surfsup

7

Estimated Prizes
this month

£100

Estimated Prize money
this month

surfsup's Tips

1st May 2026
09:00 Canterbury Bulldogs v North Queensland Cowboys

North Queensland Cowboys

To Win

70 WIN

+108

Back it

The Cowboys are playing the superior footy right now. The Bulldogs are disjointed in attack and ordinary defensively. Price too high here for mine.
11:00 Hampshire vs Glamorgan

Glamorgan

Draw No Bet

60 WIN

+114

Back it

This is an even matchup in my view, so it makes sense to take 2.15 odds in a match that could easily go either way. Glamorgan has the superior batting lineup in my view.
11:00 Kent vs Derbyshire

Derbyshire

Draw No Bet

57 WIN

-149

Back it

Don't really agree with this price. I have it no bigger than 1.62 here, so these are value odds in my view. Derbyshire is superior in their batting and that should be telling in the end result.
11:00 Leicestershire vs Nottinghamshire

Nottinghamshire

Draw No Bet

70 WIN

-227

Back it

Notts are the superior side in all three areas: batting, bowling, and fielding. They have more world-class players. This should be telling in the end result.
11:00 Middlesex vs Durham

Durham

Draw No Bet

50 WIN

-166

Back it

Just a small one here, as low-ish confidence on this one. Durham is superior with the bowling and fielding, and that should be telling in the end result.
11:00 Northants vs Worcestershire

Worcestershire

Draw No Bet

80 WIN

-163

Back it

I like the amount of early sharp money that is around for this selection. It indicates a decent performance is likely from Worcestershire here. Price is a tad high.
11:00 Somerset vs Yorkshire

Yorkshire

Draw No Bet

50 WIN

-124

Back it

Generous price for a Yorkshire team who are superior in their batting compared to Somerset. I have this price no bigger than 1.75 here, so some minor value.
11:00 Surrey vs Sussex

Sussex

Draw No Bet

53 WIN

+139

Back it

Generous price here and I don't really agree with it. It should be no bigger than 2.35 in my view. The gulf in class between these two teams is small/narrow.
2nd May 2026
06:00 Auckland FC v Melbourne City

Draw & No

Result and BTTS

59 WIN

+900

Back it

Both teams are pretty sound defensively, and with so much at stake for both teams I feel they will focus on that department to produce a tight, low-scoring game.

Melbourne City 0.25

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

-108

Back it

Auckland has been in this position before: a decent regular season and then failed to produce in the playoffs. The monkey is on their back. City provide a tough test.

Draw #1-1

60 WIN

+550

Back it

Price is lower than I would like, so I'm not getting carried away with the stakes. Both teams are decent defensively, and it's a tight matchup. 1-1 is realistic here.
08:30 Parramatta Eels v New Zealand Warriors

Parramatta Eels

To Win

53 WIN

+175

Back it

This game is a close call on form, and with the Eels being at home this price is too good to refuse. The Eels produce most of their decent performances in two scenarios: 1) in their home games, and 2) when fresh off a poor performance. Both apply here.

Tips are normally be settled by 12pm the day after the event took place.
Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.

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