ARQ007

1

Estimated Prizes
this month

£5

Estimated Prize money
this month

ARQ007's Tips History

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15 February 2026
17:12 5:12 Newcastle

Correspondence

Daily Racing

25 EW

@+1000

Lose

-50

Tony Carroll's 4yo War Front gelding drops into Class 6 company for the first time in his thus-far 7-race career. He was second LTO, with today's 5-pound claimer aboard, on his second run for this yard, beaten 4 lengths in a much better novice heat (beaten by a much better-rated horse) at Wolverhampton. He perhaps has a bit to prove back in a handicap and down in trip, but his handler knows what he's doing. This horse had some very decent 3yo form when with Harry Eustace.

Digital

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTETip made at odds of 2.75 on 15/02 at 12:030.20 deduction for Dandy Dinmont@4.50 withdrawn at 13:41R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 1.75 x (1-0.20) = 2.40

@+139

Win

70

Ruth Carr's 8-year-old Kodi Bear gelding has been in good form since December (1-2-2-1-5). The latest fifth place was despite not enjoying the best of runs here last time out. The stable is in form. He's still on a competitive mark, and his 5-pound claimer is a very capable pilot.
14 February 2026
17:55 5:55 Newcastle

Inspired

Daily Racing

25 EW

@+250

Lose

-13

Karl Burke's 4yo Dubawi colt ran a bit free but improved again when he finished second, beaten three lengths, in a novice here LTO, beaten by a nice type from the Balding yard. Middle-distance bred and effective over 1m, and IMO this opening mark still looks lenient.
15:40 3:40 Gowran Park

Impaire Et Passe

Daily Racing

59 WINNAPNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 1.44 used instead of 1.30 takenBOG

@-225

Win

26

Clearly facile odds here but I need a winning nap! Willie Mullins' 8-year-old son of Diamond Boy has not been seen since last year's Punchestown Festival, but his record when fresh is reassuring. The five-time Grade 1 winner is well suited by this trip and, while he would prefer the ground to be less testing, should handle the conditions, so he is taken to outclass his rivals.
15:15 3:15 Haydock

Myretown

Daily Racing

25 EW

@+400

Lose

-50

This is all about the jumping for Lucinda Russell's 9yo Dylan Thomas gelding, which has rather let him down the last twice. You'd hope he's had some serious schooling at home because in the Peter Marsh here last month he made a bad mistake three out that cost him when he was travelling best of all. That effort suggests that he is still well handicapped. With a clear round here, I'd expect him to be difficult to beat.
13 February 2026
13:30 1:30 Kelso

Kocktail Bleu

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@-120

Lose

-50

Chris Gordon has found a good opportunity for his 6yo Magneticjim gelding here. He was placed behind the likes of Idaho Sun and Kripticjim in bumpers. Those two have both won graded events over hurdles this season. He got off to a winning start over hurdles at Fintley (a heat that's worked out pretty well, too) before failing to stay an extended 2m4f at Newbury. He chased home the pretty smart Baron Noir at Kempton LTO, and that gives him leading form claims here. Plus, the softer ground this time will suit ideally.
12 February 2026
15:30 3:25 Taunton

Jack Hyde

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@+350

Lose

-4

Fergal O'Brien's 8-year-old Soldier of Fortune gelding produced a good effort when runner-up at Cheltenham LTO in November, beaten just 1.25 lengths off a 2 lb lower mark. That followed a very good-looking run in a Graded Novices' heat at the same track. He has since undergone wind surgery. Big chance if coping with the softer ground here.
10 February 2026
16:05 4:05 Ayr

Tory Hill

Daily Racing

25 EW

@+5000

Lose

-50

Taking a swing here in what's an open heat (for perhaps all the wrong reasons!) at a moderate level. Although George Bewley's 8yo Milan gelding is yet to show much under Rules (pulled up in a C&D handicap chase here LTO), this is his second run after wind surgery, and he showed plenty of ability when four times a runner-up in Irish PTPs. There was more to like about his chase debut (also here over C&D, a year ago) with Brian Hughes aboard. It was better than the bare 16.5-length defeat would suggest ??" taken wide throughout, he wasn’t knocked about when outpaced around the home bend. Now 9 lbs below his mark that day, if he has any ability he should be making an impact here on this rating.
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15:05 3:05 Ayr

One Mill Harbour

Daily Racing

25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@+2200

Void

0

James Moffatt's 9yo gelding ran too free and failed to stay when pulled up in a 2m 4f handicap hurdle here last time out, 12 days ago, but that was over hurdles and was his second run back after a long absence. His record in four chase starts is 1-5-1-1 and he's now dropped to a rating of 114, from which he won a Class 4 handicap at Hexham three starts back (albeit that in 2023). The return to fences and drop back in trip look positives, as does the booking of a decent 3 lb claimer, so taking a risk at a big price.
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05 February 2026
18:30 6:30 Southwell

Smokey Malone

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 6.00 used instead of 5.50 takenBOG

@+500

Win

150

The Birkett's venerable 8yo Outstrip gelding produced his best form since the spring when he scored with a bit more in hand than the 1-length distance would indicate to take a 14f handicap here by a length off a 3 lb lower mark last time out. He's still on a competitive mark and clearly in good spirits.
14:00 Emma Raducanu vs Maja Chwalinska

Emma Raducanu

Win Match

50 WIN

@-400

Win

12

After losing the first five games in her R16 match, Raducanu (ranked 30) then rattled off 11 games in a row and looked far more like the attacking player we know on hard courts. The Brit No. 1 has a great 15-4 career record vs. lefties like Chwalinska (ranked 146), and the 24-year-old Polish qualifier is 0-2 in her career vs. top-50 opponents. Raducanu gets "home" support here from the Romanian crowd and really should be winning this one.
13:50 1:50 Doncaster

Count Of Vendome

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@+137

Win

69

Donal McCain's 6yo Getaway gelding has shown some very decent form thus far and is given a good opportunity here. He travelled nicely but threw away a win with a late error as he petered out when second, beaten a neck, in a novice hurdle at Bangor-on-Dee last time out. This two-time bumper winner (placed at Listed level) has had a short break and should come on for that return run.
13:15 1:15 Doncaster

Mollys Lad

Daily Racing

25 EW

@+550

Win

2

Fergal O'Brien's 4-year-old gelding twice shaped with a deal of promise in bumpers and brings plenty of potential to hurdles. This looks like a decent opportunity to start his career over hurdles, with a useful 5-pound claimer helping him out.
04 February 2026
17:30 Emma Raducanu vs Kaja Juvan

Emma Raducanu

Win Match

50 WIN

@-312

Win

16

Despite being without a coach (again...), Raducanu (ranked 30) ??" who's the #1 seed here in Cluj ??" really should be well sorted enough to win this match vs Juvan (ranked 97). The Brit #1 likes conditions she enjoys: indoors, hard courts, reasonably fast. She faces an opponent who's generally performed better on clay and slower surfaces. The 25-year-old Slovenian lost in R1 here last season and beat a player ranked #295 in R1 here this season.
17:00 Fiona Ferro vs Nikola Bartunkova

Fiona Ferro 3.50

Games Won

50 WIN

@+100

Lose

-50

I'll take a small risk on Ferro here. Although the 28-year-old French player is ranked just #281, that's because she's on the comeback trail from an injury that caused her to miss the entire second half of the 2025 season. She's actually had some decent results in 2026 and is facing an opponent in Bart??ková (ranked #108) who I think is being priced up on her 2-1 win over Bencic at the Aussie Open. Ferro has three decent wins here in Ostrava already (via qualies), and I think she keeps this close.
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16:00 Tamara Zidansek vs Sorana Cirstea

Sorana Cirstea

Win Match

50 WIN

@-499

Win

10

Zidansek (ranked 153) is primarily known as a clay-court player, and the 28-year-old Slovenian is just 3-5 indoors in the past three seasons. She faces a home favourite here at the Transylvania Open in Cirstea (ranked 36). This is a special event for the 35-year-old Romanian, as it will likely be one of, if not the last, times she plays in front of a home crowd; she is calling time on her career at the end of the season. She had a decent run "Down Under," taking Osaka to a decider in Melbourne and dispatched her opponent here in R1 with decent aplomb.
15:33 3:33 Ludlow

Magical Maggie

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionBest Odds Guaranteed SP 12.00 used instead of 8.00 takenBOG

@+1100

Win

330

Now on her lowest-ever handicap mark, this 9-year-old Geordieland mare looked like she needed the run when fourth, beaten 13 lengths, in a Class handicap hurdle here last time out in December. She returns from a shorter break this time compared with her 503-day layoff prior to that run. She's dropped in class, and this longer trip may suit.
03 February 2026
13:30 Elena Gabriela Ruse vs Rebeka Masarova

Elena Gabriela Ruse

Win Match

50 WIN

@-344

Lose

-50

These two have met just once before, ironically here in Cluj in 2023, and Ruse (ranked 72) won in straight sets. The 28-year-old Romanian will, of course, get home support here at the Transylvania Open, so I'd fully expect her to repeat her win over Masarova (ranked 114), especially as the 26-year-old Swiss is not at her best on hard courts and has lost her last six straight indoor matches over the last two years. Ruse had a decent showing "Down Under" (6??"3 on the season), so should prevail.
10:30 Yue Yuan vs Sara Sorribes Tormo

Yue Yuan

Win Match

50 WIN

@-344

Win

14

Yuan (ranked 13) had a decent Aussie swing. The 27-year-old from China is 6-2 on the season so far and put up a respectable fight in her Aussie Open loss to world No. 2 ?wi?tek. She likes these indoor hard courts and beat Ruzic (ranked 67) in R1. Sorribes Tormo (ranked 478) is a former top-50 player, but the 29-year-old Spaniard has had a lot of injuries (hence her current lowly ranking) and lost three straight matches at ITF level to start 2026.
09:00 Anastasia Potapova vs Lucia Bronzetti

Anastasia Potapova

Win Match

50 WIN

@-499

Win

10

Not only is Potapova (ranked 58) the reigning champion here at the Transylvania Open, but the 24-year-old newly made Austrian (formerly Russian) has a 5-0 H2H against Bronzetti (ranked 110). This is actually a repeat of last year's final, and although that went to a decider, each set was pretty one-sided. Potapova wasn't in great form in 2025, but after a decent showing at the Australian Open (beat Raducanu and took reigning champion Sabalenka to two tiebreaks), she looks to be in better form here. Bronzetti is typically not as effective on faster surfaces and prefers clay. So, although it's not that fast here in Cluj, it should favour the big-hitting style of Potapova again.
01 February 2026
14:30 2:30 Musselburgh

The Hatchet

Daily Racing

25 EW

@+500

Lose

-50

Lucinda Russell’s 6yo Vadamos gelding was a runner-up on his only Irish PtP start but ran a race full of promise on his Rules debut at Ayr in March last year, where the ground was very holding. Derek Fox held him up before he made smooth progress on the turn for home but ran out of steam as the leaders quickened in the closing stages. He confirmed that run when taking a Novice Hurdle over 2m at Perth last September and was likely made too much use of when a 6.25-length third in a novice hurdle at Ayr. He had a break and this looks a fair opening on handicap debut.
31 January 2026
18:55 6:55 Newcastle

Evolve

Daily Racing

25 EW

@+500

Lose

-50

Richard Fahey's 3yo Dream Ahead colt drops into a handicap for the first time here after showing well in his first three career runs, the best of which was a close-up fourth over this C&D on New Year’s Day in a race which has seen 2 NTO winners. Looks an each-way bet to nothing here.
15:10 3:10 Sandown

Henri The Second

Daily Racing

25 EW

@+300

Win

90

Paul Nicholls' 9yo has never really taken to chasing, so it was a surprise to see him return this season over the fences. He was returned to timber LTO here at a track he likes, beaten just a short-head off a 1 lb lower mark 28 days ago. After being outpaced before the last, he did well to stay on strongly to just be touched off. He will appreciate this step back up in trip, loves Sandown, so there is plenty to suit.
14:02 2:02 Sandown

Jax Junior

Daily Racing

25 EW

@+500

Win

150

Lucy Wadham's 7yo gelding has been generally progressive in his career so far, winning a Novices' Handicap Hurdle at Cheltenham last April and getting off the mark at his second attempt over fences at Kempton last November. He was reported to have bled when fourth in the Noel Novices' Chase (Grade 2) at Ascot most recently. He drops in trip here but also drops in grade, and I think he has a great chance.
13:43 1:43 Musselburgh

Afadil

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 5.00 used instead of 4.50 takenBOG

@+400

Lose

-5

Paul Nicholls doesn't send his horses all the way from the West Country to Scotland just for a day out, and the yard has won 2 of the last 5 runnings of this race. This 7-year-old son of Camelot ran nicely enough but did plenty early on when he was fourth, beaten 5.25 lengths, in a handicap hurdle here LTO. His record over C&D is 2 wins and a place from 4 runs. It looks as though he's running back into form and gets the very capable Freddie Keighley aboard, who takes off 7 pounds.
24 January 2026
17:35 5:35 Newcastle

Quinault

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@+162

Lose

-50

Stuart Williams' 6yo Oasis Dream gelding is a Group winner and has a clear class edge over his rivals here after placing in the Champions Sprint Stakes last time out. In my opinion, he rates a worthy favourite despite his huge weight.
12:55 12:55 Doncaster

Carlenrig

Daily Racing

25 EW

@+650

Lose

-50

Dan Skelton's 6-year-old Soldier of Fortune gelding won the Albert Bartlett Novices' Hurdle (Grade 2) at Cheltenham by a short head last time out and so carries 5 pounds extra here. He's improving as a stayer, and given we have four places on offer here, I'll take a stab at a proven performer.
22 January 2026
12:58 12:58 Huntingdon

Double Measure

Daily Racing

93 WINNB

@-249

Win

37

Facile odds, but I can see why. This 5yo won his sole bumper start very nicely last March and looked set to win on his hurdle debut at Chepstow last November, but Harry Skelton didn’t really ask the question, so that run was clearly about experience and fitness. He then improved from that debut when finishing fourth, beaten 9.5 lengths in the Newton Novices' Hurdle (Grade 2) at Haydock last time out. Off a short break, he sets a very high standard here in what is a golden opportunity.
18 January 2026
01:00 SF 49ers @ SEA Seahawks

SF 49ers 7.50

Point Spread

50 WIN

@-117

Lose

-50

With the hook over a TD head start here, I have to take the 49ers. Yes, Seattle has looked good and beat the 'Niners fairly convincingly to end the regular season. That was in San Fran, and now the 49ers have also lost star TE Kittle. However, this team is at its best when up against it, which it will be playing in Seattle. This Seahawks team is yet to be tested in playoff football. It was 2022 that Seattle last played in the post-season, and that saw their playoff run ended in the Wild Card round with a 41??"23 loss to the San Francisco 49ers. Seattle QB Sam Darnold has never won a playoff game. These battle-hardened 'Niners were in the Super Bowl in 2024.
17 January 2026
21:30 BUF Bills @ DEN Broncos

Over 46.00

Game Totals

50 WIN

@-109

Win

46

There's no doubt this Broncos defense is very good. They've held their last two opponents to a total of 16 points combined. But those two teams were both facing challenges on offense, and that's not an issue for this Buffalo team, rated #4 overall in points scored and #2 in rushing attack. Denver has scored at least 19 points in their last seven games. The Bills have scored 23+ points in seven of their last ten games, scoring over 30 in four of those games. This is playoff football, and both teams will be trying until the final whistle.
1 member found this comment useful

RJ Harvey (DEN Broncos)

Anytime Touchdown Scorer

50 WIN

@-129

Lose

-50

Once again, I'm going against a Bills defense that allowed the joint-most (along with Dallas) number of rushing TDs in the NFL during the regular season: 24 conceded in 17 games. Harvey is the leading TD scorer for the Broncos, the RB scoring 7 on the ground and another 5 receiving. This is playoff football, and both teams will do whatever it takes to score. I can see Harvey taking advantage.
1 member found this comment useful
16 January 2026
15:20 3:20 Newcastle

Pocklington

Daily Racing

25 EW

@+400

Lose

-5

Won a handicap at Southwell 15 days ago off a 3-pound lower mark. That followed a good second place here over 7f. Has 2 wins and a place from his 3 runs over C&D here at Newcastle. Clearly in form, so worth a chance of a follow-up.
13:50 1:50 Windsor

Be Aware

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@+100

Lose

-50

The Skeltons' 7-year-old Martaline gelding had the tough task of chasing home Lulamba in the Henry VIII Novices' Chase (Grade 1) at Sandown LTO, but stuck to his guns well to finish second. The yard is in form and, whilst perhaps below the top level, he should have the class to win this one.
12:53 12:53 Market Rasen

Hold The Serve

Daily Racing

59 WIN

@-136

Win

43

Olly Murphy's 6yo Jukebox Jury gelding was an impressive winner on debut in an Irish Point-to-Point. He was given a tough task on Rules debut this side of the Irish Sea when entered in a pretty hot maiden at Cheltenham last November. He won a novice hurdle readily at Wincanton in December. Lewis Saunders is helping to negate most of his 7 lb penalty for that, and I expect him to be too strong for the opposition here.
13 January 2026
01:15 HOU Texans @ PIT Steelers

PIT Steelers 3.00

Point Spread

50 WIN

@-117

Lose

-50

Pittsburgh head coach Mike Tomlin has an absurd stat as a home underdog. After defeating the Ravens to close out the regular season, Tomlin and the Steelers are an NFL-best 25-9-3 ATS as home underdogs and have won four straight games outright. On top of that, in four games at home against the Texans since 2002, the Steelers are 3-1 SU and ATS. This Houston team has limited playoff experience. The Steelers are brimful of it.

Over 38.00

Game Totals

50 WIN

@-109

Lose

-50

Yes, these two teams have some very good defenses. The Texans, especially, have ridden the NFL's #2 defense (points allowed) all the way to the playoffs. But this is a very low total. Pittsburgh have exceeded this number in 7 of their last 10 games, and Houston in 4 of their last 7 games. The Steelers get star WR DK Metcalf back, and he's linked up well with veteran QB Aaron Rodgers.

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