JamPizza

I'm a sports and betting enthusiast and love trying to solve the puzzle of big handicaps both on the flat and over the jumps. The majority of my tips are double figure prices and I rarely back the favourites. I'm always looking for value and try to post the tips the evening before to get the early prices. Twitter @JamPizza

2

Estimated Prizes
this month

£30

Estimated Prize money
this month

JamPizza's Tips History

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15 September 2025
14:12 2:12 Brighton

Perfect Parole

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@21.00

Lose

-50

This is the first time the horse will have encountered ground this soft, and on breeding there's plenty of positives that it will suit. The horse made her debut here for a new stable last time out and ran well for a long way so looks worthy of e/w interest at 20/1 on this soft ground. The trainer has a way better record at this course than anywhere else and the jockey also does well here. He is able to claim 3lb off this bottom weight in this Apprentice handicap and looks the value to me.
14 September 2025
15:00 3:00 Doncaster

Oliver Show

Daily Racing

25 EWNBNOTETip made at odds of 17.00 on 13/09 at 08:550.00 deduction for Royal Velvet@11.00 withdrawn at 07:530.10 deduction for Ten Pounds @7.500 withdrawn at 08:430.00 deduction for Aalto @19.000 withdrawn at 08:530.00 deduction for Indian Run @29.000 withdrawn at 09:25R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 16.00 x (1-0.1) = 15.40

@15.40

Win

47

Both the jockey and trainer can do little wrong at the moment, and this horse has a huge chance on his 2nd of 22 when beaten a nose by Godwinson earlier in the year off a 1 lb lower mark. That was at this course over a furlong further, and he travelled well to lead at this distance in that race, so there's every reason to expect him to go close here. This will no doubt have been the plan ever since that race.
1 member found this comment useful
14:30 2:30 Doncaster

Sarab Star

Daily Racing

25 EWNAPR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@10.00

Void

0

Sarab Star bear genuine high 80s (and low 90s) rated horses on debut before being sent off as short as 4/1 in a Group 2 race where he didn't handle the heavy ground. He bounced back when winning on the AW last time out though and has shown enough in his short career to suggest he's on a winnable debut handicap mark of 88 here. I'm surprised he's as big as 9/1 to be honest since I'd have him nearer to 11/2 so he has to rate my best value bet of the day.
1 member found this comment useful
13 September 2025
18:52 6:52 Musselburgh

Wadacre Maestro

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@7.00

Lose

-50

I don't often back Joe Fanning's rides, but he seemed to hold the key to this horse's improved effort last time out. The horse looks like a tricky customer, and he can go in again off this 5lb higher mark. That was over C&D, and he looked to have something in hand, so there's every chance of a follow-up against mainly more exposed horses. He's the only C&D winner in the field, and the 6/1 looks too big.
18:13 6:13 Bath

Champagnebreakfast

Daily Racing

25 EW

@34.00

Lose

-50

This well-bred filly wasn't unfancied to step up on previous efforts on handicap debut last time out but disappointed. I think she's worth giving another chance here now, though, on completely different ground. She's been dropped 3lb and is around 4 times the price from that effort LTO, so if we put that down to the ground being too lively, we might just get a run for our money here at a course where the jockey has her best record.
16:35 4:35 Chester

Fire Flame

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@5.50

Lose

-50

The first-time hood did the trick last time out, and there could be much more to come now since he looks very well handicapped still to me on the pick of his novice form. The length third in a novice race, for example, was when surrounded by 80-85 type horses, and he comes here off a mark of 77. He'll have progressed since then too, and the jockey has won 3 of his 9 rides at the course in the last year. He wore a hood to post in those early races, so in some ways, it's surprising that it's taken them so long to use it in the actual race.
1 member found this comment useful
15:28 3:28 Bath

Sky Dancer

Daily Racing

25 EW

@34.00

Lose

-50

You can rip up the formbook for horses with seemingly "good" form coming into this since they won't have raced over these conditions, namely an extreme trip on extremely testing ground. The race, therefore, has the look of one that could go to a surprise package, and this horse's plodding on effort last time out over shorter looks like exactly the type of form that will see her appreciate these conditions. The trainer isn't prolific, but Bath is the course at which she does best, and Jason Watson is a good jockey booking. He has a place from his sole previous run for the yard.
1 member found this comment useful
14:25 2:25 Doncaster

King Of Light

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@67.00

Lose

-50

I'm not entirely sure why this horse is being written off as a 66/1 rag when the well-fancied Addison Grey (being backed at 7/1) was half a length behind this one at Chepstow in August, and KOL even gets a 6lb pull in the weights. Clearly, on that evidence, you'd have to say that he should be much shorter, especially since he is proven in this class with 2 wins and a place from 5 runs at this level. There are not many 66/1 shots you could say that about, and his sire has produced some good runners here this week.
1 member found this comment useful
13:15 1:15 Doncaster

Principality

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@21.00

Lose

-50

This horse would love any more rain after disappointing on fast ground last time out. Prior to that, he won on heavy, and that was his only run on softer ground in 5 starts for his new stable. He also has some cracking form for his previous stable when winning a novice race at Goodwood, where there was a future Group 2 runner-up that he finished ahead of, which strongly advertises his claims for having the class to go close off this mark, especially with the ground likely to favor him, as is the high draw.
2 members found this comment useful
12 September 2025
16:45 4:45 Doncaster

Art Lover

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@5.50

Lose

-50

This horse had absolutely no problems handling ground on the easy side when winning easily last time out and looks terrific value at 9/2 to go in again on his handicap debut. He's very well bred and there are several formlines from that win and the 2nd in the race before that to suggest he can defy topweight on his handicap debut here. Gouken is well regarded and he put that one in its place last time out with a yawning gap to the third so I think there's every chance of him following up here.
16:35 4:35 Salisbury

Eleanor Shelby

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@15.00

Lose

-50

This horse makes her handicap debut here off 75, and for my money, the half-length 2nd over C&D on her penultimate start is good enough to go very close off this mark. She makes her handicap debut here, and the jockey booked has a particularly good record at this course. The softer ground might also be a positive judged by her action, and certainly, I think she has a much better chance than her 14/1 odds would imply.
11 September 2025
16:43 4:43 Doncaster

Mcmurray

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@5.50

Win

225

I think this horse has the ideal profile for the race and comes from a very hot yard at the moment. He chased home a future group winner on his second start, where he pulled well clear of the third. Then last time out, he won with stacks in hand despite meeting trouble in running. He was 9/4f that day, and he easily beat the other joint favorite, which was an 84-rated horse. Clearly, that level of form suggests he's more than capable of winning this on handicap debut off 83.
16:25 4:25 Epsom Downs

Blenheim Star

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@13.00

Lose

-50

This trainer is one of the very best at lining his horses up on attractive handicap marks, and this could be another one. The horse clearly loves these turning tracks having performed well at Brighton several times and finished 2nd on her only other run over c&d. That was off a 5lb higher mark and the jockey booked is producing some excellent stats so his 7lb claim could be crucial here. He's done well on his small number of rides at the course too. It seems fairly clear on this evidence that she's no 12/1 shot and I'd expect her to be nearer half that price at the off.
14:12 2:12 Epsom Downs

Land Of Magic

Daily Racing

25 EW

@34.00

Lose

-50

This is one of only 2 c&d winners in the field and she looks to hold every chance here now that she's slipped to her last winning mark. C&D form counts more here than virtually anywhere else and the proven ability to handle the track suggests that she has to be a play in the e/w market at 33/1. The 2nd on heavy at Salisbury makes me think that any further rain would improve her chances (and count against many of her rivals) so despite there being no interest in the early market, the money might come along at the same time as the rain.
13:50 1:50 Doncaster

Song of The Clyde

Daily Racing

25 EWNBNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@8.00

Win

10

This horse is a January foal and, as such, is going to have an advantage over most of his rivals here. He also has the necessary amount of experience, having had 4 runs, with that being the bare requirement for 4 of the last 5 winners of the race. That stat alone takes out quite a chunk of the runners. The major factor, though, is the quality of horses that he has been beating or finishing close to. He's also entered in the big Listed race at Redcar.
09 September 2025
18:45 6:45 Carlisle

Cavallo Pazzo

Daily Racing

25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@13.00

Void

0

It's as clear as day that this horse is going to step up on previous recent efforts now that he gets his (arguably essential) soft ground. His previous trainer was none other than Joseph O'Brien, and he raced him almost exclusively on softish ground. He won off 72 for him on soft and was only beaten 3 lengths off 74 for his current trainer when he last raced on soft, so this falling mark of 65 makes the horse of great appeal now.
1 member found this comment useful
17:45 5:45 Carlisle

Kyber Crystal

Daily Racing

25 EWNBNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 29.00 used instead of 26.00 takenBOG

@29.00

Win

115

Low drawn horses should be favoured here in this ground and KC is drawn 4 of the 14 runners. She also handles the softer underfoot conditions well. The jockey has a better than 50% placed strike rate on the horse and she has now slipped to her last winning mark of 54 which was in April this year. Given all these positive factors, it's fairly evident that the 25/1 is far too big under these conditions.
17:10 5:10 Catterick

Miss Willows

Daily Racing

25 EW

@34.00

Lose

-50

This trainer has been under a cloud for a few years now, but he's had a recent winner and this horse has a good record at the course. Furthermore, the trainer has a significantly better record here than at every other course in the country, and you can bet that he has this horse lining up off a winnable mark here. The jockey booking is also significant since Jason Hart has won once from just 2 rides on the horse. He'll no doubt attempt to make all again here and can hopefully repel late challengers to at least finish in the places.
1 member found this comment useful
16:50 4:50 Ffos Las

Guiteau

Daily Racing

50 WINNAPNOTETip made at odds of 8.50 on 08/09 at 17:570.10 deduction for Red Walls@7.00 withdrawn at 07:030.00 deduction for Angels Call @41.000 withdrawn at 12:35R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 7.50 x (1-0.1) = 7.75Best Odds Guaranteed SP 12.00 used instead of 7.75 BOG

@12.00

Win

550

This is the best bet of the day for me for a trainer who's been producing some terrific stats in her first season. She's also had a win and a place from her two runners at the track, and the jockey booked is the one that does best on her horses. The horse's last win was when hacking up on good to soft at Epsom off a 6lb higher mark, and he's not had softish ground much since then, so he rates a strong bet now off a very attractive mark. The cheekpieces and tongue tie go on now too. Big chance.
1 member found this comment useful
14:40 2:40 Catterick

Desert Champion

Daily Racing

25 EW

@67.00

Lose

-50

There's just enough of a nagging doubt to suggest this 66/1 rank outsider is worthy of a small each-way bet. The angle which gives hope is that he has first-time cheekpieces on here, and the first time he wore a first-time visor, it resulted in his sole success, which was a very easy one at this trip off a mark of 75. He races now off 71, and he gets a new jockey who might also be able to rekindle the horse, which has raced in a higher class in each of his six races since that easy win.
1 member found this comment useful
08 September 2025
19:40 7:40 Newcastle

Kaths Tipple

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@19.00

Lose

-50

It's safe to say we haven't seen the best of this well-bred horse yet. The horse could step up massively now that she goes handicapping after being given an 'educational' ride over C&D last time out. Anytime that a trainer switches to Mulrennan for a handicap debut, it suggests that there could well be improvement, and the trainer is in form. The trainer and jockey have a good record at the course, and hopefully, the money will come (currently steady at 18/1 in the early market).
1 member found this comment useful
07 September 2025
17:50 5:30 York

Bowen Island

Daily Racing

25 EW

@17.00

Lose

-50

I'm not a big fan of the usual jockey on board this one. The 3lb claiming jockey in this apprentice race is much more to my liking. He's posting some good stats in his career, and this horse races off his joint lowest handicap mark now. He's also run some of his best races after a break, which is what he gets here. He was a good 4th of 17 on his only other run at the course, and he looks way too big a price here.
1 member found this comment useful
16:00 4:00 York

Tycoon

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@13.00

Lose

-50

This ex Gosden horse makes his debut for a new stable here who have been doing well in recent weeks. A look at the horses that he has been finishing close to in those races for Gosden is enough to suggest he should be in the mix here off this mark. He holds an entry in a higher class race later in the week too and this Kingman colt looks great value at 12/1.
1 member found this comment useful
15:00 3:00 York

Dan Tucker

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@8.50

Lose

-50

This one looks to have a significant jockey change with Warren Fentiman rebooked with his 5lb claim after winning on the horse on his only previous ride. He's just 4lb higher now and the horse was only beaten a short head on his only previous race over c&d where arguably a lesser jockey gave the horse a poor ride by leaving him too much to do. I doubt this jockey will make the same mistake and he should go very close.
1 member found this comment useful
06 September 2025
16:55 4:55 Ascot

Kullazain

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@9.00

Lose

-50

The last 5 winners of this have carried between 9-2 and 9-5, and this is one of just 3 that meet that criteria this year. The 3-year-old has a lovely unexposed profile, which looks ideal for this race, and he's crucially also shown a liking for soft ground. He hacked up by nearly 5 lengths in a maiden on soft, and the 2nd, 3rd, and 4th are all basically 80-90 rated horses. So this horse's mark of 93 and the fact he trounced those suggests he should go very close here.
2 members found this comment useful
16:40 4:40 Haydock

Special Ghaiyyath

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTETip made at odds of 6.50 on 05/09 at 18:230.00 deduction for Surrey Shadow@11.00 withdrawn at 08:170.00 deduction for We Dare To Dream @17.000 withdrawn at 09:210.20 deduction for A War Eagle @4.500 withdrawn at 16:41R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 5.50 x (1-0.2) = 5.40Best Odds Guaranteed SP 11.00 used instead of 5.40 BOG

@11.00

Win

500

I like the stable switch here to a stable that often improves horses from other stables. The horse's 2nd in a class 2 novice race as a 2-year-old provides major clues that he's well in here off 76, especially if the new trainer has worked his magic. On that evidence, this horse is arguably nearer to a mid-80s type horse, and I'd like to think he has something in hand of his current mark here.
16:25 4:25 Ascot

Fast Track Harry

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@9.00

Lose

-50

The soft ground could be the key here. Despite running some great races on fast ground recently, this horse's win in a maiden at Newbury on debut was impressive. That was on soft ground from two future winners back in 2nd and 3rd. That level of form is a really strong clue that he's on a winning mark here. A return to soft ground could be exactly what the horse needs. The owner has some really nice horses, including some with this stable, so the 8/1 for this 3yo looks more than generous.
1 member found this comment useful
15:00 3:00 Haydock

Master Builder

Daily Racing

25 EW

@12.00

Lose

-50

The below-par effort at Goodwood last time out is a little concerning, but he'd been unplaced on his only previous run there, so I'm hoping that it's just that he doesn't like that track. It's a very different story here, though, with the horse winning over C&D on his only other attempt over it. He's only 4lb higher now, and that C&D was a very easy one, so with Buick booked once more, a big run looks on the cards.
1 member found this comment useful
14:40 2:40 Ascot

Telemark

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@15.00

Lose

-50

Telemark comes here on the back of an AW run at Newcastle which is the same path as last years winner of this. I've backed Telemark a few times this season because I thought he had a big handicap in him, but it all makes sense now that this could be the day since the horse has slipped a little in the weights, he gets his favoured soft ground, and the trainer has booked the hottest 5lb claiming Apprentice around. The stable are firing too and the last time the horse had this trip and ground, he won off a 1lb lower mark and that was without the use of this jockey's 5lb claim.
2 members found this comment useful
14:25 2:25 Haydock

Way Of Stars

Daily Racing

25 EW

@13.00

Lose

-50

Valiancy is the hot favorite here, and yet 12/1 shot Way of Stars was only a short head behind him last time out and is 1 lb better off now. This horse has also got a jockey upgrade and prior to that hacked up by 7 lengths under similar trip and ground conditions as he gets here. Looks to be on a winnable mark to me and looks sure to play a part.
1 member found this comment useful
05 September 2025
16:40 4:40 Ascot

High Degree

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@5.50

Lose

-3

This unexposed horse was a very good 5th in a big handicap last time out when arguably disadvantaged by the draw. By contrast, his high draw should be a positive here on soft ground and he's also bred to appreciate this first attempt on soft ground, as many progeny of Too Darn Hot are better when the ground is on the easy side. That effort last time out can also be upgraded since he was a bit keen and if learning to settle better, looks the one they all have to beat.
04 September 2025
14:05 2:00 Haydock

Made All

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@5.00

Lose

-50

One of the better amateurs is booked in this race, where the horse comes into it on better form than most of the others. A close look at the poor ride the horse was given last time out is all the proof required that he can win off this mark. He handles soft ground too.
03 September 2025
14:20 2:20 Bath

Most Marvellous

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@15.00

Lose

-50

It seems fairly obvious to me that this horse is going to improve for both the step up in trip and the switch to handicapping. The trainer wouldn't be booking this jockey if he didn't expect the horse to show much more here and it would be no surprise if the 14/1 early quote wasn't much shorter at the off.
02 September 2025
16:08 4:08 Goodwood

Divine Comedy

Daily Racing

25 EWNAPNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 9.50 used instead of 7.00 takenBOG

@9.50

Win

28

Despite being weak in the market for much of the day, this one looks to have every chance to me here. The race is littered with several doubtful stayers over this 2 mile trip on soft ground whereas this one has proven stamina. Her last run under such conditions was several runs ago but was a winning one and she should go close here.
31 August 2025
16:22 4:22 Brighton

Land Of Magic

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@41.00

Lose

-50

This horse is clearly a bit of a character but is surely worth another chance because the horse is well handicapped. Its best races have been on similar tracks to this one, and those poor efforts of late have been on mainly galloping tracks. Won't mind any more rain either.
30 August 2025
14:05 2:05 Beverley

Shagraan

Daily Racing

50 WINNAPNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@21.00

Win

1000

This is wide open if you take the favorite out of it (23 runs and headgear for the first time, so not sure to suit), and this 20/1 shot looks well worth some interest. The 4yo ran some of his best races around this time last year, including a win at Haydock where he was giving American Affair 10lb and a beating, which clearly stacks up really well in the context of this race. This horse has also been placed at Group level, which many of those ahead of him in the market haven't. I like the jockey switch too, who is something of a Beverley specialist with a 19% strike rate from a large sample of rides, which is hugely impressive.
1 member found this comment useful
29 August 2025
21:00 9:00 Newcastle

Marsh Meadow

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@21.00

Lose

-50

I like high drawn runners coming from off the pace over this trip at Newcastle, and this one fits the bill, drawn in 12 of 14. The horse gets first-time cheekpieces now and the first-time booking of a useful 3lb claimer off her falling (and lowest ever) handicap mark. The step up in trip looks sure to suit, and she's been beaten less than 3 lengths at the course before when not getting a clear run. That effort was off a 7lb higher mark and without a jockey's 3lb claim, so that, along with possible improvement for the headgear and step up in trip, all suggests the 20/1 could be the value in this race.
28 August 2025
16:10 4:10 Ffos Las

Vellner

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@26.00

Lose

-50

This rank outsider is a puzzling price, to say the least, and the 25/1 looks very good value. The horse's only previous run over C&D was a 2nd off 67, where the 3rd and 4th have won since. Vellner races here off just 60 and has been given a little break by the trainer, whose last 3 runners have all hit the frame. The jockey also has good course stats, and his first-time booking could also be seen as a positive. The horse has done much of his racing on softer ground, but his 2 wins were on good ground, the latest of those being an easy one off a 6lb higher mark than he races off here.
26 August 2025
15:35 3:35 Ripon

Ay Gee Ell

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@17.00

Lose

-50

Richard Fahey has started entrusting this 7lb claiming apprentice with some better rides recently, and this could be another for which he is booked for the first time. The horse's 2nd in a novice race two starts ago would give him a serious chance here on the back of what the 1st and 3rd have done since. This is the horse's lowest handicap mark here, and the jockey's claim could prove to be the crucial factor.
1 member found this comment useful
25 August 2025
17:23 5:23 Chepstow

Road House

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@21.00

Lose

-50

This new trainer has had an impressive start to her career with a strike rate of 20% for her turf runners, most of them ridden by the jockey she's booked again here. Clearly, she's lining them up on attractive marks, and this one makes his handicap debut here. The owners already have Amancio with this stable, which has won off 71 on handicap debut, and Road House starts off a mark of just 61 here. His 4th of 11 in a maiden on debut was basically when beaten by horses rated an average of 80, so this could well be a winning mark.
1 member found this comment useful
16:23 4:23 Ripon

Profitable Edge

Daily Racing

50 WINNB

@12.00

Lose

-50

High drawn runners should be favored here, and this one is drawn 11 of 12. He's also won here over C&D from just 2 attempts. That win was off 67, and his last win was off 75, so you'd have to give him every chance here off 68. Another key is the rebooking of this jockey, who has far and away the best record on the horse. He's been on board for his last 2 wins and is rebooked now that he has slipped down to a favorable mark.
1 member found this comment useful
24 August 2025
13:50 1:50 Goodwood

Treble Tee

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@7.00

Lose

-50

This is the horse's second start since wind surgery, which looks to have done the trick after a hugely promising second last time out where he wasn't beaten far, and the winner has franked the form in no uncertain terms since. Clearly, the horse will be fitter after that run, and the horses behind him in his maiden win are further evidence that he's on a winnable mark here.
1 member found this comment useful
23 August 2025
16:10 4:10 York

Jubilee Walk

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@7.50

Lose

-50

Jubilee Walk's demolition job of Vantheman and Pilgrim here at York last year is the key piece of form for me and he can go in again off a 3lb higher mark. That level of form and his current mark strongly suggests to me that he's more than capable of winning this and he clearly loves York having also been 2nd of 19 over c&d last time out. There's a jockey upgrade too and 13/2 looks a great price despite the big field.
1 member found this comment useful
15:35 3:35 York

Siege Of Troy

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@21.00

Lose

-50

Johnny Murtagh has won this race twice in the last 11 years and that's even better than Willie Mullins so his entry here is worth a 2nd look with a useful 7lb claimer booked who has been doing well for the yard. Those at the higher end of the handicap don't look to be particularly well in and this one could be the answer, she will no doubt have been campaigned with this race in mind. She gets an 8lb swing with Ethical Diamond for the run at Ascot where she was just 5 lengths back and staying on. This extra trip looks ideal, should be shorter than 20/1 I would suggest.
1 member found this comment useful
14:25 2:25 York

Boatswain

Daily Racing

50 WINNB

@19.00

Lose

-50

If you scratch beneath the surface of this horse's seemingly mediocre last few runs, there are excuses. It could well be that this trip on fast ground is just what he's been crying out for. He might just come with a sustained late run to pick them off under the first-time guidance of Buick. That jockey switch is a major plus for me, and this race usually goes to one towards the top of the handicap. So after 5 runs, I'm not going to write him off yet under what could be his first run under potentially his optimal conditions.
1 member found this comment useful
22 August 2025
19:48 7:48 Goodwood

Iconic Times

Daily Racing

25 EW

@17.00

Lose

-50

This horse has had excuses for poor efforts in his last 2 runs (ground and course) and the win in the run before that has seen the 2nd, 3rd and 4th all come out and win since. This horse made all that day and didn't see another rival so hopefully the same tactics will be employed here. The horse is 1lb lower now and a promising 5lb claiming Apprentice is booked.
17:20 5:20 York

Miami Matrix

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@51.00

Lose

-50

This is the biggest ride of this young jockey's life, and he's good value for his 3lb claim. I'm glad he's been given a chance by a powerful stable here. He has won on the horse before, and the trainer is using first-time cheekpieces now to squeeze out some further improvement. His last win was only off a 3lb lower mark, and that was when racing wide around Chester, so that win can also be upgraded. Could be the value to run into a place here.
16:10 4:10 York

Brielle

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@13.00

Lose

-50

The trainer is flying at the moment, and he's always been one of the very best at placing his horses in handicaps. The horse that beat her in a maiden has franked that form since, and while she needs to progress again, that's almost always the case with the stable's handicappers. Only 1 of the last 6 winners of this race have carried more than 9 stone, and that stat also rules out half the field, so the horse ticks a few of the trend boxes too.
21 August 2025
19:45 7:45 Newcastle

Pixie Diva

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@6.00

Lose

-50

This filly has also shown that she handles an AW surface in her short career and the win in a novice race on debut in particular suggests she's on a lenient mark here. She won that race very easily and there was an 80 rated horse way back in third. Pixie Diva races here off just 78 in her second handicap and for me she is also getting a jockey upgrade. Certainly looks on a winnable mark to me.
16:45 4:45 York

Hey Tru Blue

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@15.00

Lose

-50

Before Glorious Goodwood, George Boughey was quoted as saying that he thought this horse could be much better than his mark that day and could indeed be one of the best he has trained. Things didn't work out for the horse on heavy ground that day, and I'm happy to draw a line through that run. The well-bred Blue Point colt's 2nd in a maiden on debut suggested he has plenty of ability, with the winner there since runner-up in a Listed race rated 95 and the third and fifth also franking the form. Definitely worth giving another chance to, in my opinion.
14:25 2:25 York

Deluded

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@51.00

Lose

-50

There's a very interesting sire angle for this outsider here, and at 50/1, he looks worthy of e/w interest. The horse's sire has a very good record with his 2yo colts over this distance (44101153052), with around half of them making the frame. This race often has many big-priced horses in the frame due to the limited form on offer, and that breeding stat suggests he could be one of the likelier types if there is to be a surprise.

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