surfsup

20+ years betting sports has taught me a lot. Not least of which, only bet large if you think you have a significant edge. Getting odds that are better than the actual probability is key too.

Estimated Prizes
this month

£20

Estimated Prize money
this month

surfsup's Tips History

22 December 2025

01:20 NE Patriots @ BAL Ravens

NE Patriots

Money Line

79 WIN

@2.65

Win

130

I like the amount of sharp money around for this selection, which I will follow at what is an attractive enough price for a superb road team this season who is a perfect 6-0.

NE Patriots - BAL Ravens

Double Result

50 WIN

@4.90

Lose

-50

By taking this selection, as well as the Pats to win the game, I am, in effect, taking the Pats to be ahead at either halftime or full time. For me, based on form, this is very realistic.

Mack Hollins (NE Patriots)

Anytime Touchdown Scorer

50 WIN

@4.75

Lose

-50

Good deal of sharp money around for this selection, which I like and will follow here at what is a decent enough price. It should be no bigger than 4.50 here, in my humble opinion.

NE Patriots by 1 6

Winning Margin

58 WIN

@5.00

Win

232

This is the most common winning margin in NFL history. The Pats have been a beast on the road this season, with a 6-0 record ??" the best in the league. Price a tad high here.

01:07 VGS Golden Knights @ EDM Oilers

EDM Oilers

Money Line

400 WIN

@1.77

Win

308

I prefer the Oilers' preparation for this game. It has been superior to that of the Knights. The Oilers have the attacking game to hurt Vegas, who have been shaky defensively lately.

EDM Oilers -1.50

Puck Line

230 WIN

@2.80

Lose

-230

Don't really agree with this price. It should be no bigger than 2.75 here. The Oilers have a potent attacking game right now, which can hurt Vegas, who have been underwhelming defensively of late.

00:07 MTL Canadiens @ PIT Penguins

PIT Penguins

Money Line

300 WIN

@1.91

Win

273

Good deal of sharp money around for this selection, which I like and will follow at what is a solid price for a more-than-capable home team, fresh off an average home performance.

PIT Penguins -1.50

Puck Line

170 WIN

@2.90

Lose

-170

Don't really agree with this price. The sharp money suggests a big performance here from the hosts, who are fresh off a poor home performance. I expect a strong response here.

00:07 TOR Maple Leafs @ DAL Stars

TOR Maple Leafs

Money Line

220 WIN

@2.80

Lose

-220

I expect a strong response from the Leafs here. They are fresh off a performance they were not proud of. The Leafs are a capable enough team, especially attacking-wise. Price is a tad high here.

00:07 WPG Jets @ UTA Mammoth

UTA Mammoth -1.50

Puck Line

50 WIN

@3.10

Lose

-50

Just a small one here as low confidence on this one. However, this price is a tad high at 3.10. I have it no bigger than 3.00 here. Utah save most of their big performances for their home games.

21 December 2025

21:50 Damon Heta vs Stefan Bellmont

Stefan Bellmont

Win Match 2-way

57 WIN

@4.00

Lose

-57

Heta has not shown me enough high-level play in the past 12 months to be this low in odds against a solid opponent like Bellmont. The price is a tad high here.

21:25 LV Raiders @ HOU Texans

LV Raiders

Money Line

120 WIN

@9.00

Lose

-120

Not without a hope at big odds. Sure, the Texans have a decent team defense; however, their offense is often lacking in cohesion and is often disjointed. The Raiders will provide a solid test here.

HOU Texans by 1 6

Winning Margin

53 WIN

@5.50

Win

238

For all the praise the Texans are getting for their defense, the fact remains that their offense lacks cohesion. For this reason, I think the Raiders can keep this game close. The price is a tad high here.

21:25 PIT Steelers @ DET Lions

DET Lions

Money Line

200 WIN

@1.30

Lose

-200

I have more faith and trust in a quality Lions at home than the Steelers away at a tough venue. The Steelers have won just 50% of their road games this season, and last season that number was similar.

21:00 Luke Littler vs David Davies

David Davies 2.50

Handicap 2-way

180 WIN

@3.50

Lose

-180

While I expect Luke to win, Davies is not a complete mug. Winning a set is not that unrealistic. Generous line and price here. This price should be no bigger than 3.40 here in my opinion.

Over 3.50

Total Sets

53 WIN

@4.00

Lose

-53

The overall record between these two players stands at 1-1. Davies is a winner in life. With his life in a very good place, this makes him a dangerous opponent. A competitive performance can happen here.

David Davies

Win 1st Set

50 WIN

@13.00

Lose

-50

Davies has his life in a very good place right now, which can only help his darts. He has beaten Littler before and won a first set off Littler in their previous two meetings.

David Davies to win 3-2

Leg Betting

50 WIN

@34.00

Lose

-50

Davies is a winner in life, which translates to decent darts. He has beaten Littler before, too. he is not without a chance at very big odds here.

David Davies

Most 180s

50 WIN

@15.00

Lose

-50

Davies is mostly a 20s player with his scoring, whereas Littler mixes it up slightly more by going for 19s and 18s slightly more than Davies. Not without a hope at big odds here.

20:10 Gerwyn Price vs Wesley Plaisier

Wesley Plaisier

Win Match 2-way

50 WIN

@6.00

Win

250

Price has shown me enough flaws to be opposed at low odds here, particularly in the past two years. He is a shadow of his former self. Plaisier will provide a solid test here.

19:20 Luke Littler vs David Davies

Luke Littler

Win Match 2-way

100 WIN

@1.03

Win

Big gulf in class between these two players and it should show in the end result. Littler is consistently more efficient with his scoring and double hitting.

19:20 Martin Schindler vs Keane Barry

Keane Barry

Win Match 2-way

74 WIN

@3.50

Lose

-74

Good deal of sharp money around for this selection, which I like and will follow here at what is a decent enough price. Martin has mixed results the past few months and is fighting demons in his darts game and has been for a while.

18:00 BUF Bills @ CLE Browns

CLE Browns

Money Line

290 WIN

@5.50

Lose

-290

The Bills have shaky road form in recent seasons. Most of their losses have been on the road. The Browns will be up for this one at home and have had solid preparation.

BUF Bills by 1 6

Winning Margin

50 WIN

@4.20

Win

160

Home advantage is significant here. With this in mind, this is a tight matchup. A close finish is likely. This is the most common winning margin in NFL history.

18:00 NY Jets @ NO Saints

NY Jets

Money Line

180 WIN

@3.40

Lose

-180

I will take on a flawed Saints team here, who are weak in key positions. This price should be no bigger than 3.20, so getting some quite nice value odds.

15:30 Rob Cross vs Ian White

Ian White

Win Match 2-way

130 WIN

@3.75

Lose

-130

Cross has shaky recent form and is fighting demons with his game, and to be fair he has been for a while. White will provide a tough test here. This price is a tad high.

15:00 Newcastle Red Bulls v Bath

Bath

To Win

50 WIN

@1.08

Win

I will take on a flawed Newcastle team here, who other than playing at home have very little going for them. Bath is a class above and will be satisfied with nothing less than a comfortable win here.

13:30 India W vs Sri Lanka W 1st T20 Match

Sri Lanka W

Win Match

370 WIN

@5.50

Lose

-370

Don't really agree with this price. It should be no bigger than 5.25, so some minor value. India are not strong in their bowling, which spells trouble for them against a solid Sri Lanka batting lineup.

08:15 Melbourne Renegades vs Hobart Hurricanes T20

Hobart Hurricanes

Win Match

174 WIN

@1.80

Win

139

Hobart are fresh off an ordinary performance. Quality sides, which Hobart is, often respond strongly after a performance not up to standard. Hobart's batting is stronger, and that should be the difference here.

00:10 DAL Mavericks @ PHI 76ers

DAL Mavericks 2.50

Pointspread

80 WIN

@1.95

Lose

-80

I prefer the preparation of Dallas for this game. It has been superior. The 76ers are only average by league standards defensively. This spells trouble for them today against a decent Dallas offense.

20 December 2025

17:30 Harlequins v Bristol Bears

Bristol Bears

To Win

57 WIN

@2.37

Win

Well-supported selection with the sharp money and I tend to agree with it. Quins' weakness is their defense, while for the visitors their strength is their attack. Price a tad high here.

Bristol Bears 3.50

Handicap

73 WIN

@1.91

Win

Generous line here given the team news. Bristol have a potent and cohesive attacking game. This spells trouble for a Quins team whose defence is only average at best.

15:00 Northampton Saints v Sale Sharks

Northampton Saints

To Win

90 WIN

@1.30

Win

I have more faith and trust in Saints at home here than Sale, a team who often struggle away, especially at tough venues, as Northampton is. The hosts should win the forward battle, which will set up the win.

15:00 Saracens v Exeter Chiefs

Saracens

To Win

53 WIN

@1.28

Lose

-53

This price is about right here, so small stakes. Saracens at home is in the top 3 toughest assignments in the Premiership. The edge in the forward battle is with the hosts here.

12:30 Newcastle v Chelsea

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

53 WIN

@1.57

Win

I'm happy enough with what both teams bring/offer attacking-wise. The slightly weaker of the two teams, attacking-wise, is the home team. Given all the benefits of playing at home, that will only help. Price is a tad high here.

19 December 2025

20:00 Biarritz v Oyonnax

Biarritz

To Win

90 WIN

@1.50

Win

Biarritz at home is a tough ask for a pretty flawed Oyonnax team, who lack cohesion in their back play and have a pretty weak forward pack. Price is a tad high here.

19:45 Leicester Tigers v Gloucester

Gloucester

To Win

50 WIN

@5.50

Lose

-50

Don't really agree with this price. It should be no bigger than 4-1 here. I expect the forward battle to be intense and tight, which gives the visitors a solid chance here.

Gloucester 12.50

Handicap

63 WIN

@2.05

Lose

-63

I think the visitors should compete well in the forward battle, which will set up a competitive performance. The hosts only have a small advantage in back play.

18:30 Agen v Aurillac

Agen

To Win

67 WIN

@1.11

Win

Given the teams named and the home advantage for Agen, this is a highly likely result. The hosts should win the forward battle, which will set up the win.

18:30 Mont de Marsan v Provence

Provence

To Win

80 WIN

@1.50

Lose

-80

I will take on a pretty flawed team here in Mont-de-Marsan. Who, other than playing at home, don't have much going for them here. The visitors have the superior forwards and more class in the backs.

18:30 Nevers v Brive

Nevers

To Win

60 WIN

@1.57

Win

I have more trust and faith in Nevers at home here than Brive away at a tough venue. The forward battle looks quite even, but the hosts have more class in the backs.

12:00 South Africa W vs Ireland W 3rd ODI

Ireland W

Win Match

250 WIN

@13.00

Lose

-250

The gulf in class between these two teams is not massive. Ireland's batting is solid, which gives them hope against the hosts' bowling attack, which is not strong. Price a tad high here.

01:15 LA Rams @ SEA Seahawks

SEA Seahawks

Money Line

50 WIN

@2.00

Win

Seattle are a well-balanced team with no glaring weaknesses. At home, I have more trust in them here than the Rams away. Team news is not great for the Rams, who have 3 losses this season; all but one have been on the road. Price a tad high here.

00:07 CHI Blackhawks @ MTL Canadiens

MTL Canadiens

Money Line

53 WIN

@1.57

Win

I have more faith and trust in Montreal at home here than in a pretty flawed road team in Chicago, who is just 6-8 on the road this season. And a pretty flawed team in general. Price a tad high here.

18 December 2025

08:15 Melbourne Stars vs Hobart Hurricanes T20

Hobart Hurricanes

Win Match

90 WIN

@1.80

Lose

-90

I will take on a pretty flawed Stars team here. Hobart is superior in batting and bowling, with fielding quite even. Other than playing at home, the Stars don't have much going for them here.

17 December 2025

00:37 EDM Oilers @ PIT Penguins

EDM Oilers -1.50

Puck Line

68 WIN

@2.65

Win

112

I like the amount of sharp money around for this selection, which I will follow here at what is an attractive price. Both these teams have decent attacking games, but the Oilers are stronger attacking-wise and in most other areas.

00:07 CHI Blackhawks @ TOR Maple Leafs

TOR Maple Leafs -1.50

Puck Line

69 WIN

@2.30

Lose

-69

I will take on a pretty flawed road team in Chicago and a pretty flawed team in general. The Leafs at home have the attacking game to hurt them today.

16 December 2025

22:00 Niko Springer vs Joe Comito

Niko Springer

Win Match 2-way

50 WIN

@1.14

Lose

-50

Comito is the weakest player out of all the Australian players. In his most recent event, which was the ANZ Darts Premiership and was played over many weeks, he only won two matches out of about 12 or more played. Springer is a higher level than these opponents and should get the job done here.

19:00 Ricardo Pietreczko vs Jose De Sousa

Jose De Sousa

Win Match 2-way

70 WIN

@2.20

Lose

-70

Very close to 50-50 as to who wins this match based on form, so it makes sense to take this 2.20 quote. It should be no bigger than evens here, in my opinion.

Jose De Sousa 1.50

Handicap 2-way

300 WIN

@1.53

Lose

-300

Very little between these two players. Sure, De Sousa is far from the dizzy heights he once was, but he is still capable of a high level of play at times. Ricardo is nothing better than solid at this level of competition.

08:00 South Africa W vs Ireland W 2nd ODI

Ireland W

Win Match

54 WIN

@11.00

Lose

-54

Not without a hope at big odds. Ireland's strength is their batting, while for the hosts their bowling is not strong. This price is a tad high here, in my opinion.

Tips are normally be settled by 12pm the day after the event took place.
Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.

Please note that this information is for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as an indicator of a tipsters real life performance. The OLBG Tipster Competition is a simulation game and some of the rules and prices used by the tipsters may not always be available in the real world which can lead to misleading informaiton.

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surfsup's Tips History

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