ARQ007

Travelled Man of Kent. Likes: cars, sport, eating out, working out, conversation, travel, gambling, short-sleeve shirts. All teeth my own.

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ARQ007's Tips History

20 September 2024

00:40 WAS Nationals @ CHI Cubs

CHI Cubs

Money Line

50 WIN

@1.60

Win

Washington (68-84, 32-45 away) are fourth in the NL East, out of the playoffs, and on a 3 game losing stretch and look to start Patrick Corbin (6-13, 5.45 ERA). The Cubs (77-75, 39-35 home) are second in the NL Central, still in playoff contention, and start Javier Assad (7-5, 3.27 ERA). Better team, better motivation, home fans - take Chicago.

00:15 PHI Phillies @ NY Mets

NY Mets

Money Line

50 WIN

@1.90

Win

The Mets (84-68, 43-34 home) host Philadelphia (91-61, 39-35 away) on a 3-game home win streak and start Luis Severino (10-6, 3.77 ERA). The Phillies start Taijuan Walker (3-6, 6.29 ERA) on the road here, so I have teh way better pitcher at home - I'll take the Mets.

19 September 2024

14:33 2:33 Pontefract

Reddeef

Daily Racing

25 EW

@3.75

Lose

-50

Charlie Fellowes' Blue Point colt has shown sopme decent form in both starts so far, and stepped up on his debut run when third of 10 in a Class 3 novice heat at Carlisle (5.8f, soft) 21 days ago. Should still be a bit more to come and and has the advantage of a plum draw against the rail.

12:30 Katie Volynets vs Tamara Zidansek

Katie Volynets

Win Match

61 WIN

@1.22

Lose

-61

So these two have played just once before, and ironically it was here in Hua Hin in February at the initial instalment of this event. Volynets (ranked 60) was then at #125 and beat the then #97 ranked Zidansek (now ranked #261) in straight sets. That gives you an idea if the seasons these two have had... the 22yo American has a WTA title to her name and played well across all surfaces, the 26yo Slovenian has struggled with form and injuries, playing at lower level events. Her R1 win here vs a player ranked #259 was her first hard court win this season.

12:30 Zhizhen Zhang vs Denis Yevseyev

Zhizhen Zhang

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.18

Win

Zhang (ranked 48) is on home soil here in Hangzhou and the 27yo Chinese player really should be beating his 31yo opponent from Kazakhstan. I confess I'd not heard of Yevseyev (ranked 207) before, perhaps no surprise as he's never played a top 50 opponent before in his career.

09:30 Roman Safiullin vs Fabio Fognini

Roman Safiullin

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.25

Win

Safiullin (ranked 56) made teh final here last season, so clearly likes the conditions and is also motivated to defend his ranking points. He won teh Cary challenger in teh States at the end of last month, a decent event, so is clearly in form. Fognini (ranked 79) is surely on his farewell tour, the 37yo Italian is not at his best and is 4-10 on hard courts since 2022 vs top 50 players.

07:30 Yannick Hanfmann vs Shintaro Mochizuki

Yannick Hanfmann

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.50

Win

Taking a shot with Hanfmann (ranked 95) here as the 32yo German has shown himself to be pretty decent in teh conditions as we have here in China (he's done well in Beijing and Shanghai before and just nabbed a couple of decent wins in Davis Cup in Zuhai prior to this event). Mochizuki (ranked 147) is just 3-8 in the past 12 months on hard courts vs top 100 opponents, 5-12 since 2022. Now those 3 wins all came in Tokyo last October and the 21yo Japanese beat Fritz, Popyrin and Etcheverry - a decent haul! - but we've seen little of note since.

06:30 Xinyu Wang vs Rebeka Masarova

Xinyu Wang

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.40

Lose

-50

This is simply a question of me believing that Wang (ranked 52) is much the better player, especially in these conditions. The 22yo Chinese made the SFs in the first edition of this event at the start of the year, losing in a TB set to eventual winner (and in0-form this season) Shnaider. Three of her last 4 defeats have been to top 50 opponents (the expetion the in-form Kessler in Cleveland). Masarova (ranked 119) is 16-18 on hard courts the last 12 months, just 1-4 vs top 50 opposition.

06:00 Aleksandar Vukic vs Borna Coric

Aleksandar Vukic 1.50

Games Won

50 WIN

@1.91

Win

Two players not in very good form, but this is mostly about the match-up and the conditions, because I know from (bitter) experience that Coric (ranked 97) doesn't appreciate very hot and humid conditions as we have here in China, neither does he like facing big servers, like Vukic (ranked 92). It's fast conditions here in Chengdu and that will favour the 28yo Aussie and he beat his 27yo Croatian in their only prior H2H last year in Toronto in straight sets. Vukic made the final in Atlanta (where it's very hot and humid) last year so I'll take teh head start.

06:00 Amanda Anisimova vs Viktoriya Tomova

Amanda Anisimova

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.20

Void

Anisimova (ranked 46) did really well to beat a tricky opponent in Putintseva in R1 here in straight sets, in amongst batches of UEs the 23yo American played some scorching tennis. She beat Tomova (ranked 54) in their only prior H2H, on outdoor hard at teh US open in 2020, in straights. The 29yo Bulgarian is much better on clay - she's 14-17 on hard courts the last 12 months and 1-8 vs top 50 players in that span.

04:00 Aslan Karatsev vs Mattia Bellucci

Aslan Karatsev 1.50

Games Won

50 WIN

@1.85

Lose

-50

Taking a chance on Karatsev (ranked 115) here as the 31yo Russian looks to be getting back into form after a horrible knee injury at the very start of this year. It's taken a while but he seems to be getting back into some form. Bellucci (ranked 101) has been winning a lot of matches lately, but the 23yo Italian has equally played a lot of matches (21 since Wimbledon - Karatsev's played 9!) and that will tell in this gruelling conditions.

04:00 Maximilian Marterer vs Yoshihito Nishioka

Yoshihito Nishioka

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.40

Win

This is the time of the season to back Nishioka (ranked 54) as the 28yo from Japan generally comes into his own. He's come from playing Davis Cup in his homeland - two straight sets wins - and he beat #105 ranked Marterer (who's also just played Davis Cup in Zuhai, China) on their only previous H2H, on clay (the 29yo German's best surface) in Munich 2 years ago.

04:00 Yunchaokete Bu vs Hugo Gaston

Hugo Gaston 3.50

Games Won

50 WIN

@1.80

Lose

-50

Admittedly Gaston (ranked 77) is in poor form but the 23yo Frenchman is known for coming out of slumps and turning things around - he made the final in Kitzbuhel in June - and he beat Yunchaokete (124) in their only prior H2H, which was in Qualies for this year's Aussie Open in straight sets. Yunchaokete has played just 3 main tour level matches in his career and whilst a talent, he's also lost to some much lower ranked opponents.

18 September 2024

04:00 Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Polina Kudermetova

Ekaterina Alexandrova

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.25

Lose

-50

Alexandrova (ranked 31) has been in rather poor form and rather struggled to a win in R1 vs Lepchenko, but the 29yo Russian really should be beating her 21yo compatriot, the "other" Kudermetova, Polina, (ranked 163) as she is just 2-13 in her career vs top 100 players and 0-3 vs top 50s.

17 September 2024

08:00 Xinyu Wang vs Mayar Sherif

Xinyu Wang

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.40

Win

This is a second iteration of this event, which was also held in February, and Wang (ranked 52) made SFs that time, losing to eventual winner Schnaider (having beaten Putintseva in the QFs). The 22yo from China is 12-8 on hard courts the past 12 months vs players ranked outside teh top 50. Although conditions are far from quick here, it's still not clay and away from the red stuff, Sherif (ranked 93) is very much less effective, the 28yo Egyptian is 0-7 on hard courts the past 12 months.

01:15 ATL Falcons @ PHI Eagles

PHI Eagles

Money Line

50 WIN

@1.45

Lose

-50

This "New Look" Atlanta side lost their home opener last week against a Steelers side that - although it has an elite Defence - could not make it's mind up on starting QB until injury forced it's hand and which as lost a ton of offensive weapons. Although sputtering a little, the Eagles got the job done over Green Bay in Brazil. Back home in Philly, with extra time to recover, they really should be taking care of busines here. Atlanta are 2-13 in their last 15 on the road, and add the "Kirk Cosuins Primetime hoodoo" in the mix (he's just 3-10 in MNF). The Falcons neq QB struggled mightily in his Atlanta debut last week.

Over 45.50

Game Totals

50 WIN

@1.95

Lose

-50

This line has now dropped to a number that i have to go Over. Yes, the Atlanta Offence was terrible last week but their 10 points came against Pittsburgh, one of the NFL's best defensive units. The Falcons still managed over 4.0 yards per carry rushing and things would've looked better if QB Kirk Cousins hadn't thrown 2 INTs. He played a shocker on his Falcons debut and must surely get better after that, and the Eagles D allowed the third-most points pg last year (25.6) - they conceded 29 points in their Week 1 win over the Packers, despite Green Bay QB Jordan Love leaving the game early due to injury. This Philly Offence can score on anyone so I like Overs here.

16 September 2024

16:12 4:12 Windsor

Theworldsnotenough

Daily Racing

25 EW

@21.00

Lose

-50

With 4 places to work with, a chance is taken on this 3yo filly who's having just her 9th start and only her third on turf. Her record here at Windsor is a win and a place in 2 runs, and her run over 10f at Chepstow probably stretched her. She was well beaten when twelfth of 13 in a handicap at Chelmsford City (8f) 32 days ago but her AW record is pretty poor so I'm going to forgive that. Now tried in first-time cheekpieces and tongue strap and she's only a pound above her mark when winning here in April.

15 September 2024

21:25 CIN Bengals @ KC Chiefs

KC Chiefs

Money Line

50 WIN

@1.36

Win

After a putrid showing last week, the Bengals are fairly big underdogs for this Sunday's clash at Arrowhead Stadium. The reigning SuperBowl champ Chiefs did what they had to last week against the Ravens and although I do think this Cincy side will keep this tight, KC shoukld win at home.

CIN Bengals 6.50

Point Spread

50 WIN

@1.91

Win

Yes, Cincy were pretty bad in a week 1 home-opener loss to a Patriots team that everyone has marked as faves for the Wooden Spoon in the NFL this term. Not only wil the Bengals want to bounce back rom that and also prevent going 0-2. they will also be fired up to play a Chiefs team that has rather over-shadowed them in terms of ttles in the AFC, but Cincy QB Joe Burrow is 3-1 in his last four games against Kansas City. At nearly a TD head start - given KC's week 1 win over Baltimore was closer than the 20-27 scoreline suggests - I'll take the Cats.

21:05 LA Rams @ ARZ Cardinals

ARZ Cardinals

Money Line

50 WIN

@1.92

Win

The Cardinals played pretty well in Week 1 in Buffalo and the Bills had to rally to get the win. Now Arizona is at home and faces a Rams roster that, because of injuries, has more holes than a seive and I don't think they're going to be able to hold it together on the road in Arizona. here we have a make-piece offensive line on the road that will be faced by huge crowd noise, the Rams forced to start several inexperienced players in the trenches. The Cardinals offense has a juicy matchup against LA on offense and think Arizona RB James Conner will be in for a big day vs. a Los Angeles team that looked sleepy vs. the run in OT in Detroit last week.

James Conner (ARZ Cardinals)

Anytime Touchdown Scorer

50 WIN

@1.95

Win

The Rams conceded a lot of run yards in detroit last week and Cardinals RB james Conner had another great game last week in Buffalo. I think he looks value to score a TD here against a Rams side that played a lot of Defence in Week 1 in an Overtime loss in Detroit.

18:00 IND Colts @ GB Packers

Jonathan Taylor (IND Colts)

Anytime Touchdown Scorer

50 WIN

@2.05

Lose

-50

I'm backing the Colts main weapon Taylor to find the end zone as he makes his way back to the state of Wisconsin. Eagles RB Saquon Barkley scored three TDs against this Packers D last week, and I expect Taylor to have little trouble dropping the hammer on a Green Bay Defensive line that struggled to stop the run.

18:00 LV Raiders @ BAL Ravens

BAL Ravens

Money Line

56 WIN

@1.25

Lose

-56

I think the Ravens will rebound from their Week 1 loss to the reigning SuperBowl champ Chiefs, which actually was closer than the final 20-27 scoreline would suggest. Baltimore's offense is leagues ahead of that of the Raiders, averaging 8.2 more points per game than LV last year. And new Vegas starting QB Gardner Minshew maybe a decent NFL backup QB but is leagues behnind Baltimore's Lamar Jackson. Las Vegas are 1-7 in their last 8 games on the road, The Ravens are 12-5 in their last 17 games here at M&T Bank Stadium.

Over 41.50

Game Totals

50 WIN

@1.95

Win

I get that the bookies feel this Raiders offence is not very good, but this Ravens offence is legit and is leagues ahead of Vegas, averaging 8.2 more points per game than Las Vegas last year. This is Baltimore's home opener and they'll want to put on a show so I like Overs a low number here.

Derrick Henry (BAL Ravens)

Anytime Touchdown Scorer

50 WIN

@1.57

Win

Baltimore used Derrick Henry as their short-term yardage "bell cow" last week and he picked up a TD against the Chiefs. Of Baltimore's 16 rushing attempts by players not named Lamar Jackson, Henry got 13 of them. He had the team's only rushing attempt inside the five-yard line, too. He's facing a Raiders defense that got torched by the run last week, with JK Dobbins and Gus Edwards combining for 161 yards and a touchdown.

18:00 NO Saints @ DAL Cowboys

DAL Cowboys

Money Line

59 WIN

@1.40

Lose

-59

Although I think this will be closer than the layers believe, Dallas looked good in Cleveland last week and the Cowboys were 8-0 last year here at "Jerry's World". Further, America's team are 6-1 in their last 7 home openers. This set of Cowboys LBs are maybe the best group in the NFL led by Micah Parsons and ultimately that maybe teh difference between these two sides.

NO Saints 6.00

Point Spread

50 WIN

@1.95

Win

New Orleans are 5-1 both straight-up and ATS in their last 6 games and looked good in week 1 with some new coaching personnel and they're 10-5 ATS in their last 15 games against Dallas. As good as Dallas were in Cleveland, the week 1 box score for New Orleans was clean - the defense really got after it and QB Derek Carr was on point with his second year in this offence with a QB rating of 142.5 which is enormous! Dallas are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games and I think NO keep this tight.

Over 46.50

Game Totals

50 WIN

@1.91

Win

I liked what I saw from the Saints last week and their new offensive coordinator has clearly struck a chord with the New Orleans attack, as they put up 47 points at home to the Panthers. Dallas spalshed the cash in the off-seasopn to retain key offensive players, not least QB Dak Prescott, and they put up 33 points on the road in Cleveland. Both have decent defences but this total looks low to me. The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans' last 5 games on the road against Dallas.

18:00 SEA Seahawks @ NE Patriots

Under 38.50

Game Totals

50 WIN

@2.00

Lose

-50

The Patriots caused a huge upset on teh road in Cincy last week predicated on great defence. And Geno Smith coming to Foxboro doesn't strike great fear in me, so this is more about the Pats defense doing enough to keep them in the game. New England ran it 39 times for 170 yards on the road in Week 1 and given they have no QB to speak of (veteran and fornmer back-up here to Tom Brady, Jacoby Brissett, is passable but no great shakes) I can see thge same happening. The Seahawks on the road have hit the under in 7 of their last 8 so despite the low number, I like Unders here.

18:00 SF 49ers @ MIN Vikings

Over 46.50

Game Totals

50 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-50

I think this line under-estimates the Vikings offence here which looked very good in week 1 for Head Coach Kevin O'Connell, putting up 28 points against teh Giants in NYC. They'll want to perform in their home opener here in front of a loud home support. Yes, this 'Niners D is very good but they weren't overly tested by the Jets last week and new DC Nick Sorensen will still be learning. Plus, San Fran are on a short week having played on Monday night and are travelling West-East and in a daytime slot. These two put up 60 points between them in Week 1 so I like Overs here.

18:00 TB Buccaneers @ DET Lions

DET Lions

Money Line

58 WIN

@1.29

Lose

-58

Although i feel this will be tight, this Detroit team is very good here at Ford Field under HC Dan Campbell. They've won 5 straight here including in the playoffs last season vs the Bucs. This will likely be closer than the bookies feel as Tampa Bay will play tough, but the home team advantage is too strong.

TB Buccaneers 7.50

Point Spread

50 WIN

@1.92

Win

I think Detroit win this one at home, but the Bucs were really competitive against the Lions in their playoff game here last year, actually gaining more net yards in that game just turrning it over a couple of times. And in his first year as the confirmed starter here in Tampa, Mayfield absolutely ripped it in Week 1 againstteh Commanders. The Lions needed OT to win over a beat-up rams team last week and as we are clear through the key number of 7 here, I like Tampa Bay catching 7.5.

16:50 4:50 Doncaster

Lennox

Daily Racing

25 EW

@5.00

Lose

-50

This Muhaarar colt was a beaten favourite when runner-up twice in the spring, latterly in a 5-runner novice heat at Windsor (10f, good to firm), but front 2 were well clear of rest. That was just his fourth career start and first time in a handicap, is worth staying onside with Haylet Turner aboard again. .

16:45 4:45 Curragh

Kyprios

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@1.57

Win

Aidan O'Brien's 6yo son of Galileo looked as good as ever when regaining the Ascot Gold Cup and Goodwood Cup this summer and this high-class stayer has now taken his Group 1 tally to 6. He won this 2 years ago and is very much the one to beat.

16:10 4:10 Curragh

Aomori City

Daily Racing

25 EW

@4.50

Lose

-50

Charlie Appleby's Oasis Dream colt seemed to benefit from the step up to this trip when winning at Goodwood in July. He had previously finished third to subsequent Prix Morny winner Whistlejacket at Newmarket, and the form of his recent win was boosted by the third-placed colt winning at Group 2 level. Should be involved.

Henri Matisse

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.00

Lose

-50

This Wootton Bassettcolt is out of a Group 1-winning dam and has won 3 from 3 runs this year. Whilst none of his wins have been flashy performances and still displaying signs of inexperience in both the Railway Stakes and the Futurity, he finished that latest race quite well and is ideally suited by this distance. Worthy favourite.

15:35 3:35 Curragh

Beautiful Diamond

Daily Racing

25 EW

@34.00

Lose

-50

I just think this is a huge price for Karl Burke's 3yo daughter of Twilight Son who has two 5f Listed level wins at Ayr to her name, incl. when dead heating with Azure Blue in June. She was a very respectable 1¾ lengths second of 9 to Believing in the Group 2 Sapphire over C&D (good to firm) 57 days ago and has been kept fresh for this since. Yard going well and worth a shot.

Bradsell

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.50

Win

125

Archie Watson's 4yo Rasleet colt is top-rated horse here after the second 5f Group 1 success of his career when seeing off the re-opposing Believing by ¾ length in the Nunthorpe at York (5f, good to firm) 23 days ago, that after winning a Listed heat in Deauville at the start of August. Hollie Doyle aboard again and the one to beat if in the same form.

15:00 3:00 Curragh

Bedtime Story

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.10

Lose

-50

Aidan O'Brian's Frankel filly scored in spectacular fashion to pull 9.5 lengths clear in the Chesham at Royal Ascot in June and then landed short odds in the Silver Flash at Leopardstown and the Debutante over C&D subsequently. She should make it a perfect 5 from 5 here.

Red Letter

Daily Racing

25 EW

@4.50

Lose

-50

Ger Lyons' daughter of Frankel was only narrowly denied by Lake Victoria on her C&D debut in June but came back to win impressively on second run, beating 10 rivals back here the following month. Definitely more to come from her and the one to follow teh favourite home for me.

11:30 Alexei Popyrin vs Pedro Martinez

Alexei Popyrin

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.29

Win

After a great US hard court Summer in which he took the Montreal Masters title and made R16 at the US Open, Popyrin is now ranked 24 and although the 25yo Aussie lost his first Davis Cup match here in Valencia (indoor hard courts) rather easily to world #18 Humbert (opponent Machac retired after 1 game in his second rubber) he really should be winning here. Opponent Martinez is an unranked Cuban for whom I can find no stats at all.

Alexei Popyrin to win 2 - 0

Set Betting

50 WIN

@1.80

Win

After a great US hard court Summer in which he took the Montreal Masters title and made R16 at the US Open, Popyrin is now ranked 24 and although the 25yo Aussie lost his first Davis Cup match here in Valencia (indoor hard courts) rather easily to world #18 Humbert (opponent Machac retired after 1 game in his second rubber) he really should be winning here. He beat today's opponent Martinez at the US Open in straight sets for the loss of just 6 games (across 3 sets in slams remember) and the 27yo SPaniard is just 3-9 on hard courts vs top 50 players since jan 2022 with 7 of those defeats in straight sets.

14 September 2024

23:16 Race 10 Woodbine

Naval Power

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@1.83

Lose

-50

Charlie Appleby's 4yo gelding has 6 wins from his 9 starts (from 7f to 1m 1f on varying ground) and is something of a globetrotter. Runner up last twice, beaten just a head by Program Trading LTO in the Old Forester Bourbon Turf Classic Stakes (Grade 1) at Churchill Downs over 1m 1f (good) in May. Buick here to ride.

22:17 Race 10 Belmont At The Big A

Beautiful Love

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 2.50 on 14/09 at 18:30 Best Odds Guaranteed SP 2.75 used instead of 2.50 taken BOG

@3.75

Win

Charlie Appleby's 3yo Siyouni filly has won twice at 1m on good ground. Was 6 lengths behind Grayosh when sixth of 8 on her latest outing at Saratoga over 1m (good) last month but is top rated here and step up in trip should suit.

20:30 Tulane @ Oklahoma

Oklahoma

Money Line

65 WIN

@1.18

Win

Whilst I think this will be closer than the bookies think (see my Points Spread tip), Oklahoma (2-0) are 9-0 in their last 9 games at the Gaylord Family-Oklahoma Memorial Stadium, and 8-0 in their last 8 against an opponent in the American Athletic Conference. The "Green Wave" are 0-12 against an opponent in the Southeastern conference.

Tulane 13.00

Point Spread

50 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-50

Don't sleep on this Tulane football team - the "Green Wave" nearly beat a Kansas State team that is now ranked 14th in the Nation and they will not back down from Oklahoma. OU is going to have to show some offense after putting up some underwhelming numbers so far. Between Tulane QB Darian Mensah and RB Makhi Hughes, this Tulane side will score points. The Sooners are 3-6 ATS in their last 9 games and Tulane are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games.

Over 47.50

Game Totals

50 WIN

@1.91

Win

This number looks low to me, probablt because Oklahoma (2-0) are yer to show their real credentials on Offence. That has to turn around at some point. And Tulane nearly beat a Kansas State team that is now ranked 14th in the Nation and they will not back down from the Sooners. OU is going to have produce some offense because Tulane's QB Darian Mensah and RB Makhi Hughes will ensure the Green Wave will score points. I just think the number is too low.

20:25 Race 5 Woodbine

Annascaul

Daily Racing

25 EW

@6.00

Lose

-50

This daughter of American Pharoah (half-sister to Liar's Poker, who won three times at 1m and 1m 1f) won by 3 lengths on debut at Saratoga over 5f (good) last month, with Frankie Dettori aboard, who gets the mount today. Should go well again.

Mountain Breeze

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@1.67

Lose

-50

Charlie Appleby's 2yo daughter of Lope De Vega won her first 2 starts at 5f and 6f (good) and has run well in defeat at a top level at home in her 3 subsequent starts. Beaten 2 lengths by Lake Victoria when second of seven at 2-1 on her latest outing in the Group 3 Sweet Solera Stakes at Newmarket over 7f (good to firm) last month. Looks to be the one to beat with Buick here to ride.

19:18 7:18 Musselburgh

Cuban Rock

Daily Racing

25 EW

@10.00

Lose

-50

Jim Goldie's 4yo Havana Grey gelding is down to his last winning mark at Hamilton in July and was 3 lengths third of 9 to Hard Nut in a C&D handicap (good) 18 days ago. Should be right in the mix here with a 7 pound claimer helping out.

18:20 6:20 Musselburgh

Robert Johnson

Daily Racing

25 EW

@4.00

Lose

-10

Tracy Waggott's 6yo gelding is back down in class having not been disgraced in Class 2 handicaps at both Glorious Goodwood and York's Ebor meeting. He's a former course winner here (over 2m, last July) and his last win was at this grade. A 7 pound claimer helps his cause too.

17:10 5:10 Leopardstown

Cuban Tiger

Daily Racing

25 EW

@9.00

Lose

-50

Karl Burke's 3yo Havana Grey colt is perhaps not an easy ride but he was a good neck second of 9 to the re-opposing Cerulean Bay in a handicap at Thirsk (7f, good to firm) 15 days ago, those two almost 2 lengths clear of third (who won NTO). He's up 2 lb for that but is 2 pounds better off with his vanquisher that day, and trainer going well.

16:40 4:40 Chester

Pitney

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 4.50 used instead of 4.00 takenBOG

@4.50

Win

105

Hugo Palmer's 3yo Mehmas gelding was a winner of an AW novice as a juvbenile and left his tame reappearance effort well behind when going close in a soft-ground C&D handicap in June. Has not reproduced that form in his 3 subsequent starts but he's now on his lowest handicap mark and the slight drop in trip should help here from a handy draw.

16:35 4:35 Leopardstown

Comfort Zone

Daily Racing

25 EW

@11.00

Lose

-50

This beautifully bred won the JCB Triumph Trial Juvenile Hurdle at Cheltenham January 2023 and was second in this race that September. Wore cheekpieces for the first time when a decent third of 18 in a handicap hurdle at Galway (22.5f, soft) 42 days ago. The yard is having a good spell and he has those cheekpieces on for the first time on the Flat, so has a chancde here with 6 places.

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