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20+ years betting sports has taught me a lot. Not least of which, only bet large if you think you have a significant edge. Getting odds that are better than the actual probability is key too.

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surfsup's Tips History

01 January 2026

12:50 Ryan Searle vs Jonny Clayton

Jonny Clayton 1.50

Handicap 2-way

54 WIN

@1.67

Lose

-54

I will take the more experienced and superior player to prevail here. Clayton should handle the pressure and key moments better, and that could be the difference.

08:15 Hobart Hurricanes vs Perth Scorchers T20

Hobart Hurricanes

Win Match

52 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-52

I have more faith and trust in Hobart at home than Perth away. Perth have shown me enough flaws this season to be opposed here against a quality Hobart team at home.

05:00 Melbourne Renegades vs Sydney Sixers T20

Melbourne Renegades

Win Match

53 WIN

@2.20

Lose

-53

Don't really agree with this price. It should be no bigger than 2.15, so some minor value. At least 60% of the Renegades' decent performances in recent seasons have been in their home games. They badly need this win.

04:55 Canterbury vs Central Districts T20

Central Districts

Win Match

50 WIN

@2.10

Lose

-50

Quality teams often respond strongly when fresh off an ordinary performance. That's what I'm banking on here for Central Districts, who are blessed with 7??"8 quality players in their lineup. The price is a tad high here.

01:10 Canterbury W vs Central Districts W T20

Central Districts W

Win Match

65 WIN

@2.00

Win

The visitors have done the hard work in the off-season. They will be improved this season and should have too many weapons for Canterbury today. Canterbury rely on 2??"3 players, which is always dangerous, whereas Central Districts are the more balanced team.

01:10 POR Trail Blazers @ OKC Thunder

OKC Thunder

Money Line

110 WIN

@1.09

Win

I will take on a flawed Portland team here, who are ordinary defensively. This spells trouble against OKC, who have the most potent offense in the league and only one loss at home all season.

31 December 2025

20:07 NSH Predators @ VGS Golden Knights

NSH Predators 1.50

Puck Line

122 WIN

@1.62

Win

Good deal of sharp money around for this selection, which I like and will follow here. It is a solid price. Vegas have lost 5 out of their last 6 games, and 2 out of their last 3 at home.

08:15 Adelaide Strikers vs Brisbane Heat T20

Brisbane Heat

Win Match

70 WIN

@2.20

Lose

-70

Brisbane have the batting lineup to hurt an average Adelaide bowling attack. This price should be no bigger than 2.10. There is a good deal of sharp money around for this selection, which I like and will follow.

C Munro

Man Of The Match

70 WIN

@9.00

Lose

-70

Munro is due a big score. No reason why it won't happen here against an Adelaide bowling attack that is only average. This price should be no bigger than 7-1 here.

C Munro (Brisbane Heat)

Top Team2 Batsman

260 WIN

@4.33

Lose

-260

Munro is yet to score big this season, but is more than capable of doing so against a not-strong Adelaide bowling attack. This price is a tad high here.

01:37 NY Islanders @ CHI Blackhawks

NY Islanders

Money Line

320 WIN

@1.73

Win

234

Don't really agree with this price. It should be no bigger than 1.71, so getting value odds. I will take on a pretty flawed Chicago team here, who are in poor form right now.

00:07 MTL Canadiens @ FLA Panthers

MTL Canadiens

Money Line

297 WIN

@2.10

Win

327

The Habs have won five games in a row versus Florida and have the superior preparation for this game. They are more rested. The price is a tad high here.

MTL Canadiens 1.50

Puck Line

500 WIN

@1.46

Win

230

I prefer the visitors' preparation for this game. It is far superior. They will also gain confidence from winning their last 5 meetings with Florida. Price is a tad high here.

00:07 NJ Devils @ TOR Maple Leafs

TOR Maple Leafs 1.50

Puck Line

80 WIN

@1.48

Win

The Devils have various flaws right now that won't be resolving themselves anytime soon. The Leafs at home are much more likely to put in a strong performance here, and have the attacking game will hurt the visitors.

30 December 2025

22:00 Luke Humphries vs Kevin Doets

Kevin Doets

Win Match 2-way

130 WIN

@6.00

Lose

-130

Don't really agree with this price. It should be no bigger than 4??"1. Here we're getting much better than that, so it's value odds. Doets has a pretty decent game and is a solid chance here.

Kevin Doets 2.50

Handicap 2-way

291 WIN

@2.38

Lose

-291

Luke has shown me enough flaws the past 12 months to be opposed here with a capable enough player in Doets. This price and line is a tad high here.

Over 4.50

Total Sets

480 WIN

@1.50

Win

240

Hard to see a whitewash for either player, given that the recent form of these two players is quite even. Luke has shown me enough flaws of late to be opposed at low odds here.

Kevin Doets

Win 1st Set

50 WIN

@3.40

Win

120

Too much value here to pass up or turn down. Doets will know the importance of a strong start and has a decent first-set record so far at this event. Price too high here.

Kevin Doets to win 4-3

Leg Betting

70 WIN

@19.00

Lose

-70

Luke: the past 12 months have shown me enough flaws to be opposed at very low odds here. Doets has plenty of confidence right now, which is half the battle already won. Price too high here.

Kevin Doets

Most 180s

53 WIN

@2.75

Win

This is quite an even matchup, so I will take the value of attractive odds at 2.75. In a market that could easily go either way, it makes sense to take 2.75 odds here.

14:10 Jonny Clayton vs Andreas Harrysson

Jonny Clayton

Win Match 2-way

57 WIN

@1.25

Win

I like the superior player to prevail here. Clayton should handle the pressure and key moments better, and that should be the difference.

08:15 Sydney Thunder vs Perth Scorchers T20

Sydney Thunder

Win Match

64 WIN

@2.30

Lose

-64

Good deal of sharp money around for this selection, which I like and will follow here at what is an attractive price. The Thunder will be desperate and hungry here at home given their start to the season.

02:07 BOS Bruins @ CGY Flames

BOS Bruins

Money Line

86 WIN

@2.15

Lose

-86

Team news is OK for the visitors, and there are no reasons to fault their preparation. The Flames are a pretty flawed team, so this is a realistic win for Boston, who are fighting hard for every win possible for a playoff spot.

00:07 WAS Capitals @ FLA Panthers

WAS Capitals

Money Line

87 WIN

@2.05

Lose

-87

Good deal of sharp money around for this selection, which I like and will follow here. At what is a decent price, it should be no bigger than evens here in my opinion.

29 December 2025

21:40 Luke Littler vs Rob Cross

Rob Cross

Win Match 2-way

73 WIN

@10.00

Lose

-73

Don't really agree with this price. On form, this price should be no bigger than 8-1 here. Cross has the game to be competitive and may steal the win at big odds.

Rob Cross 3.50

Handicap 2-way

130 WIN

@1.67

Win

On form, Cross should be good to avoid a whitewash loss. This price should be no bigger than 1.65. There's a good deal of sharp money around for this selection, which I like and will follow here.

Luke Littler to win 4-2

Leg Betting

120 WIN

@5.50

Win

540

Don't really agree with this price. It should be no bigger than 4-1, getting much better than that. On form, this is not a whitewash, so this score is realistic enough.

02:40 SAC Kings @ LA Lakers

LA Lakers

Money Line

51 WIN

@1.17

Win

I will take on a pretty flawed Kings team here, who have only 3 wins out of 16 attempts on the road this season. The Lakers at home are in the top-10 toughest assignments in the NBA. Price about right here, so small stakes.

01:20 CHI Bears @ SF 49ers

CHI Bears

Money Line

180 WIN

@2.65

Lose

-180

I like the amount of sharp money around for this selection, which I will follow at what is an attractive price. The Bears are a nicely balanced team and are at least a 40% chance of a win here. So 2.65 is value odds.

CHI Bears - SF 49ers

Double Result

130 WIN

@4.90

Lose

-130

By taking this selection as well as the Bears to win the game, in effect I am taking the Bears to be ahead at halftime or full-time regulation. For me, based on form, this is very realistic.

Kyle Monangai (CHI Bears)

Anytime Touchdown Scorer

70 WIN

@2.45

Lose

-70

The 49ers are nothing special with their rush defense. This will give Montgomery, a Bears running back, every chance for a TD. A lot of the Bears' offense close to the goal line is through their running game, further enhancing Montgomery's chances.

CHI Bears by 13 18

Winning Margin

50 WIN

@14.50

Lose

-50

Of the Bears' 11 wins this season, 3 have come by 13 points or more. A large winning margin like this is not unrealistic for a nicely balanced Bears team, who will be up for this one.

28 December 2025

23:40 Otago W vs Canterbury W T20

Canterbury W

Win Match

290 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-290

I expect Canterbury to improve this season and Otago to go slightly backwards. Batting is quite even here; however, I think Canterbury is superior in bowling and that could be the difference.

23:40 Wellington W vs Auckland W T20

Wellington W

Win Match

57 WIN

@1.40

Win

The Champs barely raised a sweat winning their opening game. Back at home, another big performance is likely. Auckland are weaker than Wellington in their batting, and that should be the difference here.

22:07 MTL Canadiens @ TB Lightning

TB Lightning

Money Line

71 WIN

@1.71

Win

Good deal of sharp money around for this selection, which I like and will follow here at a solid price. I have more faith and trust in Tampa at home than the Habs on the road.

20:40 Luke Humphries vs Gabriel Clemens

Gabriel Clemens

Win Match 2-way

190 WIN

@9.00

Lose

-190

luke has shown me enough flaws the past 12 months to be opposed here at very low odds. this price should be no bigger than 7-1 here in my opinion so getting value odds.

Gabriel Clemens 3.50

Handicap 2-way

500 WIN

@1.62

Win

310

Clemens should be good for a set win here at least. On form, this is a reasonably tight matchup. It's not like Luke has been setting the darts world on fire the past 12 months, unlike Littler.

Over 4.50

Total Sets

500 WIN

@1.65

Win

325

On form, this match is reasonably tight, so a final score line that is anything other than 4-0 to either player is likely. This price is a tad high at 1.65 here.

Gabriel Clemens

Win 1st Set

53 WIN

@3.75

Lose

-53

Clemens has a decent first-set record so far at this event. He is fresh off his best performance for some time. This will give him great confidence to make a strong start here.

Gabriel Clemens to win 4-3

Leg Betting

60 WIN

@29.00

Lose

-60

This is a reasonably tight matchup, so a tight final scoreline is quite likely here. Luke has shown me enough flaws the past 12 months to be opposed here at very low odds.

Gabriel Clemens

Most 180s

70 WIN

@3.50

Win

175

This is another tight affair on who will be the winner here. 3.50 odds on a market that could easily go either way? Yes, please sign me up. Clemens is mainly a 20s player with his scoring.

20:05 Toulouse v La Rochelle

La Rochelle

To Win

70 WIN

@9.00

Lose

-70

Not without hope at attractive odds. The hosts have the edge in the forwards; however, the visitors can match them in the backs, which gives them a puncher's chance here.

La Rochelle 21.50

Handicap

194 WIN

@1.80

Lose

-194

While the hosts should win the forward battle, in the backs I think La Rochelle will be competitive. If this happens, they should be able to stay within this big number.

17:00 Toulon v Perpignan

Toulon

To Win

200 WIN

@1.02

Win

Big gulf in class between these two teams. Add the fact Toulon are at home and that Perpignan's away record in recent seasons is ordinary. This is a very likely result.

15:00 Exeter Chiefs v Leicester Tigers

Leicester Tigers

To Win

80 WIN

@3.20

Lose

-80

The forward battle is tight here and can even be won by the visitors. This gives them a solid chance at decent odds. 3.20 should be no bigger than 3.00 here.

Leicester Tigers 6.50

Handicap

160 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-160

This line is too high by at least 2 full points, in my opinion. The visitors will compete well in the forward battle and perhaps even win it, which will set up a competitive performance.

13:30 India W vs Sri Lanka W 4th T20 Match

Sri Lanka W

Win Match

494 WIN

@11.00

Lose

-494

Don't really agree with this price. It should be no bigger than 9-1 here. You would not know it so far in this series, but Sri Lanka does have a solid batting lineup that can test and trouble India. With this series already won, perhaps India will not be as focused as they should be and may rest players.

27 December 2025

23:40 Central Districts W vs Wellington W T20

Wellington W

Win Match

60 WIN

@1.40

Win

The defending champs should have too much class here for a pretty flawed CD team who are pretty weak with their bowling. Wellington have a potent batting lineup to hurt them.

22:00 Luke Littler vs Mensur Suljovic

Luke Littler

Win Match 2-way

160 WIN

@1.03

Win

Mensur is a shadow of his former self form-wise, which Littler will punish today. Littler is in a class above, and it should show today. At 1.03 this price is right, though, so small stakes.

21:30 HOU Texans @ LA Chargers

HOU Texans

Money Line

120 WIN

@2.10

Win

132

I think this highly rated Texans defense can give the Chargers, who are nothing special on offense, all kinds of problems tomorrow. The Texans have ramped up their level of play recently, nicely timing their high-level upturn to make a run at the Super Bowl. I think they can continue their momentum here.

17:00 Bayonne v Stade Francais

Stade Francais 6.50

Handicap

80 WIN

@2.10

Win

Don't really agree with this line and price. The visitors can win the forward battle, which will set up a competitive performance. Strong enough team named by the visitors here.

15:05 Gloucester v Saracens

Saracens

To Win

294 WIN

@1.55

Win

162

Quality teams often respond strongly when fresh off an ordinary or worse performance. I'm banking on that here for Saracens. Plus, they should win the forward battle, which will set up the win.

Tips are normally be settled by 12pm the day after the event took place.
Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.

Please note that this information is for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as an indicator of a tipsters real life performance. The OLBG Tipster Competition is a simulation game and some of the rules and prices used by the tipsters may not always be available in the real world which can lead to misleading informaiton.

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surfsup's Tips History

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