surfsup
20+ years betting sports has taught me a lot. Not least of which, only bet large if you think you have a significant edge. Getting odds that are better than the actual probability is key too.
4
Estimated Prizes
this month
£20
Estimated Prize money
this month
surfsup's Tips History
07 November 2025
02:10 LA Clippers @ PHX Suns
PHX Suns
Money Line
307 WIN
@1.75
Win
230
Team news is not favorable for the Clippers for this game. This lack of high-quality players should well prove costly against a Suns team who has won 3 out of their 4 home games this season and have been reasonably impressive in doing so.
PHX Suns -2.50
Pointspread
80 WIN
@1.91
Win
73
The Suns' points differential at home this season so far is +32 points. And they have won 3 out of 4 at home. The Clippers lack high-quality players for this game, and that should be telling.
01:15 LV Raiders @ DEN Broncos
LV Raiders
Money Line
110 WIN
@4.75
Lose
-110
The Raiders will draw strength and inspiration from a decent recent record against Denver in Denver. I sense the visitors will really be up for this game, versus a strong rival team and under the bright lights of Thursday Night Football. Price a tad high here.
LV Raiders - DEN Broncos
Double Result
120 WIN
@5.25
Lose
-120
By taking this option, as well as the Raiders to win the game, in effect I am taking the Raiders to be leading at either halftime or full-time. For me, this is realistic enough. The Raiders will draw strength from a decent recent record in Denver. Price a tad high here.
00:00 MTL Canadiens @ NJ Devils
MTL Canadiens
Money Line
70 WIN
@2.25
Lose
-70
I like the amount of sharp money around for this selection, which I will follow here at what is a decent enough price. It should be no bigger than 2.20 here.
00:00 OTT Senators @ BOS Bruins
BOS Bruins
Money Line
63 WIN
@2.30
Win
82
I have more faith in Boston at home than Ottawa on the road. Team news is favorable for Boston here as well. The price is a tad high here at 2.30.
Subtotal85
06 November 2025
06:15 New Zealand vs West Indies 2nd T20 Match
West Indies
Win Match
180 WIN
@3.10
Lose
-180
The Windies are a confidence team more so than any other international team. When they get their tails up, they can be tough to stop. Fresh off an epic win yesterday, I like them to continue their momentum for this game today. Price is a tad high here.
Subtotal-180
05 November 2025
03:37 WPG Jets @ LA Kings
LA Kings
Money Line
50 WIN
@1.80
Win
40
Sharp money is coming hard for this selection, which I like and will follow here at a solid price. It should be no bigger than 1.78 here in my opinion, so some minor value.
LA Kings -1.50
Puck Line
57 WIN
@3.05
Win
117
Don't really agree with this price. It should be no bigger than 2.95 here, so getting value odds. I have more faith in the Kings at home than the Jets on the road. Given the standings, the Kings may well be more hungry and desperate here.
01:07 EDM Oilers @ DAL Stars
DAL Stars -1.50
Puck Line
53 WIN
@3.00
Lose
-53
I like the amount of sharp money around for this selection, which I will follow here at what is a decent enough price. It should be no bigger than 2.90 here, in my opinion.
01:00 ORL Magic @ ATL Hawks
ATL Hawks
Money Line
130 WIN
@2.45
Win
189
The Hawks' home record last season was superior to the Magic's road record. With the Hawks yet to register a home win this season, they will be pumped to change that today against a Magic team getting a lot more hype than they are. Price a tad high here.
ATL Hawks 3.50
Pointspread
165 WIN
@1.91
Win
150
The Hawks are yet to register a home win this season but remain a proud and capable home team. Last season, they were 21-19 at home with several of these wins against high-tier or mid-tier opposition. The Magic were just 19-22 on the road last season and, in their franchise history, have seldom been a decent road team. Line a tad high here.
Subtotal443
04 November 2025
03:40 MIA Heat @ LA Clippers
MIA Heat
Money Line
80 WIN
@3.90
Win
232
Miami were a no-show yesterday. After this embarrassing performance, I expect a strong response here today from a quality team. On offense, they can hurt the Clippers, who are nothing special defensively.
MIA Heat 7.50
Pointspread
300 WIN
@1.91
Win
273
Good deal of sharp money coming for this selection, which I like and will follow here at what is, in my opinion, a generous line. Miami has the offense to hurt a Clippers defense that is nothing special.
01:15 ARI Cardinals @ DAL Cowboys
ARI Cardinals
Money Line
70 WIN
@2.45
Win
102
Given the standings, Arizona will be desperate here. I will take on a pretty flawed Cowboys team who have issues on defense that won't be resolving themselves anytime soon. Price is a tad high here.
ARI Cardinals - DAL Cowboys
Double Result
59 WIN
@4.50
Lose
-59
By taking this option as well as Arizona to win straight up, in effect I am taking Arizona to be ahead at either halftime or full-time. For me, on form, this is realistic given how desperate they will be here given the standings.
01:10 DET Pistons @ MEM Grizzlies
MEM Grizzlies
Money Line
50 WIN
@2.62
Lose
-50
I'm not sold on Detroit. They have their issues, especially defensively. The Grizzlies' strength is their offense, so they can test and trouble the Pistons here. Price is a tad high at 2.62.
00:40 WAS Wizards @ NY Knicks
NY Knicks
Money Line
50 WIN
@1.17
Win
9
Don't really agree with this price. It should be no bigger than 1.15 here, so some minor value. I will take on a flawed Washington team who is only playing okay for patches of their matches. This is unlikely to be enough to get the win here.
00:10 MIL Bucks @ IND Pacers
IND Pacers
Money Line
53 WIN
@3.00
Lose
-53
Most of the Bucks' ordinary or worse performances in recent seasons have occurred on the road. Given the Pacers' poor start, they will be desperate and hungry here at home, where they are tough to beat. Price is a tad high here.
IND Pacers 6.00
Pointspread
57 WIN
@1.91
Win
52
I like the amount of sharp money around for this selection, which I will follow here at what is a generous line. The Pacers are a tough nut to crack at home and will be desperate, given the standings.
Subtotal506
03 November 2025
20:00 Sunderland v Everton
Sunderland & No (Result + BTTS)
Result and BTTS
70 WIN
@4.33
Lose
-70
Sunderland at home have been strong this season. While for Everton, like many teams, their road games have been a struggle, especially in respect to goal scoring. Price a tad high here.
Sunderland - Sunderland
Half Time / Full Time
120 WIN
@4.75
Lose
-120
Sunderland's home results make impressive reading so far this season. Their level of play at home has been consistently higher than what Everton has dished up on the road. A strong performance is likely here from the hosts.
Sunderland (AH) 0.00
Asian Hcap
270 WIN
@2.05
Push
0
Sunderland has 3 wins and 1 draw at home this season, with a goal difference of +6. Everton has struggled away with 1 win and 3 losses, with a goal difference of -3. I feel a decent result is likely for the hosts here.
01:10 SA Spurs @ PHX Suns
PHX Suns
Money Line
60 WIN
@2.90
Win
114
The Suns are fresh off their best win this season. I like them to continue their momentum here against a Spurs team that was just 13-27 last season on the road. Price a tad high here.
00:10 CHI Bulls @ NY Knicks
CHI Bulls
Money Line
67 WIN
@3.30
Lose
-67
Don't really agree with this price. It should be no bigger than 3.20 here, so getting value odds. These two teams are fierce rivals, so you know the Bulls will really be up for this one. Bottom line, price too high here.
CHI Bulls 7.00
Pointspread
50 WIN
@1.95
Lose
-50
Good deal of sharp money around for this selection, which I like and will follow here at what is a generous line and price. The Bulls are 5-0 this season and have a solid starting five.
00:07 CGY Flames @ PHI Flyers
CGY Flames
Money Line
299 WIN
@2.20
Win
359
I will take on a pretty flawed Philly team here at low odds. With little between these two teams, it makes sense to take 2.20 odds. Calgary has enough high-quality players to get back on track and will be targeting this game against the lowly Flyers.
CGY Flames 1.50
Puck Line
51 WIN
@1.48
Win
24
I don't really rate Philly. They have shown me enough flaws this season and in recent seasons to be opposed at low odds, against a Calgary team that will be desperate and hungry here and will be targeting this game.
Subtotal190
02 November 2025
23:10 MEM Grizzlies @ TOR Raptors
TOR Raptors
Money Line
50 WIN
@1.57
Win
28
Team news is pretty ordinary for Memphis for this game. This lack of high-quality players could well prove to be costly here. This price is a tad high at 1.57.
23:10 PHI 76ers @ BKN Nets
BKN Nets
Money Line
60 WIN
@2.75
Lose
-60
The Nets are winless, so they will be desperate and hungry here at home, where they have fashioned a solid record in recent seasons. Philly was just 12-29 on the road last season.
23:10 UTA Jazz @ CHA Hornets
UTA Jazz
Money Line
63 WIN
@2.15
Lose
-63
I like the amount of sharp money around for the Jazz for this game, which I will follow here at what is a decent and attractive enough price. It should be no bigger than 2.10 here.
UTA Jazz 1.50
Pointspread
50 WIN
@1.91
Lose
-50
I like the amount of sharp money that is around for this selection, which I will follow here at what is a generous line. The Hornets were 10-42 last season at home, which was the worst home record in the league.
21:30 Northern Districts vs Wellington One Day Match
Northern Districts
Win Match
70 WIN
@1.75
Lose
-70
I will take on a pretty flawed Wellington team here, who lack high-quality players, especially in their bowling attack. ND at home, with the player lineup they have today, should be too strong here.
21:25 KC Chiefs @ BUF Bills
KC Chiefs - Tie
Double Result
57 WIN
@36.00
Lose
-57
The Chiefs have one of the best first-half records of any team in recent seasons and have found their mojo in recent weeks. So, fancy them to lead at the break. At home, there is enough class in this Bills outfit to come back and force OT.
21:05 NO Saints @ LA Rams
NO Saints
Money Line
53 WIN
@8.00
Lose
-53
The Rams have shown me enough flaws in recent seasons to be opposed at low odds here. This season, they have had difficulty stringing long periods of decent play in games. This could prove costly today.
20:40 NO Pelicans @ OKC Thunder
NO Pelicans
Money Line
50 WIN
@5.75
Lose
-50
Any team that is yet to win at this point will be desperate and hungry. Case in point, the Pacers yesterday. New Orleans' starting five is capable enough. The bench is a bit thin on quality, but if the starting five can stay away from foul trouble and injury, then this has an outside shot.
18:00 ATL Falcons @ NE Patriots
ATL Falcons
Money Line
50 WIN
@3.10
Lose
-50
Don't really agree with this price. It should be no bigger than 2.90 here. I give the Falcons at least a 37% chance of winning this game, so value odds at 3.10.
18:00 CAR Panthers @ GB Packers
CAR Panthers
Money Line
60 WIN
@7.50
Win
390
Carolina are a big improver this season, and I don't think that is factored into this price enough. Green Bay have their flaws, especially defensively, that the visitors can exploit.
18:00 CHI Bears @ CIN Bengals
CHI Bears
Money Line
60 WIN
@1.67
Win
40
I will take on a pretty flawed Bengals team here, who, other than playing at home, doesn't have much going for them. Team news is not great for the hosts, and in their 8 games played, they are conceding an average of 32 points per game scored against them, which is one of the worst stats in the entire NFL. This spells more trouble against a much-improved Bears offense.
18:00 DEN Broncos @ HOU Texans
DEN Broncos - Tie
Double Result
80 WIN
@36.00
Lose
-80
Denver have the hot hand right now after smashing Dallas by 20 points last week. Their offense is more potent than that of the Texans. The Texans' first-half record in recent seasons is average. Denver to lead at the break. However, there is enough class in this Texans team at home to come back and force OT.
18:00 IND Colts @ PIT Steelers
IND Colts - Tie
Double Result
50 WIN
@36.00
Lose
-50
The Colts are a team going places and have led at halftime in 6 out of their 8 games played. Many of those leads have been sizable, which indicates all is rosy. However, I feel Rodgers was not himself last week, but remains a high-class quarterback and an all-time great and is capable of leading a second-half comeback to force OT.
18:00 MIN Vikings @ DET Lions
MIN Vikings
Money Line
50 WIN
@4.80
Win
190
The gulf in class between these two teams is narrow. And given the standings, the importance of this game for the Vikings is immense. The price is too high here.
09:30 South Africa W vs India W World Cup
India W
Win Match
50 WIN
@1.35
Win
17
India's batting has proven to be very potent at this event, against stronger bowling lineups than South Africa. Against New Zealand, they scored 340, England 284, and most recently 341 against the might of Australia with overs to spare. I feel like they will feast again on this South African bowling attack. And they have the bowlers to restrict the Africans to less.
Subtotal82
01 November 2025
17:30 Tottenham v Chelsea
Tottenham (AH) 0.00
Asian Hcap
131 WIN
@2.00
Lose
-131
I have more faith in Spurs at home than Chelsea on the road at a pretty tough away venue. Spurs are a proud and capable home team, but have really failed to produce at home so far this season for their faithful. I sense that will change here.
14:30 England v Australia
England 16.50
Handicap (2-way)
380 WIN
@1.91
Win
346
Quality teams tend to respond strongly after an ordinary performance, as this England team should here at home. Team news is not great for the Aussies as well.
Under 38.50
Total Points
50 WIN
@1.83
Win
41
Both teams are pretty sound defensively, especially the visitors. Points should be hard to come by here, especially for the home side. Line and price are a tad generous here.
02:40 NO Pelicans @ LA Clippers
NO Pelicans
Money Line
50 WIN
@5.50
Lose
-50
New Orleans will be desperate here, given that they are winless so far. They have the offense to hurt a Clippers defense that is nothing special. Price a tad high here.
02:10 DEN Nuggets @ POR Trail Blazers
POR Trail Blazers
Money Line
53 WIN
@2.90
Win
101
The Blazers are one of the hottest teams in the NBA right now. Losing their head coach has fired them up. Perhaps the relationship with him was a toxic one. Now with that off their back, they are playing great ball. Price a tad high here.
02:10 UTA Jazz @ PHX Suns
UTA Jazz
Money Line
64 WIN
@2.30
Lose
-64
The Suns are in the top 5 most flawed teams in the NBA, in my opinion. I will take on a flawed team here at low odds. Too low. This price on the Jazz should be no bigger than 2.20 here.
Subtotal243
31 October 2025
18:30 Agen v Dax
Dax
To Win
80 WIN
@9.00
Lose
-80
Too generous of a price here to pass up or turn down. This price should be no bigger than 7-1 here. The visitors have a solid forward pack and enough class in their backs.
Dax 18.50
Handicap
100 WIN
@1.90
Lose
-100
there is enough player quality in this dax out fit to be a solid chance here. the visitors have a solid hard working forward pack and enough class in their backs. line a tad high here.
18:30 Vannes v Valence Romans
Valence Romans
To Win
70 WIN
@19.00
Lose
-70
Not without a chance at big odds. I feel the visitors can compete well in the forward battle, which can give them an outside chance of the upset here.
Valence Romans 27.50
Handicap
50 WIN
@1.90
Lose
-50
The forward battle here looks not one-sided. With this the case, a competitive performance from the visitors is reasonably likely here, in my opinion. Line a tad high.
08:15 Australia vs India 2nd T20 Match
India
Win Match
50 WIN
@1.85
Lose
-50
India are the more complete and balanced T20 side right now. Their batting lineup is more potent and consistent, and that could well be the difference today.
Suryakumar Yadav
Man Of The Match
90 WIN
@9.00
Lose
-90
High-quality batter and captain who has failed to fire in his last few T20s and will be very keen for this to change today. He has the credentials to do so. Price too big here.
Suryakumar Yadav (India)
Top Team2 Batsman
105 WIN
@4.33
Lose
-105
Has missed out in his last few 20-20 innings for India but remains a high-quality batter. No reason why a big score can't happen today. Price too high here at 4.33.
00:15 BAL Ravens @ MIA Dolphins
BAL Ravens
Money Line
50 WIN
@1.25
Win
12
I will take on a pretty flawed Miami team here, especially defensively. The Ravens have most of their key players back now and the offense to hurt the home side.
MIA Dolphins - Tie
Double Result
230 WIN
@46.00
Lose
-230
Miami has hot recent form and a solid first-half record at home in recent seasons. They will enjoy the big underdog tag. For these reasons, I like them to be ahead at the break. In the second half, there is enough quality and class in this Ravens team to mount a comeback and force OT.
LaJohntay Wester (BAL Ravens)
Anytime Touchdown Scorer
60 WIN
@21.00
Lose
-60
There is a good deal of sharp money around for this selection, which I like and will follow here at what is a tasty price. It should be no bigger than 18-1 here, in my opinion.
BAL Ravens by 31 36
Winning Margin
60 WIN
@24.00
Lose
-60
With most of their key players back now and a settled preparation, I feel the Ravens are well placed for a big win here against what is a pretty flawed Miami team, especially defensively.
Subtotal-883
Tips are normally be settled by 12pm the day after the event took place.
Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.
Please note that this information is for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as an indicator of a tipsters real life performance. The OLBG Tipster Competition is a simulation game and some of the rules and prices used by the tipsters may not always be available in the real world which can lead to misleading informaiton.
