lecceseadublino
Italian living in Dublin since 2004, passionate about football, Lecce supporter (my roots, my +20 yy in the stadiums). I follow also European leagues, particularly French (I lived in Nantes and still follow "les canaris"). I like watching Argentinian and Brazilian football. In my teens, I've been charmed by the Boston Celtics. I re-discovered NBA and I am appreciating again (still watching close the Celtics _ what else, since I am in the Celtic Country! _ but also Lakers of giant Kobe Bryant _ RIP).
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lecceseadublino's Tips History
01 May 2025
01:00 Atletico Tucuman v CA Independiente
CA Independiente
50 WIN
@2.37
Lose
-50
Good odds for Independiente (2nd only to Rosario with 29 points in the Central League) vs Tucuman (10 points). Tucuman has lost 6 in 7. Independiente has alternated win-draw in their last 10 and comes from a 0-0. I guess this is an away win.
Under 2.50
Total Goals
85 WIN
@1.57
Win
48
Tucuman lost 6 games in the last 7 but recorded only 4 OVER 2.5GG in 9 games. In the same amount, Independiente got only 2 OVER 2.5GG. Very strong defense. I think Independiente will win 1-0, UNDER.
CA Independiente #1-0
100 WIN
@6.50
Lose
-100
Tucuman lost 6 games in the last 7, while Independiente got 5 draws (two 1-1 and two 0-0) and 4 wins, none by 1-0. But this will be a closer game that will end 0-0 or 0-1 to me.
Subtotal-102
30 April 2025
17:00 Viking FK v Haugesund
Viking FK
50 WIN
@1.29
Win
14
Viking lost this season only to Vålerenga (3-1 in a friendly and in the league, same result). They won all previous 5 games vs Haugesund, which started this league with 3 defeats and 1 draw.
Over 2.50
Total Goals
84 WIN
@1.44
Win
37
Viking won the previous 5 games vs Haugesund: only one 1-0, then three times 2-0, and 5-1. This would call for an UNDER maybe, but Viking started the season with 5 games averaging 5.4 GPG (!) while the opponents 2 GPG.
15:00 Benfica B v CD Mafra
Draw
50 WIN
@3.50
Lose
-50
Good evening everyone. Again, for tomorrow night's match in Portugal, Ligue 2. So, we said Benfica II has won only one home game out of their last five. And, generally, they come from 2W, 1D, 2L, while Mafra has 2W, 3L, even if they're last. I think Mafra can pull off a draw.
Under 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@1.95
Lose
-50
L2 in Portugal: Benfica B can't play in the Premier Division against Benfica, but they'll want to finish this season well. They have 47 points (6th place, with 54 points for 3rd). They've won only one home game in 5 matches. Mafra is dead last with only 24 points, but with 2 wins in the last 5! I'm not sure about a draw or an under 2.5 goals match; I'm suggesting both. Benfica saw only 1 over in the last 5 home games, Mafra 3 over in 5 away.
Subtotal-49
29 April 2025
01:45 Velez Sarsfield v Gimnasia LP
Velez Sarsfield
163 WIN
@2.05
Win
171
Another match in South America, this time the Argentine Primera D. Velez has 11 points, Gimnasia 13, but Velez has 71% of the predictions in their favor. First, Velez played well in the Libertadores, with wins against Peñarol and Olimpia. Then, the last five matches: Gimnasia 3 L, 2 D, Velez also 3 losses, but 2 wins, so they're moving up. Velez, for me, has good odds.
Subtotal171
28 April 2025
19:45 Lazio v Parma
Draw
50 WIN
@4.75
Win
188
Parma will visit Lazio in Rome.
A draw at 4.75 is a very good value for us, especially after Parma drew against Inter and Fiorentina and won against Juventus.
Lazio will be careful not to lose, but will still try to win.
A 1-1 in my opinion.
Under 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@2.20
Lose
-50
Here's my second prediction for Lazio - Parma, specifically on goals: UNDER 2.5 Goals. I'm going against the bookies' odds here, but Lazio has just gone 4 UNDER 2.5 Goals and Parma has gone 4 UNDER 2.5 Goals in the last 5 matches. In my opinion, 1-1.
Yes (BTTS)
Both Teams to Score
50 WIN
@1.91
Win
46
Lazio has seen 3 BTTS in their 6 matches. Parma also. Parma is showing a lot of energy and (even should they lose) I see a goal scored.
Draw #1-1
50 WIN
@8.50
Lose
-50
A draw at 4.8 is a very good value for us, especially after Parma drew against Inter and Fiorentina and won against Juventus.
Lazio will be careful not to lose, but will still try to win.
A 1-1 in my opinion.
19:45 Verona v Cagliari
Draw
50 WIN
@2.75
Lose
-50
Verona (32 p) - Cagliari (30 p) will end in a draw, one point each, in my opinion.
It's also important not to lose: in the last nine matches, Verona has lost four times, Cagliari five. Both have drawn three times.
One more and survival is almost certain (even if Verona wins, it's almost a mathematical probability).
Under 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@1.50
Win
25
Serie A, Matchday 34. Cagliari will visit Verona at the Bentegodi. Verona recorded 5 under 2.5GG on last 6 matches. Cagliari 3 out of 6 (but played against Inter, Fiorentina, and Monza). In my opinion, the match will end 0-0 or 1-1.
17:30 Udinese v Bologna
Bologna
50 WIN
@1.85
Lose
-50
Udinese (40 points, already sure of not being relegated to B) - Bologna (60 points, in the fight for the Champions League). I think Bologna should win, even though Udinese lost the last five, so they're starting to feel a bit of pressure. UNDER 2.5 GG is also likely (Bologna 1 or 2-0... but if Udinese scores... it goes OVER).
Under 2.50
Total Goals
62 WIN
@1.67
Win
42
Udinese (40 points) - Bologna (60 points), for the Champions League. Udinese lost the last five, but Bologna needs just a 0-1 here, so UNDER. Bologna got 4 consecutive UNDER; Udinese 6 UNDER and 2 OVER in their last 8.
Subtotal101
27 April 2025
19:45 Napoli v Torino
Napoli
90 WIN
@1.42
Win
38
Serie A, tomorrow, Matchday 34. Napoli for the Scudetto, Torino to finish the season on a high note. Meaning: Napoli must win. But the Neapolitans often don't score too often (Napoli Empoli 3-0, a recent exception). So, I propose a "straight win" and a 1-0 result.
Under 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@1.83
Win
41
Napoli recorded 3 OVER and 4 UNDER 2.5GG in their last 7 and tends to be strong in defense. Torino only 1 OVER in 7 matches. I go for UNDER, possible result 1-0 for home team.
Napoli #1-0
50 WIN
@6.00
Lose
-50
Matchday 34: Napoli for the Scudetto, Torino to finish the season on a high note. Meaning: Napoli must win. But the Neapolitans often don't score too often (Napoli beating Empoli 3-0, a recent exception). Torino recorded two 1-1, a 1-0, and 0-1 in 4 of the most recent 5 matches. I like the 1-0 result for the above reasons.
17:00 Juventus v Monza
Juventus
50 WIN
@1.18
Win
9
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@1.60
Lose
-50
Juve is in the running for the Champions League with 59 points (one behind Bologna in 4th) vs Monza, last with only 15 points. I think Monza will score, as Juve struggles defensively. But Juventus will win, probably 3-1, so I propose OVER 2.5 GG.
Yes (BTTS)
Both Teams to Score
50 WIN
@2.40
Lose
-50
I think Monza will score (as done in 3 of the last 6), as Juve struggles defensively. But Juventus will win, probably 3-1, so I propose OVER 2.5 and BTTS.
Juventus - Juventus
Half Time / Full Time
50 WIN
@1.67
Win
34
14:00 Fiorentina v Empoli
Draw
57 WIN
@3.50
Lose
-57
Serie A: Matchday 34, only 5 left to finish the season. Fiorentina have 56 points and are in the hunt for the Champions League. They're in excellent form: 4 W, 2 D, only 1 loss, but against Napoli (1). Empoli are languishing at 25 points, but have been playing hard in recent relegation games. Note that they recently played (2-2, Empoli 4-3 on penalties) in the Coppa Italia. Empoli, who are somewhat of the Viola's "bête noire": in their last 5 matches, two 0-0 and two 1-1... then Empoli won 2-0. A draw is not unlikely.
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Subtotal-85
24 April 2025
20:00 Bologna v Empoli
Bologna (AH) -1.25
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@2.05
Lose+Push
-25
Bologna for the Coppa Italia final: last time was 1974 (won on penalties against Palermo). Empoli for a feat never before achieved. Bologna and Empoli have twice drawn 1-1 in Serie A, and Bologna won 3-0 in the first leg of the semi-final. I think Empoli is more focused on survival, so I think Bologna will win 2-0 or 2-1. I will try a handicap this time.
Bologna #2-0
50 WIN
@6.00
Lose
-50
Bologna almost in Coppa Italia final: last time was 1974 (won on penalties against Palermo). Empoli for a success never before achieved, but almost impossible after the 0-3 in the first game. But Bologna and Empoli have twice come up as 1-1 in Serie A this season. I think Empoli is more focused on survival, so I think Bologna will win 2-0 or 2-1.
18:00 Osasuna v Sevilla
Osasuna
50 WIN
@2.50
Win
75
Sevilla has lost four of its last five matches but has only seen two OVER 2.5 GGs in its last eight. Osasuna won the last two with 2-1 / 2-3 wins. So I think Osasuna will win.
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@2.30
Lose
-50
I'm going a bit against the prediction with Osasuna - Sevilla. Sevilla has lost four of its last five matches but has only seen two OVER 2.5 GGs in its last eight. Osasuna has had four Unders and four Overs but has won the last two with 2-1 / 2-3 wins. So I think Osasuna will win 2-1 and OVER 2.5 GGs.
Osasuna & Yes (Result + BTTS)
Result and BTTS
50 WIN
@5.50
Lose
-50
Sevilla has lost four of its last five matches, scoring in 2 of them. In the previous 3 losses (8 games), Sevilla always scored. Osasuna has won the last two with 2-1 / 2-3 wins, and the previous win was another 2-1. I remain with Osasuna winning 2-1 (worst case scenario 1-1)... still would be BTTS...
Draw - Osasuna
Half Time / Full Time
50 WIN
@5.80
Lose
-50
Osasuna #2-1
50 WIN
@10.00
Lose
-50
Sevilla has lost four of its last five matches (two times 1-0 and two 2-1). Osasuna won the last two with 2-1 / 2-3 wins. So I think Osasuna will win 2-1 and OVER 2.5 GGs.
17:45 AZ v NAC
Yes (BTTS)
Both Teams to Score
50 WIN
@1.95
Win
47
Eredivisie, in Holland: AZ Alkmaar (6th) vs NAC Breda (15th). AZ should win, but they're coming off two 1-0 losses! Last match ended 2-1 for Alkmaar (in Breda). I see AZ winning 1-0 or a draw. I'd like putting OVER 1.5 GG because NAC has got four 1-1s in the last five matches (the other being a 3-1 defeat). Let's try BTTS.
AZ - Draw
Half Time / Full Time
50 WIN
@19.00
Lose
-50
Subtotal-203
23 April 2025
16:00 Lamia v Volos NFC
Under 2.50
Total Goals
89 WIN
@1.53
Lose
-89
In this mini-championship in Greece (playoffs for the title), Volos is the favorite, but I'm not convinced the odds of 1.42 are good (and 9 for Lamia is excessive too). So I'll point out the goals: Under vs. Over 2.5 GG > I'm choosing UNDER because Lamia has seen 4/5 recently and Volos has recorded 5 UNDER 2.5 GG in their last 5 matches.
No (BTTS)
Both Teams to Score
50 WIN
@1.44
Lose
-50
Volos is the favorite with the bookies, but I'm not convinced by the odds. They recorded 0-0 and 0-1 (lost) vs. Lamia in the regular season. I think it could be a 0-0 or a close win either way. Lamia recorded a goal in 3 of the last 5, Volos saw BTTS only 2 times in their last 5. I pick 'NO' BTTS.
Subtotal-139
20 April 2025
18:30 St Pauli v Bayer Leverkusen
Yes (BTTS)
Both Teams to Score
50 WIN
@1.95
Win
47
Really good odds here with both teams to score (almost at 2.00). St. Pauli have scored in their last five matches, and Leverkusen have scored three times in six matches. The first leg ended 2-1 for Leverkusen and I think it is a possible result after tomorrow (or even 1-1).
17:00 Bologna v Inter Milan
Inter Milan
50 WIN
@2.70
Lose
-50
Inter is the stronger team in Serie A, despite Napoli still fighting with all their strength. Bologna is "overperforming" to be in 4th/5th place. I like the way they play, but they lost to Atalanta in Bergamo, and I think they will lose vs the reigning champions.
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@2.15
Lose
-50
Very important match for both teams. Bologna lost to Atalanta. Inter sees Napoli closing in. Bologna has seen four goals/BTTS in its last five matches. All of Inter's last six matches have seen both teams score. I see also Inter winning 3-2.
Yes (BTTS)
Both Teams to Score
50 WIN
@1.85
Lose
-50
Inter Milan #3-2
50 WIN
@34.00
Lose
-50
It is a nice odd for two teams that score a lot. Bologna has seen four goals/BTTS in its last five matches. All of Inter's last six matches have seen both teams score. Inter got 2 goals from Bayern and Bologna 2 from Atalanta in their last game.
Subtotal-153
19 April 2025
17:30 Aston Villa v Newcastle
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@1.65
Win
32
Aston Villa (54) vs. Newcastle (59) for a great Champions League playoff. Villa has a home advantage, but Newcastle plays well away from home (3 wins in their last five matches, with a loss against Liverpool and Man City). I'm taking the OVER here: Villa and Magpies come from 4 OVER 2.5GG in 5 matches!
17:00 Monza v Napoli
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@1.87
Lose
-50
Napoli is battling Inter for the title in this 2025 Serie A. Monza is relegated since 3 games. Napoli won the last match 3-0 against Empoli and has 5 OVER 2.5 GGs in 8 matches. Monza has seen 4 OVER 2.5 GGs and a good 3 OVER 3.5 GGs in the last 7. I believe Napoli winning 3-1 is likely, and I therefore propose OVER 3.5 GG, so of course also OVER 2.5 GG.
Napoli & Yes (Result + BTTS)
Result and BTTS
73 WIN
@3.60
Lose
-73
Napoli won the last match 3-0 and Monza lost 0-1. But Monza has seen BTTS in 3 of their 5 matches (including a 3-2 defeat to Inter) and Napoli in 9 of their last 11 matches (with 4 wins, 1 loss, and remaining draws)! I think Napoli thinks more about attack than defense.
15:00 West Ham v Southampton
Under 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@2.20
Win
60
Southampton have lost 7 of their last 8 matches and will likely lose again, but West Ham's odds are 1.50, while the UNDER 2.5GG is given as 2.20 and OVER 1.70. Thus, I'm taking on GOALS because yes, Southampton have seen 11 UNDERs and 21 OVER 2.5GG in the EPL, but West Ham have only 3 OVERs in their last 11 matches. So I think UNDER is a good odds.
14:00 Lecce v Como
Under 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@1.75
Lose
-50
I almost never bet on my Lecce, but this time it's on goals: Lecce has terrible difficulty scoring and we've had 7 of our last 9 matches UNDER. Como is a team built for much more than relegation, and it shows (36 points compared to Lecce's 26, Empoli, the first to be relegated, with 24).
But, in the last 4/5 matches, Como has scored little.
I'm really hoping for a 1-0 Lecce, but a draw without many goals could be possible.
Subtotal-81
18 April 2025
01:30 Cruzeiro v Bahia
Draw
50 WIN
@3.30
Lose
-50
Good evening everyone, with South America on the agenda for me. Serie A match in Brazil: Cruzeiro is the favorite, but not by much. Bahia has started with three draws, while Cruzeiro has 1W, 1D, 1L. I think a draw could be the final result here. Two of the last three matches have ended with nothing decided.
Subtotal-50
17 April 2025
01:30 Santos v Atletico Mineiro
Santos
50 WIN
@2.45
Win
73
Santos with a new coach, but also the "lost child" Neymar is back! I think they'll win, also because Atletico are on a five-match unbeaten run, so a bit of an opponent's statistic. I'm predicting a 2-1 for Santos.
Santos #2-1
50 WIN
@10.00
Lose
-50
Santos with a new coach, but also Neymar back in action. I'm predicting a 2-1 for Santos: they have scored 2 goals twice and 3 goals twice in their last 4 home matches. And Mineiro can score for sure. So, OVER for me and 2-1.
Subtotal23
16 April 2025
22:30 Botafogo v Sao Paulo
Under 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@1.53
Lose
-50
Botafogo vs. Sao Paulo in Brazil tonight. Botafogo is listed at 1.90, Sao Paulo almost 5. But I'm not convinced and prefer to go UNDER 2.5 Goals because: - Botafogo is in 5 consecutive UNDERs. - Sao Paulo has scored only 1 goal in 3 matches so far this season. - All 3 of these teams' most recently played matches have ended UNDER.
No (BTTS)
Both Teams to Score
50 WIN
@1.62
Lose
-50
Botafogo is in 5 consecutive UNDER 2.5 GG, and Sao Paulo has scored only 1 goal in 3 matches so far this season. All 3 of these teams' most recently played matches have ended UNDER, and Sao Paulo scored only 1 (with a 0-0 as the last result, which is also two of this season's results for Sao Paulo).
Draw #0-0
50 WIN
@7.50
Lose
-50
Botafogo had this season 0-0, 2-0, 0-1 and is in 5 consecutive unders 2.5 GG. Sao Paulo has scored only 1 goal in 3 matches so far this season. I bet on under and possibly a 0-0 result (or 1-0 for Botafogo).
20:00 Inter Milan v Bayern Munich
Inter Milan
78 WIN
@2.70
Lose
-78
The Champions League semi-final is the prize on the card for whoever wins this match. Inter is in the lead with the 2-1 victory in Munich. Inter haven't lost in the Champions League in 14 matches and have only lost the derby against Milan this year (at home). I think Bayern will score, but 1x is 99% certain and 1x is 60% certain.
00:30 ATL Hawks @ ORL Magic
ATL Hawks 5.00
Pointspread
50 WIN
@1.91
Lose
-50
Good night everyone. With this NBA game (tomorrow), there are few games before the playoffs. Orlando (41-41) is the favorite because they're in Florida, but Atlanta is a young team and roughly on par (40-42). Orlando has a good defense but will miss Suggs. Atlanta is in the top 5 on offense. So I'm taking Atlanta's handicap (+5).
Subtotal-278
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Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.
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