surfsup

20+ years betting sports has taught me a lot. Not least of which, only bet large if you think you have a significant edge. Getting odds that are better than the actual probability is key too.

1

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this month

surfsup's Tips

22nd November 2025
15:10 Wales v New Zealand

Wales

To Win

60 WIN

17.00

Back it

Don't really agree with this price. It should be no bigger than 14-1 here, so getting value odds. Wales have a solid forward pack and enough class in their backs to be an outside chance at home here.

Wales 28.50

Handicap

117 WIN

1.91

Back it

While the All Blacks' second-tier team is not a big drop from the top team, it is still a drop. NZ is likely to name their second-tier team for this game. Wales at home provide solid opposition. A competitive performance is likely here.
17:30 Newcastle v Man City

Draw & Yes

Result and BTTS

50 WIN

4.50

Back it

Both teams offer plenty on attack, especially the visitors. It's hard to see both teams not scoring here. In what is a very tight matchup, the draw is a real possibility here.

Newcastle 0.50

Asian Hcap

130 WIN

2.05

Back it

Newcastle are much improved and at home. With reasonably favorable team news, a strong performance is likely here against a Man City team who is nothing special away from home.
23rd November 2025
16:10 England v Argentina

England

To Win

53 WIN

1.25

Back it

The Pumas often have trouble backing up an epic win with another decent performance the next week. And that's the scenario here. England at home should have too much class and firepower.
16:30 Arsenal v Tottenham

Tottenham

80 WIN

8.00

Back it

I like the amount of sharp money around for this selection. And the odds on Arsenal are too low here. I will gladly go the other way at very attractive odds.

Tottenham & Yes

Result and BTTS

50 WIN

13.00

Back it

Both teams are decent attacking-wise, especially the hosts. There is a good deal of sharp money around for Spurs for this game, which I like and will follow here.
24th November 2025
20:00 Man Utd v Everton

Everton

120 WIN

4.75

Back it

Everton are a nicely balanced team with no glaring weaknesses. I think they are a solid chance here against a pretty flawed Man United team. Surely this is a game Everton will really be up for.

Everton & Yes

Result and BTTS

53 WIN

7.50

Back it

Both teams have cohesive attacking games, and with fine weather in the long-range forecast for this game, it is likely both will score. I have seen enough weaknesses in the hosts to think Everton can get the result here.

Tips are normally be settled by 12pm the day after the event took place.
Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.

Please note that this information is for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as an indicator of a tipsters real life performance. The OLBG Tipster Competition is a simulation game and some of the rules and prices used by the tipsters may not always be available in the real world which can lead to misleading informaiton.

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