surfsup
3
Estimated Prizes
this month
£20
Estimated Prize money
this month
surfsup's Tips History
03 April 2026
03:07 CGY Flames @ VGS Golden Knights
VGS Golden Knights
Money Line
50 WIN
@-249
Win
20
I like the good deal of sharp money around for this selection. Vegas has higher motivation levels for this game because: 1) it's a home game, and 2) they are very much alive in the playoff picture. The Flames are not.
VGS Golden Knights -1.50
Puck Line
67 WIN
@+104
Win
70
The good deal of sharp money around for this selection indicates a big performance from Vegas here is likely. Contrasting motivation for these two teams: it's much stronger for Vegas.
00:10 PHX Suns @ CHA Hornets
CHA Hornets
Money Line
76 WIN
@-208
Win
36
I like the amount of sharp money that is around for this selection, which I will follow here at what is a solid enough price. The Suns have shaky recent form, having lost 7 out of their last 10 games. This should be a bridge too far against the in-form Hornets.
Subtotal126
02 April 2026
19:00 West Indies W vs Australia W 3rd ODI
West Indies W
Win Match
57 WIN
@+1600
Open
0
I stand by the facts that the gulf in class between these two teams is not large. The Aussies in recent years have lost a vast majority of their matches outside of Australia. Price a tad high here.
11:00 Brisbane Roar v Sydney FC
Brisbane Roar (AH) 0.25
Asian Hcap
53 WIN
@-117
Win+Push
23
Brisbane has generally produced their highest level of play in recent seasons under two circumstances. 1) When they are underdogs. 2) When they are at home. They get both scenarios here.
10:00 Dolphins v Manly Sea Eagles
Dolphins
To Win
76 WIN
@-285
Lose
-76
Sometimes a torrid week, which Manly has had, can galvanise a team. I don't feel that will be the case here, mainly because Manly have defensive issues that won't be going away anytime soon. In their three games played this season they have conceded 98 points, which is an average of 33 points per game. This is poor. Only one of the teams played has an attacking game as powerful as that of the Dolphins. The Dolphins' decent attacking game should inflict more misery on the Sydney siders.
03:10 SA Spurs @ GS Warriors
GS Warriors
Money Line
50 WIN
@+650
Lose
-50
The Warriors' home record in recent seasons speaks for itself. Very impressive. Despite being without key players right now, the players available are capable enough. Worth a go at this price.
02:10 DEN Nuggets @ UTA Jazz
UTA Jazz
Money Line
51 WIN
@+1000
Lose
-51
At least 60% of Utah's decent performances in recent seasons have been in their home games. Like most teams, Denver is more vulnerable on the road than at home. Price is too high here.
01:20 CLE Guardians @ LA Dodgers
CLE Guardians
Money Line
59 WIN
@+245
Win
145
This price implies a win probability of around 28%. In my view, this is too low. I have it at a minimum of 33%, so we're getting value odds here. Reasonably favourable starting pitcher matchup for the visitors.
CLE Guardians 1.50
Run Line
70 WIN
@+110
Win
77
I like the starting pitcher matchup for the visitors. It is reasonably favorable here. Cleveland's batting lineup has scored six runs or more on the road this season twice already. Price and the line are too high here.
01:10 IND Pacers @ CHI Bulls
IND Pacers
Money Line
70 WIN
@+150
Win
105
Good deal of sharp money around for this selection, which I like and will follow here. This price should be no bigger than 2.45, so getting some minor value.
01:10 MIL Bucks @ HOU Rockets
MIL Bucks
Money Line
50 WIN
@+1200
Lose
-50
Worth a small go at these odds. I give the Bucks no less than a 10% chance of winning here, so at this 12-1 price these are value odds. Houston does not have a great record in recent seasons when heavily favored.
01:10 NY Knicks @ MEM Grizzlies
MEM Grizzlies
Money Line
51 WIN
@+650
Lose
-51
I prefer the prep of Memphis for this game. The Knicks played yesterday in a tough and taxing game and have had to travel. Memphis did not play and have been based at home. Price is too high here.
01:10 SAC Kings @ TOR Raptors
SAC Kings
Money Line
69 WIN
@+500
Win
345
Toronto has shaky recent form and has had a less-than-ideal prep for this game. Particularly defensively, they are struggling. This solid Kings offense can trouble them today.
SAC Kings 12.00
Pointspread
58 WIN
@-105
Win
55
Not a very good prep for this game for the hosts, and they are conceding way too many points to be favored by this much here against a solid Kings offense.
00:40 BOS Celtics @ MIA Heat
BOS Celtics
Money Line
75 WIN
@-175
Win
43
Team news is pretty ordinary for the hosts, as is their preparation for this game. Defensively, the Heat are average. Boston has the offense to punish them today.
00:10 PHI 76ers @ WAS Wizards
WAS Wizards
Money Line
53 WIN
@+750
Lose
-53
At least 65% of the Wizards' decent performances in recent seasons have been in their home games. I give the Wizards no less than an 18% chance of winning this game, so these are value odds.
Subtotal462
01 April 2026
04:10 POR Trail Blazers @ LA Clippers
POR Trail Blazers
Money Line
140 WIN
@+187
Win
262
Portland remains in the playoff picture and is desperate for every win possible right now. The Clippers are average defensively. The Blazers have the offense to hurt them today.
01:10 NY Knicks @ HOU Rockets
NY Knicks
Money Line
150 WIN
@-105
Lose
-150
Team news is not great for the hosts. It is more favorable for the Knicks here. This price should be no bigger than 1.91, in my view. The Knicks have won 7 out of their last 9 games and scored 120 points or more in 4 of those games. They should have too much offensive firepower for a Rockets team that is not at their best on offense right now.
00:40 CHA Hornets @ BKN Nets
CHA Hornets
Money Line
94 WIN
@-1666
Win
6
The Hornets should have too much firepower and will to win against a Nets team that is in tank mode. This price should be no bigger than 1.05 here.
00:10 PHX Suns @ ORL Magic
ORL Magic
Money Line
51 WIN
@-117
Win
43
I like the amount of sharp money around for this selection. I have more faith in the Magic at home than the Suns away, with less-than-ideal preparation.
Subtotal161
29 March 2026
19:00 West Indies W vs Australia W 2nd ODI
West Indies W
Win Match
399 WIN
@+1600
Lose
-399
Most of the Aussies' losses or poor performances in recent years have been away from home. The Windies tend to produce their best cricket at home and are a solid outfit. Price is too high here.
17:30 Leeds Rhinos v Warrington Wolves
Warrington Wolves
To Win
90 WIN
@+175
Lose
-90
Warrington have a pretty cohesive attacking game. This will test and trouble a Leeds defense that is only average. For me this price should be no bigger than 2.65, so getting value odds.
Warrington Wolves 6.50
Handicap (2-way)
56 WIN
@-117
Win
48
There is little between these two teams, in my view, so it makes sense to take the +6.5 head start. Warrington can match or better Leeds with the attacking game, and this should see them be competitive here.
15:00 Hull FC v Catalan Dragons
Catalan Dragons
To Win
83 WIN
@+150
Lose
-83
Hull are nothing better than solid on attack and defense. The Dragons have the attacking game to hurt them today. This price is about right at 2.50 though, so not big stakes.
06:05 Canberra Raiders v Cronulla Sharks
Canberra Raiders
To Win
77 WIN
@-129
Lose
-77
The Sharks have shown me enough flaws this season to be opposed here. Apart from one game, they have failed to produce long periods of matches with decent play. This will be unlikely to get the result today against the Raiders, who are a tough nut to crack at home.
Subtotal-601
28 March 2026
17:30 Leigh Leopards v Toulouse Olympique
Toulouse Olympique
To Win
80 WIN
@+600
Lose
-80
Worth a small go at this price. The difference in class between these two teams is small. Leigh have shown me enough flaws this season to be opposed at low odds, against a visiting team who will do the basics well.
Toulouse Olympique 16.50
Handicap (2-way)
127 WIN
@-117
Win
108
Toulouse will do the basics well. They are a pretty well-drilled team, not flashy, but should have enough to cover this line against a Leigh team who are nothing special.
08:35 North Queensland Cowboys v Melbourne Storm
North Queensland Cowboys
To Win
70 WIN
@+300
Win
210
Too big of a price here. Based on this price, the Cowboys are a 25% chance of winning the game. This is not accurate. It's 30% at a minimum, so you're getting value odds. The Storm's away record in recent seasons is nothing special. The Cowboys have the attacking game in dry, hot conditions to hurt the visitors.
08:35 Western Force v Chiefs
Western Force
To Win
97 WIN
@+350
Lose
-97
The Force produce most of their decent performances in their home games. The forward battle looks reasonably even here, which gives the hosts a solid chance.
Western Force 12.50
Handicap
120 WIN
@-109
Win
109
85% of the Force's decent performances in recent seasons have been in their home games, which obviously is a high percentage. For the Chiefs, most of their losses in recent seasons have been in their away games. The line is a tad high here.
06:30 Penrith Panthers v Parramatta Eels
Penrith Panthers
To Win
57 WIN
@-499
Win
11
Beating Penrith on their home patch should be a bridge too far for an Eels team with an ordinary road record in recent seasons. Price is about right, though, so small stakes.
03:35 Hurricanes v Reds
Hurricanes
To Win
60 WIN
@-833
Win
7
The Canes should win the forward battle, which will set the foundation for the win. The Reds have a poor record in NZ in recent seasons, and their team named for this game is not their strongest.
Subtotal268
27 March 2026
20:35 NY Yankees @ SF Giants
SF Giants
Money Line
90 WIN
@+114
Lose
-90
The Giants will be the more desperate of the two teams here at home, and that could be crucial in determining the winner of this game. Price too high here.
SF Giants 1.50
Run Line
80 WIN
@-161
Lose
-80
Hard to go past the Giants here at home. After losing their first up game at home in a pretty embarrassing performance, a strong response is likely here.
Over 7.50
Game Totals
50 WIN
@-114
Lose
-50
Good deal of sharp money is around for this over, which I like and will follow here at a solid price here. Neither starting pitcher is anything special.
20:00 Hull KR v St Helens
St Helens
To Win
53 WIN
@+240
Lose
-53
Mouth-watering clash of two quality teams. Saints are efficient in attack and defensively. Hull KR has lacked a consistent high level of play this season. That will be needed today.
20:00 York Knights v Wakefield Trinity
York Knights
To Win
57 WIN
@+240
Lose
-57
This price is a little high here for York at home. They have proven to be a tough team to beat this season, pushed Wigan very close, and have some impressive wins.
York Knights 8.50
Handicap (2-way)
90 WIN
@-109
Lose
-90
York at home will provide a tough examination for a pretty flawed Wakefield team, who lack cohesion in their attacking game. Line and price a tad generous here.
18:00 West Indies W vs Australia W 1st ODI
West Indies W
Win Match
327 WIN
@+1000
Lose
-327
The Aussies' record when playing outside of Australia in recent years does not make impressive reading. A high percentage of their losses have occurred outside Australia. The Windies at home tend to produce their best cricket. Price is a tad high here.
09:00 Brisbane Broncos v Dolphins
Brisbane Broncos
To Win
180 WIN
@-161
Win
112
The Dolphins are pretty ordinary defensively. This spells trouble for them today against a potent Brisbane attacking game playing at home. The Dolphins' prep for this game has been less than ideal.
07:00 New Zealand Warriors v Wests Tigers
Wests Tigers
To Win
100 WIN
@+350
Win
350
Wests will be desperate here, given their start to the season. They may want this more given the standings. For me, the Warriors are a pretty flawed team and will regress in the coming months.
06:05 Moana Pasifika v Highlanders
Moana Pasifika
To Win
130 WIN
@+375
Lose
-130
Pride is a beautiful thing. After several embarrassing performances, I like Moana to respond in a strong way here at home against a Highlanders team that is nothing better than solid.
Moana Pasifika 14.50
Handicap
170 WIN
@-117
Lose
-170
Moana are not a bad team, even though recent results suggest otherwise. The Highlanders are nothing more than a solid team. The hosts will be targeting this game as a realistic win.
00:30 ARI Diamondbacks @ LA Dodgers
ARI Diamondbacks
Money Line
69 WIN
@+209
Lose
-69
Generous price here for a capable enough team, who has a decent record in recent seasons when a big underdog. Clearly a tag they enjoy. Bottom line: price too big here.
ARI Diamondbacks 1.50
Run Line
101 WIN
@+110
Lose
-101
Arizona is starting an underrated pitcher here, in my view. Their batting lineup is solid and capable of giving him run support today. Line and price are too high here.
Under 9.00
Game Totals
50 WIN
@-114
Lose
-50
I like the amount of sharp money that is around for this selection, which I will follow at what is a solid enough price and line. Both starting pitchers are decent here.
Subtotal-805
26 March 2026
20:00 Castleford Tigers v Bradford Bulls
Bradford Bulls
To Win
79 WIN
@+110
Lose
-79
The Bradford players and staff will be confident of getting the result here. Castleford are nothing better than average in attack and pretty ordinary defensively. The price is a tad high at 2.10.
19:15 Luke Littler vs Stephen Bunting
Stephen Bunting
Win Match 2-way
53 WIN
@+350
Lose
-53
Bunting has been playing with a chip on his shoulder in the Premier League. This was largely fueled by many people saying others deserved a spot rather than him. This makes him dangerous, and he has a game that needs to be respected. Price is too high here.
18:45 Luke Humphries vs Michael van Gerwen
Michael van Gerwen
Win Match 2-way
100 WIN
@+162
Win
163
I have this price no bigger than 2.50 here, so this is value odds. MVG remains dangerous and matches up pretty well against a reasonably inconsistent Humphries in both 2025 and 2026.
Michael van Gerwen 1.50
Handicap 2-way
200 WIN
@-117
Win
170
Luke's form the past year is really not that impressive. He lacks the consistent high level of play such as what Littler has. MVG remains dangerous despite not being at his best recently either. Price too high here.
Under 9.50
Total Legs
50 WIN
@-124
Win
40
Both players are very streaky, for both the good and the bad. A reasonably one-sided scoreline for either player is quite likely here, in my view.
18:15 Jonny Clayton vs Josh Rock
Josh Rock
Win Match 2-way
50 WIN
@+162
Win
81
Rock remains a high-quality player despite recent results not really showing that. You can only keep high-quality players down for so long. He is more than capable of beating Clayton.
17:15 PIT Pirates @ NY Mets
PIT Pirates
Money Line
80 WIN
@+100
Lose
-80
The visitors get a favorable starting pitcher matchup here. I expect the Pirates this season to be a force and improved. Price is a tad high here.
Over 6.50
Game Totals
50 WIN
@-120
Win
41
Two strong batting lineups, especially for the Mets. This should see runs and go over. The Mets' starting pitcher is nothing special, so this decent Pirates batting lineup should score pretty well today.
09:00 Manly Sea Eagles v Sydney Roosters
Manly Sea Eagles
To Win
70 WIN
@+179
Lose
-70
At least 65% of Manly's decent performances in recent seasons have been in their home games. This is a crucial win to kick-start their season here. They have the quality of players to get the result at home and get their season back on track.
00:05 NY Yankees @ SF Giants
SF Giants
Money Line
200 WIN
@+104
Lose
-200
The starting pitcher matchup is more favorable for the Giants here, in my view. The Giants at home with a decent prep will be a tough nut to crack today. Price is a tad high here.
SF Giants 1.50
Run Line
70 WIN
@-169
Lose
-70
Solid home team with a decent prep and a favourable starting pitcher. All points to a competitive performance from the hosts here. This price is a tad high at 1.59.
Over 7.00
Game Totals
80 WIN
@-113
Push
0
Good deal of sharp money is around for this selection, which I like and will follow here. MLB is one of the top sports to follow the sharp money, as it is often on the mark. Line and price a tad generous here.
Subtotal-57
Tips are normally be settled by 12pm the day after the event took place.
Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.
Please note that this information is for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as an indicator of a tipsters real life performance. The OLBG Tipster Competition is a simulation game and some of the rules and prices used by the tipsters may not always be available in the real world which can lead to misleading informaiton.
