c4stle
0
Estimated Prizes
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£0
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c4stle's Tips History
18 January 2026
15:35 3:35 Windsor
Planned Paradise
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@+1200
Lose
-50
Last year's winner is 7 lbs lower this time and will be suited by this marathon trip, having raced over 20f the last twice. His best run this season came on heavy ground over 25f, and he'll appreciate the falling rain at Windsor. With the cheekpieces going on and Jack Tudor in the saddle, the yard looks to be targeting this prize.
15:00 3:00 Windsor
Matata
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@+350
Lose
-50
Protektorat was an impressive winner of this last year, but he got the run of things and might have more on his plate this year as an 11-year-old. Matata has untapped potential at this trip and showed LTO he doesn't have to go from the front, which should suit him well in this company. He's in strong form, and although he has to concede weight to the Skelton runner, I think he's objectively the best in this field and an each-way player in the Ryanair.
14:25 2:25 Windsor
Lord Snootie
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+1400
Lose
-50
I fancied Lord Snootie at Warwick last weekend when the racing was abandoned, but this makes a nice consolation prize. Down the field after 400+ days off the track last time out, but he can improve with that under his belt. A mark of 123 leaves him fairly weighted based on previous form at this trip. Heavy ground is no issue, and Jack Tudor back in the saddle is a positive.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-150
17 January 2026
14:53 2:53 Ascot
Moveit Like Minnie
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+1000
Win
25
The Twiston-Davies yard had a strong Friday, which can continue into the weekend. Moveit Like Minnie seems underestimated in the market. He has dropped to a mark of 117, and the tongue tie goes back on after being missing for the last three starts. He could get his own way out front and can bounce back to form.
14:35 2:35 Haydock
Heather Honey
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+750
Lose
-50
Arguably got to the front too soon last time and ended up finishing 3rd, but had previously looked progressive at staying trips. Comes from a yard that has won this twice in the last four years with horses of a similar profile, and her mark of 114 seems to leave her with plenty of scope.
14:00 2:00 Haydock
Myretown
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@+200
Lose
-50
Still lightly raced for a 9yo and was sent off favourite for the Coral Gold Cup last time. Had looked a potential graded horse when bolting up in the Ultima from 127 and should still be fairly treated from 142 if none the worse for his fall last time.
13:40 1:40 Ascot
La Conquiere
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+162
Lose
-50
At this trip, Nurse Susan looks to have plenty on her plate, and I suspect the Coral Cup might be the long-term target. Joyeuse sets the standard on the basis of her hurdles form last year, but La Conquiere is progressive. Although she has plenty to find on ratings, she was a Listed hurdle winner last time and is underestimated by her OR of 128. She hasn't been challenged in her two victories over hurdles but was second in a Grade 2 bumper at Aintree, and I'd be shocked if she wasn't at least the same level over hurdles.
1 member found this comment useful
12:15 12:15 Haydock
Throatlash
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 5.00 used instead of 3.50 takenBOG
@+400
Win
200
Has improved massively this season after a wind op, winning both his starts. Did it in the style of a good horse last time, and a 6 lb rise doesn't look harsh for this lightly raced and improving horse.
Subtotal75
16 January 2026
15:35 3:35 Windsor
Knickerbockerglory
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+750
Lose
-50
3rd in this race last year from a mark of 139 and ran consistently in the spring handicaps without winning. Reappeared with a good 2nd at Sandown and has been raised 2 lb to 140, but has a strong 7 lb claimer in the saddle and is weighted to go better than last year.
15:20 3:20 Newcastle
Germanic
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+600
Lose
-50
Saves his best for the all-weather with figures of 1-2-1 on three starts on this surface. Won cosily last time from a mark of 86, and a 6 lb rise potentially still leaves him well treated based on his second over C&D last May. Looks loads of pace in the race, so his hold-up tactics should suit.
15:00 3:00 Windsor
Take No Chances
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+400
Lose
-50
In receipt of the 7 lb mares' allowance, Take No Chances can put it up to last year's winner, Nemean Lion. She's 1 lb clear on weight-adjusted ratings and should appreciate the drop back in trip, having run over 3 m the last twice and being just touched off in the Grade 2 Bet365 Hurdle at Wetherby. Her form also includes beating Kargese over 16 f at Ascot this time last year, so she's not short of speed. Her yard will have targeted this meeting given the prize money on offer.
14:50 2:50 Newcastle
Teumessias Fox
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@+1200
Lose
-50
Missed the break LTO but ran a great race to finish a never-nearer 3rd from today's mark of 100 over C&D. The winner won a Listed race next time, and with a 7 lb claimer in the saddle, Teumessias Fox looks well treated for a yard in storming form. He should be able to tuck in from his wide draw and can outrun his odds.
14:05 2:05 Market Rasen
Doyen Du Bar
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@+250
Lose
-50
Many of these have shown their best form over further, and at this stage in their careers I'd prefer a horse stepping up in trip rather than back. Doyen Du Bar has just turned 10 but is relatively lightly raced, with just 12 starts over obstacles (8 over fences). He has some strong form at 16f. He steps up to 21f for the first time here today ??" a trip he's bred to get ??" and comes from a yard that are flying.
Subtotal-250
11 January 2026
12:50 12:50 Punchestown
Pure Steel
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@+300
Lose
-50
Improved for his reappearance (weak in the market) when winning here LTO. Former point-to-point winner who should be suited by the step up in trip. Represents connections that won this race two years ago with Spillanes Tower.
Subtotal-50
10 January 2026
15:32 3:32 Warwick
Lord Snootie
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+800
Void
0
Given a quiet run on his return after 400+ days off the track, he was never put into the race and can improve with that under his belt. Normally ridden forward, a mark of 122 leaves him well handicapped on old form. He's a proper stayer who will be happy when the ground turns heavy and can afford to win this qualifier rather than needing to worry about his mark.
15:21 3:17 Kempton
A Pai De Nom
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@+450
Lose
-50
Hard to see the Skelton runner out of the frame, with the yard having won the last two renewals and A Pai De Nom having been laid out for this by his master trainer. Twice a winner at this trip, he won as expected at 16f last time but should appreciate stepping back up to 21f and continue his upward curve from the same mark (124).
1 member found this comment useful
King Of The Lake
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@+2000
Lose
-50
King of the Lake bounced back to form to get up at Chepstow last time for a yard that has turned their fortunes around. The front two pulled well clear that day, and the 7 lb claimer keeps the ride. Claiming jockeys are a huge positive in this race historically. A 5 lb rise looks OK, and he'll have conditions to suit.
1 member found this comment useful
14:55 2:55 Warwick
Mr Vango
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@+350
Void
0
Conditions look perfect for Mr Vango, with sticky heavy ground and a slog over 27f on offer. He was given 3 lbs for his reappearance, finishing 2nd to Twig, which sees him rated 155. With L'Homme Presse in the field, he will have a rare day off shouldering top weight and can dictate in this smallish field, which sees almost half running out of the handicap.
14:40 2:40 Kempton
Edwardstone
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+400
Win
200
I'm keen to take on the favourite and, given the shape of the race, Edwardstone makes the most appeal. There's not much pace on offer, and we've seen him adopt front-running tactics before. He's in receipt of weight from all his rivals. Easily the best of these at his peak, he's now a 12-year-old, but his second in the Peterborough Chase LTO shows he retains plenty of ability.
1 member found this comment useful
13:52 1:52 Warwick
Wade Out
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@+300
Void
0
Sets the standard with his two wins, both stacking up strongly, and the prospect of more to come, with just eight starts over hurdles and fences. Looks a proper stayer, and connections have always thought highly of him. He should be able to concede weight to these rivals.
12:55 12:55 Kempton
Leader In The Park
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+332
Lose
-50
Drifting in the market but looks the one to beat. He ran really well on reappearance when just touched off from a mark of 128. The 3rd and 4th have won since, and he's just 4 lbs higher here at a track he's won at previously.
Subtotal50
03 January 2026
15:05 3:05 Sandown
Gustavian
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@+400
Lose
-50
Yard have previous in this race, having won it last year and in 2020. The prospect of an easy lead at a course where jumping can be at a premium means he can defy an 8 lb rise for his Badger Beers win last time.
14:40 2:20 Lingfield
Westcombe
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+100
Lose
-50
Unexposed and progressive, having won his last two when upped to 12f. 6 lbs higher here and stepping up in trip, neither of which should stunt his upward curve for a yard in form.
14:25 2:25 Sandown
Nurse Susan
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 3.75 used instead of 3.50 takenBOG
@+275
Win
137
Bounced back to form last time and still well handicapped on the potential she showed early in her career. Yard working back from the Coral Cup and she'll need to win this to qualify. Hard to see how she won't beat the Nicholls filly, who is receiving 2 lb.
13:50 1:50 Sandown
Jet Plane
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@+250
Lose
-50
Jet Plane has been in fine form this season and can continue that in veteran company despite the 7 lb rise for his win LTO. Prior to that, he was 7th in the Grand Sefton, and he can make his class pay here for a Skelton team that are all about the prize money this season.
Subtotal-13
01 January 2026
14:35 2:35 Cheltenham
Lucky Place
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@+400
Lose
-50
The favourite needs to confirm he belongs in this company, whereas Lucky Place won this race last year. Although he didn't seem to get home in the Stayers' Hurdle, a return to 20f at Cheltenham on good ground looks ideal for him.
14:00 2:00 Cheltenham
Il Ridoto
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@+550
Lose
-50
There's a serious amount of pace on offer, with Twinjets, Matata and Glengouly all wanting to get on with things. For that reason, it may pay to side with a hold-up horse, and Il Ridoto makes more appeal, having won over C&D and dropped to a mark of 139, which leaves him well handicapped even without the jockey's 7 lb claim. Good ground suits him well, and the yard have their horses in fine fettle.
1 member found this comment useful
13:25 1:25 Cheltenham
Jasmin De Grugy
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+600
Lose
-50
Never put into the race on seasonal return but should strip fitter for that effort when 4th at Newcastle. The bare effort looks strong, though, with the 1st and 3rd winning since, and the 2nd finishing 3rd in the Welsh National. Will like the quick ground and is well handicapped from an unchanged mark of 126 for a yard in good form.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-150
31 December 2025
15:30 3:30 Lingfield
Lazzar
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+350
Win
175
Looks well handicapped after his novice win LTO, with the runner-up winning since. Back at Lingfield, he can make his mark from an OR of 68.
15:13 3:13 Uttoxeter
Fortunefavorsdbold
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+900
Lose
-50
Entitled to step forward for his reappearance, and the yard are in flying form, going at 40% over the last 14 days. Dropped 1 lb for his second-last run, but with Jack Tudor back in the saddle he's primed for a big effort.
15:00 3:00 Lingfield
Lady Manzor
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@+225
Lose
-50
Progressive filly who can make her class pay and claim this prize on her return. Did the best of those off the pace last time and is drawn next to the front runner, so should get a better tow into things this time. Twice a C&D winner, she can make short work of a mark of 79 under her 7 lb claimer.
14:05 2:05 Punchestown
Ballyadam
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+400
Lose
-50
Happy to take on the front two in the market, who both have to convince on a return to this sphere. Ballyadam claimed this prize last year and should be race fit after a spin on the AW. Since then, he finished 3rd in the Coral Cup from a mark of 151, and he can give 4 lbs and a beating to his market rivals.
14:00 2:00 Lingfield
Tyrrhenian Sea
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+100
Lose
-50
Won this two years ago and finished a respectable 2nd to Royal Champion last year, who subsequently ran well in Group company, including bagging a Group 2 win. Nothing of that quality in this field today, and the step back up to 10f should suit.
13:52 1:52 Warwick
Koenigsstern
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@+550
Lose
-50
A drop in class and stable form are key to Koenigsstern's chances. He is stepping up in trip to 20f on his second start of the season. Lightly raced eight-year-old who won convincingly on his last start at this level (Class 5 handicap) from a mark of 104 and is 1 lb lower here, with the yard having two winners from their last three runners.
13:30 1:30 Lingfield
Clearpoint
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+187
Lose
-50
A sprinter in rare form since dropped to 5f on the AW, and he won well under a penalty last time. Another 4 lb rise here, but he's thriving and should get race conditions to suit.
Subtotal-125
30 December 2025
20:00 8:00 Wolverhampton
Love Your Work
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@+1100
Lose
-50
Love Your Work can follow up his C&D win last time, having been well drawn in stall 2, which should suit his prominent running style. A 4 lb penalty means he's effectively running from a mark of 72, but he's won from that high previously and looks to have everything in his favour.
17:30 5:30 Wolverhampton
Coachello
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+400
Lose
-50
A winner of this race following a similar break last year, a win that came from 3 lbs higher. Billy rides for his dad, needing two wins to break the record for most flat wins in a calendar year, and I'm sure, as such, they will have this one ready to go. Pace is low, so stall 5 should be fine for him.
15:05 3:05 Haydock
Jupiter Des Bordes
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@+400
Lose
-50
Effectively 13 lbs higher than his win LTO, given he's racing 4 lbs out of the handicap. That form looks good, with the 0.5L runner-up winning a novice by 20L next time out. Has improved for a trip and steps up another 4f here, with the yard having a winner yesterday, so clearly in good form.
Subtotal-150
29 December 2025
14:32 2:32 Leopardstown
Brighterdaysahead
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+200
Lose
-50
Produced arguably her best performance when winning this race last year, and I'm happy to side with her given how the Mullins stable are running, even with a run under Lossiemouth's belt.
14:22 2:22 Newbury
Jurancon
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@+1100
Lose
-50
Well supported when ultimately disappointing on his seasonal return at Cheltenham, he was sent off 16/5 favorite but finished down the field. I'm happy to assume that was fitness rather than stamina that saw him beaten, and a return to Newbury is a positive for a horse who won here twice last season. The yard are in decent form, and a mark of 132 looks workable on a return to this track.
14:10 2:10 Doncaster
Spindleberry
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 2.20 used instead of 2.10 takenBOG
@+120
Win
60
Sets a clear standard here, being a Grade 1 novice winner at this trip when beating the boys. All her wins have come at right??'handed tracks, and she's untested this way around. Connections are unlikely to be sending her here for a jolly, and she can pick up this prize en route to the rest of her season.
13:50 1:50 Newbury
Kings Threshold
Daily Racing
50 WINNAPNOTETip made at odds of 5.50 on 28/12 at 09:530.15 deduction for Gericault Roque@5.50 withdrawn at 11:190.10 deduction for Minella Blueway @8.000 withdrawn at 07:210.10 deduction for Brave Kingdom @9.000 withdrawn at 12:39R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 4.50 x (1-0.35) = 3.93
@+292
Win
146
No horse older than 7 has won this since 2018, and even then it's rare enough. The eye was immediately drawn to River Cross; however, he was comprehensively beaten (5L) by Kings Threshold here last season, and a 3 lb swing doesn't look enough to change that. Gericault Roque is thrown in on his best form, but it's not certain he'll be ready to go after a break, so Kings Threshold is the selection. Three chase starts here have seen him finish 3-1-4, and the win came at just shy of this trip. Good ground will suit him better than most, and he's a strong selection.
1 member found this comment useful
13:15 1:15 Newbury
Jorebel
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+125
Lose
-50
Front-runner Jorebel is thriving at the moment and can deny a 10 lb rise, having bolted up by 17 L on his second chase start. Yard in form, and the lack of pace on offer elsewhere means he should be able to dictate matters in this smallish field.
12:12 12:12 Leopardstown
Jalon Doudairies
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+225
Lose
-50
Highly thought of, as evident when sent off favorite for the Champion Bumper in 2024. Long time off the track before reappearing at Cork, and he's entitled to improve for that run. That should make him the one to beat for a yard in form.
Subtotal6
28 December 2025
15:05 3:05 Leopardstown
Son Of Anarchy
Daily Racing
50 WINNBR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@+500
Void
0
A rating of 128 leaves him with plenty of scope to win this prize en route to the final in March, and connections have previous. Unexposed as a staying hurdler, having maiden hurdle form which ties in with plenty of smart types, he then made a winning handicap debut last time from a mark of 118, pulling clear by 7.5L. He steps up in trip, having run well over 22f at Galway in the summer, and represents a yard in fine form.
14:30 2:30 Leopardstown
Gerri Colombe
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@+2000
Lose
-50
I'm keen to take on the top two in the market, who may not have today as their cup final. Whilst Fastorslow looks the main danger, I fancy Gerri Colombe to outrun his odds given the stable form. Off for 400+ days, but his record fresh reads 1-1-1-1-3, with the 3rd when seemingly amiss at Down Royal last autumn. Connections have openly suggested he's not a Gold Cup contender, meaning this prize becomes even more attractive. He was 2nd to Galopin in this two years ago, and conditions will suit.
13:55 1:55 Leopardstown
Home By The Lee
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+1000
Lose
-50
A winner of this race in two of the last three years, including when slamming future Stayers' Hurdle winner Bob Olinger by 6L last year. This is a stronger renewal, but his trainer knows how to ready horses and has his string in good form, having had Banbridge just touched off in the King George before Solness won his Grade 1 yesterday.
Subtotal-100
27 December 2025
14:50 2:50 Chepstow
Collectors Item
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+1000
Lose
-50
Finished 2nd in the trial last time, despite the jockey dropping the whip 2f from home. Goes well at Chepstow and, from the same mark, should be in the frame again.
Jubilee Express
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@+500
Lose
-50
Finished 2nd in this race last year on seasonal return from a mark of 126, and comes in this time around from a mark effectively 4 lbs higher after winning the trial here at the start of December. Will be ridden prominently, which is key to this race, and represents connections who excel with staying chasers. I'll be backing in a forecast with Collectors Item, who finished 2nd to the selection last time, having dropped the whip 2f out, and with a yard in form.
13:40 1:40 Chepstow
Macktoad
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@+110
Lose
-50
Looks an exciting prospect for a yard that have won this twice, in 2021 and 2023, having dotted up on his stable debut last time.
12:30 12:30 Chepstow
Zambezi Fix
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+1100
Lose
-50
Seems to save his best for Chepstow, having not finished outside the top four on 13 completed starts over C&D. Won over fences at this meeting in 2023 from a mark of 120 and finished 2nd here in April over hurdles from 115. Respectable efforts this term, but his mark has dropped and he goes here from 111 and has conditions to suit.
Subtotal-200
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