Benaldo1981

Try to find the value in sports betting. Sod the favourite!

3

Estimated Prizes
this month

£110

Estimated Prize money
this month

Benaldo1981's Tips History

All tips
17 June 2024
16:18 4:18 Chepstow

Sisters In The Sky

Daily Racing

25 EWNBR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@17.00

Void

0

SISTERS IN THE SKY misfired here last time out due to a slow start bit with the experience of Hollie Doyle in the saddle here, I wonder if she can get him interested. Two pounds lighter than competitive showings at Bath to start the turf season and not one to give up on after one dodgy run.
16:00 Camila Osorio vs Viktorija Golubic

Viktorija Golubic

Win Match

50 WIN

@2.38

Win

69

Golubic two up in the H2H here and both of these look pretty evenly matched, I'll chance Golubic from a value perspective.
15:30 3:30 Carlisle

Whimsy

Daily Racing

50 WINNBNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 2.50 used instead of 2.38 takenBOG

@2.50

Win

75

Despite not winning for a while, WHIMSY is bang in form and running true and looks capable of landing a race of this nature before too long. She had a great run last time out and this looks a much easier test.
15:30 Leylah Fernandez vs Sara Sorribes Tormo

Sara Sorribes Tormo

Win Match

50 WIN

@3.00

Lose

-50

We don't see either of these players much on grass and Fernandez very rarely ventures to the surface in particular, co maybe there's some value in Sorribes Tormo here.
14:30 2:30 Carlisle

One Of Our Own

Daily Racing

25 EWNAPR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@21.00

Void

0

ONE OF OUR OWN drops to only a pound above last winning mark and could potentially bounce back here. Course form is 52234 with the 5th when she was just starting out. She's reacted OK on softish ground before and could outrun this price.
14:00 Romania v Ukraine

Romania

50 WIN

@4.20

Win

160

I think Romania are a worthy shout at this price in a match that is probably closer on paper than this price structure suggests.
11:30 Nao Hibino vs Anna Kalinskaya

Nao Hibino

Win Match

50 WIN

@4.33

Open

0

Kalinskaya didn't even play on grass last season and has yet to do so this seaosn so maybe Hibino can expose a bit of rustiness on her return to the surface.
11:00 Daniel Evans vs Brandon Nakashima

Daniel Evans

Win Match

50 WIN

@2.40

Open

0

Maybe Evans, who has had a poor year so far, needs a return home to spark improvement. He's potentially value at this price to nick the win.
11:00 Felix Auger Aliassime vs Dominik Koepfer

Dominik Koepfer

Win Match

50 WIN

@3.20

Void

0

Koepfer leads the head to head and I think this one is much closer on grass than these odds suggest. Auger-Aliassime still has it to prove on grass. 
11:00 Matteo Arnaldi vs Ugo Humbert

Matteo Arnaldi

Win Match

50 WIN

@3.10

Open

0

Arnaldi holds to H2H advantage and is a tasty looking play at this price to nick a win against Humbert, who has yet to really prove himself on grass.
11:00 Milos Raonic vs Cameron Norrie

Cameron Norrie

Win Match

50 WIN

@2.20

Lose

-50

Another Brit probably worth backing at Queen's week as he's a different prospect on grass and potentially looks a value play at this price.
11:00 Tomas Martin Etcheverry vs Billy Harris

Billy Harris

Win Match

50 WIN

@2.25

Open

0

HArris looks a good bet here as Etchevarry really isn't at home on grass at all and the Brit has had some nice runs at Surbiton and Nottingham the last two weeks so could pick up where he left off and advance here.
10:00 Jannik Sinner vs Tallon Griekspoor

Tallon Griekspoor

Win Match

50 WIN

@8.00

Open

0

This is a tricky looking contest for the world number one as Griekspoor is potentially the best non-seeded player in the draw. A heavy schedule of late might catch up with him so maybe he succumbs here.
10:00 Sebastian Ofner vs Zhizhen Zhang

Sebastian Ofner

Win Match

50 WIN

@2.10

Lose

-50

I think Ofner is generally the better grass court player and I made him the favourite for this one, so he looks a worthy double your money play.
00:10 NY Yankees @ BOS Red Sox

BOS Red Sox

Money Line

50 WIN

@2.25

Win

62

I think the Red Sox are worthy of a punt here with them matching the Yankees statistically. they also have the home advantage and I'll take them in this coin flip contest.
16 June 2024
21:10 KC Royals @ LA Dodgers

KC Royals

Money Line

50 WIN

@3.20

Lose

-50

This is another where I'm not quite sure why the Dodgers are so heavily favoured. They have the home advantage but there's little to separate the two in terms of current form and stats and the ROyals picked up a very comfroatable win yesetdray. 
21:05 LA Angels @ SF Giants

LA Angels

Money Line

50 WIN

@2.60

Lose

-50

I think the Angels have a touch of value in them here. The Giants aren't living up to their name of late and have lost the first two in the series so I don't think they should be this short for the win. 
19:10 CIN Reds @ MIL Brewers

CIN Reds

Money Line

50 WIN

@2.15

Lose

-50

I like the Reds here they've got solid claims and man for man look to have the slightly stronger line-up, so even though they are the road team, I'll chance them here.
18:45 6:45 Thirsk

Glory Hyde

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 21.00 used instead of 19.00 takenBOG

@21.00

Win

1000

We've got some extra places to play with here and there's one either side of the draw I like so let's see how they go and hopefully one of them will be in a position to at least place. GLORY HYDE is considered on the strength of the run before last at Redcar and is only a pound from that trip, so could still get involved from this mark.

Its Showtime

Daily Racing

25 EW

@19.00

Win

64

We've got some extra places to play with here and there's one either side of the draw I like so let's see how they go and hopefully one of them will be in a position to at least place. ITS SHOWTIME is the more preferred of the two as the run last time out was competitive and over this C and D and that was despite a poor start, so there's claims if getting a better start from the same weight.
18:40 SD Padres @ NY Mets

NY Mets

Money Line

50 WIN

@2.10

Win

55

Mets in a great run of form of late and as the home team I made them the favs for this one. The Padres are only slightly ahead in the overall record, but throw in the Mets form and the home advantage and they look a tasty double your money play.
18:15 6:15 Thirsk

Billy No Mates

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@21.00

Lose

-50

This is a hugely competitive affair but it's difficult to rule out BILLY NO MATES, who loves it here at Thirsk and still looks to have good runs at this mark in the locker. Going, gorund and grade not a problem, so there's not too many negatives.
18:05 STL Cardinals @ CHI Cubs

STL Cardinals

Money Line

50 WIN

@2.10

Win

55

Very clustered in the National League Central but the Cardinals are in better shape and are probably marginally the better team, so I'll side with them here.
17:40 5:40 Doncaster

Marcus

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 17.00 on 16/06 at 00:130.10 deduction for Stoneacre Girl@9.00 withdrawn at 17:47R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 16.00 x (1-0.10) = 15.40Best Odds Guaranteed SP 29.00 used instead of 15.40 BOG

@29.00

Win

115

OK we've got one of my least favourite jockies and a trainer who hardly ever wins here but just here me out. MARCUS took a good step forward in the headgear last time out and if the addition of cheekpieces continues to eek out further improvement then he has place claims form a pound lighter in the weights.
17:00 5:00 Salisbury

Expert Witness

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.25

Win

112

EXPERT WITNESS should be too good for these and after several near misses has the ability to land a race of this nature sooner or later. There's some question marks over some of the other market fancies, including Croeso Cymraeg (age), Photon (turf), Chips and Rice (distance) and God of Fire (new stable)
17:00 Slovenia v Denmark

Slovenia

50 WIN

@5.75

Lose

-50

No real surprises at the Euro's so far but this could be a mini-one and I certainly think Slovenia look value at this price. They are more seasoned campaigners at major tournaments now and are a real contender to get out of this group.
16:10 4:10 Doncaster

Speriamo

Daily Racing

25 EWNBR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@21.00

Void

0

SPERIAMO was nowhere on seasonal debut and the run at Newmarket last time out was better than it looks on paper as she wasn't best placed down the Newmarket straight. If she continues her progress she can outrun these odds from her last winning mark. No real trouble with the high draw at Donny as there doesn't seem to be much of a bias here. Take the extra place on offer with some bookies.
15:40 3:40 Doncaster

Sunbelt

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@21.00

Lose

-50

It wouldn't be beyond the realms of possibility that John and Thady Gosden could get this one singing back from the lengthy break. She's an unknown and could be dangerous at a big price if fully prepped.
15 June 2024
17:15 5:15 Bath

Ower Starlight

Daily Racing

25 EW

@21.00

Win

75

Anything could happen with this one to be honest. Dreadful last time out here, but gave one of his best turf runs the run before (also over this trip), so if we get the jekyll and not the Hyde here (or is it the other way round?!) we might get a run for our money. We could just as easily be backing one that falls out the back of the telly though. Big reward at this price though so worth a small play.
16:00 Diane Parry vs Kimberly Birrell

Kimberly Birrell

Win Match

50 WIN

@2.75

Lose

-50

Birell has been excellent on grass this season and might be good enough to land this match between two unseeded players. I definitely think she's value.
15:55 3:55 Chester

El Borracho

Daily Racing

25 EW

@21.00

Lose

-50

EL BORRACHO looks tasty at this price, when you consider he returns to back to flat from a workable mark and tends to enjoy this trip and these conditions. Squeezed out of the equation on last run here from a pound lower in the weights, and was sent off at 11/2 in a race of similar grade. Potential value if returning back to that sort of form.
15:00 Ugo Humbert vs Gijs Brouwer

Gijs Brouwer

Win Match

50 WIN

@3.75

Lose

-50

If there is going to be a shock in the Quarter-Finals it could be here. Brouwer has enjoyed himself on the grass this season and might not have reached his limit just yet. Probably Humbert's weakest surface.
14:45 2:45 Chester

Loyal Touch

Daily Racing

25 EWNBNOTETip made at odds of 26.00 on 15/06 at 00:270.00 deduction for Desert Emperor@17.00 withdrawn at 07:030.20 deduction for City Streak @5.000 withdrawn at 11:150.00 deduction for United Front @34.000 withdrawn at 13:37R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 25.00 x (1-0.2) = 21.00

@21.00

Win

600

LOYAL TOUCH probably found class two a bit too hot last time out but is considered back in class three company. Sent off as favourite when last seen in this grade and was a narrowly beaten fav when last here. Mark still looks workable and front runners can be rewarded on Chester's turning track, even from a wide position in the stalls over this distance.
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14:25 2:25 York

Quest For Fun

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@17.00

Win

55

I think QUEST FOR FUN is easily TIm Easterby's best chance in this one and the softer going will certainly boost the chances. Ran well in a big field here last September and based on the first turf try of the year this mark looks managable. Tricky to know how it'll go in terms of the high draw but probably still worth the chance at this price. We'll know more after the first race I guess.
14:05 2:05 Sandown

Bluelight Bay

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@29.00

Lose

-50

Think we've lost a few clicks on BLUELIGHT BAY, but still some value at this price I think. Didn't take to the AW the run before last and got soft ground last time out, which was probably unsuitable. Could be a different prospect back on firmer footing, and comes in with a reduced handicap mark too. Difficult to rule out.
1 member found this comment useful

Great Blasket

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@SP

Lose

-50

Continuing to improve and hasn't reached the ceiling just yet. Stable send GREAT BLASKET out quickly again, clearly looking to make the most of a horse bang, I mean bang, in form.
14 June 2024
20:20 8:20 Goodwood

Repertoire

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@17.00

Win

55

REPERTOIRE has not been far away in three runs since switching to the flat and the mark continues to nudge in the right direction. Holds each-way claims here. Rookie jockey the slight negative but not enough to dissuade a small punt with the claim coming off.
20:05 8:05 Market Rasen

Blended Stealth

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@17.00

Lose

-50

BLENDED STEALTH is still a maiden but ticks a few boxes here. Runs well fresh, grade looks fine, going shouldn't be a problem and distance is also manageable. Chance if running to best from reduced mark and probably this price because of the maiden tag.
18:40 6:40 Goodwood

Capone

Daily Racing

25 EW

@17.00

Lose

-50

CAPONE is 9yo now so probably needed the run last time out, but was a hugely consistent sort last seaosn and is potentially still at a workable mark if freshened up. Tricky to rule out and each-way claims at a good price.
17:00 Andrew Higginson v Iulian Boiko

Iulian Boiko

Win Match

50 WIN

@3.20

Lose

-50

Would love Boiko to take a hat-trick today! But in all seriousness he's good enough to nick one of these matches and that's all we need to make a profit.
16:45 4:45 York

Life On The Rocks

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@7.00

Lose

-50

LIFE ON THE ROCKS might not have reached the limit yet and arrives as the form horse. Those wins are very recent too so we should get another good run as clearly this one is in the mood at the moment.
16:35 4:35 Chester

My Honey B

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 17.00 on 14/06 at 00:140.10 deduction for Lockdown Lass@10.00 withdrawn at 07:17R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 16.00 x (1-0.10) = 15.40

@15.40

Win

47

Followers will know I'm not the world's biggest fan of betting at Chester but MY HONEY B looks a bit hefty in price here. She found a bit of trouble in running last time out, but will probably be sharper for it. Rattled off a three timer this time last year and is 3lbs below last winning mark. Considered if getting back in the mood from a sliding mark.
16:00 Robert Milkins v Andrew Higginson

Andrew Higginson

Win Match

50 WIN

@3.75

Lose

-50

Higginson is a tempted at this price with Milkins not quite being as effective as usual last seaosn. I had this one pretty close in the market so I'm surprised to see this much of a price gap.
16:00 Thepchaiya Un Nooh v Julien Leclercq

Julien Leclercq

Win Match

50 WIN

@4.50

Lose

-50

This is another contest that should be a pretty close one to call, Leclercq can definitely get the better of his opponent and is a tempting play.
15:15 3:15 Sandown

Chasing Aphrodite

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@21.00

Win

600

CHASING APHRODITE may have finished 7th over this trip last time out, but it was a blanket finish pretty much and now he drops two pounds in the handicap and gets an upgrade in the saddle in Tom Marquand. On better terms this time round than Wisper (10/1 at the time of writing) so this looks a value play.
14:05 2:05 Sandown

Dubai Station

Daily Racing

25 EW

@26.00

Lose

-50

Still a relative new boy for the yard, DUBAI STATION has had a couple of decent runs for new yard and there's still scope for improvement from this mark, which could bring it into the each-way reckoning here.
13:30 Matteo Berrettini vs James Duckworth

James Duckworth

Win Match

50 WIN

@4.50

Lose

-50

Berretini's a solid grass court player, but is beatable and Duckworth is growing in confidence on the surface, I wouldn't have him at this price for the win.
13:00 Jackson Page v Iulian Boiko

Iulian Boiko

Win Match

50 WIN

@4.00

Lose

-50

Same as Boiko's first match against Milkins here. He's good enough to compete with Page based on his form last seaosn and shouldn't be this price for the win.
12:00 Jackson Page v Andrew Higginson

Andrew Higginson

Win Match

50 WIN

@3.60

Lose

-50

I had priced these two at roughly the same for the win so Higginson is worth a look from a value perspective here. This could be closer than the odds suggest for sure.
11:30 Greet Minnen vs Liudmila Samsonova

Greet Minnen

Win Match

50 WIN

@3.75

Lose

-50

Minnen looks a tasty price in a two horse race, she's displayed some good performances on grass and could be good enough to claim this.
11:00 Robert Milkins v Iulian Boiko

Iulian Boiko

Win Match

50 WIN

@4.00

Lose

-50

Boiko has been underestimated for me here. He had a pretty good otur last season and Milkins shouldn't be this heavily favoured.
10:00 Viktoriya Tomova vs Darja Semenistaja

Darja Semenistaja

Win Match

50 WIN

@2.70

Lose

-50

I'll chance Semenistaja here, there's little to seperate the two statistically and I had this one down as much closer in odds so she's worth a look for the upset.

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