JamPizza
2
Estimated Prizes
this month
£30
Estimated Prize money
this month
JamPizza's Tips History
15 January 2026
20:30 8:30 Chelmsford City
Time Tested
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+300
Lose
-50
This horse is 3 from 3 over C&D and, while the horse only won by a neck last time, it was the style of that win which strongly suggests that he can shrug off this 2 lb higher mark here. He picked up well and hit the line hard when held up and made up ground well. The same jockey is booked, and he did a great job winning so narrowly last time, which means the handicapper arguably hasn't got to the bottom of him yet.
15:52 3:52 Fairyhouse
Little Boy Sivola
Daily Racing
50 WINR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@+2200
Void
0
This lightly raced horse represents last year's winning trainer/jockey combo, and he looks worthy of interest here after an improved effort when sixth in a big field last time out. He made up plenty of ground despite never really being put in the race, and I suspect they had this horse pencilled in as the main target rather than that one. He's only raced five times and looks just the type that could surprise.
15:18 3:18 Fairyhouse
Kanog Bay
Daily Racing
50 WINNBNOTETip made at odds of 5.50 on 14/01 at 17:560.10 deduction for Sidiriya@10.00 withdrawn at 10:050.00 deduction for Shanroe Nancy @13.000 withdrawn at 10:050.00 deduction for Chemdawg @11.000 withdrawn at 10:05R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 4.50 x (1-0.1) = 5.05Best Odds Guaranteed SP 9.00 used instead of 5.05 BOG
@+800
Win
400
This horse was sent off 6/4 favorite when fourth last time out and has been dropped 2 lb by the handicapper. The real key to him making amends here is purely down to the jockey. The one booked here is very good and he takes over from an inexperienced rider who has one hurdle win from 69 rides. Clearly the money was down last time despite his poor record, and he will surely be given a much better ride here.
14:35 2:35 Newcastle
Junkyard Dog
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@+650
Lose
-50
This horse races off 96 in his first hurdles handicap and that could well underestimate him since he was a mid-70s horse on the flat. He is not dissimilar in ability on the flat to the more fancied Sugar Road, but he receives 13 lb from that one. The step up in trip also looks sure to suit, and there may well be improvement from the first-time tongue tie.
Subtotal300
14 January 2026
15:50 3:50 Newbury
Leaumec De Mee
Daily Racing
25 EWNBNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@+450
Lose
-3
This horse's narrow second on debut in a bumper provided several clues, via the winner, that the horse could easily be 10 lb+ in front of the handicapper here. He's since finished ahead of a 124-rated horse when second on seasonal debut, before then winning easily last time out when heavy odds-on. He races here off 111 and is less exposed than most of these.
14:40 2:40 Newbury
Kayf Dancer
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@+2500
Lose
-50
This horse represents last year's winning connections, and interestingly his last win was over the same C&D as their winner last year had previously won at prior to taking this race. The last run can be ignored (jockey one place in 20 rides), and prior to that was his seasonal debut run. I'm happy to ignore those two efforts and instead look to the staying-on third behind The New Lion and Belliano. That form gives him a major chance of being in the mix here, especially since this extra trip looks sure to suit, and the 25/1 looks way too generous.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-53
13 January 2026
16:30 4:30 Southwell
Hostility
Daily Racing
25 EWNAPR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@+800
Void
0
This one is friendless in the early market but looks a good each-way bet to me in this nine-runner race. The key looks to be the first attempt over the minimum trip, and I think his second at Wolverhampton over six furlongs provides enough clues to suggest he's well worth a go over it to break his maiden tag. He runs off a career-low mark now and has one of the best 3 lb claimers around booked for the first time.
Subtotal0
12 January 2026
19:30 7:30 Wolverhampton
Dash Power
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@+1200
Lose
-50
It's no surprise to see Sean Kirrane rebooked again here, since he went close on his only other ride on the horse, which was its penultimate start when 2nd over C&D behind today's favourite R P McMurphy. He gets a 5 lb swing in the weights now and has generally run his best races at the course, so he looks likely to be in the mix once more here.
17:00 5:00 Wolverhampton
Blue Siam
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@+1200
Lose
-50
If you look closely, this horse's last two runs when upped in trip showed much more promise. She looks poised to go closer now off this lowest-ever handicap mark. She's fairly well bred for such a low-class race, and she's less exposed than most of her rivals here. The trainer usually has his horses racing off higher marks than this, and the jockey booked in this apprentice race is decent. Looks a decent bet at 12/1.
14:40 2:40 Lingfield
Roman Emperor
Daily Racing
25 EWNAPR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@+550
Void
0
This one jumps out of the form book as an each-way bet to nothing here. The promising 7 lb claimer went down by a neck on the horse just two starts ago, which was the only time the horse has tackled this course and distance. He's 2 lb higher now, but the third has won since and the fourth has won both their races since. This clearly looks a very winnable race and he looks sure to run his race.
Subtotal-100
11 January 2026
15:42 3:42 Chelmsford City
Kit Gabriel
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@+1400
Lose
-50
It looks like this horse's latest trainer has improved the horse, which has won once from just two rides for him, having been on a winless streak prior to that. I like the jockey switch from the one who was on board last time, since the new jockey operates at about twice the strike rate of the replaced one. The horse was placed on his only previous run here, which was off a 2 lb higher mark. This all suggests that the 14/1 is the each-way value in the race.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-50
10 January 2026
16:20 4:20 Newcastle
Miss Raincloud
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+3300
Lose
-50
This horse has only raced with a hood twice, and the first of those was a staying-on third here over a furlong less, when shaping as though this trip could be ideal. I like the jockey switch too, since he has a much better record at this course. This 4yo has a serious chance on that evidence. She's way less exposed than most of the others, and that placed effort here is hard to get away from in the context of this poor race. She certainly shouldn't be anywhere near 33/1 if racing to anywhere near that level again here.
1 member found this comment useful
15:21 3:17 Kempton
Just A Rose
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@+2500
Lose
-50
This horse was hugely impressive when winning by 26 lengths on debut. Subsequent runs of those easily beaten horses would suggest this horse is nearer a 130+ horse than the 121 she races off here. That was so good that Nicholls sent her straight to the Cheltenham Festival. She was admittedly disappointing there and has had a wind op since. Prior to that Festival run, Nicholls was quoted as saying that there was nothing between her and Jubilee Alpha, which is now a 140+ horse. The run last time out was promising, considering it was her seasonal debut. The second run after a wind op is often the best time to catch them.
2 members found this comment useful
13:47 1:47 Lingfield
Alta Rica
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@+2000
Win
75
This 4yo has been dropped a generous 4 lb since only her second handicap last time out, which was clearly over too far a trip. She is back to what looks to be her best trip now, and the cheekpieces go on for the first time. She wasn't actually beaten that far when fluffing the start on her only previous run over C&D, and those horses around her would make her nearer to a 75 horse on that evidence (she races off 70 here). So a decent start could see her go closer this time, especially with the jockey arguably being an upgrade too.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-25
09 January 2026
16:35 4:35 Newcastle
Okami
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@+700
Win
210
This horse won well over C&D two starts ago and was beaten less than two lengths when staying on well last time out off his higher mark. He races off the same mark of 52 here, but 18 months ago he was racing off marks in the mid-70s, and there's every chance that he's still on a winnable mark here. I like the jockey switch and the return to this course too, so he should run his race.
16:00 4:00 Newcastle
Wee Nan
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@+5000
Lose
-50
It's real bottom-of-the-basement stuff here. The best place to start in these is to rule out the older (and more exposed) horses, since they've been proven to be of limited ability. At the other end of the scale is this one, which is a 4yo that has yet to show her limits. She's only had five runs, has had a wind op, and gets a decent 5 lb claimer booked now. The trainer has a better strike rate here than almost anywhere else, and she looks the type that could surprise. This looks to be her trip. If you take a closer look at the ride Mulrennan gave the horse in her last two runs, it's easy to make a case that the horse could have finished a lot closer with a stronger ride.
Subtotal160
08 January 2026
19:00 7:00 Chelmsford City
Nora Barnacle
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@+4000
Lose
-50
I've had a closer look at this horse's run last time out, when she was staying on well enough despite not being given a hard ride at all. That was only her second race beyond a mile, and it's very clear from that evidence that this extra half-mile is going to really show what she is capable of. The breeding also suggests she needs this extreme trip, and she could well surprise off bottom weight here.
14:10 2:10 Ffos Las
Our Dylan
Daily Racing
25 EWNAPNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionBest Odds Guaranteed SP 13.00 used instead of 6.00 takenBOG
@+1200
Win
35
There's going to be a lot of support here for the unexposed There Runs Mary. But this one is more battle-hardened and looks a good each-way bet to nothing after winning well last time out. That was on good ground, but prior to that he seemed better on soft, so this could be right up his street. It's definitely his best trip too. The half-length second to Rodney on soft just less than a year ago has plenty of formlines, which suggests he's on a very competitive mark here. He's clearly in good heart, so looks sure to run his race.
Subtotal-15
07 January 2026
17:00 5:00 Kempton
Real Gold
Daily Racing
25 EWNBNOTETip made at odds of 34.00 on 06/01 at 20:200.30 deduction for Espona Bay@3.25 withdrawn at 10:01R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 33.00 x (1-0.30) = 24.10
@+2310
Win
90
It's very profitable following fillies by Havana Gold over this C&D, where they have a 6-from-34 strike rate and an impressive profit to level stakes. She's been mainly racing at Lingfield in her short career, often not being put in her races. The course switch and a 2 lb lower handicap mark might suggest she could improve considerably here. The 5 lb claimer on board has improved markedly in the last year or so, and at 33/1 I think she's worth an each-way bet despite being friendless in the early market.
1 member found this comment useful
14:35 2:35 Lingfield
East India Breeze
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@+400
Lose
-50
If you look at the race comments for this horse, it's fairly clear that the trainer has done the first part well enough by getting him here racing off a handicap mark that is some way below his true ability. The horse has been racing wide and settled out the back. The upshot of all this is that he makes his handicap debut here off just 47. He now gets the jockey switch and the step up in trip, and it should be all systems go now.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal40
06 January 2026
19:00 7:00 Southwell
Amarachi
Daily Racing
25 EWNAPNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionBest Odds Guaranteed SP 13.00 used instead of 11.00 takenBOG
@+1200
Win
35
I think the front two in the market here have question marks against them, and at 10/1 this one rates the clear each-way value in this nine-runner race. The horse's nose win on the turf has been strongly franked by the runner-up winning off higher marks since, and this one races off her lowest handicap mark yet. Recent runs have suggested she's well worth trying over this longer trip, and Jack Mitchell keeps the ride after being on board last time, having been ridden mainly by apprentices prior to that.
Subtotal35
04 January 2026
16:05 4:05 Southwell
Thundering Breeze
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@+600
Win
5
The 5 lb claiming apprentice was arguably unlucky when placed on this horse two starts ago, and he can gain compensation here. The horse wasn't beaten far and was hampered, so should go even closer here with the extra furlong in her favour, and she's even been dropped a pound in the handicap. Looks like an each-way bet to nothing and certainly no reason why she can't win off this mark.
Subtotal5
03 January 2026
20:00 8:00 Southwell
Sovereign Applause
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+15000
Lose
-50
Minimal stakes here for obvious reasons, but at a huge price I can't not have a small each-way bet in this 10-runner race. The unexposed filly steps up to beyond 2 miles for the first time on the flat here. There was enough in her last AW run to show that she is worth a try at it (3rd of 6 over half a mile less). She was staying on, as well as the second in that race, when not really given too hard a time. The jockey has a much better record in long-distance races, and there's also a wind op and a first-time tongue tie which could have brought about further improvement. She clearly needs to improve on what she's shown so far and could well finish out the back, but a speculative bet is worth considering.
1 member found this comment useful
17:30 5:30 Southwell
Dream Illusion
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+2500
Win
100
I like this stable when they get horses in from other yards, and they can often land a gamble. There's no market interest in this one yet on her second start for them, but the switch in jockeys is one reason I suspect we might see an improved effort here. She comes in off bottom weight with a mark of 60. The 4-year-old has won off 62, and her last three placed efforts were all off 60 or higher. This all suggests the 25/1 is far too big, and hopefully the money will come, since that will be crucial as to whether today is the day the horse delivers for the new stable.
1 member found this comment useful
14:40 2:20 Lingfield
Eupator
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@+1100
Lose
-50
It looks like the yard have now realised that this is the horse's optimum trip, with 2 places from 3 runs over it (off marks of 73 and 71). He races off 71 here, with blinkers kept on after seemingly helping the horse when applied for the first time last time out. Levey keeps the ride, and I think he'll attempt to hold on to the horse longer this time and not hit the front too soon.
1 member found this comment useful
13:15 1:15 Sandown
Dominics Fault
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@+400
Lose
-50
The favourite here (Henri The Second) looks very opposable for various reasons, and this 2nd favourite looks to have a good opportunity here. He was going well here until being brought down 3 out in January when sent off 4/1 as he is here today. He's now 2 lb lower, has had a wind op, and has the first-time tongue tie. Clearly, this all points to potential improvement, and the 4/1 looks good value to me.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-50
02 January 2026
14:17 2:12 Chelmsford City
Me Tarzan
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@+300
Lose
-50
The young 7 lb claimer on board this one didn't look too shabby when he got this one home for a short-head win last time out (decent gap back to the third), and he can go in again off this 3 lb higher mark. That run was on debut for the Archie Watson stable, and on that evidence it looks like he's improved the horse. He saw that race out well, and the 3/1 looks more than fair to follow it up.
14:00 2:00 Ayr
Shadow Chaser
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@+900
Lose
-50
The trainer has won this race before, and you can guarantee that the below-par effort last time out was to protect the horse's mark for this. Before that, there was a very promising second, which was the horse's first run for him and also a seasonal debut, so it was a cracking effort that can be upgraded. The horse is still a maiden, but that second looks good enough to go close here, especially since it was here and the winner has franked that form since.
Subtotal-100
01 January 2026
14:55 2:51 Musselburgh
Kool Raoul
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@+650
Lose
-50
This one makes his handicap debut here and gets the step up in trip that he clearly needs. The jockey booking also suggests that the stable think they have the horse here on a competitive mark, and they've been making the most of this jockey's 5 lb claim while he still has it. Some of his bumper form has worked out pretty well too, so there's every reason to expect him to go close off this mark.
13:25 1:25 Cheltenham
Shannon Royale
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@+900
Lose
-50
This time last year, this horse was beating the now 148-rated High Class Hero fair and square under similar trip and ground conditions to those he faces here. Shannon Royale is down to 135 now and has the services of Sean Bowen for the first time (the trainer has only used him four times before, winning once and placing twice). The horse has changed yards since and has been racing over too short a trip, but everything looks ideal here now and he should go very close.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-100
31 December 2025
15:30 3:30 Lingfield
South Shore Island
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@+1600
Lose
-50
This horse is still a maiden but has been beaten an average of just 2 lengths in each of his last three runs, all of which were here over a furlong shorter. He's been shaping as though this extra furlong is what he needs. He runs here off his lowest-ever handicap mark, with a decent 5 lb claiming apprentice booked who has been placed on this horse before off a 9 lb higher mark. So the 16/1 looks value to make the first three home in this eight-runner race.
Subtotal-50
30 December 2025
20:00 8:00 Wolverhampton
Riyadh Gem
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@+3300
Win
140
This horse hasn't shown much lately but is having just his 3rd run for a new trainer here, off a falling mark, and returns to a C&D where he won on his only previous attempt. That win was off 71 and he's down to 67 now. The trainer often has a few sighters before her horses deliver the goods, and it could be significant that she's waited until now to bring the horse back here. She's also put a new jockey on board the horse.
Subtotal140
29 December 2025
15:05 3:05 Leopardstown
Air Of Entitlement
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@+1000
Lose
-50
This horse's win in a 23-runner Grade 2 novice hurdle in March is the piece of form that gives her a huge chance here. You only have to look at the quality of some of those beaten horses to see that she is clearly on a winnable mark. That form stacks up really well in the context of this race, and she's going to be very hard to keep out of the frame.
14:22 2:22 Newbury
Scorpio Rising
Daily Racing
50 WINNAPR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@+450
Void
0
This one was sent off odds-on before winning each of his last two races, and 9/2 to complete a hat-trick looks way too generous to me. I'd have him nearer the 11/4 mark. There are form lines from both of those races which suggest he's on a winnable mark here. Clearly his ceiling is likely to be a lot higher than the opposition here, who are mainly more exposed. Sean Bowen takes the ride once more, and he rates this the best bet of the day for me at this price.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-50
28 December 2025
16:20 4:20 Southwell
Star Chorus
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@+650
Lose
-50
This horse has 2 wins and 2 places from his 4 races over C&D, and he races off the same mark as last time when he was placed for Havlin and beaten just a length. I like the switch to Rob Hornby here now, and the horse can build on that effort last time out, which was his first since switching stables. Going to be hard to keep out of the frame, I suspect, and he is on a competitive mark.
15:13 3:13 Catterick
Caramelo Rapido
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@+900
Lose
-50
This horse is a maiden after six starts, but the closest he's ever come to losing that tag was when he had the trip and ground most similar to what he races off here. That was just a neck defeat, and the horse is 1 lb lower now. The trainer has been among the winners over the festive period, and this horse looks sure to run his race, so the 9/1 appeals in the each-way market.
Subtotal-100
27 December 2025
15:20 3:20 Wetherby
Ewden Valley
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+1400
Lose
-50
Jonjo has been putting more and more faith in the 7 lb claiming conditional who he's booked in this bumper, and there is some early money for this well-bred horse. Just one look at the breeding also suggests this horse should have a high level of ability, and the sire's progeny generally have ratings in excess of many of the others in this race. Certainly the 14/1 quote is likely to underestimate his chances.
14:50 2:50 Chepstow
Deafening Silence
Daily Racing
25 EWNAPNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionBest Odds Guaranteed SP 29.00 used instead of 19.00 takenBOG
@+2800
Win
115
It looks like this isn't a Cheltenham horse, so we don't have the worry of him having his handicap mark protected. He stays on the same mark after staying on for 2nd last time out on seasonal debut. The third has won his next race too, and this horse is still 1 lb below his last winning mark. I'd have the horse nearer to the 10/1 to 12/1 mark, so he looks a good each-way bet to me at 18/1.
14:10 2:10 Chepstow
Doctor Kildare
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@+550
Lose
-50
This horse is 2 from 2 when using the tongue tie and visor combo, which weren't used when the horse flopped for an amateur rider last time out. Sam T-D takes over in the saddle now, and there are clear lines of form both in hurdles and in a bumper which suggest he has the ability to win off this mark. The horse is an ex-Hendo one, and Sam Thomas is a trainer on the up. He certainly has got the horse heading in the right direction now.
12:30 12:30 Chepstow
Knight Templar
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+1000
Lose
-50
This time last year, this horse was brushing aside some decent horses (such as Nardaran) in a Class 2 hurdle. He races here off 109 after three runs this season, the second of which was when the horse travelled like the winner before finishing third, beaten less than a length. It seems clear that the horse was produced too early then, since he doesn't do much once he hits the front. The first-time booking of Sean Bowen to get the tactics right looks ideal to me.
Subtotal-35
26 December 2025
15:40 3:40 Kempton
Onewaywest
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@+400
Lose
-50
Despite being so inexperienced, the 7 lb claiming apprentice (was 10 lb until recently) on this one is posting some exceptional stats, and he is worth following to make it a hat-trick of wins on this horse. The other two were incredibly easy. As a result, the horse has shot up the handicap now but looks to have improved and is only a 6-year-old, so could well have plenty more to offer. The horse fits a lot of the age, weight, and form trends for this race, and he is clearly the one they all have to beat.
15:25 3:25 Aintree
Racscopic
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@+6600
Lose
-50
Hopefully the 8 runners will stand their ground here, since the odds of 66/1 on this one to finish in the first three look way too big. The odds compilers might have been a little lazy pricing this unraced 5yo up in this bumper, which contains some runners from more high-profile yards, and perhaps this one from a lesser yard has flown under the radar. The real clue is the horse's sire, whose runners have been going really well. Interestingly, many of them have been hitting the frame at huge prices too. The trainer has done well with his small number of runners at the course as well.
15:00 3:00 Wolverhampton
Peregrine Falcon
Daily Racing
25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@+1000
Void
0
This horse is a maiden after 11 races but has been placed three times from five runs over C&D, and one of those defeats was by a nose off an 8 lb higher mark. The trainer's runners have been going better recently. Clearly that nose defeat off a higher mark suggests if she's ever going to break her duck, it could well be here. Billy Loughnane has been placed three times in four rides on the horse too, and she looks a cracking each-way bet.
Subtotal-100
22 December 2025
14:00 2:00 Lingfield
Amarachi
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@+1600
Lose
-50
This is one of the least exposed horses in the field and is of real interest now that Jack Mitchell is booked for the first time. The horse has been dropped in the handicap after being ridden by an apprentice who has yet to win a race in her last two outings. The first of those was a placed effort over C&D and she wasn't beaten far (less than 2 lengths), so it's easy to see that the pro jockey could well go even closer off this 1 lb lower mark (the winner has franked that form since, too).
Subtotal-50
21 December 2025
14:00 2:00 Lingfield
Icaque de LIsle
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@+650
Lose
-50
This horse is friendless in the market but looks like the clear each-way value to me. The horse is a C&D winner on heavy ground, and that proven stamina is crucial here since many of these won't last in this ground over this extreme trip. The jockey switch is a major plus for me too, and the trainer's runners have been going better in the last week or so. Looks on a winnable mark and holds a major chance.
12:45 12:45 Fakenham
Miss Maxfort
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@+400
Lose
-50
This horse showed improved form when 3rd on debut for her new stable last time out and can build on that here. It looks a shrewd move to book Tom Cannon for the first time, since he has a better record here than anywhere else. She handled the soft ground well that day, and those two horses that beat her would strongly suggest she's on a winnable mark here.
Subtotal-100
20 December 2025
15:35 3:35 Ascot
Fiercely Proud
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@+800
Lose
-50
There'll be a lot of interest here in the well-touted Alexei and Mondo Man, which both need to improve again off their new marks after excellent runs last time out. This 8/1 shot rates the clear each-way value for me. The horse comes here having finished 5th at Cheltenham last time out, which was a very encouraging effort on seasonal debut. The last three winners of this race all came here from that meeting and were placed 5-3-6. Crucially, the horse is 1 from 2 over C&D (the other run was when holding every chance before falling late on). The win was when just outbattling another horse which has since won easily off a 9 lb higher mark, with the pair a mile clear of the third. FP is 7 lb higher now and, on that evidence, can defy this higher mark after that prep run last time out.
15:15 3:15 Haydock
Imperial Merlin
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+1000
Lose
-50
This horse is friendless in the market but is 1 from 1 over C&D and gets the soft/heavy ground, which he loves. The staying-on fourth over too-short a trip last time out was an excellent prep race for this, where trip and ground are now ideal. Brian Hughes takes over in the saddle now, and the horse is only 2 lb higher than that C&D win, so the 10/1 looks like clear each-way value to me.
14:25 2:25 Ascot
Strong Leader
Daily Racing
25 EWNBNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 8.50 used instead of 6.00 takenBOG
@+750
Win
12
Some might be put off by this horse being an 8-year-old, but horses of that age and older have won four of the last six runnings of this race. In any event, he hasn't got many miles on the clock. The horse was beaten just half a length by Impose Toi last time out and gets a 6 lb pull in the weights, so it's perhaps surprising that Impose Toi is around half the price of this one. He's the top-rated in the field too and looks an excellent each-way bet to nothing at 5/1.
14:05 2:05 Haydock
Saladins Son
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+550
Win
2
The trainer is in cracking form, and this horse has shown that he has the stamina and resolution to see out this trip, which will take some getting in this soft ground. The horse has won very easily for Ben Godfrey in each of the three races he's been on board, and he's rebooked now after the horse was 2nd over C&D for Jack Tudor last time out. That was a good effort considering it was his seasonal debut, and he can build on that here.
11:45 11:45 Haydock
Super Freddie
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+400
Lose
-50
I'm not at all convinced that the favourite (Le Yacht)'s form is that strong, and I'm happy to take him on here. Super Freddie has a nice progressive profile and starts like in handicaps here off 111. The jockey is also superb value for his 3 lb claim, and I believe there's every reason to think that the horse has been let in lightly here off this mark. This softer ground should also suit, and the 4/1 looks a decent price to me in a race where there looks to be a lot of dead wood.
Subtotal-136
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