surfsup

6

Estimated Prizes
this month

£95

Estimated Prize money
this month

surfsup's Tips

29th April 2026
01:05 NY Yankees @ TEX Rangers

TEX Rangers

Money Line

300 WIN

+104

Back it

I have more faith and trust in Texas at home to put in a strong performance than the Yankees away. At least 60% of the Yankees' ordinary performances, or worse, in recent seasons have been in their home games.

TEX Rangers 1.50

Run Line

130 WIN

-169

Back it

At least 60% of the Yankees' ordinary or worse performances in recent seasons have been in their road games. The hosts get a favorable starting-pitcher matchup here.
01:07 MIN Wild @ DAL Stars

MIN Wild 1.50

Puck Line

130 WIN

-243

Back it

I like the amount of sharp money that is around for the Wild for this game. It indicates a decent performance is likely from the Wild today. Team news is favourable, as is their preparation.
03:10 MIA Marlins @ LA Dodgers

MIA Marlins

Money Line

180 WIN

+240

Back it

Don't really agree with this price. It should be no bigger than 3.30, so these are value odds. Miami's batting lineup is in solid enough form, and they get a reasonably favourable starting pitcher matchup today.

MIA Marlins 1.50

Run Line

120 WIN

+104

Back it

Generous price and line here. The visitors get a reasonably favorable starting pitcher matchup today, in my view. After losing yesterday while being in complete control, I expect a strong response today.
09:00 Bangladesh vs New Zealand 2nd T20 Match

New Zealand

Win Match

60 WIN

+157

Back it

Perhaps NZ will be the hungrier side here. They need this win to keep the series alive. For the hosts, they only need to bank one of the next two. Price is a tad high here.

T Robinson (New Zealand)

Top Team2 Batsman

57 WIN

+332

Back it

Young batter, full of confidence. After missing out in the first game through no fault of his own (unfortunate run out), he will be keen and focused for a decent score in game two.
1st May 2026
09:00 Canterbury Bulldogs v North Queensland Cowboys

North Queensland Cowboys

To Win

70 WIN

+108

Back it

The Cowboys are playing the superior footy right now. The Bulldogs are disjointed in attack and ordinary defensively. Price too high here for mine.
11:00 Hampshire vs Glamorgan

Glamorgan

Draw No Bet

60 WIN

+114

Back it

This is an even matchup in my view, so it makes sense to take 2.15 odds in a match that could easily go either way. Glamorgan has the superior batting lineup in my view.
11:00 Kent vs Derbyshire

Derbyshire

Draw No Bet

57 WIN

-149

Back it

Don't really agree with this price. I have it no bigger than 1.62 here, so these are value odds in my view. Derbyshire is superior in their batting and that should be telling in the end result.
11:00 Leicestershire vs Nottinghamshire

Nottinghamshire

Draw No Bet

70 WIN

-227

Back it

Notts are the superior side in all three areas: batting, bowling, and fielding. They have more world-class players. This should be telling in the end result.
11:00 Middlesex vs Durham

Durham

Draw No Bet

50 WIN

-166

Back it

Just a small one here, as low-ish confidence on this one. Durham is superior with the bowling and fielding, and that should be telling in the end result.
11:00 Northants vs Worcestershire

Worcestershire

Draw No Bet

80 WIN

-163

Back it

I like the amount of early sharp money that is around for this selection. It indicates a decent performance is likely from Worcestershire here. Price is a tad high.
11:00 Somerset vs Yorkshire

Yorkshire

Draw No Bet

50 WIN

-124

Back it

Generous price for a Yorkshire team who are superior in their batting compared to Somerset. I have this price no bigger than 1.75 here, so some minor value.
11:00 Surrey vs Sussex

Sussex

Draw No Bet

53 WIN

+139

Back it

Generous price here and I don't really agree with it. It should be no bigger than 2.35 in my view. The gulf in class between these two teams is small/narrow.
2nd May 2026
06:00 Auckland FC v Melbourne City

Draw & No

Result and BTTS

59 WIN

+900

Back it

Both teams are pretty sound defensively, and with so much at stake for both teams I feel they will focus on that department to produce a tight, low-scoring game.

Melbourne City 0.25

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

-108

Back it

Auckland has been in this position before: a decent regular season and then failed to produce in the playoffs. The monkey is on their back. City provide a tough test.

Draw #1-1

60 WIN

+550

Back it

Price is lower than I would like, so I'm not getting carried away with the stakes. Both teams are decent defensively, and it's a tight matchup. 1-1 is realistic here.
08:30 Parramatta Eels v New Zealand Warriors

Parramatta Eels

To Win

53 WIN

+175

Back it

This game is a close call on form, and with the Eels being at home this price is too good to refuse. The Eels produce most of their decent performances in two scenarios: 1) in their home games, and 2) when fresh off a poor performance. Both apply here.

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