ARQ007

Travelled Man of Kent. Likes: cars, sport, eating out, working out, conversation, travel, gambling, short-sleeve shirts. All teeth my own.

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ARQ007's Tips History

All tips
14 June 2024
00:30 WIN Bluebombers @ OTT Redblacks

WIN Bluebombers

Money Line

50 WIN

@1.34

Lose

-50

The Blue Bombers didn't look like the team that's played in four straight Grey Cups in their week 1 27-12 loss to the Alouettes. Winnipeg was sloppy, with multiple turnovers and missed field goals, but it was a tough matchup against the team that beat the Bombers to win the 2023 title. Winnipeg boasts the CFL's best roster on paper, and the Redblacks are the perfect team for them to bounce back against. Ottawa had a bye in Week 1, but the RedBlacks went 4-14 during 2023 and put up the third-fewest yards per game (347.6) while allowing the second-most (395.4). The Redblacks lost star running back Devonte Williams to a torn Achilles during the offseason, and backup Jackson Bennett only recorded 32 carries in 2023. That'll make it hard to keep up with Collaros, Oliveira, and the Bombers' loaded receiver room, especially if Ottawa's secondary play isn't any better in 2024. The Redblacks allowed the most passing yards per game in the CFL during 2023 (310.6) and a QB rating of 100.5.
13 June 2024
15:25 3:25 Newbury

Global Asset

Daily Racing

25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@3.50

Void

0

William Haggas' 3yo Night Of Thunder gelding definitely has the look of one brought along for handicaps. Thsi will be just his fouth start and second in a handicap. in his first he was only just denied when second of 11 in a handicap at Windsor (8.1f, good to firm) 31 days ago. Should do better still and yard back in teh winners of late.
13:30 Alex De Minaur vs Zizou Bergs

Over 21.50

Total Games

50 WIN

@1.85

Win

43

I expect world #9 De Minaur to have a good grass court season but a look at his stats show that the 25yo Aussie has typically taken time to acclimatise to the turf from clay. He’s 3-4 in matches at his first grass event of the year (here at Hertogenbosch and in Stuttgart) and 5 of those 7 matches went to a decider (and one that didn’t he lost pretty badly to Mannarino). And this season he’s gone deeper at Roland Garros than ever before so has less time to switch surfaces (and was seen socialising in London with gf Katie Boulter post-French Open). Bergs (ranked 81) already has 3 matches under his belt here (he lost one but back in as a Lucky Loser) and the 25yo Belgian typically raises his game vs “better” players ??" whilst 1-5 vs top 50 opponents in the last 12 months he’s tested them, taking a set off his opponent in 5 of those 6 matches. I think this goes Over.

Zizou Bergs 4.50

Games Won

50 WIN

@1.80

Win

40

As per my Games Total tip (see separate write up), I think world #9 De Minaur should win but it will take the 25yo Aussie time to acclimate to the grass and Bergs (ranked 81) ??" who already has matches on grass ??" has tested top 50 opponents - in the last 12 months although he’s 1-5 he’s taken a set off his opponent in 5 of those 6 matches. This could be close.
13:30 Celine Naef vs Liudmila Samsonova

Liudmila Samsonova

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.28

Win

14

It's always been a surpise to me that Samsonova (ranked ) has not had more success on grass. The 25yo Russian won teh title in Berlin (as a Qualifier) in 2021 but has really not gone on from there, however she is 10-3 on turf vs players ranked outside the top 100 (and one of those losses was to Bouzkova, who's now top 50). She destroyed Van Uytvanck - who's just regained her crown in Surbiton (also won in 2022) and is a decent yardstick on grass - in R1. Naef (ranked 161) got a WC into the draw and the 18yo Swiss player has just 9 matches on grass in her career. She's 0-2 on turf vs top 50 opponents, both losses in straight sets, and oronically both against Russian players with a similar big-hitting gamestyle to Samsonova (Kudermetova, Potopova).
12:30 Viktoriya Tomova vs Oksana Selekhmeteva

Viktoriya Tomova

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.75

Win

38

Whilst I think this will be closer than the odds and ranking suggest, Tomova (ranked 69) is 40-12 on clay vs opponents ranked 100+ since 2022 and should win here. I expect Selekhmeteva (ranked 448) to make this a fight (see separate Games Won and Games Total tips) but ultimately in vain.

Over 21.50

Total Games

50 WIN

@1.91

Win

46

This is as much as gut feel as anything but I don’t see either Tomova (ranked 69) or Selekhmeteva (ranked 448) winning this one easily. Don’t be fooled by the latter’s lowly rating as she’s been inside the top 150 just a couple of years ago but injuries have affected the 21yo Russian’s schedule. In the last 12 months she’s 15-7 on clay vs players outside the top 50, 2-3 vs opponents ranked between 50 and 100. These two played at Makarsa a couple of years ago when Selekhmeteva was inside the top 200 and although Tomova won it too a deciding set.

Oksana Selekhmeteva 1.50

Games Won

50 WIN

@1.95

Lose

-50

I don’t see either Tomova (ranked 69) or Selekhmeteva (ranked 448) winning this one easily despite the latter’s lowly rating as she’s been inside the top 150 just a couple of years ago but injuries have affected the 21yo Russian’s schedule. In the last 12 months she’s 15-7 on clay vs players outside the top 50, 2-3 vs opponents ranked between 50 and 100. These two played at Makarsa a couple of years ago when Selekhmeteva was inside the top 200 and although Tomova won it too a deciding set. This could be close
10:00 Dalma Galfi vs Veronika Kudermetova

Veronika Kudermetova

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.44

Lose

-50

I don't think Galfi (ranked 138) will be an easy opponent here but I do expect Kudermetova (ranked 34) to win this one. The 27yo Russian has had a pretty horrible 2024, just 8-13, but she does like grass and especially here in Hertogenbosch where she's made the final and SF the past 2 seasons - ironically, losing in both to compatriot Alexandrova. She's 13-4 on grass since 2022 with all 4 defeats to top 50 opponents - ironically, the lowest ranked player she lost to in that span was Vondrousova at Wimbledon last year - who of course then won the title! She beat #93 ranked Bai tidily in R1 to dispel my doubts that she was in a season-long funk and although Galfi has a 14-4 record on grass since 2022, most of her wins have been in low-level events or Qualies - the 25yo Hungarian is just 2-3 vs top 100 opposition.
10:00 Emina Bektas vs Ekaterina Alexandrova

Ekaterina Alexandrova

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.30

Win

15

Bektas (ranked 96) has a liking for grass, the 31yo American is 16-7 on turf since 2022, 4-4 vs top 100 opponents (1-1 vs top 50). She made the QFs here last year, but she lost there to today's opponent Alexandrova (ranked 16). The 29yo Russian hs won this event for the past 2 years and is 17-3 on grass since 2022 - her 3 defeats to top 12 players (world #2 Sabalenka at Wimbledon and eventual title-winner Kvitova in Berlin, both last year, and Kasatkina in Berlin 2022) and she's 11-0 in that span vs players ranked 50+. She just has an ideal gamestyle for grass and should repeat her win of 12 months ago.
10:00 Emma Raducanu vs Daria Snigur

Emma Raducanu

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.36

Win

18

I don't think this will be easy but Raducanu (ranked 209) really should win this one. The 21yo Brit did what she had to in R1 here vs #274 ranked Shibahara and was crusing for most of the match. That should have blown off the grass-cobwebs and despite all teh nay-sayers, teh fact is teh former US Open cham - despite all the well publicised injury issues and enfoced layoffs - is 11-3 vs players ranked 100+ since 2022. It was a great result for Snigur to beat her Ukrainian compatriot world #17 Kostyuk in R1, but frankly her opponent was terrible and the 22yo just had to play pretty solid. She lost to eventual winner - and Raducanu's GB BJK cup teammate - Boulter here last year and I just think the same will happen here.
10:00 Tallon Griekspoor vs Mackenzie McDonald

Over 22.50

Total Games

50 WIN

@1.85

Lose

-50

Here at Hertogenbosch recently we've seen 84% service holds, 74% first serve points won and 44% of matches feature a TB. Over 22.5 games has cashed 52%. So the trends are in our favour and this is actually the lowest Totals line available in the current slate of matches. Griekspoor (ranked 23) is reigning champ here, the 27yo Dutchman is 14-6 on grass the past 2 season and won his R1 match here vs Kecmanovic in a serve-fest, 6-7,7-6,7-6. He won 82% of first serve points and saved 4 of 5 BPs faced. Mcdonald (ranked 74) hasn't reached quite the same level, the 29yo American has made the QFs here twice the past 3 years and though his serve can get patchy, when it's firing it's effective. In his run to the SFs in Eastbourne last year he won an average of 78% of first serve points. Whilst the career H2H is 2-0 to Griekspoor, both matches (indoor hard and clay, just recently at this year's French Open) has seen each win a set and they played a deciding set TB in the Paris Masters in '22. So Overs looks the %age call to me.
12 June 2024
17:00 Tallon Griekspoor vs Mackenzie McDonald

Tallon Griekspoor

Win Match

66 WIN

@1.40

Win

26

Whilst Griekspoor (ranked 23) is rather fortunate to have made it through the first match in defence of his title here, the 27yo Dutchman (on home “turf” of course ??" literally!) showed tenacity to win in a third TB and his power and aggression on court make him very difficult to break. I do think McDonald (ranked 74) plays this close, but the 29yo American is still on the road back from an injury layoff and ultimately I feel this will come down to which man can out-serve the other, and physically I have to go with Griekspoor.
16:30 Marcos Giron vs Jack Draper

Over 23.50

Total Games

50 WIN

@2.10

Win

55

Another match where I’m in agreement that Draper (ranked 40) should be favorite, but considering the way the form of the 22yo Brit lately and how Giron (ranked 54) has played in quicker conditions this season, I don't agree that this is going to be lopsided. Draper has the talent and the weapons, but his return game hasn’t been great and even playing a more clay-centric opponent in the opening round with a big serve saw him struggle mightily to generate much pressure on return. In his R1 match here vs Ofner he took just 1 of 5 BP chances on return and won just 25% of first serve return points and only 40% on second. The grass courts in Stuttgart aren’t just fast, but have been faster than every other tournament outside the year-end finals (slight altitude here) which makes it even tougher to return. Giron won 81% of first serve points and saved all 3 BPs faced Vs Andy Murray LTO here. I like Overs.
15:00 Tallon Griekspoor vs Mackenzie McDonald

Mackenzie McDonald 3.50

Games Won

50 WIN

@1.75

Lose

-50

As you might expect from someone with his game style, Griekspoor (ranked 23) plays a lot of close matches, even on clay. The 27yo Dutchman hasn’t had a great 2024, but is defending champion here and does like grass. That big serve and forehand can’t be questioned, both legitimate weapons, but his ability to win return points and work into rallies,? Not so much! He probably should win this match, but I’m not sure he should be a large favorite against McDonald (ranked 74) who seems to be shaking the rust off after an injury absence and is no longer playing on his worst surface (clay). The 29yo American had his best run at Eastbourne last year (narrow loss in the SF to eventual winner Cerundolo) and given this could be close I'll take the games here.
11:30 Donna Vekic vs Greet Minnen

Donna Vekic

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.40

Lose

-50

Vekic (ranked 40) has a decent grass court pedigree, the 27yo Croatian has played 4 WTA level grass court finals in her career and won the title in Nottingham in 2017. Her game is far more suited to the pace of grass courts than Minnen (ranked 85), the 26yo Belgian has made the QFs here in 2019 but had a very lucky draw. She's 10-8 on grass since 2022 but 2-3 vs top 100 ranked opposition and the 2 wins were against a fading Muguruza and Doi. Since 2021 Vekic is 13-4 vs players ranked 50+ on grass.
11 June 2024
21:00 9:00 Wetherby

Life On The Rocks

Daily Racing

25 EW

@3.25

Win

67

On a very good run having won twice on the bounce, winning an Apprentice's race at Redcar last month then bolting up at Ayr last week in a first-time visor. He's effectively running off 7 lb higher here with a penalty but is still 14 pounds below his previous winning mark (April 2022).
18:45 6:45 Sligo

Belgoprince

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@7.50

Win

7

This 7yo Prince of Gibraltar gelding has run at a decent level on the flat and although last of 13 in a handicap at Leopardstown (10f) 62 days ago when last seen, that was on heavy ground. Switches back to hurdles here and has run to a decent level over timber, certainly in relation to teh form of this race.
18:00 Miriam Bulgaru vs Oksana Selekhmeteva

Oksana Selekhmeteva

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.44

Win

22

I can see why Selekhmeteva (ranked 448) wants to continue playing on the clay as the 21yo Russian leftie has had a great spin on the dirt. She's 16-7 on clay this year and don't let her lowly ranking fool you, she was ranked #138 just 2 years ago but has had injury issues/absences. She's 14-6 on clay vs players ranked 100+, 10-4 vs players ranked 200+ in that span. She's won 7 of her last 10 and those 3 defeats have been to very in-form players (Volynets, Jimenez Kasintseva and Uchijima). Bulgaru (ranked 218) is 9-11 on clay this term, the 25yo Romanian has a few decent wins but has just not been very consistent.
14:00 Alexei Popyrin vs Rinky Hijikata

Rinky Hijikata 1.50

Games Won

50 WIN

@1.87

Lose

-50

With a small head start here I'll take a shot at Hijikata (ranked 80) as the 23yo Aussie has shown promise on grass and in fact made the SFs at this very tournament last year from Qualies (though he was a Lucky Loser!) and he's 13-8 on the green stuff since 2022 (at Challenger and main ATP level). His 24yo compatriot Popyrin (ranked 49) doesn't have a great record on turf and is just 9-11 on grass since 2022.
13:30 Stefano Napolitano vs Adrian Mannarino

Adrian Mannarino

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.45

Win

22

The mercurial Mannarino (ranked 22) must be pleased the clay season is gone, the 35yo Frenchman much prefers faster conditions and especially the low-bouncing grass. He's a former winner here in Hertogenbosch (2019), made the SFs in 2022 and has also made QFs on 3 other occasions. Napolitano (ranked 125) has come through Qualies but the 29yo Italian is 0-3 on grass in his career vs top 100 opposition and I just don't see him beating "Manna" here.
11:00 Tatjana Maria vs Emiliana Arango

Tatjana Maria

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.30

Win

15

Here we have a player in Maria (ranked 56) whom we know loves grass - the 36yo German made the SFs here in 2019 and the SFs at Wimbledon 2 years ago - and she just made teh final in the first decent level grass court tournament of the season in Surbiton. Arango (ranked 120) is 7-3 on grass in teh past 12 months, but those were all from last year and the 23yo Colombian has actually only played 13 grass matches (at a recognised level) in her career. She's never played a top 100 player on grass.
10:00 Donna Vekic vs Tamara Korpatsch

Donna Vekic

Win Match

62 WIN

@1.18

Win

11

Two players whom we last saw exit early doors at the French Open but the key here for me is that Vekic (ranked 40) has a grass court pedigree, the 27yo Croatian has played 4 WTA level grass court finals in her career and won the title in Nottingham in 2017. Her gane is far more suited to the pace of grass courts than Korpatsch (ranked 79) whom I confess I've never really known what conditions are best for - the 29yo German has just one main WTA tour title in her career on higher bouncing hard courts. I have to go with Vekic - who won their only prior H2H indoors in Linz last year in straight sets - in this instance.
10:00 Ena Shibahara vs Emma Raducanu

Emma Raducanu

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.25

Win

12

For all teh doubters out there, let's not forget that despite being ranked just #205 right now, Emma raducanu is a Grand Slam champion who made the R16 on her main draw debut at Wimbledon in 2021. Beset by injuries since winning the US Open the 21yo Brit has shown she is a talented player and her comeback season this year has shown she's already at a high level - she may only be 9-7 but let's take a look at the rankings of those who've beaten her: 1,2,6,25,30,82,94. So bar a couple of outliers it's taken some very good players to beat her. And she's beaten 5 top 50 opponents this term. We know she likes teh grass and she's been practicing on it for some time now. Prior to this year Shibahara (ranked 279) had played a total of 4 matches at any recognised level on grass, the 26yo Japanese/American going 2-2 against players ranked well outside teh top 100.
10:00 Flavio Cobolli vs Jan Lennard Struff

Jan Lennard Struff

Win Match

57 WIN

@1.20

Win

11

Struff (ranked 35) made the final here last year and the SFs in 2019, the tall 34yo German's big serve and booming shots are formidable weapons on any surface but expecially grass. He's beaten Cobolli (ranked 50) on both their previous meetings (indoors, clay) and the 22yo Italian has played the grand total of 2 matches at any level - Wimbledon Qualies in 2022 and '23, and lost both.
10 June 2024
21:00 9:00 Pontefract

Rambuso Creek

Daily Racing

25 EW

@SP

Lose

-50

Kevin Ryan's 5yo gelding hasn't won here but he has run well in pretty near all his 6 starts at the track, including his most recent visit when fourth over C&D (GF going) last August, left short of room for most of the straight and giving the impression he'd have gone very close granted a clear run. That was off a mark of 76 and having been placed on his previous three starts here off marks between 77 and 81, he’s got a definite chance off a career-low mark of 71 as he drops to thsi class for just teh 6th time in his career (one of which he won).
15:00 Alycia Parks vs Karolina Pliskova

Karolina Pliskova

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.22

Win

11

A small risk on former world #1 Pliskova (now ranked 50) here as the 30yo Czech is a former winner of this title on her only previous visit (albeit 8 years ago) and her booming serve is a huge weapon on the slick grass. Parks (ranked 151) is just 5-17 vs top 100 ranked opposition in the past 12 months (1-9 vs top 50).

Over 20.50

Total Games

50 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-50

A small risk on this not being an easy one forformer world #1 Pliskova (now ranked 50) against Parks (ranked 151) here as the 23yo American has shown some decent stuff on grass in the past, her big serve and powerful groundstrokes should suit the surface. Plus, early season grass will bounce that bit lower which makes returning tricky. Bioth her and the 30yo Czech have big serves and on fast surfaces like turf it's tough to break. Parks actually won their only prior H2H on a hard court in Ostrava 2 years ago in which teh secodn set went to a TB, so I like Overs.

Alycia Parks 4.50

Games Won

50 WIN

@2.10

Win

55

At odds against a small risk on Parks (ranked 151) here as the 23yo American has showbn some decent stuff on grass in the past, her big serve and powerful groundstrokes should suit the surface. Plus, early season grass will bounce that bit lower which makes returning tricky. We haven't seen former world #1 Pliskova (now ranked 50) since an early exit at Roland Garros , the 30yo Czech not in great form lately. She won this event on her only prior visit but that was 8 years ago and Parks actually won their only prior H2H on a hard court in Ostrave 2 years ago so won't fear her opponent.
14:00 Polona Hercog vs Eva Guerrero Alvarez

Polona Hercog

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.33

Win

17

I have to back Hercoq (ranked 183) here, the 33yo Slovenian is a former top 50 player who now bumps around the ITF circuit mostly on clay - she's played 61 matches on the dirt in the last 12 months, just 6 on hard courts, and she's 42-19 and 22-3 vs lower ranked opponents! The vast majority of such wins in straight sets. I know little about Guerrero Alvarez (ranked 422) except that the 24yo Spaniard has been struggling to get through Qualies in the same events in which Hercoq has been making finals/deep runs. She actually has better results (and way more matches!) on hard courts than on clay - she's 2-5 on teh red stuff since 2022, 48-26 on hard courts!

Polona Hercog to win 2 - 0

Set Betting

50 WIN

@1.85

Win

43

13:00 Harriet Dart vs Katie Boulter

Katie Boulter

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.33

Win

17

Two Team GB BJK Cup team mates face one another here at Nottingham for the second time in the past 2 years and the sixth time in their careers. As here on teh grass last year it's been a one-way record in favour of Boulter (ranked 30), the 27yo not only won their QF here last year in straight sets but has won 5 of their 6 H2Hs (albeit spread over 8 years). She beat her yo compatriot in straight sets that day and when they met earlier this year on clay in Paris 6-0,6-4, a surface neither appreciates as much as grass. Boulter has recently cracked the top 50 with a win in San Diego and stretched former world #2 Badosa at Roland Garros. She just does most things better than Dart and makes fewer mistakes and I can't see this changing here where Boulter is defending her title.

Katie Boulter to win 2 - 0

Set Betting

50 WIN

@1.85

Lose

-50

Two Team GB BJK Cup team mates face one another here at Nottingham for the second time in the past 2 years and the sixth time in their careers. As here on teh grass last year it's been a one-way record in favour of Boulter (ranked 30), the 27yo not only won their QF here last year in straight sets but has won 5 of their 6 H2Hs (albeit spread over 8 years). She beat her 27yo compatriot in straight sets that day and when they met earlier this year on clay in Paris 6-0,6-4, a surface neither appreciates as much as grass. Boulter has recently cracked the top 50 with a win in San Diego and stretched former world #2 Badosa at Roland Garros. She just does most things better than Dart and makes fewer mistakes and is defending her title here, I just think it'll be another 2-0.

Over 20.50

Total Games

52 WIN

@1.85

Win

44

Whilst I do feel Boulter wins this (see separate write up) as Team GB BJK Cup team mates (and who faced one another here at Nottingham last year and recently in Paris on clay) these two do know one another's games. Given Dart (ranked 92) has already played a couple of matches on grass (and took eventual Surbiton winner Van Uytvanck to a decider) and Boulter is playing her first match of the grass season, this could be tougher than expected.

Harriet Dart 4.50

Games Won

50 WIN

@1.87

Win

44

Whilst I do feel Boulter wins this (see separate write up) as Team GB BJK Cup team mates (and who faced one another here at Nottingham last year and recently in Paris on clay) these two do know one another's games. Given Dart (ranked 92) has already played a couple of matches on grass (and took eventual Surbiton winner Van Uytvanck to a decider) and Boulter is playing her first match of the grass season, this could be close and if she serves well, Dart can beat this number.
11:30 Dominik Koepfer vs Zhizhen Zhang

Zhizhen Zhang 1.50

Games Won

50 WIN

@1.85

Win

43

Koepfer's record on grass at main ATP tour level is pretty shocking, the #65 ranked 30yo German is just 3-8 in his career and is 5-8 on grass at all; levels since 2021. Zhang (ranked 44) has had a decent season so far and the 27yo Chinese is 8-9 on grass at all levels since 2021. He has a game that should be suited to grass and is by far the better mover of the two,, so I'll take teh games here.
11:00 Greet Minnen vs Rebeka Masarova

Greet Minnen

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.83

Win

41

I'll take a chance on Minnen (ranked 85) at these odds as the 26yo Belgian is much more experienced on grass (she's 16-10 at main WTA level in her career) and has played a couple of grass matches already with a win under her belt in Surbiton, then losing to eventual QF-ist Tan in a decider. She's made QFs here before in Den Bosch. She's also beaten Masarova (ranked 103) in their 2 prior H2Hs on hard courts and the 24yo Spaniard is not that experienced on grass, just 3-5 in her career, much more succesful on clay. She retired in teh Madrid ITF event and then got thrashed at Roland Garros in R1 by Vondrousova.
09 June 2024
13:30 Alexander Zverev vs Carlos Alcaraz

Carlos Alcaraz

Win Match

56 WIN

@1.36

Win

20

Zverev (ranked 4) has served wonderfully through this tournament - it's what has sevaed him more than once - and if the issues on serve that world #2 Alcaraz faced on Friday vs Sinner present themselves again, it could be a tough match for the 21yo Spaniard. Ultimately though, despite injury concerns, his forehand has been booming throughout the 2 weeks here in Paris and despite some sloppy play he's gotten the job done and probably beat the current other best player in the world in Sinner LTO. As long as he can fix his "focus" and nerve issues, he should win this match.

Over 38.50

Total Games

50 WIN

@1.91

Win

46

I think this will be a nervy affair - this would be world #4 Zverev's first Slam title and the world has been waiting for world #2 Alcaraz to win the Roland Garros title. Both players have shown nerves and started poorly the last twice. Two of the 3 meetings between these two at Slams have gone Over this number. I'll take a shot at the Overs here.

Alexander Zverev 4.50

Games Won

50 WIN

@2.00

Lose

-50

I have to take a shot at this spread as I think This will be a tight, nervy, affair with both players having shown their tentative side in their respective SFs here. For Zverev (ranked 4) it's a second shot at a Slam, for world #2 Alcaraz it's the Roland Garros title everyone's been predicting as the heir-apparent to Nadal. The 27yo German's had to beat 3 top-12 players in succession to get here and although Alcaraz's opponents have been tough, he has this tendency to just lose focus and start spraying errors. Zverev has used a lot of net play to beat the 21yo Spaniard in their last 2 meetings and Ijust feel this is too many games to give up in what should be a very see-saw match.
13:10 1:10 Punchestown

Ash Tree Meadow

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.10

Lose

-50

Gordon Elliott's 8yo is a very smart chaser and showed a career best to win a 4-runner Grade 3 chase at Killarney (20.4f, good to soft) 27 days ago by 5.5 lengths from French Dynamite, keeping up nicely. Switches from chase to hurdles and has won opver timber over this trip and looks to be the one to beat.

Scaramanga

Daily Racing

28 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@3.12

Void

0

This 9yo son of Mastercraftsman was formerly a dual purpose hurdles/flat runner with Paul Nicholls but since joing the Mullins team has been mostly campaigned on the flat. He was a Grade 1 winner in the US when last seen over obstacles and should be very much involved here.
08 June 2024
21:52 Race 10 Saratoga

White Abarrio

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.75

Lose

-50

Won the Breeders Cup Classic at Santa Anita last November and has won 7 races from 6f to 1m 2f. Was beaten 15l when 10th of 14 LTO in the Group 1 Saudi Cup at Riyadh over 1m 1f (good to firm) in February, but I'm prepared to believe that was no more than a blip. Warrants serious respect dropped to this level.
21:08 Race 9 Saratoga

Mischief Magic

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.00

Lose

-50

Given he must have had the choice of either of Charlie Appleby's runners here I'm surprised that the selection of William Buick is this price. This 4yo son of Exceed and Excel has won 6 races from 5f to 6f on good to firm and good ground and on the AW. He was third of 17 behind the re-opposing (and favourite here) Cogburn as a 14-5fav LTO in the Grade 2 Twin Spires Turf Sprint at Churchill Downs over 5f last month, finishing like a train having been too far back with the winner having flown - perhaps not Frankie Dettori's finest ride. Has a chance.
19:36 Race 7 Saratoga

Idiomatic

Daily Racing

65 WIN

@1.73

Lose

-65

This 5yo mare has won 10 from 12 starts, over trips from 1m to 1m 2f, including a season-ending win in the Longines Breeders' Cup Distaff. Won her seasonal return LTO in the Grade 1 Fasig-tipton La Troienne Stakes at Churchill Downs (1m) last month, beating the re-opposing Pretty Mischievous (third) by just under four lengths. She is likely to prove very difficult to beat again at this level.

Randomized

Daily Racing

25 EW

@6.50

Win

172

Not beaten far by today's favourite in the Longines Breeders' Cup Distaff at Santa Anita last November (9f), and likely needed the run FTO this term when beaten by the outsider (re-opposing) Soul of an Angel at Belmont last month. That one had the fitness advantage that day so with a run under her belt and the stp up in trip I think she gives teh favourite most to think about here.
18:15 6:15 Lingfield

Grey Charger

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 1.33 used instead of 1.30 takenBOG

@1.33

Win

16

Clearly not a way to make a big profit tipping 3/10 favourites but the fact is I think this beautifully bred 3yo son of Caravaggio will win this heat. The Haggas team have been back in the winners today, and this grey showed a good attitude to win on debut in a Chelmsford maiden, then shaped really well when second of 3 at Goodwood (8f, heavy) 36 days ago. Should go on improving upped in trip and ought to prove hard to beat here despite the penalty.
16:45 4:45 Haydock

Intrinsic Bond

Daily Racing

25 EW

@17.00

Lose

-50

The Wigham's 7yo gelding won FTO on stable debut over 5f last year in the Class 2 Whispering Angel Handicap at Ascot off a mark of 91 then finished second in the Shergar Cup Dash there the following month. He reappears this term on a rating just a pound higher that that win and is 7 pounds below his mark when a fine third in the Portland at Doncaster's St Leger meeting last Sept. Has gone well fresh in teh past and he's a big price here.
15:30 3:30 Navan

Everlasting

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@2.25

Win

62

Aiden O'Brian's Kingman filly made little impression in the Irish 1,000 Guineas LTO but takes a drop in class here to Listed level. She'd run well on her two previous outings in stakes company, including when third to Oaks winner Ezeliya in the Salsabil Stakes here in late April. The one to beat.
13:50 1:50 Haydock

Live In The Dream

Daily Racing

50 WINNB

@2.00

Lose

-50

Last year's Nunthorpe hero (also a close up fourth in the Breeders' Cup Turf Sprint at Santa Anita ) was only picked up late on by Kerdos in the Temple Stakes here a fortnight ago on seasonal return. He's likely to step forward with that run under his belt and the return to a quicker surface is a positive, Adam West's talented 5yo is rated 5 pounds clearhere and hard to oppose.

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