colsinit4fun

Two Newmarket trained 3yo’s look to be the key runners here with preference being for the Crisford trained Hachiman. He was far from disgraced on re-appearance 2 runs back when hampered a couple of times when looking to make ground by which time, the long odds on winner had flown. He kept on and then progressed last time on the AW at Lingfield when he stayed on strongly through the final furlong to lead close home. He looks to be off a workable opening handicap mark off 72 and has Oisin Murphy on board who has an excellent 7-16 for the yard in the past 5 years, including 6-12 in the past 2. The yard is bang in form and this one looks to have an outstanding chance on handicap debut to follow up and rates the Nap of the day.

A trappy little handicap with a number with good course form. The one to take the eye is the Georgie Nichols trained Saint Bibiana. This progressive mare missed out on a hat-trick last time but was not disgraced when 2nd behind re-opposing Pounding Poet who is 3lb worse off for 1.5l. Olive Nicholls takes off a useful 7lb so she does look well in. The yard is 2-5 (1 x 3rd) at the track in the past 5 seasons and she is their only runner today. She is proven at the trip and at around 4/1, she looks a solid each way bet.

Rosallion is the class horse here, but he missed a race last week due to a 'minor issue,' so this comes quick on the back of that. In addition, a fast 7f at York may not play to his strengths as he would be better over 8f. At the price, I have to take him on. Exactly may be drawn higher than ideal, but she likes to race prominently, so she should be able to sit close to the pace likely to be set by Quinault and Qirat. Ryan should be able to get her nicely positioned, and with the races being run down the middle this week, the ground may well be quicker towards the stands side, which is also borne out by the going stick readings. At around 12/1, she looks overpriced and rates a solid each way bet.

Checkandchallenge has not been easy to win with, but he has recorded two of his best RPRs in his only two runs at this track, including when 3rd in this race last season at 33/1. His best run this season was when just over 4 lengths 5th in the Group 1 Lockinge at Newbury, and a repeat of that would give him a great chance here. Shepherd knows him well, and at around 18/1, he looks a sporting each-way bet.

Wetsand sets the standard on adjusted RPRs and wasn’t disgraced in a Group 3 at Deauville last time. She is sure to go close, but the yard is only 1-19 at the track in the past 5 years, and she may have to give best to the Karl Burke-trained Aspiral. He ran with promise on debut at Hamilton before stepping up to score at Carlisle last time, staying on well over that stiff 7f to suggest he would be better suited by this extra furlong. He strode out well with a bit of ease in the ground then, and with the ground likely to be pretty much perfect without any jar today, he will have conditions to suit. He is Jamin’s only ride here today, and with the yard in good form, he looks the Nap of the day at around 7/4.

Greydreambeliever has not won since her debut at York last July but she ran really well in a Class 4 handicap over CD 2 runs back under today’s claimer before disappointing just 11 days later at Goodwood. She was beaten at the time of meeting interference but she now drops to the lowest grade in her career. She also drops another 2lb and is now 14lb lower than in the Spring. With Nicholls back on board taking off a useful 5lb and back over CD, she looks way overpriced at around 22/1 and she rates a sporting each way bet.

Do Or Do Not is about the best maiden in the country, but while he sets the standard on adjusted RPRs, he continues to find something too good for him. At the price, he has to be taken on. Comical Point showed good progression from first to second start to get within 4 lengths of the highly rated Ballydoyle 2-year-old Charles Darwin before racing far too keenly in the Group 2 July Stakes at Newmarket last time and dropping away quickly. He was not expected to come here, but due to his last piece of work last week, which impressed his trainer, he has been re-routed here. The yard continues in very good form and has an excellent record with 2-year-olds at this track in the past 5 years with 13-41 (32%). If he returns to his progressive profile shown at Royal Ascot, then at around 12/1, he looks way overpriced and rates a sporting each-way Nap of the day.

Apollo One has been in fair form this season despite not winning but he ran better than the result suggests last time in the Stewards Cup when he didn’t get the best of runs when the pace quickened up and the ground was softer than ideal. Sean Levey takes the ride for the first time and the horse usually runs well mid-late summer. I prefer a lower draw judged on recent meetings on the July course so at around 8/1, he rates a sporting each way bet.

Pergola battled back well at Epsom 2 runs back after being headed to get back up on the post. That was over 10f and she promises to be well suited by this extra 1.5f. She was probably unsuited by the easier ground at Sandown last time so should be suited by the return to the likely quicker ground here. As an improving 3yo filly, she looks the one to be on at around 2/1.

Birkenhead is a standing dish here with 4-9 wins here and 7-9 places. He is nicely drawn in stall 3 and should be forcing the pace from the start. He won this last year off 1lb higher so he is clearly well in. The visor worn last time is now replaced with cheekpieces so with the yard in good form (5-26 in the past 14 days) he has conditions to suit. At around 10/3, he looks the value bet and will be difficult to keep out of the frame.

Chico Magnifica was still green when scoring on his 2nd run at Hamilton, looking lost when asked to quicken up from around 2f out. Stayed on strongly once he got into gear and should still have further improvement to come. While he has to give a chunk of weight to his main rival, he is proven at around this trip and the yard is bang in form. At a shade of odds-on, he should take a deal of beating and looks a solid Nap of the day.

Irish raider Topgun Simmy looks likely to go off favorite here, though the form of the yard is a bit of a worry. He is 1-3 over fences, and his young jockey has a poor record in Ireland in the past 5 seasons with only 12-334 (4%). In addition, with a likely decent pace, the drop in trip is also a worry. The Gypsy Davey is likely to make the running and has more chasing experience than both of his rivals. He is also ridden by an inexperienced Irish-based jockey, but he takes a useful 3lb off, which largely negates the 4lb he is out of the handicap. With him likely to get the run of the race out in front and his two rivals probably preferring a slightly longer trip, he looks the value bet at around 10/3.