CalFergie
1
Estimated Prizes
this month
£10
Estimated Prize money
this month
CalFergie's Tips History
18 June 2026
18:10 6:10 Royal Ascot
English Oak
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+3300
Lose
-50
ENGLISH OAK looks a ridiculous price for the Buckingham Palace at 33/1 (6 places). The son of Wootton Bassett moved to H Al Jehani’s yard after a disappointing run at Goodwood in July last year and things couldn’t have started much better with two wins within a month over in Meydan in January. Both of those came in handicaps but connections clearly think plenty of the gelding given he was then put into Gr3 company, giving a fair display (4l 6th of 13). He’s been given a few months off and this must always have been the plan given he took the 2024 renewal off a 4lb lower mark. WB’s 35% SR (A/E 2.51) over 7f here at Ascot (4/9, A/E 2.8 in handicaps) is another string to the bow.
17:35 5:35 Royal Ascot
Oxagon
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+700
Lose
-50
Endorsement is far too short here given A O’Brien’s 14% SR (A/E 0.49) with fancied Wootton Bassett runners. Morshdi is dropping back to Gr3 level after a disappointing display in the Dante at York last month but I’m not convinced that he’s up to this level so I think that the better option is the Craven winner OXAGON at 7/1 (3 places). The colt trained by the Gosden’s took that contest in taking fashion (2l) and looked more than worthy of a shot at the Guineas but flattered to deceive, finishing mid-pack. The soft ground definitely went against him in the French Derby last month so this trip is still a question mark but being a Frankel he should stay. He carries a 2nd top and blue FlatStats rating behind the jolly plus breeder Nawara Stud’s 29% SR (A/E 1.7) in 3yo races provides further confidence.
1 member found this comment useful
16:15 4:15 Royal Ascot
Trawlerman
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@+300
Lose
-50
I’m respecting of Scandinavia, but he’s another Justify from Coolmore who I can be taking on given the sire’s 0/17 record at Ascot. TRAWLERMAN has been the talking horse for the Gold Cup and he looks value to me at 3/1. The son of Golden Horn was, by far, the best stayer last year, taking all-bar one of his five starts including this contest by a whopping 7l. He always goes well fresh so the lack of a prep run doesn’t concern me and W Buick’s 40% SR (A/E 1.29) on fancied runners wearing the hood adds further confidence.
14:30 2:30 Royal Ascot
Revels
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@+1100
Lose
-50
I can’t be having Aix La Chapelle in the opener today given Justify’s 2/14 record (A/E 0.35) with favourites on straight courses and A O’Brien’s 9% SR (A/E 0.49) with runners carrying 9-4 to 9-6. Nola Soul I can rule out too given he’s also a son of Justify plus J Heffernan brings a damning 4% SR (A/E 0.44) in stakes races in the UK, meanwhile Sea Adventure needs to overcome breeder Sunderland Holding Inc’s 2/52 record (A/E 0.31) at Ascot. South Dakota is more difficult to put a line through but is burdened by that negative weight stat for O’Brien too so an each way chance looks the most logical option and next up REVELS makes appeal at 12/1 (4 places). The K Burke-trained son of Lope De Vega won handsomely on debut at Redcar in a C3 maiden, being eased down to a winning margin of 3l. He carries a lofty FlatStats rating, looks up to this level and a couple of positive stats boost claims; S James’ 42% SR (A/E 1.62) on LDV progeny and Burke’s 36% SR (A/E 1.36) with fancied runners on Thursdays.
Subtotal-200
17 June 2026
18:10 6:10 Royal Ascot
Sale Shark
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@+900
Lose
-50
I only fancy a couple on day 2 of Royal Ascot, my strongest selection being SALE SHARK at 17/2 with 4 places. Sergei Diaghilev will do well to overcome R Moore’s 14% SR (A/E 0.5) on fancied Wootton Bassett progeny and A O’Brien’s 12% SR (A/E 0.41) with his fancied offspring also, meanwhile Controlla is burdened with Night Of Thunder’s 7% SR (A/E 0.35) with fancied runners at Ascot. J O’Brien has a shocking record at Ascot (4/126, A/E 0.42) and brings a 5% SR (A/E 0.43) with runners carrying 9-1 to 9-3 so One Number looks up against it, but SS made an emphatic debut win at Hamilton last month and can improve on that here; the son of Bayside Boy put that contest to bed with the utmost ease and unsurprisingly changed hands soon after. He’s got a positive draw in stall 2 (low best) and several positive fancied stats boost claims; most notably O Murphy’s 44% SR (A/E 1.45) when riding for H Palmer.
2 members found this comment useful
17:00 5:00 Royal Ascot
Cerulean Bay
Daily Racing
25 EWNBNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@+3300
Win
140
I’m having a wild old swing in the Royal Hunt Cup with CERULEAN BAY at 33/1 (6 places). The D O’Meara-trained gelding was unlucky not to win at York LTO, losing by a neck to Maybe Not who was carrying a whopping 17lb less and given at absolute peach of a ride by S Osbourne. He’s up 2lb for that effort, which seems harsh considering the winner was rated 86, but he should be competitive still today and interestingly his owner brings a 24% SR (A/E 1.73) with runners wearing no headgear.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal90
16 June 2026
18:10 6:10 Royal Ascot
Daiquiri Bay
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+650
Win
195
I have to be opposing Valiancy given Wathnan Racing’s 20% SR (A/E 0.49) with favourites coming up in trip and Cracksman’s 1/28 record (A/E 0.3) at Ascot. Gamrai has been well supported but was defeated by DAQUIRI BAY at HQ LTO and I can’t see the form being reversed so 13/2 can be taken on the latter with 5 places on offer. The son of New Bay has proven himself to be a consistent sort at this level, winning once and placing on a further three occasions in C2 handicaps (6 starts), and I don’t think a handicap mark of 100 is overestimating him. Plenty of positive fancied stats provide further confidence; most notably R Ryan’s 45% SR (A/E 1.76) on NB progeny, A King’s 33% SR (A/E 1.5) on triangle-shaped courses and NB’s 28% SR (A/E 1.64) at Ascot.
1 member found this comment useful
17:35 5:35 Royal Ascot
Map Of Stars
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 7.50 used instead of 7.00 takenBOG
@+650
Win
195
MAP OF STARS has been well supported this afternoon and I’m willing to chance the gelding at 6/1 (4 places). He ran really well when 4th to Ombudsman in the Gr1 Prince Of Wales at this meeting last year so I’m hoping that a return to this track on the same ground will rejuvenate the 5yo. J McDonald’s 35% SR (A/E 1.48) with fancied runners on good to firm going boosts claims.
16:20 4:20 Royal Ascot
Talk Of New York
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+550
Lose
-50
A lot of people will think I’m mad for taking on Bow Echo after his demolition job in the 2000 Guineas, but Night Of Thunder has a terrible 3/22 record (A/E 0.44) with favourites at Ascot so his son looks short enough. Gstaad looks difficult to rule out but TALK OF NEW YORK has done nothing but improve on every start and could hold value at 11/2. The colt by Wootton Bassett was thoroughly impressive at Sandown when taking the listed Heron Stakes, quickening up nicely, and brings a lofty top + blue FlatStats rating to boot. This is a big step up for the 3yo but W Buick’s 31% SR (A/E 1.3) on runners wearing the hood and, WB’s 26% SR (A/E 1.27) with LTO winners and 20% SR (A/E 1.46) at Ascot boost claims.
1 member found this comment useful
15:40 3:40 Royal Ascot
Night Raider
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@+700
Lose
-50
Another K Burke runner I fancy the chances of today is NIGHT RAIDER at 7/1 (5 places). The Wathnan Racing-owned gelding looked an improved horse for a wind op as a 3yo, winning on 2/3 remaining starts, both coming on the AW with the last being the listed Golden Rose Stakes at Newcastle. He was thrown back into Group company last year and failed to make waves, placing twice from 7 starts, but he’s returned in 2026 a rejuvenated figure with wins a HQ (Gr3) and Haydock in the Temple Stakes (Gr2) last month. The son of Dark Angel can build on those given Burke’s 27% SR (A/E 1.47) with fancied runners at Ascot.
14:30 2:30 Royal Ascot
Zeus Olympios
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@+1000
Lose
-50
This looks a fairly hot renewal of the Queen Anne, but I don’t think we’ve seen the best of ZEUS OLYMPIOS yet so 10/1 can be chanced each way. Godolphin (breeder) don’t have a great record with entires 3/31 (A/E 0.42) so I’m not confident of Notable Speech making it two wins on the bounce, meanwhile More Thunder has to overcome Night Of Thunder’s 7% SR (A/E 0.35) with fancied runners at Ascot. I was thoroughly impressed with Opera Ballo’s make-all win at Sandown on reappearance, however B Loughnane seems to get worse the more rides he has at a meeting (14% SR, A/E 0.48 when 7 rides and fancied) so he’s easy enough to oppose. ZO was a striking 3yo; winning all four of his starts last year including at Gr3 at Haydock and beating OB in the Gr2 Joel Stakes at HQ. The son of Night Of Thunder finished behind OB AND NS on his two starts this term but you can make excuses for both so a good start and clear round should leave him there at the finish. K Burke’s 27% SR (A/E 1.46) with Sheikh Mohammed Obaid Al Maktoum-bred runners boosts claims.
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Subtotal240
13 June 2026
15:17 3:17 Sandown
High Degree
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@SP
Lose
-50
HIGH DEGREE should be clear market leader IMO so 5/2 can be taken. Raammee carries a poor FlatStats rating alongside Persian King’s 2/21 record (A/E 0.36) with fancied runners carrying 9-4+, meanwhile Beagle Bay has been loveless in the market and will need to take a step forward now up a couple of classes. HD gave a nice enough reappearance run at Newbury last month, finishing 2l 2nd of 11 after pulling hard, so the sharpness will hopefully have been drawn out of him. W Haggas’s impressive 67% SR (A/E 1.79) on favourites over a mile at Sandown is another string to their bow.
15:00 3:00 York
Al Qareem
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@+225
Lose
-50
Potentially my only bet of the day comes in the form of old friend AL QAREEM at 9/4. Kingsclere Racing Club’s 5/60 record (A/E 0.41) in June is a huge dampener for Mount Atlas and Aakela Thoroughbred’s 0/35 record at York puts Epic Poet right up against it. I can’t make a case for the remaining runners so the K Burke-trained 7yo could just win by default as well as on merit. He made a winning return at Musselburgh in April, beating MA by 1/2l on soft ground, but was comfortably beaten at Chester in the Group 3 Ormonde Stakes last month. MA (2nd) reversed form that day but you can never read too closely into the form around that greyhound track so I'm willing to stick my neck on the line and say that AQ will resume winning ways. C Lee’s 55% SR (A/E 1.4) on favourites over long distances and Awtaad’s huge 67% SR (A/E 1.63) over these trips also boosts claims.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-100
11 June 2026
18:22 6:22 Catterick
Collateral Damage
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@+225
Win
112
Wilbur has been well supported all day, but I have to be taking him on given K Fraser’s 15% SR (A/E 0.42) on favourites at undulating courses and H Eustace’s 2/39 record (A/E 0.33) on tight courses. The K Burke yard started season the season poorly with their unraced 2yo’s, but over the past month they’ve absolutely taken off (44% SR, A/E 1.35) so COLLATERAL DAMAGE can be chanced at 5/2. The son of Too Darn Hot should handle conditions given his breeding, Burke brings an impressive 54% SR (A/E 2.32) with TDH juveniles and brings is 3/3 with debut 2yo’s over C&D too boost claims further.
Subtotal112
08 June 2026
19:39 7:39 Windsor
Regal Envoy
Daily Racing
50 WINNAPNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@+200
Win
100
I’ve got to be siding with the jolly in the feature handicap at Windsor this evening. With Trefor being withdrawn Gaeli is 2nd in the market, and while has shown form on deep ground over in Italy, I can’t see him turning the tables on REGAL ENVOY after finishing 2l behind the latter over C&D LTO. The W Knight-trained gelding is bolstered by yards’ 47% SR (A/E 1.48) with favourites when they’re their only runner that day and he took this contest last year off a 3lb higher mark. He made his reappearance at HQ in April, finishing 3.75l 3rd of 8 and clearly needing the run, but put that well behind him NTO when winning at Bath. The son of Ardad blew the start here at Windsor last month but finished strongly to take 2nd behind Redorange who went close in the listed Achilles Stakes NTO. This will certainly be the deepest ground that he’s faced but on ability 2/1 looks value.
Subtotal100
06 June 2026
17:55 5:55 Epsom Downs
Roman Dragon
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+2000
Lose
-50
My final play of Saturday comes in the form of ROMAN DRAGON at a huge 20/1 (5 places). Fine Interview is proving himself to be a high-class handicapper, however H Al Jehani’s 1/12 record (A/E 0.19) with favourites in summer leaves plenty to be desired, meanwhile J Mason’s 9% SR (A/E 0.38) on fancied runners wearing the visor puts Sondad up against it. Apollo One comes in and out of form too easily for my liking plus there’s a deluge of negative stats for P Charalambous, and Strike Red will do well to overcome B Garritty’s 4% SR (A/E 0.4) on horses aged 8yo+ and 9% SR (A/E 0.5) on fancied runners on Saturdays. This just looks perfectly set up for a wild outsider to spring a surprise and RD fits the bill; the son of Heeraat was badly hampered at his beloved Chester LTO but finished his race off well. He won prior to that over 5f at the same venue so I don’t think a mark of 100 should hinder the gelding and he’s shown form on soft ground prior. O Murphy’s 27% SR (A/E 1.31) for H Palmer boosts claims.
16:40 4:40 Epsom Downs
Hell Yeah He Did
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+350
Lose
-50
I’d make HELL YEAH HE DID much shorter for this so 7/2 can be taken. Allegresse is burdened by O Murphy’s 2/20 record (A/E 0.36) on fancied runners over 10f at Epsom, meanwhile Folk Pageant has to overcome C Johnston’s 7% SR (A/E 0.49) at the course. Starlight Time could need the run, as could HYHD, but the ground is going to be unforgiving come 4:40 and the latter has raced thrice on soft going; coming 2.5l 2nd at Salisbury, 1l 3rd at Pontefract and winning by 1.25l at Nottingham when last seen in October. Plenty of positive favourite stats boost claims further; R Beckett’s 58% SR (A/E 1.46) with French-born runners and Valmont’s 59% SR (A/E 1.5) in the summer being the pick.
16:10 4:10 Musselburgh
Magical Merlot
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@+225
Lose
-50
MAGICAL MERLOT should take all the beating at head of the market. Blues And Royals needs to overcome the M Bell yard form (2/36, A/E 0.38 over the past month), meanwhile Strength Of Spirit really needs to put his past couple of runs behind him. Victory Ace carries a poor FlatStats rating with R Elliott’s 4% SR (A/E 0.45) on runners coming up in trip making life even tougher for the son of Ulysses and it’s hard to make a case for the remaining runners. MM has been well backed overnight and you can see why on the basis of a 1.5l defeat at Windsor last month. The E Dunlop-trained 3yo is rated 1lb higher for that effort but this is negated by the booking of 5lb claimer L Young who brings a superb 4/6 record (A/E 1.86) on favourites in middle distance handicaps. 9/4 taken.
15:15 3:15 Epsom Downs
King Of Light
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@+1100
Win
30
KING OF LIGHT looks too big here at 11/1 with 5 places on offer. The son of Mehmas made a promising reappearance run at Goodwood LTO, finishing 2.25l 2nd of 11 behind the 10/3 favourite who was well positioned throughout, and has an unaffected handicap mark. Since joining the S Williams’ yard the gelding has won once, coming at Haydock, and placed twice with a very close 1.75l 4th of 11 on his final run of 2025. Connections have ditched all headgear today so I’m hoping that that frees the 4yo up a touch and there are plenty of positive stats to boost claims; most notable being M Ghiani’s 43% SR (A/E 1.61) on fancied LTO runners-up, 33% SR (A/E 1.45) on fancied 4yo’s and Williams’s 17% SR (A/E 1.62) for owner TJE Racing.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-120
05 June 2026
17:35 5:35 Bath
Bill The Bull
Daily Racing
50 WINNAPNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@+100
Win
50
BILL THE BULL looks absolutely solid at head of the market and even money can be taken. The colt by Coulsty has given three fair displays so far, starting with a 4l defeat in the Brocklesby, switching to the AW at Wolvo and finishing 3.25l 3rd of 7 in a C4 novice event and he really put things together at Sandown last month when losing out by just 1 length in the listed National Stakes. I don’t see anything being up to that level today and there’s a deluge of positive favourite stats to boost claims; most notable Coulsty’s 56% SR (A/E 1.56) at southern courses, same SR (A/E 1.47) in the summer and breeder Rathasker Stud’s 44% SR (A/E 1.53) in C1-3 races.
Subtotal50
30 May 2026
15:30 3:30 Chester
Brighton Boy
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@+1200
Win
35
The top four in the market here are all draw low and you’d think that that would be an advantage, but FlatStats prove that the reverse is the case (high best) and of those BRIGHTON BOY (8) makes plenty of appeal at 12/1 (4 places). The son of Gregorian has scored twice at the course and gone close on the other couple of occasions, aligning with the sires’ 24% SR (A/E 1.74) at Chester, so I see no reason as to why his son won’t go close again today. He won off a 3lb lower mark at Carlisle a couple of weeks ago, coming on his third start for the T Easterby team, so there’s every chance that they’ve got a hold of the gelding now and can really push on.
1 member found this comment useful
14:33 2:33 Carlisle
Rogue Lightning
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+1100
Lose
-50
Redorange has to be taken on here given Mehmas’s 17% SR (A/E 0.48) with favourites wearing the tongue strap, Almohamediya Racing’s 4% SR (A/E 0.33) with 4yo’s plus 10% SR (A/E 0.4) with fancied runners on Saturdays. Starlust has been supported well but has looked to need the run on reappearance over the past couple of years so I wouldn’t be confident that he’s fully wound up today, meanwhile Washington Heights has to overcome Washington DC’s 5% SR (A/E 0.49) with moderately fancied runners. This looks set up for a double-digit price and of those ROGUE LIGHTNING holds the most potential and can be chanced at 11/1 (3 places). The son of Kodiac has shown to be a consistent sort, winning five times and placing on a further five from 19 starts on turf. The cobwebs should well and truly have been blown away at ParisLongchamp a few weeks back in the Gr3 Prix de Saint-Georges, losing by 4.75l to Rayevka from the massively in-form F Graffard yard. This is a drop into listed company for the 6yo and T Clover’s 22% SR (A/E 1.37) with 5f sprinters provides plenty of confidence.
13:30 1:30 Carlisle
Topteam
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@+1100
Lose
-50
There are enough question marks surrounding Opportunity to oppose him here. Rogue Millions I can take on also given R Ryan’s 2/15 record (A/E 0.37) on fancied Dubawi progeny, meanwhile Ghaiyya will do well to overcome owner Mascalls Stud’s 2/34 (A/E 0.27) with fancied middle-distance runners. Humble Spark interested me, so will probably win now, but the son of Acclamation has had huge opportunities on his last three starts to get another win under his belt but failed to do so so I can’t be trusting him up in class. Castle Stuart carries a poor FlatStats rating alongside C Hardie’s 3% SR (A/E 0.46) on runners carrying 9-1 to 9-3 and P Smith’s 4% SR (A/E 0.47) in C1-3 races, but TOPTEAM took a step forward at HQ LTO (1l 2nd of 8) and can be chanced off a 1lb higher mark. The A Balding-trained 4yo won thrice last season from six starts and returned from his winter break with a 1l success at Kempton last month. He went off a 6/4 fav at Epsom NTO but failed to beat a rival home, perhaps failing to handle the undulations so I’m putting a line through it. 12/1 (4 places) taken.
2 members found this comment useful
Subtotal-65
28 May 2026
18:42 6:42 Sandown
Yazin
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@+350
Lose
-50
Talk Of New York could prove just a class above this bunch but considering Wootton Bassett’s 2/11 record (A/E 0.38) with favourites over a mile on quick ground (1/7, A/E 0.26 with 3yo’s) I think his son is opposable. YAZIN has been progressing through the ranks nicely, winning twice as a 2yo and putting in a polished display at Southwell on reappearance last month to land a C2 conditions stakes’ by a comfortable 3.5l. That came on the back of a wind op so I’m expecting further improvement today and the booking of R Moore has to be noted given his 33% SR (A/E 1.51) for the Gosden’s on their 3yo’s, boosted to an impressive 47% SR (A/E 2.03) when over a mile. New Bay’s 50% SR (A/E 1.7) with fancied runners in C1-3 races on stiff, uphill courses provides further optimism. 7/2 taken.
17:42 5:42 Sandown
Napa
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@+300
Lose
-50
Adaay Of Scarlett has to be opposed here given O Murphy’s 15% SR (A/E 0.38) on Mehmas favourites and the sire’s 7% SR (A/E 0.36) over 5f at Sandown. Where Love Lies interested me, however K Stott isn’t in the best form of late (7% SR, A/E 0.45 over the past month) and this looks a big step up for the colt from his victory in a C4 maiden win at Thirsk last month. NAPA should be market leader IMO and I’m happy to back the son of Naval Crown at 3/1. The 2yo gave a fair enough debut run at Newbury in April, finishing 2.5l 4th of 9, and really built on that when stepping up into a C2 novice event at HQ, winning by 1.5l. There’ve been multiple winners come out of that race already so is showing a promising form line and a couple of positive stats for Ringfort Stud boost claims further; a 16% SR (A/E 1.36) with runners stepping up in class and same SR (A/E 1.29) with horses returning from 15 to 28 days away.
Subtotal-100
27 May 2026
20:30 8:30 Kempton
Master Vintner
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@+450
Lose
-50
This looks between Ernst Blofeld and MASTER VINTNER, but preference just falls to the latter at 9/2. The market leader is likely to build on his reappearance run at HQ a couple of weeks ago, but trainer H Al Jehani has had barely any runners on the AW since he started training on these shores in 2024 so I couldn’t be confident the switch from turf will work here. MV finished behind EB that day, but R Beckett rarely has his runners fully wound up on reappearance so, like the market, I’m expecting a much better display now back on the artificial surface. The son of Mastercraftsman won on his only start on the AW, coming at Lingfield last year where he was a justified 4/11 favourite, winning by a mere 3.75l, and Beckett’s 48% SR (A/E 1.49) with fancied runners in May (2/2 this year) provides further confidence.
Subtotal-50
25 May 2026
16:07 4:07 Redcar
Fierce Fortitude
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@+400
Lose
-50
My strongest fancy of the day comes in the form of FIERCE FORTITUDE in the Zetland Gold Cup. Divine Knight must be opposed given H Burns’s 1/15 record (A/E 0.18) on favourites in 3yo+ races and same SR (A/E 0.19) on favs when he’s got two rides that day, meanwhile Spoken Truth carries a damning draw in stall 1 (SDI ??"37). The Amo Racing-owned FF looks a progressive sort, winning both starts on turf including LTO over C&D where the 4yo looked to win with plenty in hand. He’s got a 4lb higher mark to contend with today but I don’t think we’ve seen the son of Mehmas’ ceiling yet and D Egan’s impressive 59% SR (A/E 1.66) on fancied runners at Redcar adds further confidence. 4/1 taken.
1 member found this comment useful
15:53 3:53 Windsor
Trefor
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@+400
Lose
-50
Nad Alshiba Green looks a worthy market leader on paper, but she’s looked poor over 6f on all five starts at the trip, looked poor on her only start here at Windsor in 2024 and carries a poor FlatStats rating. Sudden Flight holds an even worse FS rating and F Marsh’s 2/79 record (A/E 0.26) on runners returning that year makes them impossible to back with any confidence. TREFOR should come forward from his reappearance run at Goodwood at the beginning of the month and 4/1 looks decent value. The son of Invincible Army just looked to lack fitness when fading out of things late and this is calmer waters. He always goes well here at Windsor, winning twice and finishing within 1.5l on the three other starts, and a handful of positive stats boosts claims further; most notably IA’s 44% SR (A/E 1.82) with fancied runners at the course and the owner’s 36% SR (A/E 1.68) with fancied runners keeping to the same class.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-100
23 May 2026
19:15 7:15 Salisbury
Prince Of India
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+650
Lose
-50
My only play at Salisbury this evening comes in the feature, the listed Cathedral Stakes, with PRINCE OF INDIA at 13/2 (each way). Almeraq can be taken on given H Davies’s 14% SR (A/E 0.41) on favourites at uphill courses, meanwhile Spy Chief is yet to impress me at this sort of level. Soldier’s Tree runs for J Owen for the FT and is the unknown quantity, but POI looks the safer bet at the prices. The son of Wootton Bassett had a stellar 3yo campaign; taking four contests, including two valuable C2 handicaps, and went close in the listed Garrowby Stakes at York in September (1l 3rd of 9). He returned with a run in the Lady Wulfruna at Wolvo in March, losing out by 1.5l to Cool Hoof Luke, and connections clearly thought he needed the run given he was upped to Gr3 level NTO. The colt was in no way disgraced that day, losing by 4.25l, and was dropped back into handicap company LTO at Leicester, narrowly losing by a neck after a less-than-ideal passage. A top + blue FlatStats rating, positive draw in stall 8 and M Ghiani’s 19% SR (A/E 1.34) on 4yo’s boosts claims.
1 member found this comment useful
16:05 4:05 Haydock
Blazeon Five
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@+1200
Void
0
I think Humble Spark can be opposed here given his 0/11 record on similar going, 0/5 record in C2 contests and lack of excuses when being beaten at short(ish) odds on his last few starts. Pole Star is on the drift and I couldn’t be backing him given C Johnston’s 7% SR (A/E 0.44) with runners wearing the visor, meanwhile this is Hermetic’s 2nd run for the I Williams team and we can’t be sure whether they’ve got a handle on the 4yo yet. BLAZEON FIVE makes appeal at 12/1 (4 places); the mare in the field notched up three consecutive wins towards the end of last year and returned with a nice enough effort at Newbury last month (4.5l 2nd of 6). I’m expecting her to strip fitter today, the A King yard are in good form this season (20% SR, A/E 1.27) and the booking of R Ryan is a positive given a 3/7 record (A/E 2.23) when riding for them at Haydock. A 24% SR (A/E 2.12) with mares and same SR (A/E 1.3) with LTO 2nd's for King provides further confidence.
1 member found this comment useful
13:25 1:25 Goodwood
Richies Rocket
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@+1800
Lose
-50
My first selection today comes in the opener at Goodwood with RICHIE’S ROCKET at 18/1 (5 places). The 3yo trained by R Beckett raced twice as a juvenile, finishing 4.25l 3rd of 15 on debut at HQ before switching to the AW and taking a C4 maiden at Lingfield by a whopping 9l. He was a disappointing evens fav at the same C&D in February in a listed contest, albeit only losing by 1.25l, and I’m willing to forgive the son of New Bay for a no-show back at HQ last month as they went hell-for-leather from the onset and he never settled. This is the gelding’s handicap debut and there’s not many other trainers you’d want training NB offspring than Beckett with his 28% SR (A.E 1.41).
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Subtotal-100
22 May 2026
16:17 4:17 Goodwood
Ice Max
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@+300
Lose
-50
I really fancy the chances of ICE MAX in this listed contest at 3/1. Haatem can be opposed given Wathnan’s 10% SR (A/E 0.49) on Fridays and 12% SR (A/E 0.46) with fancied runners at Goodwood, meanwhile Enfjaar will do well to overcome R Varian’s 1/25 record (A/E 0.16) with fancied runners over C&D and R Dawson’s 7% SR (A/E 0.49) over 10f. IM is dropping back into listed company today after a 1.5l defeat behind Derby and Irish Derby winner Lambourn in the Huxley Stakes at Chester earlier this month. The son of Dark Angel was denied a clear run at a crucial time that day but finished his race off nicely and you’ve got to suspect that similar performance today will make him hard to beat. S James’s 46% SR (A/E 1.34) on favourites at right-handed tracks boosts claims further.
Subtotal-50
19 May 2026
14:50 2:50 Nottingham
Bay Royale
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@+137
Lose
-50
My only play today comes in the form of BAY ROYALE in the novice feature at Nottingham. I backed this colt by New Bay LTO over C&D where he won by a comfortable 2.25l; he was up in trip that day and looked keen throughout so you can certainly upgrade the performance. Should he settle better today I can see him taking all the beating and a lofty top + blue FlatStats rating boosts claims further. NB’s 44% SR (A/E 1.35) with favourites in C1-3 races and P-L Jamin’s ridiculous 82% SR (A/E 1.66) on colts who go off fav in stakes races makes 11/8 potentially decent value.
Subtotal-50
16 May 2026
17:40 5:40 Newbury
Chapter
Daily Racing
25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@+2000
Void
0
My wild outsider of the day comes in the form of CHAPTER at 20/1 (3 places). Dark Angel progeny tend to improve from 2 to 3 so I’m fully expecting his son to finish the season with a mark much higher than today’s (76) and he’s already shown glimpses of ability with a win at Salisbury on soft ground and 1l defeat at Doncaster on heavy. C Hills’ 9% SR (A/E 1.73) with outsiders in May suggests that his charge can outrun these odds.
16:20 4:20 Newbury
Far Above Dream
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 10.00 on 16/05 at 14:290.10 deduction for Realign@10.00 withdrawn at 14:55R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 9.00 x (1-0.10) = 9.10Best Odds Guaranteed SP 9.50 used instead of 9.10 BOG
@+850
Win
255
C Cox has a terrible record with fancied runners here at Newbury (10% SR, A/E 0.49) so Addison Grey can be taken on and I think FAR ABOVE DREAM is overpriced at 9/1 (4 places). The son of Far Above won thrice last year; twice at Goodwood and once at Bath, plus went close on a further couple of occasions. He returned with a bang at Goodwood earlier this month, battling well to beat Evening Saigon by a neck, and has subsequently been raised 6lb in the handicap. I’m expecting the 4yo to strip fitter for that and I don’t think we’ve seen his full potential yet. J Owen’s 16% SR (A/E 1.41) with runners carrying between 8-13 and 9-3 and FA’s 25% SR (A/E 1.86) at southern courses provides further cause for optimism.
15:45 3:45 Newbury
Lost Boys
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@+332
Win
166
I’ve got to be siding with the jolly here at 10/3. Lost Boys finished his juvenile season with a smart display at Haydock, taking a C4 maiden in comfortable fashion, and just looked to lack fitness when winning on reappearance at Sandown last month. I’m expecting him to come forward and trainer D Menuisier brings a couple of positive favourite stats; a 45% SR (A/E 1.35) when they’re his sole runner that day and 40% SR (A/E 1.26) in handicaps.
15:10 3:10 Newbury
Ghost Mode
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@+900
Lose
-50
Albert Einstein has proven that he just can’t be trusted and Wootton Bassett’s 12% SR (A/E 0.43) with fancied runners in Britain trained by A O’Brien makes his son easy to take on. S Foley is a negative booking for Royal Fixation given his 1/70 record (A/E 0.16) at southern courses and 2/70 (A/E 0.3) on 3yo’s, meanwhile Wise Approach is from the struggling C Appleby yard. GHOST MODE looks a smart performer and can take his opportunity now dropped into listed company; the son of Ghaiyyath showed plenty of promise as a 2yo, taking a C2 maiden at Chester and finishing 2nd or 3rd of all other starts, and returned with aplomb at Southwell in March. He was a well backed favourite that day to take a C2 handicap by just the 4.25l and I’m willing to forgive the colt for a no show at Ascot in the Pavillion Stakes. Ghaiyyath’s 23% SR (A/E 1.36) with runners on flat courses boosts claims further and 9/1 can be taken (4 places).
14:35 2:35 Newbury
Jonquil
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+1600
Lose
-50
This is a hot renewal of the Lockinge but JONQUIL looks too big a price at 16/1 (3 places). The Gosden’s 17% SR (A/E 0.4) with favourites over a mile at Newbury and Wathnan’s 13% SR (A/E 0.33) with favs in Group races makes Damysus hard to side with, meanwhile the C Appleby yard are struggling of late (3/31, A/E 0.4 over the past month) so Notable Speech has plenty to do. Zeus Olympios will come forward from his defeat at Sandown last month, but this is his first go at Gr1 level and has to be a watching brief, meanwhile More Thunder has to prove that his Gr2 win here at Newbury in the 7f Hungerford last year was no fluke. Jonquil will likely have the fitness edge here given his two runs already this year, last of which winning the listed Paradise Stakes at Ascot a couple of weeks ago. He always looked to be doing enough that day, without throwing the kitchen sink at the colt, so I’m expecting another bold display back at this level. A Balding’s 24% SR (A/E 1.54) over C&D and 10% SR (A/E 1.48) with outsiders on good groudn add further confidence.
Subtotal321
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