JamPizza
I'm a sports and betting enthusiast and love trying to solve the puzzle of big handicaps both on the flat and over the jumps. The majority of my tips are double figure prices and I rarely back the favourites. I'm always looking for value and try to post the tips the evening before to get the early prices. Twitter @JamPizza
1
Estimated Prizes
this month
£15
Estimated Prize money
this month
JamPizza's Tips History
22 November 2025
19:40 7:40 Newcastle
Invincible Shadow
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@29.00
Lose
-50
This is the rank outsider at 33/1 but the last time this trainer/jockey had a runner here, it romped home at 66/1 and this one could well surprise too. The horse was leading at this trip before fading late on last time out and the drop back in trip looks ideal. He is totally unexposed and the sire has produced some decent stats with his geldings at the track so at this price, I'm prepared to give him a small win only bet in the hope he pops up at a price.
1 member found this comment useful
18:10 6:10 Newcastle
Dandy Magic
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 7.00 used instead of 5.00 takenBOG
@7.00
Win
300
This horse is very easy to make a case for at 4/1 if you watch a replay of her run over C&D last time out when not beaten far to finish 5th despite meeting plenty of trouble in running. The jockey had a lot of horse underneath her when her run got checked a couple of times, and this could be very much a compensation mission for her. The horse was 9/2 that day and has been dropped a pound, and this 4/1 looks on the generous side to me.
1 member found this comment useful
15:45 3:45 Ascot
Doctor Midas
Daily Racing
25 EW
@10.00
Win
20
Henrietta's horses nearly always come on for a run, and this one won't have to improve much on his third place last time out. He's been dropped a generous-looking 2lb too. The 2nd in a maiden hurdle to Bold Recruit when badly hampered would put him conservatively 7lb+ well in here. He can give the hot favourite a run for his money since I would question the quality of what that horse has beaten.
14:25 2:25 Haydock
Ma Shantou
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@5.50
Lose
-50
This horse was backed off the board before hacking up at Cheltenham last time out and can go in again despite the 9lb rise in the handicap. The horse had stacks in hand there and as a result races off 138 here today but he was good enough to run the Albert Bartlett at the Festival last year where he finished a very respectable 7th of 20 where there were several horse behind him that are better than the 138 he races off here. Trainer form is a slight worry, but if he arrives in the same form as that win 4 weeks ago, he's clearly the one they all have to beat.
1 member found this comment useful
12:55 12:55 Ascot
Bobbi With An I
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@5.50
Lose
-50
This bottom weight hails from a trainer/jockey combo that can do little wrong at the moment. The 6-year-old looks to have a huge chance here. The horse will strip fitter now after not being beaten far on seasonal debut last time out, and Brendan Powell takes over in the saddle now, who is 1 from 1 on her. The extra trip looks sure to suit, and the trainer is placing his horses superbly this season, so the 9/2 looks decent value.
Subtotal170
21 November 2025
15:19 3:19 Chepstow
Mumbles
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@12.00
Win
30
Reinado is the 2/5 favourite here and is technically well in on his easy win last time out. But he fell when sent off at 16/1 off the same mark in the race prior to that and is surely no value today, especially after such a short gap since that win on heavy ground. This 3rd fav looks the type that could pop up if the favourite faltered. He's a very easy course winner where the well-beaten 2nd and 4th have won since, and he's still only a 7yo, so looks to hold every chance.
14:09 2:09 Chepstow
Lundi Noir
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@3.25
Lose
-50
The form of this horse's third last time out has been franked, and that was his seasonal debut, so he will strip fitter today over the same C&D. That was only the horse's third run, so he'll be improving at a quicker rate than the rest here. On that evidence, he's clearly on a winning mark here. Prior to that, he was a very easy winner on debut, and this looks a very winnable race.
Subtotal-20
20 November 2025
18:30 6:30 Southwell
Running Queen
Daily Racing
25 EW
@26.00
Lose
-50
I can't let this Kingman filly go unbacked at 25/1 since she's thrown in on the pick of her 2yo form. She was placed in a Listed race, for example, when beaten less than 2 lengths, and she had a stack of 85-90 rated horses behind her there. She races here off 82 with a very useful apprentice taking off a further 5lb. She needs to learn to settle better, but hopefully, the jockey switch will help, and the trainer has had 6 places from his last 7 runners, so hopefully, she can show her true ability here.
17:45 5:45 Newcastle
Lethal Nymph
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@5.50
Lose
-50
This horse was a good winner off 80 last time out, and his only other run over C&D was a close-up placed effort off 89. He's been raised to 84 now for that win, but the excellent Warren Fentiman takes over in the saddle now with his valuable 5lb claim. Both trainer and jockey are in decent form, so you'd have to say that, on balance, the 9/2 is a touch too big now that the horse has hit the winning trail once more.
17:00 5:00 Southwell
R P Mcmurphy
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@11.00
Lose
-50
The handicap debut 3rd over C&D last time out was a much-improved effort, and he can go even closer now that he'll strip fitter since that run was after 4 months off the course. He was held up and not given a particularly hard ride, so there could be much more to come here off the same mark. There are a couple of horses from that race that have franked that form too.
15:05 3:05 Lingfield
Ghaiyyath Park
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@10.00
Lose
-50
This trainer and owner combo are really profitable to follow, and their string of horses they have together are usually well above the mark that this unexposed one races off here. She's likely to put in an all-or-nothing performance, and the 9/1 appeals on the win market in the hope it's the former. The stable is flying with 4 of their last 8 winning, and this horse races for just the 2nd time for him here.
14:30 2:30 Lingfield
Shuwari
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@3.25
Lose
-50
Sky Safari is the hot fav here but is stepping out of handicap company for the first time (was initially rated 73) and will find things much tougher here against a proven multiple Listed winner in Shuwari. Even on official figures Sky Safari has a pound to find on Shuwari and in some ways it's surprising that they aren't the other way around in the betting. The first time booking of Rossa Ryan is another positive for me, and it's all about value at the end of the day where it's clear which of the two I'd rather be with.
Subtotal-250
19 November 2025
16:05 4:05 Kempton
Atmosphere
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@6.00
Lose
-50
The first-time visor did the trick when this horse won over C&D last time out, and the 3lb rise is more than offset by Toby Moore's 7lb claim. He's also got a win and a place at the course in these early days of his career. The runner-up in that race has been placed since, and the 3rd and 6th have both won to frank the form. The 5/1 looks way too big for such an in-form horse with the jockey's potentially crucial 7lb claim, and he looks the value to me.
15:31 3:31 Hexham
Tea Boy
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@5.50
Void
0
Tea Boy's only run so far was an excellent 2nd over C&D last year in a race where the winner had turned out to be fairly decent. This 5yo could therefore be potentially a cut above these (mainly) 4yos, and the trainer does very well with his small string of horses. The winner of that race over C&D has subsequently beaten a string of horses rated around 115 in a novice hurdle, and that level of form could easily be good enough to win this.
Subtotal-50
18 November 2025
15:45 3:45 Newcastle
Arcimboldo
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@15.00
Win
45
This one has shown improved form in 2 all-weather runs since switching stables. He's finished 2nd and 3rd in those 2 runs (the 3rd was over C&D), and in both runs, he's been outpaced before staying on well and gaining on the leaders. It therefore looks like a really clever move to race the horse back here in a big field (those 2 runs were in small fields). The pace will therefore be stronger now, and that will play to his strengths, so expect to see him picking horses off late on (should go big prices in running too).
1 member found this comment useful
15:05 3:05 Limerick
Queen Kulina
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@11.00
Lose
-50
The step up to around this trip last time out did the trick, with the horse showing improved form to place there when beaten less than 2 lengths and finishing the race well. This slightly longer trip and softer ground look ideal. The trainer has switched to an apprentice that takes 7lb off and has been riding well enough to suggest he's good value for that claim. The horse races off the same mark and has first-time cheekpieces. Big chance.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-5
17 November 2025
18:10 6:10 Newcastle
Irish Nectar
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@10.00
Lose
-50
This horse makes his debut for a new stable here that does well with their handicappers. They've shrewdly booked William Carver for the ride, who has a 22% strike rate around here. This is the horse's AW debut, and the last 3 runs on turf have been very much a step in the right direction, having raced fairly poorly in the races prior to those. He's running off an attractive mark of 79, having raced off marks in the 80s in the whole of last year (winning one). That win last year was at around this time of year, and he looks decent value to me.
1 member found this comment useful
13:40 1:40 Leicester
Arctic Saint
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@6.00
Lose
-50
This race really isn't going to take much winning at all. Having been through the form of the 7 runners, I had it between this one and another 5/1 shot, Martalmix'Jac. Arctic Saint gets the nod though, and 5/1 is bigger than I expected for such a weak race. The horse's only previous run over C&D was when placed off a 2lb higher mark for a jockey that hasn't ridden a hurdles winner this year. The jockey on board now has much better stats, and it should be all systems go now on the horse's second start since a wind op.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-100
16 November 2025
15:30 3:30 Cheltenham
Serious Challenge
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@9.00
Lose
-50
Serious Challenge was placed at Listed class on the flat when rated around 100, and that suggests the 5-year-old could well have the class to win this off 127 and towards the bottom of the handicap. Arguably, his crucial hurdles form was a win on heavy from Bowensonfire, which subsequently won off 123. Serious Challenge hammered him in that race despite him being heavy odds-on, and he clearly loved the heavy ground, so there's a lot to like about his chances here.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-50
15 November 2025
16:00 4:00 Cheltenham
Celestial Tune
Daily Racing
50 WINNAPNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@5.00
Win
200
This horse's 2nd of 24 at Punchestown is the piece of form which I keep coming back to here since it's produced stacks of winners. There are several formlines (through Coutach in particular) which would suggest this horse could be pretty smart. There were plenty of horses behind this one from some of the bigger stables, and I think that is form worth following. She backed it up with a near 10-length win last time out, and the 4/1 looks more than fair.
2 members found this comment useful
15:30 3:30 Cheltenham
French Ship
Daily Racing
25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@6.50
Void
0
Only the top 3 in this are rated above 127 and 7 of the last 9 winners of this have fallen into that bracket. The other 2 rated above 127 haven't raced here before but French Ship was very impressive when winning here last time out. That was the first time that the excellent Ben Jones has ridden him and the real clue to his chances here is just how good the time was compared with previous runnings of that race. He's been hit with an 8lb rise but I think he's cracking value to go in again.
2 members found this comment useful
14:20 2:20 Cheltenham
Issar DAiry
Daily Racing
25 EWNBR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@51.00
Void
0
This horse is the rank outsider but there's plenty of clues that he's anything but. At this time last year, he was 2nd in a class 1 race at Ascot where the other 4 in the top 5 have all won since, the winner off a 6lb higher mark in his next race. Issar DAiry is 1lb lower now and that effort was as a 6yo so he's likely to have come on since then. He was running ok on seasonal debut last time out before blowing up but will strip fitter now and his only other run here was when only headed at the final fence before finishing 2nd. A top 4 finish doesn't seem at unlikley as the bookies would have us believe on this evidence.
2 members found this comment useful
Theatre Native
Daily Racing
25 EW
@12.00
Lose
-50
This horse won by 10 lengths on her only previous run at the track, and the trainer has booked no less than man of the moment Sean Bowen for the first time on the horse here. She's 10lb higher now but was keen in that race, so there could be much more to come in the hands of Bowen if he gets the horse settling better. She won on heavy ground over hurdles and looks sure to run her race, so the 11/1 looks decent each way value.
2 members found this comment useful
13:10 1:10 Cheltenham
Hung Jury
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@26.00
Win
750
Course form is so important here, especially when the ground is soft, with both the jockey in this amateur's race and the horse ticking those boxes. The jockey has a win and 2 places from his 6 rides here this year, and many of the other jockeys have barely even ridden here. The horse itself was a good winner of a Hunter's chase here and is bred to be suited by this softer ground, which will clearly play to his stamina strengths. I'd expect him to be picking them off late on to make the frame and outstay many of them.
2 members found this comment useful
12:35 12:35 Cheltenham
Secret Force
Daily Racing
25 EW
@6.50
Lose
-50
The David Pipe horse (Parchment) is being well touted here. But in these races with little form to go on, a closer look at the breeding often helps locate the potentially classier horses. This one is going to be very hard to keep out of the first 3, so rates a great e/w bet to nothing. He's an Irish raider that was hugely impressive on debut, and the trainer is showing some more positive signs recently after a quiet spell. There's also a little support for the 11/2, and he's going to give the front 2 in the market a lot to think about.
2 members found this comment useful
Subtotal850
14 November 2025
16:00 4:00 Cheltenham
French Emperor
Daily Racing
25 EWNBNOTETip made at odds of 11.00 on 12/11 at 16:220.00 deduction for Doctor Glide@201.00 withdrawn at 09:550.00 deduction for Amancio @34.000 withdrawn at 10:530.20 deduction for Fortune De Mer @5.000 withdrawn at 15:39R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 10.00 x (1-0.2) = 9.00
@9.00
Win
240
James Bowen rode this horse with stacks of confidence on seasonal debut last time out, where he travelled powerfully to put the race to bed from a well-fancied odds-on favourite that was technically a blot on the handicap. So that win can be upgraded, especially since it was after a long layoff. There could be much more to come now, and 5-year-olds have a good record in this race, so he looks a cracking each-way bet at 10/1.
1 member found this comment useful
15:30 3:30 Cheltenham
Fountains Blenhein
Daily Racing
50 WINR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@15.00
Void
0
This horse is the View Fly in the Ointment and the bottom line is that we don't yet have a clue how high his ceiling is after a 34-length victory last time out. There aren't many horses from that race to have raced since, so it's hard to gauge what he beat. But the time of the race, and a look back at the future ratings of previous winners of the race, would suggest he could be competitive here. He's going to have to improve again because much more is required here, but he simply looks overpriced on all known evidence.
1 member found this comment useful
13:45 1:45 Cheltenham
Lord Baddesley
Daily Racing
50 WINR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@6.00
Void
0
Not many horses have a first wind operation at the age of 10, but that's the case here. I'm taking the view that the wind operation has worked the oracle after the horse romped to an easy victory last time out. He can go in again off this 7lb higher mark. He's gone close off similar marks in the past, and the trainer is flying at the moment. His best races have been on left-handed tracks too, so the 5/1 looks a decent price in this veterans' race.
1 member found this comment useful
13:20 1:20 Newcastle
North Parade
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@15.00
Lose
-50
This seems a crazy price for a horse that's 3 from 3 over C&D. The only negative I can see is that it's the horse's seasonal debut, but the trainer has her string fit and raring to go, as demonstrated by the fact that only one of her last 8 runners has failed to finish in the first 3. The 5lb claiming conditional that she's booked has been doing really well for her too, with 6 wins from their last 19 races where they've teamed up. The horse races here off 110, which is 7lb higher than his last C&D win, but any horse with a 100% record of 3 from 3 has to be respected. He certainly shouldn't be anywhere near 14/1.
13:10 1:10 Cheltenham
As Legends Have It
Daily Racing
25 EWNAPNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@15.00
Win
45
This horse has one of the better jockeys on board in this Conditionals race, and he is also able to claim 3lb off this bottom weight. The horse has first-time cheekpieces now too and has an unexposed profile. This looks to be his trip, having been placed on his only previous run over it where he was 2nd at 11/4 to the hot favorite. But the winner there is now rated 137, so the fact this horse was just 11/4 to beat him suggests this mark of 113 might underestimate him. His bumper win would also suggest that he's on a lenient mark here.
Subtotal235
13 November 2025
15:48 3:48 Punchestown
Without Exception
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@7.00
Lose
-50
The stable have won this race twice in 5 years and he looks to have lined this one up to improve that record this year. He won on heavy 2 starts ago and then was an excellent 2nd on similar ground on seasonal debut last time out. The horse was given an "interesting" ride by this jockey when the winner had flown before this horse picked up and passed many horses to finish runner up. It therefore looks like the horse has been targetted with this race in mind and he looks sure to go close.
11:55 11:55 Punchestown
Milanaway
Daily Racing
25 EWNBR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@29.00
Void
0
The first run over fences last time out was clearly over too short a trip (as evidenced by her best hurdles runs), and she could be a different proposition now that she gets a major step up in trip. One of her best hurdles efforts was when placed on heavy off an 11lb higher mark than she races off here, and she certainly has a better chance than her 28/1 quote would suggest.
Subtotal-50
12 November 2025
16:00 4:00 Bangor on Dee
Disco Davis
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@4.00
Lose
-50
This one gets weight all around and has a nice progressive profile. There are lines through his third in a bumper which would suggest he's a 120+ rated horse, so now is the time to catch him off this mark of just 115. No less than 9 of this 11-runner field are making their seasonal debut, whereas Disco Davis is race fit having raced 4 weeks ago, and he looks the one they all have to beat here, so the 3/1 looks more than fair.
Subtotal-50
11 November 2025
15:55 3:55 Hereford
One Cool Dreamer
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@7.00
Lose
-50
This one can confidently be filed in the e/w bet to nothing box since he looks to be exactly that for his in-form trainer and jockey. The horse is also fit after a close-up 4th on the flat last time out where he is rated 71. The fact that he races over hurdles here off just 97 would strongly suggest he could be on a competitive mark here. There was nothing wrong with his hurdling when chasing home the hot favorite in the race prior to that flat run, and he was nearly 10 lengths clear of the third. So I'm expecting him to go very close here.
1 member found this comment useful
15:46 3:46 Huntingdon
Palma Springs
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@3.25
Lose
-50
The 6/4 favourite here (Crystal Jet) looks to have been seriously overbet here on her third last time out and this well bred newcomer from a stable that do well in these events, looks to be an inflated price at 9/4. My guess is that she will go off nearer 6/4 and possibly flip flop with Crystal Jet. The stable and jockey also have an excellent course record and this really does look a very winnable race.
15:37 3:37 Lingfield
Princess Keri
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@3.25
Win
112
The booking of Harry Cobden on this horse for the first time catches the eye since the stable use him sparingly (and to good effect). The horse itself just failed to get up for Adam Wedge last time out and I'm sure he'd have that race back if he could. The form of that race has worked out really well with a stack of horses franking it, and this horse is only 2lb higher and has the jockey upgrade so should be capable of winning off this mark.
1 member found this comment useful
13:39 1:35 Hereford
Only One Blue
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@2.75
Lose
-50
Only One Blue has arguably the best hurdles performance of these last time out, and the third has won very easily since to frank that form. There are interesting lines on flat ratings here too. The third in that race, for example, is rated at around 80. This horse was rated around the mid-70s, and quite simply, that rating is the best of these in here, sometimes by quite a way. It looks fairly clear that she is the one to beat, and I'd have her nearer to the 5/4 mark (or shorter) rather than the 7/4. The excellent 5lb claiming Conditional takes the ride again too.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-38
06 November 2025
14:50 2:50 Newbury
Samuel Spade
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@15.00
Lose
-50
East India Express is the hot favorite here, but Samuel Spade has lines through that horse which give him every chance here at a generous-looking 14/1. There's basically a 14 lb swing in Samuel Spade's favor for a 3.5 length beating if you include the fact that East India Express's jockey can now only claim 3 lb rather than 5 lb. Both the jockey and trainer on this horse couldn't be in hotter form, and the horse has been given a wind operation since his last run.
Subtotal-50
05 November 2025
18:00 6:00 Kempton
Southbank
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@3.75
Lose
-50
The way Southbank saw out his race when winning over c&d last time out suggests this 5lb higher mark won't be enough to stop him going in again. He was well on top there and Toby Moore who looks a chip off the old block, takes over now with his 7lb claim. He's started his career well and won easily on his only previous ride over c&d. The horse was competitive off marks around this one on the AW for his previous trainer and the 11/4 looks more than fair.
1 member found this comment useful
14:40 2:40 Nottingham
Hinchinbrooke
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@9.00
Void
0
Rossa Ryan gets a chance for compensation here having gone down by just a length on the horse last time out which was his only previous ride on the horse. That was also an improved effort on good to soft and there's a strong suspicion that the horse might go even closer on this softer ground. Looks on a winnable mark and is unexposed so looks a great e/w bet at around 8/1.
14:22 2:20 Kempton
Huntly Lodge
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@51.00
Lose
-50
This is a crazy price for a horse that was leading at this trip before fading in the final few furlongs on his only previous handicap at the course. It's therefore abundantly clear that a return to this course and a drop in trip is almost certain to see the horse go closer now that he has his conditions. He's still unexposed and has the early pace to grab a good position from a favourable draw. The same jockey is booked and he's 5 lower now too.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-100
04 November 2025
16:10 4:10 Lingfield
King Cabo
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@41.00
Lose
-50
This trainer/jockey combo had a big-priced winner on the AW yesterday, and this horse is thrown in here on the pick of his form. So, it is perhaps worth giving another chance to in the hope the first-time cheekpieces do the trick. He was placed in each of his two runs over C&D, which were off 73 (beaten a head) and 76. Not much has gone right in the last year, but he's down to 60 now, and the headgear combined with a liking for the C&D might just see the horse bounce back here.
15:40 3:40 Lingfield
Chloes Courage
Daily Racing
25 EW
@19.00
Lose
-50
This horse was placed on her first run on the AW last time out when the jockey dropped her reins. The horse can gain compensation here with a jockey booked who is superb value for his 5lb claim and who rides this course particularly well. The jockey on board last time has just one AW win in her last 100 rides, and the extra strength in the saddle could see the horse go very close now off the same mark.
14:57 2:57 Redcar
Hurstwood
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@11.00
Lose
-50
The trainer's runners are going well, and it's a very shrewd move by him to book a promising 7lb claimer for the first time. The horse himself is a C&D specialist with 3 wins from 7 over C&D, and ground just on the easier side of good is ideal. The jockey has been making a few waves in the Tim Easterby stable, and Niven is a shrewd operator, so he's clearly seen that his 7lb claim could see this horse go very close here.
14:40 2:40 Lingfield
Imperial Cult
Daily Racing
25 EWNBR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@11.00
Void
0
If you look at the way that this excellent 5lb claimer galvanized this horse on his only previous run on him to get up for 3rd, then he's going to have a major chance here over this longer trip. The recently applied blinkers have clearly helped improve the horse, and the placed effort over a similar trip last time out for a jockey with only a less than 4% strike rate is another clue that this jockey is going to have every chance of going even closer on him here.
Subtotal-150
03 November 2025
16:20 4:20 Hereford
Little Pi
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@17.00
Lose
-50
Some of this horse's better runs were the two times this jockey has ridden him, and he could go close off a falling mark. The horse was only beaten 8 lengths the last time he was on board when traveling well and fading late on. He's 5lb lower now, and the drop back in trip looks like exactly what is needed. These could well be his ideal conditions, and this looks a winnable mark now, so rates excellent e/w value.
15:38 3:38 Plumpton
Voix De Bocelli
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@29.00
Lose
-50
Things have really started clicking for Henretta recently, and this horse appears to have been overlooked somewhat. The 5yo was only beaten around a length earlier in the year off a 3lb higher mark, and 2 miles on good ground or slightly easier looks to be where he runs best. Being a 5yo means he's less exposed than many of these, and hopefully, the 8 runners will stand their ground since he looks overpriced for a top 3 finish.
Subtotal-100
02 November 2025
15:47 3:47 Carlisle
Nitty Gritty
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@17.00
Lose
-50
This 5yo has a new trainer, a first time tongue tie and a new jockey here. For me, the penultimate start which was a win in a maiden is the key piece of form, since I'd argue that there are several horses which he beat that would suggest he is on a winnable mark here. I suspect a combination of the ground being too lively and the trip being too far were the cause of a below par effort last time out and I'm happy to go with the form of that maiden win and trust that he is well handicapped now that he has his conditions.
1 member found this comment useful
14:02 2:02 Carlisle
Personal Ambition
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@7.00
Lose
-50
This horse has run well after a break before, and these look to be his ideal trip and ground conditions. He makes his 6-year-old debut here and has stacks of quality. The beating of Jingko Blue, for example, was on a seasonal appearance a couple of years ago, and that horse has since won many races, the latest of which was off 149. PA races here off 131, and a return to hurdles after chasing looks the key.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-100
01 November 2025
16:20 4:20 Ascot
Dartmouth Jet
Daily Racing
25 EW
@10.00
Lose
-50
There's more fashionable yards being represented here, but 9/1 for this one is plain wrong in my opinion after the horse travelled supremely well when causing a surprise to win on debut. The fact that the runner up was then sent off fav to beat Saint Jeannais in their next race says to me that the form of that race could well be quite decent. It's certainly decent enough to make this 9/1 quote look way too generous with the excellent Ben Jones taking over in the saddle who is riding with supreme confidence at the moment.
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15:45 3:45 Ascot
Blow Your Wad
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@8.00
Lose
-50
This horse has only been out of the first 2 twice in 8 runs when going right handed and he was an excellent 2nd here over hurdles on his only previous run at the course. The horse has had a 2nd wind op since his last run and gets the first time visor now too. He's run well after a break before and he's only 2lb higher now than his last win when sent off a hot favourite. That was as a 6yo and he's likely to have come on again as a 7yo and looks the one to beat under ideal trip and ground conditions.
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15:35 3:35 Newcastle
Tracker Issue
Daily Racing
25 EW
@41.00
Lose
-50
I was impressed enough in this horse's penultimate start to suggest he could be worth giving another chance here off his falling (and lowest ever) handicap mark. The 3-year-old is down to 57 now, having started life in handicaps off 68, and the drop back in trip looks key since he faded at around this trip in that race. So there's every chance that this could be just what he needs. The trainer has 2 winners and 3 seconds from his last 8 runners, and I don't mind the jockey switch either since he's also been riding well of late.
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15:25 3:25 Newmarket
Stingray
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@17.00
Lose
-50
This race has been dominated by the 3 and 4-year-olds in recent years (they've won the last 7), and we're all race-fit. So, there are only 2 such qualifiers that raced within a month, namely this one and the rank outsider Mirabeau. Stingray is only the German trainer's third-ever runner over here, and he's already had one placed at Ascot. There is a line through Mr. Hollywood, which would put this horse around 105, which basically means that he doesn't have a lot to find on official ratings and should be shorter than 16/1, given the fact that he's only a 4-year-old and will be more progressive than many of these.
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15:10 3:10 Ascot
Indemnity
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@13.00
Lose
-50
The Lavelle and Ben Jones combo is going to be a profitable one to follow this season, and I like the look of this 4-timer chasing gelding. He's obviously going up in the handicap, but he could well be up to it since he was very classy for Roger Varian on the flat (rated as high as 85). The fact he's been sent off hot favourite for each of those wins suggests we haven't got to the bottom of him yet, and he can go in off 121 (6lb higher than his last mark). The 12/1 looks way too big. I'd suggest he should be nearer the 7/1 mark or even shorter.
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13:07 1:07 Newmarket
Pintara
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@6.00
Win
250
Pintara comes here with a similar profile to last year's winner of the race from the same trainer/jockey combo. She easily won a class 2 novice on her sole run with Radiance back in third, and that one looked a bit useful when winning on debut, so that form could well be good enough to win this. Clearly, she will have improved since then, and her ceiling looks to be higher than her main market rivals, in my opinion, so the 9/2 looks very fair in a race where arguably only 3 or 4 are going to have the quality to win this.
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