c4stle
1
Estimated Prizes
this month
£15
Estimated Prize money
this month
c4stle's Tips History
21 February 2026
16:05 4:05 Kempton
Bad
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@+250
Lose
-50
3 from 3 at Kempton with two wins over C&D. Won here in October from a mark of 138 before running with credit when 5th in the Paddy Power at Cheltenham (145). Two spins at Ascot since ??" he finished 2nd last time ??" but this return to Kempton is the key. He won well enough on his last start here to suggest 144 is plenty within reach.
15:35 3:35 Kempton
Katate Dori
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@+550
Lose
-50
Katate Dori bolted up in this race last year from a mark of 125, winning by 15L. Never in the Coral Gold Cup when always behind and finishing well for sixth, clearly with a different prize in mind. Then finished 0.5L second last time, which was another step towards his peak. He's 11 lbs higher this time but enjoys Kempton and should be well suited by the makeup of the race, which sees lots of forward goers. His trainer has won this twice in the last four years and is a master at targeting races.
15:15 3:15 Fairyhouse
Intense Raffles
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+2000
Lose
-50
A chance is taken on Intense Raffles, who pulled up on his last two starts: first in the Welsh National and then in a heavy-ground Thyestes. His run in the Coral Gold Cup prior to that was OK, finishing eighth. I think a return to Fairyhouse is key for a horse who is 3 from 4 here (including an easy Irish National win), with his only defeat coming when he was a neck second to the subsequent Grand National winner in this race last year. Cheekpieces and a return to this track are enough for me to keep the faith.
Subtotal-150
14 February 2026
16:30 4:30 Haydock
Unexpected Party
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 4.00 used instead of 2.88 takenBOG
@+300
Win
150
Confirmed his class in this sphere when winning easily on his hunter chase debut. He should set a marker by following up here ahead of the Cheltenham Festival. He was 10 lbs better than Shearer under rules, and I see no reason why that form should be turned around here.
15:50 3:50 Haydock
Stay Away Fay
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+1400
Lose
-50
Seems to have found some sort of form last time when second over C&D in first-time blinkers. He led throughout before being short of room at the business end and getting pipped for the win. Raised 4 lbs for that, but a mark of 140 is massively below his peak if the headgear works the trick again. The ground was soft for his Grade 1 win in the Albert Bartlett as a novice, so he clearly won in mind conditions. Could simply be too good if on a going day.
1 member found this comment useful
15:15 3:15 Haydock
Git Maker
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+1100
Lose
-50
Happy to draw a line through the Welsh National where many didn't run their race, and he's well handicapped on previous form, including 2nd in the Kim Muir (beaten by a future Gold Cup winner) from 132 and 3rd in the Scottish National from 133. Glimpses was 4th last year from effectively 9 lb higher in this race and should be better suited by the very soft ground, with a yard remaining in strong form.
1 member found this comment useful
Myretown
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@+275
Lose
-50
Has flattered to deceive this term after bolting up in the Ultima at Cheltenham and looking every inch a graded horse. Fell on seasonal return, and then jumping lacked fluency here last time. The yard bounced back to form with three winners at Kelso yesterday, and Myretown can continue their hot streak with soft ground and a potentially soft lead, both to suit from a mark of 142.
1 member found this comment useful
15:00 3:00 Ascot
Sam Brown
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+2200
Lose
-50
This doesn't look the strongest contest to me, and the cream could rise to the top with 14-year-old Sam Brown. Won at Newbury last March from a mark of 152 under today's claimer (10 lb claim then) and then ran well at Aintree. Respectable return in November, and runs here from a mark of 154 with Chad Bemant claiming 7. Sets the standard in a field where half are 10 or older, and the younger rivals don't look to have loads in hand. Won here on his last visit and can roll back the years.
1 member found this comment useful
14:40 2:40 Haydock
Tashkhan
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@+2800
Win
115
A chance is taken on Tashkhan, who was pitched in at the deep end at a trip far short of what he should need LTO, finishing 5th to Old Park Star over 15.5f. He was a dour stayer of real quality on the flat, finishing 2nd in the Group 2 Long Distance Cup on Champions Day and twice 3rd in heavy-ground Group 1s at Longchamp. Staying trips on heavy ground should suit him to a tee, and he can spring a surprise with his huge class edge.
1 member found this comment useful
14:05 2:05 Haydock
Beauport
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@+1100
Lose
-50
Can't be soft enough for last year's 2nd Beauport, who was beaten by the Skelton runner Gwennie May Boy and arguably faces a tougher task here. He should be well suited by the conditions. Showed enough last season to suggest he can compete in a Grade 2 hurdle, and his yard is in strong form.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal15
07 February 2026
16:45 4:45 Warwick
Popton Point
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 7.00 used instead of 4.33 takenBOG
@+600
Win
300
Crept through the field and stayed on well to win on her debut last time. The front two were 3 lengths clear of the rest. That was on soft ground, and the runner-up has won since. Although she has a penalty here, she sets the standard the rest need to reach.
15:55 3:55 Newbury
U Cant Be Serious
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+2500
Lose
-50
Seems underestimated for last year's winning yard, likely because of his poor effort at Kempton last time, which I'm happy to forgive. Prior to that, he defeated Donnacha at Exeter. That horse has since won at Cheltenham on Trials Day from 4 lbs higher. He also defeated Barlovento on chase debut at the same venue, with that rival now 8 lbs higher. He has untapped potential at staying trips, and the yard think he'll appreciate the soft conditions, so I think he's underestimated from a mark of 130.
15:20 3:20 Newbury
Faivoir
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@+4000
Win
175
The Skeltons look to have laid out Let In Rain for this, and she has every chance. But 5/2 is no price for me in a race like this. I'm happy to chance their second string, Faivoir, who comes into his own this type of year. He is ground versatile and won't mind the conditions. He finished 5th in this race last year from a mark of 137 under today's 7 lb claimer and followed that up with a nose second in the Imperial Cup from 1 lb lower. He arrives here on a mark of 132, undoubtedly well handicapped even as an 11-year-old, and is overpriced at 40/1.
1 member found this comment useful
14:25 2:25 Warwick
Knappers Hill
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@+332
Lose
-50
Simply put, I think Knappers Hill is at least a 5 lbs better horse than Le Milos and potentially has plenty in hand after two encouraging runs following a long layoff. Prior to that, he was rated 153, having been a multiple Grade 2 winner over hurdles and novice chasing. With the yard in flying form, he can get back to the winning post.
1 member found this comment useful
14:10 2:10 Newbury
Haiti Couleurs
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@-120
Win
41
Looks very much an Irish Gold Cup contender, having won both the Irish and Welsh Nationals, latterly from a mark of 154. Simply better than these and I expect him to go off much shorter.
13:50 1:50 Warwick
Steel Ally
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+110
Win
55
The money is coming for the Pauling horse, but I think he has a lot on his plate to beat Steel Ally, who has been impressive in transferring his hurdles form to the larger obstacles. Plenty of form with cut in the ground, suggesting conditions won't be an issue. The form of his win LTO looks strong, with the 3rd and 4th winning since (2nd must have a chance in the Jack Richards at Cheltenham). A drop back in trip is no issue given the heavy ground, and he had some good form around 16f over hurdles last season.
13:15 1:15 Warwick
Flying Fortune
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@+800
Lose
-50
I have doubts that Jubilee Alpha is that genuine, but she holds the 2nd and 3rd favourites on form. Preference, though, is for Flying Fortune, who was last seen bolting up in the Grade 2 Persian War Novice Hurdle at Chepstow, winning by 8.5L on soft ground, which she seems to enjoy. Off the track since (484 days), but her yard can ready one off a layoff, and I'm sure they have loftier aspirations for this mare at the spring festivals.
Subtotal421
02 February 2026
16:05 4:05 Leopardstown
Battle Of Ridgeway
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+1000
Lose
-50
9 lbs higher than his win last time, but he was well on top at the line in conditions similar to today. The form of that run looks strong, with the third winning twice from higher marks. His trainer had success yesterday in the bumper (albeit in a slightly fortunate manner), so he clearly has his small string in excellent form.
15:30 3:30 Leopardstown
Galopin Des Champs
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@+187
Lose
-50
Galopin always needs his first start of the season, so I'm happy to draw a line through his third behind Affordale Fury last time out, where he traveled strongly into the race before his effort petered out. The yard have been open about giving him an easier time with a view to the spring, and the heavy ground is a slight concern, but he's got six weeks before the Gold Cup. I'd expect him to be ready for this at a track he loves so dearly, being a three-time winner of this race.
14:55 2:55 Leopardstown
Kargese
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+175
Lose
-50
Romeo Coolio has always looked a stayer to me, and I fancy at this trip Kargese could do him for toe. She has always looked pacy, and her form at around 2m is impressive, finishing 2nd to Majborough on heavy ground in the Triumph Hurdle and then 2nd to Sir Gino at Ascot. Both of those were a higher level than what Romeo achieved over hurdles. She won the County Hurdle last year before finishing 3rd behind State Man at Punchestown, and has always seemed to need her first run, so I'm happy to excuse the 2nd to Kala Conti on her seasonal return. She put that right over C&D last time and, in receipt of the mares' allowance, can spring a small surprise.
14:25 2:25 Leopardstown
Staffordshire Knot
Daily Racing
25 EWNBR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@+1600
Void
0
Staffordshire Knot needs to shoulder top weight on heavy ground, but these conditions should suit him more than most. He's arguably in the form of his life, having developed a good partnership with Carl Millar. He won a handicap from a mark of 140 on heavy ground in November and followed that with an easy win at Clonmel, again on heavy ground. His 0.5L second to Home By The Lee LTO reads well, with that rival being a 160-rated horse (albeit he was in receipt of 9 lbs that day). I fancy he can continue the good record of classy horses in this race over the last couple of seasons.
Yeats Star
Daily Racing
25 EW
@SP
Lose
-50
Too big a price to ignore. He was third from the same mark (131) two years ago in this race. Cheekpieces on. Any improvement would leave him well handicapped.
13:15 1:15 Leopardstown
Doctor Steinberg
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@+175
Win
87
His form looks to be stacking up well, having dispatched Thedeviluno by 4.75L last time before that rival won the Grade 2 River Don by 5L at Doncaster. That was on soft??"heavy ground and came over 20f, but he won over 21.5f the time before and, to my eye, looks every inch a stayer and should improve again for this trip. The yard have won 4 of the last 5 renewals, and although Paul Townend had some struggles on Sunday, Monday can see a change of his fortunes.
Subtotal-113
01 February 2026
15:52 3:52 Leopardstown
I Started A Joke
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+332
Lose
-50
An opening mark of 126 seems plenty workable, having demolished the field in a maiden hurdle LTO when given a more patient ride. He hit the front before the last and went on to win by 8.5L. Conditions will suit him fine, and those sneaking in at the bottom of the handicap have done well in the last couple of renewals.
15:40 3:40 Musselburgh
Ahoy Senor
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+1600
Lose
-50
Looked out of his depth reverting to the smaller obstacles last time, but that was the Grade 2 Long Walk and some of the horses ahead of him filled the frame in the Grade 2 Cleeve Hurdle. So it looks a strong enough contest. Ahoy Senor dips into handicap company from a mark of 145 and should be suited by this tight, right-handed track, which will favour those ridden forward. He may now be an 11yo, but 145 arguably leaves him 10 lbs well in if improving for his spin LTO.
15:05 3:05 Musselburgh
Rock My Way
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@+225
Lose
-50
The drop in class is key to Rock My Way's chances, having finished midfield in the Welsh National last time. I’m happy to mark that effort up, as very few come from off the pace at Chepstow. The Tizzards have their string in good form, and Rock My Way looks potentially well treated at marathon trips from a mark of 139, having dotted up by 11L at Ascot two starts back. Should have a class edge in a field of older, exposed stayers.
14:45 2:45 Leopardstown
Kim Roque
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@+650
Lose
-50
Has run really well in two chase starts at Cheltenham since joining this yard. The form of both races stacks up well. A mark of 128 looks more than workable, and conditions will suit a horse who has won on heavy ground in France. The yard is in good form, and he's undoubtedly well handicapped, having been running out of the handicap the last twice.
13:25 1:25 Musselburgh
Go West
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+450
Win
225
I'm happy to put a line through his poor run LTO, which came at a time of year the yard sometimes struggle following flu jabs. Prior to that he'd been impressive in his two chase starts, winning a two-runner race at Warwick (the second has won twice since). Then he was just touched off (beaten a nose) by Jordan's Cross LTO, who himself won well at Cheltenham on Trials Day from 4 lbs higher and looks, to my eye, every inch a graded horse. Go West is 3 lbs higher here than that effort but should have scope to get his nose back in front.
Subtotal25
31 January 2026
14:55 2:55 Leopardstown
Kargese
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@+187
Void
0
The record shows Kargese shouldn't be judged on her first start of the season, and she's a much better mare with a run under her belt. Beaten by Kala Konti on her return, she set that right by winning easily in a beginner's chase LTO. She showed she belongs at the top table when winning the County Hurdle, then followed up with a 3rd in the Grade 1 Champion Hurdle at Punchestown. In receipt of the mares' allowance and with the yard hitting their stride, I fancy she can beat the odds on the favorite, who is yet to convince he's a two-miler.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal0
28 January 2026
17:30 5:30 Kempton
Big Bard
Daily Racing
50 WINNAPNOTETip made at odds of 17.00 on 27/01 at 19:560.15 deduction for Pinjarra@5.50 withdrawn at 08:15R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 16.00 x (1-0.15) = 14.60
@+1360
Win
680
Curiously, six of his eight wins have come under claiming jockeys, suggesting he's not a tricky ride. He won in a similar contest to this back in January 2025 from a mark of 57, pulling clear to win by 1.5L over C&D. He's 3 lbs higher here, back at Kempton, having won at Lingfield in August. I'm happy to draw a line through his last-time-out when he missed the break, and the step up to 6f at Kempton should suit.
Subtotal680
27 January 2026
15:52 3:47 Chepstow
Bells Of Peterboro
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 11.00 on 26/01 at 19:120.15 deduction for Dangerous Touch@6.00 withdrawn at 07:53R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 10.00 x (1-0.15) = 9.50Best Odds Guaranteed SP 10.00 used instead of 9.50 BOG
@+900
Win
20
Rarely runs a bad race here, with two wins and a third from three chase starts over C&D. Mid-division in two starts this season, but that's seen this 11-year-old drop to a mark of 112, and he's got the assistance of a 7 lb claimer in the saddle. Well handicapped at a track he loves.
14:42 2:37 Chepstow
Juby Ball
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@+162
Lose
-50
Looked set to claim his second win over fences when taking a tumble three out at Ffos Las LTO. Unexposed but has looked classy, and a mark of 129 should leave him plenty of scope back at a track he's won well at previously.
14:07 2:02 Chepstow
High Tea
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@+300
Lose
-50
Returns to Chepstow where he won two starts back in a Class 4 handicap that looks pretty strong, with winners in 2nd, 3rd and 4th behind. Failed to fire at Ludlow in an amateur race last time when falling two out, but this C&D looks an ideal opportunity to continue his progression with Tom Bellamy back in the saddle and the yard being among the winners.
Subtotal-80
24 January 2026
15:35 3:35 Cheltenham
Impose Toi
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+100
Lose
-50
By far the best of these. Having looked a Grade 1 animal since trying staying trips this season. Strong player here in March and can concede the weight to gain another win here.
15:15 3:13 Doncaster
Milan Tino
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+400
Lose
-50
16f on heavy ground looks fine for Milan Tino, who finally got his nose in front last time but still looks well handicapped despite a 4 lb rise. Sent off favorite for the Fred Winter in 2024 when rated 126 and ran pretty well to finish sixth. His win last time sees him go today from 121, and his yard looks to be finding their feet. Hugely unexposed, and I'd be shocked if he doesn't end up at least 10 lb higher than this mark.
13:50 1:50 Cheltenham
Final Orders
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@+400
Lose
-50
I'm convinced Final Orders wins here in March, and I think he's good enough to win for the second time over these fences en route to the Festival. Jumped like a stag LTO and has Donoghue in the saddle, who is such a positive over these fences. A 7 lb rise shouldn't halt his progress after a dominant win.
Where It All Began
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+2800
Lose
-50
Headgear could be key to the chances of Where It All Began, who has run poorly since having blinkers fitted across his last six starts. Cheekpieces are back on today, in which his form was 3-2-1-4-8, with the win coming on heavy ground where he bolted up by 16L from a mark of 123. He followed that with fourth in the Kim Muir from 135, but his form in the blinkers has seen him drop back to 125, and he's got the assistance of Sean Bowen. Potentially a wild price.
1 member found this comment useful
13:30 1:30 Doncaster
Feet Of A Dancer
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+250
Win
125
Jetara won this last year but faces a strong challenge in Feet Of A Dancer. She was sent off favourite for the Pertemps last year from a mark of 136 (finished 4th) and has run well in graded races since. Bolted up in a Listed hurdle two starts back on heavy ground before chasing home Wodhooh last time. She sets the standard on recent form and will relish the conditions.
12:40 12:40 Cheltenham
Maestro Conti
Daily Racing
50 WINNBNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 3.50 used instead of 2.25 takenBOG
@+250
Win
125
Looks the clear pick here, having bolted up on stable debut following an impressive debut win in France. Yard think he's a top prospect and he can confirm that promise here.
Subtotal50
23 January 2026
14:37 2:37 Warwick
Gwennie May Star
Daily Racing
50 WINNAPNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 4.33 used instead of 3.25 takenBOG
@+333
Win
166
Sean Bowen takes the ride for the first time since the horse joined Olly Murphy, having won well over C&D on his first start from a mark of 107. Disappointed last time, but can make amends back at Warwick from 109 under the champion jockey.
Subtotal166
22 January 2026
15:30 3:30 Gowran Park
Captain Cody
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@+700
Lose
-50
A winner on heavy ground and represents a trainer/jockey combination that has claimed this prize twice in the last four years. Won the Scottish National from a mark 10 lbs lower and should relish this test for a yard that has hit strong form.
13:45 1:45 Gowran Park
Rockys Diamond
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@+300
Lose
-50
Won this race on heavy ground last year and was sent chasing afterward without convincing. Returned to hurdles last time at Leopardstown, making errors, but should improve from that outing and should appreciate conditions better than most. Fourth in last year's Stayers' Hurdle, and he sets the standard on form on heavy ground.
Subtotal-100
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