surfsup

4

Estimated Prizes
this month

£40

Estimated Prize money
this month

surfsup's Tips

8th June 2026
14:00 Tommy Paul vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

Win Match

70 WIN

+187

Back it

Don't really agree with this price. I have it no bigger than 2.80 here, so some minor value at this price. However I look at this match I see a tight matchup where the match winner could easily go either way. In such a situation, I want to be on the 2.88 price.

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard to win 2 - 1

Set Betting

53 WIN

+425

Back it

this is a tight matchup so a 2-1 score line to either player seems on the cards. there are not many facets of pauls tennis game that are superior to that of giovanni in my view.

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 1.50

Games Won

122 WIN

+120

Back it

The gulf in class between these two players right now is small/narrow, so it makes sense to take any plus handicap. Generous price and line here in my view.
17:10 5:10 Leicester

A Lott Of Kane

Daily Racing

50 WIN

+200

Back it

The way I see this race is that 40% of the field are a poor chance of winning, so there is nice value elsewhere, including A Lott Of Kane, who has plenty of class. Price is about right though, so small stakes.

Antiphon

Daily Racing

25 EW

+275

Back it

I consider at least 40% of this field here a poor chance of winning, so that creates nice value elsewhere, including Antiphon at what is a solid enough price.
18:50 Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Holon

Hapoel Holon 14.50

Pointspread

54 WIN

+100

Back it

With everything factored in, I have this line at 12.5, two points lower than the 14.5 available. On offense in particular, I think the visitors can match the hosts.
19:45 Netherlands v Uzbekistan

Uzbekistan 1.75

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

-109

Back it

Just a small one here as low confidence on this one. Holland won't play their top team and have shown me enough flaws recently, especially defensively, to be opposed here versus a solid Uzbekistan outfit.
9th June 2026
11:00 China PR v Thailand

Thailand 0.50

Asian Hcap

67 WIN

-111

Back it

Good deal of sharp money is around for this selection, which I like and will follow here. This is a tight matchup in my view, so it makes sense to cover two of the three possible outcomes.
12:30 Philippines v Myanmar

Myanmar 1.00

Asian Hcap

53 WIN

-111

Back it

Myanmar are an underrated side, particularly defensively. The hosts' strength is their attacking game, but I feel Myanmar are well equipped defensively, which will lead to a competitive performance.
11th June 2026
12:00 World Cup 2026 Group F

Japan

Group Betting

56 WIN

+350

Back it

Japan has come a long way in the last 5 years or so. They have decent speed and an attacking game that can trouble all other teams in this group.
13th June 2026
08:05 Hurricanes v Blues

Hurricanes

To Win

70 WIN

-999

Back it

The Blues are playing well only in patches of their matches. This won't be good enough to beat the Canes at home, who have red-hot form. Price lower than I would like, however, so smallish stakes.
14th June 2026
19:00 World Cup of Darts

Netherlands

125 EW

+600

Back it

Too much value here to pass up or turn down. If England's dream team is to falter, Holland looks the most likely to take advantage. With MVG and Van Veen, they have two high-quality players.
21:00 Netherlands v Japan

Japan

70 WIN

+259

Back it

I think Japan is a pretty poor matchup for Holland. The Dutch have their issues defensively. Japan has the speed and a cohesive attacking game to hurt them.
15th June 2026
17:00 Spain v Cape Verde

Cape Verde 2.50

Asian Hcap

89 WIN

+110

Back it

Spain's lead-up form is unconvincing. The African side are a solid team unit, whose strength is their attacking game. Dangerous game for Spain here.
19th July 2026
12:00 World Cup 2026

Japan

25 EW

+5000

Back it

Worth a go at this price. Japan's speed and attacking game will trouble all teams. Most of their key players are in, and their prep seems decent.

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