c4stle
National Hunt follower who is more profitable on the flat…
2
Estimated Prizes
this month
£10
Estimated Prize money
this month
c4stle's Tips History
26 October 2025
15:30 3:30 Aintree
Serious Challenge
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@4.00
Lose
-50
The yard has won the last three renewals of this, all with charges making their season return. Serious Challenge is unexposed after just 5 hurdle starts, winning 3 of those, and was last seen finishing 4th at Sandown behind Give It To Me OJ, who won the Grade 2 Mastertons Hurdle at Cheltenham yesterday. He was rated 102 on the flat for Jim Bolger, and on all evidence, a mark of 128 stepping back up to 20f here means he should be well handicapped.
Subtotal-50
25 October 2025
15:10 3:10 Newbury
Pandemonium
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@9.00
Lose
-50
The Crisfords won this two years ago and despite the market drift I think they've got a strong chance of repeating the feat. Pandemonium is 2 from 2, both on soft ground, and looks to be the main pace angle in a race without many that want to go forward. The bare form isn't exciting but he's won without being asked a question both times and can take this step up in grade in his stride.
1 member found this comment useful
14:55 2:55 Cheltenham
Ma Shantou
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@9.00
Win
240
7th in the Albert Bartlett, having plugged on well after being outpaced. As a 6-year-old, he's liable to improve with age at these staying trips. The yard has previous experience with improving novices, having taken the same route with Paisley Park, and they are in flying form.
1 member found this comment useful
Winning Smut
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@10.00
Lose
-50
Arrives having won the same Listed hurdle at Galway as The Wallpark did last year for the same trainer. Since joining Elliott, he's 2 from 3, having been beaten by a neck 2 starts back when excuses at the business end. But his win LTO was dominant, and although he's 11 lbs higher here, I think he still has loads of scope from a mark of 133.
1 member found this comment useful
14:40 2:40 Doncaster
Lam Yai
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@3.25
Win
112
Looks to have everything in her favor, with the prospect of an easy lead on soft-heavy ground. 2nd in a Group 3 at Ascot last time, that form looks pretty good with the 3rd finishing 4th in a Listed race next time and the 4th winning since (reopposes here with a chance). Yard remains in fine fettle and she's the one to beat.
1 member found this comment useful
14:20 2:20 Cheltenham
Hyland
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@7.00
Lose
-50
A winner on this day the last two years, winning the 3m hurdle two years ago and then bolting up when beating Transmission by 15L in a novice chase last year. Goes really well fresh and seems a much better horse through autumn - a mark of 147 looks within reach.
1 member found this comment useful
The Short Go
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@8.00
Win
10
The stable has won the last two runnings, including a 1-2 last year when The Short Go finished 2nd to his stablemate from a mark of 126. He improved then to finish 5th in the Ultima from a mark of 132 before a poor run at Punchestown when pulled up. The yard is in strong form, and a mark of 132 here should be within reach.
1 member found this comment useful
13:10 1:10 Cheltenham
Springs A Girl
Daily Racing
25 EW
@15.00
Lose
-50
Reappeared over a trip short of ideal, making her chase debut when finishing 2nd at Worcester. Held up that day, she rallied well to finish a close 2nd, and the step up in trip will suit, having done all her winning at around this trip. The yard had a good winner here on Friday, and Sean Bowen keeps the ride, still in flying form.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal162
24 October 2025
16:45 4:45 Cheltenham
The Newest One
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@9.00
Lose
-50
At his best fresh, with form figures of 6-1-5-2-1 off a break of over 150 days, with the 5th (124) and the 1st (122) coming in this race. He's 1 lb lower than that win last year and has a 7 lbs claimer in the saddle. The yard is in good form and targets this meeting.
15:00 3:00 Cheltenham
Un Sens A La Vie
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@2.88
Lose
-50
Turned out quickly after a dominant win 10 days ago and can take this step up in grade in his stride for a yard in strong form that loves to claim these early season Graded races.
13:15 1:15 Cheltenham
East India Express
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@8.50
Lose
-50
A really competitive handicap to get Cheltenham's season up and running, but East India Express could blow this apart from top weight, having bolted up over C&D in April from a mark of 129 under Freddie Gordon, claiming 3 lbs. 8 lbs higher, but he's still unexposed after just 8 hurdles starts (won 4), and he was sent off 2nd fav for the Martin Pipe here in March, which would suggest the yard felt he had loads in hand. He's 2 from 2 on seasonal reappearance, and in my view, could yet make into a graded performer, which would suggest this mark of 137 is well within reach.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-150
18 October 2025
16:40 4:40 Ascot
Ebts Guard
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@19.00
Win
64
There doesn't look to be a lot of pace on offer, with Hafleet Alain drawn high and Holloway Boy drawn low. Low numbers have tended to do well in this race, and although he's still rising up the handicap, I fancy Ebts Guard can go close at a track he clearly enjoys (2 wins, 2 placed from 5 starts over C&D). He beat Cerulean Bay when giving away 6 lbs at the Shergar Cup and meets that rival here on 5 lbs better terms. He grabbed the rail and made most that day from stall 3, and with the lack of forward-going types in the field, I think a repeat isn't off the cards from stall 1. Ground versatile and can win this even from a career-high mark of 102.
1 member found this comment useful
15:25 3:25 Ascot
Field Of Gold
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@2.75
Lose
-50
This looks like a deep race, but none can match the ability Field Of Gold showed when coming close to a 2000 Guineas double earlier in the year, but for a better ride at Newmarket. Undone in a muddling race last time and has been off since, but connections have earmarked this race for him a long way out, and I'm sure he won't be short of fitness. He's the class angle by a long way.
14:45 2:45 Ascot
Kalpana
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@4.00
Win
150
3-year-olds have mopped up, but there's rarely an older filly with the ability of Kalpana in this field. A proper Group 1 horse, she's been beaten in each of her starts this season but beaten by other Group 1 horses such as Los Angeles, Whirl, Calandagan, and Giavellotto, who subsequently finished 4th in the Arc. Under par in France last time, sights are lowered here (still a Group 1), and she's miles clear on ratings even with the 3-year-olds allowance. Headgear suggests the yard feels she's still got more to offer, but I'm not sure she needs to show anything more in order to win this. Good ground is no issue, although she would prefer softer.
1 member found this comment useful
14:05 2:05 Ascot
No Half Measures
Daily Racing
25 EWNAPNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionBest Odds Guaranteed SP 29.00 used instead of 26.00 takenBOG
@29.00
Win
115
I like to judge these sprinters on their peak efforts and happy to put a line through any below par where there are excuses. No Half Measures was a huge price when winning the Group 1 July Cup this summer, beating Big Mojo by a neck. Down the field in the Sprint Cup last time but hampered towards the finish and couldn't give her true running. Ground versatile and should be well drawn (7) with Lazzat (8) and Spy Chief (4) both likely to set a good pace. She's unexposed at this trip, winning 4 of her 6 races over 6f and with the yard in good form this Group 1 winner looks massively overpriced.
1 member found this comment useful
13:30 1:30 Ascot
Watcha Snoop
Daily Racing
25 EW
@51.00
Lose
-50
Hugo Palmer has two in here, but preference is for the outsider Watcha Snoop, who was 2nd to today's favorite on his debut (Words Of Truths' 3rd start) and then won well here at Ascot on his next start when making all. Three of the four runners behind him that day have won since, with the other placing 4th in a really competitive nursery last week. The form looks pretty good for a late-season novice. Ran no race in the Mill Reef last time and has been gelded since. A wide draw would give him the chance to bag a rail and potentially shoot off in front, and he could be tricky to peg back.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal229
11 October 2025
15:40 3:40 Newmarket
Reverend Hubert
Daily Racing
25 EWNBNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@8.00
Win
10
Hard to see Reverend Hubert out of the frame having bolted up in the trial last time and officially 6lbs well in under a 4lbs penalty. His trainer won this in 2022 and although he only managed to finish 7th from a mark of 84 last year, he's improved for the removal of the cheekpieces and for quicker ground. Wide draw often isn't the worst here and he could easily follow up.
1 member found this comment useful
15:15 3:15 York
Korker
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@29.00
Win
115
Korker hasn't won this season, but he's dropping down the handicap as a result. His best run of the season came on quick ground over C&D in May when he finished 3rd from a mark of 103 under today's claimer (then 7lbs). He had a break mid-summer and returned with a couple of respectable efforts that should leave him primed for a big effort back at York, where he has placed three times from 5 starts over C&D. He hasn't won since October 2023, but is now 12lbs lower than that effort, and a low draw looks a positive with pace drawn nearby.
2 members found this comment useful
15:00 3:00 Newmarket
Gewan
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 26.00 used instead of 21.00 takenBOG
@26.00
Win
750
Looks a decent renewal to me, and if Zavateri wins, it could look obvious with hindsight. But I think Gewan has been written off too early after a poor run on soft ground last time. Prior to that, he was ridiculously impressive at York on quick ground when comfortably beating Italy. On a firmer surface here, I think he can bounce back to go very close.
1 member found this comment useful
14:45 2:45 Chepstow
Neon Moon
Daily Racing
50 WINR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@7.50
Void
0
Won this race last year from a mark of 132, beating Pull Again Green by 1.75L off levels. He's 2 lbs lower today and 5 lbs better off with that rival and arrives fresh, as he did last year. Held his form well without winning since, and I'm sure will be primed for this race named after his owner's Stable Star. Ground the same as last year and weighted to win again.
14:25 2:25 Newmarket
Al Zanati
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@4.00
Lose
-50
Godolphin sponsor this race and have won every edition since 2016 until last year when Delacroix and O'Brien broke the streak. He was clearly a Group 1 horse, and I think normal service can be resumed, with Al Zanati overpriced at 3/1 fav. Won his only start having been well backed, holding on gamely to beat August George, who won a maiden next time before finishing 2nd in the Goffs Millions at The Curragh. Al Zanati steps up in trip here, having been strong at the finish over 7f, and should take some stopping.
1 member found this comment useful
13:15 1:15 Newmarket
Damysus
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@3.00
Win
100
Damysus was too bad to be true in the Derby having looked a really exciting prospect when chasing home Pride Of Arras in the Dante over 10.5f, with the form now looking strong after that rival won the Group 2 Voltiguer in August. Damysus got back on track last time when comfortably winning a Listed race in France over 10f, with subsequent winners in behind. The step back in trip doesn't look an issue as he's got plenty of pace and his trainer has a track record of producing 3yos to win this having done so three times since 2017.
2 members found this comment useful
Subtotal925
10 October 2025
15:43 3:43 Chepstow
Laravie
Daily Racing
25 EW
@26.00
Lose
-50
I'm not sure why Laravie is such a big price considering he's on a steep upward curve that's seen him win his last four since the visor was fitted. That form is being franked all over, with the 2nd, 3rd, and 4th from his last race all winning since. Headgear retained, I fancy he can outrun his odds.
1 member found this comment useful
15:30 3:30 Newmarket
Dangerman
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@8.00
Lose
-50
Godolphin have a good record in this, winning three times since 2017. They're represented by John Gosden's Dangerman this year who has shown good form at Sandown since the blinkers were fitted three starts back, winning twice before finishing 3rd last time. That form looks strong with the winner finishing 1L 3rd at Listed level next time, the runner up finishing 2nd in a handicap next time, and the 5th winning albeit from 3lbs lower. Steps up in trip today with the assistance of Will Buick and I fancy the quicker ground will suit too. Hard to see him out of the places.
1 member found this comment useful
15:12 3:12 Chepstow
Courtland
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@4.50
Lose
-50
The Bowen yard are in flying form (40% last 14 days), and I fancy that race fitness will prove key, with Courtland having run through the summer whilst Le Milos makes his seasonal return. His last two wins came from marks of 142 and 134, and despite running well, he's dropped back to 134 here. Good ground will suit, and although the trip is probably at his limit, the yard could win with the stable cat at the moment.
1 member found this comment useful
13:15 1:15 Newmarket
Revival Power
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@5.00
Lose
-50
Revival Power has a penalty to carry after her Group 2 win against the boys last time but she was well on top in that field, comfortably dispatching another O'Brien contender. Has to give weight all round, including to Brussels who is officially rated 7lbs her superior, but her last two wins suggest she'll be in Group 1 company next season and if that's the case I fancy she can show her class. Stall 2 will suit her front running style, with 8 winners since 2008 having come from stalls 1, 2 and 3. There's no pace outside her, although Aspect Island will want to go forward from stall 1, and I think she'll have too much natural speed for the O'Brien fav who has so far been campaigned over 6/7f.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-200
05 October 2025
16:25 4:25 Longchamp
Maranoa Charlie
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@7.00
Win
300
I'm a huge fan of this horse and expect the formline with Woodshauna from the Prix Jean Prat to yield plenty of fruit. Maranoa Charlie wouldn't have been suited by the run of the race in the City Of York but ran a good race in 3rd behind More Thunder having been denied a clear run at the finish when hitting top gear. A return to soft ground and French racing are both positives and 3yos have claimed this prize each of the last two years. Technically worse off at the weights with the fav but he's a C&D winner on a steep upwards curve.
1 member found this comment useful
15:50 3:50 Longchamp
See The Fire
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@3.75
Lose
-50
This looks a fairly average renewal, and although See The Fire isn't a model of consistency, at her best she should win this cosily. Peak efforts this season include a 12L demolition job at York and a strong 3rd in the Prince Of Wales behind Ombudsman and Anmaat. Both those came on quick ground, but her 5th on soft ground in last year's Group 1 Champion Stakes at Ascot would also set the standard and shows she will handle conditions.
15:05 3:05 Longchamp
Quisisana
Daily Racing
25 EW
@21.00
Lose
-50
A really interesting contest which sees many of the market principals inconvenienced either by draw (Minnie Hauk) or ground (Alohi Alii). Quisisana has no such concerns, being drawn in stall 7 and being a winner on soft ground in the past. Mares have a great record in this, and with her stable in red-hot form (34% last 14 days), she can follow up her Group 1 win last time back up in trip to 12f.
13:50 1:50 Longchamp
Mgheera
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@12.00
Lose
-50
Mgheera was well beaten in this race last year, but in truth, she missed the break and was never in the race from her wide draw. Having changed stables over the winter, she won well over C&D on soft ground in May and has held her form well through UK and Irish Group races since. The only blemish came on quick ground in the Nunthorpe (she still managed 8th), and a return to a softer surface is a huge plus. As is her draw (stall 5), which sees her near the pace in stalls 2 and 4, and also near the market principals in 3 and 1. I expect the race to develop down that side, and this C&D winner looks underestimated with conditions to suit.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal150
04 October 2025
16:10 4:10 Ascot
Venture Capital
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@7.50
Win
7
Venture Capital has been placed on all three starts at Ascot, including when 3rd in this race last year from a mark of 92. 3 lbs lower this year, he's 1 lb below his last winning mark and ran well this time last year on soft ground from higher marks.
15:35 3:35 Ascot
Mirabeau
Daily Racing
25 EW
@12.00
Lose
-50
Happy to draw a line through Mirabeau's run last time when badly hampered and given a tender time of things. Better judged on his 3rd over C&D two starts back when behind Great Acclaim and Native Warrior. He's 4lbs better off with the winner here and with the pace drawn low I think he can turn that form around with soft ground to suit.
15:20 3:20 Redcar
Song of The Clyde
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@3.75
Lose
-50
An impressive winner at York two starts back, Song Of The Clyde followed that up with a good 2nd at Doncaster from which the 4th placed horse finished 2nd in the Group 1 Middle Park next time and the winner is highly touted (Irish Guineas entry next year). Favourites have a good record in this and the yard won two years back with a strongly backed horse.
14:40 2:40 Newmarket
Fallen Angel
Daily Racing
50 WINNAPNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@3.75
Win
137
With heavy rain forecast overnight and into the morning, conditions will be firmly in Fallen Angel's favor, and she should reverse Royal Ascot form with the favorite, Cinderella's Dream. She's the class act in here, being a former Guineas winner, and the headgear seems to have done the trick of regaining that spark.
14:25 2:25 Ascot
Al Qareem
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@3.50
Win
125
A battle between two previous winners, with Hamish claiming the prize in 2022 and Al Qareem winning the last two years. There are a few unexposed 3-year-olds in the mix, but I think class and experience will come to the fore, with Al Qareem the likeliest winner. He's not been able to compete at the top table the last two times, but even under a penalty, this is a drop back in class and he can rack up the hat trick.
1 member found this comment useful
13:50 1:50 Ascot
Woolhampton
Daily Racing
25 EW
@17.00
Lose
-50
Stable form is a slight concern, but the forecast soft ground and a return to Ascot give Woolhampton every chance of claiming this Listed prize. Candy should go forward from stall 6 and give her a pace to aim at. She's 4 from 11 over C&D, with that record further enhanced on soft ground. The quick turnaround is no issue as she's won off similar short breaks in the past.
12:23 12:23 Longchamp
Espoir Avenir
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@5.00
Lose
-50
Trip and ground will be ideal, unlike many of his rivals, with Espoir Avenir winning by 5L here at Longchamp over C&D last time. Falling rain means the ground will be softer than advertised, and with doubts over the stamina of many in this field, he's the solid option.
Subtotal69
28 September 2025
16:22 4:22 Curragh
Shackleton
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@13.00
Lose
-50
Aidan O'Brien has won this twice in the last three years with 3-year-olds, and this represents a big drop in class for Shackleton, who has been running in high-grade Group races this season. Finished 2nd (albeit 5L behind) to Al Riffa here over 14f two starts back, with that winner going in again and heading down to the Melbourne Cup. Less good in headgear at York last time, but the ground probably was on the quick side, and a slower surface here, I think, will suit him. A mark of 107 is high enough for a handicap debut, but he's clearly highly rated by connections and does look to be a Group horse, so should be rated better than that in time. A very competitive contest, but he still looks overpriced.
Subtotal-50
27 September 2025
15:40 3:40 Newmarket
Fifth Column
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@7.50
Lose
-50
Fifth Column is one of a few exciting unexposed 3-year-olds in the field. But of them all, he looks to have the most in his favor, being drawn in stall 18 in this reduced field. It has historically been a benefit to be drawn high, with 8 winners in a row all higher than 20, before Liberty Lane flipped the script last year off top weight. I'd still want to follow the long-term trend, and Fifth Column represents a trainer seeking a 7th win in this race, having had similarly unexposed 3-year-olds win in 2018 and 2019. The selection is ground versatile, having had excuses when 5th at Goodwood on soft ground and winning twice on good to firm since cheekpieces were fitted. One of those wins came here, and with the prospect of 9f finding further improvement, he looks the bet.
1 member found this comment useful
Greek Order
Daily Racing
25 EW
@26.00
Lose
-50
Greek Order is just 1 lb higher than when 2nd in this race in 2023 and has been acquitting himself well in top-level handicaps since returning to these shores after a spell in the US. Happy to draw a line through one poor run last time, and with this reduced field, happy too to take a chance that it won't go to a horse drawn wide (Greek Order stall 13). Weighted to go well, he looks overpriced.
15:15 3:15 Haydock
First Ambition
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@8.50
Lose
-50
His price has more than doubled, having opened up at 7/2, which might cast doubts over his participation. But First Ambition is the one I want to side with here. He only made it to the track twice, having been gelded as an unraced 3-year-old, but he's unbeaten. The form of his win at Southwell LTO has been franked all over, with the 2nd, 3rd, 4th, and 5th all winning since and now posting ORs in the mid to high 80s. First Ambition makes his handicap debut here from a mark of 91, and despite clearly being tricky, that looks a more than fair opening mark.
14:25 2:25 Newmarket
True Love
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@5.00
Win
200
Aidan O'Brien has an enviable record in this, and True Love holds strong claims, which I think are underestimated because she was beaten at 1/4 last time. The winner won from the front that day, having been beaten by the selection the start before. Prior to that, True Love posted efforts none of this field can match, including an easy win in the Queen Mary before a dominant performance in the Group 2 Railway Stakes. Others might be Group 2 winners, but she's shown a level of ability even when being beaten, which should set the standard.
1 member found this comment useful
13:50 1:50 Newmarket
Bow Echo
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 3.13 used instead of 2.87 takenBOG
@3.13
Win
106
Really impressive last time when strong in the market to beat long-time favorite Publish comfortably enough. That was just his second start and should improve plenty for the experience, although he might not need to win this.
Subtotal156
26 September 2025
15:35 3:35 Newmarket
Isle Of Jura
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@5.00
Lose
-50
Sets a clear standard on the basis of his Group 2 Hardwicke win at Royal Ascot last June when he fairly bolted up to win by 3.5L. Off since, but he shouldn't need to be at his best here to beat this field. With the ground to suit and yard in good form (20% last 14 days), I expect him to win.
1 member found this comment useful
15:00 3:00 Newmarket
Zeus Olympios
Daily Racing
50 WINNAPNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@3.50
Win
125
Opera Ballo sets a standard after winning 4 from 5 starts, including a Listed contest last time. But Zeus Olympios won a Group 3 on just his 3rd career start and looked to have any amount in hand. He should have plenty more to come, and having bolted up in a novice two starts back on quick ground, he could show even stronger form than his Group 3 win on this faster surface.
1 member found this comment useful
13:15 1:15 Newmarket
Elwateen
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@4.50
Lose
-50
A big drop in class is key to Elwateen's chances having finished 4th in the 1000 Guineas over C&D on seasonal return before not staying the trip in the Oaks. Ran in the Group 1 Falmouth Stakes on the July Course last time but this drop to Listed level can see her gain her first win on turf.
Subtotal25
Tips are normally be settled by 12pm the day after the event took place.
Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.
Please note that this information is for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as an indicator of a tipsters real life performance. The OLBG Tipster Competition is a simulation game and some of the rules and prices used by the tipsters may not always be available in the real world which can lead to misleading informaiton.
