irish paddy

Syndicate member and keen follower of British and Irish racing. Also keeps an eye on France, Hong Kong and America. Studiously follows European and American golf

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irish paddy's Tips History

All tips
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26 July 2024
20:55 8:55 Chepstow

Bobacious

Daily Racing

100 WINNB

@2.75

Lose

-100

Got off the mark when scoring narrowly at Brighton on penultimate start. Went up 3 lbs for that but was just caught late on over this course and distance 8 days ago. Looks to have been found a good opportunity
19:50 7:50 York

Karmology

Daily Racing

50 EWNAP

@7.00

Win

10

Won twice over a mile last season. After finishing a runner up over an extended 10 furlongs at Chester on penultimate start, stayed on strongly to take a handicap over this course and distance 2 weeks ago. Looks a progressive filly and well worth a go in this grade.
17:15 5:15 Kilbeggan

Leitzel

Daily Racing

50 EW

@5.00

Lose

-100

Dual winner on the flat when trained in England. Has shown consistency in being placed on all 3 hurdle outings to date and this is not a strong maiden.
25 July 2024
20:30 8:30 Yarmouth

Midair

Daily Racing

50 EW

@6.00

Lose

-100

Has finished a runner-up on 4 of 6 starts. Went down narrowly at Epsom on seasonal reappearance and was again just beaten at Windsor last time. Solid chance off same mark with top claimer taking off 3 lbs.
19:00 7:00 Yarmouth

Pedro Valentino

Daily Racing

100 WINNB

@3.25

Win

225

Got off the mark over 6 furlongs at Wolverhampton in November and went in again over 7 furlongs at Haydock last month. Solid effort when runner-up in a hot handicap at Ascot last time and big chance here off 3 lbs higher.
14:18 2:18 Worcester

Calvic

Daily Racing

50 EWNAP

@5.50

Lose

-100

Much improved gelding since moving to current yard. Got off the mark over 2 miles 4 furlongs at Huntingdon in March and went in again when showing great tenacity to just get up over this course and distance last month. Went up 11 lbs as a result of those wins and was slightly below best on quicker ground here last time. Every chance of bouncing back on easier ground.
24 July 2024
19:30 7:30 Naas

The Bog Bank

Daily Racing

50 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@6.50

Void

0

Useful mare has been a good servant to connections and gained her 5th career win when scoring at Bellewstown 3 weeks ago. Was raised a hefty 9 lbs for that win but finished a close 3rd at Dundalk last time. Decent chance in what looks a weak race.
18:20 6:20 Naas

Nighteyes

Daily Racing

50 EWNAPNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@8.00

Win

420

Fast improving filly won a handicap at Chester in May and defied a 7 lbs rise in the weights by following up at Haydock. May not have appreciated the drop to 5 furlongs when 3rd in a Listed event at Sandown last time and should benefit from step back up.
17:35 5:35 Leicester

Tres Chic

Daily Racing

50 EWNB

@5.50

Lose

-100

Useful filly won over 7 furlongs here in May and gained 3rd career win by following up at Salisbury. Has finished in the frame on 2 of her 3 subsequent starts, finding the trip too sharp at Bath in between. Only 2 lbs above last winning mark and step up in trip no problem.
23 July 2024
18:53 6:53 Ballinrobe

Cash The Cheque

Daily Racing

50 EWNB

@5.00

Lose

-100

Bumper winner got off the mark on debut for this yard when taking a maiden hurdle in good style at Tipperary in May. Not beaten far in a handicap at the same track last time and this looks a weaker contest.
17:20 5:20 Ballinrobe

Sequoiaspirit

Daily Racing

50 EWNAP

@5.50

Lose

-100

Useful gelding has won 5 times on the flat. Still a maiden over hurdles but finished runner -up in a novice event at Cork in May and in a handicap at Listowel last month. Looks to have an advantage in hurdles experience and form over these maidens.
15:45 3:45 Musselburgh

Ghathanfar

Daily Racing

50 EW

@6.00

Lose

-100

Hasn't won for 2 years but has been falling down the handicap and has been placed on 4 of his 5 outings this season. Wouldn't need much improvement on latest outing at Pontefract in order to go close here.
22 July 2024
18:30 6:30 Beverley

Mrs Trump

Daily Racing

50 EWNB

@8.50

Lose

-100

Much improved filly since returning from a break. Won at Redcar and Leicester and finished a close 2nd at Nottingham twice last month. Slowly rising up the handicap but is in good form and should go close.
16:50 4:50 Ayr

Braes Of Doune

Daily Racing

50 EWNAPNOTETip made at odds of 5.50 on 22/07 at 11:170.20 deduction for The Gay Blade@5.00 withdrawn at 14:21R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 4.50 x (1-0.20) = 4.60

@4.60

Lose

-14

Got off the mark, at this track 12 months ago . Runner up on opening 2 runs this year and didn't have much luck in running when a close 4th in a bunched finish over a mile here last week. Interesting dropped in trip but has a good draw and should be tough to beat.
13:40 1:40 Cartmel

Skyjack Hijack

Daily Racing

50 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 7.00 used instead of 6.00 takenBOG

@7.00

Win

10

Would have a decent chance if repeating his effort of when a runner-up over an extended 2 miles 4 furlongs at Southwell last month. Not quite as good when 3rd in a maiden over this course and distance last time, but that still wasn't a bad effort and looks on a fair mark for handicap debut.
20 July 2024
17:30 5:30 Newmarket

Outrun The Storm

Daily Racing

50 EWNAP

@7.50

Lose

-100

Talented gelding has won 7 times including over this course and distance. Latest victory came when making all at Chester last month. Raised just 2 lbs for that and tired late when 4th on soft ground at Doncaster 9 days ago. Should be much better suited by today's conditions
14:25 2:25 Newbury

Dancing In Paris

Daily Racing

100 WIN

@4.50

Lose

-100

Improving gelding gained 2nd career win and first in more than a year when running out a comfortable victor over 12 furlongs at York in May. Raised 6 lbs for that but after finishing a close 2nd at Goodwood stayed on strongly for a narrow success over an extended 14 furlongs at Ascot last week. 4 lbs higher here but should improve for step up in trip.
19 July 2024
16:45 4:45 Newbury

Divine Presence

Daily Racing

100 WINNB

@2.75

Lose

-100

Lightly raced filly was just beaten over 10 furlongs at Bath in May. Got off the mark when staying on strongly upped to 12 furlongs on handicap debut at Wolverhampton last time. 5 lbs higher now but unexposed at the trip.
16:15 4:15 Killarney

Solitary Man

Daily Racing

100 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 4.00 used instead of 3.25 takenBOG

@4.00

Win

300

Has won 3 times over hurdles including at Listed level. Got off the mark on chase debut over 23 furlongs at this course and runner-up over an extended 3 miles at Punchestown last time. Significantly down in trip but has won over this trip at this course over hurdles.
15:15 3:15 Haydock

Royal Elysian

Daily Racing

100 WINNAP

@4.00

Lose

-100

Showed promise on first 3 juvenile outings before getting off the mark over this trip at Newcastle in September. Has finished in the frame on 3 of 4 outings since going handicapping this season. A repeat of her effort at Newmarket last time would see her go close.
18 July 2024
18:50 6:50 Leopardstown

Stromberg

Daily Racing

50 EWNBR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@11.00

Void

0

Won at Galway and Roscommon as a juvenile and ran well in a Group 2 at the Curragh. Twice a runner-up this season including in a Curragh Group 3 before failing to settle at Royal Ascot last time. Should improve and rates each way value.
16:45 4:45 Leopardstown

Mount Parnassus

Daily Racing

50 EWNAP

@9.00

Lose

-100

Well bred colt has been placed on 3 of his 4 outings, all of them being at the Curragh. Has the best form of those that have ran and wouldn't need a lot of improvement to take this.
16:05 4:05 Chepstow

Howzak

Daily Racing

50 EWNOTETip made at odds of 5.00 on 18/07 at 09:030.15 deduction for Alcazan@6.50 withdrawn at 10:35R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 4.00 x (1-0.15) = 4.40

@4.40

Lose

-16

Won 5 times for previous connections and got off the mark for this yard when winning snugly over this course and distance last month. Disappointed over 5 furlongs here last week and should appreciate the step back up.
1 member found this comment useful
17 July 2024
21:00 9:00 Ffos Las

Easy Equation

Daily Racing

100 WINNB

@4.33

Lose

-100

Won 3 times for previous yard. More than 13 months since the last of those victories but has finished a runner-up on 4 of his 6 starts for current stable. Solid effort when narrowly beaten over 17 furlongs at Pontefract last time and every chance here off just a pound higher.
13:52 1:52 Thirsk

Li Ban

Daily Racing

100 WINNAP

@4.20

Win

320

Modest form over the minimum trip on first 2 outings before solid placed efforts when stepped up to 7 furlongs the last twice. Gave the impression that today's distance could be her optimum trip.
16 July 2024
19:30 7:30 Kempton

Tennessee Gold

Daily Racing

100 WIN

@4.00

Lose

-100

Showed little on 3 juvenile outings but much better when scoring on seasonal/handicap debut over this course and distance in May. Went up 8 lbs for that but ran well over 7 furlongs at Haydock before staying on late to be a runner-up over this trip at Yarmouth last time. Up another 3 lbs now but looks progressive.
17:00 5:00 Beverley

Blufferonthebus

Daily Racing

50 EWNBNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 7.00 used instead of 6.50 takenBOG

@7.00

Win

360

Won over a mile at Pontefract and Carlisle earlier in the season. Went up 11 lbs as a result but has been placed on all 5 subsequent outings. Holds every chance in an ordinary looking race.
14:45 2:45 Nottingham

Star Of St James

Daily Racing

100 WINNAP

@2.75

Void

0

Hasn't won for 23 months but has fallen to an attractive mark an completed a hat-trick of runner-up finishes when not beaten far over an extended mile at this venue. Step up in trip is no problem and looks to have been found a good opportunity.
15 July 2024
19:50 7:50 Windsor

Great Chieftain

Daily Racing

50 EWNBNOTETip made at odds of 7.00 on 15/07 at 08:270.10 deduction for War Chant@9.00 withdrawn at 19:17R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 6.00 x (1-0.10) = 6.40

@6.40

Win

4

Improving gelding followed placed efforts at Nottingham and Newmarket by getting off the mark with a comfortable success over this trip at Newbury early this month. Up 5 lbs here but a repeat of latest effort would make him tough to beat.
18:55 6:55 Killarney

Perfect Poise

Daily Racing

50 EW

@9.00

Lose

-100

Only victory came at Punchestown in September. Followed that with narrow defeats at Bellewstown and Gowran and was also a close 2nd on seasonal return at Leopardstown in April. Weakened in the final furlong on testing going at Gowran last time and should be better suited by today's conditions back down a pound in the handicap.
15:00 2:53 Ayr

Braes Of Doune

Daily Racing

50 EWNAP

@8.00

Lose

-100

Only victory came over 10 furlongs at this course 12 months ago. Running well of late , being narrowly beaten over course and distance in May and placed over 10 furlongs here just 8 days ago. Remains on a competitive mark. 
14 July 2024
15:15 3:15 Perth

Galata Bridge

Daily Racing

100 WINNAPNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@4.00

Win

300

Three time winner on the flat and gained 3rd win over hurdles when scoring at Uttoxeter last season. Placed on both subsequent outings last term before running modestly on seasonal return at Kempton in April. Better effort at Worcester last time and is now a pound below last winning mark.
14:00 2:00 Stratford

Beholden

Daily Racing

50 EWNB

@7.00

Lose

-100

Bumper and dual hurdles winner. Hasn't won for 33 months but has only had 6 runs in that time. Not beaten far on seasonal return before being placed at Hereford in May . Not a bad effort at Fakenham last time and has fallen to an attractive mark.
13 July 2024
18:05 6:05 Chester

Al Shabab Storm

Daily Racing

100 WINNAPNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@3.75

Win

275

Got off the mark at Goodwood in October and after a couple of runner-up efforts got back to winning ways with an easy success over this course and distance 2 weeks ago. Now rated 9 lbs higher and finished in the frame at this level last season.
17:40 5:40 Salisbury

Media Guest

Daily Racing

50 EW

@7.00

Lose

-100

Now 34 months since solitary victory but is much lower in the handicap nowadays and completed a hat-trick of runner-up finishes when beaten over the minimum trip at Bath last month. Better over today's trip and should go close off the same mark.
17:30 5:30 Chester

Rich Belief

Daily Racing

50 EWNB

@5.50

Lose

-100

Useful staying gelding has been a great servant for connections . Won 3 times over hurdles and showed a welcome return to form when rallying bravely to win narrowly over 2 miles at this venue last month. Drop in trip not a problem and can defy a 5 lbs rise in the weights. 
12 July 2024
15:35 3:35 Newmarket

Porta Fortuna

Daily Racing

100 WINNB

@2.25

Win

125

Wonderful filly won 4 times as a juvenile including the Group 1 Cheveley Park Stakes and finished runner-up at the Breeders Cup meeting. Even better this season, narrowly beaten in the 1000 Guineas over this course and distance beforean impressive win the Coronation Stakes at Royal Ascot. Can run up a sequence at the highest level.
1 member found this comment useful
14:40 2:40 York

Adaay In Devon

Daily Racing

50 EW

@9.00

Win

30

Talented filly won 4 times as a juvenile and her 3 victories this season has included 2 at Listed level. Showed tenacity at Sandown last time and well worth a go at this level.
13:50 1:50 Newmarket

Chantilly

Daily Racing

50 EWNAP

@5.00

Lose

-100

Well bred colt was placed on 3 of his 4 juvenile outings and got off the mark on seasonal/handicap debut with an easy victory over 10 furlongs at Leopardstown in April. Finished a credible 3rd in the London Gold Cup at Newbury and didn't enjoy the best of passages when staying on late in the King George V stakes at the royal meeting. Drop back in trip not a problem and should be tough to beat.
1 member found this comment useful
11 July 2024
18:15 6:15 Leopardstown

Special Wan

Daily Racing

100 WINNB

@3.00

Lose

-100

Won on debut here over an extended 6 furlongs 12 months ago and finished placed in a Listed event at the Curragh on only other juvenile outing. Runner-up in a Listed event at Naas on seasonal reappearance and was narrowly beaten in a Group 3 over this course and distance last month. A reproduction of that effort would make her tough to beat.
1 member found this comment useful
14:35 2:35 Doncaster

Zephlyn

Daily Racing

50 EWNAP

@11.00

Lose

-100

Got off the mark over an extended 2 miles at Newcastle in January and after a couple of runner-up finishes went in again, at Southwell in March. Looked in need of the run when weakening in the closing furlongs at Hamilton 2 weeks ago. Back down a pound should come on plenty for that run.
10 July 2024
18:40 6:40 Kempton

Imola

Daily Racing

50 EWNB

@9.00

Win

30

Finished in the frame on all 3 juvenile outings but disappointing on both runs this season. Has dropped 5 lbs in the ratings and the step up in trip should bring improvement.
18:30 6:30 Fairyhouse

Dancing Tango

Daily Racing

50 EWNAPNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 7.00 used instead of 5.00 takenBOG

@7.00

Win

10

Consistent mare has won 3 times including a Listed event over 12 furlongs at Naas. Proved current well being when just touched off by a short priced favourite in a Listed event at Limerick over an extended 12 furlongs last month. Looks to have plenty of stamina so step up in trip should suit.
14:40 2:40 Yarmouth

United Force

Daily Racing

50 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@5.50

Void

0

Only win came for previous yard over 7 furlongs at Leicester 14 months ago. Has steadily been falling down the handicap but finished a runnerr-up at Lingfield in February and was just beaten a whisker over this course and distance 12 days ago. Every chance of going one better from a 3 lbs higher mark.
09 July 2024
17:30 5:30 Lingfield

Gherkin

Daily Racing

50 EWNAP

@5.00

Lose

-100

Gained 5th career victory when scoring over 6 furlongs at Brighton in October. Not disgraced in a better race than this on seasonal return at Windsor and wouldn't need much improvement to take this under top rider.
16:33 4:33 Uttoxeter

Guard Duty

Daily Racing

50 EWNBNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@5.50

Win

270

Lightly raced bumper winner looked in need of the run on return from an absence of over 15 months to make hurdles debut , at Ffos Las in May.  Has plenty of scope and this looks a good opportunity.
08 July 2024
17:25 5:25 Worcester

Culligran

Daily Racing

50 EWNBNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 7.00 used instead of 5.50 takenBOG

@7.00

Win

10

Showed little in the point fields and not a lot on first 2 outings under rules. Much better since going handicapping the last twice with solid placed efforts at Newton Abbot and Southwell. Is surely better than current mark.
16:50 4:50 Worcester

Mactavish

Daily Racing

100 WINNAP

@4.50

Lose

-100

Won twice at Hereford last season and returned to form with an easy all the way success over this course and distance 12 days ago. Looks progressive and can defy a 6 lbs rise in the ratings.
07 July 2024
16:40 4:40 Limerick

Mayo For Sam

Daily Racing

100 WINNAP

@3.50

Lose

-100

Improving filly got off the mark over 10 furlongs at Navan last month. Raised 8 lbs for that but subsequently ran well at Leopardstown before being just beaten over 13 furlongs at Ballinrobe last time .Should appreciate drop in trip and will be tough to beat. 
15:50 3:50 Chelmsford City

Hosanna Power

Daily Racing

100 WINNB

@4.50

Lose

-100

Lightly raced gelding was placed on first 3 outings before getting off the mark on seasonal/handicap debut over 10 furlongs at Newbury in May. Was raised 4 lbs for that and was unable to quicken on the soft ground when 3rd at Chester last time. Should appreciate the quicker ground here.

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