surfsup

20+ years betting sports has taught me a lot. Not least of which, only bet large if you think you have a significant edge. Getting odds that are better than the actual probability is key too.

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surfsup's Tips

18th November 2025
15:30 Samoa v Belgium

Belgium

To Win

53 WIN

18.00

Back it

Not without a hope at big odds. Here's some areas that Samoa are lacking: coaching and management, fitness, discipline. The visitors can match or better them in these areas.

Belgium 27.50

Handicap

90 WIN

1.85

Back it

Samoa has more high-quality players and the superior form, hence the big line. However, given the magnitude of this game for Belgium and the fact Samoa are lacking in key areas, a competitive performance is likely here.

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