lankylad

interested in the systematic & statistical approach to sports betting

5

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lankylad's Tips History

All tips
26 July 2024
20:00 Leigh v St Helens

St Helens

To Win

50 WIN

@1.73

Lose

-50

It is virtually unheard of for St.Helens to lose four consecutive matches ,but that is the current situation. Head coach Welles's has come under some fierce criticism from certain sections of their home crowd putting him under pressure. They have had a long injury list and have brought in some of the younger players in their squad,and these youngsters have done well so far. Such is the quality at the club that I fully expect them to build upon an improved last game performance against Warrington and go to Leigh and win. Leigh have been inconsistent of late and I think they will suffer against a Saints side desperate to get back into the winning groove.
20:00 Wigan v Warrington

Wigan

To Win

50 WIN

@1.50

Lose

-50

Wigan were startled in the first half of last weeks defeat at Hull,as they quickly went 18 points behind. In the second half they got back to something resembling this excellent Wigan side,but eventually lost by a two point margin. Prior to that they had won ten games on the bounce. Warrington look a strong contender and in recent games have been superb. They will be without several key players through injuries and suspension. Wigan to get back to winning ways is the prediction.

Wigan -5.50

Handicap (2-way)

50 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-50

Wigan put in their worst 40 minutes performance of the season in the first half of last weeks loss at Hull. Got things almost back to normal in the second half but they will be determined to start much better against Warrington tonight. Wigan have a great home record and do well in head to heads with tonight's opposition. Warrington are a much improved team especially in defence,but they have a number of players missing through injury ,which could be decisive tonight against the World Club champions. Wigan to win and cover the 5.50 points handicap.
19:45 Club Brugge v KV Mechelen

KV Mechelen (AH) 1.25

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

@1.92

Win

46

Mechelen travel to the reigning league champions Club Brugge tonight as big underdogs. Mechelen finished just six points behind tonight's host in the regular season. Both head to heads last season finished all square and I can see a similar outcome tonight. Lib Brugge lost last week in the Super Cup so confidence could be lowered. Mechelen with a 1.25 goals start on the Handicap is the choice.
19:45 Drogheda United v Waterford FC

Waterford FC (AH) 0.00

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

@2.10

Lose

-50

Drogheda have a poor recent record in this league,having lost seven of their last nine fixtures in this division. On the road Waterford have a decent record with four wins in their last eight away matches. With the draw taken out of the equation Waterford look a decent wager on the Handicap at 2.10.
11:00 Parramatta Eels v Melbourne Storm

Melbourne Storm -17.50

Handicap (2-way)

50 WIN

@1.91

Win

46

Parramatta are having a terrible season with some awful displays which have led to them being at the foot of the points table. The management have already indicated that there will be wholesale changes made to the playing squad and their captain has been relieved of his duties. Melbourne have put 40 + points on the board in the last couple of head to heads with the Eels and will be ruthless again. Storm to win and cover the 17.50 points spread.
09:00 New Zealand Warriors v Wests Tigers

Wests Tigers 12.50

Handicap (2-way)

50 WIN

@1.91

Win

46

For long periods of their last match the Wests Tigers played some fine rugby and put 28 points on the board but still conceded over 40 points again. They have conceded over 40 points in all of their last four matches. Head coach of the Tigers Benfica Marshall has made several changes and also welcomes back a couple of their better quality players. NZ Warriors are an inconsistent side and have struggled when put in as pre match favourites. Covered only 4 of 16 when being asked to cover by more than a six point margin. Won only three of their last nine when favourites. Tigers best results have come against teams in the bottom half of the table,won 10 of their last 15. Tigers with a 12.50 points start is the selection.
25 July 2024
20:15 Breidablik v KF Drita

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@2.05

Win

52

Brenda like are strongly fancied to win . Won their last two but defensively they look fragile,and have conceded at least one goal in each of their last seven fixtures. The Icelandic side came through their qualifier with both games having at least four goals in them. Five of Breidabliks last seven home league matches have had more than two goals scored in them. Three of Kosovan side Dritas last five away league games have had at least three goals scored and they will struggle against a more skilful side. Over 2.50 total goals is the forecast.
20:00 Huddersfield v Leeds

Huddersfield

To Win

50 WIN

@2.30

Lose

-50

Following a run of indifferent form Huddersfield came back to form with a good display in their victory over Salford last week. They have won their last three head to heads with Leeds and with home advantage ,the price of 2.30 for a Giants win looks decent value. Leeds have a new head coach and there were signs of improvement last week in their first game for him. However several lapses of concentration and intensity let them down.
19:00 Panathinaikos v Botev Plovdiv

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@1.50

Win

25

Panathinaikos had eight of their last ten matches of last season finish with more than two goals in them. Botev Plovdiv if Bulgaria have already had both European games and their first league fixture go over two goals. They had four of their final five games in domestic football last season all with three or more goals scored. Go Over 2.50 total goals tonight.
18:30 CFR Cluj v Neman Grodno

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@1.70

Lose

-50

CFR Cluj have been scoring goals for fun of late. They have scored eleven goals in their last three home matches,and their have been four or more scored in total in their last two games. Neman have also got into the habit of scoring in the vast majority of games,having found the back of the net in six of their last seven fixtures. Go Over 2.50 total goals.
18:30 Manchester Originals vs Welsh Fire The Hundred

T Kohler-Cadmore (Welsh Fire)

Top Team1 Batsman

50 WIN

@4.00

Lose

-50

Tom Ko(let-Canmore has hit four scores of 20 plus in his last five limited overs innings. He is a big hitter who will probably either open the innings or come in at the fall of the first wicket. In what looks a below par batting line up take Koehler Canmore to top score.

WL Madsen (Manchester Originals)

Top Team2 Batsman

50 WIN

@5.00

Lose

-50

Manchester Originals have a superb top batting line up and in Salt and Buttler they have two of the top seven ranked batters in the world t20 rankings. Wayne Madsen is a vastly experienced batter who plays for Derbyshire but tonight if he gets in to bat early enough then he can quickly change the outcome of this match. He is in excellent t20 form with four recent knocks of over 20.
18:00 FC Zurich v Shelbourne

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@1.67

Win

34

Zurich finished fourth in the Swiss League last season and with Swiss football currently experiencing a high they will be confident of comfortably winning this tie. Since the appointment of a new head coach Zurich they won five consecutive games,scoring at least twice in all of them. Shel our e found the back of the net in both games in the previous round and scored in all of their last ten league fixtures. Defensively they will find things difficult tonight and I see plenty of goals in this match. Take the Over 2.50 match goals at 1.67.
18:00 Sheriff Tiraspol v Elfsborg

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@1.80

Lose

-50

Elfsborg are going well in both domestic and European competition. They have been scoring lots of goals, managing to score at least three in all of their last five matches. Sherif Tiraspol have a good home record and have scored in 14 of their last 15 home fixtures in all competitions. Sherif have had four of their last five home league games finish with at least three goals scored. Over 2.50 total goals is the prediction.
16:20 4:20 Sandown

Siempre Arturo

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@2.50

Lose

-50

This race looks on paper to be between the top two in the betting forecast. My preference is for Sizemore Arturo who come s into this race having won her last 5hree races. Trained by Daniel Kubler who is in fine recent form and has a useful record at this track. William Buick takes the ride. He also has top strike rate at Sandown and is in good current form. Despite a penalty for last success my selection looks to still be ahead of the handicapper.
15:00 Manchester Originals Women vs Welsh Fire Women The Hundred

Manchester Originals Women

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.73

Lose

-50

In Beth Mooney and Laura Wolvaardt the Manchester Originals Women have two of the top four ranked batters in world t20 cricket overall Originals Women seem to also have the better balanced bowling attack,so go with the home team to start their campaign with a win.
24 July 2024
19:15 NK Celje v Slovan Bratislava

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@1.85

Lose

-50

Both of these teams had each of their two matches in the last round of this tournament all finish with at least three goals scored. Slovenian side Celje had six of their last eight league matches with more than two goals in them. Slovan Bratislava won the Slovakian Suoer League again, by a 15 points margin. Seven of their last eight games in domestic competition featured three or more total goals. Over 2.50 total goals is the selection for this match.
18:30 PAOK Salonika v Borac Banja Luka

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@1.40

Win

20

Greek side PAOK should have far too much firepower for Bosnian side Borac. PAOK have played five friendlies in the build up to this game with four of them containing more than two goals. In their last six league matches five had at least three goals scored in them. Borac had their last game finish 2-2 and in their league season all of their last five fixtures have seen three or more goals scored. Over 2,50 match goals is the forecast for this match.
23 July 2024
20:23 8:23 Ballinrobe

Eastbank Warrior

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.00

Win

5

Trained by Jonathan Sweeney and on board is Derek O'Connor. Both are amongst the strongest combination in NH Flat races. This 6 year old gelding by Westerner has had two runs in Bumpers,including a second placed last time finish at Thurles. Trainer has a 30% strike rate in the last year in Bumpers. Strong each way claims.
19:23 7:23 Ballinrobe

Kilashee

Daily Racing

50 WINNB

@3.75

Win

137

Killashee comes into this race on a hat trick of victories and with a couple of fancied market rivals being declared non runners. Trained by JP Ryan and ridden by S. Fitzgerald. Jockey is five wins and two more places from ten rides on this horse. Won a handicap chase last time at Killarney only four days ago,winning the race with ease despite a couple of jumping errors. Now reverts back to smaller obstacles as in win prior to last race when winning over 19 furlongs at Kilbeggan ,winning by a massively increasing 38 length margin.
18:23 6:23 Ballinrobe

Miss Gherkin

Daily Racing

25 EW

@5.50

Lose

-3

Average Maiden Hurdler but has been much improved since moving into Handicap Hurdles ,winning both races,at Leopardstown and then at Tramore last time out. One win from one run over todays trip and jockey JC Gainford has won on board on two rides. Both wins came on similar ground to todays forecast going.
17:20 5:20 Ballinrobe

Fatal Flaw

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@2.88

Lose

-50

Has had two runs since moving to current trainer. Kept on well over course and distance on first run for yard to finish second. Since then four of the first seven to finish that race have won since. Won last time out in a decent Bumper at Punchestown. Trainer has a good course record and jockey is a leading amateur.
22 July 2024
18:30 6:30 Beverley

Jack Of Clubs

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@6.50

Lose

-50

Jack Of Clubs ran his best race of his career by winning over course and distance last time out. Led early doors and maintained prominent position throughout to prevail by one length. . That was less than a week ago. Connections have quickly got this fiur year old back on the track and clearly feel there is still more improvement to come. That was only his fourth attempt at this distance. Strong each way claims.j
18:20 6:20 Windsor

Admired Hope

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@4.50

Lose

-50

Trained by William Haggas and ridden by Tom Marquand. Both trainer and jockey are in fine recent form and both have a healthy track record. A filly by Galileo who has had just one outing. Finished sixth of 13 on the all weather at Newcastle over a mile. Bred to do better over a longer trip and is upped an extra quarter of a mile tonight. Form from that debut run is working out re@lly well with six of those runners winning since.
18:00 GAIS v AIK

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@1.90

Lose

-50

Only one place seperates these sides in the league table. Both teams have had the majority of matches with at least three goals scored in them. AIK have had 10 of 14 and GAIS 9 of 14 all with more than two total match goals scored. On the road AIK are 6-1 over 2.5 total goals,whilst GAIS are 5-2 over 2.5 goals. Follow the trends and go Over 2.50 Tital Gials .
18:00 Varbergs BoIS FC v Landskrona

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@1.87

Lose

-50

Top of the table Landskona travel to play third bottom Varberg. Varberg at home have an average of 3.4 total goals per game and with a 5-2 over 2.5 match goals record. Lanskrona have scored 28 goals so far this season in 14 matches whilst conceding almost a goal a game. Varberg have a goal differential of 17/22. Price if 1.87 looks value fir this match to go Over 2.50 goals.
21 July 2024
22:00 Barracuda Championship

Nick Dunlap

25 EW

@41.00

Win

1200

With this tournament being based on a stapleford scoring system the emphasis will be on players making birdies and eagles. Nick Dunlap is only 20 years of age but is already a winner on tour. He has also had an eighth and tenth place finishes this season. Worth an each way interest.
2 members found this comment useful

Patrick Rodgers

25 EW

@29.00

Win

115

Patrick Rodgers has played this event on eight previous occasions. Four times he has finished in the top 20. In what looks a below average standard turnout this week I think that Rodgers offers some decent each way value at price of 29.00.
18:15 Rosenborg v Lillestrom

Lillestrom (AH) 0.50

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

@1.87

Void

0

Lille storm on the Handicap with a 0.50 of a goal start is the selection.. They have won three of their last four league games and have one of the better away records in this league.. Rosenberg have made an indifferent start to their season losing seven of 14 played. Lost five of seven played against teams in the top half of the division.
1 member found this comment useful
17:00 Open Championship

Jon Rahm

25 EW

@31.00

Win

125

Jon Rahm had to withdraw from the last Major with a foot infection. Now playing one of his favourite events. Has finished in top three in two of the last three Opens. Played well last week in Spain, and holds a decent each way chance.

Shane Lowry

25 EW

@41.00

Win

175

The game of Shane Lowry is ideally suited to the expected conditions for this weeks Open Championsnip. Winner of this Major in 2019, if he gets his putting back to its best level then he can be a serious contender for the Claret Jug.

Tony Finau

25 EW

@56.00

Lose

-50

Tony Finau is a top quality ball striker who hits it long off the tee. Has finished in the top 30 in six of the last seven British Opens. In good current form with three consecutive top eight finishes. Should be thereabouts this week.

Tyrrell Hatton

50 WIN

@23.00

Lose

-50

Southports finest Tyrell Hatton has the type of game that is ideally suited to links courses. Having been a pro in Southport which has some of the best links courses in the world,he can put in a serious contribution this week. Third in Spain last week and won the LIV Nashville tournament earlier. Top ten at the Masters and three top 25 finishes in his last four U.K. events played.
2 members found this comment useful

Viktor Hovland

25 EW

@36.00

Lose

-50

Victor Hovland had a short spell in the golfing wilderness through lack of consistency,but is now getting back into some of his best form. Third at the US PGA. Has finished in the top 20 in the Open on three previous years including fourth at St.Andrew's in 2021. Never finished outside the top 13 at the Open.
2 members found this comment useful

Aaron Rai

1st Round Leader

25 EW

@71.00

Lose

-50

Rai only just made it into this tournament after shooting a final round 63 to finish third at the Scottish Open. Has five consecutive top 20 finishes to his name and has been involved at the top of the first round leaderboard on several occasions. First for driving accuracy on the PGA tour.
2 members found this comment useful

Matthieu Pavon

1st Round Leader

25 EW

@111.00

Lose

-50

This year has been the breakout season for Frenchman Matt Pavon. A winner in the PGA tour this season,plus several top 20 finishes. He has started several tournaments with strong first round efforts that have regularly put him up amongst the first round leaders. Of each way interest in the First Round market.

Russell Henley

1st Round Leader

25 EW

@91.00

Win

232

Russell Henley isn't the longest driver of a golf ball but his accuracy off the tee is good. In the three Majors he has played this year he has had a 33rd,23rd and a 7th place finish. Cannot see him winning this event but he could figure prominently on the First Round leaderboard market.
2 members found this comment useful

Sahith Theegala

1st Round Leader

25 EW

@61.00

Lose

-50

Sanity Theegala has been a revelation in the USA this year. He has featured up amongst the leaders in several of the Majors. Played well at last weeks Scottish Open for the first three rounds before falling away in the closing round. Has the advantage of a9.58 tee time in the first round and could feature amongst the early leaders.

Stephan Jaeger

1st Round Leader

50 WIN

@151.00

Lose

-50

This young German player has a world ranking of 38. Currently ranks at number two in the PGA stats for driving distance. He has frequently featured amongst the early front runners in tournaments this year. With a 9.03 scheduled tee time he can q7ickly put together an impressive first round total that just might get him to the top of the leaderboard.
2 members found this comment useful

Matthieu Pavon

Top European

25 EW

@61.00

Lose

-50

Matthieu Paton from France has an excellent record on the PGA tour this season. Was in contention for long periods of the recent U.S. Open and is a winner this year on the tour. He has an early first round start time and he regularly starts well,and if doing so this week then he could continue that form up to and including the 72 nd hole.

Sepp Straka

Top European

25 EW

@41.00

Lose

-50

Sep Straka was outstanding in the last Ryder Cup but struggled for long periods to get his game back up to the high standards of 2023. He has been playing better in recent events and with his powerful ball striking and the nature of the course he could feature prominently on the leaderboard.
2 members found this comment useful

Sahith Theegala

Top American

25 EW

@26.00

Lose

-50

Sahith Theegala has done well on the PGA tour all year. Played really well in last weeks Scottish Open for three rounds,until letting things slip away on the final 18 holes. Has featured amongst the leaders in several of the Majors over the last year or so. Each way chance of finishing up amongst the top four Americans this week.

Tony Finau

Top American

25 EW

@19.00

Lose

-50

Tony Finau has been playing some consistently good golf this year. Has a good Open record with six finishes in the top thirty in seven years. Did well at the US Open at Pinehurst and has three consecutive top eight finishes.

Matt Wallace

Top GB and Ireland

25 EW

@41.00

Lose

-50

Matt Wallace has been playing well this year following an equally successful 2023. Long hitter off the tee ,and his putting can at time be wayward,but if on form then he could cause a few surprises in this tournament. Well versed with Scottish links courses,he looks decent each way value at 41.00 in the top GB and Ireland player market.
2 members found this comment useful
15:00 Castleford v Catalan Dragons

Catalan Dragons

To Win

50 WIN

@1.53

Lose

-50

Castleford have put together some improved results in recent games and won't go down without a fight in todays match. Catalan Dragons traditionally do well at home and struggle on their travels. This season their form on the road has improved and they will be confident of winning in West Yorkshire today. They looked impressive when beating Salford last week and also keeping a clean sheet. They welcome back Sam Tomkins for this game which will be a bonus.
1 member found this comment useful
15:00 FC Ilves v VPS Vaasa

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@1.60

Win

30

Both of these clubs have been involved in lots of high scoring games. At home this term Ilves have had seven of eight matches played with more than two goals in them,whilst on the road VPS have had six from seven go over two goals. Two of the last three head to heads have also featured at least three goals. Over 2.50 total goals in this match is the prediction.
1 member found this comment useful
13:00 IFK Mariehamn v SJK

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@1.80

Win

40

SJK matches are consistently seeing plenty of goals scored in them. In their last eight games,seven have had more than two goals in them,and there has been an average goals scored in these fixtures of 3.6 goals per match. Mariehamn have had their last three games end with there having been three or more goals in them. Over2.50 total goals is the prediction for this game.
1 member found this comment useful
13:00 IFK Norrkoping v Halmstad

Halmstad (AH) 0.50

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

@2.17

Lose

-50

Norrkoping have found it difficult work this campaign to put together any sort of consistently good set of results. No wins in their last eight and only three wins in 14 all season. Hal Stade are slightly better with them doing well against teams in the lower part of the standings. With a 0.50 of a goal advantage Halmstad look good value on the Handicap.
1 member found this comment useful
10:30 Matteo Berrettini vs Quentin Halys

Quentin Halys 3.50

Games Won

50 WIN

@1.73

Lose

-50

Quentin Halys is a player with the potential to get into the top ten in the rankings. He has been excellent throughout this tournament,. He beat the in form Struff in straight sets in the semi final. Berrettini has been plagued with injuries over the last couple of years. He won this event in 2018 and reached the Final in 2022. Could be down to who can manage a break of serve,so go with Halys with a 3.50 games start on the Games Won handicap.
09:15 North Queensland Cowboys v Canterbury Bulldogs

Canterbury Bulldogs 3.50

Handicap (2-way)

50 WIN

@1.95

Win

47

Both of these two clubs are just inside the top eight in the standings and desperate for a win that would boost their chances of making the play offs. Bulldogs are a determined side with the second best defensive record in the NRL,and have a good record against the Cowboys, winning two of the last three head to heads. At home the Ciwboys have struggled to cover the handicap spread,with only one cover in their last seven. Go Canterbury with a 3.50 points start.

Under 47.50

Total Points

50 WIN

@1.91

Win

46

Although the Vowboys welcome back five players from Origin duties but will need them if they are to break down a stubborn Bulldogs defence. Bulldogs have had seven of their last eight road games finish Under the total points spread. Under 47.50 total points in this match is the forecast.
07:05 Manly Sea Eagles v Gold Coast Titans

Over 50.50

Total Points

50 WIN

@1.87

Lose

-50

Matches between these teams generally tend to be high scoring encounters. The Over has prevailed in ten of the last thirteen meetings of these clubs. When starting a game as favourite Manly have seen seven of the last nine games finish with the total points going Over the spread. Over 50.50 total points is the prediction.
06:05 Japan v Italy

Italy

To Win

50 WIN

@1.50

Win

25

Japan have had some mixed results since the arrival of their new head coach Eddie Jones,with one victory over the M?ori All Blacks. Italy had a good Six Nations tournament last season. Won two and drew with France ,when they should have beaten Les Bleus. Italy have won the last two meetings of these teams,and are my selection to win this match.
05:00 Penrith Panthers v Dolphins

Penrith Panthers

To Win

50 WIN

@1.28

Push

0

Penrith have been made ten point favourites for this game. I do think the Panthers will win but it might be by a narrower margin than that quote. Dolphins don't have the best record on the road and face serious title challengers.

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Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.

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