surfsup

4

Estimated Prizes
this month

£45

Estimated Prize money
this month

surfsup's Tips

7th May 2026
00:00 PHI 76ers @ NY Knicks

PHI 76ers

Money Line

53 WIN

+259

Back it

Philly has shown me enough quality of play this past month to have me think they are a better chance than this price suggests. Star player out is no big deal. Many times it happens, and many times other players step up, historically in the NBA.
00:05 TEX Rangers @ NY Yankees

TEX Rangers

Money Line

60 WIN

+175

Back it

The starting pitcher matchup here for Texas is reasonably favorable. I have this priced no bigger than 2.70, so there is some very minor value at these odds.

TEX Rangers 1.50

Run Line

50 WIN

-129

Back it

A good deal of sharp money is around for this selection, which I like and will follow here. It is a solid enough price. There is a favorable starting pitcher matchup for the visitors.
02:30 ANA Ducks @ VGS Golden Knights

ANA Ducks 1.50

Puck Line

80 WIN

-175

Back it

In the context of this series, this is a bigger game for the Ducks, so perhaps they will be hungrier and want it more. Team news is OK, as is their preparation.
19:45 Luke Littler vs Michael van Gerwen

Michael van Gerwen

Win Match 2-way

130 WIN

+240

Back it

Two high-quality players. MVG is never short of self-confidence, and that is half the battle won when taking on Littler. MVG will draw confidence from the fact he has beaten Littler in 50% of their career meetings.

Michael van Gerwen 2.50

Handicap 2-way

314 WIN

-149

Back it

MVG will draw confidence from a 50% career win rate versus Littler. This is a better head-to-head record than nearly every other player on the planet. MVG has plenty of self-confidence, which is needed in spades when playing Littler. The price and line are a tad generous here.
20:15 Josh Rock vs Luke Humphries

Josh Rock

Win Match 2-way

70 WIN

+175

Back it

Don't really agree with this price. I have it no bigger than 2.65 here, so these are value odds. Luke has shown me enough flaws over the past year or so to be opposed here at such low odds.

Josh Rock 1.50

Handicap 2-way

170 WIN

+100

Back it

Rock is too much of a quality player to be held down for much longer. Humphries has shown me enough flaws the past 12 months to be opposed at low odds here.
8th May 2026
11:00 Essex vs Hampshire

Essex

Draw No Bet

63 WIN

-200

Back it

I have more faith and trust in Essex at home than Hampshire away here. Essex have the superior bowling attack, and that should tell in the end result.
11:00 Glamorgan vs Somerset

Somerset

Draw No Bet

120 WIN

-188

Back it

Somerset have the superior batting lineup and the superior bowling attack. Other than playing at home, Glamorgan don't have much going for them here.
11:00 Nottinghamshire vs Surrey

Nottinghamshire

Draw No Bet

120 WIN

-124

Back it

Notts at home is a very tough assignment for a pretty flawed Surrey team. I have this price no bigger than 1.75, so there is some minor value here.
11:00 Sussex vs Leicestershire

Leicestershire

Draw No Bet

57 WIN

+150

Back it

Don't really agree with this price. I have it no bigger than 2.45 here, so there is some minor value. The gulf in class between these two teams is small/narrow.
11:00 Warwickshire vs Yorkshire

Warwickshire

Draw No Bet

340 WIN

-109

Back it

Yorkshire has not shown me enough high-quality play for them to be favoured here against a solid Warwickshire team playing at home, where they tend to produce their best cricket.
9th May 2026
11:30 Pakistan W vs Zimbabwe W 3rd ODI

Zimbabwe W

Win Match

50 WIN

+4000

Back it

The Pakistan women have erratic and inconsistent form, and their bowling attack is not strong. Anything is possible. Price too high here.

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