JamPizza

I'm a sports and betting enthusiast and love trying to solve the puzzle of big handicaps both on the flat and over the jumps. The majority of my tips are double figure prices and I rarely back the favourites. I'm always looking for value and try to post the tips the evening before to get the early prices. Twitter @JamPizza

1

Estimated Prizes
this month

£10

Estimated Prize money
this month

JamPizza's Tips History

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13 June 2024
17:05 5:05 Newbury

Ormolulu

Daily Racing

25 EW

@23.00

Lose

-50

Jamie Osborne is yet to have a winner in June but there are signs that they're starting to run better now and the booking of Saffie suggests he quietly fancies this one. She's won 2 races at this trip, the latest one was under the same trip and ground as she gets here and she is only 1lb higher now. She hacked up on the AW on her 2nd run last year where the 2nd and 3rd have franked the form, this is her 2nd start this year so hopefully history will repeat itself.
16:10 4:10 Yarmouth

Reine Des Coeurs

Daily Racing

50 WINNB

@9.50

Lose

-50

This is one of those where ideally you'd like to see the money for the horse since she's making her handicap debut after a wind op with a first time tongue tie, but there's more than a suggestion that she could be well in here and I'll get on board in the hope the money comes. There are many clues in the breeding that this soft ground is going to bring out the best in the horse, and the sires record with producing soft ground loving fillies is exceptional which leads me to believe that a mark of 57 with the strong stable jockey booked could see the horse go very close.
14:00 2:00 Yarmouth

Love Is A Rose

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@17.00

Lose

-50

This horse is the rank outsider of the field, but 16/1 looks more than generous to me in this 7 runner race where I'll go win only since there's only 2 places being paid. The trainer has booked one of the best Apprentices around for this apprentice race and he's won on 2 of his 5 rides at the track (the trainer does well at the course too). The step up in trip and a first run on soft ground could well be the key for this unexposed horse here since on breeding, both should suit and she could step up massively on previous efforts here. Her debut run was in a hot maiden and whilst she was only 6th, she still finished ahead of a couple of horses which are now rated 10lb and more abouve what she races off here so I'll take a chance on her at 16/1.
12 June 2024
21:00 9:00 Hamilton

Shahnaz

Daily Racing

25 EWNBNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@11.00

Win

300

This horse is 2 from 4 over c&d off marks of 53 and 59 (she's also won off 69) so this 5yo has to be worth serious consideration off just 55 with a first time jockey booked on the horse who does particularly well when riding for this stable. Despite one of those wins being on good to soft, the horse is better horse on faster ground such as she gets here (all her other wins and places were on good ground or faster).
1 member found this comment useful
14:00 2:00 Yarmouth

Salaamaat

Daily Racing

25 EWNAPR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@6.00

Void

0

I seem to be backing a lot of these "e/w bet to nothing" types lately, and this is another that fits the bill with SDS booked who could no doubt have ridden one or two others in the race. He's been beaten less than 2 lengths when placed on the horse on each of her last 2 races which were on the AW. There's plenty of hope that she'll handle this soft ground in her breeding and she could well have a favourable draw judging by recent runnings over c&d on soft ground.
1 member found this comment useful
11 June 2024
17:07 5:07 Salisbury

Miss Bielsa

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@15.00

Lose

-50

This unexposed horse could be anything and looks well worthy of a bet at 14/1 for such a powerful trainer.jockey combo. The key to the potential of this horse could be in the breeding since the sire has produced many Group winners, and indeed his progeny have a great record over c&d. Of the last 12 fillies of this sire to race over c&d, 4 have won and they tend to like fast ground too so there's every chance this horse could be on a decent opening handicap mark of 78 here.
15:02 3:02 Salisbury

High Violet

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@15.00

Win

45

This is another unexposed horse which could be overpriced in an open looking race. The first time tongue tie certainly is of interest and the trainer does well here when he has a rare runner. The drop back in trip should suit since this horse was leading at around this distance last time out, and on debut she was only a neck behind a horse that's since won off 74 to High Violet's mark of 65 could well see her competitive here especially if the tongue tie does the trick.
10 June 2024
20:40 8:40 Windsor

Rebel Angel

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@12.00

Lose

-50

Rebel Angel showed improved form to be placed last time out in a first time visor and should go close again with the same excellent 7lb claimer booked who is one of the best around. The jockey was shuffled out wide in that run too and still wasn't beaten far so it's not hard to see the horse being in the mix here The horse also has a couple of wins at this trip and the 11/1 looks decent e/w value. David Pipe also has a good record at the course.
1 member found this comment useful
20:30 8:30 Pontefract

Tiberio Force

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@7.50

Lose

-50

This horse is down to 46 now and the jockey takes off a further 3lb so he looks a good bet to me having hinted at a return to form last time out and having previously won off 52 in a race which was over the same trip and ground as he gets here (he's not had those conditions much since in truth). He was beaten just over 3 lengths on his only c&d run off 50 and the jockeys claim mean he's in effect 7lb better off now.
1 member found this comment useful
09 June 2024
16:30 4:30 Goodwood

Vino Victrix

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@6.00

Push

0

This looks like another great e/w bet to nothing to me with 3 places paid and I'll be doing an e/w double with my nap on the two of them. The great thing about these marathon trips on the flat is that many horses don't have the stamina so when you find a c&d winner, that's half the battle especially if you can get your money back if it "only" finished third. That win was off 88 and he's a pound lower now and has been racing off mainly higher marks since. The same jockey is rebooked and that's another positiive for me.
1 member found this comment useful
14:10 2:10 Goodwood

Son Of Man

Daily Racing

25 EWNAPNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@7.00

Win

5

This one is a little weak in the early market but at the end of the day has been placed in Group company and will surely be hard to keep out of the frame in this 9 runner race so rates an excellent e/w bet to nothing for me. The trainer has rebooked her "go to" jockey for when she fancies the horses chances and indeed he was last on board for that placed effort in the Group race. Even the horses easy win on debut when beating mid 90 rated horses is enough to put him in the mix here off 93.
1 member found this comment useful
08 June 2024
16:45 4:45 Haydock

Batal Dubai

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@9.50

Lose

-50

The high draw could well be an advantage here and the horse has won on his only previous attempt here over c&d. That win was on debut and was very impressive on similarly fast ground. This horse hacked up and the 2nd has since performed at a level well enough to think this horse is on a winnable mark here. The trainer puts the cheekpieces on now to try and squeeze out further improvement and the 9/1 looks on the generous side.
1 member found this comment useful
15:55 3:55 Catterick

Crooked Crown

Daily Racing

25 EW

@21.00

Lose

-50

This in form trainer has booked one of the best 3lb claimers around for this ride and he's won on 5 of his last 15 rides for the stable. The horse didn't show anything on his debut for a new stable last time out but I'll draw a line through that on the grounds that the going wouldn't have been fast enough so didn't suit the horse. She's actually only had one run on really fast ground at the minimum trip which resulted in a win in a maiden where the 4th and 5th are now 80+ rated horses. Crooked Crown races here off just 61 and her chance is there for all to see so i'd expect the 20/1 to get snapped up.
1 member found this comment useful
15:20 3:20 Catterick

Pearl Sands

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@34.00

Win

140

The trainer does particularly well at this course (one of his local ones), and he's booked a 5lb claimer here who has 2 wins and a place from just 5 rides for the yard. The drop back in trip looks the key for this unexposed horse since he was leading at around this distance before fading in the final couple of furlongs just 2 starts ago. He's down to 54 now and is 12lb lower than his initial handicap mark. This is only his 4th handicap though and with the jockey's claim, this unexposed horse is surely worth giving another chance.
1 member found this comment useful
07 June 2024
18:58 6:58 Haydock

Master Dandy

Daily Racing

25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@12.00

Void

0

Master Dandy has yet to race over a good ground 6 furlongs but the form from his 5 career races thus far would suggest this could well be ideal. The ground was arguably too soft last time out but some of his AW form would see him going very close here. The trainer is flying at the moment and has booked his regular jockey for the first time on the horse.
16:40 4:40 Thirsk

Lord Abama

Daily Racing

50 WINNBNOTETip made at odds of 7.00 on 06/06 at 17:150.20 deduction for Run This Way@5.00 withdrawn at 13:55R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 6.00 x (1-0.20) = 5.80

@5.80

Win

240

Whether it was the fast ground, the c&d, the front running tactics, or the blinkers which did the trick last time out, I don't know. It could have been all of them and everything clicked for an easy win so I don't see why he can't go in again off this 5lb higher mark over the same c&d on the same decent ground. There's a jockey switch now but he has a similar strike rate to the last jockey, and there's surely a better than 6/1 chance that he makes it back to back wins.
16:08 4:08 Thirsk

Bint Alfella

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@17.00

Lose

-50

This well bred filly has had a wind op and a break since her last start and she looks well in here to me off a mark of just 66 for her first turf handicap. She ran a cracker on debut on turf when 2nd and followed it up with a 2nd on the AW, she was beaten no more than a length in both of these and clearly runs well when fresh (as was the case for both runs). There are formlines which suggests she's arguably 6lb and more ahead of this mark and if the wind op has worked, it would be no surprise to see her going close here despite the 16/1 quote.
06 June 2024
15:35 3:35 Haydock

Match Play

Daily Racing

50 WINNB

@5.00

Lose

-50

The trainer is firing at the moment and he's booked an excellent jockey who has won 5 of his last 12 rides for the stable. This looks a great opportunity for this horse which won over c&d last year off a 1lb lower mark (won easily). He was then upped to a 5lb higher mark than today and only went down by a length. This looks to be perfect placement by the trainer and the horse can go in again at a c&d that obviously suits.
15:25 3:25 Hamilton

Monsieur Kodi

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.50

Lose

-50

I think this horse is going to be very hard to keep out of the frame at 13/2 and he rates a rock solid e/w bet to nothing for a red hot trainer/jockey combo that have won their last 4 together. If you look at the horses turf runs with a similar amount of runners (he isn't really suited by the faster pace in bigger fields), then his recent record is 133125. He's won off this mark and been beaten a head off a 2lb higher mark so with the trainer in tremendous form, this one is well worthy of a bet.
15:05 3:05 Haydock

Cool Dividend

Daily Racing

50 WINNAPNOTETip made at odds of 7.00 on 05/06 at 17:230.00 deduction for Solar Aclaim@13.00 withdrawn at 06:070.15 deduction for Nariko @5.500 withdrawn at 09:03R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 6.00 x (1-0.15) = 6.10

@6.10

Win

255

Having been through the form of this race, I wasn't expecting to see this horse at any bigger than 4/1 so at 6/1, he rates the bet of the day for me. He is one of the most unexposed horses in the field, and quite simply the horses that this one has been finishing close up to, have proven on several occasions, that the collateral form means that this horse looks to be on a good mark here. I think he could easily be 5lb+ well in and he's clearly been campaigned with handicapping in mind. Course specialist Richard Kingscote is booked for only the 2nd time on the horse which is another clue and this looks a strong bet to me.
14:55 2:55 Hamilton

Back Tomorrow

Daily Racing

25 EW

@31.00

Lose

-50

This filly makes here debut for a new stable here and they have given her a 3 month break which interestingly is the same break she had before winning on her first run last year off 58 before then going on to win off 61. That win off 61 was the only time Jason Hart had ridden the horse so his rebooking looks significant here. The horse won with something in hand then too so she can surely be competitive off this 3lb higher mark and the 30/1 looks way too generous.
05 June 2024
21:00 9:00 Ripon

Bellasio

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@7.00

Lose

-50

This horse is being backed in the early market which is no surprise since the form of his 2nd in a novice race at Newcastle on debut is of such a level that he could have stacks in hand of the handicapper here judging by subsequent runs of the horses which this one finished ahead of. The turf run last time out was to gain fitness and get a decent handicap mark and this all suggests that it could be all systems go now off this mark.
1 member found this comment useful
19:15 7:15 Kempton

Sunfall

Daily Racing

25 EWNBR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@8.50

Void

0

This horse flopped when well fancied on her turf debut run last time out (her first handicap), but was impressive when winning over c&d prior to that and that form has since been franked enough to suggest she's on a winnable mark here. The powerful trainer/jockey combo look to have a great chance in this lower grade than usual and the owners tend to have horse which are better than 75 rated handicappers so this one makes plenty of e/w appeal at 15/2 despite being weak in the early market.
1 member found this comment useful
04 June 2024
16:38 4:38 Leicester

Mother Mary

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@11.00

Lose

-50

There's a lot of horses being backed in this (Mother Mary isn't one of them), but the horse makes her debut for a new trainer who I believe wouldn't be booking a 7lb claimer as good as this one if he didn't fancy his chances. The horse has shown little on her 2 runs this season but a return to softer ground looks to be the key here and there's no doubt that some of her form from last year (on easy ground) gives her a serious chance off this mark. The unease in the market is a concern (the trainer's runners are usually supported when running well), but if the money comes, I'd be starting to get more hopeful.
1 member found this comment useful
15:03 3:03 Leicester

Letmebetheboss

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@11.00

Lose

-50

This horse makes his handicap debut here off just 52 on his 2nd start since a wind op and it could be all systems go now. The trainers are experts at getting their horses to the races off decent marks and this one looks to have been given a real chance by the handicapper. He gets the step up in trip now which he clearly needs (another trait of the trainers), and he could well leave previous form behind now that he's been sent handicapping.
1 member found this comment useful
03 June 2024
14:45 2:45 Ayr

Crystal Guard

Daily Racing

25 EWNAPNOTETip made at odds of 9.00 on 03/06 at 14:140.10 deduction for Laudable@7.50 withdrawn at 14:43R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 8.00 x (1-0.10) = 8.20Best Odds Guaranteed SP 13.00 used instead of 8.20 BOG

@13.00

Win

360

This horse has yet to win in 17 turf races, and is 1lb out of the handicap, but this race is so weak that he's never going to get a better chance. The stable have booked a very promising 5lb claimer on the horse for the first time, and he's won 3 races from just 7 rides when booked by the stable. The third on the AW last time out when not beaten far would suggest he has the ability to win off this mark and he's been given a little break so I think all in all that he's worth an e/w bet here at 8/1 with 3 places paid in this 9 runner race.
01 June 2024
19:20 7:20 Doncaster

Brave Nation

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 9.50 on 31/05 at 19:130.00 deduction for Never Dark@34.00 withdrawn at 05:110.10 deduction for Mountain Peak @9.000 withdrawn at 08:23R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 8.50 x (1-0.1) = 8.65Best Odds Guaranteed SP 10.00 used instead of 8.65 BOG

@10.00

Win

20

There's a new jockey on this horse who has a superb record at this track and the horse hacked up by 6 lengths in a maiden on his only previous run here. Clearly he's a 5 furlong horse, and the high draw could well be an advantage, He was rated 101 shortly after than maiden win and has found life mainly tough since then but as a result has fallen to his lowest ever handicap mark of just 77 which is certainly enough to get involved here.
16:30 4:30 Epsom Downs

Kamboo

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@101.00

Lose

-50

It's not unheard of for a big priced outsider to make the frame in the Derby, and this unexposed horse is partnered by the winning jockey from 2022. Quite simply, there are serious doubts about many of the market principals and this doesn't look a vintage year so an unexposed outsider could well be the best way to play the race. The horse was impressive when hacking up at Kempton last time out where the 2nd has since also won with stacks in hand since. The horse looks sure to be suited by the step up in trip and the sires progeny have an impressive Epsom record of 1460123050124465 which suggests he could have no problem handling the track. The trainer is also reported as saying that he's not there just to make up the numbers so hopefully he can outrun his odds here.
1 member found this comment useful
16:15 4:15 Hexham

Allbetsoff

Daily Racing

25 EW

@9.50

Win

255

This horse absolutely hacked up on his only previous run over c&d and is only 2lb higher now and has won off 3lb higher elsewhere. The horse won on his third start of the year last year and the trainer targets races here at Hexham where his strike rate of in excess of 20% is way higher than almost everywhere else. 9 runners go to post and the 17/2 for three places looks a great e/w bet for me.
15:10 3:10 Epsom Downs

Sturlasson

Daily Racing

25 EWNAPNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@13.00

Win

35

12/1 seems like a crazy price to me for this one which is also friendless in the early market but that doesn't deter me from getting involved here. His win last time out when dominating a 5 furlong maiden was impressive and that delighted the trainer since he reported that the horses runs on his gallops had been nothing short of "spectacular" so it's great that he's now showing that on the racecourse. He is clearly well thought of since he was only beaten on debut by a horse that's now rated 31lb higher than this one, and they were sent off virtually the same price for that run so this horse good well be on a decent mark here. The first time booking of Oisin Murphy only increases confidence further.
1 member found this comment useful
13:40 1:40 Musselburgh

Jack Of Clubs

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@11.00

Win

25

This horse has slipped down to a low mark now and has his favoured soft conditions so the trainer has gone ahead and booked SDS for the first time which suggests he thinks the horse is primed to strike here. The horses placed efforts and sole win were all off higher marks than this and the trainers runners are absolutely flying at the moment.
13:25 1:25 Epsom Downs

Bubbles Wonky

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.50

Lose

-50

This horse had a good prep race for this when 2nd last time out and is clearly going to appreciate this step up in trip. The trainer has taken the very unusual step of booking William Buick on the horse for the first time which is a major plus. Another very interesting angle is the incredible record of the sires progeny over c&d which is always good to see at this tricky undulating track. Their record over c&d is a phenomenal 7 from 18 with many others placing so the 13/2 looks a very solid e/w bet.
24 May 2024
16:55 4:55 Haydock

Doha

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@2.38

Lose

-50

Doha won by 9 lengths on soft ground last time out and is clearly the one they all have to beat here. There's formlines from that race which would suggest she could well be on a decent mark on handicap debut here and there's no doubt in my mind that the horse should be an odds on shot. Both the trainer and jockey are flying and even the owners have a terrific 21% strike rate in the last year. Should have too much class for these.
23 May 2024
20:42 8:42 Sandown

Crack Shot

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@4.50

Lose

-50

This Kingman gelding impressed when winning on his 4yo debut last time out and progeny of his sire have a good record at this tricky course. He has also shown he can handle the ground if there's any further rain, and his maiden win has worked out well with a stack of those beaten horses running well since. Jamie Spencer keeps the ride and he'll no doubt be coming with a customary late run having held the horse up.
18:07 6:07 Sandown

Get The Music On

Daily Racing

50 WINNB

@15.00

Lose

-50

This unexposed horse has a more progressive profile than most of these and could have too much class for them with connections that do well with these types. The horses 2nd in maiden on soft shows she will handle and give in the ground and quite simply, the horses she's been finishing close to are a higher quality than many of the horse here. Looks on a decent mark to me and the 14/1 looks way too big.
22 May 2024
14:35 2:30 Yarmouth

Beggarman

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@5.00

Lose

-50

Tom Marquand gets on well with this horse and the horse showed himself to be in good heart with a win on the AW last time out. That was off a 3lb higher mark, and the horse has lost by just a short head before off a 1lb higher mark over the same trip and ground as here. The temptation is to say that the horse is better on the AW, but that runner up position on turf shows that he likes these conditions too and he comes here on the back of a win on a winnable mark.
1 member found this comment useful
21 May 2024
16:55 4:55 Brighton

Red Hot Rose

Daily Racing

50 WINNB

@10.00

Lose

-50

This horse sits at the bottom of the handicap and is actually 2lb out of it, but the trainer has booked SDS for the first time, and that certainly wouldn't be happening if the horse was just here to make up the numbers. The trainer also has a terrific record at the course, and the first time cheekpieces are a factor which really interests me. Progeny of the horses sire only win 5% of their races when racing without headgear, but that shoots up to 13% when cheekpieces are used which is an amazing improvement, so hopefully that'll be the case again here.
14:50 2:50 Brighton

Take Care

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@17.00

Lose

-50

There's stacks of unexposed horses here whose true ability has been kept back from the handicapper, and this one looks to potentially have something in hand for connections that do well with these unexposed types. The trainer has interestingly booked a jockey that he's only used once before, and that looks especially relevant since the jockey rides this course particularly well. The horse is also completely unexposed since he makes his turf debut here and this race is wide open so this well bred gelding might just pop up here.
20 May 2024
19:10 7:10 Windsor

Grace Angel

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@26.00

Lose

-50

There's no doubt that this horse has fallen to a very attractive mark now after some uninspiring runs in April/May, but it was the same story last year before Jason Watson steered the horse to an easy win off the same mark over the same trip and ground as she gets here. Jason Watson is booked again and that's a real positive since he has the key to this horses. These are her conditions, and there's only one way to ride her, which is to grab the lead and burn them off. She was also placed in her only previous run here which was a novice race where most of the first 7 home have won since so she clearly has the ability to win this despite what the market would have us believe.
19 May 2024
13:45 1:45 Ripon

Golden Prosperity

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@51.00

Lose

-50

The jockey on this one in this Apprentice race won't be familiar to most of us but he'd been riding into a few places in his short career before winning well under a good ride on his latest one and is able to claim 7lb on this horse at the bottom of the handicap off 46. The horse is actually 2lb out of the handicap, but his 2nd on his only run over c&d gives him a serious chance here since the winner there has since won off a 17lb higher mark, and after that excellent effort, he won off the same mark as here on similarly fast ground which the horse clearly needs.
18 May 2024
20:20 8:20 Doncaster

Mukaafah

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@5.00

Win

200

Mukaafah needed a run before winning a novice race impressively last year and can step up again here in his 2nd seasonal start after racing too freely last time out. The horse goes handicapping now with a first time hood and it's easy to look at some of the subsequent runs of those well beaten horses so see that he looks to be a few pounds ahead of the handicapper here.
1 member found this comment useful
19:15 7:15 Doncaster

Merrijig

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@9.00

Lose

-50

This jockey has only ridden this horse once before which resulted in a win off a 3lb lower mark in a style that suggests he should be well up to winning off this mark. The style of that win when joining the leader late on, and seeing out the trip well was impressive and certainly would strongly indicate that he can go in again here for a stable that perenially do well at this time of year.
1 member found this comment useful
18:02 6:02 Thirsk

Jamies Choice

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@41.00

Lose

-50

This race is wide open and I can't resist a little bet on this one from a high draw with a very unexposed profile. The trainer has also booked a jockey who does particularly well here. The horse makes her handicap debut off 55 . The horse is sired by a relatively new sire too and they have already shown they possess plenty of abilty and like fast ground which is another plus.
1 member found this comment useful
17:30 5:30 Thirsk

Red Hat Eagle

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@7.00

Lose

-50

Rayat is all the rage here in the betting, but the time off the course and jockey booking are concerns for me, whereas this 2nd fav has a good recent run and an excellent first time jockey booking. The horse has yet to prove he is as effective on turf as he is on the AW, but he hasn't raced on ground this fast yet, and has to be worth taking a chance with at a generous looking 6/1. The sires progeny also have a terrific record at the course of 111633520450321 and the jockey is unlikely to go home from this lesser track empty handed.
1 member found this comment useful
16:45 4:45 Newbury

Godwinson

Daily Racing

50 WINNB

@3.75

Lose

-50

I was on this one last time out when he was punted off the boards and was a fast finishing 2nd after a ride that Tom Marquand would rather forget. He gets chance for redemption here off a 4lb higher mark, and since that was his seasonal debut run, it's fair to assume that he will strip fitter here. I'm fairly convinced that this horse was much the best horse in that race last time out despite not winning, and the usually reliable Marquand can make amends here.
16:25 4:25 Newmarket

Blue Collar

Daily Racing

25 EW

@17.00

Lose

-50

The horse has been gelded for his 3yo debut and the trainer has booked his very useful 3lb claimer for the ride. There's actually several angles which would suggest the horse is overpriced at 16/1, notably the fact that the sires progeny excel at 10 furlongs so this first attempt at this far could well yield further improvement. The sires progeny also do better as 3yo's and the stable certainly can get them ready after a break so it would be no surprise to see this one go well.
15:00 3:00 Newbury

Spirit Of Acklam

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@12.00

Lose

-50

There's very much a touch of bias in this market towards those from the bigger and more fashionable yards, but strictly on what we have seen and handicap ratings, this one has a real chance here and shouldn't be anywhere near as big as 11/1. This unexposed colt has won his last 2 and previous winners of both those races are often rated in excess of 10lb more than Spirit of Acklam races off here. Clearly the trainer/jockey bias towards the more fancied horses means we get a bigger price and that should be used to our advantage I would suggest.
1 member found this comment useful
17 May 2024
17:20 5:20 York

Indicate

Daily Racing

25 EWNAPR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@21.00

Void

0

Results this week would suggest a mid to high draw should be an advantage over this c&d and this one is drawn 16 of 20 with the very interesting jockey booking of William Buick who the stable don't use often, but he's won 2 of his last 4 rides for them. This unexposed horse also has a first time tongue tie to squeeze out further improvement and the fact that he was well backed before brushing aside an 84 rated horse on his penultimate start bodes well that he can go close here off 87 in his first handicap.
16:45 4:45 York

Animate

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@41.00

Lose

-50

The trainer of this horse knows a thing or two about getting his horse racing off decent handicap marks and the horse has been dropped 3lb after he raced the horse over too far and on unsuitable ground for his debut run for the stable on his last start. This ex Simon Crisford horse has several form lines which would suggest he could be 5lb+ ahead of this current mark, and the horse should be well drawn here. The cheekpieces go back on too and I can see this one outrunning his odds.
16 May 2024
14:45 2:45 York

Nibras Angel

Daily Racing

25 EW

@67.00

Lose

-50

It isn't beyond the realms of possibility that this 66/1 rank outsider can run into the places here and is surely overpriced. She's been 3rd and 4th in a couple of Group 2 races where she split horses rated around 100 on both occasions which suggests she's no forlorn hope off 92 in this handicap. She's more lightly raced than most of these too and has a more progressive profile. She's been in Meydan so far this year and could well surprise now that she's back over here .  I like the jockey but he doesn't have a great course record but at 66/1, I think it's worth a small e/w bet
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14:15 2:15 York

Squealer

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@34.00

Lose

-50

Squealer has spent the Winter racing in Bahrain (and running some very good races) so this 4yo (and c&d winner) arrives here in good heart and has arguably had a better prep than most of these. His 2nd to Brazen Bolt for example would give him every chance off this mark and he's also beaten that one before, all of which shows that the collateral form is strongly suggesting that this horse should be nowhere near a 33/1 outsider.
1 member found this comment useful
14:00 2:00 Salisbury

Beau Jardine

Daily Racing

50 WINNBNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@5.00

Win

200

This horse has an easy win and a half length 2nd in 2 runs over c&d for this jockey and should be favourite for this Apprentice race in my opinion so the 4/1 looks on the generous side. The narrow 2nd here was also on ground that would've been too lively so this slightly softer ground is sure to suit. The 3rd of 13 on seasonal reappearance for a very inexperienced jockey last time out should have put him spot on for this and I'd expect him to go very close here.

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