Benaldo1981
Try to find the value in sports betting. Sod the favourite!
2
Estimated Prizes
this month
£30
Estimated Prize money
this month
Benaldo1981's Tips History
All sports
26 July 2024
18:00 Ricky Walden v Liam Davies
Liam Davies
Win Match
50 WIN
@3.75
Open
0
I think Davies is a tempting play at this price. This shouldn't be as straight-forward as some of the opening matches here as Walden didn't quite live up to expectations last season.
17:30 5:30 York
Craven
Daily Racing
25 EWNAPNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@21.00
Win
600
CRAVEN is considered back in a race of similar quality to the one the
run before last when it outran its odds to place two pounds higher in
the weight. Didn't have the best of draws over the same trip last time
out so is excused for that. Gets same jockey as that run back in the
saddle to in Billy Garritty. Could get involved.
One More Dream
Daily Racing
50 WINR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@21.00
Void
0
ONE MORE DREAM is at a workable mark and was backed into favouritism last time out, so has claims if matching that level of performance. Up in grade but potentially able to handle it.
16:45 4:45 Ascot
Lil Guff
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@6.00
Lose
-50
LIL GUFF appears to have hit a sweet spot at the moment and is taken to quickly double up on yesterday's win at Sandown. Narrowly missed out here the run before last and could if the stable give the once over in the morning and declare her fit I'm happy to have my money down.
16:10 4:10 Ascot
Miller Spirit
Daily Racing
25 EWNBNOTETip made at odds of 17.00 on 25/07 at 23:310.15 deduction for Waxing Gibbous@6.50 withdrawn at 09:450.35 deduction for Baltic @2.750 withdrawn at 09:45R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 16.00 x (1-0.5) = 9.00
@9.00
Win
25
MILLER SPIRIT has been in pretty good shape since June and it was a bit
of a strange run last time out. Still managed to overcome a poor start
to place from a pound higher in the weights. Difficult to rule out and
looks overpriced for this.
16:00 Yoshihito Nishioka vs Frances Tiafoe
Yoshihito Nishioka
Win Match
50 WIN
@2.80
Win
90
There's very little to separate these two statistically on the hard court so even though Tiafoe is the higher ranked player I think NIshioka has a fair chance of the upset.
15:55 3:55 Uttoxeter
Baikal
Daily Racing
25 EW
@23.00
Win
85
An all or nothing sort who pops in seemingly at random from nowhere, BAIKAL is considered just in case we catch one of those days at this price. Now three pounds below last winning mark and with same jockey on board. Given an each-way chance if back in the mood. Emphasise the IF though!
14:35 2:35 Thirsk
Griselda
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@2.62
Win
81
Unless there's rapid improvement form the early handicappers, GRISELDA looks well set to land the hat-trick here. Won cosily last time out and could have plenty more to offer. Not sure the handicapper has caught up just yet.
13:30 Joe O Connor v Duane Jones
Duane Jones
Win Match
50 WIN
@4.00
Lose
-50
This could be a closer contest than these odds suggest. I think Jones looks a worthy play in a match that looks difficult to call. Statistically they look pretty evenly matched.
13:30 Wu Yize v Stuart Carrington
Stuart Carrington
Win Match
50 WIN
@2.62
Void
0
Carrington has a definite chance at this price as I think he's edged it in terms of recent form and I had this one down as much closer to a coin toss.
11:30 Alycia Parks vs Leonie Kung
Leonie Kung
Win Match
50 WIN
@3.25
Lose
-50
Kung's been to good to us this week and she could go one better if she keeps up the performance levels.Parks no better than anyone she's already beaten this week.
09:00 Anthony Hamilton v Gong Chenzhi
Gong Chenzhi
Win Match
50 WIN
@3.00
Win
100
I think Chenzhi is a tempting play at the price, he's got a decent opportunity of clinching this as Hamilton has struggled to create too much of an impact in recent seasons, particularly last season when I felt his performance dropped off a bit.
00:00 Ben Shelton vs Juncheng Shang
Juncheng Shang
Win Match
50 WIN
@2.38
Win
69
Shang has the head-to-head with two wins on the hard court last season so I think he's the tempting play at this price and he is also performing marginally better on the surface this campaign too.
Subtotal900
25 July 2024
20:45 8:45 Newbury
Dundory
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionBest Odds Guaranteed SP 34.00 used instead of 29.00 takenBOG
@34.00
Win
140
DUNDORY wasn't given enough time to make an impact on the transition
back to the flat from an unsuccessful hurdling stint last time out.
Probably would've picked off a couple more had it been a mile and a half
trip, so will be more suited to this and is now ofur pounds lighter in
the weights. Lets take a look and see if any further progress can be
made.
20:30 8:30 Yarmouth
Qitaal
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@17.00
Win
55
QITAAL has taken a couple of steps in the right direction the last
twice, when beaten by around a length the last twice from around this
mark. Has been competitive in this grade this season so is considered
each-way at this price as can potentially get close if continuing to
trend in the right direction.
20:00 Dusan Lajovic vs Lorenzo Musetti
Dusan Lajovic
Win Match
50 WIN
@3.00
Lose
-50
I think this potentially looks much more closer than the odds suggest. It was a three setter in their only previous clay meeting and this match has trading opportunities I think. In the outright market Lahovic is the one to be with
18:00 6:00 Yarmouth
Treacherous
Daily Racing
25 EW
@23.00
Lose
-50
I'm still a bit dubious of these Racing League affairs as the the prize
money is much bigger and they are better races than previous runs in the
same class than we've judged them on in the past if you are with me.
Ideally I like to see a competitive run in a higher grade and there is
some relatively recent form for TREACHEROUS than we can hang our hat on
here. Maybe ten in age, but is still running well and could still
deliver at a tasty price.
18:00 Jackson Page v Dylan Emery
Dylan Emery
Win Match
50 WIN
@3.20
Win
110
I think Emery has a chance here, the two aren't that much different statistically and this could be much closer than the prices suggest
18:00 Matthew Stevens v Andrew Higginson
Andrew Higginson
Win Match
50 WIN
@2.62
Lose
-50
I think Stevens is generally on the decline and Higginson is a tempting play in what looks to be a coin toss contest. Let's hope we've called right
17:00 Jakub Mensik vs Chun Hsin Tseng
Chun Hsin Tseng
Win Match
50 WIN
@2.90
Lose
-50
He may be a lucky loser but my how Tseng destroyed Fognini in the last 16 and took advantage of the situation. Mensik hasn't played many clay court tournaments this season and Tseng looks value for me because of that
15:00 Elina Avanesyan vs Jaqueline Cristian
Jaqueline Cristian
Win Match
50 WIN
@2.10
Lose
-50
Cristian owns the H2H with the win in Rome this season, so I think I'd have these odds flipped round. Cristian looks a fair shout for the win at a better than double your money.
14:50 2:50 Worcester
Morning Spirit
Daily Racing
25 EW
@29.00
Lose
-50
Regular followers will know an unpredictable horse at a big price will
always be a tempter for me. These can go badly wrong and look a bit
silly but MORNING SPIRIT was narrowly beaten from a pound higher in the
handicap at Southwell two runs back, so there is a run in the locker
somewhere. Runs around that showing have been poor, but there's still
claims if we catch him in the mood.
14:10 2:10 Sandown
Dubai Station
Daily Racing
25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@41.00
Void
0
DUBAI STATION wasn't far away on return to this stable at Yarmouth in
April and is now a pound lighter than that showing. Disappointing the
last twice, considered if back in the mood and will have a good pace to
aim for.
14:00 2:00 Doncaster
Blazing Son
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@23.00
Lose
-50
BLAZING SON is forgiven for the last run at Carlisle which was up in
trip and grade. Won the race before in this sort of company at the same
venue. Bettered Vince le Prince (a recent winner for us) and John Kirkup
(placed twice) so the 3lb rise could be overcome back at a favourable
distance.
13:30 Jordan Brown v Liam Pullen
Liam Pullen
Win Match
50 WIN
@3.00
Lose
-50
This is closer to call than the price structure I think - Pullen performed just as well on the tour last season and could run Brown clspe
13:30 Ryan Day v Cheung Ka Wai
Cheung Ka Wai
Win Match
50 WIN
@4.50
Lose
-50
Ka Wai performed amicable towards the end of last season and looks worth a punt against Day, who can struggle for consistency now and again
11:30 Linda Noskova vs Magda Linette
Magda Linette
Win Match
50 WIN
@3.50
Win
125
Linette is a value looking play for me here. There's not too much between these two on clay so I'll chance her for the win at this price
Subtotal-20
24 July 2024
19:40 7:40 Salisbury
Attys Edge
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@26.00
Lose
-50
ATTY'S EDGE has fallen a long way in the weights, and just in case this
8yo is taking a bit of time to warm up after the lay-off he is
considered at this big a price. Gina Mangan got him close at the back of
last season and returns to the saddle here. Handily drawn and should
have a good pace to aim at if the gap is there.
18:45 6:45 Leicester
Chicago Gal
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@3.75
Lose
-50
CHICAGO GAL won keeping on over ten furlongs last time out and she's clearly come into form. Could well defy the weight rise over the extended trip and looks the one to beat.
17:10 5:10 Catterick
Grand Style
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@34.00
Lose
-50
GRAND STYLE showed a bit of spark the run before last at Carlisle, when
last tried over this distance. The run over the mile last time out
didn't suit, but there are each-way claims if she matches that Carlisle
showing. Draw and going all suit so could overcome these odds.
15:30 Francisco Cerundolo vs Matej Dodig
Matej Dodig
Win Match
50 WIN
@5.00
Lose
-50
Home player Dodig has been very good at lower levels this season and has earned a crack at this level. He'd have built some momentum from his first round win, so is a value looking play at the price.
15:00 Marco Trungelliti vs Lorenzo Musetti
Marco Trungelliti
Win Match
50 WIN
@4.50
Lose
-50
Trungelliti a value play at the price against Musetti, who has struggled to get some momentum all season on the clay really, and his marathon run on grass at Wimbledon could catch up with him.
13:30 Linda Noskova vs Ella Seidel
Ella Seidel
Win Match
50 WIN
@4.50
Lose
-50
I still don't think Noskova should be this heavily favoured in the contest and maybe Seidel is a backable play at this price to take out the number one seed.
13:00 Leonie Kung vs Mai Hontama
Leonie Kung
Win Match
50 WIN
@3.50
Win
125
Hontama has not been in the best of shape this season, and the summer hasn't really done much to inspire either, so Kung looks a decent play to cause the upset here.
12:00 Chloe Paquet vs Selena Janicijevic
Selena Janicijevic
Win Match
50 WIN
@2.30
Lose
-50
I had this one down as both players being around the same price, as it looks a match that is difficult to call. Janicijevic therefore perhaps poses some valut at this price.
12:00 Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Laura Samson
Laura Samson
Win Match
50 WIN
@3.50
Win
125
We cashed in on Samson with the shock over Siniakova yesterday, so I think she's earned our loyalty to back her again. If she's good enough to win that one, then she can land another here.
11:30 Linda Klimovicova vs Alycia Parks
Linda Klimovicova
Win Match
50 WIN
@2.25
Lose
-50
Klimovicova has won an awful lot of matches on clay whereas Parks has struggled so, despite the rankings gap, I think she's worth a bet.
11:30 Pedro Martinez vs Sumit Nagal
Sumit Nagal
Win Match
50 WIN
@2.25
Lose
-50
Nagal's been playing better than his ranking suggests this season and I think he's a tempting looking play here. Martinez also in form and the winner of this oculd have a good run. I'd still make Nagal a value play though.
10:00 Flavio Cobolli vs Dusan Lajovic
Dusan Lajovic
Win Match
50 WIN
@2.62
Win
81
Poor run on grass for Lajovic but it's a different story on clay and these two should be much closer in price on this surface. Very little to split them in the rankings, and statistically it's evenly matched too
02:40 HOU Astros @ OAK Athletics
OAK Athletics
Money Line
50 WIN
@2.15
Win
57
With a shut out of the Astros last night, I think the A's are backable to string together another win here. They've got a real chance of taking advantage of their stuttering opponent again.
02:40 LA Angels @ SEA Mariners
LA Angels
Money Line
50 WIN
@2.45
Win
73
Angels are backed at this price, particularly as they edged the contest late on last night. They may be the road team but shouldn't be this much of a second favourite.
01:40 BOS Red Sox @ COL Rockies
COL Rockies
Money Line
50 WIN
@2.30
Lose
-50
Rockies edged this one in the extra innings last night, and seem to be the best bet at this price. The Red Sox have lost four on the spin now and probably shouldn't be this heavily favoured.
00:40 PHI Phillies @ MIN Twins
MIN Twins
Money Line
50 WIN
@2.25
Lose
-50
The Twins are a tempting play as the home side here and with the Phillies not in the best of shape at the moment I think I'd make them much closer to evens for the win.
00:20 CIN Reds @ ATL Braves
CIN Reds
Money Line
50 WIN
@2.80
Void
0
Braves are stuttering a bit and misfired in this contest last night, so I think the Reds look a value play to win match 2 in this series.
00:15 Christopher OConnell vs Max Purcell
Christopher OConnell
Win Match
50 WIN
@2.30
Lose
-50
O'Connell won the H2H at the last US Open and even though Purcell's season picked up in some of the grass tournaments, I still think O'Connell is a tempting price here.
00:07 TB Rays @ TOR Blue Jays
TB Rays
Money Line
50 WIN
@2.20
Win
60
WE'll take the Rays here, they've won more matches over the last ten game stretch and have the edge overall. I think they'll take this series.
00:05 NY Mets @ NY Yankees
NY Mets
Money Line
50 WIN
@2.40
Win
70
Mets arrive in good form here and beat the Yankees twice before the all-star break so I'll give them a look at this price. They look a bit steep for the win, even as the road team.
Subtotal-9
23 July 2024
23:40 BAL Orioles @ MIA Marlins
MIA Marlins
Money Line
50 WIN
@2.40
Win
70
I'm not sure the Orioles are in good enough form to sweep this series on the road, so it might be worth backing Miami to see if they can nick a game at this price.
23:40 DET Tigers @ CLE Guardians
DET Tigers
Money Line
50 WIN
@2.20
Lose
-50
Very comfortable win for the Tigers last night and with recent series wins over the Blue Jays and Dodgers, they are backable at this price as one of the in-form teams in the MLB at the moment. The opposite is true for the Guardians, who appear to be in a bit of a rut.
18:10 6:10 Wolverhampton
Bay Of Naples
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@17.00
Lose
-50
BAY OF NAPLES is considered back at this CD, after he placed here in
January from 7lbs heavier in the handicap. Stable is in good form and
performing above market expectations of late. Is the sort to potentially
bounce back.
Sexy Rexy
Daily Racing
25 EW
@41.00
Lose
-50
f you draw a line through SEXY REXY's last two runs (on turf and
the slower polytrack) then she is considered at this big a price. She
returns to two pounds lower than when placing here last October and
could get involved if back in the mood. Bit of a risk going with two in a
race of this type but lets hope one hits the top four.
17:25 5:25 Musselburgh
Monhammer
Daily Racing
25 EW
@21.00
Lose
-50
Plenty to like about MONHAMMER's form this season and he's a pound
lighter than when placing at Ayr in June and is just a pound above the
last winning mark. Seems to have been written off a bit too readily,
with course form in the back catalogue too.
16:30 4:30 Lingfield
Swiss Pride
Daily Racing
25 EW
@21.00
Lose
-50
With eight course wins over his career, and the most recent coming in
April from just a pound lower in the handicap, SWISS PRIDE, is dangerous
to write off here. The short price Red Treasure is yet to really fire
on this surface and Hakuna Babe still has questions to answer, so maybe
this looks value for a horse with such a great record here.
15:45 3:45 Musselburgh
Vadamiah
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@17.00
Lose
-50
VADAMIAH will likely be one of the front runners here and is eased in
grade to five pounds below her last run in a class five, which was a
narrow defeat at Ripon. COuld be difficult to catch if she shrugs off
the uncharastic start last time out and I can make a stronger case for
this than some at shorter prices.
15:15 3:15 Musselburgh
Peripeteia
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTEDead heat Winner so return divided by 2DH
@3.25
Win
31
PERIPETEIA has performed in snatches this season but shown enough in handicaps to suggest that there's a win in an event of this nature. Nothing to worry about in terms of trip and conditions and should go close.
15:00 Elena Gabriela Ruse vs Jaqueline Cristian
Elena Gabriela Ruse
Win Match
50 WIN
@2.10
Lose
-50
3rd seed Cristian could come unstuck here as Ruse has improved on the clay and also looks to be the most likely to win from a statistical standpoint.
14:00 2:00 Lingfield
Bint Havana Gold
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@19.00
Win
64
There is every chance the hot looking odds on handicap debutant wins
this, but you see these types turned over all the time in class fives.
so a chance is taken on BINT HAVANA GOLD, who will be suited by the
return to this surface and distance, and is a pound lighter than
narrowly missing out at Kempton in May. This is a higher grade but she
can still compete at this level.
14:00 Leonie Kung vs Weronika Ewald
Weronika Ewald
Win Match
50 WIN
@3.00
Lose
-50
Ewald's been racking up the hard court wins this season, so she definitely has the potential to pick up the win. Kung isn't quite matching up statistically so is taken on.
13:30 Linda Noskova vs Eva Lys
Eva Lys
Win Match
50 WIN
@3.20
Void
0
Noskova isn't at her best at the moment on the clay so Lys could take advantage at this price.There's one or two underdogs in the draw here, who are capable of causing a shock or two and this is certainly one of those.
13:00 Ena Shibahara vs Ella Seidel
Ena Shibahara
Win Match
50 WIN
@3.20
Lose
-50
Shibahara could take advantage of Seidel struggling a bit for form on the clay this season. Shibahara has the potential, if playing to the best of her ability.
12:00 Laura Samson vs Katerina Siniakova
Laura Samson
Win Match
50 WIN
@6.00
Win
250
Samson has been flying at a lower level this season and Siniakova is traditionally a better hard courter so let's see if we get a massive upset here.
11:30 Jana Fett vs Viktoriya Tomova
Jana Fett
Win Match
50 WIN
@3.10
Lose
-50
Fett has been very good on clay this season, so if she's plays to the best of her ability she can really push Tomova all the way. This could be a shock for sure.
11:30 Martyna Kubka vs Zarina Diyas
Martyna Kubka
Win Match
50 WIN
@3.10
Lose
-50
Looks a bit of a big gap in the price here. Kubka in useful form and could well take advantage. She's definitely a value play for sure.
11:30 Nina Stojanovic vs Viktoria Hruncakova
Viktoria Hruncakova
Win Match
50 WIN
@2.05
Lose
-50
Stoajnovic ahs returned to good effect on the clay but hasn't played on the hard court in a long time so she might not be quite as effective.
11:30 Sebastian Ofner vs Lukas Neumayer
Lukas Neumayer
Win Match
50 WIN
@2.75
Win
88
I'll chance the home player here as Ofner has struggled a touch this season and could well have to up his game to get past this tough looking contest. Neumayer in solid form at a lower level and could step up.
10:30 Elina Avanesyan vs Petra Martic
Petra Martic
Win Match
50 WIN
@2.38
Lose
-50
This looks a coin toss to be there's very little to separate the two on clay and I had this down as 1.91-1.91 or 1.85-2.00 kind of contest so there's value in Martic here for me.
10:30 Magdalena Frech vs Dominika Salkova
Dominika Salkova
Win Match
50 WIN
@2.25
Void
0
Salkova looks to have the slight edge over the stats on clay so looks to hold the value at this price. She could upset the seeded Frech if she plays to that standard.
10:00 Gina Feistel vs Raluka Serban
Gina Feistel
Win Match
50 WIN
@2.20
Win
60
Serban has just the one clay court victory to her name this season so until she bucks up the ideas I'll take her on. Feistel has the potential to land this one.
10:00 Hugo Gaston vs Daniel Altmaier
Hugo Gaston
Win Match
50 WIN
@2.30
Win
65
I think Gaston is a worthy looking play at this price. Altmaier may be the higher ranked player but the Frenchman has the better clay performance this year and I made him marginal favourite when I priced it up.
09:00 Selena Janicijevic vs Miriam Bulgaru
Selena Janicijevic
Win Match
50 WIN
@2.00
Win
50
Janicijevic was my clear favourite when I priced this one up, she has much better clay form over the course of the year and statistically looks the better too.
02:40 LA Angels @ SEA Mariners
LA Angels
Money Line
50 WIN
@2.50
Win
75
MAriners are in a bit of a slump at the moment and the Angels look a fare shout at this price, even as the road team. They could well cause the mini upset here.
01:40 BOS Red Sox @ COL Rockies
COL Rockies
Money Line
50 WIN
@2.45
Win
73
Three defeats in a row for the Red Sox and they couldbe vulnerable as the road team until their fortunes start to pick up some more. Rockies could well land this and there isn't this much of a gap between the two teams.
01:05 MIL Brewers @ CHI Cubs
CHI Cubs
Money Line
50 WIN
@2.10
Win
55
I think the Cubs are worth a look with home advantage in this keenly contested divisional battle. They have the home advantage and should probably be the marginal fav because of this.
00:20 CIN Reds @ ATL Braves
CIN Reds
Money Line
50 WIN
@2.30
Win
65
Both of these are 5-5 over the last 10 game stretch and I think this a pretty difficult one to call. Braves should be marginal favs but definitely aren't in as a good a form as this price suggests, even at home.
Subtotal296
Tips are normally be settled by 12pm the day after the event took place.
Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.
Please note that this information is for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as an indicator of a tipsters real life performance. The OLBG Tipster Competition is a simulation game and some of the rules and prices used by the tipsters may not always be available in the real world which can lead to misleading informaiton.
