surfsup

20+ years betting sports has taught me a lot. Not least of which, only bet large if you think you have a significant edge. Getting odds that are better than the actual probability is key too.

Estimated Prizes
this month

£15

Estimated Prize money
this month

surfsup's Tips History

03 December 2025

02:07 MIN Wild @ EDM Oilers

MIN Wild

Money Line

83 WIN

@2.25

Win

104

Good deal of sharp money around for this selection, which I like and will follow here at what is a decent enough price. For me, the Wild are at least a 45% chance of winning this game, so value odds at 2.25.

01:10 MEM Grizzlies @ SA Spurs

SA Spurs

Money Line

52 WIN

@1.53

Win

I prefer the home side's preparation for this game. Memphis has been playing well for patches of matches only. This will be unlikely to be enough to get the win today.

00:37 TOR Maple Leafs @ FLA Panthers

TOR Maple Leafs

Money Line

91 WIN

@2.40

Win

127

Florida has shown me enough flaws this season to be opposed here at low odds. The Leafs have a reasonably in-form offense and attacking game and can hurt the home side here. Price a tad high.

02 December 2025

09:10 Perth Scorchers W vs Melbourne Renegades W T20

Perth Scorchers W

Win Match

52 WIN

@1.73

Win

For Perth, they place a large emphasis on banking their home games at what is a tough venue for visiting teams. Perth must bank their home games in particular to gain a playoff spot. The home side have 5??"6 world-class players and, at home, should have too much class here. Price about right though, so small stakes.

03:10 PHX Suns @ LA Lakers

PHX Suns

Money Line

67 WIN

@2.75

Win

117

Good deal of sharp money around for this selection, which I like and will follow here. The Suns' offense is in form and firing right now. Price is too big here.

PHX Suns 4.50

Pointspread

50 WIN

@1.95

Win

I prefer the Suns' preparation for this game. The Lakers played a taxing game yesterday. The Suns did not play and have an in-form offense right now.

02:10 DAL Mavericks @ DEN Nuggets

DEN Nuggets

Money Line

50 WIN

@1.20

Lose

-50

I will take on a pretty flawed Dallas team, who has not had an ideal preparation for this game. Denver wins their home games at a very high percentage and should have too much class here.

02:10 HOU Rockets @ UTA Jazz

UTA Jazz

Money Line

57 WIN

@6.00

Win

285

The Jazz are a proud and capable enough home team. After being embarrassed yesterday versus the same opposition and venue, I expect a strong response here.

01:15 NY Giants @ NE Patriots

NE Patriots

Money Line

53 WIN

@1.29

Win

I will take on a pretty flawed Giants team here, who have issues on both offense and defense that won't be resolving themselves anytime soon. The class of the superior team at home should prevail here.

NY Giants - NE Patriots

Double Result

50 WIN

@4.90

Lose

-50

The Giants have a solid first-half record in recent seasons when they have been big underdogs. Giants to lead at the break, only for the superior team at home to take over in the second half.

Stefon Diggs (NE Patriots)

Anytime Touchdown Scorer

65 WIN

@2.10

Lose

-65

The Giants' defense is pretty ordinary, and that is being kind. Diggs, being a WR, should have every chance to get a TD given the Giants' pass defense and its issues.

00:40 CHA Hornets @ BKN Nets

BKN Nets

Money Line

50 WIN

@2.70

Win

I will take on a pretty flawed Hornets team here at low odds. At least 60% of the Nets' decent performances in recent seasons have occurred in their home games. Price is a tad high here.

00:40 CHI Bulls @ ORL Magic

CHI Bulls

Money Line

53 WIN

@4.20

Lose

-53

The Bulls have the offense to hurt a Magic defense that is nothing special. With most of their key players in strong form, the likely winner is the Bulls here. The price is too big.

CHI Bulls 8.50

Pointspread

50 WIN

@1.95

Win

The Bulls' offense is decent right now. This can test and trouble a Magic defense that is nothing special. Team news is OK for the Bulls, as is their preparation.

00:40 LA Clippers @ MIA Heat

LA Clippers

Money Line

60 WIN

@3.10

Lose

-60

Good deal of sharp money around for this selection, which I like and will follow here at what is a decent enough price. Team news and preparation both OK for the Clippers.

00:10 ATL Hawks @ DET Pistons

ATL Hawks

Money Line

50 WIN

@4.30

Lose

-50

The Hawks have an in-form offense. They have been racking up the points. This spells trouble today for an average Detroit defense. Price too high here.

00:10 CLE Cavaliers @ IND Pacers

IND Pacers

Money Line

59 WIN

@2.70

Lose

-59

Good deal of sharp money around for this selection, which I like and will follow here at what is an attractive enough price. Like most teams, the Cavs are more vulnerable on the road.

00:10 MIL Bucks @ WAS Wizards

WAS Wizards

Money Line

51 WIN

@4.60

Win

184

Don't really agree with this price. It should be no bigger than 4.40, so getting value odds. At home, at least 60% of the Wizards' decent performances have occurred in recent seasons.

01 December 2025

08:10 Hobart Hurricanes W vs Melbourne Stars W T20

Melbourne Stars W

Win Match

60 WIN

@2.20

Lose

-60

Hobart has shown me enough flaws, especially with their bowling, to be opposed at low odds here against a capable enough Stars team who have a reasonably strong batting lineup.

06:00 New Zealand vs Australia

New Zealand

Money Line

77 WIN

@2.05

Lose

-77

There is something special about this NZ team. They are young, full of confidence, and well coached/managed. If both teams had their NBA players, NZ would be in a world of trouble. Of course that is not the case. A strong performance at home is likely here.

02:40 NO Pelicans @ LA Lakers

NO Pelicans

Money Line

195 WIN

@9.00

Lose

-195

New Orleans' strength is their offense. For the Lakers, their defense is average and will likely prevent them from going deep in the playoffs. Solid likely roster for the visitors in this game.

02:10 MEM Grizzlies @ SAC Kings

SAC Kings

Money Line

300 WIN

@2.37

Lose

-300

I prefer the home side's preparation for this game. The Kings generally shoot the ball better at home. This spells trouble for an ordinary Memphis defense here.

01:20 DEN Broncos @ WAS Commanders

WAS Commanders

Money Line

51 WIN

@3.40

Lose

-51

Both of Denver's losses this season have been on the road. Washington has had a decent preparation for this game and has most of their key players available. A competitive performance is likely here at home.

WAS Commanders - Tie

Double Result

50 WIN

@41.00

Lose

-50

For whatever reasons this season, Denver, despite having an impressive win-loss record, does not have a great first-half record. Washington at home tends to lead at halftime, only for the class of this Denver team to come back in the second half and force OT.

Courtland Sutton (DEN Broncos)

Anytime Touchdown Scorer

54 WIN

@2.50

Win

This is a well-supported selection with the sharp money, which I like and will follow here at what is a decent enough price. It should be no bigger than 2.45 here.

DEN Broncos by 1 6

Winning Margin

50 WIN

@3.60

Win

130

This is easily the most common winning margin in NFL history here. It's a tight matchup. A close finish is likely. The price is a tad high at 3.60 here.

30 November 2025

15:00 Saracens v Bath

Saracens

To Win

51 WIN

@1.53

Lose

-51

I have more faith and trust in Saracens at home than Bath away at a tough venue, especially given the teams that have been named. The hosts should win the forward battle, which will set the foundation for the win.

14:00 Iraq vs Iran

Iraq

Money Line

53 WIN

@18.00

Lose

-53

Too big of a price here. It should be no bigger than 14-1; we're getting much better than that. This is a game the visitors will really be up for, and they have a strong enough player lineup.

Iraq 25.50

Pointspread

67 WIN

@1.91

Win

The gulf in class between these two teams is not massive. This is a game Iran will really be up for, and there are no reasons to fault their preparation.

12:30 India vs Saudi Arabia

India

Money Line

53 WIN

@9.50

Lose

-53

Good deal of sharp money around for this selection, which I like and will follow here at what is a very attractive price at nearly 9-1. Price too high.

04:40 Sydney Sixers W vs Sydney Thunder W T20

G Voll

Man Of The Match

53 WIN

@10.00

Lose

-53

Has a decent track record against the Sixers and is generally a decent batter against high-quality bowling attacks. The same cannot be said of several of her teammates. Price a tad high here.

G Voll (Sydney Thunder (W))

Top Team2 Batsman

74 WIN

@4.75

Lose

-74

High-quality batter. There are only 3??"4 high-quality batters in this Thunder lineup. He has several big scores against the Sixers in previous matches. Price is a tad high here.

02:10 DEN Nuggets @ PHX Suns

PHX Suns

Money Line

67 WIN

@2.30

Lose

-67

The Suns are 8-3 at home this season and have been impressive at home. Team news is OK for the Suns, and their preparation has been solid for this game.

02:00 Bahrain vs Thailand T20

Thailand

Win Match

300 WIN

@8.00

Lose

-300

Don't really agree with this price. It should be no bigger than 6-1 here, so getting value odds. Thailand have the batting line-up to test and trouble the home side here.

01:40 NO Pelicans @ GS Warriors

NO Pelicans

Money Line

53 WIN

@4.00

Lose

-53

Team news is solid for the visitors here. I will take on a pretty flawed Warriors team here at very low odds. Defensively they have issues New Orleans can exploit.

01:10 Brisbane Heat W vs Adelaide Strikers W T20

Adelaide Strikers W

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.70

Win

Adelaide is stronger with their batting, and that should be the difference here. Brisbane have a strong enough new-ball attack, but other than this their bowling is not strong.

E Johnston

Man Of The Match

50 WIN

@23.00

Lose

-50

Worth a small go at this price. It should be no bigger than 20-1 here. Johnston is an all-rounder who is decent at all three disciplines ??" batting, bowling, and fielding ??" which gives her a decent chance for Player of the Match.

E Johnston (Adelaide Strikers W)

Top Team2 Batsman

70 WIN

@11.00

Lose

-70

Brisbanes have a strong new-ball bowling attack, so this opens the way for someone from Adelaide's middle order to top score, such as a capable enough middle-order batter like Johnston.

00:40 CHI Bulls @ IND Pacers

IND Pacers

Money Line

87 WIN

@2.30

Win

113

The Bulls are just 3-7 on the road this season, and in recent seasons their road record has been poor as well. The Pacers at home should have too much firepower here.

29 November 2025

21:07 EDM Oilers @ SEA Kraken

EDM Oilers

Money Line

71 WIN

@1.67

Win

Well-supported selection with the sharp money, which I like and will follow here. The Oilers are fresh off their most embarrassing performance this season. I expect a strong response here from a quality team.

EDM Oilers -1.50

Puck Line

50 WIN

@2.65

Win

This is a well-supported selection with the sharp money, which I like and will follow here at what is a decent enough price. It should be no bigger than 2.60 here.

19:45 Scarlets v Glasgow Warriors

Scarlets

To Win

53 WIN

@5.50

Win

238

Don't really agree with this price. It should be no bigger than 5.40 here, so some minor value. The forward battle is tight here. Anytime that is the case, the underdog is a solid chance.

Scarlets 12.50

Handicap

80 WIN

@1.91

Win

Scarlets at home with the team they have named are likely to put up a strong fight here. I think the home side's forward pack will compete well, which will set the foundation for a competitive performance.

15:10 Wales v South Africa

Wales

To Win

50 WIN

@41.00

Lose

-50

Small stakes here only. At this price, it is worth a small go. This is not the foregone conclusion most people think it is. Perhaps the hosts will want it more here. South Africa have been on the wrong side of two of the biggest upsets in Rugby Union history, and both were away from home.

Wales 40.50

Handicap

87 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-87

Not an overly strong team named by the visitors. Banking on some complacency here from the visitors. Wales at home with the team they have named should stay within this big number.

15:00 Gloucester v Harlequins

Harlequins

To Win

158 WIN

@1.80

Lose

-158

Team news is not great for the home side. This is a well-supported selection with the sharp money, which I like and will follow here. Quins have the attacking game to trouble the hosts.

08:10 Hobart Hurricanes W vs Perth Scorchers W T20

BL Mooney

Man Of The Match

80 WIN

@7.50

Lose

-80

Life is really good for Mooney right now, after picking up a very big IPL deal. She will get every chance to get a big score batting at the top of the order against a bowling attack that is not strong.

BL Mooney (Perth Scorchers W)

Top Team2 Batsman

110 WIN

@3.10

Win

231

Quality batter who will be loving life right now after picking up a big IPL contract recently. This price is a tad high here. She gets every chance batting at the top of the order.

28 November 2025

04:40 Sydney Sixers W vs Brisbane Heat W T20

Brisbane Heat W

Win Match

197 WIN

@2.62

Void

Brisbane will be desperate here. A win is crucial to help them make the playoffs. They scored big last game, and while they didn't get the win, the quality of play from them as a team has been quite high.

02:00 Malaysia vs Thailand T20

Thailand

Win Match

299 WIN

@8.00

Void

Too big of a price here. It should be no bigger than 6/1, so this is getting value odds. Thailand have the batting lineup to hurt the home side. This is a realistic win here.

01:20 CIN Bengals @ BAL Ravens

BAL Ravens

Money Line

70 WIN

@1.30

Lose

-70

I will take on a pretty flawed Bengals team here, who are not strong in key positions. The Ravens at home, with most of their key players in, should be too strong here.

CIN Bengals - BAL Ravens

Double Result

50 WIN

@4.20

Lose

-50

Price lower than I would like here, so small stakes. The Ravens at home should have too much firepower in the end. Their form has ramped up big time in the last few weeks since they have got key players back. However, the Ravens do not have a great first-half record this season. There is a fair chance they will be trailing at the break.

Rashod Bateman (BAL Ravens)

First Touchdown Scorer

50 WIN

@15.00

Lose

-50

Good deal of sharp money around for this selection, which I like and will follow here at what is a decent enough price. It should be no bigger than 13-1 here in my opinion.

Charlie Kolar (BAL Ravens)

Anytime Touchdown Scorer

50 WIN

@10.00

Lose

-50

There is a decent amount of sharp money around for this selection, which I like and will follow here at what is a decent enough price. It should be no bigger than 8-1 here.

BAL Ravens by 19 24

Winning Margin

53 WIN

@8.00

Lose

-53

The Ravens have found their mojo in the last month or so. A big help has been getting key players back. They should be too strong for a pretty flawed Bengals team. A big margin is likely.

Tips are normally be settled by 12pm the day after the event took place.
Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.

Please note that this information is for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as an indicator of a tipsters real life performance. The OLBG Tipster Competition is a simulation game and some of the rules and prices used by the tipsters may not always be available in the real world which can lead to misleading informaiton.

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surfsup's Tips History

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