surfsup

6

Estimated Prizes
this month

£50

Estimated Prize money
this month

surfsup's Tips

5th April 2026
15:00 Castleford Tigers v Wakefield Trinity

Castleford Tigers

To Win

61 WIN

+137

Back it

Fresh off scoring 40 points last week and 34 points two weeks before that, the Tigers can trouble a Wakefield defense that is only average. This price is too high at 2.38.

Castleford Tigers 4.50

Handicap (2-way)

69 WIN

-109

Back it

Generous line here for the Tigers, who came to life last week. Attacking-wise they are clicking nicely right now. In their last four games played they have scored 84 points, which is an average of 21 points per game, which is decent. Two of these opponents were superior teams to Wakefield.
17:30 Leinster v Edinburgh

Leinster

To Win

159 WIN

-5000

Back it

This should be a bridge too far for Edinburgh. The visitors will struggle to win the forward battle here, which makes it very tough to get the result. They lack cohesion in their back play as well.
18:35 LA Dodgers @ WAS Nationals

WAS Nationals

Money Line

297 WIN

+179

Back it

Washington were embarrassed on their home patch yesterday. Look for a strong response from a proud and capable enough home team, who get a reasonably favorable starting pitcher matchup here.

WAS Nationals 1.50

Run Line

399 WIN

+110

Back it

Don't really agree with this price. It should be no bigger than evens here. I expect a strong effort and performance from Washington today, who were embarrassing yesterday.
18:35 MIA Marlins @ NY Yankees

MIA Marlins

Money Line

220 WIN

+240

Back it

Miami's batting lineup is in decent form. They have scored 28 runs in their last four games, which is outstanding. Always a solid chance with an offense putting up run numbers like that.

MIA Marlins 1.50

Run Line

351 WIN

+114

Back it

The Marlins batting lineup is one of the hottest in the entire league right now. They have put up 28 runs in their last four games played. Always a solid chance with run support like this.
20:40 MEM Grizzlies @ MIL Bucks

MEM Grizzlies

Money Line

79 WIN

+189

Back it

Memphis doesn't have many games on their upcoming schedule that are a realistic win. However, this is one, so the focus and effort should be there against a pretty flawed Bucks team lacking high-quality players right now.
20:40 PHX Suns @ CHI Bulls

CHI Bulls

Money Line

50 WIN

+390

Back it

Looks like Josh Giddey will play. He gives the Bulls the ability to play at a higher level for longer periods. With this being a home game for the Bulls, they have a solid chance.
20:40 TOR Raptors @ BOS Celtics

TOR Raptors

Money Line

70 WIN

+375

Back it

Boston has a bad habit in recent seasons of dropping their level of play against much weaker teams than themselves. It's human nature to an extent. Price is too high here.

TOR Raptors 9.50

Pointspread

83 WIN

-105

Back it

Winning games has more meaning right now for the Raptors, so perhaps they will be the hungrier team here today and want it more. Generous line.
20:40 WAS Wizards @ BKN Nets

WAS Wizards

Money Line

80 WIN

+150

Back it

The Nets rank poorly in nearly every defense stat category. This spells trouble for them today against a solid Washington offense, fresh off a 45-point fourth quarter in their last game played.

WAS Wizards 3.50

Pointspread

50 WIN

-109

Back it

Fresh off a 45-point 4th quarter, I like the Wizards to continue their momentum here against a pretty flawed Nets team, who have been struggling defensively most of the season.
21:05 NY Mets @ SF Giants

SF Giants

Money Line

200 WIN

-117

Back it

Another team, fresh off an embarrassing home performance, will likely put up a strong response here. Plus, the Giants get a favorable starting-pitcher matchup.
23:30 Bahia v Palmeiras

Yes

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

-142

Back it

Good deal of sharp money is around for this selection, which I like and will follow here. In both teams' last five games played, both have scored plenty of goals. It's realistic to think they can net at least one each.

Bahia & Yes

Result and BTTS

53 WIN

+400

Back it

Good deal of sharp money is around for this selection, which I like and will follow here. Both teams arrive in decent attacking form, especially the home side. Price too high here.

Bahia 0.00

Asian Hcap

101 WIN

-105

Back it

I have more faith and trust in Bahia at home than Palmeiras away. The hosts have the stronger form line at home this season than Palmeiras does away. Price a tad high here.

Everaldo Stum

First Goalscorer

53 WIN

+550

Back it

He is Bahia's main scoring threat and will fancy his chances against Palmeiras, as they are nothing special defensively. This price is a tad high here, in my view.

Bahia #3-1

57 WIN

+2000

Back it

Don't really agree with this price. It should be no bigger than 18??'1 here. Bahia's attacking game at home has been impressive in recent games. In their last 3 home games they have scored 6 goals and only conceded one.
6th April 2026
15:00 Bolton v Stockport

Yes

Both Teams to Score

57 WIN

-161

Back it

I am happy with what both teams offer attacking-wise right now. Neither team is anything special defensively. This game should have goal/s from both teams.

Stockport & Yes

Result and BTTS

120 WIN

+500

Back it

Both teams offer plenty attacking-wise and neither is anything special defensively. Bolton has been playing well in patches of matches only. This will be unlikely to get the result for them.

Bolton - Stockport

Half Time / Full Time

50 WIN

+3300

Back it

Worth a go at this price. I have it no bigger than 30-1, so getting value odds here. Should the visitors find themselves behind at the break, they have an in-form and cohesive attacking game to overturn the deficit.

Stockport 0.25

Asian Hcap

297 WIN

+101

Back it

Stockport arrives for this game in decent form, both at the attacking end and defensively. 3-0 wins in their last two games. The hosts will have their hands full. Generous price and line here.

Stockport #4-1

53 WIN

+6000

Back it

This should not be paying this much. It should be 50-1 maximum. In their last two games, Stockport has scored three goals and are clicking not only well attacking-wise but also defensively right now.

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