nickpilbeam
I'm a sports bettor with not enough time to spend studying everyday, when I do get time I do good!
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Estimated Prizes
this month
£0
Estimated Prize money
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nickpilbeam's Tips History
01 October 2025
15:58 3:58 Bellewstown
Kilmood Susan
Daily Racing
25 EW
@11.00
Lose
-50
The horse looked to need the run after a 3 month break last time. 1fl less today and on soft looks safe enough for at least a place. The horse is 3 places from 4 runs on soft in its short 10 run career. Yard has a great record at the track and with this jockey.
Subtotal-50
30 September 2025
01:15 CIN Bengals @ DEN Broncos
DEN Broncos -7.50
Point Spread
50 WIN
@1.91
Win
46
At home at altitide against a banged up poor defense like the Bengals means points for the Broncos. The backup rookie QB looks bad for the Bengals and the Broncos D is a good unit who should make some stops. I've taken 6.5 points in an alt spread as this could land on the 7.
J.K Dobbins (DEN Broncos)
Anytime Touchdown Scorer
50 WIN
@1.77
Lose
-50
The Bengals give up a touchdown or two every game so far this season to the opposing RB1, this week I expect them to continue this trend as they can't seem to stop anything. Dobbins has been scoring in recent weeks so this looks an ok pick for anytime TD.
Subtotal-4
29 September 2025
01:20 GB Packers @ DAL Cowboys
GB Packers Over 27.50
Team Points 2-Way (Away)
50 WIN
@1.87
Win
44
Dallas defense is one of the worst in the league, GB ofense got shut down by one of the strongest Ds last weekend and will be looking for redemption. I can see them getting 30 against this Cowboys team as most teams to manage that this season. I don't like the over or the spread but I think they win and they get this total.
Subtotal44
28 September 2025
21:25 BAL Ravens @ KC Chiefs
Over 48.50
Game Totals
50 WIN
@1.91
Win
46
I like the Ravens but they have now been dismantled by both the Bills and the Lions, I think they will look to outscore this Chiefs side who have looked pretty average themselves. I don't see the Ravens defensive issues being resolved after a short week and now they have to travel to a team they have struggled with in the past. Give me the overs, this should hit 50 like both the aforementioned games.
14:30 MIN Vikings @ PIT Steelers
MIN Vikings -2.50
Point Spread
50 WIN
@1.91
Lose
-50
Both these teams travel to Ireland for this game, the Vikes look much better all round despite having a back up QB. Rodgers is going to feel the pressure here and he hasn't looked good. The Packers look like frauds and have a banged up defense which is their best unit normally. I don't see them stopping the Vikes weapons.
Subtotal-4
27 September 2025
17:15 5:15 Ripon
Cock And Bull
Daily Racing
25 EW
@SP
Lose
-50
The yard is in a purple patch (42% place strike rate last 30 days) and its worth chancing this one ew at 9/1 with 3 places. Gets a new jockey today and he has a decent strike rate himself and when teaming up with this yard. Last race has worked out well with 2 horses that were behind coming out to win next time (although in lower grade than this).
Subtotal-50
26 September 2025
16:45 4:45 Newmarket
Classic Encounter
Daily Racing
25 EW
@8.00
Win
10
The selection is close to last win mark having been tried over further and at a higher level the last few runs. Yard is in good form and jockey has 40% place strike rate when rideing for this yard. Draw is fine and the horse likes this fast ground, good chance to win this or at least make a place.
01:15 SEA Seahawks @ ARI Cardinals
SEA Seahawks -1.50
Point Spread
50 WIN
@1.91
Win
46
The Seahawks should be able to dismantle this Cards team away from home, they were impressive last week and now face a team who have lost their RB1 for the season. Seahawkls look all over the better team and I will take the points of less than a field goal.
Subtotal56
25 September 2025
16:45 4:45 Newmarket
First Officer
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@8.00
Win
10
First Officer is back to last win mark and reunited with claimer who was riding for that win here over the July course, in July... Horse record at Newmarket is 3 wins 5 places from 11 runs at either course. Yard has excellent record at the track and when teaming up with this jockey (40% place strike rate last 12 months). This trip is the right one for the horse and this is drop in grade will help.
15:43 3:43 Perth
Safe Destination
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 8.50 used instead of 7.50 takenBOG
@8.50
Win
12
I'd normally avoid a horse coming back after a 6 month break but the selection has a decent record after breaks of 2 wins from 3 in chases. Yard is in good form and so is the jockey with a really good place strike rate in the last few weeks at around 60. This is a long way to travel and is just the 3rd runner they have had here in the last 5 years, they had a place yesterday.
Subtotal22
23 September 2025
16:08 4:08 Beverley
Bowen Island
Daily Racing
25 EW
@19.00
Lose
-50
18/1 with 4 places to see if this one can nab a place or spring a surprise. Horse has been competing over a mile unsuccessfully for a while now and I think that just exceeds this ones limits. Back to a stiff 7fl and to the track where the last win occurred. Reunited with winning jockey and getting some first time head gear signals some intent. Also worth noting that this is the first time since the win going left handed and is below last win mark, so might be something in that. Ground is a bit of an unknown as only 8th start on turf I guess the risks are factored into the price. Yard and jockey do well together.
Subtotal-50
21 September 2025
18:00 GB Packers @ CLE Browns
GB Packers -7.50
Point Spread
50 WIN
@1.95
Lose
-50
Joe Flacco is terrible and so is the Browns offence, they do have a good defence against the run and shut the run game down last week against the Ravens. Love and this Packers team are top tier in my view, they also have a great Defence and I don't see Flacco being able to keep up with this GB team. I can see it getting out of hand.
18:00 HOU Texans @ JAX Jaguars
HOU Texans
Money Line
50 WIN
@2.05
Lose
-50
Texans are the better team and have had a tougher schedule so far, their O line sucks but there D is elite. I have the Texans as favourites for this so totally against the bookies.... I am not buying into Treveor Lawrence, he looks average at best. I expect this to be a low total but Texans get the win.
18:00 LV Raiders @ WAS Commanders
WAS Commanders -3.00
Point Spread
50 WIN
@1.95
Win
47
Raiders are off a short week and have to travel for this game which puts them in a bad spot. Commanders have not looked as good as they did last season and have a few injuries to deal with. That said I think they win by at least field goal which makes this a decent bet.
18:00 PIT Steelers @ NE Patriots
NE Patriots 2.00
Point Spread
50 WIN
@1.91
Lose
-50
I don't think the Steelers have looked that good with Rodgers at QB this season. They now have a few defensive injuries and thats where they are normally strongest. Here they travel for a tricky game with an improving Patriots team under Vrabel.
Subtotal-103
16 September 2025
15:10 3:10 Uttoxeter
Duke Of Luckley
Daily Racing
25 EW
@34.00
Lose
-50
The selection drops 2 classes and back to last win mark for this race. Sure the wheels like they came off the last few races, I think 33/1 seems like a decent price to see if they can rekindle something. The record with this jockey in this class is 4 wins, 5 places from 6 races. Has won lugging around 12st 1lb before. Jockey and yard recent form is the worry but they do have 25% place strike rate last 2 weeks.
Subtotal-50
14 September 2025
18:00 BUF Bills @ NY Jets
Over 46.50
Game Totals
50 WIN
@1.91
Lose
-50
The Bills gave up 40 points last week to a mobile QB, I think they have more injuries and face another mobile QB this week. I don't think the Jets will score 40 but I think they can get a good number, and I think the Bills can score against this D who gave up more than 30 to the Steelers last week, i think this hits 50 so this seems like decent value to me.
18:00 NE Patriots @ MIA Dolphins
NE Patriots 1.00
Point Spread
50 WIN
@1.91
Win
46
I know we only had one week to look at but it feels like the Fins have already given up on this coaching staff and Tua doesn't look like he did before his injury. Normally I'd be looking at the fins at home with this travel spot but NE with new coach dont loom quite as terrible as I thought they would.
17:18 5:18 Doncaster
Al Hussar
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@15.00
Win
45
14/1 with 4 places available looks ok for this one to bounce back. Jockey booking is interesting and first time up for this yard. Race before last is the one I'm focused on as ran really well to come 2nd. Blow out last time but that might be because it was just a few days after that 2nd. Has won off this mark before and on soft.
16:40 4:40 Doncaster
Moonstone Boy
Daily Racing
25 EW
@19.00
Lose
-50
With 4 places and 18/1, I think this is worth a punt. The selection is down to last win mark and reunited with a jockey who has a record of 7 places from 9 runs over this trip, including a win. The horse has been competing in tougher races than this, so will appreciate the drop in grade. On this going, the horse is 6 places from 7 runs. I think at 4, there will always be ebbs and flows up and down the handicap. It's too early to write this one off.
Subtotal-9
13 September 2025
16:35 4:35 Chester
Miami Matrix
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@7.00
Lose
-50
The selection drops 2 grades for this following a couple of disappointing runs at a higher level. Mark is dropped to just 1 lb above LWM. Course record is 2 wins from 3 races. This looks far more like this one's level, having won a more valuable race previously. I was interested in Knights Gold at the price last night, but I think the selection is still the pick given the form of horses it's beaten.
Subtotal-50
12 September 2025
14:45 2:45 Chester
Hes A Gentleman
Daily Racing
25 EW
@21.00
Lose
-50
20/1 with 3 places seems a good price for the selection. He is 3 wins, 4 places from 8 races over this trip in this class. On this going he has a 44% place strike rate. Now 2lb below last win mark. Looked to have need the run last time after a break, reunited with jockey who rode him to his last win. Yard is in good form and does well at this track. Stall 7 is ok and age is ok as trends show older horses from middle draws have done well in previous years.
Subtotal-50
08 September 2025
01:20 BAL Ravens @ BUF Bills
BAL Ravens
Money Line
50 WIN
@1.91
Lose
-50
The Ravens came here last season and dominated the Bills in the regular season only to lose the play-off game which they also dominated through a few unlucky turnovers. The Ravens have impoved their rooster in the off season and its difficult to pick any holes in the team, they are favourites for the super bowl this year for a reason. The Bills on the other hand have been carried a bit by Josh Allen in my opinion, I don't see them winning this game, but they do have the easier schedule so I suspect this won't be the only time these two teams meet this year.
Subtotal-50
07 September 2025
21:25 HOU Texans @ LA Rams
Under 43.50
Game Totals
50 WIN
@1.91
Win
46
I got this at 44.5 but still think its ok at this line. The Texans elite defence should be able to stop the Rams and as we have seen so far this season already the scoring has been limited. On the other side of the ball the Texans Offensive line is terrible, meaning CJ Stroud is gonna be under a lot of pressure, which is his kryptonite. I think this matchup is closer than the market thinks and the total is a bit too high.
21:05 TEN Titans @ DEN Broncos
DEN Broncos -8.00
Point Spread
50 WIN
@1.91
Push
0
I see no path in this game for the Titans to score points, except maybe in garbage time when they will be trailing big time. The Broncos really stepped up last season and Sean Payton has done wonders all across the team to make this a solid play off contending team. Bo Nix is not elite but this is just his second season and he is sure to progress. They have made some solid additions over the off season and they get feild advantage at mile high.
18:00 CIN Bengals @ CLE Browns
Over 47.50
Game Totals
50 WIN
@1.91
Lose
-50
Here we have two of the worst defences in the NFL facing off, and while Burrow is no doubt elite and surrounded by decent weapons, the same can't be said for the Browns. That said, Flaco works well in this Stefanski scheme and they are likely to score too given the defensive issues in the Bengals. I think the Bengals win this around 30 - 22, making the over a decent shout.
Subtotal-4
06 September 2025
14:40 2:40 Ascot
Great Acclaim
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 12.00 used instead of 11.00 takenBOG
@12.00
Win
30
Since they put blinkers on this horse the record has been impressive with 2 wins and a 2nd. Is versatile and has won on GS before which it might be today by 2:40. Jockey rides this track ok and won this race last year, first time riding for this yard so should be out to impress. Yard is going great guns and this is getting some support.
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01:00 KC Chiefs @ LA Chargers
KC Chiefs Over 25.50
Team Points 2-Way (Away)
50 WIN
@1.87
Lose
-50
I think Mahomes will be able to pull the trousers down on this Charger defense, my concern is the pitch which is used for proper football. The market seems to think the Chargers D is better than it is so I think the line is a couple of points lower than it should be, so gove me the over.
Subtotal-20
31 August 2025
15:22 3:22 Brighton
Time Patrol
Daily Racing
25 EW
@17.00
Lose
-50
The drift might tell me I need my head examined but I think 16 or 17s is just too big a price for one of only 2 C&D winners in the race. The format of this race is qualify in a class 5 or 6 at the track for the big pot class 2 at the end of the season. Given the horses record over this trip (4 wins from 6) and with this jockey its even better at 3 wins form 3. Yard has the best record at the track of anyone. If this horse runs at the same way it did when it won over this trip earlier this year from just 2lb more then I think its time of 1m 8.66s will be enough to win this from a late swoop.
14:10 2:10 Worcester
Midnight Jewel
Daily Racing
25 EW
@12.00
Lose
-50
The selection has a great record chasing with this jockey over this trip (4 wins, 6 places from 8 runs) and is now back to mark it has won from before. 11/1 with 4 places is a decent ew shout in my view. The last race can be forgiven as hit the 2nd last when going well, I think it would be a lot shorter had that race ended differently, is prone to mistakes but hopefully Lilly can do the biz today.
Subtotal-100
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Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.
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