ARQ007
Travelled Man of Kent. Likes: cars, sport, eating out, working out, conversation, travel, gambling, short-sleeve shirts. All teeth my own.
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ARQ007's Tips History
16 September 2025
00:00 TB Buccaneers @ HOU Texans
TB Buccaneers 2.50
Point Spread
50 WIN
@1.95
Win
47
I have to take the Bucs with the points here. Tampa Bay got a good 23-20 road win last time out in Atlanta, while the Texans produced a rather tepid display on the road in LA, scoring just 9 points vs the Rams. This Tampa Bay defense is very good against the run, and it's rushing that's been a staple for Houston. TB QB Baker Mayfield has a host of talent at his disposal in the air, and I just think that should be too much for Houston.
Over 42.50
Game Totals
50 WIN
@1.91
Lose
-50
Although both sides were involved in relatively low-scoring affairs last week, both offenses struggled to move the ball. But I just feel there are too many weapons on display here tonight at NRG Stadium. The Bucs have been an "Overs" team in general (the total has gone over in 11 of Tampa Bay's last 16 games), and with the Week 1 rust shaken off, they should be better this week. This is such a low total I have to shoot over.
Subtotal-3
15 September 2025
01:20 ATL Falcons @ MIN Vikings
Over 44.50
Game Totals
50 WIN
@1.91
Lose
-50
Atlanta put up 20 points last week with sophomore QB McCarthy under center but really should have put more points on the board. The Vikings scored 27 points in Chicago and looked better on offense the longer the game went on. This is a low number and these defenses could easily add to the scoring, so I like Overs here.
Subtotal-50
14 September 2025
21:05 DEN Broncos @ IND Colts
IND Colts 1.00
Point Spread
50 WIN
@2.00
Win
50
I'll take the point for the home team here as the Colts are decent at home here at Lucas Oil Stadium, where they are 6-2 in their last 8 games. And Denver is just 1-5 in their last 6 games on the road. Indy stifled the Miami offense in week 1 here and put up 33 points on offense with new QB Daniel Jones. Denver was efficient in their home win vs. a lackluster Titans side, so this looks the value pick to me.
DEN Broncos Under 22.50
Team Points 2-Way (Away)
50 WIN
@1.87
Lose
-50
New Colts defensive coordinator Lou Anarumo came within 6.5 minutes of calling Indy's first shutout since December 2021 when they held Miami to just 8 points here at Lucas Oil Stadium. Denver put up just 20 points at home to a lackluster Titans team, and I think the run game will be predominant here, keeping totals down.
18:00 CHI Bears @ DET Lions
Over 46.50
Game Totals
50 WIN
@1.91
Win
46
I have to go over here, with the total being kept low (I believe) because the Lions failed to fire on offense last week in Green Bay with a 13-27 loss. But I think we can now see that Packers' defense, with new addition Micah Parsons, is especially stingy and Detroit QB Jared Goff is rarely at his best outdoors, on turf, as at Lambeau. Back at home under the roof at Ford Field, Chicago put up 24 points in a week 1 home defeat (24-27) to the Vikings, so with both sides keen to get a win, I can see some scoring.
18:00 CLE Browns @ BAL Ravens
CLE Browns 11.50
Point Spread
50 WIN
@1.91
Lose
-50
Gutted I missed the +12 on offer at the start of the week, but as for last week's opener vs. the Bengals, I have no qualms taking the points for Cleveland here. The Browns always get up for divisional games, and whilst there's a limit on how far veteran QB Flacco can take them, he's usually proven solid for a few games the last few seasons. He knows the system in Cleveland, and he would love to beat his former team that released him after he'd won them a Super Bowl. The Browns' D has been solid in recent times with All-Pro Myles Garrett a constant threat to opposition QBs, and they really took it to Cincy last week. Yes, Baltimore are probably a step up, but this is a big spread in today's NFL.
18:00 JAX Jaguars @ CIN Bengals
Under 49.00
Game Totals
50 WIN
@1.95
Lose
-50
I'm going to try the Under here as Jacksonville’s revamped defense contributed as much as QB Lawrence and the offense in their week 1 win at home to Carolina. And it was certainly the Bengals' defense that contributed most in their one-point (17-16) victory in Cleveland last week. It's pretty muggy in the Queen City today, so it could be tough sledding, and this is a high number.
18:00 NY Giants @ DAL Cowboys
DAL Cowboys
Money Line
50 WIN
@1.40
Win
20
This really is just a question of the Cowboys being a better team than the Giants. Dallas pushed the reigning Super Bowl champ Eagles close in week 1, despite the loss of defensive star Micah Parsons this off-season, and they will be fired up to not go 0-2 to start the campaign. Of course, neither will the G-Men, but they managed just 6 points (2 FGs) and only 231 yards of offense in week 1 vs. Washington. Dallas has won 9 of the last 10 meetings between these two division rivals, and I can't see why they won't win here on their seasonal home bow.
NY Giants Under 19.50
Team Points 2-Way (Away)
50 WIN
@1.87
Lose
-50
The Cowboys may have lost Micah Parsons on defense, but they put up a decent show last week against a stellar Philly offense, limiting the reigning Super Bowl champs to 24 points. The Giants scored just 2 FGs in Washington in week 1, the Commanders' D not renowned for being that stingy. The G-Men travel again this week, and I have little faith that veteran QB Russell Wilson and co. can do that much better than they did last week.
18:00 SEA Seahawks @ PIT Steelers
Over 40.50
Game Totals
50 WIN
@1.91
Win
46
This is such a low total. With the Steelers' offense, now led by veteran Aaron Rodgers, putting up 34 points last week in NY vs the Jets, it's surely doable. Seattle struggled a little against a solid 49ers defense at home last week, but they have a game under their belts now with new QB Sam Darnold at the helm. Pittsburgh's D allowed a lot of points last week, so I'll try the Over.
18:00 SF 49ers @ NO Saints
Christian McCaffrey (SF 49ers)
Anytime Touchdown Scorer
50 WIN
@1.83
Win
41
The 49ers will be without starting QB Brock Purdy and star TE George Kittle this week. They were already missing key WRs Jauan Jennings and Brandon Aiyuk. So, their main weapon - mainly on the ground but also through the air - is CMC. The New Orleans defense gave up 5.4 yards per play on rushing downs last week to Arizona, and someone like McCaffrey can take advantage of such generosity. He will be the primary target for San Fran this week and their best chance of scoring a TD.
17:35 5:35 Curragh
Crown Of Oaks
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@2.00
Lose
-50
This one went in my tracker after his debut third at HQ last October. He showed a turn of foot that day, as he did last time out when quickened clear with ease and improved for easier ground to land a handicap by 6.5 lengths off a mark of 85 at Ascot 8 days ago. He has clearly been suited by the step up to 10f, having won the last twice at this distance, and he acts on soft and good to firm. Canny trainer William Haggas has handled him well, and he looks thrown in and could complete the hat trick.
Masoun
Daily Racing
25 EW
@19.00
Lose
-50
Given we have 5 places to work with here, I think that Joseph O'Brien's 4-year-old Too Darn Hot gelding is worth a shot at a big price. He's 2 wins from 2 runs over this C&D and won by 2 lengths off a rating of 93 on his penultimate start. He was forced to switch and had too much to do when seventh, beaten 5.25 lengths off 99 last time out, but the handicapper has eased him 2 pounds and the yard is in form. He acts on soft and good ground, so taking a bit of a punt here.
17:00 5:00 Curragh
One Look
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@2.75
Lose
-50
Paddy Twomey's 4yo Gleneagles filly put up a career-best performance on her first run at 10f when winning the Group 3 Meadow Court Stakes here last time out and she has form figures of 1121 here now. James Doyle is booked and she seems to be the one with the best form on offer to me.
Red Letter
Daily Racing
25 EW
@3.25
Lose
-14
Ger Lyons' 3yo Frankel filly comes here on a roll and can take another step up the ladder after bagging Listed and Group 3 prizes on her last two starts. She was good when winning over nine furlongs here on her latest outing. Going up another furlong now should be no problem and she is versatile ground-wise.
16:40 4:40 Doncaster
Getreadytorumble
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 5.50 used instead of 5.00 takenBOG
@5.50
Win
135
He was well-backed when he won by 2.25 lengths off a mark of 82 at Goodwood in June and has run well when finishing second, beaten just 3/4 length off 90 last time out. Jack Channon's 3yo RumbleInthejungle gelding is effective at 5f and acts on any ground. I think he's still improving, so big shout here.
Jer Batt
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@3.75
Lose
-50
Tony Barron's 5yo Dragon Pulse gelding was a tad outpaced and below form on ground quicker than ideal when he was a 6 lengths third of 9 in a Class 2 Haydock handicap last time out. Drops down to Class 3 here with jockey Callum Rodriguez back on board (who's won on him previously). He's effective at 5f, acts on good but really does prefer some cut, and with the handicapper easing, he looks to have a great chance.
15:00 3:00 Doncaster
Pocklington
Daily Racing
25 EW
@3.75
Lose
-12
Gary Oldroyd's 4yo Blue Point colt (out of Ladies Are Forever, a line the yard know well) ran to form when he was beaten just a half length off a mark of 95 over 6f at York last time out. He's effective over this 6f trip and generally consistent so should give his running here in a field that is cutting up, like the ground.
14:40 2:40 Curragh
Composing
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@2.50
Lose
-50
Aidan O'Brien has a superb record in this (Lake Victoria won it last year) and his Wootton Bassett filly is proven over a 7f trip. She's on a four-timer after victories in a maiden and a Group 2 over C&D that sandwich a Group 3 at Leopardstown. The slower ground shouldn't inconvenience her as her dam was very proficient in testing conditions and the one to beat on home soil.
Venetian Sun
Daily Racing
38 EW
@3.50
Lose
-76
Karl Burke's 2yo Starman filly puts her unbeaten four-race career on the line here. She's been steadily progressive and last time out was the narrow winner of the Group 1 Prix Morny at Deauville. In that run, she kept on well as if she'd stay this 7f trip, and the Burke yard won this in 2023. Big shout.
14:30 2:30 Doncaster
Back In Black
Daily Racing
25 EW
@6.50
Win
2
James Fanshawe's 3yo Dark Angel colt looked as though he needed the run when beaten 3 lengths off a mark of 92 at Goodwood last time out. He's effective at 7f on a sound surface (2 wins from 4 starts) and was progressive, so should come on for that latest run.
14:05 2:05 Curragh
Alparslan
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@2.88
Win
94
Karl Burke's 2yo Dandy Man colt was an emphatic winner of a novice stakes at Leicester and holds a Group 1 entry. So his chance is respected here for a yard that has done well in recent times coming across the water with his juveniles. The market has spoken in his favor too.
Joyful Tidings
Daily Racing
25 EW
@8.00
Lose
-50
Gavin Cromwell's colt was significantly well-backed when winning a 5f maiden at Tipperary on debut back in April, and that form is reasonable (runner-up stamped the form). He also has the big advantage of winning his maiden on rain-softened ground at Tipperary.
00:00 MON Alouettes @ SAS Roughriders
SAS Roughriders
Money Line
50 WIN
@1.26
Lose
-50
After a troubled few seasons, the Roughriders (10-2) are by far the best team in the CFL this term, their defence especially is much improved. They had a tough road loss in Calgary last week but face a Montreal (5-7) side currently on a 5-game losing streak. They're hoping the return from injury of veteran QB Bethel-Thompson will help turn things around. But it’ll be a tough task heading into a loud Mosaic Stadium as, with a win here, the Roughriders can be the first team to punch their ticket to the playoffs.
Subtotal-218
13 September 2025
22:39 22:39 Woodbine
Notable Speech
Daily Racing
60 WINNAP
@1.57
Win
34
Charlie Appleby sends his 4yo son of Dubawi across the pond, and his Group 1 Sussex Stakes hero last year has been running in top company ever since. He was terribly unlucky in the Marois at Deauville last time out when runner-up to Diego Velazquez, having been too far back and struggled to get a run. Yet he almost won thanks to an incredible final furlong run in 10.72 seconds. A truly run mile suits him, and that should be the case here.
17:30 5:30 Leopardstown
Anmaat
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@4.20
Lose
-50
Owen Burrows' 7yo Awtaad gelding has won two Group 1s, latterly in the Champion Stakes (10f, soft) at Ascot last year. He has been in similarly top-class form in two fine runs this May/June, and word is he has trained well for this event and has a good form chance.
White Birch
Daily Racing
25 EW
@5.50
Lose
-50
This 5yo Ulysses colt is top-class on his day and would have been very close to Anmaat (second) but for a troubled run at The Curragh in his latest outing in May. He's certainly capable of a very bold show if fully primed for this one, and he won his only previous run over this C&D.
16:50 4:50 Doncaster
Botanical
Daily Racing
25 EW
@4.00
Lose
-50
George Boughey's classy 5yo Lope De Vega gelding, formerly with Roger Varian, could give weight and a beating to these rivals. He didn't seem to handle the undulations at Epsom when a beaten favourite last time out and should be much more at home at a track where he finished third in Listed company just 3 starts back. Now 1lb lower than when runner-up in last year's John Smith's Cup, he looks to have an outstanding chance in this grade.
16:25 4:25 Leopardstown
Fallen Angel
Daily Racing
25 EW
@3.75
Win
82
Karl Burke sends his Irish 1,000 Guineas winner from 2024 across the water again after she rallied to win the Group 1 Prix Rothschild at Deauville last time out, edging the re-opposing January. She has the form to have a very big say if James Doyle gets the fractions right from stall two.
15:00 3:00 Doncaster
Shadow Of Light
Daily Racing
58 WIN
@2.50
Lose
-58
Charlie Appleby's 3yo Lope De Vega colt won teh Dewhurst and Middle Park stakes (Group 1s) last year and narrowly beaten in both the Guineas (on return) and the Prix Jean Prat (Group 1) at Deauville last time out. Yard are in form and he's won at this trip, acts on soft and good ground and can surely do better down in grade. here.
Ten Bob Tony
Daily Racing
25 EW
@6.50
Lose
-50
Ed Walker's 4yo son of Night of Thunder ran to his best after a break last time out to win the John Of Gaunt Stakes (Group 3) at Haydock by a head. He returns again from a break here and is suited by the 7f trip, handles good ground, and also likes it soft. Should be thereabouts.
14:25 2:25 Doncaster
Addison Grey
Daily Racing
25 EW
@5.00
Lose
-50
Clive Cox's 3yo Havana Grey colt improved again when dropped in grade LTO to land a class 4 6f handicap by 3/4 length off a mark of 88 at Newmarket (July). Rossa Ryan is back on board (the jockey rode this one to victory over 6f at Southwell on debut), effective over 6f on sound surface, still progressive with more to come. Big shout.
13:58 1:58 Lingfield
Beccadelli
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@2.38
Lose
-50
Charlie Appleby doesn't send that many to Lingfield (just 5 in the past 12 months) and looks like he's picked a nice heat for the debut of his 17 April Pinatubo colt, who's a half-brother to Dream Whisper (very useful at this 6f trip). The opposition here doesn't look that strong, those that have raced have not shown much so may well be capable of going in at the first time of asking.
00:00 WIN Bluebombers @ HAM Tiger Cats
HAM Tiger Cats
Money Line
50 WIN
@1.31
Win
16
The Ti-Cats have lost 3 of their last 4, but the win was last week, a convincing one on the road to beat the Alouettes 26-9 in Montreal. Two of the defeats were by 3 points or less. I'm sure the Hamilton team will be playing extra hard as the passing of the team’s General Manager, Ted Goveia, after a courageous battle with cancer, was announced Friday. Add to that the fact that Winnipeg's starting QB, Collaros, is out. He left last week’s game vs. Saskatchewan with a head injury. Backup Chris Streveler has won 2 games as a starter this season but threw 2 INTs in relief of Collaros last week. Hamilton’s been one of the best defenses in 2025, currently generating +8 on the season on turnovers.
Subtotal-226
12 September 2025
17:20 5:20 Doncaster
Knebworth
Daily Racing
25 EW
@7.00
Lose
-50
Trainer Richard Hughes is having a good season, and the former Champion Jockey's 5yo Awtaad gelding is a very consistent performer. A solid runner-up LTO (8 days ago) at Lingfield (5f, AW) makes him shortlist material for sure, as he's just as effective at 6f and on turf. He drops in grade here, at which level his 6 runs read 16122.
14:10 2:10 Chester
John T
Daily Racing
25 EW
@5.50
Lose
-50
Trainer Johnny Portman doesn't send many up to the Roodee - only 2 in the past 12 months, and one of those won. This son of Mastercraftsman was outpaced but improved when dropped in grade LTO, beaten 3 lengths off a mark of 75 over 12f at Salisbury. Should stay a little further as here and a sound surface suits. The form of that last run has been franked, showing improvement, so worth a shot.
13:50 1:50 Doncaster
Avicenna
Daily Racing
25 EW
@8.00
Win
210
This 450,000gns Starspangledbanner yearling was well-backed on his debut and won over C&D last month. Godolphin doesn't place many with Roger Varian, so while this is a much tougher assignment, that was a very promising start for this leading yard, and we know he likes the course.
Hankelow
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@2.75
Lose
-50
Karl Burke's Night Of Thunder colt cost 750,000gns at a Tattersalls Book 1 last October as a yearling. He was a decisive winner in a 7f novice at York on his debut in June and although this is significantly tougher he's totally unexposed and hails from a powerful stable.
Subtotal60
09 September 2025
01:15 MIN Vikings @ CHI Bears
Over 43.50
Game Totals
50 WIN
@1.91
Win
46
As good as these two defenses are, there are some key players missing for MNF on that side of the ball for both teams. And offenses have held sway in Week 1, largely I think because there have been so many personnel changes across the league that defensive coordinators haven't been able to get a read on their opponents as yet. This is a low total, so I'm hoping two optimistic offenses go over.
Subtotal46
07 September 2025
18:00 CIN Bengals @ CLE Browns
CLE Browns 5.00
Point Spread
50 WIN
@1.91
Win
46
I have no qualms taking the points for Cleveland here, as the Browns always get up for divisional games, especially at home. There's a limit on how far veteran QB Flacco can take them, but he's proven solid for a few games the last few seasons and knows the system here in Cleveland. And the Bengals always start seasons slowly. Plus, the Browns' D has been solid in recent times with All-Pro Myles Garrett a constant threat to opposition QBs.
Subtotal46
31 August 2025
20:00 Tomas Machac vs Taylor Fritz
Over 39.50
Total Games
50 WIN
@1.85
Lose
-50
World #4 Fritz, as I wrote for his last match vs #175 ranked Kym, has struggled this hard court summer. He will face a very tough and better opponent in Machac (ranked 22). Like Kym, the 24-year-old Czech has a big game, and each of their previous 2 head-to-heads has seen them play a tiebreak (and a 7-5 set in one, on clay). Fritz played 2 tiebreaks vs Kym, and Machac has been serving really well. So, whilst Machac can be very up-and-down, he'll be up for this, and I can't see either man taking this one in straight sets.
Tomas Machac 4.50
Games Won
50 WIN
@1.80
Lose
-50
As I wrote for his last match vs #175 ranked Kym, World #4 Fritz has struggled this hard court summer and looks short against a better opponent in Machac (ranked 22). Like Kym, the 24-year-old Czech has a big game and each of their previous 2 head-to-heads has seen them play a tiebreak (and a 7-5 set in one, on clay). Fritz played 2 tiebreaks vs Kym and Machac has been serving really well. So, whilst I expect Fritz to win (once again on his favored Armstrong court), this should be close.
16:30 4:30 Tipperary
Erosandpsyche
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 19.00 on 31/08 at 10:260.25 deduction for Two Stars@3.75 withdrawn at 11:15R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 18.00 x (1-0.25) = 14.50
@14.50
Win
42
This is a bit of a punt with 4 places on offer, but Daniel Murphy's 7-year-old gelding has form figures over C&D here at Tipperary of 11612. Whilst he hasn't been here in a while, that's largely because he had a bit of time away before joining this yard from Paddy Twomey. He had run well in better races in his first 2 starts but was a bit below form when up in class in the Sapphire Stakes (Group 2) at The Curragh last time out (beaten 7 lengths). He looked good beforehand and is well suited by 5f and acts on any ground.
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16:30 Jessica Pegula vs Ann Li
Jessica Pegula
Win Match
69 WIN
@1.25
Win
17
This is a match that world #4 Pegula really should win. The 31-year-old American has shown she's very consistent in getting to the latter stages at Slams, making at least the QFs here at Flushing Meadows the last 3 years (and was in the final last year, of course). In the past 12 months, she's 16-3 vs opponents ranked outside the top 50 on hard courts, with 2 of those losses to players who are now inside the top 50. Li (ranked 58) has never made a R16 before at a Slam, is 4-7 in her career on hard courts vs top 20 opponents (1-5 vs top 10), and the 25-year-old American has only once before gotten past the first round here in NYC.
Subtotal-41
30 August 2025
15:15 3:15 Chester
Two Tempting
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionBest Odds Guaranteed SP 9.00 used instead of 7.00 takenBOG
@9.00
Win
15
Johnathan Portman's 6-year-old son of New Bay won this very race last year and, in fact, is 2 from 2 over this C&D. He was a bit below form when beaten 8 1/4 lengths in a handicap at Ascot last time out but has dropped back to his last winning mark. Good record when partnered by Rob Hornby (as here) and if he can beat the wide draw, he has a great shout.
01:30 Jerome Kym vs Taylor Fritz
Over 33.50
Total Games
50 WIN
@1.91
Win
46
World #4 Fritz has struggled this hard court summer and looks short against the powerful Kym (ranked 175). I saw the 22yo Swiss beat Nakashima in 5 sets. His big game and aggressive mindset really took it to Nakashima, and he won. Kym’s big game has seen him record some strong stats this US Open (all rounds), with a service/return points won total of 107, 88% holds, 78% first serve points won, 0.92 aces per game. That total of 107 is the same number for Fritz this hard court summer (Fritz has 0.91 aces per game), and he was a little fortunate in the last round that the similarly powerful Harris was once again let down by his body from a set up. Fritz’s experience at this event, at this level generally, and on this court will probably be enough for him to get over the line here, but Kym looks underrated, and I think this number is too low.
Subtotal61
28 August 2025
16:00 Gabriel Diallo vs Jaume Munar
Jaume Munar
Win Match
50 WIN
@2.00
Win
50
Diallo (ranked 33) looked physically spent LTO vs. Dzumhur, and the last thing he needs next is a clash with the brick wall that is Munar (ranked 44). Diallo was struggling with a right leg injury against Dzumhur, who lacked the weapons to take advantage. Diallo had MTOs in both the third and fourth sets and resorted to net-rushing when he could. In fact, he approached the net 61 times! I’m not convinced that he’ll be able to last the pace against Munar in what will be a physical battle. The Spaniard will be desperate for revenge, having lost to Diallo at his home tournament in Majorca this summer. Diallo also won here in NYC last year in a close battle, but things are very different now. Munar is well ahead on stats this season on quicker surfaces, where he’s been a revelation. In 2025 at main level on outdoor hard, Diallo has a service/return points won of just 97, with a 44% win rate, while Munar is on 56% and 104.
16:00 Jenson Brooksby vs Flavio Cobolli
Jenson Brooksby 2.50
Games Won
50 WIN
@1.95
Win
47
I took Brooksby (ranked 92) in R1, and the 24-year-old American came through for me. I think he will here. He's a proper hard-court guy, while Cobolli (ranked 26) is more at home on clay. The 23-year-old Italian is 15-6 on dirt in 2025, just 7-10 on hard courts. Brooksby (who'll get home support, of course) is just 6-7 on hard courts this term but has missed chunks of the season. He beat Cobolli on clay in Rome in '22 (their only previous H2H) and also won a title in Houston earlier this year (that's on US clay, which is pretty fast!). I'll take a head start here.
Subtotal97
27 August 2025
22:00 Jan Lennard Struff vs Holger Rune
Over 37.50
Total Games
50 WIN
@1.80
Win
40
World #11 Rune scrambled past a hapless Van de Zandschulp Monday, VDZ blaming myriad reasons for his defeat. But set one apart, there wasn’t much in it. Rune again struggled to find form at the US Open. His service/return points won total in NYC is just 92. He now faces an opponent in Struff (ranked 144) with the sort of weapons that can (and did) blow him off court - in Munich on clay in their only career ATP meeting. In 11 matches vs big servers, Rune has dropped set one 7 times and has talked about trying to arrest his tendency to start slowly. Struff has long been a quick starter when facing the best players in the world, and he’s a good price to do so again here. Rune also struggled with an abdominal issue against VDZ and rarely appears to be fit enough physically. Struff has had plenty of injury issues in recent times, but he’s found a good groove now having played through qualies and looked good in the latter stages against McDonald. Rune will need much better than the VDZ level to win this easily.
Jan Lennard Struff
1st Set Winner
50 WIN
@2.62
Win
81
World #11 Rune scrambled past a hapless Van de Zandschulp Monday, VDZ blaming myriad reasons for his defeat. But set one apart, there wasn’t much in it. Rune is again struggling to find form at the US Open. His service/return points won total in NYC is just 92. He now faces an opponent in Struff (ranked 144) with the sort of weapons that can (and did) blow him off court - in Munich on clay in their only career ATP meeting. In 11 matches vs big servers, Rune has dropped set one 7 times and has talked about trying to arrest his tendency to start slowly. Struff has long been a quick starter when facing the best players in the world, and he’s a good price to do so again here.
Jan Lennard Struff 4.50
Games Won
50 WIN
@2.00
Win
50
World #11 Rune scrambled past a hapless Van de Zandschulp Monday, VDZ blaming myriad reasons for his defeat. But set one apart, there wasn’t much in it. Rune again struggled to find form at the US Open; his service/return points won total in NYC was just 92. He now faces an opponent in Struff (ranked 144) with the sort of weapons that can (and did) blow him off court - in Munich on clay in their only career ATP meeting. In 11 matches vs big servers, Rune has dropped set one 7 times and has talked about trying to arrest his tendency to start slowly. Struff has long been a quick starter when facing the best players in the world, and he’s a good price to do so again here. Rune also struggled with an abdominal issue against VDZ and rarely appears to be fit enough physically. Struff has had plenty of injury issues in recent times, but he’s found a good groove now having played through qualies and looked good in the latter stages against McDonald. Rune will need much better than his match level against VDZ to win this one.
Subtotal171
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