lankylad
interested in the systematic & statistical approach to sports betting
1
Estimated Prizes
this month
£5
Estimated Prize money
this month
lankylad's Tips History
All sports
14 May 2025
20:20 8:20 Tipperary
Moon Eclipse
Daily Racing
25 EW
@4.50
Lose
-50
Trained by Joseph O'Brien. Winner of a Leopardstown bumper on debut back in March. Since that win, this five-year-old mare has had one run, finishing sixth in a Listed Mares Flat Race at Fairyhouse over two miles. Drops down in class and should go close.
18:00 Aryna Sabalenka vs Qinwen Zheng
Aryna Sabalenka -4.50
Games Won
50 WIN
@2.00
Lose
-50
Aryna Sabalenka is the current world number one and her form on the clay this year has been superb. Lost once in 13 clay court matches in 2023. That loss came at the Stuttgart final against Ostapenko. Zheng is ranked at eight on the WTA but has struggled in head-to-heads with Sabalenka. Sabalenka has won all six, only dropping one set in total. Won all meetings by at least a four-game margin. Go with Sabalenka on the handicap.
16:18 4:18 York
Rare Change
Daily Racing
25 EWNAPNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 11.00 used instead of 9.50 takenBOG
@11.00
Win
300
Richard Hughes is in fine current form and this horse won well at Windsor just over a week ago. Penalized 6 lbs for that easy win and will relish the step up to 7 furlongs. Was gelded prior to that Windsor victory. Strong each way chance.
14:42 2:42 York
Commanche Falls
Daily Racing
25 EW
@8.50
Lose
-50
Trained by Michael Fids and ridden by Connor Beasley. The trainer has a good course record in sprint handicaps and does well in Class 2 races. Winner over today's course and distance, and ran well here last August to finish third of 19, beaten just over a length in what was a top-quality race.
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14:10 2:10 York
Paradias
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@9.50
Win
17
Trained by Alan King. Won at Glorious Goodwood over 9 furlongs on similar going to that forecasted for today. Also ran well on the all weather up to distances of 12 furlongs. Two wins and two places in last five runs.
12:00 Coco Gauff vs Mirra Andreeva
Coco Gauff
Win Match
50 WIN
@1.83
Win
41
Prediction is for number four seed Coco Gauff to win this quarter-final against seventh-seeded Andreeva. Gauff is going well on the clay this year with nine wins from eleven. She reached the final in Madrid and lost in the quarter-final in Stuttgart. Gauff leads 3-0 in head-to-heads, two coming on clay.
Subtotal208
13 May 2025
18:00 Peyton Stearns vs Elina Svitolina
Elina Svitolina to win 2 - 0
Set Betting
50 WIN
@1.91
Lose
-50
Elina Svitolina to win in straight sets is the forecast for this match. Stearns is up to 23 in the world rankings following some good recent results. Svitolina has won this event on two previous occasions. She has won 14 of her last 15 on clay, losing as a semi-finalist in Madrid and winning the Rouen event.
17:30 Tommy Paul vs Alex De Minaur
Alex De Minaur
Win Match
50 WIN
@1.57
Lose
-50
Tommy Paul relies on his power to overcome opponents but today faces the guile and court speed of De Minaur. Paul came through a tough three setter against Machac in the last round and his fitness will be severely tested in this match. De Minaur leads 5-0 in head to heads and has that bit extra quality to win again.
Alex De Minaur to win 2 - 1
Set Betting
50 WIN
@4.00
Lose
-50
Alex De Minaur to win is the confident choice but I think that he will be taken to a third set decider. He has dominated head to heads but the last three have all gone the distance. Three of Paul's last six matches have gone to three sets.
Alex De Minaur -2.50
Games Won
50 WIN
@1.83
Lose
-50
De Minaur on the Games Won handicap is the selection for this match. He is now ranked at number eight on the ATP, four places ahead of Paul. Paul has a good 2023 record on clay but has yet to beat a top ten ranked player on the slower stuff. De Minaur lost in the Monte Carlo semi-finals having won the first set 6-1, only to lose a third set tiebreaker. In his five head-to-head wins, he covered the spread each time.
16:00 Arthur Fils vs Alexander Zverev
Alexander Zverev
Win Match
50 WIN
@1.57
Win
28
Head-to-heads between these two are fairly even, with Zverev holding a 3-2 lead. Zverev is currently ranked at 2 in the world, just 12 spots higher than Fils. Zverev is the defending champion at this event and is my selection to progress deeper into this year's tournament.
Alexander Zverev -2.50
Games Won
50 WIN
@2.00
Win
50
Alex Zverev to win and cover the 2.50 games handicap is the selection. The current world number two leads 3-2 in head-to-head meetings with Fils, covering the spread in all three victories. Since losing his first match of this clay court season to Berrettini, he has won nine of ten matches. He won the event in Munich, only dropping one set throughout the tournament. Fils is in form but has been inconsistent of late with two wins from his last four.
12:00 Jasmine Paolini vs Diana Shnaider
Jasmine Paolini
Win Match
50 WIN
@1.75
Win
38
Italian player Jasmine Paolini to delight her home support and beat Schnaider is the prediction for this match. She has already beaten the likes of Ostapenko and Jabeur, and has yet to drop a set in her three wins at this event. Schnaider is in good form with seven wins in ten clay court matches this season. Paolini won the only previous meeting, in straight sets at last year's Australian Open.
Jasmine Paolini -1.50
Games Won
50 WIN
@1.85
Win
43
Paolini to win and cover the 1.50 games handicap is the prediction for this match. Both players are in fine form, but Paolini has beaten higher quality opponents. She was impressive when seeing off the threats of an in-form Ostapenko and Ons Jabeur.
Subtotal-41
12 May 2025
11:30 Diana Shnaider vs Elise Mertens
Elise Mertens
Win Match
50 WIN
@2.10
Lose
-50
Both players have been doing well on the clay in 2025. Shnaider has won six of nine matches played, whilst Mertens has a similar record. Mertens has won both head-to-heads versus Shnaider, including a straight sets win in Stuttgart on clay last month. Mertens is more experienced on this surface and has been playing consistently well. Mertens to win.
11:30 Jakub Mensik vs Fabian Marozsan
Jakub Mensik
Win Match
50 WIN
@1.73
Win
37
Jakub Mensik had a difficult second-round match against local player Gigantes, but came through in two sets. His serve is going well and he never had to face a break point. He has put together some excellent results already this year. Marozsan beat Rublev in the last round and is useful on these types of courts. If Mensik's service game continues at such a high level, then I can see him going through into the next round.
11:30 Jasmine Paolini vs Jelena Ostapenko
Jelena Ostapenko
Win Match
50 WIN
@2.30
Lose
-50
Ostapenko has been in fine form on the clay so far this year. She also beat Paolini earlier in the year in Doha, winning in straight sets. She has a good record at this event in past years, unlike Paolini who seems to struggle in front of her home fans. Ostapenko has the power to dismantle her opponent's defensive style.
11:00 Warwickshire vs Surrey County Championship
Warwickshire
Draw No Bet
50 WIN
@2.38
Push
0
Warwickshire are in second place in the points table with two wins and two draws from four fixtures. Surrey are a place behind and two points adrift. With the advantage of this match being played at home, the Bears look good value at the price of 2.38 to win.
10:00 Peyton Stearns vs Naomi Osaka
Naomi Osaka
Win Match
50 WIN
@1.85
Lose
-50
Naomi Osaka is putting together some good results post-maternity leave, especially on clay. After losing her first clay court match of the year, she has gone on an eight-match winning streak. Stearns has also done well this season but lacks that extra power that Osaka has. Osaka to win.
10:00 Tommy Paul vs Tomas Machac
Tomas Machac
Win Match
50 WIN
@2.25
Lose
-50
Machac to beat Tommy Paul is the selection. At the price of 2.25, the young Czech player looks good value. Tomas Machac won his last match in straight sets, and his service game is functioning well. He has won both head-to-heads with Paul. He also looks more suited to these slower clay courts.
Tomas Machac to win 2 - 1
Set Betting
50 WIN
@4.80
Lose
-50
Tommy Paul is the higher-ranked of these players, but I think he will struggle to break down the efficient service game of Machac. Machac has won both previous meetings, both in three sets. It could be a close match, but I am suggesting Machac winning in three sets.
Subtotal-213
11 May 2025
16:30 Liverpool v Arsenal
Liverpool
50 WIN
@2.30
Lose
-50
Champions of the Premier League Liverpool to beat Arsenal is the forecast for this fixture. Arsenal were knocked out of the Champions League in midweek by PSG and could be dispirited going into this game. Liverpool will be desperate to win in front of their adoring fans and have that extra bit of quality in the final third of the pitch to claim the victory at Anfield this afternoon.
14:15 Man Utd v West Ham
Man Utd
50 WIN
@2.15
Lose
-50
Matches between these teams have in recent years tended to be won by the home side. The last eight in all competitions have gone to the host team. Both sides have had a poor run of form in the league in recent months. West Ham haven't won a league match in eight, and Man United are six Premiership matches without success. The Reds, however, are going well in Europe, and confidence will be high. Home win is the selection.
14:15 Nottm Forest v Leicester
Nottm Forest
50 WIN
@1.40
Lose
-50
Forest to beat relegated Leicester is the forecast. Forest are in need of a win to keep their hopes of a top five place alive. Their recent form has dropped off with only one win and a draw from their last five. They should have too much power and pace for a poor visiting side.
14:15 Tottenham v Crystal Palace
Tottenham
50 WIN
@3.00
Lose
-50
Confidence will be high in the Spurs camp following their qualification in midweek for the Europa League Final. Palace could have their minds on the upcoming FA Cup Final as well. They have gone five matches in the league without a win, and have a poor record when playing away at Spurs. Lost their last eight. Spurs to win.
12:00 Newcastle v Chelsea
Newcastle
50 WIN
@2.20
Win
60
This is a must-win game for both clubs as they bid to clinch a Champions League place. They are level on points along with Aston Villa. Newcastle have a strong home record, with eleven wins and two draws in 17 home games. On the road, Chelsea have picked up 25 points to date, but have won just once in their last five road trips. The Geordies have won their last five at home. Newcastle to win is the prediction.
11:00 Kent vs Glamorgan County Championship
Kent
Draw No Bet
50 WIN
@1.62
Lose
-50
Glamorgan currently occupy the bottom place in this division and are without a win in their four matches. They lost two and drew two. Kent are climbing up the table after two wins, one draw, and one defeat. Kent have a good home record and can take the points from this four-day game.
11:00 Northants vs Lancashire County Championship
Lancashire
Draw No Bet
50 WIN
@1.73
Lose
-50
Lancs have been held to a draw in three games but beat Northants in the reverse fixture. In four-day head-to-heads, the Red Rose County have dominated things, winning five and drawing three of the last eight. Lancs to win.
Subtotal-240
10 May 2025
20:00 Atletico Madrid v Real Sociedad
Atletico Madrid
50 WIN
@1.83
Win
41
Atletico Madrid currently sit in third place in the league with a place in next season's Champions League guaranteed. They have a strong record at home and have won their last four. Sociedad have faded in recent weeks, with scoring goals looking like a problem for them. Home win for Atletico.
20:00 Monaco v Lyon
Monaco
50 WIN
@1.85
Win
43
Monaco are a confident selection to beat Lyon and maintain their push for a top-two place. Great home record, unbeaten in nine of the last ten matches, and scored 36 goals in 16. Lyon have been inconsistent of late, losing three of their last six.
19:45 Sligo Rovers v Bohemians Dublin
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@1.85
Lose
-50
Sligo Rovers are having a difficult time this season. They are at the bottom of the points table and are without a home win in their last four games. They are managing to score goals but struggling to keep out the opposition. Bohemians' games have generally featured plenty of goals this campaign, and I see them getting a few today in what could be a high-scoring game.
17:30 5:30 Naas
Bond International
Daily Racing
25 EW
@5.00
Lose
-50
Trained by Pat Twomey, who has his stable representatives in good form. WJ Lee is in the saddle, and he has a 25% strike rate riding for connections. This Lope de Vega filly cost 240,000 euros. The dam won at 12 furlongs. The stable has a good record with their debutants.
17:30 Bournemouth v Aston Villa
Aston Villa
50 WIN
@2.70
Win
85
Aston Villa are still in with a chance of claiming an end-of-season Champions League spot. Their recent form on the road has been mixed. Defeats in the FA Cup and in the Champions League, but they have won three of their last four away games in the Premiership. Bournemouth are unbeaten in five, with three being drawn. But at home, recent results have been poor, with only one league success in their last six. Villa to win.
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@1.65
Lose
-50
Six of the last eight Premiership meetings of these clubs have featured at least three total goals in them. Villa have had five of their last six top division games with more than two goals. Bournemouth have had six of their last nine fixtures end with at least three goals scored. Over 2.50 total goals is the selection for this match.
17:30 Girona v Villarreal
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@1.62
Lose
-50
Villarreal are enjoying a fine recent run of results, winning four of their last six on their travels. Villarreal have had almost 70% of their league matches finish with more than two goals scored. Girona are also a useful attacking force, so Over 2.50 match goals is the selection.
17:00 5:00 Ascot
Dream Of Mischief
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@11.00
Lose
-50
Finished second on seasonal reappearance on the all-weather at Kempton, beaten a short head. Will be suited by today's going and also by the stiffer track. Won over 7 furlongs last year at Epsom and looks well in the handicap today.
15:25 3:25 Cork
Crowsatedappletart
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 8.00 used instead of 6.00 takenBOG
@8.00
Win
10
Third last time out in a handicap chase at Thurles, when backed into 7/2 favourite. Winner of three hurdles races, all on similar ground to that forecasted for today. Two wins at this trip. Holds a strong each-way chance.
15:00 Fulham v Everton
Everton
50 WIN
@4.40
Win
170
Fulham have had a decent season by their standards, but their results have dropped off in the last couple of months. They lost five of their last seven, and at home, they have lost four of seven. Everton are now proving to be a difficult side to beat. On the road, they have recently won at Forest, Palace, and Brighton. None of those were easy games. Everton at 4.40 to win is a value bet.
Under 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@1.67
Lose
-50
On their travels this season Everton have only had four games out of 17 when the total goals scored went over two. Nine of their last ten games all had two or less goals scored in them. Three of the last four head to heads have featured less than three total match goals. Under 2.50 match goals is the forecast for this fixture.
15:00 Ipswich v Brentford
Brentford
50 WIN
@1.60
Win
30
Brentford are on a five-game unbeaten run in the league, winning their last three. They scored ten goals in those three victories. Relegated Ipswich are without a win in their last five. Keeping a clean sheet has been a major problem all term for the Tractor Boys, and I can only see a win for Brentford today.
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@1.50
Lose
-50
Nine of Ipswich Town's last ten league games have seen more than two match goals in them. Brentford have also had four of their previous seven Premiership fixtures with at least three goals. The reverse fixture in October saw seven goals scored, and I think this will be another high-scoring game. Over 2.50 goals is the forecast.
15:00 Wolverhampton v Brighton
Wolverhampton
50 WIN
@2.80
Lose
-50
Wolves have found their best form of the season in the last couple of months. Won six, drawn one, and lost just one of their last eight games. Brighton's recent form has deteriorated with only one win in eight. Home win for the Wolves is the prediction.
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@1.91
Lose
-50
This match features the top two sides in the teams to have had the most matches finish with there having been three or more goals scored. Brighton have had 25 of their 35 matches go Over 2.5, whilst Wolves have had 24 go Over. On the road, Albion have had 13 of 17 finish with more than two match goals scored. Five of the last six top-flight head-to-heads between these clubs have gone over two total goals. Over 2.50 goals is the prediction for this fixture.
14:50 2:50 Cork
Dippedinmoonlight
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@2.62
Lose
-50
Trained by Emmett Mullins, who has his runners in top form. Donagh Meyler takes the ride. The trainer has a 22% win rate at this track. Finished third on the latest run in a Listed Mares Flat race over 2 miles at Gowran Park. Prior to that run, won a NH Flat race at Downpatrick in style. Improver who should win today.
14:40 2:40 Ascot
Qirat
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@8.00
Win
10
A four year old trained by Ralph Beckett. Looks the type to have come on over the Winter and could move up the grades into Listed company. Winner of two races last season plus did well to finish a close second at Ascot in the Challenge Cup.
14:30 Ben Shelton vs Jaume Munar
Ben Shelton
Win Match
50 WIN
@1.80
Lose
-50
Ben Shelton is quickly learning what is required to consistently win on clay. He has won five from eight on the slower surface this year. He reached the final in Munich, losing to Zverev. If he continues his improvement, he should soon be up in the top ten rankings. Munar had a tough three-set battle in his opening match here, following a run of three consecutive losses. Shelton to win.
14:30 Holstein Kiel v SC Freiburg
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@1.57
Win
28
This could be a high-scoring game between sides committed to attacking football. Both teams are in good recent form. Freiburg have scored at least once in each of their last seven fixtures, scoring two or more in four. Holstein Kiel beat Borussia Monchengladbach 4-3 in their last home game and then won on the road at Augsburg 3-1 last week. Over 2.50 total goals is the forecast.
13:25 1:25 Naas
Award Ceremony
Daily Racing
25 EW
@8.50
Lose
-50
Trained by Donna O'Brien. Third on debut at Dundalk, closely matched with today's favorite. Sister to Denueve, who won at 6 furlongs. Well drawn today and will be amongst the leaders from the off. Each way chance.
10:00 Madison Keys vs Peyton Stearns
Madison Keys
Win Match
50 WIN
@1.50
Lose
-50
Madison Keys to win is the prediction for this match. She has won five out of seven on clay this year, similar to Stearns, but has the added experience of playing on the slow clay court surfaces in Europe. It could be a close match, but Keys to win.
Subtotal-233
09 May 2025
20:17 8:17 Downpatrick
Tricksofthetrade
Daily Racing
25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@5.00
Void
0
Trained by Emmet Mullins, who is in great current form, and ridden by Mr. J.L. Gleason, who is also in fine form. This jockey and trainer pairing has a 33% win rate when combining forces, and in bumpers, that is even better. Third on last run over 2 miles at Cork. Prior to that, finished second in a point-to-point race. Will have improved for last run and must go close tonight.
19:55 7:55 Ballinrobe
Tashir
Daily Racing
25 EW
@6.50
Lose
-50
Trained by the in-form JP Murtagh. Second on racing debut in a race where the winner has finished second in Group company, and third and fourth placed horses have won since. Probably needed the run when fifth on seasonal reappearance over a mile at Cork. Strongly fancied that day, and connections will be keen to recover losses.
18:10 6:10 Ballinrobe
Elana Osario
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@2.62
Win
81
Trained by Pat Twomey and has Colin Keane in the saddle. The trainer is in great current form, a 30% strike rate in the last 14 days, and has a good track record. The jockey is in cracking recent form. Backed into odds-on favorite on the last run when finishing third, beaten two lengths, at Dundalk over a mile. Seems to need a longer trip. Holds a favorite's chance today with conditions to suit.
15:05 3:05 Chester
East India Dock
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@4.33
Win
99
Trained by James Owen. Has been well supported over night. Has had a good winter over the jumps . Won twice on the Flat last season . This four year old is an improving type and will be suited by this course as he likes to lead from the start.
15:00 Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru T20
Royal Challengers Bengaluru
Win Match
50 WIN
@1.80
Void
0
Lucknow have hit a bad run of form at the worst possible stage of their campaign. They lost four of their last five and cannot afford to lose any of their remaining matches if they are to make the playoffs. Bangalore have several players missing through injury but have the strength in their squad to cope. They won four of the last five, and victory today would put them on top of the standings. RCB have all the momentum and should win.
13:50 1:50 Ascot
Master Technician
Daily Racing
25 EW
@13.00
Lose
-50
Trained by Rod Millman and has the excellent Hollie Doyle on board. Ran well over six furlongs last time out but will be more suited to today's trip. Has three wins and two placed efforts from five runs at 7 furlongs. Consistent type who should give us a solid each-way chance.
13:30 1:30 Chester
Yanifer
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@17.00
Lose
-50
Trained by Bethell. Has a strong record at this track, six runs and two wins and two more places. Acts well on the forecasted going conditions. Hasn't run since September, but does well after a layoff. Each way option.
13:00 Alex Michelsen vs Laslo Djere
Laslo Djere
Win Match
50 WIN
@1.44
Win
22
Serbian player Laslo Djere has had a couple of years where he has had to overcome several injuries. This year he is looking good back on the clay. He has a win/loss record on clay in 2023 of 16-4, and won the title in Santiago, Chile. He had a good straight sets win over Etcheverry in the first round and has the experience to beat an improving Michelsen.
13:00 Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Emma Raducanu
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Win Match
50 WIN
@1.73
Void
0
Alexandrova found some excellent form in the last month. Semi-finalist in Charleston and Stuttgart and reached the fourth round in Madrid, all on clay. Raducanu is more at home on faster, hard courts and struggled in the first round to beat a qualifier in three hard sets. These girls have met twice with the score at one win apiece. Alexandrova is the player in top form on the clay and is my selection to win.
11:30 Katie Volynets vs Clara Tauson
Katie Volynets
Win Match
50 WIN
@2.38
Void
0
Volynets is ranked some 43 places below Tauson in the world but has the better recent form. She has won her three matches at this event in fine style. Reached the quarterfinals in Saint Malo and has won eight of twelve matches on clay this year. Tauson started the year in great form but that has dropped off of late. Lost both first-round matches in Stuttgart and Madrid. Head-to-heads stand at one win each, and although this could be close, I prefer the chances of Volynets.
10:00 Bianca Andreescu vs Donna Vekic
Donna Vekic
Win Match
50 WIN
@1.73
Lose
-50
Vekic won the only head-to-head between these ladies at the Paris Olympics. Both players have lacked consistency this year. Vekic has won four from her last ten. Rankings-wise, Vekic is at number 19 in the world, with Andreescu down at 121. On clay, it is Vekic who has the better results, with seven wins in her last ten matches on the surface. Vekic to win.
Subtotal2
Tips are normally be settled by 12pm the day after the event took place.
Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.
Please note that this information is for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as an indicator of a tipsters real life performance. The OLBG Tipster Competition is a simulation game and some of the rules and prices used by the tipsters may not always be available in the real world which can lead to misleading informaiton.
