Tips History

JiggsCasey's Tips History

14 November 2025

20:30 8:30 Dundalk

Drucker

Daily Racing

262 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-262

Drucker went nowhere on turf but did manage a win here. Been gelded recently and gone close here twice again. Jockey change tonight for what looks to be his for the taking as long as he maintains the level.

20:00 8:00 Dundalk

Quatre Bras

Daily Racing

175 WIN

@3.75

Win

481

Quatre Bras has shown much improved form recently for the switch to AW. Won well over CD two races ago, then ran on well with a penalty to be a close second 2 furlongs further. Before this, there had been no wins in 14 turf efforts, so must be taken seriously here again.

16:00 4:00 Cheltenham

Fortune De Mer

Daily Racing

100 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@6.00

Void

Alphonse Le Grande sneaks in with bottom weight and, though keeping top staying company on the flat as well as hurdles, hasn't looked like winning in a long time. Overnight favorite nonetheless, probably due to this being a yard debut for an 'unconventional' trainer. Fortune Del Mar is my choice. Made a disappointing start to hurdling when third after looking the winner, but a first-time hood last time saw a victory at a much higher level over this CD for a £40,000 race. The hood stays on for the handicap debut and has to be involved on the last run.

15:50 3:50 Southwell

Jack Hoola

Daily Racing

250 WINNAPNOTETip made at odds of 3.25 on 14/11 at 02:200.00 deduction for River Rider@51.00 withdrawn at 08:510.00 deduction for Tuba @21.000 withdrawn at 10:090.00 deduction for Dreamweaver @15.000 withdrawn at 13:550.20 deduction for Ballyhiho @4.333 withdrawn at 15:07R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 2.25 x (1-0.2) = 2.80

@2.80

Win

450

Jack Hoola had shown nothing in 6 races until experimenting with headgear again at Huntingdon and winning well. Took the penalty back there to CD and was only just beaten, but they were 12 clear of the third. That sets the mark here.

15:30 3:30 Cheltenham

Heads Up

Daily Racing

200 WINNB

@3.50

Lose

-200

Cobden has gone on record singing the praises of No Drama This End as his work on the gallops has been impressive, and they can't wait to go. That said, the jockey and trainer have been guilty more than a few times of seeing their Cheltenham runners through rose-tinted specs. Has to be involved nonetheless. Heads Up was 2nd of 17 in the festival's Champion Bumper last March and took a break off until September. Made a hurdles debut and was 8/13 fave based on last term's bumper form and duly obliged. Was only an ordinary maiden but must have a touch of class looking at last year's form.

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14:30 2:30 Newcastle

Queens Venture

Daily Racing

150 WIN

@5.00

Lose

-150

Queen's Venture has won both hurdle races this season. Won by 17 lengths after the break and held on well next time under a penalty in a race valued twice as high as this one. Likes the ground and distance.

14:20 2:20 Cheltenham

Leave Of Absence

Daily Racing

150 WIN

@3.75

Lose

-150

Wade Out is tempting due to the trainer/jockey form, but with only one chase in the bag (a win) at 2m 4f, it's a risk to go all in on this distance change. Leave Of Absence, on the other hand, has won over the CD last time out and is improving (only had 4 chases, won most recent two).

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13:10 1:10 Cheltenham

A Pai De Nom

Daily Racing

100 WINNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionBest Odds Guaranteed SP 6.50 used instead of 5.50 takenBOG

@6.50

Win

550

A Pai De Nom had a wind operation after two races before taking on hurdles and stepping up to this staying distance. Won well on the debut and was run out of it late for the follow-up by an improver. Has the runs under the belt and victory over the trip as an advantage over most here. Lucky Manifest is on a second yard this year already. Won well at Kelso for both yards and is also an improver who likes the trip. Looks value to make a race of it.

Lucky Manifest

Daily Racing

75 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionBest Odds Guaranteed SP 11.00 used instead of 10.00 takenBOG

@11.00

Win

13 November 2025

15:48 3:48 Punchestown

Without Exception

Daily Racing

125 EWNAP

@7.50

Lose

-250

Without Exception was a fine second of 13 last time in a handicap off a mark of 84 in heavy ground. That was following a 10-month break and a victory over 14 rivals over CD. The curve is definitely upward and is the most lightly raced horse on show. Will be fresher now and has the hands of one of Ireland's most promising up-and-coming claimers in the saddle taking three pounds off.

15:40 3:40 Sedgefield

Lillistar

Daily Racing

150 WIN

@5.00

Lose

-150

Devon Skies has a penalty after a sudden improvement to win last time after 3 pull-ups. The trainer's tale of front-running tactics paying off was accepted. I'm not sure that those tactics will pay off at this track under a penalty. Lillistar has had 8 hurdle races without a win but has been 2nd or 3rd 4 times. Appreciated the extra 5 furlongs last time and ran on well into a third spot. Most of the form on offer elsewhere doesn't look as positive.

15:30 3:30 Market Rasen

White Noise

Daily Racing

175 WINNBNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 5.00 used instead of 4.33 takenBOG

@5.00

Win

700

White Noise has had two hurdle races only, and after a promising 3rd of 13, was kept away for 7 months. Came back last month and was backed into 6/5 favourite, so clearly had pleased connections. Pleased them again by winning an easy 3 lengths. Be better for that run, and the level of improvement to win suggests another win is on.

14:58 2:58 Market Rasen

Queen Of Steel

Daily Racing

125 WIN

@2.88

Lose

-125

14:45 2:45 Punchestown

Powerful

Daily Racing

200 WIN

@2.50

Win

300

Powerful, at only 4 years old, has the scope and potential to have an advantage in this easy-looking handicap debut. Only 4 runs so far and two placed efforts. But last time the run followed a long break, and although only third, it was in a field of 15. Will be sharper for that run, and this field isn't as good as that.

13:59 1:59 Sedgefield

Conquer The Breeze

Daily Racing

100 WIN

@5.00

Lose

-100

13:48 1:48 Market Rasen

Pescatorius

Daily Racing

150 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 3.25 used instead of 3.00 takenBOG

@3.25

Win

337

12 November 2025

15:40 3:40 Dundalk

Independent Expert

Daily Racing

200 WIN

@2.88

Lose

-200

With only 7 wins from 45 runs, Independent Expert looks a little exposed until you see that on this surface she has won 2 from 5. Won here last time in a claimer by over a length when well backed to evens favorite. That was off today's mark. Glyndr is of a similar AW profile but won last time off 79 and has an extra 6 pounds now. Still the logical danger.

15:20 3:20 Ayr

The Hatchet

Daily Racing

200 WIN

@2.20

Lose

-200

The Hatchet made a successful debut for a new yard (which is in top form at the moment) after three average winless runs before. The form has been boosted since. Has placed form in soft ground from last season. Cavalier Du Loy won impressively in a point and was backed to do so. Looks a logical FC choice.

15:00 3:00 Bangor on Dee

Filibustering

Daily Racing

212 WINNB

@2.75

Lose

-212

Shabalko d'Herm won his only point and was second on only bumper then joined this yard. No surprise to see him go off well fancied (evs) and win pulling clear. Will come on for that and should go close under a penalty, but the in-form Harry Derham yard have Filibustering, and he won on debut very easily in March, so will be okay to go fresh. He then stepped up a little too high too soon at Aintree in a £60,000 race and was 6th of 13. Not a terrible finish, but back in this grade should be even better now.

14:40 2:40 Dundalk

Prairie Girl

Daily Racing

200 WINNAPR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@4.33

Void

Prairie Girl is lightly raced but didn't taste victory until joining this new yard recently and has been switched to synthetics. She was a promising 4th of 13, running on, then made no mistake here last time over 5f, winning by an easy 3 lengths. The mark has risen sharply due to that, but as it's still early in her career, it looks a beatable penalty.

13:45 1:45 Ayr

Nathan Wells

Daily Racing

150 WIN

@5.00

Lose

-150

Ex-Gordon Elliott inmate, Nathan Wells, has taken time to get in front but has done so in his last two races at Perth. Both times he has ended up in a duel late and outstayed the competition. That suggested to the eye that this extra couple of furlongs will be an advantage. Last win was in deep ground too.

11 November 2025

15:55 3:55 Hereford

One Cool Dreamer

Daily Racing

75 EW

@8.00

Lose

-150

One Cool Dreamer has only had two hurdle races and last time finished second behind one rated a stone superior and sent off at 4/9 fav. Was 10 lengths ahead of the third, however, so has scope and in a field of low profile form can get involved at value odds EW.

15:37 3:37 Lingfield

Basilette

Daily Racing

100 EW

@6.50

Lose

-200

Basilette is raised to a mark of 100 after two cozy wins and can defy the latest penalty. Judging by the manner of the most recent win, it is up to making this company go too. The penalties have provided a decent EW price.

15:11 3:11 Huntingdon

Charging Thunder

Daily Racing

209 WINNAP

@3.75

Lose

-209

Kingston Sunflower won well enough last time and has today's up-and-coming claimer on again. It looks sure to be there at the finish. Charging Thunder, however, might be ready to win again following the seasonal opener. Got lost in that race, which was a conditional jockeys' race. An inexperienced rider and needing the run counted against him. It was a big field and worth £10,000. This time last year, he was winning a couple of races in this grade by large margins.

15:02 3:02 Lingfield

Dangerous Touch

Daily Racing

100 WIN

@4.50

Lose

-100

14:36 2:36 Huntingdon

Forget The Way

Daily Racing

150 WIN

@3.00

Win

300

It appears as if Forget The Way is the first choice of the Owen yard, looking at jockey bookings. He's not one of the yard's better ones and is an infrequent winner (2 from 20 hurdles). However, he has been placing regularly in class 3 and 4 recently, and this is a step down in a small field where form is thin. Dickens is another consistent placer, though he has won 5 hurdle races. He has been runner-up the last 3 times since the mark passed 110. He has run over 2m and 2m 4f; this might be a bit sharp. The hood failed to work last time, so it is left off. Tongue tie tried first time now.

14:14 2:10 Hereford

Kits Coty

Daily Racing

200 WINNB

@2.50

Lose

-200

Kit's Coty hadn't won or gone close in chases last season and had a seven-month break and wind surgery. Needed the reappearance run but was backed with confidence (11/8 fav) and won. The surgery was the difference (stewards accepted explanation) so can go in again now that run's out of the way.

14:01 2:01 Huntingdon

Rip Wheeler

Daily Racing

175 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 2.50 used instead of 2.00 takenBOG

@2.50

Win

262

13:39 1:35 Hereford

Africa Charm

Daily Racing

50 EW

@7.50

Lose

-100

Only One Blue

Daily Racing

150 WIN

@2.62

Lose

-150

Two former Richard Hannon underperformers joined new yards recently and made winning hurdling debuts. They meet here: African Charm and Only One Blue. The former wasn't 'expected' at 28/1 in a weak race but won anyway. The latter was more fancied at 5/2 and won going away, albeit in a field of 4. That suggests the latter is probably up to shouldering a penalty best.

09 November 2025

16:00 4:00 Ffos Las

Katies Melody

Daily Racing

250 WINNOTETip made at odds of 1.91 on 08/11 at 21:280.30 deduction for Jollie Dame@3.00 withdrawn at 08:31R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 0.91 x (1-0.30) = 1.64

@1.64

Win

159

Katie's Melody runs for an in-form Harry Derham and is the only one with a recent placed run. Came second in an Irish bumper after winning her only point race easily. No big yards face off here, so this can be seen as a big chance to get off the mark.

15:37 3:37 Naas

Irish Panther

Daily Racing

75 EW

@9.00

Win

720

15:15 3:15 Sandown

Only The Bold

Daily Racing

250 WINNAP

@3.75

Lose

-250

Only The Bold won in summer, and it was a chase worth £40,000. This one's worth less than half that, over 3 miles and against 14 opponents. That form trumps any elsewhere in the field, and it's a veteran handicap, so not likely to be a pacey race. Yard's in decent form.

15:02 3:02 Naas

Champ Kiely

Daily Racing

200 WIN

@3.75

Lose

-200

Inthepocket won a large field lower class chase last season on the second run but was then beaten comprehensively by Ile Atlantique. That one was ridden by the Willie Mullins stable jockey, Paul Townend, that day, but he has chosen to get on Champ Kiely today. His choice is a good enough guide for me. Only By Me looks like needing the run, and the Cromwell yard has 3 winners in the last 55 runners.

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14:50 2:50 Ffos Las

Boston Joe

Daily Racing

250 WINNB

@3.00

Lose

-250

Boston Joe's profile is disappointing. However, he has form in soft ground, a recent placed run, and a CD win on his record. The trainer has success here too. Given the absence of encouraging form anywhere else in the field, it can be considered that this is their best chance of a win in a long time, even giving weight away.

14:27 2:27 Naas

Letos

Daily Racing

100 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 12.00 used instead of 8.00 takenBOG

@12.00

Win

1320

Letos isn't one of Willie Mullins' better ones, having failed to win in 9 races (3 chase, 6 hurdles). Ran well when a good 2nd of 24 two races back over 2m 4f but was beaten into second by an improver next time over 2 miles. That's 5 places now. This is back to the favored 2m 4f and a handicap debut. Any rain would benefit.

08 November 2025

15:45 3:45 Doncaster

Lord Melbourne

Daily Racing

100 EWNBNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@9.00

Win

A wide open competitive handicap to close the flat sees last year's winner, Lord Melbourne, go for a realistic follow-up. Won most impressively last year under today's apprentice and likes soft and heavy ground. Had been absent the whole of this season surprisingly but, significantly, had a tune-up for this 40 days ago in Epsom's mud and despite the year off won by 4 lengths. We know he handles the race, field size, and the mud. It's an advantage that he's had only 1 run all year at this stage of the season and will have far more petrol to call on. Castle Cove looks sure to get involved too. Ran well over 1m 2f a couple of times running on late to finish in the money. Last time went up to 1m 5f and looked good only to not quite last. Still lightly raced, this distance looks ideal though yet to encounter heavy ground.

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15:30 3:30 Wincanton

Art Of Diplomacy

Daily Racing

85 WIN

@5.50

Lose

-85

Art Of Diplomacy had won 5 of 8 chases for Mickey Bowen following him taking over his father's horses and was looking nailed on to make it 6 in a three-horse race last time but fell at the final fence when going clear. Most of these have yet to run this season, and he might have a useful edge on them.

14:40 2:40 Aintree

If Not For Dylan

Daily Racing

50 EW

@29.00

Lose

-100

King Turgeon ran a blinder to win this last year but went right off the boil thereafter. He hasn't run this season yet, and while the trainer makes the long journey here often with success, it's hard to be enthusiastic. The first four last year were rated in the 120s, so I'm using that as a guide. The new partnership of Lucinda Russell and Michael Scudamore is sending winners all over the country at the moment, and they have a low-weighted outsider in If Not For Dylan. He has looked a reliable jumper so far, and that's a big plus here. He has won and placed often enough. He's a veteran these days at 10, but in receipt of weight from all and trying a tongue strap for the first time could well be in the shake-up.

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14:35 2:35 Doncaster

Fine Interview

Daily Racing

100 EWNAP

@6.50

Lose

-200

Wathnan Racing have 2 at the top of the market here. James Doyle chooses 3-year-old Realign but may have chosen wrong given the going now. Hasn't run on soft or heavy ground. Fine Interview, on the other hand, is a year older and more exposed but has won 5 of 14 races. Significantly, all 5 were on soft ground. Last time out, won snugly here over CD and on soft ground with Doyle up. Callum Rodriguez has the ride today and should go well.

14:23 2:23 Wincanton

Cobra Queen

Daily Racing

200 WIN

@2.88

Lose

-200

Cobra Queen might be the value for the in-form Henry De Bromhead, who makes the journey from Ireland. She has won a beginners and novice chase with ease in Ireland recently and steps up a grade. Blueking d'Ouroux was a decent hurdler for the Nicholls yard and went off 2/9 favorite at Newton Abbot for the chase debut. He made a lot of novicey jumps and was second. The fences there are soft, so it might be he still has a bit to learn.

14:05 2:05 Aintree

Dunstall Rambler

Daily Racing

100 EW

@10.00

Lose

-200

Tom George makes a long journey with his only runner this weekend in Dunstall Rambler. A better chaser than hurdler, he has won 5 of 11 and placed three times too. He has yet to take on class 3 company, but the reappearance run recently saw him hammer the opposition by 18 lengths. While it's a step up class-wise, those rated higher haven't won in a while, and some haven't run in a while. So, at the odds at the moment, it has to be a sporting EW.

13:45 1:45 Wincanton

Jubilee Alpha

Daily Racing

200 WIN

@2.88

Lose

-200

Paul Nichols dominates Wincanton every season, and Jubilee Alpha can win for him here. Made a winning debut last year, so goes well fresh. Won at a high level in a bumper and has won (last time) over 2m 4f easily. The one to beat. Bethpage has had the seasonal opener (won) and is on the improve and looks the obvious danger.

07 November 2025

17:00 5:00 Newcastle

Bill Plumb

Daily Racing

50 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 8.50 used instead of 6.50 takenBOG

@8.50

Win

16:30 4:30 Newcastle

Spirit Of Applause

Daily Racing

150 WIN

@2.88

Lose

-150

16:00 4:00 Newcastle

After Love

Daily Racing

150 WIN

@3.50

Lose

-150

After Love has been kept to AW racing since joining this yard and is already improved with figures -123. Has a win and place at Southwell, so will like this surface and was unlucky last time when getting a bit left behind at Wolves and hitting trouble late. Third place was good but may well have won and will have no bends to negotiate here.

15:45 3:45 Fontwell

Tigers Moon

Daily Racing

250 WIN

@1.73

Lose

-250

Tigers Moon should be hard to beat. After a gelding operation, it had four poor runs. Then, despite the lack of any public promise at all, it went off at 8/11 favorite and won by a very easy couple of lengths. That SP and improvement can't be a one-off.

15:35 3:35 Exeter

Village Master

Daily Racing

75 EW

@7.00

Lose

-150

Village Master is a gutsy one and has won more than most in this field, albeit at a slightly lower class. Won again last time following a wind operation (the 4th one) and enjoyed the late battle. Could find a couple of the more fancied ones out who may well need their first run of the season. Looks reliable for the frame at least.

15:20 3:20 Hexham

Hello Judge

Daily Racing

100 WIN

@4.50

Win

350

Hello Judge has a good strike rate over fences and won again last time following a 6-month break. He will be fitter now and is a good jumper of fences. The yard has had a good winner rate in the last 3 weeks.

15:10 3:10 Fontwell

He Is A Cracker

Daily Racing

215 WINNAP

@3.50

Lose

-215

He Is A Cracker looks the best option and gets on well with today's claimer. Has run the last 5 times here and been placed before getting up over CD last time comfortably. Did nothing over hurdles, but in 6 chases has won 2 and placed the other 4 times. Should be able to defy the penalty this early in the chasing campaign.

15:00 3:00 Exeter

Dirty Den

Daily Racing

75 EWNOTETip made at odds of 9.00 on 07/11 at 10:400.10 deduction for Jet Of Dreams@9.00 withdrawn at 14:09R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 8.00 x (1-0.10) = 8.20

@8.20

Win

Dirty Den always runs a race but is an underachiever so far, winning only 1 of 14 hurdle races. Originally trained by the current trainer, he was sold to another last year and was runner-up 6 times. Recently sold back to this trainer, he was 2nd again of 16 last time under today's promising claimer. Showed some grit in that race late on, and a similar run in this race could bring the elusive win. Has to be considered seriously EW.

14:53 2:53 Newcastle

Were Goosers

Daily Racing

250 WIN

@1.91

Win

227

14:45 2:45 Hexham

Rioja Alta

Daily Racing

75 EW

@6.00

Lose

-150

14:25 2:25 Exeter

Saint Segal

Daily Racing

50 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 9.00 used instead of 8.50 takenBOG

@9.00

Win

14:10 2:10 Hexham

Robert dOres

Daily Racing

150 WINNB

@4.33

Lose

-150

Robert D'Ores had no wins at all in 16 runs in Ireland, then in the UK, and following a gelding operation. However, he had wind surgery last year and has won 3 of 7 races since. More significantly, all three were at this CD, so this is clearly his track. Won last time here following a three-month break. Fresher and fitter for that, looks the one to aim at.

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Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.

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JiggsCasey

JiggsCasey's Tips History

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