CalFergie

Predominantly stick to C1-3 races on the flat. Use stats and systems alongside form to find selections. Some tips are based on market support so follow my Twitter handle for updates - @CalFergie

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CalFergie's Tips

13th July 2025
16:05 4:05 Southwell

Dixieland Blues

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

Sir M Prescott’s 16% SR (A/E 0.43) with favourites over a mile makes Immediate Effect easy to oppose here. Hot Cash is burdened with J Channon’s 2/42 record (A/E 0.33) with runners stepping up in class, meanwhile Tremolo is stepping up to C3 company for the FT and is running off a 7lb higher mark than a win over 7f at Kempton LTO. DIXIELAND BLUES looks decent value at 5/1 IMO and should be fighting out the finish now returning to the AW. The light raced 3yo gave a fair enough display on debut over C&D (2.25l 2nd of 8) in December before returning with a 1l defeat (2nd of 14) at Kempton. He backed that up with a fairly cosy victory here at Southwell but looked a little out of sorts when tried on turf for the FT at Haydock in May. A mark of 85 on AW handicap debut looks very workable for the Crisford’s and a couple of positive fancied stats for owners Rabbah Racing boost claims further; a 47% SR (A/E 1.7) with runners carrying 9-4 to 9-6 and 46% SR (A/E 1.51) with runners returning off 29 to 56 days away.
18:15 6:15 Southwell

Mr Lightside

Daily Racing

50 WINNB

E Bethell’s 18% SR (A/E 0.43) with favourites on straight AW courses and Twilight Son’s 0/9 record with favs in summer makes Fluorescence easy to take on and next up MR LIGHTSIDE makes plenty of appeal against at 11/2. The son Earthlight was a busy 2yo, accumulating a brace of wins and further place from 7 starts. Connections clearly think plenty of the colt given he was tried at Group 2 and 3 level come the end of the season and he returned in 2025 with aplomb at Chelmsford in April (1.25l 2nd of 7) in a C2 conditions race. He franked that form with a 1.75l defeat in the listed Westow Stakes at York NTO and I don’t think you can read too much into his defeat in the Palace Of Holyroodhouse at Royal Ascot. This is much calmer waters, he’s unexposed on the AW and M Appleby’s 35% SR (A/E 1.33) with fancied colts provides plenty of promise.

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