CalFergie
2
Estimated Prizes
this month
£20
Estimated Prize money
this month
CalFergie's Tips History
11 June 2026
18:22 6:22 Catterick
Collateral Damage
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@+225
Win
112
Wilbur has been well supported all day, but I have to be taking him on given K Fraser’s 15% SR (A/E 0.42) on favourites at undulating courses and H Eustace’s 2/39 record (A/E 0.33) on tight courses. The K Burke yard started season the season poorly with their unraced 2yo’s, but over the past month they’ve absolutely taken off (44% SR, A/E 1.35) so COLLATERAL DAMAGE can be chanced at 5/2. The son of Too Darn Hot should handle conditions given his breeding, Burke brings an impressive 54% SR (A/E 2.32) with TDH juveniles and brings is 3/3 with debut 2yo’s over C&D too boost claims further.
Subtotal112
08 June 2026
19:39 7:39 Windsor
Regal Envoy
Daily Racing
50 WINNAPNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@+200
Win
100
I’ve got to be siding with the jolly in the feature handicap at Windsor this evening. With Trefor being withdrawn Gaeli is 2nd in the market, and while has shown form on deep ground over in Italy, I can’t see him turning the tables on REGAL ENVOY after finishing 2l behind the latter over C&D LTO. The W Knight-trained gelding is bolstered by yards’ 47% SR (A/E 1.48) with favourites when they’re their only runner that day and he took this contest last year off a 3lb higher mark. He made his reappearance at HQ in April, finishing 3.75l 3rd of 8 and clearly needing the run, but put that well behind him NTO when winning at Bath. The son of Ardad blew the start here at Windsor last month but finished strongly to take 2nd behind Redorange who went close in the listed Achilles Stakes NTO. This will certainly be the deepest ground that he’s faced but on ability 2/1 looks value.
Subtotal100
06 June 2026
17:55 5:55 Epsom Downs
Roman Dragon
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+2000
Lose
-50
My final play of Saturday comes in the form of ROMAN DRAGON at a huge 20/1 (5 places). Fine Interview is proving himself to be a high-class handicapper, however H Al Jehani’s 1/12 record (A/E 0.19) with favourites in summer leaves plenty to be desired, meanwhile J Mason’s 9% SR (A/E 0.38) on fancied runners wearing the visor puts Sondad up against it. Apollo One comes in and out of form too easily for my liking plus there’s a deluge of negative stats for P Charalambous, and Strike Red will do well to overcome B Garritty’s 4% SR (A/E 0.4) on horses aged 8yo+ and 9% SR (A/E 0.5) on fancied runners on Saturdays. This just looks perfectly set up for a wild outsider to spring a surprise and RD fits the bill; the son of Heeraat was badly hampered at his beloved Chester LTO but finished his race off well. He won prior to that over 5f at the same venue so I don’t think a mark of 100 should hinder the gelding and he’s shown form on soft ground prior. O Murphy’s 27% SR (A/E 1.31) for H Palmer boosts claims.
16:40 4:40 Epsom Downs
Hell Yeah He Did
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+350
Lose
-50
I’d make HELL YEAH HE DID much shorter for this so 7/2 can be taken. Allegresse is burdened by O Murphy’s 2/20 record (A/E 0.36) on fancied runners over 10f at Epsom, meanwhile Folk Pageant has to overcome C Johnston’s 7% SR (A/E 0.49) at the course. Starlight Time could need the run, as could HYHD, but the ground is going to be unforgiving come 4:40 and the latter has raced thrice on soft going; coming 2.5l 2nd at Salisbury, 1l 3rd at Pontefract and winning by 1.25l at Nottingham when last seen in October. Plenty of positive favourite stats boost claims further; R Beckett’s 58% SR (A/E 1.46) with French-born runners and Valmont’s 59% SR (A/E 1.5) in the summer being the pick.
16:10 4:10 Musselburgh
Magical Merlot
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@+225
Lose
-50
MAGICAL MERLOT should take all the beating at head of the market. Blues And Royals needs to overcome the M Bell yard form (2/36, A/E 0.38 over the past month), meanwhile Strength Of Spirit really needs to put his past couple of runs behind him. Victory Ace carries a poor FlatStats rating with R Elliott’s 4% SR (A/E 0.45) on runners coming up in trip making life even tougher for the son of Ulysses and it’s hard to make a case for the remaining runners. MM has been well backed overnight and you can see why on the basis of a 1.5l defeat at Windsor last month. The E Dunlop-trained 3yo is rated 1lb higher for that effort but this is negated by the booking of 5lb claimer L Young who brings a superb 4/6 record (A/E 1.86) on favourites in middle distance handicaps. 9/4 taken.
15:15 3:15 Epsom Downs
King Of Light
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@+1100
Win
30
KING OF LIGHT looks too big here at 11/1 with 5 places on offer. The son of Mehmas made a promising reappearance run at Goodwood LTO, finishing 2.25l 2nd of 11 behind the 10/3 favourite who was well positioned throughout, and has an unaffected handicap mark. Since joining the S Williams’ yard the gelding has won once, coming at Haydock, and placed twice with a very close 1.75l 4th of 11 on his final run of 2025. Connections have ditched all headgear today so I’m hoping that that frees the 4yo up a touch and there are plenty of positive stats to boost claims; most notable being M Ghiani’s 43% SR (A/E 1.61) on fancied LTO runners-up, 33% SR (A/E 1.45) on fancied 4yo’s and Williams’s 17% SR (A/E 1.62) for owner TJE Racing.
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Subtotal-120
05 June 2026
17:35 5:35 Bath
Bill The Bull
Daily Racing
50 WINNAPNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@+100
Win
50
BILL THE BULL looks absolutely solid at head of the market and even money can be taken. The colt by Coulsty has given three fair displays so far, starting with a 4l defeat in the Brocklesby, switching to the AW at Wolvo and finishing 3.25l 3rd of 7 in a C4 novice event and he really put things together at Sandown last month when losing out by just 1 length in the listed National Stakes. I don’t see anything being up to that level today and there’s a deluge of positive favourite stats to boost claims; most notable Coulsty’s 56% SR (A/E 1.56) at southern courses, same SR (A/E 1.47) in the summer and breeder Rathasker Stud’s 44% SR (A/E 1.53) in C1-3 races.
Subtotal50
30 May 2026
15:30 3:30 Chester
Brighton Boy
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@+1200
Win
35
The top four in the market here are all draw low and you’d think that that would be an advantage, but FlatStats prove that the reverse is the case (high best) and of those BRIGHTON BOY (8) makes plenty of appeal at 12/1 (4 places). The son of Gregorian has scored twice at the course and gone close on the other couple of occasions, aligning with the sires’ 24% SR (A/E 1.74) at Chester, so I see no reason as to why his son won’t go close again today. He won off a 3lb lower mark at Carlisle a couple of weeks ago, coming on his third start for the T Easterby team, so there’s every chance that they’ve got a hold of the gelding now and can really push on.
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14:33 2:33 Carlisle
Rogue Lightning
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+1100
Lose
-50
Redorange has to be taken on here given Mehmas’s 17% SR (A/E 0.48) with favourites wearing the tongue strap, Almohamediya Racing’s 4% SR (A/E 0.33) with 4yo’s plus 10% SR (A/E 0.4) with fancied runners on Saturdays. Starlust has been supported well but has looked to need the run on reappearance over the past couple of years so I wouldn’t be confident that he’s fully wound up today, meanwhile Washington Heights has to overcome Washington DC’s 5% SR (A/E 0.49) with moderately fancied runners. This looks set up for a double-digit price and of those ROGUE LIGHTNING holds the most potential and can be chanced at 11/1 (3 places). The son of Kodiac has shown to be a consistent sort, winning five times and placing on a further five from 19 starts on turf. The cobwebs should well and truly have been blown away at ParisLongchamp a few weeks back in the Gr3 Prix de Saint-Georges, losing by 4.75l to Rayevka from the massively in-form F Graffard yard. This is a drop into listed company for the 6yo and T Clover’s 22% SR (A/E 1.37) with 5f sprinters provides plenty of confidence.
13:30 1:30 Carlisle
Topteam
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@+1100
Lose
-50
There are enough question marks surrounding Opportunity to oppose him here. Rogue Millions I can take on also given R Ryan’s 2/15 record (A/E 0.37) on fancied Dubawi progeny, meanwhile Ghaiyya will do well to overcome owner Mascalls Stud’s 2/34 (A/E 0.27) with fancied middle-distance runners. Humble Spark interested me, so will probably win now, but the son of Acclamation has had huge opportunities on his last three starts to get another win under his belt but failed to do so so I can’t be trusting him up in class. Castle Stuart carries a poor FlatStats rating alongside C Hardie’s 3% SR (A/E 0.46) on runners carrying 9-1 to 9-3 and P Smith’s 4% SR (A/E 0.47) in C1-3 races, but TOPTEAM took a step forward at HQ LTO (1l 2nd of 8) and can be chanced off a 1lb higher mark. The A Balding-trained 4yo won thrice last season from six starts and returned from his winter break with a 1l success at Kempton last month. He went off a 6/4 fav at Epsom NTO but failed to beat a rival home, perhaps failing to handle the undulations so I’m putting a line through it. 12/1 (4 places) taken.
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Subtotal-65
28 May 2026
18:42 6:42 Sandown
Yazin
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@+350
Lose
-50
Talk Of New York could prove just a class above this bunch but considering Wootton Bassett’s 2/11 record (A/E 0.38) with favourites over a mile on quick ground (1/7, A/E 0.26 with 3yo’s) I think his son is opposable. YAZIN has been progressing through the ranks nicely, winning twice as a 2yo and putting in a polished display at Southwell on reappearance last month to land a C2 conditions stakes’ by a comfortable 3.5l. That came on the back of a wind op so I’m expecting further improvement today and the booking of R Moore has to be noted given his 33% SR (A/E 1.51) for the Gosden’s on their 3yo’s, boosted to an impressive 47% SR (A/E 2.03) when over a mile. New Bay’s 50% SR (A/E 1.7) with fancied runners in C1-3 races on stiff, uphill courses provides further optimism. 7/2 taken.
17:42 5:42 Sandown
Napa
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@+300
Lose
-50
Adaay Of Scarlett has to be opposed here given O Murphy’s 15% SR (A/E 0.38) on Mehmas favourites and the sire’s 7% SR (A/E 0.36) over 5f at Sandown. Where Love Lies interested me, however K Stott isn’t in the best form of late (7% SR, A/E 0.45 over the past month) and this looks a big step up for the colt from his victory in a C4 maiden win at Thirsk last month. NAPA should be market leader IMO and I’m happy to back the son of Naval Crown at 3/1. The 2yo gave a fair enough debut run at Newbury in April, finishing 2.5l 4th of 9, and really built on that when stepping up into a C2 novice event at HQ, winning by 1.5l. There’ve been multiple winners come out of that race already so is showing a promising form line and a couple of positive stats for Ringfort Stud boost claims further; a 16% SR (A/E 1.36) with runners stepping up in class and same SR (A/E 1.29) with horses returning from 15 to 28 days away.
Subtotal-100
27 May 2026
20:30 8:30 Kempton
Master Vintner
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@+450
Lose
-50
This looks between Ernst Blofeld and MASTER VINTNER, but preference just falls to the latter at 9/2. The market leader is likely to build on his reappearance run at HQ a couple of weeks ago, but trainer H Al Jehani has had barely any runners on the AW since he started training on these shores in 2024 so I couldn’t be confident the switch from turf will work here. MV finished behind EB that day, but R Beckett rarely has his runners fully wound up on reappearance so, like the market, I’m expecting a much better display now back on the artificial surface. The son of Mastercraftsman won on his only start on the AW, coming at Lingfield last year where he was a justified 4/11 favourite, winning by a mere 3.75l, and Beckett’s 48% SR (A/E 1.49) with fancied runners in May (2/2 this year) provides further confidence.
Subtotal-50
25 May 2026
16:07 4:07 Redcar
Fierce Fortitude
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@+400
Lose
-50
My strongest fancy of the day comes in the form of FIERCE FORTITUDE in the Zetland Gold Cup. Divine Knight must be opposed given H Burns’s 1/15 record (A/E 0.18) on favourites in 3yo+ races and same SR (A/E 0.19) on favs when he’s got two rides that day, meanwhile Spoken Truth carries a damning draw in stall 1 (SDI ??"37). The Amo Racing-owned FF looks a progressive sort, winning both starts on turf including LTO over C&D where the 4yo looked to win with plenty in hand. He’s got a 4lb higher mark to contend with today but I don’t think we’ve seen the son of Mehmas’ ceiling yet and D Egan’s impressive 59% SR (A/E 1.66) on fancied runners at Redcar adds further confidence. 4/1 taken.
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15:53 3:53 Windsor
Trefor
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@+400
Lose
-50
Nad Alshiba Green looks a worthy market leader on paper, but she’s looked poor over 6f on all five starts at the trip, looked poor on her only start here at Windsor in 2024 and carries a poor FlatStats rating. Sudden Flight holds an even worse FS rating and F Marsh’s 2/79 record (A/E 0.26) on runners returning that year makes them impossible to back with any confidence. TREFOR should come forward from his reappearance run at Goodwood at the beginning of the month and 4/1 looks decent value. The son of Invincible Army just looked to lack fitness when fading out of things late and this is calmer waters. He always goes well here at Windsor, winning twice and finishing within 1.5l on the three other starts, and a handful of positive stats boosts claims further; most notably IA’s 44% SR (A/E 1.82) with fancied runners at the course and the owner’s 36% SR (A/E 1.68) with fancied runners keeping to the same class.
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Subtotal-100
23 May 2026
19:15 7:15 Salisbury
Prince Of India
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+650
Lose
-50
My only play at Salisbury this evening comes in the feature, the listed Cathedral Stakes, with PRINCE OF INDIA at 13/2 (each way). Almeraq can be taken on given H Davies’s 14% SR (A/E 0.41) on favourites at uphill courses, meanwhile Spy Chief is yet to impress me at this sort of level. Soldier’s Tree runs for J Owen for the FT and is the unknown quantity, but POI looks the safer bet at the prices. The son of Wootton Bassett had a stellar 3yo campaign; taking four contests, including two valuable C2 handicaps, and went close in the listed Garrowby Stakes at York in September (1l 3rd of 9). He returned with a run in the Lady Wulfruna at Wolvo in March, losing out by 1.5l to Cool Hoof Luke, and connections clearly thought he needed the run given he was upped to Gr3 level NTO. The colt was in no way disgraced that day, losing by 4.25l, and was dropped back into handicap company LTO at Leicester, narrowly losing by a neck after a less-than-ideal passage. A top + blue FlatStats rating, positive draw in stall 8 and M Ghiani’s 19% SR (A/E 1.34) on 4yo’s boosts claims.
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16:05 4:05 Haydock
Blazeon Five
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@+1200
Void
0
I think Humble Spark can be opposed here given his 0/11 record on similar going, 0/5 record in C2 contests and lack of excuses when being beaten at short(ish) odds on his last few starts. Pole Star is on the drift and I couldn’t be backing him given C Johnston’s 7% SR (A/E 0.44) with runners wearing the visor, meanwhile this is Hermetic’s 2nd run for the I Williams team and we can’t be sure whether they’ve got a handle on the 4yo yet. BLAZEON FIVE makes appeal at 12/1 (4 places); the mare in the field notched up three consecutive wins towards the end of last year and returned with a nice enough effort at Newbury last month (4.5l 2nd of 6). I’m expecting her to strip fitter today, the A King yard are in good form this season (20% SR, A/E 1.27) and the booking of R Ryan is a positive given a 3/7 record (A/E 2.23) when riding for them at Haydock. A 24% SR (A/E 2.12) with mares and same SR (A/E 1.3) with LTO 2nd's for King provides further confidence.
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13:25 1:25 Goodwood
Richies Rocket
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@+1800
Lose
-50
My first selection today comes in the opener at Goodwood with RICHIE’S ROCKET at 18/1 (5 places). The 3yo trained by R Beckett raced twice as a juvenile, finishing 4.25l 3rd of 15 on debut at HQ before switching to the AW and taking a C4 maiden at Lingfield by a whopping 9l. He was a disappointing evens fav at the same C&D in February in a listed contest, albeit only losing by 1.25l, and I’m willing to forgive the son of New Bay for a no-show back at HQ last month as they went hell-for-leather from the onset and he never settled. This is the gelding’s handicap debut and there’s not many other trainers you’d want training NB offspring than Beckett with his 28% SR (A.E 1.41).
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-100
22 May 2026
16:17 4:17 Goodwood
Ice Max
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@+300
Lose
-50
I really fancy the chances of ICE MAX in this listed contest at 3/1. Haatem can be opposed given Wathnan’s 10% SR (A/E 0.49) on Fridays and 12% SR (A/E 0.46) with fancied runners at Goodwood, meanwhile Enfjaar will do well to overcome R Varian’s 1/25 record (A/E 0.16) with fancied runners over C&D and R Dawson’s 7% SR (A/E 0.49) over 10f. IM is dropping back into listed company today after a 1.5l defeat behind Derby and Irish Derby winner Lambourn in the Huxley Stakes at Chester earlier this month. The son of Dark Angel was denied a clear run at a crucial time that day but finished his race off nicely and you’ve got to suspect that similar performance today will make him hard to beat. S James’s 46% SR (A/E 1.34) on favourites at right-handed tracks boosts claims further.
Subtotal-50
19 May 2026
14:50 2:50 Nottingham
Bay Royale
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@+137
Lose
-50
My only play today comes in the form of BAY ROYALE in the novice feature at Nottingham. I backed this colt by New Bay LTO over C&D where he won by a comfortable 2.25l; he was up in trip that day and looked keen throughout so you can certainly upgrade the performance. Should he settle better today I can see him taking all the beating and a lofty top + blue FlatStats rating boosts claims further. NB’s 44% SR (A/E 1.35) with favourites in C1-3 races and P-L Jamin’s ridiculous 82% SR (A/E 1.66) on colts who go off fav in stakes races makes 11/8 potentially decent value.
Subtotal-50
16 May 2026
17:40 5:40 Newbury
Chapter
Daily Racing
25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@+2000
Void
0
My wild outsider of the day comes in the form of CHAPTER at 20/1 (3 places). Dark Angel progeny tend to improve from 2 to 3 so I’m fully expecting his son to finish the season with a mark much higher than today’s (76) and he’s already shown glimpses of ability with a win at Salisbury on soft ground and 1l defeat at Doncaster on heavy. C Hills’ 9% SR (A/E 1.73) with outsiders in May suggests that his charge can outrun these odds.
16:20 4:20 Newbury
Far Above Dream
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 10.00 on 16/05 at 14:290.10 deduction for Realign@10.00 withdrawn at 14:55R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 9.00 x (1-0.10) = 9.10Best Odds Guaranteed SP 9.50 used instead of 9.10 BOG
@+850
Win
255
C Cox has a terrible record with fancied runners here at Newbury (10% SR, A/E 0.49) so Addison Grey can be taken on and I think FAR ABOVE DREAM is overpriced at 9/1 (4 places). The son of Far Above won thrice last year; twice at Goodwood and once at Bath, plus went close on a further couple of occasions. He returned with a bang at Goodwood earlier this month, battling well to beat Evening Saigon by a neck, and has subsequently been raised 6lb in the handicap. I’m expecting the 4yo to strip fitter for that and I don’t think we’ve seen his full potential yet. J Owen’s 16% SR (A/E 1.41) with runners carrying between 8-13 and 9-3 and FA’s 25% SR (A/E 1.86) at southern courses provides further cause for optimism.
15:45 3:45 Newbury
Lost Boys
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@+332
Win
166
I’ve got to be siding with the jolly here at 10/3. Lost Boys finished his juvenile season with a smart display at Haydock, taking a C4 maiden in comfortable fashion, and just looked to lack fitness when winning on reappearance at Sandown last month. I’m expecting him to come forward and trainer D Menuisier brings a couple of positive favourite stats; a 45% SR (A/E 1.35) when they’re his sole runner that day and 40% SR (A/E 1.26) in handicaps.
15:10 3:10 Newbury
Ghost Mode
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@+900
Lose
-50
Albert Einstein has proven that he just can’t be trusted and Wootton Bassett’s 12% SR (A/E 0.43) with fancied runners in Britain trained by A O’Brien makes his son easy to take on. S Foley is a negative booking for Royal Fixation given his 1/70 record (A/E 0.16) at southern courses and 2/70 (A/E 0.3) on 3yo’s, meanwhile Wise Approach is from the struggling C Appleby yard. GHOST MODE looks a smart performer and can take his opportunity now dropped into listed company; the son of Ghaiyyath showed plenty of promise as a 2yo, taking a C2 maiden at Chester and finishing 2nd or 3rd of all other starts, and returned with aplomb at Southwell in March. He was a well backed favourite that day to take a C2 handicap by just the 4.25l and I’m willing to forgive the colt for a no show at Ascot in the Pavillion Stakes. Ghaiyyath’s 23% SR (A/E 1.36) with runners on flat courses boosts claims further and 9/1 can be taken (4 places).
14:35 2:35 Newbury
Jonquil
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+1600
Lose
-50
This is a hot renewal of the Lockinge but JONQUIL looks too big a price at 16/1 (3 places). The Gosden’s 17% SR (A/E 0.4) with favourites over a mile at Newbury and Wathnan’s 13% SR (A/E 0.33) with favs in Group races makes Damysus hard to side with, meanwhile the C Appleby yard are struggling of late (3/31, A/E 0.4 over the past month) so Notable Speech has plenty to do. Zeus Olympios will come forward from his defeat at Sandown last month, but this is his first go at Gr1 level and has to be a watching brief, meanwhile More Thunder has to prove that his Gr2 win here at Newbury in the 7f Hungerford last year was no fluke. Jonquil will likely have the fitness edge here given his two runs already this year, last of which winning the listed Paradise Stakes at Ascot a couple of weeks ago. He always looked to be doing enough that day, without throwing the kitchen sink at the colt, so I’m expecting another bold display back at this level. A Balding’s 24% SR (A/E 1.54) over C&D and 10% SR (A/E 1.48) with outsiders on good groudn add further confidence.
Subtotal321
14 May 2026
14:55 2:55 York
Cerulean Bay
Daily Racing
25 EWNAPNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@+800
Win
15
Sea Force is far too short here given his owner’s 2/40 record (A/E 0.34) at York. Shout was backed into favouritism at Newbury LTO but really failed to reward punters so can’t be trusted today, but CERULEAN BAY makes plenty of appeal at 8/1 (5 places). The D O’Meara-trained gelding gave a solid display on reappearance at Haydock last month, finishing 3/4l 4th of 12 from a less-than-ideal passage, and runs off an unchanged mark. He’s had identical preparation as his run in this last year where he only beat three home, but he looks miles fitter this time and holds a decent draw in stall 6 (low best). The son of New Bay more than held his own in top-quality handicaps in 2025, winning a couple at Goodwood and finishing runner-up on a further two occasions, before finishing with a 2.25l 4th of 12 in the listed Robin Hood Stakes at Nottingham in October.
Subtotal15
13 May 2026
16:40 4:40 York
Gold Queen Kindly
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@+2500
Win
100
I’m having a wild swing in the 7f handicap with GOLD QUEEN KINDLY at 25/1 (6 places). Al Najashi has to be opposed give Territories’ 20% SR (A/E 0.48) with favourites coming down in class plus owner Mr Ziad’s 7% SR (A/E 0.44) with 7f runners, meanwhile M Winn’s 2/28 record (A/E 0.31) on fancied runners carrying up to 8-11 makes The Resdev Scholar hard to side with. Inishbeg has a handful of negatives for breeder Cooneen Stud to overcome, as does Hasbro Market with Tinnakill Bloodstock, and S Osbourne’s 11% SR (A/E 0.47) with fancied runners on Wednesday’s startles me with Startled. First Legion will do well to overcome S Foley’s 1/37 record (A/E 0.2) on good ground and 2/69 (A/E 0.31) on 3yo’s here in Britain so this contest just looks set up for a bigger price to pounce. GQK has moved to R Fell’s yard since a 2.25l 3rd of 11 at Wetherby last month, building on a 5l 2nd of 8 at Southwell. The gelding by Lope De Vega looked highly promising as a 2yo and can run well here if rekindling that flame off an unchanged mark.
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14:55 2:55 York
Binhareer
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@+800
Lose
-50
My strongest fancy on day 1 on the Dante meeting comes in the form of BINHAREER at 5/1. The son of Dark Angel was last seen taking an identical contest here at York back in October and is now rated 10lb higher; it’s a huge leap but is testament to the optics of that win (2.75l, not given a clear run) plus the other solid runs he gave as a 3yo, including a win at Ayr. The W Haggas yard have started the season well with runners on reappearance, especially when favourite and T Marquand booked (5/8, A/E 1.34), DA brings a superb 60% SR (A/E 1.52) with favs returning off 57+ days away when they won LTO and Marquand’s 40% SR (A/E 1.88) on fancied runners over C&D adds further confidence.
1 member found this comment useful
13:45 1:45 York
Varzi
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@+125
Lose
-50
I wouldn’t usually be putting up such a short-priced debutant, but VARZI appeals at 5/4. Cut A Dash is burdened by R Hannon’s 10% SR (A/E 0.38) with fancied runners bred by Denford Stud plus DS’s 6% SR (A/E 0.37) in novice races, meanwhile Dandy Man’s awful 4% SR (A/E 0.47) at York and owner M Macleod’s 4% SR (A/E 0.37) on straight courses puts Spectacular Diver up against it. It’s easy enough to put a line through the remainder so the jolly could just win by default. K Burke’s 1/13 record with 2yo’ so far this season concerns me, but I think this’ll be negated by HG’s superb 5/6 record (A/E 1.56) with 2yo favourites wearing a tongue strap
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Subtotal0
09 May 2026
15:40 3:40 Haydock
Poet Master
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@+550
Lose
-50
Lake Forest looks the right favourite for the Spring Trophy at Haydock given his Group form, but No Nay Never’s 8% SR (A/E 0.4) with fancied 5yo’s and 13% SR (A/E 0.39) with fancied runners trained by W Haggas makes me want to take him on. Ten Bob Tony is burdened by A Lewis’s 6% SR (A/E 0.4) on runners coming up in trip, meanwhile S Hollinshead has an atrocious 2/196 record (A/E 0.32) in stakes races meaning Myal will do well to back up his win LTO. POET MASTER went down a beaten fav to Myal at Thirsk on reappearance in a conditions race last month, but I really think he can build on that today and 11/2 looks huge value. The winner had a run under his belt already, and therefore the fitness edge, but that won’t be a factor today and the son of Lope De Vega’s runs in Group company over the past couple of seasons looks decent enough form to be taking a contest like this. K Burke’s 38% SR (A/E 1.39) with fancied runners bred by Sheikh Mohammed Obaid Al Maktoum provides further confidence.
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14:20 2:20 Ascot
Great Acclaim
Daily Racing
25 EWNBNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@+1400
Win
45
Mudbir looks weak at head of the market here with Shadwell’s 11% SR (A/E 0.29) with Kingman favs. Tribal Chief looks set for a tricky season given Sioux Nation’s 6% SR (A/E 0.47) with 5yo’s, meanwhile Defence Minister needs to build on his LTO win at Kempton based on his turf runs last year. Shiplake carries a poor FlatStats rating but GREAT ACCLAIM showed plenty at Haydock last month (1/2l 3rd of 12) and can go well again off an unchanged mark. He’s ran four times at Ascot, twice over 7f where he’s finished 1.5l 2nd of 20 off a 1lb lower mark and 3l 4th of 15 off a 2lb higher mark. The 5yo does struggle to settle so I’m hoping that application of the FT visor works today as the blinkers have been discarded, plus he loves these big field handicaps. 14/1 taken with 6 places.
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Subtotal-5
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