Benaldo1981

Try to find the value in sports betting. Sod the favourite!

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Benaldo1981's Tips

17th December 2025
14:00 Si Jiahui v Chang Bingyu

Chang Bingyu

Win Match

50 WIN

Bingyu is in pretty good form this season, so he is expected to give Jiahui a really good game. He could nick this one for sure and has the all-around game to claim it.
16:00 Learner Tien vs Rafael Jodar

Rafael Jodar

Win Match

50 WIN

I just think after a few weeks off maybe Jodar shouldn't be this price in the first-ever head-to-head. He's been pretty emphatic on the Challenger circuit indoors and could be good enough if Tien is rusty.
16:05 4:05 Kempton

The Bay Warrior

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

Generally a decent follow on the all-weather is the Bay Warrior, so this price is perhaps a bit generous when looking at the overall picture. Only a pound above the last winning mark in the handicap, and if anything this race looks slightly easier. The handicapper hasn't relented despite some offish runs of late, but there's still potential to go close here.
17:30 Martin Landaluce vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

Win Match

50 WIN

Landaluce has the H2H advantage, which is probably why he's the favourite. But Budkov Kjaer is improving, particularly on this surface, so could take this one.
19:00 Joe O Connor v Zhao Xintong

Joe O Connor

Win Match

50 WIN

O'Connor is closer to Xintong statistically, so this looks like a value bet. There doesn't seem to be a huge gap in quality between the two players, so I think the Englishman can take this.
19:40 7:40 Kempton

World Of Darcy

Daily Racing

25 EW

This could be one of my worst bets of all time, or one of my best! World of Darcy did improve last time out at Lingfield, running OK until the home stretch. That was a big improvement from the total flunks during a disappointing turf campaign. If (and it's a big if) there's progression from that, and the stable are in form, then we've got one that could finally be over the slump.
20:00 Raymond van Barneveld vs Stefan Bellmont

Stefan Bellmont

Win Match 2-way

50 WIN

Bellmont represents a live threat to the veteran Van Barneveld here, and I think he's a backable play at this price to cause the upset.
20:10 8:10 Kempton

Chasing Gold

Daily Racing

50 WIN

Chasing Gold just looks good enough to land one of these types of races before too long. Hasn't been far away of late, and the handicap mark is manageable.
22:00 Martin Schindler vs Stephen Burton

Stephen Burton

Win Match 2-way

50 WIN

Burton could have enough in his game to land this contest. Schindler has been known to have the odd off day, so maybe he gets found out here.
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18th December 2025
13:30 Thibault Tricole vs Motomu Sakai

Motomu Sakai

Win Match 2-way

50 WIN

I had these two much closer in price when analysing the data and stats, so maybe Sakai is a value play to advance here. It should be closer than thee odds structure suggest.
14:30 Ryan Joyce vs Owen Bates

Owen Bates

Win Match 2-way

50 WIN

This looks a pretty close match-up that has the potential to go the distance, so I think I value Bates as the better bet here. Definitely not much in it.

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