lankylad

interested in the systematic & statistical approach to sports betting

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lankylad's Tips

14th June 2024
08:05 Blues v Brumbies

Blues

To Win

50 WIN

Blues have a great record when playing at Eden Park,Auckland. They have won their last 14 home fixtures in Super Rugby. They have won five of the last six home head to heads against the Brumbies. Blues to win and maintain that domination.
09:00 Canberra Raiders v North Queensland Cowboys

Canberra Raiders -2.50

Handicap (2-way)

50 WIN

Canberra will be well rested following their bye week. They have a good home record over the last couple of seasons,and generally tend to deliver the results against sides outside the top four in the standings. I think that Canberra Raiders will win and cover the 2.50 points handicap.
11:00 South Sydney Rabbitohs v Brisbane Broncos

South Sydney Rabbitohs 4.50

Handicap (2-way)

50 WIN

Rabbitohs look a much improved team of late since Wighton has been moved to half back. Return of Latrell Mitchell has been a bonus for them. Posted over 40 points in both of their wins in last two games . Brisbane have struggled without Reece Walsh with a couple of other players suffering with injury concerns. Their form has dipped and they will find it difficult to win this match against a team that is recapturing some of its better form. Go with the Rabbitohs with a 4.50 points start on the handicap.
11:30 Brandon Nakashima vs Jan Lennard Struff

Jan Lennard Struff

Win Match

50 WIN

Struff has been in good form all year and on all surfaces. Now playing in front of his home crowd I can see him having a great chance of winning the title. He faces Nakashima who is also playing well,but most of his successes have come at Challenger level. This will be a battle of the serves without Struff emerging victorious.
13:30 Matteo Berrettini vs James Duckworth

Matteo Berrettini

Win Match

50 WIN

Berrettini is a two times winner of this Stuttgart tournament. He has suffered over last couple of years with injuries. He is now starting to look like he has overcome those concerns and his form is getting back to something approaching his best. Playing well this week with his big service game looking good. Berrettini to beat Duckworth.
14:30 Robin Montgomery vs Ekaterina Alexandrova

Ekaterina Alexandrova

Win Match

50 WIN

Alexandrova has won this tournament the last two seasons. She had a poor run of results on the recently completed clay court swing,but now looks far more comfortable back on grass. She faces a 19 year old prodigy who has had some good recent results. Montgomery has had to battle hard to reach this stage of the competition but will find Alexandrova a far more difficult opponent.
15:30 USA vs Ireland

USA

Win Match

50 WIN

USA have shocked most people with their performances at this t20 World Cup .Two wins,including a superb victory over Pakistan, has put them in with a great chance of qualifying for the next stage. Victory or a no result( abandonment) today would guarantee them making the Super Eights. Ireland have had a poor tournament,with none of their batters performing at anything near the expected level. USA have the crowd support and the momentum so take them to win today.
17:30 Worcestershire vs Nottinghamshire

Worcestershire

Win Match

50 WIN

On paper Notts have a strong t20 squad but on the field they have failed to play to the level expected. They have yet to win in the Blast this year and confidence will be low. Worcestershire have won two games and playing at home they should be capable of winning tonight.
18:30 Leicestershire vs Lancashire

Lancashire

Win Match

50 WIN

Lancs are currently top of their group,with Leicestershire back in third place. Lancs have won the last three head to heads against tonight's opponents in t20 format. Although Leics have home advantage I favour Lancashire to continue their winning run.
20:00 Germany v Scotland

Germany

50 WIN

Germany are the forecasted winners of the first match in Euro 24. As hosts they will have an advantage with home support. Haven't had to qualify but in recent friendlies they have been in fine form. Unbeaten in four in the build up to this competition,including wins over France and Netherlands. Scotland had a solitary victory over a weak Gibraltar team after qualifying ,and look likely strugglers in this group.

Ilkay Gundogan

Anytime Goalscorer

50 WIN

Ilkay Gundigan is a classy midfielder,formerly of Man City. He is a regular penalty taker for both his club and country. I expect Germany to dominate possession in this match and he could end up taking free kicks around the penalty box.

Kai Havertz

First Goalscorer

50 WIN

Kai Havertz struggled in his final season at Chelsea,butince he made the move across London to Arsenal he got back to his best form. Hig(ly mobile player in and around the opposition box who is likely to get several attempts at goal. Could also be involved in penalty kicks,free kicks etc.

Joshua Kimmich

Player to be Booked

50 WIN

Joshua Kimmich is the right wing back for Germany . He likes to get forward but defensively he is prone to giving away free kicks when players run with the ball at him. Scotland have Andy Robertson and John McGinn marauding down that side ,so price of 7.00 for Kimmich to get a card looks value.

Over 3.50

Total Cards

50 WIN

Scotland will come into this match looking to keep things tight in midfield and at the back. Players like McGinn and McTominay are highly competitive and I can see both of them getting a booking along with possibly a couple more . For Germany their wing back Kimmich is a hard player who likes a tackle. He could find himself under pressure from the likes of McGinn down his right side of the pitch and he is a serious contender for a yellow card. Go Over 3.50 cards in this opening game.
16th June 2024
19:45 US Open

Patrick Cantlay

1st Round Leader

50 WIN

Patrick Cantlay has had several good first round scores this year,and he is up near the top of the rankings for lowest average opening round score. He has been allocated a 7.40 a.m start time and could take advantage of the milder conditions to produce a leading first round score.

Russell Henley

1st Round Leader

25 EW

Russell Henley has the type of game to do well on this difficult course. He has finished inside the top 30 in his last four tournaments played,including the PGA and last weeks Memorual. Only one missed cut all year. Can start off with a possible top six score .

Sepp Straka

Top European

25 EW

Sep Straka has been inconsistent this year ,but in recent tournaments he has started to get back towards some of his best form. He has posted three top five finishes in his last six events. Gained over 3.2 strokes around the green in recent events and this will be an important factor at Pinehurst this week. Good each way claim in the Top European market.

Tommy Fleetwood

Top GB and Ireland

25 EW

Tommy Fleetwood looks in consistently good form in recent weeks. Two top 10s and also three finishes in the top 30 in his last six events. Finished third at the Masters and is a big event type of player. Could finish the week as the leading British and Irish player.
21:45 US Open

Matt Fitzpatrick

25 EW

Matt Fitzpatrick is a past winner of this event and has had four top 20 finishes in the last six US Opens. In good current form as he finished in a tie for fifth place at the Memorial in his last competition.

Shane Lowry

25 EW

Irishman Shane Lowry was half of the winning pair in the Zurich Classic in New Orleans. Tied for sixth in the PGA Championship ,and has the game to go close in this tournament. Price of 56.00 looks good value.

Viktor Hovland

25 EW

Hovland had a dissapointing start to his season but after returning to his old coach his form has improved significantly. Finished third in the PGA Championship,after missing a putt at the final hole that would have put him in a play off for the title. Quality player with a decent each way chance.
23rd June 2024
20:00 Euro 2024 Group A

Germany

Group Betting

50 WIN

This won't be easy for Germany as Switzerland have a good recent tournament record and Hungary look a much improved team. But with their passionate home support Germany can emerge as winners of Group A.
25th June 2024
17:00 Euro 2024 Group D

France

Group Betting

50 WIN

France have a great record in recent tournament football. They have a strong defensive unit and in attack they possess several players of genuine world class. They should have little problems in finishing first in this Group.
20:00 Euro 2024 Group C

England

Group Betting

50 WIN

Denmark are a useful side who won't make it easy for England,but otherwise this looks to be one of the weaker groups in this tournament. England have an abundance of attacking talent at their disposal and surely Southgate can start getting some high quality performances out of his team as they go on to win Group C.
26th June 2024
17:00 Euro 2024 Group E

Belgium

Group Betting

50 WIN

Several experts are writing off the chances of this Belgium team,stating that all of their superstars are now past their best. What they don't realise is that new head coach Tedesco has brought in several younger players with the potential to reach the highest standards. Since the new manager took over Belgium have been unbeaten. Take Belgium to win this Group.
27th June 2024
11:05 State of Origin 2024

Queensland

50 WIN

Queensland won last years Origin series and are short priced favourites to win this years three match series. NSW have a new head coach and he could take a while to get his players to perform at their best and as a team. Queensland have definitely the higher quality set of players in the key areas,and are my selection to win this years State of Origin series.
3rd July 2024
02:00 Copa America 2024 Group D

Colombia

Group Betting

50 WIN

Colombia failed to qualify for the 2022 World. Up and then brought in a new head coach Lorenzo. Since his appointment they have gone unbeaten in 19 matches,winning 14 of them. Brazil only made the q-finals at the last World. Up and they have been inconsistent in qualifying for the next World Vup,only in sixth place at the moment. At 3.75 Colombia look good value to win Group D in the Copa America.
14th July 2024
20:00 Euro 2024

Kai Havertz

Top Goalscorer

50 WIN

Kai Havertz seems to have rediscovered his best form since moving to Arsenal. He is in line to be a penalty taker for his country . With the attacking style that Germany play Havertz could end up amongst the leading scorers in the competition.

Romelu Lukaku

Top Goalscorer

25 EW

Lukaku was the leading goalscorer overall in the qualifying stages for this tournament. He scored 14 goals in eight matches. Wherever he has played his club football he has always managed to score at least ten per season. He suffered with injury at the last World Cup,but he was in the top goal scorers at Euro 2020 and the 2018 World Cup. Belgiums group looks to be one of the weakest and I expect him to get amongst the scorers from the word go. Lukaku at 19.00 looks great each way value in the top scorer market.

France & Germany

Finalists

50 WIN

Germany as hosts are expected to make a strong challenge in this tournament after having struggled results wise in recent competitions. My reckoning is that France could face England in the semi finals and that would be a tight game.

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