lankylad

interested in the systematic & statistical approach to sports betting

4

Estimated Prizes
this month

£20

Estimated Prize money
this month

lankylad's Tips History

All tips
07 November 2025
15:00 3:00 Exeter

Ugo Bingo

Daily Racing

25 EWNBNOTETip made at odds of 7.00 on 07/11 at 12:470.10 deduction for Jet Of Dreams@9.00 withdrawn at 14:09R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 6.00 x (1-0.10) = 6.40

@6.40

Win

2

Trainer Joe Tizzard has a good course record. Ridden by the experienced Brendan Powell. Finished second on seasonal reappearance over 2 miles 5 furlongs at this track last time out. Started as odds on favourite and only lost out by a head. Will have come on for that run. Each way options.
14:18 2:18 Newcastle

Winter Flower

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@5.00

Lose

-5

Trained by William Haggas and ridden by Jason Hart. One win from one run at this course, over ten furlongs. Won that race going away from the opposition. Form from that win has been franked. Trainer has a 30% win record in the last 14 days, and a 26% strike rate at this track in the past year. Jockey does well riding on the all-weather for the yard.
03:00 Bangladesh U19 vs Afghanistan U19 4th ODI

Afghanistan U19

Win Match

50 WIN

@2.62

Win

81

Afghanistan Under 19s have several promising players who potentially can go on to great things. The scores are level at a win apiece and one game abandoned. In Shinozada, Niazai, and captain Mahbooh Khan, they have quality batsmen. They look value at 2.62 to win this fourth one-dayer.
06 November 2025
20:00 Dynamo Kyiv v Zrinjski Mostar

Zrinjski Mostar

50 WIN

@5.25

Lose

-50

Price of 5.25 for a Mostar win looks decent value, especially with this game being played at a neutral venue in Poland. Kiev are down in 34th spot in the group standings, having lost both matches. Mostar are 13th in the table, having won one of two matches. Zrinjski Mostar have won five of their last seven away fixtures and have suffered just one loss in their last fourteen competitive matches.
20:00 Real Betis v Lyon

Lyon (AH) 0.75

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

@1.98

Lose

-50

Lyon have won all three matches in this group stage, whilst Real Betis have picked up five points. At home, Betis have had mixed results in all competitions, losing two and drawing one of their last six. Lyon are currently in sixth place in their domestic league and are unbeaten in their last four competitive fixtures. Go with Lyon on the handicap with a 0.75 of a goal advantage.
17:45 NK Celje v Legia Warsaw

NK Celje

50 WIN

@2.38

Win

69

Slovenian side Celje have done well in this tournament, and currently sit nicely in third place in the group standings. They have six points from two games, with Legia on three points from their two matches played. At home, Celje have a strong record: five wins and a draw from their last six in all competitions. Legia have won just once in six, and on the road, they have lost three and drawn two of their last six. Celje to win.
17:45 Nice v SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg (AH) 0.00

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

@1.92

Win

46

After three games in this group stage, Nice have yet to get a point. This puts them in 3rd place in the standings. Freiburg are in sixth with seven points from three played. On the road, Freiburg have only lost one of their last six. Take Freiburg on the handicap with the draw taken out of the equation.
16:07 4:07 Clonmel

Panjandrum

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@1.83

Win

41

Trainer Gordon Elliott has a strong record with his runners starting as favourite in bumpers. He has leading amateur jockey Mr. H.C. Swan on board. The trainer has saddled two bumper winners from three runners in the last 14 days. Good course record and today's jockey has a 26% win rate when riding for this yard. Winner of a point-to-point last time out. The stable has saddled the winner of this race three times in recent years.
16:00 Boland vs Titans T20

Boland

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.73

Win

37

Boland Ricks have a 100% win record in this competition, winning all three matches. Titans have played two, winning one of them. Boland have the home pitch advantage and have the momentum going forward and are my selection to win.
15:47 3:47 Ludlow

Faithful Guardian

Daily Racing

25 EW

@5.00

Lose

-5

Trained by Alan King, who is in great form, a 40% win rate. Sired by Australia, and Dam is related to a winning hurdler. Looks set to go well on racing debut and could be one to follow this season.
14:15 2:15 Newbury

Watamu

Daily Racing

25 EW

@12.00

Lose

-50

Trained by Emma Lavelle with Ben Jones in the saddle. Has had just the one outing, winning comfortably in a mares' bumper at Stratford. Has been off the course for over a year. Now having first run for new connections, and the yard is in good form. Good record at this course with five wins from 12 runners in the last year. Each way chances.
12:37 12:37 Clonmel

Le Kap

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@6.50

Win

2

Made a promising debut at Punchestown, when finishing fourth over today's trip. Form from that run is working out well, and with trainer Henry de Bromhead in fine current form, this five-year-old can go close today.
05 November 2025
20:00 Man City v Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund

50 WIN

@7.50

Lose

-50

Price of 7.50 for a Dortmund win looks good value. They have won seven and drawn two of their last ten competitive away games. These clubs have met on nine previous occasions with the German side winning three and drawing three. They have made a strong start to their season on all fronts and will be prepared for the Haaland threat, as he is a former Dortmund player.
15:40 3:35 Chepstow

Kelijoe

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@6.00

Push

0

Trained by Stuart Edmunds, who does well with his runners at this time of year. Charlie Hammond is in the saddle, and he has a 21% strike rate riding for this stable. He finished second on his latest outing at Fakenham. Can improve for that latest run.
15:05 3:00 Chepstow

Palacio

Daily Racing

25 EW

@6.50

Win

165

One win from two runs over today's course and distance. Trained by Sam Thomas, who has his runners in fine recent form. Makes chase debut today. Tends to go well following a break and could go close this afternoon.
14:35 2:30 Chepstow

Grand Garcon

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 23.00 used instead of 15.00 takenBOG

@23.00

Win

85

Big price available for this runner from the powerful Paul Nicholls yard. Has Harry Cobden on board. A half-brother to a two-time winner in Bumper company. Has had the one race, finishing well to claim second at this track over two miles in March, in a Bumper. Scope for improvement.
13:35 1:30 Chepstow

Henry Box Brown

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@10.00

Lose

-50

Ran close to something approaching his best when second last time out when fitted for the first time with headgear. Retains them for this race. Has two wins off of a higher official handicap mark. Trained by Evan Williams and ridden by Ellis Collier, who has won twice and placed three times from eleven rides on the horse.
13:05 1:00 Chepstow

Modern Man

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@9.00

Win

15

Trained by Emma Lavelle with Ben Jones in the saddle. The trainer has her hurdlers in good recent form, and she has a healthy strike rate at this course. The jockey has ridden seven winners in the last two weeks. Sired by Milan, who has a good record over the jumps with his progeny. Making debut for connections after having two Points races. Won at Dromahone over three miles. Each way chance.
04 November 2025
20:00 PSG v Bayern Munich

Bayern Munich

50 WIN

@2.87

Win

94

Top game of the night between two giants of European football. PSG are top on nine points, and Bayern have similar points but inferior goal difference. Bayern are currently on a fifteen-match winning run. Bayern have won four of the last five head-to-heads. Bayern Munich to win.
20:00 Tottenham v FC Copenhagen

Tottenham

50 WIN

@1.44

Win

22

Spurs looked poor against Chelsea at the weekend and will be determined to atone for that loss by beating Copenhagen. Spurs are currently in 15th place in this group phase with five points from three matches. The visitors are down in 32nd position with just one point from three. Spurs won their only home Champions League fixture and are the predicted winners tonight.
19:45 Birmingham v Millwall

Millwall (AH) 0.50

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

@2.00

Lose

-50

Millwall are unbeaten on the road in this season's Championship. They are unbeaten in five, picking up 13 points. The Lions are up in fourth place with 24 points, six points and seven places ahead of City. With a 0.50 of a goal start, Millwall look value on the handicap.
19:45 Bristol City v Blackburn

Bristol City

50 WIN

@2.18

Lose

-50

Bristol City suffered a 1-5 hammering at Stoke in their last game. Prior to that, they had won three straight victories. They won their last two home matches. City are unbeaten in their last five home meetings with Rovers. Rovers have struggled on the road against sides in the top half of the table, and I think that Bristol City will win tonight's fixture.
19:45 Leicester v Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough (AH) 0.25

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

@1.95

Win+Push

24

Second in the table, Boro travel to the East Midlands to face Leicester, who are in 14th spot. City's recent form has been patchy with two wins, two draws, and two losses. Boro have a similar record. Boro have come out on top in the last two meetings. Leicester have struggled in recent home games, winless in their last four. Go with Middlesbrough on the handicap with a 0.25 of a goal start.
16:00 Boland vs Western Province T20

Boland

Win Match

50 WIN

@2.25

Win

62

Boland have made a strong start to this competition, winning both games. Their bowling has been excellent, with Manack, Dudgeon, and Mnyaka all impressing. Western Province won the only game they have played to date. Boland have won two of the last three meetings of these clubs in the twenty overs format, and are my selection to win today.
02 November 2025
20:05 La Rochelle v Racing 92

Racing 92 8.50

Handicap

50 WIN

@1.85

Lose

-50

Only one point separates these two sides in the league table. Racing have 21 points from eight games and La Rochelle 20 points from seven played. La Rochelle have a 100% win record at home whilst Racing have managed one away victory this season. Racing won the last game between these clubs at La Rochelle with a 26-21 scoreline. With an 8.50 points start, Racing look a good wager on the handicap at 1.85.
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16:30 Man City v Bournemouth

Man City

50 WIN

@1.50

Win

25

City have beaten Bournemouth nine times in their last ten meetings and are my selection to win today's game. Bournemouth have made a great start to their season and currently sit in second place in the standings, with City in eighth. Victory for City would move them up to second, though. At home, City have won three of four played, whilst on the road, Bournemouth have won one and drawn two. Marginal preference is for a home success.
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16:30 Wolfsburg v TSG Hoffenheim

TSG Hoffenheim

50 WIN

@2.38

Win

69

Hoffenheim have a strong record on their travels, winning five and drawing one of their last six away fixtures. Wolfsburg are experiencing a severe loss of form, having lost five of their last six games in all competitions. Hoffenheim to win.
14:00 Fiorentina v Lecce

Lecce (AH) 0.75

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

@1.98

Win

49

Both teams have made poor starts to their league campaigns. Lecce are in 16th place on six points, with Fiorentina in 19th position, two points behind. Fiorentina have won just one of their last six. Away from home, Lecce have won two, drawn two, and lost two of their last six. Go with Lecce on the handicap with a 0.75 of a goal start.
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14:00 West Ham v Newcastle

Draw

50 WIN

@4.33

Lose

-50

West Ham are a club in crisis, having picked up just one point from their last six league games. Their new manager will have been working hard to get their defensive shape more organized, and I can see them aiming to defend today and hit Newcastle on the breakaway. The Toon have drawn three of four away matches in the Premier League this campaign, and I can see this match going down a similar route. Take the draw.
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13:00 Levante v Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

50 WIN

@2.50

Win

75

Celta Vigo are undefeated in their last six matches, having won their last two. Unbeaten in four head-to-heads versus Levante. Lost just once in nine head-to-heads at Levante. Levante have lost five of their last six home games. Celta Vigo to claim all three points.
10:00 South Africa W vs India W World Cup

South Africa W

Win Match

50 WIN

@3.20

Lose

-50

This is a surprise match-up for this final, with both teams springing surprise victories in the semi-finals. Not much to choose between the teams, with both sets of batters in good form. I feel that South Africa Women have a slight edge in the bowling department, and this could be the deciding factor. South Africa Women to win is the selection.
01 November 2025
20:00 Liverpool v Aston Villa

Draw

50 WIN

@4.33

Lose

-50

Three of the last five league meetings between these clubs have ended in a draw. Villa made a slow start to their campaign following off-the-field financial problems, but in recent weeks they have hit top form. They have won six of their last seven matches in all competitions. Liverpool's form has slumped with six defeats in their last seven competitive fixtures. Defensively, they look disorganized, leaking lots of goals. Playing at home will be an advantage, but I cannot see them beating their in-form opponents. Go with the draw at the price of 4.33.
17:30 Tottenham v Chelsea

Tottenham

50 WIN

@3.00

Lose

-50

Spurs are currently in fourth place in the Premiership table on 17 points from nine games. They scored 17 goals but have only conceded seven. Only leaders Arsenal have conceded less. So far this season, their home form has been erratic with only one win and a draw from four home matches. Spurs have won two of their last three in this division, whilst securing two draws in their last couple of Champions League fixtures. Chelsea will be without several key players like Palmer, Mudryk, and Delap. Spurs look good value at 3.00 to beat Chelsea.
15:00 Brighton v Leeds

Brighton

50 WIN

@2.00

Win

50

Brighton to beat Leeds is the forecast for this game. They were poor at Old Trafford last week, but with home advantage today, they will be aiming to claim all three points. Unbeaten in all four home league matches this season. On their travels, Leeds have lost three of four played. Brighton have yet to taste defeat against today's opponents in the last six Premiership meetings.
15:00 Charlton v Swansea

Charlton

50 WIN

@2.10

Lose

-50

Charlton are going well in their first season back at this level. Currently in sixth place with Swansea back in 14th. Picked up ten points from only five home matches. The Swans have an inconsistent away record, winning two and losing five of their last eight road games. Charlton to win.
15:00 Crystal Palace v Brentford

Draw

50 WIN

@3.60

Lose

-50

Five of the eight top flight meetings of these teams have ended all square. Palace had a good midweek win in the League Cup at Liverpool but in the league they have picked up only one point from their last three fixtures. Brentford have won their last three competitive games and will be confident of getting something from this match. Could be a close finish so I am going with the Draw.
15:00 Fulham v Wolverhampton

Fulham

50 WIN

@1.85

Win

43

Wolves are finding it difficult to climb out of the relegation zone. Leaky defense and short of goals from their attackers. Fulham have been poor on the road, but at home they are strong. Should have too much quality for today's opponents in the final third of the pitch. Fulham to win.
15:00 Nottm Forest v Man Utd

Man Utd

50 WIN

@2.10

Lose

-50

Forest have a new gaffer, Sean Dyche, at the helm, and he has had little time to work with his charges on the training ground. They lost last week at Bournemouth and face a bang in form United side. United have won their last three league matches and four of their last five. Confidence will be high in their ranks with a lot of pressure taken off head coach Amorim. Go with Man United to continue their winning run.
15:00 Oxford Utd v Millwall

Millwall (AH) 0.00

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

@1.95

Push

0

After twelve games played, Millwall are third in the standings with Oxford struggling in 20th position. Oxford have won just one of their last five home fixtures in all competitions. Millwall have won four, drawn two, and lost only one of their away matches this season. Take Millwall on the handicap.
15:00 Pakistan vs South Africa 3rd T20 Match

South Africa

Win Match

50 WIN

@2.20

Lose

-50

South Africa won the first match in this series only to lose the second game. South Africa have won four of the last six T20 meetings with Pakistan, and I fully expect them to come back strongly to win today's game. Stronger batting lineup, and if their bowlers hit the correct lengths and lines, then they can take this match.
15:00 QPR v Ipswich

QPR

50 WIN

@3.40

Lose

-50

With home advantage the preference is for a QPR victory today. In five home games this term they have won two and drawn two of five played. Rangers have won six and drawn one of the previous seven home head to heads. Ipswich are winless in their last five away fixtures. QPR to win.
15:00 Southampton v Preston

Preston (AH) 0.75

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

@1.88

Win

44

PNE came from a two-goal deficit to beat Sheffield United 3-2 in their last game. Saints are struggling this season, currently in 20th place in the points table. Preston have been steady on their travels, only losing two of six away matches. They are on the fringe of the playoff places and have a blend of experience in defense and youth and pace up front. With a 0.75 of a goal start, go with Preston on the handicap.
14:35 Al Khaleej Saihat v Al Ittihad Jeddah

Al Ittihad Jeddah

50 WIN

@2.15

Lose

-50

Al Ittihad Jeddah have dominated head-to-heads and are unbeaten in 16 league games. Al Ittihad have a good recent away record, unbeaten in their last five on the road. Take Al Ittihad to win is the prediction.
14:30 Mainz v Werder Bremen

Werder Bremen

50 WIN

@4.20

Lose

-50

Price of 4.20 for a Bremen win looks decent value. They have won the last four meetings of these clubs. Mainz are struggling near the bottom of the standings, and have lost their last five competitive games. Their home league record this term is poor, lost all four matches. Bremen are in good recent form with two wins in their last three.
13:00 Villarreal v Rayo Vallecano

Villarreal

50 WIN

@1.75

Win

38

Forecast is for a home victory for Villarreal. They are unbeaten at home in their last eleven league matches. In home head to heads Villarreal have dominated proceedings. Vallecano have lost three of their last five away fixtures.
12:30 Norwich v Hull

Hull

50 WIN

@3.40

Win

120

Hull City are in good current form, chasing a playoff spot. Norwich are finding life difficult in the division and are in 21st place in the table. Norwich have lost eight games already this term. Norwich have lost their last five games and pressure is mounting. No wins in their last eight competitive fixtures. Tigers are unbeaten in five and have won four of their last seven. Away win is the forecast.
31 October 2025
20:00 Provence v Brive

Brive 5.50

Handicap

50 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-50

In head-to-heads between these clubs, the home team has won seven of the eight matches. The games at Provence have all been close finishes, and Brive look valuable on the handicap receiving a 5.50 points start. On their travels, Brive have done well over the last ten months. They won five of the away matches. Provence have won three of four home games this campaign.
19:30 Augsburg v Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund

50 WIN

@1.60

Win

30

Victory for Dortmund tonight would move them up into second spot in the table. Augsburg are down in 15th place in the standings. At home, Augsburg have lost four of their last six, winning one and drawing the other. Dortmund have won six of their last eight in all competitions and are my selection to win.
18:30 Aurillac v Oyonnax

Oyonnax 4.50

Handicap

50 WIN

@1.85

Win

43

Matches between these teams tend to be close finishes when played in Aurillac. Aurillac have won seven of eight home meetings, but all of those victories came by a margin of six or less. Go with Oyonnax on the points handicap with the benefit of a 4.50 points advantage.
18:30 Carcassonne v Biarritz

Carcassonne

To Win

50 WIN

@1.62

Push

0

Carcassonne to beat Biarritz is the prediction in this match. Following promotion at the end of last season, Carcassonne have found it difficult adjusting to this higher standard of rugby. They have won only twice to date but have lost two home games by narrow margins. Biarritz have been inconsistent so far this season, especially on the road. They have won once in their last eight away fixtures.
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Carcassonne -2.50

Handicap

50 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-50

Carcassonne narrowly lost their last two home games, having previously won eight of nine home fixtures. They have beaten Biarritz in all eight previous meetings. Seven came by a minimum margin of eight points. Carcassonne to win and cover the handicap.
18:30 Mont de Marsan v Nevers

Nevers

To Win

50 WIN

@3.00

Lose

-50

Nevers are currently in fourth position in the standings with 25 points. Mont de Marsan are second bottom with nine points. The hosts have lost four of their last five games. Nevers have won three of their last four. Nevers have averaged over 41 points scored in those four matches. Look good value at 3.00 to win tonight.

Nevers 6.50

Handicap

50 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-50

High-flying Nevers look valuable on the handicap with a 6.50 points start. They have yet to win on the road in three games this term, but this match offers them a great opportunity to change that stat, versus a struggling home team. The home team has lost six of eight games this season, and defensively they look suspect, conceding over 30 points in five matches.
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18:00 Beziers v Colomiers

Colomiers

To Win

50 WIN

@2.08

Win

54

Béziers lost their last home match against Valence. Prior to that setback, they had won nine consecutive home games after having lost to Colomiers. Colomiers have won three of their four road games this season. Colomiers will be looking at a victory that could take them back to the top of the points table, and are my choice to win tonight.
15:00 Pakistan vs South Africa 2nd T20 Match

South Africa

Win Match

50 WIN

@2.10

Lose

-50

South Africa won the first match in this T20 series, and I see no reason why they can't win again in today's match. Pakistan batted poorly in the first game and could once again struggle against a strong South African bowling attack. With Dewald Brevis in such great current form, South Africa look really good in the batting department.
14:50 Al Hilal Riyadh v Al Shabab Riyadh

Al Hilal Riyadh

50 WIN

@1.38

Win

19

Al Hilal are in third place in the league table, whilst visitors Al Shabab are only four points above the relegation zone. Al Hilal are unbeaten in their last seven fixtures, winning all seven. In head-to-heads, Al Hilal are unbeaten in the last five meetings and are a confident choice to win this match.
12:00 Bangladesh vs West Indies 3rd T20 Match

West Indies

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.80

Win

40

West Indies have played well in the shortest form of the game in recent times. They have several experienced players giving them solidity and have introduced a few younger players into the side and have impressed. West Indies have the momentum going forward and are my selection to win again today over Bangladesh.
11:30 Zimbabwe vs Afghanistan 2nd T20 Match

Afghanistan

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.33

Win

17

Afghanistan to beat Zimbabwe is the forecast for this second game in this T20 series. Afghanistan have the better bowling attack with top-quality spin bowlers. Their batting has improved of late, and they should be capable of seeing off any threats posed by Zimbabwe.
08:15 Australia vs India 2nd T20 Match

India

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.80

Lose

-50

India are ranked at number one in the ICC T20, with Australia a place behind. India made a great start to the first game of this series, scoring at ten an over before the rain came. In Suryakumar Yadav, they have an inspirational captain, who is backed up in the batting with the class of Abhishek Sharma, Varma, and Shubman Gill. Bowling-wise, they have top pacer Bumrah available for this series, and he has a great record in Australia. Australia doesn't seem to have the same strength in depth as India, so India are my prediction to win.

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Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.

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