JamPizza
I'm a sports and betting enthusiast and love trying to solve the puzzle of big handicaps both on the flat and over the jumps. The majority of my tips are double figure prices and I rarely back the favourites. I'm always looking for value and try to post the tips the evening before to get the early prices. Twitter @JamPizza
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JamPizza's Tips History
14 February 2025
13:30 1:30 Southwell
Sea The Buckthorn
Daily Racing
25 EWNAPR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@21.00
Void
0
A horse that's won just 1 of 27 races might not be everyone's cup of tea, but he's on a career-low mark here in first-time cheekpieces and racing over a C&D where he has put up one of his best performances before. That was his only run over C&D when placed in a novice race and surrounded by 65-70 rated horses. He races here off just 46, and the trainer's runners are going well, so this 20/1 shot could well be the e/w value.
Subtotal0
13 February 2025
20:30 8:30 Chelmsford City
Cloud Free
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@7.00
Lose
-50
It was a promising 3rd on debut for the stable last time out, and the first-time tongue tie looks like a good idea since progeny of Sea The Stars often do well with it fitted. The horse stays on a mark of 63 but started life in handicaps for his previous trainer off 78. Since the switch in yards and tongue tie could well have improved the horse, you'd have to say that he could well be on a winnable mark now.
15:25 3:25 Newcastle
Authorized Mission
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@5.00
Lose
-50
Despite there being 11 runners, the majority of the field don't look well handicapped and are exposed, so this could be fought out between the two in-form 5-year-olds (Aire Spray being the other). The selection showed much-improved form to win here last time out, and this could be his optimal trip. He chased home a now 118-rated hurdler in a maiden race here when finishing well over shorter, and despite that easy win last time out, he's still only racing off 103, and the very useful 5lb conditional is booked again.
Subtotal-100
12 February 2025
15:28 3:28 Hereford
Trudie Glen
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@67.00
Lose
-50
This rank outsider could be worth a little e/w bet with 4 places being paid, in the hope that the first-time tongue tie and hood do the trick. Progeny of Blue Bresil tend to improve massively when the tongue tie, in particular, is applied, and this horse's placed efforts in a bumper and maiden hurdle show she has the ability when putting it all together. She races off just 88 here and has been around (and ahead of) horses racing off 100-110, so she might not be the forlorn hope the bookies would have us believe.
1 member found this comment useful
14:05 2:05 Southwell
Rambuso Creek
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@8.50
Lose
-50
This horse makes his debut here for a stable that does really well with their handicappers, having dropped to an attractive-looking mark of 71. He's been beaten just a neck and less than a length in his 2 runs over C&D (off 69 and 70) and arguably wasn't best positioned in the race on either occasion, so arguably did well to finish so close. The new trainer has shrewdly booked the same jockey that was on board for the latest of those narrow C&D defeats, where the 1st, 3rd, 4th, and 5th have all come out and won since.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-100
11 February 2025
18:00 6:00 Wolverhampton
Hello Miss Lady
Daily Racing
25 EW
@13.00
Lose
-50
This trainer/jockey combo is starting to get into the groove now, and it's blatantly obvious to me that this drop back in trip will suit after the horse has been racing over too far a trip in recent runs. She was leading at around this trip before her stamina gave way on her last run at this course and is 2lb lower now. She's now on her lowest ever handicap mark of 70 but has won off 76, and the 12/1 looks very generous to me.
1 member found this comment useful
16:02 4:02 Lingfield
Thor De Cerisy
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@4.00
Lose
-50
It's quite easy to pick holes in the form of every other runner here and this 3/1 shot makes plenty of appeal under seemingly his ideal conditions. Despite being an 11yo, he looks the one they all have to beat in this desperate ground which is sure to catch a few of them out. The horse came to hand at this time last year and the rebooking of Dylan Johnson is a huge positive for me since he's one of the very best 3lb conditionals around.
1 member found this comment useful
15:45 3:45 Ayr
Clovis Boy
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@41.00
Lose
-50
It looks like a good idea by the trainer to swap to Patrick Wadge from Derek Fox since the horse hasn't been firing at all for Fox lately and has actually flopped in all 3 runs since he got a ban for excessively whipping the horse when winning at Newcastle. It might well be that that run has left its mark on the horse, but with Wadge now booked, I'm going to give him another chance since he wasn't beaten far the last time he was on board off a 1lb lower mark. There's also a suggestion that the horse struggles carrying big weights, so 11-2 will do just fine since he's won both races in his last 8 runs carrying less than 11-5 (both were on heavy too).
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-150
10 February 2025
16:25 4:25 Wolverhampton
Paradoxical
Daily Racing
25 EW
@5.50
Win
135
This horse went down by a nose when pro ridden on the last time he raced over c&d. He's 7lb higher now but has one of the best Apprentices around now booked who is able to take 3lb off his back. The winner of that race won his next one to frank that form and the jockey was only beaten a head on the horse off a 1lb lower mark for his only ride on the horse thus far. Cheekpieces now go on too and he looks a strong bet to go close again here.
16:00 4:00 Catterick
Balcomie Breeze
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@4.50
Lose
-50
This 7yo won well on only his 5th race last time out here and can go in again since the recent wind op clearly appears to have worked wonders. The horse is 6lb higher in the handicap now, but if you look at his Bumper form where he got within a neck of Kamsinas, then it's clear that he has enough ability to win off this mark. Kamsinas has since won off 128, and the selection is still off only 103 here despite the rise in the handicap.
15:45 3:45 Plumpton
Invincible Nao
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@5.00
Win
200
I'm looking for an out-and-out stayer that's on the upgrade here, and this is the only one that fits the bill, having shown improved form when upped in trip to win last time out. He gets another 3 furlongs here, and the way he finished that race suggests he'll have no problem getting it. He's only 4lb higher now, and the 4/1 looks decent value to go in again now that they've started playing to his strengths, which is clearly stamina.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal285
09 February 2025
16:30 4:30 Chepstow
Military Tycoon
Daily Racing
25 EWNBR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@41.00
Void
0
4 places get paid here and this is going to be a real slog so I think many won't get home. I'm more than hopeful though that this horse will relish the step up in trip and could step up massively on previous efforts now at a big price. The horse also gets a new jockey who does well for the stable and he's been dropped again by the handicapper to 84. Considering he won on the flat (on a long trip for the flat and on soft ground) off a mark of 71, then this hurdles mark of 84 clearly stacks up well in that context and he could be plugging on past beaten horses late on to make the frame.
1 member found this comment useful
14:00 2:00 Exeter
Fun Fun Fun
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@2.25
Lose
-50
This should be between the 2 at the head of the market with preference for this one which is getting 5lb from her main rival. The pair are fairly evenly matched on a line through Karia Des Blaises so that 5lb could well make all the difference. Fun Fun Fun was also a better hurdler than Only By Night and I'd expect the pair to pull clear with Fun Fun Fun hopefully just getting on top late on.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-50
08 February 2025
19:00 7:00 Newcastle
Bella Kopella
Daily Racing
25 EW
@8.00
Lose
-50
Thw 3lb claimer on board this one actually has a strike rate of nearly double the pro that they take over from when riding at Newcastle and considering the horse was a short head 2nd for the pro off the same mark last time out over c&d makes me think this is excellent e/w value at 7/1. The jockey has also won on the last 2 rides for the stable and this mare should go very close.
1 member found this comment useful
15:35 3:35 Newbury
Joyeuse
Daily Racing
50 WINNBNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@6.50
Win
275
This mare races here near the bottom of the handicap off 123 and looks very dangerous off such a light weight. I think the key could be the softer ground than she's had in her last 2 runs when placed on both. She looks better prior to that when winning on softer ground and crucially the runner up won their next race off effectively an 8lb higher mark than Joyeuse races off here (won easily too). The third also won their next 2 races to give that form a solid look and she looks the one to beat. Currently 2nd fav but could well be backed into fav I suspect.
13:50 1:50 Newbury
Shutupshirley
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@7.00
Lose
-50
It was an incredible trainer performance for this horse to win well last time out after 2 years off the track. Quite simply, the handicapper might take a few more runs to get to grips with him since that was an impressive win. The first-time tongue tie obviously looked to help the horse. The trip and ground hold on concerns for the horse, whereas some others won't have the stamina for it. The 6/1 looks more than fair to go in again off his higher mark here.
1 member found this comment useful
13:30 1:30 Warwick
Sao Carlos
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@5.50
Lose
-50
It's a tale of two wind operations here with this one and the favorite having had one since their last run. But preference is for this one, which is 10lb from the favorite and has arguably achieved more than the favorite's French form. Since some of the horses which Sao Carlos have beaten would suggest she should be nearer a 120 horse than the 112 rating which he races off. Clearly, if you also factor in the improvement from the wind operation, he could be great value at 9/2.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal125
07 February 2025
14:12 2:12 Bangor on Dee
Duke Of Deception
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@9.50
Lose
-50
As per usual in this marathon race on bad ground, the market is headed by horses that have shown good recent form over shorter trips but are readily opposable for me since their stamina has to be in doubt. There's no such issue with this one though, which will relish every yard of this trip and looks primed for a big run after an encouraging effort last time out. He has pieces of form with Bretney, which give him a major chance, and he was placed on his only previous run over C&D.
Subtotal-50
05 February 2025
18:30 6:30 Kempton
Holy Fire
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@13.00
Lose
-50
The trainer has barely had a runner in the last month, but he's starting to run them now. None of his last three have gone down by more than half a length, so it's safe to say that he has them fit and raring to go. The jockey booking here would also back that up. He was booked to ride this horse over C&D less than a year ago, which resulted in a neck second off an 11lb higher mark where he couldn't quite get to the winner. Both the winner and third have won since. Looks very well handicapped now.
15:35 3:35 Sedgefield
Bridgetjoans
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@5.50
Lose
-50
Not very imaginative, but this looks like an excellent scenario for this each-way bet to nothing. There are a few no-hopers in this 9-runner race, and the selection has arguably her optimal trip and ground conditions here. The run last time out was one which looked like a winner in waiting when beaten less than 4 lengths. The horse has been given every chance here, having been beaten just a neck off a 10lb higher mark last year, along with some other performances off higher marks, which give her a serious chance.
Subtotal-100
04 February 2025
16:40 4:40 Taunton
Grenadier Jed
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@9.00
Win
400
There's handicap plots aplenty in this, but I suspect this one could be the best one of the bunch. A look at his bumper run when 3rd on soft ground would suggest he's likely to be a 100+ rated hurdler, judging by the horses that he finished around. He looks really well in here to me on an opening mark of just 82. He's clearly been laid out for a plot, and this looks like the trainer has got him here racing off a very competitive mark.
1 member found this comment useful
14:40 2:40 Market Rasen
Adaay Forever
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@7.00
Lose
-50
It was a hot enough looking race that this horse went down by less than 2 lengths in at Bangor behind 2 well fancied horses in a Junior Hurdles race. It doesn't take much digging through the formlines of that race to see that Adaay Forever could be on a winnable mark here especially since he was always going to improve once stepped into handicap company. The fact that Tom Cannon is booked again suggests they think they have found a good opportunity for the horse here.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal350
03 February 2025
20:30 8:30 Wolverhampton
Alabama Belle
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@11.00
Lose
-50
This is the least exposed horse in the field, and she makes her handicap debut here off a basement mark of just 57. She's bred to be way better than that, and the owner has a superb record with both the trainer and the jockey. You could blindly back all the horses he owns on the AW when paired with either the trainer or the jockey, and you'd make some serious profits. The 5th of 11 in a novice race on debut over C&D is better than it looked since the 4th is a mid-70s horse (this horse was only a head behind him), and the 6th has since won off the same mark of Alabama Belle and was 5 lengths behind him in that run. Looks just the type to pop up against more exposed rivals.
1 member found this comment useful
16:00 4:00 Carlisle
Camp Belan
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@9.00
Lose
-50
Breeze of Wind is the current favorite here, but Camp Belan was only half a length behind that one in a run over C&D on heavy ground and gets a 5lb pull now. So at 8/1, he has to be the bet. Camp Belan was only 5th in that race but beaten just 3 lengths, and he's 7lb lower in the weights now. I also like the jockey switch, and it should be all systems go for this one now on his preferred soft/heavy ground.
1 member found this comment useful
15:30 3:30 Carlisle
Kalium
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@3.25
Lose
-50
There's a line of form through Lost Frequencies and Dedicated Hero which would strongly suggest that Kalium is on a potentially lenient mark for handicap debut here. He's chasing a hat trick after wins in an introductory hurdle and novice hurdle, and he clearly loves bottomless ground. I'm not sure the same could be said about some of his main market rivals too, so the 9/4 looks well worth a bet to me.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-150
02 February 2025
15:00 3:00 Musselburgh
Top Man Tom
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@12.00
Lose
-50
This horse is chasing a hat trick and ordinarily you'd be wary about a 11lb rise in the handicap after his last win, but he's 2 from 2 over c&d and has been transferred since the visor was fitted, winning the last 2 with that on too. I actually also like the jockey switch since the jockey who is booked is riding with supreme confidence at the moment. Clearly he's such a good price due to the hike up the handicap but I think he'll be hard to keep out of the frame here and he looks the e/w value.
1 member found this comment useful
13:00 1:00 Lingfield
Rabinal
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@17.00
Win
55
This 16/1 shot is the rank outsider, but I don't see it that way at all. He's not been put into the race in his last two outings, but it was a similar story at this time last year, and I suspect it could be all systems go now that the horse has slipped to a very attractive mark. He's down to 56 now and has won here off 58 very easily for today's jockey. His last win was over C&D off a 3lb lower mark when he had plenty in hand, so there are a lot of positives considering he's such a big outsider.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal5
01 February 2025
19:55 7:55 Newcastle
Pinpoint
Daily Racing
25 EW
@19.00
Lose
-50
I'm hoping the 7-week break and the excellent trainer form does the trick for this horse, which has been out of form but has the form in the book to go very close here at a tempting 18/1. The horse is down to a career-low mark of 50 now and has won off 53 and 55 in the past. The switch in jockey looks significant since the horse's last good race was for him when 2nd off a 10lb higher mark just 7 months ago (and only beaten a neck). The winner, 3rd, 4th, and 5th have all won since, and a repeat of that for this jockey would certainly see him outrun his 18/1 odds.
2 members found this comment useful
15:07 3:07 Sandown
Henri The Second
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@4.50
Lose
-50
Conditions are absolutely ideal for this one, and he brushed aside his rivals over C&D on heavy last time out, which was impressive enough. But the fact that the 2nd and 3rd, which were beaten out of sight, have won 3 from 3 between them since shows that it is a piece of form well worth following. It looks almost too obvious since course form also counts for a lot around here, but the 7/2 looks more than fair, and it may pay to keep it simple and go with the obvious choice.
2 members found this comment useful
14:43 2:43 Wetherby
Hazy Glen
Daily Racing
25 EW
@9.50
Win
17
It wasn't the higher handicap mark that caught this horse out last time out, it was the longer trip which it was fairly obvious he was going to struggle with. The horse drops back now and these could well be his ideal conditions. He's got some cracking form over hurdles but a further clue that he's on a winnable mark here can be seen by his easy Bumper win in heavy where several of those well beaten horses have since run well off similar and higher marks than Hazy Glen races off here.
2 members found this comment useful
14:17 2:17 Musselburgh
Balhambar
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@7.00
Lose
-50
The trainer's runners are firing at the moment. His last two have won, and another three went very close from his last six runners. The stable jockey is booked, and this horse fits the profile of many winners of this race. The cheekpieces are refitted now, and I suspect the trainer has had the horse earmarked for this race for some time. There's a stack of horses from his excellent third of 15 at Cheltenham, which have franked that form since, and he looks to have every chance here.
2 members found this comment useful
Subtotal-133
31 January 2025
20:30 8:30 Southwell
Ziggys Condor
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@4.33
Lose
-50
This horse races again off 81 here, which is his joint lowest handicap mark. The trainer has been having a poor strike rate for him in recent months, but a lot of them are running better now and making the places. The jockey only went down by a length on the horse on his only previous attempt, and that was when the stable was in a little worse form. So he could easily progress again and take this.
20:00 8:00 Southwell
Commander Of Life
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@10.00
Lose
-50
The first time cheekpieces did the trick for this one last time out and 9/1 looks very generous to make it back to back wins. He was placed on his 2 other runs over c&d off similar marks and has the assistance of a top 7lb claimer now too. The fact he won last time out shows he's in good heart and the headgear could well have improved him several pounds so he looks on a winnable mark to me.
1 member found this comment useful
19:30 7:30 Southwell
Dees Dream
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@3.75
Lose
-50
On the face of it, this mare is readily opposable with one win in 22 runs. But a deeper delve shows that the new yard looks to have improved the horse, and today's 3lb claimer has been getting the best out of the horse, notably when going down by half a length last time out. This is a similar and arguably softer race, and she looks a winner in waiting to me for a yard who have a great strike rate on the AW.
18:00 6:00 Southwell
Pleasant Man
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@6.50
Win
275
The very promising Warren Fentiman takes the ride on this horse for the first time here, and his 7lb claim could well make all the difference. The horse has shown before that he has the stamina for this trip, and the falling handicap mark combined with this jockey booking looks a perfect storm to me. The latest effort for an inexperienced rider suggests the horse's new (and in-form) stable might well have improved the horse, which has raced off much higher marks in the past.
16:05 4:05 Catterick
Admiral Fitz
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@8.00
Lose
-50
This trainer/jockey combo has been going well and proving very profitable to follow, so this 7/1 2nd favorite looks worthy of closer inspection. The 4th place finish last time out, when beaten just 9 lengths, was much more promising considering he could have been much nearer but for making a mess of the last. The tongue tie and cheekpieces go on now, which will surely help, and this is only his 6th run, so he's certainly less exposed than most of these. Breeding suggests he's likely to be much better than his current handicap mark.
15:28 3:28 Newcastle
Respectful
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@26.00
Lose
-50
This 4yo is the rank outsider due to poor recent form, but he's incredibly well handicapped now on pieces of form from his 2yo days and could well surprise if the switch in stables has rekindled the horse. On the evidence of those 2 wins as a 2yo, it would be no exaggeration to say that he is well in here. The latest of those was a novice race where the 2nd, 3rd, and 4th have all won since off marks as high as 90 (along with many strong efforts off the high 80s), which all suggests that this mark of 70 makes this horse worth giving another chance to.
Subtotal25
30 January 2025
19:30 7:30 Chelmsford City
Navarre Special
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@21.00
Lose
-50
I've had a closer look at this horse's ride under David Probert last time out, and I'm not totally convinced that that wasn't a sighter for another race. So hopefully today is the day. The jockey is riding well and does well for this stable, whose runners are actually going better now than the bare stats would suggest. They also have a terrific record at the track (24% in the last year), and hopefully, the 8 runners will stand their ground since this horse looks a great e/w bet at the price.
16:25 4:25 Wincanton
Gaelic Saint
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@12.00
Lose
-50
This 4yo is getting around a stone from the rest of this field and that could count for a lot in this desperate ground. There are some more fashionable stables represented here, but it's being overlooked that the trainer (and owner) have some decent bumper horses on their hands, and this one stands out on breeding as well. Her sire has produced some terrific Bumper horses and I think this one might have gone under the radar somewhat.
15:42 3:42 Southwell
Fistral Beach
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@13.00
Lose
-50
There's an odds-on favorite here ridden by a jockey that I don't rate, so that opens up the door for getting a better price on one of his rivals, of which I think Fistral Beach could be the one to capitalize. The excellent 3lb claimer on board this one was the reason the horse showed improved form last time out when the horse was way more competitive than she has been to finish 3rd over C&D, which was the first time he had ridden the horse. Clearly, the horse did well to finish in the places since she pulled hard, but I suspect he'll now know how to ride her and settle her better, which could well result in going even closer here. There's also interesting stats on breeding since progeny of this horse's sire have had 11 races over C&D and actually won 5 of them, which could be seen as another positive.
Subtotal-150
29 January 2025
19:30 7:30 Kempton
Camera Shy
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@9.50
Lose
-50
I backed this one last time out when he was a late non-runner, but the money had been coming for him all day, and I suspected the cat was out of the bag for this unexposed horse. So it's no surprise to see the early price being taken again here. Oisin Murphy is booked, and that's significant for this horse, which won on debut before being pitched into Group company. He was admittedly readily outclassed in that Group race, but calmer waters here and a 79 rating make this one worthy of interest. The jockey has won 5 of his last 11 rides for the stable, so we can assume he has the horse fit and raring to go here.
1 member found this comment useful
18:30 6:30 Kempton
Pink Petunia
Daily Racing
50 WINNBR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@9.00
Void
0
It's pretty well known that Richard Hughes has a good record when racing horses in their first handicaps. This one could well be on a good mark here, despite the jockey arguably showing his hand too much when 2nd at 80/1 last time out in a novice race behind the odds-on favorite. Even so, we can still back the horse at a decent price here off a mark of 67. The well-beaten 5th has since only narrowly failed to win off a 6lb higher mark, and she could have been let in lightly here.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-50
28 January 2025
16:05 4:05 Newcastle
Wainwright
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@10.00
Lose
-50
This is the least exposed horse in the field, and everything about his breeding suggests he's going to appreciate this step up in trip and the soft ground. The jockey in this Conditionals race is still able to claim 3lb, and he has a terrific record when booked by the stable. The stable is also cranking into gear now, with most of their runners going close in recent weeks. He looks exactly the type to exploit a low handicap mark against more exposed rivals.
Subtotal-50
27 January 2025
20:30 8:30 Wolverhampton
Spartan Times
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@3.50
Lose
-50
Races don't get much weaker than this, but this one rates as the best bet of the day for me. Most of his rivals have proven time and time again how moderate they are, but this one has only had 4 races and can build on his handicap debut effort when 5th last time out. If you watch a replay of the race, it looks for all the world like the horse is way better than we saw that day. He was slow away, switched and then made up ground once the race was over without the jockey trying too hard. We get a major jockey upgrade to Rossa Ryan now and the trainer has been doing well on the AW in the last couple of weeks so this rates a decent bet to me.
1 member found this comment useful
19:00 7:00 Wolverhampton
Papa Cocktail
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@10.00
Lose
-50
I have this between the favourite (Jimmy Knocker) and this one which comes from a very shrewd stable which gets their horses to the races racing off decent handicap marks. The horse racked up a hat trick in Spring last year with wins off 63, 67 and 74. He's now down to his lowest mark since that sequence and is racing here off 67. The jockey booking looks significant since 2 of those wins were for today's jockey and he's only been booked 4 times on the horse.
16:45 4:45 Dundalk
Leblon Girl
Daily Racing
50 WINR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@23.00
Void
0
This one makes her debut for a new stable today with a very strong jockey booking. She's well bred for this grade and should be well drawn in 4. She was only headed late on when 2nd over a furlong further at Ripon so this drop back in trip looks sure to suit and subsequent runs by some of those further back would strongly suggest that this horse is racing off a very winnable mark here.
1 member found this comment useful
15:55 3:50 Plumpton
Whydah Gally
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@5.50
Lose
-50
The favorite here comes on the back of a pulled-up effort last time out, and the 2nd favorite has major doubts over lasting this trip in grueling ground. So this 9/2 third favorite looks the type to step up with this race playing to his strength, which is stamina and bottomless ground. The rebooking of the excellent Freddie Gingell also looks significant since he's only ridden the horse (in which he won), and the horse has had 9 races since without him.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-150
26 January 2025
16:13 4:13 Sedgefield
Klitschko
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@6.00
Lose
-50
This one is weak in the market at the time of writing with several others being backed, but I think he holds a major chance here. Brian Hughes is booked for only the second time, and that's a big plus since he has ridden more winners here (with a very decent strike rate too) than any other course in the country. The real key is the promising run last time out, which was his first after wind surgery and with a tongue tie. The drop back in trip, soft ground, and falling handicap mark are all further positives. That return to form last time out makes him of interest here. He's 6lb lower than when 2nd, beaten less than 2 lengths at Warwick, and with Hughes now in the saddle, can go very close.
Subtotal-50
25 January 2025
15:15 3:15 Doncaster
Charlie Uberalles
Daily Racing
25 EWNBR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@13.00
Void
0
I think 12/1 is more than generous for this one, which was placed in the race last year and won last time out when keeping something in hand. He's 5lb higher in the handicap than that 3rd placed finish last year, but that was on the back of a pulled-up effort, and he clearly arrives here in tip-top form this time around. The horse doesn't like it too soft, so this should be ideal, and the real deciding factor is Danny McMenamin, who has been used sparingly on the horse. He was on board for that placed effort, and then just twice in the 9 runs since, winning them both.
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13:50 1:50 Cheltenham
Il Ridoto
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@13.00
Lose
-50
If you look at the way that this horse brushed aside Ga Law over C&D in November, then it's easy to make a case for him off this higher mark. I think the key is the wind surgery since that was his second run after a wind op, and prior to that, Ga Law has beaten him over C&D, so that's a good yardstick. The rebooking of the excellent Freddie Gingell is undoubtedly another positive, and the fact that Ga Law won this race last year is another angle which suggests he could well win this. Il Ridoto also won this race as a 6-year-old, and the history of the race is littered with repeat winners, so that's another tick in the box for this 12/1 shot.
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Subtotal-50
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