surfsup

20+ years betting sports has taught me a lot. Not least of which, only bet large if you think you have a significant edge. Getting odds that are better than the actual probability is key too.

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surfsup's Tips

30th November 2025
12:30 India vs Saudi Arabia

India

Money Line

53 WIN

9.50

Back it

Good deal of sharp money around for this selection, which I like and will follow here at what is a very attractive price at nearly 9-1. Price too high.
14:00 Iraq vs Iran

Iraq

Money Line

53 WIN

18.00

Back it

Too big of a price here. It should be no bigger than 14-1; we're getting much better than that. This is a game the visitors will really be up for, and they have a strong enough player lineup.

Iraq 25.50

Pointspread

67 WIN

1.91

Back it

The gulf in class between these two teams is not massive. This is a game Iran will really be up for, and there are no reasons to fault their preparation.
15:00 Saracens v Bath

Saracens

To Win

51 WIN

1.53

Back it

I have more faith and trust in Saracens at home than Bath away at a tough venue, especially given the teams that have been named. The hosts should win the forward battle, which will set the foundation for the win.
1st December 2025
02:10 MEM Grizzlies @ SAC Kings

SAC Kings

Money Line

300 WIN

2.37

Back it

I prefer the home side's preparation for this game. The Kings generally shoot the ball better at home. This spells trouble for an ordinary Memphis defense here.
02:40 NO Pelicans @ LA Lakers

NO Pelicans

Money Line

195 WIN

9.00

Back it

New Orleans' strength is their offense. For the Lakers, their defense is average and will likely prevent them from going deep in the playoffs. Solid likely roster for the visitors in this game.
06:00 New Zealand vs Australia

New Zealand

Money Line

77 WIN

2.05

Back it

There is something special about this NZ team. They are young, full of confidence, and well coached/managed. If both teams had their NBA players, NZ would be in a world of trouble. Of course that is not the case. A strong performance at home is likely here.
08:10 Hobart Hurricanes W vs Melbourne Stars W T20

Melbourne Stars W

Win Match

60 WIN

2.20

Back it

Hobart has shown me enough flaws, especially with their bowling, to be opposed at low odds here against a capable enough Stars team who have a reasonably strong batting lineup.
5th December 2025
22:00 New Zealand vs West Indies

Draw

Win Match

140 WIN

4.50

Back it

Looks like rain will be around for at least two out of the five days. This gives the draw a solid chance. Plus, NZ in Test cricket are not as aggressive with their batting compared to the likes of Australia or England. Draw has a solid chance here.

West Indies

Draw No Bet

60 WIN

7.00

Back it

There is some rain in the long-range forecast for two out of the five days. This always gives the big underdog a better chance, especially if they win the toss. Price is a tad high here.

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Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.

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