ARQ007
1
Estimated Prizes
this month
£5
Estimated Prize money
this month
ARQ007's Tips History
18 January 2026
01:00 SF 49ers @ SEA Seahawks
SF 49ers 7.50
Point Spread
50 WIN
@-117
Lose
-50
With the hook over a TD head start here, I have to take the 49ers. Yes, Seattle has looked good and beat the 'Niners fairly convincingly to end the regular season. That was in San Fran, and now the 49ers have also lost star TE Kittle. However, this team is at its best when up against it, which it will be playing in Seattle. This Seahawks team is yet to be tested in playoff football. It was 2022 that Seattle last played in the post-season, and that saw their playoff run ended in the Wild Card round with a 41??"23 loss to the San Francisco 49ers. Seattle QB Sam Darnold has never won a playoff game. These battle-hardened 'Niners were in the Super Bowl in 2024.
Subtotal-50
17 January 2026
21:30 BUF Bills @ DEN Broncos
Over 46.00
Game Totals
50 WIN
@-109
Win
46
There's no doubt this Broncos defense is very good. They've held their last two opponents to a total of 16 points combined. But those two teams were both facing challenges on offense, and that's not an issue for this Buffalo team, rated #4 overall in points scored and #2 in rushing attack. Denver has scored at least 19 points in their last seven games. The Bills have scored 23+ points in seven of their last ten games, scoring over 30 in four of those games. This is playoff football, and both teams will be trying until the final whistle.
1 member found this comment useful
RJ Harvey (DEN Broncos)
Anytime Touchdown Scorer
50 WIN
@-129
Lose
-50
Once again, I'm going against a Bills defense that allowed the joint-most (along with Dallas) number of rushing TDs in the NFL during the regular season: 24 conceded in 17 games. Harvey is the leading TD scorer for the Broncos, the RB scoring 7 on the ground and another 5 receiving. This is playoff football, and both teams will do whatever it takes to score. I can see Harvey taking advantage.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-4
16 January 2026
15:20 3:20 Newcastle
Pocklington
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+400
Lose
-5
Won a handicap at Southwell 15 days ago off a 3-pound lower mark. That followed a good second place here over 7f. Has 2 wins and a place from his 3 runs over C&D here at Newcastle. Clearly in form, so worth a chance of a follow-up.
13:50 1:50 Windsor
Be Aware
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+100
Lose
-50
The Skeltons' 7-year-old Martaline gelding had the tough task of chasing home Lulamba in the Henry VIII Novices' Chase (Grade 1) at Sandown LTO, but stuck to his guns well to finish second. The yard is in form and, whilst perhaps below the top level, he should have the class to win this one.
12:53 12:53 Market Rasen
Hold The Serve
Daily Racing
59 WIN
@-136
Win
43
Olly Murphy's 6yo Jukebox Jury gelding was an impressive winner on debut in an Irish Point-to-Point. He was given a tough task on Rules debut this side of the Irish Sea when entered in a pretty hot maiden at Cheltenham last November. He won a novice hurdle readily at Wincanton in December. Lewis Saunders is helping to negate most of his 7 lb penalty for that, and I expect him to be too strong for the opposition here.
Subtotal-12
13 January 2026
01:15 HOU Texans @ PIT Steelers
PIT Steelers 3.00
Point Spread
50 WIN
@-117
Lose
-50
Pittsburgh head coach Mike Tomlin has an absurd stat as a home underdog. After defeating the Ravens to close out the regular season, Tomlin and the Steelers are an NFL-best 25-9-3 ATS as home underdogs and have won four straight games outright. On top of that, in four games at home against the Texans since 2002, the Steelers are 3-1 SU and ATS. This Houston team has limited playoff experience. The Steelers are brimful of it.
Over 38.00
Game Totals
50 WIN
@-109
Lose
-50
Yes, these two teams have some very good defenses. The Texans, especially, have ridden the NFL's #2 defense (points allowed) all the way to the playoffs. But this is a very low total. Pittsburgh have exceeded this number in 7 of their last 10 games, and Houston in 4 of their last 7 games. The Steelers get star WR DK Metcalf back, and he's linked up well with veteran QB Aaron Rodgers.
Subtotal-100
12 January 2026
01:15 LA Chargers @ NE Patriots
Over 45.50
Game Totals
50 WIN
@-109
Lose
-50
A lot is made of the New England defense, but it won't scare the Chargers. The Patriots finished 30th in opponent red zone scoring percentage, and LA has both a game-changing quarterback and a downhill rushing attack to score vs. New England. The Pats D gave up 20+ points in five of their last nine, and the total has gone over in six of New England's last seven home games.
Quentin Johnston (LA Chargers)
Anytime Touchdown Scorer
50 WIN
@+209
Lose
-50
If this New England defense has a weakness, it is against the pass, having conceded 25 passing TDs in their 17 games. That is despite the fact that the Patriots played the easiest collection of opposing passing offenses. So I'm looking for a WR to take advantage, and Justin Herbert's favorite receiver in the red zone has been Johnston, with 8 receiving TDs this term.
Subtotal-100
11 January 2026
21:30 SF 49ers @ PHI Eagles
SF 49ers 6.00
Point Spread
50 WIN
@-109
Win
46
That was a disappointing performance LTO in Seattle by the Niners offense against a superb Seattle defense, and it won't get any easier here vs Philly. But the Eagles offense has also been misfiring of late, and the reigning Super Bowl champs are just 3-4 ATS in their last 7 games. San Francisco is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games. I'll take the points here.
Over 44.50
Game Totals
50 WIN
@-105
Lose
-50
I have to go Over here because of the offensive talent on display for both these teams and the fact that neither defence has been great this term. For example, San Fran are ranked #5 in passing yards this season, yet their injury-afflicted defence is ranked just #23 vs. the pass. Philly are the #5 team in points scored. As I keep saying, this is playoff football, and you lose today and the season is over. As we saw in last night's games, teams go all in to score as the end of the game is in sight. The total has gone Over in 6 of San Francisco's last 9 games, and both teams have some key injuries on the defensive side.
Christian McCaffrey (SF 49ers)
Anytime Touchdown Scorer
57 WIN
@-124
Win
46
Really ??" the 49ers' key offensive weapon at near evens to score in a crucial playoff game? Well, given the Niners' star RB had the most touches of the ball in the NFL this season and scored 10 rushing and 7 receiving TDs in 17 games, I like the value here. Especially given this Eagles defense conceded 20 rushing TDs in 17 games this term, 8th worst in the NFL.
18:00 BUF Bills @ JAX Jaguars
Over 51.00
Game Totals
50 WIN
@-117
Push
0
This Jaguars offense has been on fire lately. Not only do the Bills have several key injuries on their defense, but they have been playing in the cold Northeast for the past month. They now have to fly down to very warm Florida, and we've seen several times how that affects teams, especially defenses, adversely. I think Jacksonville can take advantage here and score points. We've also seen how effective Bills QB Josh Allen has been when his team is behind in games.
Trevor Lawrence (JAX Jaguars)
Anytime Touchdown Scorer
50 WIN
@+170
Lose
-50
I'm taking Lawrence here because the Jaguars' QB has been extremely good this season and taking the ball into the end zone. In fact, he's scored a team-best nine rushing TDs in their 17 games. Once again, I'm going against a Bills defense that has allowed the joint-most (along with Dallas) number of rushing TDs in the NFL this season: 24 conceded in 17 games. This is playoff football, and both teams will do whatever it takes to score. I can see Lawrence taking things into his own hands to get the Jags over the line here.
JAX Jaguars Over 26.50
Team Points 2-Way (Home)
50 WIN
@-114
Lose
-50
This Jaguars offense has been on fire lately. Not only do the Bills have several key injuries on their defense, but they have been playing in the cold Northeast for the past month. They now have to fly down to very warm Florida, and we've seen several times how that affects teams, especially defenses, adversely. I think Jacksonville can take advantage here.
16:42 4:42 Chelmsford City
Brinton
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+1000
Win
25
Taking a chance on Johnathon Portman's only runner at Chelmsford today, who ran well enough LTO at Southwell 5 days ago. He had every chance but just tired late on, finishing a 4.25-length third in a handicap over this mile trip. That was his first run after a break and he should build on that reappearance. He gets the assistance of a very capable 5-pound claimer aboard.
15:42 3:42 Chelmsford City
Cherry Cobbler
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+750
Lose
-50
With four places on offer here, I'll take a punt on Stuart Williams' lightly raced 4yo Zoustar gelding who's only had six career starts, winning a maiden over 5f at Southwell last January. He was forced to switch and had too much to do when beaten three lengths off a 1 lb higher mark here last time out over 6f, but that was a much better race. He's trained by a top course trainer, and his runs have been better than the bare results, so he's worth trying over further.
15:20 3:20 Punchestown
Powerful
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 7.50 used instead of 7.00 takenBOG
@+650
Win
195
Saw this beautifully bred 5yo Camelot gelding beaten just a short head in a maiden at Kilbeggan last April. That was followed up by a third at Navan. On both occasions he was not given a hard time. He won a handicap hurdle here by a short head off a 7 lb lower mark on his penultimate start and ran well enough when eighth, beaten 5.5 lengths, off a mark of 120 last time out in a novices' heat which has seen a subsequent winner from one that finished behind. He continues to progress and likely has more to come in handicaps for the Harrington yard.
01:00 GB Packers @ CHI Bears
Christian Watson (GB Packers)
Anytime Touchdown Scorer
50 WIN
@+160
Win
80
The Bears defence has been solid against the run but has leaked TDs vs the pass this season, conceding 32 scores through the air ??" the 5th worst record in the NFL. Green Bay's Watson has had a good run of TDs late in the season, proving a good target for Packers QB Jordan Love, with 6 TDs in his 10 games. Worth a shout at these odds.
Subtotal192
10 January 2026
21:30 LA Rams @ CAR Panthers
CAR Panthers 10.00
Point Spread
50 WIN
@+100
Win
50
With a two-score spread, I have to take the home team here, especially given the fact that Carolina beat the Rams in the regular season here at Bank of America Stadium in November, 31??"28. Yes, the Rams are the better team, but they have lost some head-scratchers this term (including vs. the Panthers). This is playoff football ??" lose and your season is over. This Carolina defence has been pretty good, and they won't give up till the final whistle.
Kyren Williams (LA Rams)
Anytime Touchdown Scorer
50 WIN
@-135
Win
37
This Carolina defence has actually defended the pass pretty well this season. Their weakness in the red zone has been against the run. The Panthers have conceded 20 rushing TDs in their 17 games, joint 6th worst in the NFL. Rams RB Williams has scored 10 TDs this season on the ground, but also caught 3 passes for a TD.
CAR Panthers Over 16.50
Team Points 2-Way (Home)
50 WIN
@-135
Win
37
I'll take a shot at Carolina getting more than this total here, mainly as the Rams D has not been amazing this term. In fact, they have only twice in their last 10 games held opposing teams to below this total. This is a playoff game, so the Panthers, who beat the Rams here in November 31??"28, will be plugging away to the end.
15:32 3:32 Warwick
Long Draw
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+700
Void
0
Olly Murphy's 7-year-old had no obvious excuse when he finished down the field in a handicap hurdle at Cheltenham last time out, but he had been in good form prior to that. This 3-mile trip is what he wants, and he's been dropped a pound for that poor run. He had been pretty consistent until that latest run. Sean Bowen is booked and surely has a shout here.
13:40 1:40 Fairyhouse
Blood Destiny
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+650
Void
0
Carries top weight here, but Willie Mullins' 7-year-old son of No Risk At All is a solid, consistent performer at the highest level. He drops in class here, and the last time he raced in a Grade 3 over a similar trip to this one (Navan, March 2024), he beat the high-class Spillane's Tower by more than six lengths. The better ground won't inconvenience him, and he should be thereabouts.
11:40 11:40 Lingfield
Francesi
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+300
Win
150
Tony Carroll has three in this race and this 7-year-old Caravaggio gelding comes here in great form with form figures of 421331 since he joined the yard. He gets on well with his 7-pound claimer, who won on him LTO, which was a better race than this one, for which he's only raised 2 pounds. He won a novice heat here in 2022 over C&D, so lots to like.
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Poetic Force
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+1600
Lose
-50
I'll take a shot at Tony Carroll's venerable 12yo Lope de Vega gelding who never seems to tire of the game. Last seen in decent form on the turf at Brighton and Carlisle. He's no slouch on the AW (he has 3 wins and 2 places from 13 runs here at Lingfield). His pilot today is a useful 7-pound claimer who's won on him before over this trip.
Subtotal224
08 January 2026
19:00 7:00 Chelmsford City
Smokey Malone
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+550
Lose
-50
This venerable 8yo Outstrip gelding is a steady performer for the Birkett team and is now back to a pound below his LWM, which was over slightly further in April of last year under today's jockey. Rather outpaced LTO after a break over C&D but dropped a pound and looks a decent each-way shot. Sky Bet paying 4 places.
13:40 1:40 Ffos Las
Juby Ball
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@-120
Lose
-50
Evan Williams' 7yo won both starts over timber and won narrowly over 2m on his debut over fences LTO at Carlisle 39 days ago. He showed a good attitude that day and should relish this longer trip.
Subtotal-100
04 January 2026
21:25 LA Chargers @ DEN Broncos
DEN Broncos
Money Line
97 WIN
@-999
Win
10
Chargers (11-5) head coach Jim Harbaugh has said he's sitting QB Justin Herbert (left hand) for the regular-season finale today, along with several other starters, as the Bolts have already clinched a playoff wild-card spot and can't improve on that. Denver (13-3) can clinch the AFC #1 seed and a week off and home field through the playoffs with a win here, so they're at least beginning the game with their starters. LA will still play tough, but this should be a win for the Broncos.
21:25 MIA Dolphins @ NE Patriots
NE Patriots
Money Line
50 WIN
@-588
Win
9
The Patriots need a win here against a playoff-eliminated Dolphins team in order to ensure they have the AFC's No. 1 seed, a bye week, and home-field advantage through the playoffs. Miami have a backup QB under center, seventh-round rookie Quinn Ewers. He's looked capable, but the conditions in Foxboro, MA, will be tough today, and this NE defense is very tough indeed!
21:25 NY Jets @ BUF Bills
BUF Bills
Money Line
50 WIN
@-400
Win
12
The Bills (11-5) will likely rest some key players at points in this game as they look to the playoffs. They also want to see starting QB Josh Allen keep his game-start streak going and for RB James Cook to become Buffalo's first winner of the NFL’s rushing title since O.J. Simpson in 1976. The Jets (3-13) offense is led by an undrafted rookie free agent and has scored 10 points or fewer in 3 of their last 4 games. Buffalo are likely playing their final-ever game in this stadium and will want to beat their hated division rivals to give it a good send-off.
Under 38.00
Game Totals
50 WIN
@-109
Lose
-50
This is a low total, but given the Bills (11-5) will likely be resting some key players at points in this game as they look to the playoffs, they also want to see starting QB Josh Allen keep his game-start streak going and lead RB James Cook to become Buffalo's first winner of the NFL’s rushing title since O.J. Simpson in 1976. The Jets (3-13) offense is led by an undrafted rookie free agent and has scored 10 points or fewer in 3 of their last 4 games. Weather is also a factor here, with snow/ice likely to hit Western NY.
James Cook (BUF Bills)
Anytime Touchdown Scorer
50 WIN
@-140
Lose
-50
The Bills (11-5) lead RB James Cook is seeking to become Buffalo's first winner of the NFL’s rushing title since O.J. Simpson in 1976. The Jets (3-13) defense has conceded 19 rushing TDs in their 16 games so far this term, and with Buffalo likely playing their final ever game in this stadium, they will want to give it a good send-off. What better way than with a rushing title? I think Cook sees a lot of the ball and should score.
18:00 GB Packers @ MIN Vikings
Over 37.00
Game Totals
50 WIN
@-109
Lose
-50
Not quite sure why this is one of the lowest totals of the week and certainly under 40 points. These two offenses have actually been doing pretty well of late, and while they have the #10 and #11 defenses in the NFL this term, you wouldn't see that as a definitive reason for this being so low. The game is being held indoors, so no weather issues. Yes, Green Bay are starting a backup QB (they have a Wild Card spot sewn up), but I expect the Vikings to try and brush up on offense with their #1 QB McCarthy making just his 10th NFL career start. Minnesota have said they want to help their star WR achieve 1,000 receiving yards this season here, so expect him to see the ball a lot.
Justin Jefferson (MIN Vikings)
Anytime Touchdown Scorer
50 WIN
@+129
Lose
-50
The Vikings will try to brush up on offense with their No. 1 QB McCarthy making just his 10th NFL career start after an injury-hit season. Minnesota have said they want to help their star WR achieve 1,000 receiving yards this season, so expect him to see the ball a lot. Green Bay has conceded 24 passing TDs in their 16 games and have several injuries on defense, so I can see JJ scoring today.
18:00 IND Colts @ HOU Texans
HOU Texans
Money Line
50 WIN
@-555
Win
9
A win by the Texans (11-5) today and a loss by first-place Jacksonville to last-place Tennessee (unlikely but possible!) would give Houston its third straight AFC South title. The Texans also want to end the season on a high at home. They face a Colts (8-8) team eliminated from the postseason, with rookie QB Riley Leonard set to make his first NFL start.
18:00 TEN Titans @ JAX Jaguars
JAX Jaguars
Money Line
50 WIN
@-833
Win
6
Jacksonville (12-4) can seal the AFC South with a win over the Titans (3-13). That would secure a home playoff game. The Jags have won six of seven in the AFC South series and are seeking a third sweep in the past four seasons. Jacksonville have won seven games in a row and three in a row against Tennessee at home. Tennessee are 1-6 in their last seven against the Jags.
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Travis Etienne (JAX Jaguars)
Anytime Touchdown Scorer
50 WIN
@-227
Lose
-50
Terrible odds here, but Etienne has 7 rushing and 6 receiving TDs this season for Jacksonville (12-4), and he faces a Tennessee defense that has conceded a joint 4th-worst 20 rushing TDs this season. The Jaguars will want to seal a win here over their division bottom-dwellers Tennessee (3-13), so will certainly try to stick the boot in score-wise.
1 member found this comment useful
13:30 1:30 Southwell
Havana Sky
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+600
Lose
-50
With four places on offer here, I have to take a punt on Ed Dunlop's 5yo Havana Gold gelding. He has run twice at Southwell and won both times, albeit over the shorter 6f trip. He won by just a neck off a 4lb lower mark at Lingfield in October but ran well LTO when a 0.5-length second over 7f back at the Surrey track. Worth a go here, I feel.
01:00 SEA Seahawks @ SF 49ers
SF 49ers 2.50
Point Spread
50 WIN
@-105
Lose
-50
I have to take the Niners at home with a head start here, as San Fran (12-4) are on a real roll and QB Brock Purdy has had back-to-back games with at least five TDs passing and rushing, becoming the seventh player to do that in NFL history. The 49ers have won seven of the past eight meetings with Seattle (13-3), including a playoff game in the 2022 season. I feel this could be close, so I'll take the points.
Jaxon Smith Njigba (SEA Seahawks)
Anytime Touchdown Scorer
50 WIN
@-114
Lose
-50
This pains me as a 49ers fan, but the team's injuries this season have meant its pass defense has been suspect. San Fran have the joint 6th worst passing TDs conceded record in the NFL, allowing 29 in 16 games. Seattle's star WR JSN has 10 TDs this season, three in his last five games. He's the go-to option for Seahawks QB Darnold, and I think he'll see his number called in a must-win game for these two division rivals.
Subtotal-354
03 January 2026
21:30 CAR Panthers @ TB Buccaneers
Over 42.50
Game Totals
50 WIN
@-109
Lose
-50
Wary here because the weather forecast in Tampa Bay is not good, with potentially a lot of rain. These two teams have tended to the Under in recent games. However, these division rivals have it all on the line tonight, playing for the NFC title and a home playoff game. Carolina (8-8) beat the Buccaneers (7-9) 23-20 last month in Charlotte, N.C. The total has gone Over in 8 of Tampa Bay's last 12 games against Carolina (and in 5 of Carolina's last 5 in Tampa Bay). Bucs star WR Mike Evans could be playing his last game with the Buccaneers or in the NFL if he chooses to retire, so he may well likely feature here and this total is a low one to attack.
Sean Tucker (TB Buccaneers)
Anytime Touchdown Scorer
50 WIN
@+220
Lose
-50
Given the weather and the odds, I like a small punt on Tucker, who actually leads Bucs RBs in TDs this season with 7 and has 4 scores in his last 6 games. Given the inclement weather in Tampa Bay this evening, I feel teams will trust handoffs more than passes in scoring positions in what is a key game to decide the division title. And the Panthers have conceded 20 rushing TDs this term, joint fourth-worst in the NFL.
19:00 7:00 Southwell
Talis Evolvere
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 3.25 used instead of 2.88 takenBOG
@+225
Win
112
Richard Hannon's 6yo gelding hasn't won for just over a year, but that was off a mark 10 pounds higher than this one. He ran well enough when beaten 4 lengths off a 1lb higher mark at Kempton last time out, 31 days ago. Has a big chance off this reduced mark.
Subtotal12
01 January 2026
15:44 3:44 Southwell
Grey Horizon
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+187
Win
94
Formerly with Richard Fahey, this 3yo Havana Grey colt won nicely over 6f at Catterick on his last start for his former handlers. He has run well in his first two starts for his new connections and was certainly not disgraced in a better race over 7f at Wolverhampton LTO. He drops back to 6f and down in class here.
15:10 3:10 Cheltenham
Ace Of Spades
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+162
Lose
-50
The Skeltons' 7yo won a Class 2 handicap at Ascot in October on his seasonal return and was not disgraced LTO. He did the best of those coming from off the pace in a Class 1 handicap last time out at Haydock. He's pretty consistent between 2m4f and 3m on a sound surface, with more to offer as a stayer. He also won on his only prior run here at Cheltenham.
14:35 2:35 Cheltenham
Kabral Du Mathan
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@-136
Win
36
The Skeltons' 6yo gelding won a Class 2 handicap LTO at Haydock rather easily, winning by 12 lengths, having improved up in trip after a wind op on his stable debut. The yard are in form, and his second in the Grade 2 Scottish Champion Hurdle in April when with the Nicholls team means he surely has more to offer this season. He looks the one to beat upped in grade.
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14:30 2:30 Southwell
Pocklington
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+350
Win
105
Gary Oldroyd's 5yo Blue Point colt is from a line well known to the yard (out of Ladies Are Forever, by Monsieur Bond). He ran nicely when runner-up here over 7f 19 days ago. That was his first run after a short break, and the sixth-placed horse that day won next time out. He's effective at this 6f or 7f on this surface and can go well again.
Subtotal185
31 December 2025
14:00 2:00 Lingfield
Tyrrhenian Sea
Daily Racing
59 WIN
@-109
Lose
-59
Roger Varian's 7yo Dark Angel gelding is a two-time winner at this Listed level and is rated clear of his rivals here at 108. He had been out of sorts, but his recent third at Kempton in the Hyde Stakes (just 0.75 lengths behind the winner) was much better. A similar performance here should be enough.
Subtotal-59
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Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.
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