surfsup

3

Estimated Prizes
this month

£15

Estimated Prize money
this month

surfsup's Tips History

All tips
25 April 2024
00:40 HOU Astros @ CHI Cubs

CHI Cubs

Money Line

77 WIN

@2.05

Win

81

Another well supported selection with the sharp money, which i like and will follow here. the cubs are an impressive 8-3 at home and in decent current form. houston is a poor 3-8 on the road.
00:20 MIA Marlins @ ATL Braves

MIA Marlins

Money Line

50 WIN

@3.25

Lose

-50

Another price I dont really agree with, it should be no bigger than 3.15 here. atlanta have shown me enough flaws this season to be opposed at low odds here.
00:05 OAK Athletics @ NY Yankees

OAK Athletics

Money Line

53 WIN

@3.10

Lose

-53

Dont really agree with this price, it should be no bigger than 3.00 here so getting value odds here. oakland has 9 wins this season 5 of those have been on the road. the yankees have 8 losses 4 of those have been at home.
00:00 BOS Bruins @ TOR Maple Leafs

TOR Maple Leafs

Money Line

60 WIN

@1.87

Lose

-60

Home advantage is significant here. Team news is not great for the visitors. This price has some minor value, I think it should be no bigger than 1.85 here.
24 April 2024
23:45 LA Dodgers @ WAS Nationals

WAS Nationals

Money Line

61 WIN

@2.65

Lose

-61

Decent amount of sharp money around for this seletion, whih i like and will follow here. Reasonably favourable pitching matchup here for the home team.
10:25 Richmond vs Melbourne

Melbourne

To Win

69 WIN

@1.20

Win

14

I will take on a pretty flawed richmond team. Who really have only a few high quality players. The rest of the team are average or worse by league standards. Price a tad generous here.
01:30 IND Pacers @ MIL Bucks

IND Pacers

Money Line

139 WIN

@2.05

Win

146

Team news is not great for the home team here. Fresh off a truely embarrassing performance i like the pacers to respond strongly here. Price a tad generous.

IND Pacers 1.00

Pointspread

199 WIN

@1.91

Win

181

The pacers were flat out embarrassed in their last game, look for a strong response here from a team with a very good offence. Defensively the bucks are nothing special.
23 April 2024
00:20 MIA Marlins @ ATL Braves

ATL Braves

Money Line

60 WIN

@1.50

Win

30

I like the amount of sharp money around for this selection. it has been coming steadily. reasonably favourable pitching matchup here for the braves also.
00:00 ORL Magic @ CLE Cavaliers

ORL Magic

Money Line

83 WIN

@2.85

Lose

-83

the urgency will be there from the magic today, after dropping game one. perhaps they will want it more and be the more hungry of the two teams today. price a tad high here.

ORL Magic 5.50

Pointspread

139 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-139

Bigger game in this series for the magic. A 0-2 hole is very tough to overcome. For the cavs 1-1 heading to orlando is not such a big deal. the magic offence can test and trouble a cavs defence that is solid but nothing better than that.
22 April 2024
03:00 NAS Predators @ VAN Canucks

VAN Canucks

Money Line

50 WIN

@1.70

Win

35

nashville are the more flawed team, which has been proven most of the regular season. i have more faith in the nucks at home than nashville on the road. price about right though so small stakes.
21 April 2024
18:00 MIA Heat @ BOS Celtics

BOS Celtics

Money Line

58 WIN

@1.09

Win

5

I prefer bostons preparation for this game. Less travel, more rest, and more time to prepare. They should expose today a miami defence that is pretty ordinary.
15:00 Bristol v Newcastle Falcons

Newcastle Falcons

Match Result

50 WIN

@17.00

Lose

-50

this 16-1 price is better than the exchanges. i disagree with it. 9-1 or 10-1 is a much more accurate reflection of their chances here. a tip largely because of the price.

Newcastle Falcons 24.50

Handicap

70 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-70

this line is inflated, because newcastle is winless and public perception is that they are terrible. their quality of play at times has actually been pretty decent. Line too high here.
15:00 Sale Sharks v Harlequins

Harlequins

Match Result

131 WIN

@3.25

Lose

-131

given the team named by quins they are taking this game pretty seriously. their road or away crenditials are better than solid and while at sale is a tough venue, they are better equipped than most to get the result.

Harlequins 6.50

Handicap

399 WIN

@1.91

Win

363

Strong enough Quins team named, to be in with a decent chance of a straight up win here. Sale of shown me enough flaws this season to be opposed at low odds against a capable quins team.
07:00 North Melbourne vs Hawthorn

Hawthorn

To Win

50 WIN

@1.44

Win

22

I will take on the most flawed team in the league here, they play solid or ok for patches of games only. That is not likely to be enough to get the win today.
05:00 Canterbury Bulldogs v Newcastle Knights

Newcastle Knights

Match Result

60 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-60

Have to feel for the knights to lose this game, it would take a poor or ordinary performance, that has not happened this season. Even in their losses that has not happened. Price a tad generous here.
04:00 Sydney vs Gold Coast

Gold Coast

To Win

60 WIN

@3.25

Lose

-60

Sydney have shown me enough flaws this season to be opposed at low odds here. Gold Coast have a talented and capable enough playing group with little fear. Dangerous opponent here.
01:30 LA Lakers @ DEN Nuggets

LA Lakers

Money Line

57 WIN

@3.50

Lose

-57

dont really agree with this price, it should be no bigger than 3.40 here, the playoffs is a different beast i expect the lakers to step it up a level from the regular season. they have the players to do some damage.
00:20 TEX Rangers @ ATL Braves

TEX Rangers

Money Line

57 WIN

@2.37

Lose

-57

sharp money has been coming steadily for this selection early, often a positive sign is this. too nice of a price to turn down it should be no bigger than 2.30 here.
20 April 2024
21:05 HOU Astros @ WAS Nationals

WAS Nationals

Money Line

50 WIN

@2.60

Win

80

houston is too inconsistant for me to trust them here at low odds. i will gladly go the other way at tasty and attractive odds. 2.60 should be more like 2.45 here.
21:05 NY Mets @ LA Dodgers

NY Mets

Money Line

53 WIN

@2.60

Win

85

the mets batting lineup is hot right now having scored 9 runs in both their last 2 games. as a team they have won 7 out of their last 8 games which makes them one of the hottest teams in baseball right now.
19:35 Connacht v Zebre

Zebre

Match Result

95 WIN

@13.00

Lose

-95

worth a go at this price, it should be no bigger than 10-1 here getting much better than that. i like the team named by the visitors esp. the forward pack.

Zebre 20.50

Handicap

199 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-199

the home side have not shown me enough quality of play this season to be favoured by this much here. zebre have a solid and hard working forward pack that can be competitive here.
19:35 Edinburgh v Scarlets

Scarlets

Match Result

50 WIN

@10.00

Lose

-50

dangerous game for the home side. if this price was 8-1 i would say fair enough but at this 9-1 quote there is nice value, strong enough team named by the visitors.

Scarlets 16.50

Handicap

80 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-80

the home side dont have many blowout wins this season and in recent seasons, which indicates when they have the foot on the throat they struggle to exert more dominance. line a tad high here.
18:05 TB Rays @ NY Yankees

TB Rays

Money Line

61 WIN

@2.15

Win

70

i like the pitching matchup here for the road team it is quite favourable. and dont really agree with this price it should be no bigger than 2.10 here.
17:30 Exeter Chiefs v Bath

Exeter Chiefs

Match Result

139 WIN

@1.95

Lose

-139

this is a well supported selection with the sharp money which i like and will follow here, this price should be no bigger than 1.90 here, so some minor value here.

Exeter Chiefs -1.50

Handicap

50 WIN

@2.00

Lose

-50

decent home team versus a slightly above average away/road team, advantage exeter. strong team named by the hosts here, they mean business.
16:05 Bulls v Munster

Munster

Match Result

50 WIN

@4.33

Win

166

dont really agree with this price, it should be no bigger than 4.00 here, i will take on a pretty flawed bulls team here on odds that are too low.

Munster 10.50

Handicap

129 WIN

@1.91

Win

117

Good deal of sharp money around for this selection which i like and will follow here. strong team named by the visitors which signals their intentions of taking this fixture very seriouisly.
15:00 London Broncos v Salford

London Broncos

Match Result

80 WIN

@15.00

Lose

-80

Salford have looked and been more shakey on the road. And most of the broncos stronger performances have been in their home games. Price should be more like 11-1 here.
15:00 Saracens v Gloucester

Gloucester

Match Result

50 WIN

@15.00

Lose

-50

i expect the visitors to do the basics well and their solid and hard working forward pack can give them an outside chance of the big upset win. nice price here.

Gloucester 24.50

Handicap

70 WIN

@1.91

Win

64

too much has been made of the team news for this game, sure it favours the home side, but the markets have overeacted in my humble opinion here.
14:00 Lions v Leinster

Leinster

Match Result

62 WIN

@2.10

Lose

-62

Strong enough team named here by the visitors, to give this game a real go. They can win the forward battle to set the foundation for the win. Price a tad generous here.
11:10 West Coast vs Fremantle

West Coast

To Win

60 WIN

@6.00

Win

300

west coast have had a decent preparation for this game its been settled and the better of the two teams. i like their team named, this price should be no bigger than 5.50 here.
10:30 Brisbane vs Geelong

Geelong

To Win

100 WIN

@2.45

Win

145

brisbane have shown me enough flaws this season, to be opposed here at lowish odds. personally i think this price should be no bigger than 2.40 here, so some minor value.
08:05 Blues v Brumbies

Brumbies

Match Result

76 WIN

@4.33

Lose

-76

I am a believer that this blues forward pack has a bit of a soft underbelly. ACT bring a strong forward pack and a backline that generally do the basics well. Price too big here.

Brumbies 9.50

Handicap

139 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-139

The forward battle will be key. I think the brumbies are strong enough in that area to be competitive in this game. With the wet whether around this wont help the expansive game the blues like to play.
07:35 Carlton vs Greater Western Sydney

Greater Western Sydney

To Win

60 WIN

@2.05

Lose

-60

GWS are flying right now, unbeaten on the season. And the most impressive team in the league in terms of their level of play consistantly. Price too big here.
02:30 SAC Kings @ NO Pelicans

SAC Kings

Money Line

50 WIN

@2.05

Lose

-50

I give the kings no less than a 50% chance of winning this game. So it makes sense to take the 2.05 odds here. They have a high number of blow out wins this season, when their key players have been avaliable, as they are for this game.
19 April 2024
20:00 Leeds v Huddersfield

Huddersfield

Match Result

76 WIN

@2.05

Win

80

Leeds are very well backed and a popular bet for this game. I tend to disagree, the visitors have the more balanced team on attack and defence. And this Leeds team is a pretty flawed one.
20:00 St Helens v Hull FC

Hull FC

Match Result

52 WIN

@26.00

Lose

-52

There are plenty of 25-1 shots that have close to no chance. I dont see this as one of them. There are so many variables at play in a game of sport, too much can go wrong for a over whelming favourite. Price a tad high here.
19:35 Glasgow v Sharks

Sharks

Match Result

70 WIN

@17.00

Lose

-70

this price has blown right out due to team news, pretty much a second string sharks side. But i have faith in the players named to be competitive here, there is still enough player talent and quality in this team today.

Sharks 20.50

Handicap

180 WIN

@1.91

Win

164

there is enough quality in this sharks team named to be competitive here, esp in forward play. this line is too high by 2 full points in my humble opinion.
19:35 Ulster v Cardiff

Cardiff

Match Result

61 WIN

@4.50

Lose

-61

Cracking price at this 4.50 price, it should be no bigger than 3.65 here in my opinion. team news is pretty ordinary for the home side here, they may very well struggle today.

Cardiff 8.50

Handicap

139 WIN

@1.91

Win

126

team news is pretty ordinary for the home side here. i see this game as a more even matchup than the bookies. i would have this line more like +6.5 here.
09:00 St George/Illawarra Dragons v New Zealand Warriors

St George/Illawarra Dragons

Match Result

67 WIN

@3.20

Win

147

This season and in recent seasons many of the dragons best performances have happened when they have been playing at home. Poor away team, but a better than average home team. Price too high here.
08:05 Fijian Drua v Hurricanes

Hurricanes

Match Result

50 WIN

@1.29

Win

14

Not a bad price for a team yet to lose a game. Other than playing at home, the fiji side doesnt have many upsides here. Its a night game, which means the heat and humidity will be less. i like the team named by the visitors.
02:37 EDM Oilers @ COL Avalanche

EDM Oilers

Money Line

63 WIN

@3.00

Lose

-63

Dont really agree with this price. Team news is solid here for the visitors and they are fresh off a poor permance, quality teams often respond strongly after such a performance.
02:07 SJ Sharks @ CAL Flames

SJ Sharks

Money Line

76 WIN

@3.45

Lose

-76

Last game this season for both of these teams. Team harmony is pretty ordinary you would think in the flames camp, they were expecting to make the playoffs and failed. the sharks not so much the case in their camp. This price is a tad high here.

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Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.

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