c4stle
National Hunt follower who is more profitable on the flat…
1
Estimated Prizes
this month
£10
Estimated Prize money
this month
c4stle's Tips History
14 September 2025
16:10 4:10 Doncaster
Shuwari
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@5.50
Lose
-50
I've no doubt Shuwari is a Group 1 filly, having competed at the top table as a juvenile. She missed over 500 days and has taken a couple of runs to get back to her best, but her win LTO in France was really impressive, having been right out the back and running through rivals under hands and heels to claim the win. In here without a penalty, I think she's all class and can claim this on her way to bigger prizes such as the Sun Chariot in the autumn.
15:15 3:15 Curragh
Arizona Blaze
Daily Racing
25 EWNBNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@10.00
Win
270
If you draw a line through his York run last time, Arizona Blaze looks a massive price. I suspect a low draw will be the place to be with his stablemate going forward from stall 2 and the likely favorite in stall 1. Art Power will also be positive from stall 3. Arizona Blaze has good course form, including a Group 2 win back in July where he won by 2L, and prior to that, his win at Chantilly and 2nd at Royal Ascot shows his quality. Overpriced at 9/1.
15:00 3:00 Doncaster
Baldomero
Daily Racing
25 EW
@15.00
Lose
-50
Last year's winner, Baldomero, has to bounce back from trailing home last of 9 at Haydock last week. He started poorly and was given an easy time, so that's not as bad as it looks. He's 2 from 2 at Doncaster, both from marks of 86, and although he's 2 lbs higher here, the 5 lbs claimer in the saddle will help. The yard is in decent form, and he can continue his strong Doncaster record.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal170
13 September 2025
18:40 6:40 Leopardstown
Serialise
Daily Racing
25 EW
@15.00
Lose
-50
Serialise was 3rd in this race last year. Although inconsistent this season, her good efforts have shown the ability remains, such as when 2nd to Skukuza at the Curragh in May, with that rival winning a Listed race next time and now rated 18 lbs higher. Poor here last time, but she's dropped to a rating of 81, which is 4 lbs lower than last year. The stable reaches for cheekpieces and a 5 lbs claimer, which suggests this valuable handicap has been the plan, and she's weighted to go well if the headgear focuses her mind.
1 member found this comment useful
17:30 5:30 Leopardstown
Hotazhell
Daily Racing
25 EW
@13.00
Lose
-50
Hotazhell looks underestimated in this market, particularly with soft ground in his favor. Ran better than the bare result when 5th in the Eclipse, just 3.5L behind Delacroix, and looked to get a poor ride LTO in America. He beat the Eclipse winner on soft ground at Doncaster last autumn, and with 3-year-olds having farmed this race in recent years, he can continue that record.
16:25 4:25 Leopardstown
Fallen Angel
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@3.25
Win
112
Fallen Angel was 2nd to Porta Fortuna in this race last year, and there's nothing of her quality here. So I think she can follow up her win LTO and confirm the form with January, who seems happy finishing in the places. Softer ground will suit her more than most, and this former Irish Guineas winner has a clear class edge. Headgear is retained, and the yard is in flying form, so she will take some beating.
15:40 3:40 Doncaster
Scandinavia
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@3.25
Win
112
Scandinavia is on the drift, but for my money, is the most likely winner, with his stablemate looking a shadow of the horse who did the Derby double earlier in the summer. He's proven at the trip, having beaten stablemate Illinois and Doncaster Cup winner Sweet William over 16f last time, and has taken his form to new heights since the headgear was fitted after his Royal Ascot effort, including an 8.5L victory in a Group 3 at Newmarket. His win last time sets the standard, and he's the one to beat.
14:50 2:50 Leopardstown
Tribal Nation
Daily Racing
25 EW
@10.00
Win
20
I like Tribal Nation, who I suspect has been lined up for this since his run in the Britannia when he was on the wrong side of the draw but finished 6th overall, best on his side. The horse he finished in front of - also drawn his side - has won twice since and is now rated 10lbs higher. I think the form is being overlooked because of his poor run when 1/3 fav last time. I'll file that as 'too bad to be true.' With the only confirmed frontrunner drawn next to him in stall 12, and high draws having had the edge in recent years, I think everything is in place for a winning run.
14:40 2:40 Chester
Spirit Mixer
Daily Racing
50 WINNBNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@6.50
Win
275
The only real blemishes on his Chester record are in the Chester Cup which comes over 2f further, and he's 2 from 3 over C&D. In fine form having won the Northumberland Plate from a mark of 89 before two mid division efforts on ground which was probably too quick. A mark of 93 would be a career high but he's placed efforts from higher and with race conditions to suit (ground, track) I think he's the most likely winner.
14:25 2:25 Doncaster
Apollo One
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@15.00
Win
45
Apollo One has had a tough task this season, running in competitive handicaps from marks in the high 100s and twice pitched into pattern company. Hasn't been disgraced without troubling the judge and those efforts have seen his mark drop to 102. That's 1lb lower than when splitting American Affair and JM Jungle in this race last year and his draw (stall 10) looks ideal with front runners in 11 and 14. Wouldn't have been surprised if this was the plan ahead of a repeat effort at Ascot in October.
13:50 1:50 Doncaster
Gewan
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@2.62
Lose
-50
An impressive winner at York last time, comfortably beating some well touted rivals. His trainer has won this in the past and Gewan has followed the Chaldean route but done so winning both his starts. Those wins came on quick ground but breeding suggests he'd be happy on slower ground, and whilst it might not be much softer than good he sets the standard on what he's achieved so far.
1 member found this comment useful
13:15 1:15 Doncaster
Isla Kai
Daily Racing
25 EW
@51.00
Lose
-50
Isla Kai returned from a huge layoff when down the field at Ascot last week. It's possible he's still building up race fitness, but he has won twice in his second start of the season and could improve plenty. He's 2 from 4 over C&D, and being drawn near the likely favorite, Treble Tee, might see him get a good tow into the race. A mark of 89 is the same as his last winning mark, and he's twice won from higher. Fitness is a big question mark following up so quickly, but he's undoubtedly overpriced if coming on for his Ascot efforts.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal364
12 September 2025
15:40 3:40 Doncaster
Perfect Your Craft
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@4.50
Lose
-50
Ralph Beckett has won the last two renewals and has a strong chance of bringing up the hattrick with Perfect Your Craft. Won on handicap debut here last time out, getting on top at the line and suggesting should would improve for further. Steps up in trip today and showed last time that any cut in the ground is no issue. The 2nd last time was beaten too far to be a true running next up, but the 3rd has won twice since which gives the form some substance and 5lbs might not be enough to stop her progress.
15:00 3:00 Doncaster
Sweet William
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@2.50
Win
75
I can't see a good reason why Sunway should reverse form with Sweet William at this trip, even allowing for his good run in the St Leger last year. His best efforts come on a quicker surface whereas Sweet William won this race last year on soft ground and has held his form well this year as a 6yo. Sets the standard the rest need to reach.
13:15 1:15 Doncaster
Beylerbeyi
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@13.00
Win
35
2 from 3 at Doncaster, having finished last on his other visit when clearly not right. Racked up a hat-trick of wins in July and August before only midfield last time on ground which looks to have been too quick given his peak efforts are on good or softer. A mark of 91 is a career high, but he steps up in trip today and is thoroughly unexposed at beyond a mile for a trainer who so often excels with stayers. Looks enough pace on offer and with conditions to suit, he can bounce back to winning ways.
Subtotal60
11 September 2025
15:00 3:00 Doncaster
Consent
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@5.50
Lose
-50
3-year-olds have farmed this race in recent years, winning the last 5 renewals. A couple catch the eye, including Floriesta, but Consent sets a good standard after her 2nd placed finish in France last time. That was a Group 3, and she finished best of the field after the winner got loose on the front, staying well on soft ground at the business end. She steps up in trip today, and the yard is in really strong form, so she should have every chance to continue her upward curve (just 4 starts) and claim this Group 2 prize.
Subtotal-50
07 September 2025
16:30 4:30 York
Almeraq
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@2.50
Lose
-50
It was hard not to be impressed with the way Almeraq won at Ayr last time, and connections considered pitching him into the Group 1 Betfair Sprint yesterday before reverting to calmer waters here at York. He had excuses when beaten on seasonal return by Spy Chief, who is himself a Group performer and had the full run of the race. Almeraq is leaving behind a potential penalty kick in the Ayr Gold Cup with a view to claiming this Listed contest en route to bigger prizes, such as a tilt at the Champion Sprint in October. In receipt of all the allowances, his class should show through.
15:00 3:00 York
King Of Stars
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@17.00
Lose
-50
King Of Stars is an 8-year-old, but having missed the best part of two years, he's not as long in the tooth as some. Ran really well on his only visit to York, which came over C&D, finishing a short head 2nd from a mark of 98 at the 2022 Ebor meeting. Was eased into things with a few runs on the AW last winter after his long layoff and has reappeared on the turf this summer looking like much of his old ability remains. Finished 3rd at Ascot, then 4th at Newbury last time, but has seen his mark drop to 85. The yard is in good form (including a Group 1 win yesterday), and with King Of Stars and Spring Is Sprung both drawn low, I think those stalls could have the edge.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-100
06 September 2025
15:35 3:35 Haydock
Flora Of Bermuda
Daily Racing
25 EWNBNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 23.00 used instead of 19.00 takenBOG
@23.00
Win
85
Too Bad To Be True at Newmarket last time, but always happy to forgive a poor run. Prior to that, she was a good 3rd at Royal Ascot behind Lazzat and the Japanese raider. Finished 5th in this race last year having met trouble in running. If ignoring her effort last time, she sets a good standard having been just touched off in a Group 2 on her seasonal return. Looks pace nearby, and I suspect her price is a reflection of her two more fancied stablemates being backed rather than her chances of hitting the frame.
1 member found this comment useful
Lazzat
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@3.00
Lose
-50
I think Lazzat is miles ahead of these rivals and can confirm his dominance from Royal Ascot when he pulled well clear with the Japanese horse. Had his pocket picked by Sajir last time at Deauville and I'm happy to forgive that effort and it should focus the mind back on UK soil. Central draw looks fine with all the pace down the middle and I expect class to pay.
1 member found this comment useful
15:15 3:15 Ascot
Topteam
Daily Racing
25 EW
@19.00
Lose
-50
Topteam was behind Tenability last time and 4 lbs better off with that rival here. Normally goes from the front but had to settle behind under his Japanese jockey, meaning I'm happy to put a line through that effort. Prior to that, he had won three in a row after stepping up in trip, and I can't see why he's such a big price today. Likely to be able to dictate in a smallish field, and with three places on offer and just the 7 runners, I think he'll be hard to keep out of the business end from the bottom of the handicap.
1 member found this comment useful
15:00 3:00 Haydock
Tashkhan
Daily Racing
25 EWNBR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@34.00
Void
0
The weather and ground will have a big say with showers forecast at a track that can get soft quickly. The one who looks massively overpriced is top weight Tashkhan. He didn't run last week in Group company, and the Cesarewitch is a concern given he finished 3rd in 2023 from 4lbs higher than his current mark. But he's now a 7-year-old, and I'm not sure connections can be so picky to pass up this prize instead. He's 2 from 2 at Haydock, including a win over C&D, and if the ground does go soft, I think he has plenty of class to defy top weight and a mark of 105. He finished a distant 6th last time off a break of 300+ days but always tends to need his first start. He ran in a couple of Group races last year, albeit a distant last at York on ground far too quick, and he's undoubtedly well handicapped on even his form from last year, which included a 3rd at Chester from 3lbs higher. I wouldn't be confident if the ground does go soft or worse, but at 33/1, I'm happy to take that chance with rain in the forecast.
2 members found this comment useful
14:40 2:40 Ascot
Sword
Daily Racing
25 EW
@34.00
Lose
-50
Have to forgive his run on the AW last time when finishing last of 14, but I'm always happy to strike a line through one. Three starts back, he finished 3rd from a mark of 85 in the International over C&D, which is his only previous visit to Ascot. Ran well from off the pace that day, having to tuck in from a wide draw, which potentially means that effort could be upgraded had he been drawn more favorably. Only midfield at Chepstow next time, but a return to Ascot and a big field can see him bounce back from a mark of 86. Looks well drawn this time with pace down the center, and I think he can outrun his odds.
2 members found this comment useful
14:05 2:05 Kempton
Whitcombe Rockstar
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@19.00
Lose
-50
Putting faith in a return to the AW, seeing last year's winner Whitcombe Rockstar bouncing back to his best. He's 8 lbs higher after following up last year's win before falling short in Listed level, and hasn't shown anywhere near his best in four starts on the turf. He's a much better horse on this surface, but I don't fancy him as an each-way proposition given his recent form and that of the stable.
1 member found this comment useful
13:15 1:15 Haydock
Suite Francaise
Daily Racing
25 EW
@10.00
Lose
-50
Lightly raced after just 4 career starts, she's won three of those and finished a good 3rd in the Distaff at Sandown two starts back, which is her only defeat. Won cosily at Haydock last time when making all to win a Listed race by 2L and looks underestimated back here in receipt of the weight allowances.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-165
30 August 2025
15:00 3:00 Sandown
Dangerman
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@4.00
Lose
-50
Dangerman has been a revelation since the blinkers were fitted, winning two handicaps both over C&D having stepped back in trip from his first handicap start. He's won both without breaking sweat and a 9lbs rise could still leave him with plenty in hand from a mark of 89. Made the running to bolt up last time and there's not loads of pace in here so stall 5 could see him dominate for his red hot stable.
Mustazeed
Daily Racing
25 EW
@29.00
Lose
-50
The falling rain is key to Mustazeed's chances with figures of 1-1-5-2-13-4 on soft ground and having beaten Bolster (in receipt of plenty of weight) on his last effort on heavy ground last November. His 4th LTO in the Racing League at Yarmouth can be upgraded given he missed the break and had no room in running. But that showed his well-being after a short break, and he can capitalize on the autumnal conditions with that run under his belt.
1 member found this comment useful
14:25 2:25 Sandown
Flight
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@9.50
Lose
-50
Saffron Beach and Tamfana both claimed this as 3yos having gone close in the 1000 Guineas earlier in the season and I fancy Flight can put a poor run behind her to do the same. She won a maiden here on her only visit to Sandown and ran really well to finish 2nd in the Guineas before 6th in the Irish version. Below par at Royal Ascot but freshened up since which could see a revival that would give her a strong chance at the weights.
1 member found this comment useful
14:05 2:05 Beverley
Regional
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@2.62
Lose
-50
I can't look past Regional who takes a massive drop in class here having been running in Group 1s including placed efforts in the last two King Charles III Stakes at Royal Ascot. 5f is his trip and the fact he's run with so much credit at 6f speaks volumes for his consistency - I think he's been outstayed the last twice rather than outclassed. Blinkers go on so the stable clearly feel there's more in the tank and I prefer his top level Group form to those coming up through the handicap ranks, or the 3yos that haven't reached his level yet.
1 member found this comment useful
13:50 1:50 Sandown
Woroodd
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@7.00
Lose
-50
Lightly raced filly Woroodd makes her handicap debut from an opening mark of 85. I think there's plenty more to come from her after a pair of wins in a maiden, then a novice LTO. She made the running both times and there looks to be a real shortage of pace on offer. So expect her to make all from stall 2 and exploit this opening mark.
Subtotal-250
28 August 2025
16:48 4:48 Newbury
Leone Alato
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@2.25
Lose
-50
Caught the eye on debut when finishing 3rd behind his well fancied stablemate, and with the 2nd winning since that form looks solid and sets the standard here.
Subtotal-50
25 August 2025
15:15 3:15 Ripon
Al Shaham
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@2.38
Lose
-50
The yard has a terrific record in this race, winning 4 of the last 7 renewals, and has a strong chance of enhancing that further with Al Shaham, who is two from two in his career, both at this track. The bare form hasn't been fully tested yet, but he's won with loads in hand in both starts and should set the standard the rest have to reach.
Subtotal-50
23 August 2025
16:10 4:10 York
Tropical Storm
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@21.00
Lose
-50
Tropical Storm is on a comeback mission after finishing last of the field at Ascot LTO, but the yard obviously feels they've got him in good shape to turn him out here. He's 2 from 2 at York - both Listed contests, including here in May - and was thrown into the Group 1 King Charles III Stakes at the Royal Meeting two starts back. He was down the field that day, but this represents a massive drop in grade into a handicap, and assuming he's in good health, he has to have every chance from a mark of 101 with the weight allowances. The yard remains in strong form, and with pace drawn on either side, he could be massively underestimated on his return to York, stepping up in trip.
1 member found this comment useful
15:35 3:35 York
Ascending
Daily Racing
25 EW
@15.00
Win
45
Ascending was impressive at Royal Ascot last time, but I don't think he needs 20f. The step back in trip isn't an issue, having won at 12f the time before. The Ascot Stakes form looks pretty good, with the 4th winning a Group 3 by 4.5L next time. The yard won this last year with Magical Zoe. Quick ground looks ideal, which is a small surprise considering he's a dual-purpose horse, and he's just 3lbs higher than his win LTO.
Hipop De Loire
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@4.50
Lose
-50
I've been waiting for Hipop De Loire for 12 months, given how he travelled last year and met trouble in running before finishing 5th from a mark of 103. He's 3 lbs higher this year but hadn't been with the yard more than a few weeks, and this would have been the target since for his master trainer. He showed his improvement since joining the yard when bolting up in a novice hurdle at the Galway Festival. Although he's near the top of the handicap, he's got bits and pieces of German form for his old yard that could still make him look well handicapped, having been a Listed/Group 3 performer. In Mullins we trust.
1 member found this comment useful
14:40 2:40 Goodwood
Adjuvant
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@17.00
Lose
-50
Adjuvant makes his seasonal return having not been seen since finishing 5L 9th at Doncaster last November when trapped wide. He's gone well at Goodwood in the past including when beaten 2.75L by now-115 rated Sweet William off level weights over 14f in summer 2023. Hasn't won since May 2023 but has dropped to a mark of 90 and shown in the past that he goes well fresh, including a neck 2nd from the same mark at Newmarket in 2023. Yard form is strong and he's overpriced if ready to roll first time.
13:50 1:50 York
Kings Gambit
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@3.25
Lose
-50
Ran well at York on both visits last year, finishing 2nd in the Group 2 York Stakes over 10.5f before a 0.5L 3rd behind Los Angeles and Illinois in the Great Voltigeur. Without a win this season, but Ascot last time was a better effort when finishing 3rd, and this looks a much easier contest. Back at York and with conditions to suit, I think he's the one to beat.
Subtotal-155
22 August 2025
16:45 4:45 York
Naval Light
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@4.00
Lose
-50
Naval Light looked disappointing last time when beaten at short odds, but that performance looks much better after the winner went in easily enough from a mark of 88 here on Thursday. The 3rd that day also ran well to finish 4th in a big field here on Wednesday, whilst the 5th has won a maiden well enough since. Naval Light had excuses when looking unbalanced and slowly away, and I'm happy to forgive any horse a below-par effort at tracks like Goodwood and Epsom. This should be much more his bag and is a valuable maiden I'm sure connections will be keen to claim. Ran really well at the Royal meeting over a trip too sharp - trainer flagged that beforehand but had to accommodate other Wathnan horses - and despite the breeding, he looks to be suited by this step up to 7f.
15:35 3:35 York
Asfoora
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 12.00 used instead of 8.00 takenBOG
@12.00
Win
330
Asfoora missed her Royal Ascot prep but still ran well to finish 5th, beaten just 2L. Happy to forgive her effort in the swamp at Goodwood last time, and the yard have earmarked this prize as her main target from some way out. She gets her ground and should be fully revved up to go better than when a close 4th last year, sent off 6/4 fav. A low draw has historically been a plus, and with Frost At Dawn likely to go forward from stall 6, she should be well placed drawn in 5.
15:00 3:00 York
Egoli
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@6.50
Lose
-50
I'm happy to forgive any horse a poor run at Epsom or Goodwood given the nature of the tracks, and more interesting are Egoli's two runs prior to that. First he beat Riki Tiki Tavi and Stellar Sunrise over C&D in a fast ground maiden, with the former unlikely in the Goffs race Thursday (caught on wrong side) and the latter bolting up in the nursery from a mark of 88. Egoli next comfortably dispatched Song Of The Clyde at Newbury - winner of the Goffs race on Thursday - with the 4th also a 5L winner next time out. A return to York is sure to suit him and the yard remain in good form - he looks underestimated.
14:25 2:25 York
Al Nayyir
Daily Racing
25 EW
@17.00
Lose
-50
Just two places on offer, but I have doubts over Sweet William. If Trawlerman isn't on his top form after his main season target LTO, I fancy last year's 2nd, Al Nayyir, might be the one to capitalize. There could be a decent pace on offer, and he showed improved form in first-time headgear LTO when going down by just a short head. If that's a sign he's coming back to his best, he should be in the mix.
13:50 1:50 York
Marhaba The Champ
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@34.00
Lose
-50
Marhaba The Champ won this two years ago from a mark 3lbs higher and has obviously had issues since, with inconsistent form and long breaks off the track. He's left Kevin Ryan having put in arguably his best effort since the win in this race, when a neck 2nd last time at Doncaster albeit at a lower level than today. A mark of 88 is 9lbs below his peak and if ready to rumble first time for his new yard he could cause a small shock.
Subtotal130
21 August 2025
16:10 4:10 York
Alice Monet
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@12.00
Lose
-50
Dermot Weld has won this race twice since 2012, both times with lightly raced but improving 3-year-olds. He sends Alice Monet over this year, who took a massive step forward when upped in trip to 10f two starts back, and followed that up with an easy handicap win last time out from an opening mark of 87. She's got a bit still to find on ratings but comes out well at the weights with the 3-year-old allowance and won't be making the trip across for a social. Might face some competition for the lead, but her low draw (stall 1) might help her dictate.
15:00 3:00 York
La Trinidad
Daily Racing
25 EW
@23.00
Lose
-50
I'm favoring the low side of the draw, with Sisyphean and the likely favorite Bullet Point going forward from their stalls. With competition for the lead, I think it could pay to be delivered late. There are a few that catch the eye but don't look to have peak race conditions. La Trinidad is now an 8-year-old but has good York form, including when 3rd here earlier in the year from a mark of 98. His style of racing should suit the pace on offer, and the quick ground will also help his chances. Stable form is better than it would appear at first glance, with no winners but 4x 2nds and 2x 3rds from 13 runners in the last fortnight.
14:25 2:25 York
Song of The Clyde
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 12.00 on 20/08 at 08:510.10 deduction for Italica@8.00 withdrawn at 12:19R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 11.00 x (1-0.10) = 10.90
@10.90
Win
297
An interesting race which has actually been won by only a small selection of trainers, including Clive Cox the last two years. He looks to have a strong chance of making it a hat trick with Song Of The Clyde, who won his maiden at Chester two starts back when the front two pulled well clear, and the runner-up has gone in comfortably since. SOTC then finished 2nd to a smart horse at Newbury with the form in behind again looking decent (3rd just touched off next time, 4th won next time). Lots of lightly raced horses in here, but he posted a couple of strong efforts and with the promise of more to come, I think he's overpriced.
Subtotal197
20 August 2025
16:45 4:45 York
Jumbeau
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@19.00
Lose
-50
Jumbeau was a good 3rd in this race last year from a mark of 86 and won LTO for the first time since, cashing in from a reduced mark of 83 under a 7lbs claimer. She's 4lbs higher here but just 1lb higher than last year, and with her stable in flying form (3 winners from last 9), she could go closer this year. Headgear was left off last time to good effect and is left off again here. She's run well on both starts at York, and with conditions to suit and a good draw in stall 3 (front runner in stall 1), I think she's overpriced.
1 member found this comment useful
16:10 4:10 York
Alphonse Le Grande
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@4.50
Lose
-50
Reunited with William Buick today, having won the Chester Plate in May 2024 from a mark of 73 before following up (different jockey) in the Northumberland Vase from 8 lbs higher. Ended that season winning the Cesarewitch from a mark of 87 and having needed his reappearance over a trip too short, bounced back to form at Ascot when a luckless 8th trying to make late headway. A wide draw and a fair track today mean hard luck stories should be few and far between in this field, and a mark of 93 doesn't look beyond him given his form on a quick surface.
1 member found this comment useful
15:00 3:00 York
Lambourn
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@2.00
Lose
-50
Dual Derby winner at his best at this trip and should be able to defy a penalty and make his class pay in this company. Expect him to be well backed again before the off.
13:50 1:50 York
Bergerac
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@17.00
Lose
-50
So Rarely runs a bad race at York, winning this race from a mark of 93 in 2022 and not finishing outside the top 6 in five big handicap starts here since the start of 2024, including 6th in this last year from 91. He won three starts back and has followed it up with two more placed efforts which have seen his mark climb back to 93. He's looked as good as ever this season, even as a 7-year-old, and although there's lots of competition for the pace, I think it'll pay to be ridden handy in the first race at York this week.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-200
16 August 2025
16:45 4:45 Newbury
Al Wasl Storm
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@6.00
Win
250
3yos have won both editions of this race and they're well represented towards the top of the market here. Preference is for Al Wasl Storm who makes his handicap debut after efforts in The Derby and the Group 2 Queens Vase at Royal Ascot. Prior to that he had won at Chester with the form working out well - the 2nd, 3rd, 4th and 6th have all won since, and three of those are now rated 90+. Al Wasl Storm had things his own way at Chester that date but still looks to have lots of scope from an opening mark of 86 for a yard still in good form.
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16:37 4:37 Curragh
Puppet Master
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@2.25
Lose
-50
It's so difficult for the older horses to give the 3yos the weight at this point in the season and I think the 9lbs swing will be too much for the Mullins trained Absurde to overcome. Puppet Master was a no-show in the Derby but had won in a gritty manner the time before at Lingfield which suggested this extended trip could be ideal. He can claim this on the way to the St Leger.
15:20 3:20 Ripon
Grant Wood
Daily Racing
25 EW
@13.00
Lose
-50
Grant Wood was impressive when winning the Silver Cup consolation race here last year, pulling clear of the field to win as he liked. That came from a mark of 80 and he's 4lbs higher today but I'm sure this will have been the plan some way out and he was given a quiet time of things over C&D last time. Plenty of pace on offer means his draw and hold up style should suit, as will the ground having won on good to firm in the past. Yard are in good form (20%+ last 14 days) and he seems sure to run a good race.
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15:00 3:00 Newbury
Documenting
Daily Racing
25 EW
@23.00
Lose
-50
A return to Newbury can see Documenting return to his best, having won this race in 2022 from a mark of 99 and then a close 3rd last year from 94 under a 5 lbs claimer. He's been running well enough this year, including 0.75L 4th two starts back, but has dropped to a mark of 85. With a 3 lbs claimer in the saddle, he's undoubtedly well handicapped even at the age of 12.
14:45 2:45 Ripon
Kings Merchant
Daily Racing
25 EW
@12.00
Lose
-50
These consolation races generally go to horses at the top of the handicap who have been lined up for the main event but not made the cut. Of those, Fortamour makes appeal but has been beaten in this the last two years, and preference instead is for Kings Merchant, who has form which ties in closely with that horse. A close 2nd on his only visit to Ripon from a mark of 80, he hasn't reached the heights of his form last year in 2022 since joining his new yard, but last time out was a positive step when finishing a never nearer 8th when meeting lots of trouble in running. A wide draw has historically been no issue in these 6f sprints at Ripon, and he looks overpriced based on his form from last year when he was rated as highly as 87 - now rated 76.
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14:25 2:25 Newbury
Getreadytorumble
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@5.00
Lose
-50
Jack Channon won this with a 3yo two starts back and looks to have a strong chance of repeating the feat with top weight Getreadytorumble who goes from a mark of 90. That's unchanged from his 2nd at Goodwood last time when he couldn't get to the winner but he'll be suited by the ground conditions and with a more positive ride can make amends from the same mark.
14:05 2:05 Newmarket
Strike
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@15.00
Lose
-50
Strike is a staple of this unique race, with form figures of 1-6-2 in three efforts. Won from a mark of 67 three years ago on the quickest ground he's experienced here, and his neck 2nd last year came from a mark 8 lbs higher. Back down to a mark of 72 this time, and with a claimer in the saddle, he's essentially running from 67 again, so weighted to go well.
13:50 1:50 Newbury
Pinhole
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@3.00
Lose
-50
Looks a poor enough renewal, with none of the field having claimed a Group prize yet. Pinhole is the obvious eye-catcher, having been sent off as the favorite two starts back to win the Group 2 Queen's Vase over 14f. Disappointed that day (8th of 15) but lacked experience and put that run behind him when winning in handicap company last time from a mark of 98, pulling away from the field by 5.5L in first-time cheekpieces. That came over 12f, and he steps up to 13f here, but in receipt of the 3yo allowances and with the headgear retained, I'd be surprised if he didn't go off much shorter as he looks the obvious Group horse in here.
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Subtotal-100
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