surfsup

20+ years betting sports has taught me a lot. Not least of which, only bet large if you think you have a significant edge. Getting odds that are better than the actual probability is key too.

2

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surfsup's Tips

24th November 2025
00:10 POR Trail Blazers @ OKC Thunder

POR Trail Blazers

Money Line

53 WIN

9.50

Back it

OKC is the number one team in the league right now in terms of getting hype. Perhaps the players won't be as focused as they should be because of this, and there may be some complacency today. Price too high here.
01:10 LA Lakers @ UTA Jazz

UTA Jazz

Money Line

60 WIN

4.60

Back it

The Jazz have looked likely at home this season for the most part. Last season, the Lakers were just 19-22 on the road and are a solid lay at low odds today.
01:10 SA Spurs @ PHX Suns

PHX Suns -2.50

Pointspread

57 WIN

1.91

Back it

Last season, the Spurs were just 13-27 on the road. Again this season, most of their poorer performances have been in the road games. The Suns at home is a tough ask here.
20:00 Man Utd v Everton

Everton

120 WIN

4.75

Back it

Everton are a nicely balanced team with no glaring weaknesses. I think they are a solid chance here against a pretty flawed Man United team. Surely this is a game Everton will really be up for.

No

Both Teams to Score

60 WIN

2.14

Back it

This is a well-supported selection with the sharp money, which I like and will follow here at what is a solid price. Both teams are pretty sound defensively.

Everton & Yes

Result and BTTS

53 WIN

7.50

Back it

Both teams have cohesive attacking games, and with fine weather in the long-range forecast for this game, it is likely both will score. I have seen enough weaknesses in the hosts to think Everton can get the result here.

Everton - Everton

Half Time / Full Time

56 WIN

7.50

Back it

Good deal of sharp money around for this selection, which I like and will follow here at what is a very attractive price. 7.50 should be no bigger than 7.00 here.

Everton #4-0

50 WIN

151.00

Back it

Don't really agree with this price. 100-1 is more accurate here. Everton have the quality of players to be a decent chance of a big win versus a pretty flawed Man United team.

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