surfsup

4

Estimated Prizes
this month

£25

Estimated Prize money
this month

surfsup's Tips

21st June 2026
14:30 South Africa W vs India W World Cup

India W

Win Match

50 WIN

I have this price no bigger than 1.50 here, so some minor value. India's batting is superior and more reliable, although granted it's close. The edge is with India in bowling too.
15:00 St Helens v Huddersfield Giants

Huddersfield Giants

To Win

66 WIN

Hard to get excited about 1.08 on St Helens here. Sure they are the superior team, but they have conceded 42 points in their last two games and 22 points or more five times this season. The Giants' attack is solid. This has hope.

Huddersfield Giants 20.50

Handicap (2-way)

95 WIN

The Giants have been in their best form of the season for the past month. St Helens have a pretty potent attacking game but are nothing special defensively. The Giants' solid attacking game should see them competitive here.
17:00 Spain v Saudi Arabia

Yes

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

Attractive price here and I don't really agree with it. I have it no bigger than 2.95 here, so some minor value. It's almost a given Spain will score with their potent attacking game. The Saudis have a solid attacking game.

Spain #2-1

50 WIN

Spain are hurting after a shock result in their first match. Look for them to respond strongly. Saudi will be a solid test, though. 2-1 is a realistic score.
20:00 Belgium v Iran

Yes

Both Teams to Score

120 WIN

I like what both teams offer attacking-wise, and neither team is anything special defensively. In my view, a clean sheet for either team is unlikely here.

Belgium #2-1

80 WIN

This is a reasonably tight matchup on form. 2-1 is a realistic score here. Neither team is anything special defensively. A clean sheet for either team is unlikely in my view.
20:10 US Open

Xander Schauffele

1st Round Leader

25 EW

In terms of first-round scoring averages, Xander the past few years playing in the US rates highly. I have this price no bigger than 30-1 here, so these are value odds.

Xander Schauffele

Top American

26 EW

The good deal of sharp money around for Xander this week indicates a strong performance is likely. Gets course and conditions to suit this week.
22:45 US Open

Cameron Young

25 EW

Ranks highly in several stat categories. With at least 60% of this field having a weak chance of winning, he will fancy his chances in surroundings this week that suit him.

Ludvig Aberg

25 EW

One of the best ball strikers in the entire field. Knows what it takes to compete in majors and win in the US. This price is a tad high here, in my view.

Xander Schauffele

25 EW

At least 60% of this field are a weak chance of success. This creates nice value elsewhere. Xander is a high-quality golfer with all the comforts of playing in his home country and conditions.

Sepp Straka

Top European

25 EW

Straka is comfortable playing in the US these days and has a number of top-20 finishes in the US in the last few years. Decent ball striker. Price is a tad high here.
22nd June 2026
02:00 New Zealand v Egypt

Yes

Both Teams to Score

55 WIN

Good deal of sharp money is around for the Yes here, which I like and will follow. Both teams are solid or better attacking-wise, especially Egypt. Price too high at 2.20.

Egypt & Yes

Result and BTTS

50 WIN

This is a capable NZ team who have most of their key players available, which is crucial because their depth is poor. The Kiwis can keep it close and have enough firepower to prevent Egypt from keeping a clean sheet.

New Zealand 1.00

Asian Hcap

55 WIN

NZ have been targeting this game. Their next game versus Belgium is a much tougher assignment, so the Kiwis know they need to get at least a draw here. I think it's realistic they can with this playing group they have.

New Zealand #2-1

55 WIN

The gulf in class between these two teams is small. Don't be fooled by NZ's international results outside of World Cups. Their depth is poor and they are often missing key players. Price too high here.
23rd June 2026
10:30 New Zealand W vs Scotland W T20

New Zealand W

Win Match

55 WIN

NZ badly need this win and should have too much class for a pretty flawed Scotland team. Scotland don't play at a high enough level consistently enough. Price about right though, so small stakes.
18:30 Australia W vs Pakistan W T20

Pakistan W

Win Match

53 WIN

Not without a hope at big odds. Pakistan should respond strongly, fresh off an embarrassing performance. Their batting is solid and much improved, especially their top order. This price should be no bigger than 18-1 here.
26th June 2026
03:00 Paraguay v Australia

Australia 0.25

Asian Hcap

53 WIN

I will take on a pretty flawed Paraguay team here, who are only average attacking-wise and worse than average defensively. Anything other than a win or a draw will be considered a failure here for the Aussie players and staff.
12:00 World Cup 2026 Group D

Australia

Group Betting

61 WIN

Not a strong group team for team. The Aussie players and staff will see this as a winnable group, even if very few other people do. Price too high.
12:00 World Cup 2026 Group F

Japan

Group Betting

56 WIN

Japan has come a long way in the last 5 years or so. They have decent speed and an attacking game that can trouble all other teams in this group.
19th July 2026
12:00 World Cup 2026

Japan

25 EW

Worth a go at this price. Japan's speed and attacking game will trouble all teams. Most of their key players are in, and their prep seems decent.

South Korea

50 WIN

Worth a go at this price, as I have it no bigger than 200-1 here. South Korea has speed and a hard work ethic that will trouble all teams they face.

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