JamPizza
I'm a sports and betting enthusiast and love trying to solve the puzzle of big handicaps both on the flat and over the jumps. The majority of my tips are double figure prices and I rarely back the favourites. I'm always looking for value and try to post the tips the evening before to get the early prices. Twitter @JamPizza
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Estimated Prizes
this month
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Estimated Prize money
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JamPizza's Tips History
17 August 2025
16:52 4:52 Southwell
Papagei
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@9.50
Lose
-50
The jockey booked here has a good record on this horse, and he rides this course particularly well. The horse was beaten only half a length off the same mark just 2 starts ago for an inexperienced apprentice, and he should go close here off his optimal trip. This is his first run at the course, but breeding suggests he should take to it (sire progeny have 5 wins and 10 places from just 35 runners here). Looks to hold every chance.
Subtotal-50
16 August 2025
15:20 3:20 Ripon
First Folio
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@13.00
Win
35
The 5lb claiming apprentice went down by a short head on this horse over C&D just 2 starts ago on his only previous ride on the horse. The horse is just 1lb higher now and loves the fast ground. He's raced off much higher marks in the past, but being a 7yo hasn't stopped several winners of this race before because they often have similar profiles to this one, whereby they have a touch of quality and are racing off marks within their compass. Big chance.
1 member found this comment useful
14:45 2:45 Ripon
Airman
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@26.00
Lose
-50
A leap of faith is required for this one, which hasn't shown much in his latest runs, but is undoubtedly well handicapped on the pick of his form. He was running in a Group 2 as recently as just over a year ago and arrives here off his lowest ever handicap mark of 75. His main hopes rest on the fact that the trainers have been going much better in August than they were earlier in the summer, and hopefully a return to form is back on the cards.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-15
15 August 2025
15:05 3:05 Newbury
Sunny Smile
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@4.33
Lose
-50
IF you look at a replay of the latest runs of those at the head of the market, it seems fairly clear that this one has the best credentials and the 10/3 looks great value. The horse showed a great attitude and hit the line hard when winning last time out and still recorded a time that was better than several previous winners of that race which were on faster ground. The owner has an incredible record with his horses for this trainer, his runners at Newbury and his runners when using this jockey so everything looks set for a big run here.
Subtotal-50
14 August 2025
18:00 6:00 Windsor
Reddeef
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@21.00
Lose
-50
This well-bred gelding is a maiden after 8 runs but could go very close here in his first run for a new trainer with a first-time tongue tie. The trainer also ups the horse in trip, which 100% looks like the right thing to do. His best race so far was a staying on half-length 2nd on the AW over a furlong less, and he races off the same mark here. Prior to that, he was sent off 6/4f in a novice race where he was disappointing, but most of the horses from that race have since won and run well off marks higher than Reddeef races off here. So the fact he was 6/4 fav suggests he's certainly got more of a chance here than the 20/1 odds would imply.
16:55 4:55 Beverley
William Marshal
Daily Racing
25 EWNBR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@101.00
Void
0
Clearly, this horse has next to no chance based on what we've seen in his four runs so far. However, he makes his debut for a new stable here, who are having a breakthrough season with three of their last four runners winning (the other was 2nd). Both trainer and jockey have also shown a very decent level stakes profit at the track. Hopefully, the switch to trainer, combined with a break and a step up in trip (which should suit on breeding), will see the horse in a better light here. It could just as easily be tailed off, but a small each-way bet could be worthwhile off this basement handicap mark.
16:10 4:10 Chepstow
Up The Anti
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@5.50
Lose
-50
This horse has only raced in a handicap over a mile once, and that resulted in a straightforward success when sent off 9/4f off a 1lb lower mark. It's therefore looking like the 9/2 is generous, especially since the horse has changed yards. The first run for the new stable last time out was full of promise when the horse was only beaten 1.5 lengths, despite everything going wrong in that race and it being over too short a trip.
Subtotal-100
13 August 2025
19:55 7:55 Ffos Las
Island Ocean
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@11.00
Lose
-50
The extra furlong looks sure to suit for this one, which was staying on into 3rd on handicap debut last time out over a furlong shorter. She has been dropped a pound, and the 3lb claimer has been replaced by a 3lb claimer with much better stats. The jockey has, in fact, won 2 of his 3 races for the yard in the last year. She's thoroughly unexposed, and the money often comes for these types from this stable, so hopefully, that will be the case again.
1 member found this comment useful
19:25 7:25 Ffos Las
Warrior King
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@8.50
Lose
-50
The cheekpieces could be the answer on handicap debut here after the horse has shown signs of greenness. In any event, he's going to improve for the switch to handicaps, and he was near enough to roughly 75-rated horses in his 6th of 10 in a hot-looking novice at Haydock to suggest he could be competitive off this mark of 65, with the headgear likely to bring further improvement. The stable does well with handicap debutantes too.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-100
12 August 2025
19:10 7:10 Hamilton
Wave Rider
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@4.50
Lose
-50
The ground was arguably too soft for this one last time out, but he still ran a cracker in the circumstances to finish 3rd of 13 in a decent handicap. Prior to that, he hacked up on better ground where the 2nd has franked the form since. Even her third in a novice race as a 2-year-old reads really well since the first 6 home have all won since, many off high handicap marks. So I like the chance of this one, with possibly Danger Bay the one to chase him home for the forecast.
1 member found this comment useful
16:25 4:25 Carlisle
Northern Attitude
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@9.00
Lose
-50
This filly makes her debut here for a stable going well. They've got this horse from a very small yard with just 1 turf winner in their last 65 runners, so it's safe to assume that the horse will have improved for the switch. The horse itself has the form in the book too and looks to be well handicapped on what we've seen so far. She's totally unexposed and gets the strongest jockey she's had on board yet, so I'm expecting a big run.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-100
11 August 2025
19:10 7:10 Windsor
Buccabay
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@19.00
Lose
-50
This horse's last win was only 4 starts ago off the same mark and over the same C&D. The same jockey is even booked after different jockeys for his last 2 runs, and the trainer is using first-time cheekpieces to squeeze out further improvement. The trainer's runners are flying too, and despite being the rank outsider, I don't think this is the long shot the bookies would have us believe.
16:00 4:00 Ayr
Pinpoint
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@21.00
Lose
-50
Pinpoint is a bit of a quirky customer and the rebooking of Callum Rodriguez is a positive. He was a neck 2nd on the horse last Summer off 60 and the horse is down to a mark of 51 now. The trainer has had 2 winners from his 6 runners this month and the horse is a course winner too. The 20/1 looks very generous to me with a lot in his favour.
Subtotal-100
10 August 2025
17:15 5:15 Haydock
Grace Angel
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@34.00
Lose
-50
Having been through the form of this race, I was expecting this one to be around 16/1. So at more than double that price, she rates as my best value bet of the day. It should be a good draw in stall 11, and it's a positive that Jason Watson is rebooked since he easily has the best record on this horse. The horse itself has had 4 runs over and won off 86 and been beaten half a length off 81. Her mark now has fallen to the lowest in a long time to 76, and as recently as April, she was placed off 85. So it's easy to make a case for her being overpriced here.
1 member found this comment useful
17:00 5:00 Leicester
Morte Point
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@10.00
Win
20
I'm happy to avoid the hot favorite here (American Style), which looks way overbet to me. That means there's value to be had elsewhere. This one fits the bill with a jockey upgrade and a staying on 4th, which was full of promise last time out. He's been dropped another 2 lb to 75 now, and his maiden win on debut would clearly suggest he's an 80+ horse. So I'm more than happy with this 9/1 price in the early market.
Subtotal-30
09 August 2025
16:45 4:45 Haydock
Volendam
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@21.00
Win
75
This horses staying on third here just 2 starts ago is the piece of form which gives her every chance now. She was well beaten by the front 2 but this extra furlong is sure to suit and she's 4lb lower now. When you also factor in that those front 2 were well in that day and are both now rated over 10lb higher, it all starts suggesting that Volendam shouldn't be one of the rank outsiders here.
1 member found this comment useful
16:10 4:10 Haydock
Excellent Believe
Daily Racing
50 WINNBNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@6.00
Win
250
A 3-year-old won this last year from the same stable, and it could well be a case of history repeating here. Punters might avoid this horse after a seemingly disappointing effort at Chester last time out when 6th of 8, but that doesn't tell the full story. He was very slow away from stall 1, and that's game over at Chester. This course should be much more suitable for him. He was also sent off as 2nd favorite, and that was a Listed race, so he's clearly thought enough of to potentially progress on to group races. Punters should take note, and the 5-length beating of odds-on shot River King before that suggests this horse could well be overpriced at 5/1 here.
1 member found this comment useful
14:45 2:45 Ascot
Great Bedwyn
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@15.00
Lose
-50
The jockey on board this one in a Shergar Cup race has way better stats than most and is riding for the powerful Hannon stable here. The horse's only run over C&D was when beaten less than a length off 82. He's off 88 now and has since won off just a 1 lb lower mark in a race run over a similar trip and ground as he gets here. Clearly, with the decent jockey and the good C&D run, the horse shouldn't be anywhere near 14/1 and is the best value bet of the day for me.
2 members found this comment useful
Subtotal275
08 August 2025
20:30 8:30 Haydock
Rascal Recknell
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@6.00
Lose
-50
I'd have this 5/1 shot nearer to 3/1, so he's a strong fancy for me at this price. The horse showed improved form to win on his first start for a new stable last time out (they often improve horses), and there could be much more to come now, especially since that was after overcoming an 8-month break. He's only been raised 2lb, and crucially, the form has been franked by the runner-up since winning off an 8lb higher mark. The third won their next race too. Saffie keeps the ride, and he looks a great bet at 5/1.
19:40 7:40 Newmarket
Muma Myflo
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@17.00
Lose
-50
Lady Mariko is all the rage here, but she has to defy a handicap rise, and the horses she's beaten in those last two wins haven't exactly shown much since. So she could be flattered by those two wins. This one is at the other end of the handicap, and she's likely to improve now for the switch to handicaps after two placed efforts in maidens. The trainer is going well, and he puts his main stable jockey on board for the first time.
19:05 7:05 Newmarket
Maui Breeze
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@13.00
Lose
-50
The trainer's runners are going better now than the last time this horse ran. In any case, she'll be fitter after that seasonal debut last time out. She was favourite to beat Rogue Sensation on the AW last year, and whilst she was only 2nd to that one, the fact that the winner is now a 95-rated horse and the runner-up in a Listed race suggests Maui Breeze could well be competitive here off just 77 with a good jockey booking.
Subtotal-150
07 August 2025
20:00 8:00 Chepstow
Haptics
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@11.00
Lose
-50
James Owen is getting quite a reputation for improving horses brought in from other stables, and this could well be another one. The horse was thought good enough for a handicap mark of 86 and is down to 77 now. The horse hasn't been beaten far in many of his races this year either and has often been a strong traveller. The new trainer will hopefully have unlocked that potential now and the 10/1 looks on the generous side.
1 member found this comment useful
19:00 7:00 Chepstow
Estrella Divina
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@7.50
Lose
-50
This horse won a novice race easily and in good style last time out when forging clear and I think she's been let in lightly here off an opening mark of 77 for her first handicap. The interesting angle here is that if you look at the previous half dozen or so winners of that Newcastle novice race, they would have an average rating somewhere in the 85-86 mark and all were off higher marks than 77. Given the ease of that win from this horse last time out, you'd have to say that she should be a mid 80s horse at least and she looks great value at 13/2.
1 member found this comment useful
17:30 5:30 Chepstow
Addison Grey
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@5.00
Lose
-50
This horse has hacked up in 2 of his 3 races to date, and Saffied has understandably picked this one over her dad's horse, which is also in the race. The bottom line is that we don't know the limits of this horse yet, and they could be quite high, judged on what we have seen with the naked eye so far. The horse was booked in for some big races in the Shergar Cup this weekend, so you'd expect him to be well capable of winning this lower target here.
1 member found this comment useful
16:55 4:55 Nottingham
Onslow Gardens
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@17.00
Lose
-50
This 5yo has plenty of ability which he hasn't shown recently and therefore the horse was moved stables to one that does well with these types. This is his third run for the new stable and now could be the time to build on the first of those when he was beaten just over a length when making up plenty of ground late on. The 2nd to City of Kings in a maiden as a 2yo shows just how much ability he has since that effort would mean he's about 25lb well in here (!) so I'm prepared to give him another chance.
14:40 2:40 Brighton
Licence To Conquer
Daily Racing
25 EW
@13.00
Lose
-50
Licence to Conquer has proven to be a little quirky in his short career, and it could well be that bagging the draw nearest the rail is a massive help. He was slow away in his maiden when staying on well into third and not beaten far, so you'd expect this extra furlong to be ideal. The horses around him would suggest that this mark of 70 should see the horse be very competitive. He's versatile regarding the ground, and the 12/1 looks e/w value.
Subtotal-250
06 August 2025
17:15 5:15 Yarmouth
Senor Cortez
Daily Racing
50 WINNAPNOTETip made at odds of 4.33 on 05/08 at 17:170.15 deduction for Zooks@6.00 withdrawn at 09:13R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 3.33 x (1-0.15) = 3.83
@3.83
Win
141
R Eddery won this race last year and despite his strike rate falling off in recent years, he is still a target trainer that places his horses well. He's booked a jockey who is still able to take 7lb off in this amateurs' race and he's been placed in 4 of his last 5 rides for him, including a 3rd in a hot 21-runner handicap at Donny. The horse showed massively improved form when going down by a nose on handicap debut last time out and races off the same mark here. He was the winner a fraction after the line but just didn't quite get there, and there was a yawning gap back to the 3rd. Looks set to make amends here and is a strong fancy for me.
2 members found this comment useful
15:15 3:15 Brighton
The Kamikaze King
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@6.50
Lose
-50
This classified race won't take much winning despite there being 15 runners, and this last time out winner can go in again off this 3lb higher mark. Prior to that, the horse was a neck 2nd here, so can clearly handle the course. It was the style of his win last time out which suggested that he can back that up now that he knows what is required. Jim Crowley is a strong jockey booking too. He's won 5 of his last 10 rides for this yard.
2 members found this comment useful
14:15 2:15 Brighton
Straight Back Up
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@11.00
Lose
-50
This bottom weight makes her debut for a new stable here, and they wouldn't be booking Hollie Doyle if they didn't have the horse ready and raring to go on debut for them after a 2-month break. The horse was 4th of 9 in a decent novice race on debut, but she was leading at this trip before fading. It looks like a very shrewd move by the new trainer to drop the horse back in trip. She's thoroughly unexposed and looks well worth an e/w bet here.
2 members found this comment useful
Subtotal41
05 August 2025
19:15 7:15 Newbury
Alondra
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@11.00
Lose
-50
This filly gets a serious jockey upgrade here with the first-time services of William Buick, who has a better strike rate for the yard than anyone. She's been a bit keen in some of her races, so this stronger handling should help. I'd like to see a change in tactics since she's been held up lately, but her sole win to date was when she sat in the front rank. She should go close if Buick gets his tactics right, I suspect.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-50
04 August 2025
20:28 8:28 Windsor
Blazing Bobcat
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@34.00
Lose
-50
The first thing to note with this trainer is that she is very adept at lining her unexposed horses up off attractive marks, and this one makes her handicap debut here off just 56. She's also booked a 3lb claiming apprentice who is great value for his claim. She used him just once, and that was a winner. The real clue, though, is the horse's run last time out to get this handicap mark, where it seems fairly clear to me that the horse had a lot more than we were allowed to see in that race. The upshot is, of course, that she gets this lenient-looking opening mark. The trainer also shows a level stakes profit at Windsor, and this might not be the forlorn outsider the bookies would lead us to believe.
15:40 3:40 Ripon
Mandurah
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@5.50
Lose
-50
This Kingman filly has been in two Group 3s and a Listed race in her 3 runs since winning her novice race on debut, which all suggests she could well be up to winning off this mark of 93. The trainer has his string in good order, and the runner-up in that novice race has since only gone down by only half a length in a Group race. The drop back to 6 furlongs is exactly what the horse needs too. Big chance.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-100
03 August 2025
16:00 4:00 Galway
Zabriskie Point
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@51.00
Lose
-50
The trainer has only had this horse for 2 runs and put an apprentice up both times, so the switch to an experienced jockey who won for the yard on his only ride for them this year looks to be significant. The horse also gets a first-time visor, and progeny of Blue Point usually improve when headgear is fitted. I'm hoping the forecast rain gets into the ground before the race since this horse's chances would improve with every drop. His only win to date was over this trip on soft ground off 93. He's down to 86 now, and despite not winning lately, the trainer's runners have shown a marked improvement in the last week or so.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-50
02 August 2025
17:50 5:50 Thirsk
Bueno Nacho
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@34.00
Lose
-50
Recent poor form is a concern, but at the end of the day, the horse's placed effort in a maiden was less than a year ago. Quite simply, that would be good enough to win this off a mark of just 63, with one of the best apprentices around booked to take off another 5lb. The horses around him in that race were rated an average of around 12lb higher than this horse races off here. Clearly, he's not run as well as that since, but the trainer's last runner won. I think this one will put in an all-or-nothing performance, so win only for me.
16:00 4:00 Newmarket
Rogue Invader
Daily Racing
25 EW
@13.00
Lose
-50
This horse has already proven to be a tricky character in his short career, and I'm hopeful that the first time jockey booking of Billy Loughnane does the trick since he clearly has stacks of potential. It's all going to be about how keenly the horse races but his easy win at Beverley was from 2 subsequent winners and he has the ability to go very close off this mark if the jockey can get a tune out of him.
1 member found this comment useful
15:45 3:45 Goodwood
Montpellier
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionBest Odds Guaranteed SP 19.00 used instead of 15.00 takenBOG
@19.00
Win
64
I like the breeding of this one, and a return to 7 furlongs is definitely a positive since he's 2 from 2 at this trip. The latest of those was when beating an odds-on favourite despite running green, and that horse is now, in effect, only rated 3lb lower than Montpellier, which suggests he should be able to go close to winning this. He was also 3 lengths in front of Kodi Lion when 2nd last time out, which is decent form.
2 members found this comment useful
15:30 3:30 Doncaster
Warm Glow
Daily Racing
50 WINR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@11.00
Void
0
3-year-olds have won this race in the last couple of years, and there are only 6 of the 15 runners in that category here. The horse has been well fancied in her last 3 runs (been placed twice) but can improve now with a first-time visor. She has traveled like a winner on a couple of occasions, and the visor could be the key to keeping her mind on the job. The drop back to 7 furlongs looks a real positive, and the jockey booked for the first time has an excellent strike rate on turf.
1 member found this comment useful
15:05 3:05 Goodwood
Germanic
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@41.00
Lose
-50
I feel like this horse has a big handicap in him, and hopefully today will be the day. The shrewd trainer has only had the horse for 4 races, which have been mainly on unsuitably fast ground. The one that wasn't was a very good 2nd on the AW. He ran just on soft ground in his 3 Autumn runs last year for his previous trainer (Haggas), and 2 of those were very decent efforts. One of those was a big field sprint when he did better than his finishing position suggests, having been done no favours by the draw. Looks worth an e/w bet at 40/1.
1 member found this comment useful
13:55 1:55 Goodwood
Dancing In Paris
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@12.00
Win
30
Saffie Osborne has only ridden this horse once before, which resulted in a very easy win (albeit off a much lower mark) where the 2nd and 3rd came out and won their next races. The rebooking of her is an obvious positive, and the horse has run some cracking races here where he's been placed in 3 of his 4 runs at the course, and that counts for a lot at this course. The horse hasn't raced in a handicap on ground this soft yet, but there have been clues from runs on good to soft and the like that he could well be suited by it.
2 members found this comment useful
Subtotal-56
01 August 2025
18:20 6:20 Newmarket
Prodigal Son
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@8.50
Lose
-50
We saw with "Time After Time" this week just how good this trainer is at lining her horses up on decent marks (and usually landing a gamble in the process). This unexposed horse has all the hallmarks of another one, and it certainly catches the eye that she's booked one of the very best 5lb claiming apprentices around. The horse showed promise when 4th last time out when weakening in the final furlong, and this furlong shorter trip is going to be ideal. He starts life in handicaps here off 71, and that jockey's claim really makes this look like a very decent bet.
1 member found this comment useful
16:55 4:55 Goodwood
Sea Of Kings
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@8.00
Lose
-50
This trip is going to catch many out in this ground, but Sea of Kings has been shaping as though he'll appreciate this extra test of stamina. That also ties in with the fact that he's a full brother to Sea of Class, which won the Irish Oaks and was 2nd in the Arc. Clearly, if he's anywhere near as good as that, he will win this off a mark of 83 with a strong jockey booking and a first-time tongue tie. The 7/1 in the early market looks way too generous.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-100
31 July 2025
14:45 2:45 Galway
Retracement
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@7.00
Lose
-50
This gelding by Australia is well drawn and could be poised to strike now on his 3rd start for his current stable having been brought in from the all conquering Haggas yard. His third at Yarmouth on debut was behind a future Group winner and ahead of some horses rated around the 90 mark so considering that was his debut, I'd say he could well be up to winning this off 84.
1 member found this comment useful
13:55 1:55 Goodwood
Chicago Call
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@41.00
Lose
-50
Johnny Murtagh knows a thing or two about high-class races, and this is the real unknown in the race. I suspect Murtagh wouldn't be lining up the horse if he didn't think he was a bit special. Whilst he clearly needs to progress, he looks just the type that could surprise. He easily beat a well-regarded horse from the O'Brien stable last time out and is bred to be very useful. Worth a small bet at this price, I would suggest.
1 member found this comment useful
13:20 1:20 Goodwood
High Degree
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@10.00
Lose
-50
Amongst those in the first half dozen or so in the betting, this one looks the most likely to be suited by a step up in trip. He is a strong fancy here, having run well in all three races so far over shorter. This well-bred colt comes from the same jockey/trainer combo as last year's winner, and the horses that he's been finishing close up to are of a high enough standard to suggest he should go very close here off this mark of 93.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-150
30 July 2025
16:55 4:55 Goodwood
Havana Blue
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@29.00
Lose
-50
Julie Camacho has always been very adept at lining her horses up on attractive handicap marks, and she's taken that to another level this season with several higher-grade handicappers landing some good prizes for her. Hopefully, this is another one to add to that roll call. Havana Blue's debut this season after a wind operation was full of promise, where she finished close up to Two Tribes, which has franked that form since. A look at previous winners of this race also shows that the winner is nearly always from a stable that lays one out (O'Meara, Evans, Fahey, etc.).
1 member found this comment useful
15:20 3:20 Redcar
Ajdayet
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@41.00
Lose
-50
I very much doubt that this horse will go off as big as 40/1 after the trainer landed a massive priced 4-timer from 5 runners yesterday. Clearly, her horses are running out of their skins at the moment. This horse's 4th of 8 in a novice race last summer for his previous trainer is good enough to go close here if you look at the horses around him in that race. The 2 runs this season have been to improve fitness, I suspect, and it could be all systems go now.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-100
29 July 2025
18:40 6:40 Galway
Grey Leader
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@12.00
Lose
-50
This bottom weight looks well handicapped to be with the first time booking of a decent Apprentice to knock another 3lb off. The horse is already a course winner off the same mark and he even followed that up with a decent 5th of 16 off a 7lb higher mark so he clearly likes it around here. The 2nd last time out also suggests he's primed to go in again soon and today could well be the day.
1 member found this comment useful
16:55 4:55 Goodwood
Zgharta
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@5.50
Lose
-50
The key to these races is often to check on the quality of horses that the selection has beat and the quality of those that have finished close to them. This filly for example, was always in command when winning her maiden at Newmarket and the 3rd and 4th have shown enough since to give that race a stamp of quality. The 4th for example was sent off 2nd fav for a Listed race when rated 102 and this all stacks up well for Zgharta to go close here off just 89.
1 member found this comment useful
15:45 3:45 Goodwood
Mon Na Slieve
Daily Racing
25 EW
@21.00
Lose
-50
Kevin Ryan likes to lay one out for a big handicap and hopefully this is another. This race isn't littered with well handicapped types and I think this outsider could surprise since last Summer he was racing off marks at around 91/92 before having a wind op. He races now off 87 with a new jockey booked who I actually prefer to many of the jockeys the stable usually uses. A fast ground 5 furlongs is ideal, and he could well be in the mix so the 20/1 will do for an e/w bet.
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13:55 1:55 Goodwood
Laureate Crown
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@12.00
Lose
-50
If ever there was a horse suited by Jamie Spencer, then this could well be it, judged by his easy win last time out when held up and finishing with a real rattle. That wasn't just any race either; it was a hot class 2 at Ascot. A look through the previous winners of that race and their respective winning times reveals that this horse clocked a really quick time and has plenty of gears. So there's no way he should be a double-figure price here, in my opinion, especially since that was his debut and he'll no doubt have come on for the run.
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13:20 1:20 Goodwood
English Oak
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@19.00
Lose
-50
This horse is a perennial slow starter but hopefully a new jockey will get a tune out of him early, it's also the first time the stable have used the experienced Soumillon. This horse was sent off just 4/1 in a Group 2 at this festival last Summer when 4th of 8 and surrounded by 110+ rated horses. He gets to race off just 97 in this handicap now and yet we are getting a generous looking 18/1. Hopefully he won't give away too much ground at the start this time and he's clearly weighted to win this on a going day.
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Subtotal-250
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