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15 September 2024
22:45 Procore Championship
J J Spaun
50 WIN
@29.00
Lose
-50
Spaun's irons are working just fine, and he did play well with the putter lately. That led to six made cuts in a row and three top 10s in it. His driver is usually in form here, and he has never come in better form before. Spaun has a couple of top 11s in his last four appearances here and my call is Spaun to win.
17:45 Irish Open
Alex Fitzpatrick
25 EW
@56.00
Lose
-50
The younger Fitz is looking slowly but surely progressing. He is hungry for titles and no matter that they are plenty of tough opponents in the field, I think Alex will play even more motivated. He does not have some great finishes here, but he posted three top 12s in a row and I will stick with Alex this week.
Jordan Smith
25 EW
@51.00
Win
100
Smith is another player which excellent irons game will be a vital asset this week. He is coming on the back of two top 12s in a row something that will boost his morale. From his seven appearances he posted four top 24, and I think Jordan will eclipse this week.
Jorge Campillo
25 EW
@81.00
Lose
-50
The Spaniard has missed the cut only once in his last six appearances. He is playing regularly here and has three top sevens in his last five starts. His accurate game suits perfectly the course, and he finished last week with 64. I think he will use the momentum and will finish in the top 7.
Matteo Manassero
25 EW
@56.00
Win
250
Last week the Italian was in my short list, but I did not post it. This week I simply could not miss it. On Omega European Masters he missed the cut, but before that he made seven cuts with four top 18s. His irons are running hot and looks like a sound each way bet.
Ryan Fox
50 WIN
@29.00
Lose
-50
Fox is one of the very classy players, who simply loves to play in Ireland. He withdrew and missed the cut in his last two starts. He has three missed cuts in his last seven starts here, but the other four were top 4 finishes. I think the market leaders are vulnerable, and I take Fox to win.
14:45 Irish Open
Daan Huizing
1st Round Leader
25 EW
@201.00
Lose
-50
I think the Dutch will make a fast start here. He needs goof finish in order to preserve his DP world tour card. He missed four cuts in a row, before the T39 last week. Furthermore, he is a former winner here and last week opened with 64. I expect similar fast start from Huizing on day one and to post a top 6 finish after the first round.
Subtotal100
14 September 2024
20:00 PSG v Brest
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@1.50
Win
25
Two of the three matches of Brest ended with three or more goals. PSG saw four goals minimum in all of their three matches so far. The last four matches between those two ended with both teams to score and three goals minimum. My call is over 2.5 goals.
PSG (AH) -1.75
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@2.00
Win+Push
25
Brest won their last match at home with 4-0, but before that they lost two in a row. PSG are in business as usual with three wins in a row and beat Lille on road in their last one, which will allow them to play with boosted morale. PSG won four of their last five matches against Brest. My call is persuasive home win.
17:30 Aston Villa v Everton
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@1.80
Win
40
I think three goals here will be an easy task . From one side Aston Villa conceded in ech of tehir three matches so far and Everton conceded at least three goals in all fo their three matches so far. I think we will see both sides scoring and three gols minimum.
Aston Villa (AH) -1.00
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@1.85
Push
0
Aston Villa managed to win twice and won both times on road. They lost in their sole home match. Everton lost three out of three, and I do not see how they will bounce back. I think the home advantage will be crucial and my call is home win.
15:00 Brighton v Ipswich
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@1.60
Lose
-50
Ipswich conceded goal in all of their three matches so far. Brighton scored a goal in all of their three matches so far. I see the home side winning this one, but Ipswich proved capable of scoring here, and I see value in taking the over here.
Brighton (AH) -1.25
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@1.84
Lose
-50
Both teams will meet for the first time since 2017. Ipswich promoted, but I do not see easy times for them in the Premier League. Ipswich lost two of their three matches, but the losses came from Manchester city and Liverpool. Still I think Ipswich are better at home and my call is home win.
15:00 Liverpool v Nottm Forest
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@1.40
Lose
-50
Liverpool are yet to concede a goal in the Premier League. I think today that may happen. Nottingham Forest are undefeated so far and scored a goal in all of their three matches. The last five matches here between them ended with three or more goals.
Liverpool (AH) -2.00
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@2.03
Lose
-50
Liverpool won all of their last three matches so far, without conceding a goal. They are one of the man favourites for the title. Forest once again will fight against relegation. Liverpool won four of the last five matches against Nottingham Forest and my call is home win.
15:00 Man City v Brentford
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@1.40
Win
20
Brentford won two of their three matches so far, losing only to Liverpool on road. Brentford saw three goals minimum in two of their three matches and saw both teams to score in those. Brentford scored a goal against Brentford in three of their last four matches.
Man City (AH) -2.00
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@1.85
Lose
-50
Manchester city are running hot as usual with three wins from three matches. They beat West Ham and Chelsea on road and will play with boosted morale. Brentford are not bad at all, but City are not just in form, but will play at home, so my call is home win.
Subtotal-140
08 September 2024
17:00 Big Green Egg German Challenge
Gregorio De Leo
25 EW
@34.00
Win
27
De Leo is player who managed to make a smooth transfer from amateur to professional. He made twelve from his last fifteen cuts. In those stretch he posted an impressive top 10 on the Italian open on the DP World tour. He is coming on the back of top 5 on Rosa Challenge tour in Poland last week and I think he will use the momentum. Looks like a sound each way bet.
John Axelsen
25 EW
@34.00
Win
181
Axelsen posted a top 20 on the Danish open and proved that was no fluke with a top 5 finish on the Rosa Challenger tour last week. His driver is one of is main assets and I think he will relish his power from the tee. With little luck on the greens Axelsen will make his price look silly.
Robin Williams
25 EW
@21.00
Lose
-50
Williams is another player, who has won on the South African tour, and he did it at Glendower. He is excellent in total driving and should enjoy the test here. Couple of starts ago he posted a top 12 finish on the Czech Masters in stronger company and Robin looks like a sound each way bet.
Wilco Nienaber
50 WIN
@17.00
Lose
-50
Nienaber is far more experienced and talented than almost all the field. He is long from the tee and likes to play at Galgorm Castle, where he posted a top 4 finish last year. He must win to come closer to secure a DP world tour card and I take Nienaber to win.
17:00 Omega European Masters
Antoine Rozner
25 EW
@51.00
Lose
-50
Rozner's short game is looking in good shape, no matter of the T73 last week. That was one of the main reason for him not to win the Italian open. The price is affected due the finishing on Belfry, but here Rozner made three top 24s in the last three appearances and I take the French to attack the top 7.
Bernd Wiesberger
25 EW
@21.00
Lose
-50
I was about to take Wiesberger to win only, but I am not that convinced. Still the Austrian posted four top 19s in the last six starts. He plays regularly here and has three top 13s in the last seven starts. Looks like a sound each way bet.
Thriston Lawrence
50 WIN
@17.00
Lose
-50
I will stick with Lawrence for another week in a row. In his last four
starts he posted three top 4s, one of those win in South Africa.
Lawrence is a former winner here a couple of years back, and he is
coming in great shape. My call is Lawrence to win.
14:45 Omega European Masters
Jesper Svensson
25 EW
@34.00
Lose
-50
Svensson will make his debut there and that may be a minus, but after two top 5s in a row, I simply could not pass by a bet for the Swede. He is sitting third in the race to Dubai and will play with boosted morale . The odd is looking good and I take Svensson on each way terms.
Jorge Campillo
25 EW
@36.00
Lose
-50
The Spaniard is great with the irons, and he plays regularly here. He does not have some memorable success, but the top 4 a couple of years ago. He managed to come back on Belfry, after a poor day three and will start this week on a flyer. Not only that, but he also is sitting in the top 11s for scrambling on the DP world tour.
Subtotal-142
05 September 2024
19:45 Belarus v Bulgaria
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@2.62
Lose
-50
I love this odd and simply could not pass by it. Both teams do not tend to score a lot of goals and on paper we can expect low scoring game. On the other hand two of the last four matches between those two ended with both teams to score and three goals minimum, so I will take my chances.
Belarus (AH) 0.25
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@1.98
Win+Push
25
Bulgaria are by fare more stable under the new coach I.Iliev, but on the other hand, they are more discipline in defence plan and I think they will have problems in controlling the ball and create goals scoring opportunity. Belarus are far from reliable, but the draw does not look like mission impossible and I back Belarus not to lose.
19:45 Estonia v Slovakia
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@2.30
Lose
-50
I really like this odd. The home side conceded a goal minimum in their last six matches and saw three or more in five of them in the regular time. Slovakia scored in their last seven matches and my call is for three goals minimum.
Slovakia (AH) -1.25
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@2.13
Lose+Push
-25
Slovakia took part on the European Championship and no matter they won just one point they leave good impression. Estonia lost four of their last six matches and look doomed in my opinion. Slovakia won the last two matches against Estonia and I expect to make them two in a row.
19:45 Portugal v Croatia
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@1.80
Win
40
Those line should be covered easily. This tournament is often not taken that seriously from most of the teams and the high scoring games are not something uncommon. The last four matches between those two ended with both teams to score and my call is over 2.5 goals.
Portugal (AH) -1.00
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@1.95
Push
0
I doubted that Portugal will be merciful. Croatia are still a tough opponent, but some of their most experienced players, and they will have to adjust their game and may be will be mentally more vulnerable. Portugal with or without Ronaldo have plenty decent players and the home advantage. My call is home win.
19:45 Serbia v Spain
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@1.90
Lose
-50
I am surprised from the represented odd. Spain are scoring with an easy and have more than one plater who can score easily. Serbia on the other han will have the home advantage and I think they may score, especially from set pieces and Mitrovic.
Spain (AH) -1.00
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@1.92
Lose
-50
I have no doubt in the win of the visiting team. Serbia were one of the poorest sides on the European Championship, and they do not seem competitive enough for me against the reigning European Champions. Spain has plenty players and no matter which one will play I take away win.
Subtotal-160
01 September 2024
17:45 British Masters
Alex Fitzpatrick
25 EW
@51.00
Lose
-50
The younger brother is determined to prove his core. He is playing solid gold this year and has two top 6s in the last seven starts. On his last appearances he ended bogey-bogey, but still finish in the top 6. He has excellent short game and this is a vital asset on Belfry. I take Alex to finish in the top 7.
Matt Wallace
50 WIN
@19.00
Lose
-50
I think Wallace is the wise choice from the market leaders. He is in solid form with four made cuts in the last six starts. He has played once here and then his driver was modest, now he gained strokes in 8 of his last ten appearances. My call is Wallace to win.
Shubhankar Sharma
25 EW
@61.00
Lose
-50
Sharma is excellent ball striker. He has two wins under hie belt and likes the low scoring conditions. Sharma is in decent form with seven cuts made in a row. His price is more than juicy and I think Sharma will be a real threat for the top 7.
Thriston Lawrence
25 EW
@26.00
Win
100
Thriston is a four times winner on the DP World tour. Lawrence was in contention for the Open and missed the next cut. Still afterwards he won 54 hole events and will play with boosted morale. He has two starts here with two top 39s. Looks like a sound each way bet.
Yannik Paul
25 EW
@51.00
Lose
-50
Paul is a steady competitor and has one win under his belt on the DP World tour. He has played twice here before and twice finished in the top 16. He can build up on his top 19 last week and I think he will be in contention for the top 7.
Subtotal-100
25 August 2024
22:15 BMW Championship
Sam Burns
25 EW
@31.00
Win
125
Burns made seven cuts in a row with five top 15s in those stretch. He likes to play here with three top 20s in his last three starts. Burns is sitting 13th in total driving and after a top five last week, I think he can take the title.
Viktor Hovland
50 WIN
@19.00
Lose
-50
Hovland last week was runner-up, but was close to a playoff. Hovland is long enough for the measures of the course and his irons are in excellent shape. He is the reigning champion and the smaller field and the lack of cut, give better chance for a title defence. I take Hovland to win.
21:45 BMW Championship
Jason Day
25 EW
@51.00
Lose
-50
Jason is looking far from his best, but looking solid enough lately. He has posted four top 23s in a row and comes here in a good mood. Day's short game needs to be back on track to stand a chance here, but his driver was in fine form last week. I take Day to finish in the top 6.
Tony Finau
25 EW
@26.00
Lose
-50
When it comes to play against the best in the game Finau is one of the players that does not fear the competition. He is excellent tee to green and posted five top 16s in the last six starts. Furthermore, he has five top 15s in the last seven starts here. Looks like a sound each way bet.
Will Zalatoris
25 EW
@67.00
Lose
-50
This is my outsider this week. Zalatoris is excellent from tee to green and his irons are running hot. He will play for the second time here, and he withdrew in the previous start. With a good week wit the putter Zalatoris can make his price look silly.
15:45 Danish Golf Championship
Brandon Robinson Thompson
25 EW
@51.00
Lose
-50
Thompson is spending most of his time on the Challenge tour, but he won recently there and posted three top 6s in a row. The last top 6s was last week in Czechia. I think he is set for a breakthrough win on the DP World tour.
Jorge Campillo
25 EW
@34.00
Lose
-50
The Spaniard should be suited for the challenge here, where his straight driver should give him enough edge. Those low grade events are place where Campillo is making the best of it. He won in Kenya earlier this year and this week he looks like a solid each way bet.
Paul Waring
25 EW
@41.00
Lose
-50
Waring has just one win on the DP World tour under his belt, but I think he should have significantly more. He won the Nordea masters and returning on Scandinavian soil will bring positive vibes to the Englishman. Last week he finished in the 6, and I take him on each way terms.
Rasmus Neergaard Petersen
25 EW
@41.00
Lose
-50
I think Neergaard-Petersen will be one of the players from the Challenger tour that will earn DP World tour card this season. He won twice on the Challenge tour this calendar year and odds of 40/1 look big enough in my opinion for each way bet.
Thorbjorn Olesen
50 WIN
@17.00
Lose
-50
The Danish should thrive at home. Olesen is a classy act on the DP world tour with wight wins under his belt. Olesen had some good finishes, but struggled to put four solid days in a row. I think he will find inspiration here and in the rather weak field I take Olesen to win.
Subtotal-325
18 August 2024
20:30 Mallorca v Real Madrid
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@1.85
Lose
-50
The last matches between those two do not involve such a high scoring matches, but now I think the case will be different. Mallorca scored in each of their last eight matches and can score in this one. Still I think Real Madrid will win, and I take the over 2.5 goals bet here.
Real Madrid (AH) -1.25
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@2.04
Lose
-50
I doubted that the reigning champions will not start the season with an easy win. It is true that Mallorca lost only once in their last eight matches overall. On the other hand Real Madrid were very impressive against Fiorentina and my call is win for Real Madrid.
20:00 AEK Athens v OFI Crete
AEK Athens (AH) -1.75
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@2.00
Win
50
After AEK were eliminated from the Conference league from modest Noah, they should focus the Greece Super league. They have official matches and AEK won three of the last four matches against OFI. My call here is easy home win.
19:45 Lazio v Venezia
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@1.91
Win
46
This odd looks good enough. Venezia managed to score a goal at least in their last eight matches. Lazio scored in their last nine matches overall. Five of teh last seven between them ended with three or more goals and I take the over here.
Lazio (AH) -1.25
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@2.03
Win
51
In the first round of Serie A I will trust to Lazio at home. Venezia are back in Serie A, but they pull the short stick. Lazio won the last five home games against Venezia, and they are undefeated in the last nine matches overall.
15:00 FC Copenhagen v Viborg
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@1.53
Lose
-50
This odd is clear gift in my opinion. Viborg saw both teams to score in each of their four matches so far and each match featured four goals minimum. Five of the last six between those two ended with both teams to score and three goals minimum.
FC Copenhagen (AH) -1.25
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@2.07
Lose
-50
Copenhagen are in business as usual. They are 3-1-0 and will play at home. Viborg on the other hand lost three in a row and I doubted they will play with high morale in this one. Four of the last five between those two ended with win for Copenhagen and I take home win here.
14:00 Brentford v Crystal Palace
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@1.91
Win
46
The odd is rather good in my opinion. Seven of the last nine matches between those two ended with both teams to score. The last six matches of Bretford ended with both teams to score. Also, the last five of Crystal Palace ended with both team to score.
Crystal Palace (AH) 0.00
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@1.92
Lose
-50
In this first match of the season for both teams it is a little risky to take a side, but I think the visitors deserve some credit of trust. Palace are unbeaten in their last 12 matches overall and Brentford failed to win any of their last four matches. Also, Palace lost only once in the last nine matches against Brentford.
Subtotal-57
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