ARQ007
Travelled Man of Kent. Likes: cars, sport, eating out, working out, conversation, travel, gambling, short-sleeve shirts. All teeth my own.
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ARQ007's Tips History
25 November 2025
13:00 1:00 Lingfield
Havana Sky
Daily Racing
25 EW
@5.00
Lose
-50
Ed Dunlop's 4yo Havana Gold gelding won by a neck off a mark of 67 here over C&D (6f) two starts ago and again ran well when third last time out over 7f at Wolverhampton, 17 days ago. The drop back down in trip should suit and he gets the assistance of Rossa Ryan again (as when he won here).
Subtotal-50
23 November 2025
14:36 2:36 Exeter
Good Friday Fairy
Daily Racing
25 EW
@6.00
Win
150
Ben Clarke's 8-year-old gelding finished second here on his only prior run over C&D last year, and then his form was on the up. He helped set up the race for a closer when beaten a length off a mark of 116 at Fontwell when last seen in March. Goes well fresh and acts on heavy and soft going, so if he's fit after his break, looks worth a go.
Subtotal150
22 November 2025
18:10 6:10 Newcastle
Art Design
Daily Racing
25 EW
@17.00
Lose
-50
With 4 places here, taking a punt on Julie Camacho's 3yo No Nay Never filly who's now dropped to a pound below her last winning mark, which was on the AW at Southwell in 2024 when she was with William Haggas. She has some good back form and drops to this level for the first time since that win. Discount her run LTO when short of room in a Doncaster handicap. She has the cheekpieces on for the first time here, is suited by 6f, and could well bounce back.
15:35 3:35 Haydock
Famous Bridge
Daily Racing
25 EW
@7.50
Lose
-50
I think this is a big price for Nicky Richards' 9-year-old son of Fame And Glory. He's a very decent chaser and has been running in top company. So his seemingly below-form first hurdles run since 2022 LTO, well beaten over 3m at Ayr, doesn't surprise me and can be treated as a fitness run. He has 2 wins and a place in 3 runs over this C&D and drops into a handicap here. Looks the class angle to me.
15:15 3:15 Ascot
JPR One
Daily Racing
25 EW
@5.50
Lose
-3
Joe Tizzard's 8-year-old son of Court Cave clearly needed the run when a 22-length third in the Grade 2 Haldon Gold Cup Handicap Chase at Exeter last time out. He has the cheekpieces on for the first time here, but the yard is in form and he's been dropped a couple of pounds here.
14:10 2:10 Punchestown
Lossiemouth
Daily Racing
66 WINNAP
@1.30
Win
19
Well, this really should be a penalty kick with an open goal for Willie Mullins' 6yo daughter of Great Pretender who's rated 5 pounds clear of her rivals yet is in receipt of 7 pounds mares allowance. She's a dual Grade 1 winner at this track, signed off last season with an impressive victory at Aintree in April and has always run well off the back of a break. This top-class grey really should be winning this by some distance.
13:40 1:40 Punchestown
Waterford Whispers
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@2.75
Lose
-50
I thought Henry de Bromhead's Westerner gelding would improve when sent chasing, and that's been the case. He looked in need of a stiffer test when 5.25 lengths third in a novice chase over 2m2f at Galway last time out and certainly looks very interesting back up in trip off a lenient opening mark based on debut form.
13:30 1:30 Ascot
Il Est Francais
Daily Racing
25 EW
@4.33
Lose
-50
The word 'Mercurial' springs to mind with this horse, who could just as easily blow this lot away as throw in an absolute howler, but that's factored into the price. If he's up for this, the two-time Grade 1 winner could win this by mileage. He ran okay when a 12 lengths third in a Listed hurdle over 2m3f at Compiegne in May and has now switched to the Tom George yard. The trip looks ideal and has strong claims on the form of his second in last year's King George.
13:15 1:15 Haydock
Kabral Du Mathan
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@2.62
Win
81
The Skeltons have a strong team at Haydock today and this 5yo Pastorius gelding has his first run for them having been with Paul Nicholls. He improved last time out when he was beaten by just a neck off a mark of 139 over 2m at Ayr in April but has since undergone a wind operation. Should have more to offer this season.
12:32 12:32 Punchestown
Kitzbuhel
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@1.53
Win
26
Willie Mullins' 5yo French import improved when dropped in trip but was given too much to do when 0.75 lengths third in the Grade 2 Select Hurdle over 2m6f when last seen at Sandown in April. The yard has taken the last two runnings of this race and this classy hurdler is a smart recruit to fences and the leading player on overall form.
Subtotal-77
19 November 2025
20:10 8:10 Kempton
Miss Tonnerre
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 5.50 on 18/11 at 22:270.20 deduction for Tiger@4.33 withdrawn at 12:53R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 4.50 x (1-0.20) = 4.60Best Odds Guaranteed SP 13.00 used instead of 4.60 BOG
@13.00
Win
35
Ed Walker's 3yo Night of Thunder filly was well below her best form when finishing down the field in the John Musker Fillies' Stakes (Listed) over 10f at Yarmouth last time out. But her form from last year is so good (she ran in the Musidora Stakes) it's tough to ignore. Wears a hood first time and yard in form.
15:01 3:01 Hexham
Tory Hill
Daily Racing
25 EW
@11.00
Void
0
This 7yo Milan gelding was a 4-time runner-up in 5 Irish PtPs over 2023-24, but didn’t show a great deal in 3 starts over hurdles in maiden/novice company. There is plenty to like about his physique, a chasing type with scope for the future. Having received a mark of 92, he was sent straight over fences in a 3m handicap at Ayr, Brian Hughes taking the ride. That run was better than the bare 16.5 length defeat would suggest - the jockey took him wide throughout and didn’t knock him about when outpaced around the home bend. Now dropped 5lbs, if he has the ability, he should be making an impact.
Subtotal35
18 November 2025
01:15 DAL Cowboys @ LV Raiders
Brock Bowers (LV Raiders)
Anytime Touchdown Scorer
50 WIN
@2.10
Lose
-50
It's hard to feel great about the Raiders right now, but they know they need to get Bowers the ball more and Dallas is the perfect team to do it against. The Cowboys have struggled to stop the pass all season, giving up a league-high 16 receiving touchdowns to wide receivers. Bowers might be a tight end but he can more than take advantage of those same opportunities tonight.
Subtotal-50
16 November 2025
23:00 MON Alouettes @ SAS Roughriders
Over 49.00
Game Totals
50 WIN
@1.91
Lose
-50
A high total, but offenses have largely prevailed this season in the CFL, and the Grey Cup final's recent history is one of over trends on totals. This looks evenly matched, and this is a huge opportunity for both teams who will be giving it their all. Forecast and conditions look chilly but clear at the Princess Auto Stadium, and I think this one goes over.
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21:25 KC Chiefs @ DEN Broncos
KC Chiefs
Money Line
50 WIN
@1.48
Lose
-50
I do think this will be a close game (see separate Spread tip), but the fact is the Chiefs (5-4) have had an extra week to rest and prepare for this huge division matchup, which they really need to win. And although KC are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 against Denver, they're 17-2 straight-up in their last 19 against the Broncos. And KC head coach Andy Reid is 27-4 coming off a bye week in his coaching career, counting playoffs.
DEN Broncos 4.00
Point Spread
50 WIN
@1.91
Win
46
Denver are 8-2 behind an unremitting pass rush, leading the AFC West despite some unsightly wins and a poor strength of schedule. But the Chiefs (5-4) have hardly carried all before them this term, and the Bills provided the blueprint for making KC QB Mahomes uncomfortable and upset the Chiefs' offensive operation in a 28-21 win earlier this month. Yes, KC has had a week off, but I think this will be tight.
21:05 SF 49ers @ ARI Cardinals
SF 49ers
Money Line
87 WIN
@1.62
Win
54
San Francisco (6-4) get starting QB Purdy back today, and although I think he won't be 100%, he has had a lot of success since he got the 'Niners job against Arizona (3-6). Yes, the 49ers D is banged up, but the entire Cardinals team is seemingly on IR. The 49ers haven’t lost consecutive games all season, winning all three times after losses this term, and they're 5-2 in their last 7 games against Arizona. Arizona is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games, and although backup QB Brisset has been good, he's missing a lot of weapons. San Fran HC Shanahan is so much better than his Arizona equivalent, Gannon. I'll take the 'Niners here.
ARI Cardinals 3.50
Point Spread
50 WIN
@1.91
Lose
-50
Although I feel the 49ers (6-4) win this game (see separate tip) and that Arizona (3-6) are missing too many key players, the fact is that backup QB Brisset has been serviceable in relief and the Cardinals are 13-7 ATS in their last 20 games (and San Francisco is 6-13 ATS in their last 19 games). San Fran do get starting QB Purdy back, but he will be both rusty and perhaps wary of his toe injury, so I think the Cardinals can keep this close at home.
Over 48.50
Game Totals
50 WIN
@1.95
Win
47
As beat up as these two teams are, Arizona especially, both teams have really got issues on the defensive side of the ball. San Fran were just not able to stop the Rams last week, yet played well on offense. As many injuries as the Cardinals have on offense, they have still managed to score 20+ points in their last 6 games, including against some good defenses. The total has gone over in 5 of San Francisco's last 7 games and in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games, and despite the high number, I believe it does here.
Trey McBride (ARI Cardinals)
Anytime Touchdown Scorer
50 WIN
@2.05
Win
52
At odds against, I have to take a shot at Arizona (3-6) Tight End McBride, who's got 6 TDs from 9 games this season. And this 49ers (6-4) defense is riddled with injuries, especially in their secondary, and this usually stingy unit has conceded 19 passing TDs in their 10 games so far. I'll take a chance on the Cardinals' best aerial threat.
18:00 CAR Panthers @ ATL Falcons
Over 41.50
Game Totals
50 WIN
@1.91
Win
46
Yes, these two offenses have greatly under-produced, but this number just looks low given the weapons that will be on show here on artificial turf. Atlanta (3-6) star RB Bijan Robinson and Panthers (5-5) RB Rico Dowdle could make serious yards and scores here against opposing defenses that have struggled vs. the run, and both have decent kicking games. No weather to hinder play, so I like Overs.
Tyler Allgeier (ATL Falcons)
Anytime Touchdown Scorer
50 WIN
@2.80
Win
90
Although it's lead RB Robinson who's gotten all the yards and headlines this season, it's actually his #2 Allgeier who leads Atlanta in TDs scored. He tends to get sent in on short yardage situations, so in fantasy terms, he's a risk. But given this Panthers D is susceptible against the run, and at odds against, I'll take a shot on Allgeier to hit paydirt.
18:00 GB Packers @ NY Giants
GB Packers
Money Line
50 WIN
@1.29
Win
14
It's been one gut-punch after another for the G-Men (2-8), losing star WR Nabers, then new RB Skattebo, and now rookie QB Dart. And they just fired their head coach. Looks like Jameis Winston gets the start at QB and whilst serviceable, he just gives the ball away too often. Plus, playing the Green Bay (5-3-1) D is like starting with the difficulty level turned all the way up - they allowed just 10 points LTO to defending champions Philadelphia. The Packers are on a two-game slide and will want to stop that, right here.
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Josh Jacobs (GB Packers)
Anytime Touchdown Scorer
50 WIN
@1.53
Lose
-50
Packers RB Josh Jacobs has 11 touchdown runs this season to rank second in the league, behind Indianapolis' Jonathan Taylor. And this Giants defense has given up 14 rushing TDs in their 10 games so far, third worst in the NFL.
18:00 LA Chargers @ JAX Jaguars
Over 43.00
Game Totals
50 WIN
@1.91
Lose
-50
Not quite sure why this total is so low, as these two teams have been decent on offense. While they have good defenses, the trends show both teams have conceded more points than expected. The total has gone over in 4 of Jacksonville's last 6 games and in 4 of the Chargers' last 5 games.
18:00 TB Buccaneers @ BUF Bills
BUF Bills
Money Line
50 WIN
@1.40
Win
20
As disappointing as they were last week in the defeat at Miami, Buffalo (6-3) will not only want to bounce back (at home!) but this team is too good to play that badly again. Tampa Bay (6-3) and QB Baker Mayfield have been pulling wins out of the hat this term, but the cluster of injuries to their WR corps is starting to tell. This Bucs defense is vulnerable against the run, and Bills' RB James Cook has to be licking his lips.
1 member found this comment useful
Under 47.50
Game Totals
50 WIN
@1.91
Lose
-50
Two reasons for the Under here: Firstly, the weather forecast shows some bad weather is headed for Eastern NY state this weekend. Certainly rain, possibly snow, and also some high winds. Second, these two are suffering some key injuries in skill positions, notably WR, so the ground game should dominate here (especially if the weather is bad). The total has gone Under in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games, and I think it does here.
1 member found this comment useful
James Cook (BUF Bills)
Anytime Touchdown Scorer
50 WIN
@1.71
Win
35
Buffalo (6-3) will not only want to bounce back (at home!) from a poor road loss in Miami last week, but this Tampa Bay (6-3) defense has been shown to be very vulnerable against the run. The forecast is for poor weather in Western NY this weekend, so the run game should be to the fore, and Bills' RB James Cook has to be licking his lips here.
1 member found this comment useful
14:30 WAS Commanders @ MIA Dolphins
MIA Dolphins
Money Line
50 WIN
@1.67
Win
34
This game is being played in Madrid at the Santiago Bernabéu, but I don't think that favors either team (although maybe Miami will get some "Latin" support), who both sit at 3-7 on the season. What is clear is how beat up Washington are, with their two best players (QB Jayden Daniels and WR Terry McLaurin) both out and countless other injuries. The Commanders have lost five straight with the past four by at least 21 points. The Dolphins got a great result last time out vs the Bills, and if there's no "bounce-back" from that big win, and key players like Waddle and Achane keep producing, they should win here.
1 member found this comment useful
13:15 1:15 Cheltenham
Hold The Serve
Daily Racing
25 EW
@6.00
Lose
-50
This 5yo son of Jukebox Jury has his first start for the in-form Olly Murphy yard. A professional performance when making a winning debut in a P2P at Borris House in December and was subsequently purchased privately by these connections. An imposing grey, he always looked to travel in his comfort zone throughout that debut and produced a potent turn of foot heading towards the penultimate fence. He eventually won by two lengths in a time 11 seconds quicker than standard and the money is coming.
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12:57 12:57 Fontwell
Crackerjacque
Daily Racing
54 WIN
@1.73
Win
39
Anthony Honeyball's 5yo Diamond Boy gelding won his bumper debut at Sandown on heavy ground in a nice fashion, and the form of that win has worked out rather well. Didn't feature in the Grade 2 Bumper at Aintree in April, but no shame there, and that was on pretty quick going. He starts over hurdles at a lower level with give in the ground and is likely to excel over hurdles.
Herbygoesbananas
Daily Racing
25 EW
@23.00
Lose
-50
Taking a chance here at big odds with this former inmate of Chris Gordon's who's now having his first run with Hen Knight. Won nicely on his bumper debut at Huntingdon for his former keeper and the form of that is not too shabby. Had a lot to do and probably needed the race when down the field in a 10f novice at Chelmsford on the AW Flat back in May and may well show more now hurdling, back over a trip and softer ground. Worth a small punt.
Subtotal77
15 November 2025
15:30 3:30 Cheltenham
Jurancon
Daily Racing
25 EW
@3.50
Lose
-50
Not been seen since last term, but we know the Pipe team can get them ready. This very progressive 6-year-old is surely one to keep onside, given he's won 5 of 8 starts under rules and finished second on the other occasions. He improved again to land a handicap by 2½ lengths off a mark of 127 over 2m when last seen at Newbury in March, and if his stamina holds up, he should be the one to beat.
15:10 3:10 Wetherby
Fresh Perspective
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 2.88 used instead of 2.50 takenBOG
@2.88
Win
93
Jaimie Snowden's 6-year-old New Approach gelding ran rather green and made a few mistakes on his debut over timber last time out at Fontwell in a novice hurdle last month, but won the race easily by 8 lengths. It was a very promising hurdle debut from a useful bumper performer. Surely more to come, and you feel this track may be more to his liking.
14:55 2:55 Cheltenham
Long Draw
Daily Racing
25 EW
@5.50
Lose
-50
Whilst he looks to be held on form with today's favourite after finishing 2 lengths behind that one here over C&D 21 days ago, he'd been very progressive prior to that, and he just seemed to get tired that day. So it's quite possible that he could take a considerable step forward today and should be in the mix having had that run.
Supremely West
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@2.50
Lose
-50
This 7-year-old Westerner gelding shaped with real promise on his seasonal return/first run following wind surgery over C&D last month, his first for the Skelton team, who won this race last year with Doyen Quest. Should improve for that run and whilst this going is a query, he has run well with cut in the ground before.
Subtotal-57
14 November 2025
01:15 NY Jets @ NE Patriots
Over 43.00
Game Totals
50 WIN
@1.91
Lose
-50
As poor as the Jets (2-7) offense has been and as good as the New England defense has been, we've recently seen signs of promise in the former and a few chinks in the latter. The green side of NY put up 27 points last week and the Patriots allowed 23 points to the Bucs. Their offense has been solidly good through the season. The total has gone over in 4 of New England's last 5 games and in 12 of the Jets' last 16.
Subtotal-50
13 November 2025
14:45 2:45 Punchestown
Powerful
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@2.38
Win
69
Jessie Harrington's 4yo Camelot gelding was beaten by a short head in a maiden at Kilbeggan in April, but was not given a hard time. Ran to that form when just flattening out late LTO, finishing a 10 lengths third in a maiden hurdle at Navan after a break. Although off top weight here, this opening mark looks lenient.
Subtotal69
12 November 2025
19:30 Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev
Over 20.50
Total Games
50 WIN
@1.87
Lose
-50
World #2 Sinner destroyed Zverev (ranked) just over a week ago at the Paris Masters, but the 28-year-old German was carrying an injury there and will be keen to at least try and make amends here. The conditions look pretty quick here in Turin, so the huge Zverev serve should be a big weapon, as it was in his win in his first match here vs Ben Shelton where he got 81% of first serves on target. In the Vienna final at the end of last month, these two took a set each (Sinner won 3-6, 6-3, 7-5), so this number looks too low for me.
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16:00 4:00 Bangor on Dee
Go Dante
Daily Racing
25 EW
@7.00
Lose
-50
Olly Murphy’s 9-year-old Kayf Tara gelding was in good form at the end of last season, capping that off to land the Imperial Cup Handicap Hurdle off a rating of 127 over 2m at Sandown last time out. He’s up 4 pounds for that, and with the trainer in form, he can likely do better if his stamina holds up here.
15:00 3:00 Bangor on Dee
Count Of Vendome
Daily Racing
25 EW
@3.00
Lose
-15
Donald McCain’s 5yo son of Getaway ran well to defy a penalty when he benefited from a drop in grade to win a bumper at Catterick over 2m by 4.5 lengths last time out having acquitted himself well at Listed level in between and wining prior to that on Bumper debut. Has the assistance of Brian Hughes and should go close on hurdle debut.
13:30 1:30 Bangor on Dee
Joyeuse
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@2.38
Lose
-50
Nicky Henderson's 6yo No Risk At All mare is top-rated by some way over hurdles and makes her debut over the larger obstacles here. She has favorable conditions here and, with the yard in good form, is the worthy favorite.
13:15 1:15 Ayr
De Legislator
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 4.00 on 11/11 at 23:150.10 deduction for Catch Catchfire@10.00 withdrawn at 08:01R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 3.00 x (1-0.10) = 3.70
@3.70
Win
81
On a good mark based on hurdle form (won twice in Novice hurdles) and he is a thorough stayer, landing a handicap by 3 lengths off a rating of 108 at Wetherby last time out. He returns from a long layoff but Michael Scudamore’s gelding looks well-treated as a staying chaser.
President Scottie
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@3.75
Lose
-50
Nicky Richards' 7yo Milan gelding was pulled up when last seen in April in a handicap chase at Perth but had been both consistent prior to that and certainly looked like he needed a trip. His yard is in form, and he's run well each time over this course. He has a very decent chance here.
Subtotal-134
11 November 2025
13:26 1:26 Huntingdon
Lady Tadita
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@2.00
Win
50
Jaimie Snowden's 4-year-old Masterstroke filly ran green when making her debut in a Huntingdon bumper last November but still ran out an impressive winner. She's a half-sister to hurdles winners Gitche Gumee and Mythical Moon and was equally impressive when switching to hurdles, winning a maiden hurdle at Market Rasen over 2m1f by 8 lengths last time out, 45 days ago. She's held in high regard by her trainer and can continue her progress here.
Subtotal50
09 November 2025
21:25 DET Lions @ WAS Commanders
Under 49.00
Game Totals
50 WIN
@1.92
Lose
-50
Washington (3-6) have lost starting QB Jayden Daniels for the season, and other injuries are starting to pile up for the Commanders. They've lost four in a row and five of their last six. The Lions (5-3) are also missing key offensive linemen, which won't help, along with the fact we know that this Detroit offense is less effective on grass than on artificial turf. The weather in DC this evening isn't looking good, so I like Unders here.
21:25 LA Rams @ SF 49ers
SF 49ers 4.50
Point Spread
50 WIN
@1.91
Lose
-50
Wait, San Francisco are at home and get a 4.5 point head start here? The Niners are expecting to get key pass rusher Huff back after he missed the past two games with a hamstring injury. Backup QB Mac Jones has been really good, and although there are injuries at WR, CMC and Kittle are significant aerial threats. Leading Rams WR Nacua was injured late LTO, and the Rams are just 4-10 in their last 14 games against San Francisco.
21:05 ARI Cardinals @ SEA Seahawks
SEA Seahawks
Money Line
70 WIN
@1.30
Win
21
I do feel that the Cardinals (3-5) will make a game of this (see separate Points Spread tip), but Seattle (6-2) are good. With new QB Sam Darnold under center, they have the #5 scoring offense in the NFL. They have been a little wobbly at home of late, but that surely cannot last. The Seahawks have the fifth-ranked scoring defense, which has the third-most sacks in the NFL this season, so will pressure Brissett. Seattle are 6-1 in their last 7 games. Arizona is 1-5 in their last 6 games.
ARI Cardinals 7.00
Point Spread
51 WIN
@1.87
Lose
-51
Cardinals starting QB Murray is now on IR, but perennial backup Jacoby Brissett is a decent stand-in. LTO, the veteran QB helped the Cardinals (3-5) tie their season high in points in Monday night’s 27-17 win over Dallas, in which Brissett completed 21 of 31 passes for 267 yards and 2 TDs. In three starts, Brissett has thrown for 860 yards and six TDs with just one interception. Seattle (6-2) are good, but Arizona are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games.
Over 45.50
Game Totals
50 WIN
@1.91
Win
46
Although Cardinals starting QB Murray is out, perennial NFL backup Jacoby Brissett is a decent stand-in. In fact, LTO the veteran QB helped the Cardinals (3-5) tie their season high in points in Monday night’s 27-17 win over Dallas. In his 3 starts, Brissett has thrown for 860 yards and 6 TDs with just one interception. Seattle (6-2) are good, and with new QB Sam Darnold under center, they have the #5 scoring offense. The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 7 games, and I like Overs here.
18:00 BUF Bills @ MIA Dolphins
Under 50.00
Game Totals
50 WIN
@1.91
Win
46
Along with a couple of other bets today, I like Unders here because the weather forecast in Miami is really not good. Big chance of a lot of rain and possibly even thunderstorms. There's also several key injuries to offenses for both teams. Add to that the Dolphins' offense has scored just 6 points in 2 of their last 3 games, and Buffalo would much prefer to run the ball in these conditions. I'll go Under.
James Cook (BUF Bills)
Anytime Touchdown Scorer
50 WIN
@1.57
Lose
-50
Given the likely terrible weather conditions forecast in Miami this evening, and the fact that the Bills have the #1 Rushing Offense in the NFL, I think they will be running the ball a lot tonight against a Miami D that is the third worst in the league in terms of yards allowed and has conceded 10 rushing TDs in 9 games. Cook has 7 TDs in his 8 games and should be aiming to make paydirt this evening.
18:00 JAX Jaguars @ HOU Texans
Over 37.50
Game Totals
50 WIN
@1.95
Win
47
I know that Davis Mills is likely to start at QB for Houston here and that the Texans' D is pretty stingy. But I think the Jaguars' offense plus their defense may well do a lot of scoring here. There's a lot of scope for late scoring or out-of-the-ordinary scores. With such a low total and a decent offense for Jacksonville, I'm going Over.
18:00 NE Patriots @ TB Buccaneers
Under 48.00
Game Totals
50 WIN
@1.95
Lose
-50
The forecast in Tampa Bay today is not great, with a high expectation of rain and thunderstorms. All of which means conditions will likely be tricky to play in. And while these two offenses are decent, this Patriots' defense is very good - No. 6 in points allowed and #1 against the run. And this Bucs' attack is missing several key aerial weapons. But this is a big total, and I like the Under here.
18:00 NO Saints @ CAR Panthers
CAR Panthers
Money Line
50 WIN
@1.42
Lose
-50
I don't have a lot of faith in Carolina (5-4), but I have even less in the Saints (1-6), who are 1-12 in their last 13 games and have lost 6 games straight on the road. They're riddled with injuries at present and making far too many silly mistakes/turnovers, so a workmanlike Panthers team can wear them down here.
18:00 NY Giants @ CHI Bears
Under 47.00
Game Totals
50 WIN
@1.91
Win
46
There's a Winter Storm warning in place for Chicago, so assuming the game does take place, Soldier Field is not the most conducive of venues to encourage scoring. Equally, we have the #22 and #29 ranked offenses here, and although they have both racked up a lot of points in recent games, the storylines in those match-ups were rather unique, and I don't think we see the same here. I like Unders.
15:25 3:25 Ffos Las
Youdecide
Daily Racing
25 EW
@3.25
Lose
-50
Ben Pauling's 5yo Mahler gelding was well backed when beaten just 2 lengths off a mark of 95 over 2m5f at Market Rasen last time out in March, which followed up a win in a novice hurdle at Huntingdon. He's effective at 2m4f, acts on good ground, and almost certainly has more to offer.
14:30 ATL Falcons @ IND Colts
Under 48.50
Game Totals
50 WIN
@1.91
Lose
-50
This game is being played at Berlin's Olympiastadion, which is a standard grass field. Yet here we have two teams who are used to playing on FieldTurf (artificial turf) and have shown their offenses are less productive back on grass. They are also, of course, playing having traveled across the Atlantic to Germany and are in an unfamiliar environment, all conducive to keeping offensive production low. There's even a chance of rain on Sunday, so I'm going under. The total has gone under in 6 of Atlanta's last 8 games, so I'm going under here.
14:27 2:27 Naas
Spillanes Tower
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@2.38
Lose
-50
Twice a Grade 1 winner as a novice chaser, he rather ran below form when the ground was lively when last seen at the Punchestown Festival in April, finishing second by 22 lengths in the Punchestown Gold Cup (Grade 1) over 3m1f. Acts on soft or good to soft ground, and returns off a much lower hurdles mark here.
Subtotal-245
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