Benaldo1981

Try to find the value in sports betting. Sod the favourite!

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Benaldo1981's Tips

22nd November 2025
12:30 Burnley v Chelsea

Burnley

50 WIN

Chelsea have been known to have the odd wobble and I don't think they are necessarily as automatic to win this one. I could certainly see a scenario where Burnley get a draw but will chance the win at this price.
12:30 Charlton v Southampton

Charlton

50 WIN

With the home advantage I think Charlton look a decent prospect here. Once again I think the market is slightly over-estimating Southampton's chances.
12:30 Gillingham v Barnet

Gillingham

50 WIN

Gillingham have lost a bit of impetus but not enough to make them underdogs for this one. Higher in the table and home advantage, they look a value bet.
12:30 Harrogate Town v Walsall

Harrogate Town

50 WIN

Walsall is in a blip at the moment, and Harrogate was very unlucky not to win at Notts County last week. They could be good enough to land this one.
12:30 Port Vale v Plymouth

Plymouth

50 WIN

Plymouth have the potential to upset Vale here. It looks to be a close one to call when analyzing both potential starting line-ups, so I'll give the away win a look.
13:00 James Hurrell vs Luke Woodhouse

James Hurrell

Win Match 2-way

50 WIN

Hurrell is averaging some pretty decent scores of late, and this looks like a pretty close match to call. Hurrell is the value play with that in mind.
14:30 Bulcsu Revesz v Chatchapong Nasa

Chatchapong Nasa

Win Match

50 WIN

I don't think there is too much to split these two players when analyzing the seasonal and form stats, so Nasa is given a look for the win.
14:30 Iulian Boiko v Umut Dikme

Umut Dikme

Win Match

50 WIN

Statistically, this looks like a pretty close one to call. Dikme is therefore given a look at a pretty big price in a two-horse race. Little to separate in this one.
14:30 Lan Yuhao v Jamie Clarke

Lan Yuhao

Win Match

50 WIN

Yuhao has a great chance to double our money here. I had him as the favorite to take this win as he just seems to be in better form at the moment.
14:30 Ross Muir v Fergal Quinn

Fergal Quinn

Win Match

50 WIN

Muir is well out of form this season so Quinn might be able to take advantage and looks a nice price to land this one in this format.
14:30 Steven Hallworth v Craig Steadman

Craig Steadman

Win Match

50 WIN

Coin toss for me this, so Steadman is given a look at this price to extend his stay at the UK Championship. Hallworth is a little out of sorts and could be vulnerable.
15:00 3:00 Haydock

Royale Pagaille

Daily Racing

50 WIN

Royal Pagaille won this one last season and faded afterwards. Could be a spent force, but probably just worth a look on the first race of a new campaign, just in case he can replicate.
15:00 AFC Wimbledon v Wigan

AFC Wimbledon

50 WIN

Wimbledon is higher in the table and has the home advantage. So I'm struggling to ascertain why they aren't the favorites for this one. They look like value for the win.
15:00 Barnsley v Luton

Barnsley

50 WIN

I think I'd make Barnsley favourites for this one and there's little to separate the teams in terms of position and starting line-ups. They can make the home advantage count.
15:00 Barrow v Cambridge Utd

Barrow

50 WIN

Another that looks a pretty close contest, particularly with home advantage for Barrow. They might be lower in the table but shouldn't be this much of an underdog.
15:00 Birmingham v Norwich

Norwich

50 WIN

Norwich can't be this bad for this long, and I think they'll pick up their fortunes before too long. They might have enough in their game to nick the points here.
15:00 Bournemouth v West Ham

Draw

50 WIN

West Ham have turned a corner, and Bournemouth are on a bit of a comedown after a fast start. I can see this one finishing all square.
15:00 Brighton v Brentford

Draw

50 WIN

This looks like a pretty close one to call, so the draw doesn't look like a bad shout at this price. Brighton are not quite at the same level as last season, and Brentford don't seem too badly affected by high-profile departures.
15:00 Cheltenham v Bristol Rovers

Cheltenham

50 WIN

Little to separate these two sides, and they should probably be much closer in the odds, with both looking very evenly matched.
15:00 Derby v Watford

Derby

50 WIN

Derby look a decent price as the home side to take the points in this. Both look evenly matched but I'd fancy Derby from the value perspective.
15:00 Fulham v Sunderland

Draw

50 WIN

Sunderland continue to be a very difficult team to beat so I think they definitely have the potential to pick up a point on the road here.
15:00 Ipswich v Wrexham

Wrexham

50 WIN

There's plenty to like about Wrexham at this price. Ipswich are capable of having the occasional off day, and the Welshmen could potentially take full advantage here.
15:00 Northampton v Cardiff

Northampton

50 WIN

Northampton not the easiest team to break down and they could be good enough to take out Cardiff. This is a surprising price for them.
15:00 Oxford Utd v Middlesbrough

Oxford Utd

50 WIN

Maybe the departure of Rob Edwards just hits Boro a touch, and Oxford could potentially take advantage here. The home win looks valuable.
15:00 Portsmouth v Millwall

Millwall

50 WIN

Millwall is having a sneakily strong campaign, so I'm not sure they should arrive at Fratton Park as the underdogs. They look like a solid play here.
15:00 QPR v Hull

Hull

50 WIN

This could be closer than the odds suggest so I will give the visitors a look at this price. QPR are a little unpredictable so maybe Hull claim this one.
15:00 Reading v Rotherham

Rotherham

50 WIN

Rotherham are a solid looking punt to clinch the points in this one. They are higher in the table and arrive in better form.
15:00 Tranmere v Milton Keynes Dons

Tranmere

50 WIN

This is a potential stumbling block for MK so I think Tranmere, who have the home advantage, are worthy of a bet here. They've got a real chance to land this.
15:00 Wolverhampton v Crystal Palace

Draw

50 WIN

Draw looks a likely result here as I don't think Wolves can continue to be this bad. So, I fancy them to get a result in front of a noisy Molineux home support.
15:30 3:30 Newcastle

Golspie

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

Compared to some runs over this trip in September and October, GOLSPIE is considered from lighter in the handicap here. Useful claimer lops further weight off so has each-way claims if reaching that potential. Still a maiden on the all-weather but with the solid course form looks worth a dabble at this price.
17:30 Newcastle v Man City

Newcastle

50 WIN

This is definitely a tricky one for City to navigate. I think after a slow start, Newcastle will be right up for this to try and get their season back on track.
18:10 6:10 Newcastle

Lord Abama

Daily Racing

25 EW

LORD ABAMA has lost his way the last couple of runs, but they've served to reduce the handicap mark to below some peak performances earlier in the year, including on the tapeta at Southwell, where he was narrowly beaten in July. Front-running former course winner could have a say if in the mood.
18:25 6:25 Wolverhampton

Expert Witness

Daily Racing

25 EW

The wind surgery might do the trick for EXPERT WITNESS, who struggled in a turf campaign, but comes back to the all-weather after a break from a workable looking mark. Only a pound heavier than when narrowly beaten over this trip. Class four seems to be his level and he's not one you can rule out too readily.
18:55 6:55 Wolverhampton

Harbour Vision

Daily Racing

50 WIN

You know I'm pretty much automatic on HARBOUR VISION when he's a big price and we get that here. Drops back in grade after looking out of depth last time out and could well take a step back in the right direction. Narrowly beaten from this mark over this trip the run before last and has each-way claims, despite the unfavourable draw.
20:25 8:25 Wolverhampton

Flatley

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

FLATLEY would've needed the run last time out, so I'm not fussed about the misfire. Should strip fitter now and is three pounds lighter than a mid-division finish here in April and returns to last winning mark. Drops back in grade, so if everything clicks, we could get a good showing at this price.
23rd November 2025
12:00 Sheff Wed v Sheff Utd

Sheff Wed

50 WIN

It's a derby and anything could happen. Throw in a passionate Hillsborough crowd and I'd say Wednesday are worth the look at this price.
14:00 Leeds v Aston Villa

Aston Villa

50 WIN

I think a fully revitalized Villa look a good shout for the away win here. There's a pretty big difference in quality, and this price looks too high for the visitors.

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