c4stle
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c4stle's Tips History
14 May 2026
15:30 3:30 York
See The Fire
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@+120
Win
60
Only just prevailed on reappearance but should come on a tonne and she was massively inpressive when bolting up in this race last year by 10L. Her market rivals will improve for the run whereas this will have been a key target for connections and I expect a facile victory.
14:55 2:55 York
Point Lynas
Daily Racing
25 EWNAPNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@+1600
Win
55
Has to shoulder a big weight from a mark of 109 but he loves it at York, with C&D figures of 1-2-2-1 in four starts. His win in this race two years who came from a mark 9lbs lower but he's been plying his trade in pattern company since including winning a Listed race and twice 2nd at Group 2 level. May find one too well handicapped but I'm sure he'll run his race and from stall 1 he can bounce out to make all down the rail.
14:20 2:20 York
Against The Wind
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+1600
Lose
-50
We've seen low numbers come to the fore and I'm hoping that will continue into day 2 as I can't see any watering planned. Against The Wind was pitched into the Group 1 Abbaye as a 3yo on his final start last year which gives an idea of the regard connections hold him in. Ran well last year with a few blips a reached an OR of 102 as a result. Good reappearance before bombing out last time but has had a wind op since suggesting there could be an excuse and has the assistance of a 5lbs claimer in rare form. Stall 1 looks ideal for this forward going type who can bounce out and make all along the rail from an effective mark of 95.
Toca Madera
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+2800
Lose
-50
3rd in this race last year behind two proper Group horses in American Affair (won Group 1 King Charles III Stakes) and JM Jungle (won Group 2 Qatar Stakes at Goodwood). Didn't get his nose in front last term but ran some respectable races in defeat and has seen his mark drop to 87 which is 8lbs lower than his 3rd here last year. He did have a 5lbs claimer in the saddle that day and has changed yard since. Draw could be against him after low numbers coming to the fore on day 1 but I'm having a small saver just in case.
Subtotal15
13 May 2026
17:15 5:15 York
Great Bedwyn
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+750
Win
12
Found 10f too sharp last time and will be suited by the step back up in trip. He won this race last year from a mark of 87 and returns 4lbs lower having run really well at this trip on his reappearance two starts back.
15:30 3:30 York
Quinault
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+1400
Lose
-50
The step back to 6f will suit Quinault who didn't have the gears to get to the lead over 5f last time and should have more luck here from the widest draw. Has 3 wins from 4 visits to York and although he's not won above Group 3 level he's posted some good efforts at this grade and has race fitness on his side.
14:55 2:55 York
Desert Falcon
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@+2000
Lose
-50
I like Dark Thirty and he might well have been lined up by his new connections but I can't back him on what he's shown this season. Desert Falcon makes his reappearance after 235 days off the track but I fancy can pick up where he left off last year, winning at Doncaster before a neck 2nd in the Ayr Gold Cup. He's 4lbs higher here but ran really well on reappearance last year and has had wind surgery over the winter. Front runners often go well at York and despite being a 6yo he's still relatively lightly raced after just 18 career starts - I see no reason why he can't continue the progress he showed last term.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-88
09 May 2026
15:15 3:15 Lingfield
Back In Black
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@+137
Lose
-50
Really well back in the Spring Cup last time when finishing 4th and drops down in grade from the same mark of 94. A consistent sort, he's entitled to improve for reappearance having been gelded over the winter.
14:40 2:40 Lingfield
Copacabana Sands
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@+200
Lose
-50
Two below par runs at Tipperary I think leaves her bigger in the market than she deserves to be on her first start for Andrew Balding. Prior to that she won a Listed race and a Group 3 over 7f and the yard have done well with stable switchers in recent weeks. She should outclass these under Ryan Moore.
13:45 1:45 Ascot
Electrifarhh
Daily Racing
25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@+1200
Void
0
Happy to draw a line through her reappearance when friendless in the market and instead judge her on her 2nd behind Blue Bolt where she was comfortably held but was trying to give 6lbs to what turns out to be a Group 1 filly. A mark of 84 has loads of scope.
Subtotal-100
08 May 2026
16:10 4:10 Chester
Hamsiyann
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@+600
Lose
-50
I fancy there's a fair chance Tony Martin could do the Chester Cup and Plate double but Hamsiyann has the strongest chance of his runners under Oisin Murphy. Finished 2nd in this race two years ago (behind stablemate Alphonse Le Grande) from a mark of 87 and hasn't been tried over staying flat trips since but acquitted himself pretty well over hurdles, winning once. Returns from a mark 1lb higher having missed out on the Chester Cup and has to be respected.
15:40 3:40 Chester
Rosenpur
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@+600
Win
180
His Chester record puts him right in the mix having finished a close 2nd to Roman Dragon at this meeting last year from a mark of 75. Subsequent visits here have seen him finish 3-1-10-1 with the 10th coming just 1 day after his win so clearly wasn't right. Should have enough pace to get to the front from stall 5 and a mark of 80 should be well within reach back at a track he loves.
15:05 3:05 Chester
Puturhandstogether
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+800
Lose
-50
He's 10lbs higher than when winning the Irish Cesarawich last term but he beat a subsequent Group 3 winner that day whilst the 3rd placed in two Group 1s since. Untapped potential over staying trips on the flat and his trainer is a master at targeting this big prizes. A mark of 92 could still be lenient based on his win at the Curragh and his mark over hurdles where he's a 140 horse despite only being a 5yo.
Zanndabad
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+1400
Lose
-50
An unlucky 3rd in this race last year and he's 1lb lower this time round having posted good efforts in the Ascot Stakes and the Irish Cesarawich since. Hasn't run over staying trips on the turf since but has gone well over hurdles including two wins in the autumn. Freshened up and returned in a Grade 1 hurdle at Aintree but I'm sure this will have been the plan from some way out.
14:35 2:35 Chester
Lambourn
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@+162
Win
81
Fully expect to see plenty of money for Lambourn who has to put a couple of below par runs behind him but can do so in first time cheekpieces. Won well here this time last year before Derby success and the yard have been in good form at the meeting so far.
14:05 2:05 Chester
Joulany
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+125
Lose
-50
Reappeared upped in trip to 10f and ran really well to finish 3rd. The 2nd filled the same position in a Listed race next time so that looks strong form and this is an easier proposition.
Subtotal61
07 May 2026
13:30 1:30 Chester
Vintage Clarets
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+2500
Lose
-50
Sprint trips here at Chester so often go to those with an inside draw who are ridden prominently to play "catch me if you can". Vintage Clarets bucks the trends as his record over C&D reads 5-1-3-1, with the 5th coming when ridden forward and his other efforts all when being held up including 0.25L 3rd on this race two years ago behind future Group horse Democracy Dilemma. A mark of 89 leaves him well handicapped on the pick of his form including his win at the Shergar Cup last summer from a mark of 94. A 5lbs claimer provides further help and he's been amongst the winners in recent weeks so should have plenty of confidence, whilst his wide draw (stall 11) should be fine given he's likely to be held up.
Subtotal-50
06 May 2026
16:45 4:45 Chester
Bell Shot
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+1800
Lose
-50
I was surprised to see Bell Shot so high in the betting. Untested at Chester but his prominent running style and low draw (stall 2) should suit. Poor reappearance after a short break last time when trailing home last of 9 and the cheekpieces are reapplied having helped him win 3 times last summer. A mark of 85 would be a career high but only 1lb above his win on the AW in January, which was also the only time Harry Davies has ridden him before. They're reunited here with the yard in good form and conditions to suit.
15:40 3:40 Chester
Temple Of Athena
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+1200
Lose
-50
A winner on her only visit to Chester when she was ridden prominently and finished alongside the front runner, clear of the rest. Similar ride when winning on her reappearance on the AW but then couldn't get near the front at Bath when upped to Listed level last time. Back into handicap company and carries plenty of weight as a result but stall 2 is a huge plus and conditions will suit.
14:05 2:05 Chester
Partisan Hero
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@+650
Lose
-50
He's effectively 17lbs higher than when a close 2nd in this race last year but that's owing to a strong run of form which saw him finish 1-2-6-1 in four UK starts since. Has been running pretty well in Bahrain over the winter over what looks to be an inadequate trip and has been freshened up since. Stall 1 always positive here at Chester over this trip (5 of the last 7 came from stalls 1, 2 or 3 - three winners from stall 1) and his likely positive style and ground on the easy side of good both look to strengthen his chances.
13:30 1:30 Chester
Adonius
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@+350
Win
175
Stall 1 looks perfect for Adonius who is 2 from 2, both under front running tactics. Has to concede weight to all rivals curtousy of a penalty but here at Chester I'd fully expect him to be able to do so.
Subtotal25
04 May 2026
14:25 2:25 Curragh
Causeway
Daily Racing
50 WINNAPNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionBest Odds Guaranteed SP 3.25 used instead of 2.50 takenBOG
@+225
Win
112
Causeway looks really progressive, having won a handicap from a mark of 94 on his reappearance after just two starts as a juvenile. He won here last year and should appreciate the step back up to 8f.
Subtotal112
03 May 2026
15:35 3:35 Newmarket
Precise
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@+250
Lose
-50
I can't see Precise beaten. She improved every start as a juvenile including dispatching Venetian Lace by over 3L when they met over C&D in the Fillies Mile. I think she's just the clear pick in this field and surprised she's not a lot shorter.
Subtotal-50
02 May 2026
17:20 5:20 Newmarket
Lohoobb
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@+350
Lose
-50
Makes his handicap debut today from a mark of 76 having ran well over 6f as a juvenile. The step up in trip should suit and he's a really promising horse than should have plenty in hand from this opening mark. Yard don't often miss the target and they're in good form at the moment.
15:35 3:35 Newmarket
Kings Trail
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+1200
Lose
-50
I like Guineas horses who have fitness on their side rather than those making their reappearance in this Classic. Those at the top of the market all go fresh and I'm looking elsewhere with the Godolphin second string making most appeal. Similar approach to 2024 winner Notable Speech having had two spins on the AW but he clocked an impressive time LTO and with race fitness on his side he can outrun his odds.
14:55 2:55 Newmarket
Jm Jungle
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 21.00 used instead of 17.00 takenBOG
@+2000
Win
75
JM Jungle is on the drift but I fancy he can go well here having progressed through the handicaps last year and ultimately bagged a Group 2 at Goodwood. That was on soft ground but he's plenty of form on good-firm and ran really well on reappearance last year when close 2nd to subsequent Group 1 winner American Affair at Musselburgh.
14:20 2:20 Newmarket
Bullet Point
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@+650
Lose
-50
Sent off 9/4 fav for a Group 3 at York when last seen and he ultimately dissapointed, trailing home in 7th of 8. Happy to strike a line through that as it was too bad to be true and he's better judged on his handicap wins throughout last year which included an easy 4.5L win on his reappearance here at Newmarket. He's much higher in the weights but deservedly so and we've seen the class rise to the top in this race previously with 3 winners rated 100+ from the last 5 renewals. Goes well fresh, yard are in form and conditions will be ideal. He can defy a mark of 105 before stepping back into pattern company.
Subtotal-75
30 April 2026
16:30 4:30 Redcar
Project Geofin
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@+1100
Lose
-50
Happy to draw a line through one poor run when last seen and he makes his reappearance at a track he ran well at before. Finished a 0.75L 2nd on his only visit to Ripon, with the winner and the 3rd both winning since. His best form has come on a quick surface and he's gone well fresh. Race conditions should suit his hold up style and yard have been amongst the winners.
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16:15 4:15 Punchestown
Ballykinlar
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+2500
Lose
-50
British horses won six handicaps at last years Punchestown Festival, reinforcing the notion that they are well treated compared to their Irish rivals. There's a few in here which make appeal towards the top of the market but Ballykinlar really catches the eye for Mickey Bowen. Only had two starts since joining the yard from Ireland, first when 66/1 for the Martin Pipe then finishing 7th LTO at Aintree which was much more promising from a mark of 129. That was the same mark as when sent off fav for a Listed hurdle on his final start for Duggan (finished 2nd) where he stayed on strongly at the end. Steps up to 24f for the first time here which gives scope for improvement and he's 3lbs lower than his run last time and has a 5lbs claimer in the saddle so he's well handicapped too.
15:40 3:40 Punchestown
Desertmore House
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@+332
Lose
-50
2nd in this race last year and his Punchestown record stands at 4-3-2-1. This race so often goes to those who have gone well over these fences before and he comes here having been freshened up after the Cross Country at Cheltenham.
Subtotal-150
29 April 2026
18:05 6:05 Punchestown
Fact To File
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+187
Lose
-50
Missing Cheltenham could be key as his rivals here have had hard races including in the National whereas FTF comes here fresh. Bolted up in the Irish Gold Cup when last seen and if he turns up in that sort of form after his break I think he'll be very difficult to beat.
16:50 4:50 Punchestown
The Mourne Rambler
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@+175
Lose
-50
He was well on top in the Champion Bumper at Cheltenham and can continue the record winners have in following up here.
15:40 3:40 Punchestown
Quinta Do Lago
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@+800
Win
240
Finished 5th in the Fred Winter on handicap debut last time from a UK mark of 128 and is 2lbs lower here back in Ireland. That looks strong enough form with the 2nd running with credit in a Grade 1 next time and the 4th finishing 3rd at Aintree from 1lb higher. His trainer has won this 5 times since 2007 which is a rediculous strike rate for a smaller national hunt yard, and he has won here before. Cheekpieces retained and he's overpriced.
14:30 2:30 Punchestown
Thanksforthehelp
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+850
Lose
-50
Hasn't really challenged in 5 starts since winning this cosily last year which has seen his mark rise to 127 and then fall back to a mark of 119. A return to Punchestown could spark a revival in blinkers and the 4lbs claimer means he's essentially 1lb lower than that victory.
Subtotal90
28 April 2026
16:50 4:50 Punchestown
July Flower
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+2200
Lose
-50
I've always thought July Flower had plenty of stamina and was surprised to see her campaigned over around two miles, but then she did pick up a pair of wins over fences at the start of the season. Faded out of things when ridden from the front at Cheltenham last time and I'm hoping for a more patient ride at this trip as she got when winning a Grade 3 hurdle on her first start for the yard last year. She finished 3rd in a Grade 1 hurdle in France which came over 25f on heavy ground but has form on a quicker surface and I think can make the frame here.
16:15 4:15 Punchestown
Sober
Daily Racing
50 WINNAPR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@+450
Void
0
Sober was disappointing at Cheltenham but I'm happy to draw a line through that given it was a messy race and we've seen horses like No Drama This End already bounce back to win. Sober returns to the scene of his facile win two starts back and is fitted with the cheekpieces we've seen the Mullins yard use to good effect in the past. A top class animal including a Group 2 winner on the flat, he should be suited by the set up of the race with loads of pace on offer and has the assistance of Paul Townend in the saddle.
15:40 3:40 Punchestown
Washington
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@+4000
Lose
-50
His form tailed off sharply after winning on seasonal return and he's been given a break since. Comes here 1lb lower than that win back in October and has gone well in the past for the yard that won this race last year. He's a 10yo now and he's form is inconsistent but on a going day he's well handicapped and has back class including when travelling across the Irish Sea to win a Listed hurdle at Fairyhouse in December 2021, winning cosily from a mark of 121.
15:05 3:05 Punchestown
Almuhit
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@+900
Win
20
2nd in this race last year from 4lbs lower, he subsequently ran to a good level on the flat and on quick ground where he reached a high of 88. Not knocked around over hurdles this season, he outran his odds when finishing 2nd at 33/1 two starts back. Looks to have been laid out for this prize and can go well again.
Subtotal-80
26 April 2026
17:45 5:45 Musselburgh
Mister Bluebird
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@+850
Win
17
Three runs over C&D have seen him finish 1-2-3 and the race set up should suit him well with plenty of pace on offer. Should improve plenty for his reappearance on the AW when he was backable at any price and yard reach for the headgear.
Subtotal17
25 April 2026
15:30 3:30 Sandown
Resplendent Grey
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+1200
Lose
-50
Last years winner is 10lbs higher here having followed up with a win in a Listed chase. Underwhelming last few starts but the cheekpieces he wore to win this are back and I think he was value for more than the winning margin last year (jockey dropped his whip) in what looks a stronger race in similar conditions.
14:55 2:55 Sandown
Thistle Ask
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@+259
Lose
-50
Happy to take on the 10yo Jonbon who looks to need further these days and with the ground likely riding quick I fancy Thistle Ask can turn the tables on him which will be enough to win.
14:20 2:20 Sandown
Etalon
Daily Racing
25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@+800
Void
0
A really poor renewal and course form may come to the fore with Etalon who has won over these fences in the past. Won well at Ascot three starts back in first time cheekpieces over 19f and steps up in trip again here after being beaten the last twice. These fences favour horses that can get into a rhythm off the front and I expect him to be ridden that way under Champion conditional jockey Tristan Durrell.
13:45 1:45 Sandown
Way Of Stars
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@+1600
Lose
-50
4yos have a good record in this race, winning 3 of the 7 runnings from a limited sample size. Minella Yoga will have plenty of suitors but it's the David Pipe trained Way Of Stars that I fancy. Won on the flat from a mark of 84 and has taken well to hurdling since fitted with a hood the last twice, getting his nose in front last time on good ground at Taunton. The front three pulled well clear that day and the form looks strong with the 2nd winning an Ascot maiden since (from a subsequent winner) and the 3rd finishing 4th in a Listed hurdle next time. A mark of 115 looks well below his ceiling and although yard form is a concern he's too well handicapped to ignore.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-150
24 April 2026
16:00 4:00 Doncaster
Oh Yes You Do
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@+350
Lose
-50
Makes her handicap debut today from a mark of 69 which looks a fair starting point for a lightly raced filly. Still green when winning at Leicester in the autumn, she beat two next time out winners that day now rated 64 and 68. Stamina in the pedigree suggests the step up in trip will suit and with a winter under her belt I'd expect plenty of natural improvement from a filly that was still learning on the job as a juvenile.
14:25 2:25 Sandown
Almeric
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@+150
Lose
-50
King Of Cities looks the danger but Almeric beat him cosily on reappearance last year on just his third career start before meeting a setback. Won cosily on his reappearance in the autumn before finding Group 1 company too hot at Ascot on Champions Day. I don't think he's as ground dependant as his form suggests, but rather an interrupted career has seen him run in the spring or autumn so far. He's a way ahead of these on form and has the potential to improve again after just 5 career starts for a yard who have started the season in flying form.
Subtotal-100
18 April 2026
16:48 4:48 Ayr
Skerry Hill
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTETip made at odds of 4.00 on 17/04 at 21:380.00 deduction for Kershaw@51.00 withdrawn at 08:490.10 deduction for Sea Tempest @9.500 withdrawn at 13:130.00 deduction for Le Cold Grey @29.000 withdrawn at 13:47R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 3.00 x (1-0.1) = 3.70
@+270
Win
135
Won a heavy ground p2p before joining Gordon Elliot and extended readily to win his bumper in a first time hood. He'll he well suited by conditions here and his connections won this two years ago for a local owner so look to have lined this one up in a race which has been farmed by the Irish in recent years.
15:35 3:35 Ayr
Our Power
Daily Racing
25 EWNBR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@+2500
Void
0
6lbs lower than when 3rd in this race last year behind a Mullins pair and he's not been given a tough time this season with just 3 starts. Yard opt for first time blinkers replacing his usual cheekpieces and whilst the stable jockey has picked Katate Dori I think Our Power's proven course form can see him run well. There's not much pace in the race which might favour those who are ridden forward. Only question mark is the forecast rain and he's entered at Sandown should conditions turn heavy.
1 member found this comment useful
15:10 3:10 Newbury
Shout
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+900
Lose
-50
Caught on the wrong side in the Lincoln and had a rough passage, Shout can bounce back here from a mark 1lb lower. Progressive last season which saw him sign off with a 4th in the Balmoral as a 3yo and with another winter under his belt I fancy he can continue to make his mark in 8f handicaps. Stall 5 looks a plus with Classic going forward from stall 9 and Oisin Murphy takes the ride having won on him back in September and with the yard in good form.
14:20 2:20 Ayr
Tutti Quanti
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+450
Lose
-50
The falling rain is in Tutti Quanti's favour and although he's got to give away stacks of weight, I fancy he's better than 151 when conditions are in his favour. We've seen top weight win this before and he should have the class to make all under Harry Cobden on what will likely be very soft ground with more rain forecast.
13:45 1:45 Ayr
I Wish You
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 13.00 on 17/04 at 17:040.10 deduction for Califet En Vol@8.50 withdrawn at 07:270.00 deduction for Al Kalila @17.000 withdrawn at 10:050.00 deduction for Milcree @13.000 withdrawn at 11:110.20 deduction for Diamond Dealer @4.333 withdrawn at 13:25R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 12.00 x (1-0.3) = 9.40
@+839
Win
17
Just 3 starts over fences but seemed to click last time when getting up in the shadow of the posts to beat today's fav Diamond Dealer. That rival won since and although the selection is 1lb worst off today I think he was value for more than the short head. Yard were in flying form Friday and he can defy a 7lbs rise with soft ground to suit.
1 member found this comment useful
13:10 1:10 Ayr
Traprain Law
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@+500
Lose
-50
Pulled up in this race last year when the ground was too quick and he'll appreciate the easing ground which was riding soft on the Friday, with more rain forecast overnight. He won from a mark of 130 two starts back before finding 20f too far last time and will appreciate the drop back in trip here at a track he's gone well at in the past. Yard had a really strong day here Friday.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal2
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Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.
Please note that this information is for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as an indicator of a tipsters real life performance. The OLBG Tipster Competition is a simulation game and some of the rules and prices used by the tipsters may not always be available in the real world which can lead to misleading informaiton.
