c4stle
National Hunt follower who is more profitable on the flat…
1
Estimated Prizes
this month
£15
Estimated Prize money
this month
c4stle's Tips History
07 December 2025
15:15 3:15 Kelso
Gibbs Island
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@5.50
Lose
-50
This is a big drop in class for Gibbs Island, who started his campaign with a win at Cheltenham from a mark of 132 before never getting involved in the Greatwood Hurdle from a mark 8 lbs higher. Dropped 2 lbs for that and now drops into a Class 3 handicap. He simply should have too much quality for this field, with the yard in strong form (25% last 14 days).
1 member found this comment useful
14:37 2:37 Kelso
Nells Son
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@5.00
Lose
-50
Nells Son goes from the same mark as when getting up to beat Matata in this race last year (144) and is 3 lbs better off with that rival. He reappeared with a spin over hurdles, and the cheekpieces go back on as he returns to the larger obstacles at a venue he loves. His figures here are 1-1-F-2-1-1, including the last two chasing over C&D. There looks to be plenty of competition for the lead, which won't help Matata as he bids to turn the form around. That should give Nells Son a good tow into the race.
1 member found this comment useful
14:00 2:00 Kelso
Grozni
Daily Racing
25 EWNBNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 23.00 used instead of 19.00 takenBOG
@23.00
Win
660
Hasn't pulled up any trees in his two starts (both here) since joining Sandy Thomson, but both were over trips likely too short for him these days. His trainer has an excellent record in this race, having won five times since 2014. He's 4 lb below when fourth in the Scottish National last term and won't mind the soft ground. Tongue tie goes on and a former champion jockey is in the saddle.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal560
06 December 2025
15:15 3:15 Aintree
Brewinupastorm
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@26.00
Lose
-50
Makes his return off a long break and drops into handicap company for the first time since January 2021. The handicapper hasn't relented much, but a mark of 145 could still look lenient for a horse of his class, who is a multiple graded winner. Bryan Hughes takes the ride, having won on him before, and being 12 years old there can't be many "other days" circled in the calendar. Clearly plenty of question marks, but that's factored into the price, and the yard have claimed this prize twice in the last five years.
1 member found this comment useful
14:40 2:40 Aintree
Mahons Glory
Daily Racing
25 EW
@34.00
Lose
-50
Mahons Glory is being overlooked in the market, and I'm struggling to understand why. He finished fourth in the Grand Sefton from a mark 1 lb higher and is likely to put up another bold show from the front. I like horses ridden handy. He doesn't have much form at staying trips, but his two runs at 24f saw him finish fifth in a Grade 2 novice hurdle and then fifth of six when outclassed in the Grade 2 Long Distance Hurdle. He won twice in the spring at 22.5f and has dropped to the same mark as when beating The Wolf in March. He took well to these fences last time and could spring a surprise.
1 member found this comment useful
14:25 2:25 Sandown
Afadil
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@9.00
Win
15
A tricky contest with the added spice that I'm not convinced everyone is here to win. I liked Go Dante, but no cheekpieces suggest the Betfair Hurdle is the aim. Of the Skelton runners, there's only one who looks to be targeting this ??" last year's winner Knickerbockerglory, who is 6 lbs higher today. My preference instead is for Afadil, who has posted some strong form for Paul Nicholls. His stable is in good form with two winners on Friday. Afadil was weak in the market when only mid-division on reappearance last time and should come on for the run. He's 4 lbs below his last winning mark and 10 lbs lower than when finishing 5th in the 2024 County Hurdle on heavy ground behind Absurde. He finished 0.5L 3rd on his only visit to Sandown, and he's an each-way price in a field where I can only make a case for two.
1 member found this comment useful
13:36 1:36 Chepstow
Minella Blueway
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@9.00
Win
15
I don't like horses held up at Chepstow over marathon trips, and for that reason I'm happy to oppose the fav. I suspect a few might have the Welsh National in mind and be ridden with kid gloves. Minella Blueway ran a respectable race despite being PU on reappearance LTO, but the headgear goes back on today, having won in it twice last season (2 from 2). The yard won this a few years ago and are in good form. A mark of 122 leaves plenty of scope given he's unexposed at staying trips and should be ridden close enough to challenge.
1 member found this comment useful
13:20 1:20 Sandown
Kikijo
Daily Racing
50 WINNAPNOTETip made at odds of 4.33 on 05/12 at 17:200.15 deduction for Chasing Fire@6.50 withdrawn at 06:350.10 deduction for The Lord Maid @8.500 withdrawn at 06:350.20 deduction for Absolutely Doyen @4.333 withdrawn at 07:07R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 3.33 x (1-0.45) = 2.83Best Odds Guaranteed SP 3.25 used instead of 2.83 BOG
@3.25
Win
112
Impressive last time on his second start at 2m4f. Possibly better suited by the soft going, having won in France with plenty of cut in the ground. A 7 lb rise for that doesn't look OTT, particularly with a 3 lb claimer in the saddle. He can continue his upward rise with conditions to suit.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal42
30 November 2025
13:05 1:05 Fairyhouse
History Of Fashion
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@26.00
Lose
-50
Last year's winner is now an 11-year-old, but his record at Fairyhouse gives faith that he can repeat the feat. His form figures are 2-5-1 over C&D. A mark of 123 is just 1 lb higher than last year, when he won by 1.25L, and the same 7 lb claimer is in the saddle. He's ground versatile and overpriced in my eyes.
Subtotal-50
29 November 2025
15:35 3:35 Newbury
Rath Gaul Hill
Daily Racing
25 EW
@6.50
Lose
-50
A two-time C&D winner in two visits to Newbury, Rath Gaul Hill still looks well treated from a mark of 123, having run really well when 3 lbs out of the handicap at Aintree when last seen. He goes well fresh, having won here off a 315-day break last February when the front two pulled well clear of the rest.
14:55 2:55 Newbury
Victtorino
Daily Racing
25 EW
@15.00
Lose
-50
Victtorino was sent off 5/1 when 5.25L third in this last year from a mark of 143. Although 4 lbs higher today, I fancy he's got every chance of hitting the frame again. He stayed on well last year, but the front two had slipped the field and he was able to get to them. Whilst he's done most of his winning at Ascot, he seemed well at home here at Newbury. He goes well fresh, and I fancy he'll be part of a good day for the Venetia Stable.
14:00 2:00 Newcastle
The New Lion
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@2.75
Lose
-50
I've seen it suggested that TNL might be vulnerable here as he builds back from the Champion Hurdle, but I couldn't disagree more. Constitution Hill is on the rebuild, and I'd be shocked if connections had him tuned up for this. The Skelton team are going great guns for the title and will have their mount rearing to go in order to set down a marker and gain some valuable prize money.
13:19 1:19 Fairyhouse
Murcia
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@2.50
Lose
-50
I can't see past Murcia, who was given a hard task to concede plenty of weight in the Fred Winter. Put that behind her when bolting up in the Grade 1 juvenile at Aintree, winning by 6L. Beaten at Punchestown when finishing 4th, but that was her 5th run since Christmas and I'm happy to upgrade that effort at the end of the season. Although the bare form would still be enough here in my view. Has to concede weight to her rivals, but she's a class apart and the yard have won this the last two years.
13:05 1:05 Newbury
Buddy Holly
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@6.50
Lose
-50
Nicky Henderson seemingly has his novices well schooled, with Act of Innocence dotting up on his hurdles debut on Friday after switching to the yard. Buddy Holly looks an exciting prospect, having finished a good 7th in the Punchestown bumper back in April for his previous stable. The yard have won this four times since 2014, including with Santini and Jingko Blue. This race has a strong roll of honour, and he looks the one to me that has real star potential stepping up in trip.
12:30 12:30 Newbury
Wiseguy
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@12.00
Lose
-50
Last year's winner Wiseguy is just 2 lbs higher to repeat the feat. With his record fresh, he could take some beating. He has form figures of 3-2-1-1 when reappearing in November off a 150+ day break. The yard is in good form (29% in the last 14 days), and Freddie Gordon takes the ride, which is a plus given how much confidence he's riding with at the moment.
11:55 11:55 Newbury
La Conquiere
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 2.75 used instead of 2.50 takenBOG
@2.75
Win
87
Brings top bumper form to the table, having finished 2nd at Aintree in the Grade 2 Mares Bumper in the spring. Took well to hurdles LTO when pulling well clear with one other to win. The runner-up has dotted up by 6.5L since, and the yard remains in really strong form.
Subtotal-213
28 November 2025
14:25 2:25 Newbury
Heltenham
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@6.50
Lose
-50
His only disappointment at Newbury came in this race last year when he only beat one home from a mark of 142. That was too bad to be true. He's 3 from 3 from C&D otherwise, including most recently from the same mark as today (136). He has race fitness on his side and has had wind surgery since last seen, suggesting something was amiss with his below-par efforts this season. With Harry Skelton back in the plate and a return to Newbury, I'd expect to see plenty of improvement.
13:50 1:50 Newbury
Wendigo
Daily Racing
50 WINNAPNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 3.50 used instead of 2.88 takenBOG
@3.50
Win
125
Wendigo was beaten on his chase debut, but the winner has gone in again since and looks a smart prospect over fences. The step up in trip will suit, and with chase experience on his side and form behind some smart horses, including The New Lion last season, he's undoubtedly the one to beat for a yard in flying form.
13:15 1:15 Newbury
Highland Crystal
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@2.37
Win
68
Yard won this two years ago with Wodhooh and have strong claims again with Highland Crystal, who won as she liked on her hurdles debut, bolting up by 14L. She can take the step up in grade in her stride for leading connections.
12:15 12:15 Newbury
Act Of Innocence
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@2.38
Win
69
Act Of Innocence looks an exciting prospect over hurdles for Nicky Henderson, who has won this race six times in recent years, including with Jonbon and Buveur D'Air.
Subtotal212
22 November 2025
15:35 3:35 Haydock
Shomen Uchi
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@6.50
Lose
-50
Clearly hard to keep right having had breaks of 256, 701, and 278 days between races. But when he's made the track, he's been impressive. Won at chase debut off a break last year, and the yard remains in flying form (3 wins from last 8), particularly with their chasers. Quicker ground is an unknown, but he's won on good to soft and can claim this prize from a mark of just 135.
15:15 3:15 Ascot
Sans Bruit
Daily Racing
25 EW
@17.00
Lose
-50
Sans Bruit was sent off fav when 6th behind Teddy Blue on seasonal return LTO under a claiming jockey and should strip fitter for that effort. Dropped 1lb for that effort, crucially he's got Harry Cobden back in the saddle and with a serious lack of pace on offer he should be able to dictate from the front in conditions which will suit.
14:40 2:40 Ascot
Wodhooh
Daily Racing
50 WINNBNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@2.25
Win
62
Goes well fresh and arguably sets the standard here despite technically only having Listed and handicap wins to her name. Her 2.75L 2nd to Lossiemouth at Aintree is the pick of the form on offer, particularly at 20f and in similar conditions to today. She's officially just 2lbs below top-rated Crambo, but in receipt of weight from the whole field, it's hard to look past her.
14:25 2:25 Haydock
Ma Shantou
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@6.00
Lose
-50
I retain the faith that Ma Shantou is a graded horse and a prospect for the Stayers Hurdle in March. He has trodden the same path as Paisley Park for the same trainer, running well but down in the field in the Albert Bartlett as a novice before winning a handicap hurdle on his first start the next season. He had Supremely West and Long Draw in behind last time, and although 9 lbs higher here, he was well on top at the line after hitting a flat spot in the running. Good ground is no issue, and a mark of 138 could still be lenient.
1 member found this comment useful
13:50 1:50 Haydock
The Jukebox Man
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@2.10
Win
55
Has to concede 3 lbs to Iroko, but I think he's a proper Grade 1 animal, and he's gone well fresh the last two seasons. King George will be the aim, but if he's to challenge for that, he needs to be winning this, and as the class act in the field, I expect him to do so cosily.
13:30 1:30 Ascot
Il Est Francais
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@3.25
Lose
-50
I was all set to tip Pic D'Orhy, but I think he'll struggle to give 6 lbs to Il Est Francais, who has shown his best form in the UK on a sounder surface and can use his jumping to strong effect here. Ascot isn't too dissimilar to Kempton, and he's gone well fresh in the past, so there's no reason not to expect he'll be ready for this ahead of a return to the King George on Boxing Day. He can use his jumping to dictate from the front in receipt of weight from the rest of the field.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-83
16 November 2025
15:30 3:30 Cheltenham
Laafi
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@19.00
Lose
-50
Looks to have been laid out for this by new connections, having posted a good level of form on soft/heavy ground for the Haggas yard previously. Won a maiden hurdle last winter before finishing last of 3 in a conditional event behind Anzadam. Off since but reappears in a handicap from a mark of 138, and blinkers go on having won in them the first time for Haggas.
14:55 2:55 Cheltenham
Protektorat
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@4.50
Lose
-50
Not certain he will take his chance, but if he does, I think his rivals will find it hard to pass him, being a proper graded horse in a handicap. He has gone well fresh before, and as a 10-year-old rising 11-year-old, there are only so many days in the sun left, meaning connections surely won't leave any prizes behind. Beat Djelo by 23L on soft ground last January, and that rates good form that can see him deny a mark of 165 for a yard in strong form.
14:05 2:05 Fontwell
Unanswered Prayers
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@5.00
Lose
-50
The Yard are in blistering form with 4 winners from the last 13 runners and can continue the streak with Unanswered Prayers. Won this race on good ground last year from a mark of 126 (5 lbs claimer) having prepped at Cheltenham, and the stable have taken the same route this time around. A mark of 127 and a 3 lbs claim in the saddle leaves him effectively 3 lbs higher and weighted to go well.
13:45 1:45 Cheltenham
Queensbury Boy
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@5.50
Lose
-50
Always been highly rated and won a pair of novice hurdles at short odds before running down the field in the Grade 1 Novice Hurdle at Punchestown. Reappeared at Chepstow when ultimately disappointing but always seen as a chaser, with the form of his PTP win looking strong. Has won on heavy ground and although this is his first start for the Bowen yard, he cost a lot of money and I'm sure they'll be aiming for Graded races, which would mean he'll have to win this handicap from a mark of just 131.
13:15 1:15 Cheltenham
Ambiente Friendly
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@5.00
Lose
-50
The 2024 Derby runner-up makes his debut over hurdles. Despite an underwhelming season on the level, he could prove to be a class above these. Rated as high as 118 on the level and with form on soft ground, a chance is taken that hurdles can spark an interest that sees him transfer that ability to obstacles.
Subtotal-250
15 November 2025
15:30 3:30 Cheltenham
Lavender Hill Mob
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 29.00 on 14/11 at 20:170.00 deduction for Cest Different@13.00 withdrawn at 07:490.15 deduction for French Ship @6.000 withdrawn at 09:310.10 deduction for Last Rodeo @9.000 withdrawn at 13:45R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 28.00 x (1-0.25) = 22.00Best Odds Guaranteed SP 34.00 used instead of 22.00 BOG
@34.00
Win
990
4-year-olds have a pretty good record in this race, having won twice since 2018. Lavender Hill Mob showed enough at around 2m last year to suggest he has potential over obstacles. However, having shown his best form on the flat at 12f+, I'd suggest there's more to come at staying trips over hurdles. He has won on heavy ground on the level and won a decent handicap from a mark of 94 back in May before finishing a respectable 5th at Listed level 51 days ago. A mark of 119 looks more than workable to me with headgear retained and stepping up 5f in trip.
2 members found this comment useful
14:55 2:55 Cheltenham
Supremely West
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@2.62
Lose
-50
Really impressive on stable debut when running well from off the pace to finish 3rd behind a horse in Ma Shantou. I fancy him as an outside chance in the Stayers Hurdle. Good ground that day, but he's won on Haydock heavy, so clearly ground versatile and should have enough from a mark of 138, which is just 1 lb higher than last time.
1 member found this comment useful
13:45 1:45 Cheltenham
Be Aware
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@3.25
Lose
-50
Didn't reach the heights of some of these over hurdles but was impressive on chase debut and was just touched off having failed to get the winner in the Greatwood Hurdle at around this trip at this meeting last year. His chase experience puts him ahead of a few of his rivals, whilst the trip should suit him better than the favorite, July Flower, who will be better over further. The yard has won this twice in the last 4 years and should make it 3 in 5.
2 members found this comment useful
13:10 1:10 Cheltenham
Jubilee Express
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@7.00
Lose
-50
I expect Jubilee Express to outclass these for a yard who couldn't be in better form (5 winners from the last 7 runners). Goes well fresh, as when finishing 2nd in the Welsh National on soft ground last December off a break of 273 days. That was from a mark of 126, and he's 3lbs higher here, but with a 7lbs claimer in the saddle, he's weighted to make his class pay.
12:35 12:35 Cheltenham
Hallelujah U
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@9.00
Lose
-50
This was a serious horse on the level, finishing 2.25L 6th in the Group 2 Queens Vase at Royal Ascot which featured some quality horses ahead of him, including Scandinavia (0.75L), Further and Carmers. Rated 100 on the level he looks a serious prospect going hurdling for connections that have farmed these prizes in recent years. Has flat form on good to soft and although he'll likely improve for the run he could yet outclass the field.
Subtotal790
14 November 2025
14:55 2:55 Cheltenham
Jonbon
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@2.00
Lose
-50
He's miles the best of these - 11 lbs clear on ratings - and can give away the weight to his rivals. Touched off in three efforts over C&D in Grade 1s, but has won this Grade 2 the last two years and should have enough in hand for this field.
Subtotal-50
08 November 2025
15:45 3:45 Doncaster
Lord Melbourne
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionBest Odds Guaranteed SP 9.00 used instead of 8.00 takenBOG
@9.00
Win
15
Lord Melbourne was a cozy winner of this race on soft ground last year from a mark of 90 and didn't make his seasonal return until a dominant win at Epsom last time out from 4 lbs higher. Raised another 9 lbs for that effort, but with conditions to suit, he can continue his steep upward curve for the Beckett yard.
15:10 3:10 Doncaster
Danielle
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@2.50
Win
75
Sights lowered considerably, having run well in Group 2s before being upped to Group 1 level last time when finishing 5th behind Kalapana. Finished a close 2nd behind Estrange in similar conditions in this race last year, and there's nothing of her ability this time around. Looks a penalty kick for a yard in form.
14:40 2:40 Aintree
Seddon
Daily Racing
25 EW
@34.00
Lose
-50
Hard to say that this 12yo is well handicapped but he's still running with plenty of credit having finished 9th in competitive Punchestown handicap chase in May from a mark of 138. Memories are still fresh of him jumping the field silly to win the Plate handicap at the Cheltenham Festival in 2023 from a mark of 143 and he seems the sort that could take well to this discipline and could find a spark. I like a horse ridden prominently and a sound jumper, with Seddon ticking both boxes. Had a spin on the flat last month which will have blown away the cobwebs and he looks overpriced to me at 33/1.
1 member found this comment useful
14:23 2:23 Wincanton
Blueking Doroux
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@2.50
Win
75
Blueking D'Oroux was a bit sloppy on debut but was up against a seasoned chaser and can improve from that experience. Miles the best of these over hurdles and represents a top yard. He'll be better suited by the right-handed track and can win this.
13:45 1:45 Wincanton
Jubilee Alpha
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@2.62
Lose
-50
I've no doubt Jubilee Alpha is better than a mark of 137 and the yard will be going great guns to win this race in memory of one of their greatest supporters. Just mid division in the Mares Novice at Cheltenham Festival but put that behind her when stepping up in trip to claim a Listed race in April. Loads more to come at this trip and beyond and she can make her class pay.
13:25 1:25 Doncaster
Montassib
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@2.75
Lose
-50
Far and away the class horse in this race and in receipt of weight from two of his rivals. He's only been seen twice on a track this season, so will be fresher than most and won't be inconvenienced by the soft ground. Ran a good race on reappearance and a respectable effort on ground too quick in Group 1 company last time. This represents a massive drop in grade. Well drawn next to Art Power and Apollo One, who will both go forward, and he's won over C&D on soft ground.
Subtotal15
06 November 2025
12:55 12:55 Ludlow
Ocean Conquest
Daily Racing
50 WINNAPNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 2.75 used instead of 2.50 takenBOG
@2.75
Win
87
Melton Mossy will go well in a bid to win this for the second year in a row, but Ocean Conquest is lightly raced over hurdles and has form behind some smart types, including 3.5L behind Give It To Me OJ (now rated 143). Finished 0.5L behind Aviemore (now 122 after following up), and even his flat form stacks up pretty strongly to suggest he's still well handicapped from a mark of 112. Has a 7lbs claimer in the saddle and looks the main pace angle. If coming on for reappearance, I can see him winning this cosily.
Subtotal87
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Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.
Please note that this information is for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as an indicator of a tipsters real life performance. The OLBG Tipster Competition is a simulation game and some of the rules and prices used by the tipsters may not always be available in the real world which can lead to misleading informaiton.
