JackpotRod
I'll get you an odds on shots beaten, but also give you some long odds winners with hopefully some insightful reasoning to help you to decide whether to follow me in or not. Back all my own selections with my own cash.
1
Estimated Prizes
this month
£15
Estimated Prize money
this month
JackpotRod's Tips History
01 November 2025
15:45 3:45 Ascot
Henrys Friend
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@13.00
Win
360
A shortlist of 5 is a problem for this puzzle, but the one I came down on was Henry’s Friend. There are doubts everywhere, and the main doubt for him perhaps is his need for a run, as he’s never won fresh. What you can’t really doubt for him is that he’ll stay this trip in the right conditions, as he’s been beaten by further at Cheltenham, and didn’t stay the 4m Scottish Grand National. This trip should be fine though, and he’s a Grade 2 winner here on his only jaunt to this venue. He’s still entitled to progress further than this mark all things considered, and in a race that doesn’t look the best renewal I’m hoping he’s just a bit too good for this field despite being close to top weight and in the drift.
1 member found this comment useful
15:10 3:10 Ascot
Dance And Glance
Daily Racing
25 EWNAPNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@8.50
Win
12
A few options here, but I’ve gone for the unexposed angle on Dance And Glance, who put up a career-best RPR on reappearance. He’s got form in and around horses rated much higher and can easily step up for the reappearance effort. Barring an error at the second last, he probably would have won and been far higher in the weights than the extra lb he gets here. With a clear round and a nice weight carry, I think he can mix it up in class for an in-form Honeyball, who can do little wrong at the moment. A lack of pace may not play to his chance, but he showed a likeable turn of foot before that mistake last time. Being entitled to improve for the run, I think he’s got a great chance of being involved.
1 member found this comment useful
14:05 2:05 Ascot
Special Cadeau
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 11.00 on 31/10 at 16:400.20 deduction for Leau Du Sud@4.50 withdrawn at 06:590.10 deduction for Boothill @10.000 withdrawn at 07:010.15 deduction for Martator @6.000 withdrawn at 08:33R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 10.00 x (1-0.45) = 6.50Best Odds Guaranteed SP 8.00 used instead of 6.50 BOG
@8.00
Win
10
A competitive affair, and it would hurt to see Issar D’Airy take this, who I backed in this last year. At just 1lb higher, he’s clearly got a chance, but Special Cadeau looked to me like he would improve for the effort last time, as he has done on each of his second seasonal starts. If he can, he can make the most of this weight carry, with a bonus 3lbs from Mike O’Connor. The trip at a stiff track may stretch him, but I’d hope the weight carry can counteract that, and he’s been campaigned in some top company so could be much better than an adjusted 139. His last effort has been boosted by a subsequent grade 2 scorer, but he seemingly wouldn’t want too much rain to get into watered ground.
1 member found this comment useful
13:30 1:30 Ascot
Lylian
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@4.33
Lose
-50
I initially liked Old Gregorian, but he’s been taken out, which doesn’t leave much to go at. But at 4/1 the field, it looks like an interesting race despite only being four runners. There could be a fair pace on here, with three of these looking likely to want to take this forward. I’m hoping for some throat cutting here as a result, and with Gary Moore chucking in a 4-year-old with a weight-for-age allowance, I’m hoping he can make the most of a featherweight with that 9lb allowance. It’s hard to judge if this is a good mark, but he was purchased for a dialect punchy 95 thousand Euros in July. He’s out of a dam that has produced a few winning chasers now, albeit none off this sort of mark. Moore has won 2 of the last 8 renewals, including with a 4-year-old Nassalam.
12:55 12:55 Ascot
Sage Green
Daily Racing
25 EW
@13.00
Lose
-50
Looks fairly treated, like a few of these, but could take well to the step up in trip being an easy winner of a P2P. Was 2nd behind now 124 rated Inside Man when last seen who won on reappearance, beating a 114 rated horse in the process giving away a few lbs, so a mark of 113 could be more than fair for a big horse that has plenty of size and scope about him. His siblings did plenty of good work over further than the minimum trip which bodes well for a decent run here.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal282
25 October 2025
14:55 2:55 Cheltenham
Electric Mason
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 15.00 used instead of 13.00 takenBOG
@15.00
Win
45
Tricky and trappy, but a small chance on Electric Mason who steps up in trip here with stamina in the pedigree out of a dam who is related to a National winner. He placed in and around some smart horses in Novice Hurdles, and whilst he’s yet to capitalize on his mark in handicaps, adjusted for claim a mark of 125 could be attainable in the right scenario. He’s gone well twice off a break so could be one to catch fresh.
1 member found this comment useful
14:20 2:20 Cheltenham
Ballycamus
Daily Racing
25 EW
@17.00
Lose
-50
3/4 a place with an uphill finish. This horse comes here off a decent effort that has hopefully stripped some freshness off him. He needed last year’s reappearance, so if he can step on for the effort like he did last year, he could put up a career best. His only try further than 3 miles was a fair effort in 3rd, saddling 12st. He’s just a few lbs shy of bottom weight here, so that gives him as good a chance as any of getting home for a trainer that won this with Cogry off the same weight carry. If he can get rolling off the front end, then he can bring the weights into this hopefully.
1 member found this comment useful
13:10 1:10 Cheltenham
Kdeux Saint Fray
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@13.00
Lose
-50
2nd to a subsequent winner when last seen off level weights who is now rated 10lbs higher, this horse was thought good enough to mix it in Grade 2 Novice Hurdle company. Whilst he failed there, he’s quickly sent chasing off what could be a fairly lowly mark. The fact he’s thrown straight into a handicap suggests the trainer thinks the mark could be exploitable for this point winner.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-55
24 October 2025
16:45 4:45 Cheltenham
Harrys Hope
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@15.00
Lose
-50
The favorite made the three-horse shortlist for this, but in a race like this, I can’t be taking 11/2 after Smugglers Haven has been well found in the market. Harry’s Hope made appeal in the end at double-figure odds. He’s placed 2nd three times over further than a mile, and his penultimate effort in July split two horses who are now rated 137 plus now. He was getting just 7lbs from Art Of Diplomacy there, suggesting a mark of 107 adjusted for claim should be feared. A sound seasonal opener can be improved upon, and to be 7lbs lower thanks to jockey claim is a bonus.
14:25 2:25 Cheltenham
Zaochen Enki
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@8.00
Lose
-50
A mark of 115 minus 7 lbs could just about do for Zaochen Enki on handicap debut, providing Paul Nicholls' horse with a joint bottom weight of 10 st 1 lb to carry round. He proved he could get further than the 2-mile trip in France, so shouldn’t mind this stiff 2m. He shouldn’t have to have improved much to better than an adjusted mark of 105, and whilst 7/1 is short enough, I think it’s a nice enough price for a small chance to see him beat up the hill.
1 member found this comment useful
13:15 1:15 Cheltenham
Supreme Yeats
Daily Racing
25 EW
@34.00
Lose
-50
All kinds of angles into this one, but the one I like is a horse that is out of the handicap here, albeit brought back into it with a jockey claim. Supreme Yeats stays further and gets in here off a real featherweight. My hope is the jockeys just go way too hard here with a possible fight for the lead, and it can just set it up for one with stamina assured. The worry then is if he can stay in touch at this level, but I’m happy to chance that as he’s been fairly consistent in bigger fields, being 6/6 a place in fields bigger than 12. Soft ground is the biggest negative as he’s unproven on it, but his price compensates if he takes his chance.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-150
21 October 2025
16:10 4:10 Perth
Fostered Phil
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@7.00
Lose
-50
Proved an adeptness for a bit further last time when staying on from the rear into 3rd. With an obvious pace on here, that could suit this horse, albeit there are some unexposed types that could spoil the party given this horse is 11. This horse handles it here though, has a sound 6/11 place record in this class, and he is 5/5 a place between September and December, a period in which he saw his 2 wins arrive. One of those was with Jamie Hamilton aboard, who is 2/2 a place on him, and being lightly raced for his age, he could still be well handicapped based on his 2023 form.
2 members found this comment useful
14:35 2:35 Yarmouth
Ladykirk
Daily Racing
25 EW
@17.00
Win
55
A 2-year-old guess on this debutant, but she’s from a smart family whose grandmother produced three 110+ RPR horses. There’s no shortage of stamina in there, so I’d expect her to get this trip well. She’s a full sister to Raknah, whose best 2-year-old effort by far was over a mile, so it’s an interesting starting point for this fairly pricey sort. Any negatives and unknowns look fairly compensated by her price. The trainer has a positive P/L here with her first-time 2-year-olds in the last five years. While just 6/16 places and 3 wins in there, it’s still a fair record.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal5
19 October 2025
16:35 4:35 Leopardstown
Genealogy
Daily Racing
25 EW
@13.00
Lose
-50
Not much I can see in this horse's pedigree screams that he’ll stay this far, but with Cleary taking off 5 lbs, he could prove to be well handicapped on his initial form off an adjusted mark of 90. He split now 104 and 111 rated horses on debut and followed that up with a decent 5th in the Autumn Stakes, not all that far behind 99+ rated horses. Quick ground was plainly not his bag at Newbury on his only try over further than a mile, so back to a looser surface will help. Cleary has been riding out of his skin, with 7 wins from his last 17. With an added 6 lb weight for age allowance as well, his claim puts this horse 11 lbs well in against most of the field, and whilst he’s on the drift, I still think there are enough positives to give the pricey son of Wooten Basset an ew chance.
1 member found this comment useful
16:15 4:15 Limerick
Pride Of Place
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@8.00
Lose
-50
Bottom weight on the upgrade, could bounce in this grade but looks worth a chance that he doesn’t. He’s got some decent efforts in the book at this sort of trip, and not many either, so he’s unexposed. His dam is a half-sister to On The Fringe, so he could well be one for further as well, and he has placed over further. Going for a trainer in cracking form, he’s the pick of Mark Walsh.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-100
18 October 2025
16:40 4:40 Ascot
Oliver Show
Daily Racing
25 EW
@26.00
Lose
-50
A wide-open Balmoral, with horses well in here off their marks, making it a right muddle. I’m going to chance Oliver Show, who isn’t one of those, but is 4/7 a place at a mile, with 2 wins. Whilst he’s 0-10 on turf as a big negative, his two efforts on turf on these shores this year have been his best showings, with his peak RPR being a 2nd behind Godwinson, giving away a lb. He’s 8 lbs better off with that horse and is a similarly big price here. So whilst that might not be the form to take this, I still think he’s overpriced. Hafeet Allain looks a lone pace angle drawn alongside, and he could find it tough to make this an all-the-way win. But at the very least, it should put this horse on the right side for horses being up there with the pace, assuming he doesn’t get locked away behind most of the field. Hopefully, Billy Loughnane can make the most of this horse being towards the bottom of the weights late on.
1 member found this comment useful
16:05 4:05 Ascot
Almeric
Daily Racing
25 EW
@17.00
Lose
-50
Another predictably fascinating clash with a foreseeable shootout between the three big boys in the market. But the three of them are pushing some excellent horses out to fascinating prices, and none more so than Almeric, who takes a long-awaited step up in class here after a setback earlier in the season. The ground is perhaps a worry as he’d probably prefer it softer, but his grandma coped with it, so it shouldn't dissuade connections from rolling the dice. He rather missed the kick on his return, so it was all the more impressive that he came from last to first in the straight, having circled most of the field. He won going away there, and you can wager he’ll kick on for that too. Pace-wise, it’s a struggle, with possibly a couple of pace makers in there, and in Devils Advocate and Kilimanjaro making this a bit of a muddle. But with added stamina in this one’s pedigree, I’d hope he’ll stay this stiff test regardless if he’s not taken off his feet early.
1 member found this comment useful
15:25 3:25 Ascot
Alakazi
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 23.00 used instead of 21.00 takenBOG
@23.00
Win
85
This could just be Rosallion finally having his day, though Docklands could still be the way to go on that line back at Ascot. Field Of Gold clearly is the one to beat on earlier season exploits, but is clearly priced as such. As it is, I was minded to have Alakazi as an interesting outsider and one that should appreciate this stiff mile. Murtagh hasn’t been shy about the fact that he will want good ground, and he’ll get just that here assuming they don’t water too much. He won in a not too dissimilar time to Fallen Angel at Leopardstown, so the fact he is over double the price looks a touch wrong for all this is clearly a big step up for him. Steadily progressive all season, he’s entitled to take his chance here, and being alongside Fallen Angel can only help him get dragged out of the stalls in a race that lacks obvious pace otherwise. Added stamina in his pedigree can serve him well late on if he can break well.
1 member found this comment useful
14:45 2:45 Ascot
Latakia
Daily Racing
25 EW
@21.00
Lose
-50
On the face of it, this is one of the most interesting races on the card for me, and Latakia has to be an interesting outsider. Second string for Juddmonte clearly with Kalpana involved, but she’s got some decent form in her own right with a comfortable win at Deauville in August being the pick of it. She had Dare To Dream beaten all ends up, who herself had finished not too far behind Arc third Sosie earlier in the season, so it’s a fair enough market. Up in trip last time, she still beat Bedtime Story off worse terms and is near enough double her price here, which doesn’t look right, and she just didn’t stay the new trip on the ground there. Back to a sounder surface should help her, whilst it could hinder others. She’s a daughter of Frankel from a pedigree line that seemingly likes better ground, and a sparkling pedigree and lofty price tag just don’t equate to a 20/1 shot in my eyes, so I’ll give her an each-way chance.
1 member found this comment useful
14:05 2:05 Ascot
No Half Measures
Daily Racing
25 EWNAPNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionBest Odds Guaranteed SP 29.00 used instead of 26.00 takenBOG
@29.00
Win
115
A forgiving nature is required in these sprints this season, and whilst class could out as the market indicates here, these races must be hard to price up. I was minded to have No Half Measures at a big price again here after a fairly luckless run at Haydock behind some of these last time. She got bumped when making a run and then totally squeezed out of things at the furlong pole. With no shortage of pace in here, this will take some getting, and she’s got excess stamina in her pedigree to suggest a stiff 6 could be up her street. Drawn alongside Spy Chief again should give her a first target on the low side of the draw, as well as having market leader Lazzat over that side. If the front runners can burn themselves out, I think she can put Haydock behind her and prove a tough nut in what is an inevitably wide-open sprint.
2 members found this comment useful
13:30 1:30 Ascot
Siren Suit
Daily Racing
25 EW
@11.00
Lose
-50
Siren Suit made a pleasing return at Kempton 10 days ago when proving a ready winner up in trip. Back down to 6f here, he could well be suited by this stiff 6, especially the way he shaped over 5f here on his second start. He was on the bridle travelling behind Wise Approach, all dressed up and nowhere to go before powering through late on to nab 3rd. Add a furlong to that and he would have won by lengths potentially, and with a free run he might have even won that race, so I think he’s a bit of a springer in here given that effort and the freshness he brings. As long as he doesn’t bounce from that Kempton effort, I’d hope he gets competitive at a double figure price.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal0
14 October 2025
16:55 4:55 Market Rasen
Indiza
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@8.50
Lose
-50
Related to some interesting flat performers, being a half-brother to horses around the 100 mark. His dam is also a half-sister to Arrest and Detain to add further depth to this horse's profile. The trainer has been in fair form, with 13/28 placed this season, with 4 winners from 10 runners in October. He hasn’t had a bumper winner for a while, but there’s just enough in this horse's pedigree to suggest he could be a decent sort and capable of winning this.
Subtotal-50
11 October 2025
15:40 3:40 Newmarket
Fireblade
Daily Racing
25 EW
@41.00
Lose
-50
Ran a good race off a big weight last time, when strong at the line, and he’s done that a number of times previously too. So he could appreciate this lesser weight carry. He’s a lb well in off that career best last time, and he could be granted a nice forward spot here with a lack of an out-and-out front runner in the field. The way he knuckled down last time has just left an impression on me, even if he may be from an unlikely source for a winner in a race like this. His best efforts have been right-handed (6/9 a place) and on a galloping track (9/12 a place), so I think he could be sneaking in here at a nice price with something in his favor.
3 members found this comment useful
15:15 3:15 York
Gleneagle Bay
Daily Racing
25 EW
@11.00
Lose
-50
The argument for the favorite Binhareer looks sound, but at 6/1 he can be passed over in a race like this. Glenagle Bay intrigues enough, being fairly lightly raced but running well in good races in Ireland. Dropping to 6f, he should appreciate a fair gallop, and with a 2/3 way go for the lead, we should get a good honest pace. He looks to have the speed to stay in touch and isn’t drawn too high. Better ground should be fine, and a look through his form shows he looks well handicapped enough to be involved late on if it becomes a stamina test.
2 members found this comment useful
14:45 2:45 Chepstow
The Boola Boss
Daily Racing
25 EW
@13.00
Lose
-50
Fairly trappy, but an open market here. Whilst Neon Moon always entices me and I think Hoe Joky Smoke can go well, it was The Boola Boss that looked a nice price. A CD winner beating a now 139-rated horse getting 10 lbs suggests a mark of 120 is well within scope for this 9-year-old, especially given how well he ran last time. He has a decent record of 2111 when running over this trip or just shy on good ground. So whilst many might be hoping it’s a bit softer than the current forecast Gf, it could be up his street. A prominent runner that has made all in the past, he could be afforded a soft lead here. Nudged up in class, he’s got a nice low weight with Bowen in the saddle, so lots of positives for him and I think he’s overpriced.
1 member found this comment useful
14:05 2:05 York
Champagne Prince
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 10.00 on 11/10 at 08:050.10 deduction for Albany@8.00 withdrawn at 09:49R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 9.00 x (1-0.10) = 9.10
@9.10
Win
15
Best efforts by far in 2023 have been just north of this trip, so dropping a couple of furlongs looks a good move for this horse, albeit they were both in the AW. One of those was beating the smart Eydon at Southwell, whilst also finishing a solid 4th in a Group 3 over the same course and distance. It does mark a clear difference between his AW form where he holds a rating of 105, and his turf form being 0/9 and 10 lbs lower. Back in class 1 company on turf last time, he was far from disgraced though, so with the right setup he should just be capable of being competitive off this mark despite remaining on turf. 4/5 in races from October through to December, it’s interesting they’re having one last throw at the turf before a likely AW winter campaign. He’s drawn well in 4 to get a good jump, and perhaps follow Grey Cuban with whom he gets a 10 lb weight pull from last time.
2 members found this comment useful
Subtotal-135
10 October 2025
16:10 4:10 Newmarket
Wadooda
Daily Racing
25 EW
@8.50
Win
12
From a smart family, related to the likes of Benbatl, Elmalka, Salaal, Fooraat and Modaara, who are all 105+ horses, this filly goes for Owen Burrows who is 1/2 with first time up 2yo’s here in the last 5 years, whilst also being 7/20 in the last year overall. If Mubasimah wins earlier in the card then clearly you’d have to be wary of Act Of Kindness, although you can be wary on her lofty price tag alone. It looks ripe for a newcomer though, and whilst there’s plenty to choose from, Wadooda looks to fit the bill for notable connections to at least hit the frame.
14:57 2:57 Newmarket
Queen Of Hawaii
Daily Racing
25 EWNAPR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@10.00
Void
0
A fairly trappy Fillies' Mile, but on balance, I felt Queen Of Hawaii was overpriced enough for a go. Running lines through her two wins has her well in the frame among the best of these, with her last win beating directly against Moments Of Joy, who had previously chased home Humidity by a similar distance. She ran really well against Bow Echo recently with my money on in the Royal Lodge, so there looks to be substance to the form. She was well on top at the line and knuckled down well late on, so assuming she handles the dip, I think she could be doing good work late here from what is generally a good draw if she can get some daylight.
1 member found this comment useful
13:30 1:30 York
Billyjoh
Daily Racing
25 EW
@13.00
Lose
-50
Has been running well in competitive big field handicaps all year, and is tried up in trip here which isn’t obvious on breeding, but he’s shaped like he’ll appreciate the step up. His latest effort has been franked of sorts by the horses in and around him, and whilst a lack of pace in the race may not suit his hold-up style, if he finishes the way he has been doing, then I’d hope he’s doing some good enough work late to latch onto the pace and stay. He could get swamped in his draw, which is a worry, but positives are he’s 3 from 7 left-handed, and Alistair Rawlinson knows how to get the best out of him.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-38
09 October 2025
15:25 3:25 Ayr
Station X
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@9.00
Lose
-50
Back on heavy going, I’m going to chance Station X again to hit the frame. Disappointed on his last two starts, but takes a drop in class here and is back to a track suitable to his front-running style. The race lacks an out-and-out leader other than him, so hopefully, the ground can stop anything from coming off the pace here. Just 2 lbs above his last winning mark now, and just 4th time up for the season. Hopefully, this has been a bit of a target of sorts as he was off a 3-month break at Ripon last time, so is entitled to come on for it.
14:30 2:30 Bath
Aequitas
Daily Racing
25 EW
@15.00
Lose
-50
Term Of Endearment takes up most of the market, and perhaps with good reason, stepping back in grade here. It does give the race a nice each-way shape though, and something suitably unexposed could make an impression. So I’ll chance one in Aequitas. She beat Tiernan on debut, who had previously chased home Nahraan and Arabian Force, with the former not beaten far by the Arc winner prior to that. She won that impressively, pretty much hard held and travelling strongly to the line. Whilst she won a substandard novice after that, she did so as she liked, and could have won by half the straight if the jockey was minded to send her earlier. She looks well worth a crack up in class on that evidence, and assuming she handles the bigger field and the track, she could be lurking at a nice price.
Subtotal-100
08 October 2025
18:10 6:10 Kempton
Titanck
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@10.00
Lose
-50
Hard to judge here as he hasn’t run over 6f yet, but he’s pulled his face off over further on his last two starts, so it’s well worth exploring. His mark looks more than fair given he chased home the fairly smart Oceans Four on his 2nd start, and his most recent run has seen multiple horses come out and frank the form with credit. He was 5/2f there, and given he pulled hard over a mile in soft ground, I think back in trip he can be let go a bit to see what he can do in a race that lacks obvious pace.
1 member found this comment useful
13:58 1:58 Nottingham
Rodoya
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@29.00
Lose
-50
Outsider of the lot, but on French form looks well handicapped to me whilst also getting a fillies allowance. She beat Janah last time, who had previously chased home Sedano, who subsequently finished 4th in a German Group 3 in and around horses posting decent RPRs, and the winner was competitive in the German Derby. On that alone, it’s hard to have her as an outsider, but she also chased home Benamira when proving her stamina for this trip, and that horse has been competitive in Listed company since to add a bit of depth to the form and suggestion that an adjusted mark of 78 should prove to be within scope. Sexton could be best advised to take her forward with proven stamina for the trip, but the risk is she is held up in a race that lacks pace, but her price more than makes up for that.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-100
05 October 2025
16:25 4:25 Longchamp
Godspeed
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@26.00
Lose
-50
The front three in the market probably look about right, but in a generally open division, I think there could be something in there worth a swing at. At the prices, I thought Godspeed might be that horse. Fourth behind subsequent dual Group 1 winner Fallen Angel when last seen off a two-month break, she flew home when in rear behind Zarigana in the 2024 Prix De La Grotte. She’s got the speed to go with these, and if she does, then she’s got the stamina to see out a fast run 7. Whilst she needs extra, she’s going the right way, and I think this could be run at a fair clip and just be set up for one like her.
1 member found this comment useful
15:50 3:50 Longchamp
Qilin Queen
Daily Racing
25 EW
@34.00
Lose
-50
If all of these were running at their optimum in trip, I think Qilin Queen is almost certainly outclassed. But as it is, I like the drop in trip for her to get competitive at a price. She might be struggling to get to the front from her draw here, which does scupper her to a degree, but I’m happy to overlook that. She won in a decent time here over a mile 5, and Rabbits Foot has done at least something for that form. She’s hit and miss as she’s flopped a couple of times either side of that, both forgivable in a way, certainly Epsom as you can forgive any horse a flop there. In a race not teeming with front runners, she could be given a free go at it, or at the very least get a good prominent position around Barnavara and one or two others. If she does, hopefully the forward goers can be falling into the laps of some of them whilst she’s still using her added stamina to gallop on and fend off any of the classier types on paper.
1 member found this comment useful
15:05 3:05 Longchamp
Arrow Eagle
Daily Racing
25 EW
@101.00
Lose
-50
It’s a wild one, but I couldn’t stay away from the tender handling this horse had when beaten off in the Prix Foy. He was off a fair break there, so you can forgive him for needing the run. Given that break, he wasn’t beaten far. Maybe he just had nothing left, but not to my eye, and you have to assume that was a setup for a crack at this, and his trainer has spoken as such. Of course, the same can be said for many of them, so you can take that as you will. I just think his prior form in beating the smart Sibayan has him completely disrespected at this price. He should appreciate a sounder gallop, which could negate his wide draw. He may well just not be good enough, but given the horses he’s finished in and around this year, his price just looks too big to ignore. I could make cases for almost every horse in truth, and the 3-year-old fillies could lead them home, but strange things happen in this race, and I think it’s worth a punt they could happen again.
1 member found this comment useful
13:50 1:50 Longchamp
Sky Majesty
Daily Racing
25 EW
@15.00
Lose
-50
A wild race as ever, with cases to be made throughout the field. The most intriguing one for me ended up being Sky Majesty, who steps back to 5f for the first time, which is something I’m always a fan of. High draws can prove a negative in this, although it’s not unheard of for it to be won from something high. With the number of horses that get stuck in behind here from mid to low draws over the years, I’d rather have one that can get a clear run. If this horse can break well and go the gallop over shorter, then I think she could prove a bit of a springer here. The way she races, I’d imagine it was the plan to drop her in trip, and it’s interesting they’ve done so in a race like this. If Marquand can just ride her with the choke out, hopefully she can contest the lead and prove gritty under his drive. It’s hope more than expectation perhaps in a race like this, especially with a 2yo getting a stone thrown in.
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12:40 12:40 Longchamp
Esna
Daily Racing
25 EW
@29.00
Lose
-50
This looks fairly wide open, and I’ll take a chance on Esna, who chased home a horse that chased home a recent Group 2 winner. You can tie her form in with the favorite here, who beat Sukanya last time. That horse subsequently flopped at Newmarket behind Zanthos, who is the aforementioned horse that this horse ties into, having been beaten by Deedaydiva on debut, who had been beaten a few lengths by Zanthos on her own debut. It’s some loose tie-ins, but tie-ins all the same, and as a result, she’s a decent price.
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Subtotal-250
04 October 2025
16:35 4:35 Longchamp
Rashabar
Daily Racing
25 EW
@9.50
Lose
-50
Has run well in defeat consistently as a three-year-old, chasing home a number of smart horses. He led on his first start over further and managed to stick there largely, albeit beaten a length. Ran well again subsequently on a different surface, so he won’t mind what the ground does, and actually, that form ties him closely in with the current favorite as he just beat a horse that the favorite lost to afterwards. That alone has this horse too big, for all he’s clearly a bit tough to win with. That said, he’s got Marquand on for the first time since his debut, and if anyone can get him home under a drive, it’s him. Hopefully, today can be his much overdue day in the sun.
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15:35 3:35 Ascot
Mirabeau
Daily Racing
25 EW
@12.00
Lose
-50
I’m minded to give Mirabeau another chance here. Closely tied in with some of these off the back of last time, he ran a bit cold but actually stayed on when hampered late on. I think he’ll be more suited back here, and in particular, the ground can bring him closer to those that beat him, with both of his wins coming on soft ground. With additional stamina in the pedigree, he should be staying further, and whilst two ventures up in trip haven’t proved fruitful, he certainly has proved that he is effective over track and trip. Whilst that might still give him a bit to find, hopefully, the ground is a bit of a leveller, and the fact he’s off a lesser weight carry, so hopefully, that can see him home a bit better.
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13:50 1:50 Ascot
Kassaya
Daily Racing
25 EW
@19.00
Lose
-50
A competitive event, but a chance taken here on Kassaya who went off favourite for the Queen Mary. She was near enough last entering the final furlong there before running on late having been hampered, so it was eye catching enough. She was outpaced early at Sandown since but found a solid turn of foot to win, and is actually on better terms here than she was that day with Getreadytorumble, but she was well on top on the line there so I don’t see why she’d be a bigger price here. Two ventures up to 6f didn’t work out after that, and whilst she had no obvious excuses last time at York, I do think back to 5f should suit here, so perhaps she just isn’t ready for further. In an open race, she’s a big price on balance.
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13:15 1:15 Ascot
Dash Of Azure
Daily Racing
25 EWNAPNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@23.00
Win
85
A fairly wild big field Listed event, and a chance here taken on this one who chased home 5/1 shot Cajole in the Sandringham. This filly got no sort of run there, and was a bit keen as well, so it was perhaps all the more impressive that she got herself out of trouble when running into beaten horses. I don’t think she was fully reached for in truth, and whilst she’s been poor twice since, her last effort was mightily impressive. Switched off in rear, she had almost the whole field to make up 3f out, and do that she did, weaving through the field as if she had plenty more to give. She’ll need to have to win this, but all told I think this bunch are closer together than the ratings suggest. The rain around will do her no harm based on last time. With stamina to burn in her pedigree, she’ll hopefully be doing her best work late here and I like that Greatrex has retained the ride.
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Subtotal-65
03 October 2025
16:40 4:40 Ascot
Sea Baaeed
Daily Racing
25 EWNAPNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@11.00
Win
25
Could prove interesting over this stiff 6m, for all he needs to improve. Two starts ago, he finished just behind a now 96-rated horse giving weight, albeit the 2nd hasn’t done much for the form. He’s unexposed on the surface, but interestingly that peak RPR came on Good ground, and his only other run on Good was a fair effort in a conditions race against better horses than this mark. That points me towards some improvement with plenty of rain around, and whilst 6f might not be ideal, this should be run hard enough to make this hard to get, so I’d not have too many worries at the trip if this does prove to be a stamina test. It does lack pace, and he’ll hopefully be one to force it. Trainer bang in form, albeit he has just 2 winners from 68 here, which surprises.
16:05 4:05 Ascot
Defiantly
Daily Racing
25 EW
@19.00
Lose
-50
Needs to find plenty of improvement to mix it with the top of these on ratings, but I think you can grab Arabian Force trying the trip for the first time. All his form is standout. His rating speaks to that, but otherwise, this horse has to find 5 lbs to be competitive, which isn’t all that much. So going against one horse with blowout potential is good enough for me. This horse stepped up in trip last time, and having been settled in rear and outpaced, he ran on eye-catchingly in the final half furlong when seemingly beaten heading into the straight. An entry over 2m hints to the horse having some additional stamina reserves, so if ridden with a bit more encouragement over this trip at a track that is tough to get, I think he could outrun his odds here.
Subtotal-25
02 October 2025
17:10 5:10 Nottingham
Orangesandlemons
Daily Racing
25 EWNAPNOTETip made at odds of 23.00 on 02/10 at 09:280.10 deduction for Zapphire@8.00 withdrawn at 17:150.10 deduction for Spirit Genie @8.500 withdrawn at 17:15R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 22.00 x (1-0.2) = 18.60
@18.60
Win
528
Pushed up in class here, this fully benefits from dropping 2 lbs, getting Warren Fentiman's 5 lbs, as well as having a weight for age allowance. That could just have her rightly outclassed having never run higher than a class 4, but she’s off a featherweight and brings a record of 212 at a mile. The surface looks ideal with her best work coming with soft in the going, and Ed Bethell has a solid 9 from 33 here in the last 5 years (+7 places). All efforts over a mile have seen her forward, and drawn alongside pace here can hopefully see her get dragged into contention early with a high draw that can hopefully keep her out of trouble.
16:20 4:20 Salisbury
Dr Strangelove
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 26.00 used instead of 19.00 takenBOG
@26.00
Win
750
Largely written off after never being involved at Kempton last time on his first try in handicaps, he handled this track well prior to that, doing solid work late on to be denied on the line. An overall lack of pace should prevent him from being detached again as he was at Kempton, and given he was giving 12 lbs to the winner at Salisbury, who is now rated just 1 lb below this mark, you’d have to think some improvement could be incoming for the switch back to turf and the drop in class. If he can get himself out of trouble early from stall 4, hopefully he’ll be involved in the shake-up against lesser types here.
Subtotal1278
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