JamPizza

I'm a sports and betting enthusiast and love trying to solve the puzzle of big handicaps both on the flat and over the jumps. The majority of my tips are double figure prices and I rarely back the favourites. I'm always looking for value and try to post the tips the evening before to get the early prices. Twitter @JamPizza

1

Estimated Prizes
this month

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this month

JamPizza's Tips History

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20 December 2025
15:35 3:35 Ascot

Fiercely Proud

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@9.00

Lose

-50

There'll be a lot of interest here in the well-touted Alexei and Mondo Man, which both need to improve again off their new marks after excellent runs last time out. This 8/1 shot rates the clear each-way value for me. The horse comes here having finished 5th at Cheltenham last time out, which was a very encouraging effort on seasonal debut. The last three winners of this race all came here from that meeting and were placed 5-3-6. Crucially, the horse is 1 from 2 over C&D (the other run was when holding every chance before falling late on). The win was when just outbattling another horse which has since won easily off a 9 lb higher mark, with the pair a mile clear of the third. FP is 7 lb higher now and, on that evidence, can defy this higher mark after that prep run last time out.
15:15 3:15 Haydock

Imperial Merlin

Daily Racing

25 EW

@11.00

Lose

-50

This horse is friendless in the market but is 1 from 1 over C&D and gets the soft/heavy ground, which he loves. The staying-on fourth over too-short a trip last time out was an excellent prep race for this, where trip and ground are now ideal. Brian Hughes takes over in the saddle now, and the horse is only 2 lb higher than that C&D win, so the 10/1 looks like clear each-way value to me.
14:25 2:25 Ascot

Strong Leader

Daily Racing

25 EWNBNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 8.50 used instead of 6.00 takenBOG

@8.50

Win

12

Some might be put off by this horse being an 8-year-old, but horses of that age and older have won four of the last six runnings of this race. In any event, he hasn't got many miles on the clock. The horse was beaten just half a length by Impose Toi last time out and gets a 6 lb pull in the weights, so it's perhaps surprising that Impose Toi is around half the price of this one. He's the top-rated in the field too and looks an excellent each-way bet to nothing at 5/1.
14:05 2:05 Haydock

Saladins Son

Daily Racing

25 EW

@6.50

Win

2

The trainer is in cracking form, and this horse has shown that he has the stamina and resolution to see out this trip, which will take some getting in this soft ground. The horse has won very easily for Ben Godfrey in each of the three races he's been on board, and he's rebooked now after the horse was 2nd over C&D for Jack Tudor last time out. That was a good effort considering it was his seasonal debut, and he can build on that here.
11:45 11:45 Haydock

Super Freddie

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@5.00

Lose

-50

I'm not at all convinced that the favourite (Le Yacht)'s form is that strong, and I'm happy to take him on here. Super Freddie has a nice progressive profile and starts like in handicaps here off 111. The jockey is also superb value for his 3 lb claim, and I believe there's every reason to think that the horse has been let in lightly here off this mark. This softer ground should also suit, and the 4/1 looks a decent price to me in a race where there looks to be a lot of dead wood.
19 December 2025
18:29 5:30 Dundalk

Boxing Great

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.00

Win

180

This horse wasn't beaten far over this marathon C&D last time out, despite the apprentice on board doing plenty wrong. The horse is of real interest now that we know he has the stamina, and a pro jockey is now booked. The horse has been dropped a pound, and the new jockey has a decent record at the course. With the horse likely to run his race, I'd say this looks a decent E/W bet to nothing.
15:35 3:35 Ascot

Tally Ho Back

Daily Racing

25 EWNBNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 41.00 used instead of 34.00 takenBOG

@41.00

Win

175

This horse was backed on debut and ran well despite signs of greenness. There were other fancied horses in that race too, and I suspect that effort could be upgraded. The horse is related to some decent types, and the jockey has an incredible strike rate for the trainer, as he's also 5 from 15 in bumpers.
14:25 2:25 Ascot

Tashan

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@10.00

Lose

-50

Harry Cobden will have learned a lot about this horse when winning narrowly on him last time out, and as a result of that narrow win he's only gone up 2 lb. He showed a good attitude too, and the 4yo is likely to be progressing at a quicker rate than many of his rivals here. Looks likely to be very competitive here, and this bigger field and stronger pace should also play to his strengths.
18 December 2025
19:30 7:30 Chelmsford City

Em Four

Daily Racing

50 WINNB

@26.00

Lose

-50

25/1 is a crazy price for a horse with a win and a place from two runs over C&D. The key for me is the jockey, who is the first-time booking of Rob Hornby. The usual jockey, William Pyle, doesn't quite get the best out of the horse, and a new jockey could be the answer (Saffie, for example, won 2 of her last 3 rides on the horse). The horse is 1 lb lower than that placed effort over C&D last time out, and the trainer is showing signs that he's going better now than he was then. That C&D win has seen the 2nd, 3rd and 4th all come out and win since, and I'd expect the price of this one to shorten somewhat.
16:22 4:22 Southwell

Camera Shy

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@8.50

Lose

-50

This 3yo was beaten less than a length in an AW novice race over this trip as a 2yo just over a year ago and was in and around several future horses in the 75??"80 bracket. He's now racing off his lowest-ever handicap mark of 65 on his second start for a new trainer, who has fitted the tongue tie for the first time. That looks a good move, since progeny of Kodiac have a better record with a tongue tie than with any other type of headgear (or no headgear), and we might well see a return to the form of that novice race, which would surely be good enough to win this.
17 December 2025
17:40 5:40 Kempton

El Bodon

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@11.00

Win

300

This horse easily won his only previous race on the AW before then going on to finish 2nd in a Group 3 and subsequently being given official ratings of around 104. He's had a break and returns to handicaps here off 92 in his first AW run since that easy win. Jockey bookings would suggest the trainer has her horse fit and raring to go, and a return to 6 furlongs is definitely a positive too. Shouldn't be a double-figure price for sure.
17:25 5:25 Dundalk

California Baby

Daily Racing

25 EW

@41.00

Lose

-50

This is the rank outsider in this 17-runner race, but the trainer has a 17% strike rate on the AW, which blows almost all the others out of the water. He's booked a 7 lb claiming apprentice on this unexposed horse for the first time, who is posting some excellent stats on the AW. The step up in trip is almost guaranteed to suit, and the horse has already been dropped 6 lb from her initial handicap mark. She showed enough when leading here until the final 1.5 furlongs in October to give a glimpse of her true ability, and it might just be that she shows it now she races off such a lowly mark with the 7 lb claimer booked.
15:20 3:20 Lingfield

Charlatan

Daily Racing

25 EWNBNOTETip made at odds of 17.00 on 16/12 at 16:550.10 deduction for Bear To Dream@8.50 withdrawn at 07:43R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 16.00 x (1-0.10) = 15.40

@15.40

Win

47

Charlatan has had three runs over course and distance, which include a win off 49 and a placed effort off 55. He's down to 49 again now, and the trainer has spotted a good opportunity here. This is also confirmed by the jockey booking, who is 4 from 10 on the horse (the horse is from 18 for other jockeys). Clearly, all this evidence suggests we can expect a big race from the horse, and the 16/1 is way too big; it should be nearer to half those odds, I would suggest.
16 December 2025
14:15 2:15 Catterick

Somebodycomegether

Daily Racing

25 EWNAPNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@9.00

Win

240

The tongue tie and cheekpieces combo has done the trick recently for this horse, which has been running better when they have been applied. They are still trying to get her best trip sorted, but on balance you'd have to say that this could well be it on this good to soft ground. She's still unexposed and looks sure to be bang there, so the 15/2 looks a good each-way price to me.
14 December 2025
15:10 3:10 Southwell

Gold Link

Daily Racing

25 EWNAPNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@10.00

Win

31

The key to this one looks to be a left-handed track. He flopped on a right-handed track last time out, but of his four left-handed track runs this year he's finished 2-2-1-2. Ben Jones was the last jockey to win on the horse (off a 4 lb lower mark), and his rebooking is a positive for me. The ground should be ideal (was arguably too fast last time out), and a big run looks on the cards.
12:50 12:50 Navan

San Hilario

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@6.50

Win

2

I liked the improved effort in first-time cheekpieces last time out when 2nd of 20, having been upped to this trip for the first time. That level of form under similar conditions here would be enough to be bang in the mix. The fact that he gets the services of Jack Kennedy for the first time now suggests that the trainer thinks he's found a winnable race for the horse here.
13 December 2025
17:00 5:00 Wolverhampton

Amerjeet

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@15.00

Lose

-50

I'm expecting an all-or-nothing performance from this one, and therefore I'll go win only in the hope it's the former. He makes his debut for a new stable here, who do well with their handicappers, and the horse is only a 3yo, so hopefully the yard switch has worked since he's really well in on some of his 2yo form. The length defeat over C&D on debut, for example, would have the horse easily rated as 80+, so off this mark of just 57 for a new stable, the 16/1 is too big to pass on.
1 member found this comment useful
15:35 3:35 Cheltenham

Sweet Caryline

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@6.00

Lose

-50

This race structure is ideal for an each-way bet to nothing with 8 runners and 10 runners, half of which are 16/1 and bigger. This 5/1 shot is chasing a four-timer and is going to be very hard to keep out of the first three. She never wins by far, but those are often the best ones since the handicapper takes a while to catch up with them. She's clearly versatile too, having landed the odds last time out by winning over 5 furlongs further than her win in the race before. This trip could well be ideal ??" big chance.
1 member found this comment useful
13:15 1:15 Cheltenham

Me Wee Bonnie Lass

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@17.00

Lose

-50

Gavin Cromwell won this race two years ago, and his sole entry last year ran well despite not being placed. This one is worth a closer look. His winner two years ago wasn't in particularly good form, and he clearly campaigned the horse to arrive here on a good mark. That could well be the case with this one. The chase mark is below her hurdle mark now. The horse won on heavy at the start of her career and has been racing mainly on good ground since then. Perhaps soft ground and first-time cheekpieces could see her return to form. Being by Doyen, she's likely to have more ability than she's shown to date in those recent runs.
1 member found this comment useful
12:10 12:10 Cheltenham

Wolf Rayet

Daily Racing

25 EW

@34.00

Lose

-50

There's obviously a lot of guesswork here, with not much in the way of form to go on. But on breeding this one sticks out as being easily in the top three or four best bred in the race, and the 33/1 could well be the each-way value despite being easily beaten last time out. The winner of that race was then only just touched off in a Listed hurdle. Wolf Rayet was putting his best work in late in that race too, and he could step up massively on that effort with a first-time tongue tie. The softer ground should also suit, and he looks overpriced where the more fancied runners have a few doubts against some of them.
1 member found this comment useful
12 December 2025
20:15 8:15 Dundalk

Lady Kai

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@7.00

Lose

-50

The jockey can gain compensation here after arguably not giving the horse the best of rides when failing to catch the leader last time out, going down by less than a length. The winner there has gone out and won his next race, so this one is worth giving another chance to off a 3 lb higher mark, with the first-time visor fitted (usually helps on breeding). Hopefully the jockey will not give the horse as much ground to make up this time around.
15:00 3:00 Cheltenham

Mister Coffey

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@7.00

Lose

-50

Five of the last ten winners of this race came here after placing over a shorter trip at the November Cheltenham meeting. That 50% strike rate is a huge positive for the only such candidate this year, Mister Coffey. That second-place finish last time out had everything you'd want to see for this race. The horse was staying on well despite the trip being way too short. Course form is obviously a major positive here, and Busselton, who’s the favorite, has yet to place in six races at the course.
1 member found this comment useful
14:25 2:25 Cheltenham

Can You Call

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@11.00

Win

300

Can You Call was a very decent third in a similar race here last time out. There's every chance he can progress again and go even closer. In the race before that he was stone last and beaten 33 lengths. He is 2 lb higher now (and a pound out of the handicap), but I like the jockey switch to Ben Jones. Now that the horse has taken a step in the right direction, he could well build on that effort last time out. He's a 10-year-old in this veterans' race, and that's usually a positive too.
1 member found this comment useful
13:50 1:50 Cheltenham

King Turgeon

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@6.50

Lose

-50

King Turgeon is an each-way bet to nothing for me here at 11/2 in this 9-runner race with 3 places paid. The horse has won 2 of his 3 races here. The latest of those wins was over C&D when powering clear up the hill to win off a 3 lb lower mark than he races off here. He lost his form last season after that, but the wind-op in the close season looks to have got the horse back, judged on a promising return at Aintree last time out on seasonal debut where he finished 6th of 17. That looks a good prep for this, which would have been the main aim anyway.
1 member found this comment useful
13:15 1:15 Cheltenham

Leloopa

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@6.00

Lose

-50

This last-time-out C&D winner (in good style) has to be the bet of the day for me at 5/1 to defy the 6 lb rise in the handicap. The conditional jockey on board keeps the ride, and he's got a very impressive record here: 3 wins and 7 places from just 12 rides. There are two real keys to the horse following up that win here. The first is that the LTO win was the first after a wind op, which has clearly improved the horse. The second is that the time of that race on good-to-soft was very good compared with previous runnings of the race on better ground.
1 member found this comment useful
11 December 2025
15:30 3:25 Warwick

Sassella Storm

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@26.00

Lose

-50

I like the breeding of this one, whose sire has produced horses of generally better ability than that of the favourite (Tandy's Bridge). So the 25/1 could be the each-way value in the race. It's the first time the in-form trainer has booked Dylan Johnston, which is another positive for me. He has a decent record in bumpers and a decent record at the course, with a winner and four places from just six rides. The horse is related to several decent winners and the trainer is flying, so there's a lot to like.
14:50 2:50 Punchestown

Sarahs Express

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@13.00

Lose

-50

This horse won a PTP at this trip and has clearly been racing over too short a trip in her two runs under rules so far. The fifth of 21 last time out was over a mile shorter when she wasn't placed in the race and was never nearer. Those are the sort of comments associated with horses that are being lined up for a big run in a handicap over the correct trip, and it's blindingly obvious that she needs this trip.
13:45 1:45 Newcastle

Byron Hill

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@17.00

Lose

-50

This is the first time the trainer has booked this excellent 5 lb claiming apprentice, and he's something of a course specialist this year, having won 4 of his 10 rides here. The piece of form that gives this horse a strong chance here is the 3rd of 10 at Carlisle just over a year ago, when he was ahead of Moon Chime, which has since won off a mark over 20 lb higher than Byron Hill races off here. He's been out of sorts mostly since then after a spell over jumps and an AW flat run, but he's had a little break now, and I'm hopeful this new jockey can rekindle him.
10 December 2025
20:30 8:30 Kempton

Southbank

Daily Racing

25 EWNAPR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@7.50

Void

0

This one very much looks like an each-way bet to nothing. Charles Bishop is back on board, and he won the only other time he rode the horse, which was a victory over C&D just two starts ago. He's 3 lb higher now but was well on top at the finish, and there's no reason he can't win off this higher mark. The second, third, and fourth have all run well since.
17:45 5:45 Dundalk

Kc Bear

Daily Racing

50 WINNBNOTETip made at odds of 9.50 on 09/12 at 17:580.10 deduction for Stone Bear@10.00 withdrawn at 11:090.00 deduction for Lilo Pelekai @51.000 withdrawn at 11:090.00 deduction for Klein Blue @11.000 withdrawn at 11:09R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 8.50 x (1-0.1) = 8.65

@8.65

Win

382

Noel Meade doesn't book Colin Keane unless he has a well-handicapped horse on his hands. That looks to be the case here after the horse was an excellent third for an apprentice last time out when held up and making up stacks of ground. Clearly the horse will have been targeted with handicaps in mind, and he should improve again off this 1 lb higher mark now that he's pro ridden.
09 December 2025
19:00 7:00 Newcastle

Yellow Lemons

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@11.00

Lose

-50

The trainer has had 2 winners and a further 3 seconds (all beaten less than a length) in his last 12 runners. I like the jockey switch here to one who has been riding this course well lately. The horse hasn't been beaten far in two of her last three runs, which were all over C&D and off the same mark. The trainer is in slightly better form now, and with the different jockey, I think she can go even closer this time. The 10/1 rates as the E/W value in the race.
1 member found this comment useful
15:33 3:33 Uttoxeter

Volakes

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@11.00

Lose

-50

This horse raced at a decent level on the Flat for Haggas, and that suggests this mark of 102 could underestimate her now that she gets the step up in trip, which looks certain to suit. She was outpaced late on last time out but showed enough to suggest that this extra half mile should be ideal. The trainer is in good form, and he's one of the best at placing his horses well.
1 member found this comment useful
14:50 2:50 Punchestown

Sarahs Express

Daily Racing

25 EW

@17.00

Void

0

This horse won a PTP at this trip and has clearly been racing over too short a trip in her two runs under rules so far. The fifth of 21 last time out was over a mile shorter when she wasn't placed in the race and was never nearer. Those are the sort of comments associated with horses that are being lined up for a big run in a handicap over the correct trip, and it's blindingly obvious that she needs this trip.
1 member found this comment useful
08 December 2025
14:15 2:15 Musselburgh

Cage Rattler

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@17.00

Lose

-50

If you look at this horse's staying-on effort at this course over a shorter trip on his last start, it's easy to make a case for him here at a very generous 16/1. The same jockey is booked, and he's good value for his 7 lb claim. That was his first time on the horse, which was a step up on previous efforts, and the handicapper has even dropped him 2 lb, so there are a lot of positives.
1 member found this comment useful
12:07 12:07 Lingfield

Towerlands

Daily Racing

50 WINNB

@6.00

Win

250

This horse has a 6 lb rise to defy after winning in great fashion last time out, which was his first run in an AW handicap. That was something of a breakthrough run. For me, the horse gets a major jockey upgrade now, so there are certainly plenty of reasons why he could well win off this higher mark. He has a nice progressive profile, and Rossa Ryan has a 25% strike rate at the course.
1 member found this comment useful
07 December 2025
13:15 1:15 Huntingdon

Haas Boy

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@9.00

Win

15

This one looks good value to complete the hat-trick under Harry Cobden here. He won on his only previous run over C&D, which was a maiden hurdle. Crucially, the second and third from that race have both won since off effectively higher marks than Haas Boy races off here. That was on soft ground too, and despite the horse winning on good ground last time out, I think this ground is his optimal.
1 member found this comment useful
12:20 12:20 Kelso

Glen Road

Daily Racing

25 EWNBNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 6.00 used instead of 5.50 takenBOG

@6.00

Win

150

The jockey on board this one is one of the most improved around, for my money, and he's won 3 of his 6 rides on the horse. The win last time out suggested there could be a lot more to come, especially since he's had a wind op, and that looks to have improved the 6yo. That was on soft ground, and the runner-up won his next race too. He looks sure to run his race and give the front two in the market plenty to think about.
1 member found this comment useful
06 December 2025
19:00 7:00 Wolverhampton

Apache Eagle

Daily Racing

25 EW

@26.00

Lose

-50

The jockey booked for this one actually has much better stats over these marathon trips than the shorter ones, and he's been placed in 2 of his 3 rides for the stable. The horse itself has shaped as though an extreme trip is required, and that is also borne out in breeding, since progeny of New Approach have won three times over C&D from just 13 races. He should be staying on at the end while many of his rivals' stamina will be running out.
1 member found this comment useful
16:30 4:30 Wolverhampton

Dragon God

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@12.00

Lose

-50

I made a note of this one when looking at the form last night, with a view that it was the most unexposed horse and any market support could be significant. The money has come now, and that was clearly required if the trainer thinks he has him on a good mark for his handicap debut. The horse has had a wind op and gets a first-time tongue tie too, which are likely to bring about improvement for this well-bred colt whose last two runs have hinted at ability anyway (though obviously being targeted for handicaps).
14:40 2:40 Aintree

Westerninthepark

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@10.00

Lose

-50

This horse arguably blew up a bit on its seasonal debut last time out when fading into fourth when sent off favourite, and will strip fitter here off this 1 lb lower mark. There's plenty of rain in the forecast, too, and this horse is going to appreciate softer ground more than most. Should probably be a couple of points shorter and looks the each-way value in the race to me.
1 member found this comment useful
14:25 2:25 Sandown

Glynn Brae

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.50

Lose

-50

This 2nd favourite looks the value to upset the Skelton-trained favourite, who is making his seasonal debut and is a 9-year-old, so looks opposable to me. Glynn Brae, on the other hand, won on seasonal debut last time out and is only a 5-year-old. He showed a good attitude to win that race narrowly despite making a couple of mistakes late on. That was arguably due to rustiness, since he's generally been a good hurdler and could well be even better now that he's had that race. The same excellent 5 lb claiming conditional is booked for the ride once more.
1 member found this comment useful
13:20 1:20 Sandown

Absolutely Doyen

Daily Racing

50 WINR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@5.00

Void

0

I was on the runner-up in the race that this one won last time out with plenty in hand. The pair of them were backed off the boards, and I suspect that form is going to be well worth following. Absolutely Doyen obviously has this higher handicap mark to contend with now, and he's still at the bottom end of the handicap. He's only a 5yo, so will be progressing quickly, and the stable won this race last year.
1 member found this comment useful
13:04 1:04 Chepstow

Champagne Chic

Daily Racing

50 WINNB

@9.00

Lose

-50

The trainer has hit form in the last week or so, and this one will strip fitter after the seasonal debut run when his horses weren't going as well. The horse has an unexposed and progressive profile and looks just the type for this race. His win in a novice hurdle at the start of the year would put this horse easily around 5 or 6 lb ahead of his current mark, in my eyes, and he won't mind any further rain.
1 member found this comment useful
05 December 2025
19:15 7:15 Newcastle

Sir Maxi

Daily Racing

25 EW

@51.00

Lose

-50

These amateur jockey races aren't ones for betting at the top end of the market usually. At the other end of the market is this one, which is well handicapped on the pick of his form. He has a jockey booking who has posted very good stats in her handful of rides so far (the same can't be said about many of the other jockeys). The horse pulled away his chance last time out for an apprentice, and if this jockey can settle the horse, then he's 8 lb lower than his last winning mark, which was as recent as earlier this year. I also like the switch to cheekpieces, which saw the horse run well at the start of his career (he was 2nd off 79 with them on and is racing here off 51).
17:45 5:45 Newcastle

Teardrops

Daily Racing

50 WINNB

@3.75

Win

137

This horse was well supported before winning with stacks in hand last time out with this first-time headgear combo. The headgear could well have done the trick, and despite the 7 lb rise, he showed enough there to suggest he can defy it. One of the reasons to think he can go in again is that the time recorded in that win was very good considering how easy it was, so he clearly could have gone a lot quicker if pushed.
14:33 2:33 Exeter

Jack Hoola

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.75

Lose

-50

If you watch a replay of this horse's last win, then you'd have to say that the first-time application of blinkers here is a no-brainer and could bring about plenty of improvement. The horse travels well in his races and then starts looking around, so this is a clear example of where they should be beneficial. He's clearly race-fit after that run, and I expect him to get the better of Chedingtons Guest.
12:35 12:35 Sandown

Enziya

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@21.00

Lose

-50

The trainer has been posting some decent stats since running under rules, and it's jumping out that the booking of Sean Bowen on this one could be significant since he's never used him before. The horse was pitched into Listed hurdle company last time out after running on the AW. That was clearly above his level, but he's had a wind op now and gets one of the best around in the saddle. So 20/1 in a 9-runner race with the first 3 being paid looks the play. The horse won off 66 on the flat, and that translates to a 100+ hurdles horse, so that could well be good enough to see him figure here.
04 December 2025
20:30 8:30 Chelmsford City

Newfire

Daily Racing

50 WINNB

@51.00

Lose

-50

This horse is 50/1, and yet there are pieces of form from as recently as last year that suggest she's well handicapped here. Furthermore, it's just her second start for a stable that does well with horses brought in. The shrewd trainer has upgraded his jockey to one he relies on after that debut run for the stable last time out. Those runs last year were a win of 54 and a neck second off 60. Both those runs have been franked by some horses since, too. The horse is down to 50 now, and this first visit to the track could also bring improvement, since the horse's sire has progeny with an impressive 18 wins from just 70 runners here.
18:00 6:00 Chelmsford City

Cherry Cobbler

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@4.00

Lose

-50

The first-time booking of Rossa Ryan catches the eye here, since he has a superb record this year for this stable, who use him sparingly. The horse's win in a maiden at the start of the year has a few clues that he's going to be nearer an 80-rated horse than the 76 at which he races here. He'll strip fitter after the seasonal-debut placed effort last time out and looks the one to beat.
03 December 2025
19:40 7:40 Kempton

Buccabay

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@11.00

Win

300

I was on this one last time out when the jockey would have the race back again if he could. Not much went right, and the jockey had plenty of horse underneath him when finding trouble in running. Hopefully redemption is on the cards here off this 1 lb lower mark. On that evidence, he has the ability to win off this mark. The 5yo runs off 78 now but has won twice off marks in the mid-80s, and he went down by just a neck here off 82 in the past.
18:10 6:10 Kempton

Clouds Hill

Daily Racing

50 WINNB

@4.33

Lose

-50

If you piece together all the evidence from this horse's three runs, you'd have to say that he could have a few pounds in hand of this mark. He was sent off 5/4f before winning on his AW debut for this excellent 5 lb claiming apprentice last time out, and there could be more to come now he's sent handicapping.
14:38 2:38 Haydock

Jericoacoara

Daily Racing

25 EWNAPR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@9.50

Void

0

Micky Hammond's runners have hit a real purple patch lately and this one can build on a close-up 5th last time out when his horses weren't in as good form. He made a mess of the last that day and was possibly tiring over that longer trip, so the drop back in trip looks ideal. Brian Hughes is booked again and the horse has been dropped a pound too.

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