surfsup

20+ years betting sports has taught me a lot. Not least of which, only bet large if you think you have a significant edge. Getting odds that are better than the actual probability is key too.

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surfsup's Tips

23rd November 2025
00:07 EDM Oilers @ FLA Panthers

EDM Oilers

Money Line

60 WIN

2.10

Back it

I like the amount of sharp money around for this selection, which I will follow here at what is a decent enough price. Team news is okay for the visitors, as is their preparation.
00:07 TOR Maple Leafs @ MTL Canadiens

TOR Maple Leafs

Money Line

57 WIN

2.20

Back it

Don't really agree with this price. Toronto has the attacking game to hurt the Canadiens, who are pretty ordinary defensively. This price should be no bigger than 2.15 here.
01:10 WAS Wizards @ CHI Bulls

WAS Wizards

Money Line

53 WIN

6.50

Back it

Generous price here. From media and fans, the Wizards are being criticized. Look for them to be fired up for this game against a pretty flawed Bulls team who lack high-quality players.
01:40 MEM Grizzlies @ DAL Mavericks

MEM Grizzlies

Money Line

70 WIN

2.00

Back it

Team news is pretty ordinary for Dallas here, and the home side has not had a great preparation for this game. The visitors have the offense to hurt them. Price is a tad high here.
09:10 Brisbane Heat W vs Melbourne Stars W T20

Melbourne Stars W

Win Match

52 WIN

1.65

Back it

I will take on a pretty flawed Brisbane team here. The visitors are stronger in both batting and bowling, especially batting, and that should be telling in the end result.
13:40 Scotland v Tonga

Tonga

To Win

60 WIN

41.00

Back it

Too big of a price here. It should be no bigger than 25-1. Getting much better than that. I like the Tonga team named. Solid forward pack and enough class in the backs to be an outside chance here.
16:10 England v Argentina

England

To Win

53 WIN

1.25

Back it

The Pumas often have trouble backing up an epic win with another decent performance the next week. And that's the scenario here. England at home should have too much class and firepower.
16:30 Arsenal v Tottenham

Tottenham

80 WIN

8.00

Back it

I like the amount of sharp money around for this selection. And the odds on Arsenal are too low here. I will gladly go the other way at very attractive odds.

Tottenham & Yes

Result and BTTS

50 WIN

13.00

Back it

Both teams are decent attacking-wise, especially the hosts. There is a good deal of sharp money around for Spurs for this game, which I like and will follow here.
24th November 2025
20:00 Man Utd v Everton

Everton

120 WIN

4.75

Back it

Everton are a nicely balanced team with no glaring weaknesses. I think they are a solid chance here against a pretty flawed Man United team. Surely this is a game Everton will really be up for.

Everton & Yes

Result and BTTS

53 WIN

7.50

Back it

Both teams have cohesive attacking games, and with fine weather in the long-range forecast for this game, it is likely both will score. I have seen enough weaknesses in the hosts to think Everton can get the result here.

Tips are normally be settled by 12pm the day after the event took place.
Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.

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