surfsup

20+ years betting sports has taught me a lot. Not least of which, only bet large if you think you have a significant edge. Getting odds that are better than the actual probability is key too.

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surfsup's Tips

8th February 2025
14:15 Italy v Wales

Wales

To Win

60 WIN

Too much value here to pass up or turn down. This price should be no bigger than 3.00 here, so some minor value at this price. Wales players and staff will see this game as a realistic win.

Wales 6.50

Handicap

200 WIN

I am not comfortable with Italy being favored by this much. The markets have overreacted to recent events. The gulf in class and player quality between these two teams is tight and very narrow.
16:45 England v France

England

To Win

50 WIN

France away from home are a different beast. While in their last 10 away games they have 7 wins, a lot of these have been by narrow margins and/or against weak opposition. They don't convince me away from home against decent opposition.
9th February 2025
23:30 Super Bowl LIX

DAL Cowboys

Outright Win

250 EW

Despite a 1-2 start to the season I think Dallas is a legit contender to make the superbowl. They are a pretty complete team with no glaring weaknesses. Their QB Dak has his life in a nice place both on and off the field. And is in the prime years of his career, early 30's. The NFC is not strong either.
10th February 2025
04:30 Sri Lanka vs Australia

Australia

Draw No Bet

50 WIN

I will take on a pretty flawed Sri Lanka team here. Other than playing at home, they don't have much going for them here. They were completely outplayed in the first test. I will back the Aussies to continue their momentum.
13th February 2025
20:00 Wigan v Leigh

Wigan

To Win

50 WIN

Price is about right here, so small stakes. Wigan are a champion team full of high-quality players. While I like what Leigh bring and what they are about, this should be a bridge too far for them.
14th February 2025
20:00 Catalan Dragons v Hull FC

Catalan Dragons

To Win

63 WIN

I like the Dragons' offseason moves, which indicates to me they will be even stronger than last season. At home, they should have too much firepower for a pretty flawed Hull team.
15th February 2025
15:00 Leeds v Wakefield

Wakefield

To Win

70 WIN

Due to player recruitment and a decent offseason, Wakefield should be improved for the new season. Leeds are nothing special. This is a realistic win here.

Wakefield 10.50

Handicap (2-way)

124 WIN

I believe Wakefield will be improved this season, with Leeds similar to last season or even slightly worse. With this in mind, this line is a little high here.

Tips are normally be settled by 12pm the day after the event took place.
Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.

Please note that this information is for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as an indicator of a tipsters real life performance. The OLBG Tipster Competition is a simulation game and some of the rules and prices used by the tipsters may not always be available in the real world which can lead to misleading informaiton.

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