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20+ years betting sports has taught me a lot. Not least of which, only bet large if you think you have a significant edge. Getting odds that are better than the actual probability is key too.

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surfsup's Tips History

09 December 2025

01:15 PHI Eagles @ LA Chargers

LA Chargers

Money Line

80 WIN

@2.20

Win

Huge game for both teams given the standings. I have more faith and trust in the Chargers here at home with solid preparation. The Eagles have shown me enough flaws this season to be opposed at low odds here.

PHI Eagles - Tie

Double Result

120 WIN

@31.00

Lose

-120

The Eagles have a decent first-half record in recent seasons. It is superior to the Chargers'. The sharp money indicates the visitors will be leading at the break. However, there is enough class in this Chargers team at home to come back in the second half and force OT.

Keenan Allen (LA Chargers)

Anytime Touchdown Scorer

87 WIN

@4.25

Lose

-87

Good deal of sharp money around for this selection, which I like and will follow here at what is a decent enough price. It should be no bigger than 4.00 here in my opinion.

01:10 SA Spurs @ NO Pelicans

SA Spurs

Money Line

120 WIN

@1.25

Win

I will take on a pretty flawed New Orleans team here, who lack high-quality players right now. The Spurs are playing at a higher level and should get the result here.

00:40 PHX Suns @ MIN Timberwolves

PHX Suns

Money Line

110 WIN

@4.60

Win

396

Generous price here. Personally, I think it should be no bigger than 4.30, so getting value odds ??" very much so, in fact. Solid preparation for the visitors and a strong enough roster for this game.

08 December 2025

20:00 Wolverhampton v Man Utd

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

@1.73

Win

The sharp money around this game indicates it will be quite high scoring. Both teams offer enough attacking quality, especially given Wolves' weaker attack are playing with the comforts of being at home.

Draw & Yes (Result + BTTS)

Result and BTTS

500 WIN

@5.00

Lose

-500

Good deal of sharp money around for both the draw and for this game to be high-scoring, which I like and will follow here at what is a decent enough price.

Wolverhampton (AH) 0.50

Asian Hcap

320 WIN

@2.02

Lose

-320

United have shown me enough flaws this season and in recent seasons, especially away from home, to be opposed here. Wolves are a solid enough team and a proud home side. With decent preparation and most of their key players, a competitive performance is likely here.

Draw #2-2

165 WIN

@17.00

Lose

-165

The sharp money in this game indicates it will be high scoring or reasonably high scoring. In what is, in my view, a tight matchup, a draw looks quite likely here.

01:20 HOU Texans @ KC Chiefs

HOU Texans

Money Line

500 WIN

@2.87

Win

935

I think the Texans will put up a decent performance here. Their defense is sound, which spells trouble for the Chiefs, who have been disjointed in attack of late. The price is a tad high here.

HOU Texans - KC Chiefs

Double Result

400 WIN

@5.00

Lose

-400

Houston's results this season are littered with games where they have played one decent half but not two. I fancy more of the same here. I think they have one decent half in them in a game they will surely be up for.

00:40 LA Lakers @ PHI 76ers

PHI 76ers

Money Line

190 WIN

@2.30

Lose

-190

I have more faith and trust in Philly at home than the Lakers on the road here. The Lakers have been a pretty flawed road team in recent seasons. I will gladly oppose them at low odds today.

07 December 2025

21:25 CHI Bears @ GB Packers

CHI Bears

Money Line

190 WIN

@3.65

Lose

-190

These two teams have a very strong rivalry. So you know the Bears will really be up for this one and will have left no stone unturned in plotting a win. The 2025 Bears are the best-placed Bears team for some time to get the win in Green Bay. Price a tad high here.

CHI Bears - GB Packers

Double Result

217 WIN

@5.00

Lose

-217

By taking this selection as well as the Bears to win the game, I am effectively taking the Bears to be ahead at halftime or at full-time regulation. Based on form, this is realistic enough for me.

17:10 ORL Magic @ NY Knicks

ORL Magic

Money Line

53 WIN

@2.20

Lose

-53

This is a well-supported selection with the sharp money, which I like and will follow here at what is a decent-enough price. It should be no bigger than 2.15 here, in my opinion.

08:35 Adelaide United v Brisbane Roar

No (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

60 WIN

@2.38

Win

While I like the home side to score, it's realistic to think Brisbane might not. Adelaide at home are pretty sound defensively and tough to break down, especially for a pretty flawed side like Brisbane.

Adelaide United & Yes (Result + BTTS)

Result and BTTS

90 WIN

@3.75

Lose

-90

I like Adelaide at home to be too strong here. They have more class and firepower with their attacking game, although the visitors are no mugs in that department. This price is a tad high here.

Adelaide United (AH) -0.50

Asian Hcap

153 WIN

@2.05

Lose

-153

I have more faith and trust in Adelaide at home here than a pretty flawed Brisbane team on the road at a tough venue. Adelaide are hunting every win possible for a playoff spot. It's these home games they must bank.

Adelaide United #4-0

53 WIN

@36.00

Lose

-53

This price is a tad high here at 35-1. Adelaide are sound defensively and have enough firepower in their attacking game to make me think this one-sided scoreline is realistic enough here.

01:40 HOU Rockets @ DAL Mavericks

DAL Mavericks

Money Line

330 WIN

@3.70

Win

891

Dallas put in their worst performance of the season yesterday. Back at home, I expect a strong response from a capable enough team and a proud home team. Price a tad high here.

DAL Mavericks 7.50

Pointspread

497 WIN

@1.91

Win

452

Dallas were flat-out embarrassed yesterday in their game. Back at home, I expect a strong response to this embarrassment from a capable-enough team. This line is a tad generous here at 7.5.

01:10 LA Clippers @ MIN Timberwolves

LA Clippers

Money Line

117 WIN

@4.40

Lose

-117

Another well-supported selection with the sharp money, which I like and will follow here. It is a very attractive price. It should be no bigger than 4.30 here, so we're getting value odds.

01:10 SAC Kings @ MIA Heat

SAC Kings

Money Line

90 WIN

@4.33

Win

300

I see this game going one of two ways. A blowout Heat win, or a Kings win. There is enough player quality in this Kings outfit to be a solid chance here. Price a tad high at 4.33.

MIA Heat -9.00

Pointspread

53 WIN

@1.87

Lose

-53

The Kings have shown me enough flaws this season to be opposed here. For the Heat, at least 70% of their decent performances in recent seasons have been in their home games. Line a tad low here.

00:40 GS Warriors @ CLE Cavaliers

CLE Cavaliers

Money Line

50 WIN

@1.28

Lose

-50

I will take on a pretty flawed Warriors team here. Seventy-five percent of their average or worse performances in recent seasons have been in their road games. This should be a bridge too far.

00:40 MIL Bucks @ DET Pistons

MIL Bucks

Money Line

53 WIN

@6.00

Lose

-53

Good deal of sharp money around for this selection, which I like and will follow here at what is a very attractive price. While the Bucks roster for this game is not strong on the surface, I have enough faith in the players they have here. It's a solid outfit.

00:10 ATL Hawks @ WAS Wizards

ATL Hawks

Money Line

197 WIN

@1.25

Win

I will take on a flawed Washington team here, who are struggling right now, especially defensively. Atlanta have the offense to really hurt them today. Price is a tad high here.

ATL Hawks -9.50

Pointspread

80 WIN

@1.91

Win

Of Washington's losses this season and in recent seasons, at least 70% of them have been by big margins, e.g. by 11 points or more. The Hawks should have too much class and firepower here.

00:07 UTA Mammoth @ CGY Flames

CGY Flames

Money Line

58 WIN

@1.80

Win

I prefer the home side's preparation for this game. These are games they must bank if they are serious about making the playoffs. They're against not-strong opposition and at home against a team with not-ideal preparation. Price is a tad high here.

06 December 2025

20:00 Bath v Munster

Bath

To Win

57 WIN

@1.20

Win

Bath are in a rich vein of form right now and are clicking nicely attack-wise. Munster's attacking game lacks cohesion, and that should be the difference here. Price about right though, so small stakes.

17:30 Leeds v Liverpool

Leeds (AH) 0.50

Asian Hcap

67 WIN

@2.02

Win

Leeds have their confidence up right now, as they are fresh off an epic home win??" their best win for some time. With a decent preparation for this game, another strong performance is likely.

15:00 Everton v Nottm Forest

Nottm Forest (AH) 0.25

Asian Hcap

80 WIN

@2.02

Lose

-80

Forest have an in-form and reasonably cohesive attacking game. Everton are nothing special defensively. Forest are a slightly better chance than this price suggests.

15:00 Tottenham v Brentford

Draw

53 WIN

@3.40

Lose

-53

This match, in my view, is a tight matchup, which gives the draw a decent chance. The sharp money around for this draw, too, suggests so as well.

08:35 Central Coast Mariners v Sydney FC

Central Coast Mariners

50 WIN

@4.75

Lose

-50

Don't really agree with this price. It should be no bigger than 4.50, so it's getting value odds. If CCM want a playoff spot, they must bank most of their home games. Sydney is nothing special.

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

57 WIN

@1.62

Win

Good deal of sharp money around for this selection, which I like and will follow here. With fine and dry weather and conditions for this game, this only helps.

02:40 DAL Mavericks @ OKC Thunder

DAL Mavericks

Money Line

53 WIN

@9.00

Lose

-53

Not without a chance at big odds. Complacency could be a factor for the hosts here given the heavy favourite tag. Dallas has enough high-quality players to be in the fight. Price a tad high here.

DAL Mavericks 15.50

Pointspread

70 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-70

To mix it with OKC right now is a difficult task. However, Dallas has enough high-quality players to do this. Perhaps there will be some complacency from the hosts, given their heavy favorite status for this game.

00:40 DEN Nuggets @ ATL Hawks

ATL Hawks

Money Line

70 WIN

@2.60

Lose

-70

Don't really agree with this price. It should be no bigger than 2.50 here, so you're getting value odds. The Hawks have the offense at home to hurt a Denver defense that, while decent, is much more likely to put in an average performance on the road.

00:10 MIA Heat @ ORL Magic

MIA Heat

Money Line

56 WIN

@3.00

Lose

-56

The Heat will be keen to bounce back after losing their last road game. The signs have been largely positive, with a high level of play at times. They have a better chance today than this price suggests.

05 December 2025

22:00 New Zealand vs West Indies

Draw

Win Match

140 WIN

@4.50

Win

490

Looks like rain will be around for at least two out of the five days. This gives the draw a solid chance. Plus, NZ in Test cricket are not as aggressive with their batting compared to the likes of Australia or England. Draw has a solid chance here.

West Indies

Draw No Bet

60 WIN

@7.00

Push

There is some rain in the long-range forecast for two out of the five days. This always gives the big underdog a better chance, especially if they win the toss. Price is a tad high here.

20:00 Agen v Provence

Agen

To Win

90 WIN

@1.40

Win

I have more faith and trust in Agen at home than Provence away at a tough venue. Agen has more class players, and that should be telling in the end result.

18:30 Beziers v Soyaux Angouleme

Beziers

To Win

170 WIN

@1.30

Lose

-170

The home side should have too much class here. With the likely teams, the hosts should win the forward battle, which will set the foundation for the win.

18:30 Biarritz v Valence Romans

Valence Romans

To Win

103 WIN

@3.50

Win

258

Don't really agree with this price. It should be no bigger than 3.35 here, so getting value odds. I think Valence Romans can win the forward battle and have enough class in their backs.

Valence Romans 8.50

Handicap

300 WIN

@1.80

Win

240

The home side have recent shaky form and are lacking high-quality players. Valence will see this game as a realistic win. Line a tad high here.

18:30 Nevers v Dax

Dax

To Win

57 WIN

@8.00

Lose

-57

Worth a small go at this price. The hosts have the edge in forward play. However, I feel Dax can be competitive in the backs, which gives them an outside chance here.

18:00 Carcassonne v Vannes

Carcassonne

To Win

52 WIN

@5.00

Lose

-52

I like the amount of sharp money around for this selection, which I will follow here at this nice price. The price is about right, though, so small stakes.

08:35 Macarthur FC v Melbourne Victory

Macarthur FC

82 WIN

@2.55

Lose

-82

I will take on a flawed Victory team here, who came in with plenty of billing and hype this season but for the most part have failed to deliver. Away they have been poor as well, and this is a tough venue tonight.

No (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

53 WIN

@2.38

Win

Attacking-wise, the Victory have been pretty inept this season and should struggle to score against a pretty sound defensive home team. Price is a tad high here.

Macarthur FC & Yes (Result + BTTS)

Result and BTTS

57 WIN

@4.33

Lose

-57

At home, Macarthur will be tough to beat against what is a pretty flawed Victory team this season. The Victory's strength, if they have one, is their attacking game, so maybe they can rattle one or two home

Macarthur FC - Macarthur FC

Half Time / Full Time

60 WIN

@4.00

Lose

-60

The Victory have a poor first-half record this season and a poor win-loss record in general. The home side hold all the cards here for a commanding win. Price is a tad high here.

Macarthur FC #4-0

50 WIN

@67.00

Lose

-50

Generous price here. Given the flaws the away side has shown this season, a big margin of victory is quite likely for Macarthur. Price is too high here.

02:07 SEA Kraken @ EDM Oilers

SEA Kraken

Money Line

53 WIN

@2.75

Lose

-53

Too big of a price here and I don't really agree with it. Seattle have proven themselves as a road team in recent seasons. The Oilers continue to have issues defensively and in the goalie position.

SEA Kraken 1.50

Puck Line

50 WIN

@1.70

Lose

-50

Seattle have shown me enough on the road in recent seasons to have me think they will be competitive here against an Oilers team with issues at goalie and defensively.

01:15 DAL Cowboys @ DET Lions

DAL Cowboys

Money Line

160 WIN

@2.45

Lose

-160

The Lions have shown me enough flaws this season and lately to be opposed here. Defensively, they have issues, and they have a coach whose play calling is very much gambling by nature and often not the percentage play or a smart call. Price is a tad high here.

DAL Cowboys - DET Lions

Double Result

133 WIN

@5.00

Lose

-133

By taking this selection as well as Dallas to win the game, in effect I am taking Dallas to be leading at halftime or at full time. For me, based on recent form, this is very realistic.

00:40 LA Lakers @ TOR Raptors

TOR Raptors

Money Line

97 WIN

@2.00

Lose

-97

Toronto have not been up to much recently, with mixed results. This is what makes them dangerous for this home game. They have been decent at home this season, and surely at a home game versus one of the glamour teams of the league they will really be up for it.

00:07 TOR Maple Leafs @ CAR Hurricanes

TOR Maple Leafs

Money Line

90 WIN

@2.75

Win

158

Good deal of sharp money around for this selection, which I like and will follow here. The Leafs have a potent and in-form attacking game. Price a tad high here.

TOR Maple Leafs 1.50

Puck Line

50 WIN

@1.73

Win

Sharp money is coming hard for this selection, which I will follow here at what is a solid enough price. The Leafs have the attacking game to hurt Carolina today.

Tips are normally be settled by 12pm the day after the event took place.
Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.

Please note that this information is for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as an indicator of a tipsters real life performance. The OLBG Tipster Competition is a simulation game and some of the rules and prices used by the tipsters may not always be available in the real world which can lead to misleading informaiton.

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surfsup's Tips History

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