lankylad
interested in the systematic & statistical approach to sports betting
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lankylad's Tips History
All sports
15 June 2025
23:00 Palmeiras v FC Porto
Palmeiras
50 WIN
@2.30
Open
0
Porto are favourites with the bookies to finish top of Group A, but over the years they have struggled on the road outside Portugal. Palmeiras are in great recent form, with eight wins in their last ten games. Porto lacked consistency towards the end of their season, and I favour a Palmeiras win tonight.
22:45 US Open
Justin Rose
25 EW
@111.00
Open
0
Rose won this event at Oakmont in 2013. Narrowly missed winning this year's Masters. Has an early tee time, which will help his game. Has a good scoring record in the first round at Majors. Each way chance in this market.
Patrick Cantlay
25 EW
@41.00
Open
0
Patrick Cantlay has a good record at the US Open. He has posted a number of top 15 finishes at the tournament. He is in decent form of late, and his accuracy off the tee will give him a head start over several of the longer drivers. Worthy of each-way support.
Sungjae Im
25 EW
@111.00
Open
0
This course will be a severe test for the players this week, but there are signs that players who tough it out at Augusta could do well here. Su Jae Im has posted three top ten finishes at the Masters. Accurate off the tee, and if he can get his putter working, then he can be up on the higher reaches of the leaderboard.
Russell Henley
1st Round Leader
25 EW
@61.00
Open
0
Russell Henley has missed the cut at the last two Majors but has a good record at this event. Finished in a tie for seventh last year at Pinehurst No. 2. In fine current form, finished fifth at the Memorial. Started with a strong first round prior to falling away at the weekend. Has a decent first round record over the last two years.
Justin Rose
Top GB and Ireland
25 EW
@21.00
Open
0
Price of 21.00 for Justin Rose to finish this event in the top three GB and Irish players looks good value. Previous US Open winner and narrowly missed out on winning this year's Masters, beaten in a playoff by McIlroy.
Tommy Fleetwood
Top GB and Ireland
50 WIN
@6.00
Open
0
Tommy Fleetwood hasn't won a major yet, nor has he won in America, but this week gives him a decent chance to change that. He generally plays at his best at major tournaments and on the more testing courses. He has the quality to win this week, so he looks valuable to be the leading British and Irish player.
20:10 US Open
Jon Rahm
1st Round Leader
25 EW
@26.00
Open
0
Initially, after joining the LIV tour, Rahm's game went backwards, but he now seems to be getting back to something approaching his best. He has posted top 15 finishes in his last three majors. Great record in US Opens, won in 2021, finished in top 12 in three others. Can get himself onto the leaderboard from an early stage.
Tommy Fleetwood
1st Round Leader
25 EW
@46.00
Open
0
Tommy Fleetwood has yet to win an event in America, but he has a decent chance this week. He finished in the top five in this event, including a second-place finish at Shinnecock. He is a consistent player who thrives on tough courses and generally starts with a good first-round score.
Xander Schauffele
1st Round Leader
25 EW
@34.00
Open
0
Xande4 has an excellent first round record at past US Opens. He has been in the top 15 after the first round in seven of the last eight US Open tournaments. Outright first round leader in 2023 in Los Angeles. He has an early tee time, which should enable him to be up amongst the leaders from an early stage.
20:00 PSG v Atletico Madrid
PSG
50 WIN
@2.00
Win
50
Paris Saint Germain to start off in this tournament with a win is the prediction. They will be on a high following their magnificent Champions League success. They have a young squad who will still have the energy to perform well. PSG play an exciting brand of football that will test the resilience of the Atletico defense.
17:00 5:00 Salisbury
Bell Shot
Daily Racing
25 EW
@5.50
Lose
-50
Trained by the in-form Micky Appleby, who rarely has runners at this course. Significant jockey booking of Sylvester De Sousa. Won at Beverley last time out over 7 furlongs on good ground. Has been running consistently well this season. Has been given a 4 lb rise in the weights for that success but is a battler and can overcome that rise. Each way chance.
16:00 Somerset vs Kent T20
Somerset
Win Match
50 WIN
@1.44
Open
0
Somerset sit proudly at the top of the South Group, having won all five of their games. Kent are in sixth place with two wins and one no result from their five played. Somerset have a well-balanced side with powerful batters, good all-rounders, and a useful bowling attack. Recent head-to-heads have been close, but with home advantage, I narrowly prefer the chances of Somerset.
15:05 3:05 Gowran Park
Honeysuckle Rose
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@7.50
Win
7
Trained by JO O'Brien, who is in fine current form and is one of the leading trainers at this track. Significant jockey booking of Dylan McMonagle. Won on the all-weather over 7 furlongs. Finished down the field last time out at Cork, but that was over a mile and looks better suited to a furlong less.
14:30 Wakefield v Leigh
Wakefield -2.50
Handicap (2-way)
50 WIN
@2.00
Lose
-50
Wakefield have done well in their first season back in the Super League, and at home, they are proving a tough nut to crack. Both sides have won seven games apiece, but at home, Trinity have won their last three matches and haven't conceded more than 12 points in any of those games. Leigh's form has dropped off of late, losing three of their last four. The only win came at Huddersfield in their last game. Wakefield to win and cover the 2.59 points handicap.
13:55 1:55 Gowran Park
Estoublon
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@4.50
Lose
-50
Trainer JP O'Brien has saddled the winner of this race three times in the last eight years. His runners are in good current form. Sired by Wootton Bassett and the dam won at 12 furlongs. Has had two runs. Sixth on debut at Navan over six furlongs on soft, and then finished fourth on latest outing. That came over 7 furlongs at Leopardstown. Holds an entry for the Two Year Old Trophy at Redcar, a Class One Listed event in October.
07:05 South Sydney Rabbitohs v Canterbury Bulldogs
Canterbury Bulldogs
To Win
50 WIN
@1.42
Win
21
Canterbury are going well this season and have won ten of twelve games played. They are second in the points table, level on points with leaders Canberra, but with two matches in hand. Rabbitohs are down in fourth bottom place on 14 points. They have lost their last two matches and will struggle against the Bulldogs, who have the best defensive record in this league. Win for the Bulldogs.
Under 44.50
Total Points
50 WIN
@1.91
Win
46
Canterbury will be without four of their star players for this match due to Origin call-ups. This could seriously affect their attacking intent in the game. Apart from their last two matches, the Rabbitohs have had the majority of fixtures finish under the total points spread. Under 44.50 total points is the forecast in this match.
Subtotal-26
14 June 2025
17:00 Grenoble v Perpignan
Grenoble 6.50
Handicap
50 WIN
@1.91
Win
46
In the last few years Grenoble have built a great home record and with a 6.50 points start they look good value on the Handicap spread. They have won 18 of their last 20 home fixtures . On the 4oad Perpignan have a poor record . Won one of their last ten away games in all competitions
17:00 Leinster v Bulls
Bulls
To Win
50 WIN
@5.50
Lose
-50
This Final is bein* played in Ireland but the Bulls won't be concerned by that,as they only lost one away fixture in the competition all season. Leinster are short priced favourites but I feel that the Bulls have the superior set of forwards and with rain expected I think they can control the ball up front. Leinster have made a habit of losing in Finals ,so take the value price of 6.00 for a Bulls success.
Bulls 13.50
Handicap
50 WIN
@1.91
Lose
-50
This will be the first time in the history of the URC that the top two finishers in the regular league season have met in the play off final. Leinster have got into the habit of choking at the final stage. Bulls have a strong away record this season and won't be put off by this match being played in Ireland. The Bulls pack is easily the best in this competition and possibly in world club rugby. With a 13.50 point start Bulls look a great wager in the handicap.
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15:35 3:35 York
Maelstrom
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@8.00
Lose
-50
One of two horses in this race who are trained by William Haggas. He has his runners in fine recent form,a 20% strike rate in the last two weeks. He has a decent track record as well. This horse has won all three races this season, including at Haydock on latest outing. That win came in a Class Four Handicap,winning by a half length. Led inside final furlong,running on well. Third in that race has won since. Clearly an improver and can go close today.
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15:00 Huddersfield v Wigan
Wigan -20.50
Handicap (2-way)
50 WIN
@1.91
Lose
-50
Huddersfield have managed to win just one match all season,and with this game being played in Dewsbury they won't even have home field advantage. They face a clinical Wigan team who are pushing Hull KR for the top spot in the standings. Defensively strong but when in possession they can wreak havoc against a weak Giants defence. Wigan to win and cover the spread.
10:35 North Queensland Cowboys v Dolphins
Dolphins
To Win
50 WIN
@1.53
Win
26
Dolphins are now amongst the in form sides in this competition and won their last couple of games by large margins. Beat the Bulldogs 44-8 and the Dragons 56-6. All of their backs look in top form and will put the Ciwboys defence under serious pressure from the start. Cowboys will be fielding a depleted side due to four players being absent through Origin call ups.
Dolphins -5.50
Handicap (2-way)
50 WIN
@1.91
Win
46
The quality of this Dolphins seems to have been under estimated by the odds makers and look a good value bet on the handicap,only being asked to give up less than a converted try margin. They have scored 100 points in their last two matches and against a depleted Cowboys defence they can run amok again. Cowboys missed over 40 tackles in their loss last week against the Storm and cannot afford to be so poor in defence today.
08:30 Newcastle Knights v Sydney Roosters
Sydney Roosters
To Win
50 WIN
@1.35
Win
17
Sydney Roosters to beat Newcastle is the s election for this fixture in the NRL. Newcastle somehow managed to come from being 14 points behind at half time to beate Manly last week,but face a much improved Roosters side 5o day. Roosters have a hard working set of forwards who are ably supported by some quality players in the backs.
Subtotal-65
13 June 2025
13:30 1:30 Sandown
Bang On The Bell
Daily Racing
25 EWNAPNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 11.00 used instead of 10.00 takenBOG
@11.00
Win
25
Six year old gelding has been running well in recent times. Third of 14 last time out over 5 furlongs at Lingfield on good to firm going. Started as favourite and was beaten just 1 3/4 lengths. Has ten career wins on both turf and the all weather. Likes to be up with leaders from the off and holds a good each way chance.
11:00 Gold Coast Titans v Manly Sea Eagles
Manly Sea Eagles
To Win
50 WIN
@1.29
Lose
-50
Manly have a quality squad but have suffered through inconsistency this term. Lost to Bewcastle last game having been sixteen nil ahead at half time. They have Cherry Evans and the Trbojevic brothers back for this fixture which gives them a decisive edge in attack. Manly to win.
Over 50.50
Total Points
50 WIN
@2.00
Lose
-50
Matches featuring these sides generally have been high scoring affairs. Titans are struggling once again this campaign and have won just once in their last nine. Defensively they have been poor.,averaging 31 points per game conceded. Average total points when these sides meet is around the 52 point mark. Over 50.50 total match points is the prediction.
08:05 Crusaders v Blues
Blues 5.50
Handicap
50 WIN
@1.91
Lose
-50
Blues had a big win in their last match to qualify for this stage and have the momentum now going forward. Crusaders have not reached the heights expected of them and will find it difficult to overcome a battling Blues side. Take Blues in the handicap.
Subtotal-125
12 June 2025
18:30 Somerset vs Middlesex T20
Somerset
Win Match
50 WIN
@1.45
Win
22
Somerset have made a strong start to this year's Blast by winning all three games played. That puts them into third place but having played a game less than those above them. Middlesex once again have been poor in this tournament. Somerset have dominated T20 meetings with the London side and are my choice to win tonight.
13:30 1:30 Newbury
Dawn Of Liberation
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@SP
Lose
-50
Trained by the in-form Mrs. R. Carr. Comes into this race having won the last couple of races. Last win came at Nottingham, winning by an ever-increasing four lengths. Still looks to be ahead of the handicapper.
10:50 Cronulla Sharks v St George/Illawarra Dragons
Cronulla Sharks
To Win
50 WIN
@1.27
Win
14
Big local derby in which Cronulla have dominated previous meetings. Won the last nine head-to-heads. Sharks have suffered two heavy losses in recent games and will be desperate for the win to get their playoff bid back on track. Dragons are just behind them in the standings but look a weaker side than the hosts. Cronulla to win.
Cronulla Sharks -12.50
Handicap (2-way)
50 WIN
@1.95
Lose
-50
Cronulla Sharks to win and cover the 12.50 points handicap is the prediction for this match. They are currently in fifth position in the standings, having won seven matches. Dragons have won five. Sharks have dominated past head-to-heads with their local rivals, winning the last nine. Four of those last six meetings saw Cronulla win by at least a 14-point margin.
Over 46.50
Total Points
50 WIN
@1.91
Win
46
The average total match points scored in both teams' last five games is 47. Both teams have been poor defensively. Sharks have a quality team who can get plenty of points against a weak Dragons rearguard. Over 46.50 total points is the forecast.
Subtotal-18
11 June 2025
19:10 7:10 Kempton
Newfangled
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@5.50
Lose
-50
Newfangled has been ultra consistent, finishing in the first three places in his last dozen outings. Finished second at Windsor last time out, having won at the course prior to that when heavily supported in the market. Looks to have a strong each way chance tonight.
18:30 Northants vs Birmingham Bears T20
Northants
Win Match
50 WIN
@2.00
Win
50
Northants have been in great form in the Blast this year. They have won all five games played. Bears have lacked consistency in their play and results. Bears have won four of the last five head-to-heads, but such is the form of Northants that I expect them to maintain their 100% success rate tonight.
18:30 Nottinghamshire vs Yorkshire T20
Nottinghamshire
Win Match
50 WIN
@1.73
Lose
-50
Notts have won six of the last seven home meetings in T20 cricket with Yorkshire. The hosts have won two of their four Blast matches this season, one more than Yorkshire. The pitch at Trent Bridge will be batter-friendly, which should suit Notts and their powerful batting lineup.
16:50 4:50 Limerick
Gracesolution
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionBest Odds Guaranteed SP 4.33 used instead of 3.50 takenBOG
@4.33
Lose
-9
Trained by R.O'Sullivan and ridden by SR Markey. The trainer is in good recent form. Top of the speed ratings for this race. Finished fifth last outing, beaten just a length in a 14-furlong handicap at Gowran Park. Will be better suited to today's lesser trip.
14:30 2:30 Lingfield
Maundy Thursday
Daily Racing
25 EW
@8.00
Win
10
Trained by Tom Dascombe and has Richard Kingscote in the saddle. Has run well in her last couple of handicap races, fourth last time at Windsor, and fifth at Beverley prior to that. Form from those races is working out well with the winners of both events having won since. Worthy of each-way support.
Subtotal-49
10 June 2025
19:28 7:28 Sligo
Our Zebo
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@4.75
Lose
-50
Six year old carrying top weight. Trained by Noel Kelly and jockey O.McGill takes 5 lb off. Won his final race of last season,and then won again on seasonal reappearance. Likes to be held up to finish strongly. Last win came by an ever increasing 6 1/2 lengths. Two wins and a place from three runs when fitted with blinkers. Trainer is in fine current form with his hurdlers and has a strong win record at this course. Jockey has a 29% win record when riding for the yard.
18:30 England vs West Indies 3rd T20 Match
England
Win Match
50 WIN
@1.45
Win
22
Prediction is for England to continue their domination over the West Indies by winning this third T20 International, following a 3-0 win in ODIs. Chasing a big total, the England batting looked in good form as they chased down the runs in Bristol. England have now won eight of the last ten T20 games with the West Indies.
18:10 6:10 Catterick
Stellarmasterpiece
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@5.00
Win
120
Top speed figures in this race. Has already won twice at this track. Two wins and two more places from four races over course and distance. Has a career record on turf of two wins and three placed efforts from only six races. Trained by Micky Hammond and jockey Aiden Brooke's is two wins from five rides on board,
11:30 Ann Li vs Anastasia Potapova
Anastasia Potapova -3.50
Games Won
50 WIN
@1.73
Lose
-50
Potapova to beat Ann Li and cover the 3.50 games handicap is the prediction in this market. Potapova has been put in as the fifth seed at this tournament and has a good grass court record. Semi-finalist in Birmingham last year. She leads 1-0 in head-to-heads. Li has a poor record on grass and only played once on the surface last year, losing in the first qualifying round at Wimbledon.
10:00 Denis Shapovalov vs Arthur Rinderknech
Denis Shapovalov
Win Match
50 WIN
@1.50
Lose
-50
Shapovalov to beat Rinderknech is the forecast for this match. The powerful serving, left-handed Canadian will be more comfortable on grass than he was on the clay. He won two matches at Wimbledon last year, three in 2023. He has won six of his last eleven grass court matches. He leads 2-1 in head-to-heads, with winning the one meeting on grass. Rinderknech has won four of his last eleven on the quicker surface.
10:00 Mackenzie McDonald vs Mattia Bellucci
Mackenzie McDonald
Win Match
50 WIN
@1.62
Win
31
Bellucci has lost his last seven matches, and his grass court record isn't too good either. McDonald won both of his qualifying matches at this event without dropping a set and looks more at home on the faster grass surface. He has won four of his last six matches on grass courts. McDonald to win is the selection.
10:00 Yanina Wickmayer vs Suzan Lamens
Yanina Wickmayer
Win Match
50 WIN
@2.00
Lose
-50
Lamens has had a few decent results this year but remains a novice on grass. She has played only seven matches in total on grass court surfaces, winning only one. Wickmayer didn't play any grass court matches last season but has done well in qualifying at this event, winning both matches without dropping a single set. Going back to 2022, she has won 18 of 22 matches played on grass. She won five matches at Wimbledon 2022, eventually losing to Ostapenko. Also won three rounds in 2023 Wimbledon. Wickmayer to beat Lamens is the choice.
Subtotal-27
09 June 2025
19:00 7:00 Windsor
Regal Envoy
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@6.00
Win
150
Trained by William Knight and ridden by Oisin Murphy. The jockey has over a 50% strike rate when riding for this yard. Consistent type with four wins and two placed efforts in the last six races. One win from one run over course and distance. One win and one place from two races in Class 2 races. Top speed figures.
16:32 4:32 Brighton
Time Patrol
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@5.00
Lose
-50
Trained by Tony Carroll, who has a good track record. This five-year-old gelding has won the last three races, including over today's course and distance ten days ago. Has five wins from nine runs on turf, all coming on similar ground conditions.
15:00 Katerina Siniakova vs Anna Blinkova
Katerina Siniakova
Win Match
50 WIN
@1.57
Lose
-50
Siniakova has been struggling for consistency on the clay courts, but now reverting to grass, she can get back to winning habits. She has won seven of ten grass court matches in 2024 and 2025. Blinkova has played only six matches on grass since Wimbledon in 2023, winning just two of those six. Siniakova looks like a better grass court player.
Subtotal50
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Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.
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