surfsup

2

Estimated Prizes
this month

£30

Estimated Prize money
this month

surfsup's Tips

18th June 2026
11:30 Corentin Moutet vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Corentin Moutet

Win Match

140 WIN

+129

Back it

Don't really agree with this price. I have it no bigger than 2.25 here, so some minor value. This is not Fokina's preferred surface, and he has shown me enough flaws in the past year to be laid as a favourite here.
11:30 Rinky Hijikata vs Jiri Lehecka

Rinky Hijikata

Win Match

97 WIN

+250

Back it

The gulf in class between these two players right now is not large, in my view. For Rinky, grass is a favourable surface and he has a pretty complete game with no glaring weaknesses.
17:00 Czechia v South Africa

South Africa 0.50

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

+110

Back it

South Africa will be better for their opening game. Now they have had more time to settle in. They are a solid team who will see this game against a pretty flawed Czechia team as realistic to get a result here.
20:00 Warrington Wolves v Leeds Rhinos

Leeds Rhinos

To Win

80 WIN

+110

Back it

Two teams who rate highly in terms of their respective attacking games, but I have more faith and trust in Leeds defensively, and that could be the difference here.
20:10 US Open

Xander Schauffele

1st Round Leader

25 EW

+3300

Back it

In terms of first-round scoring averages, Xander the past few years playing in the US rates highly. I have this price no bigger than 30-1 here, so these are value odds.

Xander Schauffele

Top American

26 EW

+900

Back it

The good deal of sharp money around for Xander this week indicates a strong performance is likely. Gets course and conditions to suit this week.
19th June 2026
02:00 Mexico v South Korea

South Korea 0.50

Asian Hcap

220 WIN

-121

Back it

Tough ask for Mexico to back up their superb opening performance with another one. Their recent history proves they have had great difficulty in doing just that. The Koreans provide a tough test here.
20:00 USA v Australia

Australia 0.75

Asian Hcap

80 WIN

-113

Back it

This is a tight matchup here, and if anything I give the edge to the Aussies defensively. This gives them a solid chance of picking up at least a draw.
20th June 2026
10:30 Australia W vs Netherlands W World Cup

Australia W

Win Match

200 WIN

-10000

Back it

Should be a win. The gulf in class between these two teams is very large. I fail to see Holland being able to put a consistent enough performance in to beat this superb Aussie side.
21st June 2026
22:45 US Open

Cameron Young

25 EW

+2000

Back it

Ranks highly in several stat categories. With at least 60% of this field having a weak chance of winning, he will fancy his chances in surroundings this week that suit him.

Ludvig Aberg

25 EW

+2200

Back it

One of the best ball strikers in the entire field. Knows what it takes to compete in majors and win in the US. This price is a tad high here, in my view.

Xander Schauffele

25 EW

+1600

Back it

At least 60% of this field are a weak chance of success. This creates nice value elsewhere. Xander is a high-quality golfer with all the comforts of playing in his home country and conditions.

Sepp Straka

Top European

25 EW

+2800

Back it

Straka is comfortable playing in the US these days and has a number of top-20 finishes in the US in the last few years. Decent ball striker. Price is a tad high here.
26th June 2026
03:00 Paraguay v Australia

Australia 0.25

Asian Hcap

53 WIN

-102

Back it

I will take on a pretty flawed Paraguay team here, who are only average attacking-wise and worse than average defensively. Anything other than a win or a draw will be considered a failure here for the Aussie players and staff.
12:00 World Cup 2026 Group D

Australia

Group Betting

61 WIN

+700

Back it

Not a strong group team for team. The Aussie players and staff will see this as a winnable group, even if very few other people do. Price too high.
12:00 World Cup 2026 Group F

Japan

Group Betting

56 WIN

+350

Back it

Japan has come a long way in the last 5 years or so. They have decent speed and an attacking game that can trouble all other teams in this group.
19th July 2026
12:00 World Cup 2026

Japan

25 EW

+5000

Back it

Worth a go at this price. Japan's speed and attacking game will trouble all teams. Most of their key players are in, and their prep seems decent.

South Korea

50 WIN

+40000

Back it

Worth a go at this price, as I have it no bigger than 200-1 here. South Korea has speed and a hard work ethic that will trouble all teams they face.

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