c4stle
1
Estimated Prizes
this month
£5
Estimated Prize money
this month
c4stle's Tips History
07 May 2026
13:30 1:30 Chester
Vintage Clarets
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+2500
Lose
-50
Sprint trips here at Chester so often go to those with an inside draw who are ridden prominently to play "catch me if you can". Vintage Clarets bucks the trends as his record over C&D reads 5-1-3-1, with the 5th coming when ridden forward and his other efforts all when being held up including 0.25L 3rd on this race two years ago behind future Group horse Democracy Dilemma. A mark of 89 leaves him well handicapped on the pick of his form including his win at the Shergar Cup last summer from a mark of 94. A 5lbs claimer provides further help and he's been amongst the winners in recent weeks so should have plenty of confidence, whilst his wide draw (stall 11) should be fine given he's likely to be held up.
Subtotal-50
06 May 2026
16:45 4:45 Chester
Bell Shot
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+1800
Lose
-50
I was surprised to see Bell Shot so high in the betting. Untested at Chester but his prominent running style and low draw (stall 2) should suit. Poor reappearance after a short break last time when trailing home last of 9 and the cheekpieces are reapplied having helped him win 3 times last summer. A mark of 85 would be a career high but only 1lb above his win on the AW in January, which was also the only time Harry Davies has ridden him before. They're reunited here with the yard in good form and conditions to suit.
15:40 3:40 Chester
Temple Of Athena
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+1200
Lose
-50
A winner on her only visit to Chester when she was ridden prominently and finished alongside the front runner, clear of the rest. Similar ride when winning on her reappearance on the AW but then couldn't get near the front at Bath when upped to Listed level last time. Back into handicap company and carries plenty of weight as a result but stall 2 is a huge plus and conditions will suit.
14:05 2:05 Chester
Partisan Hero
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@+650
Lose
-50
He's effectively 17lbs higher than when a close 2nd in this race last year but that's owing to a strong run of form which saw him finish 1-2-6-1 in four UK starts since. Has been running pretty well in Bahrain over the winter over what looks to be an inadequate trip and has been freshened up since. Stall 1 always positive here at Chester over this trip (5 of the last 7 came from stalls 1, 2 or 3 - three winners from stall 1) and his likely positive style and ground on the easy side of good both look to strengthen his chances.
13:30 1:30 Chester
Adonius
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@+350
Win
175
Stall 1 looks perfect for Adonius who is 2 from 2, both under front running tactics. Has to concede weight to all rivals curtousy of a penalty but here at Chester I'd fully expect him to be able to do so.
Subtotal25
04 May 2026
14:25 2:25 Curragh
Causeway
Daily Racing
50 WINNAPNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionBest Odds Guaranteed SP 3.25 used instead of 2.50 takenBOG
@+225
Win
112
Causeway looks really progressive, having won a handicap from a mark of 94 on his reappearance after just two starts as a juvenile. He won here last year and should appreciate the step back up to 8f.
Subtotal112
03 May 2026
15:35 3:35 Newmarket
Precise
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@+250
Lose
-50
I can't see Precise beaten. She improved every start as a juvenile including dispatching Venetian Lace by over 3L when they met over C&D in the Fillies Mile. I think she's just the clear pick in this field and surprised she's not a lot shorter.
Subtotal-50
02 May 2026
17:20 5:20 Newmarket
Lohoobb
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@+350
Lose
-50
Makes his handicap debut today from a mark of 76 having ran well over 6f as a juvenile. The step up in trip should suit and he's a really promising horse than should have plenty in hand from this opening mark. Yard don't often miss the target and they're in good form at the moment.
15:35 3:35 Newmarket
Kings Trail
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+1200
Lose
-50
I like Guineas horses who have fitness on their side rather than those making their reappearance in this Classic. Those at the top of the market all go fresh and I'm looking elsewhere with the Godolphin second string making most appeal. Similar approach to 2024 winner Notable Speech having had two spins on the AW but he clocked an impressive time LTO and with race fitness on his side he can outrun his odds.
14:55 2:55 Newmarket
Jm Jungle
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 21.00 used instead of 17.00 takenBOG
@+2000
Win
75
JM Jungle is on the drift but I fancy he can go well here having progressed through the handicaps last year and ultimately bagged a Group 2 at Goodwood. That was on soft ground but he's plenty of form on good-firm and ran really well on reappearance last year when close 2nd to subsequent Group 1 winner American Affair at Musselburgh.
14:20 2:20 Newmarket
Bullet Point
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@+650
Lose
-50
Sent off 9/4 fav for a Group 3 at York when last seen and he ultimately dissapointed, trailing home in 7th of 8. Happy to strike a line through that as it was too bad to be true and he's better judged on his handicap wins throughout last year which included an easy 4.5L win on his reappearance here at Newmarket. He's much higher in the weights but deservedly so and we've seen the class rise to the top in this race previously with 3 winners rated 100+ from the last 5 renewals. Goes well fresh, yard are in form and conditions will be ideal. He can defy a mark of 105 before stepping back into pattern company.
Subtotal-75
30 April 2026
16:30 4:30 Redcar
Project Geofin
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@+1100
Lose
-50
Happy to draw a line through one poor run when last seen and he makes his reappearance at a track he ran well at before. Finished a 0.75L 2nd on his only visit to Ripon, with the winner and the 3rd both winning since. His best form has come on a quick surface and he's gone well fresh. Race conditions should suit his hold up style and yard have been amongst the winners.
1 member found this comment useful
16:15 4:15 Punchestown
Ballykinlar
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+2500
Lose
-50
British horses won six handicaps at last years Punchestown Festival, reinforcing the notion that they are well treated compared to their Irish rivals. There's a few in here which make appeal towards the top of the market but Ballykinlar really catches the eye for Mickey Bowen. Only had two starts since joining the yard from Ireland, first when 66/1 for the Martin Pipe then finishing 7th LTO at Aintree which was much more promising from a mark of 129. That was the same mark as when sent off fav for a Listed hurdle on his final start for Duggan (finished 2nd) where he stayed on strongly at the end. Steps up to 24f for the first time here which gives scope for improvement and he's 3lbs lower than his run last time and has a 5lbs claimer in the saddle so he's well handicapped too.
15:40 3:40 Punchestown
Desertmore House
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@+332
Lose
-50
2nd in this race last year and his Punchestown record stands at 4-3-2-1. This race so often goes to those who have gone well over these fences before and he comes here having been freshened up after the Cross Country at Cheltenham.
Subtotal-150
29 April 2026
18:05 6:05 Punchestown
Fact To File
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+187
Lose
-50
Missing Cheltenham could be key as his rivals here have had hard races including in the National whereas FTF comes here fresh. Bolted up in the Irish Gold Cup when last seen and if he turns up in that sort of form after his break I think he'll be very difficult to beat.
16:50 4:50 Punchestown
The Mourne Rambler
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@+175
Lose
-50
He was well on top in the Champion Bumper at Cheltenham and can continue the record winners have in following up here.
15:40 3:40 Punchestown
Quinta Do Lago
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@+800
Win
240
Finished 5th in the Fred Winter on handicap debut last time from a UK mark of 128 and is 2lbs lower here back in Ireland. That looks strong enough form with the 2nd running with credit in a Grade 1 next time and the 4th finishing 3rd at Aintree from 1lb higher. His trainer has won this 5 times since 2007 which is a rediculous strike rate for a smaller national hunt yard, and he has won here before. Cheekpieces retained and he's overpriced.
14:30 2:30 Punchestown
Thanksforthehelp
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+850
Lose
-50
Hasn't really challenged in 5 starts since winning this cosily last year which has seen his mark rise to 127 and then fall back to a mark of 119. A return to Punchestown could spark a revival in blinkers and the 4lbs claimer means he's essentially 1lb lower than that victory.
Subtotal90
28 April 2026
16:50 4:50 Punchestown
July Flower
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+2200
Lose
-50
I've always thought July Flower had plenty of stamina and was surprised to see her campaigned over around two miles, but then she did pick up a pair of wins over fences at the start of the season. Faded out of things when ridden from the front at Cheltenham last time and I'm hoping for a more patient ride at this trip as she got when winning a Grade 3 hurdle on her first start for the yard last year. She finished 3rd in a Grade 1 hurdle in France which came over 25f on heavy ground but has form on a quicker surface and I think can make the frame here.
16:15 4:15 Punchestown
Sober
Daily Racing
50 WINNAPR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@+450
Void
0
Sober was disappointing at Cheltenham but I'm happy to draw a line through that given it was a messy race and we've seen horses like No Drama This End already bounce back to win. Sober returns to the scene of his facile win two starts back and is fitted with the cheekpieces we've seen the Mullins yard use to good effect in the past. A top class animal including a Group 2 winner on the flat, he should be suited by the set up of the race with loads of pace on offer and has the assistance of Paul Townend in the saddle.
15:40 3:40 Punchestown
Washington
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@+4000
Lose
-50
His form tailed off sharply after winning on seasonal return and he's been given a break since. Comes here 1lb lower than that win back in October and has gone well in the past for the yard that won this race last year. He's a 10yo now and he's form is inconsistent but on a going day he's well handicapped and has back class including when travelling across the Irish Sea to win a Listed hurdle at Fairyhouse in December 2021, winning cosily from a mark of 121.
15:05 3:05 Punchestown
Almuhit
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@+900
Win
20
2nd in this race last year from 4lbs lower, he subsequently ran to a good level on the flat and on quick ground where he reached a high of 88. Not knocked around over hurdles this season, he outran his odds when finishing 2nd at 33/1 two starts back. Looks to have been laid out for this prize and can go well again.
Subtotal-80
26 April 2026
17:45 5:45 Musselburgh
Mister Bluebird
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@+850
Win
17
Three runs over C&D have seen him finish 1-2-3 and the race set up should suit him well with plenty of pace on offer. Should improve plenty for his reappearance on the AW when he was backable at any price and yard reach for the headgear.
Subtotal17
25 April 2026
15:30 3:30 Sandown
Resplendent Grey
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+1200
Lose
-50
Last years winner is 10lbs higher here having followed up with a win in a Listed chase. Underwhelming last few starts but the cheekpieces he wore to win this are back and I think he was value for more than the winning margin last year (jockey dropped his whip) in what looks a stronger race in similar conditions.
14:55 2:55 Sandown
Thistle Ask
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@+259
Lose
-50
Happy to take on the 10yo Jonbon who looks to need further these days and with the ground likely riding quick I fancy Thistle Ask can turn the tables on him which will be enough to win.
14:20 2:20 Sandown
Etalon
Daily Racing
25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@+800
Void
0
A really poor renewal and course form may come to the fore with Etalon who has won over these fences in the past. Won well at Ascot three starts back in first time cheekpieces over 19f and steps up in trip again here after being beaten the last twice. These fences favour horses that can get into a rhythm off the front and I expect him to be ridden that way under Champion conditional jockey Tristan Durrell.
13:45 1:45 Sandown
Way Of Stars
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@+1600
Lose
-50
4yos have a good record in this race, winning 3 of the 7 runnings from a limited sample size. Minella Yoga will have plenty of suitors but it's the David Pipe trained Way Of Stars that I fancy. Won on the flat from a mark of 84 and has taken well to hurdling since fitted with a hood the last twice, getting his nose in front last time on good ground at Taunton. The front three pulled well clear that day and the form looks strong with the 2nd winning an Ascot maiden since (from a subsequent winner) and the 3rd finishing 4th in a Listed hurdle next time. A mark of 115 looks well below his ceiling and although yard form is a concern he's too well handicapped to ignore.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-150
24 April 2026
16:00 4:00 Doncaster
Oh Yes You Do
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@+350
Lose
-50
Makes her handicap debut today from a mark of 69 which looks a fair starting point for a lightly raced filly. Still green when winning at Leicester in the autumn, she beat two next time out winners that day now rated 64 and 68. Stamina in the pedigree suggests the step up in trip will suit and with a winter under her belt I'd expect plenty of natural improvement from a filly that was still learning on the job as a juvenile.
14:25 2:25 Sandown
Almeric
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@+150
Lose
-50
King Of Cities looks the danger but Almeric beat him cosily on reappearance last year on just his third career start before meeting a setback. Won cosily on his reappearance in the autumn before finding Group 1 company too hot at Ascot on Champions Day. I don't think he's as ground dependant as his form suggests, but rather an interrupted career has seen him run in the spring or autumn so far. He's a way ahead of these on form and has the potential to improve again after just 5 career starts for a yard who have started the season in flying form.
Subtotal-100
18 April 2026
16:48 4:48 Ayr
Skerry Hill
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTETip made at odds of 4.00 on 17/04 at 21:380.00 deduction for Kershaw@51.00 withdrawn at 08:490.10 deduction for Sea Tempest @9.500 withdrawn at 13:130.00 deduction for Le Cold Grey @29.000 withdrawn at 13:47R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 3.00 x (1-0.1) = 3.70
@+270
Win
135
Won a heavy ground p2p before joining Gordon Elliot and extended readily to win his bumper in a first time hood. He'll he well suited by conditions here and his connections won this two years ago for a local owner so look to have lined this one up in a race which has been farmed by the Irish in recent years.
15:35 3:35 Ayr
Our Power
Daily Racing
25 EWNBR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@+2500
Void
0
6lbs lower than when 3rd in this race last year behind a Mullins pair and he's not been given a tough time this season with just 3 starts. Yard opt for first time blinkers replacing his usual cheekpieces and whilst the stable jockey has picked Katate Dori I think Our Power's proven course form can see him run well. There's not much pace in the race which might favour those who are ridden forward. Only question mark is the forecast rain and he's entered at Sandown should conditions turn heavy.
1 member found this comment useful
15:10 3:10 Newbury
Shout
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+900
Lose
-50
Caught on the wrong side in the Lincoln and had a rough passage, Shout can bounce back here from a mark 1lb lower. Progressive last season which saw him sign off with a 4th in the Balmoral as a 3yo and with another winter under his belt I fancy he can continue to make his mark in 8f handicaps. Stall 5 looks a plus with Classic going forward from stall 9 and Oisin Murphy takes the ride having won on him back in September and with the yard in good form.
14:20 2:20 Ayr
Tutti Quanti
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+450
Lose
-50
The falling rain is in Tutti Quanti's favour and although he's got to give away stacks of weight, I fancy he's better than 151 when conditions are in his favour. We've seen top weight win this before and he should have the class to make all under Harry Cobden on what will likely be very soft ground with more rain forecast.
13:45 1:45 Ayr
I Wish You
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 13.00 on 17/04 at 17:040.10 deduction for Califet En Vol@8.50 withdrawn at 07:270.00 deduction for Al Kalila @17.000 withdrawn at 10:050.00 deduction for Milcree @13.000 withdrawn at 11:110.20 deduction for Diamond Dealer @4.333 withdrawn at 13:25R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 12.00 x (1-0.3) = 9.40
@+839
Win
17
Just 3 starts over fences but seemed to click last time when getting up in the shadow of the posts to beat today's fav Diamond Dealer. That rival won since and although the selection is 1lb worst off today I think he was value for more than the short head. Yard were in flying form Friday and he can defy a 7lbs rise with soft ground to suit.
1 member found this comment useful
13:10 1:10 Ayr
Traprain Law
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@+500
Lose
-50
Pulled up in this race last year when the ground was too quick and he'll appreciate the easing ground which was riding soft on the Friday, with more rain forecast overnight. He won from a mark of 130 two starts back before finding 20f too far last time and will appreciate the drop back in trip here at a track he's gone well at in the past. Yard had a really strong day here Friday.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal2
17 April 2026
15:30 3:30 Ayr
Hoe Joly Smoke
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@+250
Lose
-50
The Skelton yard have sown up the trainers title but show no sign of slowing down and have a strong hand as the end of the season approaches. Yard have won this race 5 times in 8 renewals including last year with Riskintheground, and seem to have a strong chance with Hoe Joly Smoke who was good in the autumn when twice 3rd at Cheltenham before going off the boil the last twice. Has had wind surgery and dropped back to a mark of 130 so looks primed for a big effort.
Subtotal-50
16 April 2026
15:00 3:00 Newmarket
Aramram
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@+750
Win
12
A really consistent sort who improved throughout last season with good runs in competitive handicaps, including 2nd here twice behind More Thunder who finished the season finishing 4th in a Group 1 rated almost 30lbs higher. Aramram reappeared with a convincing Listed in what looks a good race and with effort under his belt he can go close in this Group 3. Weak in the market the last day, he can be expected to come on for the run and the pace of the race should suit him, as will conditions.
13:50 1:50 Newmarket
Treanmor
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@+400
Lose
-50
Looked a bit of a rogue in the Chesham (sent off fav) and wasn't seen since until reappearing with a pair of solid runs in Meydan. Finished behind Title Role on both starts with that rival since winning a Listed race and having an OR of 106. Treanmor drops back to 6f and returns to the scene of his facile maiden success from a mark of 93 which looks plenty workable for a yard in strong form (41% last 14 days).
Subtotal-38
12 April 2026
22:45 US Masters
Corey Conners
1st Round Leader
25 EW
@+5000
Lose
-50
Corey Connors has been struggling with a wrist injury which might put pay to ideas he can win here but he has finished in the Top 10 four times in his last six appearances at Augusta and tends to start brightly, appearing in the top 10 after round one in 2022, 2024 and 2025.
1 member found this comment useful
Jon Rahm
Top European
50 WIN
@+450
Lose
-50
Hard to see past Jon Rahm here who has been in flying form on the LIV tour and has previous at Augusta, being a Masters champion in 2023. With doubts over his market rivals he looks a solid choice.
Matt Fitzpatrick
Top GB and Ireland
50 WIN
@+450
Lose
-50
Matt Fitzpatrick has started the season in flying form which has been key to those who do well here in previous years. Already a major winner (US Open, 2022) he finished a close 2nd to Cameron Young at The Players before winning the Valspar Championship and has a game well suited to Augusta.
1 member found this comment useful
20:50 US Masters
Jon Rahm
25 EW
@+1200
Lose
-50
An open looking Masters and the eye is drawn to 2023 champion John Rahm who has been dominant on LIV tour, winning the top prize last year and having started this season with a win in Hong Kong and ranking 1st in strokes gained.
18:45 6:45 Musselburgh
Zarzyni
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@+1000
Win
25
The ground went against him here last time but on a sounder surface Zarzyni can continue his excellent record over C&D - currently 3 wins and 2 places from 10 visits. A mark of 74 is 4lbs lower than when a close 3rd in this race last year and also 4lbs below his last win here. High draw looks handy.
Subtotal-175
11 April 2026
17:00 5:00 Aintree
Risky Obsession
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+1000
Lose
-50
Happy to strike a line through his poor effort LTO on heavy ground and he's better judged on his promising win first time up when green but ultimately well on top. Yard have had a sparkling day and will want compensation after Panic Attacks early fall in the National.
16:00 4:00 Aintree
Champ Kiely
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@+3300
Lose
-50
Injuries mean that although he's a 10yo Champ Kiely is still pretty lightly raced with just 5 hurdle and 9 chase starts. A Grade 1 winner over both obstacles (and both under Danny Mullins) he's undoubtedly better than a mark of 157 on a going day and can be forgiven a couple of underwhelming runs the last twice including when sent off fav on New Years Day and then latterly in the Irish Gold Cup. Unproven beyond 25f but a winner at that trip, his jumping should be a huge plus here as he ranks 2nd on the jumping index, only behind Monty's Star. Should be well suited to this test and can spring a shock.
3 members found this comment useful
Firefox
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+6600
Lose
-50
Firefox looks a wild price for a Graded horse in a handicap who is still unexposed at staying trips. Stepped beyond 22f for the first time when 4th in the Irish Gold Cup and although a little disappointing at Cheltenham next time I'm happy to forgive one poor effort for a horse who easily won a Grade 2 at the start of the season. A mark of 160 sounds high but is 3lbs lower than Nick Rockett carried last year and just 1lb higher than I Am Maximus carried the year before. The changes to the fences has seen the class horses come to the fore and this 8yo ticks a lot of boxes for a trainer who started the Aintree meeting with a bang.
3 members found this comment useful
15:05 3:05 Aintree
Air Of Entitlement
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+850
Win
17
Happy to take a chance on Air Of Entitlement who has run with the handbrake on this season with a view to the Martin Pipe, and asserted strongly up the hill over 20f to win that race going away. She's a former p2p winner with stamina in her pedigree and doesn't have much to find on ratings in receipt of the 7lbs mares allowance. Yard won this last year and connections have a good crop of staying hurdles so it says a lot that she's even running here.
14:30 2:30 Aintree
Lookaway
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@+700
Win
10
Cruz Control has won this the last two years and has to be respected but Lookaway arrives on a steep upwards curve and a mark of 145 shouldn't be beyond him. He was impressive LTO on his first start at 24f having raced exclusively at around 16-20f previously and he's had just 5 starts over fences after being a Graded novice hurdler. No disgrace being beaten by Mighty Bandit over 16f three starts back (that rival runs in the 12:45) he's followed it up with two convincing wins at Kempton over further. Yard won a Grade 1 yesterday and are in rare form, and the make up of the race should see him get to the front as is his want.
1 member found this comment useful
13:55 1:55 Aintree
Ballyfad
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+350
Lose
-50
Very happy to draw a line through his run in the Turners where he was behind the Skelton pair of Soldier Reeves and Bossman Jack (interesting Harry sticks with the latter) but was kicked before the off and was one of those hugely affected by the messy start. Normally ridden at the front he was always behind but his runs prior to that mean who is the one to beat, having bolted up in a maiden hurdle with a smart horse in behind and then had his pocket picked in a Grade 1 novice over 16f at the DRF. Yard have won this the last 4 years and confidence is high he can continue that run.
1 member found this comment useful
13:20 1:20 Aintree
Supremely West
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@+450
Lose
-50
The Skeltons have laid one out for this prize in recent years and taken home the gold 3 times in the last 6 renewals. Each of their winners had missed Cheltenham but I think Surpremely West was so well handicapped he can defy a 9lbs higher mark here - echoes of Madara who was just touched off in the Topham after winning at Cheltenham.
1 member found this comment useful
12:45 12:45 Aintree
Mighty Bandit
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+700
Lose
-50
Mighty Bandit has seemingly improved beyond all recognition for a fence, racking up a hat trick of wins in handicap company which sees him on a OR of 152 - the same as Grade 1 winning novice Salvador Mundi. The last 2 wins came at Doncaster which is a similar track to Aintree and he was dominant on both occasions. Might face a bit more competition for the lead here but I can't see him out of the places.
Subtotal-273
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