surfsup

20+ years betting sports has taught me a lot. Not least of which, only bet large if you think you have a significant edge. Getting odds that are better than the actual probability is key too.

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surfsup's Tips History

17 November 2025

01:20 DET Lions @ PHI Eagles

DET Lions

Money Line

377 WIN

@2.30

Lose

-377

The Lions have the superior offense and have proven their credentials on the road in recent seasons. Under the big time and bright lights of SNF, surely this is a game they will be up for.

DET Lions - PHI Eagles

Double Result

380 WIN

@5.00

Lose

-380

Detroit has a decent first-half record this season and last season and the superior offense. A decent first half from the visitors is likely. There is enough class in this Eagles team at home to overturn the first-half deficit. By taking this selection as well as Detroit to win the game, in effect, I am taking them to be ahead at halftime or full-time. This is realistic.

16 November 2025

21:05 SEA Seahawks @ LA Rams

SEA Seahawks

Money Line

200 WIN

@2.50

Lose

-200

Seattle have been going about their business and racking up the wins, without much hype. The Rams, on the other hand, have been getting more hype from media and fans. Seattle will play with a chip on their shoulders for this game because of this, and I can see them wanting this win more here.

SEA Seahawks - LA Rams

Double Result

147 WIN

@4.90

Lose

-147

Seattle are in the top 3 most improved teams this season from last season. By taking this selection, as well as Seattle to win straight up, in effect I am taking Seattle to be ahead at halftime or full-time. For me, this is very realistic.

15:10 Scotland v Argentina

Argentina

To Win

60 WIN

@2.40

Win

Don't really agree with this price. It should be no bigger than 2.30 here. Scotland have shown me enough flaws in recent seasons, especially on attack, to be opposed at low odds here.

14:30 Luke Littler vs Danny Noppert

Danny Noppert

Win Match 2-way

80 WIN

@6.50

Lose

-80

Don't agree with this price. For me, the Dutch player is no less than a 25% chance of winning this match. Therefore, this 6.50 price is over the odds regardless of what actually ends up happening.

Danny Noppert 5.50

Handicap 2-way

140 WIN

@2.00

Lose

-140

Noppert has been reasonably impressive of late, especially in his last two matches. He will enjoy the big underdog tag here and is a solid chance.

13:15 Luke Humphries vs Gerwyn Price

Gerwyn Price

Win Match 2-way

70 WIN

@2.75

Lose

-70

You know with Price, he is a fierce competitor and will provide a tough test on form for Luke. 2.75 should be no bigger than 2.65 here, in my humble opinion.

Gerwyn Price 2.50

Handicap 2-way

50 WIN

@1.83

Lose

-50

Humphries has shown me enough flaws in the past few months to be opposed here at lowish odds against a more than capable player in Price. Line and price are a tad generous here.

03:07 WPG Jets @ CGY Flames

CGY Flames

Money Line

50 WIN

@2.18

Lose

-50

I like the amount of sharp money around for this selection. I prefer the home side's preparation for this game. This price is a tad high here.

00:10 OKC Thunder @ CHA Hornets

CHA Hornets

Money Line

53 WIN

@10.00

Lose

-53

I will bank on some complacency here for the Thunder. Anytime you have a very heavy favorite, this becomes a possibility. The Hornets at home are more likely to put in a strong performance than on the road.

00:10 TOR Raptors @ IND Pacers

IND Pacers

Money Line

60 WIN

@3.50

Lose

-60

If the Pacers are going to make a playoff push, these are the games they must bank at home versus pretty flawed opposition. Price a tad high here.

IND Pacers 6.50

Pointspread

50 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-50

The Raptors have issues that Indy can exploit, especially defensively. The Pacers at home will see this as a realistic win even with their lack of quality players right now.

00:07 BOS Bruins @ MTL Canadiens

BOS Bruins

Money Line

150 WIN

@2.37

Win

206

Generous price here for a much improved Boston team to start the season. After a poor last road game, I like a strong response here from a capable team.

BOS Bruins 1.50

Puck Line

51 WIN

@1.57

Win

Don't really agree with this price. It should be no bigger than 1.53 here, so getting value odds. The Habs are in a mini form slump right now.

00:07 EDM Oilers @ CAR Hurricanes

EDM Oilers

Money Line

139 WIN

@2.05

Win

146

I like the amount of sharp money around for this selection, which I will follow here at what is a solid price. It should be no bigger than evens here.

EDM Oilers 1.50

Puck Line

52 WIN

@1.44

Win

The Oilers are a top-tier road team, and I get the sense they will really be up for this game after blowing the win in their last road game. The price is a tad high here.

00:07 LA Kings @ OTT Senators

LA Kings

Money Line

57 WIN

@1.95

Win

The Kings have proven themselves as a road team this season and in recent seasons. The Sens are a pretty flawed team and a solid lay today at lowish odds.

LA Kings 1.50

Puck Line

50 WIN

@1.36

Win

A competitive performance is likely from the visitors here. They have their key players in and no reasons to fault their prep. They are clicking nicely at the attacking end right now.

00:07 TOR Maple Leafs @ CHI Blackhawks

CHI Blackhawks

Money Line

69 WIN

@2.08

Win

I have more faith in Chicago at home than the Leafs on the road, given the team lineups for today. The Leafs are missing more key players here.

CHI Blackhawks 1.50

Puck Line

50 WIN

@1.44

Win

Don't really agree with this price. It should be no bigger than 1.42 here, so getting some value odds, albeit minor. I prefer the hosts' preparation here.

15 November 2025

22:10 MEM Grizzlies @ CLE Cavaliers

MEM Grizzlies

Money Line

60 WIN

@5.75

Lose

-60

Generous price here for a Memphis team who, while they have not been getting many wins, remain dangerous due to enough high-quality players in their playing group and a solid offense.

MEM Grizzlies 11.50

Pointspread

90 WIN

@1.91

Win

Memphis have the offense to hurt Cleveland. The hosts are in a mini form slump right now and have not had an ideal preparation for this game.

20:10 Ireland v Australia

Ireland

To Win

65 WIN

@1.25

Win

The Aussies have an average away record in recent seasons. It's been a tough and torrid international season for them, and I feel they are jaded right now. Price a tad high here.

15:00 Portugal v Hong Kong China

Hong Kong China

To Win

80 WIN

@7.00

Lose

-80

Worth a go at this price. It should be no bigger than 5-1 here. I feel the visitors can get parity in the backs or even an edge, which will give them a solid chance here.

Hong Kong China 16.50

Handicap

110 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-110

With sevens rugby becoming an Olympic sport, the likes of both Hong Kong and China have directed plenty more resources towards rugby union. As a result, both their fifteens and sevens teams have improved and are no longer the disgrace they once were. A competitive performance is likely here from the visitors.

02:40 GS Warriors @ SA Spurs

SA Spurs

Money Line

70 WIN

@1.75

Lose

-70

The Spurs are much improved this season, and I don't think the bookies have factored that in enough yet. The Warriors' road record in recent seasons makes grim reading.

SA Spurs -2.50

Pointspread

53 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-53

The Warriors on the road in recent seasons have performed poorly for a team of their standards. The Spurs at home are in the top 10 toughest assignments in the NBA.

00:40 PHI 76ers @ DET Pistons

DET Pistons

Money Line

50 WIN

@1.87

Win

i have more faith in detroit at home than the 76ers on the road. prearation for the hosts for this game has been ideal. price is a tad high here.

DET Pistons -1.00

Pointspread

50 WIN

@1.91

Win

Detroit at home, desperately hunting every win possible, is a tough ask for a pretty flawed Philly team who have not shown me enough on the road in recent seasons.

00:10 MIA Heat @ NY Knicks

MIA Heat

Money Line

56 WIN

@3.10

Lose

-56

Don't really agree with this price. It should be no bigger than 3.00 here, so getting value odds. The Heat are no less than a 35% chance of winning this game, so value odds.

MIA Heat 6.50

Pointspread

51 WIN

@1.95

Lose

-51

The Heat have the offense to hurt the Knicks, who are nothing special defensively. Team news is okay for the visitors, as is their preparation for this game.

14 November 2025

03:07 WPG Jets @ SEA Kraken

SEA Kraken

Money Line

230 WIN

@2.30

Win

299

Seattle have played their hearts out in their home games this season. This energy when at home gives them a bright future when on home ice. They have beaten the Oilers and Vegas at home, top-tier teams like today's opponent.

SEA Kraken 1.50

Puck Line

70 WIN

@1.50

Win

With the energy and passion Seattle has been playing with on home ice this season, they have every chance today against a Jets team who hasn't had a great preparation for this game.

02:10 ATL Hawks @ UTA Jazz

UTA Jazz

Money Line

53 WIN

@2.30

Lose

-53

The Jazz will play a high-tempo and cohesive game on offense. This spells trouble for Atlanta, who have an ordinary defense and who played in a taxing game yesterday. Price is a tad high here.

UTA Jazz 2.00

Pointspread

56 WIN

@1.95

Lose

-56

The Jazz are clicking nicely on offense right now. This spells trouble for Atlanta, who are nothing special on defense and played in a tough, taxing game yesterday.

02:10 IND Pacers @ PHX Suns

PHX Suns

Money Line

60 WIN

@1.53

Win

Teams with vastly contrasting form, and it should show in the end result here. The Pacers lack high-quality players right now, and that should be telling in the end result today.

PHX Suns -4.50

Pointspread

50 WIN

@1.91

Win

The Pacers are a mess right now, and this game could easily spiral out of control for them. Their lack of high-quality players right now should prove costly here.

02:07 SJ Sharks @ CGY Flames

SJ Sharks

Money Line

57 WIN

@2.45

Lose

-57

The Flames are a mess, just like their win record this season. The Sharks have won 4 in a row and 6 out of their last 7, which is more games than the Flames have won all season. Price too high here.

01:15 NY Jets @ NE Patriots

NY Jets

Money Line

57 WIN

@7.00

Lose

-57

The odds on New England are too low in my opinion. I will gladly go the other way at tasty odds. The Jets will fight hard here and will enjoy and feed off the big underdog tag.

NY Jets - NE Patriots

Double Result

70 WIN

@5.50

Lose

-70

By taking this selection, as well as the Jets to win the game, in effect I am taking the Jets to be ahead at halftime or full time. For me, this is realistic enough. New England has a poor first-half record in recent seasons and are a solid lay at very low odds today.

NE Patriots by 1 6

Winning Margin

50 WIN

@4.90

Lose

-50

The 1-6 winning margin is the most common winning margin in NFL history. The Jets should be competitive here against an overrated New England team. Price about right here though, so small stakes.

00:37 EDM Oilers @ CLB Blue Jackets

EDM Oilers

Money Line

70 WIN

@2.05

Lose

-70

What exactly have the Blue Jackets done this season and in recent seasons to be a solid home favorite against a top 3 most complete team in the entire NHL in the Oilers? Bookies have the wrong favorite here.

EDM Oilers 1.50

Puck Line

53 WIN

@1.44

Win

The Jackets have not done enough this season or in recent seasons to be favored against an Oilers team that most people will agree are a top 3 most balanced and complete team in the entire NHL.

00:10 TOR Raptors @ CLE Cavaliers

TOR Raptors

Money Line

120 WIN

@3.60

Win

312

I prefer the Raptors' preparation for this game. They did not play yesterday, while Cleveland did play, and it was a tough and taxing game. Price too high here.

TOR Raptors 7.50

Pointspread

57 WIN

@1.91

Win

Good deal of sharp money around for this selection, which I like and will follow here. Cleveland's preparation for this game has been less than ideal.

00:07 BOS Bruins @ OTT Senators

BOS Bruins

Money Line

80 WIN

@2.37

Lose

-80

I like the amount of sharp money around for Boston here, which I will follow at what is a tasty price. Team news is okay for the visitors here.

BOS Bruins 1.50

Puck Line

50 WIN

@1.55

Lose

-50

Don't agree with this price. It should be no bigger than 1.50 odds here, so getting value odds. Team news and their preparation are both decent for Boston here.

00:07 DAL Stars @ MTL Canadiens

DAL Stars

Money Line

60 WIN

@2.00

Win

Decent amount of sharp money around for Dallas for this game, which I like and will follow here at what is a decent enough price for a top-tier road team.

00:07 LA Kings @ TOR Maple Leafs

TOR Maple Leafs

Money Line

120 WIN

@2.15

Lose

-120

On the surface, team news for the hosts is not great. However, the players coming in are decent enough. The Leafs, at home fresh off a heartbreaking loss in their last home game, are likely to put in a strong performance here.

TOR Maple Leafs 1.50

Puck Line

60 WIN

@1.44

Win

I get the sense the Leafs will really be up for this home game. And they may well want the win more here. They have the attacking game to hurt the Kings, who are nothing special defensively.

Tips are normally be settled by 12pm the day after the event took place.
Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.

Please note that this information is for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as an indicator of a tipsters real life performance. The OLBG Tipster Competition is a simulation game and some of the rules and prices used by the tipsters may not always be available in the real world which can lead to misleading informaiton.

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surfsup's Tips History

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