surfsup

2

Estimated Prizes
this month

£15

Estimated Prize money
this month

surfsup's Tips

19th June 2026
11:30 Alex De Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima

Brandon Nakashima

Win Match

55 WIN

+220

Back it

This is a tight matchup in my view, however I look at it, so it makes sense to take the 3.20 odds. Brandon has a pretty complete game with no glaring weaknesses. Price a tad high here.

Alex De Minaur to win 2 - 1

Set Betting

52 WIN

+300

Back it

By taking this selection as well as Brandon to win the match, I am effectively betting on Brandon to win a set. Based on form, this is realistic enough for me, and the odds are solid.
20:00 USA v Australia

Yes

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

-105

Back it

Both teams' strength is their respective attacks, and neither is anything special defensively. I have this Yes option slightly favoured here. The bookies don't, so it's a play.

Australia & Yes

Result and BTTS

55 WIN

+900

Back it

I don't really rate the USA as highly as most people. Why? A main reason is because of all the flaws I have seen from them in the past few years. The Aussies are a solid chance here.

Australia 0.75

Asian Hcap

80 WIN

-113

Back it

This is a tight matchup here, and if anything I give the edge to the Aussies defensively. This gives them a solid chance of picking up at least a draw.
20:05 Toulouse v Racing 92

Racing 92

To Win

50 WIN

+300

Back it

I have this price no bigger than 3.90 here, so these are value odds. The forward battle is tight, and the visitors will be highly competitive there, which gives them a solid chance.
20th June 2026
08:05 Hurricanes v Chiefs

Chiefs

To Win

55 WIN

+170

Back it

I have this price no bigger than 2.65, so there's some minor value at this price. The Chiefs' forward pack is stronger and more reliable, which will lay the foundation for the win.

Chiefs 5.50

Handicap

80 WIN

-124

Back it

I think the poor weather suits the Chiefs more, as it negates the Canes' strength, which is their expansive attacking game. The Chiefs should win the forward battle here.

Under 53.50

Total Points

52 WIN

-114

Back it

there is set to be poor weather for this grand final. rain and strong winds combinded with two decent defensive teams and this should stay under.
10:30 Australia W vs Netherlands W World Cup

Australia W

Win Match

200 WIN

-10000

Back it

Should be a win. The gulf in class between these two teams is very large. I fail to see Holland being able to put a consistent enough performance in to beat this superb Aussie side.
20:05 Montpellier v Stade Francais

Stade Francais

To Win

95 WIN

+137

Back it

I give the visitors the edge in both forward play and back play. Then, when you factor in home advantage, this game should be close to even odds wise for either side.
21st June 2026
20:10 US Open

Xander Schauffele

1st Round Leader

25 EW

+3300

Back it

In terms of first-round scoring averages, Xander the past few years playing in the US rates highly. I have this price no bigger than 30-1 here, so these are value odds.

Xander Schauffele

Top American

26 EW

+900

Back it

The good deal of sharp money around for Xander this week indicates a strong performance is likely. Gets course and conditions to suit this week.
22:45 US Open

Cameron Young

25 EW

+2000

Back it

Ranks highly in several stat categories. With at least 60% of this field having a weak chance of winning, he will fancy his chances in surroundings this week that suit him.

Ludvig Aberg

25 EW

+2200

Back it

One of the best ball strikers in the entire field. Knows what it takes to compete in majors and win in the US. This price is a tad high here, in my view.

Xander Schauffele

25 EW

+1600

Back it

At least 60% of this field are a weak chance of success. This creates nice value elsewhere. Xander is a high-quality golfer with all the comforts of playing in his home country and conditions.

Sepp Straka

Top European

25 EW

+2800

Back it

Straka is comfortable playing in the US these days and has a number of top-20 finishes in the US in the last few years. Decent ball striker. Price is a tad high here.
26th June 2026
03:00 Paraguay v Australia

Australia 0.25

Asian Hcap

53 WIN

-102

Back it

I will take on a pretty flawed Paraguay team here, who are only average attacking-wise and worse than average defensively. Anything other than a win or a draw will be considered a failure here for the Aussie players and staff.
12:00 World Cup 2026 Group D

Australia

Group Betting

61 WIN

+700

Back it

Not a strong group team for team. The Aussie players and staff will see this as a winnable group, even if very few other people do. Price too high.
12:00 World Cup 2026 Group F

Japan

Group Betting

56 WIN

+350

Back it

Japan has come a long way in the last 5 years or so. They have decent speed and an attacking game that can trouble all other teams in this group.
19th July 2026
12:00 World Cup 2026

Japan

25 EW

+5000

Back it

Worth a go at this price. Japan's speed and attacking game will trouble all teams. Most of their key players are in, and their prep seems decent.

South Korea

50 WIN

+40000

Back it

Worth a go at this price, as I have it no bigger than 200-1 here. South Korea has speed and a hard work ethic that will trouble all teams they face.

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