surfsup

5

Estimated Prizes
this month

£45

Estimated Prize money
this month

surfsup's Tips

15th March 2026
00:40 DEN Nuggets @ LA Lakers

LA Lakers

Money Line

80 WIN

+129

Back it

Don't really agree with this price. It should be no bigger than 2.20 here. These two teams have nearly identical records this season. In a coin-flip game, it makes sense to take 2.30 odds.
02:40 SAC Kings @ LA Clippers

SAC Kings

Money Line

60 WIN

+600

Back it

The Clippers have shown me enough flaws this season to be opposed at very low odds here. On defense they are only average. This spells trouble for them today against a solid Kings offense.
05:05 Manly Sea Eagles v Newcastle Knights

Newcastle Knights

To Win

90 WIN

+145

Back it

No doubting Manly's attacking game. It is decent. However, defensively they have serious issues. Newcastle is more sound defensively, and that could be the difference here. Price is a tad high at 2.45.
08:00 Melbourne Victory v Macarthur FC

No

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

+160

Back it

The visitors' attacking record is pretty ordinary. This spells trouble for them against a solid Victory defense playing at home with a settled prep. The hosts have too much firepower in their attacking game not to score.

Melbourne Victory & No

Result and BTTS

50 WIN

+275

Back it

The visitors have a poor attacking record this season, which should have trouble breaking down a solid Victory defense. At home, Victory should have too much class here.

Melbourne Victory - Melbourne Victory

Half Time / Full Time

57 WIN

+175

Back it

Reasonably big class difference between these two teams this season. The Victory at home, with a settled prep and their key players in, should be too strong here.

Melbourne Victory -0.75

Asian Hcap

79 WIN

+101

Back it

Good deal of sharp money around for this selection, which I like and will follow here. At home, the Victory should have too much class for a pretty flawed Macarthur side.

Melbourne Victory #3-0

70 WIN

+1600

Back it

The hosts have the advantage both in defense and in the attacking games of both teams. A reasonably one-sided scoreline like this is quite likely here.
08:15 Bangladesh vs Pakistan 3rd ODI

Pakistan

Win Match

50 WIN

-149

Back it

Don't really agree with this price. It should be no bigger than 1.62 here, which is where most bookies have it. Bangladesh are the more flawed team and had their confidence shattered in the last game.
16th March 2026
23:30 Victoria vs South Australia Sheffield Shield

Victoria

Draw No Bet

150 WIN

-109

Back it

Victoria are in the superior form out of these two teams. Playing at home with decent preparation, a strong performance is likely here. Price is too high at 1.91.
17th March 2026
08:00 Sydney FC v Melbourne City

Sydney FC -0.25

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

+100

Back it

Melbourne City came into this season with high hopes of contending for the title. For the most part, they have failed to deliver and sit towards the bottom of the table. Sydney at home should have too much firepower and class here.
19th March 2026
19:15 Gian van Veen vs Michael van Gerwen

Gian van Veen

Win Match 2-way

50 WIN

-136

Back it

MVG's health and personal life are sadly not in a good space right now. This makes it tough for him to produce his best darts. Van Veen should have too much class and firepower here.

Over 5.50

Total 180s

50 WIN

-109

Back it

Both players in their last matches in the Premier League went well below their respective average per match. Expect a strong response from two quality players, especially Van Veen.

Over 9.50

Total Legs

50 WIN

-105

Back it

This is a reasonably tight matchup based on form. While Van Veen is likely to prevail, a tight final scoreline is quite likely in my view here.
19:45 Stephen Bunting vs Luke Littler

Luke Littler

Win Match 2-way

60 WIN

-344

Back it

Hard to go past Littler here. Fresh off an underwhelming week last week in the Premier League, he should respond strongly here. That's what quality players often do.
20:15 Josh Rock vs Gerwyn Price

Josh Rock

Win Match 2-way

57 WIN

+175

Back it

Don't really agree with this quote. It should be no bigger than 2.60 here, so getting value odds very much so, in fact. The gulf in class between these two players is small/narrow.

Josh Rock 1.50

Handicap 2-way

73 WIN

+100

Back it

Rock is fresh off a poor last week in the Premier League by his high standards. Look for a strong response from a quality player here. Line and price are too generous here.

Josh Rock

Most 180s

50 WIN

+137

Back it

I have more faith and trust in Rock for the most 180s. Results for both players over the past year make favorable reading for Rock in terms of 180s averaged per match, although it is close.

Under 9.50

Total Legs

50 WIN

-124

Back it

Both of these players are very streaky, both for good and for bad. Their respective results over the past year illustrate this, so a one-sided scoreline for either player is quite likely here.
20:45 Jonny Clayton vs Luke Humphries

Jonny Clayton

Win Match 2-way

50 WIN

+162

Back it

Clayton is in some of his best form ever right now. In the last meeting between these two players, Clayton got the win in one-sided fashion. This will give him confidence to get the result again.

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