c4stle
National Hunt follower who is more profitable on the flat…
2
Estimated Prizes
this month
£10
Estimated Prize money
this month
c4stle's Tips History
16 August 2025
16:45 4:45 Newbury
Al Wasl Storm
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@6.00
Win
250
3yos have won both editions of this race and they're well represented towards the top of the market here. Preference is for Al Wasl Storm who makes his handicap debut after efforts in The Derby and the Group 2 Queens Vase at Royal Ascot. Prior to that he had won at Chester with the form working out well - the 2nd, 3rd, 4th and 6th have all won since, and three of those are now rated 90+. Al Wasl Storm had things his own way at Chester that date but still looks to have lots of scope from an opening mark of 86 for a yard still in good form.
1 member found this comment useful
16:37 4:37 Curragh
Puppet Master
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@2.25
Lose
-50
It's so difficult for the older horses to give the 3yos the weight at this point in the season and I think the 9lbs swing will be too much for the Mullins trained Absurde to overcome. Puppet Master was a no-show in the Derby but had won in a gritty manner the time before at Lingfield which suggested this extended trip could be ideal. He can claim this on the way to the St Leger.
15:20 3:20 Ripon
Grant Wood
Daily Racing
25 EW
@13.00
Lose
-50
Grant Wood was impressive when winning the Silver Cup consolation race here last year, pulling clear of the field to win as he liked. That came from a mark of 80 and he's 4lbs higher today but I'm sure this will have been the plan some way out and he was given a quiet time of things over C&D last time. Plenty of pace on offer means his draw and hold up style should suit, as will the ground having won on good to firm in the past. Yard are in good form (20%+ last 14 days) and he seems sure to run a good race.
1 member found this comment useful
15:00 3:00 Newbury
Documenting
Daily Racing
25 EW
@23.00
Lose
-50
A return to Newbury can see Documenting return to his best, having won this race in 2022 from a mark of 99 and then a close 3rd last year from 94 under a 5 lbs claimer. He's been running well enough this year, including 0.75L 4th two starts back, but has dropped to a mark of 85. With a 3 lbs claimer in the saddle, he's undoubtedly well handicapped even at the age of 12.
14:45 2:45 Ripon
Kings Merchant
Daily Racing
25 EW
@12.00
Lose
-50
These consolation races generally go to horses at the top of the handicap who have been lined up for the main event but not made the cut. Of those, Fortamour makes appeal but has been beaten in this the last two years, and preference instead is for Kings Merchant, who has form which ties in closely with that horse. A close 2nd on his only visit to Ripon from a mark of 80, he hasn't reached the heights of his form last year in 2022 since joining his new yard, but last time out was a positive step when finishing a never nearer 8th when meeting lots of trouble in running. A wide draw has historically been no issue in these 6f sprints at Ripon, and he looks overpriced based on his form from last year when he was rated as highly as 87 - now rated 76.
1 member found this comment useful
14:25 2:25 Newbury
Getreadytorumble
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@5.00
Lose
-50
Jack Channon won this with a 3yo two starts back and looks to have a strong chance of repeating the feat with top weight Getreadytorumble who goes from a mark of 90. That's unchanged from his 2nd at Goodwood last time when he couldn't get to the winner but he'll be suited by the ground conditions and with a more positive ride can make amends from the same mark.
14:05 2:05 Newmarket
Strike
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@15.00
Lose
-50
Strike is a staple of this unique race, with form figures of 1-6-2 in three efforts. Won from a mark of 67 three years ago on the quickest ground he's experienced here, and his neck 2nd last year came from a mark 8 lbs higher. Back down to a mark of 72 this time, and with a claimer in the saddle, he's essentially running from 67 again, so weighted to go well.
13:50 1:50 Newbury
Pinhole
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@3.00
Lose
-50
Looks a poor enough renewal, with none of the field having claimed a Group prize yet. Pinhole is the obvious eye-catcher, having been sent off as the favorite two starts back to win the Group 2 Queen's Vase over 14f. Disappointed that day (8th of 15) but lacked experience and put that run behind him when winning in handicap company last time from a mark of 98, pulling away from the field by 5.5L in first-time cheekpieces. That came over 12f, and he steps up to 13f here, but in receipt of the 3yo allowances and with the headgear retained, I'd be surprised if he didn't go off much shorter as he looks the obvious Group horse in here.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-100
15 August 2025
15:15 3:15 Epsom Downs
Kisskodi
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@4.00
Lose
-50
Kisskodi was sent off favorite last time but ran too bad to be true when upped in trip on ground potentially softer than ideal, and pulling too hard from a wide draw. Back to 6f and back to the track where he won two starts back, a mark of 79 (6 lbs higher than that day) looks workable.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-50
13 August 2025
16:30 4:30 Salisbury
Azaniya
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@5.50
Lose
-50
3-year-olds have a good record in this, although the older horses have been successful the last two times, including a shock 50/1 winner last year. Half the field are 3-year-olds here, but preference is for the Owen Burrow-trained Azaniya, who is unbeaten in two starts this year. She bolted up by 7.5L on her first start on quick ground before a less convincing win on handicap debut last time, which came on a soft surface. I think she's better than that, and a return to ground with 'firm' in the description can yield results, with the form of her rout two starts back being franked by the second, who has won convincingly herself since. The yard continues to roll at 40% in the last 14 days, and her wide draw has historically been a positive too.
2 members found this comment useful
15:30 3:30 Salisbury
Morris Dancer
Daily Racing
50 WINNBNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 2.10 used instead of 2.00 takenBOG
@2.10
Win
55
The money is coming for the Clive Cox runner who was touched off in a Listed race last time, but preference is for the Gosden colt who himself finished just a short head 2nd last time, that coming in a Group 2 at Goodwood. He was weak in the betting that day and ran green but still rallied to finish behind a good horse that had already won a Group 2 the time before, so the form looks plenty strong enough. Steps up to 8f today and represents owners who have won this in three of the last four years - he's the one to beat.
Subtotal5
12 August 2025
16:07 4:07 Lingfield
Charming Princess
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@2.10
Lose
-50
Ralph Beckett won this race last year and looks to have every chance of repeating the feat with Charming Princess. Just touched off by a William Haggas colt who ran well in a Goodwood handicap from a mark of 93, she got her win last time at Pontefract. Handicap debut today, and should have a strong chance from an opening mark of 84.
Subtotal-50
11 August 2025
15:00 3:00 Ayr
Jannas Journey
Daily Racing
50 WINNAPNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@2.00
Win
50
Jannas Journey made all for another impressive win last time out, and 6 lbs doesn't look enough to stop her from following up again. She will be happy to take a lead. Electric Lightening made all to get his win last time, and the drop back to 7f is no issue at this track she clearly enjoys.
Subtotal50
10 August 2025
15:45 3:45 Haydock
Gincident
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@5.50
Lose
-50
The drop in grade is key to Gincident's chances, having been running really well with hood and tongue tie fitted. Winning twice and finishing 2nd in a big field handicap before a disappointing effort last time when upped in grade on soft ground at Yarmouth. Back down to a Class 4 here and on a quicker surface, he can continue to impress from a mark of 83 - 1 lb higher than his previous career best.
15:05 3:05 Deauville
Woodshauna
Daily Racing
25 EWNAPNOTETip made at odds of 10.00 on 09/08 at 22:26 Best Odds Guaranteed SP 12 used instead of 10.00 taken BOG
@13.00
Win
35
Lazzat is top quality and won this last year, so has to be feared. However, if he's off his game, it's likely to be one of the 3-year-olds who can capitalize, and preference is for Woodshauna. Winner of the Group 1 Jean Prat last time, he beat Commonwealth Cup winner Time For Sandals over 6f the time before, which looks strong form. 6.5f should be ideal, and ground softer than good will suit well. He could spring a shock on his way to another Group 1 win at Ascot in October.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-15
09 August 2025
17:12 5:12 Lingfield
Autumns Breeze
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@1.57
Win
28
Cheekpieces seemed to make the difference 7 days ago when winning here under today's claimer. Headgear retained, a 7lbs rise shouldn't stop her winning again.
16:00 4:00 Curragh
Gstaad
Daily Racing
50 WINNBR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@2.20
Void
0
No reason why he shouldn't uphold the form with True Love having beaten the filly comfortably enough on his racecourse debut when conceding experience and first run. Bolted up in the Coventry Stakes from which the 3rd easily won the Group 2 Richmond over 6f at Goodwood. Form stacks up and he's the one to beat.
15:55 3:55 Ascot
Tenability
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 2.75 used instead of 2.62 takenBOG
@2.75
Win
87
Horses at the top of the handicap have farmed this race in recent years, which shows it's a competitive race but also that class comes to the fore. Tenable is still unexposed after winning easily over C&D on his first handicap start from an opening mark of 81. A 7lbs rise doesn't look harsh, and with the yard in strong form (34% last 14 days), he can follow up.
1 member found this comment useful
15:40 3:40 Newmarket
Dance To The Music
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 3.75 used instead of 2.38 takenBOG
@3.75
Win
137
Some good horses have won this, with the last two both being subsequent Guineas winners. Hard to say at this stage if any will be to that level, but Dance To The Music asserted readily when winning here last time and should be suited by the step up to 7f, being by Dubawi out of a mare who won Group races at this trip.
1 member found this comment useful
15:20 3:20 Ascot
Prince Of India
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@4.33
Win
166
Holds a Group 1 Champion Sprint entry, and if good enough for that company, should be able to win this prize. A mark of 98 represents an 11 lbs rise for his win last time, but he asserted easily and won by 3.25L that day. Prior to that, he finished 2nd to Hucklesbrook, who himself won next time and is now rated 15 lbs higher. Prince Of India should have won that day, having found trouble in running, and looks to still have plenty in hand in a race where favorites have a strong record, with many using this as a stepping stone to bigger things.
2 members found this comment useful
15:00 3:00 Haydock
Royal Dubai
Daily Racing
50 WINNAPNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@5.00
Win
200
Royal Dubai was really impressive stepping up in trip on his first start for Owen Burrows, who continues to be in red-hot form (4 winners from the last 8 runners). He had posted decent form at around 8f, but his win last time was a career-best, and Callum Rodriguez retains the ride. He steps up in class here, but he's officially top-rated and would enjoy drying conditions. Dettori doesn't look like one to be trusted, and I think Haatem's class got him through at Ascot rather than confirming he stays this trip.
1 member found this comment useful
14:25 2:25 Haydock
Sunfall
Daily Racing
25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@12.00
Void
0
This doesn't look as strong a contest as normal. Although Shudawi is undoubtedly a class filly, she would do well to win this on her way back from a longer break, having just one run this season. Her trainer is adamant she will improve for it after problems at home. Sunfall has some good back form, including winning a Listed race as a 2-year-old and a win over 7f on her only visit here. I'm happy to forgive her reappearance, which came in a Group 3 at a tricky track (Epsom), and the tongue tie going on suggests they think she's better than that effort. I didn't expect her to be a double-figure price, and with doubts over the favourite for this race today, she's next clear on OR, so she has to have a better chance than the betting suggests back down in grade.
2 members found this comment useful
Subtotal618
07 August 2025
19:30 7:30 Chepstow
Existent
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@7.50
Lose
-50
Not the easiest horse to win with, but he's consistent. I fancy the drop in class can help him to get back in the winner's enclosure. His 3rd in the Epsom Dash two starts back is the best form on offer, with the winner JM Jungle winning a Group 2 sprint at Goodwood last week and the 2nd placed horse claiming Listed honours next time. Existent was only 5th at Yarmouth last time but will be suited by the quicker surface here. Having been dropped another 2 lbs, running in a Class 4 handicap, I think his class can pay with the stable in a decent run of form.
Subtotal-50
05 August 2025
18:05 6:05 Newbury
Miss Cartesian
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@2.20
Lose
-50
Looks much the best of these on her handicap debut for a yard in flying form after Goodwood. A mark of 85 looks well below her ceiling after winning a couple of novice races, with her only defeat behind Showering (now rated 90) on ground which may have been softer than ideal.
Subtotal-50
03 August 2025
15:52 3:52 Chester
Celandine
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@3.50
Lose
-50
Celandine was not far below top class as a juvenile, beating the future Group 1 Commonwealth Cup winner Time For Sandals by a neck in the Group 2 Lowther at York. Also claimed a Listed prize, but soft ground was her potential undoing in the Cheveley Park Stakes. Good reappearance in the Group 3 Summer Stakes 23 days ago, and this is an easier task. With the plum draw (stall 2), prominent tactics, and with race fitness under her belt, she should be good enough to win this en route to bigger prizes later this year.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-50
02 August 2025
15:05 3:05 Goodwood
Apollo One
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@21.00
Lose
-50
Apollo One has finished 2nd in the last two renewals, his only visits to Goodwood. Those came from marks of 100 and 102, and although he's a full 5 lbs higher this year, that's due to his Group 3 win on soft ground at Ascot in October and respectable efforts this year. The widest draw looks a positive based on previous years, and with Get It drawn next door, he should get a strong pace to aim at. That's last year's 1-2 and worth a forecast again given he's also in rare form. The jockey takes off 7 lbs, which effectively means he's racing from 100, although the lack of experience is a worry. We've seen good weight-carrying performances in this in recent years, including Summerghand winning from 108, and I fancy another could be on the cards here.
2 members found this comment useful
14:30 2:30 Goodwood
Waardah
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@7.50
Win
325
I'm looking to take on the two 6yos at the top of the market and Waardah was really impressive here last time when stepping up to 10f for the first time. Stretched away from her rivals that day in the last furlong to win going away by 2.75L. There's bags of stamina in her pedigree, with her sire and grand sire both winning Group 1s at 12f including both at Epsom which requires a well balanced horse, and the step up in trip should find further improvement. She will relish any soft in the ground and her shrewd trainer has a track record of targeting and winning these big prizes.
2 members found this comment useful
13:55 1:55 Goodwood
Dancing In Paris
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@11.00
Win
25
Dancing In Paris has run well at Goodwood before, with his worst course run coming in this race last year when too far back and never in contention. Ridden more positively in his two other visits, he has finished 3rd and 2nd, including three starts back when 0.5L behind French Master, which looks solid form. He has been running well without winning recently, including 2nd in the Northumberland Plate, and creeping up the handicap as a result, resulting in a career-high mark today of 92. With a more positive ride in conditions which will suit and a track he clearly enjoys, I think he's overpriced.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal300
01 August 2025
15:45 3:45 Goodwood
Haunted Dream
Daily Racing
50 WINR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@7.00
Void
0
Excuses last time when badly hampered and not given a hard time of things. Putting a line through that, he looks overpriced having won this last year and finished a close 2nd on his only other visit to Goodwood.
15:05 3:05 Goodwood
Jm Jungle
Daily Racing
25 EWNAPNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@29.00
Win
840
We've seen this season how little there is between top handicappers and the Group horses at sprint distances, with American Affair winning the Group 1 sprint at Royal Ascot having beaten JM Jungle by 1L (giving away 5lbs) two starts prior. This Group 2 contest looks open enough, particularly with the ground turning heavy, and as such a horse that handles both track and conditions and rarely runs a poor race looks a wise choice. Stall 1 should be no inconvenience with pace from stall 2 and the 2nd favorite in stall 3 / favorite in stall 6. Former C&D winner who was a winner on soft ground (unraced on heavy).
1 member found this comment useful
14:30 2:30 Goodwood
Dutch Decoy
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@19.00
Lose
-50
Dutch Decoy has finished 3rd and 2nd in the last two renewals, from marks of 93 and 90 respectively. A winless 2024 and spring of 2025 saw him drop to a mark of 77 before the cheekpieces were fitted to good effect, winning his last two races. He's 4 lbs well in under a 6 lbs penalty, which sees he's effectively racing off 84, so well weighted to run well in a race he clearly enjoys. Does need a couple to come out to get a run, but the falling rain and likely going change mean that's more than likely, and stall 8 looks a good draw with pace from Mirsky in stall 6. Headgear retained, I expect another strong effort.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal790
31 July 2025
20:45 8:45 Wolverhampton
Wadacre Gomez
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@SP
Lose
-50
Former course and distance winner, 3 lbs below his last winning mark. Overpriced if putting it all together here today at Wolverhampton
20:15 8:15 Wolverhampton
Koy Koy
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@19.00
Lose
-50
Loves it here and although recent form is below par it would be no surprise to see him bounce back.
19:15 7:15 Wolverhampton
Queens Guard
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@15.00
Lose
-50
Eye catching debut for the yard last time and her record on the all weather means she has to be respected.
17:30 5:30 Goodwood
Atherstone Warrior
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@29.00
Lose
-50
The yard won this two years ago, and Atherstone Warrior looks to have been laid out to repeat the feat. Ran for Alice Haynes as a 2-year-old before switching to Gary Moore, and had run well at Epsom in the Woodcote when finishing 4th in first-time blinkers. Finished 3rd over C&D on his first start for this yard, held up and never put into the race. Mark unchanged here (78) and a better race, but the yard loves to have winners at Goodwood - 17% strike rate and +£67 LSP last three years - and this one looks massively overpriced.
16:30 4:30 Galway
Tounsivator
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@17.00
Lose
-50
4yo have won the last two runnings and the fav has to be respected but it's hard to tell if he's been laid out for this since Cheltenham or that form isn't quite as good as first glance. Preference is for Tounsivator who beat Romeo Coolio in the Grade 2 Royal Bond back in December and has since been plying his trade in large field handicap hurdles without hitting the frame. Both his wins last season came on right handed tracks and today marks the first time he's gone that way round since, and with Harry Cobden in the saddle he must have a strong chance for a trainer who has (predictably) done well in this race previously.
15:05 3:05 Goodwood
Whirl
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@2.38
Win
69
I can see Whirl going off odds on in receipt of weight from the older horses, having already beaten Arc favourite Kaplana LTO, albeit over a trip too short for that rival. Prior to that she should have arguably beaten Minnie Hauk in the Oaks but looks well suited by this 10f. Ground versatile, she's the class filly in this field.
1 member found this comment useful
13:55 1:55 Goodwood
Maximized
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@6.00
Lose
-50
Well below par last time but prior to that had comfortably beaten Havana Hurricane in the Woodcote Stakes showing he can handle an undulating track. Cheekpieces go on today and his trainer is 30%+ in that first time headgear whilst his draw and prominent running style should both suit this race.
1 member found this comment useful
13:20 1:20 Goodwood
High Degree
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@12.00
Lose
-50
William Haggas won this race last year and can repeat the feat with High Degree, who is rated 93. Sent off 1/2 last time, he only won a maiden by a head, but the front two pulled well clear, and the runner-up has won since. Meanwhile, the distant 3rd and 4th have both finished 2nd next time. Finished behind Hymnbook on debut and 3 lbs worse off today, but he should have improved plenty since then. If Tom Marquand can give him the same ride as Ashariba on Wednesday (taken forward from a wide draw), he should have race conditions in his favor and potential from this opening mark.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-281
30 July 2025
18:40 6:40 Galway
Common Practice
Daily Racing
25 EW
@21.00
Lose
-50
Joseph O'Brien has some strong chances including the fav but I fancy Common Practice could claim this prize. He's run just 4 times over fences, winning twice including beating High Class Hero off level weights in a Grade 3 novice at Thurles - that rival rated 148 after finishing 3rd in the Sandown Gold Cup. Ran well at Punchestown after to finish 4th behind Sea Music (reopposes today) when carrying top weight and since shown his well-being with a 3rd on the flat at the Curragh. Has run well at Galway before and a mark of 141 looks to have potential; normal cheekpieces are replaced by blinkers today and with trip and ground ideal I'm expecting a big effort.
16:55 4:55 Goodwood
Blue Prince
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@21.00
Lose
-50
Blue Prince won this as a 3-year-old last year from a mark of 89, pulling clear of Billyjoh by 1.25L. He's since taken his Goodwood record to 3-1-3, all in competitive 7f handicaps, which saw him later finish behind Qirat (now 10lbs higher) and Witness Stand (won the G2 Lennox Stakes on Tuesday) from a mark of 93. He has been running on the AW over the winter/spring without winning but will appreciate a return to turf and particularly Goodwood turf. A mark of 90 today leaves him well handicapped, and although the yard is cold, they have shown in the past they are great target trainers.
15:45 3:45 Goodwood
Wonder Star
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@8.50
Lose
-50
The form of her reappearance win at Ascot looks really strong, coming away by 3L from a horse now rated 106 after a pair of subsequent victories. Wonder Star was pitched into a Listed contest just 8 days later and didn't show anywhere near the same form, but that came quickly and she's been freshened up since. A mark of 82 on handicap debut looks well below her ceiling, and with the yard going at 34% in the last 14 days, she should hold a strong chance. I presume Tom Marquand can't do the weight (he rides Arishiba), so Saffie Osborne comes in.
1 member found this comment useful
14:30 2:30 Goodwood
Lady Iman
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@2.80
Win
90
Arguably her best effort came over 5f when beating subsequent Queen Mary and Railway Stakes winner True Love by 1.25L. She then won a Group 3 over 6f at Naas before finding one too good in a Group 2 over 6f at the Curragh. The step back to 5f looks positive, and with the best form on offer, she can get back into the winner's enclosure.
1 member found this comment useful
13:55 1:55 Goodwood
Arabian Dusk
Daily Racing
25 EW
@17.00
Lose
-50
3-year-olds to the fore for this contest, which they've claimed in each of the last three renewals. Plenty have chances, and I've tipped Formal as a win bet, but Arabian Dusk also has a massive chance on the pick of her 6f form. Finished a short head 2nd to Symbol Of Honor in the Group 2 Sandy Lane and put a disappointing Royal Ascot effort (ground too quick?) behind her when 4th at York last time. At the weights, she's clear on official ratings, and I'm happy to forgive her only effort at 7f, which came on seasonal reappearance when fitness might have told more than stamina.
1 member found this comment useful
Formal
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@10.00
Lose
-50
3-year-olds have had a tight grip on this race recently, winning the last three renewals. There are a few in here with chances, including Tabiti, Arabian Dusk, and Formal. Preference is for the former, who ran poorly last time out in open company against the boys, but prior to that had won the Surrey Stakes at Epsom pretty cosily, with the runner-up winning herself next time out (reopposes here). Andrew Balding hasn't claimed this prize yet but has a great strike rate at Goodwood. She looks well drawn in stall 5 next to last year's first past the post, Jabaara, and will love the ground, including any more rain that falls.
1 member found this comment useful
13:20 1:20 Goodwood
Sudu
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@5.50
Lose
-50
Sing Us A Song is a warm favourite, but I fancy Sudu can upset the apple cart for Roger Varian, who has won this twice in the last four years. Sudu was given an 11 lbs rise for his emphatic win at Epsom last time out over this trip, and with the 2nd winning by 2L last week, he's due to go up another 2 lbs, leaving him well in here. Handled the Epsom undulations well and won with any amount in hand, having had excuses when beaten on seasonal return. Heavy rain would be a potential question mark, but he looks a fair price to enhance the stable record.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-210
29 July 2025
16:20 4:20 Goodwood
Naval Light
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@2.62
Lose
-50
Karl Burke was bemoaning the fact that Naval Light had to run over 5f in the Norfolk Stakes due to Wathnan having plenty of horses for the Coventry over 6f. He ran well that day to finish 8th having been slowly away and this represents a significant drop in grade back into maiden company. Gets 6f today and with the yard in strong form I think there's every chance he goes off shorter than the 13/8 currently on offer.
15:05 3:05 Goodwood
Illinois
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@2.50
Lose
-50
This is a much more suitable test for Illinois than the Gold Cup trip LTO, having posted his best efforts at around 14-15f. Still managed to finish a good 2nd at Ascot, 7L clear of the 3rd, and with the step back in trip expected to suit massively, he's the clear form pick.
14:30 2:30 Goodwood
Jonquil
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@3.75
Lose
-50
Andrew Balding trained Sandrine to win this as a 3-year-old in 2022, and Jonquil hasn't had a too dissimilar prep, having been contesting Group 1s over distances varying between 6-8f. His run in the French Guineas looks really strong, and although he wasn't able to lay up over 6f last time, 7f looks like it could be ideal. Enough pace on offer without the prospect of a burn-up, and I think he's a Group 1 horse over 7-8f who should be good enough to claim this Group 2 at this stage of his career.
1 member found this comment useful
13:20 1:20 Goodwood
Tony Montana
Daily Racing
25 EW
@12.00
Lose
-50
Tony Montana was 3rd in this race last year from a mark 4 lbs lower and finished 2nd here on seasonal reappearance, taking his Goodwood record to 4-3-2 from three visits. His York 2nd two starts back from a mark of 96 was arguably a career best, and I'm happy to forgive a poor run over an inadequate trip last time with cheekpieces fitted. Headgear back off today, and he clearly enjoys it at the track. A mark of 98 should be within his reach, and he's potentially well drawn between two of the pace angles in the race. Back up to 10f, he should go well.
Subtotal-200
Tips are normally be settled by 12pm the day after the event took place.
Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.
Please note that this information is for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as an indicator of a tipsters real life performance. The OLBG Tipster Competition is a simulation game and some of the rules and prices used by the tipsters may not always be available in the real world which can lead to misleading informaiton.
