towards the bottom of the weights. 3/5 a place with 2 wins at this level, you can forgive him plenty of his efforts last year in competitive big field handicaps. Whilst this is the same, hopefully the class drop can make a difference, whilst also being the first time he’s run over 6f in this class. He’s certainly more exposed against some less exposed, which is the biggest cause for concern, but overall there looks enough in his favour to give him a chance of hitting the places at least.
29 March 2025
15:35 3:35 Doncaster

Orne

Daily Racing

25 EW

@21.00

Lose

-50

A lack of pace in here if you believe the pace maps, which does make it a bit more of a mess than it would otherwise be anyway. After much deliberation, I was minded to give Orne a swing on handicap debut here. His best form would have him well handicapped off 97 anyway, but with an added 5lb claim from Luke Catton, I thought an adjusted 92 was of real interest for one that should be forward enough. On the face of it, the trip is a question mark, as the horse's career has gone the wrong way over 6f. That said, he was a decent 2.5L 2nd when splitting two horses now rated 107 and 109 respectively off level weights over a mile at Chelmsford. Indeed, he's placed on 3 of 5 runs at the trip, and granted not got his head in front, but some of those were at the highest level so can be forgiven. Ground should be fine for him, and with him being just 1lb off bottom weight, hopefully that can see him home well.
1 member found this comment useful
15:15 3:15 Kempton

Queen Of Atlantis

Daily Racing

25 EW

@34.00

Lose

-50

A few of these potentially just outclass the rest on ratings, but I was minded to take on Soprano at least, whose worst effort has come fresh on 2024 debut. Crimson Advocate probably doesn’t have that worry but has it to prove at the trip, and Shuwari has a huge break to overcome despite the fact she could be the classiest of the lot. That leaves fillies rated between 78 and 94 who shouldn’t be winning this in ratings, but I still thought Queen Of Atlantis could be a nice price to hit the frame. She chased home a now 104 rated Fair Point when last seen, who she had previously beaten, suggesting there could be some sort of scope in her to be plenty better than this mark. 3/5 on the AW and 5/7 a place at a mile or further, her ability to get further and a lack of pace could see her go well if she can get forward from a wide draw. Hutchinson is 4/6 a place on board, winning 3, so his presence is a positive.
1 member found this comment useful
13:50 1:50 Doncaster

Rogue Encore

Daily Racing

25 EW

@23.00

Lose

-50

A seemingly wide-open Spring Mile, and a chance taken here on Rogue Encore, who found a jolt of improvement when switched to the AW with 3 good runs in quick succession in November with cheekpieces applied. Royal Zabeel puts real gloss on the form of his latest effort, given he is now rated 111 and didn’t beat this horse far receiving 2 lbs. The Rogue's horse has a bit to prove back on turf, but I’d be hopeful the retained cheekpieces can see him continue an upward curve and prove well handicapped off 84 towards the bottom of these weights. Hopefully, he can get a nice drag into the race by Naepoint despite not being drawn the best in a mid to high draw. The trainer has an in-form jockey booked who has 14 winners from 37 rides in March.
1 member found this comment useful
27 March 2025
20:00 8:00 Chelmsford City

A Major Payne

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@15.00

Win

45

Benacre has been well backed and could get a soft swing of things up front, but his from 10 record at a mile wouldn’t fill me with confidence for a 3/1 shout. I’m hopeful A Major Payne can prove a major pain to the rest here (dum dum dum). He was 2nd, well beaten, behind a horse rated 96 now two starts back, leading on heavy ground over 7f. Prior to that, over a mile, he was 2nd close up behind a horse to be given a rating of 87. Those runs were sandwiched between two runs at Newmarket where I can forgive any horse a poor run, and he missed the break on both occasions as well. Down in class on seasonal reappearance at a track where his sire goes well (14 from 72), I think he’s plenty unexposed enough to chance off this mark under more usual conditions. Michael Bell may actually be on fire with 6 winners from 7 runners, and whilst draw 9 from 12 is not ideal, hopefully he can get a good early position.
18:10 6:10 Wolverhampton

Camtank

Daily Racing

25 EW

@17.00

Lose

-50

There’s potentially not an unobtainable standard set here by those with some runs, so the newcomers here I thought were worth a look. Camtank intrigued the most down the bottom, as not much in her pedigree other than her sire would suggest she would want this extended trip. She is half related to some winners at the trip, so there’s a chance she gets it. She’s thrown into it on debut getting all the allowances, and with Haggas being 7/8 a place (4 wins) with first-time-out 3-year-olds in the spring, there’s a fair chance she can mix it in here on that alone. So at the odds, I’m going to have a small play in the dark.

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