surfsup
20+ years betting sports has taught me a lot. Not least of which, only bet large if you think you have a significant edge. Getting odds that are better than the actual probability is key too.
1
Estimated Prizes
this month
£5
Estimated Prize money
this month
surfsup's Tips History
14 November 2025
03:07 WPG Jets @ SEA Kraken
SEA Kraken
Money Line
230 WIN
@2.30
Win
299
Seattle have played their hearts out in their home games this season. This energy when at home gives them a bright future when on home ice. They have beaten the Oilers and Vegas at home, top-tier teams like today's opponent.
SEA Kraken 1.50
Puck Line
70 WIN
@1.50
Win
35
With the energy and passion Seattle has been playing with on home ice this season, they have every chance today against a Jets team who hasn't had a great preparation for this game.
02:10 ATL Hawks @ UTA Jazz
UTA Jazz
Money Line
53 WIN
@2.30
Lose
-53
The Jazz will play a high-tempo and cohesive game on offense. This spells trouble for Atlanta, who have an ordinary defense and who played in a taxing game yesterday. Price is a tad high here.
UTA Jazz 2.00
Pointspread
56 WIN
@1.95
Lose
-56
The Jazz are clicking nicely on offense right now. This spells trouble for Atlanta, who are nothing special on defense and played in a tough, taxing game yesterday.
02:10 IND Pacers @ PHX Suns
PHX Suns
Money Line
60 WIN
@1.53
Win
32
Teams with vastly contrasting form, and it should show in the end result here. The Pacers lack high-quality players right now, and that should be telling in the end result today.
PHX Suns -4.50
Pointspread
50 WIN
@1.91
Win
46
The Pacers are a mess right now, and this game could easily spiral out of control for them. Their lack of high-quality players right now should prove costly here.
02:07 SJ Sharks @ CGY Flames
SJ Sharks
Money Line
57 WIN
@2.45
Lose
-57
The Flames are a mess, just like their win record this season. The Sharks have won 4 in a row and 6 out of their last 7, which is more games than the Flames have won all season. Price too high here.
01:15 NY Jets @ NE Patriots
NY Jets
Money Line
57 WIN
@7.00
Lose
-57
The odds on New England are too low in my opinion. I will gladly go the other way at tasty odds. The Jets will fight hard here and will enjoy and feed off the big underdog tag.
NY Jets - NE Patriots
Double Result
70 WIN
@5.50
Lose
-70
By taking this selection, as well as the Jets to win the game, in effect I am taking the Jets to be ahead at halftime or full time. For me, this is realistic enough. New England has a poor first-half record in recent seasons and are a solid lay at very low odds today.
NE Patriots by 1 6
Winning Margin
50 WIN
@4.90
Lose
-50
The 1-6 winning margin is the most common winning margin in NFL history. The Jets should be competitive here against an overrated New England team. Price about right here though, so small stakes.
00:37 EDM Oilers @ CLB Blue Jackets
EDM Oilers
Money Line
70 WIN
@2.05
Lose
-70
What exactly have the Blue Jackets done this season and in recent seasons to be a solid home favorite against a top 3 most complete team in the entire NHL in the Oilers? Bookies have the wrong favorite here.
EDM Oilers 1.50
Puck Line
53 WIN
@1.44
Win
23
The Jackets have not done enough this season or in recent seasons to be favored against an Oilers team that most people will agree are a top 3 most balanced and complete team in the entire NHL.
00:10 TOR Raptors @ CLE Cavaliers
TOR Raptors
Money Line
120 WIN
@3.60
Win
312
I prefer the Raptors' preparation for this game. They did not play yesterday, while Cleveland did play, and it was a tough and taxing game. Price too high here.
TOR Raptors 7.50
Pointspread
57 WIN
@1.91
Win
52
Good deal of sharp money around for this selection, which I like and will follow here. Cleveland's preparation for this game has been less than ideal.
00:07 BOS Bruins @ OTT Senators
BOS Bruins
Money Line
80 WIN
@2.37
Lose
-80
I like the amount of sharp money around for Boston here, which I will follow at what is a tasty price. Team news is okay for the visitors here.
BOS Bruins 1.50
Puck Line
50 WIN
@1.55
Lose
-50
Don't agree with this price. It should be no bigger than 1.50 odds here, so getting value odds. Team news and their preparation are both decent for Boston here.
00:07 DAL Stars @ MTL Canadiens
DAL Stars
Money Line
60 WIN
@2.00
Win
60
Decent amount of sharp money around for Dallas for this game, which I like and will follow here at what is a decent enough price for a top-tier road team.
00:07 LA Kings @ TOR Maple Leafs
TOR Maple Leafs
Money Line
120 WIN
@2.15
Lose
-120
On the surface, team news for the hosts is not great. However, the players coming in are decent enough. The Leafs, at home fresh off a heartbreaking loss in their last home game, are likely to put in a strong performance here.
TOR Maple Leafs 1.50
Puck Line
60 WIN
@1.44
Win
26
I get the sense the Leafs will really be up for this home game. And they may well want the win more here. They have the attacking game to hurt the Kings, who are nothing special defensively.
Subtotal222
13 November 2025
15:30 Samoa v Namibia
Namibia
To Win
53 WIN
@13.00
Lose
-53
Both teams are pretty flawed in different ways. But i see this game as a slightly closer call than the bookies. the heavy favourite tag and samoa is a dangerous combination for their backers.
Namibia 24.50
Handicap
106 WIN
@1.85
Win
90
Samoa has more big-name players, but they are still lacking in key areas. For example: too many basic errors, fitness, and discipline. Namibia can match or better them in these areas, which will lead to a competitive performance.
13:00 Belgium v Brazil
Brazil
To Win
50 WIN
@7.00
Lose
-50
Worth a small go at this price. Brazil have a solid attacking game. This can test and trouble a Belgium defense that is nothing special. Price is a tad high here.
01:00 GS Warriors @ SA Spurs
SA Spurs
Money Line
50 WIN
@1.62
Lose
-50
I prefer the Spurs' preparation for this game. The Warriors played in a tough and taxing game yesterday and have had some travel. The Spurs did not play and have been based at home (no travel). Price a tad high here.
01:00 POR Trail Blazers @ NO Pelicans
NO Pelicans
Money Line
50 WIN
@4.00
Lose
-50
I have faith that New Orleans at home are more likely to put in a spirited performance here than if it was a road game. It's home games like this against pretty flawed opposition they must bank if they want a playoff spot.
01:00 WAS Wizards @ HOU Rockets
WAS Wizards
Money Line
83 WIN
@10.00
Lose
-83
The Wizards' strength is their offense. I feel this can trouble a Rockets defense that is nothing special. Perhaps some complacency will be a factor for the hosts here.
00:37 EDM Oilers @ PHI Flyers
PHI Flyers
Money Line
207 WIN
@2.10
Lose
-207
While the Oilers are a quality team, their flaws on the road this season and in recent seasons have been for all to see. Not only is their win-loss record on the road pretty ordinary, but they have also lost to several low-tier teams on the road. Philly at home is a tough nut to crack. Price is a tad high here.
PHI Flyers 1.50
Puck Line
60 WIN
@1.44
Win
26
The Oilers are without some key players for this road game. Their vulnerabilities on the road in recent seasons have been for all to see. Philly at home with a decent preparation should have a strong performance here.
00:30 CLE Cavaliers @ MIA Heat
MIA Heat
Money Line
70 WIN
@1.50
Lose
-70
Team news is pretty ordinary for Cleveland here. This lack of high-quality players today should prove costly against a Heat team that has been impressive at home this season.
00:30 MEM Grizzlies @ BOS Celtics
MEM Grizzlies
Money Line
80 WIN
@3.70
Lose
-80
Boston has shown me enough flaws this season to be opposed at low odds here. Memphis has a better than average offense with their current player lineup. This can trouble an average Boston defense. Price is a little high here.
MEM Grizzlies 7.50
Pointspread
53 WIN
@1.95
Lose
-53
Team news is reasonably favorable for the visitors here. Boston has plenty of chinks in their armor at present, and I feel that this Memphis offense today can hurt an average Boston defense.
00:15 New Zealand vs West Indies 5th T20 Match
DJ Mitchell
Man Of The Match
70 WIN
@12.00
Lose
-70
High-quality batsman who has a number of decent scores recently. So his confidence is high right now. He will be licking his lips today as he gets a decent batting pitch, and the Windies bowling attack is not strong.
MG Bracewell (New Zealand)
Top Team1 Batsman
60 WIN
@17.00
Lose
-60
Hard-hitting, quality middle-order batsman who tends to often post big scores against bowling attacks that are not strong. It's fair to say that about this Windies attack.
Subtotal-710
12 November 2025
04:10 DEN Nuggets @ SAC Kings
SAC Kings
Money Line
72 WIN
@4.00
Lose
-72
The Kings are fresh off an embarrassing home performance. They are a capable and proud home team. I expect a strong response here. Price a tad high.
SAC Kings 8.50
Pointspread
50 WIN
@1.91
Lose
-50
The Kings are a difficult team to beat by big margins at home, as proven by their home history in recent seasons. Like nearly all teams, the Nuggets are more vulnerable on the road. Line a tad high here.
03:07 WPG Jets @ VAN Canucks
VAN Canucks
Money Line
57 WIN
@2.05
Lose
-57
Good deal of sharp money around for this selection, which I like and will follow here at what is a decent enough price. The Canucks are no less than a 48% chance of winning this game at home. So, 2.05 is value odds.
02:10 IND Pacers @ UTA Jazz
UTA Jazz
Money Line
130 WIN
@2.30
Win
169
Team news remains pretty ordinary for the Pacers. Without enough high-quality players, they are likely to continue to struggle. Utah at home is a tough test.
01:10 GS Warriors @ OKC Thunder
OKC Thunder
Money Line
50 WIN
@1.33
Win
17
These two teams have vastly contrasting home and away records. OKC at home is yet to lose at 4-0. The Warriors are a poor 1-5 on the road, and in recent seasons their road record is not flash as well. OKC should have too much firepower at home.
01:07 CGY Flames @ STL Blues
CGY Flames
Money Line
67 WIN
@2.25
Lose
-67
The Calgary players and staff will see this game as a realistic win against a pretty flawed St. Louis team. The amount of sharp money around for this selection indicates a strong performance is likely from the visitors today.
CGY Flames 1.50
Puck Line
50 WIN
@1.50
Win
25
I like the amount of sharp money around for the Flames for this game. Against a pretty flawed St. Louis team, a strong performance is likely here from the visitors.
00:40 TOR Raptors @ BKN Nets
BKN Nets
Money Line
103 WIN
@4.60
Lose
-103
The Nets will see this game as a realistic win at home versus a pretty flawed Toronto team. There are not many games on the Nets' upcoming schedule that they will really fancy their chances. So a big focus will be on banking this home game.
00:07 DAL Stars @ OTT Senators
DAL Stars
Money Line
70 WIN
@2.05
Win
73
Dallas have consistently been a top-tier road team in recent seasons. They rank highly in several stat categories for road games in recent seasons and will fancy their chances against an Ottawa team that is nothing special.
00:07 LA Kings @ MTL Canadiens
MTL Canadiens
Money Line
63 WIN
@2.00
Lose
-63
I have more faith in Montreal at home than the Kings on the road. And don't really agree with this price. It should be no bigger than 1.95 here, so getting value odds.
MTL Canadiens 1.50
Puck Line
53 WIN
@1.40
Lose
-53
Sharp money is coming hard for this selection, which I like and will follow here. The Kings have not shown me enough high level of play this season to carry my tip here.
00:07 TOR Maple Leafs @ BOS Bruins
BOS Bruins
Money Line
207 WIN
@2.15
Win
238
I like the amount of sharp money around for this selection, which I will follow here at what is a solid price. Key players are in for the hosts, and there are no reasons to fault their preparation.
BOS Bruins 1.50
Puck Line
50 WIN
@1.48
Win
24
The Leafs are struggling to build much momentum. A real concern is the number of goals they are conceding. Boston at home has the attacking game to hurt them.
Subtotal81
11 November 2025
22:15 Wessel Nijman vs Lisa Ashton
Lisa Ashton
Win Match 2-way
61 WIN
@11.00
Lose
-61
Again, another match where the price is not an accurate indicator of the gulf in class of these two players right now. It is tighter than this 10-1 price suggests.
21:45 Michael van Gerwen vs Gary Anderson
Gary Anderson
Win Match 2-way
69 WIN
@2.00
Lose
-69
MVG has shown me enough flaws in the past few months to be opposed here. Gary has the slightly more consistent recent form. Anything above 1.95 is value here.
20:15 Luke Littler vs Daryl Gurney
Daryl Gurney
Win Match 2-way
70 WIN
@7.50
Lose
-70
The gulf in class between these two players is not massive. If Littler has a bit of an off day, which does happen from time to time, then Gurney is a solid chance here. Price is a tad high.
19:45 Niko Springer vs Beau Greaves
Niko Springer
Win Match 2-way
87 WIN
@2.00
Lose
-87
Springer is in some of the best form of his career. What he has achieved in the past few months has raised his name and profile. This price is a tad high here.
19:15 Jonny Clayton vs Danny Noppert
Jonny Clayton
Win Match 2-way
120 WIN
@2.10
Win
132
There is very little between these two players on form, so it makes sense to take the 2.10 price. Clayton is more than capable of defeating Noppert, as he has already done several times in his career.
02:10 MIN Timberwolves @ UTA Jazz
UTA Jazz
Money Line
50 WIN
@3.50
Lose
-50
I prefer Utah's preparation for this game. They did not play yesterday and have been based at home, so no travel. The Wolves did play yesterday in what was a reasonably taxing game and have had to travel from Sacramento all the way to Utah.
02:10 NO Pelicans @ PHX Suns
NO Pelicans
Money Line
110 WIN
@3.60
Lose
-110
Given the standings, perhaps the visitors will want this one more. They have picked up their level of play in their last few games and have the offense to trouble an average Suns defense.
NO Pelicans 8.50
Pointspread
50 WIN
@1.95
Lose
-50
This is a game New Orleans will be targeting as a realistic win. There are not a lot of games on their upcoming schedule against low-tier teams like the Suns. Line a tad high here.
01:37 CLB Blue Jackets @ EDM Oilers
CLB Blue Jackets
Money Line
119 WIN
@2.63
Lose
-119
With little between these two teams, the result could easily go either way. 2.63 odds in a tight matchup has appeal. The Oilers have shown me enough flaws this season to be opposed at low odds here.
01:15 PHI Eagles @ GB Packers
PHI Eagles
Money Line
70 WIN
@2.10
Win
77
I like Philly to lead at either halftime or fulltime. That's why I have taken this option as well as the halftime/fulltime double. Green Bay has shown me enough flaws this season and in recent seasons to have me think this is very realistic.
PHI Eagles - GB Packers
Double Result
64 WIN
@5.50
Lose
-64
Philly will know the importance of a strong start playing Green Bay at home. The visitors have a decent first-half record in recent seasons. Philly to lead at halftime, but there is enough class in this Green Bay lineup at home to come back 2nd half.
01:10 SA Spurs @ CHI Bulls
CHI Bulls
Money Line
70 WIN
@2.45
Lose
-70
The Bulls continue to surprise many, myself included. The Spurs' road record in recent seasons speaks for itself and shows their struggles. Price a tad high here.
00:10 LA Lakers @ CHA Hornets
CHA Hornets
Money Line
80 WIN
@3.60
Lose
-80
The lack of high-quality players the Lakers have right now is catching up with them after a hot start. Defensively, the visitors have issues which the Hornets can punish at home. The Lakers are an average road team in recent seasons.
00:10 POR Trail Blazers @ ORL Magic
POR Trail Blazers
Money Line
90 WIN
@2.20
Lose
-90
The Magic's preparation for this game has been average, as is the team news for the hosts. The Blazers have been pumped up ever since they lost their head coach and are enjoying life without him. Perhaps it was a toxic relationship.
00:10 WAS Wizards @ DET Pistons
WAS Wizards
Money Line
190 WIN
@6.00
Lose
-190
Detroit's preparation for this game has not been ideal. Washington has the offense to hurt them. Team news is solid for the visitors too.
Subtotal-901
Tips are normally be settled by 12pm the day after the event took place.
Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.
Please note that this information is for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as an indicator of a tipsters real life performance. The OLBG Tipster Competition is a simulation game and some of the rules and prices used by the tipsters may not always be available in the real world which can lead to misleading informaiton.
