surfsup

20+ years betting sports has taught me a lot. Not least of which, only bet large if you think you have a significant edge. Getting odds that are better than the actual probability is key too.

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surfsup's Tips History

27 December 2025

23:40 Central Districts W vs Wellington W T20

Wellington W

Win Match

60 WIN

@1.40

Open

The defending champs should have too much class here for a pretty flawed CD team who are pretty weak with their bowling. Wellington have a potent batting lineup to hurt them.

22:00 Luke Littler vs Mensur Suljovic

Luke Littler

Win Match 2-way

160 WIN

@1.03

Win

Mensur is a shadow of his former self form-wise, which Littler will punish today. Littler is in a class above, and it should show today. At 1.03 this price is right, though, so small stakes.

21:30 HOU Texans @ LA Chargers

HOU Texans

Money Line

120 WIN

@2.10

Win

132

I think this highly rated Texans defense can give the Chargers, who are nothing special on offense, all kinds of problems tomorrow. The Texans have ramped up their level of play recently, nicely timing their high-level upturn to make a run at the Super Bowl. I think they can continue their momentum here.

17:00 Bayonne v Stade Francais

Stade Francais 6.50

Handicap

80 WIN

@2.10

Win

Don't really agree with this line and price. The visitors can win the forward battle, which will set up a competitive performance. Strong enough team named by the visitors here.

15:05 Gloucester v Saracens

Saracens

To Win

294 WIN

@1.55

Win

162

Quality teams often respond strongly when fresh off an ordinary or worse performance. I'm banking on that here for Saracens. Plus, they should win the forward battle, which will set up the win.

26 December 2025

13:30 India W vs Sri Lanka W 3rd T20 Match

Sri Lanka W

Win Match

106 WIN

@9.00

Lose

-106

Sri Lanka's strength is their batting. This gives them an outside chance today because India's bowling is not strong. This price is a tad high.

25 December 2025

18:00 DAL Cowboys @ WAS Commanders

DAL Cowboys

Money Line

56 WIN

@1.36

Win

I will take on a pretty flawed Washington team here, who defensively rank poorly in several stat categories. Dallas have a pretty potent offense to hurt them. This price should be no bigger than 1.30 here, so getting value odds.

24 December 2025

02:07 CGY Flames @ EDM Oilers

CGY Flames

Money Line

120 WIN

@2.25

Lose

-120

I like the amount of sharp money that is around for this selection. Plus, team news is not great for the home team here. Surely this is a game the Flames will really be up for.

CGY Flames 1.50

Puck Line

50 WIN

@1.53

Lose

-50

Very well-supported selection with the sharp money here, which I like and will follow at what is a solid price. Team news is not great for the Oilers here. Price a tad high.

00:07 MTL Canadiens @ BOS Bruins

MTL Canadiens

Money Line

207 WIN

@2.00

Win

207

I will take on a pretty flawed Boston team here, who defensively are pretty ordinary. This spells trouble against a pretty potent attacking game the Habs bring.

MTL Canadiens 1.50

Puck Line

50 WIN

@1.41

Win

I like what the Habs bring with their attacking game. This will test and trouble a Boston defense that is pretty ordinary. Price is a tad high here at 1.41.

23 December 2025

22:10 Josh Rock vs Joe Comito

Josh Rock

Win Match 2-way

300 WIN

@1.02

Win

Comito is the most flawed player left in the entire field. His recent form is very poor. His win in the first round was very much a fluke. Expect normal business to resume here. The class difference between these two players is massive.

19:20 Danny Noppert vs Justin Hood

Danny Noppert

Win Match 2-way

76 WIN

@1.25

Lose

-76

I will take the superior player to prevail here. I feel Danny will handle the pressure at key moments better and should have too much class here for a pretty flawed player in Hood. Price is a tad high here.

13:30 India W vs Sri Lanka W 2nd T20 Match

Sri Lanka W

Win Match

70 WIN

@8.00

Lose

-70

India's bowling is not overly strong. This gives the visitors a puncher's chance, as their batting is solid. Anytime in T20 a team's batting lineup is solid or better, there is a reasonable chance of success.

08:15 Adelaide Strikers vs Melbourne Stars T20

Adelaide Strikers

Win Match

180 WIN

@1.85

Lose

-180

I have more faith and trust in Adelaide at home here than the Stars away. The Stars, in recent seasons, have struggled to produce their best cricket, for the most part, in their away games. Price a tad high here.

01:15 SF 49ers @ IND Colts

SF 49ers

Money Line

137 WIN

@1.40

Win

I will take on a pretty flawed Colts team here, who are down on key players and not strong in key positions. The 49ers have won four in a row. The Colts have lost four in a row.

IND Colts - SF 49ers

Double Result

77 WIN

@4.70

Lose

-77

Despite the Colts being down key players right now, they are still at home and do have a decent first-half record this season and in recent seasons. In the second half, the class of the superior team should take over.

Brian Robinson Jr. (SF 49ers)

Anytime Touchdown Scorer

53 WIN

@3.80

Lose

-53

The Colts are not great at stopping the run (rushing), which will give Robinson, a 49ers running back, a decent chance for a touchdown. This price is a tad high at 3.80.

IND Colts Under 19.50

Team Points 2-Way (Home)

56 WIN

@2.05

Lose

-56

Good deal of sharp money around for this selection, which I like and will follow here. The Colts have issues on offense at key positions, including quarterback.

22 December 2025

22:00 New Zealand vs West Indies

New Zealand

Draw No Bet

79 WIN

@1.10

Win

The stuffing was knocked out of the Windies in the second Test. Their batting is struggling with NZ conditions and the NZ pace attack. In the last game of the tour they may already have one foot on the plane home.

21:10 Luke Humphries vs Paul Lim

Paul Lim

Win Match 2-way

57 WIN

@26.00

Lose

-57

Luke has shown me enough flaws the past 12 months to be opposed here at very low odds. If he is off his game, which does happen from time to time, anything is possible.

Luke Humphries to win 3-2

Leg Betting

53 WIN

@21.00

Lose

-53

This price should be no bigger than 18-1 here; I'm getting much better than that. If Luke is off his game, which has happened a few times in the past 12 months, then this has every chance.

15:40 James Wade vs Ricky Evans

James Wade

Win Match 2-way

70 WIN

@1.44

Lose

-70

Wade is more consistent with his game and likely to handle the high-pressure moments better. Evans can be brilliant at times but lacks a consistent high level of play.

14:40 David Munyua vs Kevin Doets

Kevin Doets

Win Match 2-way

67 WIN

@1.10

Win

I will take the superior player to prevail here. Even if the match is going the way of Munyua, I feel he will have trouble executing at key moments to seal the deal.

13:40 Wessel Nijman vs Gabriel Clemens

Gabriel Clemens

Win Match 2-way

294 WIN

@5.00

Win

1176

I have this a more even matchup than the bookies. Wessel has shown me enough flaws in the past 12 months to be opposed here at low odds against a capable enough player.

Gabriel Clemens 1.50

Handicap 2-way

460 WIN

@2.63

Win

750

Wessel has shown me enough flaws the past 12 months to be opposed here at low odds. He's not the most mentally stable guy either ??" another negative. Price and line a tad high here.

Over 3.50

Total Sets

50 WIN

@1.55

Lose

-50

Tough to see a whitewash for either player given the evenness of this matchup. A close final scoreline is likely. These odds are a tad generous here.

Gabriel Clemens

Win 1st Set

80 WIN

@2.62

Win

130

Clemens has a solid first-set record over the course of his darts career. Wessel's form over the past one to two years does not justify being so short in so many markets in this match.

Gabriel Clemens to win 3-2

Leg Betting

70 WIN

@12.00

Lose

-70

This is a tight matchup on form, so a close final scoreline would not be a surprise to me. Wessel has shown me enough flaws of late to be opposed at low odds here.

Gabriel Clemens

Most 180s

53 WIN

@2.80

Lose

-53

The 180 percentage per match between these two players in the past few years is tight, giving 2.80 odds appeal here. Clemens is mainly a 20s player with his scoring.

01:20 NE Patriots @ BAL Ravens

NE Patriots

Money Line

79 WIN

@2.65

Win

130

I like the amount of sharp money around for this selection, which I will follow at what is an attractive enough price for a superb road team this season who is a perfect 6-0.

NE Patriots - BAL Ravens

Double Result

50 WIN

@4.90

Lose

-50

By taking this selection, as well as the Pats to win the game, I am, in effect, taking the Pats to be ahead at either halftime or full time. For me, based on form, this is very realistic.

Mack Hollins (NE Patriots)

Anytime Touchdown Scorer

50 WIN

@4.75

Lose

-50

Good deal of sharp money around for this selection, which I like and will follow here at what is a decent enough price. It should be no bigger than 4.50 here, in my humble opinion.

NE Patriots by 1 6

Winning Margin

58 WIN

@5.00

Win

232

This is the most common winning margin in NFL history. The Pats have been a beast on the road this season, with a 6-0 record ??" the best in the league. Price a tad high here.

01:07 VGS Golden Knights @ EDM Oilers

EDM Oilers

Money Line

400 WIN

@1.77

Win

308

I prefer the Oilers' preparation for this game. It has been superior to that of the Knights. The Oilers have the attacking game to hurt Vegas, who have been shaky defensively lately.

EDM Oilers -1.50

Puck Line

230 WIN

@2.80

Lose

-230

Don't really agree with this price. It should be no bigger than 2.75 here. The Oilers have a potent attacking game right now, which can hurt Vegas, who have been underwhelming defensively of late.

00:07 MTL Canadiens @ PIT Penguins

PIT Penguins

Money Line

300 WIN

@1.91

Win

273

Good deal of sharp money around for this selection, which I like and will follow at what is a solid price for a more-than-capable home team, fresh off an average home performance.

PIT Penguins -1.50

Puck Line

170 WIN

@2.90

Lose

-170

Don't really agree with this price. The sharp money suggests a big performance here from the hosts, who are fresh off a poor home performance. I expect a strong response here.

00:07 TOR Maple Leafs @ DAL Stars

TOR Maple Leafs

Money Line

220 WIN

@2.80

Lose

-220

I expect a strong response from the Leafs here. They are fresh off a performance they were not proud of. The Leafs are a capable enough team, especially attacking-wise. Price is a tad high here.

00:07 WPG Jets @ UTA Mammoth

UTA Mammoth -1.50

Puck Line

50 WIN

@3.10

Lose

-50

Just a small one here as low confidence on this one. However, this price is a tad high at 3.10. I have it no bigger than 3.00 here. Utah save most of their big performances for their home games.

21 December 2025

21:50 Damon Heta vs Stefan Bellmont

Stefan Bellmont

Win Match 2-way

57 WIN

@4.00

Lose

-57

Heta has not shown me enough high-level play in the past 12 months to be this low in odds against a solid opponent like Bellmont. The price is a tad high here.

21:25 LV Raiders @ HOU Texans

LV Raiders

Money Line

120 WIN

@9.00

Lose

-120

Not without a hope at big odds. Sure, the Texans have a decent team defense; however, their offense is often lacking in cohesion and is often disjointed. The Raiders will provide a solid test here.

HOU Texans by 1 6

Winning Margin

53 WIN

@5.50

Win

238

For all the praise the Texans are getting for their defense, the fact remains that their offense lacks cohesion. For this reason, I think the Raiders can keep this game close. The price is a tad high here.

21:25 PIT Steelers @ DET Lions

DET Lions

Money Line

200 WIN

@1.30

Lose

-200

I have more faith and trust in a quality Lions at home than the Steelers away at a tough venue. The Steelers have won just 50% of their road games this season, and last season that number was similar.

21:00 Luke Littler vs David Davies

David Davies 2.50

Handicap 2-way

180 WIN

@3.50

Lose

-180

While I expect Luke to win, Davies is not a complete mug. Winning a set is not that unrealistic. Generous line and price here. This price should be no bigger than 3.40 here in my opinion.

Over 3.50

Total Sets

53 WIN

@4.00

Lose

-53

The overall record between these two players stands at 1-1. Davies is a winner in life. With his life in a very good place, this makes him a dangerous opponent. A competitive performance can happen here.

David Davies

Win 1st Set

50 WIN

@13.00

Lose

-50

Davies has his life in a very good place right now, which can only help his darts. He has beaten Littler before and won a first set off Littler in their previous two meetings.

David Davies to win 3-2

Leg Betting

50 WIN

@34.00

Lose

-50

Davies is a winner in life, which translates to decent darts. He has beaten Littler before, too. he is not without a chance at very big odds here.

David Davies

Most 180s

50 WIN

@15.00

Lose

-50

Davies is mostly a 20s player with his scoring, whereas Littler mixes it up slightly more by going for 19s and 18s slightly more than Davies. Not without a hope at big odds here.

20:10 Gerwyn Price vs Wesley Plaisier

Wesley Plaisier

Win Match 2-way

50 WIN

@6.00

Win

250

Price has shown me enough flaws to be opposed at low odds here, particularly in the past two years. He is a shadow of his former self. Plaisier will provide a solid test here.

19:20 Luke Littler vs David Davies

Luke Littler

Win Match 2-way

100 WIN

@1.03

Win

Big gulf in class between these two players and it should show in the end result. Littler is consistently more efficient with his scoring and double hitting.

19:20 Martin Schindler vs Keane Barry

Keane Barry

Win Match 2-way

74 WIN

@3.50

Lose

-74

Good deal of sharp money around for this selection, which I like and will follow here at what is a decent enough price. Martin has mixed results the past few months and is fighting demons in his darts game and has been for a while.

18:00 BUF Bills @ CLE Browns

CLE Browns

Money Line

290 WIN

@5.50

Lose

-290

The Bills have shaky road form in recent seasons. Most of their losses have been on the road. The Browns will be up for this one at home and have had solid preparation.

BUF Bills by 1 6

Winning Margin

50 WIN

@4.20

Win

160

Home advantage is significant here. With this in mind, this is a tight matchup. A close finish is likely. This is the most common winning margin in NFL history.

18:00 NY Jets @ NO Saints

NY Jets

Money Line

180 WIN

@3.40

Lose

-180

I will take on a flawed Saints team here, who are weak in key positions. This price should be no bigger than 3.20, so getting some quite nice value odds.

15:30 Rob Cross vs Ian White

Ian White

Win Match 2-way

130 WIN

@3.75

Lose

-130

Cross has shaky recent form and is fighting demons with his game, and to be fair he has been for a while. White will provide a tough test here. This price is a tad high.

15:00 Newcastle Red Bulls v Bath

Bath

To Win

50 WIN

@1.08

Win

I will take on a flawed Newcastle team here, who other than playing at home have very little going for them. Bath is a class above and will be satisfied with nothing less than a comfortable win here.

13:30 India W vs Sri Lanka W 1st T20 Match

Sri Lanka W

Win Match

370 WIN

@5.50

Lose

-370

Don't really agree with this price. It should be no bigger than 5.25, so some minor value. India are not strong in their bowling, which spells trouble for them against a solid Sri Lanka batting lineup.

08:15 Melbourne Renegades vs Hobart Hurricanes T20

Hobart Hurricanes

Win Match

174 WIN

@1.80

Win

139

Hobart are fresh off an ordinary performance. Quality sides, which Hobart is, often respond strongly after a performance not up to standard. Hobart's batting is stronger, and that should be the difference here.

00:10 DAL Mavericks @ PHI 76ers

DAL Mavericks 2.50

Pointspread

80 WIN

@1.95

Lose

-80

I prefer the preparation of Dallas for this game. It has been superior. The 76ers are only average by league standards defensively. This spells trouble for them today against a decent Dallas offense.

Tips are normally be settled by 12pm the day after the event took place.
Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.

Please note that this information is for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as an indicator of a tipsters real life performance. The OLBG Tipster Competition is a simulation game and some of the rules and prices used by the tipsters may not always be available in the real world which can lead to misleading informaiton.

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surfsup's Tips History

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