ARQ007

Travelled Man of Kent. Likes: cars, sport, eating out, working out, conversation, travel, gambling, short-sleeve shirts. All teeth my own.

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ARQ007's Tips History

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03 July 2025
12:30 Fabian Marozsan vs Jaume Munar

Jaume Munar

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.91

Win

46

Munar (ranked 55) showed in R1 that he never gives up when defeating in-form Bublik in the extreme heat. Munar has improved massively in 2025 away from clay - this season on hard, indoor hard, and grass he’s got a 59% win rate and a service/return points won total of 103, three points better than Marozsan (ranked 58). On grass alone, Munar’s stats are much better than those of Marozsan, whose form so far in his career on grass has largely been poor. In their last 10 main level matches each on the green stuff, Marozsan has a 30% win rate and a service/return points won total of just 94, Munar is on a 40% win rate and a total of 98. And in those stats, Marozsan’s return points won total is only 31.3%. We know that there’s a player in there somewhere with Marozsan, but he’s very inconsistent and far too often allows matches to drift away from him - the complete opposite of Munar, who fights for everything even when he’s being overwhelmed, as was the case at times against Bublik. This should be a real battle and I’m happy to bet on Munar.
11:00 Mirra Andreeva vs Lucia Bronzetti

Mirra Andreeva to win 2 - 0

Set Betting

50 WIN

@1.30

Win

15

Frankly, I'm amazed that Bronzetti (ranked 63) has made it to R2 at SW19, as the 26-year-old Italian has a terrible record on grass, largely because her game is totally unsuited to the surface. I saw Eala beat her 6-0, 6-1 at Eastbourne recently, with Bronzetti looking totally bereft of ideas. She was lucky to face Teichmann in R1, who's had several injury issues, and that was just her second win in her last 9 grass matches. Andreeva (ranked 7) is the new star-in-waiting, the 18-year-old Russian having won the title at Indian Wells in March and several big scalps under her belt. She's 21-3 vs. players ranked 50+ in the past 12 months, with 16 of those in straight sets.
02 July 2025
14:30 Jordan Thompson vs Benjamin Bonzi

Benjamin Bonzi

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.62

Lose

-50

Thompson (ranked 44) was lucky not to lose in R1, having been 0-2 down, but Kopriva let the injured Aussie veteran off the hook. "Thommo" was typically honest afterwards: "I felt pretty ****, to be honest... I haven’t practiced. I’ve been injured. I haven’t played many tournaments. I haven’t played at 100% this year." With that in mind, it seems a tall order for Thompson to beat Bonzi (ranked 64), who was a deserved winner over world #9 Medvedev on Monday. If the 29-year-old Frenchman plays anywhere near the level he showed in R1 (he served superbly up at around 135 mph), he should win this one. It’s always a gamble whether Bonzi recreates that level, but if so, he should beat the struggling Thompson with something to spare. Thommo has so far this season had plantar fascia issues, a groin tear, an oblique strain, another abdominal issue, a herniated disk in his back, and now a sacroiliac problem, so Bonzi should be looking to take advantage.
12:30 Nuno Borges vs Billy Harris

Billy Harris 2.50

Games Won

50 WIN

@1.85

Lose

-50

I'd expect Harris (ranked 151) to at least keep this one close. The 30-year-old Brit is, of course, at home on the grass and will have the crowd behind him at SW19. Borges (ranked 37) is just 9-13 in his career on turf and the 28-year-old Portuguese is just 3-4 here at SW19. Here's hoping a home crowd cheers our Billy on!
11:00 Jiri Lehecka vs Mattia Bellucci

Jiri Lehecka

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.22

Lose

-50

Lehecka (ranked 25) is having a good 2025, and the 23-year-old Czech is 7-3 in his last 10 matches. The losses were to world #1 Sinner, #2 Alcaraz, and #10 Shelton. Bellucci (ranked 73) is 15-12 on grass in his career but just 3-5 vs. top 100 opponents, and I can't make much of a case for the 24-year-old Italian here.
11:00 Nicolas Jarry vs Learner Tien

Learner Tien 2.50

Games Won

50 WIN

@1.83

Lose

-50

Jarry (ranked 143) - who had to come through Qualies here - was a fortunate winner over an injured Rune on Monday, the big Chilean escaping from 0-2 down against the ailing Dane (knee injury and probably struggled in the heat). Rune said afterwards: “Normally I'd have beaten him 9 times out of 10, with all due respect to Nicolas.” Jarry beat Tien (ranked 62) in Halle recently, but it’s much quicker there and was only the 19-year-old American's third career match on grass. He’s now played a fair few singles and doubles matches on the surface. Jarry played an almost perfect match that day in Halle. Tien hit 8 double faults in 2 sets and still won 60% on second serve in a match that featured only 2 break points. Since then, Tien beat big-serving Ben Shelton and Justin Engel on the grass, and he’s playing more aggressively and serving bigger than before. His leftie game will cause Jarry issues on return, and his Wimbledon record isn’t great either: 4-5. Tien will have learned a lot from their first grass meeting, and I’m happy to take a chance on him here.
01 July 2025
14:30 Caty McNally vs Jodie Burrage

Jodie Burrage

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.80

Lose

-50

It's never an easy bet on Burrage (ranked 154), but the 26-year-old Brit is much more experienced on grass than her opponent here, McNally (ranked 208). Since 2021, the 23-year-old American is 14-10 on turf, but 10 of those matches were in qualifiers, and she's played just 4 matches on turf since 2023. Burrage, since 2023, is just 9-10, but all but 3 of those matches were main draw ones, and 5 of her last 7 defeats were to top 50 opponents. She really should have beaten reigning Wimbledon champ Krejcikova at Eastbourne last week but lost in a decider. She also took eventual finalist Anisimova to a decider at Queens earlier this month. These two also met here in R1 in 2023, and Burrage won 2-0.
14:30 Yuliia Starodubtseva vs Francesca Jones

Francesca Jones

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.80

Lose

-50

While 24-year-old Brit Fran Jones (ranked 122) hasn't shown a great pedigree on grass, she has at least been playing at a decent level on turf and practicing with some top-quality players. Both she and Starodubtseva (ranked 68) are statistically better on clay, but Jones won their only prior head-to-head, on dirt, in straight sets in Mexico last year. In the wilds of Court 17, the home crowd will be cheering her on loudly.
13:00 Maya Joint vs Liudmila Samsonova

Maya Joint 3.50

Games Won

50 WIN

@1.83

Lose

-50

Taking a risk here as Joint (ranked 41) is coming off the biggest win in her career, having taken the title at Eastbourne on Saturday. So I'm hoping there's no let-down here. Hopefully, the 19-year-old Aussie is full of confidence. Although Samsonova (ranked 19) has more experience and you'd think a game suited to grass, the 26-year-old Russian has often flattered to deceive on turf, and she's just 7-4 here at SW19 in her career. Small risk.
12:30 Jesper De Jong vs Christopher Eubanks

Christopher Eubanks

Win Match

50 WIN

@2.00

Lose

-50

Because of injury issues Eubanks (ranked 130) has seen main level appearances restricted. But the 29yo American made QFs on clay in Houston in his last tournament, great for a player whose game is all about serve and first strike tennis. That is very effective on grass and if fit could well be overwhelming on a slick, R1 grass court at SW19 for De Jong (ranked 106). The diminutive 25yo Dutchman is a claycourter who likes to construct points. Eubanks has beaten him in both career clashes and has liked the relatively weak De Jong serve, winning a huge (for him) 39% of return points and leading the service/return points won totals by 104 to 96. Those meetings were a few years ago, but Eubanks will remember them, likewise his run to the last 8 here two years ago. He's played at the Hurlingham Club this week and looks in form, beating Tiafoe and losing in 2 TBs to world #14 Rublev. He said: “Since getting here in London and practising, I feel my game is as good as it's been all year. So I'm excited to get going on the grass". Let's hope so!
11:00 Clara Tauson vs Heather Watson

Clara Tauson

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.25

Win

12

Since 2024, Heather Watson (ranked 143) is just 8-13 vs. top 100 opposition, 3-5 vs. top 50 players, and the majority of the wins have been on faster surfaces vs. players one would describe as "clay courters" (such as in Queen's qualies vs. Sonmez and Eastbourne qualies vs. Bouzas Maneiro). Tauson (ranked 22) has a patchy record on grass, but the tall 22-year-old Dane really should be doing well on it with her big serve and solid groundstrokes. She is just 7-4 vs. players ranked 100+ in the last 12 months, but 3 of her losses were to Andreescu, Kenin (both former Slam champs!), and former top 50 player Ajla Tomljanovic (who's been out injured) in the Hong Kong final. "Hev" folded pretty tamely in qualies at Eastbourne vs. #80 ranked Rakhimova LTO, and I fear this is near the end of the road for the veteran Brit.
11:00 Irina Camelia Begu vs Kaja Juvan

Kaja Juvan

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.30

Lose

-50

Progress at Wimbledon is not really something that 34-year-old Romanian Begu (ranked 134) is too bothered about. The veteran focuses on clay most of the season. Last season, 39 of her 44 matches were on the dirt. She has not played a single grass court match this term before today. Whilst Juvan (ranked 240) is also more focused on clay courts, the 24-year-old Slovenian has won 3 matches here in Qualies and is 9-3 on grass since Wimbledon 2022. This is after missing the whole of 2024 when sidelined for 12 months, only returning to action in January (hence her low ranking). I'd expect her to be the more acclimatized and motivated of the two here.
11:00 Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Lorenzo Musetti

Nikoloz Basilashvili 4.50

Games Won

50 WIN

@2.00

Win

50

It's a brave man to bet on Basilashvili (ranked 126), but the mercurial 33-year-old Georgian has come through Qualies here at Wimbledon, and he'll be looking for a decent pay cheque. He beat world #7 Musetti in their only prior meeting on grass, in 2022, in straight sets. The 23-year-old Italian has a lot of points to defend as he made the semifinals here last year, but I'm sure he can’t be fit having not played since retiring with a leg injury at the French Open. In fact, he’s withdrawn from all of his planned grass events this summer, including an exhibition match at the Hurlingham Club, so it’s hard to see how he can be fit for 5 sets at Wimbledon. Big-hitting Basil is more at home on clay but is a former Halle semifinalist on grass and has made the last 32 at Wimbledon a couple of times.
30 June 2025
17:45 5:45 Windsor

Hello Luna

Daily Racing

25 EW

@9.00

Lose

-50

Johnny Portman's 3yo Hello Youmzain filly won a handicap by a head off a mark of 62 here last time out. Upped 3 pounds for that but has a significant jockey booking in Billy Loughnane. Clearly enjoys fast ground, so in an open race, with yard in form, she looks a threat.
15:30 Andrey Rublev vs Laslo Djere

Over 39.50

Total Games

50 WIN

@2.00

Win

50

Djere (ranked 60) is not known for his grass court prowess, but the 30-year-old Serbian has some game on the green stuff (he's 3-3 this year). World #14 Rublev has only won 3 of his 14 main draw matches here at SW19 in straight sets and is not in great form at present.
15:00 Billy Harris vs Dusan Lajovic

Billy Harris

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.50

Win

25

You'd really expect Harris (ranked 151) to win this. The 30-year-old Brit is, of course, at home on the grass and will have the crowd behind him at SW19. Lajovic (ranked 118) has never had a great run here at Wimbledon or anywhere on grass, to be honest. The 35-year-old Serbian is 8-26 in his career on the green stuff and just 6-13 here at Wimbledon in his career.
13:00 Greet Minnen vs Olivia Gadecki

Greet Minnen

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.22

Void

0

Whilst Gadecki (ranked 103) has some form on grass from a run to the SFs at the ITF event in Ilkley last year, the 23-year-old Aussie hasn't really shone on the surface and is just 1-3 this term. By contrast, Minnen (ranked 70) has a decent record on turf. The 27-year-old Belgian is 33-19 career on grass (24-8 vs lower-ranked opposition), captured the title in Birmingham earlier this month, and also won the only prior H2H with Gadecki (on clay) last year.
11:00 Vit Kopriva vs Jordan Thompson

Vit Kopriva 4.50

Games Won

50 WIN

@1.87

Win

44

Ordinarily, I'd be backing Thompson (ranked 44) here, on his favored grass, but the 31-year-old Aussie is most likely not fully fit. The veteran is highly effective on grass and classes, but he’s barely been fit all year and wasn’t competitive in either the Australian Open or the French, having decided to play. I’m sure that he’ll want to step out on what he calls the “hallowed turf” of Wimbledon, but he’s only completed 13 matches all season and retired at Queen’s Club with a back issue and hasn’t been seen since. That’s after various other injuries that have decimated his season, and I feel he’s turning up here hopeful, rather than confident, his body can cope. Kopriva (ranked 78) is more of a clay man, but he beat Gasquet in Wimbledon qualifiers last year and only lost in a final set tiebreak to Quinn in Majorca last week, so he can play on the green stuff. Kopriva is a grinder, and I wonder if Thommo’s body can last the distance?
29 June 2025
16:10 4:10 Curragh

Lambourn

Daily Racing

62 WINNAP

@1.83

Win

51

Not sure about the overall form of this Classic generation, but Aiden O'Brien's Australia colt ran his rivals ragged in the UK Derby at Epsom, winning by 4 lengths last time out. He's been steadily progressive, and this is the top course jockey/trainer combination, with the yard having won the last two runnings of this race. This 12f distance almost certainly suits him better than 10f and should prove tough to peg back once again at a stiffer track.

Tennessee Stud

Daily Racing

25 EW

@8.00

Lose

-50

Joseph O'Brien's Wootton Bassett colt finished a couple of places behind today's re-opposing favourite last time out in the UK version at Epsom, but was given too much to do in a race dominated from the front. At this more conventional track, if ridden slightly more positively, he could get much closer to reversing that form, so he's taken to at least place here.
14:25 2:25 Curragh

Erosandpsyche

Daily Racing

25 EW

@81.00

Lose

-50

This horse may not be the force of old, but he's still rated 102 (and joint fourth highest rated here). He was second in the Group 1 Flying Five Stakes here in 2022 and, after a long layoff, has come back in decent form. New yard, for whom he was a solid 3 1/4 lengths third in the Midsummer Sprint Stakes (Listed) over 5f at Cork LTO. Has a top jockey back on board, and I'll take a risk at this price with an extra place.
00:00 BC Lions @ SAS Roughriders

SAS Roughriders

Money Line

50 WIN

@1.60

Win

30

The Roughriders have started this season 3-0 and put up 39 points in Toronto last week against an Argos side that's actually favored to win the Grey Cup. The Lions (1-2) have lost the last 2 times they visited Regina, and their defense has struggled in their first 3 games this term. They now face the second-highest scoring offense so far in 2025. British Columbia are 1-7 in their last 8 games on the road. Saskatchewan are 4-1 in their last 5 games at Mosaic Stadium.
28 June 2025
20:00 8:00 Doncaster

Riot

Daily Racing

25 EW

@5.50

Lose

-50

Richard Fahey's 8-year-old son of Kingman has 2 wins and a place from his 4 runs over this C&D, and indeed he won this very contest last year. Ran to form when beaten by just 0.75 of a length off a mark of 74 here LTO 13 days ago, and whilst he's raised 2 pounds for that, he's still 8 lbs lower than when winning this 12 months ago. He looks primed for a big run here.
16:40 4:40 Curragh

Gordon Bennett

Daily Racing

25 EW

@6.00

Lose

-50

This 7yo Prince of Lir gelding has 5 places and a win from 11 runs over C&D, and he was beaten by only a length off this same mark of 70 at Fairyhouse last time out. He has a poor strike rate, but we know he goes well here and seems back in form on an attractive mark. At these odds, an e/w bet to nothing.
15:30 3:30 Curragh

Kalpana

Daily Racing

80 WINNB

@2.38

Lose

-80

Andrew Balding's UK raider ran a blinder here on her last visit here when third in the Tattersalls Gold Cup and she can strike again in a Group 1. She won at the highest level in testing conditions over almost a mile and a half at Ascot last October and the Study Of Man filly showed last month that she's also capable of a top-class run on better going over this trip. The one to beat.

Whirl

Daily Racing

35 EW

@2.62

Win

70

Not an each-way price, but the one for the forecast. Aiden O'Brien's daughter of Wootton Bassett was the Oaks runner-up, and she gets a nice chunk of weight from her older rivals, so she has to be a big danger. She was just edged out by stablemate Minnie Hauk at Epsom and is entitled to be a big player again here.
13:40 1:40 Newcastle

Pocklington

Daily Racing

25 EW

@4.50

Lose

-8

Gary Oldroyd's 4yo Blue Point colt seemed to want further when beaten 3 lengths off a mark of 96 over 5f at York last time out. That was after returning from a long layoff. His previous run was when performing creditably in the Group 3 Commonwealth Cup at Ascot. Both of his career wins have been here over CD. This is a second run after a wind op, and this smart sprinter is a big player here.
00:30 MON Alouettes @ HAM Tiger Cats

Over 48.50

Game Totals

50 WIN

@1.91

Win

46

I just think this total is too low. Here we have a Montreal (3-0) side that's the leading scorer so far in the CFL (105 points after 3 games) and a Hamilton side that, whilst 0-2, has scored 49 points in 2 matches. Equally, the Ti-Cats' D has been pretty poor, allowing 66 points (33 PPG). So I think we have a potential for points here!
27 June 2025
17:50 5:50 Curragh

Dark Viper

Daily Racing

25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@5.50

Void

0

Jessie Harrington's 4-year-old son of Dark Angel was a game winner when scoring by 3/4 length off a mark of 71 over 8f at Leopardstown three starts back. He has run two solid races since, over this 7f trip in Apprentice handicaps, last time out fifth beaten 4.5 lengths off this rating of 74. Gets a top jockey back on board (Shane Foley) but carries a low weight, so has a big shout here.
01:30 EDM Elks @ WIN Bluebombers

WIN Bluebombers

Money Line

53 WIN

@1.18

Win

10

There's a big talent disparity separating these two teams. The Bombers made the Grey Cup Final last season, and the Elks... well, they finished with another losing season. Yes, Winnipeg is playing on shorter rest, but this is just the third game of the season. The Blue Bombers play Calgary next, so it's not a big 'look ahead' game. They'll be without Brady Olivera, perhaps the best RB in the CFL, but he was out last week, and backup Peterson filled in nicely with little drop-off. Their #1 QB Zach Collaros is back this week after a game suspension, so we should see the offense ticking. Winnipeg's defense has only allowed 17 PPG, and much of that was garbage time last week. Edmonton has allowed 34.5 PPG, and tonight they're without their starting center. The Elks' D has only one sack in two games. Winnipeg is on a mission this year to get back to the Grey Cup. They're at home and should get this done for us.

WIN Bluebombers Over 31.50

Team Points 2-Way (Home)

50 WIN

@1.83

Win

41

Here we have a very good team, and a good offense, playing at home (the 2-0 Bombers - who made the Grey Cup Final last season) against a poor team on the road (the 0-2 Elks who finished last term with another losing season). Yes, Winnipeg is playing on shorter rest, but this is just the third game of the season. They'll be without Brady Olivera, perhaps the best RB in the CFL, but he was out last week, and backup Peterson filled in nicely with little drop-off. Their #1 QB Zach Collaros is back this week after a game suspension, so we should see the offense ticking. Edmonton's D has allowed 34.5 PPG so far and has only one sack in two games. Tonight Edmonton are without their starting center so their offense will likely struggle to stay on the field. Winnipeg is on a mission this year to get back to the Grey Cup. They're at home and should get this done for us.
26 June 2025
19:45 7:45 Hamilton

Spy Kingdom

Daily Racing

25 EW

@5.50

Lose

-3

Archie Watson's 3yo colt was pretty weak in the market when fourth, beaten by 7 lengths, in a maiden over a mile at Redcar LTO. Prior to that, he'd been a close runner-up in his first two starts over that same trip. But now, upped in distance here with Hollie Doyle aboard, running for some rather noteworthy connections, he rates a big threat.
12:30 Jenson Brooksby vs Daniel Evans

Daniel Evans

Win Match

50 WIN

@2.00

Lose

-50

Taking a punt on Dan Evans (ranked 170) here. The veteran Brit got a wildcard to this event, and I think he's looking to make the best of such an opportunity. He's already beaten two higher-ranked players, both with decent grass court experience, and now gets a player ranked #149 with a lot less such experience. Brooksby (ranked 149) has just 19 career matches on turf, and the 24-year-old American has had most success on grass in Newport, USA, where conditions are typically much faster (and suit his big serve/groundstrokes much better) than here in Eastbourne. "Evo" will get home support, of course, and the form of his two wins here stacks up much better than that of Brooksby's two vs. "clay courters."
12:00 Hamad Medjedovic vs Felix Auger Aliassime

Over 23.50

Total Games

50 WIN

@2.05

Win

52

At odds against, with a "manageable" total here, I have to go Over. It's been so hot in Mallorca, and here we have two players who each won around 80% of first serve points in their R16 matches here. They also each won about 30% of first serve return points. That would suggest we're in for a service-dominated affair, and given we've also seen FAA (ranked 27) play a lot of tight/deciding set matches in his career, and we know Medjedovic (ranked 73) plays an "all or nothing" brand of tennis (which is high-variance), I'll go Overs here.
11:00 Billy Harris vs Ugo Humbert

Over 22.50

Total Games

50 WIN

@1.95

Lose

-50

Billy Harris (ranked 142) is a clear underdog here, but the 30-year-old Brit has great grass court experience and a good record at the main level - 29-17 the past 3 seasons. He made the semifinals here in Eastbourne last year (one set from the final, in fact), so his grass credentials are solid. He's got a big serve which is very effective on turf and has saved 17 of 20 break points faced in his 4 matches here so far (he lost in the qualifiers, but got back in as a Lucky Loser). And he's now beaten 2 lefties in the past 2 matches here - and world #20 Humbert is also a southpaw, so Harris should be used to the type of play. Humbert got a good win here vs. Sonego on Wednesday in which he didn't face a single break point. The 26-year-old Frenchman is not the most consistent on grass and has never played Harris before, so I like the Overs here.
25 June 2025
14:30 Daniel Evans vs Tommy Paul

Over 22.50

Total Games

50 WIN

@1.83

Win

41

Tommy Paul (ranked 13) has played 7 matches here in Eastbourne in his career (4 en route to the final in 2023) and 5 of them have gone to a deciding set, with one of the other 2 featuring a tiebreak. All 3 of his career matches with Dan Evans (ranked 170) have gone to a decider. "Evo" got a wildcard to this event and you can be sure he's going to give it a go here, as he showed in Round 1 when he dug in after a poor start/set 1 loss to beat Kecmanovic in a decider. It's not going to be that warm by the seaside on Wednesday, so that negates some of Paul's game (big serve, groundstrokes) and the Centre Court crowd will be right behind Evans. I don't think this will be easy for either player.
12:00 Corentin Moutet vs Daniel Altmaier

Corentin Moutet

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.45

Win

22

It’s always a risk with the unpredictable Moutet (ranked 83), but yesterday in Majorca, the 26-year-old Frenchman showed more determination than in days gone by. He battled hard to win a really long service game in the full early afternoon heat to avoid going a set and break down. Thereon in, he dominated Martinez and now faces another opponent who much prefers high-bouncing clay to grass. Altmaier (ranked 59) was fortunate to beat the fading Fognini in R1, and the 28-year-old German has just a 38% win rate and service/return points won total of 95 on grass. He's won just 3 of his 14 grass matches versus top-100 opponents, all of whom were 'clay courters' (Baez, Lajovic, and Estrella in a final set TB in 2017). This career series is a bad one for Altmaier, with Moutet winning all 4 of their completed matches on clay and hard, his wicked slices causing big problems for Altmaier, who likes rhythm and isn’t comfortable being drawn into the net. This looks like a great opportunity for Moutet to keep up his recent good form.
11:00 Beibit Zhukayev vs Yannick Hanfmann

Yannick Hanfmann

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.25

Lose

-50

Hanfmann (ranked 137) has a decent game for grass. The 33-year-old German is 5-2 on the turf so far in 2025, and he gave world #1 Sinner a decent test in Halle recently. He's 16-8 in his career vs. players ranked outside the top 100. His opponent, Zhukayev (ranked 251), has limited grass court experience at this level. The 24-year-old Kazakh is just 9-8 on the green stuff his whole career, and just 2-5 vs. those in the top 150.
11:00 Eliot Spizzirri vs Alex Bolt

Alex Bolt

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.44

Win

22

Bolt (ranked 181) really should be winning this one as the 32-year-old Aussie has a lot more experience on grass than does Spizzirri (ranked 124). The 23-year-old American is just 2-6 on the green stuff his entire career. Bolt is 13-5 on grass in the past 12 months.
11:00 Lorenzo Sonego vs Ugo Humbert

Lorenzo Sonego 1.50

Games Won

50 WIN

@2.00

Lose

-50

Sonego (ranked 48) is probably (unfairly) typecast as a "clay courter," but the 30-year-old Italian actually made the final here in Eastbourne in 2021, and he got a good straight-sets win in R1 over #58 Marozsan. And I'm not convinced by Humbert (ranked 20), either physically (he's had several issues lately) or on grass, on which the 26-year-old Frenchman is 10-10 in his career vs. top 50 opposition. Now, Sonego is 6-11 with the same parameters, but has played the likes of Federer, Nadal, Berrettini, and Sinner. This could be close, so I'll take a small head start.
24 June 2025
16:00 Jacob Fearnley vs Flavio Cobolli

Jacob Fearnley

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.67

Win

34

The strong winds (and it is blustery, I was in Eastbourne yesterday!) are likely to make this a clash of who "wants it" more, and that will surely be 23-year-old Brit, Fearnley (ranked 51), who loves playing on the grass. He made the QFs at Queen’s Club last week, beaten only by a very good Lehecka, who made the final. "Jakey" will be motivated playing at home, while Cobolli (ranked 24) has often stated his dislike for grass, which doesn’t suit his play style. Although the 23-year-old Italian has a half-decent record on turf (5-7), he's at his best in very slow conditions (Hamburg and Bucharest titles on very slow clay) where a fairly weak serve is compensated for by his strong return game. It’s not so easy to recover a break deficit on grass, and Fearnley has a stronger serve and a more aggressive game that suits turf. The Scot has won 12 of his 19 career matches on grass at all levels, and Fearnley has slightly better stats at the main level on grass. This is due on Centre Court, so the crowd will be behind the Brit.
15:00 Rebecca Marino vs Gabriela Knutson

Rebecca Marino

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.20

Lose

-50

Not great odds, but Marino (ranked 114) has so much experience on grass. The 34-year-old Canadian also showed how it suits her big-hitting game by making the final of the Ilkley event recently, only losing to 'rising star' American Jovic. Since her return to tennis in 2021 (she took a 'career break'), she's 17-6 on grass vs opponents ranked 100+. I don't know much about Knutson (ranked 219), but the 28-year-old Czech has, from what I see, played just 4 career matches on the green stuff.
21 June 2025
14:03 2:03 Newmarket

Youarenotforgiven

Daily Racing

25 EW

@15.00

Lose

-50

Bit of a punt here but, Tony Carroll doesn't send many horses to HQ and this 7yo Starspangledbanner gelding is now 3 pounds below his LWM, has a 7 pound claimer aboard and drops in class here. Surely worth a go at double figure odds.
19 June 2025
16:00 Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Bublik

Over 21.50

Total Games

50 WIN

@1.80

Win

40

This is a repeat of the 2023 QF here in Halle in which Bublik (ranked 45) led by a set and a break before now world #1 Sinner retired with a leg injury. A slick, quick, grass court like this one is where the 28yo Kazakh usually excels. Bublik has an 88% win rate here, a service/return points won total of 111, 91% service holds and 85% first serve points won. Sinner’s stats are 89% win rate, service/return points won total of 108, 95% holds, 81% first serve points won. In that aborted clash Bublik held serve 86% and was on fire again on serve in R1 LTO, holding 100% of the time, winning 89% first serve points, 12 aces and no BPs faced. Bublik’s unorthodox game will deprive Sinner of rhythm and while Sinner is more comfortable at the net now, he’s not a natural there - Bublik will look to bring him off the baseline/out of his comfort zone with dropshots and short slices. Having made the last 8 at the French Open Bublik’s game is in good order and he clearly loves playing here. I think he makes this a test.
11:00 Leylah Fernandez vs Cristina Bucsa

Leylah Fernandez

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.33

Win

17

Fernandez (ranked 30) has a decent game for grass, the 22yo Canadian made the QFs in Birmingham and teh Final at Eastbourne last year. She has a 2-0 H2H record over Bucsa (ranked 107), who does not have a great game for grass, she relies on consistency and mistakes from her opponent. The 27yo Spaniard is 4-2 on grass this term but the form of her wins is not great and she is 4-9 in her career on turf vs top 100 ranked opponents.
10:30 Felix Auger Aliassime vs Karen Khachanov

Felix Auger Aliassime

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.80

Lose

-50

Auger-Aliassime (ranked 27) has a decent record here in Halle, the 24yo Canadian is 6-2 with the losses both excusable. He got 2 good wins in Stuttgart last week and it was a tight loss in the SF there to eventual winner Fritz., plus he started here this week with a gtood win over a tricky opponent (FTO on grass this season for FAA). He has a 2-1 H2H with Khachanov (ranked 21) and I'm just not convinced by the yo Russian on the turf. He's just 3-4 on grass vs top 50 opponents since 2020 and one of those wins was here yesterday against a likely very fatigued Bergs, who'd just had a pretty tough tournament (he made the final) in Rosmalen.
18 June 2025
10:30 Quentin Halys vs Daniil Medvedev

Quentin Halys 2.50

Games Won

50 WIN

@2.25

Lose

-50

At Odds Against, I'll take a shot at Halys (ranked 48) getting a head start in a match where service breaks should be few. Halys is a decent player on grass, the 28yo Frenchman has some weapons especially his big serve (he hit 18 aces and won 90% of his first serve points on Monday against Bonzi). And Medvedev (ranked 11) is in poor form and has a rather awful recent record against big servers - on grass he’s 0-4 against them, latterly his capitulation last week to Opelka in Rosmalen when he handed the match to Opelka with DFs. In all Medvedev has lost 6 of his last 9 matches against big servers. It’s not easy to play the way Medvedev does on quick grass and he was beaten here last year by Zhizhen Zhang, so Halys should fancy this and looks value.
17 June 2025
15:00 Jordan Thompson vs Jaume Munar

Jordan Thompson

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.38

Void

0

Although he's not been in great form of late, I really sould expect Thompson (ranked 37) to win here. The 31yo Aussie loves grass and his loss LTO in Hertogenbosch to eventual winner Diallo doesn't look so bad now. He's 17-10 on grass since 2023, 13-4 in that span vs opponents ranked 50+. Munar (ranked 59) is a confirmed clay-courter, the 28yo Spaniard is just 3-13 in his career on turf.
13:30 Felix Auger Aliassime vs Laslo Djere

Felix Auger Aliassime

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.33

Win

17

Auger-Aliassime (ranked 27) has a decent record here in Halle, the 24yo Canadian is 5-2 with the losses both excusable. He got 2 good wins in Stuttgart last week and it was a tight loss in the SF there to eventual winner Fritz. Djere (ranked 65) is not great on grass, the 30yo Serbian much prefers clay and he's just 6-6 on turf since 2023. He has won 2 Qualies matches here but I just feel Auger-Aliassime will have too much in these fast conditons.
12:00 Francisco Cerundolo vs Alex Michelsen

Alex Michelsen

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.91

Win

46

Cerundolo (ranked 18) won a grass title at Eastbourne in 2023, but was rather fortunate to win that and his grass stats are some way inferior to those of Michelsen (ranked 33). Cerundolo didn't win a match on grass last year and his main level service/return points won total on turf is just 97, with a win rate of 47%. Michelsen's service/return points won total on grass is 102 with a win rate of 56%. The 20yo American's game is naturally more suited to grass and in very quick conditions in Halle he can take time off Cerundolo, who hasn't played since a shock R1 loss in Paris to Diallo. Michelsen played a couple of matches in Stuttgart last week and made the doubles final. so he should be more attuned to the conditions and we'll see how motivated Cerundolo is for this grass swing having played a ton of tennis this year, so he may well be less than committed for this few weeks before heading back to the clay after Wimbledon.
12:00 Ugo Humbert vs Denis Shapovalov

Denis Shapovalov 1.50

Games Won

50 WIN

@1.95

Win

47

Humbert (ranked 20) still looks to be struggling physically - the 26yo Frenchman was flat out on the turf having treatment for a back issue LTO and wasn't moving well in the latter stages. He also has a worse record against fellow lefties, like Shapovalov (ranked 31), at main level (50% win rate versus 54% against righties). And on grass vs lefties he's suffered some bad losses - Peniston, Monteiro and Mannarino have beaten Humbert on turf (his only wins on grass against lefties came against clay dog Delbonis and lowly-ranked Gijs Brouwer). The H2H with Shapovalov favours the 26yo Canadian leads the service/return points won totals of their series by 101.4 to 98.6 and he's won 3 of their 5 clashes. Shapo's wins all came on clay, but we know Humbert has struggled on grass vs lefties. "Shapo" should be desperate to make up for what was a weak performance LTO vs Rinderknech in Stuttgart and this looks a decent chance to do just that.

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