colsinit4fun
0
Estimated Prizes
this month
£0
Estimated Prize money
this month
colsinit4fun's Tips History
03 May 2026
15:35 3:35 Newmarket
Evolutionist
Daily Racing
50 EWNAP
@+1800
Win
129
It will be interesting to see where they race here. Yesterday, it looked like you didn’t want to be too close to the far side, but then the last race saw the first four coming from stalls 1??"4, so it throws a bit of a spanner in the works. The first two in the market are drawn 1 and 2, with a number of fancied runners drawn in the bottom half of the draw, so I’m looking for the lower half being the place to be. I’m not convinced about Venetian Sun seeing out the trip if they go any sort of pace and prefer the chances of Burke’s other runner, Evolutionist. She improved again on reappearance when quickening up to score over this trip at Longchamp, and she has already won over this trip on the July Course. She will be staying on well at the finish, and at around 18/1 she rates a sporting Nap of the day.
15:15 3:15 Hamilton
Conclave
Daily Racing
100 WINNBNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 2.38 used instead of 2.20 takenBOG
@+137
Win
137
Only a 3-runner race, but all have some sort of chance. Preference is for the Balding-trained Conclave, who sets a clear standard on adjusted RPRs. He has made the running in both of his races and should be able to dictate fractions today. Both of his runs have been at Kempton, and this is his first run on turf. However, there is no reason to think he won’t act, and his form has worked out well. At around 5/4, he looks the one to be on.
14:20 2:20 Newmarket
Survie
Daily Racing
100 WIN
@+400
Lose
-100
This is usually won by a fancied runner, with all but one of the past 12 coming from the top three in the market. Falakeyah has won on reappearance in both of her seasons, so she is likely to give a very good account for a yard in very good form. However, Burrows has said she is not the most straightforward, though she should go close if she runs to her best. Survie comes here after three runs this year and was probably unsuited by the slower pace back to 8f on a sharper track. She should get a decent pace to aim at today. She has only run once on quick ground, but she ran well in a Group 1 in Riyadh against the males, so she shouldn’t be inconvenienced by today’s conditions. Ryan Moore is back on board today, and she is fancied to be another winner for yesterday’s Guineas-winning trainer and looks the value bet at around 4/1.
13:45 1:45 Newmarket
Sacred Ground
Daily Racing
100 WIN
@+162
Lose
-100
The Gosdens have won this five times in the past 10 years, and Sacred Ground has been nicely backed this morning to extend that record. Sacred Ground made a pleasing debut, scoring at Yarmouth, before showing much improved form to finish second in a Listed race on this track in November. She still holds an entry in the Oaks and is clearly well thought of. She looks to have a great opportunity to get her head back in front. At around 11/8, she looks the one to be on.
Subtotal66
02 May 2026
15:35 3:35 Newmarket
Avicenna
Daily Racing
50 EW
@+2000
Lose
-100
A fascinating renewal with those at the head of the market having questions to answer. Avicenna was 2-2 as a 2yo before reappearing in the Craven over CD 16 days ago. He was a bit fresh early and encountered trouble entering the dip. He then stayed on nicely to go 2nd at the finish and should come on nicely for the run. The yard is in good form at the right time and, judged by earlier racing, I wouldn’t want to be drawn too low. He is nicely drawn in stall 8 and, if he gets a decent pace to aim at, which he should, then at around 20/1 he looks a sporting each-way bet.
14:20 2:20 Newmarket
Bullet Point
Daily Racing
50 EW
@+500
Lose
-100
A competitive handicap, but with the Haggas yard really coming into form in recent days, he is fancied to score on reappearance. He won first time out here last season, so he can go well fresh. He can race with the pace and, nicely drawn in 6, he should be able to race with the pace throughout and is fancied to land his third win at the track. At around 9/2, he is a solid each-way bet to finish in the first four.
14:05 2:05 Goodwood
Blue Bolt
Daily Racing
100 WIN
@-109
Win
91
Blue Bolt sets the clear standard on adjusted RPRs and, if fit for her reappearance, should take the beating in this. She can race just off the pace and her two main rivals like to come from well off the pace. While they are sure to be staying on at the finish, Blue Bolt could well be away and gone by the time they get going. She drops from a Group 1 to Listed class and should be up to taking this before going back up to Group class.
13:45 1:45 Newmarket
Double Rush
Daily Racing
100 WINNB
@+100
Win
100
Double Rush was most impressive on re-appearance, racing with the pace and pulling clear from 2f out to score by just under 5l. He is suited by CDG and, while carrying a 5 lb penalty, he is still 8 lb well in on future ratings. He still holds an entry in the Group 1 Jubilee Stakes at Royal Ascot. If he is to meet that engagement he needs to win comfortably here, but should do so before going on to better things.
13:30 1:30 Goodwood
Fitzella
Daily Racing
100 WINNAP
@+225
Lose
-100
Fitzella sets the standard on adjusted RPRs and should be cherry-ripe after her reappearance in the Group 3 Nell Gwyn at Newmarket 17 days ago. She likes to set her own fractions and should be able to get the lead here. Her last five runs have been at Group level, and she drops to Listed company today. The stable is in good form this season, and with conditions to suit and the fast track to her liking, she should be able to make all here and rates as the Nap of the day.
Subtotal-109
01 May 2026
16:05 4:05 Newmarket
Elarak
Daily Racing
100 WINNB
@+225
Lose
-100
Elarak showed nice improvement on his final run last season, scoring by 2.5 lengths over CD. He ran close to that mark on reappearance at Thirsk three weeks ago and should come on for the run. He has won 3 of 6 and won twice at this track. He has been nicely backed this morning and, at around 9/4, looks the one to be on.
15:45 3:45 Ascot
Remmooz
Daily Racing
100 WIN
@+275
Lose
-100
Remmooz was nicely progressive last season and ended up with 4-6. He was expected to mature into a nicer horse this year with another winter behind him, and he has been nicely backed this morning. He won first time out last season, and the stable is in good form. He is suited by this trip and ground, and if he is fit for his reappearance, he can take this before going on to better things.
15:10 3:10 Ascot
Wise Approach
Daily Racing
100 WIN
@+162
Lose
-100
Wise Approach just sets the standard on adjusted RPRs, having beaten Brussels on his final start last year in the Middle Park. While he has to concede a 4 lb penalty today, he won on this card last year first time out, and he is the only ride for Buick for Appleby today. O’Brien’s British raisers are notorious at this time of year, so that has to be a concern for Brussels today. At around 6/4, Wise Approach looks the one to be on.
14:35 2:35 Ascot
Tabletalk
Daily Racing
50 EW
@+600
Lose
-100
Likely favourite Sweet William is sure to run his usual race, but he can be a bit quirky. At the likely odds, I have to take him on, especially as he has never won first time out. Tabletalk was fairly consistent last season, and he looks like the step up to 2m should suit. He ran well on re-appearance in Saudi 76 days back and should come on for the run. He is fine on today’s quicker ground and, at around 11/2, looks a solid each-way bet.
14:20 2:20 Newmarket
Poseidons Warrior
Daily Racing
100 WIN
@+125
Lose
-100
Poseidon’s Warrior made a promising reappearance over CD two weeks ago, staying on nicely through the final furlong and was nearest at the finish. He was waited with out the back and was still green when asked to quicken entering the dip. Once they straightened up out of the dip, he stayed on well. It looks as if he is ready for a step up in trip already, but he should be staying on strongly up the hill. Additionally, Billy Loughnane is an impressive 4-8 for the yard this season. He wears a hood for the first time, still holds his Dante and Derby entries, and looks the one to beat here.
14:00 2:00 Ascot
Adaay Of Scarlett
Daily Racing
100 WINNAP
@+137
Win
138
Adaay Of Scarlett created quite an impression when scoring at Newmarket on debut, quickening clear through the final furlong to score by just over 4l. The form has been franked since, and he was talked of as a Royal Ascot horse after that win. He has a penalty to concede here, but his form looks better than the Brocklesby that two of his rivals ran in, with no winners or places from 10 subsequent runners. At around 11/8, Adaay Of Scarlett looks overpriced and rates the Nap of the day.
Subtotal-362
30 April 2026
18:05 6:05 Punchestown
Teahupoo
Daily Racing
100 WINNB
@+225
Lose
-100
Nothing went right for Teahupoo at Cheltenham, and he is clearly better than that form. He is said to have come out of the race well and is in good heart coming here. He sets a clear standard on adjusted RPRs, and with conditions to suit, he is fancied to bounce back and regain his crown.
16:30 4:30 Redcar
Ammes
Daily Racing
100 WINNAP
@+450
Lose
-100
Ammes won his first two hurdle races before finishing runner-up in a Listed hurdle at Wetherby at the end of October. After a break through the winter going, he reappeared at Lingfield on the AW when he probably needed the run. He has since been well beaten in two very competitive handicap hurdles at Cheltenham and Aintree and now reverts to turf for a stable in good form. Jason Hart has a decent record of 3-11 for the stable, and, dropping back to 10f, he looks on a workable mark. At around 9/2, he rates the Nap of the day.
1 member found this comment useful
15:05 3:05 Punchestown
Diamond Du Berlais
Daily Racing
100 WIN
@+162
Lose
-100
Likely favourite Future Prospect was most disappointing in the Mares at Cheltenham, eventually being pulled up. She has since finished a fair 4th at Fairyhouse over 2.5m, and this drop in trip could suit. However, stablemate Diamond Du Berlais beat her stablemate comprehensively at Cheltenham and, if reproducing that form, should be the one to beat.
Subtotal-300
29 April 2026
18:05 6:05 Punchestown
Gaelic Warrior
Daily Racing
200 WINNAP
@+100
Win
200
Gaelic Warrior showed improvement to land the Cheltenham Gold Cup last time out. He won at the end of April last year after scoring at Aintree, so he should be up to following up again over old rival Fact To File. He has only had four runs this season, so should still be up to running to form. At around Evens, he looks the Nap of the day.
14:13 2:13 Pontefract
Infraad
Daily Racing
200 WINNB
@-109
Win
182
Infraad sets the standard on adjusted RPRs and can get off the mark at the third time of asking. He was sent off a short-priced favourite on reappearance at Nottingham three weeks ago, but after racing keenly had nothing left through the final furlong. He should be better for that run and, hopefully, will have taken the freshness out of him. The Haggas yard has a very good record here, and he is the only runner here today. The Gosden runner Leighton has been backed this morning, but the stable is 0-9 here in the past five seasons, so he is clearly not one of their leading lights. At around 10/11, Infraad looks the one to be on.
Subtotal382
28 April 2026
18:05 6:05 Punchestown
Marine Nationale
Daily Racing
100 WINNAP
@+275
Lose
-100
A fascinating renewal with the 3 at the head of the market likely to fight it out. Preference is for last year’s winner, Marine Nationale, who has deliberately swerved the festivals in Britain this year to be fresh and ready to defend his crown. He is wearing cheekpieces for the first time today, and his trainer is one of the shrewdest in the business. At around 11/4, he rates the Nap of the day.
15:50 3:50 Epsom Downs
Topteam
Daily Racing
100 WIN
@+200
Lose
-100
Topteam is a likeable sort, having won 4 of his 9 starts, including on reappearance at Kempton 3 weeks ago. He has shown a willing attitude in his last 3 winning runs, and off a 3 lb higher mark he still sets the standard on adjusted RPRs. He is suited by this trip and good ground, so conditions should suit. At around 2/1, he looks the one to be on.
14:40 2:40 Epsom Downs
Saxon Street
Daily Racing
100 WINNBNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 3.50 used instead of 2.62 takenBOG
@+250
Win
250
Likely favourite, New Zealand sets a clear standard on adjusted RPRs, but O’Brien’s runners in Classic Trials don’t always have a great record. So, at the likely short odds, he is taken on. The Gosdens have an excellent record in this race, having won four of the past 10 runnings. Saxon Street does have a good bit to find on RPRs, but he has been freshened up since his win on the AW in December and he holds entries in the Dante and the Derby, so he is sure to improve for his initial outing. He has been backed this morning, so with the expected improvement, he looks the one to be on.
Subtotal50
25 April 2026
15:10 3:10 Haydock
Empire Of Light
Daily Racing
50 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 9.00 used instead of 8.50 takenBOG
@+800
Win
480
A few of these have questions to answer, so a chance is taken with Empire of Light. The Grant Tuer yard is in good form this season, and this ex-Johnston inmate looks a sporting each-way bet at around 8/1.
14:55 2:55 Sandown
Solness
Daily Racing
100 WIN
@+332
Lose
-100
Jonbon comes here to a track he goes very well at, having won 5??"7 and placed in the other 2. That said, the drop back to just shy of 2m is a worry, especially on this quicker ground. At around 13/8, I have to take him on. Solness just sets the standard on adjusted RPRs and has been well backed today. He will be suited by the quicker ground and, provided this does not come too soon after Aintree, he should go close. He has only had two runs since December, so should still be fairly fresh. At around 10/3, he looks the value bet.
14:35 2:35 Haydock
Great Acclaim
Daily Racing
50 EW
@+650
Win
14
Great Acclaim won two in a row in mid-summer last year once the blinkers went on. The headgear was left off for his reappearance in the Lincoln last month, but they return today. The drop back to 7f should also suit, as will the better ground. At around 7/1, he rates as a solid each-way bet.
14:20 2:20 Sandown
Doyen Quest
Daily Racing
100 WINNBNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@+300
Win
300
Likely favourite Blow Your Wad sets the standard on adjusted RPRs, but the form of the Moore yard is a worry. So at around 5/4, I have to take him on. Dan Skelton will hope that the race goes a long way to getting him through the £5M barrier. After a break through the worst of the winter, he will have blown the cobwebs away at Aintree two weeks ago, despite not jumping very well throughout. He will be suited by the better ground today, and at around 3/1, he rates the value bet.
13:45 1:45 Sandown
Legal Weapon
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+6600
Lose
-50
A chance is taken here with Legal Weapon, even though he looks to be the Pauling second string. He went into my notebook after his last run when he looked as if he was coming to win his race before walking through the last hurdle. He wears a tongue tie for the first time, and if that can bring out a bit of improvement then he could be starting off handicapping off a fair mark. At around 66/1, he is a sporting each-way bet to finish in the first five.
13:13 1:13 Sandown
Made U Blush
Daily Racing
100 WINNAP
@+300
Lose
-100
Made U Blush went into my notebook after scoring last time at Musselburgh. She has been freshened up for this. She is fine on good ground, and having won a Listed event last time, she looks on a reasonable opening mark for handicap debut. At around 3/1, she rates the Nap of the day.
Subtotal544
24 April 2026
18:37 6:37 Chepstow
Torneo
Daily Racing
200 WINNOTETip made at odds of 2.20 on 24/04 at 12:110.15 deduction for Bonza Boy@6.00 withdrawn at 17:51R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 1.20 x (1-0.15) = 2.02
@+101
Win
204
Torneo has been pretty consistent of late, although he found a Class 2 too much for him last time out over a longer trip. He should be suited by the drop back in trip and the drop down to Class 3. In addition, he was claimer-ridden last time and Sheehan is back on board today. He should be able to sit at the back of the small field before being produced late. The stable is still in good form, and he should take the beating here.
16:20 4:20 Chepstow
Piping Rock
Daily Racing
100 WIN
@+332
Lose
-100
A chance is taken here with Piping Rock on the basis of Emma Lavelle’s record with runners after a wind op, with 7-21 in the past couple of years. He has been pretty consistent in four runs for this yard, though he did put in a bit of a poor run last time. However, he did have a wind op nine days earlier, so with the yard’s record with such runners, he rates the value bet at around 7/2.
15:47 3:47 Perth
The Dog Thief
Daily Racing
100 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 3.00 used instead of 2.50 takenBOG
@+200
Win
200
The Dog Thief makes his handicap debut and could be lurking off a generous mark. After winning his PTP last December, he then ran a creditable runner-up to subsequent Grade 2 scorer He's On Fire and then scored in a maiden at Market Rasen last month. The form of the latter has been franked since, with the 2nd and 3rd both winning since. He is effective at the trip and on this ground, and the stable is in very good form, with 4-13 in the past 14 days. At around 6/4, he looks the one to be on.
15:00 3:00 Sandown
Field Of Gold
Daily Racing
100 WINNAP
@+137
Lose
-100
A fascinating renewal this year and one which, if he runs to his best, could make odds of around 5/4 look very generous after the race. Three of these have to carry a penalty, and that has proven difficult to do in the past. Field Of Gold likes to race off the pace, and while there is no obvious front runner, a few of these like to race close to the pace so, hopefully, they won’t go a crawl. The Gosden yard is in very good form so far this season. Field Of Gold can start the season on a good note before going on to better things and rates the Nap of the day.
14:40 2:40 Perth
Roaring Conquest
Daily Racing
100 WINNB
@+250
Lose
-100
A number of these like to force the pace, so there is every chance there will be a ‘pace collapse’. One who will benefit from a decent pace is the Olly Murphy-trained Roaring Conquest. He likes to be held up, so the race should be run to suit. His last win was on good-to-soft at Windsor on reappearance, and he has raced on more testing ground in three runs since then. He should get a more suitable surface today, and Murphy and Bowen have been in good form at Perth this week. At around 3/1, he looks the value bet.
Subtotal104
23 April 2026
14:40 2:40 Perth
Buy Some Time
Daily Racing
50 EW
@+1100
Win
60
A chance is taken here with last season’s surprise Punchestown winner, Buy Some Time. He reappeared three weeks ago for the first time after a wind op and is sure to come on for the run. He raced out the back throughout before making a bad mistake at the last, after which he was eased. That was his first run since last July, so it was sure to have been needed. He has won in April for each of the last two years, so this looks to have been a bit of a plan. At around 12/1, he rates a sporting each-way bet.
14:30 2:30 Warwick
Benign Dictator
Daily Racing
50 EW
@+900
Lose
-100
Likely favourite J J Moon may step up for the application of cheekpieces, as he has been outbattled in 2 of his last 3 runs. But at 7/4, I have to look elsewhere. Benign Dictator goes very well at this track with 2 wins and a 2nd from 3 runs here. He won here 4 runs back when there was a good pace on and he clocked a useful speed figure. He has possibly been unsuited by a slow pace in his last 3 runs but should get a good pace to aim at today. He has dropped to just 2 lb above his last winning mark, and his jockey takes off a useful 10 lb, which makes him look very well in. At around 9/1, he looks a solid each-way bet to finish in the first 2.
14:00 2:00 Warwick
Mr Finch
Daily Racing
100 WINNAP
@+175
Win
175
Testing Patience sets the standard on adjusted RPRs, but the form of the Thee Moore yard is a worry. Mr Finch has run two good races over hurdles, with the one poor run coming here. That was on heavy ground, which may not have suited. He dropped away after a mistake two out at Newbury last time, but that was a better race than this, and the form has worked out well. The yard have had a good season, and their fancied runners are generally running well. He has been backed this morning, and at around 7/4 he looks the nap of the day.
13:40 1:40 Perth
Viscountess Nelson
Daily Racing
200 WINNB
@-109
Win
182
This looks a match between the two at the head of the market, with preference for the Henderson mare Viscountess Nelson. She may have just needed the run last time out after almost three months off and should come on for the run. The yard have few runners up here ??" only four in the past five seasons with one winner ??" and she is their only runner here today. She stays the trip and should be fine on the ground. She looks the one to beat.
Subtotal317
22 April 2026
19:00 7:00 Taunton
Gasmani
Daily Racing
100 WINNB
@+400
Lose
-100
I tipped Gasmani last time out when he scored over CD 13 days ago, and despite a 6 lb rise, I can see him following up. That day, Charlie Maggs travelled all the way to Taunton for just the one ride, and he does so again today before heading back up to Perth for two rides tomorrow. That says something. Having won over CD last time, he has conditions to suit, and at 4/1 he is worth following again to follow up.
16:53 4:53 Taunton
Crest Of Stars
Daily Racing
100 WIN
@+250
Win
250
Likely favourite Kilnew Supreme is rather short for a horse who has shown a tendency to race rather keenly. At the odds, I would rather take him on. Crest Of Stars won nicely here three runs back over an extended 2m before stepping up to this course and distance two runs back, though that was on heavy ground. He dropped back to the minimum last time, but his jumping let him down and, despite making late headway, he could not make up the ground. He should be worth another chance at the trip on this better ground, and with his jockey taking off a valuable 7 lb, he looks the one to beat here and overturn the short-priced favourite.
15:00 3:00 Ludlow
Maximum Offers
Daily Racing
100 WINNBR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@SP
Void
0
Maximum Offers showed improved form to score last time out and has shown he can carry this sort of weight. His last three runs have been over fences, but he reverts to hurdles today and races off 113, which looks winnable. He is suited by this trip and the better ground. As long as the six-day gap is not too quick and he reproduces his best, he should go close here.
14:40 2:40 Perth
Sogna In Grande
Daily Racing
100 WINNAP
@+1400
Lose
-100
Sogna In Grande went into my notebook when scoring last time out after a nasty bout of ringworm, following a stable debut win at Warwick in November. He looked in trouble turning for home last time, but once he got the gap he quickened up well and stayed on strongly. The race looked like it would tighten him up, and he seemed ready for a step up in trip, which he gets today. Likely favourite No Drama This End was being prepared for Cheltenham when nothing went his way after being left at the start. Whether he will be cherry ripe today, 42 days later, remains to be seen, and the yard is not in the best of form. At around 14/1, Sogna In Grande rates a sporting Nap of the day.
Subtotal50
21 April 2026
16:38 4:38 Ffos Las
Fairye Forth
Daily Racing
50 EWNAP
@+5000
Win
450
Fairye Forth went into my notebook after making his British and Rules debut at Chepstow at the beginning of the month where he was noted making headway as they left the back straight but could never land a blow. It was his first run in almost a year and he is well regarded. His trainer has said he has schooled well and while he is a chaser in the making, he is sure to come on for that run. He showed a bit of knee action so should be suited by the softer ground he gets here. McCain-Mitchell has a fair record for the stable with a winner & 3 places from 6 rides. He has been nibbled at in the market so at around 50/1, he rates a sporting each way Nap of the day.
Subtotal450
18 April 2026
14:35 2:35 Newbury
Lions Pride
Daily Racing
100 WINNAP
@+250
Lose
-100
Convergent has been weak in the market this morning, and his trainer has reported in the past that he wants just good ground, not quick. That is a worry today, as the ground may be too lively for him. Twenty-one of the last 22 winners were aged six or younger, which goes against Al Aasy and Phantom Flight. Lion’s Pride has been relatively lightly raced in the past three years, so should still have scope to improve for a yard that is going really well this spring. The trip and ground will be fine for him, and Ryan Moore is a significant booking, having won three or four for the yard this year. With conditions to suit, he looks the Nap of the day.
1 member found this comment useful
14:27 2:27 Bangor on Dee
Reckless Spending
Daily Racing
200 WIN
@+150
Win
300
Reckless Spending has been disappointing in both of his runs stepping up to Class 1 company, both over 3m, but also on galloping tracks. He should be able to set his own fractions and will be better suited by this sharper track. At around 6/4, he looks the value bet.
13:17 1:17 Bangor on Dee
Knock Off Soxs
Daily Racing
100 WIN
@+350
Lose
-100
Likely favourite Senator has been progressive in three runs over hurdles and should go well. However, he gave the impression when winning last time that a step up in trip would suit, so still at the minimum on this better ground he may prove sharp enough. I have to take him on at the price. Knock Off Soxs has run in handicaps in his last two races and reverts to novice level today. He sets the standard on adjusted RPRs, and the yard have a good record here with one winner, a second and two thirds in the past five seasons. He should be suited by the drop back in trip and, at around 4/1, he rates the value bet.
13:10 1:10 Ayr
Traprain Law
Daily Racing
100 WINNB
@+350
Lose
-100
The Russell/Scudamore yard did well here yesterday with 2 winners and 3 placed horses. They have not made secret of the regard they have for this horse today given the testing ground conditions. He wasn’t disgraced last time over a trip that possibly stretched him a bit, and he has ideal conditions today. At around 7/2, he rates as the value bet.
Subtotal0
17 April 2026
16:55 4:55 Newbury
May Angel
Daily Racing
100 EW
@+800
Win
60
May Angel went into my notebook after finishing 3rd in the Group 3 Acomb at York’s Ebor meeting behind the ill-fated Gewan, who was ante-post favourite for the 2,000 Guineas until his timely fatal gallop a few weeks back. He jumped out to make all at York and raced freely and jumped a road-crossing but was still beaten less than 7l. He then ran in the Group 3 Horris Hill over CD two months later and may have found the ground too soft that day. He has had a wind op and been gelded over the winter and now reappears in a Class 2 handicap. The stable has an excellent record with first runs after being gelded (13-49) and after a wind op (2-3) in the past two years. At around 8/1, he rates a solid each-way bet for his in-form stable to finish in the first four.
16:20 4:20 Newbury
Blazeon Five
Daily Racing
50 EWNOTETip made at odds of 12.00 on 17/04 at 12:500.10 deduction for Caprelo@10.00 withdrawn at 15:27R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 11.00 x (1-0.10) = 10.90
@+989
Win
73
Classical Allusion has been all the rage in the market this morning on his handicap debut, having finished runner-up to Constitution Hill at Kempton. It is difficult to gauge the value of that form, but it is hard to get too excited about it. With the stable in decent form, it is easy to see why he has been backed, but both runs so far have been on the AW, so for me he has a bit to prove. Blazeon Five, on the other hand, progressed nicely last autumn, culminating with a win over this sort of trip at Southwell in December. She then ran in the AW Championship Trial at Newcastle in January, where she was held up out the back and was never going to get into the race but was staying on through the final furlong. She comes here off a three-month break and has proven she can win off a break in the past. The stable’s runners on the flat have been running pretty close to form, so at around 10/1 and with conditions to suit, she looks a sporting each-way bet to finish in the first two.
15:30 3:30 Ayr
Hoe Joly Smoke
Daily Racing
100 WINNAP
@+250
Lose
-100
This has all of the hallmarks of a Skelton plot, which they have proven to be very good at over recent seasons. He last scored 13 months ago at Sandown over 3m on good ground and has hovered around the same handicap mark but has been racing in Class 2 for most of those runs since. He now drops to Class 2 and had a wind-op back in February. They have kept him fresh for this race, which the yard has won five times in the past nine seasons. At around 5/2, he rates the Nap of the day.
14:55 2:55 Ayr
Dropematthestation
Daily Racing
100 WINNBNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 3.50 used instead of 3.25 takenBOG
@+250
Win
250
Dropmeatthestation just sets the standard on adjusted RPRs, but having had a wind op since his last run, he looks to have the edge. His three runs to date have all been over further than the minimum, and he has weakened from around two out in all of those races. He had a wind op almost six weeks ago, so presumably they found an issue. In addition, he drops back to 2m for the first time over hurdles, and as a prominent racer he should be able to race with the pace and kick on two or three out. He should see it out better today. At around 9/4, he rates the value bet.
Subtotal283
Tips are normally be settled by 12pm the day after the event took place.
Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.
Please note that this information is for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as an indicator of a tipsters real life performance. The OLBG Tipster Competition is a simulation game and some of the rules and prices used by the tipsters may not always be available in the real world which can lead to misleading informaiton.
