JamPizza

I'm a sports and betting enthusiast and love trying to solve the puzzle of big handicaps both on the flat and over the jumps. The majority of my tips are double figure prices and I rarely back the favourites. I'm always looking for value and try to post the tips the evening before to get the early prices. Twitter @JamPizza

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this month

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Estimated Prize money
this month

JamPizza's Tips History

26 July 2024

20:45 8:45 Sandown

Nemov

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@7.00

Lose

-50

Nemov would arguably have beaten Fire Demon non debut had he not been hampered late on and FD has since won off 87 so Nemov is of huge appeal on handicap debut here off 75 with a first time tongue tie. The trainer is one of the best at handicapping his horses and choosing the right races and this one hails from powerful owners too. Looks like this well bred colt could well be a few pounds ahead of the handicapper to me.

20:10 8:10 Sandown

Good Karma

Daily Racing

50 WINNB

@10.00

Lose

-50

It was a hot novice race that this horse won at Newbury and I would have him at least 5lb ahead of this mark so if the horses new trainer has done the trick (he often does), then this horse could bely the 10/1 odds since the trainer is having a hot streak of winners at the moment and even the horses last couple of runs for his previous trainer showed enough to suggest he can go close here off this falling handicap mark.

19:15 7:15 York

Kuwait City

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@19.00

Lose

-50

Kuwait City beat JM Jungle here over a furlong shorter (off 79) when held up and staying one well so this extra furlong should suit his style of running and JM Jungle has franked that form since, winning off a 9lb higher mark and proving a useful yardstick. KC races off just77 now and clearly has the ability to handle these big fields so looks a very lively outsider.

17:30 5:30 York

Tanmawwy

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@9.50

Lose

-50

It's fairly easy to make a case for this horse being the best handicapped in the race. He's won 3 from 4 in this class and is down to a mark of just 80 now Four of his 5 wins have been over this trip and on similar ground and the latest of those was just over a year ago off 97 (won easily too). This all suggests this 17lb lower mark now should see the horse go close.

15:00 3:00 Ascot

Amsterdam

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@7.00

Lose

-50

This one makes his handicap debut here off 79 for a trainer that's flying at the moment with Tom Marquand now booked for the first time. The form of his last 2 runs has worked out well and they both look strong races. The penultimate 2nd in particular when rattling home really well has the look of a horse that should be capable of winning off this mark. Nothing went right in the last race but the horse would have been racing to get a handicap mark anyway so I'm happy to gloss over that and focus on that 2nd place finish which is the piece of form that could well be good enough to win this.

25 July 2024

20:30 8:30 Yarmouth

Believe In Stars

Daily Racing

50 WINNB

@5.50

Lose

-50

Sir Michael Stoute has been having a lean time by his standards and he was always going to have some well handicapped horses on his hands when he came out of the doldrums and there are definite signs that that's starting to happen. The trainer has one of his best strike rates at Yarmouth and the excellent Harry Davies is booked for the ride. Despite going down by a head, the horse showed a good attitude last time out and fast ground clearly suits. Not many miles on the clock and should come on for that run when the trainers runners were under a cloud.

18:15 6:15 Newbury

Bass Player

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@34.00

Lose

-50

There's some evidence here to suggest this 74 rated 5yo outsider could well outrun his odds here and could be the surprise package. For a start, this horse was a short head 2nd off 102 as a 3yo on similar ground and he could well recapture some of that form having had a wind op since his last run. The trainers last 2 runners have won and his daughter rides for him here who has a win and a 2nd for his from just 7 rides, most of them being longshots so that's pretty good and she is able to claim 5lb here. The step up in trip should also suit and he's starting to look very well handicapped now.

24 July 2024

20:20 8:20 Leicester

Ash Wednesday

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@15.00

Lose

-50

The trainers unexposed handicappers are often worth a 2nd look since he really does place her horses well and gets them running off decent marks and that could well be the case again with this one here in just his third handicap. There is also the suggestion that the trainer has the horse raring to go now after awkwardly away at the start and nearest at the finish (often a sign that a horse is being prepped for a big run) and there's also another huge clue in that the trainer has booked the services of Hollie Doyle who she only uses sparingly (and to good effect), having teamed up for 6 wins from 25 rides (24%) in the last 5 years.

15:40 3:40 Catterick

Lazieelunch

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@8.50

Lose

-50

It looks like we have the ideal scenario here of a horse expected to improve for the switch to nursery company with the first time blinkers going on. The canny trainer has booked a jockey who does well for him and the real clue is to look at runs of the sires progeny which is absolutely superb on fast ground. Clearly there's plenty of reason to expect that this horse might have got in lightly here off 58 and the early signs are that the market agrees.

23 July 2024

18:10 6:10 Wolverhampton

The Pug

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@17.00

Lose

-50

They've tried this horse over a real mish mash of trips, surfaces and classes, but on balance I'd say there's a case to be made that these conditionals could be just about his optimal ones. The 2 most recent runs have been poor but prior to that, he was placed here and not beaten far off 65 and he was also placed on his only previous run over c&d off 57. He's racing off here off a mark of 62 with a very promising Apprentice booked who is having a breakthrough year having won 5 and been placed in 5 of his 25 rides this year which is terrific for a 7lb claimer. Those 2 poor runs lately are a slight worry but that's factored into the price, and a return to a course that obviosly suits might see him be competitive once more.

22 July 2024

20:20 8:20 Windsor

Hope Rising

Daily Racing

50 WINNB

@13.00

Lose

-50

You have to beleive that this Charlie Hills horse is better than a 64 rated handicapper and in just her 2nd handicap she might just deliver now at a course where the trainer does particularly well and with a significant jockey booking. The sires progeny excel at this trip and are usually much better than the rating which this one runs off here so I'm certainly not prepared to give up on her yet and she is worth another try I would suggest.

1 member found this comment useful

19:20 7:20 Windsor

Supreme King

Daily Racing

25 EWNAPNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@15.00

Win

It's all about the jockey booking for me here since Oisin Murphy was on board for the horses last win and that's his only ride on the horse. The horse travelled like an absolute dream and won with stack in hand so whatever Oisin does with this horse, clearly works. The horse is 8lb higher now but was placed off a 2lb higher mark in the race after that win and still looks like he can be competitive off this mark.

1 member found this comment useful

18:30 6:30 Beverley

Exceed

Daily Racing

25 EW

@23.00

Win

Exceed has raced twice in handicaps with the word "firm" in the going description resulting in a win off 57 and a close up 2nd off 58. He was a fast finishing 2nd on good ground off 56 last time out where the Apprentice jockey mistimed his run somewhat and he was an unlucky loser in my book. The horse races on fast ground here off 58 with the stable jockey back on and looks excellent e/w value. This is the jockey's third most winningmost course (and the trainer's 2nd) and the horse looks to have every chance here with the drying ground in his favour.

21 July 2024

14:52 2:52 Redcar

War Memorial

Daily Racing

25 EWNAPNOTEOdds taken at 15.00

@15.00

Win

This one is friendless in the market but think we are getting good value at the expense of the well backed favourite who is ridden by a jockey that I would have doubts about. No such problems with this one from a stable that have stacks of winners here and a jockey who has been riding the course really well in the last 12 months. He wasn't beaten far in a maiden on soft where those that beat him are all rated around 80. The ground might have been too lively on his last couple of starts, but this ground could suit more (any further rain might also help), and he could surprise here off just 64.

1 member found this comment useful

20 July 2024

19:45 7:45 Doncaster

Monkey Island

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@8.50

Lose

-50

If you pick the bones out of this horses surprise win on his penultimate start, then it stacks up really well when you look at the ratings of the horses that this one beat. He was well beaten in a huge field last time out but the ground would've been too lively and in any event, he was drawn on the wrong side. He's been dropped back to the trip at which he won well and remains on the same mark after that effort last time out so looks well worth a bet in a much more suitable race.

18:25 6:25 Haydock

Beaming Light

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@21.00

Lose

-50

This topweight is unexposed and very hard to weigh up so the handicapper is basically guessing and this horse looks easily the most likely to be ahead of his mark withone of the best apprentices around booked to take off a further 5lb. Clearly he's been campaigned with handicaps in mind but has been finishing close to horses rated around 10lb more than he races off here so he is surely worth a little interest at 20/1.

17:05 5:05 Ripon

Gultari

Daily Racing

50 WINR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@7.00

Void

This looks a very winnable race for this horse from a stable that usually bats at a higher level than this. I like the jockey booking too, the yard have only used the excellent Orr 5 times, and he's won twice and been placed twice. The placed effort on turf debut last time out was much more encouraging and she wasn't knocked about so it could well be all systems go now after the handicapper has dropped the horse again.

15:35 3:35 Newbury

Mapledurham

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@51.00

Lose

-50

This horse is one of the rank outsiders, but this race is for horses that cost less than 65k and the trainer is very adept in that field having won this race in recent years and also gone very close on a couple of other occasions. He is actually quoted as saying that he thinks this horse is better than that winner he had in 2019 and he's been pleased with this horses speed when gaining experience over longer trips. It's part of the trainers MO to run his horses over further early in their career but he clearly thinks he has a speedster here and the horses sire has produced 2 previous winners of the race. Looks a very unexposed outsider to me that should outrun her odds.

1 member found this comment useful

15:20 3:20 Ripon

Chatty

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@6.50

Lose

-50

Just 9 go to post here and this rates an excellent e/w bet to nothing since I can't find 3 horses to finish ahead of this bottom weight in a race that looks highly winnable. The horse has been going close when placed recently off similar marks but the real key could be the first time cheekpiece and the step up in trip which looks sure to suit judging by the horses style of racing.

19 July 2024

19:00 7:00 Newmarket

Rosy Affair

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@6.00

Push

For a horse with a great attitude, plenty of ability and a c&d win (last time out), I think this rates an excellent e/w bet to nothing since I can't see 3 horses finishing ahead of her in this 10 runner race which looks very winnable. She beat Ananda last time out and that horse competes again here but Rosy Affair looks a real trier and she's going to be very hard to pass once hitting the front. The trainer has his horses flying at the moment too with 4 of his last 9 winning, big chance.

18:45 6:45 Pontefract

Premiership

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@13.00

Lose

-50

This isn't the most consistent of horses and is 2lb out of the handicap but seemed to run a better race when placed in first time blinkers last time out and on balance this easier ground should suit further. The change in jockey to one who does particularly well for the stable is another positive, and the horse also has some decent course form too. He was won easily by over 3 lengths here over c&d off the same mark and looks great e/w value at 12/1.

18 July 2024

19:35 7:35 Epsom Downs

Martin Spirit

Daily Racing

25 EW

@11.00

Lose

-50

This horse is the only c&d winner in the field which obviously counts for a lot around a course as tricky as Epsom, and the jockey booked in this female am0ateurs race has better stats than most (around a 10% strike rate which stacks up well in the context of this race). The horse is 5lb higher now but the jockey can claim 3lb and the horse travelled well in that win here last time out when winning the race where the front 2 pulled well clear. That form has a strong look to it and the 10/1 looks decent e/w value.

17:25 5:25 Leicester

Our Dagger

Daily Racing

50 WINNBR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@6.00

Void

You won't find many clearer examples of a horse running to be prepped for a big run after a quiet ride on handicap debut than this one. It's clear for all to see that the horse has been lined up for this and has even been dropped a generous 3lb after than handicap debut run last time out when a never nearer 6th of 17 having been slowly away. The jockey switches to SDS now and this very much has the look of a horse that's been laid out for this race.

16:05 4:05 Chepstow

Vape

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 13.00 on 17/07 at 19:280.15 deduction for Alcazan@6.50 withdrawn at 10:35R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 12.00 x (1-0.15) = 11.20Best Odds Guaranteed SP 12.00 used instead of 11.20 BOG

@12.00

Win

330

This horses usual jockey has a really poor strike rate (around 3% in the last year) so the horse is of interest now that he's replaced by David Probert who has a place off 64 and a win off 65 on his 2 rides on the horse which is down to just 61 in the handicap now. The horse has been beaten no more than a length in 3 of his last 4 runs over c&d (winning one) and all 4 efforts were off higher marks than today's mark (all 4 runs were for the same jockey with the poor strike rate so can be upgraded).

1 member found this comment useful

14:50 2:50 Hamilton

Empress Of Bough

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@13.00

Lose

-50

This horses new (Irish) trainer wouldn't have brought this horse over here on debut for the yard if he didn't think he had the horse back in form and this one looks a very lively outsider off this basement mark of 46 in first time cheekpieces. The trainer has a better strike rate over here than he does in IRE and the jockey booking is eye catching to say the least since the jockey rides this course particularly well. The horse won at this trip on the AW off a higher mark and looks overpriced here when you consider all of these factors. No need for e/w for me since the horse will arguably put in an "all or nothing" type performance but at 12/1, I'm prepared to take a chance that it's the former.

1 member found this comment useful

17 July 2024

15:52 3:52 Thirsk

Orbital Chime

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@11.00

Lose

-50

This horse has had one run at this track and that's the piece of form which gives him a serious chance here. He was staying on well in that maiden over a furlong less and whilst well beaten by the winner, that horse is now a 113 rated Group winner and Orbital Chime races here off just 75 (and the well beaten third in that race has won off 75 since too). That was on heavy so clearly this horse won't mind any more rain and he should have a favourable draw here.

15 July 2024

20:20 8:20 Windsor

Mr Mistoffelees

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@19.00

Lose

-50

There's 12 runners in this but quite a bit of deadwood so the 18/1 looks great e/w value for this one to finish in the first three with Tom Marquand booked for the first time who is something of a Windsor specialist. Last year the horse was mainly racing off marks around 10-12lb higher than he's racing off here and quite simply it's hard to ignore such a well handicapped horse. His maiden win had a string of future winners further back and the horse has the ability to win this on a going day, so hopefully the new jockey has the key to getting this horse back on track.

15:35 3:28 Ayr

Twilight Romance

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@10.00

Lose

-50

The trainers runners are going well now and a return to better ground could be the key to this horse. His easy win a 7 runner maiden over the same trip and ground reads really well since 4 of the horses in that race have come out and won since, and this horse beat them all out of sight. He's less exposed than most of these and looks decent e/w value.

14 July 2024

20:00 Euro 2024

Barnabas Varga

Top Goalscorer

25 EW

@251.00

Lose

-50

This market can sometimes find the odd really high odds player landing some place money, and I'm going to take a chance on this Hungarian striker. I think Hungary in general have been underestimated after a terrific qualifying campaign and they could notch some goals again the Swiss and Scotland, with even the hosts Germany not being tight at the back anymore (and Hungary have done well recently against them too). Varga was the top scorer in his division last year and whilst this will be tougher, he has Szoboszlai to set him up and he averaged nearly a goal a game last season. In the last year, he's also had a hat trick and even got 4 in one game so if he can score 1 or 2 against Switzerland, we might just get a run for our money,.

1 member found this comment useful

13 July 2024

17:50 5:50 Hamilton

Havana Rose

Daily Racing

25 EW

@9.00

Lose

-50

The trainer is in good form, and despite this horse racing mainly on decent ground, she looks well worth a chance on this softer ground judged on her excellent 2nd when racing on good to soft off 72 as a 2yo where the winner is now rated 100+. This all gives Havana Rose a great chance here off just 62 if as expected, the softer ground is to her liking.

16:00 4:00 Newmarket

Yorkshire

Daily Racing

25 EW

@26.00

Lose

-50

This 4yo sneaks in here near the bottom of the handicap and isn't as exposed as many of his rivals here. It's a month since he last raced and he has a really good record when having had a break of a month and more in the past. The short head defeat to Silver Samurai looks strong form and I like the jockey switch too (the trainer has never used this jockey before). The horse has won in a big field before and looks to be well overpriced ar 25/1, should be nearer the 14/1-16/1 mark I would suggest.

1 member found this comment useful

15:10 3:10 York

Epic Poet

Daily Racing

25 EWNAPNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionOdds taken at 10.00

@10.00

Win

The new trainer looks to have potentially improved this horse which looks well handicapped now off 97. This is the horses third trainer, his stay in Ireland wasn't good but he's been racing on mainly good ground and if you look at his French foem prior to that, he won a Listed race at this trip on heavy, and clearly the more rain the better for this one now. The 2nd last time out here was a great effort considering the trip was too far and the ground too lively, but this could well be just about ideal.

1 member found this comment useful

14:50 2:50 Newmarket

First Conquest

Daily Racing

25 EWNBNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionBest Odds Guaranteed SP 13.00 used instead of 10.00 takenBOG

@13.00

Win

360

The jockey got his tactics wrong last time out when racing in a trio of horses on the wrong side and ended up paying the price. The booking of Buick is a positive now and he was on board for this horses nose victory on debut in a race where the form has been franked a few times. The horse is unexposed and this is the slowest ground he has encountered but the sires progeny do well on it and they also do particularly well when fitted with a hood so that could be another positive.

1 member found this comment useful

14:12 2:12 Newmarket

Not Real

Daily Racing

25 EW

@12.00

Lose

-50

Not Real hails from a family of 7 furlong specialists and it wasn't the trip that beat her last time out, it was more likely that she raced too keen and the ground was too lively. Prior to that she hacked up on soft ground over 6 furlongs and wasn't stopping so there's every reason to expect a bold show here. The nose defeat on debut has been franked by the first and third and she looks overpriced at 11/1 here in an open looking race.

1 member found this comment useful

13:45 1:45 Ascot

Toca Madera

Daily Racing

25 EW

@67.00

Lose

-50

I'm usually prepared to forgive a horse one bad run (the last run in this horses case), but if you look at this 3yo's form as a 2yo, then it stacks up really well here despite being the rank outsider. The trainer has booked one of the best 7lb claimers around and applied the first time tongue tie now too. The horse has been placed in a Group 2 and was only headed in the final furlong so this furlong shorter trip should be ideal. He races here off 97 and the jockeys 7lb claim means he has a serious chance having beaten and been around 100+ rated horses so I'll take a chance that he can bounce back to form here.

12 July 2024

19:35 7:35 Chepstow

Royal Toast

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@67.00

Lose

-50

On all the "form" of this horse for her current trainer, then she might as well stay in his horsebox since she's shown nothing but there's a nagging doubt that she could be worth giving one more chance to here. The horses 2nd when trained in Ireland (on heavy ground) is the piece of form which would have her really well handicapped here. The trainer also has a great strike rate when using one of the best 5lb claimers around, and I don't think he'd book him if he didn't expect the horse to perform much better with the first time blinkers now being used.

19:00 7:00 Chepstow

Sparkling Belle

Daily Racing

25 EW

@26.00

Lose

-50

Any unexposed horse from the Jane Chapple-Hyam stable is usually worth a 2nd look since she is one of the best at getting her horses racing off competitive marks. The cheekpieces go on now for the first time and the trainer is using an Apprentice who's won twice from just 12 rides for her and is able to claim 7lb The jockey rode the horse in its best run to date when doing well considering she had to cover much more ground by racing wide. This is a first attempt on softish ground too so there's enough potentially positive variables for me to make this an e/w bet at 25/1 in this 9 runner field with 3 placed paid.

17:30 5:30 York

Shifter

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@13.00

Lose

-50

Shifter's last 3 wins have all been over 10 furlongs and she's been staying on really well at the end of each of those so this first attempt at a further 2 furlongs could see the horse in an even stronger light especially since she is very ground dependent and will love any further rain. The trainer is in red hot form and the jockey has won an incredible 7 races from just 19 rides for the stable in the last year.

17:20 5:20 Newmarket

No Half Measures

Daily Racing

50 WINNAPNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@3.00

Win

100

No Half Measures ran a cracker when 3rd of 28 in a hot handicap at Ascot last time out and actually "won" her race from those drawn on her side. She's 1lb higher here and that run can be upgraded since the ground would arguably have been too lively and today's ground should suit more. There's also the upgrade in jockey to factor in too since Ryan Moore takes over for the first time and he's replacing a jockey that only wins 3% of his races on turf over the last year. Clearly that's going to be worth a few pounds in itself.

15:50 3:50 York

Masekela

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@13.00

Lose

-50

There's no doubt in my mind that this is the best handicapped horse in the field having been placed in the Derby and now racing around 25lb lower than that performance. He's changed yards since and hasn't found life easy but the luckless run when third last time out was a huge step back in the right direction and there's also evidence that he is stronger on this softish ground.

11 July 2024

18:00 6:00 Doncaster

Zaman Jemil

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@21.00

Lose

-50

The trainer has had a lean spell and was always going to have some well handicapped horses on his hands when he came out of it and there's definite signs that his horses are starting to fire now. He's booked his stable jockey for this topweight and the first time visor goes on too. His last win was almost exactly a year ago and he's a full stone lower in the weights now so I'm prepared to give him anothe chance in the hope that the visor rekindles this now well handicapped horse.

16:55 4:55 Doncaster

So Logical

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@7.50

Lose

-50

This is a tight little handicap and quite simply, this 3yo's collateral form stacks up better than the others in my opinion and she rates the one most likely to be ahead of their current handicap mark. There'll be no problems with the trip and ground, and this horse had been finishing around (and sometimes beating) horses rated upto 5lb higher than she races off here so she's going to be very hard to keep out of the frame I'd suggest.

15:00 3:00 Newmarket

Palmar Bay

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@21.00

Lose

-50

This horse pulled too hard when last on seasonal debut last time out but has to be worth giving another chance to with his trainer firing in winners all over the place at the moment. The ground will be softer here and that also plays ot his strengths. He's down to a mark of 85 now and there's some pieces of form in the book which give him a huge chance off this mark. He beat Jasour for example (fair and square off level weights) and that horse is now a 108 rated Group 3 winner so that form alone would suggest he should be nowehere as near as 20/1 here if we can excuse him that latest run.

10 July 2024

18:50 6:50 Ffos Las

Jimmy Mark

Daily Racing

50 WINNBNOTETip made at odds of 5.50 on 09/07 at 19:050.20 deduction for Dappled Light@5.00 withdrawn at 08:230.00 deduction for Zambezi Magic @15.000 withdrawn at 12:57R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 4.50 x (1-0.2) = 4.60

@4.60

Win

179

Time will tell whether it was first run over c&d or that fact that it was a soft race that resulted in this horse showing improved form to win last time out but at 9/2, I think it's worth taking a chance that it's the former. The apprentice has been replaced by one of the best pros in the business and the horse could well defy this 4lb higher mark. He had the field well strung out in that race and I'm hopeful he can go in again.

1 member found this comment useful

18:20 6:20 Ffos Las

Miss Raindrop

Daily Racing

50 WINR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@41.00

Void

The price is too big to ignore here for this bottom weight from a stable that had a 2nd at 40/1 the last time he booked this very promising Apprentice who is able to claim 5lb here. It's his first time on this horse which makes her debut for a new stable here. The change of scenery and break could see a different horse here and her best run was when trying as far as 14 furlongs for the only time (beaten around 6 lengths). She's on the same mark now but the jockey's claim suggests she might just outrun her odds here if the switch in yards has improved the horse.

1 member found this comment useful

17:10 5:10 Yarmouth

Glam Squad

Daily Racing

50 WINNAPNOTETip made at odds of 13.00 on 09/07 at 18:530.10 deduction for Zaman Daar@9.00 withdrawn at 07:21R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 12.00 x (1-0.10) = 11.80

@11.80

Win

540

It's hardly surprising that this horse has attracted some support in the early market since his run last time out on handicap debut, looked for all the world like a prep race for this where the trainer has a terrific record with his unexposed handicappers in recent years. This horse gave away lots of ground by racing wide early in that last race and still managed to hit the front before understandably running out of gas later on due to those earlier exertions. I could well be all system go now though and he's been dropped 2lb in the handicap.

1 member found this comment useful

09 July 2024

17:17 5:17 Pontefract

Protest Rally

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@8.50

Lose

-50

This horse was an excellent 2nd on a first run over c&d last time out and yet we get an e/w price here with the horse running off the same mark and the jockey being switched to Tom Marquand who has a good record here. The horse also has the favoured low draw and his favored decent ground so there's lots of reasons to expect him to go close here especially since he won off higher marks for his previous trainer.

1 member found this comment useful

06 July 2024

18:48 6:48 Carlisle

Exceed

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@21.00

Lose

-50

The high draw and return to fast ground could be the key to this horse outrunning his odds here. He's been overlooked in the market due to being last on his latest 2 runs, but they were on soft ground and prior that he has an excellent 2nd on fast ground over this trip and is 2lb lower now. The trainer has booked his 5lb claiming Apprentice who is decent value for that claim, and a return to better ground could see this horse cause a shock here.

1 member found this comment useful

16:47 4:47 Sandown

Dambuster

Daily Racing

50 WINNB

@6.00

Lose

-50

This horse gets in here off bottom weight and has the all important winning course form on his cv already in his short career. The win in that maiden here looks decent form with the 2nd and 3rd franking that form since. The win last time out too had the look of a horse that could be progressive and he was clearly on top at the end. Looks the one to beat to me despite only being 3rd fav in the early market.

1 member found this comment useful

16:40 4:40 Leicester

Medician Star

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@11.00

Lose

-50

This horse flopped on his last 2 starts, but if you take a look at his close third on the AW prior to that (beaten just over a length), then it looks like the horse is crying out for this extra trip and a "Jamie Spencer" last to first type ride. The jockey could indeed be the key here and the horse is already 4lb lower than that effort so there's a strong case to be made for backing this one at a double figure price.

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14:50 2:50 Beverley

Bint Alfella

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@11.00

Lose

-50

This horse was beaten just a length into 2nd over c&d in a maiden on debut and it's easy to make a case for the horse on that run since a look at those that finished around this one would easily make this horse 10+lb well in here on that run. Clearly not everything has gone well since, but he's had a wind op now and the stable have booked Jim Crowley for the first time which looks significant since he's got a good record on the rare occasion he rides for the trainer.

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14:25 2:25 Sandown

Perotto

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@6.00

Lose

-50

This horse ran a cracker when 3rd of 29 on seasonal debut last time out, and always comes on for a run. He also tends to run his best races at this time of the year, and the booking of Ryan Moore (20% strike rate for the stable) is a positive since it's only the 2nd time he's ridden the horse. Perotto is 2 from 2 at this tricky course and he spent much of last year racing off higher marks than this for his previous stable.

1 member found this comment useful

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Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.

Please note that this information is for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as an indicator of a tipsters real life performance. The OLBG Tipster Competition is a simulation game and some of the rules and prices used by the tipsters may not always be available in the real world which can lead to misleading informaiton.