Benaldo1981

Try to find the value in sports betting. Sod the favourite!

4

Estimated Prizes
this month

£20

Estimated Prize money
this month

Benaldo1981's Tips History

All tips
12 February 2025
14:40 2:40 Southwell

Ramon Di Loria

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@26.00

Lose

-50

I just think RAMON DI LORIA is worth a look here. Wasn't far away on re-appearance at Newcastle in January and then tried in headgear last time out, which could explain the flat showing last time out. That's removed today, and the drop in mark and step up in trip could aid the cause further.
14:00 Jamie Jones v Robbie Williams

Robbie Williams

Win Match

50 WIN

@2.10

Lose

-50

This looks a bit skew-whiff to me. Williams looks stronger statistically and is given a shout at this price to advance to the next round.
12:55 12:55 Southwell

Stallone

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@6.00

Lose

-50

STALLONE is given consideration at this price after two good shots at Newcastle the last twice. Generally, he seems to be running well and is certainly worthy of consideration in the current mood.
12:30 Pierre Hugues Herbert vs Harold Mayot

Pierre Hugues Herbert

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.95

Win

47

Herbert looks to have the better form on this surface and is taken to land this one as he'd be a clear favourite for me when you take all that into consideration.
10:00 Ishpreet Singh Chadha v Jackson Page

Ishpreet Singh Chadha

Win Match

50 WIN

@2.38

Lose

-50

I think Chadha is the backable play here. He looks a solid shout when you look at the background and the stats to cause a mini upset.
01:10 DET Pistons @ CHI Bulls

CHI Bulls

Money Line

50 WIN

@2.60

Lose

-50

The Bulls aren't far behind Detroit when you assess current form on the stats, and they look a worthy play to nick this one in front of their own fans.
01:00 Christopher Eubanks vs Reilly Opelka

Christopher Eubanks

Win Match

50 WIN

@2.75

Lose

-50

After some quiet seasons, it is beginning to look like Opelka is back in form again. But I still think there'll be some bumps along the way, and he could slip up to Eubanks here.
00:40 NY Knicks @ IND Pacers

IND Pacers

Money Line

50 WIN

@2.15

Lose

-50

Pacers have pretty solid home form and I think on merit they should take this one in front of their own fans.
00:10 TOR Raptors @ PHI 76ers

TOR Raptors

Money Line

50 WIN

@4.50

Win

175

I don't think there's this much of a difference between the two teams, as the Raptors are only a couple of wins off the pace of the 76ers. On current form, there's little to split the two as well
00:00 Taylah Preston vs Victoria Rodriguez

Victoria Rodriguez

Win Match

50 WIN

@5.50

Lose

-50

Small play on the home player Rodriguez here. She performs pretty well on the surface, and if she is going to step up, I'd say this would be the tournament she'd do it in.
11 February 2025
23:00 Irene Burillo Escorihuela vs Arianne Hartono

Irene Burillo Escorihuela

Win Match

50 WIN

@2.60

Void

0

Burillo won the last contest between these two, and this looks like a biggish price for me against Hartono, who has started the season in a bit of a rut.
22:30 Tatjana Maria vs Iryna Shymanovich

Iryna Shymanovich

Win Match

50 WIN

@6.00

Win

250

Shymanovich is probably the value play at this price and could potentially land this one. Maria wasn't at her best last season, and I'm not entirely convinced she should be this big a favorite here.
21:30 Maria Mateas vs Varvara Lepchenko

Maria Mateas

Win Match

50 WIN

@2.62

Lose

-50

Mateas could take out the seed here. She's a solid proposition on this surface, particularly last season and is likely to give Lepchenko a really close match.
20:00 Julia Riera vs Anouk Koevermans

Anouk Koevermans

Win Match

50 WIN

@2.25

Win

62

This effectively feels like a coin toss for me, with the stats and records looking very similar. So, Koevermans is the player to side with for me.
20:00 Norwich v Preston

Preston

50 WIN

@5.00

Win

200

Preston are in much better form than their current league position suggests, and I think they are worth backing at this price because they can certainly cause the home side some problems.
20:00 Reading v Shrewsbury

Reading

50 WIN

@2.20

Lose

-50

With Shrewsbury struggling, I had Reading at evens to win this one at the absolute max. So this price seems generous with the home advantage too.
19:45 AFC Wimbledon v Crewe

Crewe

50 WIN

@5.00

Lose

-50

Crewe are only a point behind Wimbledon in the table, so I think they are worth the risk here. Even as the away side, I think there's some value in them to nick this League Two promotion contest.
19:45 Barrow v Milton Keynes Dons

Milton Keynes Dons

50 WIN

@3.80

Lose

-50

BArrow in a bit of a slump at the moment so I'd give the Dons a look at this price as they are potnetially good enough to win this. Disappointing of thier own of late but more likely to snap out of it than their opponents.
19:45 Blackpool v Rotherham

Blackpool

50 WIN

@2.15

Lose

-50

Blackpool look to be a decent play at this price with home advantage. They are matching their opponents in form and remain higher in the table, so would probably be odds on in that regard.
19:45 Bristol Rovers v Stockport

Bristol Rovers

50 WIN

@6.00

Lose

-50

With home advantage, I think Bristol Rovers look a decent prospect at this price, especially with home advantage. Stockport is on a tremendous run, but it's difficult to maintain it in a busy schedule, and this is a dangerous match for them.
19:45 Newport County v Carlisle

Newport County

50 WIN

@2.62

Win

81

Three wins in a row for Newport now and with home advantage there'sno way they should be the same price as rock bottom Carlisle for the three points.
19:45 Portsmouth v Cardiff

Portsmouth

50 WIN

@2.30

Win

65

Portsmouth are considered at this price with the home advantage. They are recovering and with just a point between these two sides I think they are worth a shot at this price.
19:45 Watford v Leeds

Watford

50 WIN

@9.50

Lose

-50

Slight slip for Leeds in the cup at the weekend, and in an away fixture, I just think they look short here. Watford seem to be worth a look in front of their own fans at this price.
19:30 7:30 Wolverhampton

Vivency

Daily Racing

50 EWNAP

@17.00

Lose

-100

There's a lot to like about VIVENCY here. Beaten by just a couple of lengths at Southwell when last seen in a Tapeta handicap and then placed in the most recent run at the same venue. Not quite as effective last time out, but Hollie Doyle returns to the saddle, and in-form connections send her out quickly in an attempt to capitalize on what appears to be an uptick in fortunes.
19:00 7:00 Wolverhampton

Tommytwohoots

Daily Racing

25 EW

@19.00

Lose

-50

TOMMYTWOHOOTS is running consistently well at the moment and could well be worth a look if continuing to run to that form on the same surface. Appears to be on level terms with Tantomile at the very least and she's 10/1 so I definitely think there's some value in the price, even from this stall.
18:30 Zhizhen Zhang vs Quentin Halys

Quentin Halys

Win Match

50 WIN

@2.00

Lose

-50

Slow start from both players, but it's Halys who should probably be the favorite for this one due to superior form on his surface last season.
18:00 James Duckworth vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

James Duckworth

Win Match

50 WIN

@3.75

Void

0

Duckworth holds the head-to-head advantage, and looking at the stats this season, there's little to separate these. So, I think a punt on the underdog is worth it.
18:00 Luciano Darderi vs Francisco Cerundolo

Luciano Darderi

Win Match

50 WIN

@3.40

Lose

-50

Slow start to the season for Darderi but he holds the head to head advantage with a win in Houston on clay last season. That went the distance so I think Darderi is a value play here.
17:30 5:30 Wolverhampton

Brinton

Daily Racing

50 WINR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@3.25

Void

0

BRINTON looks the one to beat here. Seems to be in pretty decent shape and is considered as wouldn't need to show much more to land this and is certainly capable of doing so.
17:30 Paula Badosa vs Amanda Anisimova

Amanda Anisimova

Win Match

50 WIN

@2.60

Win

80

Anisimova looks a value play here as both players are in a similar vein of form. With stats looking pretty close too, I'm surprised she's this big a price.
17:00 Nuno Borges vs Stan Wawrinka

Stan Wawrinka

Win Match

50 WIN

@2.38

Lose

-50

Borges didn't win indoors last season and Wawrinka pushed him all the way when they met on clay in Bucharest last season. I think Wawrinka fares better on this surface and is worth a shot.
16:37 4:37 Lingfield

Blue Universe

Daily Racing

25 EW

@26.00

Lose

-50

Unsuccessfully tried at two and a half miles last time out, BLUE UNIVERSE is considered from 4lbs lighter than when last seen recording a mid-division finish in a seven runner race. The drop in the handicap could suit here and the heavy ground doesn't appear to hold any demons either.
16:30 Clement Chidekh vs Zizou Bergs

Clement Chidekh

Win Match

50 WIN

@3.00

Lose

-50

Chidekh had a great run indoors last season so I definitely think there's a chance he wins this one if at the top of his game.
16:30 Sebastian Baez vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli

Camilo Ugo Carabelli

Win Match

50 WIN

@3.20

Lose

-50

Carabelli took care of Baez's conqueror on the way to winning a tournament in Rosario last week, so he's probably worth the shot to see if he can continue his form here.
15:10 3:10 Ayr

Findthetime

Daily Racing

25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@51.00

Void

0

Poor up to now this season, but FINDTHETIME might be capable of bouncing back before too long. Enters this from a pound lighter than finishing second at Hexham in June (also his last run at this grade). Gets the softer going and could outrun this price now back down in grade. I have greater concerns over some at shorter prices, so worth a small play at this price for me.
13:40 1:40 Ayr

Master Bricklayer

Daily Racing

50 WINNB

@19.00

Lose

-50

Any Nick Alexander horse at Ayr is worth consideration, particularly the ones at a big price. MASTER BRICKLAYER fits the bill for me here. We can probably forgive the reappearance run last time out, and he's attractively weighted on last season's performances. He was second when last seen here from a pound higher in the weights, and with soft going and the grade not a problem, there are each-way claims here, especially if the new cheekpieces do the trick.
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01:00 James Trotter vs Brandon Nakashima

James Trotter

Win Match

50 WIN

@3.50

Lose

-50

Trotter's done a lot of winning on the hard courts at a lower level and is capable of causing the upset. He wasn't a million miles away, when the two met in Pau last year and could take this.
00:00 Whitney Osuigwe vs Emiliana Arango

Whitney Osuigwe

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-50

Arango plateauing to a degree at the moment, and Osuigwe should be a clear favorite. So this looks like a decent play here.
10 February 2025
21:30 Ena Shibahara vs Carson Branstine

Carson Branstine

Win Match

50 WIN

@2.20

Win

60

Branstine is probably a touch better than Shibahara on this surface and I had her as the favourite for this one so she's a worthy bet. Some trading opportunities also in this one I think.
20:00 Lauren Davis vs Eva Vedder

Eva Vedder

Win Match

50 WIN

@2.70

Lose

-50

I had this down as much closer in the odds market. Vedder is pretty near statistically to Davis on the surface, so she's a surprising price for the win.
20:00 Tom Ford v Andrew Higginson

Andrew Higginson

Win Match

50 WIN

@2.90

Lose

-50

I think Ford should probably just about be the favorite for this one, but it's probably a closer thing than this price for Higginson suggests. So let's take a look at him here.
19:30 Zachary Svajda vs Cameron Norrie

Zachary Svajda

Win Match

50 WIN

@3.20

Lose

-50

I think Svajda is too much of an underdog here. Norrie isn't that much better on this surface than his opponent so he's probably worth taking on, despite the rankings gap.
19:00 Robert Milkins v Wang Yuchen

Wang Yuchen

Win Match

50 WIN

@2.30

Lose

-50

Wang Yuchen was my favorite for this one when I priced it up. He's in better form this season and should be able to see off Milkins at a decent price.
18:30 6:30 Wolverhampton

Miss Calculation

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.50

Lose

-50

Miss Calculation is circling the winner's enclosure and is probably going to land one sooner or later. Looks a worthy play to get there this time.
18:00 Alexandre Muller vs Laslo Djere

Alexandre Muller

Win Match

50 WIN

@2.40

Lose

-50

Forget the rankings. These two look pretty close statistically on the clay, so I think in what effectively looks a bit of a coin toss - Muller is the value play.
17:30 5:30 Wolverhampton

Counsel

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTETip made at odds of 3.75 on 10/02 at 11:430.10 deduction for Rosenpur@8.00 withdrawn at 11:53R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 2.75 x (1-0.10) = 3.48

@3.47

Win

123

The stable does well with last-time-out winners and tends to perform well here at Wolverhampton, so COUNSEL is taken to land the quickfire double. Clearly in form and should be difficult to beat.
16:30 Otto Virtanen vs Sebastian Korda

Otto Virtanen

Win Match

50 WIN

@3.50

Win

125

Virtanen is a dangerous opponent for Korda here. He had a cracking record in indoor tournaments last season and might be able to win this.
15:30 Marketa Vondrousova vs Elina Svitolina

Elina Svitolina

Win Match

50 WIN

@2.10

Win

55

Good run to the Quarters at the Australian Open for Svitolina. I think she's started the season well and is a viable play to land this contest.
15:30 McCartney Kessler vs Ons Jabeur

McCartney Kessler

Win Match

50 WIN

@2.80

Lose

-50

This could be a pretty close match and definitely has the potential to go the distance. With that in mind, Kessler is probably worth a play at this price.
12:30 Aoi Ito vs Jelena Ostapenko

Aoi Ito

Win Match

50 WIN

@2.80

Lose

-50

Poor start to the season for Ostapenko who is probably worth taking on here as she is out of form and probably shouldn't be this price for the win until she picks up her form.
12:30 Daria Kasatkina vs Polina Kudermetova

Polina Kudermetova

Win Match

50 WIN

@3.50

Lose

-50

Kudermetova is probably a better player on the hard court than this price suggests so despite the rankings gap I think she's got a chance to progress here.

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