c4stle
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Estimated Prizes
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c4stle's Tips History
09 April 2026
16:40 4:40 Aintree
Sans Bruit
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+332
Lose
-50
Sans Bruit is a two-time winner of this race and, unsurprisingly, he's well found in the market. He does thrive at this time of year and is just 3 lbs higher than his win last year (and the year before). The setup of the race looks perfect for him, with a load of horses that like to be held up, meaning he should get his own way up front under Harry Cobden.
1 member found this comment useful
Wonleg
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+2500
Lose
-50
Henry has two in here and DOK is on Jasko Des Dames which would imply he's the stables pick but I fancy Wonleg can run a big race under his 5lbs claimer who rode - and won - on the horse earlier this season. Last seen finishing 3rd in a competitive handicap chase at Leopardstown in December, that form has been franked with the 2nd finishing 4th from 8lbs higher in the Grand Annual and the winner finished 3rd in a Listed handicap next time. Missing Cheltenham has been a huge positive in recent years with only one winner since 2014 having even run there, whilst Henry De Bromhead has won this twice since 2019.
16:05 4:05 Aintree
Brighterdaysahead
Daily Racing
50 WINNAPNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@+200
Win
100
Put simply I think she's the best horse in this race but not at her best at Cheltenham, although her 2nd behind Lossiemouth last time is still the best form on offer. She bolted up on her only previous visit to Aintree, winning the Grade 1 Novice Hurdle by 7.5L over C&D. I think she's a faster horse than The New Lion but will appreciate the trip, with connections previously harbouring aspirations that she's a Gold Cup horse. She's the one to beat here.
1 member found this comment useful
14:55 2:55 Aintree
Impaire Et Passe
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@+400
Lose
-50
Impaire Et Passe was pulled up in the Ryanair last time but can bounce back at Aintree. He's 2 from 2 here, including when comfortably finishing ahead of Jango Baie in the Grade 1 novice chase over 20f last year. He was brought down on his only previous attempt beyond 3m, but he was sent off 11/4 that day and should have enough class to see out the trip at a track he loves.
1 member found this comment useful
13:45 1:45 Aintree
Minella Study
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+350
Lose
-50
Although he's posted strong form at Cheltenham I've always thought Minella Study would be better suited by the flat track here at Aintree. Good ground will also play to his strengths and it so often pays to be ridden prominently here, whilst his main market rivals will be played late.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-100
06 April 2026
17:00 5:00 Fairyhouse
The Jukebox Kid
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@+750
Lose
-50
He ticks all the boxes for this race, being a novice chaser and one that likes to be ridden off the front - so often a profitable profile. His only two defeats have come on left handed tracks and the form of his Ascot win two starts back has been franked plenty with the 2nd, 4th and 6th all winning next time. Comfortably won a small field Grade 2 novice chase last time and has lots of promise stepping up to National trips for the first time after winning 3 of his 4 chase starts.
16:20 4:20 Fairyhouse
Saint Sam
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@+550
Lose
-50
Happy to take on Found A Fifty who won this last year but was pulled up at Cheltenham last time. He was only 0.5L ahead of Saint Sam last year in this race and having skipped Cheltenham I think he can turn that form around in a small field where he should be able to dictate from the front.
15:50 3:50 Fairyhouse
Glen Kiln
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+1100
Lose
-50
Happy to take on those who ran at Cheltenham which removes most of the market principals and we've seen enough Mullins shorties beaten the past few days to see value in taking on Kawaboomga too with questions to answer. The solid choice looks Glen Kiln who won the handicap hurdle on this card last year over 21f and has run with credit in Grade 1s this season before winning a Grade 3 when making all last time. Still progressive and likely to give his running back up in trip.
Subtotal-150
05 April 2026
15:50 3:50 Fairyhouse
Oldschool Outlaw
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@+187
Lose
-50
Really surprised she's not odds on in this field having shown a high level of form this season which included a 9L win here in the Grade 2 Solerina two starts back. 17f at Cheltenham arguably on the sharp side and we've seen recently that being beaten there is no black mark against your name, with the likes of Brighterdaysahead also being beat. The step up in trip should suit and she's a clear form pick.
14:40 2:40 Fairyhouse
Leader Dallier
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@+100
Lose
-50
Even money looks a big enough price to me for Leader D'Allier who missed the Cheltenham Festival but was impressive winning his maiden at the end of January and had won 5 times on the flat in France before joining Mullins. Yard have always spoken highly of him and he confirm that promise in Graded company here.
Subtotal-100
04 April 2026
16:02 4:02 Cork
Bucanero Fuerte
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@+162
Lose
-50
Seems to be at his best when fresh, winning races at Naas on seasonal return the last two years for his former trainer. He's a proper top level horse - former Group 1 winner as a juvenile - as shown by his rating of 115 which leaves him 6lbs clear of his nearest rival (the disappointing fav in this last year). Heavy ground bit of a question but he won his maiden on heavy and I don't think he would run if connections weren't confident he will handle conditions.
15:42 3:42 Musselburgh
Jer Batt
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+600
Lose
-50
Finished 3rd in this race last year behind what turned out to be two Group horses in a handicap, and he's 7 lbs lower this time around. He hasn't won since August 2024, which is a slight concern, but he's always in the frame and has had wind surgery since last seen. His record here shows him winning easily in an apprentice handicap before his 3rd in this race last year. I struggle to see him out of the frame, and he's weighted to win in a race where the pace should suit him.
1 member found this comment useful
15:05 3:05 Musselburgh
Almuhit
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+1400
Lose
-50
In a race which lacks pace I think Almuhit is overpriced on his return to the level after running over hurdles the last three times. His form last flat season saw him win twice and have two placed efforts which generally came at a higher level than this (Class 2). One of those wins came under Sean Levey (today's jockey) when battling back having made the running and although he steps back in trip today I think he could catch a few out off the front.
14:30 2:30 Musselburgh
Many Men
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@+700
Lose
-50
I love Al Qareem and he has the ability to win this cosily, but it looks like he'll face lots of competition for the lead, which might throw him off his stride if he can't dominate. Many Men will be ridden cold and was impressive last season when winning an Ascot handicap before just being touched off at the Ebor meeting. I'm happy to forgive his run in listed company when last seen, as it didn't suit his hold-up style??"winner and runner-up were both ridden forward. He's gone well fresh in the past, which gives hope on his seasonal return. The small yard is in good form, with two winners from their last six, and although he's got lots to find on ratings, I think the race conditions might tilt in his favour.
2 members found this comment useful
13:25 1:25 Musselburgh
Vincenzo Peruggia
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+300
Lose
-50
Yard have done well in this race and love nothing more than winners at their local track. Vincenzo Peruggia was last seen finishing last in a Group race as juvenile and has been off since but he sets a clear class standard on what he's achieved on the track and makes his handicap debut from a mark of 91 which should be well below his peak. Yard doesn't normally lack for fitness and I think he'll make all and win.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-250
03 April 2026
16:10 4:10 Newcastle
Gaucher
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@+350
Lose
-50
Mullins sends Gaucher over the Irish Sea with the prospect of good prize money on offer. Has posted strong efforts at around this trip the last twice including bolting up in a good conditions race at Dundalk last time out. Massively unexposed in this sphere for the yard and he could yet prove far too good for these from a mark of 106, being a Graded horse over obstacles.
1 member found this comment useful
15:35 3:35 Newcastle
Berkshire Whisper
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+1800
Win
64
Really impressed last year when winning the 3yo race for a yard that love to target winners on AW Championship Finals Day. Had his issues last year, having finished down the field in the Commonwealth Cup, and then reappeared with a neck second to Betsen in November. Two lesser runs since, and he's been freshened up with this, I'm sure, having been a target for some time. A mark of 98 is the same as his reappearance second and 9 lbs higher than his win at this meeting last year as a 3yo. Low draw looks a positive, and the yard won this two years ago.
15:00 3:00 Newcastle
Witch Hunter
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@+2500
Lose
-50
Not given a tough time of things the last twice in listed company once the race had gone, and he reverts to handicap company again at a track he's gone well at before. His Newcastle record is 2-3-6-1-1, with the latest win coming over C&D from a mark of 101 back in January. He's 3 lbs higher here but still should have scope from 104, and the race conditions should suit his hold-up style under Jamie Spencer. The yard won this two years ago, and I'm sure this healthy purse would have been high on their radar for this season.
Subtotal-36
28 March 2026
15:32 3:32 Doncaster
Botanical
Daily Racing
25 EWNAPNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@+1400
Win
45
A lack of pace in the race could be key to Botanical's chances, particularly from his low draw (stall 3). Three of the last four winners were drawn in stalls 2, 3, or 4. Urban Lion in stall 2 looks another pace angle, so I want to be on the low side. Botanical didn't win last year, but he started the season here in Listed company, finishing third. His new stable seemed to be experimenting with how to get the best out of him. He's changed stables again, joining Karl Burke, who is already among the winners, and has dropped to a handicap mark of 104 for his seasonal return. He's gone well fresh and will be suited by ground on the softer side of good.
1 member found this comment useful
15:05 3:05 Curragh
Big Gossey
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+3300
Win
990
Beat a subsequent Group 1 winner, Camille Pissarro, when claiming this contest last year. Happy to forgive his reappearance in the Irish Lincoln on heavy ground, and he wasn't given a hard time of things when beaten. Loves it here at the Curragh. Although he'll have lots on his plate with the 2000 Guineas favorite in the field, I think he will be in the frame at big odds.
14:57 2:57 Doncaster
Excellent Believe
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@+500
Lose
-50
This race has recently gone to the 4yos who have come out of their classic season, turning into top-quality 8f horses. Chindit, Charyn, and Dancing Gemini all fit that mould. Of this year's crop there's only two 4yos and, while on ratings he has plenty to do, I fancy that Excellent Believe can take his form to a new level this season. Unraced as a 3yo, he ran to a good level last year, including 2nd in open company behind Zeus Olympios in the Group 3 Superior Mile. That rival won the Group 2 Joel Stakes by 2.75L next time. The ground was a little on the soft side in France, and a return to a better surface can see him continue his upward curve. Lightly raced and open to more improvement than the rest of the field, his yard is in good form already this season.
1 member found this comment useful
13:50 1:50 Doncaster
Art Power
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+2800
Lose
-50
I think there's a real chance of Myal and Art Power getting loose on the lead, with so many in this field wanting to be delivered late. Preference is for the latter, who has to concede weight and is now 9yo, but he showed last season that the ability remains when winning at his beloved Curragh in a Grade 2, where he had Spycatcher 0.75L back in 3rd. He's still shown plenty away from that track, which suggests if on a going day he can nick this from the front.
Subtotal935
20 March 2026
17:16 5:16 Newbury
Regatta De Blanc
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@+650
Lose
-50
Hunter chases wouldn't typically be my niche, but I'm keen to take on the front two in the market and think Regatta De Blanc looks the best option. Second in this two years ago when trained by Will Biddick, and he's making his first start for that trainer after a spell with Paul Nicholls. He looks the main pace angle, and with first-time cheekpieces fitted I can't see anything other than a positive ride, which can see him regain the winning thread.
Subtotal-50
15 March 2026
16:20 4:20 Curragh
Norwalk Havoc
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@+1200
Lose
-50
There doesn't look to be much pace on offer here, and I can only see two likely front-runners: Grey Leader (stall 23) and Jessie Harrington's Norwalk Havoc. Preference is for the latter, who has heavy-ground form of 1-1-2-1, with the three most recent efforts in Listed company, including two starts back. A mark of 103 is plenty in this race, but I think the ground and the likely pace of the race both swing things in his favour. Tongue tie and cheekpieces go back on, having been missing on his final start last term but in place for his Listed win. Looks a big price to me.
Subtotal-50
14 March 2026
15:18 3:18 Kempton
Barlovento
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+700
Lose
-50
Barlovento was sent off favourite for the Timeform Novices' Chase at Cheltenham in January but never got into the race from off the pace on soft ground. Prior to that he won over C&D, and he will be suited by the better ground on offer back at Kempton. He sneaks into the race from a mark of just 125, in receipt of chunks of weight from his rivals, and I'm certain his ceiling will be much higher after just six starts over obstacles.
15:00 3:00 Uttoxeter
Aworkinprogress
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+650
Lose
-50
In think the key formline here is the Surrey National where Aworkinprogress got up to beat Catch Catchfire by a neck. They reoppose on the same terms so I don't see the placings reversed but give both a strong chance. Aworkinprogress showed he likes Uttoxeter when winning here earlier in the season and he's still unexposed at marathon trips. A mark of 130 should leave him well weighted for further improvement and he can claim this valuable prize.
1 member found this comment useful
14:40 2:40 Kempton
Marsiac
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@+700
Lose
-50
With the benefit of hindsight Marsiac was set a tough task on handicap debut last time, when up with the pace on soft ground. It paid to be held up that day, with the front 3 all off the pace. The winner is a smart horse and has won again at Ascot since from 7lbs higher, whilst the 2nd has also won since. Marsiac has been freshened up since that run on soft ground and should be suited by the quicker surface here. He's up 1lb and the yard have been amongst the winners including the mares novice hurdle at Cheltenham in the week. This is a stronger race but he's progressive and can continue his upwards curve.
1 member found this comment useful
14:25 2:25 Uttoxeter
A Pai De Nom
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@+137
Lose
-50
The Skeltons have really targeted this day in recent years, and A Pai De Nom has a real favourite's chance of continuing that record, having missed the Martin Pipe. A 5 lb rise for his win LTO leaves him on a mark of 129, and he's still hugely unexposed at staying trips. A win here en route to Aintree looks the plan, and with Harry Skelton in the saddle, he is the one to beat.
1 member found this comment useful
13:50 1:50 Uttoxeter
West To The Bridge
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+1600
Lose
-50
Skeltons have won the last two runnings and they rely on West To The Bridge this year. He's a 13yo now but got his nose in front last time for his first win since February 2025, with the front two pulling well clear. A 3lbs rise looks more than fair and still leaves him well handicapped on old form (reached a peak of 140).
Subtotal-250
13 March 2026
17:20 5:20 Cheltenham
Wendrock
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@+1400
Lose
-50
Anything Gordon Elliott sends to the Martin Pipe has to be respected, and Wendrock looks to have a much better chance than the market suggests. Sixth in the Fred Winter last year from a mark of 136, he then finished fifth in the Grade 1 hurdle at Aintree. Connections have messed around with his trip all season, but his best effort came at about this trip two starts back when fifth under today's jockey at Leopardstown. Happy to forgive his run on heavy ground over 24f last time, and despite a 5 lb rise from the British handicapper he still looks weighted to go well. Trip and ground will suit, and he's currently Elliott's only representative for a race he's won the last two years and four times in total.
16:00 4:00 Cheltenham
Envoi Allen
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+4000
Lose
-50
Envoi Allen is a 12-year-old, but he's had this as the target since an impressive win in the Grade 1 chase at Down Royal last November, where he beat the subsequent Savills Chase winner Affordable Fury by 3.5 lengths. He has an enviable Cheltenham record, which includes wins in the Bumper, Ballymore and Ryanair. He has not finished outside the first three when standing up (6 runs). He would break all the trends in winning this, but he's fresh, still has high-class form, and can outrun his odds.
2 members found this comment useful
The Jukebox Man
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+350
Lose
-50
I'm of the view that The Jukebox Man was idling and novicey when getting pipped in the Albert Bartlett and his chase efforts this season would also suggest stamina isn't a massive concern, having finished strongest of all in the King George when winning LTO. His main market rivals are reopposing from that race and I struggle to see why they should turn the tables up in distance.
1 member found this comment useful
15:20 3:20 Cheltenham
Fruit De Mer
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+3300
Win
140
Always happy to take a swing in this race. Typically I like one that is stepping up in trip with potential for improvement. Fruit De Mer won his maiden over 19f without too much drama before being pitched into Grade 1 company in the Lawlors of Naas over 20f, when pulling his chance away but rallying well at the finish to come home strongly. The winner ran with plenty of credit when fifth in the Turners on Wednesday, and if he learns to settle better in this big field he can outrun his odds stepping up to 24f. A former P2P winner, the extra distance should suit, and better ground might yield further improvement too.
1 member found this comment useful
14:40 2:40 Cheltenham
Dinoblue
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTETip made at odds of 3.20 on 12/03 at 17:480.10 deduction for Diva Luna@9.00 withdrawn at 12:31R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 2.20 x (1-0.10) = 2.98
@+198
Win
99
I think the JP horses are drifting after Fact To File was withdrawn today, with the ground riding quick, but there's plenty of rain in the forecast this evening and I think most will stand their ground. Dinoblue was a good winner of this last year, and I think she would have been well on top of Allegorie De Vassy if she had stayed on her feet. This looks like a strong renewal, with some unexposed mares, but they all have plenty to do to get to her level, other than Spindleberry, who has to put a poor run behind her in the Irish Gold Cup when pulled up on heavy ground (should have suited her). I expect Dinoblue will go off 6/4 once the rain has softened the quick ground.
1 member found this comment useful
14:00 2:00 Cheltenham
Karbau
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+500
Lose
-50
Karbau looks the potential graded horse in a handicap, having finished a close 2nd in the Grade 2 Limestone Lad on heavy ground last time. That was his first run since his novice hurdle campaign, and his trainer excels with horses coming here after similar prep, having won the Coral Cup and County Hurdle with similar profiles last season. Karbau should be better on a quicker surface, and although 150 is high enough, his reappearance suggests there's more improvement to come this year. Paul Townend's only ride in a handicap this week is a strong tip in itself, with the yard having had fancied horses earlier in the week.
1 member found this comment useful
13:20 1:20 Cheltenham
Selma De Vary
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@+400
Lose
-50
Looks to be loads of pace on offer and, a bit like last year, I suspect in this big field it could pay to be ridden with a bit more restraint. Selma De Vary was a huge eye-catcher on her debut for Willie Mullins last time, finishing strongly behind Narciso Has and looking every inch like she would improve for the run. That rival is a notable non-runner, and any amount of improvement could be enough to see her claim this prize from off the pace.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-11
12 March 2026
17:20 5:20 Cheltenham
Gericault Roque
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+2500
Lose
-50
Gericault Roque has had years off the track, but his 2022 Ultima second to future Grand National winner Corach Rambler has stuck in my mind. The Pipe stable has been bringing him back slowly, and I'm happy to forgive his National Hunt Chase run last year, which was just his second start back after over two years off the track. He has had two runs this season after another 311 days off and posted his best effort since that Ultima run when second to a well-handicapped progressive horse at Ascot last time. That was in first-time cheekpieces, which are retained. Although he's 1 lb higher, the jockey (a point-to-point rider with 100 wins) takes off 7 lbs. He's a 10-year-old now, but David Pipe has previous in this race, including with The Package as a 12-year-old.
1 member found this comment useful
Jeriko Du Reponet
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+400
Lose
-50
Having long been a sceptic I am at the last minute coming around to Jeriko Du Reponet who sneaks into this race off a mark of 145 having been buried in a series of chase starts over the wrong trip throughout the season. Headgear goes back on having seen him finish 2nd in the Pertemps and then win at Punchestown last spring, both over 24f, and with the assistance of Derek O'Connor I think he has a greater chance than 4/1 suggests.
1 member found this comment useful
16:40 4:40 Cheltenham
Supremely West
Daily Racing
50 WINNBNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@+400
Win
200
We saw on Day 1 how the Skeltons are masters of lining one up for a handicap, with Madara bolting up in the Plate. Supremely West caught the eye when qualifying in 3rd for this race at Cheltenham in October and his subsequent efforts have all been building to the Final. He's actually 2lbs lower than his qualifying 3rd which came behind Stayers Hurdle contender Ma Shantou (now 24lbs higher) and Electric Mason who won at Haydock since and is now 11lbs higher. An obvious plot but good value at 4/1.
1 member found this comment useful
15:20 3:20 Cheltenham
Bob Olinger
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@+800
Win
15
Bob Olinger won this race well last year. Although he's now 11 years old, his reappearance run last time behind Teahupoo at Christmas was impressive. I think it put pay to suggestions that he hadn't proven he stayed the trip (despite winning this too). Henry's horses peak at this time of year, and Bob Olinger's Cheltenham record is exemplary with 3 wins from 3 (even allowing for Galopin's last-fence fall, that's still strong form). Drying ground tilts matters in his favour, and we've seen older horses bag this prize already in recent years. He's only once finished out of the front two in a Grade 1 hurdle, and that was on his first try at this trip on soft ground four years ago.
1 member found this comment useful
14:00 2:00 Cheltenham
Slade Steel
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+900
Lose
-50
Slade Steel has yet to win over fences but has finished 2nd four times from five starts (brought down the other). He's been racing over 24f and/or on ground too soft through the winter, having reappeared in December. I think a return to Cheltenham, where he won the Supreme Novices' Hurdle in 2024, and quicker ground can see him make his mark from a rating of 146.
13:20 1:20 Cheltenham
Bambino Fever
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@+110
Lose
-50
Bambino Fever was impressive when winning the Champion Bumper last year, and as so often happens, that form looks strong as the next year progresses. She was beaten by Oldschool Outlaw on her first start when conceding experience and fitness, but then put that right next time when bolting up by 18 L. Trip and track will be fine, as will the quicker ground, and she looks a fair price.
Subtotal15
11 March 2026
17:20 5:20 Cheltenham
Quiryn
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+900
Lose
-50
4yos have an average record in this race (Cue Card the last winner in 2010), but the two Mullins horses aren't typical 4yos. Our Trigger has been with the yard for a while, having been broken in early, whereas Quiryn has racecourse experience in France where he refused to enter the stalls on a couple of occasions. That experience should stand him in good stead at the Festival, and Patrick Mullins has suggested in the build-up that he would have picked him if he were able to do the weight. Paul Townend takes the ride, which is a huge positive, and, in receipt of plenty of weight from his elders, he can make his experience pay.
1 member found this comment useful
16:40 4:40 Cheltenham
Boothill
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+4000
Lose
-50
Taking a chance on Boothill who may be an 11yo and doesn't have a typical profile for this race but he looks well handicapped on his best efforts. He was a Graded chaser as a novice, winning a Grade 2 and finishing 2nd to Jonbon in a Grade 1. His only visit to Cheltenham saw him finish 2nd again to Jonbon, this time in open company in the Grade 2 Schloer Chase. That was November 2024 and he's been lightly raced since but showed promise last time when 3rd in the Desert Orchid at Kempton. Has been freshened up since and had a wind op, and he comes here with the yard in rare form and with conditions to suit. A mark of 145 is 10lbs below his last winning mark and with loads of pace on offer it could suit his hold up style.
1 member found this comment useful
16:00 4:00 Cheltenham
Quilixios
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+900
Lose
-50
Happy to chance an outsider in a race that has seen many odds-on shots beaten in recent years. There's a favourite whose jumping cost him in the Arkle. Quilixios hasn't been seen since this race last year, when he fell at the final flight while challenging Marine Nationale. A former Triumph Hurdle winner, he clearly enjoys this track and has gone well fresh previously, winning off breaks of 225, 610, and 210 days. Good ground will suit him, as his defeat in the Arkle here came on soft ground.
1 member found this comment useful
15:20 3:20 Cheltenham
Stumptown
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@+300
Lose
-50
Cross-country specialist and last year's winner Stumptown should take all the beating from a mark 5 lbs higher. He's 2 from 2 here over these fences and has been kept fresh since winning in the Czech Republic in October. His stablemate Final Orders was hugely impressive here in December, but he's had a big hike in the weights and lost the assistance of Keith Donaghue.
1 member found this comment useful
14:40 2:40 Cheltenham
Lucky Place
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+2000
Lose
-50
Cheltenham Festival form to the fore here. Lucky Place was 4th in this race from a mark of 137 back in 2024 when Henderson withdrew most of his runners due to illness, so I fancy his effort can be marked up significantly. Other visits to Cheltenham have seen him win the Grade 2 Relkeel Hurdle before finishing 7th in the Stayers' Hurdle when not seeing out the trip. He started this season chasing without success and reverted to smaller obstacles when 3rd behind Kabral du Mathan on New Year's Day. He should improve with that run under his belt, and back over C&D I think he's dangerous from a mark of 151 for a yard who have won this 4 times since 2010.
1 member found this comment useful
13:20 1:20 Cheltenham
King Rasko Grey
Daily Racing
50 WINNAPNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionBest Odds Guaranteed SP 12.00 used instead of 7.50 takenBOG
@+1100
Win
550
Willie Mullins was very clear that King Rasko Grey would improve a ton for his run LTO, where he only went down 0.5L to Talk The Talk and Ballyfad on just his second hurdles start. Mullins described him as fat that day, and he still showed plenty at the finish considering he was conceding experience and fitness in a Grade 1. I know they're different owners, but I think the fact Might Park goes for the Supreme is a vote of confidence for KRG, who steps up in trip but in a race which often goes to a horse with strong 16f form.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal300
10 March 2026
16:40 4:40 Cheltenham
Guard Your Dreams
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+2500
Lose
-50
We've seen age is just a number in this race, with three winners in the last four years aged ten or eleven. C&D form so often comes to the fore with many handicap chases here during the season. That brings Guard Your Dreams into proceedings, who, despite being ten, is relatively unexposed over fences. Despite running in the Ultima last year (fell at the first), I feel his best form is at this trip. He bolted up in a veterans' chase last time on heavy ground, but he's a Grade 2 winner over hurdles here on good-to-soft. I think he can make a mark from 141.
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16:00 4:00 Cheltenham
Golden Ace
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+1200
Lose
-50
She's drifting to too big a price, having won this race last year, and I struggle to see her out of the frame. In my view, she had the beating of The New Lion earlier in the season, and she's 2 from 2 at the Cheltenham Festival. Will be happy on the quicker ground and represents the solid choice.
Lossiemouth
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@+200
Win
100
I'm delighted Lossiemouth is coming here, as I think she's the one to beat at a track where she's 4 from 4 previously. I'm happy to forgive her Leopardstown run, as she's got a much more modest record there, whereas it's BDA's home turf. I like the cheekpieces going on. Although she's far from ungenuine, we've seen Mullins use the headgear to good effect, including State Man in this race last year when he was set to bolt up before a final-flight fall. I think she sets the standard, given there are question marks over all her rivals. The New Lion doesn't look quick enough. BDA has flopped on both visits here. Golden Ace has benefitted from falling horses for her main wins.
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15:20 3:20 Cheltenham
Myretown
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+1000
Lose
-50
Not sure this is a particularly strong renewal, and I don't like siding with a horse that hasn't raced over 3m previously. Every winner this century had posted their best RPR over at least 24f (thanks to Gault Stats). Iroko will threaten now the handbrake can come off, and I do think Hyland is well handicapped but not enough to win. Myretown won this by a stretch last year, and although he's 15 lbs higher he looked a potential Graded horse that day but has lacked fluency since, whilst the yard has been out of form. They've picked up in the last few weeks, and I suspect a return to Cheltenham will suit from a mark of 142. We've seen many multiple winners of this race, including Corach Rambler for the same yard, and the fact Myretown is their only representative is, I think, a strong tip in itself.
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14:40 2:40 Cheltenham
Saratoga
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTETip made at odds of 7.00 on 08/03 at 18:590.10 deduction for Munsif@9.00 withdrawn at 13:150.00 deduction for Lord @34.000 withdrawn at 13:15R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 6.00 x (1-0.1) = 6.40Best Odds Guaranteed SP 11.00 used instead of 6.40 BOG
@+1000
Win
500
His jumping has improved start to start, and I'm sure this has been the target since he was purchased from Aidan O'Brien on the level, where he was rated in the low 90s after just six starts. He represents connections who won this four years ago. Despite a 5 lb Irish tax, he still looks well treated from a mark of 130, having been given a tender ride last time behind Triumph Hurdle horse Highland Crystal.
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13:20 1:20 Cheltenham
Old Park Star
Daily Racing
50 WINNBNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@+275
Win
137
Hard to know where he sits against the Irish form, but he couldn't have been more impressive when winning here in December by 12L. He has taken his form to new heights since going over hurdles and joining the Henderson yard, who have such a great record in this contest.
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Subtotal587
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