JamPizza
I'm a sports and betting enthusiast and love trying to solve the puzzle of big handicaps both on the flat and over the jumps. The majority of my tips are double figure prices and I rarely back the favourites. I'm always looking for value and try to post the tips the evening before to get the early prices. Twitter @JamPizza
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Estimated Prizes
this month
£0
Estimated Prize money
this month
JamPizza's Tips History
07 January 2026
17:00 5:00 Kempton
Real Gold
Daily Racing
25 EWNBNOTETip made at odds of 34.00 on 06/01 at 20:200.30 deduction for Espona Bay@3.25 withdrawn at 10:01R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 33.00 x (1-0.30) = 24.10
@24.10
Win
90
It's very profitable following fillies by Havana Gold over this C&D, where they have a 6-from-34 strike rate and an impressive profit to level stakes. She's been mainly racing at Lingfield in her short career, often not being put in her races. The course switch and a 2 lb lower handicap mark might suggest she could improve considerably here. The 5 lb claimer on board has improved markedly in the last year or so, and at 33/1 I think she's worth an each-way bet despite being friendless in the early market.
1 member found this comment useful
14:35 2:35 Lingfield
East India Breeze
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@5.00
Lose
-50
If you look at the race comments for this horse, it's fairly clear that the trainer has done the first part well enough by getting him here racing off a handicap mark that is some way below his true ability. The horse has been racing wide and settled out the back. The upshot of all this is that he makes his handicap debut here off just 47. He now gets the jockey switch and the step up in trip, and it should be all systems go now.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal40
06 January 2026
19:00 7:00 Southwell
Amarachi
Daily Racing
25 EWNAPNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionBest Odds Guaranteed SP 13.00 used instead of 11.00 takenBOG
@13.00
Win
35
I think the front two in the market here have question marks against them, and at 10/1 this one rates the clear each-way value in this nine-runner race. The horse's nose win on the turf has been strongly franked by the runner-up winning off higher marks since, and this one races off her lowest handicap mark yet. Recent runs have suggested she's well worth trying over this longer trip, and Jack Mitchell keeps the ride after being on board last time, having been ridden mainly by apprentices prior to that.
Subtotal35
04 January 2026
16:05 4:05 Southwell
Thundering Breeze
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@7.00
Win
5
The 5 lb claiming apprentice was arguably unlucky when placed on this horse two starts ago, and he can gain compensation here. The horse wasn't beaten far and was hampered, so should go even closer here with the extra furlong in her favour, and she's even been dropped a pound in the handicap. Looks like an each-way bet to nothing and certainly no reason why she can't win off this mark.
Subtotal5
03 January 2026
20:00 8:00 Southwell
Sovereign Applause
Daily Racing
25 EW
@151.00
Lose
-50
Minimal stakes here for obvious reasons, but at a huge price I can't not have a small each-way bet in this 10-runner race. The unexposed filly steps up to beyond 2 miles for the first time on the flat here. There was enough in her last AW run to show that she is worth a try at it (3rd of 6 over half a mile less). She was staying on, as well as the second in that race, when not really given too hard a time. The jockey has a much better record in long-distance races, and there's also a wind op and a first-time tongue tie which could have brought about further improvement. She clearly needs to improve on what she's shown so far and could well finish out the back, but a speculative bet is worth considering.
1 member found this comment useful
17:30 5:30 Southwell
Dream Illusion
Daily Racing
25 EW
@26.00
Win
100
I like this stable when they get horses in from other yards, and they can often land a gamble. There's no market interest in this one yet on her second start for them, but the switch in jockeys is one reason I suspect we might see an improved effort here. She comes in off bottom weight with a mark of 60. The 4-year-old has won off 62, and her last three placed efforts were all off 60 or higher. This all suggests the 25/1 is far too big, and hopefully the money will come, since that will be crucial as to whether today is the day the horse delivers for the new stable.
1 member found this comment useful
14:40 2:20 Lingfield
Eupator
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@12.00
Lose
-50
It looks like the yard have now realised that this is the horse's optimum trip, with 2 places from 3 runs over it (off marks of 73 and 71). He races off 71 here, with blinkers kept on after seemingly helping the horse when applied for the first time last time out. Levey keeps the ride, and I think he'll attempt to hold on to the horse longer this time and not hit the front too soon.
1 member found this comment useful
13:15 1:15 Sandown
Dominics Fault
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@5.00
Lose
-50
The favourite here (Henri The Second) looks very opposable for various reasons, and this 2nd favourite looks to have a good opportunity here. He was going well here until being brought down 3 out in January when sent off 4/1 as he is here today. He's now 2 lb lower, has had a wind op, and has the first-time tongue tie. Clearly, this all points to potential improvement, and the 4/1 looks good value to me.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-50
02 January 2026
14:17 2:12 Chelmsford City
Me Tarzan
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@4.00
Lose
-50
The young 7 lb claimer on board this one didn't look too shabby when he got this one home for a short-head win last time out (decent gap back to the third), and he can go in again off this 3 lb higher mark. That run was on debut for the Archie Watson stable, and on that evidence it looks like he's improved the horse. He saw that race out well, and the 3/1 looks more than fair to follow it up.
14:00 2:00 Ayr
Shadow Chaser
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@10.00
Lose
-50
The trainer has won this race before, and you can guarantee that the below-par effort last time out was to protect the horse's mark for this. Before that, there was a very promising second, which was the horse's first run for him and also a seasonal debut, so it was a cracking effort that can be upgraded. The horse is still a maiden, but that second looks good enough to go close here, especially since it was here and the winner has franked that form since.
Subtotal-100
01 January 2026
14:55 2:51 Musselburgh
Kool Raoul
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@7.50
Lose
-50
This one makes his handicap debut here and gets the step up in trip that he clearly needs. The jockey booking also suggests that the stable think they have the horse here on a competitive mark, and they've been making the most of this jockey's 5 lb claim while he still has it. Some of his bumper form has worked out pretty well too, so there's every reason to expect him to go close off this mark.
13:25 1:25 Cheltenham
Shannon Royale
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@10.00
Lose
-50
This time last year, this horse was beating the now 148-rated High Class Hero fair and square under similar trip and ground conditions to those he faces here. Shannon Royale is down to 135 now and has the services of Sean Bowen for the first time (the trainer has only used him four times before, winning once and placing twice). The horse has changed yards since and has been racing over too short a trip, but everything looks ideal here now and he should go very close.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-100
31 December 2025
15:30 3:30 Lingfield
South Shore Island
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@17.00
Lose
-50
This horse is still a maiden but has been beaten an average of just 2 lengths in each of his last three runs, all of which were here over a furlong shorter. He's been shaping as though this extra furlong is what he needs. He runs here off his lowest-ever handicap mark, with a decent 5 lb claiming apprentice booked who has been placed on this horse before off a 9 lb higher mark. So the 16/1 looks value to make the first three home in this eight-runner race.
Subtotal-50
30 December 2025
20:00 8:00 Wolverhampton
Riyadh Gem
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@34.00
Win
140
This horse hasn't shown much lately but is having just his 3rd run for a new trainer here, off a falling mark, and returns to a C&D where he won on his only previous attempt. That win was off 71 and he's down to 67 now. The trainer often has a few sighters before her horses deliver the goods, and it could be significant that she's waited until now to bring the horse back here. She's also put a new jockey on board the horse.
Subtotal140
29 December 2025
15:05 3:05 Leopardstown
Air Of Entitlement
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@11.00
Lose
-50
This horse's win in a 23-runner Grade 2 novice hurdle in March is the piece of form that gives her a huge chance here. You only have to look at the quality of some of those beaten horses to see that she is clearly on a winnable mark. That form stacks up really well in the context of this race, and she's going to be very hard to keep out of the frame.
14:22 2:22 Newbury
Scorpio Rising
Daily Racing
50 WINNAPR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@5.50
Void
0
This one was sent off odds-on before winning each of his last two races, and 9/2 to complete a hat-trick looks way too generous to me. I'd have him nearer the 11/4 mark. There are form lines from both of those races which suggest he's on a winnable mark here. Clearly his ceiling is likely to be a lot higher than the opposition here, who are mainly more exposed. Sean Bowen takes the ride once more, and he rates this the best bet of the day for me at this price.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-50
28 December 2025
16:20 4:20 Southwell
Star Chorus
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@7.50
Lose
-50
This horse has 2 wins and 2 places from his 4 races over C&D, and he races off the same mark as last time when he was placed for Havlin and beaten just a length. I like the switch to Rob Hornby here now, and the horse can build on that effort last time out, which was his first since switching stables. Going to be hard to keep out of the frame, I suspect, and he is on a competitive mark.
15:13 3:13 Catterick
Caramelo Rapido
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@10.00
Lose
-50
This horse is a maiden after six starts, but the closest he's ever come to losing that tag was when he had the trip and ground most similar to what he races off here. That was just a neck defeat, and the horse is 1 lb lower now. The trainer has been among the winners over the festive period, and this horse looks sure to run his race, so the 9/1 appeals in the each-way market.
Subtotal-100
27 December 2025
15:20 3:20 Wetherby
Ewden Valley
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@15.00
Lose
-50
Jonjo has been putting more and more faith in the 7 lb claiming conditional who he's booked in this bumper, and there is some early money for this well-bred horse. Just one look at the breeding also suggests this horse should have a high level of ability, and the sire's progeny generally have ratings in excess of many of the others in this race. Certainly the 14/1 quote is likely to underestimate his chances.
14:50 2:50 Chepstow
Deafening Silence
Daily Racing
25 EWNAPNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionBest Odds Guaranteed SP 29.00 used instead of 19.00 takenBOG
@29.00
Win
115
It looks like this isn't a Cheltenham horse, so we don't have the worry of him having his handicap mark protected. He stays on the same mark after staying on for 2nd last time out on seasonal debut. The third has won his next race too, and this horse is still 1 lb below his last winning mark. I'd have the horse nearer to the 10/1 to 12/1 mark, so he looks a good each-way bet to me at 18/1.
14:10 2:10 Chepstow
Doctor Kildare
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@6.50
Lose
-50
This horse is 2 from 2 when using the tongue tie and visor combo, which weren't used when the horse flopped for an amateur rider last time out. Sam T-D takes over in the saddle now, and there are clear lines of form both in hurdles and in a bumper which suggest he has the ability to win off this mark. The horse is an ex-Hendo one, and Sam Thomas is a trainer on the up. He certainly has got the horse heading in the right direction now.
12:30 12:30 Chepstow
Knight Templar
Daily Racing
25 EW
@11.00
Lose
-50
This time last year, this horse was brushing aside some decent horses (such as Nardaran) in a Class 2 hurdle. He races here off 109 after three runs this season, the second of which was when the horse travelled like the winner before finishing third, beaten less than a length. It seems clear that the horse was produced too early then, since he doesn't do much once he hits the front. The first-time booking of Sean Bowen to get the tactics right looks ideal to me.
Subtotal-35
26 December 2025
15:40 3:40 Kempton
Onewaywest
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@5.00
Lose
-50
Despite being so inexperienced, the 7 lb claiming apprentice (was 10 lb until recently) on this one is posting some exceptional stats, and he is worth following to make it a hat-trick of wins on this horse. The other two were incredibly easy. As a result, the horse has shot up the handicap now but looks to have improved and is only a 6-year-old, so could well have plenty more to offer. The horse fits a lot of the age, weight, and form trends for this race, and he is clearly the one they all have to beat.
15:25 3:25 Aintree
Racscopic
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@67.00
Lose
-50
Hopefully the 8 runners will stand their ground here, since the odds of 66/1 on this one to finish in the first three look way too big. The odds compilers might have been a little lazy pricing this unraced 5yo up in this bumper, which contains some runners from more high-profile yards, and perhaps this one from a lesser yard has flown under the radar. The real clue is the horse's sire, whose runners have been going really well. Interestingly, many of them have been hitting the frame at huge prices too. The trainer has done well with his small number of runners at the course as well.
15:00 3:00 Wolverhampton
Peregrine Falcon
Daily Racing
25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@11.00
Void
0
This horse is a maiden after 11 races but has been placed three times from five runs over C&D, and one of those defeats was by a nose off an 8 lb higher mark. The trainer's runners have been going better recently. Clearly that nose defeat off a higher mark suggests if she's ever going to break her duck, it could well be here. Billy Loughnane has been placed three times in four rides on the horse too, and she looks a cracking each-way bet.
Subtotal-100
22 December 2025
14:00 2:00 Lingfield
Amarachi
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@17.00
Lose
-50
This is one of the least exposed horses in the field and is of real interest now that Jack Mitchell is booked for the first time. The horse has been dropped in the handicap after being ridden by an apprentice who has yet to win a race in her last two outings. The first of those was a placed effort over C&D and she wasn't beaten far (less than 2 lengths), so it's easy to see that the pro jockey could well go even closer off this 1 lb lower mark (the winner has franked that form since, too).
Subtotal-50
21 December 2025
14:00 2:00 Lingfield
Icaque de LIsle
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@7.50
Lose
-50
This horse is friendless in the market but looks like the clear each-way value to me. The horse is a C&D winner on heavy ground, and that proven stamina is crucial here since many of these won't last in this ground over this extreme trip. The jockey switch is a major plus for me too, and the trainer's runners have been going better in the last week or so. Looks on a winnable mark and holds a major chance.
12:45 12:45 Fakenham
Miss Maxfort
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@5.00
Lose
-50
This horse showed improved form when 3rd on debut for her new stable last time out and can build on that here. It looks a shrewd move to book Tom Cannon for the first time, since he has a better record here than anywhere else. She handled the soft ground well that day, and those two horses that beat her would strongly suggest she's on a winnable mark here.
Subtotal-100
20 December 2025
15:35 3:35 Ascot
Fiercely Proud
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@9.00
Lose
-50
There'll be a lot of interest here in the well-touted Alexei and Mondo Man, which both need to improve again off their new marks after excellent runs last time out. This 8/1 shot rates the clear each-way value for me. The horse comes here having finished 5th at Cheltenham last time out, which was a very encouraging effort on seasonal debut. The last three winners of this race all came here from that meeting and were placed 5-3-6. Crucially, the horse is 1 from 2 over C&D (the other run was when holding every chance before falling late on). The win was when just outbattling another horse which has since won easily off a 9 lb higher mark, with the pair a mile clear of the third. FP is 7 lb higher now and, on that evidence, can defy this higher mark after that prep run last time out.
15:15 3:15 Haydock
Imperial Merlin
Daily Racing
25 EW
@11.00
Lose
-50
This horse is friendless in the market but is 1 from 1 over C&D and gets the soft/heavy ground, which he loves. The staying-on fourth over too-short a trip last time out was an excellent prep race for this, where trip and ground are now ideal. Brian Hughes takes over in the saddle now, and the horse is only 2 lb higher than that C&D win, so the 10/1 looks like clear each-way value to me.
14:25 2:25 Ascot
Strong Leader
Daily Racing
25 EWNBNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 8.50 used instead of 6.00 takenBOG
@8.50
Win
12
Some might be put off by this horse being an 8-year-old, but horses of that age and older have won four of the last six runnings of this race. In any event, he hasn't got many miles on the clock. The horse was beaten just half a length by Impose Toi last time out and gets a 6 lb pull in the weights, so it's perhaps surprising that Impose Toi is around half the price of this one. He's the top-rated in the field too and looks an excellent each-way bet to nothing at 5/1.
14:05 2:05 Haydock
Saladins Son
Daily Racing
25 EW
@6.50
Win
2
The trainer is in cracking form, and this horse has shown that he has the stamina and resolution to see out this trip, which will take some getting in this soft ground. The horse has won very easily for Ben Godfrey in each of the three races he's been on board, and he's rebooked now after the horse was 2nd over C&D for Jack Tudor last time out. That was a good effort considering it was his seasonal debut, and he can build on that here.
11:45 11:45 Haydock
Super Freddie
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@5.00
Lose
-50
I'm not at all convinced that the favourite (Le Yacht)'s form is that strong, and I'm happy to take him on here. Super Freddie has a nice progressive profile and starts like in handicaps here off 111. The jockey is also superb value for his 3 lb claim, and I believe there's every reason to think that the horse has been let in lightly here off this mark. This softer ground should also suit, and the 4/1 looks a decent price to me in a race where there looks to be a lot of dead wood.
Subtotal-136
19 December 2025
18:29 5:30 Dundalk
Boxing Great
Daily Racing
25 EW
@7.00
Win
180
This horse wasn't beaten far over this marathon C&D last time out, despite the apprentice on board doing plenty wrong. The horse is of real interest now that we know he has the stamina, and a pro jockey is now booked. The horse has been dropped a pound, and the new jockey has a decent record at the course. With the horse likely to run his race, I'd say this looks a decent E/W bet to nothing.
15:35 3:35 Ascot
Tally Ho Back
Daily Racing
25 EWNBNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 41.00 used instead of 34.00 takenBOG
@41.00
Win
175
This horse was backed on debut and ran well despite signs of greenness. There were other fancied horses in that race too, and I suspect that effort could be upgraded. The horse is related to some decent types, and the jockey has an incredible strike rate for the trainer, as he's also 5 from 15 in bumpers.
14:25 2:25 Ascot
Tashan
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@10.00
Lose
-50
Harry Cobden will have learned a lot about this horse when winning narrowly on him last time out, and as a result of that narrow win he's only gone up 2 lb. He showed a good attitude too, and the 4yo is likely to be progressing at a quicker rate than many of his rivals here. Looks likely to be very competitive here, and this bigger field and stronger pace should also play to his strengths.
Subtotal305
18 December 2025
19:30 7:30 Chelmsford City
Em Four
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@26.00
Lose
-50
25/1 is a crazy price for a horse with a win and a place from two runs over C&D. The key for me is the jockey, who is the first-time booking of Rob Hornby. The usual jockey, William Pyle, doesn't quite get the best out of the horse, and a new jockey could be the answer (Saffie, for example, won 2 of her last 3 rides on the horse). The horse is 1 lb lower than that placed effort over C&D last time out, and the trainer is showing signs that he's going better now than he was then. That C&D win has seen the 2nd, 3rd and 4th all come out and win since, and I'd expect the price of this one to shorten somewhat.
16:22 4:22 Southwell
Camera Shy
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@8.50
Lose
-50
This 3yo was beaten less than a length in an AW novice race over this trip as a 2yo just over a year ago and was in and around several future horses in the 75??"80 bracket. He's now racing off his lowest-ever handicap mark of 65 on his second start for a new trainer, who has fitted the tongue tie for the first time. That looks a good move, since progeny of Kodiac have a better record with a tongue tie than with any other type of headgear (or no headgear), and we might well see a return to the form of that novice race, which would surely be good enough to win this.
Subtotal-100
17 December 2025
17:40 5:40 Kempton
El Bodon
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@11.00
Win
300
This horse easily won his only previous race on the AW before then going on to finish 2nd in a Group 3 and subsequently being given official ratings of around 104. He's had a break and returns to handicaps here off 92 in his first AW run since that easy win. Jockey bookings would suggest the trainer has her horse fit and raring to go, and a return to 6 furlongs is definitely a positive too. Shouldn't be a double-figure price for sure.
17:25 5:25 Dundalk
California Baby
Daily Racing
25 EW
@41.00
Lose
-50
This is the rank outsider in this 17-runner race, but the trainer has a 17% strike rate on the AW, which blows almost all the others out of the water. He's booked a 7 lb claiming apprentice on this unexposed horse for the first time, who is posting some excellent stats on the AW. The step up in trip is almost guaranteed to suit, and the horse has already been dropped 6 lb from her initial handicap mark. She showed enough when leading here until the final 1.5 furlongs in October to give a glimpse of her true ability, and it might just be that she shows it now she races off such a lowly mark with the 7 lb claimer booked.
15:20 3:20 Lingfield
Charlatan
Daily Racing
25 EWNBNOTETip made at odds of 17.00 on 16/12 at 16:550.10 deduction for Bear To Dream@8.50 withdrawn at 07:43R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 16.00 x (1-0.10) = 15.40
@15.40
Win
47
Charlatan has had three runs over course and distance, which include a win off 49 and a placed effort off 55. He's down to 49 again now, and the trainer has spotted a good opportunity here. This is also confirmed by the jockey booking, who is 4 from 10 on the horse (the horse is from 18 for other jockeys). Clearly, all this evidence suggests we can expect a big race from the horse, and the 16/1 is way too big; it should be nearer to half those odds, I would suggest.
Subtotal297
16 December 2025
14:15 2:15 Catterick
Somebodycomegether
Daily Racing
25 EWNAPNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@9.00
Win
240
The tongue tie and cheekpieces combo has done the trick recently for this horse, which has been running better when they have been applied. They are still trying to get her best trip sorted, but on balance you'd have to say that this could well be it on this good to soft ground. She's still unexposed and looks sure to be bang there, so the 15/2 looks a good each-way price to me.
Subtotal240
14 December 2025
15:10 3:10 Southwell
Gold Link
Daily Racing
25 EWNAPNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@10.00
Win
31
The key to this one looks to be a left-handed track. He flopped on a right-handed track last time out, but of his four left-handed track runs this year he's finished 2-2-1-2. Ben Jones was the last jockey to win on the horse (off a 4 lb lower mark), and his rebooking is a positive for me. The ground should be ideal (was arguably too fast last time out), and a big run looks on the cards.
12:50 12:50 Navan
San Hilario
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@6.50
Win
2
I liked the improved effort in first-time cheekpieces last time out when 2nd of 20, having been upped to this trip for the first time. That level of form under similar conditions here would be enough to be bang in the mix. The fact that he gets the services of Jack Kennedy for the first time now suggests that the trainer thinks he's found a winnable race for the horse here.
Subtotal33
13 December 2025
17:00 5:00 Wolverhampton
Amerjeet
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@15.00
Lose
-50
I'm expecting an all-or-nothing performance from this one, and therefore I'll go win only in the hope it's the former. He makes his debut for a new stable here, who do well with their handicappers, and the horse is only a 3yo, so hopefully the yard switch has worked since he's really well in on some of his 2yo form. The length defeat over C&D on debut, for example, would have the horse easily rated as 80+, so off this mark of just 57 for a new stable, the 16/1 is too big to pass on.
1 member found this comment useful
15:35 3:35 Cheltenham
Sweet Caryline
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@6.00
Lose
-50
This race structure is ideal for an each-way bet to nothing with 8 runners and 10 runners, half of which are 16/1 and bigger. This 5/1 shot is chasing a four-timer and is going to be very hard to keep out of the first three. She never wins by far, but those are often the best ones since the handicapper takes a while to catch up with them. She's clearly versatile too, having landed the odds last time out by winning over 5 furlongs further than her win in the race before. This trip could well be ideal ??" big chance.
1 member found this comment useful
13:15 1:15 Cheltenham
Me Wee Bonnie Lass
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@17.00
Lose
-50
Gavin Cromwell won this race two years ago, and his sole entry last year ran well despite not being placed. This one is worth a closer look. His winner two years ago wasn't in particularly good form, and he clearly campaigned the horse to arrive here on a good mark. That could well be the case with this one. The chase mark is below her hurdle mark now. The horse won on heavy at the start of her career and has been racing mainly on good ground since then. Perhaps soft ground and first-time cheekpieces could see her return to form. Being by Doyen, she's likely to have more ability than she's shown to date in those recent runs.
1 member found this comment useful
12:10 12:10 Cheltenham
Wolf Rayet
Daily Racing
25 EW
@34.00
Lose
-50
There's obviously a lot of guesswork here, with not much in the way of form to go on. But on breeding this one sticks out as being easily in the top three or four best bred in the race, and the 33/1 could well be the each-way value despite being easily beaten last time out. The winner of that race was then only just touched off in a Listed hurdle. Wolf Rayet was putting his best work in late in that race too, and he could step up massively on that effort with a first-time tongue tie. The softer ground should also suit, and he looks overpriced where the more fancied runners have a few doubts against some of them.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-200
12 December 2025
20:15 8:15 Dundalk
Lady Kai
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@7.00
Lose
-50
The jockey can gain compensation here after arguably not giving the horse the best of rides when failing to catch the leader last time out, going down by less than a length. The winner there has gone out and won his next race, so this one is worth giving another chance to off a 3 lb higher mark, with the first-time visor fitted (usually helps on breeding). Hopefully the jockey will not give the horse as much ground to make up this time around.
15:00 3:00 Cheltenham
Mister Coffey
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@7.00
Lose
-50
Five of the last ten winners of this race came here after placing over a shorter trip at the November Cheltenham meeting. That 50% strike rate is a huge positive for the only such candidate this year, Mister Coffey. That second-place finish last time out had everything you'd want to see for this race. The horse was staying on well despite the trip being way too short. Course form is obviously a major positive here, and Busselton, who’s the favorite, has yet to place in six races at the course.
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14:25 2:25 Cheltenham
Can You Call
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@11.00
Win
300
Can You Call was a very decent third in a similar race here last time out. There's every chance he can progress again and go even closer. In the race before that he was stone last and beaten 33 lengths. He is 2 lb higher now (and a pound out of the handicap), but I like the jockey switch to Ben Jones. Now that the horse has taken a step in the right direction, he could well build on that effort last time out. He's a 10-year-old in this veterans' race, and that's usually a positive too.
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13:50 1:50 Cheltenham
King Turgeon
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@6.50
Lose
-50
King Turgeon is an each-way bet to nothing for me here at 11/2 in this 9-runner race with 3 places paid. The horse has won 2 of his 3 races here. The latest of those wins was over C&D when powering clear up the hill to win off a 3 lb lower mark than he races off here. He lost his form last season after that, but the wind-op in the close season looks to have got the horse back, judged on a promising return at Aintree last time out on seasonal debut where he finished 6th of 17. That looks a good prep for this, which would have been the main aim anyway.
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13:15 1:15 Cheltenham
Leloopa
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@6.00
Lose
-50
This last-time-out C&D winner (in good style) has to be the bet of the day for me at 5/1 to defy the 6 lb rise in the handicap. The conditional jockey on board keeps the ride, and he's got a very impressive record here: 3 wins and 7 places from just 12 rides. There are two real keys to the horse following up that win here. The first is that the LTO win was the first after a wind op, which has clearly improved the horse. The second is that the time of that race on good-to-soft was very good compared with previous runnings of the race on better ground.
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