surfsup
3
Estimated Prizes
this month
£15
Estimated Prize money
this month
surfsup's Tips History
21 July 2024
17:00 Open Championship
Bryson DeChambeau
99 EW
@21.00
Lose
-199
This course is a nice fit for the game he has. Well backed selection with sharp money which i like and will follow here. Price is a tad high.
Ryan Fox
25 EW
@126.00
Lose
-50
enjoys and thrives in links conditions, in the peak years of his career if he is to break through and win a major now is as likely a time as ever.
Scottie Scheffler
149 EW
@6.50
Win
15
winner of six tournaments since march, which is more than anyone else in the field. has never finished out of the top 25 at a open. price about right here though unfortunately.
Xander Schauffele
199 EW
@15.00
Win
3352
an amazing stat for xander is since febuary he has never finished outside of the top 25, which ranks him in the top few in the entire field for most impressive form. price a tad big here.
Romain Langasque
1st Round Leader
35 EW
@101.00
Lose
-70
conditions here suit him more than many of the other long shots in the field. speaking of long shots this price is too high at 100-1, should be no bigger than 80-1 here.
Ryan Fox
1st Round Leader
25 EW
@67.00
Lose
-50
has a decent record in first rounds over his pro career when playing in the uk and in links conditions. has his life in a nice place as well, which is half the battle.
Scottie Scheffler
1st Round Leader
64 EW
@15.00
Lose
-129
seems primed for this week, has more wins the last 6 months than anyone else playing this week. is at the peak of his powers right now. a first round low score would not be a surprise at all.
Matthieu Pavon
Top European
30 EW
@51.00
Lose
-60
5th and the us open recently in what were tough conditions, will be more at home this week. winner of two significant tournments in the last 18 months.
Romain Langasque
Top European
30 EW
@67.00
Lose
-60
has serious game, without breaking through at a major yet. gets conditions to suit this week, has won in scotland before as a pro and also won as an amatuer at carnoustie.
Victor Perez
Top European
35 EW
@51.00
Lose
-70
two top 40 finishes in the open in last 3 visits. winner of the dunhill links is decent pedigre for this week. spends are fair amount of time in the uk and will be well prepared for this week.
Collin Morikawa
Top American
249 EW
@8.00
Lose
-499
has the complete game to contend this week. won the open back in 2021, his game arrives in decent enough shape to contend again this week. price a tad high here.
Scottie Scheffler
Top American
64 EW
@3.75
Lose
-20
the bookies have the correct favourite, price is about right though so not getting carried away with the stakes. has more wins in the last 6 months than anyone else in the field.
07:05 Manly Sea Eagles v Gold Coast Titans
Gold Coast Titans
To Win
50 WIN
@2.90
Lose
-50
dont really agree with this price, it should be no bigger than 2.80 here. gold coast bring a decent attacking game, manly dont rank well in defence stats. i like the team named by the visitors.
Gold Coast Titans 7.50
Handicap (2-way)
79 WIN
@1.91
Lose
-79
gold coast has a pretty potent attacking game, combine this with a manly defence that ranks poorly, and a fine afternoon in sydney and the visitors should be competitive here.
Subtotal2031
20 July 2024
20:00 Uruguay v Argentina
Uruguay
To Win
161 WIN
@13.00
Lose
-161
for this is win it would take the pumas to have a bad day at the office, hey that has already happened twice in 2024 and once was 3 weeks ago against a weakened french team. price a tad high here.
Uruguay 23.50
Handicap
299 WIN
@2.00
Lose
-299
dangerous game for the pumas who dont have a great record outside of argentina, in fact its pretty ordinary. the hosts will see this as a game they can be competitive in.
15:00 Leeds v Hull KR
Hull KR -2.50
Handicap (2-way)
90 WIN
@2.10
Win
99
there is a good deal of sharp money around for this selection which i like and will follow here, this price sgould be no bigger than evens here. strong team named by the visitors.
14:00 Hull FC v Wigan
Hull FC
To Win
60 WIN
@7.00
Win
360
dont really agree with this price, hull fc are a solid and proud home team and are capable at home of rolling wigan.
about a 20% chance of doing so, so value odds here at 6-1.
10:35 Melbourne Storm v Sydney Roosters
Sydney Roosters
To Win
65 WIN
@1.73
Lose
-65
team news is not great for the hosts. the roosters bring plenty on both attack and defence, they are firing nicely at both right now. storm are the more flawed team at present.
06:45 Australia v Georgia
Georgia
To Win
299 WIN
@8.00
Lose
-299
dont really agree with this price, it should be no bigger than 7.00 here, getting much better than that. i think georgia can win the forward battle, at the least be highly competitive in that area.
Georgia 16.50
Handicap
500 WIN
@1.91
Win
455
georgia have the forward pack to compete and possibly even win in that area, anytime that is the case a competitive performance is likely. line is a tad high here.
03:30 New Zealand v Fiji
Fiji
To Win
132 WIN
@13.00
Lose
-132
dont really agree with this price, it should be no bigger than 10-1 here, getting much better than that. dry conditions are forecast which suits an open and attacking game from both teams, fiji are decent in that department.
Fiji 26.50
Handicap
299 WIN
@1.80
Lose
-299
if this was the top nz team then this line would be accurate. its not. fiji have plenty of attacking prowess that should see them be competitive her against a weakened nz line up.
Subtotal-341
19 July 2024
20:05 Leigh v London Broncos
London Broncos
To Win
50 WIN
@17.00
Lose
-50
the london side have been steadily improving in recent weeks, they have pushed and troubled some decent sides. price is a little big here in my opinion.
20:00 St Helens v Warrington
Warrington
To Win
60 WIN
@2.30
Win
78
the wheels have been falling off for saints they carry ordinary form into this game and face tough opposition in warrington, who have named a decent team.
19:45 Huddersfield v Salford
Huddersfield
To Win
68 WIN
@2.38
Win
94
Fired up and capable home team versus a solid road team, but that is all they are away from home. Strong enough team named by the hosts. Price too big here.
Subtotal122
17 July 2024
11:05 Queensland v New South Wales
Queensland
To Win
129 WIN
@1.87
Lose
-129
dont really agree with this price. in the last 5 origin games the home team has won 4 out of the 5. and the only loss, a big reason why was nsw had a man sent off early in the game. this price should be no bigger than 1.75 here.
03:00 CHI Sky @ LV Aces
CHI Sky
Money Line
70 WIN
@8.00
Win
490
dont really agree with this price it should be no bigger than 7.00 here so very much getting value odds. chicago has road wins this season versus new york and seattle both high tier teams like todays opponent.
CHI Sky 13.00
Pointspread
200 WIN
@1.91
Win
182
sharp money has been coming hard for this selection, which i like and will follow here. chicago has already beaten new york and seattle on the road this season, two elite teams, just like vegas.
00:00 CON Sun @ NY Liberty
CON Sun
Money Line
265 WIN
@2.50
Lose
-265
This is a well supported selection with the sharp money which i like and will follow here. At what is a generous price, personally i think it should be no bigger than 2.45 so some minor value.
Subtotal278
14 July 2024
23:00 ATL Dream @ SEA Storm
ATL Dream
Money Line
295 WIN
@9.50
Lose
-295
too big of a price here for a team as capable and talented as atlanta. they have the players to mix it with seattle, who are nothing special defensively. bottom line price too big.
21:00 IND Fever @ MIN Lynx
IND Fever
Money Line
500 WIN
@2.75
Win
875
dont agree with this price, it should be no bigger than 2.60 here, so very much getting value odds. key players are in for the fever for this game and no reasons to fault their preparation.
20:00 LV Aces @ WAS Mystics
WAS Mystics
Money Line
500 WIN
@7.00
Lose
-500
dont really agree with this price. vegas has shown to be more vulnerable on the road and has three road losses this season to low tier or mid tier level teams like washington.
07:05 Manly Sea Eagles v Newcastle Knights
Newcastle Knights
To Win
50 WIN
@3.00
Lose
-50
if this price was 2.90 i would say fair enough but at 3.00 there is some appeal here. newcastle sit just outside the top 8 and will be desperate here, versus a manly team who will be missing a couple of their key players.
Newcastle Knights 7.50
Handicap (2-way)
63 WIN
@2.00
Lose
-63
team news is not great for the home side here. out of all the teams in the top 8 manly have the 2nd worst defence in terms of average points conceeded per match. line a little high here.
00:15 ATL Braves @ SD Padres
SD Padres
Money Line
500 WIN
@1.80
Win
400
favourable pitching matchup here for the home team and fresh off an embarrassing home loss yesterday i expect a stroong response from a capable and proud home team.
Subtotal367
13 July 2024
21:10 TEX Rangers @ HOU Astros
TEX Rangers
Money Line
400 WIN
@1.87
Win
348
favourable pitching matchup here for the visitors. texas has won 7 out of their last 11 games and are in some of their best form this season. every win is crucial to make the playoffs.
21:05 NY Yankees @ BAL Orioles
BAL Orioles
Money Line
500 WIN
@1.75
Lose
-500
in the yankees last 24 games they have lost a staggering 16 of those 24. the orioles get a favourable pitching matchup here and at home a strong performance is likely.
20:00 Argentina v France
France
To Win
73 WIN
@2.38
Lose
-73
confidence will be high in the french camp being unbeaten on tour so far. and this price is not a accurate reflection of their chances today. it should be no bigger than 2.20 here so getting value odds.
18:10 LA Dodgers @ DET Tigers
DET Tigers
Money Line
400 WIN
@2.10
Win
440
sharp money has been coming steadily for this selection which i like and will follow here, this price should be no bigger than 2.05 here so some minor value for a hungry home team fighting hard for every win possible.
18:00 NY Liberty @ CHI Sky
CHI Sky
Money Line
139 WIN
@3.10
Lose
-139
generous price here and i dont really agree with it. new york has road losses to the lynx the mercury and the fever this season. they have 5 losses in total 3 of those have been on the road.
17:30 Catalan Dragons v Salford
Salford
To Win
50 WIN
@2.75
Lose
-50
dont really agree with this price, it should be no bigger than 2.65 here so getting value odds. i give salford a 40% chance of winning this game straight up here.
Salford 6.50
Handicap (2-way)
80 WIN
@1.80
Lose
-80
I see this game as a tighter matchup than what the bookies do. Salford are a well structured well drilled team, this is a tight matchup here, so makes sense to take the plus headstart.
16:00 South Africa v Ireland
Ireland
To Win
70 WIN
@3.50
Win
175
ireland have the forward pack to compete and possibly even win the forward battle. sure the hosts have the advantage in back play, but often the team that wins the forward battle wins the game.
12:00 Zimbabwe vs India 4th Match
Zimbabwe
Win Match
500 WIN
@8.00
Lose
-500
this series is so far 2-1 to india, the hosts need a win to force and game five series decider, so perhaps they will want it more. decent enough price here, it should be no bigger than 7.50.
10:45 Australia v Wales
Wales
To Win
101 WIN
@4.00
Lose
-101
i would have this price no bigger than 3.75 here, so very much getting value odds here. the australian forward pack is not strong and this is a dangerous game for the hosts.
Wales 9.50
Handicap
139 WIN
@1.91
Win
126
no matter how i look at this game it is a tight matchup, so certainly makes sense to take the big plus here. i like the wales team named and no reasons to fault their preparation.
10:35 Brisbane Broncos v St George/Illawarra Dragons
Brisbane Broncos
To Win
94 WIN
@1.52
Lose
-94
brisbane are 4-4 at home while the dragons are an ordinary 3-6 on the road. i will take on one of the most flawed road teams in the comp here, versus what will be a fired up home team.
Brisbane Broncos -7.50
Handicap (2-way)
50 WIN
@1.91
Lose
-50
quality teams often respond well to adversity. brisbane after losing their last 4 will be fired up at home here, this line is a little low for mine.
08:05 New Zealand v England
England
To Win
57 WIN
@4.50
Lose
-57
england can compete and possibly even win the forward battle here, such is the quality of their forward pack. nz have the advantage in back play. but any time a team can win the forward contest they are a strong chance.
England 10.50
Handicap
70 WIN
@1.91
Win
64
nz rugby has been on the decline for sometime now, this line is based too much on history. in the here and now this is a tight matchup so it makes sense the plus handicap here.
00:30 LV Aces @ ATL Dream
ATL Dream
Money Line
50 WIN
@9.50
Lose
-50
vegas has 7 losses this season, 4 of those have been on the road. this includes losses to the sparks (twice) and to todays opponent atlanta. this price is a tad high here.
00:30 PHX Mercury @ IND Fever
IND Fever
Money Line
66 WIN
@1.95
Win
63
sharp money has been coming hard for this selection which i like and will follow here. both teams are above average on offence, but its defensively the fever may have the edge today, esp being at home.
IND Fever -1.00
Pointspread
50 WIN
@1.91
Win
46
both teams are decent on offence, but on defence the fever have an edge, esp since they are playing at home. key players in for the hosts and no reasons to fault their preparation.
Subtotal-432
Tips are normally be settled by 12pm the day after the event took place.
Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.
Please note that this information is for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as an indicator of a tipsters real life performance. The OLBG Tipster Competition is a simulation game and some of the rules and prices used by the tipsters may not always be available in the real world which can lead to misleading informaiton.
