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20+ years betting sports has taught me a lot. Not least of which, only bet large if you think you have a significant edge. Getting odds that are better than the actual probability is key too.

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surfsup's Tips History

23 November 2025

16:10 England v Argentina

England

To Win

53 WIN

@1.25

Win

The Pumas often have trouble backing up an epic win with another decent performance the next week. And that's the scenario here. England at home should have too much class and firepower.

13:40 Scotland v Tonga

Tonga

To Win

60 WIN

@41.00

Lose

-60

Too big of a price here. It should be no bigger than 25-1. Getting much better than that. I like the Tonga team named. Solid forward pack and enough class in the backs to be an outside chance here.

09:10 Brisbane Heat W vs Melbourne Stars W T20

Melbourne Stars W

Win Match

52 WIN

@1.65

Win

I will take on a pretty flawed Brisbane team here. The visitors are stronger in both batting and bowling, especially batting, and that should be telling in the end result.

03:10 SAC Kings @ DEN Nuggets

SAC Kings

Money Line

50 WIN

@5.25

Win

212

Denver has not had an ideal preparation for this game. The Kings have a solid offense that can hurt a Denver defense that is nothing special. Price is a tad high here.

01:40 MEM Grizzlies @ DAL Mavericks

MEM Grizzlies

Money Line

70 WIN

@2.00

Win

Team news is pretty ordinary for Dallas here, and the home side has not had a great preparation for this game. The visitors have the offense to hurt them. Price is a tad high here.

01:10 WAS Wizards @ CHI Bulls

WAS Wizards

Money Line

53 WIN

@6.50

Lose

-53

Generous price here. From media and fans, the Wizards are being criticized. Look for them to be fired up for this game against a pretty flawed Bulls team who lack high-quality players.

00:07 EDM Oilers @ FLA Panthers

EDM Oilers

Money Line

60 WIN

@2.10

Win

I like the amount of sharp money around for this selection, which I will follow here at what is a decent enough price. Team news is okay for the visitors, as is their preparation.

00:07 TOR Maple Leafs @ MTL Canadiens

TOR Maple Leafs

Money Line

57 WIN

@2.20

Lose

-57

Don't really agree with this price. Toronto has the attacking game to hurt the Canadiens, who are pretty ordinary defensively. This price should be no bigger than 2.15 here.

22 November 2025

20:10 France v Australia

Australia

To Win

60 WIN

@8.00

Lose

-60

Too big of a price from a capable enough Aussie side. France have shown me enough flaws of late to be opposed at very low odds here.

20:10 Italy v Chile

Chile

To Win

53 WIN

@19.00

Lose

-53

Don't really agree with this price. It should be no bigger than 14-1 here. Getting much better than that. The home side lacks cohesion in their back play. Chile can match them in this area, which gives them an outside chance.

17:30 Newcastle v Man City

Draw & Yes (Result + BTTS)

Result and BTTS

50 WIN

@4.50

Lose

-50

Both teams offer plenty on attack, especially the visitors. It's hard to see both teams not scoring here. In what is a very tight matchup, the draw is a real possibility here.

Newcastle (AH) 0.50

Asian Hcap

130 WIN

@2.05

Win

136

Newcastle are much improved and at home. With reasonably favorable team news, a strong performance is likely here against a Man City team who is nothing special away from home.

16:00 Spain v Fiji

Spain

To Win

50 WIN

@13.00

Lose

-50

This is a tighter matchup than how bookies have it priced. Spain has a solid forward pack and enough class in their backs to be a solid chance here at home.

15:10 Wales v New Zealand

Wales

To Win

60 WIN

@17.00

Lose

-60

Don't really agree with this price. It should be no bigger than 14-1 here, so getting value odds. Wales have a solid forward pack and enough class in their backs to be an outside chance at home here.

Wales 28.50

Handicap

117 WIN

@1.91

Win

106

While the All Blacks' second-tier team is not a big drop from the top team, it is still a drop. NZ is likely to name their second-tier team for this game. Wales at home provide solid opposition. A competitive performance is likely here.

01:40 NO Pelicans @ DAL Mavericks

DAL Mavericks

Money Line

57 WIN

@1.61

Win

New Orleans are one of the most flawed road teams in the entire NBA and lacking in high-quality players right now. Winning this game will be tough for them.

01:00 New Zealand vs West Indies 3rd ODI

West Indies

Win Match

57 WIN

@3.75

Lose

-57

Team news is not great for the home side here. And I like the amount of sharp money around for this selection. The price is a tad high here.

MG Bracewell

Man Of The Match

50 WIN

@13.00

Lose

-50

Bracewell is a high-quality cricketer with bat, bowl, and in the field. With so many strings to his bow, this gives him a decent chance to be Man of the Match against what is not strong opposition.

TWM Latham (New Zealand)

Top Team1 Batsman

53 WIN

@7.50

Lose

-53

Don't really agree with this price. It should be no bigger than 6-1, so getting value odds. New Zealand's top order is pretty unreliable, and with Mitchell out, this gives Latham more chance to shine.

21 November 2025

03:07 DAL Stars @ VAN Canucks

DAL Stars

Money Line

69 WIN

@1.71

Win

Dallas have proven themselves as a top-tier road team in recent seasons. Very much so, in fact. The Canucks are the more flawed team here, and it should show in the end result.

DAL Stars -1.50

Puck Line

54 WIN

@2.70

Win

Dallas have proven credentials as a road team in recent seasons and are a top 3 team in the entire league for reliability. The Canucks are the more flawed team and that should show in the end result.

03:07 OTT Senators @ ANA Ducks

OTT Senators -1.50

Puck Line

50 WIN

@2.90

Lose

-50

I like the amount of sharp money around for this selection, which I will follow here at what is a decent and attractive price. The Ducks have shown me enough flaws this season to be opposed here against a hungry and capable Sens team.

01:15 BUF Bills @ HOU Texans

HOU Texans

Money Line

60 WIN

@3.35

Win

141

The Bills have shown me enough flaws in recent seasons, especially on the road, to be opposed here at low odds. The Texans badly need this win, more so than the Bills, so the home side may want it more. Price a tad high here.

HOU Texans 6.00

Point Spread

50 WIN

@1.91

Win

Generous line here for a capable enough team who badly needs this win at home to keep their playoff hopes realistic. The Bills on the road are nothing special, as proven by their road record in recent seasons.

HOU Texans - BUF Bills

Double Result

71 WIN

@4.70

Lose

-71

By taking this selection as well as Houston to win the game, in effect, I am taking the Texans to be ahead at halftime or full-time. For me, this is very realistic. The Bills have shown me enough flaws, especially on the road in recent seasons, to be opposed here.

Cade Stover (HOU Texans)

Anytime Touchdown Scorer

50 WIN

@11.00

Lose

-50

Worth a go at this price. I like the amount of sharp money around for this selection, which I will follow at what is a decent enough price. 10-1 should be no bigger than 9-1 here.

BUF Bills by 1 6

Winning Margin

50 WIN

@3.60

Lose

-50

This is easily the most common winning margin in NFL history. The hosts have enough class to be competitive here, but the superior team should get the win in a tight finish.

01:10 ATL Hawks @ SA Spurs

ATL Hawks

Money Line

90 WIN

@2.00

Lose

-90

Team news is not great for the Spurs here. And the Hawks have an in-form offense that can hurt a Spurs defense that is only average by league standards.

01:10 SAC Kings @ MEM Grizzlies

SAC Kings

Money Line

87 WIN

@2.30

Lose

-87

Good deal of sharp money around for this selection, which I like and will follow here. I will take on a pretty flawed Memphis team here that is only playing well for small patches of matches.

00:37 EDM Oilers @ TB Lightning

TB Lightning

Money Line

55 WIN

@1.62

Win

I like the amount of sharp money around for this selection, which I will follow here at what is a solid price. Tampa at home, with a decent preparation, should have too much class here.

TB Lightning -1.50

Puck Line

50 WIN

@2.45

Lose

-50

I like the amount of sharp money around for this selection, which I will follow here at what is a decent price. It should be no bigger than 2.40 here, in my opinion.

20 November 2025

08:10 Sydney Sixers W vs Melbourne Stars W T20

Melbourne Stars W

Win Match

77 WIN

@2.10

Win

Based on form and the likely player lineups for both teams, I have this price no bigger than evens here, so getting value odds. The Stars have a decent batting lineup that can hurt a Sixers bowling attack that is nothing special.

01:10 DEN Nuggets @ NO Pelicans

NO Pelicans

Money Line

50 WIN

@7.50

Lose

-50

New Orleans at home are more likely to put in a strong effort and performance than if it was a road game. They will be desperate here and have a solid offense.

01:10 SAC Kings @ OKC Thunder

SAC Kings

Money Line

53 WIN

@13.00

Lose

-53

OKC are getting a lot of hype right now. I mean a lot. This is sometimes a negative as it can put the players in the wrong headspace. The Kings have a solid offense. Price a tad high here.

01:10 WAS Wizards @ MIN Timberwolves

WAS Wizards

Money Line

55 WIN

@11.00

Lose

-55

Banking on some complacency here from the home side. This is always more likely when a team is heavily favored. Price too big here at 10-1.

00:40 GS Warriors @ MIA Heat

MIA Heat

Money Line

50 WIN

@1.25

Win

Team news is poor for the Warriors here. This lack of high-quality players should be costly today. The Heat are a force at home. The Warriors' road record in recent seasons is ordinary.

MIA Heat -10.50

Pointspread

50 WIN

@1.95

Win

A win by a big margin is realistic here for the Heat, as team news for the visitors is ordinary, as is their road record in recent seasons. The Heat at home is a tough ask.

00:10 TOR Raptors @ PHI 76ers

TOR Raptors

Money Line

59 WIN

@1.83

Win

Team news is not great for the hosts. Toronto are in form and clicking nicely on offense right now. They should have too much class and firepower here.

TOR Raptors -2.00

Pointspread

50 WIN

@1.87

Win

Toronto are hot right now, and it's their offense that has been particularly impressive. They have scored 109 points or more in 10 games in a row and have won 8 games out of their last 9.

19 November 2025

04:10 PHX Suns @ POR Trail Blazers

PHX Suns

Money Line

89 WIN

@2.10

Win

This is a well-supported selection with the sharp money, which I like and will follow here at what is a decent enough price. The Suns have been impressive this season, and their offense can hurt an average Blazers defense today.

03:40 UTA Jazz @ LA Lakers

UTA Jazz

Money Line

61 WIN

@7.00

Lose

-61

The Lakers have shown me enough flaws in recent seasons to be opposed at very low odds here. Defensively, they are nothing special, and this solid Jazz offense can hurt them.

18 November 2025

15:30 Samoa v Belgium

Belgium

To Win

53 WIN

@18.00

Push

Not without a hope at big odds. Here's some areas that Samoa are lacking: coaching and management, fitness, discipline. The visitors can match or better them in these areas.

Belgium 27.50

Handicap

90 WIN

@1.85

Win

Samoa has more high-quality players and the superior form, hence the big line. However, given the magnitude of this game for Belgium and the fact Samoa are lacking in key areas, a competitive performance is likely here.

13:00 Namibia v Brazil

Brazil

To Win

57 WIN

@4.75

Lose

-57

Good deal of sharp money coming for this selection, which I like and will follow here. This game does not have much meaning for Namibia, who are a pretty flawed team.

01:15 DAL Cowboys @ LV Raiders

LV Raiders

Money Line

79 WIN

@2.60

Lose

-79

Don't really agree with this price. Dallas ranks poorly in most defensive stat categories this season. The Raiders are likely to put in a strong effort and performance at home under the big time and bright lights of MNF.

LV Raiders 3.50

Point Spread

50 WIN

@1.87

Lose

-50

The Raiders players and staff will see this game as a realistic win against a pretty flawed Cowboys team, especially defensively. Price and line are a tad generous here.

LV Raiders - DAL Cowboys

Double Result

94 WIN

@5.00

Lose

-94

By taking this selection, as well as the Raiders to win, in effect I am taking the hosts to be ahead at halftime or full-time. For me, this is realistic against a pretty flawed Dallas team.

Jack Bech (LV Raiders)

Anytime Touchdown Scorer

50 WIN

@12.00

Lose

-50

I like the amount of sharp money around for this selection, which I will follow here at what is a decent enough price. Personally, I think it should be no bigger than 10-1 here.

LV Raiders by 13 18

Winning Margin

70 WIN

@14.00

Lose

-70

Dallas ranks poorly in several team stat categories, especially the defense ones. At home and under the bright lights of MNF, surely this is a game the Raiders will be up for. A win by a big margin is realistic.

17 November 2025

01:20 DET Lions @ PHI Eagles

DET Lions

Money Line

377 WIN

@2.30

Lose

-377

The Lions have the superior offense and have proven their credentials on the road in recent seasons. Under the big time and bright lights of SNF, surely this is a game they will be up for.

DET Lions - PHI Eagles

Double Result

380 WIN

@5.00

Lose

-380

Detroit has a decent first-half record this season and last season and the superior offense. A decent first half from the visitors is likely. There is enough class in this Eagles team at home to overturn the first-half deficit. By taking this selection as well as Detroit to win the game, in effect, I am taking them to be ahead at halftime or full-time. This is realistic.

Tips are normally be settled by 12pm the day after the event took place.
Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.

Please note that this information is for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as an indicator of a tipsters real life performance. The OLBG Tipster Competition is a simulation game and some of the rules and prices used by the tipsters may not always be available in the real world which can lead to misleading informaiton.

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surfsup's Tips History

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