Benaldo1981

Try to find the value in sports betting. Sod the favourite!

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Benaldo1981's Tips History

All tips
14 September 2025
14:30 2:30 Doncaster

Andesite

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@26.00

Lose

-50

Former Gimcrack horse ANDESITE is yet to find his level, but this could be about it from lighter in the weights than the first try at this distance at Goodwood last time out. Has shown potential in snatches up to now, and this stable, usually decent with the sprinters, normally gets it right eventually. Don't think the softer ground is an issue, and maybe this finisher finally clicks.
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13 September 2025
23:00 Elsa Jacquemot vs Emiliana Arango

Emiliana Arango

Win Match

50 WIN

@2.40

Win

70

There's little to separate these in the rankings and on current form so I think Arango is probably the player to take a look at here.
20:00 Brentford v Chelsea

Brentford

50 WIN

@4.00

Lose

-50

This could be a tricky one for Chelsea as the Gtech is never the easiest of places to go at the best of times. Despite all the upheaval at Brentford, they are still shaping up pretty well this season.
17:05 5:05 Chester

Saligo Bay

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@5.50

Win

225

Both stable and horse are in good form over jumps or on the flat, so Saligo Bay is taken to give another good account here.
16:45 4:45 Musselburgh

Supreme Clarets

Daily Racing

50 WINR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@7.50

Void

0

Another I'm happy to be on Supreme Clarets. If connections send him out quickly once again, then it'll be because they fancy the chances as he's running relatively well of late.
16:40 4:40 Bath

Diamondsinthesand

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@6.00

Win

250

I'm willing to forgive DIAMONDSINTHESAND for the uncharacteristic showing last time out. The heavy ground shouldn't have been an issue, and he was running well before that.
16:35 4:35 Chester

Giant

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@8.50

Lose

-50

If GIANT runs again today, I'm happy to put the money down as he's clearly in form. If connections keep sending him out again, I doubt he'll start at this price.
15:00 Bristol Rovers v Barrow

Barrow

50 WIN

@4.40

Lose

-50

Barrow look a fair bet from a value perspective here. Bristol Rovers have been pretty average and could well slip up so are taken on.
15:00 Chesterfield v Milton Keynes Dons

Chesterfield

50 WIN

@2.32

Lose

-50

Chesterfield look a decent punt here and could well take care of MK Dons in front of their own fans. They've got enough to cause them problems and clinch the win.
15:00 Crewe v Barnet

Crewe

50 WIN

@2.50

Lose

-50

Free-scoring Crewe have started very solidly, and I'd expect them to be too strong for Barnet here. They look a decent price as the home team to clinch this.
15:00 Everton v Aston Villa

Aston Villa

50 WIN

@2.75

Lose

-50

It's been a poor start for Villa, but with the window shut and the uncertainty over players' futures passed, I think they will get back in the groove soon.
15:00 Exeter v Port Vale

Exeter

50 WIN

@3.00

Lose

-50

Without a win this season, I struggle to see why Port Vale are favorites to take this one. So, I think Exeter looks like a great punt.
15:00 Leyton Orient v Bolton

Leyton Orient

50 WIN

@3.30

Lose

-50

Not much between these two in the early exchanges of the season. So, with the advantage of their home fans, I think Orient look a valid play from a value perspective.
15:00 Luton v Plymouth

Plymouth

50 WIN

@5.75

Win

238

These two were relegated last season, and the gap in price for the rematch looks a bit big. So perhaps Plymouth are worth chancing at this price.
15:00 Newcastle v Wolverhampton

Wolverhampton

50 WIN

@9.00

Lose

-50

Newcastle haven't quite clicked yet this season, so I'm not sure they should be this heavily favored. Wolves are worth a small bet at this price.
15:00 Oldham v Bromley

Bromley

50 WIN

@2.80

Lose

-50

Bromley have started well and remain unbeaten so I think they look a decent bet here against an Oldham side with just the one win so far this season.
15:00 Sheff Wed v Bristol City

Sheff Wed

50 WIN

@3.80

Lose

-50

Sheffield Wednesday are playing well despite their situation and I think they should probably be taken at this price to nick the points.
15:00 Stockport v Cardiff

Stockport

50 WIN

@2.70

Lose

-50

I think Stockport should be the favourites for this one. They've got the home advantage and have started solidly so this is a surprising price for them to win.
15:00 Stoke v Birmingham

Stoke

50 WIN

@2.90

Win

95

Great start for Stoke and with home advantage I'm surprised they are not the favourites for this match-up. Birmingham look slightly overvalued.
15:00 Swansea v Hull

Hull

50 WIN

@4.75

Lose

-50

We'll chance Hull to nick this one. I just don't think it's as clear-cut as the odd structure makes it out to be, and there's enough about the Tigers to claim this.
15:00 Swindon v Harrogate Town

Harrogate Town

50 WIN

@5.75

Lose

-50

Harrogate shouldn't be written off so readily here as they've got a great opportunity to build on a pretty decent start. They shouldn't be this price to nick the points.
15:00 Watford v Blackburn

Blackburn

50 WIN

@3.25

Win

112

Blackburn are probably better than their start suggests and I fancy them to recover in the coming weeks, starting with a win at Vicarage Road.
15:00 Wigan v Doncaster

Wigan

50 WIN

@2.40

Win

70

Wigan looks like a solid play here with home advantage from a value perspective, as I had them about odds-on to win this one.
15:00 Wrexham v QPR

QPR

50 WIN

@4.00

Win

150

QPR look like a decent prospect here. I do think Wrexham are overvalued due to the name and the story. Rangers will be keen to put their heavy defeat from before the international break behind them.
14:40 2:40 Chester

Gibside

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@21.00

Lose

-50

GIBSIDE nabbed the Chester Plate here at the beginning of the season and Duran Fentiman is back on board today. 2lbs higher in the handicap but still has more to offer and will almost certainly come on from the last time out at York, which was the first run in a couple of months. Not discounted coming back to a favourable track.
14:33 2:33 Lingfield

Tronido

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.00

Lose

-50

Bang in form, TRONIDO is equally adept on the all-weather as on the turf, and a five-pound rise for the last time out win might not be enough to stop the three-timer.
14:25 2:25 Doncaster

Run Boy Run

Daily Racing

25 EWNAPNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@26.00

Win

100

RUN BOY RUN avoids the low draw and tends to front run which hopefully means he won't encounter any issues in running. A little hit and miss this flat season but the mark looks workable and he showed at Glorious Goodwood that he can handle this sort of race. That one actually looked a tougher assignment and was from a pound higher in the weights too.
12:30 Northampton v Blackpool

Blackpool

50 WIN

@2.80

Lose

-50

Blackpool are potentially in a bit of a false position at the moment and I don't think they will struggle so there's a chance they can take the away win here.
12:30 Oxford Utd v Leicester

Oxford Utd

50 WIN

@4.40

Lose

-50

I'll take Oxford with the home advantage at this price to cause issues for Leicester. They just look like a big price as the home team to claim this from a value perspective.
12 September 2025
20:00 Ipswich v Sheff Utd

Sheff Utd

50 WIN

@4.40

Lose

-50

For two teams that were evenly matched last season, I think the price discrepancy is a touch high here. Neither side has won a game yet and the Blades could definitely win this.
17:20 5:20 Doncaster

Irish Nectar

Daily Racing

25 EWNAPNOTETip made at odds of 21.00 on 12/09 at 00:380.10 deduction for Daring Legend@9.00 withdrawn at 15:37R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 20.00 x (1-0.10) = 19.00

@19.00

Win

64

IRISH NECTAR is an unpredictable sort and has had some shockers this flat season, but he wasn't beaten far when last seen here in July and arrives a pound lighter today. There's also a previous course/distance win in the locker, so there's a chance he gets involved if the return here is what the doctor ordered.
16:55 4:55 Chester

B Associates

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@7.00

Lose

-50

B ASSOCIATES has been very close to landing the last twice so is given consideration as he looks to be at a workable mark and could be able to defy this position in the stalls.
15:40 3:40 Doncaster

Tafsir

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@81.00

Lose

-50

TAFSIR took a step forward last time out when beaten by three lengths into second at Thirsk. Wasn't disgraced the run before that at Hamilton in a tasty looking class two. Comes into this from the same weight and can't be completely ruled out, so this price is a touch surprising and he might be able to outrun it.
15:17 3:17 Chester

Bear Rock

Daily Racing

25 EW

@21.00

Lose

-50

BEAR ROCK was in good shape until a disappointing run when upped in grade last time out. Has been given a decent break since then and now drops down in class and comes back to Chester, where she raced competitively from just a pound lower in the handicap in May. Has opportunities if matching that run.
14:35 2:35 Sandown

Faustus

Daily Racing

25 EW

@21.00

Lose

-50

FAUSTUS won when last seen when racing in this company and still looks well handicapped when you factor in the run at Goodwood in a class three in August. Should be able to handle this grade and has each-way claims if running back to form in lesser company. Should give it a go from the off and could stick around.
11 September 2025
20:30 8:30 Newcastle

Buttercross Flyer

Daily Racing

50 WINR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@9.00

Void

0

BUTTERCROSS FLYER is the likely frontrunner here and that could well pay-off. Also looks well handicapped and capable of a decent showing at this grade.
19:00 Julien Leclercq v Aidan Murphy

Aidan Murphy

Win Match

50 WIN

@7.50

Lose

-50

It's been a really sluggish start to the season for Leclercq. So until he picks up, I think he can be taken on, especially with an opponent as high in price as this.
19:00 Reanne Evans v Jiang Jun

Reanne Evans

Win Match

50 WIN

@8.00

Lose

-50

Evans is worth backing at the moment as she's won more matches on tour than usual of late, but her price is still reflecting last season's form when she struggled.
19:00 Sam Craigie v Chatchapong Nasa

Chatchapong Nasa

Win Match

50 WIN

@5.00

Lose

-50

Nasa could cause the upset here as he's displayed pretty good form to start the campaign. If continuing in that vein, he could claim this.
18:05 6:05 Uttoxeter

Donnie Azoff

Daily Racing

25 EW

@21.00

Win

75

DONNIE AZOFF has a good record here, including a victory over this trip in May from just two pounds lower in the weights. Followed that up with a positive showing in a lucrative class two at Market Rasen from a pound higher in the handicap. Might be the stable's second string but still difficult to rule out and has each-way claims.
17:35 5:35 Uttoxeter

Ali Star Bert

Daily Racing

25 EW

@29.00

Lose

-50

Hit-or-miss ALI STAR BERT is probably worth a look at this price, as the handicap mark is a tempter. He's below the mark he was for consecutive seconds at Cartmel (albeit one distant) in the summer, and if back in the mood might be able to pick off some of the shorter prices. Grade, going and distance also look suitable.
17:25 5:25 Newcastle

Wait And Hope

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@19.00

Lose

-50

WAIT AND HOPE took a step forward when stepped up in trip over this course and distance last time out. Drops another pound in the handicap and looks to have each-way potential if taking another step forward here. Blinkers that were tried last time out are retained and this one is worth keeping onside whilst at a big price.
17:05 5:05 Uttoxeter

Greenways

Daily Racing

25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@17.00

Void

0

GREENWAYS returns to the scene of his last win and is only two pounds higher in the handicap here. You can make a case for excusing the last two runs as one was up in grade and the other was back over hurdles. Shouldn't be far away if the return to chasing and a favourable track is what is needed. Likely to get the chance to make the running and that could also work in his favour.
16:10 4:10 Doncaster

Gold Dawn

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 19.00 on 10/09 at 23:400.10 deduction for Special Dividend@7.00 withdrawn at 07:510.10 deduction for Moonfall @9.000 withdrawn at 15:23R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 18.00 x (1-0.2) = 15.40

@15.40

Win

47

Usual two-year-old caveat applies. We have more variables than we have in a race with older horses, but it is tricky to rule out GOLD DAWN. Raced perfectly well in a tougher race than this on handicap debut and re-opposes much shorter priced Special Dividend on one pound better terms, so must be able to overturn that outcome. Consistent start to career and could get involved here.
16:00 Duane Jones v Patrick Whelan

Patrick Whelan

Win Match

50 WIN

@3.10

Lose

-50

Whelan is outperforming his ranking at the start of this season and might be good enough to take out Duane Jones here.
15:53 3:53 Epsom Downs

A Bit Iffy

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@26.00

Lose

-50

A BIT IFFY is just that form-wise at the moment, but he's got a handy-looking CD run here as recently as July and is back at the same mark for this return. We need to forgive the backward steps taken since then, but maybe the return here is what the doctor ordered. Comfortably beat much shorter-priced Jack Langley in that race and is potentially weighted to do that again.
15:45 3:45 Chelmsford City

Capallcliste

Daily Racing

25 EW

@17.00

Lose

-50

CAPALLCLISTE seems to be at a workable mark here and is therefore given a look at this price. Plenty of pace up top here, so it could be set up for a closer. The maiden tag is a concern, but he's been running well for most of this year and threatening to finally get into the winner's enclosure. We've got an extra place to play for too.
14:35 2:35 Chelmsford City

Sir Rodneyredblood

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 19.00 on 10/09 at 23:380.25 deduction for Maris Angel@3.75 withdrawn at 07:55R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 18.00 x (1-0.25) = 14.50

@14.50

Win

42

May have 100 runs on the clock, but SIR RODNEYREDBLOOD is considered back at the scene of his last win and from the same weight too. Will almost certainly make the runner from a great position in the stalls and will hopefully stick around with an ideal position on the rail. Could take some catching.

Startling

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTETip made at odds of 3.75 on 10/09 at 23:440.25 deduction for Maris Angel@3.75 withdrawn at 07:55R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 2.75 x (1-0.25) = 3.06Best Odds Guaranteed SP 3.25 used instead of 3.06 BOG

@3.25

Win

112

STARTLING is the other threat in this one. Looks well handicapped based on the recent runs and is given another quick spin after another near miss at Newcastle last time out. Likely to land a race of this type soon.
12:00 Teodora Kostovic vs Oleksandra Oliynykova

Teodora Kostovic

Win Match

50 WIN

@2.40

Lose

-50

This is the third meeting between the players this season and Kostovic looks a value play at this price, as she's improved on the clay significantly this year and has the ability to win this.
10:30 Aliona Bolsova vs Arantxa Rus

Aliona Bolsova

Win Match

50 WIN

@2.75

Lose

-50

Small play on Bolsova here as both players seem pretty evenly matched statistically on the clay. Looks a tricky one to call so the value is with Bolsova here.
10:30 Dominika Salkova vs Renata Jamrichova

Renata Jamrichova

Win Match

50 WIN

@2.75

Win

88

Jamrichova holds the head-to-head and looks a decent prospect when you factor in the solid clay form this season too. Looks a decent shout.
10:00 Sunny Akani v Oliver Brown

Oliver Brown

Win Match

50 WIN

@4.00

Lose

-50

I don't think this is as automatic as the price structure suggests it should be here. Oliver Brown hasn't started too badly and is taken to cause the mini upset.
09:00 Amarissa Toth vs Sinja Kraus

Amarissa Toth

Win Match

50 WIN

@3.25

Win

112

The only previous meeting between these two, who are both much better on clay, was a three-setter. So maybe Toth is worth a look from a value perspective.
03:00 Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Veronika Kudermetova

Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva

Win Match

50 WIN

@4.00

Win

150

I think Jimenez Kasintseva is worth a small play at this price as she's in great hard court form and definitely has the potential to claim this match up.
02:40 STL Cardinals @ SEA Mariners

STL Cardinals

Money Line

50 WIN

@2.90

Lose

-50

I don't think there is this much of a discrepancy in odds between two teams that look pretty evenly matched. The Cardinals look value at this price.
00:15 CHI Cubs @ ATL Braves

CHI Cubs

Money Line

50 WIN

@2.55

Win

77

The Cubs have the better overall record, so they are considered at this price to land this one, even as the away team. I think they've got every chance of taking this.

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