surfsup

7

Estimated Prizes
this month

£100

Estimated Prize money
this month

surfsup's Tips History

All tips
29 April 2026
20:10 MIA Marlins @ LA Dodgers

MIA Marlins

Money Line

80 WIN

@+185

Win

148

Don't really agree with this price. I have it no bigger than 2.80 here, so some minor value. Miami has a batting lineup that has produced seven runs or more in eight games already this season, which is an impressive ratio. Bottom line: price too high here.

MIA Marlins 1.50

Run Line

132 WIN

@-109

Win

120

The Dodgers have 20 wins this season. Five of these have been by exactly one run. They also have 10 losses. So, in their 30 games played, they have failed to win by two runs or more in 15 of their games. They will have their hands full with an in-form and confident Miami team today.
19:35 NY Yankees @ TEX Rangers

TEX Rangers

Money Line

68 WIN

@+100

Win

68

Texas lost in heartbreaking fashion yesterday. Look for a strong response today from a proud and capable home team. They get a reasonably favorable starting pitcher matchup today as well.

TEX Rangers 1.50

Run Line

53 WIN

@-163

Win

32

I like the starting pitcher matchup here for Texas. After losing in heartbreaking fashion yesterday, I expect a strong response from a proud and capable home team.
09:00 Bangladesh vs New Zealand 2nd T20 Match

New Zealand

Win Match

60 WIN

@+157

Void

0

Perhaps NZ will be the hungrier side here. They need this win to keep the series alive. For the hosts, they only need to bank one of the next two. Price is a tad high here.

T Robinson (New Zealand)

Top Team2 Batsman

57 WIN

@+332

Void

0

Young batter, full of confidence. After missing out in the first game through no fault of his own (unfortunate run out), he will be keen and focused for a decent score in game two.
03:10 MIA Marlins @ LA Dodgers

MIA Marlins

Money Line

180 WIN

@+240

Win

432

Don't really agree with this price. It should be no bigger than 3.30, so these are value odds. Miami's batting lineup is in solid enough form, and they get a reasonably favourable starting pitcher matchup today.

MIA Marlins 1.50

Run Line

120 WIN

@+104

Win

126

Generous price and line here. The visitors get a reasonably favorable starting pitcher matchup today, in my view. After losing yesterday while being in complete control, I expect a strong response today.
01:07 MIN Wild @ DAL Stars

MIN Wild 1.50

Puck Line

130 WIN

@-243

Win

53

I like the amount of sharp money that is around for the Wild for this game. It indicates a decent performance is likely from the Wild today. Team news is favourable, as is their preparation.
01:05 NY Yankees @ TEX Rangers

TEX Rangers

Money Line

300 WIN

@+104

Lose

-300

I have more faith and trust in Texas at home to put in a strong performance than the Yankees away. At least 60% of the Yankees' ordinary performances, or worse, in recent seasons have been in their home games.

TEX Rangers 1.50

Run Line

130 WIN

@-169

Win

77

At least 60% of the Yankees' ordinary or worse performances in recent seasons have been in their road games. The hosts get a favorable starting-pitcher matchup here.
28 April 2026
19:45 Southampton v Ipswich

Southampton #3-1

60 WIN

@+1600

Lose

-60

On form, this is a realistic enough score. Home advantage is significant, and the home side's attacking game is in better shape of the two teams. Price is a tad high here.
27 April 2026
20:00 Man Utd v Brentford

No (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

@+139

Lose

-50

I see the Both Teams to Score market as one that could easily go either way. Getting 2.40 odds in such a situation has some appeal in my view.

Draw & Yes (Result + BTTS)

Result and BTTS

65 WIN

@+375

Lose

-65

Neither team has been that impressive defensively. It will be tough for both teams to keep a clean sheet. When the dust settles, this is a tight matchup and a draw is likely.

Draw #1-1

83 WIN

@+700

Lose

-83

I see this game as a reasonably even matchup and a close final score as likely. Both teams are nothing special defensively. 1-1 is a realistic score.
13:00 South Africa W vs India W 5th T20 Match

South Africa W

Win Match

53 WIN

@+114

Win

61

Don't really agree with this price. It should be no bigger than 2.05, in my view. Fielding, batting, and bowling are all reasonably even between the two teams, but home advantage gives South Africa an edge.
11:00 Derbyshire vs Gloucestershire

Gloucestershire

Draw No Bet

50 WIN

@+164

Win

82

I have this game as a tighter matchup than the bookies. For me, this price should be no higher than 2.55, so I'm getting value odds here at 2.65.
11:00 Glamorgan vs Leicestershire

Leicestershire

Draw No Bet

53 WIN

@-111

Push

0

I have this price at no bigger than 1.85 here, so these are value odds. The visitors have the stronger player list, especially with their batting lineup, and that could be the difference.
11:00 Nottinghamshire vs Warwickshire

Nottinghamshire

Draw No Bet

80 WIN

@-149

Push

0

A good deal of sharp money is around for this selection, which I like and will follow here at what is a solid enough price. It should be no bigger than 1.62 here.
11:00 Surrey vs Essex

Surrey

Draw No Bet

70 WIN

@-200

Push

0

I have more faith and trust in Surrey at home here than Essex away. Surrey have the stronger player list. Price is a tad high here at 1.50.
11:00 Yorkshire vs Sussex

Yorkshire

Draw No Bet

97 WIN

@+104

Push

0

Don't really agree with this price. I think it should be no bigger than evens, so these are value odds. I have more faith and trust in Yorkshire at home to put in a strong showing here.
09:00 Bangladesh vs New Zealand 1st T20 Match

Bangladesh

Win Match

59 WIN

@-161

Win

37

Price is about right, so small stakes. I have more faith and trust in Bangladesh at home than NZ away with a depleted team lineup. The T20 format is Bangladesh's strongest out of the three formats (Test, ODI, T20).
02:37 EDM Oilers @ ANA Ducks

ANA Ducks 1.50

Puck Line

53 WIN

@-200

Win

26

As I have mentioned before, the Ducks players and staff have a chip on their shoulders for two main reasons. First, the Oilers are getting more hype. Second, there is disrespect by the bookies; the Ducks have been underdogs every game this series. Price and line are a tad generous here.
00:30 Atletico Mineiro v Flamengo

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

57 WIN

@-105

Lose

-57

Well-supported selection with the sharp money, which I will follow. Here, at what is a solid price, it should be no bigger than 1.90 in my view.

Atletico Mineiro #3-1

50 WIN

@+3300

Lose

-50

The home team is well supported with the sharp money for this game. This price is too high. I have it no bigger than 30-1 here.
00:30 Fluminense v Chapecoense

Fluminense #3-1

53 WIN

@+1100

Lose

-53

I like the amount of sharp money that is around for the home side here. It indicates a strong performance, such as a 3-1 scoreline. Price a tad high.
26 April 2026
22:30 Athletico Paranaense v Vitoria

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

67 WIN

@+125

Win

84

I like the amount of sharp money that is around for this selection, which I will follow at what is a tasty price. I'm happy enough with what both teams offer attacking-wise, especially the hosts.
22:30 Bragantino v Palmeiras

Bragantino #3-1

55 WIN

@+2200

Lose

-55

A good deal of sharp money is around for the home side here, which I like and will follow. It indicates a big performance is likely, such as a 3-1 scoreline.
21:10 CHI Cubs @ LA Dodgers

CHI Cubs

Money Line

130 WIN

@+110

Lose

-130

Both these two teams have been impressive in their start to the season. This price on the Cubs today I find a bit disrespectful. Personally, I think it should be no bigger than 2.02. The Cubs' batting lineup is in decent form and will be licking their lips with the Dodgers' likely pitching rotation for this game.

CHI Cubs 1.50

Run Line

73 WIN

@-185

Lose

-73

The Cubs batting lineup will raise their chances today against a Dodgers pitching rotation that is not strong. The Cubs have scored a staggering number of runs in their last 11 games and won 10 of those 11.
20:00 Corinthians v Vasco da Gama

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

56 WIN

@+100

Lose

-56

Is it realistic to think both teams can score here? The visitors' attacking game has been firing nicely of late. At home with decent prep, Corinthians should get on the board too.

Vasco da Gama #3-1

50 WIN

@+3300

Lose

-50

Not that unlikely of a score. The hosts have been struggling with their attacking game of late. Vasco da Gama have not. 3-1 is a reasonably realistic score. Price too high here.
19:10 NY Yankees @ HOU Astros

HOU Astros

Money Line

140 WIN

@+120

Win

168

The starting pitcher matchup is favorable for the Astros here. They are a proud and capable home team who has been disappointing at home recently. I expect a strong response here.

HOU Astros 1.50

Run Line

80 WIN

@-135

Win

59

This game has more meaning for the Astros, given the standings and that it is a home game. With a favorable starting pitcher matchup, a strong performance is likely.
15:30 Gloucester v Exeter Chiefs

Exeter Chiefs

To Win

57 WIN

@-344

Lose

-57

Hard to go past Exeter here. They have the edge in forward play, and more cohesion and strike power in their back play. Price is about right though, so small stakes.
07:05 Manly Sea Eagles v Parramatta Eels

Parramatta Eels

To Win

87 WIN

@+179

Lose

-87

This price is a tad high here. I have it no bigger than 2.70 here, so getting value odds. Manly are pretty ordinary defensively. This spells trouble for them against the solid attack the Eels offer.

Parramatta Eels 7.50

Handicap (2-way)

107 WIN

@-109

Lose

-107

Manly have shown me enough flaws this season to be opposed at low odds here. The Eels will be desperate and have the attacking game to hurt Manly, who are average defensively.
06:00 Sydney FC v Auckland FC

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

63 WIN

@-175

Win

36

I'm happy with what both teams offer attacking-wise, especially the home side. The good deal of sharp money around for this selection indicates this is a likely outcome.
05:30 Chiefs v Fijian Drua

Fijian Drua 23.50

Handicap

57 WIN

@-109

Win

52

The Fiji side offer enough attacking threat to be competitive here. The Chiefs have shaky recent form, and I don't trust them to win by a big margin.
05:00 Newcastle Knights v Penrith Panthers

Newcastle Knights

To Win

53 WIN

@+350

Lose

-53

Don't really agree with this price. It should be no bigger than 4.30 here, in my opinion, so it's getting value odds. I like the team named the Knights, and their prep has been decent.

Newcastle Knights 14.50

Handicap (2-way)

73 WIN

@-114

Lose

-73

I have more faith and trust in the Knights at home to put in a competitive performance than the Panthers away. For a team at home that does the basics well, this is a generous line.
03:00 Highlanders v Moana Pasifika

Moana Pasifika

To Win

304 WIN

@+700

Lose

-304

Don't really agree with this price. I have it no bigger than 6-1, so getting value odds here. The hosts have the edge in back play, but it's not large. In forward play I feel Moana can be competitive today and even win this area.

Moana Pasifika 19.50

Handicap

499 WIN

@-109

Win

454

The Highlanders' forward pack, forward play, and work is not strong. I feel the visitors can match them in this area, which will lead to a competitive performance today.
25 April 2026
20:00 Bordeaux v Montpellier

Montpellier

To Win

60 WIN

@+400

Win

240

The forward battle looks tight here. The visitors have enough class in their back play to be a solid chance here at attractive odds.
17:30 St Helens v Wakefield Trinity

Wakefield Trinity

To Win

392 WIN

@+240

Lose

-392

Generous price for a capable enough team in what is a reasonably even matchup. Wakefield are pretty sound defensively this season, and that could be the difference today.

Wakefield Trinity 8.50

Handicap (2-way)

499 WIN

@-105

Win

474

Reasonably even matchup here in my view, so it makes sense to take the +8.5 headstart. Defensively, you can make a case for Wakefield being in the better shape of the two teams.
15:35 Lyon v Castres

Castres

To Win

80 WIN

@+240

Lose

-80

Both teams are decent attacking-wise. Castres can match or better the hosts in this area today, which gives them a decent chance at nice odds. Team news is decent for Castres too.
09:05 New Zealand Warriors v Dolphins

Dolphins

To Win

120 WIN

@+164

Lose

-120

I have more faith in the Dolphins' attacking game to produce the goods in dry conditions, even if it's not as warm as they would like being a night game. I have this price no bigger than 2.55 here.

Dolphins 5.50

Handicap (2-way)

230 WIN

@-105

Win

218

Decent weather in Wellington for this game, which helps the visitors. For whatever reasons the Warriors don't have a great record in Wellington. The Dolphins' attacking game is capable and can punish an average Warriors side defensively.
07:00 St George/Illawarra Dragons v Sydney Roosters

St George/Illawarra Dragons

To Win

50 WIN

@+440

Lose

-50

At least 75% of the Dragons' decent performances in recent seasons have been in their home games. They need to be respected here and enjoy the big underdog tag.
06:05 Hurricanes v Brumbies

Brumbies

To Win

62 WIN

@+450

Lose

-62

Respect the Hurricanes. They are a serious contender for the Super Rugby title this season. However, if they do have a minor weakness, it's still their forward pack. Five world-class forwards out of eight does not make an outstanding forward pack. The Brumbies can compete well in this department, which gives them an outside chance. I'm not getting carried away with the stakes, though.
03:15 CHI Cubs @ LA Dodgers

CHI Cubs

Money Line

73 WIN

@+139

Win

102

Good deal of sharp money is around for this selection, which I like and will follow here at what is a decent enough price. Favourable starting pitcher matchup today for the Cubs.
03:07 EDM Oilers @ ANA Ducks

ANA Ducks 1.50

Puck Line

52 WIN

@-200

Win

26

Price is about right here, so small stakes. The Ducks at home with a decent prep should put in a strong performance here, especially when you consider that they are playing with a chip on their shoulders. The Oilers are getting most of the hype, and the odds for the Ducks are pretty disrespectful.
01:10 NY Yankees @ HOU Astros

HOU Astros

Money Line

118 WIN

@+129

Lose

-118

I have more faith and trust in the Astros at home than the Yankees away, especially given this price and the starting pitcher matchup. Price is too high here.

HOU Astros 1.50

Run Line

60 WIN

@-124

Lose

-60

Don't really agree with this price. It should be no bigger than 1.75 here, in my view. Home advantage is significant, as is the starting pitcher matchup.
00:10 COL Rockies @ NY Mets

COL Rockies

Money Line

60 WIN

@+187

Win

112

Worth a go at this price. The Mets have lost 90% of their last 12 games, which is poor form. They don't deserve to be this short today in my view.

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Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.

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