mrjolson

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mrjolson's Tips History

All tips
22 June 2024
18:15 6:15 Royal Ascot

Fasol

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@SP

Lose

-50

Paul Nicholls doesn't have many flat runners but has a real chance in the last with Fasol. The ex-French horse was 2nd ina Group 3 at Longchamp on last start on the level before a couple of runs in Novice Hurdles for his new yard. Could be much sharper with trip and ground both fine
17:40 5:40 Royal Ascot

Old Faithful

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@8.00

Lose

-50

Not one of the stable stars but has won his last two starts with victory at Naas followed by solid effort on ahdncaip debut at Navan. Has been raised 4lb to a mark of 89 after those two wins but only just does enough in his races so the handicapper may struggle to keep up with his progress. Ryan Moore will get the best out of him for the in-form Ballydole yard.
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17:05 5:05 Royal Ascot

Glenfinnan

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionOdds taken at 21.00

@21.00

Win

75

Has won over course and distance before and probably hasn't reahed his ceiling as a sprinter. Had previously been tried over a mile and 7f but looked much more suited over 6f when winning at Ascot off 91 back in May. Didn't get the best of runs at Hamilton next time out but could resume progress back here off 4lb higher than latest win.
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Strike Red

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@26.00

Lose

-50

Won the Paddy Power Scurry Handicap at the Curragh in July off 95 and only 2lb higher this afternoon. Diappointed on comeback at Newcastle but much better next time at Epsom when 5th of 13 on a course that probably didn't suit him. Has run at Ascot once before and finished 2nd to Bickerstaffe beaten only a head and surprising he hasn't been back here since. Has a good career strike rate and 25/1 looks more than fair
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17:00 Turkey v Portugal

Draw

50 WIN

@4.00

Open

0

Turkey were impressive in their 3-1 win over Georgia and can earn a point against a Portugal side that struggled against Czech Republic. They needed a late goal to win that but Turkey look good value this afternoon
16:25 4:25 Royal Ascot

Task Force

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@9.00

Lose

-50

Was being touted as a possible 2000 Guineas winner at Newmarket but faield to stay the mile and dropping back to 7f looks a smart move. Ralph Beckett is in much better form now and every chance Task Force needed his first run of the season. Runner-up in the Group 1 Middle Park at Newmarket last season over 6f and looks the ideal type for 7f.
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15:45 3:45 Royal Ascot

Shouldvebeenaring

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@17.00

Lose

-50

Only beaten a nose by Mill Stream at York but is almost 3 times the price today. He could only finish 6th at the Curragh last time but wasn't given a great ride and better to focus on his earlier efforts. Finished 3rd in the Group 1 Prix de la Foret at Longchamp last season over 7f but equally at home over 6f and looks overpriced.
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15:30 India vs Bangladesh

India

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.10

Win

5

India have won every game so far and with the exception of Australia they look a class apart. They hammered Afghanistan by 47 runs after making 181 and have so much depth to their batting line up. They beat Bangladesh by 60 runs in the warm up for this tournament and hard to see that form being reversed

RR Pant (India)

Top Team2 Batsman

50 WIN

@4.75

Lose

-50

Rishabh Pant made an unbeaten 53 off 32 against Bangladesh in the final warm up game before the tournament began. He has scored consistently so far often in difficult conditions with scores of 36*, 42, 18 and 20. He'll probably come in at three once again and with Sharma out of touch he should get an early look at the Bangladeshi attack
15:05 3:05 Royal Ascot

Middle Earth

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.25

Lose

-50

Middle Earth is developing into a high class animal having won a York Handicap off 93 last season before ending the campaign with victory at this track in the Listed Murless Stakes. Reappeared with a smart victory in the Group 3 Aston Park Stakes at Newbury and is the one who'll take advantage of any fitness concerns over Continuous.
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14:30 2:30 Royal Ascot

Age Of Gold

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.50

Lose

-50

Probably best to concentrate on the front two in the market and Age of Gold looked a useful colt when winning a Yarmouth Maiden on soft last month. That was over 6f but quickened away in the final furlong to suggest the step up to 7f would be ideal. Charlie Appleby is already enjoying a better season than last and he can get Saturday off to a winnnig start.
14:00 Georgia v Czech Republic

Czech Republic

50 WIN

@1.80

Lose

-50

Georgia put up a decent effort against Turkey in the 3-1 defeat but the feeling is they fall just short at this level. Czech Republic took a shock lead before conceding late and losing 2-1. That was a terrific effort against one of the best sides in the tournament though. Obviously a huge game for both teams with defeat leaving them on the brink of exiting but Czech Republic look far more streetwise and should win to set up a fascinating final game against Turkey
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Czech Republic & Yes (Result + BTTS)

Result and BTTS

50 WIN

@3.75

Lose

-50

Georgia lost heavily to Spain in qualifying with a 7-1 drubbing at home followed by a 3-1 in the reverse fixture. Those defensive weaknesses will stop them progressing from a tough group but they did find the net in their opening 3-1 loss to Turkey. Czech Republic will be confident of picking up three points after their 2-1 defeat to Portugal having almost held on to a valuable point. Georgia are decent going forward but naive at the back and the Czech Republic will take full advantage

Patrik Schick

First Goalscorer

50 WIN

@7.00

Lose

-50

Patrik Schick didn't get much joy against Portugal in the 2-1 defeat but the Czech Republic will have been pleased with the overall performance of the team. Schick scored from the spot against North Macedonia in the final warm up game and has enjoyed tremendous success in Germany with Bayer Leverkusen. He hit 7 in 20 league matches this season but was even more prolific in 21/22 when scoring an incredible 24 in 27. He'll cause Georgia plenty of problems this afternoon
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Czech Republic #3-1

50 WIN

@15.00

Lose

-50

Georgia put up a good fight against Turkey in the 3-1 defeat and only conceded a third after they chased an equaliser. The Czech Republic looked very solid in their 2-1 defeat to Portugal and only conceded late on to deprive themselves of a valuable point. They should prove too streetwise for Georgia but the underdogs will have no intention of going quietly although the 3-1 and 7-1 defeats to Spain in qualifying highlight their vulnerability at the back

Over 4.00

Total Cards

50 WIN

@1.98

Win

49

A defeat for either side will effectively end their campaign after just two games and with so much resting on the outcome it could lead to a high booking count. Things didn't go well for Georgia in the qualifying matches against Spain and there were 12 cards over the two games. No surprise if that is replicated here
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12:00 Hubert Hurkacz vs Alexander Zverev

Hubert Hurkacz

Win Match

50 WIN

@2.38

Win

69

The big serving Hubert Hurkacz has lost all three previous matches against Zverev but they have never met on grass before. The Pole has won all three matches in Halle without dropping a set and fired down 47 aces in those wins. Zverev needed a deciding set to win two of his matches here and is up against a player who is totally comfortable on this surface

Hubert Hurkacz to win 2 - 0

Set Betting

50 WIN

@4.40

Win

170

Hubert Hurkacz has hammered 47 aces in winning his three matches this week without dropping a set. He has lost all three previous matches against Zverev but they have never met on grass before and the German may be running out of gas after his efforts in reaching the final at Roland Garros. Hurkacz should arguably be favourite on this surface with Zverev needing a deciding set to win two of his matches this week
21 June 2024
18:15 6:15 Royal Ascot

Dorney Lake

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@12.00

Lose

-50

Has done nothing wrong this season after winning at Yarmouth on comeback having been 5th on debut at Goodwood last season on sole start. Won again next time out at Lingfield Park in a 4-runner Novice Stakes but couldn't have been more impressive in winning by 5 lengths. Yard are back among the winners and should improve further.
17:40 5:40 Royal Ascot

Chief Little Rock

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@13.00

Lose

-50

Wouldn't be the first Ballydoyle runner to beat the supposed stable first string. Runner-up in a Group 2 and Group 3 last season and probably needed the run at Epsom on return. Improved for that effort when landing the Group 3 Gallinule Stakes at the Curragh and likely to improve further for the step up in distance to 12f. Yard have won 2 of the last 5 runnings of this race
17:05 5:05 Royal Ascot

Indelible

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@6.00

Lose

-50

The Ralph Beckett yard are in terrific form this week and have already bagged one big race with Doha. Indelible won a Novice Stakes at Doncaster 3 weeks ago beating Amphius by 1/2 length. Won a shade cosily that day and should improve with the form of that Doncaster effort looking decent
16:25 4:25 Royal Ascot

Ethical Diamond

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.12

Lose

-50

Won a Maiden at Limerick last year and then reappeared off 89 at Leaopardstown over 10f and finished 2nd to Saturn beaten by the shortest of margins. Ryan Moore takes the ride for Willie Mullins and could be thrown in off just 5lb higher with the step up in trip excepted to suit. Finished 6th in the Grade 1 Spring Hurdle in February and will be very hard to beat.
15:45 3:45 Royal Ascot

Ramatuelle

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.33

Lose

-50

Beaten a neck in 3rd behind Emalka in the 1000 Guinease but was probably ridden too aggressively at Newmarket and every chance of reversing the form today. She has rock solid form in the book having won a Group 2 at Chantilly last year and has clearly trained on. Market vibes are strong and could gain her revenge for France
15:30 England vs South Africa

England

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.67

Lose

-50

South Africa have not convinced at ll this tournament despite winning every game so far. They only made 113/6 agaisnt Bangladesh and were laboured in chasing 103 against Netherlands. Their T20 record was very poor in the build up to the tournament and a 18 run win over USA wasn't exactly a return to top form. England got out of jail after almost failing to qualify for the Super Eight stage but were hugely impressive in the 8 wicket win over West Indies and should build on that.

PD Salt (England)

Top Team2 Batsman

50 WIN

@3.75

Lose

-50

Phil Salt made 37 in the defeat to Australia but may yet have another crack at them later in the tournament. Scores of 11 & 12 against Namibia and Oman can be excused given they had to be explosive from th eoff and increase their net run rate. England qualifed and Salt took full advantage in making an unbeaten 87 off 47 balls in the 8 wicket win over West Indies. Every chance he continues in that vein of form.
15:11 3:11 Towcester

Savana Chester

Daily Races

50 WIN

@4.33

Lose

-50

15:07 3:07 Kinsley

Errill Merry

Daily Races

50 WIN

@4.00

Lose

-50

15:05 3:05 Royal Ascot

Inisherin

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.50

Win

125

Won a Novice Stakes at Newcastle on seasonal debut in March by 3.5 lengths before being pitched into the 2,00 Guineas. That trip strecthed him but he got back on track in the Group 2 Sandy Lane at Haydock, beating Orne by 3.75l. No Elite Status to contend with after he was declared a non-runner and a rock solid favourite for Kevin Ryan.
15:03 3:03 Suffolk Downs

Zoos Fred

Daily Races

50 WIN

@3.25

Lose

-50

15:01 3:01 Crayford

Droopys Anchor

Daily Races

50 WIN

@4.00

Lose

-50

14:54 2:54 Newcastle

Alnwick Longmire

Daily Races

50 WIN

@3.50

Lose

-50

14:48 2:48 Kinsley

Springfield Best

Daily Races

50 WIN

@4.00

Win

150

14:44 2:44 Suffolk Downs

Savana Armani

Daily Races

50 WIN

@4.00

Lose

-50

14:41 2:41 Crayford

Moaning Versace

Daily Races

50 WIN

@4.00

Win

150

14:36 2:36 Newcastle

Alnwick Pickle

Daily Races

50 WIN

@3.50

Lose

-50

14:30 2:30 Royal Ascot

Burning Pine

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@41.00

Lose

-50

Wesley Ward runners used to be feared at Royal Ascot but Burning Pine seems to have been written off by the layers. That could prove to be a mistake given how she won at Keeneland on debut. She was never asked the question and couldn't have been more impressive to win by 3.5 lengths and hard held. Could be anything and 40/1 may seriously underestimate her chances.
14:00 Slovakia v Ukraine

Draw

50 WIN

@3.30

Lose

-50

Ukraine are a terrible price given the way they folded against Romania in their opening game of the group (lost 3-0). Slovakia on the other hand caused a minor shock in beating Belgium 1-0 but there were signs a performance of that nature was coming. They beat Wales 4-0 in their final pre-tournament friendly and pushed Portugal close in both matches in qualifying. A draw would suit Slovakia and ensure they progress to the knockout stages.

Lukas Haraslin

Anytime Goalscorer

50 WIN

@4.60

Lose

-50

Lukas Haraslin scored in the 4-0 win over San Marino prior to the tournament and enjoyed a fine season for Sparta Prague last season. He hit 12 in 29 league appearances but also scored 3 in 5 qualifying matches for his country. Ukraine looked all at sea against Romania in the 3-0 defeat and could be vulnerable this afternoon.

Draw #1-1

50 WIN

@6.50

Lose

-50

Ukraine need a result if they are to have any chance of qualifying from the group. The 3-0 defeat to Romania leaves them in real trouble of making an early exit and Slovakia will be delighted if they can pick up a point. They rode their luck at times in the 1-0 win over Belgium but they have only lost one of their last 8, certainly have the ability to frustrate Ukraine and earn a vital point.

Over 8.50

Total Corners

50 WIN

@1.92

Lose

-50

A point might not be enough for Ukraine if they are to qualify from the group. The opening 3-0 defeat to Romania leves them in big trouble and they have to force the issue this afternoon. A point would suit Slovakia but every scenario here suggests that one or both teams will have to attack. That should lead to plenty of corners and over 8.5 looks far more likely

Over 4.00

Total Cards

50 WIN

@2.10

Lose

-50

A huge game for both teams with Slovakia causing an upset in beating Belgium in their opening game while Ukraine were getting hammered 3-0 by Romania. A point would suit Slovakia and that approach may frustrate Ukraine. There were 5 bookings in their play off win over Iceland and things could boil over if Ukraine face an early exit from the competition.
20 June 2024
18:15 6:15 Royal Ascot

Fresh

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@12.00

Lose

-50

Has won three times at Ascot previously including the valuable International Stakes in 2022 off a mark of 98. Subsequently won off 4lb higher and has now slipped to a mark of just 92. Wasn't beaten far at Haydock last time when 5th and was 5th in the Wokingham here last season off a handicap of 101 and a trip that is just short of his best. Looks ready to strike off this mark
17:40 5:40 Royal Ascot

Kings Gambit

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.75

Lose

-50

Won by 4 lengths on handicap debut at Newbury and has improved with each of his 4 runs. That effort was his first try over 10f and can easily be excused previous defeat on heavy ground over a mile. First try away from Newbury after 4 starts but heads the Timeform ratings and could be very useful
17:05 5:05 Royal Ascot

Qirat

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@SP

Lose

-50

Yard are in terrific form as highlighted by the impressive win for Doha here yesterday. Qirat won in good style at Goodwood last time off an opening mark of 88 and is only 4lb higher this afternoon. Every chance he develops into a pattern race performer and should be suited by the step up to a mile.
17:00 Denmark v England

England

50 WIN

@1.73

Lose

-50

England can confirm qualification to the knock out stages with victory here and should do just that. They started well in the 1-0 win over Serbia and despite a drop in performance level in the second half they never really looked like conceding. Denmark were held 1-1 by Slovenia but have their limitations as shown by the 2-0 defeat in Northern Ireland in qualifying. England have plenty of firepower and in Jude Bellingham have a player that can dominate 90 minutes.

England & No (Result + BTTS)

Result and BTTS

50 WIN

@2.50

Lose

-50

England are still playing a makeshift left back in Kieran Trippier but they coped well with the physical Serbian attack in their opening game of the tournament and never really looked like conceding. The attack of Saka, Foden, Bellingham and Kane will cause most sides problems and they should prove too strong for a Danish defence that was unable to cling on to a 1-0 lead against Slovenia.

Harry Kane

First Goalscorer

50 WIN

@4.50

Win

175

Kane scored the winner in extra time when these two sides met in the semi finals of Euro 2020 and can cause the Denmark defence more problems this afternoon. Kane was relatively quiet in the opening match against Serbia but he still hit the bar and is still buoyant from his terrific season with Bayern Munich (36 in 32 league games).

England #2-0

50 WIN

@7.50

Lose

-50

England always looked in control int he 1-0 win over Serbia even if their performances levels dropped in the second half. They should improve for that and look too strong for a Denmark team that let slip a 1-0 lead against Slovenia. England won 2-1 in extra time against Denmark in the semi-finals of Euro 2020 but even with a makeshift defence they should cope with the Danish attack.

Under 3.00

Total Cards

50 WIN

@1.80

Lose

-50

England should have no intention of turning this into a battle and didn't pick up any yellow cards in the 1-0 win over Serbia. Denmark are not a dirty side either with only one booking in the 1-1 draw against Slovenia. They also met in the semi-finals of the last Euros and there were only two cards in total despite the game going to extra time.
16:25 4:25 Royal Ascot

Vauban

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@SP

Lose

-50

Kyprios looks far too short despite his obvious credentials. His challengers are plenty and none more so than Willie Mullins Vauban. He won at Royal Ascot last year when slamming the field by 7.5 lengths in the Copper Horse Handicap off a mark of 101. Has since won at Group 3 level at Naas and could yet prove himself to be the best stayer in training.
15:45 3:45 Royal Ascot

Kalpana

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@SP

Lose

-50

Two runs on the all-weather before stepping up in trip at Newmarket in a Class 3 Handicap. Won by 10 lengths and immediately stepped up to Listed class in the Pretty Polly. Finished a clear runner-up and likely to improve further for the step up to 12f
15:30 Afghanistan vs India

India

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.20

Win

10

Afghanistan are a serious threat in the shorter forms of the game but India have won their last 7 T20 internationals against them. The IPL has raised the bar in terms of scoring with teasm regularly posting scores above 200. That has fed into the national side with India winning all 3 matches in tricky conditions. They managed to defend 119 against Pakistan but scoring conditions should be much easier here and they should win.
15:05 3:05 Royal Ascot

Gilded Water

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.00

Lose

-50

Took the eye on fianl start of 2023 when 3rd on heavy ground at Windsor beaten only 1.25 lengths. Confirmed that promise on reappearance at Chepstow when stepped up to 10f and destroying the field by 7.5 lengths (good ground). The Willie Haggas yard are running well at the minute and sure to be in the first five home
14:30 2:30 Royal Ascot

Whistlejacket

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@2.38

Lose

-50

9lb clear at the head of the Timeform ratings and easy to see why. Runner-up at the Curragh on debut on heavy ground over 6f but was 6.5l clear of 3rd and confirmed promise of that run when running away with Listed race at the same track. He beat Arizona Blaze by 3.75l and the runner-up has since won the Group 3 Gain Marble Hill Stakes to boost the form. Looks very hard to beat over 5f here.
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14:14 Belgium NC Time Trial 2024

Tim Wellens

Win Outright

50 WIN

@3.25

Win

112

14:00 Slovenia v Serbia

Draw

50 WIN

@3.75

Win

138

Serbia won 4-1 when these two met in the Nations League two years ago before Slovenia came from 2 nil down to draw the reverse fixture a week later. Slovenia will be delighted with their draw against Denmark in the opening fixture and are now unbeaten in their last 7 games including 3 draws in their last 5. A draw today may not be enough to see them qualify from this group but they will not go down lightly.

Aleksandar Mitrovic

Anytime Goalscorer

50 WIN

@2.50

Lose

-50

Mitrovic scored the opening goal in the 4-1 win voer Slovenia back in 2022 and then got the 2nd in the 2-2 draw in th ereverse fixture. He now plys his trade over in Saudi Arabia and hit 28 in 28 leagu egames for them. He also scored in the final warm up game against Sweden and will be a handful for the Slovenian defence today.

Draw #1-1

50 WIN

@7.50

Win

325

Slovenia came from 2 nil dopwn to draw 2-2 in the Nations League game two years ago and another draw could be on the cards this afternoon. Serbia acquitted themselves well in the 1-0 defeat to England but a point wouldn't be a disaster for them today with Denmark still to play. Slovenia really need the 3 points if they are to have any hope of qualifying but Serbia will probably use their experience to kill any prospect of that.

Over 4.00

Total Cards

50 WIN

@1.90

Win

45

Plenty resting on this game with Slovenia really needing to get 3 points if they are to qualify from the group. A point would probably be ok for Serbia who'll fancy their chances against Denmark in the final group game. Serbia had 3 players booked against England and there is no love lost between these two teams. The Nations League game in Slovenia ended in a 2-2 draw with 7 yellow cards and the sending off of Predrag Rajkovic who wasn't even on the pitch at the time. Likely to be a bad tempered affair.

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