surfsup
6
Estimated Prizes
this month
£95
Estimated Prize money
this month
surfsup's Tips History
06 April 2026
07:05 Parramatta Eels v Wests Tigers
Parramatta Eels 1.50
Handicap (2-way)
50 WIN
@-114
Win
44
Bookies have the wrong favourite here, in my view. I have the Eels favoured by 2.5 points. Home advantage, superior coach, and less prone to making basic errors.
02:10 LA Clippers @ SAC Kings
SAC Kings
Money Line
240 WIN
@+650
Lose
-240
I will take on a pretty flawed road team in the Clippers, who are just 18-21 on the road this season and not much better in recent seasons. At least 60% of the Kings' decent performances in recent seasons have been in their home games.
SAC Kings 13.50
Pointspread
397 WIN
@-109
Lose
-397
Generous line here for a capable enough home team. In recent seasons the Clippers' win rate on the road is no better than 50%, which is mediocre. Line a tad high here.
00:10 UTA Jazz @ OKC Thunder
UTA Jazz
Money Line
50 WIN
@+2500
Lose
-50
Not really liked by my methods, but a tip because of the price. 25-1 should be no bigger than 19-1 here, in my view. Too many variables are at play in an NBA game to have a price this high.
00:07 NJ Devils @ MTL Canadiens
MTL Canadiens
Money Line
57 WIN
@-149
Lose
-57
Don't really agree with this price. It should be no bigger than 1.65 here, so some minor value. This Devils team are a shadow of some of the decent NJ teams over the years and are just 19-19 on the road this season.
Subtotal-700
05 April 2026
23:30 Bahia v Palmeiras
Yes (BTTS)
Both Teams to Score
50 WIN
@-142
Win
35
Good deal of sharp money is around for this selection, which I like and will follow here. In both teams' last five games played, both have scored plenty of goals. It's realistic to think they can net at least one each.
Bahia & Yes (Result + BTTS)
Result and BTTS
53 WIN
@+400
Lose
-53
Good deal of sharp money is around for this selection, which I like and will follow here. Both teams arrive in decent attacking form, especially the home side. Price too high here.
Bahia (AH) 0.00
Asian Hcap
101 WIN
@-105
Lose
-101
I have more faith and trust in Bahia at home than Palmeiras away. The hosts have the stronger form line at home this season than Palmeiras does away. Price a tad high here.
Everaldo Stum
First Goalscorer
53 WIN
@+550
Lose
-53
He is Bahia's main scoring threat and will fancy his chances against Palmeiras, as they are nothing special defensively. This price is a tad high here, in my view.
Bahia #3-1
57 WIN
@+2000
Lose
-57
Don't really agree with this price. It should be no bigger than 18??'1 here. Bahia's attacking game at home has been impressive in recent games. In their last 3 home games they have scored 6 goals and only conceded one.
23:10 IND Pacers @ CLE Cavaliers
IND Pacers
Money Line
53 WIN
@+950
Lose
-53
Worth a go at this price. I have it no bigger than 9-1 here, so some minor value. The Pacers have the offense to test and trouble the Cavs. In their last six games they have scored 128 points or more four times. A repeat of this number today and they are a solid chance.
21:05 NY Mets @ SF Giants
SF Giants
Money Line
200 WIN
@-117
Lose
-200
Another team, fresh off an embarrassing home performance, will likely put up a strong response here. Plus, the Giants get a favorable starting-pitcher matchup.
20:40 MEM Grizzlies @ MIL Bucks
MEM Grizzlies
Money Line
79 WIN
@+189
Lose
-79
Memphis doesn't have many games on their upcoming schedule that are a realistic win. However, this is one, so the focus and effort should be there against a pretty flawed Bucks team lacking high-quality players right now.
20:40 PHX Suns @ CHI Bulls
CHI Bulls
Money Line
50 WIN
@+390
Lose
-50
Looks like Josh Giddey will play. He gives the Bulls the ability to play at a higher level for longer periods. With this being a home game for the Bulls, they have a solid chance.
20:40 TOR Raptors @ BOS Celtics
TOR Raptors
Money Line
70 WIN
@+375
Lose
-70
Boston has a bad habit in recent seasons of dropping their level of play against much weaker teams than themselves. It's human nature to an extent. Price is too high here.
TOR Raptors 9.50
Pointspread
83 WIN
@-105
Lose
-83
Winning games has more meaning right now for the Raptors, so perhaps they will be the hungrier team here today and want it more. Generous line.
20:40 WAS Wizards @ BKN Nets
WAS Wizards
Money Line
80 WIN
@+150
Lose
-80
The Nets rank poorly in nearly every defense stat category. This spells trouble for them today against a solid Washington offense, fresh off a 45-point fourth quarter in their last game played.
WAS Wizards 3.50
Pointspread
50 WIN
@-109
Lose
-50
Fresh off a 45-point 4th quarter, I like the Wizards to continue their momentum here against a pretty flawed Nets team, who have been struggling defensively most of the season.
18:35 LA Dodgers @ WAS Nationals
WAS Nationals
Money Line
297 WIN
@+179
Lose
-297
Washington were embarrassed on their home patch yesterday. Look for a strong response from a proud and capable enough home team, who get a reasonably favorable starting pitcher matchup here.
WAS Nationals 1.50
Run Line
399 WIN
@+110
Lose
-399
Don't really agree with this price. It should be no bigger than evens here. I expect a strong effort and performance from Washington today, who were embarrassing yesterday.
18:35 MIA Marlins @ NY Yankees
MIA Marlins
Money Line
220 WIN
@+240
Win
528
Miami's batting lineup is in decent form. They have scored 28 runs in their last four games, which is outstanding. Always a solid chance with an offense putting up run numbers like that.
MIA Marlins 1.50
Run Line
351 WIN
@+114
Win
404
The Marlins batting lineup is one of the hottest in the entire league right now. They have put up 28 runs in their last four games played. Always a solid chance with run support like this.
17:30 Leinster v Edinburgh
Leinster
To Win
159 WIN
@-5000
Win
3
This should be a bridge too far for Edinburgh. The visitors will struggle to win the forward battle here, which makes it very tough to get the result. They lack cohesion in their back play as well.
15:00 Castleford Tigers v Wakefield Trinity
Castleford Tigers
To Win
61 WIN
@+137
Lose
-61
Fresh off scoring 40 points last week and 34 points two weeks before that, the Tigers can trouble a Wakefield defense that is only average. This price is too high at 2.38.
Castleford Tigers 4.50
Handicap (2-way)
69 WIN
@-109
Lose
-69
Generous line here for the Tigers, who came to life last week. Attacking-wise they are clicking nicely right now. In their last four games played they have scored 84 points, which is an average of 21 points per game, which is decent. Two of these opponents were superior teams to Wakefield.
07:05 Newcastle Knights v Canberra Raiders
Newcastle Knights
To Win
65 WIN
@+135
Win
88
I have more faith and trust in the Knights at home than the Raiders away. The basic errors that have haunted the Knights in recent seasons are much improved so far this season. At home, a strong performance is likely here. Price is too high at 2.35.
06:00 Melbourne Victory v Wellington Phoenix
No (BTTS)
Both Teams to Score
70 WIN
@+137
Win
97
I like what both of these teams offer defensively, especially the hosts, who are tough to break down at home. This price should be no bigger than 2.30 in my view, so it's value odds.
Wellington Phoenix & No (Result + BTTS)
Result and BTTS
51 WIN
@+1000
Win
510
The Phoenix have not lost in their last three away games. For whatever reason, they have produced most of their best performances this season on the road, especially at the defensive end.
Wellington Phoenix (AH) 1.00
Asian Hcap
60 WIN
@+101
Win
61
Generous price and line here. The Phoenix have not lost in their last 3 away games, and when they play the Victory their motivation levels are very high.
Nikos Vergos
First Goalscorer
50 WIN
@+450
Lose
-50
There is a good deal of sharp money around for this selection, which I like and will follow here at what is an attractive enough price. Nikos is a major threat at the attacking end and will fancy his chances today.
Wellington Phoenix #1-0
51 WIN
@+1900
Win
969
Most bookies have this at around the 17-1 mark, which is far more accurate. So this is value odds here. The Victory are pretty sound defensively at home, and a vast majority of the Phoenix's decent defensive performances have been away this season.
05:00 Cronulla Sharks v New Zealand Warriors
New Zealand Warriors
To Win
57 WIN
@+150
Lose
-57
dont really agree with this price, it should be no bigger than 2.40 here in my view so getting value odds. the warriors are a nicely balanced side, forward back is decent and their back line play is reasonably classy, close call this game.
03:07 NSH Predators @ SJ Sharks
NSH Predators 1.50
Puck Line
58 WIN
@-249
Win
23
Nashville has had an ideal prep for this game. Their attacking game is firing right now. In their last 5 games they have scored 16 goals and will see this game as a realistic win against a pretty flawed Sharks team.
02:05 NY Mets @ SF Giants
SF Giants
Money Line
93 WIN
@-105
Lose
-93
Another well-supported selection with the sharp money, which I like and will follow here. The Giants get a reasonably favorable starting pitcher matchup. Price a tad high here.
SF Giants 1.50
Run Line
50 WIN
@-178
Lose
-50
dont really agree with this price, it should be no bigger than 1.54 here. the giants get a favourable starting pitcher matchup here, like most teams the mets are more vulnerable away from home.
00:05 MIA Marlins @ NY Yankees
MIA Marlins
Money Line
70 WIN
@+225
Lose
-70
A good deal of sharp money is around for this selection, which I like and will follow here at what is a decent and attractive price. It should be no bigger than 3.00 here, in my view.
MIA Marlins 1.50
Run Line
58 WIN
@-129
Lose
-58
Don't really agree with this price. It should be no bigger than 1.75 here. I like the good deal of sharp money that is around for this selection. I think Miami's batting lineup can have a big day today. In their last 5 games played they are averaging 6 runs scored per game, which is outstanding.
Subtotal585
04 April 2026
20:10 WAS Wizards @ MIA Heat
WAS Wizards
Money Line
139 WIN
@+1100
Lose
-139
The Wizards' strength is their offense, while Miami, by league standards their defense, is only average at best. In their last 10 games played, they have lost 8 of them. They are also conceding an average of 130 points per game, which is poor.
WAS Wizards 17.50
Pointspread
260 WIN
@-109
Win
237
The Heat have lost 8 out of their last 10 games and are conceding an average of 130 points per game in that last 10-game span, which is poor. Washington has the offense to trouble them today.
18:00 Catalan Dragons v Toulouse Olympique
Toulouse Olympique
To Win
53 WIN
@+350
Lose
-53
This price is about right, so small stakes here. Surely this is a game Toulouse will be pumped for against their biggest rival team in the Super League. They clearly enjoy the big underdog tag, with several recent credible performances when a big underdog.
15:00 Huddersfield Giants v York Knights
York Knights
To Win
51 WIN
@+275
Lose
-51
Crazy price. This price implies a win probability of 27%. This is too low and not accurate. Anyone who follows the Super League closely should agree with this.
York Knights 10.50
Handicap (2-way)
59 WIN
@-109
Lose
-59
York continue to be underrated by bookmakers. They are solid in attack and defense. Not sure what Huddersfield have done in recent seasons to be favoured by this much here.
15:00 Warrington Wolves v Leigh Leopards
Leigh Leopards
To Win
54 WIN
@+220
Lose
-54
Don't really agree with this price. There is little between these two teams defensively. On attack it's only a small edge to the hosts. 3.20 should be no bigger than 3.00 here.
Leigh Leopards 8.50
Handicap (2-way)
59 WIN
@-109
Lose
-59
I see this game as being very close between these two teams, so it makes sense to take the +8.5 headstart. Leigh can match or better Warrington defensively, and there is only a small edge to the hosts on attack.
09:35 Gold Coast Titans v Brisbane Broncos
Gold Coast Titans
To Win
53 WIN
@+320
Lose
-53
Given the standings, Gold Coast will be desperate here. A home game versus a Queensland strong rival and a very hyped team is surely a game they will be up for.
09:35 Melbourne City v Western Sydney Wanderers
Melbourne City - Melbourne City
Half Time / Full Time
50 WIN
@+209
Win
105
City have the superior attacking game. With home advantage and being well prepared for this match, a comprehensive win is likely here in my view.
Melbourne City (AH) -0.50
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@-102
Win
49
Both teams are pretty sound defensively, but the advantage is with Melbourne City at the attacking end. Combine this with home advantage and this is a likely result today.
Melbourne City #3-0
50 WIN
@+1600
Win
800
City have the superior attacking game. Combine this with home advantage, a decent prep, and a one-sided scoreline like this is not that unlikely here.
09:35 Reds v Western Force
Western Force
To Win
80 WIN
@+400
Win
320
I have this price no bigger than 4.60 here, so these are very good odds. The Force are a solid outfit in 2026. The forwards work hard and are reasonably efficient, and there's enough class in their back play to be an outside chance here.
Western Force 12.50
Handicap
160 WIN
@-109
Win
146
This points start is two points too high here, in my view. In the forward battle it's a small edge to the hosts only, and back play is reasonably even. So a competitive performance from the visitors is likely here.
07:30 St George/Illawarra Dragons v North Queensland Cowboys
North Queensland Cowboys
To Win
55 WIN
@-128
Win
43
The Dragons' forward pack is weak. They lack high-quality players in the forwards. Advantage Cowboys in this area. Both back lines are solid or better.
07:05 Chiefs v Waratahs
Chiefs
To Win
57 WIN
@-999
Win
6
The Waratahs are too flawed a team to get the result here. They play well for patches of matches only. That won't be enough versus the Chiefs at home. The price is a tad high here.
07:00 Central Coast Mariners v Perth Glory
Central Coast Mariners - Central Coast Mariners
Half Time / Full Time
59 WIN
@+279
Lose
-59
Perth's shaky recent form does not hold them in good stead for a tough away examination like the Mariners at home. The hosts' superior attack and defense should be the difference here.
Central Coast Mariners (AH) 0.00
Asian Hcap
87 WIN
@-117
Push
0
I have more faith and trust in the Mariners at home here than Perth away. At least 65% of the Mariners' decent performances in recent seasons have been in their home games. With solid preparation, a strong performance is likely here.
Central Coast Mariners #3-0
50 WIN
@+2500
Lose
-50
A reasonably one-sided scoreline like this is not unrealistic here. The Mariners at home are a tough proposition. One which a pretty flawed Perth team will probably fail to overcome.
03:10 NO Pelicans @ SAC Kings
NO Pelicans
Money Line
53 WIN
@-200
Lose
-53
New Orleans has most of their key players in and has the offense to hurt an ordinary Kings defense. Other than playing at home, the Kings don't have much going for them here.
03:07 STL Blues @ ANA Ducks
STL Blues
Money Line
56 WIN
@+125
Win
70
It's still possible for the Blues to make the playoffs. But it's these games they must bank, so they will be desperate here. The Ducks' place in the playoffs is much more secure, so perhaps the Blues will want this one more.
01:40 ORL Magic @ DAL Mavericks
DAL Mavericks
Money Line
57 WIN
@+209
Lose
-57
The Magic have shown me enough flaws this season and in recent seasons, especially on the road, to be opposed at low odds here against a capable enough home team with a solid team list for this game.
01:10 BOS Celtics @ MIL Bucks
MIL Bucks
Money Line
67 WIN
@+1100
Lose
-67
Don't really agree with this price. It should be no bigger than 9??"1 here. At least 60% of the Bucks' decent performances in recent seasons have been in their home games.
MIL Bucks 18.00
Pointspread
53 WIN
@-109
Lose
-53
Surely this is a game the Bucks will be up for, playing a title favorite and a team that gets much more hype than them at home, where they tend to produce their best work.
01:10 TOR Raptors @ MEM Grizzlies
MEM Grizzlies
Money Line
53 WIN
@+650
Lose
-53
Toronto has shaky recent form, with a couple of losses to low-tier teams like Memphis is. This price is too high and should be no bigger than 6-1 here, in my view.
01:10 UTA Jazz @ HOU Rockets
UTA Jazz
Money Line
75 WIN
@+1000
Lose
-75
I feel Utah has the offense that can match or better the Rockets today. The Rockets' offense is in ordinary form right now. Worth a go at this price here.
UTA Jazz 18.00
Pointspread
93 WIN
@-109
Lose
-93
Generous line here for a capable enough team. The Rockets have not impressed me of late, and the Jazz present a dangerous offense and opposition.
00:40 ATL Hawks @ BKN Nets
BKN Nets
Money Line
56 WIN
@+1000
Lose
-56
At least 65% of the Nets' decent performances in recent seasons have been in their home games. The Hawks are average defensively. The Nets' solid offense at home can trouble them.
00:40 CHI Bulls @ NY Knicks
CHI Bulls
Money Line
60 WIN
@+750
Lose
-60
Being an ESPN game, which the Bulls rarely get, I feel their motivation should be strong today. Plus, the Knicks are a strong rival team. Price is too high here.
CHI Bulls 14.00
Pointspread
51 WIN
@-109
Lose
-51
This line is too high by at least one full point, in my view. Plus, I like and will follow the good deal of sharp money that is around for this selection.
00:10 IND Pacers @ CHA Hornets
IND Pacers
Money Line
134 WIN
@+900
Lose
-134
Not an ideal prep for the hosts here. They played in a tough and taxing game yesterday. Indy has the offense to test them and their perhaps slightly weary legs.
IND Pacers 15.50
Pointspread
155 WIN
@-109
Lose
-155
the hornets prep for this game has been inferior to that of indys. indys offense can test and trouble the hosts who will be perhaps a little weary here.
00:10 MIN Timberwolves @ PHI 76ers
PHI 76ers
Money Line
50 WIN
@-161
Win
31
I have more faith and trust in Philly at home here than the Wolves away. The hosts have had superior prep for this game and have most of their key players in, unlike the Wolves.
00:07 PHI Flyers @ NY Islanders
PHI Flyers
Money Line
57 WIN
@+125
Win
71
Philly put in a poor performance yesterday on their home ice. I expect a strong response from a quality team. The probability this price implies is too low, in my opinion.
Subtotal394
Tips are normally be settled by 12pm the day after the event took place.
Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.
Please note that this information is for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as an indicator of a tipsters real life performance. The OLBG Tipster Competition is a simulation game and some of the rules and prices used by the tipsters may not always be available in the real world which can lead to misleading informaiton.
