c4stle

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c4stle's Tips History

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11 January 2026
12:50 12:50 Punchestown

Pure Steel

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@+300

Lose

-50

Improved for his reappearance (weak in the market) when winning here LTO. Former point-to-point winner who should be suited by the step up in trip. Represents connections that won this race two years ago with Spillanes Tower.
10 January 2026
15:32 3:32 Warwick

Lord Snootie

Daily Racing

25 EW

@+800

Void

0

Given a quiet run on his return after 400+ days off the track, he was never put into the race and can improve with that under his belt. Normally ridden forward, a mark of 122 leaves him well handicapped on old form. He's a proper stayer who will be happy when the ground turns heavy and can afford to win this qualifier rather than needing to worry about his mark.
15:21 3:17 Kempton

A Pai De Nom

Daily Racing

50 WINNB

@+450

Lose

-50

Hard to see the Skelton runner out of the frame, with the yard having won the last two renewals and A Pai De Nom having been laid out for this by his master trainer. Twice a winner at this trip, he won as expected at 16f last time but should appreciate stepping back up to 21f and continue his upward curve from the same mark (124).
1 member found this comment useful

King Of The Lake

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@+2000

Lose

-50

King of the Lake bounced back to form to get up at Chepstow last time for a yard that has turned their fortunes around. The front two pulled well clear that day, and the 7 lb claimer keeps the ride. Claiming jockeys are a huge positive in this race historically. A 5 lb rise looks OK, and he'll have conditions to suit.
1 member found this comment useful
14:55 2:55 Warwick

Mr Vango

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@+350

Void

0

Conditions look perfect for Mr Vango, with sticky heavy ground and a slog over 27f on offer. He was given 3 lbs for his reappearance, finishing 2nd to Twig, which sees him rated 155. With L'Homme Presse in the field, he will have a rare day off shouldering top weight and can dictate in this smallish field, which sees almost half running out of the handicap.
14:40 2:40 Kempton

Edwardstone

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@+400

Win

200

I'm keen to take on the favourite and, given the shape of the race, Edwardstone makes the most appeal. There's not much pace on offer, and we've seen him adopt front-running tactics before. He's in receipt of weight from all his rivals. Easily the best of these at his peak, he's now a 12-year-old, but his second in the Peterborough Chase LTO shows he retains plenty of ability.
1 member found this comment useful
13:52 1:52 Warwick

Wade Out

Daily Racing

50 WINNB

@+300

Void

0

Sets the standard with his two wins, both stacking up strongly, and the prospect of more to come, with just eight starts over hurdles and fences. Looks a proper stayer, and connections have always thought highly of him. He should be able to concede weight to these rivals.
12:55 12:55 Kempton

Leader In The Park

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@+332

Lose

-50

Drifting in the market but looks the one to beat. He ran really well on reappearance when just touched off from a mark of 128. The 3rd and 4th have won since, and he's just 4 lbs higher here at a track he's won at previously.
03 January 2026
15:05 3:05 Sandown

Gustavian

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@+400

Lose

-50

Yard have previous in this race, having won it last year and in 2020. The prospect of an easy lead at a course where jumping can be at a premium means he can defy an 8 lb rise for his Badger Beers win last time.
14:40 2:20 Lingfield

Westcombe

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@+100

Lose

-50

Unexposed and progressive, having won his last two when upped to 12f. 6 lbs higher here and stepping up in trip, neither of which should stunt his upward curve for a yard in form.
14:25 2:25 Sandown

Nurse Susan

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 3.75 used instead of 3.50 takenBOG

@+275

Win

137

Bounced back to form last time and still well handicapped on the potential she showed early in her career. Yard working back from the Coral Cup and she'll need to win this to qualify. Hard to see how she won't beat the Nicholls filly, who is receiving 2 lb.
13:50 1:50 Sandown

Jet Plane

Daily Racing

50 WINNB

@+250

Lose

-50

Jet Plane has been in fine form this season and can continue that in veteran company despite the 7 lb rise for his win LTO. Prior to that, he was 7th in the Grand Sefton, and he can make his class pay here for a Skelton team that are all about the prize money this season.
01 January 2026
14:35 2:35 Cheltenham

Lucky Place

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@+400

Lose

-50

The favourite needs to confirm he belongs in this company, whereas Lucky Place won this race last year. Although he didn't seem to get home in the Stayers' Hurdle, a return to 20f at Cheltenham on good ground looks ideal for him.
14:00 2:00 Cheltenham

Il Ridoto

Daily Racing

50 WINNB

@+550

Lose

-50

There's a serious amount of pace on offer, with Twinjets, Matata and Glengouly all wanting to get on with things. For that reason, it may pay to side with a hold-up horse, and Il Ridoto makes more appeal, having won over C&D and dropped to a mark of 139, which leaves him well handicapped even without the jockey's 7 lb claim. Good ground suits him well, and the yard have their horses in fine fettle.
1 member found this comment useful
13:25 1:25 Cheltenham

Jasmin De Grugy

Daily Racing

25 EW

@+600

Lose

-50

Never put into the race on seasonal return but should strip fitter for that effort when 4th at Newcastle. The bare effort looks strong, though, with the 1st and 3rd winning since, and the 2nd finishing 3rd in the Welsh National. Will like the quick ground and is well handicapped from an unchanged mark of 126 for a yard in good form.
1 member found this comment useful
31 December 2025
15:30 3:30 Lingfield

Lazzar

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@+350

Win

175

Looks well handicapped after his novice win LTO, with the runner-up winning since. Back at Lingfield, he can make his mark from an OR of 68.
15:13 3:13 Uttoxeter

Fortunefavorsdbold

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@+900

Lose

-50

Entitled to step forward for his reappearance, and the yard are in flying form, going at 40% over the last 14 days. Dropped 1 lb for his second-last run, but with Jack Tudor back in the saddle he's primed for a big effort.
15:00 3:00 Lingfield

Lady Manzor

Daily Racing

50 WINNB

@+225

Lose

-50

Progressive filly who can make her class pay and claim this prize on her return. Did the best of those off the pace last time and is drawn next to the front runner, so should get a better tow into things this time. Twice a C&D winner, she can make short work of a mark of 79 under her 7 lb claimer.
14:05 2:05 Punchestown

Ballyadam

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@+400

Lose

-50

Happy to take on the front two in the market, who both have to convince on a return to this sphere. Ballyadam claimed this prize last year and should be race fit after a spin on the AW. Since then, he finished 3rd in the Coral Cup from a mark of 151, and he can give 4 lbs and a beating to his market rivals.
14:00 2:00 Lingfield

Tyrrhenian Sea

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@+100

Lose

-50

Won this two years ago and finished a respectable 2nd to Royal Champion last year, who subsequently ran well in Group company, including bagging a Group 2 win. Nothing of that quality in this field today, and the step back up to 10f should suit.
13:52 1:52 Warwick

Koenigsstern

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@+550

Lose

-50

A drop in class and stable form are key to Koenigsstern's chances. He is stepping up in trip to 20f on his second start of the season. Lightly raced eight-year-old who won convincingly on his last start at this level (Class 5 handicap) from a mark of 104 and is 1 lb lower here, with the yard having two winners from their last three runners.
13:30 1:30 Lingfield

Clearpoint

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@+187

Lose

-50

A sprinter in rare form since dropped to 5f on the AW, and he won well under a penalty last time. Another 4 lb rise here, but he's thriving and should get race conditions to suit.
30 December 2025
20:00 8:00 Wolverhampton

Love Your Work

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@+1100

Lose

-50

Love Your Work can follow up his C&D win last time, having been well drawn in stall 2, which should suit his prominent running style. A 4 lb penalty means he's effectively running from a mark of 72, but he's won from that high previously and looks to have everything in his favour.
17:30 5:30 Wolverhampton

Coachello

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@+400

Lose

-50

A winner of this race following a similar break last year, a win that came from 3 lbs higher. Billy rides for his dad, needing two wins to break the record for most flat wins in a calendar year, and I'm sure, as such, they will have this one ready to go. Pace is low, so stall 5 should be fine for him.
15:05 3:05 Haydock

Jupiter Des Bordes

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@+400

Lose

-50

Effectively 13 lbs higher than his win LTO, given he's racing 4 lbs out of the handicap. That form looks good, with the 0.5L runner-up winning a novice by 20L next time out. Has improved for a trip and steps up another 4f here, with the yard having a winner yesterday, so clearly in good form.
29 December 2025
14:32 2:32 Leopardstown

Brighterdaysahead

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@+200

Lose

-50

Produced arguably her best performance when winning this race last year, and I'm happy to side with her given how the Mullins stable are running, even with a run under Lossiemouth's belt.
14:22 2:22 Newbury

Jurancon

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@+1100

Lose

-50

Well supported when ultimately disappointing on his seasonal return at Cheltenham, he was sent off 16/5 favorite but finished down the field. I'm happy to assume that was fitness rather than stamina that saw him beaten, and a return to Newbury is a positive for a horse who won here twice last season. The yard are in decent form, and a mark of 132 looks workable on a return to this track.
14:10 2:10 Doncaster

Spindleberry

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 2.20 used instead of 2.10 takenBOG

@+120

Win

60

Sets a clear standard here, being a Grade 1 novice winner at this trip when beating the boys. All her wins have come at right??'handed tracks, and she's untested this way around. Connections are unlikely to be sending her here for a jolly, and she can pick up this prize en route to the rest of her season.
13:50 1:50 Newbury

Kings Threshold

Daily Racing

50 WINNAPNOTETip made at odds of 5.50 on 28/12 at 09:530.15 deduction for Gericault Roque@5.50 withdrawn at 11:190.10 deduction for Minella Blueway @8.000 withdrawn at 07:210.10 deduction for Brave Kingdom @9.000 withdrawn at 12:39R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 4.50 x (1-0.35) = 3.93

@+292

Win

146

No horse older than 7 has won this since 2018, and even then it's rare enough. The eye was immediately drawn to River Cross; however, he was comprehensively beaten (5L) by Kings Threshold here last season, and a 3 lb swing doesn't look enough to change that. Gericault Roque is thrown in on his best form, but it's not certain he'll be ready to go after a break, so Kings Threshold is the selection. Three chase starts here have seen him finish 3-1-4, and the win came at just shy of this trip. Good ground will suit him better than most, and he's a strong selection.
1 member found this comment useful
13:15 1:15 Newbury

Jorebel

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@+125

Lose

-50

Front-runner Jorebel is thriving at the moment and can deny a 10 lb rise, having bolted up by 17 L on his second chase start. Yard in form, and the lack of pace on offer elsewhere means he should be able to dictate matters in this smallish field.
12:12 12:12 Leopardstown

Jalon Doudairies

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@+225

Lose

-50

Highly thought of, as evident when sent off favorite for the Champion Bumper in 2024. Long time off the track before reappearing at Cork, and he's entitled to improve for that run. That should make him the one to beat for a yard in form.
28 December 2025
15:05 3:05 Leopardstown

Son Of Anarchy

Daily Racing

50 WINNBR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@+500

Void

0

A rating of 128 leaves him with plenty of scope to win this prize en route to the final in March, and connections have previous. Unexposed as a staying hurdler, having maiden hurdle form which ties in with plenty of smart types, he then made a winning handicap debut last time from a mark of 118, pulling clear by 7.5L. He steps up in trip, having run well over 22f at Galway in the summer, and represents a yard in fine form.
14:30 2:30 Leopardstown

Gerri Colombe

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@+2000

Lose

-50

I'm keen to take on the top two in the market, who may not have today as their cup final. Whilst Fastorslow looks the main danger, I fancy Gerri Colombe to outrun his odds given the stable form. Off for 400+ days, but his record fresh reads 1-1-1-1-3, with the 3rd when seemingly amiss at Down Royal last autumn. Connections have openly suggested he's not a Gold Cup contender, meaning this prize becomes even more attractive. He was 2nd to Galopin in this two years ago, and conditions will suit.
13:55 1:55 Leopardstown

Home By The Lee

Daily Racing

25 EW

@+1000

Lose

-50

A winner of this race in two of the last three years, including when slamming future Stayers' Hurdle winner Bob Olinger by 6L last year. This is a stronger renewal, but his trainer knows how to ready horses and has his string in good form, having had Banbridge just touched off in the King George before Solness won his Grade 1 yesterday.
27 December 2025
14:50 2:50 Chepstow

Collectors Item

Daily Racing

25 EW

@+1000

Lose

-50

Finished 2nd in the trial last time, despite the jockey dropping the whip 2f from home. Goes well at Chepstow and, from the same mark, should be in the frame again.

Jubilee Express

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@+500

Lose

-50

Finished 2nd in this race last year on seasonal return from a mark of 126, and comes in this time around from a mark effectively 4 lbs higher after winning the trial here at the start of December. Will be ridden prominently, which is key to this race, and represents connections who excel with staying chasers. I'll be backing in a forecast with Collectors Item, who finished 2nd to the selection last time, having dropped the whip 2f out, and with a yard in form.
13:40 1:40 Chepstow

Macktoad

Daily Racing

50 WINNB

@+110

Lose

-50

Looks an exciting prospect for a yard that have won this twice, in 2021 and 2023, having dotted up on his stable debut last time.
12:30 12:30 Chepstow

Zambezi Fix

Daily Racing

25 EW

@+1100

Lose

-50

Seems to save his best for Chepstow, having not finished outside the top four on 13 completed starts over C&D. Won over fences at this meeting in 2023 from a mark of 120 and finished 2nd here in April over hurdles from 115. Respectable efforts this term, but his mark has dropped and he goes here from 111 and has conditions to suit.
26 December 2025
14:30 2:30 Kempton

Il Est Francais

Daily Racing

25 EW

@+1800

Lose

-50

Last year's second looks to have been forgotten in the market after a poor run for his new stable when pulled up last time. But this would always have been the target, and he bounced back from a bad effort when just pipped at the business end last term. He seems to excel at Kempton, having won the novice chase two years ago in impressive fashion before almost claiming this prize in 2024. Harry Cobden takes the ride, and I'd expect him to try to make all again. There are questions over the Mullins pair given stable form and a hard race last time out, whilst those stepping out of novice company have class to prove. His course-and-distance record arguably makes him the solid choice with three places on offer and conditions to suit.
13:35 1:35 Wetherby

Knappers Hill

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@+450

Lose

-50

Entitled to have needed his reappearance after 742 days off the track and was notably weak in the market. Had shown a good level over hurdles, being a multiple Grade 2 winner, and had impressed on his first two chase starts before his break, suggesting he would be at least as good in this discipline. With the run under his belt, a mark of 145 should leave him with at least 5 lbs in hand, if not more.
13:20 1:20 Kempton

Blueking Doroux

Daily Racing

50 WINNB

@+1000

Lose

-50

Wendigo may be the best of these, but I think this trip will be on the sharp side for what looks a thorough stayer. Blueking D'Oroux arguably sets the standard on hurdles form, being a multiple Grade 2 winner in open company, including beating Salver and Kitzbühel at Sandown in April. He has shown his best form on right-handed tracks, and although he's not translated his hurdles form to fences yet, he's been learning on the job and his trainer excels with chasers. He may get the chance to dictate from the front in this small field under Harry Cobden and will appreciate the sound surface. Overpriced.
22 December 2025
14:20 2:20 Huntingdon

Ambiente Friendly

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@+150

Lose

-50

Won despite his jumping last time, rallying strongly at the end to win by 0.5L. Rated as high as 118 on the flat (currently 105), his opening mark of 119 should be comfortably within his reach back at the track he won LTO.
20 December 2025
15:35 3:35 Ascot

Alexei

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@+350

Lose

-50

Has been slapped with a 13 lb rise for his Greatwood Hurdle win, having won his last two starts at this trip comfortably enough. He won last time in the style of a proper graded horse. That should mean he can defy a mark of 147, with similar horses having claimed this prize in recent years.

Joyeuse

Daily Racing

25 EW

@+1800

Lose

-50

Nicky Henderson won this with Luccia two years ago and has won it four times since 2007. Having bolted up in the Betfair Hurdle from a lowly mark of 123, Joyeuse was a shorter price in the Grade 1 Mares Hurdle in March (12/1) than she is here, reverting back to hurdles after failing to convince over fences. A mark of 140 looks workable for a mare still unexposed over the smaller obstacles.
15:00 3:00 Ascot

Victtorino

Daily Racing

25 EW

@+650

Lose

-50

Victtorino has won this race the last two years (marks of 142 and 143), and has an Ascot record of 4 wins from 5 starts over C&D. Respectable return at Newbury, which he should build on now the yard are fully firing, and a mark of 146 is the same as when winning here in February. Hard to see him out of the frame.
14:05 2:05 Haydock

Famous Bridge

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@+900

Lose

-50

His only poor run on six visits to Haydock, including two over C&D, came last time when he finished down the field from a mark of 138. He looked to weaken in the finish and should strip fitter for that run, with the yard in strong form (33% in the last 14 days). He has been dropped 3 lb, which sees him go in at the same mark as when winning this two years ago and 2 lb below when third last year. Falling rain will suit him more than most, and he looks overpriced if he bounces back.
12:40 12:40 Ascot

Firefox

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@+100

Lose

-50

Although he's not top on ratings, Firefox has a clear class edge to my eye, having been running with credit at the top table last season as a novice, and then returning with a cosy Grade 2 win last time. The yard is in good form, and he should be able to dominate this small field, particularly with Iroko surely having his sights set elsewhere.
13 December 2025
15:35 3:35 Cheltenham

Pretending

Daily Racing

25 EW

@+1600

Lose

-50

There's some unexposed types in here, but to my eye the solid option is Pretending, who was sent off 2nd favorite when only 8th in this race last year (122). Otherwise, her form figures at Cheltenham read 2-1-3. A mark of 119 looks fair, and she will strip fitter for her reappearance. Cheekpieces go back on, having worn them when 3rd at the April meeting from 2 lbs lower, and conditions will suit her well.
15:00 3:00 Cheltenham

Conman John

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@+175

Lose

-50

Really dominant last time over C&D, and he has to concede weight to his rivals. I fancy he has the class to do so, having asserted well to win going away. Conditions will suit, and we know the track does. He might be able to dictate with a lack of pace on offer.
14:25 2:25 Cheltenham

Triple Trade

Daily Racing

25 EW

@+750

Lose

-50

Bounced back to form last time when getting up to win here, having failed to get his nose in front last term. The season prior he won twice in quick succession, along with a series of placed efforts, and was rated as high as 138 (winner from 135), which leaves him still well handicapped in building on his victory over C&D last time. A 5 lb rise looks fair. Jockey jumps ship, but I think JPR One will struggle to give Triple Trade 25 lb.
1 member found this comment useful
14:05 2:05 Doncaster

Docpickedme

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@+450

Win

225

Something of a Doncaster specialist, with form figures of 1-2-1 from three runs over C&D. Just touched off by a neck in this race last year from a mark of 127. He duly obliged next time when beating The Changing Man from a mark 2 lbs higher, with that rival now rated 6 lbs higher. Has had a couple of spins this season to get him fit, and with conditions to suit he's weighted to go well on his return to Donny (129).
1 member found this comment useful
13:15 1:15 Cheltenham

Greyval

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@+1000

Lose

-50

Fergal has his novice chasers in fine form, as shown by Sixmilebridge bolting up yesterday. Although not in novice company, I fancy Greyval should be able to take this in her stride on her second chase start. She won two competitive races last spring and has picked up well again, finishing fifth in the Silver Trophy at Chepstow over hurdles before finishing second to Pic Roc when conceding loads of experience over fences LTO. Both runs have been franked, with the hurdles spin seeing NTO winners in second and fourth, and Pic Roc running a cracking race to finish fifth in the Coral Gold Cup from a mark of 135. A mark of 123 sees her give weight to plenty, but she is still massively unexposed. The trip and ground look ideal.
1 member found this comment useful

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