c4stle
National Hunt follower who is more profitable on the flat…
1
Estimated Prizes
this month
£15
Estimated Prize money
this month
c4stle's Tips History
16 November 2025
15:30 3:30 Cheltenham
Laafi
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@19.00
Lose
-50
Looks to have been laid out for this by new connections, having posted a good level of form on soft/heavy ground for the Haggas yard previously. Won a maiden hurdle last winter before finishing last of 3 in a conditional event behind Anzadam. Off since but reappears in a handicap from a mark of 138, and blinkers go on having won in them the first time for Haggas.
14:55 2:55 Cheltenham
Protektorat
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@4.50
Lose
-50
Not certain he will take his chance, but if he does, I think his rivals will find it hard to pass him, being a proper graded horse in a handicap. He has gone well fresh before, and as a 10-year-old rising 11-year-old, there are only so many days in the sun left, meaning connections surely won't leave any prizes behind. Beat Djelo by 23L on soft ground last January, and that rates good form that can see him deny a mark of 165 for a yard in strong form.
14:05 2:05 Fontwell
Unanswered Prayers
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@5.00
Lose
-50
The Yard are in blistering form with 4 winners from the last 13 runners and can continue the streak with Unanswered Prayers. Won this race on good ground last year from a mark of 126 (5 lbs claimer) having prepped at Cheltenham, and the stable have taken the same route this time around. A mark of 127 and a 3 lbs claim in the saddle leaves him effectively 3 lbs higher and weighted to go well.
13:45 1:45 Cheltenham
Queensbury Boy
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@5.50
Lose
-50
Always been highly rated and won a pair of novice hurdles at short odds before running down the field in the Grade 1 Novice Hurdle at Punchestown. Reappeared at Chepstow when ultimately disappointing but always seen as a chaser, with the form of his PTP win looking strong. Has won on heavy ground and although this is his first start for the Bowen yard, he cost a lot of money and I'm sure they'll be aiming for Graded races, which would mean he'll have to win this handicap from a mark of just 131.
13:15 1:15 Cheltenham
Ambiente Friendly
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@5.00
Lose
-50
The 2024 Derby runner-up makes his debut over hurdles. Despite an underwhelming season on the level, he could prove to be a class above these. Rated as high as 118 on the level and with form on soft ground, a chance is taken that hurdles can spark an interest that sees him transfer that ability to obstacles.
Subtotal-250
15 November 2025
15:30 3:30 Cheltenham
Lavender Hill Mob
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 29.00 on 14/11 at 20:170.00 deduction for Cest Different@13.00 withdrawn at 07:490.15 deduction for French Ship @6.000 withdrawn at 09:310.10 deduction for Last Rodeo @9.000 withdrawn at 13:45R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 28.00 x (1-0.25) = 22.00Best Odds Guaranteed SP 34.00 used instead of 22.00 BOG
@34.00
Win
990
4-year-olds have a pretty good record in this race, having won twice since 2018. Lavender Hill Mob showed enough at around 2m last year to suggest he has potential over obstacles. However, having shown his best form on the flat at 12f+, I'd suggest there's more to come at staying trips over hurdles. He has won on heavy ground on the level and won a decent handicap from a mark of 94 back in May before finishing a respectable 5th at Listed level 51 days ago. A mark of 119 looks more than workable to me with headgear retained and stepping up 5f in trip.
2 members found this comment useful
14:55 2:55 Cheltenham
Supremely West
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@2.62
Lose
-50
Really impressive on stable debut when running well from off the pace to finish 3rd behind a horse in Ma Shantou. I fancy him as an outside chance in the Stayers Hurdle. Good ground that day, but he's won on Haydock heavy, so clearly ground versatile and should have enough from a mark of 138, which is just 1 lb higher than last time.
1 member found this comment useful
13:45 1:45 Cheltenham
Be Aware
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@3.25
Lose
-50
Didn't reach the heights of some of these over hurdles but was impressive on chase debut and was just touched off having failed to get the winner in the Greatwood Hurdle at around this trip at this meeting last year. His chase experience puts him ahead of a few of his rivals, whilst the trip should suit him better than the favorite, July Flower, who will be better over further. The yard has won this twice in the last 4 years and should make it 3 in 5.
2 members found this comment useful
13:10 1:10 Cheltenham
Jubilee Express
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@7.00
Lose
-50
I expect Jubilee Express to outclass these for a yard who couldn't be in better form (5 winners from the last 7 runners). Goes well fresh, as when finishing 2nd in the Welsh National on soft ground last December off a break of 273 days. That was from a mark of 126, and he's 3lbs higher here, but with a 7lbs claimer in the saddle, he's weighted to make his class pay.
12:35 12:35 Cheltenham
Hallelujah U
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@9.00
Lose
-50
This was a serious horse on the level, finishing 2.25L 6th in the Group 2 Queens Vase at Royal Ascot which featured some quality horses ahead of him, including Scandinavia (0.75L), Further and Carmers. Rated 100 on the level he looks a serious prospect going hurdling for connections that have farmed these prizes in recent years. Has flat form on good to soft and although he'll likely improve for the run he could yet outclass the field.
Subtotal790
14 November 2025
14:55 2:55 Cheltenham
Jonbon
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@2.00
Lose
-50
He's miles the best of these - 11 lbs clear on ratings - and can give away the weight to his rivals. Touched off in three efforts over C&D in Grade 1s, but has won this Grade 2 the last two years and should have enough in hand for this field.
Subtotal-50
08 November 2025
15:45 3:45 Doncaster
Lord Melbourne
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionBest Odds Guaranteed SP 9.00 used instead of 8.00 takenBOG
@9.00
Win
15
Lord Melbourne was a cozy winner of this race on soft ground last year from a mark of 90 and didn't make his seasonal return until a dominant win at Epsom last time out from 4 lbs higher. Raised another 9 lbs for that effort, but with conditions to suit, he can continue his steep upward curve for the Beckett yard.
15:10 3:10 Doncaster
Danielle
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@2.50
Win
75
Sights lowered considerably, having run well in Group 2s before being upped to Group 1 level last time when finishing 5th behind Kalapana. Finished a close 2nd behind Estrange in similar conditions in this race last year, and there's nothing of her ability this time around. Looks a penalty kick for a yard in form.
14:40 2:40 Aintree
Seddon
Daily Racing
25 EW
@34.00
Lose
-50
Hard to say that this 12yo is well handicapped but he's still running with plenty of credit having finished 9th in competitive Punchestown handicap chase in May from a mark of 138. Memories are still fresh of him jumping the field silly to win the Plate handicap at the Cheltenham Festival in 2023 from a mark of 143 and he seems the sort that could take well to this discipline and could find a spark. I like a horse ridden prominently and a sound jumper, with Seddon ticking both boxes. Had a spin on the flat last month which will have blown away the cobwebs and he looks overpriced to me at 33/1.
1 member found this comment useful
14:23 2:23 Wincanton
Blueking Doroux
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@2.50
Win
75
Blueking D'Oroux was a bit sloppy on debut but was up against a seasoned chaser and can improve from that experience. Miles the best of these over hurdles and represents a top yard. He'll be better suited by the right-handed track and can win this.
13:45 1:45 Wincanton
Jubilee Alpha
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@2.62
Lose
-50
I've no doubt Jubilee Alpha is better than a mark of 137 and the yard will be going great guns to win this race in memory of one of their greatest supporters. Just mid division in the Mares Novice at Cheltenham Festival but put that behind her when stepping up in trip to claim a Listed race in April. Loads more to come at this trip and beyond and she can make her class pay.
13:25 1:25 Doncaster
Montassib
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@2.75
Lose
-50
Far and away the class horse in this race and in receipt of weight from two of his rivals. He's only been seen twice on a track this season, so will be fresher than most and won't be inconvenienced by the soft ground. Ran a good race on reappearance and a respectable effort on ground too quick in Group 1 company last time. This represents a massive drop in grade. Well drawn next to Art Power and Apollo One, who will both go forward, and he's won over C&D on soft ground.
Subtotal15
06 November 2025
12:55 12:55 Ludlow
Ocean Conquest
Daily Racing
50 WINNAPNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 2.75 used instead of 2.50 takenBOG
@2.75
Win
87
Melton Mossy will go well in a bid to win this for the second year in a row, but Ocean Conquest is lightly raced over hurdles and has form behind some smart types, including 3.5L behind Give It To Me OJ (now rated 143). Finished 0.5L behind Aviemore (now 122 after following up), and even his flat form stacks up pretty strongly to suggest he's still well handicapped from a mark of 112. Has a 7lbs claimer in the saddle and looks the main pace angle. If coming on for reappearance, I can see him winning this cosily.
Subtotal87
01 November 2025
23:05 23:05 Del Mar
Johannes
Daily Racing
25 EW
@13.00
Lose
-50
Finished 2nd last year, finishing strongly to come home ahead of Notable Speech. Won the same race in preparation LTO as he did last year and he's hugely overpriced to hit the frame again.
22:25 22:25 Del Mar
Journalism
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@9.00
Lose
-50
Happy to side with the 3-year-old who has been chasing home the ante-post favorite Sovereignty this season but claimed the Preakness back in May and is a top-level horse in his own right. It's hard to pick which of the top 3 last year could be best, so I'll take a fresh form line.
21:41 21:41 Del Mar
Minnie Hauk
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@2.10
Lose
-50
A high-class filly who has consistently run well at the highest level this season, winning four Oaks - including two classics - before just being touched off on rain-soaked ground at Longchamp last time. That's still the form standard, and she should be fine on the quick ground and can make her class pay.
20:21 20:21 Del Mar
Straight No Chaser
Daily Racing
25 EW
@10.00
Lose
-50
Beat Bentornato in this race last year before an easy win in the Middle East. Reappeared last month behind Imagination and likely to improve plenty for that effort - I'm sure this will have been the plan from some way out.
19:41 19:41 Del Mar
Shes Quality
Daily Racing
25 EW
@12.00
Lose
-50
She's Quality has been consistent at the highest level in Europe this season, including placed efforts in Group 1s the last two times. Headgear removed, which is interesting, but I think she's sure to be in the mix from stall 7.
15:45 3:45 Ascot
Two For Gold
Daily Racing
25 EW
@26.00
Lose
-50
Two For Gold is a 12yo now but has run well in the last two renewals, finishing 2nd from a mark of 154 and then 4th last year from 151. Loves it at Ascot and his yard normally have their horses ready to roll at this time of year - I fancy he can outrun his odds even carrying top weight.
14:57 2:57 Wetherby
Hewick
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@4.50
Lose
-50
A competitive Charlie Hall, but I think the weight will prove the difference with Hewick in receipt of 6 lbs from three of his rivals. He's race fit, having won over hurdles 2 weeks ago, and will relish quick ground. Former Grade 1 winner who showed he's retained plenty of ability when 8th in the National last April from a mark of 162.
14:40 2:40 Down Royal
Envoi Allen
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTETip made at odds of 2.88 on 31/10 at 10:000.00 deduction for Stellar Story@17.00 withdrawn at 11:010.25 deduction for Spillanes Tower @3.500 withdrawn at 12:25R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 1.88 x (1-0.25) = 2.41Best Odds Guaranteed SP 3.75 used instead of 2.41 BOG
@3.75
Win
137
Envoi Allen can sign off his illustrious career with another Grade 1 success at a track he loves, having won this race twice in the last three years. Ground no issue and this will be his cup final, whilst for others it may yet prove a springboard to the rest of their season, despite being a Grade 1.
14:22 2:22 Wetherby
Strong Leader
Daily Racing
50 WINNAPNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 2.88 used instead of 2.62 takenBOG
@2.88
Win
93
I thought Potters Charm had a good chance but he's far too short against a Grade 1 animal in Strong Leader who won the Grade 2 Long Distance Hurdle at Newbury on reappearance last year and signed off with a good 2nd in the Grade 1 at Aintree. Has to concede weight to his rivals but trainer and jockey remain in stellar form and with conditions to suit he sets the standard.
14:05 2:05 Ascot
Leau Du Sud
Daily Racing
50 WINR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@4.50
Void
0
I'm sure the Skeltons feel L'Eau Du Sud is better than a handicapper, and the fact they've dropped in grade to grab some prize money is a tip in itself. Ran well in novice graded races last season, and a mark of 155 doesn't look to be his ceiling, especially with a 3 lbs claimer in the saddle. Will enjoy the quick ground, goes well fresh - he can dominate this field.
Special Cadeau
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@7.50
Lose
-50
The non-runners really alter the complexion of this race, and preference now is for the HdB-trained Special Cadeau, who was last of 5 when pitched into Grade 1 company at Aintree but has progressed since and finished 2nd in a Grade 3 last time. A mark of 142 with a 3 lbs claimer in the saddle looks fine, and the quick ground will suit.
13:30 1:30 Ascot
No Questions Asked
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@3.25
Win
112
Happy to take on the favorite who is at a trip well below his best, with peak efforts coming over 24f. No Questions Asked was below par in the Fred Winter, but prior to that, he bookmarked a strong run in a Listed hurdle with two easy wins in novice events. Former P2P winner who can upset the apple cart on his chase debut under rules.
13:15 1:15 Wetherby
Geryville
Daily Racing
25 EW
@23.00
Lose
-50
There's a few progressive novices in here but I'd prefer to side with the 9yo Geryville who won this race in 2021 from a mark of 109 and won again over C&D in January from 117. Has 2 wins and 3 placed efforts from 9 visits to Wetherby and a mark of 118 should be more than within reach with the yard in strong form, having had a winner here yesterday at 12/1. Bryan Hughes in the saddle and his 2nd here in the spring shows he will handle quicker ground.
Subtotal-108
31 October 2025
23:05 23:05 Del Mar
Precise
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@2.20
Void
0
Aidan O'Brien has farmed this race in recent years and has made no secret of how good he feels Precise is and can be. Group 1 winner the last twice, including when stamping her authority when upped to 8f LTO at Newmarket.
21:45 21:45 Del Mar
Havana Anna
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@8.00
Lose
-50
5f at Del Mar will be all about speed, and of the European horses, I think Havana Anna is the true 5f animal. Whereas the Aidan horses have arguably shown better form over further. She was outstayed by True Love on quick ground in the 6f Cheveley Park last time, but prior to that, she had bolted up at Naas to win by 3.5L over 5f. The runner-up that day has twice won at Listed level since, so the form looks strong. Only 2nd in France on soft ground, but this looks an ideal test, and she can claim this Grade 1 prize.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-50
26 October 2025
15:30 3:30 Aintree
Serious Challenge
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@4.00
Lose
-50
The yard has won the last three renewals of this, all with charges making their season return. Serious Challenge is unexposed after just 5 hurdle starts, winning 3 of those, and was last seen finishing 4th at Sandown behind Give It To Me OJ, who won the Grade 2 Mastertons Hurdle at Cheltenham yesterday. He was rated 102 on the flat for Jim Bolger, and on all evidence, a mark of 128 stepping back up to 20f here means he should be well handicapped.
Subtotal-50
25 October 2025
15:10 3:10 Newbury
Pandemonium
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@9.00
Lose
-50
The Crisfords won this two years ago and despite the market drift I think they've got a strong chance of repeating the feat. Pandemonium is 2 from 2, both on soft ground, and looks to be the main pace angle in a race without many that want to go forward. The bare form isn't exciting but he's won without being asked a question both times and can take this step up in grade in his stride.
1 member found this comment useful
14:55 2:55 Cheltenham
Ma Shantou
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@9.00
Win
240
7th in the Albert Bartlett, having plugged on well after being outpaced. As a 6-year-old, he's liable to improve with age at these staying trips. The yard has previous experience with improving novices, having taken the same route with Paisley Park, and they are in flying form.
1 member found this comment useful
Winning Smut
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@10.00
Lose
-50
Arrives having won the same Listed hurdle at Galway as The Wallpark did last year for the same trainer. Since joining Elliott, he's 2 from 3, having been beaten by a neck 2 starts back when excuses at the business end. But his win LTO was dominant, and although he's 11 lbs higher here, I think he still has loads of scope from a mark of 133.
1 member found this comment useful
14:40 2:40 Doncaster
Lam Yai
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@3.25
Win
112
Looks to have everything in her favor, with the prospect of an easy lead on soft-heavy ground. 2nd in a Group 3 at Ascot last time, that form looks pretty good with the 3rd finishing 4th in a Listed race next time and the 4th winning since (reopposes here with a chance). Yard remains in fine fettle and she's the one to beat.
1 member found this comment useful
14:20 2:20 Cheltenham
Hyland
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@7.00
Lose
-50
A winner on this day the last two years, winning the 3m hurdle two years ago and then bolting up when beating Transmission by 15L in a novice chase last year. Goes really well fresh and seems a much better horse through autumn - a mark of 147 looks within reach.
1 member found this comment useful
The Short Go
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@8.00
Win
10
The stable has won the last two runnings, including a 1-2 last year when The Short Go finished 2nd to his stablemate from a mark of 126. He improved then to finish 5th in the Ultima from a mark of 132 before a poor run at Punchestown when pulled up. The yard is in strong form, and a mark of 132 here should be within reach.
1 member found this comment useful
13:10 1:10 Cheltenham
Springs A Girl
Daily Racing
25 EW
@15.00
Lose
-50
Reappeared over a trip short of ideal, making her chase debut when finishing 2nd at Worcester. Held up that day, she rallied well to finish a close 2nd, and the step up in trip will suit, having done all her winning at around this trip. The yard had a good winner here on Friday, and Sean Bowen keeps the ride, still in flying form.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal162
24 October 2025
16:45 4:45 Cheltenham
The Newest One
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@9.00
Lose
-50
At his best fresh, with form figures of 6-1-5-2-1 off a break of over 150 days, with the 5th (124) and the 1st (122) coming in this race. He's 1 lb lower than that win last year and has a 7 lbs claimer in the saddle. The yard is in good form and targets this meeting.
15:00 3:00 Cheltenham
Un Sens A La Vie
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@2.88
Lose
-50
Turned out quickly after a dominant win 10 days ago and can take this step up in grade in his stride for a yard in strong form that loves to claim these early season Graded races.
13:15 1:15 Cheltenham
East India Express
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@8.50
Lose
-50
A really competitive handicap to get Cheltenham's season up and running, but East India Express could blow this apart from top weight, having bolted up over C&D in April from a mark of 129 under Freddie Gordon, claiming 3 lbs. 8 lbs higher, but he's still unexposed after just 8 hurdles starts (won 4), and he was sent off 2nd fav for the Martin Pipe here in March, which would suggest the yard felt he had loads in hand. He's 2 from 2 on seasonal reappearance, and in my view, could yet make into a graded performer, which would suggest this mark of 137 is well within reach.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-150
18 October 2025
16:40 4:40 Ascot
Ebts Guard
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@19.00
Win
64
There doesn't look to be a lot of pace on offer, with Hafleet Alain drawn high and Holloway Boy drawn low. Low numbers have tended to do well in this race, and although he's still rising up the handicap, I fancy Ebts Guard can go close at a track he clearly enjoys (2 wins, 2 placed from 5 starts over C&D). He beat Cerulean Bay when giving away 6 lbs at the Shergar Cup and meets that rival here on 5 lbs better terms. He grabbed the rail and made most that day from stall 3, and with the lack of forward-going types in the field, I think a repeat isn't off the cards from stall 1. Ground versatile and can win this even from a career-high mark of 102.
1 member found this comment useful
15:25 3:25 Ascot
Field Of Gold
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@2.75
Lose
-50
This looks like a deep race, but none can match the ability Field Of Gold showed when coming close to a 2000 Guineas double earlier in the year, but for a better ride at Newmarket. Undone in a muddling race last time and has been off since, but connections have earmarked this race for him a long way out, and I'm sure he won't be short of fitness. He's the class angle by a long way.
14:45 2:45 Ascot
Kalpana
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@4.00
Win
150
3-year-olds have mopped up, but there's rarely an older filly with the ability of Kalpana in this field. A proper Group 1 horse, she's been beaten in each of her starts this season but beaten by other Group 1 horses such as Los Angeles, Whirl, Calandagan, and Giavellotto, who subsequently finished 4th in the Arc. Under par in France last time, sights are lowered here (still a Group 1), and she's miles clear on ratings even with the 3-year-olds allowance. Headgear suggests the yard feels she's still got more to offer, but I'm not sure she needs to show anything more in order to win this. Good ground is no issue, although she would prefer softer.
1 member found this comment useful
14:05 2:05 Ascot
No Half Measures
Daily Racing
25 EWNAPNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionBest Odds Guaranteed SP 29.00 used instead of 26.00 takenBOG
@29.00
Win
115
I like to judge these sprinters on their peak efforts and happy to put a line through any below par where there are excuses. No Half Measures was a huge price when winning the Group 1 July Cup this summer, beating Big Mojo by a neck. Down the field in the Sprint Cup last time but hampered towards the finish and couldn't give her true running. Ground versatile and should be well drawn (7) with Lazzat (8) and Spy Chief (4) both likely to set a good pace. She's unexposed at this trip, winning 4 of her 6 races over 6f and with the yard in good form this Group 1 winner looks massively overpriced.
1 member found this comment useful
13:30 1:30 Ascot
Watcha Snoop
Daily Racing
25 EW
@51.00
Lose
-50
Hugo Palmer has two in here, but preference is for the outsider Watcha Snoop, who was 2nd to today's favorite on his debut (Words Of Truths' 3rd start) and then won well here at Ascot on his next start when making all. Three of the four runners behind him that day have won since, with the other placing 4th in a really competitive nursery last week. The form looks pretty good for a late-season novice. Ran no race in the Mill Reef last time and has been gelded since. A wide draw would give him the chance to bag a rail and potentially shoot off in front, and he could be tricky to peg back.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal229
Tips are normally be settled by 12pm the day after the event took place.
Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.
Please note that this information is for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as an indicator of a tipsters real life performance. The OLBG Tipster Competition is a simulation game and some of the rules and prices used by the tipsters may not always be available in the real world which can lead to misleading informaiton.
