surfsup

The last thing Florida wants is to have to go to a Game Seven. Despite being the better-balanced team, in a one-off game, they know anything can happen. Playing at home, I like them to close the deal. At home this season, they have a 73% win rate compared to the Oilers' 59% road win rate.

A high number of Florida's wins this season have been by 2+ and 3+. Playing at home, they have won at 73% compared to the Oilers' 59% road win rate. A win by 2 or more is paying 2.77 here, but it should not be paying any more than 2.65.

Florida are a very impressive team, and defensively they are sound, especially when playing at home. I like the amount of early sharp money on this under, which I will follow here.

the crusaders are a staggering 31 wins and zero losses in home finals in their history. they have the superior preparation for this game having been based at home with no travel in the cold conditions. plus the home side have a extra days rest. the chiefs have three losses this season all 3 have been on the road. which is very concerning for their fans. the road losses are @ Fiji Drua. @ NSW Waratahs and @ Hurricanes. these are all teams inferior to the Crusaders.