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20+ years betting sports has taught me a lot. Not least of which, only bet large if you think you have a significant edge. Getting odds that are better than the actual probability is key too.

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surfsup's Tips History

04 January 2026

03:10 UTA Jazz @ GS Warriors

UTA Jazz

Money Line

53 WIN

@4.60

Lose

-53

Good deal of sharp money around for this selection, which I like and will follow here. Team news is not great for the Warriors. The Warriors' weakness is their defense. Utah has a solid offense that can trouble them.

01:40 HOU Rockets @ DAL Mavericks

DAL Mavericks

Money Line

80 WIN

@3.80

Win

224

Houston has 10 losses this season. A very high number of these have been on the road: 8 to be exact. Dallas at home is a tough test. This price is too high here.

01:10 POR Trail Blazers @ SA Spurs

POR Trail Blazers

Money Line

65 WIN

@3.80

Win

182

The Blazers are in some of their best form for some time right now. They have won 3 out of their last 4 and 6 out of their last 10. They have the offense to hurt the Spurs today.

00:40 PHI 76ers @ NY Knicks

NY Knicks

Money Line

60 WIN

@1.80

Lose

-60

I like the amount of sharp money around for this selection. The Knicks have been a beast at home this season, winning 15 out of their 18 played. The price is too high here.

03 January 2026

21:07 MTL Canadiens @ STL Blues

MTL Canadiens

Money Line

53 WIN

@1.73

Lose

-53

I prefer the prep for this game of the Habs. It has been more settled, and they are more rested. They have the attacking game to really hurt St. Louis today.

MTL Canadiens -1.50

Puck Line

50 WIN

@2.75

Lose

-50

The Habs have a in-form and potent attacking game. They have been racking up the goals. This spells trouble for an average St. Louis defense here. Price a tad high.

20:20 Luke Littler vs Gian van Veen

Luke Littler

Win Match 2-way

53 WIN

@1.44

Win

Van Veen is more emotional. Luke has the mental side in better shape, and this will serve him better under pressure and at key moments. That could be the difference here.

Gian van Veen 2.50

Handicap 2-way

50 WIN

@1.85

Lose

-50

A tight finish seems likely here in my view. There is little between the form of these two players, who both have their games in superb shape right now.

Over 10.50

Total Sets

50 WIN

@1.73

Lose

-50

On form, this is a pretty even matchup. Both players are more than capable of taking their fair share of sets, which pushes this tip over here. Price is a tad high.

Luke Littler

Win 1st Set

57 WIN

@1.62

Lose

-57

Good deal of sharp money around for this selection, which I like and will follow here. Luke has a superb first-set record this event and is mentally more stable than his opponent, so he should settle quicker.

Luke Littler to win 7-6

Leg Betting

54 WIN

@9.00

Lose

-54

Given how even the form of these two players is, a tight final scoreline seems quite likely here. I feel Luke has the mental side in better shape, and that could be the difference.

20:07 BUF Sabres @ CLB Blue Jackets

BUF Sabres

Money Line

55 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-55

I will take on a pretty flawed Blue Jackets team here, who are struggling defensively. Buffalo have the attacking game to hurt them today. Price a tad high here.

20:00 Bordeaux v Racing 92

Bordeaux

To Win

207 WIN

@1.10

Win

I will take on a pretty flawed Racing team who continue to struggle in their away games. Bordeaux at home, with the likely teams to be named, should have too much firepower here.

17:30 Leinster v Connacht

Leinster

To Win

80 WIN

@1.06

Win

The forward battle here looks quite one-sided. Connacht away at such a tough venue can only see this result. Price about right though, so small stakes.

17:30 Northampton Saints v Harlequins

Harlequins

To Win

50 WIN

@9.00

Lose

-50

Just a small speculative one here. Hey, if the hosts have an off day, which has happened a few times this season, then anything is possible. Price is about right here, so small stakes.

Harlequins 21.50

Handicap

57 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-57

Line is too high by one full point here, in my opinion. Quins will be desperate and offer enough in attack to stay within this number against a home side that is nothing special defensively.

15:35 Montauban v Clermont

Montauban

To Win

93 WIN

@3.50

Lose

-93

Don't agree with this price. It should be no bigger than 3.25 here, so this is very much getting value odds. At home, Montauban should win the forward battle, which will set the foundation for the win.

Montauban 8.50

Handicap

120 WIN

@1.83

Lose

-120

Home advantage is significant here. I will take on a pretty flawed away team in Clermont here. The hosts should win the forward battle, which will set up the win.

15:35 Montpellier v Bayonne

Bayonne

To Win

80 WIN

@4.33

Lose

-80

The forward battle looks tight here and can even be won by the visitors. Bayonne also has enough class in the backs to be a solid chance here. This price should be no bigger than 3-1.

Bayonne 11.50

Handicap

290 WIN

@1.80

Lose

-290

I have this game as a more even matchup than the bookies. Bayonne have the forward pack to compete well here against a Montpellier team that is nothing special. Line too high here.

15:05 Bath v Exeter Chiefs

Exeter Chiefs

To Win

53 WIN

@4.50

Lose

-53

Not without a hope here. The visitors can match or better Bath in back play and kicking, both punting and goal kicking. I feel Exeter have the attacking game to be a solid chance here. No disrespect to Bath, who are a decent side themselves.

Exeter Chiefs 11.50

Handicap

95 WIN

@1.91

Win

This will be a dogfight, in which Exeter should compete well. They can match the hosts in most areas. The edge is with Bath in the forward battle, but the visitors should match or better the hosts in several other areas.

13:30 Perpignan v Toulouse

Perpignan

To Win

57 WIN

@3.50

Win

142

Too big of a price here for Perpignan at home with a likely strong enough team to be named. The forward battle here should be reasonably tight, which gives this tip a solid chance.

Perpignan 9.50

Handicap

73 WIN

@1.80

Win

Home advantage here is significant. I have more faith and trust in Perpignan at home putting in a strong performance than Toulouse away. The forward battle should be reasonably tight here.

08:15 Sydney Thunder vs Hobart Hurricanes T20

Sydney Thunder

Win Match

50 WIN

@2.30

Lose

-50

The Thunder badly need to start banking their home games. Hobart's prep for this game has not been ideal, and it is inferior to the hosts. The Thunder have a capable enough player list to right the ship and get the win here.

03:25 Central Districts vs Canterbury T20

Central Districts

Win Match

55 WIN

@2.30

Lose

-55

The hosts have six high-quality cricketers in their playing eleven. They know the importance of banking their home games to achieve their goal of making the playoffs. Price too high here at 2.30.

02:10 SAC Kings @ PHX Suns

SAC Kings

Money Line

52 WIN

@6.50

Lose

-52

The Kings were pretty embarrassed yesterday in their most recent game. I expect a strong response here. They get redemption against a pretty flawed team in the Suns. Price is a tad high here.

01:10 ORL Magic @ CHI Bulls

CHI Bulls

Money Line

50 WIN

@2.75

Win

Don't really agree with this price. It should be no bigger than 2.65, so getting value odds. I have more faith in the Bulls at home than the Magic away, with a less-than-ideal preparation.

01:10 POR Trail Blazers @ NO Pelicans

POR Trail Blazers

Money Line

53 WIN

@1.67

Win

Good deal of sharp money around for this selection, which I like and will follow here. The hosts are the more flawed team, especially defensively. Price a tad high here.

01:07 NY Rangers @ FLA Panthers

FLA Panthers

Money Line

57 WIN

@1.73

Lose

-57

I have more faith in Florida at home with a settled prep for this game. The Rangers' prep has been less than ideal, and they have shown me enough flaws this season to be opposed here.

02 January 2026

23:40 Central Districts W vs Canterbury W T20

Central Districts W

Win Match

53 WIN

@2.00

Win

CD women are improved this season and have a nicely balanced team. Canterbury rely on a few key players only, which is always dangerous. CD at home should put in a strong showing here.

21:15 Gian van Veen vs Gary Anderson

Gary Anderson

Win Match 2-way

60 WIN

@2.60

Lose

-60

I believe Gary will handle the mental side better than the other player, and that could be the difference here. Both players are in superb form with their games right now.

Gary Anderson 1.50

Handicap 2-way

160 WIN

@2.00

Lose

-160

Gary is at least a 45% chance of winning this match based on form. A tight finish is quite likely given the evenness of this matchup, so this +1.5 has appeal here.

Over 9.50

Total Sets

77 WIN

@2.40

Lose

-77

On form this is an even matchup, so both players are more than capable of taking their fair share of sets. This line and price are a tad generous here, in my view.

Gary Anderson to win 6-5

Leg Betting

57 WIN

@9.50

Lose

-57

Gary will handle the massive occasion well, having been there and done it so many times. His carefree approach to his darts these days means the mental side may favour Gary, which could give him the edge to win.

Over 26.50

Total 180s

50 WIN

@1.80

Lose

-50

Both players have been racking up the 180s for much of this event, so both will be confident of more of the same here. Price is right, though, so small stakes.

19:45 Bristol Bears v Sale Sharks

Bristol Bears

To Win

57 WIN

@1.44

Win

I have more faith and trust in Bristol at home than Sale away. The hosts have the superior and more cohesive attacking game, and that should be the difference here.

19:45 Luke Littler vs Ryan Searle

Over 8.50

Total Sets

52 WIN

@2.38

Lose

-52

On form, this match is not one-sided. Searle is in the best form of his career, which gives Searle a decent chance to take a few legs. That will push this tip over the total sets.

Luke Littler to win 6-5

Leg Betting

53 WIN

@12.50

Lose

-53

Luke should have too much class here and should get the job done on form. But a close final scoreline seems likely given the rich grain of form that Searle is in.

Luke Littler

Most 180s

50 WIN

@1.11

Win

Searle only had three 180s in his quarter-final. Littler had 10. While Searle is scoring well, he is having trouble racking up the maximums. Price about right here, so small stakes.

19:20 Luke Littler vs Ryan Searle

Luke Littler

Win Match 2-way

50 WIN

@1.11

Win

Sure, Searle is in hot form, but look at his body of work the past few years. This is a better gauge. To be frank, it's not that impressive. Luke should have too much class on the biggest stage of all.

03:25 Auckland vs Wellington T20

Auckland

Win Match

53 WIN

@1.73

Void

Good deal of sharp money around this selection, which I like and will follow here. I will take on a pretty flawed Wellington team here. Auckland are the superior team.

03:07 NSH Predators @ SEA Kraken

NSH Predators

Money Line

50 WIN

@1.88

Lose

-50

Just a small one here, as low confidence on this one. Key players are in for the visitors, and a decent preparation means a strong performance is likely here.

00:07 DET Red Wings @ PIT Penguins

DET Red Wings

Money Line

80 WIN

@2.10

Lose

-80

The Wings are in hot form recently. I think they can continue their hot form against a pretty flawed Pittsburgh team ??" flawed particularly defensively. Price is a tad high here.

00:07 MTL Canadiens @ CAR Hurricanes

MTL Canadiens

Money Line

50 WIN

@2.50

Win

Don't really agree with this price. It should be no bigger than 2.45, so there's some minor value in the odds here. The Habs continue to impress and have the offense to hurt Carolina.

00:07 WPG Jets @ TOR Maple Leafs

TOR Maple Leafs

Money Line

60 WIN

@1.74

Win

I have more faith in the Leafs at home here than the Jets on the road. The Jets' preparation for this game has been less than ideal. This price is a tad generous here.

01 January 2026

23:10 HOU Rockets @ BKN Nets

BKN Nets

Money Line

130 WIN

@5.75

Lose

-130

Houston has 10 losses this season. A large amount of these have been on the road, eight to be exact. Home teams are 15-1 straight up in the last 16 games played on New Year's Day.

12:50 Ryan Searle vs Jonny Clayton

Jonny Clayton 1.50

Handicap 2-way

54 WIN

@1.67

Lose

-54

I will take the more experienced and superior player to prevail here. Clayton should handle the pressure and key moments better, and that could be the difference.

08:15 Hobart Hurricanes vs Perth Scorchers T20

Hobart Hurricanes

Win Match

52 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-52

I have more faith and trust in Hobart at home than Perth away. Perth have shown me enough flaws this season to be opposed here against a quality Hobart team at home.

05:00 Melbourne Renegades vs Sydney Sixers T20

Melbourne Renegades

Win Match

53 WIN

@2.20

Lose

-53

Don't really agree with this price. It should be no bigger than 2.15, so some minor value. At least 60% of the Renegades' decent performances in recent seasons have been in their home games. They badly need this win.

04:55 Canterbury vs Central Districts T20

Central Districts

Win Match

50 WIN

@2.10

Lose

-50

Quality teams often respond strongly when fresh off an ordinary performance. That's what I'm banking on here for Central Districts, who are blessed with 7??"8 quality players in their lineup. The price is a tad high here.

01:10 Canterbury W vs Central Districts W T20

Central Districts W

Win Match

65 WIN

@2.00

Win

The visitors have done the hard work in the off-season. They will be improved this season and should have too many weapons for Canterbury today. Canterbury rely on 2??"3 players, which is always dangerous, whereas Central Districts are the more balanced team.

01:10 POR Trail Blazers @ OKC Thunder

OKC Thunder

Money Line

110 WIN

@1.09

Win

I will take on a flawed Portland team here, who are ordinary defensively. This spells trouble against OKC, who have the most potent offense in the league and only one loss at home all season.

Tips are normally be settled by 12pm the day after the event took place.
Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.

Please note that this information is for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as an indicator of a tipsters real life performance. The OLBG Tipster Competition is a simulation game and some of the rules and prices used by the tipsters may not always be available in the real world which can lead to misleading informaiton.

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