Gooner Jay

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Gooner Jay's Tips History

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20 June 2024
17:45 5:45 Leopardstown

True Statesman

Daily Racing

50 EW

@15.00

Lose

-100

I'm sure this was a lot lower price when i looked this morning and thought i'd give it a miss, but it's now at 14-1 and has been slowly improving since moving to Ireland and lto ran on from the back to finish a close 4th. The drop in distance is the only negative really, but is now a nice ew price.
16:45 4:45 Leopardstown

Zuzzudio

Daily Racing

50 EW

@81.00

Lose

-100

I part own a Zoustar filly and like to try and keep an eye out for others making their debut and although i'm sure i don't spot all of them, i've noted this one today trained by Gavin Cromwell. He can have them ready first up and although the market isn't speaking, i'll still have a small ew.
15:35 3:35 Longchamp

Easy

Daily Racing

65 EWNAP

@9.00

Lose

-130

I backed this on it's comeback run (last ran in 2022) at a big price and it won with ease. (exuse the pun) I believe it has been pulled out of at least one race that i remember which must be because of the going and it appears that the going today is soft enough. Lto was a Listed race, so up to a Grade 3 today, but although i have gone ew at 10-1, i do think Easy can win.
19 June 2024
19:35 7:35 Ripon

Ticktyboo

Daily Racing

50 EWNAP

@26.00

Lose

-100

I have been following this horse since it was purchased at the breeze ups last year and has improved this year. Lto not so much, but might have been the firmer going, so should be ok today.
18:15 6:15 Royal Ascot

Fuji Mountain

Daily Racing

39 EW

@81.00

Lose

-79

I quite like two at long prices in this race and the first is Fuji Mountain who was the only real challenger to Kassaya (running today in the Queen Mary) lto coming 2nd which was a huge improvement on debut run. More improvement today and hopefully a decent win from Kassaya might make these odds look mad.

Rock N Roll Rocket

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@67.00

Lose

-50

Ran no sort of race lto and i am going to put that down to the going being too soft. Won on debut on good, g/f in places in a decent enough time so not really sure why the big odds. Has ew chances imo but has to be my win bet on here.
17:40 5:40 Royal Ascot

Aurora Dawn

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@11.00

Lose

-50

Saffie only has the two rides today from what i can see and Aurora Dawn has a really good chance of winning this. Was an unlucky loser lto just not getting a run when needed and then the chance was gone. Up in distance today which is fine and remember she won twice and came 2nd on turf last year.

Victoria Falls

Daily Racing

50 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@34.00

Win

280

Is up in class today, but did ok at Chester in a class 2 and that was first up this year. Two 2nd place finishes followed at a lower grade, but if targeting this race wouldn't of wanted to win them anyway. Won 3 times last season and she could be ready to start winning again.
17:05 5:05 Royal Ascot

Beshtani

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@10.00

Lose

-50

Metal Merchant

Daily Racing

50 EW

@19.00

Lose

-100

One win and a 2nd place behind Sonny Liston this season and although ended last season with a blip, has been quite consistent. Looks a decent ew shot here at the price and isn't out of winning this.
16:25 4:25 Royal Ascot

Inspiral

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@5.00

Lose

-50

15:45 3:45 Royal Ascot

Royal Dress

Daily Racing

50 EW

@21.00

Lose

-100

Won a Listed race on stable debut in a first time hood which is retained and was so unlucky lto losing to Breege by just 3/4l when getting blocked left right and centre and can surely do better today.
15:05 3:05 Royal Ascot

Birdman

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@SP

Lose

-50

14:50 2:50 Hamilton

Gold Black

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.50

Lose

-50

Golden Horde colt who cost 65000 euros as a yearling and is apparently looking very good at home. Stable have been knocking in the winners also, so a chance is taken on debut.
14:30 2:30 Royal Ascot

Kassaya

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@13.00

Lose

-50

We are 7-1 the field here, so a bit of a lottery with these 2yo's, but i quite fancy Kassaya who looked like there was more in the tank lto and should have won fto really. Cost 1 mill and if showing less greeness can win this.

Maw Lam

Daily Racing

50 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionBest Odds Guaranteed SP 51.00 used instead of 34.00 takenBOG

@51.00

Win

450

Hollie Doyle rides Maw Lam today and after an impressive win on debut, fluffed the start lto, but recovered to get in position late and still could have won but for a 125-1 shot that nobody saw coming. A better start could see this one go close at decent odds. Watch out for the American horse who is also a decent ew chance at lesser odds.
18 June 2024
18:15 6:15 Royal Ascot

Lucander

Daily Racing

50 EW

@67.00

Lose

-100

Returned from running in Bahrain, where there were some nice results, to have a rare off day at Epsom, but we can make a few excuses for that run so i'm not too bothered. The risk here today is that this is first attempt at this trip, because other than that, everything else seems fine. Ran well here last year over 1m 4f on g/f beaten 5l, and is 3lb better off today and has a jockey who is in decent form.
17:05 5:05 Royal Ascot

Temporize

Daily Racing

50 EW

@19.00

Win

129

Only one poor race in the last 5 and was a decent 2nd place here last July over 2m and then followed that up with a win over todays trip at Goodwood. Is up 7lbs in the weights from that win and an extra 1lb for coming 2nd last month, but is still improving imo and is still great value today and will give his running.
16:25 4:25 Royal Ascot

Darlinghurst

Daily Racing

50 EW

@34.00

Lose

-100

This French raider is unbeaten this year and could be anything, but winning is a good habit to get into and although friendless in the market, i will take a chance ew.

Notable Speech

Daily Racing

125 WINNB

@2.70

Lose

-125

I really like Rosallian and has been in my tracker for some time, but was beat fair and square by the undefeated Notable Speech in the 2000gns and i'm surprised he's not odds on today.
15:45 3:45 Royal Ascot

Regional

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@6.50

Lose

-50

I really like Big Evs and if he wins, so be it, but Regional drops back to this 5f today which will be fine at this track. Normally runs on tracks that are flat, so first run here and i would think and hope that he will get straight to the front on going that suits and try and stay there.

Valiant Force

Daily Racing

50 EW

@19.00

Lose

-100

Was 2nd to Big Evs at the Breeders Cup and also has a c & d win in the Group 2 Norfolk on g/f. The top two in the market will prove tough to beat today imo, but if racing in the US hasn't done too much damage, could well be in the mix today.
15:05 3:05 Royal Ascot

Arran

Daily Racing

62 EWNAP

@26.00

Lose

-124

I don't quite understand the reason why this is so much higher in the market than the two it beat on debut (The Actor & Al Qudra) and it would seem Arran has been wrapped in cotton wool since that win. I know they have improved since, but so will this one and it looks great value to me.

Franciscos Piece

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@26.00

Lose

-50

I will also have a win tip as well in this race as i believe this one is one of the quickest in this race, but has only proved that on a softer surface and it will be a bit of an unknown on this current g/f, but if the going is ok, should be in the thick of it.
14:30 2:30 Royal Ascot

Maljoom

Daily Racing

50 EW

@8.50

Win

25

Won the German 2000gns back in 2022 and was unlucky in the follow up over c & d, not getting the rub of the green and imo would have won if not for that. Only one race in 2023 and then ran over c & d in a Listed race last month, i hope, as a warm up for this race. Risky, but did have a lot of talent two years ago and i will take the risk today.
1 member found this comment useful
17 June 2024
17:05 5:05 Gowran Park

Navajo River

Daily Racing

50 EWNOTETip made at odds of 81.00 on 17/06 at 14:570.10 deduction for Young Lucy@8.50 withdrawn at 16:21R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 80.00 x (1-0.10) = 73.00

@73.00

Win

670

I will have a small ew on this one who hasn't really done much since since winning at 200-1 in it's last maiden before going handicapping. Drops in grade from last race and will find this easier, but will need to start showing something soon and hopefully it's today.
16:05 4:05 Gowran Park

Taste Of The Sea

Daily Racing

50 EWNAP

@126.00

Lose

-100

I am always going on about this trainer and how he throws up the occasional long shot winner and Navajo River, who runs in the last race today, is a prime example winning at 200-1 the race before making h/c debut. This is a similair one who drops to 8f today after two races at 1m 3f both on the aw and was racing up with the leaders lto, which had some nice runners in it, but looked a horse who was running at the wrong distance and tamely fell away down the home straight. First start on turf and hopefully a better distance in an easier looking race, could well be a decent ew chance.
16 June 2024
17:45 5:45 Thirsk

Bergerac

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@19.00

Lose

-50

Very capable on his day and was unlucky two runs back when not getting a clear run. Will put lto down to an off day or just wanted a 3lb cut in the weights and we have cheek pieces back on today.

Jer Batt

Daily Racing

79 EWNAP

@12.00

Win

95

Returned after nearly a year off the track with a really decent first up run at Doncaster a couple of weeks ago coming 4th, but only about a length behind the winner and did look a bit rusty towards the finish. Should be sharper today and in what looks like a decent race, should be in the mix up at the end.
15:05 3:05 Chantilly

Rockn Swing

Daily Racing

50 EW

@19.00

Lose

-100

I think i am going to lose the 25-1, but what this is doing at that price i have no idea, maybe the draw? Came from last entering the straight in the French 1000gns and finished really well and wasn't that far behind in 7th. This step up in trip will suit her and comes from a strong stable.
1 member found this comment useful
14:45 2:45 Gowran Park

Star Sailor

Daily Racing

50 EW

@15.00

Lose

-100

I backed this on h/c debut expecting a decent run and it was very disappointing, but then got very decent odds lto and recived some nice place money when coming 2nd. Was 6l behind the decent looking winner which would have been a bit closer but jockey appeared to stop chasing when he knew they were not going to win, but then started riding again when challenged for 2nd place, so at least we know there was a bit more in the tank. Did still look a bit green so maybe plenty of improvement to come and looks a decent ew bet with 5 places.

Victors Choice

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@13.00

Lose

-50

Was given an awful ride lto from a wide draw over 6f at Sligo and doesn't have the best of draws today in 10, but neither do the market leaders and this c & d winner will find this longer straight, once again, benificial back over 7f. Any rain would improve chances.
15 June 2024
18:40 6:40 Uttoxeter

Scottsdale

Daily Racing

50 EWNOTETip made at odds of 101.00 on 15/06 at 13:170.00 deduction for Methodtothemagic@67.00 withdrawn at 16:330.00 deduction for Gamalou Dalene @15.000 withdrawn at 16:330.35 deduction for Unwanted Attention @2.625 withdrawn at 17:47R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 100.00 x (1-0.35) = 66.00

@66.00

Win

600

Hasn't shown much for a while, but looked better lto in first run for6 months and could be turning a corner. Not a great looking race to be honest and 4 places on offer back at this track.
14 June 2024
17:25 5:25 Cork

Soar Beyond

Daily Racing

25 EW

@101.00

Lose

-50

It does seem weird seeing a horse from this stable at 100-1, but it does look like they are searching for something. Has been run over 5, 6 and 7f and now back over 5f, so maybe they are just waiting for the penny to drop, or just a lower h/c mark. Small ew.
16:50 4:50 Cork

Oitentinha

Daily Racing

25 EW

@126.00

Lose

-50

I thought Oitentinha ran ok on debut in quite a hot race coming 7th. There were some decent horses in that race, but was running well along side Fairy Godmother and did show some greeness, especially 1.5f out when asked the question. Seemed to jump left after being whipped on the right and didn't seem to want any more of that! Hands and heels today then, maybe, but either way will come on for that run and could well sneak a place.
16:10 4:10 York

Penzance

Daily Racing

50 EWNAP

@12.00

Lose

-100

Winning streak came to an end lto, but was beaten into 2nd by one that then came 4th in a group 1. Needs to transfer this form to turf and there's every chance these odds will look pretty stupid at the finish.
13 June 2024
20:00 8:00 Leopardstown

Calamint

Daily Racing

50 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@17.00

Void

0

I thought i did this earlier and have now lost the better price, but snooze and you lose. Won two runs back on stable debut and followed with a 3rd place finish. Went up 12lb for that win, but i still think this is well below the ceiling and will hopefully be in the mix again today upped in trip.
19:30 7:30 Leopardstown

Royal Entry

Daily Racing

25 EW

@101.00

Win

475

I am fairly certain that the eye shield used by Royal Entry on debut did not help at all, in fact imo, it was a burden. I also think this drop in trip will help and although this looks a tasty race, you just never know. Small ew.
17:20 5:20 Leopardstown

Expecting A Star

Daily Racing

25 EW

@34.00

Lose

-50

Very much based on only 2yo run when a decent 3rd at Punchestown. Has had a run this year but got upset in the stalls, so lets hope she settles better today and shows some of that 2yo form.

Star Of Atlantis

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@101.00

Lose

-50

Showed some promise on first run and will probably show up and do well once handicapping, but i don't believe these odds of 100-1 are justified. Ran that first race over 8f, but struggled to get involved in that last furlong in 6th and lto was over 9f and wasn't involved at all, so this drop in trip to 7f seems a good move and it wouldn't surprise to see another top 6 finish here, but lets hope a top 3. EW for betting, skybet 4 places.
16:45 4:45 Leopardstown

Roman Dawn

Daily Racing

50 EW

@34.00

Lose

-100

I am always interested in first time runners from this stable and the 2yo pedigree of Roman Dawn is encouraging. Any market interest thouout the day should also be noted.
12 June 2024
18:30 6:30 Limerick

Future Cutlet

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@17.00

Lose

-50

Stable had a first timer pull off a shock win last week similar to this one and i wish i'd put this one up when i bet on it this morning because the odds have crashed from 50-1. Could lightning strike twice?
18:20 6:20 Hamilton

Sirius White

Daily Racing

50 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 41.00 used instead of 34.00 takenBOG

@41.00

Win

350

Amateur jockey race and i normally halve my stake if choosing to have a bet and because Sirius White is so unpredictable it might be better to just go for the win only, but i've gone ew on here as i know this jockey gets on well with the horse and won on him back in March. The main reason for the win only bet is that this is actually SW's turf debut, which at 5yo is a little strange, and the fact it's over 6f is also a little strange, but that's why we're getting 33-1, risk and reward, the chance is taken.
18:00 6:00 Limerick

Goodbye Venice

Daily Racing

50 EWNAP

@41.00

Lose

-100

Being always wary of runners from this trainer i will take a chance today on Goodbye Venice making h/c debut. This is based on it's first run last year when 5th and after slotting in at the back of the pack after not having the quickest of starts, tried to run up the rail but ran into traffic which kind of stopped the momentum. Wasn't as good nto and would have needed the run lto and we could see a better run today.
17:30 5:30 Limerick

Romann

Daily Racing

25 EW

@81.00

Lose

-50

As mentioned in my win tip, a small ew on both the current outisders in this race and Romann at 80-1 will be the ew tip. Falling down the handicap ratings isn't a great sight, but if you excuse the last race of 2023 on the aw and first run this year which would have been needed, Romann ended last season with two places and a 5th/17, so a place here isn't out the question. Skybet offering 4 places.

Sapristi

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@101.00

Lose

-50

I am going to have a cheeky ew on both the current outsiders in this race, the first being Sapristi who is having just third run for this stable, both over the wrong trip of 8f. Was a decent 2nd at Windsor last Aug (1m3f) having won a claimer in June over 1m2f and was still running on at tricky Epsom over 1m4f when 5th, so this trip today will suit a lot better as will the going. Small ew for betting.
11 June 2024
20:15 8:15 Sligo

Mrs Mc Go

Daily Racing

50 EW

@29.00

Lose

-100

Not too sure what Mrs Mc Go has done to drift out to 28-1, so it's a worry, but has done well to finish 3rd on only piont start and was 2nd, closing strongly, lto a couple of weeks ago on stable/rules debut, so must be worth a go ew.
17:07 5:07 Salisbury

Bigtime Bridget

Daily Racing

50 EW

@34.00

Lose

-100

Finished last year with a win and then a 2nd under penalty both at Wolverhampton and the winner has won again this year as have a couple of others from that race. Was thought good enough to run in the Oaks trial, but whether the distance stretched her, it was her first run this year or she was just punching a bit above her weight, i'm not sure, maybe a bit of all three. Handicap debut today in calmer waters and again, not sure this opening mark of 80 is a little high, but it's not too bad and drops back in distance which will help, as will the run out she's already had.
14:32 2:32 Salisbury

Ballarat Bertie

Daily Racing

25 EW

@201.00

Lose

-50

I'm going to have a small ew on Ballarat Bertie who completely blew the start on debut just eight days ago and was very much eased down quite some way out. We have an odds-on fav and a well backed second fav here, so chances of a win are quite remote, but the speed figures when eventually out the stalls were not 200-1 figures and if keeping them going this time with a better start, could get a place.
10 June 2024
14:20 2:20 Carlisle

Mums Called 0.00

Daily Racing

50 EW

@21.00

Lose

-100

The two at the head of the market both came 2nd lto, but neither race looked that great to me and although i quite like Griselda who was in a better race and was only 3l behind eased down, the odds i got on that are long gone and so i turn to Mums Called on debut who is also moving in the market but can still get 20-1.

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