Edwinp

Always like to look for opportunities where the favourite may not win and better value is represented elsewhere.

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Estimated Prizes
this month

£20

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this month

Edwinp's Tips History

All tips
19 January 2025
15:55 3:55 Fakenham

Edward Sexton

Daily Racing

80 WIN

@2.38

Void

0

David Dunsdon almost got up to win on Edward Sexton in a decent bumper at Sandown but was denied in a photo by a stablemate. This Fakenham bumper looks easier, provided he does not hang right in the finish like he did at Sandown.
15:45 3:45 Thurles

Willitgoahead

Daily Racing

80 WINNOTETip made at odds of 2.88 on 18/01 at 23:490.00 deduction for Jimmybrien@81.00 withdrawn at 14:030.30 deduction for Rockys Howya @2.875 withdrawn at 14:150.10 deduction for Boss Robin @10.000 withdrawn at 14:23R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 1.88 x (1-0.4) = 2.13AThis tip was used on Horse Racing 4Fold Acca.

@2.13

Win

90

The drying ground at Thurles favors Willitgoahead over mudlark Boss Robin, who has yet to run well on good going. He also gets seven pounds because he is a maiden under rules.
15:20 3:20 Fakenham

Getbazoutofhere

Daily Racing

50 EWNAP

@7.00

Lose

-100

Getbazoutofhere has been an improver this season. Last time, in a similar race at Cheltenham, she fell to the rear after mistakes and ran on again into third, beaten less than three lengths behind another Lucy Wadham mare, Game On For Glory, with a frontrunner just ahead of her in second. She will find Fakenham an easier test of jumping with Sean Bowen again riding her off ten stone two pounds.
14:35 2:35 Thurles

Thats About Right

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.50

Win

125

That's About Right could prove to be a better chaser than hurdler. In his first three chases, he started with a competent 3rd of 5, then won his second chase, and last time was a close 2nd of 7. Up two pounds, he still looks well handicapped.
14:15 2:15 Fakenham

Aviation

Daily Racing

Aviation could break his maiden tag at a track that Lucy Wadham does well at with her horses. Aviation has been placed twice at Warwick this season in his first two hurdles without getting close to winning, but that is possibly the best form on offer in this field at Fakenham.
14:05 2:05 Thurles

Fil Dor

Daily Racing

50 EW

@6.00

Lose

-100

Fil Dor's only recent chase win came in a match race. He continues to not convince with his jumping, but he is nearly top-rated on official ratings and, with a clear round, should go close.
14:00 Nottm Forest v Southampton

Nottm Forest - Nottm Forest

Half Time / Full Time

13:30 1:30 Thurles

Only By Night

Daily Racing

60 WINR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNRAThis tip was used on Horse Racing 4Fold Acca.

@2.20

Void

0

Only By Night impressed with her easy win in a Grade 2 chase at Cork and now has to give weight to the rest going up in distance at Thurles on faster going.
11:30 Fiorentina v Torino

Fiorentina - Fiorentina

Half Time / Full Time

01:00 WAS Commanders @ DET Lions

DET Lions

Money Line

50 WIN

@1.20

Lose

-50

Detroit Lions' only defeat in their last ten games came against the Buffalo Bills, and that was 42-48. They have scored more than 30 points in their last five matches and should beat the Washington Commanders, who have had close finishes in winning their latest five matches, scoring 24 or fewer points in normal time in their last three matches.

DET Lions - DET Lions

Double Result

70 WIN

@1.57

Lose

-70

Detroit Lions' only defeat in their last ten games came against the Buffalo Bills, and that was 42-48. They have scored more than 30 points in their last five matches and should beat the Washington Commanders, who have had close finishes in winning their latest five matches, scoring 24 or fewer points in normal time in their last three matches. Go double result: DET Lions - DET Lions.

Jahmyr Gibbs (DET Lions)

Anytime Touchdown Scorer

54 WIN

@1.44

Win

24

Detroit Lions' only defeat in their last ten games came against the Buffalo Bills, and that was 42-48. They have scored more than 30 points in their last five matches and should beat the Washington Commanders, who have had close finishes in winning their latest five matches, scoring 24 or fewer points in normal time in their last three matches. Jahmyr Gibbs to score a touchdown.

Jameson Williams (DET Lions)

Anytime Touchdown Scorer

56 WIN

@2.38

Win

77

Detroit Lions' only defeat in their last ten games came against the Buffalo Bills, and that was 42-48. They have scored more than 30 points in their last five matches and should beat the Washington Commanders, who have had close finishes in winning their latest five matches, scoring 24 or fewer points in normal time in their last three matches. Jameson Williams to score a touchdown.

Sam LaPorta (DET Lions)

Anytime Touchdown Scorer

56 WIN

@2.38

Win

77

Detroit Lions' only defeat in their last ten games came against the Buffalo Bills, and that was 42-48. They have scored more than 30 points in their last five matches and should beat the Washington Commanders, who have had close finishes in winning their latest five matches, scoring 24 or fewer points in normal time in their last three matches. Sam LaPorta to score a touchdown.
00:28 Race 11 Santa Anita Park

Take Another Card

Daily Racing

Take Another Card won her only race here over six furlongs coming wide into the straight to take up the running a furlong out and power away under Frankie Dettori. She goes up in distance and class at Santa Anita but should be capable of a win at a mile.
18 January 2025
21:30 HOU Texans @ KC Chiefs

KC Chiefs

Money Line

200 WIN

@1.22

Win

44

KC Chiefs rested players, including quarterback Patrick Mahomes, for their final match of the season in Denver. They should be back to their best in the playoffs against the Houston Texans and should win comfortably.

KC Chiefs - KC Chiefs

Double Result

70 WIN

@1.57

Win

40

KC Chiefs rested players, including quarterback Patrick Mahomes, for their final match of the season in Denver. They should be back to their best in the playoffs against the Houston Texans and should win comfortably. Take the double result: KC Chiefs - KC Chiefs.

Kareem Hunt (KC Chiefs)

Anytime Touchdown Scorer

80 WIN

@2.62

Win

130

KC Chiefs rested players, including quarterback Patrick Mahomes, for their final match of the season in Denver. They should be back to their best in the playoffs against the Houston Texans and should win comfortably. Kareem Hunt to score a touchdown.

Travis Kelce (KC Chiefs)

Anytime Touchdown Scorer

50 WIN

@2.20

Win

60

KC Chiefs rested players, including quarterback Patrick Mahomes, for their final match of the season in Denver. They should be back to their best in the playoffs against the Houston Texans and should win comfortably. Travis Kelce to score.
19:00 Judd Trump v Kyren Wilson

Judd Trump

Win Match

90 WIN

@1.44

Lose

-90

This is the better of the two semi-finals and either is capable of winning frames with big breaks but Judd Trump makes fewer costly errors in frames and that should give him the edge.

Kyren Wilson 1.50

Handicap Betting

50 WIN

@2.00

Win

50

This is the better of the two semi-finals and either is capable of winning frames with big breaks but Judd Trump makes fewer costly errors in frames and that should give him the edge but it could go all the way so take Kyren Wilson with the +1.50 frames handicap.

Judd Trump to win 6-5

Frame Betting

50 WIN

@6.50

Lose

-50

This is the better of the two semi-finals. Either is capable of winning frames with big breaks, but Judd Trump makes fewer costly errors in frames, and that should give him the edge, but only just. Judd Trump to win 6-5.
16:02 4:02 Ascot

Country Park

Daily Racing

Country Park appears prone to costly late mistakes. In his penultimate race at Cheltenham, when second, he made a mistake at the last when challenging, which could have cost him the win. Last time here at Ascot, he looked to be going comfortably just behind the leaders when asked to close two out and tripped over the flight and fell. With a clear round, getting weight from previous winners, he should break his maiden tag.
15:32 3:32 Ascot

Energumene

Daily Racing

Energumene has not had a lot of racing for an 11-year-old and has only suffered two defeats in 15 races since 2019. One was when collared in the shadows of the post by Shishkin in this race in 2022. In winning at Cork first time out, albeit helped by challenger Banbridge falling at the last, he showed he was still almost at the same level. He could provide a stern jumping test for Jonbon at Ascot and get him out of his comfort zone over the last few fences.
15:05 3:05 Haydock

Good Look Charm

Daily Racing

50 EW

@6.50

Lose

-100

Good Luck Charm won a mares' handicap hurdle at Sandown first time out. Ten-pound claimer Chad Bament retains the ride, and she should be good enough for at least a place at Haydock.
15:00 Brentford v Liverpool

Liverpool - Liverpool

Half Time / Full Time

15:00 Forest Green v Rochdale

Forest Green - Forest Green

Half Time / Full Time

15:00 Portsmouth v Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough - Middlesbrough

Half Time / Full Time

15:00 York v Sutton Utd

York - York

Half Time / Full Time

60 WIN

@2.45

Lose

-60

14:50 2:50 Ascot

Georgi Girl

Daily Racing

30 EW

@15.00

Lose

-60

Georgi Girl does not look that well handicapped going back against geldings, having run in mares' handicap hurdles in her last three races. But this looks her optimum distance, and her trainer's horses are in hot form recently. She was only four and a half lengths off the winner when 5th of 12 last time at Cheltenham.
14:30 2:30 Haydock

Mr Vango

Daily Racing

30 EW

@6.00

Win

180

Mr. Vango is just a pound out of the handicap here, getting 26 pounds from Royale Pagaille. Both are dour stayers on soft and heavy going. Although he may be better suited to marathon distances, he should go close here at Haydock with Jack Tudor reunited with him for the first time since his hurdling days.
14:20 2:20 Navan

Three Card Brag

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 4.00 used instead of 3.00 takenBOGAThis tip was used on Horse Racing 4Fold Acca.

@4.00

Win

150

14:15 2:15 Ascot

Scarface

Daily Racing

30 EWNB

@8.00

Lose

-60

Scarface is proving very consistent and was less than two lengths behind Kotmask here over two miles three furlongs off level weights last time. He should reverse that form, getting three pounds over two furlongs further, as Scarface won over this distance here over hurdles in 2022.
14:05 2:05 Taunton

Ellerton

Daily Racing

50 EW

@8.50

Lose

-100

Hold-up tactics were used with Ellerton for the first time at Wincanton over one mile seven furlongs when he finished well into a never nearer 4th of 15, beaten less than five lengths by stablemate Ugo Bingo. He takes a big increase in distance to three miles here, but it could work with good claimer Callum Pritchard taking off seven pounds.
13:15 Shaun Murphy v Mark Allen

Mark Allen 0.50

Handicap Betting

110 WIN

@1.73

Lose

-110

Mark Allen makes fewer mistakes in his matches and is better defensively. He should come through to win the match over Shaun Murphy. Handicap makes it certain.

Mark Allen to win 6-4

Frame Betting

50 WIN

@6.00

Lose

-50

Mark Allen makes fewer mistakes in his matches and is better defensively and should come through to win the match over Shaun Murphy by 6-4.
13:00 Shaun Murphy v Mark Allen

Mark Allen

Win Match

90 WIN

@1.67

Lose

-90

Mark Allen makes fewer mistakes in his matches and is better defensively and should come through to win the match over Shaun Murphy.
12:30 Newcastle v Bournemouth

Newcastle - Newcastle

Half Time / Full Time

12:00 12:00 Navan

Ballygunner Castle

Daily Racing

Ballygunner Castle won despite novicey jumping, making the running and being hampered at the final two flights by a loose horse, which cost him the lead at Fairyhouse. He bravely fought back to claim victory in his first hurdle at Fairyhouse in November. This dual bumper winner could follow up against four decent rivals, including stablemate C'Est To Chance.
08:00 Jannik Sinner vs Marcos Giron

Jannik Sinner to win 3 - 0

Set Betting

90 WIN

@1.44

Win

40

Jannik Sinner should outclass American Marcos Giron throughout this match. Although he dropped the 1st set in his 2nd round match, Jannik should win this in straight sets 3-0.
03:00 Elena Rybakina vs Dayana Yastremska

Elena Rybakina to win 2 - 0

Set Betting

200 WIN

@1.40

Win

80

Elena Rybakina should outclass Dayana Yastremska throughout this match, and it should be won in straight sets without a tie-break. Elena Rybakina to win 2-0.
02:00 Taylor Fritz vs Gael Monfils

Taylor Fritz to win 3 - 0

Set Betting

50 WIN

@2.00

Lose

-50

Taylor Fritz only dropped three games in winning in straight sets in the 2nd round and likewise also won in straight sets dropping only five games in the 1st round. Expect a 3-0 win against Gael Monfils.
17 January 2025
20:15 Benfica v Famalicao

Benfica - Benfica

Half Time / Full Time

20:00 Burnley v Sunderland
19:45 Roma v Genoa

Roma - Roma

Half Time / Full Time

19:30 Yeovil v Gateshead
19:00 Luca Brecel v Kyren Wilson

Kyren Wilson

Win Match

90 WIN

@1.44

Win

40

Both are capable of good defensive play but Kyren Wilson tends to be the more accurate potter and misses fewer chances so should come out on top in this match.
17:00 Bahrain Masters

Luke Littler

80 WIN

@2.38

Lose

-80

Luke Littler, on current form, could beat anyone. Luke Humphries fell well below his best at the PDC World Championships, so Luke Littler could come out on top again.
17:00 Luke Littler vs Gerwyn Price

Luke Littler

Win Match 2-way

100 WIN

@1.35

Lose

-100

Luke Littler lost concentration a few times in the first round yesterday but should be more focused against Gerwyn Price. He should come out on top.
16:00 Luke Humphries vs Nathan Aspinall

Luke Humphries

Win Match 2-way

100 WIN

@1.29

Win

29

Luke Humphries looked to be back in top form yesterday in his first match in Bahrain and it is hard to see Nathan Aspinall beating him today.
15:25 3:25 Cork

Rolly Bowley Boy

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.50

Lose

-50

Rolly Bowley Boy has yet to win over fences but has been runner-up on five occasions, including last time on both his first run of the season and also first run for his new trainer, Philip Rothwell. He was run out of it before the last after trying to make all but didn't jump with fluency. He has last time out winner Global Export to beat, and he was held up to take it up close to the line in a three-way battle on the run-in.
14:25 2:25 Windsor

Panic Attack

Daily Racing

60 WIN

@3.25

Win

135

Panic Attack is back to his last winning mark over fences from when he won a three-horse chase in November 2022 at Huntingdon when with David Pipe. Off the track for 649 days and now with Dan Skelton, he returned with two decent runs over hurdles in third place in both.
13:50 1:50 Windsor

Caldwell Potter

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.10

Lose

-50

Caldwell Potter faded tamely into third place once headed over two and a half miles at Cheltenham after trying to make all. But now he drops back to two miles, and he could make all again as he did first time out at Carlisle.
13:25 1:25 Market Rasen

Grandads Cottage

Daily Racing

Grandads Cottage impressed in a weaker race at Carlisle, coming through at the last to win by ten lengths. He may prefer it softer at Market Rasen but could still win.
13:05 1:05 Cork

Wardens Whisper

Daily Racing

60 WINNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionAThis tip was used on Horse Racing 4Fold Acca.

@3.75

Win

165

Wardens Whisper was just behind Liberated Light last time and can reverse that form on four pounds better terms and both trainer and claiming jockey Tiernan Power Roche are in hot form presently.
13:00 Judd Trump v Ding Junhui

Judd Trump

Win Match

220 WIN

@1.36

Win

79

Judd Trump had a very good year in 2024 and should come out on top against Ding Junhui by at least two frames.
12:40 12:40 Windsor

Excello

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.00

Lose

-50

Excello has won two chases, one in France and one at Ascot in December 2023, after which his chase mark went up to 146. However, after two poor runs in Grade 3 races, it has dropped back to 142, and he had wind surgery last year. This season, he has reverted back to hurdles, at which he remains a maiden after a further two second places. He goes up in distance to three miles, and after failing to hold Ma Shantou front-running here last time over two and a half miles, he will likely want some cover going up in distance.
03:17 Race 8 Charles Town

Ziggy Stardust

Daily Racing

The last three wins of Ziggy Stardust have come over seven furlongs here, whilst stablemate Dorado's latest win was over only four and a half furlongs here. Over six and a half furlongs, Ziggy Stardust might just stay on to win here.
03:00 Nuno Borges vs Carlos Alcaraz

Carlos Alcaraz to win 3 - 0

Set Betting

270 WIN

@1.44

Lose

-270

Carlos Alcaraz should outclass Nuno Borges in this match and is likely to win in straight sets. So go Carlos Alcaraz to win 3-0.
02:30 Jacob Fearnley vs Alexander Zverev

Alexander Zverev to win 3 - 0

Set Betting

50 WIN

@1.80

Win

40

This may be a match too far for Jacob Fearnley against the number 2 seed Alexander Zverev and it should be a straight sets win 3-0 to Zverev.
00:30 Race 2 Charles Town

Whale Of A Time

Daily Racing

50 WINNB

@3.50

Lose

-50

Whale Of A Time has been running in better races and could have needed her latest race in November, having been off the track for 288 days.
00:27 Race 10 Santa Anita Park

Exultation

Daily Racing

60 WINNAPNOTETip made at odds of 1.75 on 16/01 at 23:10 Best Odds Guaranteed SP 3 used instead of 1.75 taken BOGAThis tip was used on Horse Racing 4Fold Acca.

@4.00

Win

180

Exultation looked unfortunate at Del Mar over a mile when finishing behind two of his rivals here, Sydney Street and Great King. His run through turning into the straight on the inside was blocked off, and he lost two or three lengths. He could only run on again too late to finish higher than third.

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