JamPizza
I'm a sports and betting enthusiast and love trying to solve the puzzle of big handicaps both on the flat and over the jumps. The majority of my tips are double figure prices and I rarely back the favourites. I'm always looking for value and try to post the tips the evening before to get the early prices. Twitter @JamPizza
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Estimated Prizes
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JamPizza's Tips History
14 June 2025
19:20 7:20 Leicester
Last Outlaw
Daily Racing
25 EW
@10.00
Lose
-50
This horse was sent off 7/4f on just his 2nd start for a new stable last time out when the small field didn't suit and he can gain compensation off a 1lb lower mark now. Last Outlaw won on his only previous race here so there's clearly no problem with acting around this course. He definitely looks like one of only a handful in the field that's potentially on a lenient mark.
1 member found this comment useful
17:00 5:00 Sandown
Renewal
Daily Racing
50 WINR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@5.00
Void
0
Having gone through the form of this race, I was expecting this one to be priced up around the 5/2-11/4 mark so the 4/1 makes it a strong bet for me with Rossa Ryan booked on this unexposed and very well bred filly. Her 2nd behind Celestial Orbit at Haydock read really well to me in the context of this race and I'd have the horse a fair few pounds ahead of her current mark on the evidence of that run (the winner is a Group 3 runner upand ran in a French Group 1). This all suggests Renewel should make light work of a mark of 78 here especially since she'll still be improving. The rebooking of Ross Ryan is another positive.
2 members found this comment useful
15:35 3:35 York
The Dragon King
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@34.00
Lose
-50
Clive Cox has won this race in 2 of the last 3 years and had the 4th and 6th in the other year so this is clearly a race where he lines his horses up on attractive marks. He's booked Oisin Orr who is a jockey that I rate who is improving all the time especially in these big field handicaps where he keeps a cool head. The win at Newmarket is the key piece of form for me where the third in particular has advertised this horses chances since.
2 members found this comment useful
14:45 2:45 Chester
Encourager
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@9.00
Lose
-50
Having pieced together the form of this horses first 2 runs (the latest was an easy uncompetitive win where we didn't learn anything), I came to the conclusion that this bottom weight should be rated ar around 81-82 so this mark of 76 looks on the generous side to me, as do the odds. The trainer has his horses flying at the moment and it's interesting that he's started using Jack Doughty to good effect this season who is a jockey that I rate really highly.
3 members found this comment useful
Subtotal-150
13 June 2025
17:20 5:20 York
Perry Mason
Daily Racing
25 EW
@41.00
Lose
-50
The cheekpieces go on with Paul Mulrennan booked for the first time on this horses handicap debut from a yard that like to line one up for a gamble. The horse is steady at 40/1 in the early market but hopefully the money will come, since this horses debut 5th of 12 was in a really hot maiden at HQ. A look at those horses around this one would be an average of around 85 (even the 8th has won off 82) so this horses debut mark of 76 might see him outrun these generous odds.
16:45 4:45 York
Boyne Lady
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@11.00
Lose
-50
Boyne Lady was backed off the boards before winning last time out when just holding on by a head over the same trip and ground as she gets here. Luckily for us, the handicapper has only put her up 2lb for such a narrow victory but it's very interesting to see the trainers comments since that race where he says he thought the horse was incredibly well in and would hack up. In light of that, you'd have to say the 10/1 is too big to make is back to back wins.
15:15 3:15 Sandown
Miss Justice
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@3.50
Lose
-50
This is the least exposed horse in the field, and she gets Buick on board here for the first time on handicap debut now that she's stepping up in trip (which should be ideal). So it should be all systems go now. She's had excuses for defeats in her 3 runs so far, when running green, losing a shoe, or hitting the front too soon when apprentice ridden. So she looks a cracking bet at 5/2. A pick through the form of her 3 runs so far would strongly suggest she should have a few pounds in hand of the handicapper here.
14:25 2:25 York
Carnation Queen
Daily Racing
25 EW
@34.00
Win
990
Sellling races are a unique type of race with certain trainers targetting them, and others using them merely as race for their lesser horses to gain more experience. The angle here appears to be that this trainer has won this race for the last 2 years ( 3 in the last 8) with similar types and last years winning jockey is booked for this one. The horse hinted at ability last time out and has in all likelhood been lined up for this so the 33/1 looks like it could well be the e/w value in the race.
1 member found this comment useful
14:15 2:15 Chester
Sir David
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@51.00
Lose
-50
If you look at the recent races at Chester, it's becoming more obvious that since everyone is aware of the low draw bias, the higher drawn ones are occasionally offering excellent value due to being underbet. At the last meeting, there was even a race where the first two home were the three highest drawn. This one is drawn 12 of 13, which is enough to put most people off, but his only race here was a placed effort on debut behind a couple of horses that have since won off 82. Even the 4th is now a high 70s rated horse, so I think we can give this one another go off just 70 with Callum Shepherd, an excellent first-time jockey booking.
13:50 1:50 York
Project Geofin
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@17.00
Lose
-50
I backed this horse last week when the jockey gave him a really poor ride in my opinion so I'm going to give the horse another chance with a decent Apprentice booked to take 3lb who has 2 wins from just 4 rides for the stable. The horse looked to have plenty left when finally asked to make up ground in that race but found plenty of trouble and he could go close under a better ride here off the same mark with the jockey taking a further 3lb off. The horse was also an excellent 4th of 19 in a competitive handicap off the same mark over c&d on his only other race here.
Subtotal740
12 June 2025
17:33 5:33 Newbury
John T
Daily Racing
25 EW
@17.00
Lose
-50
Despite being one of the outsiders, this horse has form in the book which stacks up well in the context of this race. He was staying on well, for example, when 2nd at 66/1 behind a future Listed place horse, and these extra 2 furlongs are going to be absolutely ideal. The third has also since only gone down by a length off effectively a 5lb higher mark than John T races off here, and that was his only turf run to date, so there could be much more to come over this longer trip.
17:08 5:08 Nottingham
Enderman
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@9.50
Lose
-50
This horse has been placed an incredible 7 times (winning one) over C&D, so it's somewhat surprising that we get an e/w price on him here in this really weak race. A look through his career runs also shows that he has a good record at this time of year, with June in particular being a month when he runs his most competitive races. Looks like he'll be hard to keep out of the frame here, I would suggest.
17:00 5:00 Newbury
Star Style
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@15.00
Lose
-50
This horse absolutely hacked up in a maiden here on debut, and she makes her 4-year-old debut here today. So this could be the best time to catch her. She was then pitched straight into the 1000 Guineas, where she was admittedly outclassed but was in the same price bracket as horses rated 100-110. So I think a handicap off 83 could be well within her compass. The stable jockey is booked for the first time, and the horse is thoroughly exposed.
15:15 3:15 Newbury
Castro Aurum
Daily Racing
25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@26.00
Void
0
This race took some going through, and after much consideration, this one has to be the bet at 25/1, which I see as having a much better chance than many of those shorter than half the price of this one. Her 2nd of 14 in a novice race at Windsor is an effort that puts her a few pounds ahead of her current mark for me, and the shrewd trainer is trying the blinkers now to squeeze out some further improvement. The trainer has only sent 15 runners to the course, and 3 of those have won. Looks a cracking e/w bet at this price.
Subtotal-150
11 June 2025
17:45 5:45 Yarmouth
Desert Beauty
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@17.00
Lose
-50
This outsider is actually only 3lb off being top rated in this classified race and looks well overpriced at 16/1. She was staying on into 3rd over this trip just 2 starts ago when not getting the run of the race and she wasn't beaten far behind a couple of horses that have both won since. The drop back in trip didn't suit last time out but this could be ideal now with a jockey booked who knows this course well.
1 member found this comment useful
14:45 2:45 Yarmouth
Claim That Smile
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@17.00
Win
800
This horse's close-up 4th in an AW Maiden last year when sent off 2nd fav provides a few clues that he could well be up to winning this off a mark of just 56 in only his 2nd handicap. Those ahead of him in that race are basically 70-75 type horses, so you'd have to say that the fact he was competitive in that race for so long, and was so fancied, suggests he's worth sticking with here. The jockey looked to give the horse somewhat of an 'educational' race last time out (which was also a seasonal debut run), and there could be much more to come now.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal750
10 June 2025
19:10 7:10 Catterick
Invincible Ruby
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@26.00
Lose
-50
The bare stats will show that the trainer's strike rate is poor this season, but that doesn't tell the true story. His horses are going really well right now, with stacks of them placing. The 5lb claimer associated with the yard is also good value for his claim, and the horse's opening handicap mark of 70, along with the jockey's claim, makes this outsider worthy of a second look. The placed effort over C&D has clues that she can go close off this mark, but the real key will be the first run on softer ground since her sire produces many horses that revel on it. I'd expect any further rain would see her price contract from the current 25/1.
Subtotal-50
09 June 2025
20:30 8:30 Windsor
Nowhere
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@9.50
Lose
-50
This filly is a maiden after 10 runs, but her placed efforts in a maiden and a novice race on the AW last year suggest she might lose that tag soon. It doesn't take too deep a dive into the form of those horses which were around this horse in those two races to see that she could be very well handicapped on her turf debut here. She's on her lowest ever handicap mark and 8lb lower than her initial mark. The trainer does well at this course and when he books this jockey, so hopefully the horse will appreciate this ground and exploit a decent-looking mark.
19:00 7:00 Windsor
Adrestia
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@10.00
Lose
-50
The ground was just on the softer side of good when this well-bred filly hacked up in a maiden. A deeper dive into that form suggests she could well go close here on this rain-softened ground. The runner-up has since been a neck runner-up in a Group 2 on heavy ground and has won a Listed race. That horse is now rated around a stone higher than Adrestia races off here, and she makes her 3yo debut here on what could well be a favorable mark.
Subtotal-100
08 June 2025
17:20 5:20 Goodwood
Future Cutlet
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@15.00
Lose
-50
Low drawn runners should hold a decent advantage here on soft ground, and this outsider drawn 2 could well be the answer. He looked impressive when winning a maiden in Ireland on soft, hitting the line hard to beat a horse that won its next race easily. The horse has had 2 runs on the AW for a new trainer, but a return to soft ground looks like exactly what is required to return to winning ways.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-50
07 June 2025
21:00 9:00 Chepstow
Innisfree Pearl
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@11.00
Lose
-50
Despite being on the cold list, this trainer's runners are going much better recently and only just missing out. This horse will be fitter after a spin on the AW last time out, and she can go close here with the forecast rain improving her chances no end. She won on soft last year and is only 2 lb higher now. Her other run on soft saw her beaten less than 2 lengths too, so the conditions are likely to play to her strengths here.
1 member found this comment useful
17:45 5:45 Doncaster
Equity Law
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@12.00
Lose
-50
This bottom weight is friendless in the market, but has got closer in each of his 3 runs for the new trainer after being brought in from the Andrew Balding yard. He looks poised to go close now off this mark of 75 having done nearly all his racing for Balding in the mid 80s. The trainer has clearly been bringing him along slowly and there'll be no problems with the trip or ground, looks potentially better handicapped than most of these.
14:45 2:45 Epsom Downs
Tees Spirit
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@21.00
Lose
-50
The shrewd trainer puts his 7lb claiming apprentice up here, and they've been landing some decent prizes between them this season. The jockey was placed on his only other ride here, and the horse has won on his only other race over C&D (as a 4yo). The horse has slipped to his lowest handicap run in 5 races now, and it's now or never. We get to find out if the horse is in the handicapper's grip still, or, as I suspect, the trainer has been targeting this for a while and gets the horse racing off a competitive mark now with the bonus of a further 7lb taken off his back.
1 member found this comment useful
14:10 2:10 Epsom Downs
Rajeteriat
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@34.00
Lose
-50
This horse looks exactly the type that has been laid out for this. There's plenty of rain in the forecast and on breeding, you'd have to say that the horse could well improve for a first-ever run on softish ground. The trainer has only had the horse for one race when he wasn't knocked about and gets to race off the same mark here. I've been hugely impressed by the jockey booked recently, and his first-time booking also catches the eye. The horse's 2nd in a decent novice race at Sandown is the piece of form which gives him a major chance here, and when the rain gets into the ground, the high numbers should be favored, so 16 of 18 is ideal.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-200
06 June 2025
19:44 7:44 Goodwood
Dramatic Effect
Daily Racing
25 EW
@10.00
Lose
-50
Dramatic Effect won at this meeting last year on her second seasonal start, and she's racing off a career-low handicap mark now, here to follow up that C&D win. The key could be the very promising apprentice that the yard has booked since they've been using him sparingly to good effect with 4 wins from 21 rides, and he's terrific value for his 7lb claim. The jockey has actually won 3 from 7 at the equally tricky Brighton, which augurs well that he has the skills to ride this course.
19:15 7:15 Doncaster
Project Geofin
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@10.00
Lose
-50
Two of the stable's last five runners have won when booking this jockey at 10/1 and 28/1, and this outsider looks to have every chance on the book too. The horse is well-bred, and the owners show a very nice profit if you backed all their runners for this trainer blindly. The placed effort in a hot 19-runner handicap at York a year ago gave a glimpse of what this horse is capable of, and he could be even better in his 4-year-old campaign now. The run last time out would have blown away the cobwebs, and he's only 2lb above his last winning mark now. The jockey booking also looks significant since he's won once from just two rides on the horse.
19:09 7:09 Goodwood
Emporess
Daily Racing
25 EW
@13.00
Lose
-50
Emporess was only beaten a length on her only previous run over C&D and can go close here off a 2lb lower mark with an excellent jockey booked who is 2 from 10 at this tricky course. She certainly won't mind any further rain either, and I'd expect her price to contract if the course took a lot of rain before this evening meeting. She's been given every chance by the handicapper here and looks e/w value given her ability to handle the course so well in that C&D run.
18:34 6:34 Goodwood
Cables Queen
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@6.50
Lose
-50
It doesn't take much digging through the form of this horse's 2nd on debut and close up 3rd in her first run this season to put her a fair few pounds ahead of this mark of 63. Despite being an apprentice (this is an apprentice race), the jockey booked is, in my eyes, much better than the pro he takes over from. He's also still able to claim 3lb, and this unexposed horse looks a fairly strong bet to me.
17:10 5:10 Epsom Downs
Majestic Wave
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@15.00
Lose
-50
This horse is friendless in the early market but looks terrific value to me with Hollie Doyle booked for the first time. She replaces a jockey with really poor stats who has been on board for all 3 runs since the stable brought in the horse. As a result, the horse has slipped down to a career-low mark now of just 87. A look at his dead heat 2nd in a maiden at Naas last year is all the evidence we need that he's much better than that. Both the winner and the dead heat 2nd have won when rated 104 since, so Majestic Wave will surely be competitive here off a 17lb lower mark.
15:15 3:15 Epsom Downs
Botanical
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@5.50
Lose
-50
George Boughey won this race 2 years ago with a similar type, and this topweight should go close with the first-time booking of Ryan Moore worth more than a few pounds in the saddle. The last 2 winners of the race have been rated 102 or more, and there are only 3 in the race this year carrying higher than that mark. His 2 class 2 runs have resulted in a win and a 2nd of 20 behind a well-handicapped horse. The cheekpieces go on now to squeeze out some further improvement, and the 9/2 looks decent value to me.
14:25 2:25 Thirsk
Better
Daily Racing
25 EW
@21.00
Lose
-50
The booking of Mark Winn catches the eye here. The horse's only decent run this season was when he was on board, and the horse's last win was for him off 55 less than a year ago. So this falling mark of 48 with first-time cheekpieces suggests he might not be the forlorn hope the bookies would have us believe. I've also a suspicion that he'll appreciate this forecast rain over this trip, which would arguably be too sharp if the ground was racing fast. Hopefully, the horse will be able to sit handy enough.
Subtotal-350
05 June 2025
16:43 4:43 Hamilton
Iris Dancer
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@12.00
Lose
-50
This mare is a real C&D specialist, having won 6 times from 22 attempts. So effectively, we're getting 12/1 about a horse that wins more than 1 in 4 races over C&D. Five of the 6 wins were for today's jockey, and they were all off marks in the 60s, whilst the horse races off just 59 here. She had 2 unplaced runs elsewhere to start her campaign last year before winning here, and it could well be a similar story this year too.
16:12 4:12 Hamilton
King Chaos
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@17.00
Lose
-50
This is one of the rank outsiders in the race but I don't see it that way at all. The horse is one of the least exposed in the race and a very good 3lb claiming Apprentice is booked. His only turf effort was on debut when placed in a maiden and there were quality horses all around him in that race. In fact, on that evidence it's easy to make a case for him having plenty in hand here and a return to turf could be the key after racing on the AW in the 6 runs since. The cheekpieces go on now and it looks like it could well be all systems go for this one now.
Subtotal-100
04 June 2025
20:52 8:52 Ripon
William Marshal
Daily Racing
25 EW
@41.00
Lose
-50
This horse makes his handicap debut here after 3 quiet runs to get a handicap mark of 61. That's very much the stables modus operandi though, and there's every chance that we will see a big improvement now that the horse is upped in trip and with a very useful 3lb claiming Apprentice booked who is an incredible 7 from 18 for the stable. Clearly the trainer doesn't book him lightly and in addition to that Ripon is the course where the jockey has his most success. The horse is well bred too for a low level handicapper and I think a speculative punt could be the order of the day here.
2 members found this comment useful
19:22 7:22 Ripon
Shamardal Star
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@29.00
Lose
-50
The Richard Fahey strike rate hasn't been at quite the level we're used to lately, but there are some clear signs that he's turning the corner. This horse could surprise on his debut run for the new stable. The horse's second in a Doncaster maiden is the piece of form which catches the eye here for this horse's chances. He was staying on into second over a furlong less, and the first and fourth have franked that form since. The horse's chances would improve further if the ground rode on the easy side of good. On the evidence of that maiden, it's clear that he's well handicapped if back to anything like that level of form after a spell of racing on the AW.
2 members found this comment useful
17:30 5:30 Nottingham
Universal Story
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@8.50
Lose
-50
There are some formlines from this horse's short career thus far (notably a close-up 3rd at Wolverhampton), which would suggest that she could comfortably have 10lb and more in hand of her current mark here. She rates the bet of the day for me. The trainer has started to get his horses firing now, and he's one to keep on the side of once they hit form. The horse will strip fitter after the seasonal debut run last time out, and she looks on a very decent mark to me.
2 members found this comment useful
Subtotal-150
03 June 2025
20:45 8:45 Lingfield
Latona
Daily Racing
25 EW
@11.00
Lose
-50
Me Tarzan is the 1/2 favourite here, and this horse got within a length of him at Yarmouth and has an 8lb pull now. In addition to that, the drop back to 7 furlongs favours this horse, and the trainer's runners are going better now than they were when that race was run. The horse's best 3 runs to date were all when the horse finished 4th, and all 3 were the only 3 times that Shoemark has ridden her. She's down to a career-low handicap mark now and is surely the e/w value at 10/1.
1 member found this comment useful
20:00 8:00 Wolverhampton
Valkyrja
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@21.00
Lose
-50
This horse unsurprisingly faded in the final furlong or so last time out when having used up too much juice by having to race wide. The drop back in trip will suit here, and the same jockey can get some compensation with hopefully giving the horse a better ride here. She's well-bred and thoroughly unexposed, so looks worthy of interest at what appears to be a generous price.
1 member found this comment useful
14:17 2:17 Leicester
Helaali
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@17.00
Lose
-50
Finally this horse gets the step up in trip that he's been absolutely crying out for and he is a strong bet for me here from a good draw. The horse is nearly always slowly away and outpaced before making up ground late on when the winners have flown. This extra trip is therefore going to be ideal and clearly something has clicked with this jockey lately since he's riding out of his skin at the moment for his red hot trainer and he looks worthy of a bet here for sure.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-150
02 June 2025
17:40 5:40 Windsor
Camera Shy
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@21.00
Lose
-50
This horse is fast becoming my 'cliff horse,' but I'll give him one more try here. The run last time out was too bad to be true when Jamie Spencer and the vets were called in, but nothing came to light. Hopefully, the first-time visor and the first-time booking of Hector Crouch will see the horse return to form. This horse won a Class 2 novice on debut and was then sent off as the favorite in a Group 3. He was admittedly outclassed in that, but he's in handicaps now, racing off as low as 71. So anything like that level of form would see him win this without any fuss. Last chance saloon for him if he flops again here, though, I suspect.
1 member found this comment useful
15:35 3:35 Brighton
Muy Muy Loco
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@4.00
Lose
-50
I had this race between this one and Blackbrook, with preference just for the former. The 4th over C&D last time out was when the jockey didn't do very much right, in truth, and he was still only beaten 3 lengths. That was a catalogue of errors from the jockey, and the switch to David Egan is a big positive for me. He also has some recent stats for this quirky course. The horse races off the same mark here and will surely be given a better ride, so he looks a good bet to me.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-100
01 June 2025
17:30 5:30 Nottingham
Charencey
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@6.50
Lose
-50
Things have clicked for this trainer/jockey combo recently, and this horse is of real interest now that he's switched to turf after a spell of AW racing. The last time he raced on easier ground on turf resulted in a dead heat win off 73, and he's down to 66 now with the jockey taking off a further valuable 5lb, which he's really good value for the way he's riding at the moment. He does most of his racing at 7 furlongs but has been shaping as though he'll handle this extra furlong no problem.
1 member found this comment useful
15:17 3:17 Kilbeggan
Kinbara Hills
Daily Racing
25 EW
@19.00
Lose
-50
This horse is yet to place in 10 starts but the 4th last time out was a much improved effort when holding every chance until making a mistake late on. That was the first time he had a tongue tie fitted which obviously looks to have helped the horse, and it's no surprise that the visor is now also fitted to help the horse focus on his sometimes sketchy jumping. He's dropped to a career low handicap mark now and these could be his ideal conditions. We're obviously pinning our hopes somewhat on the visor improving the horse but at this price, I think he looks decent e/w value.
13:55 1:55 Nottingham
Classic Cause
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@5.50
Lose
-50
This horse took the scenic route, and the jockey could have done much better last time out when still only going down by a head on the AW. The horse can gain compensation here with a different jockey and racing off the same mark. That was also after 7 months off, and the trainer's horses are going better now too. So, there's plenty of reasons to think he could have a few pounds in hand of the handicapper here. Jason Watson is a great jockey booking, and I think we can expect a much better ride on the horse this time around.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-150
31 May 2025
15:50 3:50 York
Veydari
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@23.00
Lose
-50
This horse's chances are being dismissed due to the horse's best runs being on soft ground, but breeding suggests that the horse is likely to handle all types of going. It's clear that Veydari is a quirky type and has thrown away its race before the start by getting worked up. However, the stable switch might just see him settling better, and he has shown enough to suggest he's on a winnable mark here.
Subtotal-50
30 May 2025
20:38 8:38 Catterick
Crocodile Power
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@7.00
Lose
-50
There's a major gamble taking place on this one, which is no surprise really given that he has won 3 of his 4 races over C&D. Those were off 51, 57, and 60, and the rain looks to have come in time since he likes a bit of give underfoot too. Quite simply, he doesn't perform anywhere else, so those runs are usually to improve fitness and get the handicap mark lowered. He's racing here off 59, and the usual winning jockey is booked again after 2 rides without him, which is a clue in itself.
13:55 1:55 Chepstow
Bye Bye Salam
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@15.00
Lose
-50
This gelding by Frankel is the least exposed horse in the race, and I like the jockey booking here who is still able to claim 3lb in this apprentice race. The horse started out for Andrew Balding before switching stables after 2 runs, but the maiden run was a staying on 4th over a shorter trip, which looked a moderate run at the time. However, subsequent runs of those ahead (and behind) of him would suggest he's on an attractive mark here. The horse in 5th, for example, has since won off 78 (the front 2 are high 90s horses), and so it all points to BBS possibly going well off just 60 here. That run was on soft, so any further rain would likely improve his chances further.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-100
29 May 2025
19:20 7:20 Carlisle
Minnie Wildes
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@15.00
Lose
-50
We can draw a line in the horse's poor run last time out when slowly away and racing over too short a trip. This looks much more her bag. She was very impressive when winning at this trip by 6 lengths on debut, and this mark of just 76 looks a winnable one given the horse's unexposed profile. She was sent off at odds-on when 3rd on her last start last year, but the 2 in front of her are high 80s horses. So the fact she was fancied to beat them strongly suggests that she could well go close here.
1 member found this comment useful
16:55 4:55 Ripon
Ancient Myth
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@15.00
Win
45
The yard is going better now than it was a few weeks back, and the stable jockey is booked for the first time on this unexposed horse. This is the first turf run since the horse switched yards, and we might see a little more of the horse's true potential now off a 7 lb lower mark than the mark he was originally given in handicaps just 2 starts ago. His 2nd on the AW in a novice race makes him comfortably an 80+ horse for me, so this mark of 73 should see him be competitive.
Subtotal-5
28 May 2025
14:30 2:30 Hamilton
Moutai
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@4.33
Lose
-50
This horse looks thrown in to me on handicap debut here and looks the best bet of the day. Any horse that starts life in a class 2 maiden at HQ is highly likely to be better than a 72 rated handicapper. He dwelt in that race and shaped as though this extra furlong would suit, so that was a decent debut overall when he had 80-90 rated horses ahead of him. The owner also tends to have a decent calibre of horse, so again that's another clue that this horse should be too good for these.
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Subtotal-50
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