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ARQ007's Tips

14th July 2024
00:00 SAS Roughriders @ BC Lions

SAS Roughriders 7.00

Point Spread

58 WIN

I just feel this line is rather disrespectful to the 'Riders who are one of just 2 undefeated teams in CFL thus far, at 4-0 with two of those wins on the road. Saskatchewan have a well-organized crew that keeps winning, despite losing starting QB Trevor Harris to injury. The Green and White rallied under backup Patterson to beat Toronto LTO. And the Lions (4-1) have only played one team with a winning record this term so far, that a loss to the aforementiond Argos in week 1. This is a big spread to cover.

Over 51.50

Game Totals

50 WIN

Quite a big total here but so far this season, no team has scored more points per game than the Roughriders and no club has accumulated more net yards of offence per game than the Lions. Saskatchewan have had to put backup QB Patterson under Center but he's been effective in place of Harris and against the Argos, completed 15 of 23 passes for 192 yards. He's got a stellar group of skill-position players. The Lions are almost at full power on offence, a unit even better in 2023 after adding RB William Stanback, who leads the league in rushing yards with 311. This should be high-scoring.

SAS Roughriders Over 21.50

Team Points 2-Way (Away)

50 WIN

The Lions have conceded 125 points in their 5 games so far, so 25 points pg, and no team has scored more points per game than the Roughriders entering Week 6. And although backup QB Patterson is in, he has been effective and has a stellar supporting cast of skill players. I like Overs for the 'Riders.
15:00 Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic

Over 40.50

Total Games

50 WIN

A repeat of last year’s final between World #2 Alcaraz and #3 Djokovic, which looks as hard to call as a year ago. Neither has played their best tennis this fortnight in a tournament plagued by injuries and I think a "swingy" match is likely. The 21yo Spaniard hasn’t been as effective on first serve and has played in patches, raising his game when necessary. Djokovic has been hampered by a knee injury (after surgery!), and had a comfortable draw facing just 1 top-20 opponent, a very disappointing Rune, and a walkover from De Minaur. Alcaraz faced 4 top-30 opponents, incl #5 Medvedev. The H2H of their last 3 meetings sees Djokovic lead the service/return points won totals by 102 to 98, but their clash here last year saw Alcaraz lead 103 to 97. But they’re so closely matched this will surely be decided by a few key points (injury notwithstanding). Alcaraz admitted to being nervous to start against Medvedev and in the Final here last year. The last 4 men’s finals here have gone over this number and given how close this looks set to be, it should see this one home.

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