ARQ007

Travelled Man of Kent. Likes: cars, sport, eating out, working out, conversation, travel, gambling, short-sleeve shirts. All teeth my own.

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ARQ007's Tips History

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21 December 2025
13:45 1:45 Fakenham

Kilbakanto

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 3.00 used instead of 2.38 takenBOG

@3.00

Win

100

With the Skelton team running at a near 20% strike rate, this Irish PtP winner would be of interest, especially after his first two runs under Rules for new connections. He ran well for a long way until his stamina gave out over 3m LTO, and that effort sets a clear standard on ratings. Now dropped back in distance, I think he makes amends.
19 December 2025
01:15 LA Rams @ SEA Seahawks

LA Rams 1.50

Point Spread

50 WIN

@1.91

Win

46

The Seahawks have been playing well on defense, and their offense was the sixth-highest scoring going into last week's game vs. the Colts. But that game was the sixth time this season and the third week in a row where Seattle's offense was held to under 10 points through the first two quarters, and all 18 points came from FGs. That won't cut it vs. a Rams defense that caused all sorts of issues for Seahawks QB Darnold when these two met in November. I'll take the points here.

Over 44.00

Game Totals

50 WIN

@1.91

Win

46

As good as these two defenses are, there are some very good offenses on show in this divisional matchup. The Rams are ranked #2 and Seattle #5 in points scored. This is a huge game, likely deciding the NFC West division title and potentially the NFC #1 seed (and a bye in the playoffs). Teams will be trying to the end in this one. The total has gone over in 4 of LA's last 6 games, and I'm going that way here.
14 December 2025
21:25 IND Colts @ SEA Seahawks

Over 41.50

Game Totals

50 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-50

Although the Seattle defence is very good, and it seems veteran QB Philip Rivers may be the QB for the Colts, I'm taking a chance on the offenses getting enough done here to go over. The total has gone over in 5 of Seattle's last 7 games, and QB Darnold and star WR JSN have been on fire this term. I think they can do enough to get this done.
21:25 TEN Titans @ SF 49ers

Christian McCaffrey (SF 49ers)

Anytime Touchdown Scorer

50 WIN

@1.36

Win

18

Terrible odds here, but star Niners RB McCaffrey has been cleared to play. San Francisco??"coming off a bye week??"should be ready to put the woeful Titans to the sword. This Tennessee defense has conceded 18 rushing TDs so far this term, joint second-worst in the NFL, so I expect some joy here.
18:00 ARI Cardinals @ HOU Texans

HOU Texans

Money Line

55 WIN

@1.18

Win

10

The Cardinals are looking like a team playing out the season. Backup QB Brissett is decent but predictable, and this Houston defence is really tough. Yes, there could be a letdown for the Texans after the huge win last week in Kansas City. But Arizona have just 1 win in their last 10 games (a rather flukey one vs an inconsistent Cowboys team) and have an injury list as long as your arm. This Houston D can do enough at home for the "W".
18:00 BUF Bills @ NE Patriots

NE Patriots 2.50

Point Spread

50 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-50

I'm taking the Patriots (11-2) at home here. They're playing after a bye week with extra rest and prep time. Buffalo (9-4) is traveling here after two very stressful and close games. The Bills have been inconsistent against the Patriots in recent years. Buffalo is 2-3 SU and 0-5 ATS in its last five games against New England, which includes the Patriots' 23-20 win earlier this season in Western NY. New England has been great at home since dropping two early-season matchups, and I'll take these points.

Under 49.50

Game Totals

50 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-50

Well, I went for the unders last week with Buffalo as the weather was horrible, which it will be again here in Foxboro, MA tonight. The difference here is the Patriots' defense is legit, whereas the Bills ripped the Cincy D apart last week. Both teams have great RBs (James Cook, TreVeyon Henderson) to control the ball and time of possession, which will be key in poor weather. So I like unders here.

TreVeyon Henderson (NE Patriots)

Anytime Touchdown Scorer

50 WIN

@2.05

Win

52

I wouldn't put anyone off backing James Cook to score here, but I prefer the odds against Patriots RB TreVeyon Henderson. The rookie only had six carries for 24 yards in these two teams' first meeting, but he's been a bigger part of New England's offense recently. The Ohio State product has played at least 64.8% of the team's offensive snaps in four of his last five games, and Buffalo's defense ranks 28th against the run, allowing 135.2 rushing yards per game and a league-worst 19 rushing TDs conceded. With the weather forecast in Foxboro, MA being pretty poor, I believe the run game will be at the forefront for both sides. All things considered, this looks worth a poke.
18:00 CLE Browns @ CHI Bears

Over 38.00

Game Totals

50 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-50

The forecast in Chicago is cold but bright. As this is the joint lowest total this week, I'll try Overs. Yes, the Browns' D is good (#1 vs. the pass), but the Bears have the #2 run attack in the NFL. And in Shedeur Saunders, Cleveland have found a decent offensive threat. The total has gone Over in 5 of Cleveland's last 7 games.
18:00 LV Raiders @ PHI Eagles

Saquon Barkley (PHI Eagles)

Anytime Touchdown Scorer

50 WIN

@1.87

Win

44

The Raiders defense has allowed 18 rushing TDs so far this season. While I wouldn't put anyone off Eagles QB Hurts scoring a TD, I prefer the odds on lead RB Barkley. Philly will surely want to treat their starting QB with some care in the final few weeks of the regular season. The Eagles paid Barkley a lot of money, and I think they will want to see some return on their investment. He can get it here versus a poor Las Vegas D.
18:00 NY Jets @ JAX Jaguars

Over 40.50

Game Totals

50 WIN

@1.95

Win

47

I tried the Over last week in Jacksonville's 36-19 win over the Colts and that came in. The Jaguars' offense is ticking over nicely. The Jets have shown some signs of life on offense recently, too, and this is a low total. The total has gone OVER in 14 of the NY Jets' last 20 games and in 4 of Jacksonville's last 6 games. So I'm going Over here.
09 December 2025
01:15 PHI Eagles @ LA Chargers

Over 42.00

Game Totals

50 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-50

Lots of question marks on these two teams' offenses, but if they do fire, this total is too low. Chargers QB Herbert had surgery on his left (non-throwing) hand Monday, but it shouldn't affect his ability to pass the ball. And the Philly offense has been a bit of a mess this term, but you just feel they will kick in at some point. I'll take the overs here.
07 December 2025
21:25 CHI Bears @ GB Packers

Over 44.00

Game Totals

50 WIN

@1.91

Win

46

Traditionally, these two teams??"especially Chicago??"have had good defenses, but this season they have not been great. In fact, the Chicago D is ranked #28 in points allowed. The Bears have allowed 24 passing TDs this term, and Packers QB Jordan Love has been very good this term. These are the #8 and #10 ranked teams in points scored. Weather looks chilly but no rain or snow at Lambeau tonight. The total has gone over in 6 of Green Bay's last 9 games. So I like the overs.

Romeo Doubs (GB Packers)

Anytime Touchdown Scorer

50 WIN

@2.75

Lose

-50

These look like decent odds for Doubs. The Packers' WR has 5 TD receptions this season and should receive more end-zone targets as Green Bay's leading TD catcher, TE Tucker Kraft, was put on IR this week. And this Bears defense has conceded 24 passing TDs this season, fourth worst in the NFL. It'll be cold at Lambeau tonight but no rain or snow, so conditions are fine for catching.
21:25 LA Rams @ ARI Cardinals

LA Rams

Money Line

50 WIN

@1.25

Win

12

I'm still not sure how the Rams (9-3) lost 28-31 to Carolina last week, having won their previous six straight. They will certainly want to rebound against division rivals Arizona (3-9), who are 1-9 in their last 10. The Cardinals have also lost five straight at home. The Rams are 14-3 in their last 17 games against Arizona, and the Rams have the #6 scoring offense facing the #24 ranked defense.
18:00 CIN Bengals @ BUF Bills

Under 54.50

Game Totals

50 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-50

This is the biggest total of the week. While Cincy’s defensive stats aren’t pretty, in the past four games they’ve been acceptable, and with QB Burrow back under center their offense can hold onto the ball a little longer. If they can stop the Bills’ rushing attack and tee off on Buffalo’s backup offensive tackles, the Bengals have a great shot to stymie the recently misfiring Bills attack. Buffalo’s defense allows just 163.2 passing yards per game and should force the Bengals into predictable passing situations and stalled drives. With the Bills at home here and desperately needing a win, they will look to control the ball, especially as the weather forecast in Western NY is horrible ??" freezing temps and possible snow or hail, neither conducive to high scoring. The total has gone under in four of Buffalo’s last five, and I feel it does here.

Chase Brown (CIN Bengals)

Anytime Touchdown Scorer

50 WIN

@2.15

Win

57

Taking a shot at odds against here with Brown as this Bills D has conceded an NFL-worst 18 rushing TDs. With the weather forecast in Western NY being pretty poor, I believe the run game will be at the forefront for both sides. All things considered, this looks worth a poke.
18:00 IND Colts @ JAX Jaguars

Jonathan Taylor (IND Colts)

Anytime Touchdown Scorer

50 WIN

@1.44

Win

22

Terrible odds here, but Taylor has been a TD machine this season, with 15 TDs in his 12 games so far. The Jaguars have only conceded seven rushing TDs so far this term, but with Indy QB Jones not 100%, I think the Colts will lean on Taylor again. I would be stunned if he didn't score.
18:00 MIA Dolphins @ NY Jets

DeVon Achane (MIA Dolphins)

Anytime Touchdown Scorer

50 WIN

@1.64

Win

32

The Jets (3-9) have given up 14 rushing TDs in their 12 games so far this season and are 8th worst in the NFL for rushing yards per game allowed. The Dolphins (5-7) RB Achane has been playing superbly this term, almost single-handedly dragging Miami back into their division race. He is fourth in overall rushing yards and has 6 TDs to his name. I think Miami will lean on Achane again here, and he should score against a poor Jets rush defense.
18:00 NO Saints @ TB Buccaneers

TB Buccaneers

Money Line

50 WIN

@1.22

Lose

-50

Whilst the Saints (2-10) have seen some green shoots of promise in the past few games with rookie QB Tyler Shough under center, the fact is they are still a long way from being a competitive NFL side. New Orleans are 2-14 in their last 16 games. Whilst the Bucs (7-5) have stumbled a little lately, that's been against good teams like the Rams, Patriots, and Bills. They really need this win and have won five straight against divisional rivals.

Over 41.50

Game Totals

50 WIN

@1.91

Win

46

These two sides have been hitting a lot of unders lately, reflecting either injuries on offense or changes in key positions (such as Saints (2-10) rookie QB Tyler Shough). But this Tampa Bay (7-5) offense, though missing some big parts, has continued to function well with the venerable Baker Mayfield at the helm. Shough seems to be getting more comfortable as the starter, so I'm going over a low total here.
18:00 PIT Steelers @ BAL Ravens

BAL Ravens

Money Line

50 WIN

@1.38

Lose

-50

Pittsburgh (6-6) have ground out a .500 season so far, but their offense has looked pretty poor, with veteran QB Aaron Rodgers not having the major impact the Steelers would have hoped for here. Although the Ravens (6-6) lost to the newly returned, Joe Burrow-led Bengals last week, and star QB Lamar Jackson is clearly not 100%, they are at home and have had extra days to rest and prepare, having played on Thanksgiving Day. They'd won five straight prior to that last defeat and are typically strong in December.

Mark Andrews (BAL Ravens)

Anytime Touchdown Scorer

50 WIN

@2.55

Lose

-50

Ravens TE Andrews has had a great career and a very good season so far. He's only scored 5 TDs so far, but starting QB Jackson has missed several games and he has a great relationship with Andrews. The Steelers defense has conceded 20 passing TDs so far this term, and at very good odds I'll take a shot on Andrews.
01 December 2025
12:15 12:15 Ayr

Tory Hill

Daily Racing

25 EW

@15.00

Lose

-50

This 7-year-old Milan gelding was a four-time runner-up in five Irish Point-to-Points over 2023??"24, but didn’t show a great deal in three starts over hurdles in maiden/novice company. There is plenty to like about his physique ??" a chasing type with scope for the future. Having received a mark of 92, he was sent straight over fences in a 3m handicap at Ayr, with Brian Hughes taking the ride. That run was better than the bare 16.5-length defeat would suggest: the jockey took him wide throughout and didn’t knock him about when outpaced around the home bend. Now dropped 5 lb, if he has the ability he should be making an impact. Four places on offer at Sky Bet.
28 November 2025
20:00 CHI Bears @ PHI Eagles

Over 44.00

Game Totals

50 WIN

@1.92

Lose

-50

Put simply, I just feel this number is too low. Yes, these two offenses have at times struggled this season, but the Bears have the #8-ranked scoring offense. While Philly is only ranked #17, they are better than that and also have a point to prove after a disastrous second-half showing against Dallas last week. And this Chicago defense has been rather leaky of late, so I like overs here.
01:20 CIN Bengals @ BAL Ravens

Under 51.50

Game Totals

50 WIN

@1.95

Win

47

Well, Bengals' No. 1 QB Joe Burrow returns from injury, which is good news for them, but it is not going to be an easy task for Cincy as they face one of the best defenses in the league, and one that has been playing very well recently. In the last six Ravens games, totals have averaged just 36.3 PPG, and in doing so the Ravens D has allowed 10, 16, 19, 6, 16, and 17 points. We can expect Burrow to be rusty, and he will also be missing his second-best WR (Tee Higgins). For Baltimore, Lamar has not been performing well post-injury and did not even practice Monday and not much Tuesday. I'll go under here.
25 November 2025
13:00 1:00 Lingfield

Havana Sky

Daily Racing

25 EW

@5.00

Lose

-50

Ed Dunlop's 4yo Havana Gold gelding won by a neck off a mark of 67 here over C&D (6f) two starts ago and again ran well when third last time out over 7f at Wolverhampton, 17 days ago. The drop back down in trip should suit and he gets the assistance of Rossa Ryan again (as when he won here).
23 November 2025
14:36 2:36 Exeter

Good Friday Fairy

Daily Racing

25 EW

@6.00

Win

150

Ben Clarke's 8-year-old gelding finished second here on his only prior run over C&D last year, and then his form was on the up. He helped set up the race for a closer when beaten a length off a mark of 116 at Fontwell when last seen in March. Goes well fresh and acts on heavy and soft going, so if he's fit after his break, looks worth a go.
22 November 2025
18:10 6:10 Newcastle

Art Design

Daily Racing

25 EW

@17.00

Lose

-50

With 4 places here, taking a punt on Julie Camacho's 3yo No Nay Never filly who's now dropped to a pound below her last winning mark, which was on the AW at Southwell in 2024 when she was with William Haggas. She has some good back form and drops to this level for the first time since that win. Discount her run LTO when short of room in a Doncaster handicap. She has the cheekpieces on for the first time here, is suited by 6f, and could well bounce back.
15:35 3:35 Haydock

Famous Bridge

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.50

Lose

-50

I think this is a big price for Nicky Richards' 9-year-old son of Fame And Glory. He's a very decent chaser and has been running in top company. So his seemingly below-form first hurdles run since 2022 LTO, well beaten over 3m at Ayr, doesn't surprise me and can be treated as a fitness run. He has 2 wins and a place in 3 runs over this C&D and drops into a handicap here. Looks the class angle to me.
15:15 3:15 Ascot

JPR One

Daily Racing

25 EW

@5.50

Lose

-3

Joe Tizzard's 8-year-old son of Court Cave clearly needed the run when a 22-length third in the Grade 2 Haldon Gold Cup Handicap Chase at Exeter last time out. He has the cheekpieces on for the first time here, but the yard is in form and he's been dropped a couple of pounds here.
14:10 2:10 Punchestown

Lossiemouth

Daily Racing

66 WINNAP

@1.30

Win

19

Well, this really should be a penalty kick with an open goal for Willie Mullins' 6yo daughter of Great Pretender who's rated 5 pounds clear of her rivals yet is in receipt of 7 pounds mares allowance. She's a dual Grade 1 winner at this track, signed off last season with an impressive victory at Aintree in April and has always run well off the back of a break. This top-class grey really should be winning this by some distance.
13:40 1:40 Punchestown

Waterford Whispers

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.75

Lose

-50

I thought Henry de Bromhead's Westerner gelding would improve when sent chasing, and that's been the case. He looked in need of a stiffer test when 5.25 lengths third in a novice chase over 2m2f at Galway last time out and certainly looks very interesting back up in trip off a lenient opening mark based on debut form.
13:30 1:30 Ascot

Il Est Francais

Daily Racing

25 EW

@4.33

Lose

-50

The word 'Mercurial' springs to mind with this horse, who could just as easily blow this lot away as throw in an absolute howler, but that's factored into the price. If he's up for this, the two-time Grade 1 winner could win this by mileage. He ran okay when a 12 lengths third in a Listed hurdle over 2m3f at Compiegne in May and has now switched to the Tom George yard. The trip looks ideal and has strong claims on the form of his second in last year's King George.
13:15 1:15 Haydock

Kabral Du Mathan

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.62

Win

81

The Skeltons have a strong team at Haydock today and this 5yo Pastorius gelding has his first run for them having been with Paul Nicholls. He improved last time out when he was beaten by just a neck off a mark of 139 over 2m at Ayr in April but has since undergone a wind operation. Should have more to offer this season.
12:32 12:32 Punchestown

Kitzbuhel

Daily Racing

50 WINNB

@1.53

Win

26

Willie Mullins' 5yo French import improved when dropped in trip but was given too much to do when 0.75 lengths third in the Grade 2 Select Hurdle over 2m6f when last seen at Sandown in April. The yard has taken the last two runnings of this race and this classy hurdler is a smart recruit to fences and the leading player on overall form.
19 November 2025
20:10 8:10 Kempton

Miss Tonnerre

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 5.50 on 18/11 at 22:270.20 deduction for Tiger@4.33 withdrawn at 12:53R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 4.50 x (1-0.20) = 4.60Best Odds Guaranteed SP 13.00 used instead of 4.60 BOG

@13.00

Win

35

Ed Walker's 3yo Night of Thunder filly was well below her best form when finishing down the field in the John Musker Fillies' Stakes (Listed) over 10f at Yarmouth last time out. But her form from last year is so good (she ran in the Musidora Stakes) it's tough to ignore. Wears a hood first time and yard in form.
15:01 3:01 Hexham

Tory Hill

Daily Racing

25 EW

@11.00

Void

0

This 7yo Milan gelding was a 4-time runner-up in 5 Irish PtPs over 2023-24, but didn’t show a great deal in 3 starts over hurdles in maiden/novice company. There is plenty to like about his physique, a chasing type with scope for the future. Having received a mark of 92, he was sent straight over fences in a 3m handicap at Ayr, Brian Hughes taking the ride. That run was better than the bare 16.5 length defeat would suggest - the jockey took him wide throughout and didn’t knock him about when outpaced around the home bend. Now dropped 5lbs, if he has the ability, he should be making an impact.
18 November 2025
01:15 DAL Cowboys @ LV Raiders

Brock Bowers (LV Raiders)

Anytime Touchdown Scorer

50 WIN

@2.10

Lose

-50

It's hard to feel great about the Raiders right now, but they know they need to get Bowers the ball more and Dallas is the perfect team to do it against. The Cowboys have struggled to stop the pass all season, giving up a league-high 16 receiving touchdowns to wide receivers. Bowers might be a tight end but he can more than take advantage of those same opportunities tonight.
16 November 2025
23:00 MON Alouettes @ SAS Roughriders

Over 49.00

Game Totals

50 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-50

A high total, but offenses have largely prevailed this season in the CFL, and the Grey Cup final's recent history is one of over trends on totals. This looks evenly matched, and this is a huge opportunity for both teams who will be giving it their all. Forecast and conditions look chilly but clear at the Princess Auto Stadium, and I think this one goes over.
1 member found this comment useful
21:25 KC Chiefs @ DEN Broncos

KC Chiefs

Money Line

50 WIN

@1.48

Lose

-50

I do think this will be a close game (see separate Spread tip), but the fact is the Chiefs (5-4) have had an extra week to rest and prepare for this huge division matchup, which they really need to win. And although KC are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 against Denver, they're 17-2 straight-up in their last 19 against the Broncos. And KC head coach Andy Reid is 27-4 coming off a bye week in his coaching career, counting playoffs.

DEN Broncos 4.00

Point Spread

50 WIN

@1.91

Win

46

Denver are 8-2 behind an unremitting pass rush, leading the AFC West despite some unsightly wins and a poor strength of schedule. But the Chiefs (5-4) have hardly carried all before them this term, and the Bills provided the blueprint for making KC QB Mahomes uncomfortable and upset the Chiefs' offensive operation in a 28-21 win earlier this month. Yes, KC has had a week off, but I think this will be tight.
21:05 SF 49ers @ ARI Cardinals

SF 49ers

Money Line

87 WIN

@1.62

Win

54

San Francisco (6-4) get starting QB Purdy back today, and although I think he won't be 100%, he has had a lot of success since he got the 'Niners job against Arizona (3-6). Yes, the 49ers D is banged up, but the entire Cardinals team is seemingly on IR. The 49ers haven’t lost consecutive games all season, winning all three times after losses this term, and they're 5-2 in their last 7 games against Arizona. Arizona is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games, and although backup QB Brisset has been good, he's missing a lot of weapons. San Fran HC Shanahan is so much better than his Arizona equivalent, Gannon. I'll take the 'Niners here.

ARI Cardinals 3.50

Point Spread

50 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-50

Although I feel the 49ers (6-4) win this game (see separate tip) and that Arizona (3-6) are missing too many key players, the fact is that backup QB Brisset has been serviceable in relief and the Cardinals are 13-7 ATS in their last 20 games (and San Francisco is 6-13 ATS in their last 19 games). San Fran do get starting QB Purdy back, but he will be both rusty and perhaps wary of his toe injury, so I think the Cardinals can keep this close at home.

Over 48.50

Game Totals

50 WIN

@1.95

Win

47

As beat up as these two teams are, Arizona especially, both teams have really got issues on the defensive side of the ball. San Fran were just not able to stop the Rams last week, yet played well on offense. As many injuries as the Cardinals have on offense, they have still managed to score 20+ points in their last 6 games, including against some good defenses. The total has gone over in 5 of San Francisco's last 7 games and in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games, and despite the high number, I believe it does here.

Trey McBride (ARI Cardinals)

Anytime Touchdown Scorer

50 WIN

@2.05

Win

52

At odds against, I have to take a shot at Arizona (3-6) Tight End McBride, who's got 6 TDs from 9 games this season. And this 49ers (6-4) defense is riddled with injuries, especially in their secondary, and this usually stingy unit has conceded 19 passing TDs in their 10 games so far. I'll take a chance on the Cardinals' best aerial threat.
18:00 CAR Panthers @ ATL Falcons

Over 41.50

Game Totals

50 WIN

@1.91

Win

46

Yes, these two offenses have greatly under-produced, but this number just looks low given the weapons that will be on show here on artificial turf. Atlanta (3-6) star RB Bijan Robinson and Panthers (5-5) RB Rico Dowdle could make serious yards and scores here against opposing defenses that have struggled vs. the run, and both have decent kicking games. No weather to hinder play, so I like Overs.

Tyler Allgeier (ATL Falcons)

Anytime Touchdown Scorer

50 WIN

@2.80

Win

90

Although it's lead RB Robinson who's gotten all the yards and headlines this season, it's actually his #2 Allgeier who leads Atlanta in TDs scored. He tends to get sent in on short yardage situations, so in fantasy terms, he's a risk. But given this Panthers D is susceptible against the run, and at odds against, I'll take a shot on Allgeier to hit paydirt.
18:00 GB Packers @ NY Giants

GB Packers

Money Line

50 WIN

@1.29

Win

14

It's been one gut-punch after another for the G-Men (2-8), losing star WR Nabers, then new RB Skattebo, and now rookie QB Dart. And they just fired their head coach. Looks like Jameis Winston gets the start at QB and whilst serviceable, he just gives the ball away too often. Plus, playing the Green Bay (5-3-1) D is like starting with the difficulty level turned all the way up - they allowed just 10 points LTO to defending champions Philadelphia. The Packers are on a two-game slide and will want to stop that, right here.
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Josh Jacobs (GB Packers)

Anytime Touchdown Scorer

50 WIN

@1.53

Lose

-50

Packers RB Josh Jacobs has 11 touchdown runs this season to rank second in the league, behind Indianapolis' Jonathan Taylor. And this Giants defense has given up 14 rushing TDs in their 10 games so far, third worst in the NFL.
18:00 LA Chargers @ JAX Jaguars

Over 43.00

Game Totals

50 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-50

Not quite sure why this total is so low, as these two teams have been decent on offense. While they have good defenses, the trends show both teams have conceded more points than expected. The total has gone over in 4 of Jacksonville's last 6 games and in 4 of the Chargers' last 5 games.
18:00 TB Buccaneers @ BUF Bills

BUF Bills

Money Line

50 WIN

@1.40

Win

20

As disappointing as they were last week in the defeat at Miami, Buffalo (6-3) will not only want to bounce back (at home!) but this team is too good to play that badly again. Tampa Bay (6-3) and QB Baker Mayfield have been pulling wins out of the hat this term, but the cluster of injuries to their WR corps is starting to tell. This Bucs defense is vulnerable against the run, and Bills' RB James Cook has to be licking his lips.
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Under 47.50

Game Totals

50 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-50

Two reasons for the Under here: Firstly, the weather forecast shows some bad weather is headed for Eastern NY state this weekend. Certainly rain, possibly snow, and also some high winds. Second, these two are suffering some key injuries in skill positions, notably WR, so the ground game should dominate here (especially if the weather is bad). The total has gone Under in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games, and I think it does here.
1 member found this comment useful

James Cook (BUF Bills)

Anytime Touchdown Scorer

50 WIN

@1.71

Win

35

Buffalo (6-3) will not only want to bounce back (at home!) from a poor road loss in Miami last week, but this Tampa Bay (6-3) defense has been shown to be very vulnerable against the run. The forecast is for poor weather in Western NY this weekend, so the run game should be to the fore, and Bills' RB James Cook has to be licking his lips here.
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14:30 WAS Commanders @ MIA Dolphins

MIA Dolphins

Money Line

50 WIN

@1.67

Win

34

This game is being played in Madrid at the Santiago Bernabéu, but I don't think that favors either team (although maybe Miami will get some "Latin" support), who both sit at 3-7 on the season. What is clear is how beat up Washington are, with their two best players (QB Jayden Daniels and WR Terry McLaurin) both out and countless other injuries. The Commanders have lost five straight with the past four by at least 21 points. The Dolphins got a great result last time out vs the Bills, and if there's no "bounce-back" from that big win, and key players like Waddle and Achane keep producing, they should win here.
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13:15 1:15 Cheltenham

Hold The Serve

Daily Racing

25 EW

@6.00

Lose

-50

This 5yo son of Jukebox Jury has his first start for the in-form Olly Murphy yard. A professional performance when making a winning debut in a P2P at Borris House in December and was subsequently purchased privately by these connections. An imposing grey, he always looked to travel in his comfort zone throughout that debut and produced a potent turn of foot heading towards the penultimate fence. He eventually won by two lengths in a time 11 seconds quicker than standard and the money is coming.
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12:57 12:57 Fontwell

Crackerjacque

Daily Racing

54 WIN

@1.73

Win

39

Anthony Honeyball's 5yo Diamond Boy gelding won his bumper debut at Sandown on heavy ground in a nice fashion, and the form of that win has worked out rather well. Didn't feature in the Grade 2 Bumper at Aintree in April, but no shame there, and that was on pretty quick going. He starts over hurdles at a lower level with give in the ground and is likely to excel over hurdles.

Herbygoesbananas

Daily Racing

25 EW

@23.00

Lose

-50

Taking a chance here at big odds with this former inmate of Chris Gordon's who's now having his first run with Hen Knight. Won nicely on his bumper debut at Huntingdon for his former keeper and the form of that is not too shabby. Had a lot to do and probably needed the race when down the field in a 10f novice at Chelmsford on the AW Flat back in May and may well show more now hurdling, back over a trip and softer ground. Worth a small punt.

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