CalFergie
1
Estimated Prizes
this month
£10
Estimated Prize money
this month
CalFergie's Tips History
22 May 2026
16:17 4:17 Goodwood
Ice Max
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@+300
Lose
-50
I really fancy the chances of ICE MAX in this listed contest at 3/1. Haatem can be opposed given Wathnan’s 10% SR (A/E 0.49) on Fridays and 12% SR (A/E 0.46) with fancied runners at Goodwood, meanwhile Enfjaar will do well to overcome R Varian’s 1/25 record (A/E 0.16) with fancied runners over C&D and R Dawson’s 7% SR (A/E 0.49) over 10f. IM is dropping back into listed company today after a 1.5l defeat behind Derby and Irish Derby winner Lambourn in the Huxley Stakes at Chester earlier this month. The son of Dark Angel was denied a clear run at a crucial time that day but finished his race off nicely and you’ve got to suspect that similar performance today will make him hard to beat. S James’s 46% SR (A/E 1.34) on favourites at right-handed tracks boosts claims further.
Subtotal-50
19 May 2026
14:50 2:50 Nottingham
Bay Royale
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@+137
Lose
-50
My only play today comes in the form of BAY ROYALE in the novice feature at Nottingham. I backed this colt by New Bay LTO over C&D where he won by a comfortable 2.25l; he was up in trip that day and looked keen throughout so you can certainly upgrade the performance. Should he settle better today I can see him taking all the beating and a lofty top + blue FlatStats rating boosts claims further. NB’s 44% SR (A/E 1.35) with favourites in C1-3 races and P-L Jamin’s ridiculous 82% SR (A/E 1.66) on colts who go off fav in stakes races makes 11/8 potentially decent value.
Subtotal-50
16 May 2026
17:40 5:40 Newbury
Chapter
Daily Racing
25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@+2000
Void
0
My wild outsider of the day comes in the form of CHAPTER at 20/1 (3 places). Dark Angel progeny tend to improve from 2 to 3 so I’m fully expecting his son to finish the season with a mark much higher than today’s (76) and he’s already shown glimpses of ability with a win at Salisbury on soft ground and 1l defeat at Doncaster on heavy. C Hills’ 9% SR (A/E 1.73) with outsiders in May suggests that his charge can outrun these odds.
16:20 4:20 Newbury
Far Above Dream
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 10.00 on 16/05 at 14:290.10 deduction for Realign@10.00 withdrawn at 14:55R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 9.00 x (1-0.10) = 9.10Best Odds Guaranteed SP 9.50 used instead of 9.10 BOG
@+850
Win
255
C Cox has a terrible record with fancied runners here at Newbury (10% SR, A/E 0.49) so Addison Grey can be taken on and I think FAR ABOVE DREAM is overpriced at 9/1 (4 places). The son of Far Above won thrice last year; twice at Goodwood and once at Bath, plus went close on a further couple of occasions. He returned with a bang at Goodwood earlier this month, battling well to beat Evening Saigon by a neck, and has subsequently been raised 6lb in the handicap. I’m expecting the 4yo to strip fitter for that and I don’t think we’ve seen his full potential yet. J Owen’s 16% SR (A/E 1.41) with runners carrying between 8-13 and 9-3 and FA’s 25% SR (A/E 1.86) at southern courses provides further cause for optimism.
15:45 3:45 Newbury
Lost Boys
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@+332
Win
166
I’ve got to be siding with the jolly here at 10/3. Lost Boys finished his juvenile season with a smart display at Haydock, taking a C4 maiden in comfortable fashion, and just looked to lack fitness when winning on reappearance at Sandown last month. I’m expecting him to come forward and trainer D Menuisier brings a couple of positive favourite stats; a 45% SR (A/E 1.35) when they’re his sole runner that day and 40% SR (A/E 1.26) in handicaps.
15:10 3:10 Newbury
Ghost Mode
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@+900
Lose
-50
Albert Einstein has proven that he just can’t be trusted and Wootton Bassett’s 12% SR (A/E 0.43) with fancied runners in Britain trained by A O’Brien makes his son easy to take on. S Foley is a negative booking for Royal Fixation given his 1/70 record (A/E 0.16) at southern courses and 2/70 (A/E 0.3) on 3yo’s, meanwhile Wise Approach is from the struggling C Appleby yard. GHOST MODE looks a smart performer and can take his opportunity now dropped into listed company; the son of Ghaiyyath showed plenty of promise as a 2yo, taking a C2 maiden at Chester and finishing 2nd or 3rd of all other starts, and returned with aplomb at Southwell in March. He was a well backed favourite that day to take a C2 handicap by just the 4.25l and I’m willing to forgive the colt for a no show at Ascot in the Pavillion Stakes. Ghaiyyath’s 23% SR (A/E 1.36) with runners on flat courses boosts claims further and 9/1 can be taken (4 places).
14:35 2:35 Newbury
Jonquil
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+1600
Lose
-50
This is a hot renewal of the Lockinge but JONQUIL looks too big a price at 16/1 (3 places). The Gosden’s 17% SR (A/E 0.4) with favourites over a mile at Newbury and Wathnan’s 13% SR (A/E 0.33) with favs in Group races makes Damysus hard to side with, meanwhile the C Appleby yard are struggling of late (3/31, A/E 0.4 over the past month) so Notable Speech has plenty to do. Zeus Olympios will come forward from his defeat at Sandown last month, but this is his first go at Gr1 level and has to be a watching brief, meanwhile More Thunder has to prove that his Gr2 win here at Newbury in the 7f Hungerford last year was no fluke. Jonquil will likely have the fitness edge here given his two runs already this year, last of which winning the listed Paradise Stakes at Ascot a couple of weeks ago. He always looked to be doing enough that day, without throwing the kitchen sink at the colt, so I’m expecting another bold display back at this level. A Balding’s 24% SR (A/E 1.54) over C&D and 10% SR (A/E 1.48) with outsiders on good groudn add further confidence.
Subtotal321
14 May 2026
14:55 2:55 York
Cerulean Bay
Daily Racing
25 EWNAPNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@+800
Win
15
Sea Force is far too short here given his owner’s 2/40 record (A/E 0.34) at York. Shout was backed into favouritism at Newbury LTO but really failed to reward punters so can’t be trusted today, but CERULEAN BAY makes plenty of appeal at 8/1 (5 places). The D O’Meara-trained gelding gave a solid display on reappearance at Haydock last month, finishing 3/4l 4th of 12 from a less-than-ideal passage, and runs off an unchanged mark. He’s had identical preparation as his run in this last year where he only beat three home, but he looks miles fitter this time and holds a decent draw in stall 6 (low best). The son of New Bay more than held his own in top-quality handicaps in 2025, winning a couple at Goodwood and finishing runner-up on a further two occasions, before finishing with a 2.25l 4th of 12 in the listed Robin Hood Stakes at Nottingham in October.
Subtotal15
13 May 2026
16:40 4:40 York
Gold Queen Kindly
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@+2500
Win
100
I’m having a wild swing in the 7f handicap with GOLD QUEEN KINDLY at 25/1 (6 places). Al Najashi has to be opposed give Territories’ 20% SR (A/E 0.48) with favourites coming down in class plus owner Mr Ziad’s 7% SR (A/E 0.44) with 7f runners, meanwhile M Winn’s 2/28 record (A/E 0.31) on fancied runners carrying up to 8-11 makes The Resdev Scholar hard to side with. Inishbeg has a handful of negatives for breeder Cooneen Stud to overcome, as does Hasbro Market with Tinnakill Bloodstock, and S Osbourne’s 11% SR (A/E 0.47) with fancied runners on Wednesday’s startles me with Startled. First Legion will do well to overcome S Foley’s 1/37 record (A/E 0.2) on good ground and 2/69 (A/E 0.31) on 3yo’s here in Britain so this contest just looks set up for a bigger price to pounce. GQK has moved to R Fell’s yard since a 2.25l 3rd of 11 at Wetherby last month, building on a 5l 2nd of 8 at Southwell. The gelding by Lope De Vega looked highly promising as a 2yo and can run well here if rekindling that flame off an unchanged mark.
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14:55 2:55 York
Binhareer
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@+800
Lose
-50
My strongest fancy on day 1 on the Dante meeting comes in the form of BINHAREER at 5/1. The son of Dark Angel was last seen taking an identical contest here at York back in October and is now rated 10lb higher; it’s a huge leap but is testament to the optics of that win (2.75l, not given a clear run) plus the other solid runs he gave as a 3yo, including a win at Ayr. The W Haggas yard have started the season well with runners on reappearance, especially when favourite and T Marquand booked (5/8, A/E 1.34), DA brings a superb 60% SR (A/E 1.52) with favs returning off 57+ days away when they won LTO and Marquand’s 40% SR (A/E 1.88) on fancied runners over C&D adds further confidence.
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13:45 1:45 York
Varzi
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@+125
Lose
-50
I wouldn’t usually be putting up such a short-priced debutant, but VARZI appeals at 5/4. Cut A Dash is burdened by R Hannon’s 10% SR (A/E 0.38) with fancied runners bred by Denford Stud plus DS’s 6% SR (A/E 0.37) in novice races, meanwhile Dandy Man’s awful 4% SR (A/E 0.47) at York and owner M Macleod’s 4% SR (A/E 0.37) on straight courses puts Spectacular Diver up against it. It’s easy enough to put a line through the remainder so the jolly could just win by default. K Burke’s 1/13 record with 2yo’ so far this season concerns me, but I think this’ll be negated by HG’s superb 5/6 record (A/E 1.56) with 2yo favourites wearing a tongue strap
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Subtotal0
09 May 2026
15:40 3:40 Haydock
Poet Master
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@+550
Lose
-50
Lake Forest looks the right favourite for the Spring Trophy at Haydock given his Group form, but No Nay Never’s 8% SR (A/E 0.4) with fancied 5yo’s and 13% SR (A/E 0.39) with fancied runners trained by W Haggas makes me want to take him on. Ten Bob Tony is burdened by A Lewis’s 6% SR (A/E 0.4) on runners coming up in trip, meanwhile S Hollinshead has an atrocious 2/196 record (A/E 0.32) in stakes races meaning Myal will do well to back up his win LTO. POET MASTER went down a beaten fav to Myal at Thirsk on reappearance in a conditions race last month, but I really think he can build on that today and 11/2 looks huge value. The winner had a run under his belt already, and therefore the fitness edge, but that won’t be a factor today and the son of Lope De Vega’s runs in Group company over the past couple of seasons looks decent enough form to be taking a contest like this. K Burke’s 38% SR (A/E 1.39) with fancied runners bred by Sheikh Mohammed Obaid Al Maktoum provides further confidence.
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14:20 2:20 Ascot
Great Acclaim
Daily Racing
25 EWNBNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@+1400
Win
45
Mudbir looks weak at head of the market here with Shadwell’s 11% SR (A/E 0.29) with Kingman favs. Tribal Chief looks set for a tricky season given Sioux Nation’s 6% SR (A/E 0.47) with 5yo’s, meanwhile Defence Minister needs to build on his LTO win at Kempton based on his turf runs last year. Shiplake carries a poor FlatStats rating but GREAT ACCLAIM showed plenty at Haydock last month (1/2l 3rd of 12) and can go well again off an unchanged mark. He’s ran four times at Ascot, twice over 7f where he’s finished 1.5l 2nd of 20 off a 1lb lower mark and 3l 4th of 15 off a 2lb higher mark. The 5yo does struggle to settle so I’m hoping that application of the FT visor works today as the blinkers have been discarded, plus he loves these big field handicaps. 14/1 taken with 6 places.
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Subtotal-5
07 May 2026
17:30 4:45 Chester
Magnetude
Daily Racing
25 EWNBNOTETip made at odds of 10.00 on 07/05 at 07:280.20 deduction for High Storm@4.33 withdrawn at 15:13R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 9.00 x (1-0.20) = 8.20Best Odds Guaranteed SP 13.00 used instead of 8.20 BOG
@+1200
Win
360
Mythical Bay looks far too short here given A Balding’s 2/21 record (A/E 0.34) with fancied New Bay progeny. Generally The Gredley Family do badly with their fancied runners, but a 1/24 record (A/E 0.19) in the midlands tempers enthusiasm further for Moment Of Light, meanwhile S James has never really gotten to grips with the tight nature of Chester (3/58, A/E 0.56), particularly in the handicaps (0/38) so High Storm is hard to side with. C Lee does just as badly (0/20) making K Burke’s 2nd string, Galilean Quality, look up against it and while Parisian Scholar is harder to rule out this is a step up in class on turf reappearance after some average runs. MAGNETUDE is another taking a chance at this level but is more lightly raced than PS and 9/1 looks decent value (each way). He’s The Gredley’s 2nd string but they do much better with runners going under the radar and they’re applying cheek pieces to the colt for the FT today. Palace Pier’s 26% SR (A/E 1.22) with their use plus J Owen’s 22% SR (A/E 1.57) with their first use (2/3 so far this year) suggests that they could work a charm.
13:30 1:30 Chester
Stratusnine
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@+800
Lose
-50
I’m having a couple of plays at Chester this afternoon, the first of which being STRATUSNINE at 15/2 with 4 places on offer. Roman Dragon has a phenomenal record here, but when you dig deeper he’s 0/5 when going off favourite which aligns with Heeraat’s 2/23 record (A/E 0.29) with market leaders at midlands’ courses. Canon’s House has plenty of negatives to overcome including M Easterby’s 9% SR (A/E 0.41) with fancied runners wearing cheek pieces and J Mason’s 9% SR (A/E 0.5) on fancied runners in C1-3 races, meanwhile Ruby’s Profit will do well to overcome J Doughty’s 13% SR (A/E 0.46) on fancied runners who are the trainers only runner at the meeting. Stratusnine may well be the H Palmer 2nd string but the son of Far Above has been in decent form on the AW over the winter, winning once and placing on a further couple of occasions. He’s shown he takes to turf with a win at Ayr and three runner-up spots from four starts as a 2yo and FA’s 20% SR (A/E 1.84) with moderately fancied runners provides further confidence of a good run.
Subtotal310
03 May 2026
17:35 5:35 Hamilton
Alpine Sierra
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+150
Win
75
This is another rare dabble into the lesser handicaps but ALPINE SIERRA is carrying such a low weight here and has been in tremendous form. The 8yo, trained by J Goldie, was last seen finishing 2.25l 3rd of 7 at Musselburgh over 9f, staying on late. He’s only ran over this distance once before; coming here at Hamilton 4 years ago where the front runners were able to dictate, and I think that the way he’s been seeing his races off suggests that he’ll relish the extra distance today. Apprentice L Young has proven well worth her claim and brings several positive fancied stats; most notably a 39% SR (A/E 1.76) in handicaps and 38% SR (A/E 1.66) when riding for Goldie. 6/4 taken.
15:53 3:53 Hamilton
Native Instinct
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+225
Lose
-50
I wouldn’t usually be dabbling in a class 5 handicap, but market leader NATIVE INSTINCT is screaming at me. The son of Night Of Thunder flattered to deceive on his final appearance last season, trailing 18l behind the winner, but I’m more than happy to forgive that run given it came on soft ground just 10 days after a run at Catterick. He’d been in decent enough form before that without getting his head in front but has slid down the handicap to an attractive mark of 74 in lesser company here. E Bethell is the absolute master at getting horses ready on their seasonal appearance in spring (33% SR, A/E 1.65) and brings a handful of impressive favourite stats to provide further confidence; a 50% SR (A/E 1.41) with runners returning off 57+ days away, the same SR (A/E 1.44) with C Rodriguez booked in C5 handicaps, a 57% SR (A/E 1.56) with the jockey over middle distance handicaps and 46% SR (A/E 1.39) with horses coming down in class.
15:15 3:15 Hamilton
Haayimm
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@+225
Lose
-50
I’ve got to be siding with the outsider of three here in HAAYIMM at 11/4. Conclave carries a poor FlatStats rating and Sioux Nation don’t tend to appreciate uphill courses so I’m not convinced that his son will translate a win and 2nd place on the AW onto the turf today. Proud Nation is also by SN, won once and came runner up on his only 2yo starts, but the Fahey’s don’t tend to have their runners fully wound up on reappearance, particularly their 3yo’s (7% SR, A/E 0.65), so I can’t be having their charge. A gelding by Gleneagles, Haayimm gave a fair enough display on debut in September at Beverley (4.25l 3rd of 8) before being put away for the winter. He returned with aplomb at Pontefract, taking a C4 maiden by 1.5l and looking like there was much more in the tank. I’m fully expecting him to come forward from that run.
14:55 2:55 Newmarket
Subsequent
Daily Racing
25 EWNBNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 9.50 used instead of 7.00 takenBOG
@+850
Win
17
This is as about a wide-open handicap as you’ll and I think SUBSEQUENT will go close at 6/1 (4 places). Dramatic Star has disappointed on both starts so far this term, resulting in the application of cheekpieces, meanwhile Goblet Of Fire has been campaigned predominantly over hurdles, carries a poor FlatStats rating and has never ran at this level in this sphere. Many Men is harder to rule out now dropping back into handicap company, but his rating of 100 is a big step up from the 80’s that he was running comfortably off in handicaps previously. The A Balding-trained Subsequent was last seen winning at Doncaster in September off a 4lb lower mark, always doing enough to win by 1/2l. I’m hoping that there’s much more to come this year and that the son of Galileo can return to his 3yo form which saw him win four times and place on a further two occasions from eight starts. Balding’s 28% SR (A/E 1.84) with the sire’s progeny boosts claims further.
Subtotal-8
02 May 2026
17:05 5:05 Goodwood
Jeddaal
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@+275
Void
0
My strongest fancy of the day comes away from HQ and over to Goodwood where JEDDAAL props up the market in the curtain closer. The E Walker-trained 3yo returned with aplomb at Catterick last month (1.75l), finally shedding his maiden tag at the 6th time of asking. The visuals to that race suggested that they crawled early on before winding it up from halfway and I don’t think he completely showed his hand from a prominent position. This is just his 2nd handicap start, 3lb higher than last time, but he was less than ideally positioned in that race to ever land a blow, so I can’t see his weight stopping him today. The Walked team are flying this season (27% SR, A/E 1.66) and hold a huge 67% SR (A/E 1.49) with favourites when booking P Mulrennan. 11/4 taken.
16:45 4:45 Newmarket
Daiquiri Bay
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@+350
Win
175
Another market leader I’m opposing today is Gamrai. The Gosden’s have an awful record with Lope De Vega favs (21% SR, A/E 0.49) and they also hold a damning 19% SR (A/E 0.47) with jolly’s over 12f at HQ. Next up DAIQUIRI BAY makes the most appeal against at 7/2; the son of New Bay won on reappearance as a 3yo after just one start as a juvenile. He showed glimpses of promise on all subsequent starts, accumulating 4 places from 6 starts, with the most notable being a 3/4l 3rd of 12 over C&D in the Old Rowley Cup. The gelding is 2lb higher in the handicap now but I don’t think we’ve seen his true potential as of yet and there’s plenty of positive stats to boost claims; most notable being R Ryan’s 34% SR (A/E 1.32) on fancied runners over 12f, A King’s 33% SR (A/E 1.5) with fancied runners on triangle-shaped courses and NB’s 29% SR (A/E 1.69) when Ryan’s jocked up.
14:55 2:55 Newmarket
Beckfords Folly
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+1000
Lose
-50
Rumstar just has to be opposed here given R Hornby’s 12% SR (A/E 0.33) on favourites at HQ and 15% SR (A/E 0.4) with favs on Saturdays. I should probably be looking at those in behind such as Asfoora, Quinault and Shagraan but BECKFORD’S FOLLY is surely better than his reappearance run in the Abernant and I’ve taken 10/1 (4 places). Connections have dropped him back to the minimum trip which can only be a positive given his C&D win in the Cornwallis back in October and the combination of C Appleby and W Buick over 5f here at HQ is lethal (58% SR, A/E 1.91), especially on good to firm ground (7/10, A/E 2.47).
14:40 2:40 Thirsk
Rhoscolyn
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+1800
Lose
-50
My only play at Thirsk today comes in the form of RHOSCOLYN at 18/1 with 4 places on offer. Blue Rc can be taken on given his owner’s 19% SR (A/E 0.46) with favourites in May and Sea Force is burdened by O Orr’s 2/24 record (A/E 0.31) on fancied runners bred by Rabbah Bloodstock. S James rides the course poorly, particularly over this trip (6% SR, A/E 0.52) so Flight Plan looks up against it, meanwhile D Hogan’s 1/51 record (A/E 0.09) on fancied runners coming down in trip makes City Of Poets easy to cross out. All-in-all this looks set up for an outsider and the D O’Meara-trained Rhoscolyn can capitalise on what looks to be a strong pace. The 8yo isn’t getting any younger but ran admirably here LTO in a 7f conditions race (2.5l 5th of 8) against much better opposition, with a huge SP of 100/1. I’m hoping that the cobwebs are fully blown off now.
14:20 2:20 Newmarket
Botanical
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@+750
Lose
-50
I’m not entirely convinced that BOTANICAL is as ground dependant as people make out and I can chance him here at 15/2 (4 places). Mister Winston is a fair enough fav given a win here at HQ last month, however he’s failed to build on his two wins prior, and this looks a much deeper race. Bullet Point will do well to overcome T Marquand’s 9% SR (A/E 0.37) on fancied runners over 9f, meanwhile Fifth Column looks completely found out by the handicapper and Erzindjan carries a poor FlatStats rating. Botanical gave a solid display from the front in the Lincoln, perhaps just lacking a touch of fitness when fading back in the final furlong into 4th. I’d expect him to strip fitter today, he won on his only start over this trip coming at Hamilton and the son of Lope De Vega looks to be on the side of the draw where all of the pace is.
Subtotal25
24 April 2026
15:35 3:35 Sandown
Raaheeb
Daily Racing
50 WINNAPNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 6.00 used instead of 5.00 takenBOG
@+500
Win
250
My strongest fancy of the day comes in the form of RAAHEEB at 4/1. You can’t be trusting A O’Brien runners in April over in Britain, especially when fav (0/12) so Action can be opposed, meanwhile Wise Prince has to overcome Ghaiyyath’s 17% SR (A/E 0.46) with fancied runners foaled in February. Raaheeb won on debut at Ascot in September, beating Pompette by 1.25l and while we haven’t seen him again since the 3rd (Behike) bolted up by 7l in a C4 maiden at Lingfield this month so the form holds potential. This colt by Sea The Stars is up to 10f today but should take to the trip given his breeding and trainer (26% SR, A/E 1.3 for O Burrows), who also brings a 29% SR (A/E 1.29) for Shadwell. The owner’s 40% SR (A/E 1.67) with LTO winners returning off 57+ day breaks in stakes’ races adds further confidence. 4/1 taken.
15:00 3:00 Sandown
Opera Ballo
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@+1200
Win
375
Field Of Gold isn’t a certainty here given C Keane’s awful record in Group races in Britain (6% SR, A/E 0.48). Zeus Olympios could be anything, but I couldn’t be having him today with R Moore’s 1/25 (A/E 0.2) on Night Of Thunder progeny, NOT’s 1/22 (A/E 0.14) with fancied runners at Sandown and K Burke’s 13% SR (A/E 0.47) with fancied runners at the course. No Nay Never’s 5% SR (A/E 0.45) with 5yo’s makes Never So Brave’s season look overcast but OPERA BALLO has a fitness edge on the field and can reverse form with ZO today. The son of Ghaiyyath has won his last two starts, both coming over in Meydan and beating decent enough opposition in taking fashion. He was a beaten odds-on fav at HQ when last seen on these shores in the Joel Stakes but won over C&D in the listed Heron Stakes, carries a top + blue FlatStats rating and W Buick brings a solid 30% SR (A/E 1.28) on horses wearing the hood. 12/1 taken each way.
Subtotal625
21 April 2026
15:27 3:27 Pontefract
Flying Frontier
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@+1000
Lose
-50
I think Marhaba Ghaiyyath can be opposed here given the C Johnston yard form (2/27, A/E 0.52 so far this season). Insanity carries a top + blue FlatStats rating but Nathaniel’s 4/31 record (A/E 0.48) with fancied 6yo’s puts his son up against it, meanwhile S Woods’ 4% SR (A/E 0.33) in 4yo+ races makes Savvy Victory hard to side with. Have Secret is more difficult to rule out but an each way play makes more appeal to me here and FLYING FRONTIER looks interesting at 10/1. There’s none better than J Tate at readying a horse for its first run of the year in Spring (37% SR, A/E 1.91) so I’m fully expecting his charge to be competitive, especially if able to return to the form of his penultimate win at Sandown off the same mark. The son of Farhh appreciates this ground winning twice and placing twice also from four goes, has 3 wins and a place from 6 starts over 10f and the trainer brings a superb 37% SR (A/E 1.68) with Farhh progeny.
Subtotal-50
18 April 2026
15:10 3:10 Newbury
Urban Lion
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@+1000
Lose
-50
Back In Black can certainly be opposed here given J Fanshawe’s 11% SR (A/E 0.38) with handicap favourites over a mile and D Muscutt’s 10% SR (A/E 0.49) on fancied runners in C1-3 races. Shout will likely come on from his run in the Lincoln, however Advertise’s 5% SR (A/E 0.48) at southern courses tempers enthusiasm, meanwhile the J Owen yard have had a torrid start to the season with just 1 winner from 35 (A/E 0.24) so Rogue Diplomat looks short enough. J Leavy is a poor jockey booking for Stem with his 3% SR (A/E 0.26) in mile handicaps, but URBAN LION can pounce here and back up a win in the Lincoln. The son of Zoustar is up 4lb for that effort but was narrowly touched off in this race last year and probably hasn’t finished improving. A top + blue FlatStats rating to boot alongside J Channon’s 38% SR (A/E 1.57) with fancied mile handicappers, his charge is sure to run well again at 10/1 (6 places).
Subtotal-50
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