JamPizza
I'm a sports and betting enthusiast and love trying to solve the puzzle of big handicaps both on the flat and over the jumps. The majority of my tips are double figure prices and I rarely back the favourites. I'm always looking for value and try to post the tips the evening before to get the early prices. Twitter @JamPizza
2
Estimated Prizes
this month
£30
Estimated Prize money
this month
JamPizza's Tips History
15 October 2025
20:10 8:10 Kempton
Glint Of Light
Daily Racing
25 EWNBR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@17.00
Void
0
I like the rebooking of Cieran Fallon here, who won well on the horse 2 starts ago, which was the only time he has ridden the horse. That was on turf, but the horse was staying on here on the AW over 2 furlongs less on debut, and she had 70+ rated horses either side of her in that debut run. So this mark of 63 certainly suggests she can be competitive here.
16:14 4:14 Nottingham
Very Muddy Waters
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@26.00
Lose
-50
They've been messing around with both the ground (and particularly) the trip with this unexposed horse, but the placed efforts at Catterick and Redcar in particular would strongly suggest that this trip and ground could be just about ideal (something he's not had so far in his 6-race career). I certainly think that he's worth giving another chance to at 25/1 off a falling handicap mark.
Subtotal-50
14 October 2025
20:00 8:00 Newcastle
Gressington
Daily Racing
25 EW
@15.00
Lose
-50
I like this trainer who often improves horse from other stables and he's booked a jockey who rides this course well. He also puts on the first time cheekpieces on this horse which has won his only other race in this class. That was off 82 in first time blinkers so hopefully the cheekpieces will produce a similar effect. The horse is topweight here but is still off a lower mark than that win (75) and since he's still only a 4yo, I think he's well worth an e/w bet at 14/1.
17:15 5:15 Leicester
Luan
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@21.00
Lose
-50
The trainer of this one, which makes his handicap debut, is one of the very best at lining his horses up on good marks. That could well be the case again here, and the jockey booked is the one usually relied upon to get the job done. The Sea The Stars gelding gets in here off just 56, near the bottom of the handicap, and there could be much more to come now that he goes handicapping. This is his first turf run, and he gets a step up in trip, both of which should suit.
16:44 4:44 Leicester
Lakers
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@15.00
Lose
-50
Lakers has just his 2nd start here for a yard I like that is in form, and the owners have some very decent horses. The run in a class 2 last time out was promising, and he'll strip fitter here after blowing up a little in that race. It should be all systems go now with the reliable David Egan now booked, and there's a line through Zayer in a novice race which suggests he has a few pounds in hand of his current mark (as would his win from Cyclonite for his previous stable).
16:14 4:14 Leicester
Susie Sioux
Daily Racing
25 EWNAPNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@8.00
Win
210
This is the best e/w value bet of the day for me. This lightly raced mare hasn't been given the best of rides in either of her 2 handicaps to date and gets a major jockey upgrade now off the same mark of 70. Her 2nd of 14 in a novice race in the Summer is a piece of form which is nearer to an 80 rated horses than a 70 rated horse and this all suggests that she's on a very competitive mark here. She could well go very close with Fallon booked.
Subtotal60
13 October 2025
17:30 5:30 Musselburgh
Crackinthunder
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@15.00
Lose
-50
This is my best bet of the day with a 3lb claiming apprentice being replaced by a 7lb claiming one whose strike rate in the last year is more than double that of the jockey she is replacing. The horse itself was placed and beaten less than 2 lengths over C&D on seasonal debut and races off a 1lb lower mark now. The horse was keen that day too, and if the extra help in the saddle helps settle the horse, I think he can go even closer now.
1 member found this comment useful
13:52 1:52 Musselburgh
Bint Al Karama
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@10.00
Lose
-50
It's incredible to think that at almost exactly this time last year, this horse was winning easily here over C&D off a 14lb higher mark. Clearly, anything like that level of form would be good enough to win this. She's not done much since, in truth, but a return to this course saw a better effort last time out when beaten just 3 lengths for a jockey yet to ride a winner. The amateur booked today has posted some excellent stats in her short career, and this could well be the day the horse clicks again.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-100
12 October 2025
17:22 5:22 Goodwood
Callisto Dream
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@11.00
Lose
-50
Goodwood isn't the easiest course for an Apprentice but the 5lb claimer on this one is posting some excellent stats and certainly looked very capable when partnering this horse to a very easy win here in a novice race in June. There's formlines from some of those beaten horses which strongly suggest she's on a winnable mark here and that proven ability to handle the course is a major plus. Should be shorter than 10/1 in my opinion.
13:32 1:32 Chepstow
Ajp Kingdom
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@SP
Lose
-50
I wasn't expecting to get an e/w price on this one in this 8-runner field since he has rock-solid credentials and looks sure to run his race. He's race fit and comes from a stable in good form. I'd also say that he's arguably better handicapped than those around him in the market. The final piece of the jigsaw is the 2nd over C&D when he chased home a very well-handicapped horse. He also likes this decent ground, and he looks rock solid to be in the mix here.
Subtotal-100
11 October 2025
16:30 4:30 York
Queen Roslyn
Daily Racing
25 EWNAPNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@11.00
Win
25
This horse has been progressing rapidly of late and can take another leap forward here with the excellent Warren Fentiman booked for the first time to take off some of the higher handicap mark after winning so decisively last time out. The horse has looked very good when winning 3 of her last 4 and clearly has the necessary stamina required for this. The stable are going better now than they have for much of the season and a big run could be on the cards.
Subtotal25
10 October 2025
17:00 5:00 York
Roaring Twenties
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@34.00
Lose
-50
This is the least exposed horse in the field and looks the type that could surprise from one of the bottom weights in a handicap debut. He's a Kingman gelding that's been brought in from the powerful Crisford yard and immediately given a wind operation by the new stable. The run last time out was the first for the yard and was to blow away the cobwebs, but we could see a major step forward now off what could be a lenient mark. The trainer has also booked one of the best 5lb claiming apprentices around, which perhaps signals his intent. The horse's 3rd of 13 on debut was a good effort considering how good the winner is, and the 4th has since won off 81, so this mark of 76 might just underestimate him.
16:25 4:25 York
Kinswoman
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@7.00
Lose
-50
There'll be plenty willing to take Kinswoman on due to the 8lb rise after winning well at Chester last time out. But I still think she's backable at 6/1 here to make it a hat trick of wins over the minimum trip. She's actually now 2 from 2 over 5 furlongs, which has been the key to her. But the real thing to concentrate on is the time of that win last time out. That is the strongest clue in this puzzle that she will be able to defy the rise in the handicap since her winning time suggests there could be a lot more to come.
15:30 3:30 Newmarket
Wine Dark Sea
Daily Racing
25 EWNAPNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 26.00 used instead of 21.00 takenBOG
@26.00
Win
100
I like the form of this horse's 2nd place finish on debut, which was his only run so far on ground this fast. Judging by the horses either side of him in that run, it's easy to make a case that he's well handicapped here. He races off 75, and I'd comfortably have him as an 80+ rated horse on that evidence. The trainer has been doing really well since he took over from his dad, and he's also been doing particularly well with his runners at HQ. So he could well have had this race as a target for this horse for a while.
1 member found this comment useful
14:05 2:05 York
Born A Star
Daily Racing
25 EW
@29.00
Lose
-50
There's a lot of hype with some of those towards the top end of the market here but as a result, I suspect we might just be getting an inflated price on this one which appears to have gone under the radar. Connor Beasley looked to be the key to how to ride this horse when winning on him last time out and he has a better record for the Johnston's than any of the other jockeys that they regularly use. That win was easy enough in the end and formlines with the 3rd and 4th would suggest he might be a fair few pound ahead of his current rating (which he'd need to be to be competitive against those market leaders here).
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-50
09 October 2025
17:05 5:05 Ayr
Angelardo
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@34.00
Lose
-50
You wouldn't back this horse with borrowed money on his 3 runs to date, but he steps into a handicap here now off bottom weight (actually 2lb out of the handicap) and could be a different proposition now. The cheekpieces go on now, and a very useful 3lb claiming apprentice is now booked who won on his only previous ride for the stable. The step up in trip is going to suit too, and there are several lines on breeding which suggest he could outrun his odds here. The sire's progeny on soft/heavy from 12-14 furlongs is an impressive 642105205431041, and they often do better when headgear is applied. So a small win bet is the suggestion since I suspect the horse will put in an all or nothing performance.
16:12 4:12 Bath
Kotari
Daily Racing
25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@7.50
Void
0
This one looks a very decent e/w bet to nothing. His run last time out was certainly a step in the right direction after running some moderate races before that. On balance, you'd have to say that this trip and ground could be just about ideal. The trainer perhaps thinks so too since he's rebooked Jason Watson, who is 2 from 5 on the horse, and the first-time blinkers are now used now that the horse is on his lowest ever handicap mark.
15:25 3:25 Ayr
Art Design
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@23.00
Lose
-50
The ground can't be soft enough for this filly, and her 2 runs to date on bad ground have resulted in a 2nd off 76 and a 2nd off 77 (beaten less than a length on both occasions). She's not had her ground for a while, and as a result, we can back her now off a falling handicap mark at a nice price. She's also had wind surgery and arrives here off 75 with the main stable jockey booked for the first time. Big chance.
13:23 1:23 Bath
Captain Robert
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@15.00
Lose
-50
This horse's only run in his short career on softish ground was a staying on 3rd behind two very decent horses over a much shorter trip. He's still thoroughly unexposed, especially on this ground, and a return to softish ground could well be the key here along with the longer trip, which clearly this horse needs. The visor goes on now, and the same jockey is rebooked, so I'd expect this one to be picking them off late on to hopefully finish in the places at least.
Subtotal-150
08 October 2025
16:35 4:35 Kempton
Goodnight Irene
Daily Racing
25 EW
@51.00
Lose
-50
This bottom weight and rank outsider at 50/1 is worth a little e/w bet here with a few things in her favor. Firstly, the trainer doesn't book Rossa Ryan without good cause. They have a terrific record together, and the trainer shows a decent level stakes profit with his runners on the AW. The cheekpieces go on now, and the step up in trip is the real key, which will help the horse settle better. The jockey on board last time hasn't ridden a winner on the AW in her last 100 rides, so we can draw a line through that. The 5th of 11, beaten just over 4 lengths prior to that, is good enough to suggest she could outrun her odds here over this longer (and more suitable) trip.
1 member found this comment useful
16:30 4:30 Nottingham
Suzette Defoye
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@11.00
Lose
-50
I love the way this well bred filly stayed on to win on the AW on debut and she looks to have a major chance here off this mark. After that she faded over further on turf but that was due to it being her seasonal reappearance rather than any stamina concerns and she will strip fitter now. There's lots of collateral form on show from those 2 races which in my opinion would have her nearer to an 85+ type horse rather than the 79 she races off here and there's no way she should be a double figure price in my opinion.
1 member found this comment useful
13:58 1:58 Nottingham
Pique
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@11.00
Win
300
I wasn't expecting to get anything like this sort of price for this C&D winner that has shown a liking for ground with some give in it. The bet is even stronger in my eyes because several in this will be found wanting for the stamina required, whereas this horse ticks all those boxes. The trainer is in form, and the jockey is the last one to win on her, so this has the look of a very solid E/W bet in this 9-runner field.
Subtotal200
07 October 2025
19:00 7:00 Southwell
My Turn Now
Daily Racing
25 EW
@34.00
Win
140
This horse hasn't liked the cheekpieces in her last two runs, so a return to the visor is a real positive since she'd won three of her last six on the AW with a visor prior to that. They were off marks of 48, 49, and 50, so she could well be competitive off this mark of 48. There's also positives on breeding that a first-time visit to this track could suit since the sire's progeny have been placed in sprints here 13 times from 25 races, which is a better than 50% placed strike rate. The first-time booking of Cieran Fallon is also eye-catching, and the 33/1 looks too big.
17:35 5:35 Leicester
Ray Vonn
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@34.00
Lose
-50
The forecast ground is good to soft, and providing it's no better than that, I'd suggest this horse shouldn't be the rank outsider in the field at 33/1. He's been racing on ground that has been too lively lately, and the combination of the softer ground along with the rebooking of Hector Crouch makes me think he could be worth a bet. Crouch was the last jockey to win on the horse, which was on good to soft and was off a 7lb higher mark. He's clearly well handicapped on that form, and confidence would increase with any further rain.
16:30 4:30 Leicester
Natural Force
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@5.50
Lose
-50
This one is the best bet of the day for me and should shorten in the market. He makes his handicap debut here off 84 and the winning run on debut on rain softened ground is all the clues we need to suggest he's on a winnable mark here. That win in that class 3 novice race on debut had a horse over a length back in third that has since gone down by less than 2 lengths in a Group 3 and is rated 106. Natural Force was well on top of that one so the 9/2 looks great value to me especially since he's shown he can handle any give in the ground.
Subtotal40
06 October 2025
19:30 7:30 Wolverhampton
Patrol
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@15.00
Lose
-50
This horse is 1 from 1 over C&D, and in another race, he won well for this jockey, so his rebooking looks significant. The handicapper has relented a little now, and the horse races off his lowest mark since the win for this jockey. He's also only 1lb higher than a length beating on the turf recently, so the fact that he clearly loved this AW surface for that nice C&D win suggests he's more than capable of winning off this mark.
16:15 4:15 Pontefract
Jam Lass
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@21.00
Lose
-50
This one showed massively improved form in her debut run for a new stable last time out. That was over this C&D and the ground was also on the softer side in that maiden, so we can expect a bold show here. She looks hugely overpriced to me. The key is the horses both ahead and behind her in that race since you could comfortably make a case that she should be as much as 10lb higher in the weights than she is. I like the jockey switch too. She's unexposed, well-bred, and looks the type that could surprise.
Subtotal-100
04 October 2025
17:10 5:10 Curragh
God Knows
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@11.00
Win
25
This horse's last two runs would suggest that she's improved for the stable switch, and she looks weighted to go close here, especially on a piece of form for her previous trainer. That run was the nearest she's been to these conditions when the ground was desperate, and she stayed on into 3rd of 21 here over a furlong less. Clearly, that's good enough to go close here off an 8lb lower mark with a decent 7lb claimer booked. These look to be potentially her ideal conditions.
1 member found this comment useful
16:10 4:10 Ascot
King Of Light
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionBest Odds Guaranteed SP 12.00 used instead of 9.00 takenBOG
@12.00
Win
30
This one showed much improved form to win under similar conditions last time out and can defy the 6lb rise. It could be the first-time cheekpieces and tongue tie combo that did it, or the first-time booking of SDS. But either way, despite the handicap rise, he still raced off higher marks for his previous stable and it might just be that his current stable have worked him out now. The time of that win last time out was also particularly good given that the ground was on the soft side, so there could be plenty more to come from him now.
1 member found this comment useful
15:35 3:35 Ascot
Mirabeau
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@15.00
Lose
-50
I think the trainer had this race in mind the second that this horse finished an excellent 3rd of 20 over C&D last month. The horse is 2lb higher now, but the trainer has given the horse a major upgrade in jockey. That C&D run proved both that the horse liked the C&D and also that he has the attributes to land one of these big field handicaps. The horse's chances would also improve if the forecast rain gets into the ground, and good to soft or worse would be enough for me to fancy his chances at 14/1.
1 member found this comment useful
15:20 3:20 Redcar
Inca Heights
Daily Racing
25 EW
@41.00
Lose
-50
Clive Cox won this race 2 years ago, and the jockey has won it in the past too. The horse gets the softest ground he's raced on here and drops back in trip, both of which are strong positives on breeding. In fact, it was almost identical conditions as this when his half-brother (Chairmanfourtimes) won a Listed race at Ayr, so that's a positive that he could well outrun his 40/1 odds here. The win on debut was also over the minimum trip, and there are some formlines from the beaten horses there which would also suggest that he's no forlorn hope here.
14:11 2:11 Redcar
Velvet Whisper
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 23.00 used instead of 10.00 takenBOG
@23.00
Win
85
This horse ran last time out when keen and racing wide, but staying on late was enough to suggest that she's well worth supporting here over this longer trip, which is her second start since a wind operation. The breeding suggests she'll be at home on this soft ground too, and I like the jockey switch since he's been terrific value for his 5lb in recent months. The trainer has a terrific record at the course, and this unexposed horse has been dropped another 2lb by the handicapper. Big chance.
1 member found this comment useful
14:05 2:05 Newmarket
Jel Pepper
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@17.00
Win
480
This is the highest-rated horse in the race, and the first-time tongue tie could well bring about some improvement too. So it's crazy that he's as big as 16/1 and rates terrific e/w value. He was as short as 11/2 when third in a Group 2, and the winner of that race has since won a Group 1, with the 4th in the race going down narrowly to finish a close 2nd in a Group 1 too. This all points to Jel Pepper holding every chance here after a promising effort last time out, which was purely a seasonal debut to blow away the cobwebs.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal520
03 October 2025
14:20 2:20 Ascot
Ribenska
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@17.00
Lose
-50
This trainer has been flying in recent weeks, and he's booked a jockey in this amateur's race with a record that is incredible, really. He's won with 7 of his last 19 rides on turf (and he's also able to claim 3lb here). The horse itself has shown enough in her novice races to suggest she should be a few pounds higher than this opening handicap mark, in my opinion, and I think the 16/1 is way too big.
Subtotal-50
02 October 2025
17:25 5:25 Salisbury
Media Mogul
Daily Racing
25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@8.50
Void
0
This horse makes his debut for a new stable that's going well, and they do very well when bringing horses in. They are using a jockey who does well for them, and more importantly, his strike rate is more than double that of the jockey who had been riding the horse in recent runs. The horse was 2nd of 12 on his penultimate start and is 3lb higher now, but I'm expecting improvement for the stable and jockey switch in addition to the first-time tongue tie. The 15/2 looks big to me despite being weak in the early market.
16:35 4:35 Nottingham
Double Red
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@7.50
Lose
-50
For whatever reason, this jockey isn't the most fashionable and his rides often go underbet but he's actually got stacks of ability and the horse won well for him at Epsom last time out which was the first time he had ridden him. There's a 5lb hike in the handicap to overcome now but I like the way the horse did it that day despite not having the clearest of runs, and he looks great value to me to back that up here. The time of the race was good too and the horse seemed to appreciate getting his toe in so there's plenty to like about his chances here.
16:20 4:20 Salisbury
Dr Strangelove
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 26.00 used instead of 10.00 takenBOG
@26.00
Win
1250
This colt's head 2nd in June behind Revelance is the piece of form which gives him a huge chance here. That was his only turf run in 4 races, and a return to turf could be the key here. The winner in that race has since gone down by less than a length off effectively 10lb more than Dr Strangelove races off here. Clearly, that form gives this horse every chance off this mark, and he looks overpriced on those formlines.
15:35 3:35 Nottingham
Bona Fortuna
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@7.50
Lose
-50
I have this race between this 13/2 shot and 16/1 shot Glory Hyde, so hopefully I've landed on the right one. It seems clear to me that 6 furlongs with ground on the softer side of good are the horse's ideal conditions, and that's not something he's had much of lately. Despite that, he's often run well in defeat, but this looks ideal. Perhaps the trainer thinks so too since he's booked the best 5lb claiming apprentice around for the first time on the horse. Looks sure to be bang there, I would suggest, and the first-time cheekpieces might just squeeze out further improvement.
Subtotal1150
01 October 2025
19:00 7:00 Kempton
Olympic Candle
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@8.50
Win
375
Now is the time to catch the Bin Suroor stable, and this Godolphin-owned gelding looks terrific value coming here after having last raced in Dubai. Oisin Murphy is booked again for the first time in a while, and he was on board when the horse won well here in a novice race where the 2nd, 3rd, 4th, and 5th have all come out and won since. The horse has looked a tricky ride on occasion since, so the jockey booking is a major plus, and the horse looks well in here on some of his excellent novice race form.
1 member found this comment useful
17:30 5:30 Kempton
Happy Banner
Daily Racing
25 EW
@12.00
Lose
-50
Recent runs haven't been overly promising, but there's no getting away from the fact that his easy win over C&D in a novice race last year is easily good enough to win this. It might well be that a return to this C&D, combined with a little break and the application of a first-time tongue tie, all contribute to this horse going close here. The jockey has a superb record at this course too, with a 21% strike rate in the last year.
17:25 5:25 Catterick
Lightning Tiger
Daily Racing
50 WINNBNOTETip made at odds of 9.00 on 30/09 at 17:170.20 deduction for Heathen@4.33 withdrawn at 09:550.10 deduction for Shaffron @7.500 withdrawn at 12:090.00 deduction for Flickering Halo @13.000 withdrawn at 16:31R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 8.00 x (1-0.3) = 6.60
@6.60
Win
280
Charlie Fellowes is in great form at the moment, and he's one of the very best with his handicap debutantes. We can almost certainly expect to see a much-improved effort now that the horse is sent handicapping, and there are some major clues in his breeding to suggest that he's potentially been given a lenient opening mark here. The extra trip is certain to suit, and the horse's progeny does well on left-handed courses too. The jockey booked has a really good record at the course too, and everything looks set for a big run, I would suggest.
1 member found this comment useful
16:50 4:50 Catterick
Patontheback
Daily Racing
25 EWNAPR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@21.00
Void
0
This horse isn't the most consistent in the world but as he showed when winning at Musselburgh, he clearly has the ability to win a race of this nature. He's 4lb higher now but has the excellent services and valuable claim of Warren Fentiman to offset that. The ground was riding on the soft side of good that day and this could be ideal. Prior to that the horse had been a staying on third here over a furlong shorter and that last win for the horse was after a 20 day break which is the same as he gets here. He didn't head into that race in good form so clearly has his own mind but I'm hoping the jockey can provide the spark to make sure the horse has a going day once more.
Subtotal605
30 September 2025
20:30 8:30 Newcastle
Baby Rover
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@SP
Lose
-50
The jockey has a winner on the card already and this one looks the potential value in the race. The 2nd for him last time out was a good effort and his 3lb claim could be vital since the horse is 4lb above his last winning mark. The 3yo could progress again to take this and is unexposed on the AW. Could well go close from a decent draw provided she breaks well.
17:25 5:25 Bath
Reality Queen
Daily Racing
50 WINNBNOTETip made at odds of 21.00 on 29/09 at 17:230.00 deduction for Jane Of The Jungle@29.00 withdrawn at 08:130.00 deduction for Princess Billyboy @15.000 withdrawn at 10:330.10 deduction for Eclipser @7.500 withdrawn at 17:27R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 20.00 x (1-0.1) = 19.00Best Odds Guaranteed SP 21.00 used instead of 19.00 BOG
@21.00
Win
1000
The trainer has shown a profit to SP with his 2-year-olds this year, and this one could well step up on previous efforts now she's entered into this nursery. The trainer's last two runners have won (one landing a gamble), and he's very good at lining his horses up on attractive marks when they are often backed. The jockey booking would also suggest he has this one fit and raring to go, so she could well outrun her odds. Recent results would also suggest the draw could be a positive too.
1 member found this comment useful
14:22 2:22 Bath
Favourbrook
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@29.00
Lose
-50
The bookies have taken a risk here on this unexposed horse that could pop up at a very decent price. He's sired by Dandy Man, whose progeny have a terrific record of 10 wins from just 39 races at this course over a mile or further. The seasonal debut run last time out, when not beaten far, was full of promise with him staying on over 2 furlongs shorter. This trip should be ideal now, and the trainer has booked his 3lb claiming son for the ride, which is another positive since he's been using his claim sparingly and selectively. They also paired up for a winner at the course earlier in the month.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal900
29 September 2025
16:10 4:10 Hamilton
Hi Lord
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@41.00
Lose
-50
This horse makes his debut for a new stable here, who have only had 2 runners in the last year. Back in the day, though, he was a very good trainer of sprinters. Whilst it's highly likely that the horse won't figure in this race, I think a small bet in the win market at 40/1 is the play since the horse definitely has the form in the book to win this. The close-up 2nd over C&D on debut is the piece of form which gives him a serious chance off this mark, and he's still lightly raced, so looks the type that could pop up at a price.
1 member found this comment useful
15:55 3:55 Brighton
Lady Justice
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@17.00
Lose
-50
The fact that this horse was sent off at only 13/2 in a hot class 2 novice (and only beaten 2 lengths), is a major clue that she could well be up to winning this handicap off 73. The extra furlong looks certain to suit too and the fact that she won at Epsom on debut gives extra support to the theory that she'll handle this tricky course. I also like the first time jockey booking (he does well here) and the stable are also in fine form.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-100
28 September 2025
15:40 3:40 Ffos Las
Dinah Myte
Daily Racing
50 WINNBNOTETip made at odds of 15.00 on 27/09 at 15:370.00 deduction for Weston Court@12.00 withdrawn at 10:130.20 deduction for Fifty Sent @5.000 withdrawn at 15:43R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 14.00 x (1-0.2) = 12.20
@12.20
Win
560
Dinah Myte was only beaten 3 lengths on her first start on softish ground last time out (good to soft), and that was a big step forward on previous efforts. This softer ground should suit her further, and I much prefer this jockey to the one that rode her that day. The jockey that day, in fact, was also a little late releasing the hood, and that resulted in a tardy start. The horse made up some good ground in the race but had used too much juice after that start, so faded late on. This jockey will no doubt give the horse a much better ride, and she is the least exposed in the field, so could exploit this basement mark.
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13:55 1:55 Ffos Las
Memphis Rose
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@13.00
Lose
-50
This horse makes her handicap debut off just 62 here in this amateur jockeys' race and looks well worth a bet at 12/1. Her only run on soft so far was her debut when 2nd over way too short a trip, and this could be just about ideal (breeding would certainly suggest that). There are formlines from that which would suggest that she's well in here, and crucially, the trainer has booked a jockey who is posting some good stats in his short career. He's won 4 of his last 8 and has plenty of places too, so looks useful in the context of this race.
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Subtotal510
27 September 2025
15:40 3:40 Newmarket
Real Gain
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@17.00
Lose
-50
If you watch a replay of this horse's win over C&D as a 3-year-old, then it's hard not to be impressed when he romped to a 5-length victory, having traveled supremely well throughout. He's only 4lb higher now as a 5-year-old and his essential fast ground. In truth, he's not had those conditions much since, but the effort when third behind a good yardstick last time out can be seriously upgraded since he's a much better horse on good ground. The fact he ran such a good race last time out suggests he's primed for a big run here under ideal conditions, and the 16/1 looks way too big.
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14:40 2:40 Haydock
Trilby
Daily Racing
25 EWNBNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@15.00
Win
45
Trilby has slipped to his lowest mark in some time here and looks poised to strike at a course where he has a terrific record. In fact, his latest win here was when sent off Evens favorite on heavy to easily get the better of Angel Shared. Trilby is 1 lb lower in the weights now and despite easily beating Angel Shared, he gets another 5 lb swing in the weights and yet is available at a bigger price than that one. The jockey has only been booked once before when the horse was an excellent 2nd of 17 in a hot York handicap, so this all points to the 14/1 being great value.
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Subtotal-5
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